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The Collapse of American Politics - Ezra Klein

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The Collapse of American Politics - Ezra Klein

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0:00

Ezra Klein, so hot right now.

0:02

>> [laughter]

0:02

>> Oh, no. Did you ever expect to be

0:04

referred to as an unlikely thirst trap?

0:07

>> I did not and I try to ignore that it's

0:09

happening.

0:11

>> [laughter]

0:13

>> It also has this funny quality some of

0:15

this coverage of how now

0:17

it's like I took off my glasses and grew

0:18

a beard and it's very she's all that.

0:21

It's like oh, like maybe he's

0:23

I always look the same to me.

0:24

>> Well,

0:26

an unlikely thirst trap feels like the

0:28

most backhanded insult or [laughter]

0:30

compliment. I It's like a Rorschach test

0:32

for whether or not you feel good about

0:33

yourself. I don't know what way that's

0:35

Is that Is that supposed to be a nice

0:37

thing? Unlikely thirst trap. I don't uh

0:40

>> When you are profiled, it is not

0:42

supposed to be a nice thing.

0:44

>> Okay, so you'll take an unlikely thirst

0:46

trap.

0:46

>> that's like also an important thing to

0:47

know about just like the whole genre of

0:48

profiling. It's never supposed to be a

0:51

totally nice thing and you're not

0:53

supposed to be a totally mean thing.

0:55

It's trying to create energy.

0:57

>> That's interesting. There was a rumor in

0:59

that that you had to adjust your

1:00

lighting on your podcast set to make you

1:04

look less attractive because it was

1:05

distracting from the the real substance

1:08

of the

1:08

>> It is a not true rumor.

1:09

>> Wow.

1:10

>> And and it's going to be a even weirder

1:13

thing to discuss like here while you're

1:14

sitting there like three times is ripped

1:16

in front of me as we talk about whether

1:17

or not I'm hot.

1:19

>> [laughter]

1:19

[gasps]

1:20

>> Uh I know it's

1:22

I thought that that was an interesting

1:23

profile but yeah,

1:25

how do you feel about having a mini

1:27

celebrity moment like that?

1:29

>> You try to focus on the work.

1:31

I I and I mean that really seriously. I

1:32

think that

1:34

if you start to see yourself in the

1:35

third person,

1:37

it is very very dangerous for doing good

1:40

work. It's like the the input of good

1:42

work is independence of mind and for me

1:46

particularly, it's a lot of time spent

1:48

by myself reading books, thinking about

1:51

things.

1:52

Once the world's idea of you gets into

1:55

your head, it is poison and I think

1:58

that's true, by the way, for, you know,

2:00

people get profiled or have many, you

2:01

know, moments. I think it's also just

2:04

naturally true for everybody now who has

2:06

social media profiles and has this kind

2:07

of constant like front stage that they

2:11

keep up. I always tell people who like

2:14

come to me for advice in in journalism

2:15

or who are having some kind of

2:18

pop in the press that you really have to

2:21

be intentional.

2:23

You have to be intentional about

2:25

maintaining as much of a backstage as

2:26

you can.

2:27

>> Mhm.

2:27

>> And when I see people who aren't having

2:29

a pop, like destroying their backstage,

2:32

I worry about them. The streamers worry

2:33

me like in an almost paternalistic way.

2:36

>> Mhm.

2:37

>> I watch the amount of their lives

2:39

they're putting on on online, they're

2:40

putting in front of a camera, how little

2:43

is left for them.

2:44

And psychologically, I think it is going

2:46

to do a lot of people a lot of damage.

2:49

>> Everyone feels uncomfortable watching

2:50

that.

2:51

>> You ever read Super Sad True Love Story

2:52

by Gary Shteyngart?

2:53

>> No.

2:54

>> It's an amazing, amazing book. It is as

2:55

prophetic a book on this moment as

2:57

anybody has ever done. It was probably

2:58

done 10, 20, 10, 15 years ago.

