Chile's Minister of Foreign Affairs on Global Trade
573 segments
So, we've heard today a lot about energy
security, resilience, investment flows.
Um so, I'm looking forward to getting
into that. But, of course, just to
introduce you, I think maybe to to to
the audience, you came to office in
March
um of this year as Minister for Foreign
Affairs serving President Kast,
um who's of course seen as an important
ally of Donald Trump in Latin America.
So, later on, maybe we can talk about a
little bit about regional um politics
um and global politics. But, before all
of that, um
you're here at least partly you're going
to ASEAN after this, but you're also
here partly to bang the drum for this
idea of Choose Chile. Can you tell us a
little bit about your Choose Chile
project?
>> Okay. I mean,
one of the missions that
I have from the Foreign Ministry is to
help the country recover growth. And
this is an old idea that I I got from
President Macron when I was sitting in a
board of French company some some years
before the the pandemic. He started with
the program called Choose France. And
one of the things we need to do in in in
the in the case of Chile is to be able
to compensate what we don't get from
mining
minerals in terms of the rest of the
economy. And
the key element there is human capital.
And we need to somehow push the rest of
the economy up. And the idea that popped
in my mind was, why don't we borrow the
this this concept that the French had
had designed to invite investors and I
not only investors, but also people to
go to Chile and see whether they can
they can operate out of there either
their industrial or or businesses, but
also I mean, the the professions. So, if
we if we can we can
get people to choose Chile, uh maybe we
can compensate for what we're not
getting out of critical minerals.
Uh we have a little bit of the Dutch
disease in in in in our country for some
time. We used to grow at rates well
above the average uh, world growth
rates, 5 6, 7%. Today we are below that
and this has has been going on for 12
years. And one of the things that we we
wanted to do
coming into office was to go back to
where we used to be and
we need help. We need
human capital basically. We're going to
generate it over time through education,
but that's not enough.
That's the whole concept behind Just
Steel.
>> And just just very briefly, when people
think of Chile, they think of copper or
they think of lithium, but where are
you? What sorts of other industries are
you hoping to attract?
>> Well, we have other industries already
in in in in in in the country. We're
we're very very large food exporters,
also paper and pulp, fish,
salmon and probably sure some of the
people in the audience have tried
Chilean salmon. We compete with Norway
there.
It's a very unique thing about Chile
because not many places in the world can
do that. But still this is not enough.
And
that's why we we came up with this idea.
Uh,
uh,
we we need to
the spill overs of the industries that
we have developed are not enough for the
rest of the economy.
Uh,
just to give you an idea, I mean, the
way the mining industry works is you you
grab workers from all over the place.
You take them into Antofagasta, they fly
in. They pick up a bus, they go to the
mining camps, they stay there for 10
days and go back home
10 days later. Just to return a few I
mean
a week
uh, after that. So the the the the the
the spill over of the other industries
that have to benefit from this
development are not are not getting
enough. So what we need to do is to
bring more
talent and so that we can add
what you would say
value added to the product we're doing
downstream investments that will allow
us to not only
do what we're doing, but more.
>> Mhm.
And Japan and in Asia, Japan and China
obviously the biggest investors in in
Chile. Where do you see this extra
investment coming from other particular?
>> Well, our our
largest investor into this Canada.
Actually the number two is the US.
Japan is also very important. China is
not so not so important in terms of
investments. They're they're our biggest
trading partner. They're the most
significant importer of of our goods. So
we trade a lot with China around about
40% of our trade is with China.
But of course investments
the Canada US and
Europe come come come come first.
>> And you know as discussed copper is is
obviously your biggest export.
Which when you look at Asia which Asian
markets do you think realistically can
absorb more of your copper?
>> Now of course
copper is linked to to the energy
transition.
And also to electromobility.
