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I Studied Charts for 10+ Years… This Is the Pattern Everyone Misses - Masterclass Lesson 2

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I Studied Charts for 10+ Years… This Is the Pattern Everyone Misses - Masterclass Lesson 2

Transcript

483 segments

0:00

Let me show you something most traders

0:02

will go their entire careers without

0:04

ever noticing. Every time you pull up a

0:06

chart, no matter the pair, no matter the

0:08

time frame, there's a hidden structure

0:11

underneath the price. You won't see it

0:13

on indicators. You won't hear about it

0:14

in mainstream trading education, but

0:16

it's there quietly guiding every move

0:19

the market makes. Once you understand

0:21

this structure, you stop feeling like

0:23

the market is random, and you start to

0:25

realize that there's a very specific

0:27

sequence playing out over and over

0:29

again. I call this sequence the master

0:32

pattern. And after I walk you through

0:34

it, you're going to start spotting it

0:35

everywhere. In trends you thought were

0:37

messy, in reversals you thought were

0:39

unpredictable, even in those strange

0:41

whipssaw moments you could never quite

0:43

explain. It's all part of one repeating

0:46

cycle. And once you see it, you simply

0:48

cannot unsee it. I'm going to teach you

0:50

everything about this pattern and then

0:52

I'm going to give you a basic strategy

0:54

you can go use immediately. My name is

0:57

WDE Guth. I've been a trader for over a

0:59

decade and have taught this to literally

1:00

thousands of traders all over the world.

1:03

I own a specialized trading software

1:05

company called Trade ATS that thousands

1:07

of traders rely on to help them read the

1:10

hidden structure beneath all markets.

1:12

I've been around the block and I know

1:14

what I'm talking about. Now, before I go

1:16

any further, I want to be fully

1:17

transparent with you. I didn't invent

1:19

the market. I didn't invent price

1:21

action. I didn't invent the

1:23

psychological forces behind supply and

1:25

demand. What I did do, and what Trade

1:27

ATS has done for over a decade, is take

1:29

the pieces discovered by traders before

1:32

us and integrate them into one unified,

1:34

highly functional model. Traders like

1:37

Richard Wyoff and Jesse Livermore were

1:39

observing versions of this pattern as

1:41

far back as the early 1900s. In fact,

1:45

most of your smart money concepts gurus

1:47

and traders out there have been

1:48

influenced by what these 1920s traders

1:51

figured out long ago, whether they know

1:53

it or not. And good on them. It makes

1:55

sense that more people are starting to

1:57

finally look into these timeless

1:58

insights that have been handed down to

2:00

us. They're truly the foundation of

2:03

building the consistent approach all

2:05

traders are after. Over the years,

2:07

through tens of thousands of hours of

2:08

research, coaching, and real market

2:10

trading, I expanded the structure,

2:13

refined it, built a consistent

2:15

methodology around it. What I'm showing

2:17

you today is our interpretation of those

2:20

timeless observations, our framework for

2:23

understanding how markets truly behave.

2:25

It's simple. It's powerful. It's not

2:28

theoretical, and it works on every

2:30

single liquid market. Let me ask you a

2:32

real question. Why are you watching this

2:35

genuinely? Why did this video catch your

2:38

eye? If you're anything like the tens of

2:40

thousands of traders I've worked with,

2:41

the answer is somewhere between

2:43

curiosity and frustration. Because deep

2:46

down, you're still trying to make sense

2:47

of the chaos. You're still hoping

2:49

there's a structure that explains why

2:51

the market moves the way it does. And

2:53

you shouldn't feel bad about that. Most

2:55

traders spend years learning indicators,

2:58

patterns, systems, and strategies

3:00

without ever understanding the mechanism

3:02

that drives price. I have personally

3:04

coached traders who have been searching

3:06

for the holy grail strategy for

3:07

literally over 20 years. They felt so

3:10

much relief and clarity once they

3:12

learned what you're about to learn right

3:14

now. You know, when you think you've

3:15

found a great new strategy, but you

3:17

secretly have a pit in your stomach

3:19

because you doubt how long it may work?

