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Wall Street Just Gave a Dire Warning (Most Aren’t Ready)

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Wall Street Just Gave a Dire Warning (Most Aren’t Ready)

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721 segments

0:00

August 11th is the most dangerous day

0:02

for the stock market this year. And most

0:05

people have no idea it's coming. Wall

0:08

Street is sharing this research with

0:10

their clients right now, but not with

0:13

you. And I wasn't going to make this

0:15

video, but I was just reading this this

0:17

morning as I do. And I think you deserve

0:19

to understand this, too, because I know

0:21

you've got money in the market. But

0:24

first, Wall Street is about to lull

0:27

millions of Americans into a false sense

0:30

of security. And by the time they really

0:32

realize what's happening, it'll be too

0:34

late. So, by the end of this video,

0:36

you'd understand exactly what's coming,

0:38

how to protect yourself, and if you're

0:40

paying attention, how to spot one of the

0:43

greatest buying opportunities of the

0:45

decade. And here's the thing, Wall

0:47

Street sends this kind of research to

0:49

their hedge fund clients, the

0:50

institutional investors, and they charge

0:52

tens of thousands of dollars for the

0:54

service, but they don't send it to you.

0:56

And I believe you deserve to see it,

0:58

too. And if you agree with me, I want

1:00

you to write the word deserve in the

1:02

comments right now so we can all see it.

1:04

And

1:06

because this is a little impromptu, I'm

1:08

also gonna put together a

1:10

beginnerfriendly version of this entire

1:13

research breakdown. So, you don't need a

1:15

finance degree to follow along here.

1:17

There's going to be a link down below in

1:18

the descriptions. It'll be pinned to the

1:19

comments, completely free. Just download

1:22

it. And let me be honest about why I

1:25

decided to make this video here this

1:27

morning. It's there is a dynamic in the

1:30

financial world that's been bugging me

1:32

for a long time. Wall Street

1:33

institutions get information first.

1:36

Retail investors, people like you and

1:38

me, we get it last. And by the time it

1:40

shows up on CNBC or in your news feed,

1:43

guess what? The big money has already

1:45

made their move. And the point of this

1:47

community here is about closing that

1:50

gap. It's about making sure you have the

1:52

same information that a hedge fund

1:54

manager sitting in a corner office in

1:56

glorious Manhattan has. So, let me walk

1:58

you through exactly what is happening

2:00

right now and why August 11th is a date

2:02

you need to have circled in your

2:04

calendar. So, let's start with what

2:06

sounds like incredible news, right?

2:09

SpaceX went public and now it's being

2:11

added to the biggest index funds in

2:14

America, which sounds great, right? More

2:15

people owning SpaceX. Price scope is up.

2:18

Everybody wins. But let me show you

2:20

what's actually happening under the

2:22

hood. First, you need to understand what

2:25

a float is. And no, it is not a floater.

2:28

And I'm going to make this really simple

2:29

for you. Imagine a company is a pizza

2:33

and the pizza has 100 slices, but only

2:36

five of those slices are actually

2:38

available for regular people like you

2:40

and me to buy on the stock market. The

2:43

other 95 slices, they're locked away in

2:45

a vault. That is what a 5% Floyd means.

2:49

Space X right now is a pizza where 95

2:53

slices are locked up and only five are

2:56

sitting on the counter. And now here is

2:58

where it gets wild. When a stock gets

3:00

added to a big index like the NASDAQ 100

3:02

or the Russell 1000, every single fund

3:05

that tracks that index has to buy

3:08

shares. It's not optional. It's not a

3:10

choice. It's automatic. It's like a

3:11

machine. The fund manager doesn't wake

3:14

up and say, "Hm, I feel like buying

3:15

SpaceX today." No. The rules say the

3:18

stock is in the index, you must own it,

3:20

spirit. And there isn't just one index.