So the industrial
footprint is very important. So far
probably if you if you forecast copper
going forward some people say that
three four years down the road we're
going to have scarcity of
of of this mineral. Chile is investing
heavily with with the numbers are around
about 100 billion dollars for the next
10 years.
And and of course it's highly
concentrated because we we and we need
to to expand the number of places where
there are there are buying copper from
us. For that purpose we need to move
away from from concentrate and starting
exporting refined copper. That implies
changing a little bit the footprint of
smelters in in the region not
necessarily in Chile but in other in
other markets like Europe the US or even
Latin America. And
probably China will continue to be a
very significant
client for our copper because of the
industrial footprint they have. But as
as data centers or as they call today AI
factories start to spread out around the
world well of course, the the the demand
for for copper will be more widespread.
>> And and right now, how are you seeing
the demand for copper?
>> Very strong.
>> Yeah.
>> Very very strong, yeah.
Uh
the amount of investments are going to
into AI and and
and data centers is huge. Of course,
that implies energy.
And energy has to be transported. The
electrons travel through copper. This is
the highway from from the generators to
the to the places where the
energy is consumed. And that's a very
very important thing for for our
product.
>> So, I'd like to talk a little bit about
um
Washington. So, you were recently in
Washington and
>> That was a couple of weeks ago.
>> Marco Rubio and other US officials.
Um as you partly I guess as you seek to
protect your exporters from from from
tariff measures.
But what what did you take away from
those conversations and how concerned
should Chile be about the the future
direction of trade US trade policy?
>> I think that
one of the things that is clear to me is
that after COVID, the trust in the in
the supply chain that we have built
after globalization was challenged.
Uh probably the the way
goods and services were distributed
during the the COVID period were not in
proportion to market shares of of demand
before COVID. And that generated some
anxiety and and the need or at least
the thought that at least that uh
countries needed to be more uh
self-sufficient. Uh
And that generated a shift in terms of
the of the of the production of of goods
and services around the world.
And I I think personally that this is
it's a trend that is here to stay. Uh
and uh so, the globalization will will
switch to what I call a probably
friend-shoring.
And uh what we're going to see start
seeing is probably clusters of countries
pulling together
uh free market arrangements within
themselves so that they can And then
basically compensate for the fact that
this global market that we used to have
will will
be more problematic going forward. The
last time that this happened in the
world was in the 1930s of of the of the
last century. It lasted for 40 years. So
I I don't think it's I think this time
we'll we'll we'll see this trend for a
while.
So that is why it's so important to to
travel to to visit our our trade
partners to talk to them and to see what
opportunities are there that we can
exploit so that we can compensate and
somehow
not lose the efficiencies that we were
able to to generate through trade. In
this search for for more security.
>> Mark Carney in his in his now famous
speech in Davos talked about the need
for the middle powers and perhaps also
smaller powers to find their allies and
to group together in the sort of you
know shifting
shifting world that we find ourselves
in. Who do you see as Chile's natural
partners?
>> Well, our natural we we have a free
trade agreements with 90% of world's
GDP.
Or
so we have a very large base of
partners. Now, when we look at what
we've done in the last 40 years, we
haven't changed much our matrix of
exports. 40 years ago we were exporting
basically minerals and a few other
products.
Today we're in terms of size much larger
than
in terms of what we export, but still
50% more or less the same products. What
has happened is what we have
concentrated our client base. In for 40
years ago 20% of our exports went to
Europe. Today it's less than 10.
5% China represented less than around
5%. Today it's close to 1/3.
So I so when you we we have the the the
client base there, but we haven't been
able to exploit our our our our ability
to to to sell products to them neither
in terms of the diversification of the
client base nor in the diversification
of number of products. So what we have
to concentrate now is to make sure that
we're able to
expand our our our clients and also
expand our our the pros we sell them.
And and for that we need to start moving
I mean
using our feet.
Contracts or or treaties are not enough.
