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Is Trump Running Out of Steam? | The Ezra Klein Show

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Is Trump Running Out of Steam? | The Ezra Klein Show

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1748 segments

0:00

He is playing for history. Capital G,

0:02

great man of history. To be remembered,

0:05

to be remembered by one name, to have

0:07

left a mark uh on the world that is just

0:10

different [music] than a typical

0:12

president or what he would say is a

0:13

normal president. Maggie Haberman is a

0:16

White House correspondent at [music] the

0:18

New York Times, a pulit surprise winner,

0:19

and the co-author alongside Jonathan

0:21

Swan of regime change. I would say the

0:24

single best book [music]

0:25

on the first 14 months of Donald Trump's

0:28

second term. She joins me [music] now.

0:36

Maggie Haberman, welcome back to the

0:38

show.

0:38

>> Ezra, thank you for having me.

0:39

>> So, I want to talk about the experience

0:42

I had reading the book, which is

0:44

remembering how much energy and ferocity

0:49

there was in the first 6 to 8 months

0:52

>> of the Trump administration,

0:53

>> right?

0:54

And then knowing how many of the things

0:57

that you all were tracking here from the

1:00

terrorists to Doge to

1:03

um parts of society bending the knee to

1:05

Trump to the Iran war

1:07

>> by now feel like they have like deeply

1:10

run out of some kind of steam or they've

1:12

ended up trapping the Trump

1:13

administration in its own decisions. So

1:15

sort of want to start with the big

1:16

picture. Um this book is really about

1:18

Trump's year one mostly. What does year

1:20

two feel like to you?

1:23

First of all, thank you for having me

1:24

and I wish Jonathan were here, but uh

1:26

his wife is having a baby soon. So, and

1:28

I have permission to say that. So, uh

1:31

there's a reason that the first section

1:32

of the book is called Whirlwind. And I

1:36

was thinking as you were talking about

1:37

the running out of steam piece. I would

1:40

put it a little differently. I think

1:41

it's a little it's not black and white.

1:43

Um and Elon Musk is obviously not

1:46

working for the government anymore. I do

1:48

think it's remarkable how much of Doge's

1:49

memory hold. um he came in, he was

1:52

supposed to uh change the way government

1:55

was going to work. In reality, Doge

1:57

didn't do anything close to what it was

1:58

supposed to do. But it did do things

2:00

like show how Trump was going to govern

2:03

um by fiat in large measure. Elon Musk

2:06

shut down USAD. Just shut it down. Shut

2:08

down an entire congressionally created

2:11

agency. One of Trump's first unilateral

2:14

actions was firing a bunch of inspectors

2:16

general. uh did not notify Congress,

2:18

which he was supposed to do, about why,

2:20

and he was supposed to give Congress a

2:21

30-day notice. None of that happened.

2:23

Steven Miller, in particular, rolled out

2:24

with a bunch of executive actions that I

2:26

would say some of them didn't run out of

2:28

steam. The ones focused on DEI in

2:30

particular, the one about trans women in

2:33

sports in particular. Um, and certainly

2:36

a lot of their activities at the border

2:38

have not. If you were a Trump supporter

2:40

and you voted for him for those reasons,

2:42

which were things he did talk about on

2:43

the campaign trail, just those three,

2:46

you would be happy. They didn't vote for

2:49

most of his base. Um, another potential

2:52

forever war in the Middle East. So, that

2:54

is, I think, not just running out of

2:55

steam, that is, um, injecting fresh

2:58

chaos. He has now just launched a fresh

3:00

trade war. And so there's the

3:01

combination of uh new tariffs plus

3:05

escalation back to uh engaged combat

3:09

with Iran. Um could be really

3:11

interesting for the economy. And so I

3:15

don't know that I think it's that it's

3:16

run out of steam,

3:19

but things tend to end one way with

3:21

Trump. Um and it's usually in some form

3:24

of uh the lack of strategy being

3:26

apparent. And I would say that's what

3:27

you're seeing right now. So I don't know

3:29

that it's running out of steam. it's

3:30

running into Trump reality.

3:32

>> I think often of something that uh the

3:34

conservative analyst Yvall Leven said to

3:36

me early in the term. He said that

3:39

>> administrations have a rhythm. At first

3:41

they are the master of events. Everybody

3:43

is responding to them.

3:44

>> It's true.

3:45

>> And then they are responding to events.

3:47

>> And in Trump's case, he's often even now

3:52

responding to events he created.

3:53

>> Correct. which is what I was thinking

3:54

when you were saying that

3:55

>> there's been a lot of reporting for

3:57

instance on Iran right now that Trump

4:00

he's in the mood for revenge and I

4:02

thought it was such a strange word that

4:04

was being chosen like he attacked

4:08

>> Iran decapitated the leadership

4:10

threatened to end the civilization Iran

4:12

has not completely capitulated to him so

4:14

he's like he needs reven like is revenge

4:16

the right word there I'm sure he feels

4:18

it is

4:19

>> I saw that reporting and I actually

4:20

wondered um whether it was just about

4:23

what you're describing which is some

4:24

kind of retribution for a military

4:27

intervention that he began or whether it

4:30

was

4:31

part of this ongoing

4:34

anger at Iran that really is quite real

4:37

with him about the threats against his

4:40

life.

4:40

>> Do you want to talk through that because

4:41

I think that's an important thread of

4:43

the book.

4:43

>> Sure. It's very much an important thread

4:45

of the book and I think it was

4:46

incredibly I don't think I know I mean

4:47

Jonathan and my reporting really did

4:50

show us how how radicalizing those four

4:54

years out of power were not just for the

4:57

investigations that he was facing and

4:59

that a lot of his advisers got swept up

5:00

in. But what also happened in 2024,

5:03

right after he was convicted in a state

5:06

court on uh falsifying documents in

5:09

connection with a hush money payment to

5:11

a porn star who said he had an affair

5:13

with her was um it was a Pakistani man

5:16

who was indicted in connection with the

5:18

murder for hire plot that was supposed

5:20

to be allegedly

5:22

engaged in by Iran. This was a proxy.

5:24

>> The allegation is Iran was had a proxy

5:27

who was trying to hire a murderer to

5:29

kill Donald Trump.

5:30

>> Correct. and was indicted, by the way,

5:31

you know, under the Biden Justice

5:33

Department was indicted.

5:34

>> But the assassination attempt in Butler

5:37

happens right after that where he was

5:38

shot and

5:40

>> it was a galvanizing moment for the

5:42

campaign. It was a galvanizing moment

5:43

for him. Um, all of that in his mind

5:46

becomes one big blur. And around that

5:50

time is when, and I don't remember it

5:53

was right before, right after, but Iran

5:54

had successfully hacked the campaign

5:56

manager's emails, Susie Wilds. accord

5:59

Iran according to officials was behind

6:00

it and they start releasing them and

6:03

that was hugely embarrassing to the

6:04

entire campaign. It also added to this

6:06

sense of siege that they all have and

6:09

they all went back into the White House

6:11

this way for different reasons in some

6:13

cases but for that core group and for

6:15

Trump himself Iran and this feeling of

6:19

being under threat is constant. You

6:20

heard it when he spoke to John Carl

6:23

after the Ayatollah was killed at the

6:25

beginning of this war and Trump said

6:28

something to John Carl that I don't

6:29

think I've heard him say since as a

6:31

repeat but it was they tried to get me

6:33

twice. I you some I'm paraphrasing but

6:35

it was I got them once they tried to get

6:37

me twice. Um whatever he's referring to

6:40

I don't exactly know in terms of the

6:41

twice but it tells you what his mindset

6:44

is.

6:46

One story that we've heard a lot is that

6:48

Netanyahu talked Donald Trump into this

6:50

war. Um, you know, there's

6:52

[clears throat] another story that Trump

6:54

himself had distinctive views on Iran,

6:56

has for some time, has always said they

6:58

cannot have a nuclear weapon, tore up

7:00

the Obama nuclear deal, over the

7:02

objections of his own advisers, has

7:04

always had a very hard line on Iran.

7:06

>> Going back years, I mean, you can find

7:08

old interviews way before the presidency

7:10

where he talks about Iran humiliating

7:12

us. When you get the respect of the

7:14

other countries, then the other

7:15

countries tend to do a little bit as you

7:17

do and you can create the right

7:19

attitudes. The the Iranian situation is

7:22

a case in point that they hold our

7:25

hostages is just absolutely and totally

7:30

ridiculous. That this country sits back

7:32

and allows a country such as Iran to

7:35

hold our hostages to my way of thinking

7:37

is a horror. And I don't think they'd do

7:41

it with other countries. I honestly

7:44

don't think they'd do it with other

7:45

countries.

7:45

>> Obviously, you're advocating that we

7:46

should have gone in there with troops,

7:48

etc., and brought our boys out.