3:01

Uh and everything in it, it's like it

3:05

it's all about a world of streamers and

3:08

sort of America coming apart and people

3:10

having

3:12

everything around them like raided in

3:13

public and everybody in it is looks

3:15

maxing. There's a whole thing about how

3:17

books smell bad, like it's sort of like

3:19

dick casa to have physical books. So, at

3:20

least we haven't done that yet. But you

3:22

you can really

3:24

have these moments right now where you

3:26

realize we have built

3:28

the dystopia.

3:30

We have done the thing the sci-fi

3:31

writers warned us against doing just in

3:33

all directions all at once.

3:37

And it's just hope it turns out well

3:39

this time.

3:40

>> How do you think about protecting the

3:42

backstage?

3:47

>> I keep a lot of time quiet.

3:50

I

3:52

don't go to very much.

3:55

Did you read uh Lena Dunham's new book?

3:58

It's great, Fame Sucks, and she talks a

4:00

bunch about the way everything creates

4:03

more of itself. Everything you do

4:04

creates more of itself. And so if you

4:06

get on different circuits, it just

4:08

it eats you. It eats the time. So for

4:11

me, it's like the way I think about my

4:12

work,

4:13

most weeks I bring out three things. I

4:16

bring out two podcast episodes and one

4:17

call.

4:19

And the week is just very much organized

4:22

around that.

4:23

And I just

4:25

more and more and more try to cut out

4:27

like everything that is not directly

4:30

feeding into one of those three pieces

4:31

of work

4:33

or is not my children, my family,

4:36

and deep friendships, or like personal

4:39

care and time, right? And that's already

4:41

a lot. Like even as I say those five-ish

4:43

things to you,

4:44

I feel tired.

4:47

>> Yeah, and the fact that

4:49

I guess

4:50

one shortcut is to just make all of the

4:52

other stuff part of the main thing.

4:55

To turn all of the private life into the

4:57

public life. Think uh

5:00

Mary Harrington talks about a digital

5:01

hijab that she wears, where she covers

5:04

up a lot of the parts of her that she

5:06

doesn't want the

5:07

>> Oh, that's a great

5:08

>> the world to see.

5:08

>> A digital That's a great coinage.

5:10

>> She wears this this thing. She

5:13

told this story. She finished her first

5:14

marathon, a half marathon, something,

5:16

some race. She's into running.

5:17

And uh she took a selfie at the end cuz

5:20

that's that's what you do, right? You're

5:21

I'm proud of this thing. And she went to

5:23

post it, and she sort of saw this

5:25

universe split, which was how much of

5:28

this is for me and how much of this is

5:30

for the internet. And yeah, I mean,

5:35

it is very easy to be distracted from

5:36

doing work.

5:37

>> I'm curious how you handle this because

5:38

you have a tougher job on this than I

5:40

do. So my work,

5:42

I can define it much more tightly. You

5:45

know, it's primarily about politics,

5:47

current affairs, geopolitics. I bring in

5:49

some things I care about like meditation

5:50

and but for the most part

5:53

it is not natural I have to choose to

5:57

let it colonize the things that are

5:59

closer to my core.

6:00

>> Mhm.

6:00

>> But yours like the topics you touch on

6:03

the show they're very personal. So

6:06

anything can become content for you.

6:09

>> Mhm.

6:10

It's been a a purposeful I think I'm

6:12

quite by disposition I'm quite a private

6:14

person. Like my personal life's always

6:16

remained very private and that's been

6:18

something that uh a bunch of friends

6:21

gave me advice on early on and I'm

6:23

really glad that I followed it. Once you

6:24

open that door, I think it's very

6:26

difficult to reverse it. People are

6:27

interested in oh who you dating now and

6:29

and and what what does this mean and oh

6:30

why is he what who's he aligning himself

6:33

with? As soon as you open that door

6:35

it continue the snowball continues to to

6:38

roll. Um mercifully for me I think

6:42

almost purposely trying to be as boring

6:44

as possible with your personal life is a

6:46

great prophylactic. Like people just get

6:49

very very but they'll move on to what is

6:51

more easily consumable and for as long

6:54

as Destiny exists

6:56

I am not going to be top of the list.