3:21

Well, the master pattern completely gets

3:24

rid of that sick feeling. You won't have

3:26

it ever again. Here's why the master

3:27

pattern is different. It gives you an

3:29

objective explanation for every single

3:31

price movement the market makes. It

3:33

gives you a framework that never

3:35

changes. It gives you a way to think

3:37

like institutions, not react like

3:40

retail. It stops you from constantly

3:42

switching strategies or trying the next

3:44

new thing. It shows you how the market

3:46

is actually organized behind the scenes.

3:48

Once you understand this pattern, you

3:50

literally can't look at a chart the same

3:52

way ever again. Now, it's time to go

3:54

deeper.

3:57

[music]

4:03

All markets naturally organize

4:05

themselves into three distinct phases.

4:07

Most traders can't see this because

4:09

they're looking through fogged glass in

4:11

the form of multiple technical

4:13

indicators. But if they would simply

4:15

delete all of their indicators and take

4:17

a really long hard look, they would see

4:19

that the market operates in sequential

4:21

phases. And these phases are happening

4:23

in every liquid market and on every time

4:26

frame all the time. These phases are

4:28

what we call the master pattern. Phase

4:30

one is contraction. This is where the

4:32

market compresses. You'll see lower

4:34

highs and higher lows forming

4:36

simultaneously in what looks like a

4:38

wedge pattern. It's a tightening of

4:40

price, almost like a coiling spring.

4:42

[music] This is where buyers and sellers

4:44

are in balance. And this balance creates

4:47

what we call fair market value. Fair

4:49

market value is the most important price

4:51

on your chart. It's the level

4:53

institutions quietly anchor to. This is

4:55

also the area where beliefs about future

4:57

price start to neutralize. Since price

5:00

has paused and contracted into a tight

5:02

range, people are unsure of what's going

5:04

to [music] happen next. This creates the

5:06

perfect opportunity to manipulate the

5:08

masses, which leads us to the next

5:10

phase. Phase number two is expansion.

5:13

Expansion begins the instant price

5:15

breaks out of the contraction box. But

5:17

here's the part 95% of traders miss.

5:19

Expansion is not the start of the trend.

5:21

Expansion is the market's exploration

5:24

phase. One major thing is needed to

5:26

drive a trend. You need the higher time

5:28

frames to wake up and get involved.

5:30

Since the higher time frame players

5:32

operate on a longer outlook, they're

5:34

getting involved in a move will keep

5:36

price trending and stabilize the trend

5:38

at new levels. You could think of the

5:40

expansion phase as the marketing

5:42

campaign to recruit higher time frame

5:44

players to join a side. The expansion

5:46

also provides an easy environment for

5:48

the rapid accumulation of inventory for

5:51

institutions. This is the phase where

5:52

most traders get chopped to pieces

5:55

because they confuse expansion with a

5:57

breakout. Expansion happens for one

5:59

reason, to unlock the liquidity and

6:01

higher time frame commitments needed for

6:03

the real move. Phase number three is the

6:05

trend. This is the phase everyone wants.

6:07

It's the clean directional move. The

6:09

trend begins after the expansion has

6:11

completed its job. It's the orderly

6:14

movement away from previous fair value

6:16

to a new area where the market begins

6:18

the entire cycle over again. To recap,

6:21

the market phases are contraction,

6:23

expansion, and trend after which it goes

6:26

into a new contraction and repeats the

6:28

entire cycle over and over again. Now,

6:30

just to emphasize what I've been talking

6:32

about, I want to show you a quick

6:33

preview of what our software does, which

6:35

it basically spots all of the master

6:37

pattern cycles that are at play

6:39

currently in any market on any time

6:41

frame. So, right here, I have a 1 minute

6:42

chart in gold. You can see we have a

6:44

contraction [music] here. It goes into

6:46

the expansion phase, and we're working

6:47

with this fair market value. We also

6:49

have another contraction point here that

6:51

is also in expansion. So, we know

6:52

[music] that it's only a matter of time

6:54

before price picks a side based off one

6:56

of these fair market value lines and

6:58

goes into that trend phase. If we look

7:00

in the back here, here's a contraction

7:02

expansion [music]

