Scott Galloway Predicts a $10 Trillion Market Wipeout | Pivot
1873 segments
This isn't military action. This is a
war. There's one
>> excursion. The word he's using now. It's
an excursion.
>> Like a field trip.
>> Hi everyone. This is Pivot from New York
Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast
Network. I'm Carara Swisser
>> and I'm Scott Galloway.
>> Scott, did we have a good time in
Minneapolis?
>> Oh, that was wonderful. And thank you to
the the wonderful people of Minneapolis.
I thought it was great. I I've never you
know what was really the the community
or you know maybe we got a not a
representative sample I'd like to think
we got a representative the community
seems very unified right now. Yeah,
absolutely. People drove from North
Dakota. There was
>> wherever that is or Iowa. We had a
lawyer from Iowa come.
>> Yeah. Judge,
>> by the way, shout out. We know who you
are. There's this wonderful woman who's
a lawyer in family court and she
commutes seven hours a week and she said
that uh excuse me. She said judge. Yeah.
And she said we're her we're her best
friends.
>> Yeah. Yeah. It was great. And people
were great. Anyway, we've got a lot to
get to today. I'm going to dig in.
First, the war in Iran is sending oil
prices on a wild ride this week and
creating what the International Energy
Agency says is quote the largest supply
disruption in the history of the global
oil market. Okay, that's kind of
something. As of this recording, oil is
still very high, slowly coming down from
over $100 a barrel after ships were
attacked in the Persian B Gulf. There's
also the tax still going on. Gulf uh gas
prices continue to climb as well. And
just remember, it's not just gas prices.
Every price goes up when gas goes up.
The IEA's 32 member countries are
releasing a record 400 million barrels
of oil from strategic reserves to
counter the chaos, which means we aren't
going to feel this yet. Uh I interviewed
uh Senator Warner yesterday and he was
noting that um Trump has tried to calm
markets. He keeps trying to to do this
to bring these oil prices down by words
saying the war is quote very complete
only to later announce we haven't won
enough. Oil prices also plunged after
energy secretary Chris Wright
incorrectly posted that US Navy had
escorted a tanker through the straight
of Hormuz. So that was a problem. The
post was deleted within minutes was
enough to move markets and wipe out uh
million billion million dollar trades.
Um this is such a taco. This is the
greatest taco of all I think. And even
if the war in Iran ends soon, returning
the straight of Hermuz to typical
traffic could take one to three months.
We're going to see reverberations of
this ridiculous situation. um the way
he's handling it and the way he's not it
seems all over the place. Um and also to
to add to the kind of mess there, the
initial findings of a military
investigation say that US was
responsible for that deadly tomahawk
missile strike on the Iranian elementary
school. It's actually causing a lot of
strife within MAGA. By the way, the
report notes officers like and
everywhere else, normal people and MAGA.
Um the report notes officers likely used
outdated information to label the school
as a military target. Trump has tried to
put the blame on Iran earlier this week,
claiming they also have the tomahawks,
which everyone thought was ridiculous.
And when asked about the military report
on Wednesday, Trump said he knew nothing
about it. Um, we'll get to the the
photography scandal at the Pentagon, but
talk a little bit about what's going on
with oil prices and this the school,
which is just I feel like we should take
responsibility when we make an error,
such a terrible error. But go ahead,
start.
>> I'll go I'll go in reverse order. When
you're handling a crisis, and this is a
crisis, the death of civilians,
especially children, is obviously pretty
ugly. You acknowledge the issue, you
take responsibility, and you try and
overcorrect. And they've done nothing of
the sort. And there's in a war, and this
is a war. This isn't military action.
This is a war. There's
>> an excursion, the word he's using now,
it's an excursion,
>> whatever that means. Excursion.
>> I went on a bike,
>> like a field trip, like
>> Exactly. My daughter went on an
excursion. except he didn't get
Congress's approval the day before that
he could go on the excursion. Um, you
know, it's a tragedy. Uh, they just made
a bad situation worse. First off, they
look incompetent by saying that it might
have been a tomahawk from Iran. Iran
doesn't have tomahawks. So, it it looks
like, okay, I'm not willing to own up to
this. I mean, there's not a good answer,
but there's a reasonable answer here,
and that is
>> Yeah, this we decided to go, you know,
with military action. This is a This is
a group of people who killed 30,000 of
its own people. War is going to have
collateral damage. We screwed up. We
take responsibility. These are the
following steps we're putting in place
to make sure it doesn't happen again.
And take responsibility for it and it
would have been not over, but it would
have been acceptable. Instead, it's
like, no, it was Iran's fault. It just
doesn't
>> or I didn't know.
>> Yeah. Oh,
>> Pegasus was the same way. It was it was
and was angry when people asked about
it, which is the everything wrong in the
response and everything wrong in the
mistake. But you're right. Absolutely.
>> Yeah. And the the real I mean, we're
just we're just starting to see.
So, I was speaking to a kid and um and I
said, "What what you know, where do you
want to be in 5 years?" I always ask
young men that. Where do you want to be
in 5 years? And this kid said, "Uh, I'd
really love to have my own auto repair
shop focusing on EVs."
>> Mhm.
>> I said, "Okay, well then let's reverse
engineer from those things." Like, what
kind of skills do you need to acquire?
What kind of job certification?
What kind of capital or money would you
need to um uh start something like this?
>> Uh have a business plan. Would what kind
of real estate would you need? What
would be your you know, let's reverse
engineer everything you need basics,
right? Let's reverse everything,
engineer everything to today around what
you would need to be an owner of an EV
repair shop in uh he lives in the
outskirts of Los Angeles. Just the
loveliest young kid. Anyways,
we can't even reverse engineer the
tactics because I don't think anyone is
really clear yet on what the endgame is,
what the end goal is.
>> Mhm.
>> And that is if they had said, "All
right, we're going to diminish their
launch capability from missiles." Makes
all the sense in the world. It's more
about the launchers and the missiles
because you can bury the missiles under
under
>> these are ballistic missiles for people
who don't know.
>> We can we are going to make sure that
the straits of Hormuz are more secure
than they were uh previous to this and
we're going to work with our Gulf allies
to create a series of mind sweepers and
and enforce the border. I mean, and
we're going to take out the navy and
we're going to take out the munitions
infrastructure that builds this stuff.
These are the three boxes we need to
check.
>> Can I interject since I just interviewed
Warner about this? One of the things
that they've talked about is going in
and getting the enriched uranium, but
that would actually be would take, as
they say, boots on the ground and it
would be
>> not viable. Not feasible.
>> Not feasible unless we want a lot of
Americans to die.
>> Yeah. As is quite frankly, as is regime
change. I mean,
>> this regime is sticking pretty strongly.