6:58

Like there was a period where Destiny's

6:59

private life was just made the most

7:01

public thing over and over and over

7:03

again and

7:04

Hasan will get in bother over and over

7:06

and over and over again or the Nick

7:08

Fuentes will come through or Huberman

7:09

will come through. You know, there's a

7:10

lot of people that are like easier

7:12

access than me who I I think my biggest

7:15

defense is purposely making my private

7:18

life very boring

7:19

and not really talking about it all that

7:21

much and people just move on and that

7:22

for me is like as I'm completely fine by

7:25

that as my strategy.

7:26

>> The other thing that I think is

7:27

important is not exposing yourself to

7:29

the algorithms all that much. Mhm. So I

7:31

don't tweet.

7:33

I we started putting clips up on

7:35

Instagram and even doing a little bit

7:38

more of that I feel the pull of it the

7:41

want of it. So I'm a big fan of all

7:43

these mid-century media theorists like

7:45

Marshall McLuhan and and Neil Postman

7:47

and Walter Ong and and all of them

7:50

basically, their main idea

7:52

is that every medium changes the user.

7:54

>> Mhm.

7:55

>> So, we think what we're doing when we,

7:58

you know, turn on the television or turn

8:00

on X or turn on Instagram or read a book

8:02

for that matter,

8:03

is we are consuming content. We are

8:06

choosing and we can make better or worse

8:08

decisions, right? We can read better or

8:09

worse people, watch better or worse

8:10

shows.

8:11

>> Mhm.

8:12

>> And their whole view is no, it is always

8:15

using and changing you. There's a great

8:17

Marshall McLuhan quote where he says, um

8:19

I'll butcher it a little bit from

8:20

memory, but he says,

8:22

"The content of a medium is the juicy

8:25

steak

8:27

thrown to distract the watchdog of the

8:29

mind."

8:30

>> Mhm.

8:31

>> And his point is that

8:33

while you're sitting there getting mad

8:35

at a tweet, what's actually happening is

8:37

it your sense

8:39

of

8:41

how ideas should feel and look, how long

8:44

they should be. While you're sitting

8:46

there looking at Instagram, your sense

8:48

of what everything should look like,

8:49

it's all changing.

8:51

And as it changes, you change with it

8:55

and you and particularly with these

8:56

algorithms that create, you know,

8:57

constant rankings and other super sad

8:58

true love story thing,

9:00

it creates a a constant feeling of

9:05

"Well, shouldn't I? Shouldn't I be

9:06

competing here, too?"

9:07

>> Mhm.

9:08

>> And what you can do and what I've seen a

9:10

lot of people do is they get into local

9:15

maximums,

9:17

but long-term minimums or degradations

9:20

where you're doing a lot to be as

9:23

competitive on, say, Twitter or X

9:26

as you can be and you don't realize it

9:28

in the long run

9:30

the like the trade you're making on that

9:31

influence is that the way you think is

9:33

degrading. And so, that the long-term

9:34

work is going to be worse. Yeah.

9:36

>> And in the long run, you know,

9:39

it's hard to maintain a It's hard to

9:40

maintain a career where you have to be

9:42

interesting Mhm. over an extended period

9:44

of time. And I think people who are

9:45

trying to do that

9:47

need to be very, very, very intentional

9:48

in the same way that like an athlete

9:50

needs to be very intentional

9:51

about, you know, avoiding injury

9:54

and burnout.