7:03

and then it trends away from fair market

7:05

value. If you look up here, here's

7:06

contraction, [music]

7:07

goes into the expansion phase. There's

7:09

your trend phase, away from fair market

7:11

value. This is a cycle that I'm talking

7:13

about that repeats over and over and

7:15

over again. All you have to do is

7:18

[music] spot that tightening of the

7:19

market. Look for that tightening point.

7:22

Look for the expansion phase and mark

7:23

out your fair market value and work from

7:26

that level. [music] That's going to

7:27

really open your eyes to how these

7:29

markets really work. Now, I want to

7:30

shift gears a little bit to talk about

7:32

something that destroys more accounts

7:34

than bad risk management, bad entries,

7:36

or even fear. Changing. [music]

7:38

Changing strategies, changing

7:40

indicators, changing time frames,

7:42

changing markets, changing risk rules,

7:45

changing systems. Every time you see a

7:47

losing streak, every time you change,

7:50

you reset your learning curve. You start

7:52

over. I want to give you an analogy to

7:54

really make this stick. [music]

7:55

Imagine you're trying to become a great

7:56

basketball player. On Monday, you play

7:58

on a standard court. On Tuesday, your

8:00

court's shaped like a triangle. On

8:02

Wednesday, it's a circle. Thursday, it's

8:04

a zigzag. Friday, it's shaped like a

8:06

star. How would you ever master the

8:08

game? That's exactly what traders do

8:10

every time they switch strategies.

8:12

They're playing a different version of

8:14

the game every week. Meanwhile, the

8:16

banks, their court never changes. Their

8:19

rules never change. Their strategy never

8:21

changes. They don't wake up and switch

8:23

methods because they lost a trade. They

8:25

run the exact same playbook over and

8:27

over again because it [music] works. And

8:29

here's something to really think about.

8:31

When you run billions of dollars and

8:33

need to make a decent return to keep

8:35

your investors happy, you really don't

8:37

have a lot of flexibility in your

8:38

approach. You don't care what EMA

8:40

setting is the best for today's session.

8:42

All you're really interested in is how

8:44

to move the money of the crowd into your

8:46

account. And this comes down to waiting

8:48

for the overreactions, the

8:49

underestimations, and the [music]

8:51

mistakes of others. The master pattern

8:53

is the closest thing you will ever get

8:55

to the actual market court the bank

8:58

plays on. And once you commit to it,

9:00

consistency [music]

9:01

finally becomes possible. There's a

9:02

Federal Reserve working paper showing

9:04

that market depth, which is the amount

9:06

of available opposite side orders,

9:09

directly determines how price moves in

9:11

response to large trades. When there

9:12

isn't enough opposing liquidity in the

9:14

market, even a large institutional order

9:17

will cause much bigger price movements

9:19

because there simply aren't enough

9:21

resting orders to absorb it. In other

9:23

words, [music]

9:23

you can't generate big returns or

9:26

meaningful price movement unless there

9:28

is sufficient opposing liquidity

9:30

available to transact against. That

9:33

means the market isn't some

9:34

unpredictable random walk theorybased

9:37

machine. It's a liquidity dependent

9:39

machine where price moves only when

9:42

there's enough supply and demand to

9:44

actually trade. And here's another

9:45

powerful confirmation of what we teach.

9:48

In a 2020 interview, Ray Dallio, founder

9:50

of Bridgewwater Associates, the largest

9:52

hedge fund in the world, said, "Almost

9:54

all market movements can be explained by

9:57

cycles of accumulation and distribution

9:59

driven by liquidity needs." That's

10:01

literally what we call the master

10:02

pattern. It's accumulation, expansion,

10:05

and trend or distribution, and then it

10:08

repeats. The biggest players in the

10:10

world are publicly acknowledging the

10:12

exact mechanics this framework is built

10:14

on.

