HomeVideos

A 10 Bagger Like These Stocks May Never Happen Again

Now Playing

A 10 Bagger Like These Stocks May Never Happen Again

Transcript

726 segments

0:00

six stocks and I think any of them has a

0:03

real chance at a 10xer in the next 12

0:06

months and I'm putting them on the

0:08

screen right now. Screenshot if you want

0:10

to. No buildup, no clickbait here. We're

0:11

not going to make you suffer for it. And

0:13

the list is simple. Regetti computing,

0:16

D-Wave, INQ, Compass Pathways, Compass

0:20

Minerals, and Big Bear AI. Winston has a

0:23

warning for you. If you take this list

0:24

and you copy it without knowing the

0:26

rules underneath it, you're going to

0:28

lose money. same way most people who

0:30

bought my quantum picss at the top last

0:34

January lost money. So if you want to

0:36

actually use this, stick around. And if

0:39

you don't know who I am, my name is

0:40

Felix. This is Winston here who does all

0:42

the hard thinking around here. And we

0:43

used to be investment bankers. I didn't

0:45

particularly love it. So I left and we

0:47

started the Goat Academy where my Wall

0:50

Street mentors have taught over 20,000

0:52

people the last 6 years in the ways that

0:55

Wall Street actually uses and deploys

0:59

their money. And a year ago, almost

1:01

exactly to this day, I told you about

1:03

three quantum computing stocks on this

1:05

channel. Regetti, it went up over

1:07

a,000%. Dwave went up about 800%. INQ

1:11

tripled. In back in February, going back

1:14

a little bit further, 2021, I told you

1:16

about a little software company that

1:18

nobody had really heard of. It was

1:19

called Palanteer. From the price I

1:22

called, it ran up 600%. And last May, I

1:25

told you about a boring hard drive

1:26

company called Seagate. It was trading

1:28

at 95 bucks. 12 months later, it touched

1:32

100. That's a 745%

1:35

gain on a hard drive company. Last

1:37

August, I told you about Intel, and

1:39

everybody laughed. Today, Intel listed

1:41

the comeback story of 2026. These were

1:43

all in different sectors, different

1:45

stories, but the same pattern

1:47

underneath. Out of favor, real

1:49

businesses, macro tailwind, smart money

1:52

quietly buying. And that exact same

1:54

pattern is showing up right now in six

1:57

different names across four sectors. And

1:59

that's what we're here for today. Now,

2:01

of course, I don't have a crystal ball.

2:02

Winston keeps eating them. Past

2:04

performance is no guarantee of future

2:06

returns. You got to do your own research

2:08

and you need to know the rules. But we

2:11

need to talk about the wreckage because

2:13

when I called those stocks, right, a lot

2:16

of people who bought them still lost

2:19

money. They bought late. They didn't

2:21

know when to sell, they held a 10 bagger

2:24

all the way back down. And if that's

2:26

happened to you, you're not alone. It's

2:28

actually the most common thing in

2:29

investing. And it happens because of one

2:32

lie the financial industry has been

2:33

telling us for 50 years. buy and hold.

2:36

Five of the most loved, most hyped

2:39

stocks of the last cycle, the ones that

2:40

were magazine covers, the ones with

2:42

millions of fans on YouTube, you know,

2:44

the future of everything. PayPal peaked

2:47

at 310,

2:49

trading at 40ome, down 85%. $10,000

2:53

invested turned into just 1,500 bucks.

2:56

Plug Power, the future of hydrogen,

2:59

peaked at 75, it's trading at a couple

3:01

of bucks, down like 96%. Blackberry

3:04

peaked at 28, trading at a few dollars,

3:06

down 77%. NEO, the Tesla killer, peaked

3:10

at 67, trading at not a lot, down 90%.

3:14

Lucid, same story. Now, these stocks

3:17

were scams. They were real companies

3:19

with real stories with real businesses.