9:56

>> Getting too captured by one

9:59

one black hole, being sucked into one

10:01

particular medium. There's this great

10:02

story, I think it's uh Dostoevsky or

10:04

Nietzsche, and

10:06

the first part of their career they were

10:08

writing by hand, and the second part of

10:10

their career they started writing on

10:11

typewriter. Mhm. And they explained the

10:13

difference between the first and the

10:16

second. They said the sentences got

10:18

shorter and punchier, and their thoughts

10:20

occurred in a different way. Their

10:21

writing style changed because of the

10:23

medium. And that's them just being

10:25

facilitated by a new output medium, not

10:29

even

10:30

absorbing things in a different manner.

10:32

So, when you've got it going both ways,

10:33

this bidirectional thing, I'm going to

10:35

be influenced by what I see on this

10:36

particular platform, yeah, it's going to

10:38

be deranging.

10:38

>> So, one thing that I think about and and

10:42

I've never quite been able to come up

10:43

with a clean enough theory to start

10:45

using about, but we can work it out here

10:46

together,

10:47

is I think we need a better politics of

10:48

attention.

10:50

And one of the ideas that influenced me,

10:52

which came from an academic paper that I

10:54

don't remember the authors to cite, but

10:56

is to think about attention

10:58

as a public good or collective resource.

11:00

And attention then is subject to tragedy

11:03

of the commons problem. So, a tragedy of

11:05

commons problem is when, you know,

11:06

everybody has access to a grazing field.

11:10

And so, it then becomes very quickly a

11:13

problem where people will begin trying

11:15

to graze as much of the field they can,

11:16

and then everybody has to do more, and

11:18

soon enough you've exhausted this public

11:20

good.

11:21

And I think our attention is like that,

11:22

and we only have so much of it, and we

11:24

have it as a collective, not just

11:25

individuals.

11:27

And we are being like attention fracked.

11:30

And the more competition there is for

11:32

our attention, the more aggressive

11:33

everybody is about trying to get it. I

11:35

don't know if you get on as many

11:36

political emails and text message, you

11:37

know, things that I do.

11:39

>> Zero.

11:39

>> God bless.

11:40

>> Yep.

11:40

>> But they have gotten so

11:44

loud. They come with all these siren

11:46

emojis now, and it's always like it's

11:48

Chuck Schumer and Ezra, and I'm on I'm

11:49

on my knees begging, right? Everything

11:51

is like the end of the world, everything

11:53

is an emergency.

11:55

You know, a lot of these places are like

11:57

I always joke that um X is like

11:59

gain-of-function research for takes.

12:01

It's just everybody competing to take

12:03

like a normal take

12:06

until you can turn it into something

12:08

that has viral contagion. And then

12:10

occasionally they do it too well, and it

12:12

escapes contagion and destroys our

12:13

lives.

12:14

>> [laughter]

12:14

>> Right? Like that's how X works.

12:16

And

12:18

but collectively the effect

12:20

is our collective attention is

12:22

irritable, is short, it's changing. The

12:25

people we want are changing.

12:27

Uh to to again just stay on the the

12:29

medium thing for a minute. There's a

12:30

great uh

12:32

it's not a controversy, it's it's a Neil

12:33

Postman argument that he makes in

12:34

Amusing Ourselves to Death, which is

12:36

always one of my books I recommend to

12:38

people.

12:39

And he says that uh people often say to

12:41

him that how can you say television, cuz

12:43

this guy's writing, you know, around

12:44

television,

12:45

is dreck. Like look at Sesame Street.

12:48

And he says, I don't worry about the

12:49

dreck on television. I worry about

12:51

Sesame Street.

12:53

Because what Sesame Street is doing is

12:55

teaching kids that education should

12:57

actually be entertainment. He said, the

12:59

trash on television is no problem.

13:00

Everybody knows it's trash. It's where

13:02

you're subtly changing

13:03

>> masquerading as something else.

13:04

>> It it's where you're changing your

13:05

expectations for everything else should

13:07

be. So I mean, right now we're moving

13:08

into a period in politics where I think

13:10

in order to be a successful politician,

13:12

you have to be attentionally capable.

