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Chile's Minister of Foreign Affairs on Global Trade

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Chile's Minister of Foreign Affairs on Global Trade

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573 segments

0:00

So, we've heard today a lot about energy

0:02

security, resilience, investment flows.

0:06

Um so, I'm looking forward to getting

0:07

into that. But, of course, just to

0:09

introduce you, I think maybe to to to

0:10

the audience, you came to office in

0:12

March

0:13

um of this year as Minister for Foreign

0:15

Affairs serving President Kast,

0:17

um who's of course seen as an important

0:19

ally of Donald Trump in Latin America.

0:20

So, later on, maybe we can talk about a

0:22

little bit about regional um politics

0:25

um and global politics. But, before all

0:27

of that, um

0:28

you're here at least partly you're going

0:30

to ASEAN after this, but you're also

0:32

here partly to bang the drum for this

0:33

idea of Choose Chile. Can you tell us a

0:36

little bit about your Choose Chile

0:38

project?

0:38

>> Okay. I mean,

0:40

one of the missions that

0:42

I have from the Foreign Ministry is to

0:44

help the country recover growth. And

0:48

this is an old idea that I I got from

0:50

President Macron when I was sitting in a

0:52

board of French company some some years

0:54

before the the pandemic. He started with

0:56

the program called Choose France. And

0:59

one of the things we need to do in in in

1:00

the in the case of Chile is to be able

1:02

to compensate what we don't get from

1:05

mining

1:06

minerals in terms of the rest of the

1:08

economy. And

1:09

the key element there is human capital.

1:12

And we need to somehow push the rest of

1:15

the economy up. And the idea that popped

1:17

in my mind was, why don't we borrow the

1:20

this this concept that the French had

1:22

had designed to invite investors and I

1:26

not only investors, but also people to

1:28

go to Chile and see whether they can

1:31

they can operate out of there either

1:33

their industrial or or businesses, but

1:35

also I mean, the the professions. So, if

1:38

we if we can we can

1:40

get people to choose Chile, uh maybe we

1:43

can compensate for what we're not

1:45

getting out of critical minerals.

1:47

Uh we have a little bit of the Dutch

1:49

disease in in in in our country for some

1:51

time. We used to grow at rates well

1:53

above the average uh, world growth

1:56

rates, 5 6, 7%. Today we are below that

2:01

and this has has been going on for 12

2:03

years. And one of the things that we we

2:06

wanted to do

2:08

coming into office was to go back to

2:10

where we used to be and

2:12

we need help. We need

2:14

human capital basically. We're going to

2:16

generate it over time through education,

2:18

but that's not enough.

2:19

That's the whole concept behind Just

2:21

Steel.

2:22

>> And just just very briefly, when people

2:23

think of Chile, they think of copper or

2:25

they think of lithium, but where are

2:26

you? What sorts of other industries are

2:29

you hoping to attract?

2:30

>> Well, we have other industries already

2:32

in in in in in in the country. We're

2:34

we're very very large food exporters,

2:37

also paper and pulp, fish,

2:40

salmon and probably sure some of the

2:42

people in the audience have tried

2:43

Chilean salmon. We compete with Norway

2:45

there.

2:46

It's a very unique thing about Chile

2:48

because not many places in the world can

2:49

do that. But still this is not enough.

2:53

And

2:54

that's why we we came up with this idea.

2:57

Uh,

2:57

uh,

2:58

we we need to

3:00

the spill overs of the industries that

3:01

we have developed are not enough for the

3:03

rest of the economy.

3:04

Uh,

3:05

just to give you an idea, I mean, the

3:07

way the mining industry works is you you

3:10

grab workers from all over the place.

3:12

You take them into Antofagasta, they fly

3:15

in. They pick up a bus, they go to the

3:18

mining camps, they stay there for 10

3:19

days and go back home

3:21

10 days later. Just to return a few I

3:24

mean

3:25

a week

3:26

uh, after that. So the the the the the

3:29

the spill over of the other industries

3:31

that have to benefit from this

3:32

development are not are not getting

3:33

enough. So what we need to do is to

3:35

bring more

3:37

talent and so that we can add

3:40

what you would say

3:41

value added to the product we're doing

3:43

downstream investments that will allow

3:45

us to not only

3:47

do what we're doing, but more.

