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WARNING: If You Hold NVIDIA Stock (NVDA)... GET READY

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WARNING: If You Hold NVIDIA Stock (NVDA)... GET READY

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380 segments

0:00

Wall Street still doesn't understand

0:01

Nvidia. Whether you're a long-time

0:03

shareholder or you're worried about an

0:05

AI bubble, Nvidia's earnings call was

0:07

about much more than revenues and profit

0:09

margins. Nvidia just showed Wall Street

0:12

why they're dominating the entire AI

0:14

era. So, in this video, I'll break down

0:16

everything you need to know about

0:18

Nvidia's latest earnings and what it all

0:20

means for Nvidia stock in 2026 and

0:23

beyond. Your time is valuable, so let's

0:25

get right into it. First things first,

0:27

I'm not here to hold you hostage. So,

0:28

here's what I'll be talking about

0:30

upfront. Nvidia's quarter three earnings

0:32

results, focusing on data centers, what

0:34

Wall Street analysts still don't get

0:36

about Nvidia's ecosystem, my thoughts on

0:38

Nvidia stock, and if I'd still buy it at

0:40

a $4.5 trillion valuation since it's the

0:43

biggest company on Earth, and of course,

0:46

where Nvidia goes on my list of stocks

0:48

to get rich without getting lucky in

0:49

2025, which has been absolutely crushing

0:52

the market since I made this list a year

0:54

ago. So, here's the full list along with

0:57

every stock's year-to-date performance

0:59

and how it's doing versus the S&P 500.

1:01

As you can see, Nvidia is right at the

1:03

top and we're outperforming the market

1:05

by a large margin. I'm not trying to

1:07

toot my own horn here, but I do think

1:09

it's important to understand the science

1:11

behind these stocks, which is just my

1:13

way of saying how the companies behind

1:15

the ticker symbols actually make their

1:17

money. So, let's do just that by diving

1:20

into Nvidia's latest earnings call.

1:22

Nvidia reported record revenues of $57

1:24

billion for the quarter, which is up 22%

1:27

quarter over quarter and a whopping 62%

1:30

year over year. It's easy to take these

1:32

huge numbers for granted, so let me say

1:35

it another way. Nvidia's quarterly

1:37

revenues grew by $10.3 billion

1:40

in the last 90 days. That's over a

1:42

billion dollars more than all of AMD

1:44

makes, and Nvidia posted earnings per

1:47

share of $1.30, which is up by 20% from

1:50

last quarter and up by 67% from last

1:53

year. So, the biggest company in the

1:55

world is growing revenues and earnings

1:58

by over 60% per year. That's not

2:01

something the stock market sees every

2:02

day. On paper, Nvidia has four major

2:05

business units: data center, gaming and

2:07

AI PC, professional visualization, and

2:10

automotive and robotics. But in reality,

2:13

Nvidia's data center business accounts

2:15

for 90% of their total revenues and is

2:17

growing faster than any of their other

2:19

segments. So, that's where I'm going to

2:21

spend your valuable time. Nvidia's data

2:23

center revenues came in at $51.2

2:26

billion, which is up 25% from last

2:29

quarter and 66% from last year. There

2:32

are three big points about these numbers

2:34

that are important for investors to

2:35

understand. First, they don't include

2:38

any chip sales to China, and Nvidia's

2:40

current guidance assumes zero data

2:42

center revenues from China going

2:44

forward. So, if Nvidia can ever re-enter

2:46

the Chinese AI market, that would be

2:48

pure upside from here. Second, Nvidia's

2:51

B300 Blackwell Ultra chip sales are

2:54

still ramping up. Like I said last

2:56

quarter, these B300 chips will be huge

2:58

for Nvidia's data center revenues in the

3:00

second half of 2025. And now, everyone

3:03

can see that in their revenue growth.

