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White House Sends Team to Pakistan as Iran Balks at Talks

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White House Sends Team to Pakistan as Iran Balks at Talks

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153 segments

0:00

Dan, I wanna start with you since you're on the ground there. Part of the problem

0:04

throughout this conflict has been different messaging from both within these parties and cross talking between

0:08

them. We heard the White House press secretary say they are gonna have talks. Iran has

0:13

said they haven't agreed to talks. Will they be talking? What's going on? What are you

0:17

hearing?

0:21

Yeah. I mean, the confusion is absolutely palpable here on the ground in Islamabad as well.

0:26

The Iranian foreign minister of Assarrahi is indeed in Islamabad having meetings with Pakistani officials as

0:34

we speak. Now what remains to be seen is if the foreign minister will be meeting

0:38

with The US delegation, which as you mentioned, is expected to arrive in Islamabad at some

0:44

point this weekend. The two sides are really far apart on on a lot of issues.

0:49

Of course, the control of the Strait Of Hormuz remains the sort of central sticking, sticking

0:54

point that's that's holding off talks between the two sides. I think what you may end

0:58

up seeing here in Islamabad is is sort of, you know, each side kind of arrives,

1:03

passes messages to the inter to to the Pakistanis who are acting as the intermediary in

1:08

these negotiations, and then they go their separate ways and sort of continue to talk about

1:12

talking, if you will. But, again, much remains to be seen. It's still only Saturday here

1:17

in Islamabad, so so we'll see what happens.

1:21

Joshua and Greg, let me go to you next. I'm curious about who's going and who's

1:24

not going. So we have secretary of state Marco Rubio, also the national security adviser, archivist

1:28

as well, I should note, remaining here in Washington DC. JD Vance, the vice president, not

1:32

going as well. Here's what the White House press secretary Caroline Levitt had to say about

1:35

that yesterday.

1:37

The vice president, the secretary of state will be waiting here in The United States, for

1:42

updates, and the vice president, I understand, is on standby and will be willing to dispatch

1:46

to Pakistan if we feel it's a necessary use of his time.

1:50

Josh, you're traveling with the president, and I'm curious what the administration's perspective on these talks

1:54

is, how much optimism they have that this is gonna lead to, not only a a

1:58

ceasefire, but I guess before that, just a meeting, the meeting itself.

2:02

Yeah. David, good morning, and thank you. Yeah. I am traveling with him. Unfortunately, I'm not

2:05

on the Mar A Lago guest list. You can imagine. So I apologize. I look like

2:09

I'm being held in a in a nondescript location by the emperor of Marriott. Bear with

2:14

me. Here, this is life in Westin

2:15

from points, and we're happy for that, judge.

2:17

Yes. That's right. That's right. The White House, on the one hand, I think, wanting to

2:21

signal disinterest in these talks. If they wanted to put a foot down on them, they

2:25

would have sent Vance. The fact that they're not, I think, is a signal they want

2:29

to send. I don't know how material it is, though, because Wittkow and Kushner, of course,

2:33

have a pretty direct literally direct line to the president and are pretty empowered to do

2:39

that. There's been some sort of frustration in American circles that they believe that their delegation

2:43

is being sent and, you know, empowered to talk and negotiate there. Of course, one of

2:49

the stags we've heard from American officials is they think that the Iranians are not able

2:53

to do that in part out of security concerns in the undisclosed location of the supreme

2:58

leader. They don't you know? So they they think they're hitting a logjam on that. And

3:01

so I think expectations are low. The fact that the on the American side of sort

3:05

of some sort of immediate breakthrough, the fact that talks are happening, I suppose, are a

3:09

positive. I think it's important just to remember, as we noted there, but just to emphasize

3:13

it, the standoff on the straight is sort of is a chicken and egg scenario. Right?

3:17

Like, what we have here is the Strait was closed suddenly again by Iran because of

3:24

the blockade. Trump says the blockade is until they get a deal including opening the Strait.

3:30

So, you know, it's it's a battle of wills right now whether that particular piece will

3:34

open, and there were a lot of great things up on the on the terminal, in

3:37

the past few days about the mounting pressures on the energy markets in particular and how

3:42

long we can sort of, you know, run on reserves until this thing really starts to

3:45

cascade through the economy.