>> Oh, they're not collapsing.
>> Yeah. Yeah. No, I think Khi had the
likelihood of regime change at like 10%
by the end of March or something like
that right now.
Anyways, it's like, well, okay, in war
you always have to have plans A prime
and plan B because the enemy gets a say
in this. But the problem is no one can
identify plan A.
>> No, they ate it. They ate it. They the
the dog ate my homework. Can I ask you
about the oil prices because I think
that's something that's going to people
don't recognize. And um you the idea of
trying to calm the market by releasing
incorrect information, letting it go,
you know, whipssaw all over the place.
And this release of these 400 million
barrels is going to have repercussions
later because that's when the prices
will go up, these strategic reserves.
And what they're they're trying to do
everything possible to pretend we're not
going to have a real crisis between the
straight of Hormuz and this release. Um
and so it they it has second order
problems. Now Wall Street's sort of
sloughing it off a little bit. Um but
these are prices that are going to
reverberate through the system as you
have noted. So look, the biggest loser
here is obviously
um the people of of Iran who are in the
wrong place at the wrong time, right?
The the there is no bigger loser than
the families who lo lose loved ones. I
also think the reputation of the US and
what was an opportunity to create much
stronger alliances with moderate nations
in the Gulf. So big losers. What people
aren't talking about, the countries that
import more than 50% of their oil,
Japan, South Korea, India, and most of
Europe have seen their markets hammered,
absolutely hammered. Uh poor countries
with no foreign exchange reserves uh and
dollar denominated debt can't, you know,
are could be thrust into the IMF or
effectively what is bankruptcy. Airlines
and hospitality companies all over the
world, shipping, the bunker fuel cost
Warner said he's been meeting with
airline executives and they said they're
fine for now but it's going to be $25
million a day extra which is crazy.
>> I mean nations who import their oil
especially who get most of it through
the straits of Hormone their economy
basically their economies are like [ __ ]
for the year at a minimum. So there this
is having you know we have obviously the
biggest losers by body count are Iran
but by by economic collapse Middle
Eastern oil importers Jordan, Lebanon,
Egypt and fragile emerging markets
Pakistan.
>> Guess who's doing great? Russia.
>> Yeah. gives him the need he need he was
really on the on the ropes around the
million the million people who have died
and also the price of oil and now he has
more money to spend while we ignored uh
help from the Ukrainians on drones and
one of the things Warner was pointing
out was that fine we could take out
their battleships but their real problem
is all those small fast boats and their
drones they can just do all manner of
damage to us in that with these small
$50,000 drones and we use a million
dollar rocket to take it out. I mean,
this is the problem is they have an
ability to do this and they've been
they're, you know, the way Warner
described it, these this country is hard
is is hard enforced like hard like
hardwired. This this is not Venezuela.
This is Trump lives like he's in some
movie where you just do three bombs and
that's the end of it. But this is a
hardwired
150,000 people in this in this ruling uh
group in Iran. And they're not giving up
all this money and all this power for I
don't know. It's it's a really difficult
situation which they didn't.
>> They're just thinking about the market,
the winners and losers. The hardest
stock markets
>> are Middle Eastern markets. Jordan,
Egypt, Lebanon, their stock market's
greater. There's a capital flight to
safety. I mean, the ironic thing here is
that over the long term, our reputation
is in tatters. We're probably the least
damaged because we're energy
independent. We produce more energy than
we consume. We have two oceans
protecting us. Friendly Canada to the
north, harmless harmless Mexico to the
south. We still have capital inflows. In
a weird I mean, it's just terrible to
say, but in a weird way. Our markets are
probably least damaged by this. Europe
cost. There'll be costs for airlines.
There'll be costs for uh truckers.
There's going to be costs for home
heating. Thank goodness it's not winter,
right?
>> The dollar's already strengthened. I
mean,
>> it's it's ironic, but when you diminish
the entire world, there's a flight to
safety, and flights to safety usually
benefit the US. Emerging markets are
going to get the [ __ ] kicked out of
them. India, Brazil, South Africa,
Mexico, capital flowing out to the US
dollar for safe havens. The US will
likely be down 8 to 10% on a tariff
ruling or was down but it could be down
another 10 to 15% and that'll be I'll
talk more about that in our prediction
but you're going to have a pretty big
big peak to trough but that some of that
might just be the air coming out of the
bubble but to your point the least
damaged in the Middle East or Saudi
Arabia and the UAE but the big winner
here as you said is Russia oil the oil
price spikes the oil price spike
benefits them the US is distracted by
Iran. So more Ukraine leverage and oddly
the the ruble strengthens. So
>> yep,
>> this is
>> war is literally the agent of unintended
consequences.
>> Y
>> and this is so frustrating because if
this had been more like fore and less
like a rock and they'd set out a series
of achievable objectives
>> that this could have been a win. It
could have been the Gulf States coming
together
>> and if they had said, "Look, to a couple
European nations and to the Gulf States,
a stable Middle East benefits all of us.
Let's all have a series of objectives
and we're going to pay for and execute
against most of this. We could have
strengthened our alliances."
>> We've been dragged around by Israel
here. In a lot of ways, it looks like
it. Let me let me move on.
>> See, I disagree. I think we're very
tightly coordinated with Israel right
now.
>> I talked to Warner who's in the gang of
eight. I'm going to go with him over
you. I'm sorry to say that, but you
know, I think it was that they were
>> You went with the senator over Scott.
>> Yes. Yes, I damn. Um I think they were
going to attack and we decided to be the
senior partner like that's rather than
create something else because
>> Well, you mean Iran was going to attack
Israel? Israel's attack.
>> No, no, no. Israel was going to attack
Iran. That I mean that's the implication
he had. And
>> and Senator Warner feels like we did not
have the power to say stop.
>> Well, he doesn't know why we didn't.
That was one of his questions. He he's
he's surprised. He He seemed wor more
worried. He's usually not a worry wart,
but he seems worried about two things.
How this was conducted, obviously,
>> and what the real implications are,
especially around drones and small boats
that could do enormous damage to our
battleships and everything else, and
also election security. Um, but one of
the the weirder parts is how the the
administration has behaved. Um, Donald
Trump was dancing last night or golfing
and stuff like this, so the visuals
aren't very good. And the DoD has now
barred press photographers from Iran
briefings after publishing photos of
HEGs staff found unflattering according
to the Washington Post. Hex says vanity
aside, um it just they just look like
like he looks like a fatuous popping and
jay at all times. But in this case, the
lack of seriousness about something
that's very serious seems problematic.
And it's also causing problems within
their own group of mega. There's a real
shift. There's a real like sort of
Tucker Carlson and Megan Kelly u MTG on
one side um and then you know Mark
Levin, Ben Shapiro, all this there's a
real ugliness. I I went over I wandered
over to Twitter which I shouldn't have
done and the the nastiness between them
is really quite something. It's really
quite something to watch.
