Did Super Bowl Ads Just Predict an AI Crash? | Pivot
2066 segments
Jeff, you're bad at this. Just at least
have a talk with me. Just meet me. I
don't like you. You don't like me. So
what?
Hi everyone. This is Pivot from New York
Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast
Network. I'm Cara Swisser
>> and I'm Scott Galloway.
>> Go Seahawks.
>> You like the Seahawks?
>> I like Jod Allen, the owner. Uh sister
of Paul Allen. I know her a tiny bit.
Um, I knew Paul, her brother who died,
um, who was one of the Microsoft
founders, just really cool lady. And,
uh, I can't stand Robert Craft. I think
he's a terrible person. I, the whole cat
Cat's family was for, um, uh, the
Patriots only because they live there.
Nobody likes Robert Craft. So, I was
happy about that. I like the Seahawks.
>> Well, I'm happy you're happy. Yeah,
>> the thing that summarized how I feel
about it was the Elmo the Elmo account
said, "I hope both teams have a really
fun time." That's about how much I care
about the Super Bowl. And the other one
was Elmo said, "He's not a bad bunny.
He's a good bunny."
>> He's a good bunny.
>> That's That's how I
>> NAGA lost its [ __ ] mind. We'll get to
that. But first, let's have a little bit
of um resistant unsubscribe. How's it
going, Scott? You everywhere. You're
like, you are like the village [ __ ] as
they say.
>> No, I'm not. I'm not a [ __ ] I'm a hor
I'm a ho.
>> We have a montage of Scott everywhere.
Let's check it out.
>> Resist and unsubscribe.
>> Resist and unsubscribe.
>> Explain to me why I should unsubscribe
from Amazon Prime if you really want to
hurt or send a message to the president.
What he does listen to is the following.
If you look at the times when he has
really checked back, immediately
responded and pulled back, it's been
when one of two things has happened. The
bond market yields have spiked or the
S&P has gone down. This is when he
backed off of his plans to annex
Greenland. It's when he's backed off of
tariffs. When you go after big tech
platforms with just a small decline in
spending, this is what moves the
markets. I think the string we can pull
here is to go after the subscription
revenues of big tech that now represents
40% of the S&P. You're hitting them with
a $10,000 decrease in market cap with
just one subscription cancellation. So,
this is a chance to go after the soft
tissue of big tech whose leaders the
president appears to be listening to.
>> Soft tissue you make hard.
>> Tell me. So, tell me where we are.
>> Came out of the gate strong. We're
getting about 100,000 uniques a day. And
I asked Chat GBT if I wanted to get
100,000 uniques with no paid or what
would it cost me to drive 100,000 people
to a site?
>> Go ahead.
It was interesting. It said 100 to
200,000 for the site, but it would take
$4 to5 million. So, we're getting quote
unquote $4 to5 million in traffic to the
site with and I haven't paid a dime for
anything. Um, but it started going down
earlier in the week. So, I did some
research on the uh bus strike in
Alabama. Was it Alabama? And then the
Kimmel thing. And what it ended up was
that the study from Kellogg, which I'm
really into about the protests that are
effective versus those that aren't, is
the unsubscribed to Disney were actually
declining dramatically. But the thing
that got Disney to reverse course was a
ton of
um media that was shaming them and
creating dissent. And that the media
that impacted that was traditional
media. So, I decided on Tuesday I was
going to get on as much traditional
media as I could and I was able to do
it. And then all of a sudden, the site
visits are now back to about 100,000.
But just to do the math,
uh, a good e-commerce site gets 2 to 4%
uh, conversion. This gets more cuz these
are people just coming to the site.
People are unsubscribing two to five
platforms. So, let's call it three. So,
I'm thinking I'm getting about 10,000
unsubscribes a day or 300,000
subscribes over the course of um over
the course Anyways, I've done the math
here. I think I think I can notionally
take about a quarter of a billion
dollars of market cap out of these
companies.
>> Yeah.
>> And does that change anything? It
doesn't. But it's irritating.
>> It's a voice in the choir. And I asked
Chad GPT what it thought of the
resistance movement so far. A one is you
throw a party, no one shows up, it
damages your reputation, makes other
protests less successful. In 10 is the
president and Sam Alman are, you know,
forced to to scale back some of this
stuff. And it said right now you're at a
six. And that is people in product
management teams are probably talking
about it, but not the executives yet.
>> Oh, they are. And I thought that was
sort of a fairly honest appraisal of
where we are. But yeah, I've been all
over the place.
>> My sons know about it. Like I'm just
telling you it's got a lot more I'm
getting texts from people I haven't
heard from in a while. Um so it's
interesting. They all like it because
here's why they have it's you can do
something, right? Like I can do that.
That's easy, right? It's not easy. I
just I should do that. like it gives you
permission to do something you kind of
were going to do and it it gives you a
framework and instructions right so
that's why it's successful I think in
that regard I think you have to do some
more podcasts maybe possibly
>> maybe Joe Rogan that's where I would go
that's where you need
>> well has invited me but yeah next week
this week was traditional media this I'm
sorry last week was traditional media
this week I'll start doing
>> um those people
>> more pods and stuff like that Um, so
yeah, I need to do I was just on Pierce
Morgan and that digressed into a food
fight with some ultra-conservative guys
calling me desperate and trying to tank
the US economy because we lost the
election. But anyways, yeah, I think
you're right. I think I have to
>> not food fight people. Don't do the food
fights. Don't go on any of those. Like
>> I think you should go on like a Brett
Bear or someone like that would be
useful, but or any any of the more
reasonable people over there. Not at
hand because it's a food fight. Like you
don't need a food fight for this. Like
you need a like just let me explain it
to you. I think Ro, the von um any of
those people and they like you, right?
Go on the let them go on Mel's thing.
>> Yeah, but Mel makes you come up to
Boston. So I was invited to go on the
PBD podcast, but similar to Mel, he
makes you come to him and he's in Fort
Lauderdale, so I don't know. I should
probably make the effort. Is it on is it
on the way to Boston?
>> Oh, not that guy.
>> Well, I he is constantly wrong. If you
want to be part of the resistance, you
have to go behind enemy
>> going to do a food fight with you.
Whatever you're going to do end up doing
a stupid food fight. You need to go on
people that want to listen and will have
a normal debate with you, but no, like
you don't want to be used as a chew toy
for the right on this one. I'm sorry. It
just doesn't
>> chew toy for the right.
>> Yeah. Yeah. Tasty.
>> Um, so I don't know. Well, I'll think of
more ideas. I have some more ideas and
studs. I mean, like you'd be better off
on like a Mr. Beast or like somewhere
like something where there's more
>> Yeah. like that kind of stuff. Like just
>> but one of the one of the ground zero
CEOs called me Saturday morning and
they're so good. They're so smart.
They're just like I just want to
understand it better. How are you? What
could we do better?
>> And like I got off the phone and I'm
like maybe I should take them off the
list. I'm like oh my god it's what it's
what they do. It's what they do.
>> They start massaging your feet. That's
what they're doing. They're massaging
your feet. They're like your feet.
>> They're like, you know, we have some
disagreements, but I really respect what
you're trying to do here, Scott. I'm
like, oh my gosh. I saw the post made
you one of the 50.
>> You got to believe I was number 49.
>> Right there. But hold on.
>> Oh, they're after you. They want to Kai
Trump. Kai Trump is one of the I didn't
even know there was a Kai in the Trump
family.
>> Yeah, she's a good golfer. I guess
that's fine. Whatever.
>> It's a pretty It's a pretty random list.
>> You know what I say? You could smile
more. You could smile more.
>> No smiles in those pictures.
>> No. The reason I have $100,000 in
veneers is so I don't have to [ __ ]
smile.
