WARNING: If You Hold NVIDIA Stock (NVDA)... GET READY
380 segments
Wall Street still doesn't understand
Nvidia. Whether you're a long-time
shareholder or you're worried about an
AI bubble, Nvidia's earnings call was
about much more than revenues and profit
margins. Nvidia just showed Wall Street
why they're dominating the entire AI
era. So, in this video, I'll break down
everything you need to know about
Nvidia's latest earnings and what it all
means for Nvidia stock in 2026 and
beyond. Your time is valuable, so let's
get right into it. First things first,
I'm not here to hold you hostage. So,
here's what I'll be talking about
upfront. Nvidia's quarter three earnings
results, focusing on data centers, what
Wall Street analysts still don't get
about Nvidia's ecosystem, my thoughts on
Nvidia stock, and if I'd still buy it at
a $4.5 trillion valuation since it's the
biggest company on Earth, and of course,
where Nvidia goes on my list of stocks
to get rich without getting lucky in
2025, which has been absolutely crushing
the market since I made this list a year
ago. So, here's the full list along with
every stock's year-to-date performance
and how it's doing versus the S&P 500.
As you can see, Nvidia is right at the
top and we're outperforming the market
by a large margin. I'm not trying to
toot my own horn here, but I do think
it's important to understand the science
behind these stocks, which is just my
way of saying how the companies behind
the ticker symbols actually make their
money. So, let's do just that by diving
into Nvidia's latest earnings call.
Nvidia reported record revenues of $57
billion for the quarter, which is up 22%
quarter over quarter and a whopping 62%
year over year. It's easy to take these
huge numbers for granted, so let me say
it another way. Nvidia's quarterly
revenues grew by $10.3 billion
in the last 90 days. That's over a
billion dollars more than all of AMD
makes, and Nvidia posted earnings per
share of $1.30, which is up by 20% from
last quarter and up by 67% from last
year. So, the biggest company in the
world is growing revenues and earnings
by over 60% per year. That's not
something the stock market sees every
day. On paper, Nvidia has four major
business units: data center, gaming and
AI PC, professional visualization, and
automotive and robotics. But in reality,
Nvidia's data center business accounts
for 90% of their total revenues and is
growing faster than any of their other
segments. So, that's where I'm going to
spend your valuable time. Nvidia's data
center revenues came in at $51.2
billion, which is up 25% from last
quarter and 66% from last year. There
are three big points about these numbers
that are important for investors to
understand. First, they don't include
any chip sales to China, and Nvidia's
current guidance assumes zero data
center revenues from China going
forward. So, if Nvidia can ever re-enter
the Chinese AI market, that would be
pure upside from here. Second, Nvidia's
B300 Blackwell Ultra chip sales are
still ramping up. Like I said last
quarter, these B300 chips will be huge
for Nvidia's data center revenues in the
second half of 2025. And now, everyone
can see that in their revenue growth.
