We are near peak hype
265 segments
It wasn't thought possible that hype
could reach this level, but it turns out
it is possible. Hype has reached a new
level unseen since 2017 Bitcoin era. And
no, I'm not talking about Claude Mythos.
That was beta level hype. Okay, we are
talking about some sigma level hype
going on here. But before we go into the
ultimate AI hype cycle, I think it would
be good to go down memory lane and just
relive some of those great experiences
from the crypto times. First off, I know
a few of you probably have this shirt
sitting in your closet, okay? You
probably have a pair of those DMRs just
looking fresh like this, man, because
that's who you are. You got a few
Bitcoin in your back pocket, feeling
pretty dang good. Hey, good on you for
having that. Okay, buddy. You may not
know this, but AI finally just reached
the level that crypto hype reached in
2017. In fact, there are two specific
events that happened that were so out of
control that even to this day, I'm
baffled by them. And since I lost all my
Bitcoin, I got to make the bag a
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internet. All right, so the first of the
two events was the Long Island IC Tea
transitioning from IC Tea to blockchain.
They transitioned. Okay, they
transitioned from making teas to making
blockchains. Now, I don't even know what
kind of blockchain would be associated
with a Long Island iced tea, but
apparently this non-alcoholic Long
Island iced tea received a 200% increase
in stock price just by simply saying,
"Oh, hey, by the way, we're blockchain
now." And only a couple years later,
Kodak would do the same thing. Yes,
Kodak, the camera company, decided that
they were going to have Kodak coin to go
with their Kodak 1 platform because
obviously the only possible way you
could solve the attribution problem to
photography is to have the world's
slowest appendon database. I mean,
honestly, it's unfable. There's no
possible other way you could solve this.
Like, Postcrest doesn't have this
technology. You can't just you can't
just like make a database of names and
and photos. Okay, that doesn't it
doesn't work that way, idiot. You can
only solve it with blockchain. Luckily,
when AI took over the hype cycles, it
was just a, you know, is much more
tempered. Everything seemed to be a lot
more kind of clamped down.
Hey, what the hell? Definitely put like
some sort of highlight right here.
>> Okay.
>> We've been 6 months away every single
month for the last four years from
losing our jobs as developers. And just
when I thought I couldn't get any more
hyped up, it turns out there was
actually another level. I told you no
beta hype. We need the ultimate hype.
So, first I must show you these. These
these are shoes. These are wool shoes,
okay? Wool runners. They're called
allirds. Now, if you were a part of the
valley, if you were in the cultural
zeitgeist during 2018,
you probably heard some people talking
about these. I even believe former
President Barack Obama was even once
caught wearing a pair of allirds. I am
now a firm believer that all birds,
they're government drones because how
can a venture capitalist invest in a
shoe company when they don't have souls?
These were a fairly hot popular set of
shoes. In fact, in 2021, they ended up
IPOing for over $4 billion. Google's
description of them is a Silicon Valley
tale of rapid success and sustainability
focused success, which is generally kind
of funny considering that every single
quarter they lost tens to hundreds of
millions of dollars. I don't even know
how you lose that kind of money on a
product you're supposed to make money on
every single sale. Like, how how do you
do that? Like, what were you guys even
doing? But of course, this is the
standard way in which you make money in
the Silicon Valley is that you really
just got to lose money. If you're not
losing money, you're not making money.
And if you look at their chart, I mean,
it is painful to watch. This is worse
than the Figma chart. They started off
at just the highest of highs, and now
they're sitting all the way down at just
a couple dollars. But then the shoe
company in which is focused on
specifically sustainability, decided AI.
Look at this stock. In a single day,
they're up 455%.
This baffles me. How does the stock
market look at a group of people who ran
a company worth $4 billion into the
ground to be sold for $39 million? By
the way, that's how much Allird was sold
for. They look at these people and say,
"Oh, you know what they're going to do?
They're going to start a GPU company."
Definitely an easier company to start
than a shoe company. And good thing all
their shoe expertise is going to come in
handy right here. specifically the
sustainability part when it comes to
data centers. Obviously the stonss go
stonk but the people that really felt
sad r/allirds. Anyone else feel stupid
or betrayed after allirds became newird
AI? I'm pissed. I really liked this
brand and was aligned with the
sustainability messaging. Been wearing
them exclusively for the last 5 years.