>> I understand. And I was just I was just
using the lady thing. Anyway, let's get
to the Super Bowl. Anyway, I'll think of
more ideas. I'll think I'm more stunts.
More stunts. We could Let's figure out a
stunt for South by Southwest. Something
like that. Keep it going. Anyway, that's
coming up. Um,
you didn't watch the Super Bowl, right?
No.
>> No. I have almost no interest in the
Super Bowl.
>> So, did you watch any You watched the
ads on other places where they had
>> I watched some of the ads that people
sent to me.
>> Yeah. Many of them stand out. I still
like the anthropic ones, I have to say.
I thought I thought they won the day. Uh
I didn't like the one on the Jewish kid
being bullied.
>> Um
>> I didn't I don't
>> too too virtue signalally.
>> I think there are better more effective
ways to talk about the risk of
anti-semitism. I I actually don't in a
weird way. I feel like it almost
normalizes it or raises the prospect
special kind of tone that kind of thing.
>> Yeah. It's so funny what I noticed with
I don't know if you've noticed this. I
went to my kid's school when he was a
seventh grader in middle school and
there were nth graders come down the
hall and I was way behind them and I
thought, "Oh, this going to be
interesting." In the seventh grade, if I
ran into ninth graders in an
unsupervised environment, they would
pants me and throw me in the trash and
take my lunch money.
>> And instead, now they're like, "Hey,
little man." And they high-five them.
Yeah.
>> I think things have changed a lot
>> for some people
>> in school. Yeah. The ads are always fun
to watch. I don't I just could the whole
Bad Bunny thing. I'm like he's the most
popular entertainer in the world.
>> We'll get to Bad Bunny second, but my
favorite I liked I really like the
anthropic ads. I like the elf. I like
the funny ones. The elf ad there's a
whole bunch of them that were super
funny and I I prefer those. And of
course, I have to say the Lays potato
chip ad got me. Got me.
>> Oh god, I thought that was so [ __ ]
ridiculous.
>> I know. But it got me. I agree. I knew
it was
>> the family farm. We fetishized
manufacturing and farmers. The family
farm is a corporation that's bought out
all these little farmers 30 years ago.
>> And yet it got me. I I want I was like
don't don't
>> How many How many college grad girls do
you think are trying to help dad with
their family?
>> Hot too. like
>> yeah,
>> she's she's in PR for Prada dating a
hedge fund manager
>> and her father put her through Hollywood
and she's hoping she's hoping to get a
miniseries, but no, she's going to go
home to Iowa to farm with her dad
>> and wear a car heart. She had a
beautiful That car heart didn't have a
speck of [ __ ] dust on it. Did you
notice that she had a Ralph Lauren ad?
>> I know nothing to do with the family.
>> But the potato chips are delicious. Let
me just say I like a lace potato chip.
They're quite good. They're good chips.
They're They're a good chip. They're a
fine chip. Um I'm trying to think which
other one was funny. I didn't like the
really I didn't like the Emma Stone one
or the George Clooney one. They were
weird. I don't want the weird ones. I
like the funny ones like the Instacart.
I thought the elf one was funny. Um I
have I will have to say the Jesus one
was good. The Christian like Jesus
knows. I thought it was
>> Oh, those are always nice.
>> That not always. That one was well done.
>> No, the I thought the really powerful I
don't know if it's the same people. The
the Jesus wash their feet. That one
>> that you
>> remember that from a few years ago?
>> This is a different one. Yeah,
>> this is a different one.
>> Yeah,
>> that kind of reminds me and it's not
totally related, but just FYI, Donald
Trump is mentioned more times in the
Epstein Files than Jesus is mentioned in
the Bible. Just saying. Or that the word
meth is said in all eight seasons of
Breaking Bad. Yeah,
>> but anyways, not related.
>> Not related. Anyway, they were they were
pretty they were decent ads. They
weren't I wouldn't I would say the
anthropic still head and freaking
shoulders. Open had one that was
somewhat effective a little bit. I guess
I thought it was good.
>> It was solid, but not like the
anthropic. They got knocked out by
anthropic.
>> But if the thing I looked at or the only
kind of insider or the thing I found
really interesting is if you look at the
ads,
>> a quarter of them were AI.
>> Yeah.
>> Uh 15 of the 66 were AI. The last time
tech was as dominant in the Super Bowl
in advertising, there's been two times
in the last 50 years. One was in 2022
when it was called the crypto bowl and
it was Binance and FTX and look what in
that year that was the year crypto blew
up and there were a ton of bankruptcies
and then the time before that what year
Super Bowl did
it was 2000 January 2000 quarter of the
ads were froms pets.com and the like and
look what happened. So if you look at
economic history as a ratio or as the
ratio of tech ads being above a certain
amount, it implies this year is when AI
crashes.
>> Yeah. I'll tell you when I hate it was
the Mike Tyson one. I'm sorry. I just
like it was my government money. Like it
was my dollars paying for Mike Tyson who
has issues of his own to tell me to eat
an apple and that fat people are losome.
I'm sorry. That was really grotesque.
>> I've met Mike Tyson. He's a chain smoker
>> perhap. Yeah, I know. I was literally
like, "That's my [ __ ] tax dollar
telling me to eat an apple. Thanks."
That was really gross. And of course,
these Maha people are such, you know, it
was all their friends that made the ad.
And of course, Brett Ratner was the
director.
Sexual harasser was someone convicted
and brave.
>> I think that's them waving their middle
finger in our face.
>> That's my money. That's my like That's
my money. Cut it out. Don't tell me to
eat an apple. But let me just focus on
the Bad Bunny halftime show. knocked it
out of the park with a projected 108 28
million viewers. Apple was the one did
it and Rock Nation was the producer.
They they've been doing that's Jay-Z's
group has been doing a lot of the really
great Super Bowl ones. And so Jay-Z's
been in charge of picking Super Bowl
halftime for the last seven years.
They've been really good actually. Uh
Turning Point USA of course had a live
stream of an all-American show featuring
Kid Rock who looked like he was
lip-syncing. It seemed the reaction and
re-reaction to Bad Bunny Show was so
joyful and fun and it was so full of if
you wanted to go into it and look at the
layers of you know he's such an artist
like he's he's not just
>> he's the biggest artist in the world he
>> but not just that it was so full of
stuff but you could also just enjoy it
if you didn't know
>> full it was fun
>> right and there was
>> and I realized like people ask me what I
thought of the performance I'm like it's
not for me if Tom Petty or George
Michael can't be there which they can't
I don't care you know, but what I
realized is it's not for me. And it was
a brilliant move on behalf of Roger
Goodell because the NFL is investing in
the future because more than 50% for the
first time ever of people under the age
of 18 are non-white. And people
identifying people saw it as
anti-American to have Puerto Rican or
Ecuadorian flag. No, Reagan said it
best. Anyone can come to America and be
an American. And that's uniquely what
makes America America. They're so but
because they are not the culture war is
they're not winning it. Nobody wants to
watch Kid Rock. And by the way, I should
I should do a dramatic reading of Kid
Rock's lyrics is you know these people
that were they were defending including
that guy's show you want to go on.
They're like oh kid rock. I'm like
literally he talks about putting balls
in the mouth. Come put your
>> Okay. But the retort there is now do rap
stars.
>> Of course. But this wasn't Bad Bunny.
Like fine. Like so it was a bunch of
really
>> It was pretty clean. I agree. You know
who the other big winner was in the
Super Bowl was the prediction market
apps?
>> Yeah. Where did they couch download
spike last month? Uh the app recording 4
million downloads in January. That's up
from less than 2 million in December.