7:50

>> I absolutely feel that. Yes.

7:52

>> I mean, you you're right about this, but

7:53

a lot of Trump's politics seem very

7:56

rooted in the 80s and things that

7:58

happened to America in the, you know,

7:59

the 70s and the 80s. But what at this

8:02

point is your view of why Donald Trump

8:05

decides

8:07

to actually do a regime changeoriented

8:09

war in Iran?

8:11

>> The final piece of reporting that we did

8:13

in regime change was about the leadup to

8:15

the Iran war. And it was not there there

8:17

were there were things that happened

8:19

that you know I'm sure will be either

8:20

unearthed or could fill out a fuller

8:22

picture, but we were really just focused

8:24

on a few discreet meetings and

8:26

conversations. And these were situation

8:27

room meetings. One of which included I I

8:30

have to say that I went and I tried to

8:31

find some other example that was an

8:33

analog and I couldn't of a foreign

8:35

leader coming to the situation room to

8:37

have a very sensitive intelligence

8:38

conversation with the US president. And

8:40

so Netanyahu comes on February 11th and

8:43

Netanyahu paints this pretty compelling

8:46

to Trump's ears story about why now is

8:48

ripe for regime change. And Trump is

8:52

always very receptive to you could be

8:53

the person to do XYZ. And so Trump says

8:55

some version of sounds good to me. his

8:58

own CIA director, his own secretary of

9:00

state the next day, they have run these

9:02

scenarios. They say some of what

9:03

Netanyahu is proposing and in what the

9:05

Israelis would call their decapitation

9:07

scenario of take out certain leadership

9:09

and then some of it could be done. They

9:11

could degrade the ballistics missile

9:12

program at Iran for instance, but that

9:14

the regime change scenarios that

9:16

Netanyahu had presented, including a

9:18

video of like who could take over and

9:21

most of the Americans found it to be

9:23

silly. John Radcliffe, the CIA director,

9:25

called it farsle. Marco Rubio was much

9:28

more explicit says bull in other words

9:29

it's and Trump said regime

9:32

change will be their problem. It wasn't

9:33

quite clear whether he meant Iran or

9:35

Israel but he still thought it was worth

9:37

a try to accomplish the other

9:39

objectives. So

9:42

that yes was definitely Netanyahu making

9:45

a case. But number one, Netanyahu in our

9:48

reporting in 2024 has this meeting with

9:52

Trump to essentially go kiss the ring

9:53

and make nice after a break in their

9:56

relationship.

9:57

And Trump says to him privately, I'm

10:00

going to be much more aggressive on Iran

10:01

this time. This is right after Butler.

10:03

Uh remember that as you said he was

10:06

Trump was doing things against the

10:08

objections of his own advisers on the

10:09

nuclear deal. Certainly the Obama

10:11

nuclear deal. Taking out General

10:12

Sulammani at the beginning of 2020 was

10:14

also against what some of his advisers

10:17

wanted. Um it is part of what has made

10:19

him such a target for Iran. Um but he is

10:23

more hawkish on Iran than he is about

10:26

other parts of the Middle East to a

10:28

degree that has always surprised some of

10:29

his own aids and that his current aids

10:32

have really misread. I would say um you

10:35

know they will continue to insist that

10:37

he doesn't he doesn't like Netanyahu, he

10:38

doesn't like this, he doesn't like that

10:40

and he definitely says different things

10:41

to different people depending on who

10:43

he's talking to but it's always been

10:45

pretty clear that he has a firm view

10:47

here and Trump believed Iran was a paper

10:50

tiger after the 12-day war of last year

10:52

cuz their response was pretty tepid to

10:54

the strikes that the US engaged in. It

10:57

was sort of some choreographed strikes

10:59

toward allies. Okay, US allies. uh Trump

11:03

believed that was going to be the extent

11:04

of it. It it was just a massive

11:06

miscalculation on his part and a and and

11:08

a lack of understanding what was

11:10

happening. And he was also fresh off of

11:13

this Venezuela

11:14

effort to capture Maduro earlier this

11:16

year. That also made him believe we can

11:18

do these things. I'm not saying that's a

11:20

rational belief. I am saying that was

11:21

his belief and he believes things will

11:23

work out for him always. And he said

11:25

that to Tucker Carlson which was in the

11:26

book as well. It it gets to something

11:29

that I think comes through in the book

11:30

and I think about a lot from our

11:32

coverage from the first year even just

11:33

on this show.

11:35

>> There's really in my view no Trumpism

11:38

there's only Trump.

11:39

>> Correct.

11:39

>> Which is to say that the amount of

11:41

energy that gets wasted chasing down

11:46

purported doctrines um the Mara Lago

11:49

accords that were getting floated at one

11:50

point to do a massive you know currency

11:53

rebalancing all across the world. the

11:55

Donro doctrine, right? We'd be focusing

11:57

on the Western Hemisphere. We wouldn't

11:59

be entangled in all this

12:00

>> war and conflict in the Middle East.

12:04

>> Trump just weaves in and out of

12:07

theories. I mean, there are things he

12:08

holds to, right? He is hawkish on

12:10

immigration, has been for a very long

12:11

time. That is sustained. He has his

12:13

views on trade, but even trade, right?

12:16

The objectives have flitted back and

12:19

forth on that. And everybody who says,

12:23

"I know what MAGA is. I know what

12:26

Trumpism is." Right? If it is anything,

12:28

as you know, JD Vance would put it, it's

12:30

no new wars, they end up wrong because

12:34

Trump is right. I think he it's possibly

12:35

you he said it to.

12:36

>> Michael Sher at the Atlantic. He said it

12:38

to.

12:39

>> He's the one who decides

12:40

>> right

12:40

>> what it is.

12:41

>> Ma is whatever I say it is is what he

12:43

said. Now I think that's true. Now I

12:46

guess that I I I have a slightly

12:47

different take on it though. generally

12:49

agree with you that trying to pin him to

12:52

some ideology is just an absolute fool's

12:54

errand and has always been a fool's

12:56

errand. He does have these idlike

12:57

impulses that he is very interested in,

13:00

but it doesn't mean they can't be

13:00

supplimated if the occasion calls for

13:03

it. I think MAGA is is a movement. I do

13:06

I don't think MAGA is the entire

13:07

Republican party. I think MACA is a

13:09

movement within the Rep Republican party

13:11

and the coalition that exists around

13:14

Trump in that framework has always been

13:16

very uncomfortable and strange because

13:18

he will say different things to

13:19

different parts of it and I think that

13:21

they would only be willing to ignore the

13:23

parts that don't match their own view

13:25

for him. I cannot think of another

13:27

figure who can unite these different

13:30

facets of this movement. But I do think

13:34

that this movement is is sinking. Not

13:37

just I shouldn't say sinking. I think

13:38

that it's it's having fissures not just

13:40

because of Iran and Israel. It started

13:42

with Epstein last year. We get into that

13:45

extensively in the book. Um right after

13:48

the 12-day war is when the Epstein

13:51

crisis, and I'm calling it a crisis,

13:53

what it actually is is a

13:54

multi-administration failure to deal

13:57

with a pedophile. Um who people of both

14:01

parties found entertaining or useful or

14:04

whatever. Um, but it was the MAGA

14:07

movement leaders who had been talking

14:09

about a need for transparency over many

14:11

years leading up to Trump's election in

14:14

2024. And they then get caught up in

14:17

that because Trump wants nothing to do

14:18

with this. He doesn't want anything

14:19

released. Uh, so it becomes a crisis

14:22

because there is growing anger by

14:24

Trump's own base about what's happening.

14:26

There's growing anger by victims about

14:28

why have these files not been released?

14:30

Why is nothing being looked at? So you

14:32

end up in this remarkable series, and we

14:34

write about these in the book, these

14:35

situation room meetings, the same place

14:38

where Trump decided to take the country

14:39

to war in Iran was what they were using

14:41

for crisis comms on how do we get

14:43

ourselves out of this mess. But if you

14:45

want to track a moment that Trump

14:46

started losing his own base, it was

14:49

then.

14:49

>> But did he lose his B? I mean, I had

14:51

people I've had people on the right on

14:53

to talk about Trumpism cracking up and

14:54

him losing his base.

14:56

>> And then, you know, you look at the

14:57

polls and the base is almost entirely

14:59

with him. He's able to intervene in any

15:01

primary he wants. He

15:04

>> has not actually seemed to lose

15:06

influence in this way. Tucker Carlson

15:07

kind of breaking with him at least on

15:09

some issues. These things really

15:11

happened.

15:12

>> And yet his influence with Republicans

15:15

seems pretty undim. The people who

15:16

challenged him like Massie, like

15:18

Marjorie Taylor Green,

15:20

>> they lost. They lost. They're gone.