3:49

>> Mhm.

3:49

And Japan and in Asia, Japan and China

3:52

obviously the biggest investors in in

3:54

Chile. Where do you see this extra

3:56

investment coming from other particular?

3:57

>> Well, our our

3:59

largest investor into this Canada.

4:01

Actually the number two is the US.

4:04

Japan is also very important. China is

4:06

not so not so important in terms of

4:08

investments. They're they're our biggest

4:10

trading partner. They're the most

4:12

significant importer of of our goods. So

4:15

we trade a lot with China around about

4:17

40% of our trade is with China.

4:19

But of course investments

4:23

the Canada US and

4:25

Europe come come come come first.

4:28

>> And you know as discussed copper is is

4:30

obviously your biggest export.

4:32

Which when you look at Asia which Asian

4:34

markets do you think realistically can

4:36

absorb more of your copper?

4:39

>> Now of course

4:40

copper is linked to to the energy

4:42

transition.

4:44

And also to electromobility.

4:46

So the industrial

4:49

footprint is very important. So far

4:51

probably if you if you forecast copper

4:54

going forward some people say that

4:56

three four years down the road we're

4:58

going to have scarcity of

5:01

of of this mineral. Chile is investing

5:03

heavily with with the numbers are around

5:05

about 100 billion dollars for the next

5:07

10 years.

5:08

And and of course it's highly

5:09

concentrated because we we and we need

5:12

to to expand the number of places where

5:15

there are there are buying copper from

5:16

us. For that purpose we need to move

5:19

away from from concentrate and starting

5:22

exporting refined copper. That implies

5:25

changing a little bit the footprint of

5:26

smelters in in the region not

5:28

necessarily in Chile but in other in

5:29

other markets like Europe the US or even

5:32

Latin America. And

5:34

probably China will continue to be a

5:36

very significant

5:38

client for our copper because of the

5:39

industrial footprint they have. But as

5:41

as data centers or as they call today AI

5:45

factories start to spread out around the

5:46

world well of course, the the the demand

5:48

for for copper will be more widespread.

5:52

>> And and right now, how are you seeing

5:54

the demand for copper?

5:55

>> Very strong.

5:56

>> Yeah.

5:56

>> Very very strong, yeah.

5:58

Uh

5:59

the amount of investments are going to

6:01

into AI and and

6:03

and data centers is huge. Of course,

6:05

that implies energy.

6:07

And energy has to be transported. The

6:09

electrons travel through copper. This is

6:12

the highway from from the generators to

6:14

the to the places where the

6:16

energy is consumed. And that's a very

6:18

very important thing for for our

6:20

product.

6:21

>> So, I'd like to talk a little bit about

6:24

um

6:24

Washington. So, you were recently in

6:26

Washington and

6:26

>> That was a couple of weeks ago.

6:27

>> Marco Rubio and other US officials.

6:30

Um as you partly I guess as you seek to

6:32

protect your exporters from from from

6:35

tariff measures.

6:36

But what what did you take away from

6:38

those conversations and how concerned

6:40

should Chile be about the the future

6:42

direction of trade US trade policy?

6:44

>> I think that

6:46

one of the things that is clear to me is

6:47

that after COVID, the trust in the in

6:50

the supply chain that we have built

6:52

after globalization was challenged.

6:54

Uh probably the the way

6:57

goods and services were distributed

6:58

during the the COVID period were not in

7:01

proportion to market shares of of demand

7:03

before COVID. And that generated some

7:05

anxiety and and the need or at least

7:08

the thought that at least that uh

7:10

countries needed to be more uh

7:12

self-sufficient. Uh

7:13

And that generated a shift in terms of

7:16

the of the of the production of of goods

7:18

and services around the world.

7:20

And I I think personally that this is

7:22

it's a trend that is here to stay. Uh

7:25

and uh so, the globalization will will

7:27

switch to what I call a probably

7:30

friend-shoring.

7:31

And uh what we're going to see start

7:32

seeing is probably clusters of countries

7:35

pulling together

7:37

uh free market arrangements within

7:38

themselves so that they can And then

7:40

basically compensate for the fact that

7:43

this global market that we used to have

7:45

will will

7:46

be more problematic going forward. The

7:48

last time that this happened in the

7:49

world was in the 1930s of of the of the

7:52

last century. It lasted for 40 years. So

7:55

I I don't think it's I think this time

7:57

we'll we'll we'll see this trend for a

7:59

while.