3:05

But while Wall Street is reacting to

3:06

their massive growth after earnings, my

3:09

audience saw it coming months ago

3:10

because every single one of you is

3:12

taking the time to understand this

3:14

company's products, not just their

3:16

profits. And we knew that Blackwell

3:18

Ultra's 50% increase in performance,

3:20

throughput, and high-bandwidth memory

3:23

means much more revenue. And once

3:25

Blackwell Ultra is done ramping, Nvidia

3:27

still has Vera Rubin coming in 2026,

3:30

Rubin Ultra in 2027, and Feynman in

3:33

2028. So, we'll see this pattern year

3:35

after year after year. And the third

3:38

important point about Nvidia's data

3:39

center revenues is they don't just come

3:42

from the GPUs themselves. $8.2 billion

3:45

of that revenue came from rack-level

3:46

networking technologies like Spectrum-X

3:48

Ethernet and Quantum InfiniBand, as well

3:51

as chip-to-chip connections like NVLink

3:53

and NVLink Fusion. As a result, Nvidia's

3:56

revenues from networking grew by a

3:58

whopping 164%

4:00

year over year, and they now account for

4:03

14% of Nvidia's total revenues. So, not

4:06

only is Nvidia's networking business

4:08

already bigger than their gaming,

4:10

visualization, and robotics segments,

4:12

it's also now the largest networking

4:14

business in the world by quarterly

4:15

revenue. And just like we already know

4:18

about Nvidia's next three GPUs, we also

4:20

know they're coming out with new data

4:22

center CPUs, new versions of their

4:24

BlueField data processing units or DPUs,

4:26

as well as new chips for NVLink,

4:28

Spectrum-X, and InfiniBand every single

4:31

year. This is why Nvidia is dominating

4:34

the entire AI era. This is what I mean

4:36

when I say get in early. This is why

4:39

it's so important to understand the

4:41

science behind these stocks. On top of

4:43

that, according to Market.us, the global

4:45

artificial intelligence market is

4:47

expected to almost 19x in size over the

4:50

next 9 years, which is a compound annual

4:52

growth rate of 38.5%

4:55

through 2033. But many of the companies

4:57

building next-generation AI applications

5:00

are not publicly traded. Think about the

5:02

'90s and early 2000s. Companies like

5:04

Amazon and Google went public very early

5:07

in their growth cycle, but today,

5:09

they're waiting an average of 10 years

5:10

or longer to go public. That means

5:12

investors like us can miss out on most

5:14

of the returns from the next Amazon, the

5:17

next Google, the next Nvidia. That's

5:19

where Fundrise comes in, the sponsor of

5:21

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5:58

right. So, Nvidia's revenues and

5:59

earnings per share both grew by more

6:01

than 60% year over year. On top of that,

6:04

they have visibility into more than half

6:06

a trillion dollars in total Blackwell

6:09

and Rubin revenue for 2025 and 2026

6:12

combined, which is more than five times

6:14

the lifetime revenues for Hopper, the

6:16

GPU architecture that kicked off the

6:18

entire generative AI revolution by

6:20

powering ChatGPT when OpenAI released it

6:23

back in 2022. But now, let me show you

6:25

something that will put you ahead of

6:27

every investor saying it's too late to

6:29

buy Nvidia stock or that the market's in

6:31

an AI bubble. The real reason that

6:33

Nvidia will dominate the entire AI era

6:36

isn't because they make six new AI chips

6:38

every year. It's the value they unlock

6:40

by putting them all together. During his

6:42

recent keynote speech in Washington,

6:44

D.C., Jensen Huang showed three slides

6:46

that every investor needs to understand.

6:49

So, let me break them down for you. This

6:50

first slide explains the difference

6:52

between Hopper and Blackwell at a high

6:54

level. Hopper systems have nine compute

6:56

trays with eight GPUs per tray, but

6:58

while each tray's GPUs can work

7:00

together, the trays were connected via

7:02

Ethernet, creating a big bottleneck. On

7:04

the other hand, Blackwell connects all

7:06

72 GPUs together via nine NVLink switch

7:10

trays, so they can all act like one

7:12

giant GPU, and that changes everything.