13:13

You have to be able to earn attention in

13:15

a way you didn't have to before. Zora

13:16

Neale Hurston, Spencer Pratt, Graham

13:18

Platner, Donald Trump, right? You can do

13:20

it from different James Talerico. You

13:22

can do it in better or worse ways. What

13:24

you can't be

13:25

in a competitive race any longer

13:27

is a somewhat boring talker

13:31

who's just really good at the

13:32

>> Deliver on the policy. I understand the

13:34

fundamental economics of this. I'm great

13:36

with my constituents.

13:38

>> You need more aura.

13:39

>> How are things going for Keir Starmer?

13:40

>> [laughter]

13:41

>> I mean, yeah, a a man that is the

13:42

equivalent of a ham sandwich. Uh did you

13:45

see this tweet? It's at the very bottom.

13:47

Did you see that tweet earlier on today?

13:49

Very, very bottom. It's hiding down

13:50

there.

13:51

>> I did, yes. I saw both of those.

13:52

>> Yeah. So, I had to double-check that

13:55

@thedemocrats is the Democrats official

13:58

proper

13:59

>> Democratic National Committee, yeah.

14:00

>> Correct. Yeah. And I'm like,

14:02

is this a parody account? It's got to

14:04

be. So,

14:05

the Democrats tweet fired up, ready to

14:08

go. It's time to take back Texas.

14:09

Stephen Miller replies and says, "The

14:10

Democrats made history in Texas by

14:12

nominating their first transgender

14:13

Senate candidate."

14:15

And @thedemocrats reply, "Shut up, you

14:18

ugly fuck."

14:19

And that reached at least 50 million

14:22

people. It's like 300,000 likes. Right.

14:25

I I get it. The he did it first thing of

14:29

pointing from one side to the other, but

14:31

is

14:33

Maybe this is just my sort of British

14:36

properness coming through.

14:38

The

14:38

the thought that a

14:41

the online

14:43

representative account for one of the

14:45

parties saying, "Shut up, you ugly

14:47

fuck." Is Is that not absurd? Like, that

14:49

feels kind of deranged to me.

14:52

>> deranged. But But this is a little bit

14:53

what I mean about the whole medium,

14:54

right? Because one thing that does One

14:56

thing that every movement like this

14:57

does, and I take Donald Trump honestly

14:59

as a bit of a first mover here, is it is

15:01

shifting people's sense of what

15:02

political communication should sound

15:04

like.

15:04

>> Agreed.

15:05

>> So, I mean, that is the outcome, I would

15:08

say, of a long process of learning

15:10

that

15:11

if you tweet like a normal, sober

15:17

stalwart institution, boring.

15:20

>> Boring.

15:20

>> Barack Obama is I I'm a big Barack Obama

15:22

fan.

15:23

>> Mhm.

15:23

>> That guy's Twitter account, not great.

15:25

>> Not sexy enough.

15:26

>> Not sexy enough.

15:27

>> No.

15:27

>> And and so this is the way everything

15:28

changes. Like it actually it it changes

15:30

the expectations, it changes the people,

15:32

and it changes what can succeed.

15:33

>> Mhm.

15:33

>> And so, you know, sometimes maybe they I

15:36

mean I guess you can ask the Democrat

15:37

out the Democrats if they went too far

15:38

or not. Maybe they Maybe to them it's a

15:39

huge success, but the This is what I

15:42

mean when you have to think about these

15:43

mediums, you have to think about the

15:45

attention, you have to think about the

15:46

norms, you have to think about the

15:47

discourse as a kind of public good. What

15:50

that is doing Like that right there is a

15:52

tragedy of the commons problem. It's

15:53

very hard for Act the Democrats to be

15:55

noticed. There's a huge cacophony of

15:57

voices. The voices that get noticed are

15:59

extreme. So here's the thing.

16:01

You notice them. We are here talking

16:04

about Act the Democrats were joined or

16:06

to Stephen Miller.

