CANLABS2.0 Confident Projection Narrative
1414 segments
got it okay so I'm going to Dive Right
In assuming this works okay everybody
can see my screen hopefully looks great
all right awesome so what I'm goingon to
do is highlight these two sections here
PR preparing Financial projections and
determining your funding needs those are
the areas that I'd like to talk about
today you're you've got all your other
areas being covered as far as
fundraising goes um a key important you
know thing to keep in mind here is that
long-term goals that don't have a series
of short-term goals they tend to be more
aspirational than achievable and often
in a pitch deck we're talking about the
Tam we're talking about the size of the
market we're talking about curing people
changing the world but have we nailed
have we thought through the details of
those short-term goals and that's what
the financial projections are
essentially doing um there was talk
about being realistic um storytelling
the more nuanced the more believable a
story is when it has flavor in it it has
actual detail it's not just broad words
so setting Targets in your projections
that can be evaluated for example
year-over-year growth of 100% where did
that number come from is that something
that you you got through chat GPT or
Google that said you should grow by that
amount or did you think through the
Journey that you're going to go on to
unlock
different users um different customers
different channels so the more that
you're actually telling the story of how
you are going to execute your business
plan um the more realistic your story is
going to be so keep those two things in
mind another thing is enjoy the ride try
to enjoy this boring presentation as
best you can but this Venture that
you're on is a long haul nothing says
that more than the funding landscape
we're in today but I think you're very
lucky to be in a fundraising right now
because a few years ago when money was
just being given out people didn't go
through the detail and the depth in
order to fund raise and then they got
stuck so here you're in an environment
where you really do have to spend time
with your plan you have to measure twice
and think uh and cut once you have to um
do a lot more pitches and I that that
will be better it'll be better for it um
and I would say figure out how to enjoy
every part of the process even the
painful financial pieces so let me dive
in here and at the Crux of what we're
trying to do here is describe to the
investor how you're going to make money
and not just how you're going to make
money but how we how are you and the
investor how is this going to make money
for the investor so that's the mindset
we get we get focused on what we're
doing with our business and where we are
going to get to but keeping in mind that
the investors bringing money to the
table perhaps an angel investor
investing
$25,000 with 10 other investors what do
they want from that
experience if they could be coming on in
a followon round you could be a sample
25,000 what do they want to see in a in
a couple of years from your business in
order for them to double down those are
the things to be thinking of when you're
pitching um how much is enough and how
much is enough comes down to revenue and
fundraising um so let me take a take you
through you know this is kind of
commonly known information right and
Investor's looking for 10x return why do
they get 10x return on every deal no
it's because out of 10 Investments one
is going to be 10x two is gonna you know
it slides down basically you're going to
have four that aren't going to do
anything and at the result if you
average it all out is about 2.3x
that's sort of the breakdown so when
you're pitching you're not going to get
interest if you're pitching a two times
return you got to shoot for that 10x
return you got to think through what
that
means um okay so that's a key important
detail the other thing to keep in mind
is what does that look like so 10x
return is of the scale of anybody here
of T2 D3 that is you get to a million or
two and revenue and then you triple your
Revenue year-over-year you triple your
Revenue the next year then you double
double double So within five years
you've gone from two million to 100
million that is the magnitude of the
scale of the boldness that I want you to
be thinking in terms of big big big big
does every deal need to look like that
no is it even possible for every deal to
look like that no but in general you
want to be thinking
bold you also want to think with that
boldness who is your ideal customer who
exactly who are the people that are
paying you like and when I say who right
down to the the the personality the way
they perform though how the recurrence
of their purchase are they buying one
time are they um is there a big one-time
cost is there a routine nature to their
um product is there seasonality involved
we were mentioning that what's the
invoice Cadence that works for them when
we talked about going from regular
business into Enterprise deals the
Cadence of that money tends to change um
and and in general is your pricing model
in including um any motivations for the
the amount of Revenue to go up so is
there a variable piece in there that the
more they engage with your solution the
more that they spread the word um that
the volume from either per customer per
Channel per some sort of unit is driving
additional Revenue all of that is
something you want to think through
intimately not just in Broad Strokes you
want to have in your mind who these
people are who is the buyer if it's
Enterprise it's still a person it's a
person sitting behind a desk who's
making a buying decision so keeping
those things in mind you also in this
day and age have to think of the CFO if
you're selling into Enterprise and
you're selling into um a particular
department they got to run it by the CFO
so that's another thing to Al also be
mindful in this
era the other key thing so it's how much
they're going to pay you for how long
how long is that customer relationship
is it months is it years thinking
through the long-term nature of uh the
customer that is really important for
some of the businesses you may want to
have add-ons in order to ensure that
you've got that customer for as long as
possible because in most investable
models you do the money and investment
upfront and then you have that long tail
of Revenue that's what excites investors
so keeping in mind that long-term
relationship um and I'm I'm going rapid
speed but I just have a lot to cover for
you we can share the slides too so you
can refer back to them and I this is