3:23

So, let me walk you through the

3:24

calendar. The funds include Vanguard's

3:27

VTI, one of the most popular funds in

3:29

the world, and they started adding

3:31

shares around June 19th. The Footsie

3:35

Russell funds like the Russell 1000

3:37

kicked in around June 26th, which is

3:40

coming up a few days from me recording

3:42

this. Msei funds will kick in around

3:45

June 29th and the big one, the NASDAQ

3:48

100, which powers the massively popular

3:50

QQQ ETF, which most of you probably own.

3:54

Those funds start adding around July

3:56

6th. Now, add all of that up and you're

3:59

looking at 22

4:01

to30 billion of buying of just SpaceX.

4:05

That has to happen. These funds do not

4:08

care about the prices. They're not

4:10

looking at charts. They're not doing any

4:12

analysis whatsoever. They just buy. It's

4:15

like pointing a fire hose at a kiddie

4:18

pool, basically. And what does that do

4:20

to the price? Well, it almost certainly

4:22

causes a short-term rally. So, if you're

4:24

holding SpaceX right now, you're

4:26

probably feeling like a genius. Your

4:27

account's green. Your friends are

4:29

texting you, well done, amazing.

4:30

Everything looks amazing. But here is no

4:32

Wall Street that's counting on you not

4:34

paying attention. But before I show you

4:36

what happens next, and trust me, you

4:37

need to see this. You need to understand

4:38

this. I want to take a step back and

4:40

zoom out for a second. Do you remember

4:42

what happened to the last big IPO boom?

4:44

The Airbnb, the coin boss box, the the

4:46

the the Roblox, the Rivian struggling to

4:49

get a straight sentence out here. Some

4:50

people made a lot of money on that, but

4:53

a lot of people also lost a lot of money

4:54

on that. Some of those stocks went down

4:56

70 80% while other people like 10x their

4:59

account in a year. So why do the people

5:02

make 10x and why did some people lose

5:04

money? Well, the people with the 10X,

5:06

they had a playbook. And the playbook

5:11

worked not just for the IPO, but for the

5:14

coming six months, the coming 12 months

5:16

after those big IPOs. And we're going to

5:18

get some more of those. So, I've already

5:20

written out my plan, my exact trading

5:24

strategy plan, investing strategy plan

5:26

for the next 90 days. Written out. I

5:28

know exactly what I'm going to do. And

5:30

what I want to do for you is I want to

5:32

give that to you. I want to share that

5:34

with you, but not as a document because

5:36

it won't land. I guarantee it. But as an

5:39

actual teaching session where I will sit

5:42

you down for two hours and I'll teach

5:44

you and I'll walk you through the exact

5:46

process, why I'm doing what I'm doing

5:48

and what I'm doing is just what Wall

5:50

Street is doing, right? It's just what

5:51

the funds are doing. I'm not making this

5:52

up. I'm just following what my mentors

5:54

have taught me. So, this isn't about

5:56

SpaceX. This isn't about Anthropic or

5:58

any of that. It's about

6:01

what happens after these IPOs unwind.

6:05

It's what happens in the market after we

6:07

get this great big shakeup. And there'll

6:10

be two kinds of people here. There'll be

6:11

the kind of people who learn this and

6:13

there'll be the kind of people who wish

6:15

they would have learned this about 6

6:17

months from now. So, if you want to join

6:19

me on that, I'm going to be doing that

6:21

literally just before I'm catching a

6:22

flight out of New York here, which is

6:24

where I am right now. And um you can

6:26

sign up for that. You can grab yourself

6:27

a free ticket at 90dayplaybook.org.

6:30

So 90playbook.org.