>> Like imagery is so incredibly powerful.
Basically, I think one photograph
brought didn't bring an end to the
Vietnam War, but expedited it. And it's
that that's it's that incredibly
dramatic photo of the the young girl
running from a napal bombing. And with
the Iraq war, George Bush and the
Pentagon, they banned photos of service
member coffins because he realized war
is so ugly that that it'll lose support.
And there's just and the notion that
these guys can't handle the images of
Pete Hegathth in an unflattering I mean
it's just uh it shows you're spending
you're allocating your capital in the
wrong places that's not that's not what
you should be thinking about or worried
about. And if you think you can control
the imagery of Pete Hacksath, well,
okay, just wait till you see the images
that are going to come out of Iran. And
you can already sell see that the IRGC
is quite frankly organizing again and
going on an information campaign.
>> They are and they've been very good.
Iran in general has been one of the
stronger players uh in th in those
spaces in terms of propaganda and
everything else. And so that's why
>> when you say good, you mean effective.
They they lie like there's no tomorrow,
>> of course. But hello, lots of people do.
Lots of governments do. Um,
>> oh, I don't know. I think I think Iran
takes it to a new level.
>> They do, but but they are, when I say
good is they're good at it. Um, they're
very um they're all throughout all the
various social networks. They're very um
they did one the other day which I was
sort of fascinated by where they put up
your president as a pedophile. Um which
was interesting. um they just they've
been at it for a long long time and they
have used often when there's stuff that
pops up online it's either Russia or
Iran. um China to an extent too, but
really Iran has used social media as one
of the smaller I mean it is a smaller
country than Russia or less powerful and
it has used social media to its
advantage in ways that are really of
course heinous because it's conspiracy
theories and you you always find them
somewhere in they're at the top everyone
I ever interview in cyber security are
the top in cyber security issues in uh
propaganda in conspiracy theories and
they have a very welloiled machine
throughout the world doing this kind of
stuff. So,
>> well, when the actual audit of social
media is done, I think we're going to
find that somewhere between 10 and 40%
of comments and posts
>> Yeah.
>> on geopolitical accounts or accounts of
influencers
is going to have originated from either
the CCP, the GRU, or the RGC.
>> Yep. Absolutely.
>> And this is what you do. You see a piece
of content and then you look at the
comments to evaluate and shape your own
view of that content.
>> Mhm.
>> And when
>> it's all gamed
>> Yeah. And it it has a huge impact. You
don't even recognize how much impact it
has on your views of stuff because if
someone says,
>> "Oh, the US the US will be able to
escort ships through the straits of
Hormuz." I'm just using an example.
>> And then there's just a ton of stuff
saying that'll never happen. Oil prices
are going to be at $200.
>> Mhm. All right. Where's that comment
coming from?
>> Right.
>> And and unfortunately, although they
could put in places to verify accounts
and get rid of fake accounts and fake
comments, you know, I mean, just go on
these really sensitive pages or
sensitive opinions and click on who made
the comment and it's someone with three
followers.
Okay, that's not a person,
>> right? And the question is why would
someone be making this comment or what
entity would have an interest in these
comments?
>> Yep.
>> Anyway, I
>> we're going to talk about that later
because there's a major report from the
Center for Countering Digital Hate
that's really interesting around chat
bots. Um but we're going to move on uh
and we have lots to talk about, but
there this story is going to continue in
our reberations obviously. Um, but when
uh we're going to go on a quick break
and when we come back, Anthropics sues
the Pentagon and Microsoft comes to
Anthropic's defense.
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Scott, we're back with more news. The
White House is reportedly preparing an
executive order to formally ban
anthropic across the federal government,
which is likely illegal. The Defense
Department CTO Emil Michael, and let me
just say I covered him and he's a a
toading bully, just said on CNBC that
Anthropic would quote, "pollute the AY's
supply chain." We've only done this for
foreign companies. Just so you know,
this kind of behavior. All this comes as
Anthropic is officially suing the
Pentagon for labeling it a supply chain
risk, effectively blacklisting the
company from federal contracts. This has
never been done to an American company.
Uh, Anthropic argues the government
overstepped its authority and violated
the company's First Amendment rights.
And now Microsoft is getting in the mix.
The company threw its support behind
Anthropic this week, urging the federal
court to temporarily block the Pentagon
supply risk designation in an amicus
brief. Uh, Microsoft warned uh that the
unprecedented move would have quote
broad negative ramifications for the US
tech industry. And they're damn right.
Scott, before we go further, I want to
play a prediction you made last week.
Let's listen. My prediction is no. And
that is Dario Amodi has given license
and permission to CEOs to say no. And in
the next 30 days, you are going to see a
raft of CEOs find their testicles and
start saying no to this administration.
>> So you were right, Scott. Uh so let's
talk about that them saying no. And it's
not just Microsoft. 37 AI researchers at
OpenA and Google, not the companies
themselves, also filed a brief
supporting anthropic. Um, you know, I'm
going to just very quickly comment that
the this what the government's doing
here is really unprecedented. It's a
disagreement with a company and instead
of just disagreeing and moving on, they
are attacking them in the most
ridiculous ways, trying to make an
example of anthropic and really hurt
their business. I need you all to
understand Emil Michael's role here
because the the these people all have
other interests and agendas that have to
do with their previous life in Silicon
Valley and their future life in Silicon
Valley. And Emil Michael's always, as I
said, been a toading bully to powerful
men. And this is what he's doing here.
Um, and he's not a he is not a um a
player that is in any way um you know,
sort of neutral. He's not doing things
for you and I in in this government.
He's doing things in his own
self-interest if would be my guess. And
so the the attacks on anthropic right
behind him is all manner of competitors
of Anthropic that are using the federal
government to uh hurt a company that
decided not to want to do something. And
I'm glad Microsoft uh stood up for them.
Scott,
>> I think this is the biggest story in
tech. And so just a quick a quick recap.
Um, Anthropic had basically two ass
um, and both pretty narrow. They didn't
want uh, Claude to be used for fully
autonomous weapons, meaning AI, not
humans making final lethal uh, targeting
decisions, which seems reasonable. And
the second one was no use of cloud for
mass domestic surveillance of Americans.
And the Pentagon responded that it does
not intend to use COD for those
purposes, but refused to contractually
commit to that, arguing that it it can't
lead tactical operations by exception
and that legality is the Pentagon's
responsibility. And then on the U about
2 and 1/2 weeks ago, Trump posted on
True Social directing every federal
agency directing every federal agency to
immediately seize all use of anthropics
technology.
