Elon Musk Is a Trillionaire. "He Can Pick the Next President" | Pivot Excerpt
313 segments
SpaceX uh of course this seems like a
hundred years ago officially public and
as uh one Scott Galloway predicted it
did indeed close up on its first day of
trading and you had said it was going to
be about 20% and not more which is
interesting. It was at 19 something%.
Shares are at a high of 177 at the time
of this taping after the company's
public debut on Friday making the
current market cap 2.32 trillion. You
thought it might be a scooch under under
two. um his first day on the market.
Over 500 million shares traded hands. A
lot of movement here. Um Elon himself of
course crossed the milestone thanks to
the pot becoming the world's first
trillionaire. There were some notable
buyers. Gina Reinhardt, Australia's
richest person bought over a billion
dollar stake in the company and Kathy
Woods Arc Investment bought more than
$500 million worth of stock. So go
through if there's anything surprising
there because uh venture and also
venture funding for US space technology
firms excluding SpaceX jumps $7.5
billion in 2025 from 2.5 billion the
previous years probably we'll see if
that goes anywhere because it's a that's
also a money can be a money furnace u as
you the word you use but any thoughts on
where it is right now
>> I thought that the bankers and and Musk
and look I I think the most significant
thing here is that this we've never seen
such engineered manufactured scarcity.
There was tens of billions of dollars of
demand for this IPO that has never
existed for an IPO before. And then you
combine it with the fact that unlike
other IPOs that went public on the
NASDAQ, it didn't have to float more
than 10%. It only floated 5%.
>> Yeah. Very scarcity as you said.
>> So you've just created manufacturer
scarcity. Now to be fair, it's up again
today. So this has created a level of
excitement in the market. I do think you
you have to highlight the positives here
and that is I never want to be someone
that demonizes success. There are 14 new
billionaires in Texas that you've never
heard of. Those people will give money
away. They will start new businesses.
Something that's uniquely American is
that we continue to produce companies
like this and entrepreneurs like Elon
Musk. It's going to create a lot of
economic growth. You're going to see a
surge in philanthropy from Berkeley to
the University of Texas. It inspires a
lot of people. I it is there's a lot of
positives here and we're seeing venture
funding increasing in you know space
related um projects. So there there's
there's a a lot to like here. You know,
I don't like the manufactured scarcity
and the what I'll call the overlying
narrative of sort of like the hero's
journey here.
>> And the numbers at certain businesses
are not great.
>> Yeah. Look, this from a valuation
standpoint, and this is this is what
Musk has always been able to do is to
create this this uh narrative over
numbers that's like no one else in
history. Um so but right now the stock
is trading 30% above the IPO price. Um
and then he has also again and I'm I go
back to governance there's all these
different lockups like if you trade on a
certain platform and you bought shares
through direct share purchase on a
certain platform they technically don't
have a lockup but but they if they sell
their shares they can't trade on the
platform before which is like a soft
lock up. there's certain uh criteria
around when you can sell if the stock is
up a certain amount etc. To be fair,
Elon's locked himself up. I doubt he's
planning to sell. He'll just borrow
against his stock. But what they've
effectively done, what you're not
supposed to do, is they've created
different class of classes of shares,
which you're not supposed to do. So
again, I find that this is this is
really inspiring and important and going
to be great for economic growth on
certain levels. I also believe that this
entire sector is going to have not a
collapse but a pretty serious draw down
when people after two or three earnings
calls are forced to justify anything
resembling a future that involves the
kind of earnings built into this thing
>> right
>> and then the rush to space technology
firm same thing they're going to
overinvest which is normal like I would
assume presumably
>> and that and quite frankly that's one of
the great things about America because
we overinvested in the internet and the
technology survived and a lot of those
companies came back and that investment
was good but you didn't want to
one of the one of the investors
overinvesting initially.com. Yeah.
>> Yeah. So, but I said somebody called me
and I said this on pivot. Someone called
me and said I I have allocation. Should
I take it? And I said take it and trade
out on the first trade.
>> If you buy it and trade out, you don't
do as most people don't do as well
except in certain cases, right? It's
there were all these like really
interesting statistics of buying and
selling um that were not good in the
long run over over time. It's just you
got to hit the exact right one or you
lose mo money most of the time.
>> This was different because so first off
uh trading out trading out you you get
short-term capital gains at a higher
rate. So there's a lot of evidence that
shows that just generally with investing
you're better off just buying and trying
to never sell. It's just trading trading
is a difficult is a difficult game. I
thought and I said this I said they are
going to manufacture a 20% pop. The
bankers exactly
>> and everyone are figuring out a way to
create a supply demand imbalance that
will exactly peg this at a 20% pop.
What's impressive and punctures that
theory is that it's up another 11%
today. And the thing that also just the
thing that deserves a nod is the best VC
in the world is not Andre Horowitz or
whoever initially funded SpaceX. How
>> respond? Well, it's in my opinion, it's
Uncle Sam and that SpaceX investors and
the banks taking SpaceX public should
remember
>> that we would not be here today without
grants from the federal government. In
2008, SpaceX was on the verge of
bankruptcy
>> and would likely have run out of money
if not for a grant from NASA.