6:32

The links are again down below in the

6:33

description. It's completely free. You

6:35

don't need to put a credit card or

6:36

anything like that. It's just a teaching

6:38

session. And I'm also going to show you

6:41

because July 4th is coming up and July

6:44

4th this year is a big deal. I just got

6:46

given this from we did a little

6:48

mastermind here in New York. Um and one

6:51

of our kind students um gave me that as

6:52

a present. Uh so 250 years of the United

6:55

States of America. Amazing. Uh we're

6:57

going to do something to celebrate that

6:59

that's going to be bigger, more

7:01

generous, more amazing than anything

7:03

we've ever ever done in the six years

7:04

that we've done this for. So join me on

7:07

Saturday morning, New York time, and

7:10

you'll understand what this is all

7:11

about. The 250 will have something to do

7:13

with that. And it'll also work for you

7:15

Europeans and and and people in Asia and

7:17

everywhere else because it'll be morning

7:18

time in New York, you know, when the

7:20

market's open usually, but not at a

7:21

Saturday. So you guys will be awake as

7:23

well. But but let me show you why

7:24

understanding this playbook is not an

7:26

optional thing. Because what's about to

7:28

happen on August 11th is going to catch

7:30

a lot of people off guard. Let me

7:31

explain something that's called a lock

7:34

up period. Because this is the key to

7:36

understanding what's coming. When a

7:38

company goes public, the insiders, the

7:40

founders, the early investors, the

7:42

venture capitalists, the cockroaches,

7:44

did I say that out loud? Um who invested

7:46

years ago? Um they can't just sell their

7:49

shares the next day. They are locked up.

7:51

It's a little bit like a waiting room.

7:53

You're holding very valuable shares, but

7:55

there's a sign in the door says you

7:56

cannot leave yet. And these locks have

7:59

expiry dates. Now, why the lock exists

8:02

in the first place? Simple. Without

8:04

them, insiders would dump their shares

8:05

on day one. The price would crash and

8:07

nobody would ever trust an IPO again.

8:09

So, the SEC essentially says, "You have

8:12

to wait. You can't sell right away."

8:14

It's sort of a protection mechanism for

8:16

the public, apparently. So the most

8:19

important thing about it that people

8:20

don't realize is lockup expirations are

8:22

not one big event. SpaceX uses a fairly

8:26

complex staggered system. It's like a

8:29

series of release valves. Each one

8:31

letting more shares into the market at

8:33

different times. So let me walk you

8:34

through the full unlock schedule and my

8:37

team will hopefully put that on the on

8:38

the on the screen here for you because

8:40

this is the countdown you need to know.

8:42

You're going to want to write this down.

8:44

So right now only 5% of all SpaceX

8:46

shares are available to trade. Right?

8:49

That's our kiddie pool. August 11th the

8:52

supply jumps from 5% to 25%.

8:57

That is five times more in a single day.

9:00

And this is the big one. This is the

9:02

date you must circle in your diary. And

9:05

then yes August 21st it becomes 32%.

9:08

September uh 10th it becomes 39%.

9:11

September 25th it becomes 46%, October

9:14

10th becomes 53% and so on. But the most

9:17

important one is the first one because

9:19

you have this kitty pool of shares right

9:21

now and on August 11th someone's going

9:23

to open the floodgates five times more

9:26

shares hit the market overnight. And who

9:28

do you think is selling insiders? The

9:31

people who got in at 10 bucks a share,

9:34

they've been waiting for years for this

9:36

thing. So some of them are not going to

9:38

sell because they think the company is

9:40

bad. I'm gonna upload this particular

9:41

video with one of these bad boys, which

9:43

is just amazing. Starink, incredible.

9:46

They're selling because they want to

9:48

diversify their portfolio. They want to

9:49

buy another house, another yacht, you

9:50

know, um send the fourth mistress some

9:53

money finally. And then they're going to

9:55

have to pay some taxes on that. So, they

9:58

have some reason to take money off the

10:00

table. And who's on the other side of

10:01

that trade? What is you, the retail

10:03

investor who just got pulled in by the

10:06

index fund? Yeah, you are all going to

10:08

own SpaceX. Every single one of you is

10:11

going to own SpaceX. Basically, your

10:13

401k will own it. Your retirement

10:15

accounts, your index funds bought SpaceX

10:17

for you. And you might not have even

10:20

realized it. Now, the insider is about

10:22

to sell directly into your buying. This

10:24

isn't a theory, right? Let me talk to

10:26

you about Facebook. Go back a few years.