And then Hexath designated anthropic as
a supply chain risk. Okay, that is
that's a label which was which has been
reserved for foreign adversaries.
>> Yeah, I just said that. Yeah.
>> And companies linked to the Chinese and
Russian government. Well, I'm saying it
again, Carol.
>> Right. Okay, fine.
>> The supply chain the supply chain risk
status.
First off, that's this isn't just the
government saying, "Okay, you don't want
to work with us, we don't want to work
with you." Mhm.
>> If they say if they label them as a
supply chain risk, then already uh a 100
plus enterprise companies have reached
out to Anthropic and said, "We may not
be able to use you." A financial
services company posits negotiations
regarding a $50 million contract.
A pharmaceutical firm, financial
technology company. I mean, they can't.
This really is an ex when you're labeled
sort of an enemy of state. This is
equivalent of like you're a corporate
enemy of state or threat. I say threat.
Anthropic has now filed a lawsuit
against the Pentagon saying that
Congress's procurement laws don't
authorize blacklisting a US company over
protected speech. That's what this is.
They get they get to work with or not
work with who they want. And the supply
chain designation is is just not it's
just not legal. And it sets a dangerous
precedent for any American company.
>> Lose most people. The government will
lose. But it will have an effect. Yes.
Yes. The government will lose, but it'll
still have the effect. This is a Trump
thing. He creates a real problem whether
it's anthropic
>> and companies won't work with them until
they figure it out
>> and then it causes damage just like they
done at you know when they fire all of
Voice of America. Now they've lost in
court and Carrie Lake is an idiot but
it's already caused damage and caused
damage to it and that's the goal is
they're going to push it illegally as
far as they can and then they'll be
stopped but by the time they're stopped
Anthropic is badly affected. And if you
all don't think this is a Silicon Valley
rumble happening here, it's all in the
self-interest of private companies who
have an interest in slowing anthropic
down. And if you look at the links
between Emil Michael and the rest of
these these these clowns,
>> they have financial interest and
competitors
>> just this. Yes, they do. And so this is
a way that Silicon Valley the penny
Silicon Valley used to ignore government
for the most part and then the penny
drop that they're easy to pay for and
that they can do their competition with
each other in the federal government by
pretending they're working for us as
people are getting spots putting their
putting their people in the various
spots right that will cause it. This is
a Silicon Valley corporate beef
happening. It's that is what's occurring
here. The one that's been most
outspoken, I'm trying to connect his
financial interest, which I'm sure is
driving his rhetoric, is David Sachs.
>> David Saxs, Mark Andre, please
understand there are shadow people
behind these actions that you need to
pay attention to. And Trump is, you
know, sort of a useful idiot. I'm I'm
sure they make fun of Trump behind his
back. Um, but, you know, it's all in
their economic self-interest to hurt
this company. And they couldn't hurt
them by being better. So, this is how
they're doing it. this is what they're
doing.
>> But it comes down this is the this is
the fulcrum that determines if companies
continue to show some backbone and by
the way good for Sachi Nadella um
showing some backbone here at again
risk. So
the
calcia is saying that anthropics like
the likelihood anthropic wins the case
is 72%.
In the meantime, companies will say,
"Hey, that site license we're about to
sign with anthropic, we're just going to
wait. We're apologize. This is terrible.
>> We love you. We think you're techn
>> We we we can't sign this contract right
now." To to your point, Microsoft and a
group of 22 retired senior military
officers have filed amicuses amicus
briefs in support of Anthropic and its
lawsuit.
But what's interesting is that consumers
are speaking. The enterprise is running,
but consumers are running towards
Anthropic. Downloads of the cloud app
spiked more than 75% after Trump
prompted federal agencies to stop using
Anthropic. And on the flip side,
uninstalls of Chat GPT
uh Chat GPT's mobile app spiked roughly
300%
the day after Trump's proclamation. So
the the the question is who wins in the
mind of anthropics board here the fear
and the stasis that has been created in
the enterprise market or consumers
running towards a company they think is
finally showing some
>> I think it's damaging I think this is
the this is such a Trump way to do this
is create
>> philanthropics more enterprise
unfortunately
>> I I know create chaos
>> and damage and it's legal but do the
punch Even if it's like I'm not a boxer,
but if you do like a kidney punch, you
do a you hurt the person and then you're
like, "Oh, did I do that? I didn't know
I did that." And you use your minions uh
and I cannot underscore again what a
minion Emil Michael is. Um to do your
dirty work and pretend you're working
for the government. It's the whole thing
is such a This is such a fixed fight. I
can't even you need to and I think
reporters should really spend a lot of
people don't know these characters.
Again, this was an ex Uber executive.
He's been involved in a lot of stuff in
Silicon Valley, but he had to leave Uber
under please go watch look at our
reporting on him many years ago. Um he
had to leave Uber under very difficult
circumstances around the rape of a woman
in India um in an Uber. Um, but just um
just go go Google them reporters who are
covering this and stop acting like Emil
Michael has is this clean character. In
any case, I'm sure he'll come after me,
but it's true. Um, so I I'll win on that
regard. Um, anyway, um, we're going to
move on. Uh, another thing that again,
Silicon Valley just can't stop stealing
essentially. Grammarly launched an
expert review AI feature that gives
editing suggestions supposedly inspired
by well-known writers and journalists.
Casey Newton discovered the tool was
attributing advice to him and others
even though they never agreed to
participate. The feature even generated
advice under the name of a certain tech
journalist, Cara Swisser. Um they've
they've stopped that now. They've gotten
they they pulled back on it apparently.
But what an incredible bunch of
information and identity thieves. I
don't know what to say. Anytime these
people can steal, they steal. They're
such shoplifterss. I don't your
thoughts. Well, it goes back to this
mindset and I thought one of the I think
there's looking glasses into people's
souls, how they treat their pets, how
they treat service staff is sort of a
you know when is their guard down when
there are certain tells, right?
>> And one of the tells that was really
frightening when Sam Alman was asked
about the energy consumption of AI. He
said, "What people don't take into
account is the amount of energy it takes
and the amount of investment and
resources it takes to get a human to a
point where it can make logical
decisions and engage in critical
thinking."
>> Mhm.
>> He said, "If you look at how much energy
and input and resources it takes to
raise a child such that it can get to a
point where it can make decisions,
>> AI is better." I found that so
nihilistic and so inhuman because what
Silicon Valley
>> or at least some of the individuals we
talk a lot about don't realize is that
>> we try and get ROI economically such
that we can make low ROI investments in
relationships and people we love. I'm
not getting I am not getting an ROI back
for my children on any sort of economic
level.
>> Well, you use a lot of energy. I'm
wondering if we should use as much
energy for you as we do. But go ahead.
