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We are near peak hype

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We are near peak hype

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265 segments

0:00

It wasn't thought possible that hype

0:01

could reach this level, but it turns out

0:03

it is possible. Hype has reached a new

0:06

level unseen since 2017 Bitcoin era. And

0:10

no, I'm not talking about Claude Mythos.

0:12

That was beta level hype. Okay, we are

0:14

talking about some sigma level hype

0:17

going on here. But before we go into the

0:19

ultimate AI hype cycle, I think it would

0:21

be good to go down memory lane and just

0:23

relive some of those great experiences

0:25

from the crypto times. First off, I know

0:27

a few of you probably have this shirt

0:29

sitting in your closet, okay? You

0:30

probably have a pair of those DMRs just

0:32

looking fresh like this, man, because

0:34

that's who you are. You got a few

0:36

Bitcoin in your back pocket, feeling

0:38

pretty dang good. Hey, good on you for

0:40

having that. Okay, buddy. You may not

0:41

know this, but AI finally just reached

0:44

the level that crypto hype reached in

0:47

2017. In fact, there are two specific

0:50

events that happened that were so out of

0:53

control that even to this day, I'm

0:54

baffled by them. And since I lost all my

0:56

Bitcoin, I got to make the bag a

0:58

different way. I know a lot of you have

0:59

agents and you're letting them run

1:00

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1:03

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1:05

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to colonel.sh and let them use the

1:35

internet. All right, so the first of the

1:36

two events was the Long Island IC Tea

1:39

transitioning from IC Tea to blockchain.

1:42

They transitioned. Okay, they

1:44

transitioned from making teas to making

1:46

blockchains. Now, I don't even know what

1:48

kind of blockchain would be associated

1:50

with a Long Island iced tea, but

1:52

apparently this non-alcoholic Long

1:54

Island iced tea received a 200% increase

1:58

in stock price just by simply saying,

2:00

"Oh, hey, by the way, we're blockchain

2:03

now." And only a couple years later,

2:05

Kodak would do the same thing. Yes,

2:06

Kodak, the camera company, decided that

2:09

they were going to have Kodak coin to go

2:11

with their Kodak 1 platform because

2:13

obviously the only possible way you

2:16

could solve the attribution problem to

2:18

photography is to have the world's

2:21

slowest appendon database. I mean,

2:24

honestly, it's unfable. There's no

2:26

possible other way you could solve this.

2:28

Like, Postcrest doesn't have this

2:29

technology. You can't just you can't

2:31

just like make a database of names and

2:34

and photos. Okay, that doesn't it

2:35

doesn't work that way, idiot. You can

2:37

only solve it with blockchain. Luckily,

2:40

when AI took over the hype cycles, it

2:42

was just a, you know, is much more

2:44

tempered. Everything seemed to be a lot

2:46

more kind of clamped down.

2:49

Hey, what the hell? Definitely put like

2:50

some sort of highlight right here.

2:52

>> Okay.

2:55

>> We've been 6 months away every single

2:57

month for the last four years from

2:59

losing our jobs as developers. And just

3:01

when I thought I couldn't get any more

3:03

hyped up, it turns out there was

3:06

actually another level. I told you no

3:08

beta hype. We need the ultimate hype.

3:10

So, first I must show you these. These

3:12

these are shoes. These are wool shoes,

3:14

okay? Wool runners. They're called

3:16

allirds. Now, if you were a part of the

3:18

valley, if you were in the cultural

3:19

zeitgeist during 2018,

3:22

you probably heard some people talking

3:24

about these. I even believe former

3:27

President Barack Obama was even once

3:29

caught wearing a pair of allirds. I am

3:31

now a firm believer that all birds,

3:33

they're government drones because how

3:34

can a venture capitalist invest in a

3:36

shoe company when they don't have souls?

3:40

These were a fairly hot popular set of

3:43

shoes. In fact, in 2021, they ended up

3:47

IPOing for over $4 billion. Google's

3:51

description of them is a Silicon Valley

3:53

tale of rapid success and sustainability

3:56

focused success, which is generally kind

3:58

of funny considering that every single

4:00

quarter they lost tens to hundreds of

4:03

millions of dollars. I don't even know

4:05

how you lose that kind of money on a

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product you're supposed to make money on

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every single sale. Like, how how do you

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do that? Like, what were you guys even

4:12

doing? But of course, this is the

4:14

standard way in which you make money in

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the Silicon Valley is that you really

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just got to lose money. If you're not

4:19

losing money, you're not making money.

4:21

And if you look at their chart, I mean,

4:23

it is painful to watch. This is worse

4:25

than the Figma chart. They started off

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at just the highest of highs, and now

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they're sitting all the way down at just

4:33

a couple dollars. But then the shoe

4:36

company in which is focused on

4:38

specifically sustainability, decided AI.

4:42

Look at this stock. In a single day,

4:44

they're up 455%.

4:47

This baffles me. How does the stock

4:50

market look at a group of people who ran

4:53

a company worth $4 billion into the

4:56

ground to be sold for $39 million? By

4:59

the way, that's how much Allird was sold

5:01

for. They look at these people and say,

5:03

"Oh, you know what they're going to do?

5:04

They're going to start a GPU company."