10:28

Facebook had its IPO in May of 2012.

10:31

When the first lockup expired 3 months

10:34

later, the stock fell about 50%. The

10:38

smartest company in social media, a

10:39

company that everybody knew was going to

10:41

dominate, lost half of its value. Not

10:43

because the business was bad, the

10:44

business was phenomenal. It dropped

10:46

because of supply mechanics. Too much

10:49

water into that kiddie pool. So more

10:51

shares hit the market than buyers could

10:53

absorb. And the key insight here is

10:55

this. I need you to really hear this.

10:57

Wall Street creates a demand with the

11:00

index inclusions and then the insiders

11:02

sell into that demand. It's not a

11:04

conspiracy theory. It's not illegal. No,

11:07

it's just how the machine works and

11:09

they're counting on you to not

11:11

understand the time. But this isn't even

11:13

a SpaceX problem. It is a market problem

11:15

and it goes way deeper than one stock.

11:18

So, if we zoom out for a little bit

11:20

because what I want to show you could

11:23

and should concern every single person

11:25

who has a retirement account, right? You

11:26

got a retirement account, put a

11:28

retirement in in in the comments down

11:29

below. Right now, the top 10 stocks in

11:32

the S&P 500, mostly AI and tech

11:35

companies, make up roughly 40% of the

11:38

index. So, four of every $10 in the S&P

11:43

500 is sitting in just 10 companies.

11:46

Right? So, if I give you some

11:48

perspective on that, and maybe we can

11:50

put a chart on the screen here for you

11:51

as well. Between 1990 and 2015, the top

11:55

10 stocks were about 20% of the market.

11:59

That was a normal range for 25 years.

12:01

Now we're at double that concentration.

12:04

Does that sound healthy to you? Does

12:06

that sound diversified? So why does it

12:09

matter to you? Well, if you own an S&P

12:12

500 index fund, and very likely you do.

12:14

It's going to be in your 401k, your IRA.

12:16

You know, maybe you bought it yourself.

12:18

You probably think, I'm diversified. I

12:20

own 500 companies. Isn't that brilliant?

12:22

But in reality, almost half your money

12:25

is sitting in just 10 stocks. So, you're

12:28

not really owning 500 companies equally.

12:30

You're making a massive bet on 10. And I

12:33

want to walk you through every time this

12:35

has happened before because this is the

12:37

part where history screams at us and we

12:40

refuse to listen. Let's go back to 1870.

12:44

Railroads. Railroads made up 63% of the

12:48

entire US stock market. They were the AI

12:51

of, you know, the 19th century. And

12:54

everyone said, "Oh, it's the future. you

12:56

can't lose. Railroads are going to

12:57

transform America. And they were right.

12:59

Railroads did transform America, but the

13:02

crash that followed devastated a

13:04

generation of investors. The technology

13:06

was real. The prices went up. Fast

13:08

forward about a 100 years to 1972. There

13:11

was something there called the Nifty50.

13:13

It was a group of about 50 blue chip

13:16

stocks. Coca-Cola, Disney, McDonald's,

13:18

Polaroid, Xerox, the absolute safest and

13:21

most trusted names in America. And

13:23

actually I do have peroid camera lying

13:25

around here somewhere. But it makes me

13:26

an odd bot. Right now the advice Wall

13:29

Street was given was giving people then

13:31

was just just buy them and hold them

13:34

forever. They are one decision stocks.

13:36

You buy them once and you never ever

13:38

sell them. They were trading at an

13:41

average of about 42 times their profits.

13:45

Some had 80 times profits. And then 1973

13:48

came about. Inflation spiked like it

13:50

just did in the US. Interest rates were

13:52

rising, a recession set in, and the Dow

13:55

dropped 45%.

13:58

Worst decline since the Great

13:59

Depression. Disney fell like 87%.

14:02

Like the Mickey Mouse company, right?