Well, but the the whole point the whole
shooting match
>> of an economy and relationships and
satisfaction and purpose and some sort
of spiritual sense of calm and and like
your life mattered is that you do engage
in productive,
you know, productive economic or
domestic labor such that you can invest
that in other people
and you may or may not get a return. But
the point is the return you get is
you're so invested in something that you
you your life has meaning. The the whole
point is that you create value such that
you can you can you can invest that
value in relationships. And for most
people the most rewarding place of
investment where quite frankly they
don't get anything resembling an
economic ROI is in children. And to look
at it on that level is like, okay, you
don't understand
what it is to be a mammal or a human.
And and also the notion that you can
spend 50 years of your life
professionally working your ass off,
staying late, starting in the mail room
at the Washington Post as you did, such
that you have a voice, a reputation, a
twist of phrase, an ability to string
words together that compels people to
action or provides insight. And then
they can come in and just adopt that 50
years or piggyback on it.
>> That piggyback steal it really
>> is like I if I type in give me five
jokes on this or or give me a view on
the oil price and I put in my voice it
does a really good job because what it's
doing is stealing from everything I have
ever written, said or done.
>> That is correct.
>> And so the music industry did this
correctly. It said, "Okay, if we're
Kroq, which is awesome, the best radio
station
>> uh of the '9s in Los Angeles, and they
play a bunch of English Beat or Tom
Petty
>> or Lloyd Cole in the Commotions or Ramm,
they track how much they're playing and
then they send them a royalty."
>> Mhm. And what these guys want to do is
they want to leverage your years,
decades of of of discipline, schooling,
certification, risk-taking, time away
from your family, but they don't want to
pay for it. And they see everything. I
mean, that's I think a a a felony. But
what is double homicide from a mentality
standpoint is that these people really
look at relationships and humans on an
economic basis. I just when I saw that I
thought
>> Yeah. Yeah. He just had a kid.
>> This guy is not
>> he just had a kid.
>> Well, I'm I'm not going to I'm not going
to speak to his children, but what he's
going to find out and this is a what I
tell other dads
>> comment. It was a dark comment.
>> I'm like, don't make the mistake I made
and think that right away your kid's
going to be super into the [ __ ] you're
into and you're going to get all these
Hallmark moments despite what insurance
commercials would tell you. you're going
to have to invest more in this child in
every way.
>> And that's the point because at some
point what you realize is that that
overinvestment in other people gives you
purpose and value.
>> Well, I I I do think we're going to move
on from this, but let me just say they
think everything is for the taking and
for them. I just this is just another
example. This what was happening at the
defense department. Oh, we have an
uponthropic. Oh, anything they can take
they take. and they just continue to
prove, you know, they they keep not
meeting my low expectations for them
already. Um, and this is kind of an
interesting thing. Researchers from the
Center for Countering Digital Hate,
which has been attacked in all the and
it's its founder been attacked legally
by Elon Musk and the federal government
now in his at his behest, um, tested 10
major they they're keeping going though,
they don't care. tested 10 major AI
chatbots and found out eight out of 10
were willing to help plan a violent
attacks like school shootings, bombings,
or assassinations. Researchers posed as
a 13-year-old boys as 13 boys showing
how easily minors could get guidance on
weapons, locations, and strategies. Only
anthropics claude and Snapchat's my AI
consistently refused to assist in
planning attacks and only Claude
attempted to dissuade the users.
Deepseek wished the user happy and safe
shooting. And on that note, a lot of you
have been writing in about a story in
Canada earlier this year. An 18-year-old
gunman opened fire at a school in in
Tumblr Ridge, British Columbia, killing
eight people. Let's listen to a clip
from a listener. I am calling because it
seems to be that there is a connection
now between the shooter and chat GPT.
The shooter was flagged by Chat GBT
several months ago regarding some of uh
their behavior online. Chat GBT didn't
report it, which is one of the reasons
why I am leaving this message to see
what your thoughts are on that. Open A
is now being sued by the parent of the
child who was injured in the shooting.
I, as you know, I've been at this for
years, especially around kids, but it's
jumped into people. Um the most recent
uh one of the more recent shootings it
was was this suicide was an adult was
was changed by these chatbots. I cannot
let's stop calling them chatbots. What
an adorable word for synthetic beings.
Um which who don't who don't are not
bound by legal like if you're a lawyer
and you did this you'd go to jail. If
you're an anal if you're a you know a
psychologist and you did this you'd go
to jail. If you were a person and you
did this you would go to jail. like all
of the people go to jail. They're
willing to assist in violent attacks and
they're not doing anything to rein it
in. And it's not just kids, it's it's
everything. And again, the only one that
is doing the right thing is Claude. And
so, and this is anthrop. And this is the
company. I'm not doing an ad for Claude
here, but they have at least some. And I
think they should be regulated, too. But
I can't tell you how incandescent I am
about the way these people try to take
every p bit for themselves and they do
not care the damage they are creating.
And I I I am going to keep talking about
this until Congress steps in and does
something about it. You don't work for
those rich people. You do not work for
them. You and and I I'm with Dell Rico.
Enough with these people. So go ahead. I
just ranted. Well, I I think it's
important to draw a distinction between
potentially creating some sort of
psychosis that leads to self harm or
harm against others through overuse of
of AI or any other digital platform. I
think that's a separate study that needs
to be done
and without the interference of the
massive money and lies and and owned
bought research that these these firms
will do. I think this is different. I
think this is whether the federal
government needs to put in place laws
and incentives such that if a private
organization or corporation
receives information that this person
might be on the verge of committing an
act of violence, if they have a
responsibility to report it to the
authorities immediately,
and I think they do. I'm not a privacy
person. I'm not suggesting we go to
Minority Report where we arrest them
before they've committed the crime. But
at at my school or or
so uh my school in Florida where my kids
went at another school uh and we we all
shared information when I was involved
with the school about these very
difficult situations. A kid was drawing
very um disturbing images of gun
violence. And so the school felt like it
had an obligation to report it. And then
the FBI went to the house and the FBI
said, "Are there any guns in the house?"
Mhm.
>> And I think that was the right thing to
do.
>> You're right. That seems
>> If you notice, there was a video that
went viral on Snap. A teacher put out a
snap saying that she wanted to kill
these kids. And it immediately the cops
showed up and said, "Did you put did you
say this? Are you having any sort of
mental issue right now? You need to go
home and we need to understand what is
going on with you and if you have access
to guns before we let you back into a
school." Mhm.
