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Returning from China, Trump is Ambiguous Over Taiwan

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Returning from China, Trump is Ambiguous Over Taiwan

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206 segments

0:00

Have we heard any solidified agreements from the white House from the U.S.

0:03

side? And what are we waiting for?

0:05

Still, to get some details on concepts of a deal, which is pretty well done.

0:12

Um, yeah. And we're starting to hear from the

0:14

Chinese. They did agree to lower tariffs on a

0:18

certain range of products. Uh, they referenced the agricultural

0:21

sector. Um, they did confirm the plane deal,

0:25

although they didn't give specifics, uh, that the president referred to yesterday

0:30

on the way back, uh, from Beijing. Uh, we are still waiting to hear from

0:35

the white House. Uh, a bit more.

0:37

Again, the details remain scant here, and I think until we have more, we can't

0:44

really break down. Just, um, you know how much economic

0:47

cooperation there is here. I think some of this is signaling.

0:50

Of course. Courtney, it's a quiet weekend for the

0:52

president. He has executive time, as he calls it,

0:54

today and tomorrow, but nothing else on the official schedule.

0:57

Um, how is the white House contextualizing the trip that just

1:00

wrapped up here? I think a lot's been made of the

1:02

closeness of the relationship is the US sees it, or as the administration sees

1:05

it, between President Trump and President XI, and they've nodded to the

1:09

fact that there's been this invitation for President XI to come to the states

1:11

in September, and they'll be these other opportunities on the heels of that, for

1:14

these two leaders to get together. How much emphasis are they placing on

1:18

these deliverables amidst some criticism?

1:19

I think that maybe the numbers weren't as big as a lot of people, especially on

1:22

Wall Street, thought they would be. And there wasn't kind of a dialing back

1:26

of of the tariffs that were put in place to the extent that a lot of people

1:29

expected. Yeah, I mean, I think there was huge

1:32

expectation going into this that this was going to largely focus on, uh, you

1:38

know, stabilizing trade, um, talking about Iran, uh, and any cooperation the

1:46

US could get with China there in terms of, uh, you know, international support.

1:50

Um, but I think the white House has so far framed this as a huge success.

1:56

We heard from the president yesterday. Um, you know, he has praised it as a

2:00

fantastic visit. He very much was, um, you know, Regaled

2:05

by all the pomp and pageantry that she had rolled out for him.

2:11

Um, but a lot of this, you know, as you said, we saw you, uh, Treasury Secretary

2:16

Scott Benson and U.S. trade rep, uh, Jamison Greer sort of lay

2:20

the groundwork for some of the deals that we've heard about so far.

2:24

Uh, talking about setting up a board of trade to, um, you know, open up

2:30

investment in non-critical sectors. Uh, again, you know, we we had expected

2:36

with the cadre of CEOs, us CEOs, um, attending this summit that there would

2:43

be more deals on, uh, opening up China, China's market.

2:48

Uh, we have yet to see that. Um, I think there was huge expectation

2:52

that I would be a huge talking point with the addition, the last minute

2:57

addition of Nvidia's Jensen Wang, uh, who jumped on Air Force One in Alaska.

3:03

Um, but none of that seemed to come to fruition.

3:05

And, you know, we'll be watching in the days ahead to see, uh, if any of those

3:10

deals, anything along those sort of deals might materialize from the white

3:14

House. Courtney, don't go anywhere we want to

3:16

bring in Jennifer while she's Bloomberg Economics chief geo economics analyst.

3:20

The other thing that I feel like Jennifer, we didn't hear as much about,

3:24

and we're expecting to or a lot of industries folks were hoping to was some

3:28

more cooperation on critical minerals. Uh, China has really the lockdown not

3:32

only on on the actual minerals themselves, but almost all of the

3:35

refinement now is done there in the processing, even when they're coming

3:38

from other places, including Australia. Do we make any progress there?

3:42

Is there any inclination that this was even discussed to a significant amount?

3:46

And if not, what does that mean? You're absolutely right.

3:49

That was kind of the elephant in the room that China wields this massive

3:52

leverage over critical minerals. It was the focus of a showdown between

3:56

the US and China last year after President Trump type tariffs.

3:59

And even though China has put in place licensing and other regulations to allow

4:04

the flow of many of those minerals to resume to United States, there are still

4:09

restrictions, particularly on those that are headed for defense and users, and

4:13

that's obviously a concern of the United States is going to need to bring back

4:17

stockpiles of munitions that's used up in Iran.

4:19

And also this lingering question of some regulations that China has put in place

4:23

over the last few months that seem to be aimed at frustrating any efforts by the

4:27

U.S. or its allies to de-risk and to develop

4:31

an alternative, diversified supply chains away from China.