But while Wall Street is reacting to
their massive growth after earnings, my
audience saw it coming months ago
because every single one of you is
taking the time to understand this
company's products, not just their
profits. And we knew that Blackwell
Ultra's 50% increase in performance,
throughput, and high-bandwidth memory
means much more revenue. And once
Blackwell Ultra is done ramping, Nvidia
still has Vera Rubin coming in 2026,
Rubin Ultra in 2027, and Feynman in
2028. So, we'll see this pattern year
after year after year. And the third
important point about Nvidia's data
center revenues is they don't just come
from the GPUs themselves. $8.2 billion
of that revenue came from rack-level
networking technologies like Spectrum-X
Ethernet and Quantum InfiniBand, as well
as chip-to-chip connections like NVLink
and NVLink Fusion. As a result, Nvidia's
revenues from networking grew by a
whopping 164%
year over year, and they now account for
14% of Nvidia's total revenues. So, not
only is Nvidia's networking business
already bigger than their gaming,
visualization, and robotics segments,
it's also now the largest networking
business in the world by quarterly
revenue. And just like we already know
about Nvidia's next three GPUs, we also
know they're coming out with new data
center CPUs, new versions of their
BlueField data processing units or DPUs,
as well as new chips for NVLink,
Spectrum-X, and InfiniBand every single
year. This is why Nvidia is dominating
the entire AI era. This is what I mean
when I say get in early. This is why
it's so important to understand the
science behind these stocks. On top of
that, according to Market.us, the global
artificial intelligence market is
expected to almost 19x in size over the
next 9 years, which is a compound annual
growth rate of 38.5%
through 2033. But many of the companies
building next-generation AI applications
are not publicly traded. Think about the
'90s and early 2000s. Companies like
Amazon and Google went public very early
in their growth cycle, but today,
they're waiting an average of 10 years
or longer to go public. That means
investors like us can miss out on most
of the returns from the next Amazon, the
next Google, the next Nvidia. That's
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right. So, Nvidia's revenues and
earnings per share both grew by more
than 60% year over year. On top of that,
they have visibility into more than half
a trillion dollars in total Blackwell
and Rubin revenue for 2025 and 2026
combined, which is more than five times
the lifetime revenues for Hopper, the
GPU architecture that kicked off the
entire generative AI revolution by
powering ChatGPT when OpenAI released it
back in 2022. But now, let me show you
something that will put you ahead of
every investor saying it's too late to
buy Nvidia stock or that the market's in
an AI bubble. The real reason that
Nvidia will dominate the entire AI era
isn't because they make six new AI chips
every year. It's the value they unlock
by putting them all together. During his
recent keynote speech in Washington,
D.C., Jensen Huang showed three slides
that every investor needs to understand.
So, let me break them down for you. This
first slide explains the difference
between Hopper and Blackwell at a high
level. Hopper systems have nine compute
trays with eight GPUs per tray, but
while each tray's GPUs can work
together, the trays were connected via
Ethernet, creating a big bottleneck. On
the other hand, Blackwell connects all
72 GPUs together via nine NVLink switch
trays, so they can all act like one
giant GPU, and that changes everything.
Jensen's second slide compares the
performance of Blackwell and Hopper in
two ways. The x-axis is tokens per
second per user, and the y-axis is
tokens per second per megawatt. Long
story short, Blackwell systems can
generate four to six times more tokens
per GPU, or they can support three to
six times the users for the same amount
of power. Depending on their needs, data
centers can make trade-offs between the
number of users they support and the
number of tokens they want to generate
per user, which is what this GB200 NVL72
line represents. So, compared to the
choices that Hopper provided, Blackwell
systems can generate around 10 times
more tokens per dollar or per watt or
per second, which directly translates to
10 times more revenues for the data
centers running them. And this third
chart shows the same thing, but in terms
of costs instead of performance. So,
while it costs 70 cents to generate a
million tokens on Hopper, it costs just
7 cents to generate those same tokens at
the same speeds on Blackwell. Or, going
the other way, Blackwell systems could
generate enough tokens for three to six
times more users at the same speeds for
that same 70 cents. That's why Blackwell
is such a big deal, and Blackwell Ultra,
and Vera Rubin, and Rubin Ultra, and so
on. But there's one more piece of the
puzzle that I didn't even think about
until I talked to Dion Harris, Nvidia's
senior director of high-performance
computing, cloud, and AI infrastructure
go-to-market. I asked Dion what metrics
I should be watching as an investor to
understand not just the performance, but
the real value that AI is delivering to
businesses, and his answer really
surprised me. Here, take a look. But
profits and margins are really something
you see in the rearview mirror, right?
So, one of the questions I have is like,
I try to look at forward-looking
indicators as an investor. What
benchmarks or metrics can we focus on to
better understand like the real business
value for inference in real time? As you
drive more performance, more throughput
per dollar or per watt, that actually
reduces the cost per token. And when you
reduce the cost per token,
you can actually embed that AI into even
more services, even more use cases, and
therefore deliver more value to your end
users. When you think about AI, it's a
lot more than LLMs. So, it includes
image classification, it includes video
generation or diffusion models, it
includes, um, you know, lots of
different types of of recommender
systems that are being used to serve ads
and content. And so, when you think
about, you know, today where we are,
we're in a fairly, you know,
demand-driven economy. Meaning there's a
huge demand for a lot of these AI
capabilities, but again, you have to be
able to do it intelligently and smartly.