being recorded so you can probably
follow up but I apologize for being so
one-sided here and not engaging with
questions um if you do have key
questions though feel free to throw them
in the chat and so I can also um address
them one of the other variables and
these are all things that end up in your
projections when do fees increase is it
more users is it unlocking features is
it multi-channel so you've got one um
e-commerce solution if you start to
integrate with other e-commerce
platforms for example is there a pricing
difference there is there renewal fees
are they higher lower what does all of
that look like those details matter and
you won't know early days what you're
going to be like in five years but you
certainly are testing all this stuff as
soon as possible and you're laying out
that story your those are all details
that matter in having confidence in your
projections
so Revenue metrics what Revenue metrics
do you want to keep in mind ARR growth
annual revenue growth year over year so
again shooting for tripling two years
doubling three years T2 D3 that's the
kind of scale that I want you thinking
the next one is net dollar retention net
dollar R it's called net dollar
retention it's called net revenue
retention it's Kleenex tissue same
metric it um the you want to be shot um
shooting for something that is basically
120% which means that if you had a
customer that signed up a year ago a
year later they're paying you 20% more
the revenue from your customer is
growing over time so early days you want
to be designing that into your business
model and that should be reflected in
your projections so that you know those
are complex things to put into an Excel
spreadsheet but it t it's worth the
investment to ensure you've got it in
there and certainly in your pricing you
want to be able to speak to why a
customer is going to pay 20% more next
year than this year and by the way 20%
more the following year is it the same
rate but there's more users is it the
same fee but there's more features
unlocked what is it about that
relationship that's going to go grow
Revenue that's very interesting to
investors because it tells them that if
you ran into a a challenging period and
couldn't invest in sales and marketing
to acquire new customers that your
Revenue would still grow so you'd be
able to coost and continue to cover um
expenses so that's a really important
metric and the third metric here that
from a revenue standpoint is a payback
period so when you bring on the customer
how long um does a customer need to be
with you before their revenue has paid o
paid off the acquisition costs um those
are three things to keep in mind make
sure you got them
covered big markets we're looking for
how big is your total addressable market
and then your piece of the pie this just
builds into the confidence you're
talking your Tam Sam I'm not really
covering that here but again if you're
going to say that you're going to go
after a certain piece of of Revenue
ensure that it aligns to how big you
said the market is and that you're
assuming a reasonable piece of it right
out of the gate if
if the investor doesn't believe you
could achieve if you say the addressable
Market um your piece is going to be 80%
of the addressable Market that would not
be considered believable so just doing
your research around
that you want to map it out as well so
if I was to choose to go to San Diego I
like to pick San Diego it seems like a
lovely place to go um and I wanted to
get there at a particular time the best
way for me to understand if I can make
it on time is to understand when I'm
going to be stopping am I pausing to
sleep am I doing bathroom runs where am
I going to gas up or charge my electric
vehicle it's the same on the financial
projections you know you want to go big
you know you're going to have big
Revenue you probably have the hockey
stick chart in your pitch deck but how
you're going to get there requires you
to take a look at honestly the details
of how many customers you're going to
acquire each year just doing it on on
percentages is not going to be engaging
because you're not going to have thought
through that yourself exactly how many
customers where am I going to get them
what are the activities I'm going to do
to get
them also an area that people I find um
fall short Founders by and large charge
too little come out of the gate charging
too little if you're entering a
competitive space and have decided that
you are going to be the affordable
solution it's a difficult hurdle um to
to then raise your prices later so keep
in mind that you want to be clarifying
for yourself is the price I'm going to
Market with enough for me to bring in
the type of money that I need in order
to generate the returns that my
investors interested in seeing so that
there are some metrics there you can
basically reverse engineer metrics to
understand how much you need to pay and
a lot of times I see clients they launch
with a product that's two $300 a month
and within 18 months they're up to
$2,500 a month because they never would
have made a viable sustainable business
out of that original amount so just keep
challenging yourself to understand um
how much you need to be charging is it
enough for the
model uh so here's your revenue forecast
checklist these are the things you just
want to make sure that you cover in your
understanding of what those projections
are going to look like and you know this
projections they're they're half science
half art they're a bit of both they need
to projections are mathematical so the
numbers do correlate with each other
however the story and the Nuance of it
is a form of an art and there are
assumptions that are are laid in um but
ultimately the the end numbers here your
average revenue per customer the number
of customers your adding over time um
the amount of contraction insuring
you're going to have of customers the
growth rate um all of these details when
are discussed in an investor Q&A
situation will help build or um you know
help or hinder your confidence um in
their
eyes I just want to speak to confidence
for a second the thing about confidence
here is um
so a lot of people are not confident on
the financial piece um what I want to
say is most people feel that way what
you you know the Scotia Bank you're
richer than you
think you know more about your numbers
than you think all numbers are is a
essentially a translation of the story
The more you can speak to the
story The more you truly are
articulating the numbers and it's very
easy for you to be able to use your
language whatever your spoken language
is to convey to somebody who can plug it
