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What EVERYONE Gets WRONG About COMPOUND INTEREST

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What EVERYONE Gets WRONG About COMPOUND INTEREST

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204 segments

0:00

Let's debunk the compound interest lie

0:01

that is echoed by so many financial

0:03

gurus and advisers, [music]

0:05

and then we'll talk about the better way

0:07

to get ahead in life, both in terms of

0:09

financial success and in terms of

0:11

personal fulfillment. Now, you've seen

0:13

the graphs, you've heard the math, it's

0:15

said that if all you do is set aside a

0:18

modest amount of savings over a long

0:20

enough period of time, then you can be

0:22

rich. You can have life-changing wealth.

0:25

And a very common example of this is you

0:27

set aside $10 a day or about $300 a

0:30

month over 40 years where every year

0:33

that grows 8% and you'll end up having a

0:36

million dollars. I think I was in my

0:38

early teens when I first heard about

0:39

this concept and the sheer number of

0:41

people out there that talk about this

0:43

and promote this idea and kind of make

0:45

this promise is staggering. And really,

0:47

when you simplify it down, the promise

0:50

that is being made is that modest

0:52

savings multiplied by time equals

0:56

life-changing wealth. Now again, we're

0:58

going to talk about a much better

0:59

solution here in a minute, but first

1:01

let's talk about what's wrong with this

1:02

equation. What's wrong with this

1:04

promise? And the problem is very simple.

1:06

The magical power of compound interest

1:09

is watered down by the nearly as

1:11

powerful effect of compound inflation.

1:14

So yes, if you set aside $10 a day or

1:16

$300 a month over 40 years and it grows

1:18

8% annually, you will have a million

1:20

dollars, but here's the kicker. It's

1:22

going to spend like about $330,000.

1:24

You'll have a million dollars, but

1:26

[music] in terms of what you'll actually

1:27

be able to buy with it, it'll be about

1:30

the equivalent of what you could buy

1:31

today for $330,000.

1:36

[music]

1:37

Let's dive into the math really quickly

1:39

just so you understand exactly what's

1:40

going on here. Okay, we're setting aside

1:42

$300 a month with an 8% annual interest

1:45

rate over 40 years. I'm not factoring in

1:48

taxes at all here, so of course that

1:49

would further have implications for how

1:51

much money you could actually spend, but

1:54

we're looking at an expected average

1:56

annual inflation rate of 2.84% I

1:58

basically took the first 40 years of my

2:00

life. This is a number that depending on

2:01

exactly which 40 years you choose goes

2:03

up slightly or goes down slightly. I

2:05

think it's fair to say inflation seems

2:07

to be going upwards into the future. So,

2:09

I think this is a very conservative

2:10

number. So, you'll have invested

2:12

$144,000

2:14

over the 40 years. And here's this

2:16

incredible number. Over the 40 years,

2:18

your interest earned is an incredible

2:20

800 and nearly 64,000

2:24

dollars giving you a total gross value

2:26

of over 1 million dollars. That is the

2:29

big impressive number. But, when we

2:31

actually look at future value accounting

2:33

for inflation,

2:35

that is going to be about a little under

2:37

$330,000

2:39

in terms of today's dollar and the what

2:41

you can buy with that money today.

2:43

And so, your $144,000

2:46

will grow to include an additional

2:49

$185,000

2:51

call it, and you'll have this

2:52

approximately $330,000

2:55

in terms of today's purchasing power.

2:57

Yes, you'll have a million dollars, but

2:59

that's just a number. It might as well

3:01

be a different currency because it's

3:02

going to spend like it is $330,000.

3:06

Now, what I find most stark here is the

3:07

huge gap between what is promised

3:09

[music] and what actually happens in

3:11

reality. So, there you have this big

3:13

promise of compound interest is going to

3:15

earn you $864,000,

3:17

but in reality, it's only going to

3:19

increase your purchasing power by about

3:20

$185,000.

3:23

And so, the power of compound inflation

3:25

actually waters down the promise and

3:27

what you actually are going to get by

3:29

about 78%.