8:00

So that is why it's so important to to

8:02

travel to to visit our our trade

8:04

partners to talk to them and to see what

8:06

opportunities are there that we can

8:08

exploit so that we can compensate and

8:10

somehow

8:12

not lose the efficiencies that we were

8:13

able to to generate through trade. In

8:16

this search for for more security.

8:19

>> Mark Carney in his in his now famous

8:21

speech in Davos talked about the need

8:23

for the middle powers and perhaps also

8:25

smaller powers to find their allies and

8:28

to group together in the sort of you

8:29

know shifting

8:31

shifting world that we find ourselves

8:32

in. Who do you see as Chile's natural

8:35

partners?

8:36

>> Well, our natural we we have a free

8:38

trade agreements with 90% of world's

8:40

GDP.

8:41

Or

8:42

so we have a very large base of

8:44

partners. Now, when we look at what

8:46

we've done in the last 40 years, we

8:48

haven't changed much our matrix of

8:50

exports. 40 years ago we were exporting

8:53

basically minerals and a few other

8:54

products.

8:55

Today we're in terms of size much larger

8:58

than

8:58

in terms of what we export, but still

9:01

50% more or less the same products. What

9:03

has happened is what we have

9:05

concentrated our client base. In for 40

9:08

years ago 20% of our exports went to

9:09

Europe. Today it's less than 10.

9:12

5% China represented less than around

9:14

5%. Today it's close to 1/3.

9:17

So I so when you we we have the the the

9:20

client base there, but we haven't been

9:23

able to exploit our our our our ability

9:27

to to to sell products to them neither

9:30

in terms of the diversification of the

9:32

client base nor in the diversification

9:34

of number of products. So what we have

9:36

to concentrate now is to make sure that

9:38

we're able to

9:40

expand our our our clients and also

9:44

expand our our the pros we sell them.

9:46

And and for that we need to start moving

9:48

I mean

9:49

using our feet.

9:51

Contracts or or treaties are not enough.

9:53

They're just a starting point. So we

9:55

need to travel more, we need to invite

9:57

more

9:58

our our our friends to go visit us. We

10:00

need to see whether we can where can can

10:02

we cooperate in terms of what they do

10:04

and we do.

10:05

And that's that's a challenge today to

10:07

to be able to

10:09

do more with our with our friends.

10:13

>> When you talk with US trade officials,

10:15

obviously we are in a the Trump

10:17

administration is is very very different

10:19

to the other administrations that have

10:20

preceded especially

10:23

around trade. You were telling me before

10:25

we came on stage that you studied in you

10:27

studied in Chicago. So you are a student

10:29

of of of of of free markets. But you

10:33

know there's a lot of talk about how

10:35

aggressive this administration is and

10:37

how difficult it can be to deal with.

10:38

When you're in a room with them,

10:40

do you find that they listen

10:42

>> Yeah, they certainly listen. I mean I I

10:44

what I know about trade I learned from

10:45

them. So I mean and and basically free

10:48

trade was the name of the game if you

10:50

wanted to increase output. That's the

10:52

most efficient way to to to do things.

10:55

The cost of what you of what you produce

10:57

I mean or what you substitute is what

11:00

you you had stop doing in order to

11:03

substitute certain the things you're

11:04

importing. So it's it's come come it

11:06

comes from the in from inside. And and

11:09

so the the the normal trend is is is to

11:13

say well I'm going to specialize in the

11:14

things I do best and I'm going to import

11:16

from from from you the things that you

11:19

do best.

11:20

I mean I have a a trade deficit with my

11:23

the guy that cuts my hair.

11:25

What should I care about that?

11:27

So and the the same holds true for

11:29

because I have a surplus with others.

11:32

And I

11:33

don't and and don't start cutting my

11:36

hair to avoid a trade deficit with my

11:38

So that's the rule and everybody knows

11:41

that.

11:41

Now on the other end

11:44

there was the perception that

11:47

trade was not fair. In what sense?

11:50

You certainly

11:52

tariffs were fine. I mean

11:54

zero tariffs were perfectly but there

11:56

are other things behind the scene that

11:59

can can influence what you're able to

12:01

import or export.