15:21

>> They're gone. There is I think two

15:23

things can exist at once, though. A

15:25

there was polling last year showing that

15:26

even with his own base private mostly

15:30

private polling his numbers were ticking

15:32

down. Now there is no question that

15:34

people who have opposed him because the

15:36

Republican base is so Trump dependent

15:39

will find themselves out of a job. That

15:41

is absolutely true. At the same time, I

15:44

never thought that I would see enough

15:45

Republicans cross over and vote for the

15:48

Epstein Transparency Act when Donald

15:50

Trump was openly telling them, "Don't do

15:52

this." It's the only time I can think

15:54

of, Ezra, where he would say, "Believe

15:56

me, not what you're hearing over there."

15:59

And there were people who didn't,

16:00

including in his own base. Now, what

16:02

they what their voter preference ends up

16:04

being in the midterms or in a primary,

16:07

it doesn't necessarily correlate to

16:09

that. And I realize it sounds like I'm

16:11

saying two things that are

16:12

contradictory. Um I think these are two

16:14

facts that exist at the same time.

16:16

>> A very real thread of the book is this

16:19

what does Trump know anymore and when or

16:22

how does he know it? I mean, you have

16:24

this I wasn't really familiar with

16:25

Natalie Harp before uh you I I I read

16:28

the book, but this person who kind of

16:30

follows him around, gives some printouts

16:31

of adoring fan mail and positive news

16:35

stories from right-wing media,

16:36

>> but you know, he's on True Social. He's

16:39

not really on other platforms.

16:41

>> He clearly has some contact, you know,

16:43

with people like Carlson and and others

16:46

and, you know, so he gets some

16:47

information. But how would you describe

16:49

the difference in Trump's second term

16:51

from his first in terms of what he knows

16:55

of the world outside the White House?

16:57

>> You know, I can't stress enough how

16:59

radically different Trump 2.0 is from

17:02

term [clears throat] one. So, this

17:04

government is run basically by a half

17:06

dozen people who are in the room with

17:09

him. And if you are a senior official in

17:12

this government somewhere else, major

17:14

decisions can get made. And if you're

17:16

not in the room, like you literally have

17:18

no idea. The inter agency process in

17:20

particular at the National Security

17:22

Council just really doesn't exist the

17:24

way it used to. And that was often how

17:26

other agencies would be brought in.

17:28

That's just not happening now. The

17:30

comm's process is not quite what it was.

17:33

It was now it's just sort of pure

17:34

trolling. Um and he gets his information

17:38

as you said from Truth Social. It used

17:39

to be that he would get on what was

17:41

known as Twitter and he when he was

17:42

president last time and he would look at

17:44

the replies and he would look at the

17:46

trending topics. Uh he would talk to

17:48

more people. He does watch other cable

17:51

channels besides Fox. Um we we learned

17:55

recently that he watches um Ms. Now a

17:57

lot on the weekends. We Jonathan and I

17:59

learned that as after he appeared to

18:01

have watched one of our appearances

18:03

talking about the book. Um, so it's a

18:05

little more variegated than it seems,

18:08

but most of the information is coming

18:10

from

18:12

Natalie Harp, who's known as the human

18:13

printer, from people who know that he

18:16

wants a constant supply of positive

18:18

reinforcement, and his aids are afraid

18:20

of giving him bad news. And I just want

18:21

to make one other point, Fox is so much

18:23

less critical of him this term than they

18:25

were last term. Um, even on the the news

18:28

shows, it is all

18:31

pretty positive and especially about the

18:34

war. They are like the last in anything

18:36

that would be considered the MAGA media

18:39

ecosystem that is really championing

18:41

this war.

18:41

>> We stop the fighting in the ceasefire in

18:43

the 20 yard line. We take it into the

18:45

end zone.

18:45

>> Once you start this, there needs to be a

18:47

finish. And the only finish is complete

18:50

surrender by the Iranians. I hate to say

18:52

it, but complete annihilation. The

18:54

reason this president will go down in

18:57

history for a thousand years, the reason

19:00

the prime minister of Israel will go

19:02

down in history for a thousand years is

19:04

because they saw the danger and they

19:07

stood up to the danger and they're

19:08

fighting the danger.

19:10

>> So, how much do you think the decisions

19:14

being made reflect an altered

19:18

informationational environment for him?

19:20

>> Well, it's a it's a great question that

19:22

I don't think that we have the full

19:23

answer to. I mean, one question that

19:24

keeps coming up is does he understand

19:28

how depleted the US um munitions are

19:32

from this war? Now, that's not an

19:34

unknowable thing for his own Pentagon

19:36

leaders, but I don't know how much

19:38

they're telling him. Uh we have a scene

19:41

in the book where his advisers, his

19:44

economic adviserss, particularly Howard

19:46

Lutneck are trying to uh uh commerce

19:49

secretary are talking about numbers

19:51

about uh economic numbers and Trump this

19:54

is ahead of the trade war liberation day

19:56

last year and Trump says those are those

19:58

numbers are Natalie get me the

20:00

real numbers and so she's googling to

20:02

find these numbers. Um there was push

20:05

back in this meeting but his willingness

20:07

to operate on his own gut and on what he

20:09

thinks is reality I would say is much

20:12

sharper um this term.

20:14

>> There there's something also tucked in

20:15

there which is you describe his meetings

20:19

as having this borderless quality

20:22

>> that people are flowing in and out of

20:25

the White House. It's not necessarily.

20:28

I'm sure it is sometimes, but you know,

20:30

from 10:15 to 10:45, we're meeting with

20:32

the joint chiefs. From 10, you know,

20:33

that ends, they all leave 10:45.

20:36

>> So, can you talk just a bit about that

20:38

kind of that free flowing nature because

20:41

I think the way he ends up getting

20:43

information, making decisions actually

20:44

reflects that, the slightly random

20:48

assemblage of people who might be around

20:50

on a certain issue at a certain time.

20:52

>> There's no question about that. But it's

20:53

also um yes that is by his design. Uh

20:57

this White House group of staffers uh is

21:00

much more willing to work with that as

21:01

his preferred state than term one. You

21:04

had Ryan Priebus come in as the first

21:06

White House chief of staff in 2017. He

21:08

kept trying to put things on Trump's

21:10

schedule. First it was we're going to

21:11

schedule early meetings to try to get

21:13

him to stop tweeting in the morning.

21:15

Then the meeting started sliding back

21:16

and that wasn't working. They tried

21:18

monitoring his phone calls. That didn't

21:19

work either. Um this has always been a

21:22

facet of Trump is just there's a big

21:25

long kind of day and sometimes he has

21:26

all the time in the world but there is

21:29

no sort of this person cannot come in

21:32

there might be certain moments like that

21:34

or specific meetings but in general he

21:37

does have an open door policy everything

21:38

becomes this rolling ball session and so

21:41

I'll give you another for instance in

21:42

the book Laura Loomer comes into this

21:43

meeting in in April um I think it was

21:46

liberation day actually and she hands

21:48

him this list of and she had negotiated

21:50

this meeting with him directly um of of

21:54

uh national security staffers who who

21:56

she believed were being disloyal to him

21:58

and that should be fired and he's

22:00

listening and you know he acts on it but

22:02

in the middle of that meeting um

22:04

Congressman Scott Perry comes in to join

22:06

with his own list of things that he has

22:08

an issue with and Trump just has them

22:09

there and so yes the focus is whatever

22:12

is in front of him

22:13

>> and he just barks in order at some aid

22:14

and they go off and do it

22:15

>> yes it's just get it done I want it fast

22:17

fine what'sever in front of his

22:19

Uh you are correct that it does have to

22:21

do with the attent the the information

22:22

he's getting but trying to stop that is

22:25

also useless because many have tried.

22:27

>> This maybe goes back to the the question

22:30

I was circling at the beginning and and

22:32

maybe out of steam is not the right way

22:33

to put it. But I always wonder with him

22:38

and particularly around reporting like

22:39

this what picture he has of the way

22:43

things are going

22:45

because you know from where I sit his

22:48

trade war has been a disaster. It is

22:50

wildly unpopular. It has been shredded

22:52

by the Supreme Court. Has made people

22:54

very angry at him and it has

22:55

accomplished nothing. We're not seeing a

22:57

huge resurgence in manufacturing jobs.

22:59

China's not weaker now. I think the

23:01

broad and correct view is China's in a

23:03

much stronger position today than when

23:05

Trump stepped back into the White House.

23:07

So sort of everything they promised on

23:09

the trade war has not happened and the

23:11

politics of it have been bad. Doge

23:14

completely collapsed after a couple

23:16

months. It did terrible damage. It did

23:18

terrible damage. USAD is gutted and

23:20

gone. People have died,

23:22

>> but

23:23

>> it did not then cohhere into what many I

23:27

think people thought you might get,

23:28

which is like a Doge 2.0 where you know

23:30

Russ vote and others like actually

23:32

create something institutionalized.