They're just a starting point. So we
need to travel more, we need to invite
more
our our our friends to go visit us. We
need to see whether we can where can can
we cooperate in terms of what they do
and we do.
And that's that's a challenge today to
to be able to
do more with our with our friends.
>> When you talk with US trade officials,
obviously we are in a the Trump
administration is is very very different
to the other administrations that have
preceded especially
around trade. You were telling me before
we came on stage that you studied in you
studied in Chicago. So you are a student
of of of of of free markets. But you
know there's a lot of talk about how
aggressive this administration is and
how difficult it can be to deal with.
When you're in a room with them,
do you find that they listen
>> Yeah, they certainly listen. I mean I I
what I know about trade I learned from
them. So I mean and and basically free
trade was the name of the game if you
wanted to increase output. That's the
most efficient way to to to do things.
The cost of what you of what you produce
I mean or what you substitute is what
you you had stop doing in order to
substitute certain the things you're
importing. So it's it's come come it
comes from the in from inside. And and
so the the the normal trend is is is to
say well I'm going to specialize in the
things I do best and I'm going to import
from from from you the things that you
do best.
I mean I have a a trade deficit with my
the guy that cuts my hair.
What should I care about that?
So and the the same holds true for
because I have a surplus with others.
And I
don't and and don't start cutting my
hair to avoid a trade deficit with my
So that's the rule and everybody knows
that.
Now on the other end
there was the perception that
trade was not fair. In what sense?
You certainly
tariffs were fine. I mean
zero tariffs were perfectly but there
are other things behind the scene that
can can influence what you're able to
import or export.
And and
the the since I think the feeling was
that the world was not being fair.
And I get that the perception that the
US felt that they weren't being treated
fairly in in in in the way they were
were able to offer their products
abroad. Now whether that's true or not
it's it's hard to tell but if you look
at the the
the US economy you you know that they're
basically at full employment.
Unemployment is only 4% so whatever
they're not doing in terms of goods
they're doing in services. But
if you go back again to that's why I
think it's so important to go back to
the the COVID days. If you go back to
the COVID days probably the sensation
that was generated there is that if you
weren't able to manufacture at home what
you needed in a crisis you were
vulnerable. And and that's that's there
to stay for a while and and I think that
to some extent what we're living now is
precisely the sensation that that the
countries need to be or the countries
need to be
secure in terms of what they they can
they can produce for themselves. Now
when you have a smaller size countries
like Chile or Singapore
we can't we cannot do everything. So
this is why it's so
with the same logic it's so important to
generate the coalitions of
countries or markets that can help
themselves and can decide what are we
going to do ourselves and what are we
going where we're going to
import from you, but on one condition.
If something bad happens that we I'm
going to be I'm going to fairly sell to
you what do you have been buying from me
and you're going to supply to me what
I'm I've I've been buying from you.
You're not going to We're going to keep
the rules of the game even though we may
face a difficult time. So, I think
that's that's something that you can
work out in in in smaller groups and uh
we have of course several several trade
agreements and and within the group
within different groups of the Pacific
for example and this is something that
we have to sit down and talk so that we
can
substitute in a way what we're going to
lose by this shift away from
globalization.
>> Mhm.
>> [snorts]
>> I've got one more question for you on
your sort of discussions with with with
Washington. I mean is China are you
actively looking for exemptions or
carve-outs or broader bilateral
understanding with the with the US?
>> Well,
>> Of course, there is a close
relationship, you know, between the two
countries and the two presidents, you
know, share some well, have some
similarities in terms of
>> Well, we have a trade agreement with the
US and that as they have with others,
this thing is being renegotiated on this
new
scenario and and we have to sit down and
and
and and discuss what how we're going to
get out of this of this
uh
issue. Let me give you an example of of
of things that happen and sometimes the
devil is in the details. We export
chicken to the US, but we import chicken
from the US as well and we had a we have
a a trade a a trade equilibrium in
chicken.