3:22

But the stories changed. But retail

3:25

investors, you and me, didn't read the

3:27

change. Wall Street did. They rotated

3:30

out. They took profits. But the buy and

3:33

holdless, they held the back. And that's

3:36

how this works. Buy and hold is dead in

3:39

2026. Not because companies are dying.

3:42

It's because stories change faster than

3:45

retail adapts to. Retail marries the

3:49

stock. They defend it on social media.

3:52

They average down. They contract

3:54

something known as conviction. And they

3:57

get a slow death with that particular

4:00

STD. Wall Street on the other hand takes

4:02

profits and rotates. That's the entire

4:05

game once you see it. And there's a

4:07

phrase Wall Street analysts have been

4:09

throwing a lot around a lot in the last

4:11

few months. They call it a stock pickers

4:14

market. In fact, it's been like that for

4:16

two years or more. The term gets used on

4:19

financial television constantly and

4:20

nobody really understands or explains

4:22

what it really means. So, here it is in

4:24

plain English. When the gap between the

4:28

top stocks and the bottom stocks, the

4:31

losers gets really, really wide like it

4:35

is right now. If you own the index,

4:40

guess what? You own the top, but you

4:42

also own the bottom. So, the winners and

4:45

the losers more or less cancel each

4:47

other out. So, you end up with mediocre

4:50

returns. Why? because you're carrying

4:53

this disaster known as the bottom. Right

4:56

now, 77%

4:59

of the S&P 500's gains all year come

5:03

from the top 12 stocks. So, tell me why

5:07

on earth you are holding the bottom 488

5:11

stocks with 77% of all the gains come

5:14

from these guys. Now, I'm not saying you

5:15

should run out and sell your S&P 500

5:17

index funds because if you have them,

5:19

it's still a lot better than if you're

5:20

sitting on cash, which is what most

5:22

people are doing, or you're sitting in

5:23

the wrong stocks. But it is a stock

5:26

pickers market because so few stocks

5:29

make all the money while most stocks

5:33

lose all the money. So, we're sitting in

5:34

one of those windows right now. And

5:36

there's three signals that tell us this

5:39

is happening. something called small

5:42

caps, which are the tiny stocks. They're

5:45

tracked by an index called the Russell

5:49

2000. 2,000 teeny tiny stocks. And the

5:53

Russell 2000 has done nothing, nada, for

5:57

two years, but the gap between the top

6:02

and the bottom small stocks has gone up

6:07

by about 2x. So the index hides what's

6:10

happening underneath. There are

6:11

individual small stocks who've been

6:13

ripping 100% and there are those who are

6:17

down 50% in just the last 3 months. And

6:20

it's that dispersion

6:23

what creates the asymmetric setups that

6:25

we're after. And there are a ton of

6:26

catalysts coming up this year. FDA

6:29

decisions, government contracts,

6:31

technology milestones, regulatory doors

6:35

opening, and they're all clustered in

6:37

one specific sector. And each one of

6:39

those events could rerate a small stock

6:44

overnight. Because if you got a billion

6:45

dollar market cap company and you have a

6:48

decision in front of you that's worth,

6:50

say, 200 million in revenue, that stock

6:54

could move violently fast up or down.

6:57

We're also seeing institutions.

7:01

So our lobies on Wall Street, what are

7:03

they doing? They are buying these small

7:08

stocks, which is kind of a fingerprint.

7:10

We're seeing smart money positioning

7:12

before the retail catches on, which is

7:13

what we always see again and again. So

7:15

it's a stock pickers market, dense

7:17

catalyst calendar, institutional money

7:20

already moving, which is the setup. So

7:23

where has the money been moving? Four

7:25

themes. And people always ask me, "How

7:26

do you track these themes?" Well, we

7:28

actually have a filter for that. Winston

7:30

here. Winston, come on. Show your little

7:31

face. Winston's built an app for us

7:33

which gives us all the hard data. All

7:35

the stuff that tells us is a stock good

7:37

or bad. He's even scored all the stocks

7:39

out there, but 11,000 of them, the score

7:42

from 0 to 100. 100 obviously being good.