into a SP spreadsheet and um and and you
would then only be sharing your verbal
word letter language in a way that
conveys the numbers so just you know a
lot of people I think get scared by
numbers and they uh abort their
financial um thinking because I have to
don't know my numbers I don't know if
you know what your plan is if you know
when you're stopping for gas and where
you're going to stay overnight that is
three quarters of the battle in
confidence around the
numbers uh so from a revenue standpoint
projections should start with revenues
projection should be done on a monthly
basis not just annually so don't just go
year over a year because you're missing
all the juicy details that will happen
in those months um so startart your
revenues on a monthly basis um inside
them make sure you include those
different assumptions that we made and
then I'm going to dive into expenses
because once You' it's kind of fun to PL
map out revenues honestly you feel
pretty good you get a big bold number at
the end and this this is pretty good now
it's how are we going to get there what
do we have to do everything that you're
going to do is going to cost money
because you're going to have to pay
people to do things so keep in mind
these philosophy
uh measure twice cut once spend a lot of
time on these numbers you'll look at
them you'll come back and you'll you'll
probably uh you know rip it up and start
again get very comfortable in the costs
um people think my plan is conservative
that's a common thing probably isn't
probably not conservative enough just
like construction workers doing a
kitchen
Renault twice as much um twice as long
as you think it's going to cost twice as
much as you thought
um so just keep that in mind uh it's
going to cost a lot more be ready for
that um be mindful of variable expenses
versus so variable expenses essentially
expenses that are tied to revenue so if
you're selling a SAS product you may
have Merchant product Merchant uh
processor fees so for example uh stripe
fees uh 34% of Revenue that you just
want to consider because if you don't
consider it and it gets caught it looks
like you're not knowledgeable on your
costs um Cloud hosting fees AWS Azure
those they give credits for startups but
eventually that cost becomes quite
material you want to factor that in
often five to eight% of Revenue um if
you're a product company obviously you
have all of your uh inventory expenses
that you need to factor in you're a
service business you should expect that
at least 50% of your revenue is covering
direct costs associated with that so
always make sure you've isolated out the
variable costs um that tie to the
revenue so um things like rent um year
end accounting all that that's not a
variable expense it doesn't necessarily
go up in correlation to your Revenue
variable go up in a direct correlation
and if there's a big investment required
often there is at a so for example
startup in aass situation good chance
the founder and the dev team is
troubleshooting with clients they are
essentially the starter customer success
team as you grow and your revenues get
to one two million now you're going to
start to invest in a customer success
team their role is to to sustain your
Revenue to grow that revenue from
customers uh reduce churn that now
becomes a variable cost to your business
so you'll want to make sure that you've
got that factored in again when you get
to uh 1 to two million in annual
revenue on the expense side of things so
once you've covered your variable costs
here's the rest of the cost categories
that you have group them in by
departments because that will help make
your kpi uh metrics much more efficient
to calculate and it also demonstrates
that you um are projecting your business
in a way that is typical of an
Innovative company if you start with for
example what an accounting firm's GL
would look like it's maybe in
alphabetical order or it has all the
salaries in one line you want to make
sure that your your um organization is
more sophisticated than that salaries
are allocated to the right department so
you have your R&D team you have your
sales and marketing you have GNA which
is kind of all the overhead just for
running the business CS is the customer
success generally I would keep that out
separate when you're smaller then you
don't necessarily have to include it in
your gross Market Marin I'll spare you
the uh accounting lingo there but um I
just want to make sure that you do have
a setting for it um any offsetting
grants and then keep interest in
depreciation separate and that's
primarily because you'll want to
efficiently calculate evida and which
does not include consideration of
interest and depreciation so this is the
structure that you should have in your
let's call it an Excel workbook Excel
Works still the best technology uh on
the market if you want to call it
technology well it is technology but
it's very rudimentary um but it's the
most accepted um for uh doing
projections that are going to be shared
with uh investors uh be wary of Google
Sheets uh because they generally you'll
be asked to uh download them into Excel
and formulas can break it's not quite
where it uh we want it to be yet uh so
I'd recommend
Excel um and then so you've now if
you've put out your revenues by month
you've put you filled in all your
expenses by thinking of who am I hiring
who do I need for sales and marketing
what are the activities they're going to
do what trade shows do I need to go to
um if your med device you probably don't
have the revenue piece but you got a lot
of expenses on there look at the
difference between the two and I didn't
get into timing differences of of
invoicing but essentially let's in
simple terms the net difference is your
flow short fall that is how much money
you need to be thinking about how much
you should raise so that one of the
questions I'm often asked is how much
money should I raise the comment that I
how much money do you need this is
getting you to that so you don't know
how much you need until you've done this
journey don't get too married on 250,000
2 million5 million by the way in the US
right now people will say yeah it's just
as easy to raise five million as as it
is to to raise two million or or the
magnitudes are 10 to1 what they are in
Canada the probabilities are not there
for closing those deals though so don't
just assume that these round numbers
that you hear anecdotally in the market
are appropriate for your business what's
most important for your business for you
to know intimately how much you need in
a climate like this it takes longer to
raise that's still on your side in my