16:07

>> I can't remember the last time that I

16:08

talked about Act the Democrats.

16:09

>> So they probably just succeeded.

16:12

>> way to put it.

16:12

>> But it's a tragedy of the commons. Like

16:15

Stephen Miller, by the way, a deputy um

16:17

chief of staff to the president is

16:19

tweeting about James Tallarico who

16:20

Whatever else you want to say about

16:21

Tallarico, an incredibly decent person,

16:24

an incredibly decent man in politics,

16:26

who tries very hard to treat people on

16:28

both sides with respect. Stephen Miller,

16:30

deputy chief of staff, his reaction to

16:33

Ken Paxton, by the way. It wasn't even

16:35

like Tallarico won the primary last

16:36

night. It was or a couple nights ago, it

16:38

was Paxton

16:39

was first transgender candidate. So

16:43

again the

16:44

You know, I don't want to sit here and

16:45

just like tut-tut and and chin stroke,

16:48

but it is a degradation

16:50

of the entire system.

16:51

>> Sounds so uncool. I can even feel my own

16:54

sort of cringometer of being out of

16:56

touch occurring as we're talking about

16:58

it.

16:58

>> Yeah.

16:58

>> Like what do you mean you

17:00

both within a couple of years of each

17:02

other. Are you really going to be the

17:03

fuddy-duddies finger wagging at people

17:05

these kids on the internet having fun or

17:07

whatever? I'm like

17:09

I don't know, man. It feels like

17:10

extracting from a system that it

17:11

shouldn't be. It feels like there's

17:13

something that's going wrong with

17:14

regards to that. I guess one of the

17:16

other one of the biggest talking points

17:17

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18:17

and using the code modernwisdom

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at checkout. Do you think if the left

18:22

had had its own version of Joe Rogan

18:25

that the last election would have really

18:27

changed?

18:29

>> The election was close enough in the

18:32

battleground states

18:34

that

18:35

I think you end up in a situation where

18:38

you can change any variable and imagine

18:41

moving I don't remember the exact

18:42

number, but something like you would

18:43

have needed I think 150,000

18:45

>> votes to switch. I mean, those votes

18:46

would have had to have been correctly uh

18:48

like apportioned.

18:49

>> Yeah. But, it was in you know, just a

18:50

handful of states.

18:53

So, maybe not just Joe Rogan. Like, I

18:55

would say that the way to think about

18:56

this is not a liberal or illiberal Joe

18:58

Rogan. It's candidates who are

19:00

comfortable in the kinds of spaces that

19:02

we mean when we talk about Rogan. Like,

19:04

the point is not getting like one guy

19:07

who is more on your side. The point is,

19:09

you know, Harris and Walls having been

19:11

everywhere and having been capable of

19:13

talking more effectively to different

19:15

kind of of of of person. But But but let

19:18

me

19:19

pull back on something you said a second

19:20

ago.

19:21

Uh

19:22

I've been thinking a lot about virtue in

19:24

politics.

19:25

And virtue

19:28

I was going to say it's not a word we

19:28

use that much, but I actually think

19:30

particularly in your corners of the blog

19:31

of the blogosphere. We were talking

19:33

about blogs before we started. Of the

19:36

podcastosphere.

19:36

>> RIP.

19:37

>> It is something we talk about.

19:39

And I was just doing a show that'll come

19:42

out shortly about a bunch of the kind of

19:46

more masculinist philosophies on the

19:47

right, people like Bronze Age Pervert

19:49

and Rad Nationalist and

19:51

And one of the things I was thinking

19:52

about is how much those visions of

19:54

masculinity

19:55

have a primitivism to them, right? It's

19:59

this desire to rediscover

20:02

a stereotypically testosterone-soaked,

20:04

much more competitive,

20:05

dominance-oriented, aggressive, right?