12:02

And and

12:03

the the since I think the feeling was

12:06

that the world was not being fair.

12:08

And I get that the perception that the

12:11

US felt that they weren't being treated

12:13

fairly in in in in the way they were

12:16

were able to offer their products

12:18

abroad. Now whether that's true or not

12:20

it's it's hard to tell but if you look

12:23

at the the

12:24

the US economy you you know that they're

12:26

basically at full employment.

12:27

Unemployment is only 4% so whatever

12:30

they're not doing in terms of goods

12:31

they're doing in services. But

12:35

if you go back again to that's why I

12:37

think it's so important to go back to

12:38

the the COVID days. If you go back to

12:40

the COVID days probably the sensation

12:42

that was generated there is that if you

12:45

weren't able to manufacture at home what

12:48

you needed in a crisis you were

12:50

vulnerable. And and that's that's there

12:52

to stay for a while and and I think that

12:55

to some extent what we're living now is

12:56

precisely the sensation that that the

12:59

countries need to be or the countries

13:01

need to be

13:02

secure in terms of what they they can

13:04

they can produce for themselves. Now

13:07

when you have a smaller size countries

13:09

like Chile or Singapore

13:11

we can't we cannot do everything. So

13:14

this is why it's so

13:15

with the same logic it's so important to

13:17

generate the coalitions of

13:21

countries or markets that can help

13:22

themselves and can decide what are we

13:24

going to do ourselves and what are we

13:26

going where we're going to

13:28

import from you, but on one condition.

13:31

If something bad happens that we I'm

13:32

going to be I'm going to fairly sell to

13:35

you what do you have been buying from me

13:37

and you're going to supply to me what

13:39

I'm I've I've been buying from you.

13:41

You're not going to We're going to keep

13:42

the rules of the game even though we may

13:44

face a difficult time. So, I think

13:47

that's that's something that you can

13:48

work out in in in smaller groups and uh

13:52

we have of course several several trade

13:54

agreements and and within the group

13:57

within different groups of the Pacific

13:59

for example and this is something that

14:01

we have to sit down and talk so that we

14:02

can

14:03

substitute in a way what we're going to

14:06

lose by this shift away from

14:07

globalization.

14:08

>> Mhm.

14:09

>> [snorts]

14:10

>> I've got one more question for you on

14:11

your sort of discussions with with with

14:12

Washington. I mean is China are you

14:15

actively looking for exemptions or

14:18

carve-outs or broader bilateral

14:20

understanding with the with the US?

14:22

>> Well,

14:22

>> Of course, there is a close

14:23

relationship, you know, between the two

14:25

countries and the two presidents, you

14:27

know, share some well, have some

14:28

similarities in terms of

14:30

>> Well, we have a trade agreement with the

14:31

US and that as they have with others,

14:35

this thing is being renegotiated on this

14:38

new

14:39

scenario and and we have to sit down and

14:41

and

14:42

and and discuss what how we're going to

14:45

get out of this of this

14:47

uh

14:47

issue. Let me give you an example of of

14:49

of things that happen and sometimes the

14:51

devil is in the details. We export

14:55

chicken to the US, but we import chicken

14:58

from the US as well and we had a we have

15:00

a a trade a a trade equilibrium in

15:04

chicken.

15:05

Uh because they like to eat the breast

15:07

and we like to eat the

15:09

the legs.

15:10

Uh

15:10

and and more as we export to them as

15:13

many kilos of breast as we import from

15:15

them kilos of legs. I mean, what sense

15:18

does it make? We shouldn't we have zero

15:20

tariff for that? Mhm. we we And And uh

15:23

that's It's a true story, by the way.

15:26

And And this is This are kind of things

15:28

that we have to look at. Or for other

15:30

another example,

15:31

they they eat fruit and we produce

15:33

fruit, but we are we're off-season with

15:36

what they produce. Again, that's a

15:38

That's a win-win for us and for them.

15:41

So, there are lots of details that we

15:42

can we can eventually

15:44

sit down and talk about them and and and

15:46

and and make sure that we can

15:49

still benefit from trade. So, we can

15:51

continue eating the chicken legs and

15:53

they can continue eating eating the

15:55

>> I didn't I didn't expect to be talking

15:57

about chicken diplomacy here on

15:59

here on stage, but but it is what it is.