23:35

>> He's not popular. The Iran war I think

23:37

is not going well.

23:40

>> They [snorts] have no legislative agenda

23:42

that I can tell.

23:42

>> No.

23:43

>> They don't have a affordability agenda

23:46

that makes any sense. But if you're him

23:48

and you got somebody following you

23:50

around all day telling you you're

23:51

wonderful,

23:52

>> right?

23:52

>> You think the media that is mad at you

23:55

just has Trump derangement syndrome.

23:57

you're getting presented with uh peace

24:00

awards by the head of FIFA.

24:03

>> Different CEOs are coming in and

24:05

constantly kissing your ass and telling

24:07

you how great you are.

24:10

>> Maybe you don't buy any of it. You have

24:12

defied the polls many times.

24:14

>> You you just hit on what it is. You've

24:16

you're suddenly we've left out one piece

24:18

that we haven't discussed at all that I

24:21

think we will all be talking about after

24:22

the midterms a lot, which is the

24:24

incredible

24:25

massive self-deing. uh you are richer if

24:28

you are Donald Trump and you spent your

24:30

whole life talking about wealth and

24:33

measuring success through wealth uh and

24:36

you are now wealthier liquidwise assets

24:40

than you have ever been from an industry

24:42

that you regulate from a company that

24:44

was created during your campaign that

24:46

your sons are running with the sons of

24:49

your special envoy. Um

24:53

it's a sentence that it's really was

24:55

would have been unimaginable not that

24:57

long ago. Um and you're you're doing it

25:00

in Republicans in Congress say nothing

25:02

and the Senate say almost nothing and

25:06

voters have only started to care about

25:08

some of it in polling I'm seeing and I

25:10

honestly think the main reason is less

25:12

the money made although I do think that

25:13

that is a factor. It's that they can see

25:16

visual signs with all of the monuments

25:19

and all of the, you know, bla literally

25:24

blasting through uh longstanding

25:27

um buildings or structures like the east

25:29

wing, planning to build an arch, um

25:34

putting down drapes so people can't see

25:36

your construction projects and so forth.

25:38

Symbols are a lot easier for v voters to

25:40

understand. Um, and voters tend to think

25:43

all politicians are corrupt, but this is

25:45

different than anything we have ever

25:47

seen in the US system. But if you're

25:49

him, you have been this kind of walking

25:51

moral hazard. Your company almost sank

25:55

in 1991.

25:58

And I think people don't understand

26:01

how close to ruin he was when his

26:04

casinos were uh [snorts] overleveraged.

26:06

It was across his properties. It wasn't

26:08

just there. You come back through a

26:10

variety of reasons, but partly because

26:12

the banks decided it was worth staying

26:14

with you and your father helped you. You

26:17

become a reality TV star. You win the

26:20

presidency after never having run for

26:22

city council before. You are indicted

26:25

four times. Your opponents keep doing

26:28

things that are pretty selfharmful. Uh

26:31

Joe Biden has a pretty non-spectacular

26:35

last two years at minimum of his term.

26:38

uh you are shot at, you survive. You

26:41

have take on this mystical quality with

26:43

your f not just your followers but with

26:45

your adviserss who refer to him or then

26:48

anyway would refer to him as the chosen

26:50

one. Um only semi- joking in some cases

26:54

and you believe everything works out for

26:55

you which is literally what he said to

26:58

Tucker Carlson. You know why the Iran

27:00

war is going to work out? Things are

27:01

going to work out because they always

27:02

do. And so you believe that your reality

27:07

is better than what experts have been

27:09

telling you. He thinks the economy is

27:11

boring. He literally will tell advisers

27:13

he finds this boring to talk about. He

27:15

wants to talk about immigrants, you

27:17

know, committing rapes or murdering

27:20

people or committing crimes. Um, and

27:22

he's going to do what he wants to do.

27:24

And he is, look, he obviously doesn't

27:26

want to be impeached again. But when you

27:28

have to say again unimpeached, it

27:30

stuff's mattering as much sort of I

27:31

think to some extent in his head. It's

27:33

also not even the first again.

27:34

>> Well, that's exactly correct. It would

27:36

be again three. Um, and so again, well,

27:38

again, two, I guess. Um, he's already

27:41

told people that he's going to pardon

27:43

everyone who walks in. You know, we

27:45

write about this in the book, who's come

27:46

within a certain radius of the Oval

27:47

Office, and he has an immunity ruling

27:49

from the Supreme Court that it's

27:51

[snorts] still not entirely clear what

27:52

would qualify as a presidential act

27:54

where he has no criminal uh exposure,

27:57

but I suspect it would be most of them

27:59

if it was pressed. So if you were him,

28:02

yes, it this moment could be very bad

28:04

for other Republicans, but he's not that

28:06

worried for himself.

28:07

>> Let me ask you about the corruption

28:08

dimension of this. So when you talk to

28:12

Republicans off the record,

28:15

often they will admit they know that we

28:19

are dealing with a level of corruption

28:21

that is majestic in its grandeur

28:24

>> that is like nothing we've really seen

28:25

before. It's not it's not even a

28:27

debatable point when you

28:28

>> not debatable point.

28:31

>> One thing I hear people say all the time

28:33

um in the media elsewhere just voters,

28:36

Democrats, is any one of these stories

28:40

would have consumed Washington at

28:42

another time.

28:43

>> Mhm.

28:44

>> Would have sunk another presidency.

28:46

>> You think of, you know, travel gate and

28:49

pig futures in the Clinton

28:52

administration. You think of the, you

28:54

know, the Trump um cabinet member who

28:57

had to resign. I think it was Andy

28:58

Price.

28:59

>> Yeah. Tom Price, I think.

29:00

>> Tom Price for what was it? Taken charter

29:02

jets.

29:02

>> He was using jets. Yes. And we we have

29:04

referenced that in the book actually.

29:05

Yeah. Yeah.

29:07

>> Why is it

29:09

that stories that would have consumed

29:12

Washington even would have been a

29:13

problem for, you know, members of the

29:15

Trump administration another time seem

29:17

to slide off of him. Right? There's

29:19

great reporting being done at the New

29:20

York Times, at the New Yorker, at other

29:22

places. You know, we know a lot, right?

29:24

>> We have numbers now that we didn't used

29:26

to have.

29:28

>> But why has he been able to flood the

29:33

zone on corruption and then escape the

29:38

consequences it would have attached to

29:41

another administration?

29:43

>> Well, there I would break that down a

29:44

little bit. So what you're describing in

29:47

terms of consequences from what you just

29:49

ticked through was primarily the

29:51

consequences of a news cycle, the

29:53

consequences of public information. And

29:56

number one, I think that at this point,

29:57

if you are a journalist and you get into

30:01

journalism

30:03

in the hopes that or the or I shouldn't

30:05

say hopes, in the expectation that what

30:07

you write is going to force an outcome

30:10

and that that is your that is your end,

30:12

you're going to be disappointed very

30:13

very often because it is a totally

30:16

different media landscape because there

30:18

this choose your own adventure

30:20

partisanship really actually allows

30:23

people to just hear what they want to

30:24

hear. Number one. Number two, um, you

30:27

know, we don't have we don't have

30:28

subpoena powers, right? We can only

30:30

write up to what we know. In the past,

30:32

investigations would have been done by

30:35

the inspector's general. He's fired

30:37

inspectors general at the start of his

30:38

term. They would have been done by

30:40

Congress on a bipartisan level uh basis.

30:44

Everything is tribal now, like beyond

30:46

anything we have seen in the past. It

30:47

was pretty bad before in terms of

30:49

partisanship. Um

30:51

uh the House GOP acts like an arm of the

30:53

the Trump administration.

30:55

The Republican House members uh and some

30:58

senators, they still look at him as a

31:00

celebrity. Yes, there is obviously a

31:01

fear factor. He has shown he is willing

31:03

to destroy their careers and really

31:06

humiliate them.

31:08

But the way that they grown men, you

31:10

know, he'll take chocolate bars out of

31:12

the what they call the chum closet that

31:14

has the presidential merch or whatever.

31:16

Um and he'll like throw them. them. It's

31:19

like Hershey bars. And these are house

31:21

members who are like, "Ooh, me." They,

31:22

you know, they love being on Air Force

31:24

One with him. And

31:26

>> the House member gushing that he knew

31:28

his first name.

31:29

>> Yes. Correct. It's this celebrity is

31:32

talking to me. Not this president. This

31:34

celebrity. I watched The Apprentice. I

31:36

knew Donald Trump. So that's one reason

31:39

why. The other is he has been

31:41

investigated since almost the second he

31:43

stepped actually literally the second he

31:45

stepped into office in 2017. So I think

31:48

there is a flattening effect with the

31:50

public in terms of their expectation.