And not only that, it's going at you
know who it's killing? It's killing the
gambling apps. The prediction market
apps from DraftKings and FanDuel got
more people that use it the better. Um
but let me just finish up on Bunny. It
was a great show. It was very light, you
know, you had Peter Pascal as a
background a person and and and and
Cardi B and um uh a whole bunch of
people and I thought Ricky Martin was
lovely looking fantastic and Lady Gaga
was great. It was so joyful and for them
to like attack it and shows just what a
bunch of [ __ ] losers they are. I'm
sorry. They just really are. They It was
so beautiful and so life affirming and
forward thinking and it is where our
country is in a lot of ways. And all I
wanted to do is like I've been trying to
um take Spanish myself, learn Spanish.
I've got to learn Spanish so I under
could understand what he
>> It's a beautiful language. I took it for
5 years in high school. I took them to
seventh and 12th grade. I can barely
order at a Mexican restaurant.
>> Me too. And I've been try I've gotten
one of those apps and I keep coming on
and off of it. I have to learn. This is
the year I learned Spanish. This is the
year.
>> But but what I try to do is I try to
take economic trends away from the Super
Bowl, specifically the advertising. And
the two trends are the following. one,
it looks like this is the year that AI
might crash because there's so much
cheap capital going going into it visa v
the Super Bowl. And the second thing is
there's been a huge transfer in economic
value or market capitalization from the
gaming apps to the prediction apps. In
just the last 3 months, the earnings per
share estimates for Flutter
Entertainment, which is the gaming or
the gambling apps, has been cut in half.
And DraftKings earnings estimates are
also down 29%. The biggest apps were the
gambling apps and now the speculation
markets are taking their are eating
their lunch.
>> Absolutely. And as you noted the NFL
made a great choice here in terms of how
it handles that really smart and the
beautiful visual of San Francisco on the
front which was I'm sorry to tell you
was a rainbow flag kids but um also good
for San Francisco looking great. All
these people are like what were they
talking about looking great? San
Francisco's on the upswing and uh I have
to say um
>> oh it was great for it was great for
your city. It was like Chamber of
Commerce.
>> I The only time I turned it on was late
at night. It was like 11:30 and it or it
started and it was this immediately this
beautiful vista of the Golden Gate
Bridge around around the golden hour.
>> Yeah.
>> And you're just like, wow. Occasionally
there's a moment where you're in
California and you're like, why did I
leave?
>> All the time.
>> Why did I leave again?
>> Exactly. every [ __ ] day of the week
and twice on Sundays when I wake up
>> the fog comes in over the Golden Gate
cleans all this [ __ ] out of the air
>> and then it's crystal clear and sharp
and I mean it is
>> every morning I wake up Scott I weep
Louis moving there just so you know my
son is will be moving to San Francisco
and working for someone who's in
politics there but I'm so jealous of him
anyway he's living in our in the
>> Elmo says bad bunny's a good bunny
>> let's move on to the to speaking of
crypto while The Dow hit a milestone
high of 50,000 last week. Crypto has
been heading the other way into a crypto
winter again. Bitcoin has just had its
worst weekly decline in more than 3
years, down roughly 45% from its
all-time high last October. The downturn
is being blamed on a few things.
Volatility in other markets, terror
fears, uncertainty around Fed chair
nominee Kevin Morris. I don't know about
that. The ongoing decline has been
brutal for some of crypto's biggest
champions. Michael Sailor Strategy Inc.
I know you're an admire just reported a
$12.4 4 billion quarterly loss. Wow. But
don't expect a Bitcoin bailout. Treasury
Secretary Scott Besson said
congressional hearing last week that he
has no authority to do that. Um, of
course, Trump was crypto president. Nice
job, David Saxs, by the way. Um, what do
he They got what they wanted, the crypto
people from Trump. Everything they
wanted. Um, they got rid of uh the Gary
Gensler. They got rid of Sharon Brown.
They got rid of critics. Uh, what do you
think? What's happening here? Well,
first off, I should just point out that
I am easily the worst crypto investor in
history.
>> Yes, because you just
>> I finally threw in the towel and I
bought some shares in a Bitcoin treasury
company. I bought it at 14 and within 45
days I sold it at $4.50.
>> Oh, nice. Well done. Well done.
>> Yeah, well done. Uh, look, Coin Market
Cap's crypto and fear greed index is now
at a nine, indicating extreme fear. This
is the highest reading in the index's
nearly three years of existence. Bitcoin
bit Bitcoin's basically been cut in half
since its high and investors
um had $2 and half billion dollars of
Bitcoin liquidated in just one day
alone. Even after Friday,
>> Bitcoin Bitcoin and then the others have
gone down 90 like the Melania coin the
other coins. Yeah,
>> coins. Even after Friday's rebound,
Bitcoin is down 43% from its pe from its
peak. And then the and the stocks
related to Bitcoin per year comments
have been hammered. Micro Strategy is
down nearly 70% from its peak last
summer and down 15% this year. Coinbase
is down 60% from its summer peak, down
30% this year. And Tom Lee's Bitine is
down 85% from its peak and 34% this
year. Crypto volatility is currently
about 8x higher than that of the S&P
500. But what I would say is the
following. And I don't get this market.
I I I I I respect that Bitcoin has
established itself as a tangible asset
because of scarcity value, because of
its technology. I think the rest is pure
speculation. But what typically has
happened over the last decade is when
Bitcoin has these drawdowns and there's
all this fear over the last 10 years
when we look back those have been buying
opportunities.
So I don't I mean I I always like to
talk about what I'm thinking of doing.
If Bitcoin keeps getting hammered, I
actually might buy a little bit. Not
because I believe in crypto, but because
I like diversification
and I do think this market is incredibly
volatile. I do think Bitcoin has
established itself as a legitimate asset
class. But there's just what's unusual
is typically Bitcoin is meant to be it
should benefit from a weak dollar in
inflation and it's not.
>> Yeah.
>> And it should it ends up that it's not
the default contraindicator of a
weakening dollar. silver, gold, that
kind of stuff.
>> We'll see. At the end of the day, the
crypto is really, it's not investing. It
is speculation. I I would argue that a
little bit of money, one to 3% of your
portfolio in Bitcoin may not be a bad
idea, but like I said, I am
not the other shitcoin.
>> I would not do any of the others. The
others to me are just greater full
theory come to life.
>> Yeah, you sucker. I call them sucker
coins. They're really
>> You have to watch it every day and all
that. It can take a real you volatility
is fine. If you're willing to endure
volatility, it means you'll get greater
returns. But what you want to do is you
want to diversify across multiple
volatile asset classes such that your
mental health is somewhat protected. You
know, you just one of the reasons I like
owning real estate is I don't have a
scorecard every day. And also, if you're
looking at your phone too much, and
you're really good at this, if you're
looking at your phone too much because
you're checking your stocks all the
time, a that's a hit to your human
capital, and B, you don't want to be you
never want to go all in on one thing
because the markets trump individual
dynamics. And if you bought $10,000
worth of Amazon in 1999, it was worth
$400 by two by the end of 2000.
>> And that takes a huge emotional toll on
you.
>> It does. So what you want to do is you
want to be you want to be diversified
and you want to be in good good ETFs,
good indexes and then put them away and
not look at them and think of them as
things you want to hone for five or 10
years. Look at them once a quarter if
you can.
>> I don't look at all
>> but you know
>> yeah I I think your approach to
investing is actually the right approach
to inve
when when Saul is going to be able to
drink he'll be 21. Alex will be 37. I'll
be 10 [ __ ] 12. So it doesn't really
matter to save for retirement.
>> It doesn't
>> doesn't matter.
>> You don't you don't even buy green
bananas anymore.
>> I All I need is money to put me in a
home and have nice nurses. That's all I
and I I can swing that with what I've
got. Even if I lost a lot,
>> I'll be pushing you around.
>> Oh, no. Wrong. I'll be push way.
>> And I'll hire really hot nurses.