7:45

And we have themes, gold, silver mining,

7:48

quantum computing, cyber security,

7:50

robotics, AI, uranium, AI

7:53

infrastructure,

7:55

satellites, SpaceX, you know, that

7:57

stuff. It's all there. You can just

7:58

click on it and select what country you

8:01

want to invest in. So if you live in one

8:03

of the, you know, minor countries, oh,

8:05

people are going to get offended, aren't

8:06

they? And you can then even filter and

8:08

say, well, I only want the ones that

8:09

have just delivered like their best

8:10

quarter ever. So I then hit record

8:13

quarter. Now, I'm just seeing two stocks

8:15

here which we've talked about in the

8:17

last week or so. And maybe you're

8:18

starting to see now why. So, you want to

8:22

get access to that. By the way, there's

8:23

a there's a free trial down to this. You

8:25

can play around with it. 7 days

8:27

completely for free. We have a 30-day

8:28

money back guarantee. No questions asked

8:30

because I want you guys to get value out

8:32

of this. I don't want to lock you in

8:33

something that you don't like. Um, but I

8:35

think you're going to get a ton of value

8:36

out of this because I use it every day.

8:38

Um, and I also can compare my stocks,

8:41

literally the entire list here, and then

8:43

I see the comparison. I'm going to walk

8:45

you through this in a in a second

8:46

because it's important. You see some

8:48

really terrible scores, but you also see

8:50

that these are all growth stocks. The

8:53

scores are more for your established

8:55

companies, you know, good profits,

8:57

consistent profits, that kind of stuff.

8:59

You don't have that for growth stocks.

9:01

two of them have the little record cue

9:04

which tells you that they're doing

9:07

something really good well and that

9:08

something is usually profits right

9:10

profits here are the best they've ever

9:12

been for both of them so what are the

9:14

themes that money is going into well you

9:18

might have heard this phrase before hard

9:20

assets which is basically the

9:22

anti-inflation trade because we all know

9:24

the US government's going to print a ton

9:26

more money and

9:29

that's going to devalue the follow. So

9:31

what are hard assets? Commodities. So

9:34

we're looking at commodity producers

9:36

with beaten down valuations and money

9:40

showing up in the chat. You know, not

9:41

the blue chip stocks, the turnaround

9:43

stories. We're looking at war stocks.

9:46

They used to call it defense stocks, but

9:48

let's be honest about it, right? War

9:49

stocks, again, small caps with contract

9:52

driven catalysts, AI integration, not

9:55

Loheed Martin because we already all

9:57

know them. They could go up 20 30%.

9:59

They're not going to 5x 10x. We're

10:01

looking at quantum first commercial

10:04

scale revenues hitting after like 40

10:07

years of waiting. Governments are

10:08

treating this like a strategic asset.

10:11

And then we're also looking at

10:14

the looney stocks, sorry, mental health

10:16

stocks, um the first new FDA approved

10:19

drug class in 40 years is cracking open

10:23

a massive, massive addressable market.

10:26

And every name on our stock list I

10:28

showed you at the beginning sits

10:30

downstream of one of these four flows.

10:33

So we're not picking stocks that need

10:35

the whole market to cooperate. We're

10:36

picking small caps sitting on a

10:39

potentially massive catalyst inside the

10:42

next 12 months and where institutional

10:44

money is already moving into it. And

10:47

retail hates these stocks mostly which

10:49

is interesting. I always say follow the

10:52

money don't follow anything else. So,

10:55

how can you potentially get a 10x

11:01

in just 12 months? It's kind of a

11:04

mathematical problem. It's not

11:05

impossible. We just watched Regetti do

11:07

it. Seagate did it. Palanteer did it

11:10

before that, but it's pretty rare. Three

11:12

things need to be true at the same time

11:15

for that to be possible. They need to be

11:18

small enough that it works. A hundred

11:21

billion dollar company turning into a

11:23

trillion dollar company in 12 months has

11:26

never ever happened. Now a $1 billion

11:29

company which is sort of lunch money for

11:31

Wall Street turning into 10 has happened

11:34

plenty of times. And the stocks on the

11:36

list here are all between 1 to 10

11:40

billion which is where statistically the

11:43

likelihood is much much greater. It's

11:45

the only zone where the maths make

11:46

sense. And then we need an actual event

11:50

that could possibly happen. We're

11:52

talking talking about an FDA approval.