mind because you're going to spend more
time um with the underlying plans that
you have and and a lot can be changed so
for example you could um in a plan where
you're you're planning let's to get to
100 million in five to seven years in
order to reach that you're going to have
um a revenue stream that's probably
direct you're going to have a channel
Revenue stream um these are very
different the whole selling process is
quite different from each other instead
of going at all three at once or all
three strategies at once you could stay
them so that for the first bootstrapping
stage you just going after one bracket
of customer and you're focused on them
and you're getting your revenues to a
certain point and then on the next raise
you're going to be using those funds to
unlock another channel so keep like
you'll you'll be coming back to the
board a few times to try to understand
your answer to this how much money do
you need and so when you have the number
in mind you're going to be asked what
are you spending it on these are the two
common areas customer acquisition so
that's sales and marketing costs and
product development those are the two
key areas if you say that I I need some
money for admin I'm going to need an EA
no this is focused um effort that is
going to generate a key return so hold
off as long as you can to the point
where you're able to demonstrate that um
that investment in sales and marketing
is going going to translate into
customer uh customers and revenue coming
on board and this is these are the two
primary areas in investors are looking
to for you to spend your money
on um what key metrics are we looking
for um around customer acquisition it's
um got my line here can't see my what do
I have first their
customers I can't read the first one I
see LTV to CAC though um so your
lifetime value to the cost of
acquisition of a customer and I'll go
into these um how you calculate these in
a little bit payback period new Mr added
over the previous month um and let me
see if I can move this so I can
see oh customer customers added per unit
of time so getting a sense of your
that's velocity of customers being added
how many customers are you adding each
month if you don't know that number and
you have projected ections any of you
that are pretty proud of your C your
projections right now do you know how
many customers you're adding each month
or is it percentages make sure you know
how
many um an expense checklist so here you
go sort by Department as I covered um
you want to trans ideally if you're
operational today you're going to
include history so you'll have your
profit and loss by month that takes you
up to to date and then your projections
are going forward that will show the
investors the continuity if your
bookkeeping is in Champs let's just get
that all caught up so that you're able
to do that but ideally you're going from
historical to
forecasting um you do want U the
expanded breakdown as I mentioned by the
different departments um and assumptions
around Revenue per head count expense
per headcount those are kind of um
numbers that you'll want to have on the
side so they just give a sanity check um
and then be be sure that you understand
how to explain verbally that customer
acquisition strategy a lot of people
come to me and i' I've done this I've
reverse engineered forecasts for
companies based on the ideal metrics I
really hate doing it because what it it
means is that the founder doesn't
actually know how they're going to
acquire customers and and I get it you
don't know when you bring your expertise
to the table it's likely not that area
you know your domain you're a scientist
whatever
the important thing though you have to
go and learn what is the activity that
best suits sales and marketing is Broad
a lot of companies try something it
doesn't work they try something else
you'll want to really be intimate again
with that customer Persona how do they
receive um material in order to consider
your product how long does it take to
sell to them do they need other
approvals know that in
intimately um other key things you need
to know at the moment when you're
talking to investor how long you're till
you're out of money that's a humbling
moment because a lot of us it's far too
soon than we'd like to admit um but
honesty is important right there you are
having the opportunity to be honest they
will sniff it out if you're lying how
long do you out of money you want to
know that how long ter you're eida
positive that means profitable and it
means you're revenues are actually ex
exceeding your expenses when you're a
startup it's a long time away but
investors want to know that when they
give you money that money is going to
last you in this climate they'll want to
see that that's going to last you two
years so you need to know how long uh
money's going to last you need to know
if all goes according to your plan when
will you be evit a positive and these
things change all the time by the way 10
years ago this was not important
profitability and SAS didn't go hand
inand nobody cared it has really changed
every business has to understand when
will I become e beta
positive okay sorry for that bad news
for people like me we don't mind it
because we think it builds strong
sustainable
organizations um but it's not as sexy
sometimes key performance indicators
here you go here are the key ones um
that you want to make sure you're
covering they will all come out your
projections so once you got your
projections done this is just a matter
of math and not complicated math by the
way I think this grade five grade eight
I don't know I should test my kids are
getting too old for me to test them but
you don't need to have very complicated
ma math but you just got to have them
calculated iida this is a breakdown of
how you get there it's just essentially
adding back interest taxes depreciation
it's it's they'll call it how much money
you're making this I went through the
net dollar retention I'm also mentioning
gross revenue retention customer
retention is really important so this is
this grr metric is a sister or a cousin
to the net dollar retention I don't hear
as much about it but people are still
obsessed about churn so churn is is
really important but you know what
you're flexing if you start talking grr
people are gonna go oh you know your
numbers so not bad to have a financial
Flex in your in your uh chats with
investors
too um so Runway considerations for
Founders how long before we're out of
cash how quickly can Investments turn
into cash and is there a direct line
between the investment and revenue