>> Yes. And I
>> I'll manage that. I'll manage that side
of your life.
>> I'll manage them for you. What are you
talking about? I'm like, "Yes, he's a
little handsy, but just like put up with
it, you know, give him an extra tip."
>> A little handsy.
>> Little handsy.
>> Handsyish.
>> Just slap him. Just
>> handsyish. I told you.
>> Yeah.
>> I already have my my nurse picked out. A
guy named Manuel, very big with very
well moisturized hands.
>> I'll have some men there that manhandle
you. Anyway, let's go on a quick break.
When we come back, Amazon spending spree
and what Jeff Bezos is saying about the
Washington Post's future. All stupid
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Scott, we're back. Amazon's spending
plans are making waves on Wall Street
after the company signal massive
capbacks ramp up. Amazon said it expects
to spend about $200 billion dollars in
2026. Nearly a 60% increase from last
year. Uh CEO Andy Jasse justified the
spending by sending strong demand for
AI, robotics, chips, and satellites
makes sense for their business in a lot
of ways. The announcement appears to
spook investors though, sending stock
down 10% and wiping $1 133 billion off
of Amazon's market cap. What a massive
amount. Um let's talk about this. Um
they are at the same time there the the
the the suckupery that Jeff Bezos has
been doing. Uh and Andy Jasse too for
Trump is reaping benefits under Trump's
new tax on the company's corporate tax
bill fell to about $1.2 billion last
year down from $9 billion the year
before even though profits uh jumped
roughly 45%. So what Scott says is
corporate taxes just like this has been
a boon for Trump has been a boon for
these people. Um, so talk a little bit
about these spending because you know
they they they need to spend in
robotics. They obviously need AI to go
with the robotics and chips and of
course satellites delivery. They they
have such an unusual business that it's
both analog and and and advertising and
where they market things. It seems like
a company that should be spending here.
But your thoughts? Well, the problem
with or one of the things that makes our
economy so fragile is there's just a
small number of companies that can make
the can allocate this sort of capital.
And this week and last, Amazon, Google,
Meta, and Microsoft unveiled plans to
spend a combined 660 billion on AI
buildout this year. That's a 60%
increase from last year. Apple is the
only big tech company whose capex
decreased from last year. And the and
the sheer magnitude is just shocking.
That's three times the global R&D of the
pharmaceutical industry. So we're now
spending more on data centers and chips.
We're spending triple what we're
spending on trying to research
treatments for cancer and diabetes. It's
more they're spending more than it cost
to build the US interstate highway
system. We're spending more those those
four companies are going to spend more
than we spent on the Apollo moon program
and the International Space Station
combined. And it's the equivalent of
spending about $2 billion a day on AI.
And but what I think you're looking for
if I look at the stocks that are
responding to the market positively
versus negatively, it's okay. A big eye
is really impressive because it
separates you from the rest. Like
Snap can't spend billions of dollars to
increase the AI targeting of its ad of
its ad stack. Most companies just can't
spend that kind of money. But the
companies the company that's really done
well here is a company that not only has
the huge eye, huge capex, but also is
right away showing that they can garner
the return that justifies that eye. And
that company is Meta. Meta is showing uh
increased click-through, increased
advertising, increase ARPO, and it's
saying this is working for us, so we're
going to outspend every other media
company in the world. maybe with the
exception of Alphabet, but these types
of investment, there's just no getting
around them. They're absolutely
staggering. I can't figure out if it's
good or bad. I guess it's I'm hoping it
results in a lot of occasion.
>> You imagine lots of their business does
need this kind of stuff. Like you're
thinking, speaking of advertising, they
do a lot of it in marketing, right? So,
they have to understand what's effective
to to bring up for people when they
search on Amazon. um their their their
logistics of of their their their
various centers where they the
fulfillment centers, the robotics, it
seemed like a lot of this stuff does
lend itself to AI being more efficient
in that or giving them efficient
instructions. It's it would I would
imagine their business lends itself to
this. And you're right, they're the only
ones that can spend this much. Um and
then once it's spent, nobody can catch
them ever, ever, ever. It's just going
to have very weird second order effects
because if you look at where the money
is being spent, if you look at data
centers, most of them could have their
lights off during the day. They a huge
data center that costs hundreds of
millions to build employs what a Chili's
employs. And so obviously a huge burst
in vocational skills, but then what
happens there's no really ongoing
employment here. And what what I look at
is all right if you think about
I mean people say is AI going to affect
me and my standard line has been AI is
not going to take your job someone who
understands AI is going to take your job
and what you need to think about is is
AI complimentary to what I'm doing or is
it a substitute and Justin Wolfers the
economist from Michigan pointed this out
if you think about sec my mother was a
secretary she would be out of work right
now because AI came along and word
processors at the same time everyone
thought ATMs was going to put bank
tellers out of business. There are now
more bank tellers than there were preat
ATM because what they said is let's use
technology to upskill you so you can
give people mortgages, figure out their
financial planning. So just as at a
ground level, it's like okay, how do I
use AI as a weapon as opposed to being
on the wrong end of the weapon? But this
is the economic reshaping here is just
is staggering. But I do think we're at
that point now with all great
technologies that end up going on to be
hugely important that this is um I think
we're overdue for a correction. And the
technology I keep coming at I'm about to
buy stock is Nova Nordis just hit a like
a 5-year low. Nova Nordisk actually
rebounded yesterday, but Nova Nordis the
maker of I think it's I forget which one
it is or Regoi. And I'm I always tell
people the most important technology is
not AI, it's GLP1. and talk to somebody
who loves AI and uses it.
>> There's an ad for it. No, Serena
Williams really did Super Bowl by the
way.
>> Well, talk to anyone who use someone who
uses a lot of AI at their work, really
enjoys it, gets a lot of use out of it,
and then but that person is also on
GLP1,
ask them what's having a more profound
impact on their life.
>> Yeah.
>> Can you do a short rant about the
corporate taxes and the benefits of
being in the Trump administration for
these companies by sucking up? Unless
you don't want to.
Well, look, as a percentage of GDP,
corporate taxes have never been lower.
And as a percentage
of uh uh uh GDP, wages have never been
lower. And as a percentage of profits,
corporate profits have never been a
higher percentage of the SM of GDP. In
some, there's always a healthy tension
between capital and labor. But basically
what you have with AI, shareholders love
AI because what you're seeing across all
of these companies is margin expansion
but no incremental increase in
employment
>> and then lower taxes.
>> That's great for shareholders. And then
the lower tax argument is basically the
strategy for the last 40 years and the
Republicans. If we just lower taxes,
it'll trickle down. All it's doing is
just pushing back debt on young people.
But if you just look at the balance, if
you just assume at some point we have to
pay for our navy and our parks and for
food stamps, the question is, well, who
pays?
>> Yeah. I can't believe they went from 9
billion to 1.2 billion. That is a
savings.
That is a Oh god, I wish
>> this repeat that car.
>> Amazon's under the Trump's new tax law,
the companies, this is Amazon's
corporate tax bill fell to 1.2
>> automatic expensing. Yeah.
>> Yeah.
>> Yeah.
>> 45%. It's really the tax code has gone
from 400 pages to 4,000 and the 3600
pages one by one kind of [ __ ] the
middle class. And it wasn't these aren't
malicious people say let's [ __ ] the
middle class. What they are is really
talented people on behalf of lobbies
like Amazon that says let's figure out a
way to expense all capital expenditure
in year one.
>> But it's Trump's new tax law. It's it's
even more advantageous to them. This is
this is what this was always the game
folks is them getting more for
themselves. It really was with Trump. I
some of them don't like them, some of
them do.
>> This has been happening across
Democratic and Republican
administrations.