11:54

We're talking about a contract from the

11:56

government, a tech milestone, profits

12:00

turning, something that forces the

12:02

market to go, this is a better stock

12:04

than we thought it was. And every name

12:06

on the list has won inside this window

12:09

out of favor. Smart money already moving

12:11

in. But by the time mainstream media is

12:14

hyped up on the name, well, guess what?

12:16

the trade is over. So the window is when

12:19

institutional money is already crawling

12:22

in but everybody else still hates it and

12:24

all six again fall into that. Now before

12:27

we dive into the individual stocks in

12:28

much more detail they're obviously on

12:30

the screen here. There are a couple of

12:31

things that I look at and you might want

12:33

to write these down. I look at like how

12:35

much of every dollar

12:38

of revenue does the company keep after

12:40

the costs and for these kind of sort of

12:42

softwarish companies you want that to be

12:46

70% or more. I call it moat in the

12:49

Winston app. Well, Winston does right

12:52

now. These stocks are not there yet. And

12:55

I tell you why. Because if you want to

12:57

get a stock that potentially 10xes, you

13:00

need to take the risk that they're very

13:02

early. that they're not yet yet there

13:04

yet. They haven't sold that much stuff

13:05

yet. If you're looking for that 70%, you

13:08

know, you're you you're looking for

13:12

you're kind of 12 to 20% a year kind of

13:14

growth. You're not looking for a,000%

13:17

growth. So, I just want to highlight

13:19

this to you because it also highlights

13:20

to you that these are a lot riskier,

13:23

right? But if these stocks passed all

13:26

three of my filters, well, they'd be

13:28

Microsoft. So, you know, you'd make some

13:32

percentage, definitely not a thousand.

13:34

So, for growth stocks like this, I look

13:36

at their profit trend, earnings per

13:39

share trend. And what these little

13:41

diagrams show you is, is it improving or

13:45

declining the last four quarters? Red

13:47

means it's declining. The little orange

13:50

thing means it's, and you can hover over

13:52

this, it's actually improving. So last

13:54

quarter for Regetti profits went up 90

13:58

profit growth rather went up 93%. For

14:00

Cubid it went up 98% for INQ up 329%.

14:05

For Compass uh Pathways it went up

14:07

actually sorry it went down 59%. Um

14:10

still much better than the quarter

14:11

before. For CMP it went up 177% and for

14:15

BBAI it went up 98%. So there is

14:18

progress there. So let's dive a little

14:20

deeper into the actual businesses here.

14:23

And I'm just clicking on these. I'm

14:24

opening the tab so you can see the

14:26

detail. Regetti builds quantum

14:29

computers. Basically, founded in 2013

14:33

based in Berkeley. They're where all the

14:34

smart people sit. Winston's worried

14:36

about this one. And he's basically

14:38

telling you this is a little risky.

14:40

Revenue growth isn't really there yet.

14:43

Now they're investing more money into

14:45

R&D, which I actually like because a

14:48

growth business, not investing into R&D,

14:50

a tech business is a real problem.

14:52

They've got some cash on hand, not that

14:54

much. That should also be a warning sign

14:56

to you. And you can navigate by clicking

14:58

on the little thing down here. We're

14:59

making this nicer to move around. So if

15:02

you look at the data, it doesn't give

15:03

you all that much. And it's just because

15:05

it is a very, very new business. It is a

15:07

very, very new technology. But they own

15:10

their own fab. They have a quantum chip

15:13

fabrication facility which most of the

15:15

competitors don't. That means they own

15:17

the technology sort of Tesla style,

15:19

right? You vertically integrate and they

15:21

got a new chip coming out later this

15:22

year called Lyra. I thought it was Lyra

15:24

but it's Lyra and it's using that new

15:27

technology that they have. Their chips

15:29

are the most accurate on the planet and

15:31

they own the entire fabrication process.