3:47

And, Abir, I wanna ask you about how this is being perceived in the region because,

3:51

obviously, we talk about The Gulf is not a monolith, and we know that. But the

3:54

GCC states, you know, recently, they've been a little quieter than they were when, you know,

3:59

they were actively under fire from Iran. I don't know what you've heard, but diplomats I've

4:03

spoken to in the region don't have a lot of confidence in these talks. They don't

4:08

have a lot of confidence in Pakistan as a mediator. Do they think The US is

4:12

approaching this the right way to end this conflict anytime soon?

4:16

Yeah. Good morning. So, look, mean, you're absolutely right, and Josh and Dan sort of alluded

4:20

to this perfectly. First of all, the Strait Of Hormuz remains the sticking point here, but

4:24

I've been back in Dubai for a week now. And I've been meeting some officials and

4:28

trying to understand what the perspective is or how it's changed over the past couple of

4:33

weeks or so, certainly since the, ceasefire was announced. And the what really stood out to

4:38

me was we reported earlier about a week ago that Gulf officials and some Western officials

4:44

believe that reaching a deal between The US and Iran would take about six months, and

4:50

that was solidified to me when I when I arrived in Dubai. Speaking to some officials,

4:55

they don't think that things are gonna go back to direct firings over capital cities in

5:01

the GCC, but they do think that the Iranians will take this as long as possible

5:06

and not come to concessions. And I'm just seeing some Arabic media outlets reporting here on

5:13

my screen, and this is you know, Dan is obviously there, but this is not verified

5:18

reporting by Bloomberg. But some media Arabic media reports suggest that a Rakshi in Islamabad is

5:26

suggesting that the Iranians would rather deal with, JD Vance, that the Iranians are not gonna

5:31

come to concession concessions, and that they're sticking, to the 10 points that they've laid out

5:37

initially. Essentially, no compromise. That brings into the question the double blockade that we're seeing across

5:44

the Strait Of Hormuz and what contingency plans those GCC countries are considering to sort of

5:50

avoid that and get their oil shipments across.

5:53

Abir, I wanna ask you about, the state of Iran today, Iranian leadership, and something the

5:58

president brings up here in The US a lot is that there's a lot of fraction

6:02

fractions there. There's it's not a a unified voice coming from from Iranian leadership right now.

6:06

There was a great piece in the Times this week about the supreme leader, just about

6:10

his health, how he's doing, and I'll quote a bit from it. He was gravely wounded.

6:14

He's mentally sharp and engaged according to four senior Iranian officials familiar with his health. One

6:18

leg was operated on three times. He's awaiting a prosthetic. He had surgery on one hand

6:22

and is slowly regaining function. His face and lips have been burned severely, making it difficult

6:26

for him to speak, the official said, adding that eventually he will need plastic surgery. So

6:31

confirming what we've heard from the administration here in The US that he was, injured in

6:34

one of these, attacks, What is the latest that we know about sort of who is

6:38

in control, who is kind of leading the charge for the Iranians when it comes to

6:41

these talks and trying to find some solution here?

6:44

Yeah. And, look, I I saw that piece as well, and it sort of, again, brings

6:49

into light the conversation that we've had earlier. The start of this, we're about to enter

6:54

the sixth the sixtieth day of this war and no sign from the new Khamenei as

6:59

of as of yet. And this article sort of explains why that is, and he remains

7:04

in a hidden location. There were a lot of reports about his health and where he

7:08

is, but it remains, the the people that remain, in charge that president Trump refers to

7:14

as the new people that are sort of more rational, the new regime that he refers

7:19

to, are those ones that are going to Islamabad at the at the forefront of those

7:24

are foreign minister Abbas Arajji, who is, in Islamabad today. There are reports about him likely

7:30

going to Oman next, possibly Russia as well. Those are unverified yet. Oman was obviously a

7:36

a key mediator before all of this started. But at the forefront, those people are the

7:42

people that we keep hearing about. You've got, actually, you've got Kailey Leinzker who's also, part

7:48

of the delegation that is in charge of those talks, in, in Islamabad this week, David.

7:56

Dan, you heard Abir say that people are thinking this could go on for six months.