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Definitely an easier company to start

5:09

than a shoe company. And good thing all

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their shoe expertise is going to come in

5:13

handy right here. specifically the

5:15

sustainability part when it comes to

5:17

data centers. Obviously the stonss go

5:19

stonk but the people that really felt

5:21

sad r/allirds. Anyone else feel stupid

5:25

or betrayed after allirds became newird

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AI? I'm pissed. I really liked this

5:30

brand and was aligned with the

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sustainability messaging. Been wearing

5:33

them exclusively for the last 5 years.

5:36

So that is the style you decided to wear

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for the last 5 years. Yeah, I I'd be

5:40

upset too. I just feel like an idiot for

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supporting them all this time. Feels

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like a slap in the face after all the

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loyalty they got from me. Anyone else? I

5:48

could imagine that if you invested into

5:50

a company because they were sustainable

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and then their idea of an outcome was to

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build data centers specifically known

5:57

for their sustainability. But I prefer

5:59

the founder of Hashi Corp, Mitchell

6:01

Hashimoto. Mitchell Hashimoto. Did he

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name himself after his own corporation?

6:06

I'm excited about the Allirds AI pivot

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because it's the first completely peer

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active maxing in public markets

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and I'm so on board with watching that

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journey play out.

6:16

But the thing that I am anticipating,

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the thing I'm salivating, I cannot wait

6:21

is for the allirds LinkedIn post shoes

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are made for marathons and the AI race

6:26

is going to be the longest. This is what

6:28

the pivot to AI taught me about B2B

6:31

sales. But somehow the documents

6:33

released by Alberts is even better than

6:35

Reddit. So it first starts off with just

6:37

saying, "Hey, we did a record sale. We

6:40

went from 4 billion down to 39 million."

6:43

It was honestly huge exit for the

6:45

founders. They're gone. They're

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definitely out of this company. And

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along with the exit, they're also going

6:50

to be getting a $50 million

6:53

institutional investment for them to

6:55

pivot to AI. The AI compute and

6:58

infrastructure strategy and long-term

7:00

opportunity. Newbird AI expects to use

7:03

the initial capital from the facility to

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acquire high-performance GPUs. Over

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time, the company intends to grow its

7:11

Neocloud platform. I don't know what

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Neocloud is. By expanding its compute

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and service offerings, deepening

7:17

partnerships with operators and

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customers, and evaluating strategic

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merger and acquisition opportunities.

7:23

Yes, they're going to do all of this

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with $50 million. I just want you to

7:26

think about this for a second. How much

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money is Open AI pouring into these GPU

7:31

data centers? Hundreds of billions of

7:34

dollars. Does Sam Alman know you can do

7:36

strategic mergers and acquisitions for

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only $50 million? Why is he raising 120

7:41

billion? It's this easy. The rise of AI

7:44

development and adoption has created

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unprecedented structural demand for

7:49

specialized higherformance compute that

7:51

the market is struggling to meet. And

7:53

allirds 50 million is going to meet

7:56

those needs. There's so many things that

7:57

are funny about this. This is a company

7:59

that went from 4 billion to 39 million.

8:02

They're going to take a new investment

8:04

and then they're going to make strategic

8:06

M&As to get into the GPU space and with

8:09

that they're going to meet the

8:10

structural demand for GPUs. New Bird AI

8:14

is being built to close that gap. You

8:16

mean this gap right here? Look at how

8:18

big that is. I can look through it. Like

8:21

look at how big that is. The thing

8:22

that's bothering me about all this is

8:24

that they took a company and somehow

8:26

created a sustainable shoe company

8:29

that's unsustainable, losing tens to

8:31

hundreds of millions of dollars a

8:33

quarter. And then after taking that from

8:35

4 billion to a $39 million sale, they're

8:38

going to use this expertise to go into

8:41

one of the most difficult markets that

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is controlled largely by government, by

8:45

how much power you can get from the

8:46

grid. And we're supposed to believe that

8:48

someone who was good at s well

8:50

demonstrabably bad at sourcing

8:52

sustainable wool from New Zealand can

8:55

run a GPU company. Like this doesn't

8:57

what is this world we're living in? This

8:59

is stranger than the Bitcoin world. This

9:00

is stranger than Long Island Iced Tea.

9:02

This is stranger than Kodak. The reason

9:04

why I'm talking about this is because

9:06

there's a lot of people feeling the hype

9:08

and the hype has never been more hot.

9:10

And there were a lot of people that were

9:12

left holding the bag in the crypto

9:14

world. So, I don't want you to get so

9:16

sucked in thinking that the actual end

9:18

of the world is happening right now with

9:20

AI. Yeah, it's a cool tool. Yeah, you

9:22

could do things you probably couldn't do

9:24

before, especially just given how much

9:25

time you could potentially save using

9:27

it. But at the end of the day, it's

9:29

still just a tool. You don't have to

9:31

pivot into strategically buying GPUs.

9:34

But there is a small part of me that

9:36

kind of actually thinks that I could

9:38

probably pivot into making GPUs. Like,

9:40

how hard IS OKAY, [laughter]

9:42

>> the name is the

9:45

A

Interactive Summary

The video explores the current extreme hype cycle surrounding AI, drawing parallels to the 2017 crypto bubble. It highlights absurd corporate pivots, such as the shoe company Allbirds transitioning into an AI/GPU infrastructure business after failing as a sustainable clothing brand. The host warns viewers not to get caught up in the irrational market excitement, treating AI as a useful tool rather than an excuse for unrealistic business maneuvers.

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