>> Agreed. But this new tax law is 1.2 from
nine billion. That's quite a lovely
>> I I agree with you and two things can be
true at once. Biden, for all the talk
about progressive policies and the need
to reduce the deficit,
>> fix it.
>> Taxes on corporations went down.
>> Yep.
>> During the Biden administration, so
here's the bottom line. And the only way
you get reelected, which must include
reservations and [ __ ] because these
people cling to power like an African
dictator. So that was both offensive and
a hate crime and racist. But these
people have decided that they will do
anything to stay in office. And the way
they stay in office is with a thoughtful
lobbyist who says, "Oh, just implement
this one little tax change called 122
where entrepreneurs and VCs get their
first 10 million out." And
incrementally, what we have done is
lower taxes on the 0.1% in corporations.
And we haven't raised taxes on the
middle or low income. That's a myth.
What we've done is we've raised taxes on
future generations with $7 trillion in
spending on $5 trillion in receipts. So
the people who've had their taxes
increased the most are a 55year-old who
is now 25. Because we have the full
faith in credit to borrow that money.
That full faith in credit and that
borrowing power will go away. And at
some point someone's going to have to
pay the piper either through massive
inflation or revolution or much higher
taxes.
>> Yep. Absolutely. Yes. kissing up works.
But um speaking of kissing up, Jeff
Bezos is finally speaking about the
future of the Washington Post following
last week's layoffs. He said in a
statement the Post had an essential
journalistic mission and an
extraordinary opportunity. Bezos added
that readers provided a roadmap to
success and that data tells us what his
value to focus well data. They all left
after he did any number of things. The
Bezos statement came shortly after Post
CEO and publisher Will Lewis announced
his exit from the paper. I think I think
it was exited from the paper. Uh
allegedly uh post CFO Jeff Donof Frio I
met him when he was at one of the tech
companies was CFO at is stepping in as
acting CEO. Um what a big I'm going to
comment on this data tells us what is
value. You're kidding. No [ __ ]
Sherlock. At the same time, you have to
create products that doesn't necessarily
follow data. You have to use both data
and creativity to create a journalistic
product. I mean, anyone would tell you
don't get together with Scott Galloway
data speaking. And of course, it worked
out beautifully. You have to have lots
and lots of things that go into media.
Jeff Bezos has made a number of errors
recently over the last two years. And
that's the reason people have fled in
droves from the Post as other places are
doing much better in New York Times,
Wall Street Journal, the numbers are up.
Um, lots of really interesting
independent media companies. It's not
true that he couldn't do something
better here. And of course, he's never
blamed himself for this [ __ ] Will
Lewis good riddens has been terrible.
Bezos didn't. Bezos again did not step
in and deal with this guy when he was
very clearly [ __ ] up. So that's my
thoughts. You don't have to have any,
but you can.
>> Well, what I don't get is, and maybe
you've done some reporting here, we have
this ideas about putting together a new
group. The bottom line is it's subscale.
Why wouldn't the New York Times or even
>> Bloomberg,
>> the Wall Street Journal take this on and
starch out some of the overhead costs,
but take that traffic and a great brand
and try and do something with it?
>> They could. They could. They could. I
would think Bloomberg is always sort of
the one.
>> Oh, Bloomberg, that's a great one.
>> Bloomberg to me would be the most, but
he's, you know, he's getting on. I mean,
I hate to say it. A younger Bloomberg
certainly.
>> Um, that's that's always that was one of
the possible buyers way back when when
they were trying to keep it out of
Rupert Murdoch's hands. Um, but you're
right. The the the Wall Street Journal
would be interesting. The um but why why
I mean I could let's I'll call Meredith
Leban and ask her and she probably just
go what do I need that for?
>> Yeah. Why do I need that headache?
>> What do I need that headache?
>> Yeah, but they take
>> They've got a great They've got a great
Washington firm. They What do they get?
What are they getting? Nothing.
>> Well, I'm just gonna be very I'll I'll
tell you how this would work. They would
go in, they'd buy the brand, they'd buy
the subscription, they'd pick their 40
or 60% most talented
uh journalists,
>> most of whom they'd hired, but go ahead.
>> They they'd clear out the admin, the
sales teams. I mean, the bottom line is
print journalism or whatever you want to
call this type of journalism is in
structural decline.
>> Y
>> and it requires and everyone wants to
talk about reinvention. Sure, you have
to invest innovation, but more than
anything, it requires consolidation and
cost cutting. Yeah.
>> And the Washington Post, but I mean, why
wouldn't I would just think that the
Washington Post would be an outstanding
Washington bureau
>> and they've built a lot of credibility.
They have a big they have a decent
subscriber base, but they don't have the
techn. It's not a decent it was until
this past year. It's it's cratered
because of decisions Jeff Bezos has
made, direct decisions by Jeff Bezos.
I've heard their traffic their their
website traffic is off by nearly a half
in the last three years.
>> Anyway, um it's it's
>> but you're buying you're buying a great
brand, a vehicle is how I look at it,
>> right? But but what you have to do is I
mean to a certain I hate to say this,
it's almost it's a perfect candidate for
a prepackaged bankruptcy. And that is
you declare bankruptcy. You clear out
all the obligations including probably
of an overpriced headquarters, all the
obligations they have and you say,
"Okay, 30% of you are keeping your job
and that's it." I mean, this is no
solution here is elegant that's going to
paint a brave new everyone's hoping. If
there's some guy who comes in and
thinks, you know what, I got five or six
billion dollars. I'll waste a billion
over the next 10 or 20 years. Fine. I
don't know if that person It's like they
say in therapy, no one's coming to save
you.
>> Yeah.
>> But I don't I I
>> It is a great brand. There's It's a
great brand and there's a lot you could
do with it that's different and that
that if if you had some of the breathing
room, but you got this mealsome owner
who every time he meddles does something
stupid. He hires
>> Do you think he's medalsome? I
>> I do. I think he is. I think he's he he
meddled in the Kamla thing. It was him.
He meddled in um all manner of things
here. He's meddled in a lot of stuff.
And you know what? Let me just tell you,
Jeff Bezos, let me speak to you
directly. You are an astonishing
entrepreneur. You did amazing things
with Amazon. You went left when everyone
went right. Everyone didn't believe you.
You really know how to run an e-commerce
company and you're okay at space. I
think it's a little bit more of a luxury
for you, but whatever. Go for it. I
don't care if you spend your money
there. But you don't know squat about
media at all. And to to act like you're
an expert in this is really exhausting
and you're not. You suck at it. You
should get out of it and you're just not
good at it. I don't know why we listen
to you for 5 seconds on this topic.
There's lots of smart people who know
about this. You should put the put it in
their hands or just sell it. Just sell
it. You don't
>> The problem is
>> by Vogue, Jeff. Go ahead. Sorry.
>> Yeah. Go. Bye-bye. The problem is
whoever buys this is inheriting an
unsustainable cost structure.
>> Yes.
>> And everywhere. So, it's either a
prepackaged bankruptcy or you say to the
current owner,
>> look, you're going to have to do the
hard work and clear out a lot of the
costs here,
>> which he may be doing.
>> You probably have to bolt it on to
another infrastructure, whether it's
Bloomberg or the NT or the Wall Street
Journal,
>> but if a bunch of people get jonesed up
into raising money and finding people
and try and reinvigorate the thing,
>> you're basically going to create, you
know, it's trying to bring Frankenstein
back for a second time.
>> Well, I would agree. There's a lot of
people who contact me and they get
disappointed because I go well that's
not econom like let we need this. One of
the things that the reporters do is
they're like we have need this for
democracy. I agree with that but you
still have to run a business. Like I I
say that I'm like don't make that the
argument. It's of course the arg it's
the it's the unders. The press is very
important for the future. It's always
been and uh it's part of the many things
that are that help our our democracy
thrive. And that's not the argument you
have to create. It's I always say I said
it to someone I think they were
disappointed because they wanted me to
be like let us grab like Jon of Arc. I
was like it's called the news business.