>> Yep.
>> And the golden law,
>> same thing with Tesla.
>> And then the golden law of stupidity
here, Trump is trying to cut NASA's
funding by more than 20% this year.
>> Same with mRNA technology. Same with the
government is one of the greatest
investors of all time if you could think
about it that way. best VC in history,
whether it's medical research for our
universities or electric charging
stations would you know and they would
argue back well they're going to get
their bite they're going to get enormous
return through tax revenues
>> possibly
>> the the big debate this will will stir
is in America we've been talking about
for decades now what's dominated the
conversation is how you create wealth
the conversation that is superseding
that is what you should do with wealth
once you have it. And so right now Elon
Musk could buy all of Manhattan, every
building, every condo, every park with
his that's how much money he has right
now. And whether or not this level of
concentration of power which comes in a
capitalist society for money
presents a risk. And I'm of the mind
that I think it's important that
eventually and I I'm in favor of of
eventually having trillionaires, but we
should have guard rails over the power
and progressive taxation, which we don't
have right now.
>> Can I just say one thing I want to push
back on, and that you've created all
these rich people are going to give to
charity. If you look at the statistics,
I don't think they're going to be
charitable. I don't think they're going
to do good things. I just don't I don't
think this class I don't think Elon Musk
has had a very good record. So, I just I
I'm not expecting these people to be I
think they're going to be on an ongoing
quest for more money and more power and
more consolidation. So, I'm not
impressed with their charitable uh
thoughts. And I'm I'm glad they're
creating jobs, but they would
immediately cut you if they had to.
That's I just don't think they have that
in them.
>> You're talking about Okay. But I I think
we need to parse that. And that is if
you look at billionaires and their
wives, the wives have hands down been
more philanthropic.
And it doesn't and and the the quote
unquote billionaire masters of the
universe have not acquitted themselves
well on a lot of levels.
But there's just no doubt this type of
wealth creation event is going to result
in a surge in philanthropy. It just
does. That would be great
>> because you're going to have a lot of
people who wake up and have $20 million
and think, I'm going to give 2 million
bucks to the local food bank or I'm
going to give 50,000. I I talked to, you
know, I'm I'm involved with the
University of California. They're all
revising their giving goals up for next
year because of the IPOs coming down the
and they have so many alumni.
I'm not talking about Elon Musk. I think
it would be you could you could make a
credible argument that he's not the most
philanthropic person. I get that and you
can definitely make an argument that
Mackenzie Scott and Melinda French Gates
are more philanthropic than their
husbands. But when you see these types
of liquidity events, local
philanthropies surge in terms of in
terms of uh uh money. There's look
there's for all of SpaceX's problems and
income inequality, there isn't a nation
on Earth that wouldn't kill to have
those problems.
I I would agree. I just think it's going
to go into political activism in a way
that could be deletarious to most of us.
That's
>> that's where it's going. It's not going
to helping a kid.
>> Let's be clear.
>> Elon Musk, in my view, can probably
decide who the next president is.
>> Yeah, that's correct.
>> He spent $250 million
and had influence on the election. Maybe
he didn't decide it, but he had
influence on it. He thinks what happens
if he decides to put 2.5% of his net
worth or 25 billion or 100 times what he
spent
>> last time.
>> Yeah, he's a freight train.
>> And also to be to be fair, are we
comfortable and I he deserves credit.
One of the one of the things that
doesn't get he doesn't get enough credit
for is he has turned off Starlink for
Russia and it is it has put Russia at a
severe disadvantage to Ukraine. And I
think that is a wonderful thing and he
deserves credit for it. Having said
that,
>> he changes his mind.
>> Well, that's exactly right. Having said
that, is should that power reside in a
private citizen that has no government
or electoral oversight?
>> No, it's not.
>> But look, it's a ton of economic growth.
The banks made a ton of money. You
have a lot of people. 4,000 people
became millionaires on Friday.
>> I get it. I hope they're better better
at it. I just think I'm not even Musk is
one thing, but I'm worried about others
that aren't quite so broad. I just like
I always whenever I see a box, I think
the Ulain's the Eul I N E. I don't know
how to pronounce it, but they're like
huge givers to crazy right-wing causes.
And so I just am like, "Oh god, the
boxes, the this, the that." Anyway, I I
just hope that they um that they
>> the Citizens United problem. I hope that
they're charitable. That's that's what I
hope.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video discusses the successful IPO of SpaceX, exploring the market dynamics, the manufactured scarcity of shares, and the broader economic and social implications. The speakers analyze how government support was crucial to SpaceX's early success, debate the potential impact on future philanthropy and economic growth, and express deep concerns regarding the concentration of power in a single individual, particularly concerning political influence and the lack of oversight on a private citizen wielding global influence.
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