4:34

But as you mentioned, that didn't seem to come up in the meeting, and there's

4:37

no clarity on whether there's going to be any further relaxation from the

4:40

Chinese side, or this is going to continue to be a focal point of

4:44

tensions. Jeffrey, let me focus on another supply

4:46

chain. I know you've been paying very close

4:47

attention to for a long while now, and that's the supply chain involving ships,

4:51

especially those that are made on Taiwan.

4:53

Of course, Taiwan did come up, brought up first by President XI.

4:56

And we've seen President Trump talk more about it on the heels of President Xi's

5:00

comments, although there was a delay in terms of the U.S.

5:02

responding to what the Chinese president had to say.

5:05

But in an interview with Brett Bear on Fox News, the president was asked about

5:08

that supply chain, the chip supply chain in Taiwan.

5:10

And here's what he had to say. I'd like to see everybody making chips

5:13

over in Taiwan coming to America, because to be honest with you, I think

5:16

it's the greatest thing you can do because it's a heated situation.

5:20

There's no question about it. And, uh, as you know, we have massive

5:24

amounts of chip companies now from Taiwan already coming in.

5:28

We expect to have 40 to 50% of the world chip business by the end of my term.

5:33

And, uh, I think it should be even more than that.

5:36

I think all of those chip companies that if they're smart, they're going to start

5:40

heading to Arizona and the places where they're building, that's going to be a

5:43

problem, that's going to solve your problem, the president said.

5:45

So Jeffers kind of situate that in the broader conversation surrounding Taiwan.

5:48

I think there are probably a lot of lawmakers who are a bit startled by the

5:51

fact that there wasn't a more forceful message from President Trump about

5:54

Taiwan, about this weapons deal. And then you had him really expounding

5:58

quite a bit here on this, this one commercial side of that relationship,

6:01

your reaction to it. And again, kind of I'd love for you to

6:03

situate that in the broader conversation about the relationship as it stands.

6:07

So I think heading into the summit, there was a lot of concern, including

6:10

for myself as someone who used to be in charge of the writing, these talking

6:14

points for the president about what the discussion on time would be, because it

6:18

requires really careful, delicate language.

6:20

And President Trump is known from straying from formal talking points.

6:24

I think what you heard, including in that interview and what he said on the

6:27

ground, including to reporters, wasn't necessarily the worst case scenario for

6:31

Taiwan, but it was far from a full throated defense of both US policy to

6:36

support Taiwan's defense and the idea of deterring China from ever testing that

6:41

proposition. And I think there's a couple of reasons

6:44

for that. First, Trump has always been skeptical

6:46

about supporting Taiwan and other partners.

6:48

That's something that actually Bloomberg News has reported on for years,

6:51

including when he was last on the campaign trail.

6:53

The second factor is I think he's quite cognizant of China's leverage over

6:57

critical minerals. And he probably heard, not just

7:00

publicly, from XI in remarks before the meeting began, but privately and behind

7:04

closed doors. How Beijing is quite concerned about

7:07

U.S. arms sales, especially this reported $14

7:10

billion package that is apparently waiting on President Trump's signature.

7:14

He was pretty Non-committal on what he would do with that package once he gets

7:18

back in Washington. And that alone is a deviation from U.S.

7:22

policy, which is to support Taiwan's defense, including through arms sales,

7:26

and not negotiate those sales with Beijing.

7:30

Courtney, I also want to ask you about the visit that's coming on the heels of

7:33

this visit. And that's President Putin has announced

7:36

this morning that he will be heading to Beijing for a visit as well.

7:39

There is a theory, and Putin is has allegedly been a big proponent of this

7:43

theory of spheres of influence. His argument is that Russia should get

7:47

free rein in Ukraine and Eastern Europe, China should get free rein in Asia, and

7:52

the president, Trump and the Americans can handle our own hemisphere.

7:56

This has been an argument that depending on the day or who's been in front of

7:59

him, the president seems to be amenable to, if not all in so far.

8:04

What does it say to you that Putin is going to meet with XI, two people who

8:08

would very much like the U.S., to take a step back in both of those theaters

8:11

right on the heels of this summit. And I wonder who you think they'll be

8:14

talking about while they're in the room together.

8:17

Well, the obvious answer is Donald Trump, of course.

8:20

Right. So, you know, this is something, uh,

8:22

President Putin said he was watching, uh, Trump's, uh, visit very closely.

8:29

Um, uh, it should come as no surprise that he would want to follow up with a

8:34

visit to XI to make sure they're completely aligned.

8:38

Um, to your point about the spheres of influence, that is something that the

8:41

US, um, largely agreed with in the national security, um, statement they

8:47

released last year, uh, in which they wanted to reassert U.S.