you'll want to have that Clarity this
$250,000 is going to get me how many
customers how quickly how quickly will I
be Break Even when do I pay the next
return when's the next fundraiser that
that will unlock these are the specific
things that you want to be confident on
and you know we don't know we don't know
what the weather's going to be like six
months from now but the more that you
have a thought you will build a belief
beliefs are repeated thoughts you know
your story you know your plan you have
to execute on um executable actionable
goals those will lead to the end results
that you're going to convey so you don't
have to look to somebody else else for
the right answer to these these are very
intimately your answers they will be
different for everybody so just make
sure that they reflect what you believe
and you'll that will translate into
great
trust lifetime value this one is people
get confused on this is simple math
churn is actually if you track your Mr
your monthly recurring Revenue each
month um by client you have to do it by
client by the way yes it gets T Ted but
is very important you'll need to show in
due diligence 36 months of recurring
Revenue by client so you'll want to make
sure you're tracking it as quickly as
you as soon as you can if you're not
doing that today from that you can
calculate your um turn rate and so you
essentially do your drop in mrr from the
previous month and I would do a trailing
three month because if your revenues are
low it gets lumpy but once you have that
number you take take one divided by your
churn rate monthly churn rate and that
tells you the lifetime so a 1% churn
rate equates to a 100 months so you may
not be in business for a 100 months you
don't know if a customer stays with you
100% um 100 months but you can say your
your lifetime is 100 months if your
monthly turn is 1% okay it's smash hard
hard um easy factual math the lifetime
value is um I've put the math here for
you the average revenue per customer
multipli by your gross margin which is
your revenues minus your Co your
variable costs um multiplied by the
number of months that we've just come up
with in the prior uh tab so 100 months
multiplied by an 80% gross margin
multiplied by your average revenue per
customer that's the lifetime value
whether it's conven is how much money am
I going to make from my customer over
the average life okay and there's the
simple math and again you'll this will
be a bit of a cheat sheet for you to to
double check when you're doing your
projections uh CAC people say how do I
calculate my CAC and they just have
their Google ads in there CAC is all of
your sales and marketing costs divided
by the number of customers that you sign
up for In the period so sales and
marketing total you signed up 10 C
customers total sales and marketing
divided by 10 that's your pack um and so
your payback period again I won't go
through the math because you're never
going to remember this off the top of
your head but here's the math for you on
Payback period okay pretty simple math
by the way I'm giving everybody like you
you'll get a calendly link if you want
to talk through troubleshoot any of
these with me you can have a one-on-one
happy to talk them through and see how
it relates to your
business what are good numbers here LTV
to CAC anything greater than 3 to one is
considered investment worthy investors
will be happy with payback period less
than 12 months so you don't want to take
F five years for the revenue coming in
to offset the costs we want a payback
period of within 12 months retention of
customer so high customer retention from
an Investor's model that's the tricky
thing so if your product today isn't
something that customers buy repeatedly
consider what else you might want to add
to that in order to retain those
customers so 90% retention
year-over-year 1% per month churn those
are sort of opposite numbers of each
other burn rate is the amount of cash
you're burning through how fast do you
burning through money could now keep in
mind burn rate is actually um first of
all these metrics are not governed by
anybody so if they are not accounting
metrics um they are maybe Financial
metric you will find them on Google
written by marketing people not
scientifically confirmed so what I'm
explaining to you is is from dozens and
dozens and dozens of deals so these you
can trust when it comes to burn rate I
always ask how do you calc calculate
burn rate what somebody's asking because
some investors or institutional
investors will just have it be a formula
that will vary from others so sometimes
it's intended to measure cash but but
the reality is in a lot of our
businesses we're charging clients on an
annual basis not on a monthly basis so
um it may not be a measure of cash and
it may be revenues minus expenses so in
a situation like this when it comes to
confidence I want you to be comfortable
asking questions about how do you
calculate that if if a Investor's asking
you a metric and you're uncertain about
it could you break that down do you have
a definition I want to make sure I'm
giving you what you're looking for that
exudes confidence no shame there a lot
of people are scared to ask don't be um
when I'm on due diligence calls some
Founders are make those comments like oh
you asked I couldn't believe you asked
the question well that's how we know um
so don't feel like that will lose
confidence um yeah when in do always ask
so confidence it's you're be confident
on your business not on investor your
they're looking for your Kool-Aid you
probably lit up when you talked about
your product Your solution what you're
solving for the world just keep that
light shining through the numbers
section of it um and just tell your
story don't worry so much about the
numeration keep to your story keep that
light on don't be fake don't be trying
to guess uh or say numbers that you
write on the internet that aren't yours
because it's just going to
show um I'm going to quickly go into due
diligence checklist here you go you want
to know what you need this is all the
things cheat sheet for what you need in
your due diligence checklists and some
data room tips um I recommend a
Dropbox uh because it's the it's the
most generic with people being able to
access it um create one for each
investor don't create one and invite
other multiple investors into the same
one because when they start to ask you
intimate questions and want you to share
you don't necessarily want to share um
that with everybody so a separate uh
Dropbox folder for each investor that
you're exchanging with um share what's
requested no more no
less uh for a variety of reasons but