3:31

Rather than having this huge number in

3:33

growth, you end up with a much more

3:35

modest number. And so, the reality is

3:36

this is simply not a way to create

3:39

life-changing wealth. It is a way to

3:40

have your money grow, but this is not

3:43

going to create a situation where you're

3:44

suddenly rich after spending half of

3:47

your life setting aside money. Now, I

3:49

want to be very clear before we get to

3:50

the better way to actually improve your

3:52

life, there's nothing wrong with saving

3:55

and investing money. Virtually everybody

3:57

that I know who is successful [music]

3:59

saves money, they spend less than they

4:01

earn, they set aside that money in

4:03

investments, and they have it modestly

4:04

grow over time. The difference here is

4:06

this is not a silver bullet. This is not

4:08

a way to get rich. Instead, this is

4:10

about preserving and modestly growing

4:13

your money over time. So, you should

4:16

absolutely be investing, but do not

4:18

think of this as a way that is going to

4:20

magically unlock future wealth. The

4:22

better way to create a brighter future

4:24

for yourself, both in terms of financial

4:25

success and personal fulfillment, is to

4:28

obsess about developing and applying

4:30

uniquely valuable skills. In other

4:33

words, to get better and better at

4:35

things that are truly useful. And

4:36

ideally, get better and better at

4:38

collaborating with other people so that

4:41

you can create more value in the world.

4:42

Now, you can do this as an employee

4:43

where you're working for an organization

4:45

and you're developing more and more

4:47

valuable skills so they pay you more and

4:48

more money for what you bring to the

4:50

table. Or of course, you can do this as

4:51

an entrepreneur or business owner where

4:53

you're creating better products and

4:54

services and selling them directly to

4:56

customers and you're finding ways to

4:58

create more and more value because of

5:00

the unique things that you do

5:01

exceptionally well. But in either case,

5:04

the overarching principle here

5:06

is you want to find ways to create more

5:08

value so you can improve your earning

5:10

power. So that over time, you're not

5:12

only keeping up with inflation, which

5:14

unfortunately a lot of people, yeah,

5:15

they're getting modest wage increases

5:17

from year to year. They get the

5:18

psychological reward of earning a little

5:20

bit more money, but then they go to the

5:21

store and their money goes,

5:23

you know, doesn't go as far as it used

5:25

to. And so they earn more, but they

5:26

spend more and they never get ahead. The

5:28

idea here is you want to develop truly

5:30

useful skills so you can dramatically

5:32

increase your earning power and you can

5:34

earn far more than you need and thus you

5:37

can set aside money, you can have it

5:39

modestly grow over time. And as a really

5:41

nice bonus here, when you're doing truly

5:43

useful work, when you're developing cool

5:46

and valuable skills, you tend to be more

5:49

fulfilled in life with what you're doing

5:51

and the impact that you're having. So,

5:53

not only are you better off financially,

5:55

but you're also enjoying the journey

5:56

more. You're enjoying the impact and

5:58

you're enjoying developing and applying

6:00

unique skills. Now, when it comes time

6:02

to actually do this and how do you

6:03

actually go about doing this? Well, I'm

6:05

not here to sell you a course. This

6:06

might feel like a big build-up to some

6:07

big course. I'm not here to sell you on

6:09

anything because the fact is

6:11

it's never [snorts] been easier or

6:12

cheaper to just figure this stuff out on

6:14

your own. In fact, right now, you in

6:16

this moment, you could go to ChatGPT and

6:18

simply ask, "What skills or careers are

6:20

likely to be valuable in the future?

6:22

Which of those options are most

6:23

promising if my hobbies and interests

6:26

include X, Y, and Z? What is a good way

6:28

to start developing related skills in a

6:30

practical way? Is there a job I could

6:32

start today that would help me develop

6:34

one or more of those skills while

6:36

earning money?" It all starts with

6:38

curiosity and a willingness to explore

6:40

options. And if you're looking for

6:42

timeless insights to guide you along the

6:44

way, then click the like button,

6:46

subscribe to the channel, and [music]

6:47

stay tuned for future videos.

Interactive Summary

This video challenges the common financial advice that modest long-term savings alone, through compound interest, will lead to significant wealth. The speaker argues that the effects of inflation drastically reduce the real purchasing power of those future gains. Instead, he proposes that the most effective way to achieve financial success and personal fulfillment is to focus on developing uniquely valuable skills that increase one's earning power, rather than relying solely on compound interest as a 'silver bullet'.

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