31:53

At a certain point it all becomes one,

31:56

you know, Trump would smear it that way.

31:57

Witch hunt. Explaining to people that

31:59

there is new information is I think a

32:01

challenge for journalists across the

32:03

board. All of that are in his favor.

32:06

There is not one single reason why. And

32:08

I don't think there will ever be another

32:09

politician who will have this same

32:12

experience as he does, but we'll see.

32:13

>> Do you think that changes if Democrats

32:15

get subpoena power?

32:17

Uh, no I don't because I think that if

32:21

you are Donald Trump and you can pardon

32:23

everyone around you and you can instruct

32:26

your entire government not to respond to

32:28

subpoenas with anything timely and only

32:30

do it once the final stop in a court

32:33

challenge makes you I mean look Trump's

32:36

whole thing is waiting people out and we

32:38

have seen this over and over and over

32:42

again. So there are um a number of

32:45

members of his government and I talked

32:47

about how radicalized they all are who

32:48

do believe that they are going to be not

32:50

just subpoenaed but prosecuted. And I'm

32:53

not just talking about when the house

32:54

flips. I'm talking about under a

32:56

Democratic presidency.

32:58

They genuinely believe and I'm not

33:00

endorsing this view. I'm just saying

33:01

this is their perspective. um you know

33:04

we are going to be indicted by um you

33:08

know an an an illegitimate hunter of the

33:10

Democrats at some point they are going

33:12

to come after us when we are out of

33:14

power you know so we are going to do

33:16

everything we can that is entirely the

33:19

mindset they have the same hunted

33:21

mentality that he does um I don't think

33:24

it's I just think that people who think

33:26

that the house is going to flip and this

33:28

is going to look like it did in 2019

33:30

I'm struggling to see that I I could be

33:33

wrong, but what happens when they issue

33:36

contempt of Congress subpoenas and they

33:37

send [snorts] them to Attorney General

33:38

Todd Blanch? Does he rush to start an

33:41

investigation? Like, I I just don't know

33:43

what this looks like. Um, but I don't

33:46

see it looking like anything we've seen

33:48

before. A Democratic strategist said to

33:50

me in 2016, right after Trump won, that

33:52

the entire country was about to finally

33:54

understand how much of our system is

33:56

norms and not laws.

33:57

>> And fundamentally, I still come back to

33:59

that every time. If you have somebody

34:00

who is willing to violate every norm by

34:05

I mean I'm really every norm. I don't

34:07

think I can think of one that he I'm

34:08

sure there's something but it's hard not

34:11

it's hard to go down the list and find

34:13

something that is still firmly in place.

34:15

We have a president who cheered when

34:18

Robert Mueller died. Um he he cheered

34:21

when Rob Reiner was killed by his own

34:24

son according to prosecutors. um he is

34:27

making a ton of money and they're almost

34:30

they're very blasze about it. Um you

34:33

know they will say this is there's no

34:35

corruption here as they continue doing

34:36

what they're doing. They're about to

34:37

start trying to monetize his truth

34:39

social posts for advanced notice. It's a

34:41

it's a recipe. Can you talk through that

34:43

for a minute cuz that that the truth

34:44

social uh the

34:48

>> I know [clears throat] it's like it's

34:49

hard to describe because I remember

34:50

>> trying to monetize they're trying to

34:51

monetize um rapid trading

34:55

>> correct

34:55

>> on True Social, but but can you explain

34:57

how

34:57

>> Yes. What they're trying to do is sell

35:00

for very very high dollar amounts. I

35:02

think it's like $100,000

35:05

>> advanced notification of Trump's truth

35:09

posts because they can move markets and

35:12

do move markets.

35:14

It seems

35:16

ripe for even if even if it's not

35:18

violating a law for Trump because

35:20

presidents are actually not held to the

35:22

same ethical standards and laws um uh

35:26

and regulations as their staff. I mean,

35:29

how does this not become something else?

35:32

So anyway,

35:33

>> well, it it goes to something I think in

35:35

what you were just talking about, which

35:36

is I think the deep answer to the

35:40

question we were just discussing is

35:41

Republicans.

35:43

>> It's it's the it's the fundamental

35:44

answer

35:45

>> on some level, right? Like in other

35:48

administrations,

35:50

>> even your co-partisans on something like

35:52

this would say no. Now, arguably

35:54

Republicans did that a bit on the IRS

35:56

slushf fund.

35:57

>> It was I mean that was so brazen that it

36:00

was a little hard um not to have

36:03

problems with it. And I actually I don't

36:05

even remember if had the judge already

36:07

raised questions about that once they

36:09

did. Did that give them cover? I don't

36:11

even remember. But but yes, I mean this

36:13

was this was you're taking taxpayer

36:16

money and doing this. It's the taxpayer

36:18

money. a lot of how not just

36:20

accountability but investigation worked

36:22

in Washington

36:24

>> was it I mean either the other side was

36:26

in power so they were able to structure

36:28

investigation and that the agencies are

36:31

run more professionally the department

36:32

of justice run more independently and so

36:34

they responded to investigation and

36:36

responded to subpoenas

36:38

>> and that creates a

36:41

>> structure of and a sequencing of

36:43

information coming out and you know

36:45

possible consequences and people being

36:47

hauled before Congress and Each one is a

36:48

new news story

36:49

>> and that's how you get the connection of

36:52

like a congressional

36:54

>> operation and like media coverage that

36:56

people understand is a scandal.

36:58

>> Yes. Well, that is true. I mean,

36:59

>> that's how it works. And right,

37:01

Republicans just are not going to do

37:04

that.

37:05

>> No, they're not. Um, you know, the

37:07

closest that they have come would have

37:10

been, and I am really stretching the

37:12

word closest here, so just roll with me

37:16

for a second. But before you say this is

37:17

absolutely not at all parallel, cuz I'm

37:19

not saying it is, but the closest would

37:21

have been

37:23

some of what they were doing around

37:25

Epstein, but of course that took a

37:26

detour to the Clintons and all kinds of

37:28

other stuff. Um, and by that I just mean

37:30

James Comr's committee initially, uh,

37:32

which was filing a subpoena to Pam Bondi

37:35

that the administration [clears throat]

37:36

was not happy with. And then they slow

37:38

rolled that. But no, there's no there's

37:40

no analog. I mean, if you look back at

37:41

the last real effort that attempted to

37:45

be moderately bipartisan, it would have

37:48

been the J6 committee and uh the select

37:50

committee that was investigating what

37:52

happened uh in the leadup to the January

37:55

6th riot at the capital and Trump's

37:57

efforts to overturn the election. But

37:59

even that devolved into partisan

38:01

politics and so there you have it.

38:03

>> It was striking to me how small of a

38:05

role Congress played in this book.

38:08

Uh, well, there's a couple of reasons.

38:11

It's a good it's a it's a it's a point,

38:14

but the reality is that Congress plays a

38:16

supplicant role. We did talk about that.

38:18

We talked about Mike Johnson's role with

38:20

Trump and how incredibly unusual it is

38:22

historically. There's just there has not

38:23

been a relationship like this between a

38:25

house speaker and a president that I can

38:27

think of where it's literally give me my

38:29

marching orders this way. That is not

38:30

about policy. It's about just whatever

38:33

you want it to be. But the reality is

38:35

there is no legislative agenda. As you

38:36

said, there was the one big beautiful

38:38

bill and we did talk about that and we

38:39

do get into what went into that, but

38:43

this administration knew that it was

38:45

never going to be able to do much

38:46

legislatively.

38:48

Um, but this again goes to me to to this

38:51

question of what is actually being built

38:55

here versus what is just kind of

38:58

>> collapsing or being like left alone

39:00

>> on even a lot of these issues. Okay, so

39:02

the big beautiful bill did pass. It's a

39:04

big change and you know as the actual

39:07

changes to Medicaid and food stamps and

39:09

other things were a lot of things that

39:10

have a lot of

39:11

>> um political upheaval around that.

39:13

>> Yes. And there will be more focus and

39:15

there will be more coverage and

39:16

interest. I agree with that.

39:17

>> Look, their trade agenda got gutted.

39:20

>> They could have gone to Republicans in

39:22

Congress to get more power on tariffs.

39:25

They chose not to do that. Would

39:27

Republicans Congress keep them from ever

39:29

changing the filibuster?

39:30

>> I don't know. like they've been kind of

39:32

tough on that but they've also like

39:34

nicked it around the edges a little

39:36

>> a little

39:36

>> immigration um they have done a

39:38

tremendous amount immigration I think of

39:40

everything you can look at they have

39:41

done the most on immigration

39:42

>> correct

39:43

>> what they have not done is change the

39:44

laws

39:45

>> well because that takes time I mean this

39:48

isn't complicated this is

39:49

>> but it also means that another

39:50

administration can

39:51

>> I understand that but they also assume

39:53

that's going to happen regardless I mean

39:54

I think that just to try to explain the

39:56

mindset here

39:58

>> um the person who spent the most time

40:00

and I'm glad you brought up immigration.

