What EVERYONE Gets WRONG About COMPOUND INTEREST
204 segments
Let's debunk the compound interest lie
that is echoed by so many financial
gurus and advisers, [music]
and then we'll talk about the better way
to get ahead in life, both in terms of
financial success and in terms of
personal fulfillment. Now, you've seen
the graphs, you've heard the math, it's
said that if all you do is set aside a
modest amount of savings over a long
enough period of time, then you can be
rich. You can have life-changing wealth.
And a very common example of this is you
set aside $10 a day or about $300 a
month over 40 years where every year
that grows 8% and you'll end up having a
million dollars. I think I was in my
early teens when I first heard about
this concept and the sheer number of
people out there that talk about this
and promote this idea and kind of make
this promise is staggering. And really,
when you simplify it down, the promise
that is being made is that modest
savings multiplied by time equals
life-changing wealth. Now again, we're
going to talk about a much better
solution here in a minute, but first
let's talk about what's wrong with this
equation. What's wrong with this
promise? And the problem is very simple.
The magical power of compound interest
is watered down by the nearly as
powerful effect of compound inflation.
So yes, if you set aside $10 a day or
$300 a month over 40 years and it grows
8% annually, you will have a million
dollars, but here's the kicker. It's
going to spend like about $330,000.
You'll have a million dollars, but
[music] in terms of what you'll actually
be able to buy with it, it'll be about
the equivalent of what you could buy
today for $330,000.
[music]
Let's dive into the math really quickly
just so you understand exactly what's
going on here. Okay, we're setting aside
$300 a month with an 8% annual interest
rate over 40 years. I'm not factoring in
taxes at all here, so of course that
would further have implications for how
much money you could actually spend, but
we're looking at an expected average
annual inflation rate of 2.84% I
basically took the first 40 years of my
life. This is a number that depending on
exactly which 40 years you choose goes
up slightly or goes down slightly. I
think it's fair to say inflation seems
to be going upwards into the future. So,
I think this is a very conservative
number. So, you'll have invested
$144,000
over the 40 years. And here's this
incredible number. Over the 40 years,
your interest earned is an incredible
800 and nearly 64,000
dollars giving you a total gross value
of over 1 million dollars. That is the
big impressive number. But, when we
actually look at future value accounting
for inflation,
that is going to be about a little under
$330,000
in terms of today's dollar and the what
you can buy with that money today.
And so, your $144,000
will grow to include an additional
$185,000
call it, and you'll have this
approximately $330,000
in terms of today's purchasing power.
Yes, you'll have a million dollars, but
that's just a number. It might as well
be a different currency because it's
going to spend like it is $330,000.
Now, what I find most stark here is the
huge gap between what is promised
[music] and what actually happens in
reality. So, there you have this big
promise of compound interest is going to
earn you $864,000,
but in reality, it's only going to
increase your purchasing power by about
$185,000.
And so, the power of compound inflation
actually waters down the promise and
what you actually are going to get by
about 78%.
Rather than having this huge number in
growth, you end up with a much more
modest number. And so, the reality is
this is simply not a way to create
life-changing wealth. It is a way to
have your money grow, but this is not
going to create a situation where you're
suddenly rich after spending half of
your life setting aside money. Now, I
want to be very clear before we get to
the better way to actually improve your
life, there's nothing wrong with saving
and investing money. Virtually everybody
that I know who is successful [music]
saves money, they spend less than they
earn, they set aside that money in
investments, and they have it modestly
grow over time. The difference here is
this is not a silver bullet. This is not
a way to get rich. Instead, this is
about preserving and modestly growing
your money over time. So, you should
absolutely be investing, but do not
think of this as a way that is going to
magically unlock future wealth. The
better way to create a brighter future
for yourself, both in terms of financial
success and personal fulfillment, is to
obsess about developing and applying
uniquely valuable skills. In other
words, to get better and better at
things that are truly useful. And
ideally, get better and better at
collaborating with other people so that
you can create more value in the world.
Now, you can do this as an employee
where you're working for an organization
and you're developing more and more
valuable skills so they pay you more and
more money for what you bring to the
table. Or of course, you can do this as
an entrepreneur or business owner where
you're creating better products and
services and selling them directly to
customers and you're finding ways to
create more and more value because of
the unique things that you do
exceptionally well. But in either case,
the overarching principle here
is you want to find ways to create more
value so you can improve your earning
power. So that over time, you're not
only keeping up with inflation, which
unfortunately a lot of people, yeah,
they're getting modest wage increases
from year to year. They get the
psychological reward of earning a little
bit more money, but then they go to the
store and their money goes,
you know, doesn't go as far as it used
to. And so they earn more, but they
spend more and they never get ahead. The
idea here is you want to develop truly
useful skills so you can dramatically
increase your earning power and you can
earn far more than you need and thus you
can set aside money, you can have it
modestly grow over time. And as a really
nice bonus here, when you're doing truly
useful work, when you're developing cool
and valuable skills, you tend to be more
fulfilled in life with what you're doing
and the impact that you're having. So,
not only are you better off financially,
but you're also enjoying the journey
more. You're enjoying the impact and
you're enjoying developing and applying
unique skills. Now, when it comes time
to actually do this and how do you
actually go about doing this? Well, I'm
not here to sell you a course. This
might feel like a big build-up to some
big course. I'm not here to sell you on
anything because the fact is
it's never [snorts] been easier or
cheaper to just figure this stuff out on
your own. In fact, right now, you in
this moment, you could go to ChatGPT and
simply ask, "What skills or careers are
likely to be valuable in the future?
Which of those options are most
promising if my hobbies and interests
include X, Y, and Z? What is a good way
to start developing related skills in a
practical way? Is there a job I could
start today that would help me develop
one or more of those skills while
earning money?" It all starts with
curiosity and a willingness to explore
options. And if you're looking for
timeless insights to guide you along the
way, then click the like button,
subscribe to the channel, and [music]
stay tuned for future videos.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This video challenges the common financial advice that modest long-term savings alone, through compound interest, will lead to significant wealth. The speaker argues that the effects of inflation drastically reduce the real purchasing power of those future gains. Instead, he proposes that the most effective way to achieve financial success and personal fulfillment is to focus on developing uniquely valuable skills that increase one's earning power, rather than relying solely on compound interest as a 'silver bullet'.
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