>> And the same is true here that if you
are going to monetize this type of
information and you understand it so you
can interpret it so well
>> that you can create a prompt that keeps
them on another second, another minute
or serves them the exactly right auto
insurance ad. Then in exchange for that
economic benefit and what is clearly
demonstrated ability to know what's
going on with that person, if you see
any evidence that that person might be
capable of creating this type of crime,
you have an obligation,
you bartenders, the bar, if a bartender
continues to serve people alcohol,
observing that that person is really
drunk
>> and then that person gets in a bar and
kills someone. Mhm.
>> The bar is liable,
>> right?
>> So if they have such incredible
targeting, such unbelievable
information, they can clearly tell that
okay, this individual is getting maps
>> and and identification and information
is basically digital.
>> We should investigate is what you're
saying. This is
>> a school then immediately a message goes
out to the local authorities saying here
is exactly what this person said. We
have a judge involved. You get the order
and boom, they're in the house
asking this person questions. I'm not
saying they arrest them. They haven't
done anything yet.
>> Right. Right.
>> But
>> they would argue this is surveillance.
But of course, they don't mind selling
surveillance.
>> They're surveilling. They're surveilling
us to serve as the thing is, you know,
I'm just saying a human being in this
situation would be arrested or liable,
right?
>> These people are giving I agree you
should separate the two, but they're
related, Scott. It's the same mentality
of let us extract all the good stuff.
Let us not protect anybody and we are
not liable for what we're doing there.
You know, Mark Benoff once called them
cigarette companies. It's worse. It's
worse than a cigarette company. They
were just selling cigarettes and using
Joe Camel. That sucks. But this is
something demented. Like I think they
they they're demented. I I don't that
they think this is okay and that they
don't say to themselves, should we
really is this the way we want to make
our money? We want to make our money by
poisoning children's minds. We want to
make our money by letting people who are
mentally disabled become more so and
then giving that's a different issue.
>> I agree. But they're giving people plans
and if you're going to give people plans
on how to shoot a school, you have a
responsibility to say you might want to
check this out. I I get, but for the
purposes of of remedies,
>> I think you need to separate the two.
Character AI may in fact be leading
people into a state of psychosis where
they believe the right thing to do is to
find their stepfather's gun and kill
themselves cuz they're going to get to
hang out with Daenerys and the
afterlife. That is shifting their
psychological state.
My understanding of this the the shooter
here was that she was already in an
awful psychological state and was using
chat GPT as a tool to execute
>> violence.
>> Both require some sort of regulation,
responsibility, and action.
>> Different. You're right.
>> Yeah. You've done a lot of good work
interviewing parents around the rabbit
hole and psychosis that the character
AIs can lead people to, which by the way
has an average usage time of 75 minutes
versus AI at like 13 or 15. At the same
time, if these organizations
can very easily use the same technology
to not only alert them at the right
moment to serve them an ad for a dating
app or for a cryptocurrency trading
platform
>> to say, "This person is clearly going
through something and potentially a
threat to the community and others. They
have a responsibility to immediately
notify the authorities."
>> All right, we're going to finish up with
they don't have a community
responsibility. One of the things that
always struck me
>> when you say they don't have a
community.
>> They don't feel like they like
>> No, I'm saying they should. I think
we're in agreement here.
>> I think they never did is the point I
was going to make when I when they were
building their their headquarters. I
remember Twitter building its
headquarter and they had the most
beautiful cafeteria. I don't know if
you've ever been there, but it was
gorgeous.
>> I've never been invited to Twitter's
cafeteria.
>> This was pre Elon and I was thinking
>> pre-lon.
>> Pre-lon. Um I was thinking they don't
care about all the businesses around
like you know what I mean? like they
kept the people captive in this
beautiful everything is here, don't go
anywhere. And that they don't give a
[ __ ] about San Francisco. It's just like
they just want to be here. But they
didn't care about the surrounding
delies. They didn't care about people
going out in the street and creating a
street life. They didn't back the the
you know, they don't have to back the
opera, but they didn't back any civic
organizations ever. And I was always
like, "Huh, what a group of people. They
don't really care about anything but
themselves." Like I remember being
struck by that cafeteria and thinking
they really could give a [ __ ] And it
was the same it's the same idea. They
could give a [ __ ] about our government.
They could give a [ __ ] about all these
things except for what's in their
interests. And so I I could go I'm going
to I'm moving into I'm speaking of
psychosis. I'm moving
>> it comes down to one sort of basic
algorithm and that is all corporate. You
could argue the big tech is worse than
most. But generally speaking, it's safe
to assume that all corporations care
about is shareholder value and earnings
and getting to those earnings within the
confines of the law. What unfortunately
is different nowadays, I don't think
that's changed. I think General Motors
would still be pouring mercury into the
river if there wasn't
>> I would agree
>> wasn't an EPA. The the failure of the
glitch in the matrix is that we used to
have checks and balance in the form of
leadership.
>> Mhm. that prevented a tragedy of the
commons. But because of Citizens United
now,
>> the only thing that elected officials
care about is getting reelected. And the
only thing you need to get reelected is
more money than the next person.
>> And Silicon Valley has connected the
dots here.
>> Yeah.
>> And it said we can compromise inch by
inch their ability to regulate us and
prevent a tragedy of the commons by
throwing money at them.
>> Yep. And now billionaires, the 900
billionaires in the United States are
responsible for 19% of the pack giving.
>> Was that number? So I think you should
ask Taler Rico about this. I'm sorry.
You should let him talk about this
issue. I mean ultimately it's this is
not a good situation for all of us. And
they someone came up to me the other day
and who had been critical of my book
being too hard on Silicon Valley
burnbook and they said, "I have to
apologize. You weren't hard enough." And
I was like, "You're absolutely [ __ ]
right." All right, Scott. Let's go on a
quick break. When we come back, what
Barry Diller is saying about CNN.
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Scott, we're back with more news. Barry
Diller is speaking out about wanting to
buy CNN and what he would do with it. In
a new interview, Diller says it uh CNN
hasn't been managed optimally and had
enormous in and it's has enormous
potential to influence. He says he told
Warner Brothers CEO David Zazoff all
this. Let's listen.
>> I said to him, I don't think your
programming I I don't think it's being
optimally programmed. I don't think it's
competitive. Now, by the way, the facts
uh support that. Uh meaning that its
ratings have declined, its revenue has
declined.
Still is quite profitable. But how would
you alter it?
>> Oh, in every way.
Look, feel, and see. Every way.
And I mean, I hope I get the chance. I
don't think I will, but I hope I do.
>> Um, I'm not sure when this was, but I I
I texted him. Um, he said this not
happening. He said, "Not that now that
the Ellison's have it." Um, and they and
he quite correctly, and I happen to know
this, they're going to combine CNN and
CBS. Um, he doesn't think he has a
chance. I would love to work for Barry
D. He's much more conservative than I
am, but um I would certainly love he's
such a good programmer. He's such an
interest
journalism even if he gets mad at it
sometimes. He's someone I I appreciate
in that regard. Um and it would I wrote
him. I said, "Can you please?" And he's
there's no way. So I can I can knock
this one out of the water. He can't do
it unless Please, Ellison, sell it to
Barry Diller. Please, that would be
great. So, any thoughts?