14:04

Children, everybody in everyone in the

14:06

world love them. They lost almost 90% of

14:09

their value. Polaroid fell 91% and went

14:13

bankrupt. Avon fell 86%. Xerox fell 71%.

14:18

McDonald's fell over 70%. And these were

14:21

not speculative garbage companies. And

14:23

these were the absolute safest blue

14:25

chips in America. Great companies,

14:28

terrible prices. And then there's Japan

14:30

in 1989. And I'm seeing that parallel

14:32

more and more. Japanese stocks hit a

14:35

peak. And it took 30 years to recover

14:38

that peak. Think about that. An entire

14:40

generation of investors waiting their

14:42

entire adult lives just to go back to

14:45

break even. And then we had the dot

14:47

bubble. The NASDAQ peaked in March 2000.

14:50

By October of 20 2002, it had fallen

14:52

78%. I started investing in 1999. It was

14:56

fun. It really wasn't. And honestly,

14:58

it's one of the reasons I do this

14:59

because I remember the pain very very

15:02

distinctly and that took 15 years to

15:04

recover as well. 15 years of waiting if

15:07

you bought at the top. So the pattern is

15:09

there. Every generation thinks this time

15:11

it's different. The technology changes,

15:12

the companies change, but the human

15:14

psychology, the greed, the fear, the

15:17

FOMO, right? The cycle that never

15:19

changes. The pattern isn't broken. We

15:22

just forget about it. And now we got

15:23

SpaceX, the most hyped IPO in a decade.

15:26

It's being crammed into these same

15:28

concentrated indices. Your index fund

15:31

isn't diversifying you anymore. Nodes

15:33

doubling down on the same crowded trade.

15:36

So, yes, this market is very, very

15:38

concentrated. insiders are going to dump

15:40

some of these shares and your index

15:42

funds just force bought the most hyped

15:44

stock in a decade. Sounds kind of grim,

15:47

right? But this is also how and where

15:50

fortunes are made. You see, because

15:52

everything I just told you sounds scary,

15:54

and it sort of should, but what

15:56

separates the people who build wealth

15:58

from the people who don't is the people

16:00

who build wealth don't just see the

16:01

risk, they see the road map. They see

16:04

the path. Every IPO in history follows

16:06

the same script. I don't think SpaceX

16:09

will be all that different. And once you

16:10

understand that script, you don't have

16:12

to be the victim. You can be one of the

16:14

ones buying when everyone else is

16:16

running for the exits. Because think

16:18

about

16:19

the com bust. If you bought after the

16:23

bust, you became tremendously wealthy.

16:26

In fact, you had 15 years to buy after

16:28

the bust and you became tremendously

16:30

wealthy. But people don't because

16:31

they're like, "Oh my, the market isn't

16:32

going up. I'm not going to buy it." And

16:34

why is that? Because fear kicks in. Fear

16:36

replaces greed. And the people who

16:38

bought at the top, they sell. They

16:39

panic. They capitulate. And the losses

16:41

get locked in. And the institutions,

16:44

they don't buy during the hype. They buy

16:46

after the hype. After the price has been

16:48

beaten down, after the people who

16:51

panicked and bought at the top for FOMO

16:54

left. The smart investors, the hedge

16:56

funds, the sovereign wealth funds, they

16:58

have patient capital. So they can buy on

17:00

a red day. And they also bring

17:02

credibility, which means more people are

17:03

going to buy it because they're going to

17:04

read about it 3 months later in the

17:06

filings. So they're buying creates a

17:08

flaw under the stock, a new level of

17:10

support that wasn't there before. And

17:13

then people start to look at the market

17:15

again and go, "Well, maybe it isn't so

17:16

bad. These guys are buying." And then,

17:18

you know, the whole thing starts again.

17:19

The market is a cycle. It's a pattern.

17:21

It happens again and again and again.

17:22

And that's why there is a road map.