15:35

Most people outsource it to somebody

15:36

else. So they do that themselves. It

15:38

gives them speed, control, the ability

15:40

T2 to benefit from this faster and also

15:42

to be just faster. So this chip launch

15:45

later this year, $100 million UK

15:48

government contract,

15:50

$8 million India contract, $250 million

15:53

quant,

15:56

Nvidia platform integration. That is the

15:59

list of catalysts we have. The second

16:01

stop, quantum computing, ticker symbol

16:03

QBT.

16:05

Sorry, that's actually the wrong ticker,

16:06

isn't it? It's It's QBTS. Very easy to

16:10

confuse QBTS. There we go. Hit analyze.

16:13

Just update that. There it is. QBTS.

16:15

They do something quite different. Most

16:17

quantum companies, the INQs, the

16:18

Regettes, the Googles, the IBMs, they're

16:20

building what are known as gate model

16:23

quantum computers. D-Wave uses something

16:26

called quantum eneing, which sounds

16:29

invasive, but it's built for a very

16:31

specific problem optimization. If you

16:34

need to find the best say delivery route

16:37

for a fleet of trucks or the most

16:39

efficient way to schedule workers on a

16:41

factory or the fastest way to optimize a

16:43

supply chain, quantum analing does that.

16:47

And the technology actually works now,

16:49

not sometime in the future, actually

16:50

today. They have 135 customers, LG,

16:54

Sharp, Andural, you know, real

16:55

businesses. And what I like about D-Wave

16:57

is that they're producing software

16:59

margins while they're manufacturing a

17:02

incredibly complicated hardware. So

17:05

their gross margin here, which is sort

17:07

of their moat indicator, you know, how

17:08

easy is it to replace them, is the 65%

17:12

range. And that tells you what they're

17:14

making is so good people are actually

17:16

willing to pay over the odds for it.

17:19

Pricing power. And the catalysts in the

17:22

next 12 months, well, they have an

17:23

investor day scheduled in June. They

17:25

have revenue last year of of about 25

17:30

million. It's growing pretty quickly.

17:32

The pipeline's growing pretty quickly.

17:34

And honestly, if your numbers really

17:36

suck, it's very unlikely that you hold

17:38

an investor day on the New York Stock

17:40

Exchange, right? You do that because

17:42

you're throwing a party. You're telling

17:43

people how wonderful you are, that kind

17:45

of thing. So, they actually have a moat.

17:47

They have a lot more cash on hand, eight

17:49

years of cash on hand, not seven months.

17:51

And yes, they're investing in their R&D

17:53

spend. So it is possibly the safer if

17:57

that is a word one could apply to

17:58

quantum stocks of the quantum stocks.

18:01

Now thirdly is INQ and INQ is the

18:04

revenue leader. Look at that revenue

18:06

growth here. It's $428%

18:09

yearonear which is insane. It is a pure

18:13

play quantum company. They did $62

18:15

million in revenue just last quarter

18:19

which is pretty cool. 400% growth.

18:21

They're guiding to over 200 million in

18:23

revenue this year. So, it's it's a real

18:26

business. And they got lots of cash.

18:28

Lots of it, right? Lots of years of

18:30

cash, even though they're investing lots

18:32

of it. They can spend. They could buy

18:34

competitors. They can survive if

18:36

something doesn't work. Catalysts in the

18:39

next 12 months, a 1.8 billion

18:41

acquisition of Skywater, which is a US

18:44

semiconductor foundry, catching up with

18:46

the neighbors. And it then makes them a

18:50

vertically integrated quantum company.