40:01

The person who has spent the most time

40:03

thinking about a Trump 2.0 know and not

40:05

just from the perspective of of

40:06

immigration but obviously that's his

40:08

driving issue and defining issue is

40:10

Steven Miller and he spent four years

40:13

focused on

40:15

not just what he wanted to do

40:17

differently this time to be more of I

40:19

mean you know the initial Muslim ban was

40:22

a disaster um and a court challenged

40:25

disaster and it was poorly written and

40:26

so forth in 2017 and it it created mass

40:30

chaos on flights and so forth. Steven

40:32

Miller spent four years looking at how

40:35

far the law could go on a number of

40:37

things. What was in the executive

40:38

branch's control, what could be claimed

40:40

as an executive branch power, which

40:42

they've done a lot. And they've gotten

40:43

caught in courts on this, as you know,

40:45

and that's sort of part of what you're

40:47

saying, I think, is if you don't want to

40:49

have a big court fight, go work through

40:51

the actual process. They would rather

40:53

have a big court fight because if you go

40:55

through the process, it's going to move

40:57

slowly. and their gamble is that they

40:59

can win much of the time. Not every

41:01

time. The trade agenda was a calamity

41:04

for a variety of reasons, but it wasn't

41:07

just because they didn't go to Congress.

41:08

It was because the formula made no

41:09

goddamn sense.

41:10

>> But Doge is another example where Doge

41:12

is a great example.

41:12

>> To do what they wanted to do, you

41:13

actually need to do civil service

41:15

reform.

41:16

>> And they've done a little bit of that,

41:17

but it's not civil service reform.

41:20

Correct. Yes.

41:22

>> But that's not again who this actually

41:25

gets to a different problem. They don't

41:27

all there's no there isn't a they

41:29

actually they don't total they don't all

41:31

work in harmony even though they

41:34

collectively want the same thing which

41:35

is crush the left expand our power focus

41:39

on a a specific set of issues and we've

41:42

gone over many of them on this show but

41:44

Russ vote actually understands how

41:46

government works Elon Musk did not he

41:49

just came in and started punching

41:50

through walls um in some cases literally

41:54

you know physical aspects were impacted

41:57

by by how he handles things. That is

41:59

different also than how Steven Miller

42:01

wants to handle certain things. And so

42:03

that creates its own internal crash.

42:05

Then add Congress to that as a layer.

42:07

It's hard to see.

42:08

>> Has there been a shift in who holds

42:10

power in the court in the last year?

42:12

>> Yes, but it can change quite rapidly.

42:15

Marco Rubio had a lot of capital with

42:17

Trump um for a long time. I think still

42:20

does, but he is really not that involved

42:21

in the Iran issue. um he is

42:24

>> because Trump doesn't want him or

42:25

because he doesn't want to be near it.

42:27

>> I I think it's more the latter.

42:28

Honestly, I think that Trump would

42:30

welcome his um involvement more, but and

42:33

he may get more involved now, but uh we

42:36

you know, he's been talking about it a

42:37

little bit more, but uh I think that

42:40

Rubio, if you strapped him to a

42:41

polygraph, this is not where he wants

42:44

things to be. Um Susie Wilds is still

42:46

hugely influential. Steven Miller,

42:48

despite these stories about how he was

42:50

getting his wings clipped and whatever

42:52

after Renee Good and Alex Freddy were

42:54

killed in Minnesota, that was vastly

42:56

overstated. The showy displays of, you

42:59

know, repelling into a building in

43:01

Chicago from a Blackhawk, which I still

43:03

can't really believe happened last year,

43:06

but they have stopped the the great

43:09

displays of force. They are still using

43:11

force and it but it's not, you know,

43:14

these ice drives the same way. It's the

43:16

traffic stops. That's what the latest

43:18

shootings were about. Steven Miller has

43:20

taken down his arrest number for

43:22

undocumented immigrants from last year.

43:24

It was 3,000 a day last year. Now it's

43:26

2,000 a day. And he's back to pushing

43:28

people. And he's very, very aggressive

43:29

on these calls. So [snorts] Miller still

43:32

has power because Miller can also tell

43:34

Trump, I can get you what you want very

43:35

quickly. Which is also again why they

43:38

don't go to Congress. They want to act

43:39

unilaterally. Trump wants to act

43:41

unilaterally and he just wants to do

43:42

what he wants. Um, Hexath is still

43:45

actually pretty powerful with Trump.

43:46

Radcliffe is on certain issues. But the

43:48

person who is most powerful is Trump.

43:49

Period.

43:50

>> Hegath is powerful with Trump. Trump

43:52

listens to him.

43:53

>> He listens to him on certain issues.

43:55

Hegs has figured out how to have

43:57

conversations. Look, Hegsth, if there

44:00

was anyone who was in favor of Iran, it

44:01

was Hexath. Um, but I I don't think he

44:05

fully envisioned it going this way

44:06

either. Heath often shows up for these

44:08

briefings with Trump with Dan Kaine. he

44:11

has figured out how to handle these

44:14

discussions so that he is turning to

44:15

somebody who actually has better

44:16

tactical understanding. Uh but Trump

44:19

does listen to him and the former

44:20

general who

44:21

>> the former general who is now the

44:22

chairman of the joint chiefs of staff

44:23

but whose style is very different than

44:25

Trump's last choice for chairman of the

44:26

joint chiefs of staff which was Mark

44:28

Millie who would get into these sort of

44:29

grab Trump by the lapels arguments. He

44:31

did see his job as telling Trump which

44:33

way to go. Kaine has told people he

44:36

doesn't see that as his job. Um, Hexath

44:39

is a um a diehard Trumper, not MAGA

44:42

Trumper. And so that buys you a lot of

44:44

cash internally.

44:45

>> Yeah. So that that was my question with

44:46

him. Is he somebody who Trump enjoys as

44:48

a yes man or who Trump listens to for

44:50

strategic advice?

44:52

>> More the former than the latter, but the

44:55

strategic advice is also channeled

44:57

through these joint conversations with

44:59

HGsith. Um, but he does listen to him

45:02

and he likes him and, you know, he's

45:03

good on TV. He's tough. He he doesn't he

45:06

doesn't take crap, etc., etc. And he is

45:08

a devote.

45:09

>> What have the people uh in the inner

45:11

circle learned about how to brief Trump?

45:13

>> It's a good that's a good question.

45:15

>> This is it. It sits around the edge of a

45:17

lot of the stories in your book of

45:18

people bringing in poster boards, right?

45:20

>> Well, that's Phil Py. That's one person,

45:22

but yes, I understand.

45:23

>> But I've heard from other people around

45:24

the briefing books that they're very

45:26

visual.

45:26

>> Oh, totally.

45:27

>> Tell me what people have learned about

45:29

how you briefed Donald Trump.

45:31

>> He Trump is very visual, as you said.

45:33

Uh, and this was a a big facet of term

45:35

one, too. Now they all submit to it. I

45:37

think they resisted it, the government,

45:38

because it was so unusual to them in

45:41

term one, but he really doesn't like

45:43

long briefing books. Um, he doesn't

45:46

really read them. He wants to be shown

45:48

how things look. That is how he absorbs

45:50

them. This is people describe him,

45:53

they'll say he's a TV guy, and they tend

45:54

to think of it as him on the set of The

45:57

Apprentice, but it's actually really how

45:58

he absorbs the world is through TV. and

46:00

so he likes to see how things look. Just

46:04

having a dry recitation of facts and

46:07

discussions with him doesn't work very

46:09

well. But even when it was visuals in

46:13

term one, the quality of the information

46:15

was fairly reliable. There's a much

46:18

bigger fight now about the quality of

46:19

the information.

46:21

whether you include a like essentially

46:24

raw intelligence, whether you tell him

46:26

reports that are unverified, whether it

46:29

is just a different type of discussion.

46:31

>> The amount that he relies on

46:34

a sense of how things are either playing

46:36

visually, right? There are moments in

46:38

the book where and that I've heard about

46:40

too where he sees what it's looking like

46:43

when the Israelis are doing something

46:45

now. wants to be involved. Or the flip,

46:47

right, where he is being shown possible

46:50

cabinet appointees and they give him

46:53

little

46:55

montages of them on cable news.

46:58

>> There is something very deep about

47:00

Trump's he doesn't just apprehend the

47:03

world visually. He is a somewhat a

47:06

master of creating visuals for the

47:08

world.

47:08

>> 100%. Yes. He you know Hegsth uh is one

47:12

of many people he sort of cast into his

47:14

administration.