7:15

Jensen's second slide compares the

7:17

performance of Blackwell and Hopper in

7:19

two ways. The x-axis is tokens per

7:22

second per user, and the y-axis is

7:24

tokens per second per megawatt. Long

7:26

story short, Blackwell systems can

7:28

generate four to six times more tokens

7:30

per GPU, or they can support three to

7:32

six times the users for the same amount

7:34

of power. Depending on their needs, data

7:36

centers can make trade-offs between the

7:38

number of users they support and the

7:40

number of tokens they want to generate

7:42

per user, which is what this GB200 NVL72

7:45

line represents. So, compared to the

7:48

choices that Hopper provided, Blackwell

7:50

systems can generate around 10 times

7:52

more tokens per dollar or per watt or

7:54

per second, which directly translates to

7:56

10 times more revenues for the data

7:58

centers running them. And this third

8:00

chart shows the same thing, but in terms

8:02

of costs instead of performance. So,

8:05

while it costs 70 cents to generate a

8:07

million tokens on Hopper, it costs just

8:09

7 cents to generate those same tokens at

8:11

the same speeds on Blackwell. Or, going

8:14

the other way, Blackwell systems could

8:16

generate enough tokens for three to six

8:18

times more users at the same speeds for

8:21

that same 70 cents. That's why Blackwell

8:23

is such a big deal, and Blackwell Ultra,

8:26

and Vera Rubin, and Rubin Ultra, and so

8:28

on. But there's one more piece of the

8:30

puzzle that I didn't even think about

8:32

until I talked to Dion Harris, Nvidia's

8:35

senior director of high-performance

8:36

computing, cloud, and AI infrastructure

8:39

go-to-market. I asked Dion what metrics

8:41

I should be watching as an investor to

8:43

understand not just the performance, but

8:45

the real value that AI is delivering to

8:47

businesses, and his answer really

8:49

surprised me. Here, take a look. But

8:52

profits and margins are really something

8:54

you see in the rearview mirror, right?

8:56

So, one of the questions I have is like,

8:58

I try to look at forward-looking

8:59

indicators as an investor. What

9:01

benchmarks or metrics can we focus on to

9:04

better understand like the real business

9:06

value for inference in real time? As you

9:08

drive more performance, more throughput

9:11

per dollar or per watt, that actually

9:13

reduces the cost per token. And when you

9:16

reduce the cost per token,

9:19

you can actually embed that AI into even

9:23

more services, even more use cases, and

9:26

therefore deliver more value to your end

9:28

users. When you think about AI, it's a

9:31

lot more than LLMs. So, it includes

9:33

image classification, it includes video

9:35

generation or diffusion models, it

9:37

includes, um, you know, lots of

9:40

different types of of recommender

9:42

systems that are being used to serve ads

9:44

and content. And so, when you think

9:46

about, you know, today where we are,

9:48

we're in a fairly, you know,

9:50

demand-driven economy. Meaning there's a

9:52

huge demand for a lot of these AI

9:54

capabilities, but again, you have to be

9:57

able to do it intelligently and smartly.

9:59

If you can drive the cost down to zero,

10:02

now you can you can literally embed

10:04

these AI APIs into every application

10:07

that they're running. And therefore,

10:08

that's when you really start to see this

10:09

ubiquitous use of AI. And so, that's

10:12

really why we think about how we want to

10:15

drive more performance and more

10:16

efficiency,

10:18

the cost per per token goes going down

10:21

by 10x will actually increase the

10:24

overall utilization by 20x. Because now

10:26

you have a lot more use cases where you

10:29

can afford to embed these AI

10:31

capabilities. There's a concept in

10:33

economics called the price elasticity of

10:35

demand, which is just a fancy way of

10:37

saying that when the price of something

10:39

goes down, overall demand for that thing

10:41

goes up much faster. For example, when

10:43

the price of electricity got low enough,

10:45

every home switched over to it from wax

10:47

candles, gas lighting, and coal

10:49

furnaces. And that drove the overall

10:51

demand for electricity up much more than

10:53

the cost per kilowatt went down. And

10:55

that trend is still going strong today,

10:58

as every modern home uses electricity

11:00

for almost everything, lighting,

11:02

heating, but also for computers,

11:04

appliances, and even cars. And the big

11:06

takeaway for investors is that demand

11:08

for AI is working the exact same way.