You got to make a business out of it and
you got to figure it out and get the
costs in line. And what I think has
happened here is you know it's been so
um distant and mealsome at the same
time. It's Will Lewis was incompetent
and mealsome at the same time and kind
of cruel not to say anything while you
did it. I mean, how, as you say, how you
leave is how you how you be like, how
you leave is critically important. And
him showing up all ragged look at the
NFL parties while he was laying off
people just not a good look. It's just
not a good it's not respectful. And
these people have worked hard, a lot of
them, and so most of them actually. And
that's the I don't know. I I don't know.
You're right. It has to something
something fresh SM but to me it's a
great vehicle for somebody for including
I have some ideas but you know it's a
great vehicle and it's still not a dead
brand. That's my feeling. It's not. But
>> look, I I I'm I'm more
I'm I'm just um people will say that
this is another example of how democracy
dies of the Washington Post dies. And
this is the bottom line without
>> there's a ton and a lot of these people
will end up at places there's a ton of
sharp critical anti-establishment new
media brands. The Intercept, Democracy
Now.
>> Yeah. Jacobin, Chapo Trap House,
Citations Needed, Navaro Media, uh, The
Bull Work, True Anan,
>> a lot of them are doing original
reporting, but go ahead. Yes, go ahead.
>> Well, that's that's the correct point,
and that is there is no or little
economic viability
in hardhitting
investigative journalism, especially at
the local level. the amount of grift and
corruption and like name your local
state, you know, capital because there
aren't any reporters covering any of
this [ __ ] But the notion somehow that
we're not going to have any, you know,
really thoughtful, interesting, you
know, progressive media if the
Washington Post goes away. No, all of
those people will go to smaller cool
little media firms that are doing a
great job and quite frankly have figured
out a way to be more economically viable
at
>> total cash flow positive apparently.
Does the Does the Atlantic do well?
>> Yes.
>> Very smart. Nick Thompson, Lorine is a
great owner. Jeff Goldberg and very
tough. They're making products people
want. Like it's not This is the thing.
We'll stop talking about this thing.
Jeff, you're bad at this. Just at least
have a talk with me. Just meet me. I
don't like you. You don't like me. So
what? Big deal. I'd love to have a talk.
I know you're a smart person. Um, but
you really need to do something else and
not sell it to a hedge fund or the wrong
owners. Just do the right thing. Just
for the last for the last time, do the
right thing.
>> I don't know. I can't handle the
Atlantic. Every headline feels like it
was written by someone who's
disappointed in you but still wants to
be invited to your wedding.
>> They've done some amazing reporting.
It's not true. They've done You don't
read it enough. You just read headlines.
>> The Atlantic doesn't do hot takes. It
does foreplay for a conclusion you
already disagree with.
>> God, it does not.
It's the only one that also has concern.
Sometimes I call bad Atlantic and good
Atlantic. Sometimes they do the most
irritating things. So you would like it.
They're contrarian.
>> I think the Atlantic is what happens
when someone at the bar who's like a
woke person that's not that attractive
makes eye contact with you.
>> No. No. It's doing great. It's doing
great. Anyway, let's go on a quick
break. When we come back, the latest
media merger gets Trump's seal of
approval. Support for this show comes
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Scott, we're back with more news. This
is an interesting Speaking of media
stuff. This um President Trump is now
endorsing NextStar Media's takeover $6
billion acquisition of Tegna, saying it
will help knock out the fake news
because there'll be more competition.
These are two giant local firms. Back in
November, Trump seemed to be opposed to
the deal, writing on True Social, no
expansion of the fake news networks. No,
I guess they they sucked up to because
of Jimmy Kimmel. Everything else Nextar
owns or partners with over 200 stations
with the addition of Tegnet would cover
roughly 80% of the company country.
Excuse me. I would call that a monopoly.
Uh the FCC uh currently prohibits
companies from owning broadcast stations
that reach over 39% of US sold. So
that's double. So Trump obviously
shifted because I don't know is there
donation somewhere something else? I
don't know. But it's it's a massive it
they're allowing this merger and then
opposing the Netflix one. It is it's
it's so ridiculously hypocritical. Every
time they turn around they they like one
thing but not the other. Any thoughts on
this Tegna Nextstar thing?
>> Yeah, but the Atlantic is like the
person that ruins brunch by asking about
the long-term implication of eggs.
>> Okay, move.
They're doing great without your without
your insults. What? Tell me. Every
Atlantic journalist thinks that sex is a
phase you'll outgrow.
>> Okay, let's move along. Next star,
Tegna, much more significant.
>> I I've you and I are both talking to
Democratic candidates for president and
one of my one of the platforms I think
they should adopt
>> is um trustbusting.
You you we need to go the other way. We
need if you want to bring prices down,
you you can't have three chicken
companies. You can't have three
pharmaceutical companies. You can't have
four streaming media platforms. You
can't have one search engine. You need
to break all of these guys up. We need
to go the other way. And we need to
separate the whole point. I mean, let's
Can we talk about Ted Sarando's
congressional testimony because I think
it's related.
>> Sure.
>> You had some coin operated Republicans
who are being funded by the Ellison's.
>> Yeah. try to say
>> Scott particularly recently has been
>> try to say I'm worried about Netflix
claiming that 50% of Netflix children's
programming is LGBTQ content.
>> Yeah.
>> And and just so you know
>> they never cared about antitrust.
>> Media companies are allowed to have a
viewpoint.
>> Fox has a viewpoint. It has a bias.
>> CNN has a viewpoint. It has a bias.
Netflix, as far as I can tell, is the
most apolitical of all of them.
>> Agreed. They really do. The way it works
in a capitalist society is the person
with the biggest check shows up and then
it goes under regulatory review around
whether the concentration of power will
ultimately be bad for consumers. It has
nothing to [ __ ] do with how much
LGBTQ content you think incorrectly has
been incorporated into kids content. And
to see all of a sudden these Republican
lawmakers start talking about media bias
and free speech, it's just insane. It's
like, okay, how much money are you
getting from the Ellisons who don't want
to do what you do in a capitalist
society and just pay more for the prize
you want? So, this politicization or
weapon is a the Trump should have
nothing to do with any of this. He
should be Oh, well, as far as I
understand, highest bidder wins and I
appointed the FTC and the DOJ to do a
review.
>> Yeah,
>> that's it.
>> Even the shifted he shifted. He shifts
on everything depending on who gives him
money. But that's, you know,
>> Yeah. So, I don't I hope that and by the
way, I've said and I talked to Ted
Sandos over the weekend. I've said I
hope neither of them get it. I think
there's too much concentration of power
here. I don't think I don't think one
man should control Tik Tok, CBS News,
and CNN. And I also don't think Ted
should control what is kind of I call it
the Walmart of content with Netflix and
the LVMH, HBO. I'm like ultimately
that'll give you too much pricing power.
It'll be good for shareholders. So, I
would, if I were on your board, I would
tell you to do exactly what you're
doing. But we don't need one man owning
Tik Tok, CBS, and uh CNN, and we don't
need one person owning HBO, and
>> it's not one I mean, Ted is not the
Ellison. The Ellison are own
>> Well, one company, but they'll all be
focused on
>> you. You get my meaning here.
>> I get it. Except that the Ellison's have
promised to change of of all the people
that are actually trying to change it.
The Ellison have promised Trump they'll
make CNN.
>> Netflix is the least political. Correct.
Their bias is more subscribers and
shareholder value. That's what their
bias is.
>> The Ellison seem to have more of a
>> quote unquote political scale.
>> Yeah. Yeah. More of a political bias.