you'll get down rabbit holes people
trying to overshare is um Canen Road
confidence so just share what they've
asked for uh be mindful of Version
Control as you go start to go through
this process you're going to be talking
to one or two investors they're going to
be headed down One path and then
somebody's going to wet your whistle and
all of a sudden you're gonna no I can I
can raise twice as much money and go for
um and I'm going to change my
projections keep your story straight
make sure that you're consistent with
what you're explaining to each investor
it's okay if you're going after a
million with one investor and two
million and you've got two different
stories because they're two different
amounts of money but don't blend the two
make sure that you're aligned with what
you're
explaining um and I say be ready to be
ready the this is a bit like a test you
know you study for exams we all have the
exam nightmares so we all no matter what
our age we remember exams being well
rested
wellfed and and Zen uh is the best
advice I can give you when it comes to
uh keeping your confidence level up for
due diligence questions um be
ridiculously organized um deals don't
close because trust gets lost and one of
the main reasons why trust gets loss and
whether it's fundraising or selling your
your business um it is taking too long
to supply what's been asked so get
yourself organized do the pre-work to
have that due diligence folder ready to
go and you'll unpress the hack out of
investors who may not expect it by the
way they may be sporty and love you so
much they give you money early days um
without that but why take the
risk
um be fast with your turnaround so
always be timely acknowledge every
request coming in um expect questions
and more questions try not to be
irritated they will ask you things
you've already answered um they
sometimes I see Founders change their
numbers because they were asked multiple
times about so that's making the founder
think that the investor somehow doesn't
believe it or doesn't trust it so they
change their don't change your answer
just stick to your answer try to be
patient we love
investors um and encourage a quick
Cadence of follow-up meetings when you
go in and you have the first due
diligence meeting and they say well
we'll take it out we'll take a we'll get
back to you you know what I'm available
and three days later or five days later
whatever drive that timeline um
demonstrate that you are eager and ready
um and I think that goes a long way as
well there's my cly I whipped through
that I am sorry for the pace um but
let's go with
questions okay Susan do you want help
moderating the questions or you wna just
them yes yes okay then I suggest just
put up you know raise the hand on the
little on the little thing and if you
can find it just put your hand up okay D
you're first go
ahead thank you thank you so much for
the for the great session Susan um I
have a question around CH rate
so for uh for business that for
businesses that are two-sided so you
have the B Toc and the B2B side so which
one which one which one matters most and
and in this case in my case the b2c side
are not paying but the B2B side will be
the one paying
so we like is is it only the B2B side
they want to see turn rate for all or
both of them good question so so the
money is where the money is coming is
the key area um so if you're getting
money from the B2B that's where your
metrics are all be based on but
presuming the B2B um interest is based
on having a volume of consumers on the
other side your they're going to be more
of a cost base to you um but anything
Revenue generating your metrics are
primarily driven from the revenue side
so the net dollar retention the churn
all of that is on the the the the side
of the business that's generating
revenue for you okay okay so so how do
you not okay I think I think I know the
answer already but I ask anyways so how
do you not agree about the numbers
when like for example we've not we've
not kickstarted the B2B site we are
still working on um user acquisition
okay so how do how do you now go about
the numbers so will the CH rate be 0%
since we don't have any any customers no
you can start with an estimate so if you
don't have Revenue yet and you really so
you you don't have any data um then pick
an estimate of how long you think a
customer is going to be with you and
then as you start to have customers
start tracking right away so you can
start to get a sense until you have
$100,000 in recurring Revenue generally
you're not going to be able to rely too
much on your data it's it's just going
to be lumpy but watch it that doesn't
mean ignore it see what customers are
doing if they're churning away
understand why iterate from there um but
early days just pick an estimate on how
long and you know a reasonable one 100
100 months for example is is a long
customer relationship but some
organizations um
can you know think about what other
types of products are like yours and and
how long a customer stays and with that
um relationship okay sounds good sounds
good thank you thanks a lot my
pleasure I is it my turn okay hi suan so
you mentioned about the eida profitable
can it be also uh set bre Break Even
Point yes absolutely yes when it reaches
zero that's break even um and there's
you know arguably there's sort of two
different things so EIT a positive is
considered break even there could be a
scenario where you're not even a
positive but you are cash flow positive
and let me explain what that means if
your business is one where you in issue
invoices for subscriptions annually in
advance you're actually going to have
the cash coming in before you recognize
the revenue so from an accounting
standpoint if you have 12 months of
Revenue that you collect from the
customer up front you really should be
recognizing only one 12th of that
Revenue every month so you take your
annual subscription free of 1.2 million
you got a $100,000 a month that's what
that looks like from a revenue
standpoint but from a cash flow
standpoint you took in that one point2
so if for instance when you look at your
cash position and you you're you've
reached cash flow break even sooner than
Eva to break even feel free to raise
that flag with you know the qu investor
asks uh you are you break even yet and
you're not EAA positive if your cash
flow Break Even point that out even a b
break even in another six months or
another 12 months but yes we are cash
flow break even right now which is why
we're looking for your investment to
help us in acquire the next next group
of
customers as an example let's
say thank you the reason I I ask this is