16:01

We live in strange times.

16:02

We're coming We're coming close

16:04

to the end

16:06

of our time, but you know, you mentioned

16:08

earlier China, of course, is your

16:09

biggest trading partner. You also have

16:12

this very important strategic political

16:14

relationship

16:16

with the United States.

16:18

How is Chile managing that juggling act?

16:20

And how do you plan to manage that

16:22

juggling act?

16:23

>> Well, we we have to

16:25

Again, we are

16:26

a small country. We have to export to

16:28

everybody. We trade with everybody. We

16:31

have to be friends with everybody. And

16:32

we don't have to choose. They're

16:33

complementary. And we want to continue

16:36

doing business with with both of them.

16:38

China is very important for us in terms

16:40

of exporting goods and and

16:42

minerals. They're also very important in

16:44

supplying from to us a lot of a lot of

16:46

goods that are basically very convenient

16:49

for us. The US, on the other hand, is a

16:51

very important strategic partner. We we

16:53

import from them a lot of services. We

16:55

export to them lots of goods. And

16:58

we need them both. So, that's that's

17:00

that's the way we we're going to develop

17:02

ourselves. We're going to trade with

17:03

everybody.

17:04

>> You said you don't have to choose, but

17:06

have there been any moments where you

17:08

felt like you're you're being forced to

17:11

choose or

17:13

one of

17:13

one of those powers is going going you

17:15

to choose?

17:16

>> No, no, I I don't I we haven't felt that

17:18

way. Uh and of course the other

17:20

negotiation sometimes implies that you

17:22

bluff.

17:23

Uh but

17:25

well, we we can play poker as well. So

17:27

and and and

17:29

one important thing to to to give in

17:31

mind is that negotiating is not the art

17:33

of giving arguments, but the art the art

17:35

of building up options.

17:37

>> Mhm.

17:38

>> And that's that's where it's a very

17:39

important for us to expand our client

17:41

base. As as I was telling you, if you go

17:44

40 years down the road, we're exporting

17:46

to a larger base than we are today. So

17:48

we have to expand our

17:50

our client base. That's Michael Porter

17:51

101. I mean, diversify your your your

17:55

client base.

17:56

And we're working hard to do that. And

17:57

we we were not we went to India I mean

18:01

like a month ago, we started

18:02

conversations with them. We're going to

18:03

negotiate a free trade agreement with

18:05

with India. We're talking to all of our

18:07

our neighbors to expand our to modernize

18:09

and and and expand our our our free

18:12

trade agreements with them. And but now

18:14

talking specifically about things that

18:16

can happen. And this is a very important

18:18

element so that we don't we're not

18:19

pressured to to to accept the idea that

18:22

we have to choose.

18:23

>> Mhm.

18:24

>> Uh so

18:25

the art of the the art of the deal. We

18:26

have to be there every day and and very

18:28

importantly working with our the private

18:30

sector. They come with us to the to the

18:32

trips and and they sit in the on the

18:34

table. They talk to to their their their

18:36

potential clients. So

18:38

for example,

18:40

we were in Indonesia yesterday. We went

18:42

to visit a an

18:44

salmon importer with one of the Chilean

18:47

producers. And that's the kind of thing

18:49

we're we're doing. We're using our feet

18:51

to solve the problem.

18:53

>> Salmon, chicken does more to Chile than

18:55

copper, obviously. So

18:56

>> Uh exactly. Correct. But probably the

18:59

one thing we want to do is move into the

19:02

into the digital era. AI is very

19:04

important. We're lots of

19:06

we're getting a significant investment

19:08

in in in data centers and things like

19:10

that. But but that salmon and we'll will

19:13

to be imported.

19:14

>> All right, Minister. Thank you so much

19:15

for joining us today. Thank you.

19:16

Thank you all.

Interactive Summary

The Chilean Minister for Foreign Affairs discusses the 'Choose Chile' project, an initiative aimed at revitalizing economic growth by attracting investment and human capital to diversify the economy beyond critical minerals like copper and lithium. The conversation covers Chile's approach to global trade amid shifting supply chains, the importance of maintaining strong relationships with both China and the United States, and the strategy of 'friend-shoring' to ensure economic security and market access.

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