18:52

Chip design, fabrication, you know,

18:54

Tesla style. And they're approved to

18:56

make chips for the US military and for

18:59

defense agencies, which is a really,

19:01

really hard approval to get. That's

19:03

called DMEA category 1. And about 80% of

19:07

their revenue comes from commercial

19:08

customers, not the government. It's a

19:10

huge path of growth for for government

19:12

business. And they also kind of

19:14

diversified, right? government and

19:16

commercial, but they'll keep losing

19:18

money. Why? It's a growth business.

19:21

They're investing heavily this year. It

19:23

might turn around the year after, but

19:24

for the moment, they're going to keep

19:25

losing money, which is exactly the sweet

19:28

spot where you buy a business while it's

19:30

still losing money, but there is a path

19:31

towards profitability, right? Palunteer

19:34

really flew off the handle when it

19:36

started to become profitable, for

19:37

example. The same is true for most

19:38

businesses. Now, again, I'm not telling

19:39

you you should go and buy the stock. You

19:40

got to come to your own conclusion. Just

19:42

walking you through some of the research

19:44

that this guy did here. Right, Winston.

19:46

He does all of our hard research. Big

19:47

nose. Good for sniffing things out.

19:49

Well, he just goes in the Winston app.

19:51

Next, we have ticker symbol CMPS,

19:54

Compass Pathway, not to be confused with

19:57

Compass Minerals, which we'll look at

19:58

next. And that's why I was referring to

20:01

the Looney Bins, because they operate as

20:04

a mental health care company primarily

20:07

in the United King, United States. And

20:08

by the way, I'm not making fun of people

20:10

who need help. Um, I go to all sorts of

20:13

strange people all the time. I'm going

20:14

to a kinesiologist at the moment, which

20:16

apparently makes me sane now. Very good,

20:18

actually. Highly recommend it. Um, but

20:20

they developed comp 360, which is a

20:24

psilocybin therapy that completes phase

20:27

2 clinical trials for the treatment of

20:29

treatment resistant depression and is in

20:31

phase two clinical trials for the

20:32

treatment of post-traumatic stress

20:34

disorder. Uh, which is of course very

20:36

good and very serious and you know, a

20:37

lot of veterans suffer from that and so

20:39

on. So, it's a very very good thing that

20:41

they do in there. Magic mushrooms are

20:42

part of that. We talked about that a

20:44

little while back, you know, sort of lab

20:46

synthetic versions of that. Now, what

20:48

about the business revenue? I can't see

20:51

any. They're spending money on R&D.

20:54

Yeah, which is good. There are no

20:56

margins. There no sales. There really is

20:58

nothing at all there. So, nothing really

21:00

we can look at. Literally are no

21:01

numbers. And that means they're early

21:04

now. They IPOed at about $17 back in

21:06

2020. ran all the way up to 60 sort of

21:09

meme meme stock area crashed below four

21:11

bucks and it's the textbook innovation

21:13

curve. What's the textbook innovation

21:15

curve? If you haven't seen this, you

21:16

might want to write this down. The

21:19

expectation for a new innovation goes

21:21

like this. EVERYONE'S LIKE, "OH MY GOD,

21:22

IT'S AMAZING. IT'S GOING TO CHANGE

21:23

EVERYTHING BY TOMORROW. I CAN'T BELIEVE

21:24

IT." RIGHT? And then reality kicks in.

21:27

It's like, "Oh, it's going to take a

21:28

little bit longer and people are not

21:29

ready for this yet and it's going to

21:30

take a while." And these stocks then

21:32

crash and then it takes a little bit of

21:34

time for nothing to happen. And then

21:36

what happens is that the actual benefit

21:39

of the innovation is much much greater

21:42

than people thought at the top of the

21:44

hype period. So you don't want to be

21:47

buying new technology when it's unproven

21:49

here. You want to wait for people to get

21:51

disappointed with it and then wait out a

21:54

little bit of this period and then you

21:55

want to get in somewhere here. Study the

21:57

data yourself. Come to your own

21:58

conclusions. These are risky plays

22:00

otherwise they wouldn't have a 10x

22:03

possibility. Then we have Compass

22:04

Minerals. What do they do? Salt and

22:07

fertilizer. I know it's sexy like AI.