17:24

That's why there is literally a road map

17:26

for the next 90 days. If you want to

17:28

learn what that road map is based on the

17:30

very principles that the institutional

17:34

investors use, institutional traders

17:36

use, come and join me on Saturday. Learn

17:38

it. There's a link down below to it. And

17:40

that road map hasn't changed in 50

17:42

years. Not one bit. I know because I've

17:44

got mentors who learned this 50 years

17:46

ago. They're a little bit older than me.

17:48

And the only thing that really changes

17:50

is that which retail investors learned

17:53

the lesson. And right now SpaceX is

17:55

somewhere in that phase of like boom and

17:59

starting to come down a little bit.

18:00

Let's see what the index funds inclusion

18:02

does in the next few days. And then we

18:05

get that float which means all that

18:07

supply of shares hits the market and and

18:10

maybe you're thinking, "Oh, it's all

18:11

rigged. It's all manipulated."

18:13

Well, it's an opinion, but it doesn't

18:16

change anything. So, you are an

18:18

investor. You are a money manager.

18:20

you've got money in the market, even if

18:22

it's just sitting in your 401k and the

18:24

market is running the same script has

18:26

been running for 50 years and it doesn't

18:27

care whether you read the script. So,

18:30

what do we do with all this information?

18:31

How do we act on this? Well, let me give

18:33

you a simple framework here. Three

18:34

scenarios, three action plans. Find the

18:37

one that fits you the best and we're

18:38

going to go a lot deeper obviously on

18:40

Saturday because we have two hours to do

18:42

it. Say you bought shares in the IPO um

18:46

or maybe just after the IPO in the open

18:48

market. So, here's your checklist. First

18:50

understand the unlock schedule. I'd

18:52

literally print it out and put it on

18:53

your wall. August 11th is the first

18:56

major event there. Right, Mark? Every

18:58

day through October 25th, know when

19:01

supply is increasing, so you're not

19:02

caught off guard. Second, understand

19:04

your risk. How much of your total

19:06

portfolio is in SpaceX? If it's more

19:08

than 5 to 10%, that is not a diversified

19:11

investment. That is some sort of I love

19:13

Elon concentrated bet. And concentrated

19:16

bets can go wrong in a very, very big

19:18

way. Third, consider trimming before

19:21

August 11th. Now, I'm not a financial

19:23

adviser. I'm not a registered investment

19:25

adviser. I'm not telling you what to do.

19:26

I'm just saying think about these

19:27

things. You got to come to an informed

19:30

decision. And most people don't think

19:31

about these things, which makes us, you

19:33

know, kind of normal retail investors.

19:35

So, I'm not saying panic sell it. I'm

19:36

just saying strategically review your

19:39

position while the price is where it is.

19:41

Maybe you're happy. Maybe you want to

19:42

realize some of those gains. And if you

19:44

believe in SpaceX in the long term, and

19:46

there are plenty of reasons to, right,

19:48

you can always re-enter SpaceX in what I

19:50

call phase four at a potentially much

19:53

lower price. Now, the price might not go

19:55

down. It's also a possibility. And you

19:57

got to live with that uncertainty and

19:59

you got to live with like missing out on

20:01

stuff because it'll happen every single

20:02

day. It happens every single week. There

20:04

are plenty of stocks last week that went

20:05

up, you know, 30, 50, 80%. And you

20:07

didn't know they were there. You missed

20:09

out on them. That's okay. We got to

20:10

accept that, right? We don't need to

20:12

take advantage of every opportunity. But

20:14

if you just look at it that like that

20:16

what I just said, you're starting to

20:17

play the game more like institutions.

20:19

And finally, set some alerts. Know your

20:22

exit points before your emotions kick

20:24

in. Decide now when you're calm and

20:26

thinking clearly, not later when the

20:27

stock's down 30%. And you're then

20:29

panicking when you want to sell, when

20:32

you want to buy more, what your plan is.