Although at some point they're going to
have to be what I don't get. You know
what they've really missed and I told
Ted this on Saturday and he's just not
like this cuz he's too much of kind of
like a gentleman farmer. It if if
Netflix wanted to go gangster, they'd do
the following. They'd get every single
labor union in Hollywood to recognize
one fact. If Netflix takes over, let's
assume one of them gets it. If Netflix
takes over uh Time Warner, I think
employment will be flat, maybe to a
little bit down. If the Ellison's get
this thing at the price they're going to
have to pay for it, and they're kind of
ground zero for AI, do you know what's
going to happen to the the employees at
these companies?
>> Yes, I do. Dad is going to say, "All
right, we've got to figure out a way to
justify this cost. By the way, I am huge
into compute and inference and I'm
buddies with Sam Alman. I have no love
for Brian Cranston or these directors or
these precious screenwriters or script
writers at Spongebob Squarepants. How
can we use AI to take out which they've
talked about 80%
>> that is their big calling card even
though
hey writers grilled hey uh AFTA and SAG
do you realize the literally the ass
[ __ ] and not the good kind you are
about to get if the Ellison's and AI
have to justify the the price that Zazz
has been able to get.
>> Larry's numbers are off rather
significantly too. He's lost billions
and billions. He's way down. I mean, he
doesn't have the extra money to spend.
So, they're really going to cut. They're
really going to because this is a
ridiculous
extravagance for them. This is an
extravagance. This is a yacht that
they're buying. Um, I would agree. But
on that topic, the FCC under, you know,
village idiot Brendan Carr has launched
a probe into the view. The FCC is
investigating whether the show broke
equal time rules for interviewing
political candidates after the show
interviewed Democratic Texas Senate
candidate James Telerico. Uh, I I think
what the view should do is invite
Brendan Carr on and have them eat him,
all those ladies, cuz they would take
him apart bit by bit. Another thing
that's stupid. Like just stupid. Like
what are you doing? This is not making
the airwaves safer for anybody or better
or more fair. This is just you playing
politics for your next job, you dumbass.
All right, that's all I have to say
about branding car. Your thoughts?
>> We need an FDC and a DOJ that do their
job.
>> FCC, but go ahead. Yeah.
>> Well, okay. whatever the same above. I
these aren't supposed to be weapons of
enriching the president and his allies.
>> Yep.
>> This is all the same. This is all cut
from, you know, the same cloth here.
These are supposed to be independent
agencies. They think about the consumer.
Also think about shareholder value. Also
think about the health of US markets.
But again, it's the boring [ __ ] nobody
wants to talk about. The our markets
have become way too consolidated. And
the result is they have way too much
pro. We, you know, we have, we have two
good schools in every major city. We
need five. They need to be competing
with I just went through this early
admissions [ __ ] They quote unquote
take the admissions rate from 9% to 14%.
So, we all go early admissions. Do you
know what that means?
>> What?
>> I'm sorry. Early decision.
>> It means if you get in, you have to go.
What What do you think happens if you
The deal is the following. And this
happened with my son. You pick one
school, they they tempt you with a
higher admissions rate. If you get in,
you have to immediately withdraw all
applications from every other
university. What does that do? It gives
you no pricing power. You can't ask for
financial aid. You can't ask for a
scholarship. So, what do they get to do?
They get to increase their prices faster
than inflation, which education has
done. And by the way, the agency that
provides accreditation such that you can
get debt from the government, low
interest debt to pay for your student
loans, has not admitted almost any new
universities. So, in every major city,
there are two great schools and that's
it. That's it.
>> Did the Galloways just get the bill for
school? I just think
>> Jesus Christ.
>> I know. I know. I'm almost
>> It's lucky I'm a rich man. I sat my son
down yesterday.
>> I'm on my last couple couple of
>> I want to give you a lesson in tuition
and what it means to pay for tuition and
post tax dollars and how much this meal
plan is going to cost you and just how
ridiculously blessed you are. By the
way, be [ __ ] nicer to your mother
after I go through these numbers with
you.
>> It is. Do you realize
>> the gall?
>> When you think about the means of
getting ahead and the means of
establishing a family and saving, you
think about education, you think about
housing. And what has my generation
done? They have purposely created
scarcity such that the houses and the
degrees we already own skyrocket in
value, which is absolutely [ __ ] young
people. How on earth does any middle
class family send a good but not
freakishly remarkable kid to college
these days? How does that happen? And
then you know one of the reason you know
one of the reasons why these gambling
sites are booming and gaming is booming
because if you're not saving for a
house, you're more inclined to buy
crypto or do stupid [ __ ] with your money
and you're less inclined to stay in a
relationship or taking a risk on a
relationship because you're not saving
for a house or building anything.
>> Yes indeed. Yes indeed. I did do a 529
many many years ago for the boys and I
was very aggressive and I was glad I
was. The stock market did well and was
able to pay for their college using
that. But I have to say it's not I know
sometimes those 529s aren't the way to
go but that's what I did and it worked
out for me. But God
>> I got the tuition my this I'm like I
said to my son I'm like this is a state
school. Wait, hold on. What's going on
here? This is a state school.
>> I know you haven't even gotten food and
living.
>> Oh my god.
>> I know. I know. Welcome. You know what?
I'm going to go down there with you when
you go visit him.
>> Oh, we're going to have so much fun.
>> So much fun.
>> We're going to the UVA We're going to go
to the UVA Cal game. It's going to be
amazing.
>> I'm coming down there. I love UVA.
>> Oh, it's going to be a ton of fun. Um
>> he's already told me I told him last
night I'm coming down to the UVA Cal
game. You know what he said? No.
>> Like, oh, that's going to be funny. He's
like, I don't know if I can get you
tickets to the football game. I don't
know.
>> Doesn't matter. We just want to come
down. We ride horses.
>> Something tells me I'm going to I'm
going to figure out a way to get my own
ticket. He's already making excuses.
He's already envisioning me embarrassing
him in front of his friends. He's
already trying to discourage me from
coming to a football game next seme or
in fall. Yeah. Anyways, we're going
down.
>> All right, we're going. Scott and I are
riding our horses down there. All right,
one more quick break. We'll be back for
wins and fails.
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Okay, Scott, let's hear some wins and
fails. I think I'll go first. My fail as
always, Elon seems to be abandoning his
plans to go to Mars. He posted over the
weekend that SpaceX has shifted his
priorities to build a self-growing city
on the moon in order to get to Mars so
that we can save the human race. This
guy changes his tune so much. It's just
like, oh my god, when are you gonna stop
believing this nonsense? He's done an
amazing job with the things he's had
here on Earth, but not not compared to
the lies he tells about what he's going
to be doing in the future. But he's
going to the moon, folks. So, that's
what he's doing. Again, sounds good. He
should go. I think it's a great idea.
More Elon Off the Planet, the better.
Sounds great. My win is I got Scott
Galloway to watch Heiden Rivalry.
How'd you like it, Scott?
I did it on edibles when I was jetlagged
and I am rethinking everything, Cara.
I'm absolutely rethinking everything. I
I thought it was I thought it was
wonderful. I really um it's just really
well done and I think it's important.
I think young people need to have more
sex and I think
>> there's a lot of sex in it.
>> Oh my god, crazy sex.
>> Um
>> well, sex is their way to get to
intimacy. You do see that, right? That's
how they
>> Well, dudes use sex for intimacy. Women
use intimacy for No, wait. Women use sex
for intimacy. Men's use intimacy. I did
some of it kind of shocked me and like I
immediately had to go to that lesbian
series just to get my mojo back.
>> Yeah, a little bit. Little bit. Um,
>> I'll tell you interesting. I interviewed
the creators. You should go with that.
They're Canadian, right?
>> The Canadians. Yeah. Yeah.