Uh because they like to eat the breast
and we like to eat the
the legs.
Uh
and and more as we export to them as
many kilos of breast as we import from
them kilos of legs. I mean, what sense
does it make? We shouldn't we have zero
tariff for that? Mhm. we we And And uh
that's It's a true story, by the way.
And And this is This are kind of things
that we have to look at. Or for other
another example,
they they eat fruit and we produce
fruit, but we are we're off-season with
what they produce. Again, that's a
That's a win-win for us and for them.
So, there are lots of details that we
can we can eventually
sit down and talk about them and and and
and and make sure that we can
still benefit from trade. So, we can
continue eating the chicken legs and
they can continue eating eating the
>> I didn't I didn't expect to be talking
about chicken diplomacy here on
here on stage, but but it is what it is.
We live in strange times.
We're coming We're coming close
to the end
of our time, but you know, you mentioned
earlier China, of course, is your
biggest trading partner. You also have
this very important strategic political
relationship
with the United States.
How is Chile managing that juggling act?
And how do you plan to manage that
juggling act?
>> Well, we we have to
Again, we are
a small country. We have to export to
everybody. We trade with everybody. We
have to be friends with everybody. And
we don't have to choose. They're
complementary. And we want to continue
doing business with with both of them.
China is very important for us in terms
of exporting goods and and
minerals. They're also very important in
supplying from to us a lot of a lot of
goods that are basically very convenient
for us. The US, on the other hand, is a
very important strategic partner. We we
import from them a lot of services. We
export to them lots of goods. And
we need them both. So, that's that's
that's the way we we're going to develop
ourselves. We're going to trade with
everybody.
>> You said you don't have to choose, but
have there been any moments where you
felt like you're you're being forced to
choose or
one of
one of those powers is going going you
to choose?
>> No, no, I I don't I we haven't felt that
way. Uh and of course the other
negotiation sometimes implies that you
bluff.
Uh but
well, we we can play poker as well. So
and and and
one important thing to to to give in
mind is that negotiating is not the art
of giving arguments, but the art the art
of building up options.
>> Mhm.
>> And that's that's where it's a very
important for us to expand our client
base. As as I was telling you, if you go
40 years down the road, we're exporting
to a larger base than we are today. So
we have to expand our
our client base. That's Michael Porter
101. I mean, diversify your your your
client base.
And we're working hard to do that. And
we we were not we went to India I mean
like a month ago, we started
conversations with them. We're going to
negotiate a free trade agreement with
with India. We're talking to all of our
our neighbors to expand our to modernize
and and and expand our our our free
trade agreements with them. And but now
talking specifically about things that
can happen. And this is a very important
element so that we don't we're not
pressured to to to accept the idea that
we have to choose.
>> Mhm.
>> Uh so
the art of the the art of the deal. We
have to be there every day and and very
importantly working with our the private
sector. They come with us to the to the
trips and and they sit in the on the
table. They talk to to their their their
potential clients. So
for example,
we were in Indonesia yesterday. We went
to visit a an
salmon importer with one of the Chilean
producers. And that's the kind of thing
we're we're doing. We're using our feet
to solve the problem.
>> Salmon, chicken does more to Chile than
copper, obviously. So
>> Uh exactly. Correct. But probably the
one thing we want to do is move into the
into the digital era. AI is very
important. We're lots of
we're getting a significant investment
in in in data centers and things like
that. But but that salmon and we'll will
to be imported.
>> All right, Minister. Thank you so much
for joining us today. Thank you.
Thank you all.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The Chilean Minister for Foreign Affairs discusses the 'Choose Chile' project, an initiative aimed at revitalizing economic growth by attracting investment and human capital to diversify the economy beyond critical minerals like copper and lithium. The conversation covers Chile's approach to global trade amid shifting supply chains, the importance of maintaining strong relationships with both China and the United States, and the strategy of 'friend-shoring' to ensure economic security and market access.
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