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Elon Musk Is a Trillionaire. "He Can Pick the Next President" | Pivot Excerpt

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Elon Musk Is a Trillionaire. "He Can Pick the Next President" | Pivot Excerpt

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313 segments

0:00

SpaceX uh of course this seems like a

0:02

hundred years ago officially public and

0:04

as uh one Scott Galloway predicted it

0:06

did indeed close up on its first day of

0:08

trading and you had said it was going to

0:09

be about 20% and not more which is

0:11

interesting. It was at 19 something%.

0:14

Shares are at a high of 177 at the time

0:17

of this taping after the company's

0:18

public debut on Friday making the

0:20

current market cap 2.32 trillion. You

0:23

thought it might be a scooch under under

0:25

two. um his first day on the market.

0:27

Over 500 million shares traded hands. A

0:29

lot of movement here. Um Elon himself of

0:32

course crossed the milestone thanks to

0:33

the pot becoming the world's first

0:34

trillionaire. There were some notable

0:36

buyers. Gina Reinhardt, Australia's

0:38

richest person bought over a billion

0:40

dollar stake in the company and Kathy

0:41

Woods Arc Investment bought more than

0:43

$500 million worth of stock. So go

0:46

through if there's anything surprising

0:47

there because uh venture and also

0:49

venture funding for US space technology

0:50

firms excluding SpaceX jumps $7.5

0:53

billion in 2025 from 2.5 billion the

0:56

previous years probably we'll see if

0:58

that goes anywhere because it's a that's

1:00

also a money can be a money furnace u as

1:03

you the word you use but any thoughts on

1:05

where it is right now

1:06

>> I thought that the bankers and and Musk

1:11

and look I I think the most significant

1:13

thing here is that this we've never seen

1:17

such engineered manufactured scarcity.

1:20

There was tens of billions of dollars of

1:23

demand for this IPO that has never

1:25

existed for an IPO before. And then you

1:27

combine it with the fact that unlike

1:30

other IPOs that went public on the

1:32

NASDAQ, it didn't have to float more

1:34

than 10%. It only floated 5%.

1:36

>> Yeah. Very scarcity as you said.

1:38

>> So you've just created manufacturer

1:40

scarcity. Now to be fair, it's up again

1:43

today. So this has created a level of

1:46

excitement in the market. I do think you

1:49

you have to highlight the positives here

1:52

and that is I never want to be someone

1:53

that demonizes success. There are 14 new

1:56

billionaires in Texas that you've never

1:59

heard of. Those people will give money

2:00

away. They will start new businesses.

2:03

Something that's uniquely American is

2:05

that we continue to produce companies

2:07

like this and entrepreneurs like Elon

2:10

Musk. It's going to create a lot of

2:11

economic growth. You're going to see a

2:13

surge in philanthropy from Berkeley to

2:15

the University of Texas. It inspires a

2:18

lot of people. I it is there's a lot of

2:22

positives here and we're seeing venture

2:25

funding increasing in you know space

2:28

related um projects. So there there's

2:31

there's a a lot to like here. You know,

2:34

I don't like the manufactured scarcity

2:37

and the what I'll call the overlying

2:40

narrative of sort of like the hero's

2:42

journey here.

2:42

>> And the numbers at certain businesses

2:44

are not great.