20:07

There's a view that modern man has been

20:11

warped into and constrained into this

20:15

soft, cooperative, like against their

20:17

own instincts. Okay.

20:19

The thing that I was noticing how when I

20:21

actually read what these guys were

20:23

writing,

20:24

the thing that I was noticing was so

20:25

absent was

20:28

the idea of self-mastery and

20:29

self-discipline

20:31

as a fundamental dimension not just of

20:34

like manhood or masculinity, but just of

20:36

humanity. In fact, a lot of these places

20:38

seem to take self-discipline and

20:41

self-mastery with the exception maybe of

20:43

like a homosocial weightlifting

20:45

component [laughter] as a negative,

20:47

right? It was evidence of the way

20:50

modernity had warped us into this

20:54

attenuated shape

20:56

that works for, you know,

20:58

modern feminized liberal democracy,

20:59

right? That's the argument.

21:02

And so you see, I think this is

21:03

particularly true on Trump and you see

21:04

it with Stephen Miller.

21:06

This

21:07

gleeful rejection

21:10

of norms of behavior that once sort of

21:13

reflected, I think, a kind of

21:16

self-disciplined. Right? Politicians

21:18

don't talk the way Donald Trump talks,

21:19

right? They are disciplined. They know

21:21

not to just unleash on the people they

21:23

don't like in a way that is destructive,

21:24

most of them.

21:26

And it was this wiping away of that as a

21:28

kind of show

21:31

of

21:33

that you would not be held back

21:35

by the system as it existed.

21:37

And And so there's a message in what

21:40

Miller is saying, and then if Now you

21:41

see like the Democrats trying to to ape

21:43

it. But what I do think is going to it's

21:45

going to create I think what it's

21:46

already creating

21:48

is going to be a swing back

21:50

to a desire to see political virtue.

21:53

To see social virtue demonstrated in in

21:55

leaders. Everything creates its opposite

21:57

in politics, always.

21:58

>> Mhm.

21:59

>> And so

21:59

>> This sort of statesman-like, bit more

22:01

decorum.

22:02

>> Yeah, it'll have to be a version that

22:03

works for today.

22:04

>> It'll still need to be sexy, got to have

22:05

aura.

22:06

>> You're going to need to have aura. You

22:07

need to have aura.

22:08

>> Correct.

22:08

>> But the O'Rourke, I mean, the reason

22:09

O'Rourke is dangerous to them, and I'm

22:11

not saying he's going to win, Texas is a

22:12

hard state for a Democrat to win in,

22:14

but the reason O'Rourke popped in the

22:16

first place, the reason that he ended up

22:17

on Joe Rogan in the first place, is he

22:19

is able to talk through a kind of

22:21

progressive Christianity in a language

22:23

of morality and virtue that people found

22:25

exciting.

22:25

>> Mhm.

22:26

>> And that you didn't really hear from

22:27

Democrats anymore. And I think he was

22:28

one of the first moments, and he's

22:30

raised more, I think, than any Senate

22:32

candidate in the country based on this.

22:34

>> Mhm.

22:34

>> And I think he's one of the first

22:35

moments where you really see where the

22:36

pendulum is going to swing back to

22:38

because I think people are looking

22:40

around, and they're seeing what it looks

22:42

like when we unleash ourselves uh in a

22:45

way that conforms to algorithmic media.

22:48

And I'm not saying everybody dislikes

22:50

it. Some people feel real excited by it.

22:52

But I think most people dislike it. Even

22:54

people I know who are Trump supporters,

22:55

they don't like the way this all feels.

22:57

>> You like it in the way that you like

22:59

having a McDonald's, that at the time

23:01

it's kind of enticing, but afterward you

23:03

feel a bit shitty. And if you have too

23:05

many of them in a row, you actually

23:06

start to reject the system a little bit.