11:11

The 10x performance jump from Hopper to

11:13

Blackwell isn't just about increasing

11:15

revenues for data centers today. As the

11:17

cost per token drops, that opens up new

11:20

use cases across a wide variety of

11:22

industries and areas of research. And as

11:25

the power per token drops, some of the

11:27

AI workloads that need to run in data

11:29

centers can now run on edge devices, not

11:31

just smartphones and laptops, but

11:33

humanoid robots and self-driving cars,

11:35

which unlock even more demand for AI in

11:38

the process. As a result, a 10x cost

11:40

reduction could lead to a 20, 50, or

11:43

even 100x overall increase in demand for

11:46

token generation. As current AI users

11:48

are getting more bang for their buck,

11:50

and new AI use cases keep getting

11:52

unlocked. And that leads to even more AI

11:55

companies finding new ways to lower

11:56

token costs even further, which just

11:59

keeps this virtuous cycle going, just

12:01

like it did for internet speeds and

12:02

computer performance before that, and

12:04

electricity costs before that. And we

12:06

haven't even gotten to the massive

12:08

software ecosystems that sit on top of

12:10

all this hardware infrastructure, which

12:12

just drive costs down even further. Let

12:15

me know in the comments if you want me

12:16

to make another video covering Nvidia's

12:18

massive software ecosystems, and I'll

12:20

post my full interview with Deon Harris

12:22

pretty soon. So, stay tuned for that.

12:24

But for now, let's bring the discussion

12:26

back to the future of Nvidia stock. And

12:29

if you feel I've earned it, consider

12:30

hitting the like button and subscribing

12:32

to the channel. That really helps me

12:33

out, and it lets me know to make more

12:35

content like this. Thanks, and with that

12:37

out of the way, let's talk about Nvidia

12:39

stock. I think Nvidia will be the

12:41

world's first $10 trillion company. I'm

12:44

not saying it'll happen tomorrow, or

12:46

even in the next couple years, but it

12:48

will happen sooner than most investors

12:50

think. Their revenues and earnings are

12:51

still growing by over 60% per year, and

12:54

that's without selling any chips to

12:56

China. Nvidia currently has visibility

12:59

into more than half a trillion dollars

13:01

of total revenues from Blackwell and

13:03

Rubin by the end of next year. And we

13:05

still have the Rubin Ultras and Fineman

13:07

architectures coming in the years that

13:09

follow. And even though Nvidia is the

13:11

world's most valuable company today,

13:13

it's still relatively cheap, trading at

13:16

half the forward price-to-earnings ratio

13:18

of its two biggest competitors, AMD and

13:21

Broadcom. That's why I'm still buying

13:23

Nvidia stock today, and why it's staying

13:25

at the top of my list of stocks to get

13:27

rich without getting lucky, only behind

13:30

the fund that it sits at the top of

13:31

anyway. Like I've been saying for years

13:33

now, just because a company is already

13:35

big doesn't mean it won't keep growing,

13:38

just like Microsoft did, and Amazon

13:40

before that, and almost every

13:42

trillion-dollar company on my list. And

13:44

if you want to see what other stocks I'm

13:46

buying to get rich without getting

13:47

lucky, check out this video next. Either

13:50

way, thanks for watching, and until next

13:52

time, this is ticker symbol U. My name

13:55

is Alex, reminding you that the best

13:57

investment you can make is in you.

Interactive Summary

This video analyzes Nvidia's strong financial performance following their latest earnings report, highlighting how the company dominates the AI industry. The host breaks down Nvidia's massive revenue growth, the technological leap from Hopper to Blackwell chips, and the economics of token cost reduction that drive future AI demand. The video concludes with a bullish outlook on Nvidia's stock, arguing that despite its massive valuation, it remains a strong long-term investment.

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