20:34

And this applies to you even if you own

20:36

VTI, VO, QQQ, target date funds, or

20:40

pretty much any broad market fund

20:43

because what most people don't realize

20:44

is you're about to own SpaceX whether

20:46

you want to or not. Your index fund is

20:48

buying it automatically. You didn't

20:50

choose it. The index rules did. So,

20:53

should you sell your index fund? No.

20:55

It's extreme. Index investing is still

20:57

one of the best long-term strategies for

20:59

most people. It's a very simple thing to

21:00

do. You buy it, you forget about it. But

21:03

you need to be aware of what's happening

21:04

inside your fund. It is no longer a

21:06

broadly diversified fund. It is a tech

21:10

fund. So the concentration risk is

21:12

something you need to understand. And if

21:14

you then run out in addition, you buy

21:16

tech stocks. Well, is that really a good

21:19

idea? Right? So you know what did I buy

21:22

last week? Appperal companies for

21:24

example, um random stuff, pipeline

21:27

companies, that sort of thing. stuff

21:29

that has almost no AI connection because

21:34

I want to diversify a little bit and on

21:36

a day when the NASDAQ's down 3%

21:39

and I'm at zero, I'm winning, right? And

21:43

I can sleep better and I know my money

21:46

is protected and I'm not exposed like

21:48

some people are who by then down 10 or

21:50

20 or 30%. Which just means you're

21:52

taking on far too much risk. So consider

21:55

adding diversification outside of those

21:58

big US tech stocks. Anything that

22:00

doesn't move in lock step with AI

22:01

basically. And if you're that long-term

22:03

investor and you got that 10 year, 20

22:05

year time horizon, just don't look at

22:07

your account every single day. The

22:08

market corrects and your safe index

22:10

funds feel that correction hard because

22:12

of how concentrated they are. Remember

22:14

that corrections can also be buying

22:16

opportunities if your time horizon is

22:17

long enough, right? And I also do that.

22:19

So when we have those dips, I think in

22:20

February we had the last big one. I just

22:22

bought the index, right? It didn't need

22:24

to be right. It was just profitable,

22:26

right? Last year, May, after the tariff

22:28

thing, you know, just buy the bloody

22:30

index. I I don't know what stock's going

22:32

to go up, so just buy the bloody index

22:33

on those moments. And that can be very,

22:35

very profitable. So, don't let a red day

22:37

destroy your portfolio or your 20-year

22:39

plan. But if you are in group three and

22:42

you haven't bought SpaceX and you're not

22:44

sure what to do, maybe you're feeling

22:46

left out watching everybody else get

22:47

excited, maybe you think it's totally

22:50

overpriced. Um, my advice, and this is

22:53

actually probably the only piece of

22:54

advice in this video, is good, be

22:57

patient. There is a buying opportunity

22:59

for everything. And you don't need to

23:02

own everything. You don't need to own

23:04

Tesla. You don't need to own Nvidia. You

23:07

don't need to own these stocks. you

23:08

probably do through your index funds

23:09

anyway. And that's what I'm saying.

23:11

You're probably gonna expo get exposure

23:12

to this anyway, whether you want to or

23:14

not. So maybe you just don't need to

23:16

focus on SpaceX, right? But instead,

23:19

what I'd say to you is use this time to

23:22

learn. Study the playbook. Study what's

23:25

coming. How understand how these lockups

23:27

work. read the research I'm attaching to

23:30

this video so that when the phase comes

23:33

where stuff hits the fan in a bad way

23:36

and it'll come. It'll come and it might

23:39

be 12 months from now. It might be 18

23:41

months from now. At that point, you want

23:43

to be ready to act without emotion but

23:46

with a plan. And honestly, boring is

23:49

where fortunes are made. The most

23:50

unsexy, most overlooked phase of any

23:52

investment cycle is where the real money

23:54

is made. But you have to be prepared

23:56

before it arrives. They have to

23:57

understand how it works before it

23:58

arrives. If you wait until it's obvious,

24:01

you've already missed it. And look,

24:03

everything I just taught you, the index

24:04

fund mechanics, the lockup schedule, the

24:07

the the playbook, we just covered that

24:09

as a on a very high level. We're going

24:12

to go much deeper on that on Saturday if

24:13

you join me. Links down below. The

24:15

concentration risk and everything else.