>> I would love to see Barry Dillard
partnered with Jeff Zucker and a private
equity firm. And I think there's more a
greater likelihood than people believe
that the Ellison's might say this is too
big a headache.
>> We might just sell a combined CBS and
CNN to someone else because I think that
I'm not sure and maybe I'm being naive
here. I'm not sure they're as Mavian as
people think about trying to control the
world. Um, I don't know, but maybe they
have some grand vision for how they
integrated into Tik Tok, but I I can't
imagine Larry Ellison is as smart as he
is. Isn't going to say this is going to
be more a headache than it's worth.
>> No, they wanted the studios. I I I
agree. They're not quite as madilian.
They they they're just opportunistic, I
would say. I I you know, Ellison was was
democratic.
>> You're the third richest man in the
world by focusing on on economics. And I
think that
>> anyways, I think he makes a lot of
money. Diller is correct. It makes
>> the time margins. But I did some
analysis here because I just wanted to
show you like one talk about some
numbers of cable news. I spent a decent
amount of time last night uh on AI
looking at ratings and viewership and
essentially what I did was just to give
you a sense for the ecosystem and also I
never miss a chance to make pivot look
good.
>> It is good.
>> I looked at gross viewership. That is
the number or listenership. That's the
number of people who watch a program and
then see it on YouTube or on social or
download the audio and listen to it. And
actually listens are more valuable than
views because it's a more intimate
experience. And that's why
>> that's why you get higher CPMs on
podcast right now than you get on cable
TV. CPM is the cost per thousand viewers
an advertiser is willing to pay. So
let's look at gross viewership. the
number of times someone or the number of
people that watch the program, see it on
YouTube or somewhere else or listen to
the podcast version of it.
>> Fox News averages during prime time.
>> Fox
>> Fox Okay.
>> Fox News during prime time averages 2.1
million in gross viewership.
>> Mhm.
>> This is staggering. CNN 660,000.
>> Mhm.
>> Fox is kicking the [ __ ] out of CNN.
>> Yes. Pivot's gross viewership is
375,000.
>> CNBC is 252,000.
Now,
that's a bit of a a misnomer. It's
important, but what advertisers care
about, they don't care about kids. They
don't care about seniors. They care
about people aged 25 to 54 who are
buying kids, houses, and cars and in
their mating years.
>> This is a single pivot, not two together
of the week, right?
>> This is one show.
>> One show. single show.
>> We do two a week, but go ahead.
>> This is one show.
>> Mhm.
>> So, in the core demo, that's adults 25
to 54.
>> Mhm.
>> Okay. Well, let me let me let me let me
start here, which will explain that
number. Let's look at the median viewer
age.
>> Fox News, the median is 69,
>> CNN at 67, CNBC at 63.
>> Pivot, the median age is 42.
>> 42. So which leads you to believe as you
should that the number the percentage of
viewers in the core demographic for
these institutions or for the cable guys
and CNBC is somewhere between 20 and
30%. For pivot it's 70%. Meaning the
number of people listening or watching
these program listening to or watching
these programs in the core demo that
advertisers care about CNBC gets 63,000
people on average watching programming
who are in the core demo.
>> CNN gets 135,000.
Fox gets 197,000
and Pivot gets 233,000.
>> We beat them in the demo.
>> So we're getting more people in the core
demo. And then which leads to the
following. Our average CPM
>> Mhm.
>> according to Ray Chow, Ultimate Nice Guy
and New Father.
>> Mhm.
>> From Vox, we get a CPM of $45.
The word I've heard from CNN is they get
between$ 13 and $17. I don't know what
Fox gets.
>> Mhm.
>> So, just to give you a sense, Oh, and
let's talk about median household income
>> and cost of doing business, but go
ahead. Yeah. You want to reach wealthy
people. Wealthy people are now
responsible for 50% of consumer
spending. They have more discretionary
income, right?
>> Fox News, the average household, the
median household income is $60,000.
CNN 65, CNBC 85.
>> That's not
>> Pivot
150 because we get a very techheavy high
paid audience. So, it's pretty obvious
why cable news, Fox is actually doing
pretty well,
>> but cable news as a whole
>> is dying.
>> Yeah,
>> it's literally dying. So, Barry Diller
saying he wants a new look and a new
feel, what I would suggest is unless you
can pick it up at distressed pricing and
consolidate it with a bunch of other
stuff, I think Barry's falling into the
same trap that a lot of people fall
into, and that is nostalgia is not a
strategy. I don't think there's any I
don't think there's any coming back.
That's not to say
>> the these come
>> they're too expensive. I mean, you
didn't even figure in costs. Our costs
are basement compared to all their cost.
>> Oh, the gross margins.
>> Yeah.
>> I mean, then then it gets it goes from
ugly to worse.
>> Yeah. What's interesting is there there
there's it's a it's still a great brand
and I agree with you about the
romanticism and he happens to be even
today at his he's much older is still
the best programmer around. He's been
>> No, he's he's a legend in the world of
media.
>> But not just that. I don't I've never
seen him think like oh I
>> Yeah, but so is John Malone and he
hasn't been able to figure it out.
>> I agree. I agree. But I'm just saying I
I I wouldn't like just say oh he's just
being romantic. I I've had discussions
with him. He's got some great ideas and
I agree it's a real problem. It's a I
would spin it off and see what Zucker
and Diller could do cuz I both of them
very good. They have a lot of ideas and
bring in people who have great ideas and
what would you do with it if if they
said here is this. This is what you have
Scott. What would you do with it? I know
you have just an anathema to television.
I know that. But um I it's an
interesting I think it's what he knows
best and it would be interesting. I
think he would be an interesting owner.
It's he says it's not happening. Um but
uh but it's nice that he's bringing it
up. I think Well, sorry. And by the way,
speaking of our demo, of our young demo,
42 means there's a lot of people on the
very young side. A lovely young man
named Evan, last night I was going into
this party for Hank Pollson was like, "I
love Pivot. Say hi to Scott." And I was
like, and and was like,
>> "That is a very young person. I get
stopped by very young people, very old
people. um middle most much in the
middle and very different people and I
really Evan I really appreciate all the
nice things you said about the show uh
because we we like all our different
fans but you're right the age thing is
important all kinds of stuff anyway
we'll see anyway Barry good luck um all
right we're not going to be buying it
and I won't go off on my craziness like
I did with the post um all right Scott
one more quick break we'll be back for
predictions
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>> Okay, Scott, let's hear a prediction.