22:10

Um, but that's kind of the point. They

22:13

mine salt, the stuff we put on roads in

22:16

the winter, the stuff that food

22:18

companies uses. And there is always

22:20

demand for that. And they also mine

22:22

specialtity fertilizers, something

22:24

called sulfate or potachsh, which is the

22:27

kind of thing you put on premium crops.

22:29

You know, your fruits, your vegetables,

22:31

your your nuts, that sort of thing. the

22:32

sort of thing I eat. Um, and it has

22:35

higher margins than regular fertilizers.

22:37

So, they're sitting on a real asset.

22:38

They have a salt mine in Ontario, a pot

22:41

ash operation in Utah. And the beautiful

22:44

thing with that is AI doesn't disrupt

22:46

salt. You can't print it. Uh, robots

22:50

can't come out of the ground making

22:51

salt. Uh, it's a hard asset and hard

22:54

assets are coming back into fashion

22:56

because everything else is making people

22:59

nervous. What are the catalysts for the

23:01

next 12 months for this? Fertilizer

23:04

prices. So, just fertilizer prices are

23:06

going through the roof. It's got a lot

23:08

to do with what's going on in the Middle

23:10

East. Earnings just came in a little bit

23:11

better. Stock popped. Institutional

23:13

money is crawling in there. Now, would I

23:16

bet the farm on it? No, I wouldn't. But

23:19

I like it. And I also like it because it

23:21

isn't an AI stock. It diversifies me

23:24

from AI risk. and their margins are

23:26

quite frankly compressed because they

23:28

had some operating issues. The moat is

23:30

the salt mine. It's physical. You can't

23:32

just make it up, right? Decades of

23:34

reservoir and they're already selling.

23:36

They have more than a century of

23:37

revenue. So, that's pretty good. It was

23:40

trading at 100 bucks at the peak,

23:42

trading at I don't know what, 30 bucks

23:45

right now. They had a tough couple of

23:47

years. They had some debtru

23:48

restructuring which is improving. You

23:51

can see that here. debt to equity ratio

23:53

is actually moving up quite nicely and

23:56

it's only a

23:58

$1 billion market cap. So the balance

24:01

sheet is cleaning up. Commodity strength

24:03

is there. People are starting to look at

24:05

this again. And then we have something a

24:06

bit more exciting if you like excitement

24:09

in your portfolio. BBAI big bear AI AI

24:13

analytics, defense, national security,

24:15

border security, supply chain, all that

24:17

kind of stuff. Real Department of War

24:20

contracts. They're sitting here and

24:23

there are two money flows that are the

24:26

biggest money flows you've got right

24:28

now. One is AI compute spending. If I

24:31

could write AI, even two letters are too

24:33

much for an ex banker. And war spending,

24:37

they get money from both of those. So,

24:39

they're in a pretty happy spot, right?

24:42

What are the catalysts? Government AI

24:44

spending is going nuts. NATO is rearming

24:46

like crazy. And people are pivoting

24:50

towards USAI vendors for national

24:53

security. So we expect several new

24:55

contracts over the next several

24:57

quarters. But I want to warn you, their

24:59

margins kind of suck. Department of War

25:01

contracts, those are typically pretty

25:03

sticky. That's good. So they got real

25:05

revenue. They're actually growing, but

25:07

it's also very very volatile.

25:10

The market cap of this thing fluctuates

25:13

between about 1 to three billion like

25:15

all the time. Why? very small percentage

25:18

of their stocks are listed. So it could

25:21

potentially move a lot, right?

