What, uh,

control does Trump think he has over BB?

Do you foresee Trump

complying with clause one of the MOU,

which is to get the IDF out of, uh,

Lebanon?

>> I think Erats has it right if I'm

reading between the lines and in some

places explicitly,

that what's happening right now is that

Trump believes he has some measure of

control over what BB does, but Trump is

ultimately going to join BB in a second,

and they think, both of them,

overwhelming attack on Iran. And it is

coming, and it is going to come either

right before the elections or right

after the elections if BB is successful

and stays in power. And I would submit

that it might even happen even even if

BB's replaced, it just might be delayed

slightly.

That is a situation that I think is

fraught with problems for the immediate

reasons of let's take a look at the MOU

and at the trilateral agreement,

whatever they're calling it. You look at

them, and they're so contradictory that

you can't understand exactly how they

they they call this diplomacy. And

nothing has changed in terms of the

force deployments on the ground in

Lebanon or in Gaza or elsewhere. And

he's rolling up the West Bank as fast as

he can. And he's in Syria, and I think

he's contemplating going deeper into

Syria.

So, you're looking at force dispositions

that belay all this diplomacy,

particularly the force disposition in

Lebanon where BB's doing pretty much as

he pleases and is not going to stop

anytime soon. Now, Hezbollah knows that,

and Iran knows that if BB continues in

this way, even if he just stays static,

then Hezbollah is not going to be able

to forcefully and outright and

decisively join, as it did before, in

attacking Israel when Iran hits it

again, which it inevitably inevitably is

going to do. So, Iran's got to be

concerned that that disposition of

forces is there in Lebanon and sort of

made sacrosanct by this hodgepodge of

diplomacy that's occurred. But, I don't

think that's going to stop them from

another attack on Israel. In fact, it

may be even more intense than we would

expect otherwise because Hezbollah won't

be able to join in unless Hezbollah

works a way into the north again in a

way that's unimpeded not impeded by the

Israelis, which they are going to try to

do, and is able to join in again and

reinforce what Iran does to Israel.

Then, you got to think about what is

Iran going to do if this kicks off again

in a big way, and they understand that

once again they've been cheated, they've

been lied to, and it it's a big big war

again. Then, they're going to hit these

other targets, I think, like they have

hit targets in the first round, but

these targets are going to be, as I've

said before, very very

detrimental to the global economy.

They're going to hit things that really

are going to impact the global economy.

They won't do it to the extent that I

thought before because I think Russia

and China are tapering that a little bit

or

refining it a little bit in terms of

what might happen in that round of

attacks unless, of course,

Iran and China see that the United

States and Israel are in combination

going for

the golden ring, if you will, to to

pursue the utter destruction and defeat

and Bantustan creation of Iran. In that

case, here's the here's the

the bottom line.

Russia and China are not going to let

Iran fall, period.

Not going to let them fall.