You you sort of mentioned it. What is
it? What is it? Oh, one thing. I predict
we're going to have a great time at
South by Southwest. All right. That's my
prediction.
>> That's what you're predicting always.
All right. So, my prediction is
essentially um I think the markets this
year are going to go down. Uh dangerous.
I think I think we're
>> I think we're on the precipice of like
a10 trillion dollar wipeout.
>> Whoa.
>> Um
>> really.
>> Oh yeah.
>> Tell all.
>> Well, not and by the way, I get this
wrong all the time. This is not
financial advice, but I don't think it's
from Iran. It's from what comes after
Iran.
Um and this is this is the chain
reaction here. Uh, I don't think oil is
going to I think oil is not going to be
at 150 bucks, but it's going to be it's
it's going to be
sustainably higher. It's going to be
elevated through the rest of the year.
And inflation in some markets reignites.
The Fed can't cut rates. They're trapped
um to inspire the economy because
they're worried about inflation. I think
corporate earnings are really impaired
as consumers stop spending
because some of them will be paying five
bucks a gallon for gas and their 401k
will start to decline and Q2 earning
season becomes bad and then what CEOs do
when things are sort of bad is they
throw in the kitchen sink and they'll
make it look like a blood bath just to
get all the bad [ __ ] out.
>> That's a good idea actually.
>> But the real contagion
>> uh here is going to be from emerging
markets. I think there's a decent chance
that Pakistan and Egypt default as well
as Sri Lanka and Bangladesh
>> dollar denominated debt very energy
dependent very fragile economies
>> because they all they all there's this
domino effect in those markets because
they can't afford oil imports and their
dollar denominated debt just becomes
unpayable
and then the real downward spiral starts
European banks holding that emerging
market debt start announcing write downs
um foreign banks, Deutsche Bank, BMP,
Pariba, all hugely exposed. Credit
spreads blow out and we get sort of a
not this to the same extent, but we get
an '08 style which bank is next moment
except this time it's happening while
the US is fighting a war we started for
no reason,
>> right?
>> Uh other than Scott, it's an excursion.
>> Well,
>> I'm teasing you. It's war. And well,
that's the mistake here is it should
have been a special it should have been
a military combat operation. Instead,
they've turned it into a war with no
objectives. But anyways,
by August, the narrative shifts shifts
from transitory war shock to holy [ __ ]
we may have broken the global financial
system. The S&P is off 20 to 40% from
its peak. Bitcoin goes to like 30,000.
Um, and you know, and quite frankly, the
only thing that probably goes up is
canned goods and ammunition
>> and Chevron. Um,
>> well, that's a scenario.
>> Happy South by Southwest.
>> But, but it's going to start, the
prediction is the following. It's going
to start, the contagion is going to
start in emerging markets that can't
afford
>> oil and uh, their debt is dollar
denominated. It's just a toxic cocktail.
It's a very accurate prediction, I have
to say.
>> So, and the problem is we've shot so
many bullets with our debt and printing
money that um the ECB and the Federal
Reserve doesn't have the same firepower
to try and lift us out of this.
>> Mhm.
>> So, in other words, it could be like a
an08 shock, but the problem is we we
have less ammunition for a bailout.
>> Yeah. Yep. With the tariffs, with the
debt, with everything. I mean, you know,
one of the things that uh did you hear
James Carville saying, "I don't have
enough Trump derangement syndrome. I
want more. I should, you know, I'm so
furious at this [ __ ] He was screaming
this what he has done here with this
Iran." And it all, as you have noted
many times, links back to Epstein again,
right? It links back to this guy.
>> He's the guy in every room
>> in every room. I think you're absolutely
right that this everything is motivated
by either people want to get before
while the getting's good or for
themselves or a an un unhealthy need to
hold on to power in a demented way like
I I remember when Elon said that one
time if Democrats it's an existential
crisis for the world if Democrats win.
Actually, as I always say,
every accusation is a confession. We're
in an existential crisis because of
these greedy [ __ ] and because of the
the need to hold on to power over
everything and it's going to it has
reverberations around the world.
>> There's some really interesting tax
proposals. Senator Booker proposed
basically a tax holiday for young people
which I which I love. Not that expensive
because young people don't make that
much money. Mhm.
>> We need to level up young people who are
24% less wealthy than they were 40 years
ago versus old people who are 72%
wealthier. And then
>> for the first time I saw a wealth tax
>> that could potentially
make sense. But instead of going after
billionaires
>> Mhm.
>> they should be going after anybody or
everybody that say has a well, you know,
more than call it $und00 million,
>> right?
>> You get no happiness. your kids will get
no incremental happiness from inheriting
that much money.
>> Billionaires were helping you lift your
wallets. Um,
>> and it should be it should be annual and
it should be small enough
>> such that people don't have to liquidate
assets
>> or move to Florida like
>> Yeah, it has to be federal.
>> Starbucks is just has to be federal.
You're absolutely right. That's great.
Okay. All right. We're going to talk
about that. That's going to be one of
our big topics at South by Southwest. We
Anyway, we want to hear from you. Send
us your questions about business tech or
whatever is on your mind. Go to
nymag.com/pivot
to submit a question for the show or
call 85551 pivot elsewhere in the Karen
Scott universe. I'm going to get serious
for a second. Monday I published a story
that I think I'm the most proud of of
anything I've done in a very long time.
I sat down with three Epstein survivors
who've been pushing for more
transparency with on on with career
survivor uh Liz Stein who's also a
survivor of childhood uh sexual abuse
said her desire to help her younger self
fuels her advocacy work. Let's listen to
a clip. It would be irresponsible of me
to have this position and to not use it
so that others did not feel alone in
this. Because if I could go back and
tell myself anything, it would be to
tell someone. And if they don't listen,
tell someone else. And just keep telling
until people listen to you. And even if
you feel like they don't, be proud of
yourself because you at least were able
to sit in your uncomfortable truth when
other people weren't. And that's really
what fuels me doing this advocacy, being
the person that I wish was there for me
when I needed them most. This was a
great show. They actually got to talk a
lot about it. Often you get these
shorter interviews. It was really very
moving. I dare I just listen to it. I
know everyone goes, "Oh, goodness."
>> Yeah. You can hear the emotion in her
voice.
>> Such dignity. such incredible strength,
such heroic behavior in in the face of
adversity. And uh you know, it was a lot
of I've gotten a lot of feedback that's
been I really appreciate, but it was all
these women. They were astonishing. It
has nothing to do with me, but I let
them talk and you should listen to what
they have to say as she said. Anyway,
that's the show. Uh thanks for listening
to Pivot. Be sure to like and subscribe
to our YouTube channel. We'll be back
next week.
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