2:45

>> Yeah. Look, this from a valuation

2:47

standpoint, and this is this is what

2:49

Musk has always been able to do is to

2:51

create this this uh narrative over

2:55

numbers that's like no one else in

2:57

history. Um so but right now the stock

3:00

is trading 30% above the IPO price. Um

3:04

and then he has also again and I'm I go

3:07

back to governance there's all these

3:09

different lockups like if you trade on a

3:11

certain platform and you bought shares

3:12

through direct share purchase on a

3:14

certain platform they technically don't

3:16

have a lockup but but they if they sell

3:21

their shares they can't trade on the

3:22

platform before which is like a soft

3:24

lock up. there's certain uh criteria

3:27

around when you can sell if the stock is

3:29

up a certain amount etc. To be fair,

3:32

Elon's locked himself up. I doubt he's

3:34

planning to sell. He'll just borrow

3:36

against his stock. But what they've

3:37

effectively done, what you're not

3:38

supposed to do, is they've created

3:39

different class of classes of shares,

3:42

which you're not supposed to do. So

3:45

again, I find that this is this is

3:48

really inspiring and important and going

3:51

to be great for economic growth on

3:53

certain levels. I also believe that this

3:56

entire sector is going to have not a

3:59

collapse but a pretty serious draw down

4:01

when people after two or three earnings

4:03

calls are forced to justify anything

4:05

resembling a future that involves the

4:07

kind of earnings built into this thing

4:08

>> right

4:09

>> and then the rush to space technology

4:10

firm same thing they're going to

4:11

overinvest which is normal like I would

4:14

assume presumably

4:15

>> and that and quite frankly that's one of

4:16

the great things about America because

4:17

we overinvested in the internet and the

4:19

technology survived and a lot of those

4:21

companies came back and that investment

4:22

was good but you didn't want to

4:24

one of the one of the investors

4:26

overinvesting initially.com. Yeah.

4:28

>> Yeah. So, but I said somebody called me

4:31

and I said this on pivot. Someone called

4:32

me and said I I have allocation. Should

4:34

I take it? And I said take it and trade

4:36

out on the first trade.

4:37

>> If you buy it and trade out, you don't

4:39

do as most people don't do as well

4:41

except in certain cases, right? It's

4:43

there were all these like really

4:44

interesting statistics of buying and

4:46

selling um that were not good in the

4:50

long run over over time. It's just you

4:52

got to hit the exact right one or you

4:54

lose mo money most of the time.

4:56

>> This was different because so first off

4:59

uh trading out trading out you you get

5:03

short-term capital gains at a higher

5:05

rate. So there's a lot of evidence that

5:07

shows that just generally with investing

5:10

you're better off just buying and trying

5:12

to never sell. It's just trading trading

5:15

is a difficult is a difficult game. I

5:18

thought and I said this I said they are

5:20

going to manufacture a 20% pop. The

5:22

bankers exactly

5:23

>> and everyone are figuring out a way to

5:26

create a supply demand imbalance that

5:28

will exactly peg this at a 20% pop.

5:31

What's impressive and punctures that

5:33

theory is that it's up another 11%

5:36

today. And the thing that also just the

5:38

thing that deserves a nod is the best VC

5:40

in the world is not Andre Horowitz or

5:43

whoever initially funded SpaceX. How

5:45

>> respond? Well, it's in my opinion, it's

5:48

Uncle Sam and that SpaceX investors and

5:51

the banks taking SpaceX public should

5:53

remember

5:54

>> that we would not be here today without

5:55

grants from the federal government. In

5:57

2008, SpaceX was on the verge of

5:59

bankruptcy

6:00

>> and would likely have run out of money

6:02

if not for a grant from NASA.

6:04

>> Yep.

6:05

>> And the golden law,

6:05

>> same thing with Tesla.

6:07

>> And then the golden law of stupidity

6:09

here, Trump is trying to cut NASA's

6:10

funding by more than 20% this year.

6:12

>> Same with mRNA technology. Same with the

6:15

government is one of the greatest

6:16

investors of all time if you could think

6:18

about it that way. best VC in history,

6:20

whether it's medical research for our

6:22

universities or electric charging

6:24

stations would you know and they would

6:27

argue back well they're going to get

6:28

their bite they're going to get enormous

6:30

return through tax revenues

6:32

>> possibly

6:33

>> the the big debate this will will stir

6:36

is in America we've been talking about

6:40

for decades now what's dominated the

6:43

conversation is how you create wealth

6:46

the conversation that is superseding

6:47

that is what you should do with wealth

6:50

once you have it. And so right now Elon

6:53

Musk could buy all of Manhattan, every

6:56

building, every condo, every park with

6:59

his that's how much money he has right

7:01

now. And whether or not this level of

7:04

concentration of power which comes in a

7:07

capitalist society for money

7:10

presents a risk. And I'm of the mind

7:12

that I think it's important that

7:13

eventually and I I'm in favor of of

7:16

eventually having trillionaires, but we

7:18

should have guard rails over the power

7:19

and progressive taxation, which we don't

7:21

have right now.

7:22

>> Can I just say one thing I want to push

7:24

back on, and that you've created all

7:25

these rich people are going to give to

7:26

charity. If you look at the statistics,

7:29

I don't think they're going to be

7:30

charitable. I don't think they're going

7:31

to do good things. I just don't I don't

7:33

think this class I don't think Elon Musk

7:34

has had a very good record. So, I just I

7:37

I'm not expecting these people to be I

7:39

think they're going to be on an ongoing

7:40

quest for more money and more power and

7:42

more consolidation. So, I'm not

7:45

impressed with their charitable uh

7:47

thoughts. And I'm I'm glad they're

7:48

creating jobs, but they would

7:50

immediately cut you if they had to.