is to clarify which you give an extra
information which is what good cash flow
positive it's good to reemphasize it so
the reason I ask is that let's say you
are an investor Y and you said hey
you're racing you are asking for certain
amount of money and you are supposed to
run out of money in certain amount of
month from now and you will need more
money to continue with your journey yeah
but somehow in the in the months that
you are forecasting to run out of money
you are not break even positive yeah
will you go for the investment will you
put money on that company potentially so
you really have to lay out two scenarios
here one you have to know when you'll be
a break even um two you may not want to
get to break even right if business is
going really well you attract the money
you acquire customers really rapidly and
you want to keep growing you may
continue to acquire more cash put it
into the business which is expense so
you may not actually reach eaap positive
your investers might not want you to
reach EIT a positive but they certainly
want you to be able to say that you can
be like if we only do this raise this
money will maybe take us to
sustainability like you'll want to know
that if that's possible so if you're
raising
250,000 if you deploy that and you
capture the the customers that you're
hoping to um to receive and the revenue
from that than you're hoping will that
eventually get you to break even so that
you don't need any more
money if it doesn't then you're just
letting them know some businesses you do
need further fundraising you think well
this point it's going to get me a
thousand customers and at that point I'm
going to do a 10 million raising you're
just letting them know your your
fiveyear projections should should um
detail
that and it should thank you very much
yeah okay yeah thank you thank my
pleasure so we have 10 minutes left and
four hands raised okay let's go so just
gonna ask you to ask one question please
okay go ahead
da quick question uh tips for people for
Hardware companies on how to spin the
story um versus just pure SAS do you
have any any any tips on that
non-dilutive debt so Hardware you should
be able to also supplement in other
sources of capital that will not dilute
ownership um so you will need some level
of cash in order to um do the initial um
in uh build probably but then you should
be able to play bring in commercial
Banks and other um BDC subordinate debt
that sort of thing to complement your
rate so don't only think of investor
money and if You' got a service based
business or you got product businesses
you could tap into non-dilutive sources
as
well okay
Amir uh thank you very much uh I have a
question regarding our our product that
we are developing is a lifetime diabetes
or insulin dependent it's a lifetime
disease so we don't have have the uh
LTV uh or duration for patient as soon
as they join it's less than 1% they
remove or stop using the pump so how we
can demonstrate it we have the five
years contract I got it I got in more
than got a huge support for a lifetime
uh for diabetes because it's a lifetime
uh especially if it's insulin um
continuance for type 1 diabetics so
literally lifetime of the ation is is
your lifetime of the the customer and I
know you had raised in the intro about
um alternate types of um funding so some
good news is that right now Medtech um
is still there is still investment out
there I think you have to just you know
keep going for interest um so keep
knocking on doors um you also probably
have some crowdfunding capabilities with
that solution as well it's a very human
based um and the the technology isn't
really evolv it's certainly gotten
better I'm married to a type 1 diabetic
so I understand it um but I would say
that there's lots of creative ways that
you can think about um how to supplement
your your VC Angel round um and get
creative with even celebrity influencers
social media that Lots there's get
creative I would say um and you have you
can for sure substantiate a really long
lifetime value to the uh to your
solution thank you thank you
Mara yes um hi thank you Susan for an
amazing presentation um I have a one
question how do we quantify client
acquisition costs from clients that come
from the founders really close Network
um for example in in our case uh my my
partner comes from the market access
space uh he's deeply familiar with and
and a lot of our clients are friends
former colleagues so how do we quantify
that client acquisition you don't need
to lucky you in those early days those
networks that you have those customers
coming in you're not going to have an
expense for it so you're going to have
low customer acquisition fees that's
actually a bit of a even for those that
are doing Google ads or online social
media Market marketing at a small scale
your CAC is probably going to be low and
you'll have to keep in mind that when
you get investment and you go to to
Really scale the the costs are going to
be extraordinarily you know more um so
you're that's okay by the way anytime
you do an investment in sales and
marketing your C goes way up so it's
investors understand that it's you'll
want to just project it out but you
don't need to numerate costs you don't
have so you don't have to put in some
form of like a Goodwill expense for
relationships that you have built over
time that are bringing in Revenue you
just get the benefit of that Revenue
coming in it's it just from you know to
reach a 100 million obviously those
initial relationships aren't going to
get you there but in those early days
take advantage and and don't worry about
the
cost thank you
okay
Oscar okay um my question goes uh around
that we because we have a multi-prong
approach we have a onetime we have SAS
with three different streams of Revenue
that's shortterm medium-term and
longterm okay uh how
to how to actually present that to the
investor without being too Rosy without
being overly positive and enthusiastic
because the the device itself is it's a
premium device yep there's no more money
to put to be put into the research and
development or manufacturing tools
everything is ready Y how to paint that
uh Revenue stream without the investor
telling us and you show me traction when
you cannot manufacture because you do
not have those
funds okay so you will want to separate
your Revenue into the different
categories so your your um one-time uh
Revenue make sure it's on its own
because there's going to be one-time
costs associated with that whether it's
a product cost whether it's service
costs and and you don't want those
eroding that what you're presenting on