47:16

>> He was an innovator in this. I mean I

47:19

think you have to see Mdani as having

47:21

like a different version of this a kind

47:23

of visual mastery of the world. I just

47:25

had Morris Cats on the show. They very

47:26

much

47:27

>> found Graham Platner and cast him in a

47:29

very particular position. But again,

47:32

this operates on the the the edges of

47:34

the book, but I'd be curious to hear you

47:35

bring it to the the center of the stage,

47:37

which is

47:38

>> what has it meant

47:41

to have this uh administration that both

47:45

makes internal decisions through

47:47

spectacle?

47:48

>> Mhm.

47:48

>> And then communicates

47:50

through spectacle that that judges

47:53

visually and acts visually.

47:55

>> It becomes a self-reinforcing feedback

47:57

loop sometimes, right? Right. I mean, so

47:58

when you were talking about Hexath, we

48:00

have a bit in the book about how he, you

48:03

know, he got very into these these

48:05

videos of the boat strikes and um they

48:08

would be privately described as Hegsth's

48:11

um snuff films, but you know, he would

48:14

he would he would want to have some sent

48:16

to Trump because he knew Trump would

48:18

want to see them. Um,

48:21

Trump is a

48:24

master of the attention economy, which

48:27

is what I was thinking about when you

48:28

were talking about Mom Donnie. I think

48:30

that that is part of the attention

48:32

economy is creating a visual and is

48:34

getting something that will grab people.

48:36

Mom Donnie was exceptionally good at

48:38

that in his campaign. Um, and still is

48:41

honestly. I mean, when I look at his

48:42

social media, just as mayor, it is

48:44

actually quite striking how much of it

48:45

still comes into my feed. even if I'm

48:47

not looking for it, even if I'm not

48:49

looking at his thing. Um, but it becomes

48:51

a way to tell yourself that your view of

48:53

reality is what's happening. So, for

48:55

instance, um, we have a scene in the

48:58

book where Steven Miller comes into, it

49:01

was really an important moment. He comes

49:02

into the Oval Office and he's got these

49:04

pictures of this kid from Doge whose

49:07

name online was Big Balls. That's what

49:10

he was known as. And his actual name is

49:13

Ed something. But um he um he had been

49:17

beaten up and he's got these photos that

49:19

Stephen Miller had gotten from his wife

49:20

who had been working with Musk at Doge.

49:24

That then fires up something that

49:25

Trump's been wanting to do forever,

49:26

which is send National Guard in to DC.

49:29

Um it becomes a way of

49:33

it isn't just about seeing visuals that

49:35

you know reaffirm your point. Um, it is

49:40

basically that your world is no

49:42

competing viewpoints and that everything

49:44

is just going in through the eyes and it

49:46

stops you from thinking the same way.

49:47

It's because part of I mean this is my

49:50

this is my opinion now I'm getting a

49:51

little inside his head which I try not

49:53

to do cuz it's not a very worthwhile

49:55

endeavor but

49:56

>> I do think that when people are

49:58

consuming their own content that way so

50:02

much of consumption of visuals is is

50:04

about you react you react and so it's

50:06

just a constant reaction and that is

50:08

what they try doing with these videos

50:10

that um Steven Chung does when he's

50:13

trolling you know they set the the White

50:15

House communications director who was a

50:17

[snorts] big UFC guy for instance, they

50:20

set these videos of these strikes like

50:22

to to like actual video game music

50:25

[music] and dynamics

50:38

>> or and I thought this was a fascinating

50:40

detail in the book to the music of

50:42

artists who are going to protest.

50:44

>> Correct. That's true. going to say, "How

50:45

dare you use my music in this way?" And

50:47

then that's another news cycle for them.

50:49

>> Correct.

50:50

>> Um, one of the things that Kushner used

50:52

to tell people in the White House last

50:54

time was that he would describe what he

50:56

called Trump rules. And one of them was

50:58

controversy elevates message. And so

51:01

there's no quicker way to do that. But

51:02

it's also a way to say, "I'm not going

51:04

to follow your rules."

51:05

>> What did you make of the Trump MDI

51:06

meetings? Uh, I was so not surprised and

51:10

it went exactly as I thought it was

51:11

going to in all seriousness. But Trump's

51:14

uh own team is a little um

51:17

uh jarred by uh how much he enjoys

51:21

talking to momi and how as much as the

51:24

Republicans are trying to talk about

51:25

how, you know, socialists or communists

51:28

and Trump is even doing that in his own

51:29

speeches, but he seems to have a real

51:30

carveout for one particular person. And

51:32

I know he's attacked him a few times

51:33

recently, Mom Donnie, but Manny is um

51:37

he's very good. I mean, apparently in

51:39

their first meeting, Monnie was

51:40

referring to the crossover of voters

51:42

that that were Trump voters at his own

51:44

rallies. Money has been quite smart. the

51:47

Trump mom Donnie meetings uh they

51:51

reflect what I thought was the funniest

51:52

part of your book,

51:55

>> which is Trump's tendency to be

51:58

incredibly consiliatory and friendly

52:00

when he meets one-on-one with people

52:03

>> who he has been

52:05

slandering, who his administration might

52:07

be entirely

52:08

>> persecuting.

52:10

But for somebody who is so brash and

52:12

aggressive,

52:14

he's a bit of a pussycat one-on-one.

52:17

>> Um, he does not like one-on-one

52:19

interpersonal conf direct conflict. Uh,

52:22

this has been a a constant in his life.

52:24

Um, sometimes he does it intentionally

52:27

just to sort of make the person be off

52:30

guard. But with Manny, he seems to

52:32

genuinely like him. So for whatever

52:34

that's worth,

52:35

>> do you feel Trump is changed with age or

52:38

the age is sowing him in meaningful

52:40

ways?

52:41

>> I mean define meaningful I I

52:44

when I watch him on television from even

52:47

10 years ago, I mean I was watching his

52:49

RNC address in 2016 recently and it's a

52:52

a pretty jarring uh comparison to just

52:56

how his words flow now. Um he speaks

52:59

much slower. Um he's telling the same

53:01

stories a lot. the weave is getting wide

53:03

as Joe Rogan Rogan would say. That's

53:05

definitely true. I will say that

53:07

Jonathan and I spent an hour with him in

53:10

the Oval Office on March 16th of this

53:11

year for a fact check interview for the

53:13

book. We didn't notice anything

53:14

meaningfully different. Um what we did

53:16

notice is that he seemed like what Steve

53:18

Bannon describes as pure Trump. There

53:20

was just much more focus on payback,

53:23

much more focus on what he wants to be

53:25

focused on. Um very obsessed with the

53:27

renovation projects. Very. And and you

53:30

know, here's the models. It's day 17.

53:31

here's the models of the ballroom and so

53:33

of the day 17 of the war here's my

53:35

models of the ballroom and so forth that

53:37

was it was like he didn't have a care in

53:38

the world but I don't subscribe to this

53:40

dementia conversation I don't think

53:42

Trump is some fundamentally different

53:43

human being I just don't um uh but I

53:46

think he is much more himself um which

53:49

is a product of age in general

53:50

>> there was [clears throat] a sense

53:52

maybe the better way to put it is that

53:54

there was a thread on practically lefty

53:58

social media six eight months ago around

54:00

the sort strange bruising people were

54:02

seeing.

54:03

>> Oh, it is weird. I mean, yes,

54:04

>> the sort of the ankle swelling that he

54:07

was quite sick

54:08

>> in terms of physical health. He has

54:11

chronic venus insufficiency

54:13

syndrome, disease, whatever it's called,

54:15

that means that the blood is not going

54:16

to his heart properly. So, that's not a

54:18

good thing. Um, you know, on his first

54:21

medical report in 2018, he had a calcium

54:25

score of, I think, 133. That suggests

54:27

some level of heart disease. They have

54:28

not put out a calcium score since. Um he

54:31

was very sick with COVID in 2020 and we

54:33

still don't know the extent of that. I

54:35

mean I reported some on that from

54:36

information we got well after he was out

54:38

of office but you know we don't we don't

54:40

know what we don't know and his health

54:41

notes read as if he's written part of

54:43

them. So you know he goes to Walter Reed

54:46

with more frequency and they release

54:47

less information. Um he got imaging we

54:51

don't even know what they were. Um he

54:53

can't tell us. He says he was treated by

54:55

22 specialists. What? 22? I don't even

54:58

know that could be. And the the bruising

55:00

thing, the explanation has never made

55:01

sense. It's always been hand shaking,

55:03

aspirin. I it could be that 80-year-olds

55:06

have thinner skin, but I he's he's

55:09

clearly not the the picture of great

55:11

physical health, but I don't know what

55:12

that means. You know, what I know what I

55:14

generally know what it means is that um

55:16

electing 80-year-olds is a bit of a

55:17

gamble, right? I mean, electing anybody

55:19

isn't a gamble. You don't know how

55:20

somebody's health is going to be, but

55:22

you can guess where it's going when

55:23

they're older.