>> Yeah. I want to do an erotic drama about
the behind thescenes going on of the
world's best bad mitten team.
>> That's what everyone's saying. Like
they're like, "What about rugby? What
about this?" Can I make one other
observation? I think one of the things
about it, and then you can get your win
and fails, is that there's this there
was one of the things they said in the
interview, and I think there was this
whole incredible market of people who
like this particular book series. It's a
romance novel for women, right? This is
a women, straight women oriented romance
novel that was hugely popular. And one
thing they're like, how could it miss
when it had such a massive market of
fans and people ignore these markets?
And that's that's one of the reasons
it's already caught on with everybody
else. But the initial strength of it was
for this romance novel market that that
all these sort of guys that are like
greenlighting things did not understand.
And I thought that was a real win for
smart creators who understood who
understand where there is fan bases in
market. So I thought that was it. I
talked a lot about the business of
heated rivalry with these guys. Um and
so I thought that was it's just a real
win on a business point of view too. All
right. Your wins and fails.
>> Yeah. And I go I come back to
um when I was thinking about a heated
rivalry because everyone's asking me
what do you think about rival? Um I
think a decent place to start an entire
political platform or guidance for
um
a political system, an economic system.
It sounds corny. It's love. And that is
all right. If if people can't make
enough money in a lowemployment economy
such that they're so stressed out they
can't raise their kids well that
economic policy is getting in the way of
love and we need to revisit it. If the
divorce rates are skyrocketing because
of economic anxiety and because 40% of
of households have medical debt that's
getting in the way of love. We need we
need to stop it.
If if any sort of discrimination is
stopping people from loving each other,
committing to each other, and I think
marriage is a good thing because it, you
know, it stops you from exiting
relationships just because they both
have outdoor plumbing that's getting in
the way of love. I think you could
reduce I think the whole nation, the
whole idea of a a prosperous nation, we
tend to think it's the S&P. It's not.
It's someone's ability to find someone
else and to share their life with them
and notice each other's life. And that's
why I'm I I think the sex recession
among young people is absolutely
terrible. And I also think about all the
men I grew up with who basically
imposed society imposed on them a set of
rules and standards that said you're not
supposed to be in love because your your
inclinations towards love are to are
perverted according to our laws. But I
think you could literally start from the
notion of love or connecting with
someone economically, spiritually,
psychologically, financially and reverse
engineer into what makes good uh public
policy.
>> Yeah.
>> Anyway,
>> there you go. Love, sweet love. That's
what bad said.
>> That's my platform.
>> That was what he said. Love. Okay. Okay.
Wins and veils. Okay. So, my win, my
win, I'm trying to bring attention to
some younger creators who I just think
are outstanding. And I consistently find
myself on this one creators. I brought
up Kylo Scanland, this young uh uh it's
got to be 26 female economists who I
keep bringing on uh PropG. Uh but
recently I find myself just absolutely
obsessed with this guy on Tik Tok named
Gio Husar
and he talks about economics and
geopolitics and he'll go deep into the
weapon systems of Ukraine versus Russia
and while the oil infrastructure for
Russia's collapsing he'll talk about the
Fed and interest rates and this guy is
just so it's like the eighth grade kid
who was kind of introverted and good at
math.
and he's found Tik Tok and he's just
[ __ ] fascinating and he does you can
tell he just does the work and so much
of my thought uh leadership or my views
on economics and geopolitics are
informed by this guy's amazing work. So
people are consistently asking me where
what are my sources of information. I
get a lot, I gotta be honest, I get a
lot from social media. And this one guy
on TikTok, Gio, the Gioar for
geopolitics and economics is a gift. And
it's also, to be clear, a real
endorsement of these platforms. He's not
he's not um, you know, he's not Dan
Rather or he doesn't have, you know,
he's not um, Brian Williams. He doesn't
have that polish. He just does the math
and he's sort of unafraid. Anyway, my
win is Gio Husar. Uh, he's fantastic.
Check out his content. My loss is the
following. I I've I get criticism for
too easily comparing
uh the Nazis to the Trump
administration. And what I do think is
fair though is looking at kind of
latestage Weimar Republic and what was
going on then in the Trump
administration. And some of the things
we share were a secret police loyal to
one man, not to an institution. A
collapse in the cultural and economic
standing of middle class men. Back then
it was about industrial
industrialization and automation. Now I
would say it's about AI. This notion
that the enemy wasn't abroad but it was
the enemy within. The fact that we
started shipping people to different
sites outside of the country where they
had some sort of legal protection. Uh
what we also had in the 30s was a lot of
the people in power very purposely
started comparing
um undesirabs or their enemies whether
it was gypsies or socialists or trade
unionists or Jews. They started
comparing them purposely to animals.
And when I saw the president this week
compare the Obamas, President Obama and
First Lady Obama to animals to apes.
You know, we have seen this before. When
you normalize the dehumanization of
people based on their ethnicity or on
their beliefs or on their religion,
you have to shut that [ __ ] down right
away. And the notion that, oh, he didn't
see it or you can't take him literally.
Well, okay. What would you know? The 60
million people who died in World War II
would like a word. When the president of
the United States is referring to past
presidents and people who have been an
absolute blessing to this society, when
he starts comparing them to animals, we
are
1930s Germany. It has never been
accepted before in our society. We have
never normalized it. We have never
allowed it. And this individual is
talking about he's referred to his
political enemies as vermin as animals.
And so all of the notion that more
Republicans have not stepped up and said
we just can't have this. We cannot go
back. We cannot be like Germany. You
can't have democratically elected
leaders referring to their political
enemies as animals. And so my fail is
that so many people seem to be making
excuses for it than not checking back on
it. This is a different level of danger
when we start convincing people. And we
need Republicans here. Democrats will
always find reasons for why everything
Trump does is wrong. If at some point
Republicans, you know, John Thun, who I
think is a good man, if he doesn't stand
up and say, "You can't equate our
political enemies with animals."
>> Do that like Tom Tillis when they're not
running again, then they get then they
>> Well, then they find their balls.
>> Yep. Yep.
>> Anyways, my win is the Gioar. My loss is
the normalization of referring to people
as animals. It leads to very dark
places.
>> Yeah, I think your comparison is just
mine. But anyway, uh before we go,
listen up. You if you have a juicy
situation you'd like our advice on, call
us at 85551
pivot, think work, dating, family,
finance, make it juicy, people. This is
not career advice ask. This is I want to
date my coworker or I made a huge
financial decision. I regret type ask.
We want something a little more
personal. Um we can't wait to hear from
you on that. and elsewhere in the Cara
and Scott universe. For the last episode
of On, I spoke with longtime defense
attorney Abby Lol, who is representing
some of the most high-profile targets of
the Trump administration right now.
People like New York Attorney General
Leticia James, Federal Reserve Governor
Lisa Cook, and independent journalist
Don Lemon. And to and this is very much
to Scott's last point. Let's listen to a
clip.
>> I don't know that I thought that them
going after Don Lemon was their highest
priority. Right.
>> I should have known better because what
we know about this administration is
they're very good at basically saying if
this is my right hand, pay attention to
it while I do something with my left.
They are the administration of
distraction.
>> Okay, that's the show. Thanks for
listening to Pivot. Be sure to like and
subscribe to our YouTube channel. We'll
be back on Friday.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This video discusses various current events and trends, including the Super Bowl ads and halftime show, the economic implications of AI and big tech spending, the downturn in the cryptocurrency market, and the challenges facing traditional media like The Washington Post. It also touches upon political commentary regarding corporate taxes and the Trump administration, as well as broader societal issues like the cost of education and the importance of love and connection. The hosts also share their 'wins and fails' for the week, highlighting interesting content creators and expressing concern over the normalization of dehumanizing language in politics.
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