10:15

>> [music]

10:15

>> So now I'm going to show you exactly how

10:17

you can map out the master pattern on

10:18

your charts and do it in a really really

10:20

accurate way. And then as soon as I'm

10:22

done with that, I'm going to show you a

10:24

basic strategy that you can get started

10:26

with that will blow your mind. So first,

10:28

how do you find your contraction points?

10:30

Well, that's pretty simple. You look for

10:32

those areas where price is funneling

10:34

down and getting tighter and tighter.

10:37

That's the first clue. But that's not

10:39

the only thing you want to look for. The

10:41

next thing you want to look for is this

10:43

type of expansion activity where you in

10:45

this case we broke out of the low of

10:47

this range and then we break out through

10:49

the high right after. This is critical

10:51

because what this tells you is that the

10:54

sequence is in place. We have the

10:56

contraction, we have the expansion, that

10:58

exploratory phase and then at that point

11:00

you could draw draw out fair market

11:02

value and that'll be your pivot point

11:04

that you're working from. [music] So

11:06

this is the area that you want to look

11:08

for your best entries in. You want to

11:10

find your entries on these lows or these

11:12

highs as that expansion funnels out. The

11:15

critical part to this if you really want

11:16

to have a really nice way to map out

11:18

your charts is to look for displacement

11:21

between cycles. There's a lot of boxes

11:24

and a lot of contractions you could find

11:26

all over the chart. But you want to let

11:28

the cycle fully play out. If you

11:30

accurately identify this area and this

11:33

area, you know that it's only a matter

11:35

of time before we get that displacement.

11:38

Make sure you wait before you put

11:39

another box on your screen. So, as you

11:42

can see, we have the displacement and at

11:44

that point, we start looking for it to

11:45

start over again, which gives us a brand

11:47

new reference point that we could start

11:49

trading within those expansion legs.

11:51

This is the best way to do it. You don't

11:53

need to over complicate it. Just look

11:55

for this general type of activity and

11:58

you'll be on track. So, here's a basic

12:00

strategy that you can start implementing

12:01

right away. And believe me when I say

12:03

this, this can revolutionize your

12:04

trading overnight. Literally, it's a two

12:07

time frame setup that you want to use.

12:08

You want to have your higher time frame,

12:10

which is going to control your

12:11

directional bias or which direction

12:14

you're going to be trading in at any

12:15

given time. And then you're going to

12:16

have your lower time frame, which is

12:18

where you will enter and exit the

12:20

market. A lot of people ask, well, what

12:21

time frame pairing should I use? For day

12:24

traders, scalpers, a 4 hour and a 5

12:26

minute works really good. If you're

12:28

going up on the time frames, a daily and

12:30

a 30 minute or a daily and a 15-inut

12:32

works well. If you go up above that, you

12:35

start getting into a weekly and an hour

12:37

or a weekly and a 4 hour. And then up

12:40

above that, you're going to start

12:41

getting into the the monthly and the

12:42

daily or a monthly and a 4 hour also

12:44

work too. But you can kind of feel

12:47

around for what works for you in regards

12:49

to that. So we have our higher time

12:51

frame and our lower time frame. Here's

12:53

the magic. Here's what makes this so

12:55

special is the higher time frame. You

12:57

don't need to overthink this. We're just

12:58

looking for where that overall flow of

13:00

money is going. But when you define that

13:02

fair market value like we just talked

13:04

about and the master pattern phases, you

13:06

know what's coming next. You know the

13:08

market is typically going to contract.