8:51

dominance in the Western Hemisphere. They've, of course, uh, seemingly gotten

8:55

a little distracted in Iran. Um, but, uh, you know, this is something

9:00

that, uh, I'd expect, uh, I didn't it didn't come as a surprise to me to to

9:06

hear that, uh, Vladimir Putin would be traveling to China on the heels of

9:10

Donald Trump's visit. You've taken us right to where I wanted

9:13

us to go. Uh, and, Jennifer, I want to ask you

9:15

just about the broader strategy the U.S. has toward China and maybe to tee up

9:19

that part of this conversation. Let me play a bit of sound that our

9:21

colleague Michelle Hussain had a conversation with Kishore Mahbubani, the

9:25

former president of Singapore. Let's hear what he had to say about the

9:27

role that the US is playing vis a vis China, and how much success the U.S.

9:31

could have of keeping China at bay. It's not a wise policy of the United

9:37

States to stop the rise of China, because China can no longer be stopped.

9:44

And the only way to stop China is to ask the Chinese government to stop improving

9:52

the livelihood of its own people. Right.

9:56

If you want China to this only, this is the only way the China will stop

9:59

growing. But China still has a long way to go.

10:02

Its per capita income is way behind that.

10:06

Uh, of the United States is a long way to go.

10:10

I misspoke, I remember Bonnie, the former Singaporean diplomat.

10:13

But Jennifer, let me go to you on on that point as Christina talks about

10:15

these spheres of influence, um, how even are those spheres?

10:19

How much influence do you see the U.S. having here, and how much time and

10:22

attention and eagerness. Does the US, under President Trump, have

10:25

to stop the stop sign to the degree that it can?

10:29

I think that's a major risk in Trump's second term, especially with the ongoing

10:33

war in the Middle East, which is quite literally pulling time, resources and

10:37

energy out of the Indo-Pacific and directing them towards the Middle East,

10:41

including missile defense systems that, for example, our Asian allies very much

10:46

depend on. And what that symbolic of is something

10:49

that's been a trend in U.S. foreign policy for over a decade now,

10:52

which is a desire to want to focus on the Indo-Pacific, the world's most

10:56

dynamic economic region, home to places, as you mentioned, David, Taiwan critical

11:01

supply chains and yet constantly getting pulled in other directions and

11:05

distractions. And I think that continues to be a theme

11:07

here, even though President Trump just made this trip to China.

11:10

What's interesting is he didn't stop anywhere else along the way.

11:13

And that's sort of a departure from precedent.

11:15

Normally, U.S. presidents make a China trip part of a

11:18

larger trip to the region and use it as an opportunity to signal U.S.

11:21

presence everywhere there. And in this case, that was sort of a

11:25

missed opportunity. Christina, you were there when Trump

11:27

walked across the border into North Korea.

11:29

I was and that was a multi-part trip as well.

11:31

And I covered Pompeo the first term. And every time we went to Asia, we

11:34

served in Vietnam every single time. We always hit different places.

11:37

The U.S. was trying to get agreements with

11:39

Courtney very quickly. Before we let you go, um, we've pivoted

11:42

to Asia. We've pivoted back.

11:44

He's back in D.C., the president doing executive time.

11:46

What is next up on the agenda as far and far as as far as foreign policy meetings

11:50

go with the president? Well, I think we'll be watching to see

11:54

if the president, um, follows through with a call to Taiwan's president ly.

11:59

He made reference to this. Uh, he said he needed to speak to the

12:03

person who is running Taiwan, um, which appeared to be a reference to President

12:07

Ly. Um, uh, so we'll be watching to see if

12:11

that phone call happens. That, of course, would draw, uh, China's

12:15

ire. Um, but I expect we'll also hear, uh,

12:18

the president speaking to a lot of Republicans, uh, who are trying to shape

12:22

what happens next, okay. And push, uh, Trump towards signing off

12:26

on this arms deal.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses the outcomes and implications of President Trump's recent trip to China. While the Chinese side agreed to lower tariffs on certain agricultural products and confirmed a plane deal, the US White House has been slow to release specifics, leading to criticism that the deliverables were not as substantial as expected, especially concerning the rollback of tariffs and opening up China's market. Key unaddressed issues include cooperation on critical minerals, where China holds significant leverage. The discussion also covered Taiwan, with President Trump expressing a desire for chip manufacturing to move to the US due to a "heated situation" there, a stance seen as a deviation from traditional US policy of supporting Taiwan's defense without negotiating sales with Beijing. Furthermore, the video touches on the upcoming visit of President Putin to Beijing, suggesting an alignment of interests between Russia and China regarding spheres of influence, and critiques the US's broader strategy toward China, noting a potential distraction from the Indo-Pacific due to engagements in the Middle East. The lack of other stops on Trump's trip to Asia was also highlighted as a departure from precedent.

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