If you can drive the cost down to zero,
now you can you can literally embed
these AI APIs into every application
that they're running. And therefore,
that's when you really start to see this
ubiquitous use of AI. And so, that's
really why we think about how we want to
drive more performance and more
efficiency,
the cost per per token goes going down
by 10x will actually increase the
overall utilization by 20x. Because now
you have a lot more use cases where you
can afford to embed these AI
capabilities. There's a concept in
economics called the price elasticity of
demand, which is just a fancy way of
saying that when the price of something
goes down, overall demand for that thing
goes up much faster. For example, when
the price of electricity got low enough,
every home switched over to it from wax
candles, gas lighting, and coal
furnaces. And that drove the overall
demand for electricity up much more than
the cost per kilowatt went down. And
that trend is still going strong today,
as every modern home uses electricity
for almost everything, lighting,
heating, but also for computers,
appliances, and even cars. And the big
takeaway for investors is that demand
for AI is working the exact same way.
The 10x performance jump from Hopper to
Blackwell isn't just about increasing
revenues for data centers today. As the
cost per token drops, that opens up new
use cases across a wide variety of
industries and areas of research. And as
the power per token drops, some of the
AI workloads that need to run in data
centers can now run on edge devices, not
just smartphones and laptops, but
humanoid robots and self-driving cars,
which unlock even more demand for AI in
the process. As a result, a 10x cost
reduction could lead to a 20, 50, or
even 100x overall increase in demand for
token generation. As current AI users
are getting more bang for their buck,
and new AI use cases keep getting
unlocked. And that leads to even more AI
companies finding new ways to lower
token costs even further, which just
keeps this virtuous cycle going, just
like it did for internet speeds and
computer performance before that, and
electricity costs before that. And we
haven't even gotten to the massive
software ecosystems that sit on top of
all this hardware infrastructure, which
just drive costs down even further. Let
me know in the comments if you want me
to make another video covering Nvidia's
massive software ecosystems, and I'll
post my full interview with Deon Harris
pretty soon. So, stay tuned for that.
But for now, let's bring the discussion
back to the future of Nvidia stock. And
if you feel I've earned it, consider
hitting the like button and subscribing
to the channel. That really helps me
out, and it lets me know to make more
content like this. Thanks, and with that
out of the way, let's talk about Nvidia
stock. I think Nvidia will be the
world's first $10 trillion company. I'm
not saying it'll happen tomorrow, or
even in the next couple years, but it
will happen sooner than most investors
think. Their revenues and earnings are
still growing by over 60% per year, and
that's without selling any chips to
China. Nvidia currently has visibility
into more than half a trillion dollars
of total revenues from Blackwell and
Rubin by the end of next year. And we
still have the Rubin Ultras and Fineman
architectures coming in the years that
follow. And even though Nvidia is the
world's most valuable company today,
it's still relatively cheap, trading at
half the forward price-to-earnings ratio
of its two biggest competitors, AMD and
Broadcom. That's why I'm still buying
Nvidia stock today, and why it's staying
at the top of my list of stocks to get
rich without getting lucky, only behind
the fund that it sits at the top of
anyway. Like I've been saying for years
now, just because a company is already
big doesn't mean it won't keep growing,
just like Microsoft did, and Amazon
before that, and almost every
trillion-dollar company on my list. And
if you want to see what other stocks I'm
buying to get rich without getting
lucky, check out this video next. Either
way, thanks for watching, and until next
time, this is ticker symbol U. My name
is Alex, reminding you that the best
investment you can make is in you.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This video analyzes Nvidia's strong financial performance following their latest earnings report, highlighting how the company dominates the AI industry. The host breaks down Nvidia's massive revenue growth, the technological leap from Hopper to Blackwell chips, and the economics of token cost reduction that drive future AI demand. The video concludes with a bullish outlook on Nvidia's stock, arguing that despite its massive valuation, it remains a strong long-term investment.
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