13:10

You know it's going to expand. But the

13:12

trick here, which is almost like insider

13:14

trading, is this higher time frame gives

13:17

you the knowledge of where the

13:19

displacement or that expansion phase is

13:21

likely to result. And in this case, if

13:24

the higher time frame is going up,

13:26

that's the stronger flow of money, the

13:28

more stable flow of money. We know that

13:30

the distribution or the trend phase is

13:33

likely one way or another going to leave

13:36

this level and go up to here. So how do

13:39

we trade that? We get our contraction

13:42

phase. We mark out our fair market

13:44

value. We look for those first two legs

13:45

of expansion. And since we know where

13:47

the market is fairly valued and you know

13:50

the trend is overall going up. If you

13:52

buy below that value, there is a very

13:55

very very high chance that these

13:57

positions will return to fair market

14:00

value. This is your money in the bank

14:03

because once you get above fair market

14:05

value, the price has revalued to what it

14:08

should be in trend. This right here is

14:10

all on the house's money. So, you should

14:13

be trying to buy under fair market value

14:16

and then sell above fair market value.

14:18

Now, when you do this, the basic

14:21

strategy, this puts you in line with how

14:24

the banks trade. Let me explain how real

14:26

fast. When the banks are trading,

14:28

they're looking for people to make the

14:30

wrong decision so that they can take the

14:32

other side of the liquidity. When we get

14:34

below an equilibrium point like this

14:36

that's expertly mapped out, then you get

14:39

traders that think the move is over and

14:41

they're going to sell below fair market

14:43

value. What that does is it creates a

14:45

pool of people that are likely making

14:47

the wrong decision. So when you time

14:49

your entries with these phases, you

14:52

accumulate in the same areas the banks

14:54

are accumulating because it just makes

14:57

sense to the banks know that this trend

14:59

is not over. There's so much higher time

15:01

frame momentum pushing it. It's not done

15:03

yet. So anybody that sells right here is

15:06

there's a highly likelihood that they

15:08

are going to lose. Therefore, you want

15:10

to trade with them. So as you accumulate

15:13

from those people, you match what the

15:14

banks are doing. And then as it goes

15:16

above fair market value, the opposite

15:18

happens. Traders rush in in a in a FOMO

15:22

uh inspired manner. They start buying up

15:25

the market cuz they're always chasing

15:26

and then you sell to them. So you are

15:29

buying from traders that are thinking

15:31

that the trend is over when it's not.

15:33

And then you are selling to traders that

15:35

are rushing in in FOMO. Therefore, this

15:38

fair market value and this model puts

15:41

you always opposite to the dumb money.

15:44

That's the magical moment. That is

15:46

incredible and that's why this works so

15:48

well. Here's what I want you to take

15:49

away from this lesson. Price in every

15:52

market is always in this cycle. And

15:54

every candle belongs to one of those

15:56

three market phases. When you understand

15:58

the cycle, you start to understand the

16:00

intention of the institutions that run

16:02

price. And when you understand the

16:03

intention, you can anticipate price in a

16:06

way most traders will never experience.

16:08

Your win rate, your confidence, and your

16:10

consistency are all tied to one thing.

16:13

how accurately you could identify the

16:15

phase the market is in. Master this

16:17

framework and you'll no longer feel like

16:19

you're trading in the dark. You'll be

16:21

reading the market the way institutions

16:22

do. That's the end of lesson two. If you

16:24

found this information valuable,

16:26

remember to like and subscribe. We're

16:27

going to be dripping out the rest of

16:28

this master class over the coming weeks.

16:30

So, make sure that you don't miss out on

16:32

that. If you are interested in what we

16:34

do at Trade ATS, make sure you check out

16:36

the links in the description. You visit

16:37

our website and check out all of our

16:39

cool stuff that we have there for you.

16:40

Until next time, we'll see you on the

16:42

next video.

Interactive Summary

This video introduces the 'master pattern,' a recurring cycle of three market phases—contraction, expansion, and trend—that the presenter argues dictates all institutional market movements. By moving away from traditional technical indicators and instead focusing on identifying these phases and fair market value, traders can align their entries and exits with institutional behavior. The video also provides a practical two-time-frame strategy to help traders gain a consistent edge by trading against retail sentiment.

Suggested questions

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