the SAS side the SAS if you have three
different streams of recurring Revenue
there's going to be a few ways you're
going to do it you're going to separate
them out um again you want to track them
by customer then I would say this is
where the art comes into play as you
have historical data so as things move
forward and you've got the data you may
want to present it um grouping those uh
different sources of am are into one um
because that it really will come down to
what looks most favorable the thing is
you can't play with one number and not
play with another so if you decide when
customers deci or when my clients decide
like oh we're we're GNA go with this ICP
and we're just going to go with that
turn rate because that's the best turn
rate we have you can't just select one
you have to apply um your given Choice
across the whole thing and these metrics
are dial
um because the metrics have variables
inside them that are used in multiple
metrics so um I would say start with
separating out the different Revenue
watch to see how it goes um get as far
as you can make sure you can get enough
customer activity that you're actually
able to
demonstrate these are the results that
we're
seeing it's okay you're G to get to if
you don't have the revenue yet and you
tell investors that this is what you're
planning to get they are likely to tell
you especially in a market like this go
get some traction and call us back like
we're they they want to see how your
customers are
performing yeah can we use the Tam Sam
because it's on the same can we use the
Tam the Sam the bad in order to justify
our Market model the size of it yes so
so like hitting a 100 million yes yeah
um you can also take Market data to to
substantiate the amount that you're
going to be charging so if you're saying
I'm going to charge $2,000 to these
customers because here's where it fits
inside the competitive Matrix with other
products um then yes otherwise your your
projections are not going to run up to
The Tam Sam like because you're you're
going to be a fraction of that right
it's going to take a long time to get
that and it takes way longer than you
think way
longer understood thank you very much
Dave hey so um
my my business will have less Revenue in
2027 than in
2026 okay unless 2026 has been an
absolute disaster just because of the
opportunity difference between those two
years we are in a a cyclical
business and um we do have some bright
things that we can point to for example
uh being able to provide more products
to our customers who are under spending
limit so it's kind of capturing a
proportion of their spend we're position
to do that so like a basket analysis
would show some good
information but there isn't any way to
say that we're going to have more
Topline Revenue in
20127 without without lying or fudging
the numbers so much that anybody who
knew about the space would know that it
wasn't a credible number um but then
that you know that's just because there
aren't those campaigns that is a
cyclical thing how how can I tell that
story to potential investors so they
aren't spooked by that dip yeah I think
so it you know it happens so
semiconductors come to mind it's like
there's an eight-year cycle in the
semiconductor industry um and lots of
investment goes into um the technology
here on our phones that comes from that
um so you know it is what it is
sometimes in businesses um I think the
positioning of how you present that is
important stressing the positive
stressing the
opportunity um I think you want to just
depending on what the all the metrics
look like I would want to give
consideration to that so I want to look
at what you have and um I I hate to give
the it depends answer but it really does
depend um but I think you absolutely can
convey you just have to want to want to
ensure that um it is investable then um
assuming that's the case and you're it's
on a cycle and um you should then also
likely be able to pull back an expenses
in those years too because there's no
point to do additional investment in
acquiring Revenue so we're gonna Coast
we're going to get to this size and then
we're we're going to coast and maybe you
can get additional re other sources of
revenue from those same customers uh
during a period um happy to chat with
you and kind of brainstorm more um when
I know more about your business um but
yeah I like you know to use that as an
example for everybody um be real with
your business like you this is your
invest Angel Investors could be with you
for the Long Haul like um they don't
want to be there 20 years but it happens
they are likely there five to 10 five
years is a long time um so you don't
want any surprises down the road be
fully transparent who you invest with is
people that want to be with you for the
Long Haul too and they're they're
trusting you
um thanks have a great yeah that's it
that's time we did pretty good it's
5:31 uh what do you think about Susan's
presentation
today oh thank you for
thumbs um just amazing Susan look at
this Mara guy is going for it just going
for the I'm gonna stand up too they
stood up like okay thank you Susan so
very much you've got uh the oneon-one
Sarah will resend out that link to you
as well please do take advantage of that
I had some questions we didn't get to it
because the the founders had really the
greatest of questions um and uh that is
a wrap see you all next week on uh due
diligence uh with Megan Corell and red
flags thank you Susan yes and make sure
my C link uh did we get that K Lee i i s
it was in chat too I think
right there it is there it is again so I
I'll stay back if you want to grab that
um thank you just thank everybody thank
you sus thank you Susan thank you for
the great information looking forward to
chatting with you really appreciate you
supporting the program thank you bye bye
bye
bye
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video provides a comprehensive guide for startup founders on preparing financial projections and navigating the fundraising process. The speaker, Susan, highlights that detailed, realistic short-term goals are the backbone of achievable long-term visions. Key concepts discussed include the "T2 D3" growth scale, essential metrics such as ARR growth, Net Dollar Retention, and the Payback Period, as well as calculations for Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) and Lifetime Value (LTV). Additionally, the presentation offers tactical advice on managing due diligence, organizing data rooms, and communicating confidently with investors about burn rates and profitability milestones.
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