24:17

This isn't just about SpaceX. It's the

24:19

framework for every major IPO phase.

24:22

It's the framework for every mega major

24:24

market phase. work for Facebook and

24:26

Amazon and Google and Uber and Airbnb

24:28

and all of those and it'll work for the

24:30

next SpaceX five years from now. So,

24:33

it's not about memorizing one stock.

24:35

It's about understanding how the market

24:36

actually works. The machinery behind the

24:39

curtain so you're never surprised again.

24:42

So, let's do a quick recap. First alarm

24:44

bell, $30 billion in forced buying is

24:47

about to slam into a 5% float of SpaceX,

24:51

right? Fire hose into Kitty Pool. Alarm

24:53

bell 2, August 11th. Insiders unlock

24:57

five times the current supply, billions

24:59

in potential selling, aimed directly at

25:02

the retail investor. But there's a butt

25:05

there I should probably mention. A lot

25:07

of these guys are very wealthy who own a

25:09

lot of SpaceX and they don't like paying

25:11

a lot of tax. So they're going to borrow

25:13

against their shares. They're going to

25:15

do some option strategies to protect

25:18

their shares and that'll still but to

25:20

press the price somewhat but it won't be

25:22

as blatant as obvious as as selling. And

25:25

then alarm bell three is the top 10

25:28

stocks up 40% of the market. The same

25:30

concentration level that preceded the

25:32

Nifty crash, the dot crash and every

25:34

major correction in modern history. So,

25:37

if you learned something in this video,

25:38

if it changed, how about how you think

25:40

about your portfolio? Well, share it

25:43

with somebody so more people can learn

25:44

this. And I apologize this maybe a

25:46

little bit less structure than it than

25:47

than it ought to be. I just thought this

25:49

is something really really important and

25:50

worth sharing. And join me on Saturday.

25:53

Again, I wasn't going to do that

25:54

training because I'm about to hop on a

25:56

flight straight afterwards, but I think

25:58

it is that important. And

26:02

show up for yourself. Grab yourself that

26:04

free seat. Share that link with other

26:06

people who might also benefit from from

26:08

real financial education and

26:12

we'll help to empower you so you can

26:14

make better decisions so you know what's

26:16

coming so you can be a winner in what is

26:19

coming rather than be sitting on the

26:21

sidelines of FOMO buying into something

26:23

which is usually where most people sit.

26:26

Now thank you for watching and I wish

26:27

you a beautiful week. Some of the

26:29

biggest and most profitable tech stocks

26:31

have barely moved in two years while the

26:34

NASDAQ has exploded up by 70% in the

26:38

same period. And that has created a

26:40

powder.

Interactive Summary

The video warns that August 11th is the most dangerous day for the stock market this year, specifically due to SpaceX. It reveals that Wall Street shares critical research with clients but not with the public. SpaceX's recent addition to major index funds, like the NASDAQ 100, is creating a massive, automated buying frenzy ($22-30 billion) for a stock with only 5% of its shares (float) available. However, a significant "lockup period" for insiders expires on August 11th, releasing five times more shares (from 5% to 25% of total supply) into the market. This scenario, where insiders sell into artificially inflated demand, is compared to historical market crashes like the dot-com bubble or Facebook's IPO aftermath, which saw a 50% drop. The speaker also highlights the current high concentration of the S&P 500 (40% in top 10 tech stocks) as a major risk, reminiscent of past bubbles (railroads, Nifty50, Japan 1989). While this situation presents significant risks, it also creates generational buying opportunities for informed investors who follow a strategic "playbook" instead of succumbing to fear or FOMO. Investors are advised to understand the unlock schedule, assess their risk, consider trimming concentrated positions, and diversify their portfolios to navigate the upcoming market shifts.

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