25:23

Contracts, AI, defense, it's exactly the

25:27

kind of setup that produced Palanteer

25:28

600% move. Now, do I think Palanteer is

25:31

a better business? Yeah. Yeah, I do. But

25:33

Palanteer isn't going to 10x in the next

25:36

12 months. Big Bear AI could. I didn't

25:40

say will. I said could. Right. So, make

25:42

up your own decisions there. And of

25:44

course you want to understand what

25:45

percentage is a responsible percentage

25:47

to put into stocks like these bad

25:50

earnings. This thing is down 30% in a

25:52

single day. So size accordingly. What

25:55

we've got is

25:57

revenue growth for three of these,

26:00

right? QBTS, INQ, and CMP.

26:05

QBTS is the only one with a proven mode.

26:07

INQ is on the way. CMP and INQ just had

26:10

their best quarter ever. So they're

26:12

probably your slightly lower risk, crazy

26:15

high-risisk plays, which of course is

26:16

what anything that could go up 10% is.

26:19

So we have six names, four sectors, and

26:21

they're different shapes of the same

26:24

underlying setup. Small market cap, so

26:27

it can go up a lot. Real business, some

26:29

macro tailwinds, and these eventdriven

26:32

things that could happen in the next 12

26:34

months. And when I was in banking, we

26:37

our job was me and my boss, more his

26:40

than mine. I was the guy looking for

26:41

ideas and he would of course review it

26:43

and check it and he taught me everything

26:44

I knew. We had a category called event

26:46

driven things and it was exactly stuff

26:48

like this. We like well if this happens

26:50

this thing could go parabolic. So how do

26:53

you position ourselves on that right?

26:55

But every one of these stocks is also

26:57

speculation and speculation is fine but

27:00

it has to be size like p speculation. I

27:03

generally say 1 to 3% of a total

27:06

portfolio max. So size accordingly

27:10

because if you lose 1% of your portfolio

27:12

goes to zero it doesn't affect you. If

27:16

the 1% goes to 10% it does affect you in

27:19

a good way. That's the way you want to

27:20

look at it. Don't bet the house on these

27:23

things. You want to look for a

27:25

controlled position-sized speculation.

27:29

Define your downside. That's very very

27:31

different. That is actually responsible

27:33

investing if you understand it with a

27:36

responsible part of your portfolio.

27:39

Judge for yourself. Let me know what you

27:41

make of this. Get yourself the uh free

27:44

founders tier trial to to Winston. Still

27:47

brand new. You're still one of the first

27:48

couple of hundred users here. So, I want

27:50

to extend that to a few more of you

27:52

because so many of you been asking for

27:53

it. Free trial. You don't like it, you

27:55

cancel it. Very simple, right? Um then

27:57

we're also putting a phone number on

27:58

there. So, I know some people don't like

28:00

email and that sort of thing. We just

28:02

want to make it really, really easy for

28:03

you to to reach us. But the most

28:05

important thing are the skills

28:07

underneath that. You want to learn more

28:09

skills, stick around on this channel. We

28:11

run trainings from time to time. I

28:13

announce them when they happen. Uh, but

28:15

start off with the Winston app if you

28:18

subscribe to that. We'll also email you

28:19

invitations to those events when they

28:22

happen. And if you got some value out of

28:24

this, let me know. Put in the comments

28:27

down below. Share it with people. That's

28:29

the most powerful thing you can ever do.

Interactive Summary

The video identifies six potential stocks—Rigetti Computing, D-Wave, IONQ, Compass Pathways, Compass Minerals, and Big Bear AI—that the speaker believes could significantly increase in value over the next 12 months. The strategy is based on a pattern of identifying small-cap companies that are currently out of favor, have strong underlying business fundamentals, and are positioned for specific upcoming catalysts, such as government contracts or regulatory decisions. The speaker highlights that while these stocks are high-risk and speculative, they fit a specific 'event-driven' profile. The video strongly advises against the traditional 'buy and hold' strategy, advocating instead for rotating out of positions once the investment story changes. Furthermore, the speaker demonstrates how to use their proprietary analytical tool, 'Winston,' to filter stocks based on these criteria and emphasizes the importance of responsible position sizing (e.g., 1-3% of a portfolio) to manage risk effectively.

Suggested questions

3 ready-made prompts