7:52

That's I just don't think they have that

7:54

in them.

7:54

>> You're talking about Okay. But I I think

7:57

we need to parse that. And that is if

8:00

you look at billionaires and their

8:02

wives, the wives have hands down been

8:04

more philanthropic.

8:06

And it doesn't and and the the quote

8:08

unquote billionaire masters of the

8:10

universe have not acquitted themselves

8:12

well on a lot of levels.

8:15

But there's just no doubt this type of

8:17

wealth creation event is going to result

8:19

in a surge in philanthropy. It just

8:21

does. That would be great

8:23

>> because you're going to have a lot of

8:25

people who wake up and have $20 million

8:28

and think, I'm going to give 2 million

8:30

bucks to the local food bank or I'm

8:31

going to give 50,000. I I talked to, you

8:35

know, I'm I'm involved with the

8:36

University of California. They're all

8:37

revising their giving goals up for next

8:41

year because of the IPOs coming down the

8:43

and they have so many alumni.

8:45

I'm not talking about Elon Musk. I think

8:48

it would be you could you could make a

8:50

credible argument that he's not the most

8:51

philanthropic person. I get that and you

8:54

can definitely make an argument that

8:55

Mackenzie Scott and Melinda French Gates

8:57

are more philanthropic than their

8:59

husbands. But when you see these types

9:02

of liquidity events, local

9:03

philanthropies surge in terms of in

9:06

terms of uh uh money. There's look

9:10

there's for all of SpaceX's problems and

9:12

income inequality, there isn't a nation

9:14

on Earth that wouldn't kill to have

9:16

those problems.

9:17

I I would agree. I just think it's going

9:19

to go into political activism in a way

9:21

that could be deletarious to most of us.

9:23

That's

9:24

>> that's where it's going. It's not going

9:25

to helping a kid.

9:27

>> Let's be clear.

9:28

>> Elon Musk, in my view, can probably

9:31

decide who the next president is.

9:33

>> Yeah, that's correct.

9:34

>> He spent $250 million

9:37

and had influence on the election. Maybe

9:40

he didn't decide it, but he had

9:42

influence on it. He thinks what happens

9:44

if he decides to put 2.5% of his net

9:47

worth or 25 billion or 100 times what he

9:52

spent

9:54

>> last time.

9:54

>> Yeah, he's a freight train.

9:56

>> And also to be to be fair, are we

9:58

comfortable and I he deserves credit.

10:01

One of the one of the things that

10:02

doesn't get he doesn't get enough credit

10:04

for is he has turned off Starlink for

10:07

Russia and it is it has put Russia at a

10:10

severe disadvantage to Ukraine. And I

10:13

think that is a wonderful thing and he

10:14

deserves credit for it. Having said

10:16

that,

10:16

>> he changes his mind.

10:18

>> Well, that's exactly right. Having said

10:19

that, is should that power reside in a

10:23

private citizen that has no government

10:24

or electoral oversight?

10:26

>> No, it's not.

10:27

>> But look, it's a ton of economic growth.

10:29

The banks made a ton of money. You

10:32

have a lot of people. 4,000 people

10:34

became millionaires on Friday.

10:36

>> I get it. I hope they're better better

10:38

at it. I just think I'm not even Musk is

10:40

one thing, but I'm worried about others

10:42

that aren't quite so broad. I just like

10:44

I always whenever I see a box, I think

10:46

the Ulain's the Eul I N E. I don't know

10:49

how to pronounce it, but they're like

10:51

huge givers to crazy right-wing causes.

10:53

And so I just am like, "Oh god, the

10:56

boxes, the this, the that." Anyway, I I

10:58

just hope that they um that they

11:01

>> the Citizens United problem. I hope that

11:03

they're charitable. That's that's what I

11:05

hope.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses the successful IPO of SpaceX, exploring the market dynamics, the manufactured scarcity of shares, and the broader economic and social implications. The speakers analyze how government support was crucial to SpaceX's early success, debate the potential impact on future philanthropy and economic growth, and express deep concerns regarding the concentration of power in a single individual, particularly concerning political influence and the lack of oversight on a private citizen wielding global influence.

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