55:23

>> How much of his time actually goes into

55:25

the renovation now?

55:26

>> A lot. if you looked at like like a

55:30

chart of his mind share like this I will

55:32

say about getting into his mind um like

55:35

70% of it would be on his renovations.

55:37

It's it's it's a legacy thing but it's

55:41

it's it's I always think of legacy with

55:43

him different than the way we usually

55:44

use the word legacy. It's it's

55:47

um it's not what am I leaving behind for

55:49

the world. It's what am I leaving behind

55:50

so the world can't kick me off the world

55:53

or deplatform me or take my name off

55:56

buildings in Manhattan or take away my

55:58

Bronx leased golf course, you know, or

56:00

debank me? It's what can I do that

56:04

cannot be taken away?

56:05

>> Yeah. How can I create monuments to

56:07

myself?

56:08

>> Correct. I mean literally I mean he

56:09

literally said that when Ed O'Keefe from

56:10

CBS asked him he noticed the arch um

56:14

which he's calling the arc to Trump um

56:17

design on the Resolute desk and he asked

56:19

or on the desk I don't know if it was

56:20

the Resolute I think it was back by then

56:22

Ed said what is that and Trump's like

56:24

it's an arch

56:26

>> thank you all you come this way thank

56:28

you

56:28

>> for who?

56:29

>> Thanks guys.

56:31

>> Yeah know I know where it is but who's

56:32

it for?

56:33

>> Thank you guys.

56:35

>> And he was quite quite clear about it.

56:37

There was no further conversation. Um

56:39

the Kennedy Center, um the ballroom, um

56:43

you know, I mean, I can go on and on,

56:45

but it is all monuments.

56:46

>> Can you tell the Mcronone story with the

56:48

arch?

56:49

>> Going to f this up a little bit, but he

56:51

in a in a meeting he um he calls So, one

56:55

of the things he was musing about was um

56:58

like what should go on top of the arch?

57:00

And it was like should he put a version

57:01

of a gold version like the fight fight

57:03

fist from Butler up there? But he calls

57:05

Mcronone in the middle of another

57:07

meeting and starts asking him about the

57:09

Arctic Triumph in uh in France and you

57:12

know what's it like and and how many you

57:14

know does it have a visitor's desk? Do

57:16

people jump off of it? I mean this was

57:18

the conversation that he was interested

57:19

in and he's still talking about this

57:22

kind of thing. Um but calls up a foreign

57:24

leader to inquire about what his arch to

57:27

himself should look like. Speaking of

57:29

the other side of legacy, the more

57:30

traditional way we would talk about

57:31

legacy, does he have things he still

57:34

wants to achieve politically?

57:36

>> It's a really good, it's a really good

57:37

question. Um, I could answer that pretty

57:40

clearly in 2019 and 2020, there were

57:43

things that he still wanted to achieve.

57:45

um uh

57:48

if they are if there are things that he

57:50

wants to achieve um beyond just sort of

57:52

not being Herbert Hoover as he would

57:54

say, meaning with a a giant global

57:56

crisis. Um not really. I mean, he look

57:59

he's resumed his trade war as you as you

58:01

said. Uh I think he'd like to achieve

58:03

getting out of Iran. I think he would

58:05

like to figure out an end to that the

58:06

war that he started. Um but that's not

58:09

an achievement. That's a reaction to his

58:10

own behavior as we started this episode

58:13

with. There are people around whom him

58:16

who would like to see some form of

58:18

comprehensive immigration reform. To

58:19

your question about legislation, that's

58:22

something that we can work with

58:23

Democrats on. I boy do I have a hard

58:26

time seeing Democrats wanting to give

58:27

him some kind of a political win that

58:29

way, especially when it would be, I

58:31

suspect, a bill they would find less

58:32

than palatable, as they have almost

58:34

every single other bill involving

58:36

anything related to immigration with

58:37

him. Maybe another way of of asking this

58:39

is are there actual policy issues his

58:42

mind is gravitating towards in the way

58:44

it does towards the renovation. No, I

58:47

know what you're asking. I mean the

58:49

answer is no. Right. Yeah. I mean I I I

58:50

would give I mean that could change.

58:52

They could be having conversations we're

58:53

not aware of. Um

58:55

>> but certainly not in anything that we

58:57

have heard. I mean if anything what he

58:59

spent the last year and a half focused

59:02

on you know as issues top 1 2 and three

59:05

were

59:06

retribution were these bullying

59:09

campaigns across various industries and

59:11

aspects of civil society where he was

59:13

pretty successful for a time the law

59:15

firms won the courts caught up with him

59:16

but media he's done pretty well I would

59:20

say in terms of his attacks on the media

59:21

not not not through the government

59:23

levers but through lawsuits but

59:26

renovations is really

59:27

huge part of it. I mean it's the degree

59:30

of mind share on these projects is is

59:33

vast. Um he is vastly less interested in

59:37

and reactive to domestic politics this

59:40

time just just beyond. And one of the

59:42

things that we started seeing in 2024

59:45

and we get into this this relates to in

59:47

the book it relates to the mystical

59:48

quality. He sees himself as big on a

59:51

level that I think people really don't

59:53

understand and and there it was quite

59:55

clear when we were sitting with him and

59:57

we write about that in the epilogue of

59:58

the book but he is playing for history

60:01

capital G great man of history um to be

60:04

remembered to be remembered by one name

60:07

to have left a mark uh on the world that

60:09

is just different than a typical

60:12

president or what he would say is a a

60:14

normal president that doesn't involve

60:17

the boring work of trying to pass a bill

60:20

that doesn't involve the boring work of

60:22

going to Iowa to talk about XYZ,

60:25

although his numbers are not great in

60:26

Iowa now either. I mean, this is this is

60:28

fundamentally less interesting to him.

60:30

Immigration very interesting to him. I

60:32

think that if he could find some way to

60:35

even further change the immigration

60:36

system and claim credit for that, he

60:38

would. Um, that did not involve

60:41

legislation, he may still end up trying

60:42

to do something legislatively. It

60:44

wouldn't surprise me at all. I just

60:45

don't see it going very far. But,

60:47

[snorts] but who knows? I'm willing to

60:48

be surprised. But no, there is not room

60:51

in the tank for here is how we are going

60:54

to map out XYZ. They are in survival

60:57

mode politically to a degree that I I

61:00

kind of can't express.

61:02

>> I think that's a good place to end.

61:03

Always a final question. What are a few

61:05

books you recommend to the audience?

61:06

>> Okay. So, I'm reading Charlie Savage's

61:08

Takeover: The Return of the Imperial

61:10

Presidency, which was a very, very good

61:12

look at how particularly Dick Cheney

61:14

expanded um executive power under W.

61:17

Bush uh post 911. I am reading um Bill

61:21

Burton's um strangers because a book

61:24

that is that everywhere I sort of feel

61:26

compelled to have some sense of um

61:29

>> I haven't read it yet. Is it good?

61:31

>> It's interesting. Um it's interesting.

61:34

It's well written. It's definitely

61:36

propulsive. Um it's an interesting

61:38

choice to write about such wealth uh in

61:42

this moment. It was that was a little

61:45

hard to to get through because there are

61:48

many people who go through divorces who

61:50

don't quite have the same resources. And

61:54

then Keith McN's I Regret Everything.

61:56

>> Oh, that book has been fun.

61:57

>> It's actually fantastic. So, yeah, but

61:59

I've had to cycle out of that one for uh

62:03

for news and for other reasons. So,

62:05

>> Maggie Haberman, thank you very much.

62:06

>> That's right. Thanks for having me.

62:10

>> [music]

62:18

[music]

Interactive Summary

The discussion focuses on Donald Trump's governing style, especially in a potential second term, describing a radical shift towards unilateral action and decisions driven by personal impulse rather than established strategy or ideology. Maggie Haberman, co-author of "Regime Change," highlights Trump 2.0 as being run by a small inner circle, with a diminished inter-agency process and a communication style focused on "pure trolling." Key topics include the Iran war, which is presented as being motivated by Trump's personal desire for revenge against perceived threats, and his unique, often filtered, information environment. The interview also delves into the challenges of holding Trump accountable, attributing this to a changed media landscape, the tribal nature of Congress, and a public desensitized by constant investigations. Trump's deep focus on personal legacy, particularly through renovation projects and wealth accumulation, is underscored as a significant driver, alongside his unwavering belief that "things will work out" for him. His physical health is briefly touched upon, noting concerns but dismissing claims of dementia. Ultimately, Trump is portrayed as playing for history, aiming to leave a distinct, monumental mark on the world that bypasses traditional legislative or political achievements.

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