So that is the style you decided to wear
for the last 5 years. Yeah, I I'd be
upset too. I just feel like an idiot for
supporting them all this time. Feels
like a slap in the face after all the
loyalty they got from me. Anyone else? I
could imagine that if you invested into
a company because they were sustainable
and then their idea of an outcome was to
build data centers specifically known
for their sustainability. But I prefer
the founder of Hashi Corp, Mitchell
Hashimoto. Mitchell Hashimoto. Did he
name himself after his own corporation?
I'm excited about the Allirds AI pivot
because it's the first completely peer
active maxing in public markets
and I'm so on board with watching that
journey play out.
But the thing that I am anticipating,
the thing I'm salivating, I cannot wait
is for the allirds LinkedIn post shoes
are made for marathons and the AI race
is going to be the longest. This is what
the pivot to AI taught me about B2B
sales. But somehow the documents
released by Alberts is even better than
Reddit. So it first starts off with just
saying, "Hey, we did a record sale. We
went from 4 billion down to 39 million."
It was honestly huge exit for the
founders. They're gone. They're
definitely out of this company. And
along with the exit, they're also going
to be getting a $50 million
institutional investment for them to
pivot to AI. The AI compute and
infrastructure strategy and long-term
opportunity. Newbird AI expects to use
the initial capital from the facility to
acquire high-performance GPUs. Over
time, the company intends to grow its
Neocloud platform. I don't know what
Neocloud is. By expanding its compute
and service offerings, deepening
partnerships with operators and
customers, and evaluating strategic
merger and acquisition opportunities.
Yes, they're going to do all of this
with $50 million. I just want you to
think about this for a second. How much
money is Open AI pouring into these GPU
data centers? Hundreds of billions of
dollars. Does Sam Alman know you can do
strategic mergers and acquisitions for
only $50 million? Why is he raising 120
billion? It's this easy. The rise of AI
development and adoption has created
unprecedented structural demand for
specialized higherformance compute that
the market is struggling to meet. And
allirds 50 million is going to meet
those needs. There's so many things that
are funny about this. This is a company
that went from 4 billion to 39 million.
They're going to take a new investment
and then they're going to make strategic
M&As to get into the GPU space and with
that they're going to meet the
structural demand for GPUs. New Bird AI
is being built to close that gap. You
mean this gap right here? Look at how
big that is. I can look through it. Like
look at how big that is. The thing
that's bothering me about all this is
that they took a company and somehow
created a sustainable shoe company
that's unsustainable, losing tens to
hundreds of millions of dollars a
quarter. And then after taking that from
4 billion to a $39 million sale, they're
going to use this expertise to go into
one of the most difficult markets that
is controlled largely by government, by
how much power you can get from the
grid. And we're supposed to believe that
someone who was good at s well
demonstrabably bad at sourcing
sustainable wool from New Zealand can
run a GPU company. Like this doesn't
what is this world we're living in? This
is stranger than the Bitcoin world. This
is stranger than Long Island Iced Tea.
This is stranger than Kodak. The reason
why I'm talking about this is because
there's a lot of people feeling the hype
and the hype has never been more hot.
And there were a lot of people that were
left holding the bag in the crypto
world. So, I don't want you to get so
sucked in thinking that the actual end
of the world is happening right now with
AI. Yeah, it's a cool tool. Yeah, you
could do things you probably couldn't do
before, especially just given how much
time you could potentially save using
it. But at the end of the day, it's
still just a tool. You don't have to
pivot into strategically buying GPUs.
But there is a small part of me that
kind of actually thinks that I could
probably pivot into making GPUs. Like,
how hard IS OKAY, [laughter]
>> the name is the
A
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video explores the current extreme hype cycle surrounding AI, drawing parallels to the 2017 crypto bubble. It highlights absurd corporate pivots, such as the shoe company Allbirds transitioning into an AI/GPU infrastructure business after failing as a sustainable clothing brand. The host warns viewers not to get caught up in the irrational market excitement, treating AI as a useful tool rather than an excuse for unrealistic business maneuvers.
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