8:01

Are you ready to hang out in Pakistan for six months? And I also wanna ask

8:05

you, what is at stake for the Pakistanis? They've really put themselves out there. They're very

8:08

proud of hosting this talks. This is I don't wanna say a first first, but in

8:12

recent memory, this is the first time they've been in this position. If it doesn't work

8:15

and if it continues not to work, do they lose face on the diplomatic stage?

8:22

Well, to your first question, I mean, you know, Islamabad is just absolutely overrun with journalists

8:27

at the moment sort of in this wet wet you know, hurry up and wait mode

8:30

just waiting to see what happens. So we'll be here as long as as long as

8:34

we're welcome. You know, that being said, I mean, for Pakistan, you're absolutely right. I mean,

8:39

so much is at stake here. Know, this government has really positioned itself, going out of

8:44

its way to position itself as the the the go between between these two, warring nations.

8:49

It's it's in a really, quite unique position right now in the world of having, positive

8:54

relations with all sides of this conflict, essentially. Of course, president Trump and the leadership, in

9:00

Pakistan are quite close. Pakistan has good relations with Iran as well. Pakistan has good relations

9:05

with China and other a large number of the Gulf countries as well that are all

9:09

deeply involved in this conflict. So it is in a unique position. It has invited the

9:14

the two sides here once already and is is really sort of putting all its chips

9:19

on the table and and trying to to bring everybody together. And and Pakistan itself also

9:24

has a lot to lose if this war continues. I mean, this is a country that

9:27

is itself economically on the rocks. It's on an IMF program. It's it has fuel shortages

9:33

that are being exacerbated by the blockade in the Strait Of Hormuz. So it too has

9:37

a has a has an interest and a and a and a stake in ending this

9:41

war. So so it definitely does want things to to wind up soon. Now whether that

9:46

happens in the coming days, we'll we'll certainly, wait and see.

9:50

Josh, we don't have a ton of time left, but we talked earlier about the fact

9:53

that Vance and Rubio are not going. And Abir referenced this a little bit. It's it's

9:58

the inadequacy of the players even going to these talks. You know, in diplomacy, little things

10:04

really matter. And the fact that Iran's foreign minister is there, The US secretary of state

10:08

is not. His equivalent is not going to these talks. How does the White House think

10:13

they're gonna get progress if they're not showing up kind of seriously for the debate?

10:18

I mean, Trump likes leverage. I'm sure he sees potential leverage and sort of holding back

10:24

a chess piece that he can then deploy. But at the same time, Witkow has a

10:29

remarkably unusual role by comparison to past administrations. So, you know, this is

10:34

That's a good point.

10:35

And to say nothing of Kushner. So, you know, this is not, I suppose, in some

10:39

ways, all that. While, you know, secretary of state Marco Rubio has not played a huge

10:44

role in these talks that has left the impression that he is somewhat, you know, removed

10:49

from this, I think that that's an interesting dynamic in the palace intrigue sort of perspective.

10:54

But as for the president, you know, sources have insisted that he's not bored with this,

10:58

but he does not appear overly interested. On the flight down last night, he did not

11:02

talk to us. He was truthing or tweeting about, you know, the renovations of fountains and

11:07

what they're doing to the reflecting pool in Washington DC. He was talking about crowds at

11:11

his inauguration the day before that. I mean, he he is on so many other different

11:15

subjects right now. It does not feel like he's, you know, facing a ton of urgency.

11:20

Meanwhile, he is starting to really feel a pinch, not only of energy prices, but a

11:24

pull, declines right, domestically at home. So that is, speaking of leverage, what Iran thinks it

11:29

has.

Interactive Summary

This video covers the ongoing conflict between the U.S. and Iran, focusing on diplomatic efforts in Islamabad, Pakistan. Experts discuss the low expectations for immediate breakthroughs, the significance of the Strait of Hormuz as a central point of contention, and the impact of the U.S. administration's decision not to send high-level officials like the Vice President or Secretary of State to the talks. The discussion also touches on the internal state of Iranian leadership, specifically the health of the Supreme Leader, and the unique position Pakistan holds as a mediator while also suffering from the economic repercussions of the conflict.

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