23:09

It's interesting. I was having this

23:10

conversation with Arthur Brooks

23:11

yesterday, and he was saying, "The

23:12

moment that you break any kind of

23:14

addictive cycle, the first thing that

23:16

you have to do, at least following

23:17

evidence for a broad range of aggregated

23:20

addictions, is you have to get mad.

23:22

You have to be angry at the thing. Like,

23:24

I'm sick of being at the mercy of this

23:26

thing. I'm sick of being at the mercy of

23:27

porn. I'm sick of being at the mercy of

23:29

drugs. I'm sick of being at the mercy of

23:30

alcohol. Sick of scrolling on my phone.

23:33

Getting mad is a really effective first

23:35

step. And I wonder at what point like

23:38

people just get bored. Like cuz this is

23:40

evolutionary arms race of like

23:43

bullshittery that keeps on happening

23:45

online. Like, now, if the Democrats

23:48

tweet, "Shut up, you ugly fuck," again,

23:50

it gets a tenth as much attention cuz

23:52

we've already seen it.

23:53

>> Yeah.

23:54

>> So, unless you're going to continue to

23:55

play that game, okay, well, what's new?

23:57

Well, what's new is the equivalent of a

24:00

a a sundress and a cake. Right? You know

24:02

what I mean? Like, it's something that

24:04

feels a little bit more kind of

24:05

vestigial.

24:06

>> I I feel like there's been a move, and

24:08

again, you don't see any of that tweet

24:10

set where we're we're using as our text

24:12

here.

24:13

A rich text, if spare.

24:16

I already think there's a move towards

24:18

something sunnier.

24:19

I mean, if you had to use one word to

24:21

describe the aesthetic of Momodou

24:22

Ndiaye, it's sunny.

24:24

You can say a lot of other things about

24:25

him, right? And people disagree with

24:27

him, and you know, you everybody can

24:28

have their arguments about what he

24:29

believes.

24:30

You never saw that guy without a smile.

24:34

He didn't I mean, if you ever just

24:35

looked at the Momodou Ndiaye smile, it's

24:36

like Trump had the scowl, even in his

24:39

second presidential portrait. This is

24:40

not me ragging on him. He has a portrait

24:43

in which he's scowling. It's a very

24:45

unusual portrait. It's kind of like

24:47

looking down.

24:48

And Momodou Ndiaye the smile, and I'm

24:50

going to read out of his great piece in

24:52

his Substack The Ink about like the

24:54

rhetoric Momodou Ndiaye smile as

24:56

rhetoric.

24:57

And Talarico Mom Daddy you start to see

25:02

something new working.

25:04

And of course it will only work for so

25:05

long and we'll see where it goes. It's

25:06

not the only thing working. But that

25:08

Stephen Miller the Democrats exchange

25:12

it sucks, right? Like who who wants to

25:14

feel that way?

25:15

>> No one.

25:16

>> And so that's a it's a way in not a way

25:18

out.

25:19

And I do think the winning move in

25:21

politics in the next couple years is

25:22

going to be

25:24

the way out not the way in.

25:25

>> At best it's a sort of gleeful dancing

25:28

over somebody else and they've done

25:31

in the same way as

25:32

two bullies fighting against each other

25:34

kind of take a degree of satisfaction

25:36

from having a pop. It's not Yeah, it's

25:39

it's it's not sunny. It's it's

25:41

performing sunniness, right? I care less

25:44

about what you think of me. Oh no,

25:46

actually we care even less about what

25:48

you think of us than you think that we

25:49

do.

25:50

Yeah, this arms race sucks. I guess

25:53

I'm kind of interested do you think that

25:55

you

25:57

are at the center of a Democrats civil

25:59

war at the moment?

26:01

>> At the center of a civil war? I don't

26:03

know. Do you think I am?

26:04

>> Seems that way on the internet if you

26:05

read the right pieces. There's certainly

26:07

a an orbiting and I wonder whether it's

26:10

because so few people are able to talk

26:12

on many different sides. That might be

26:15

it.

26:16

>> I think the Democratic Party is having a

26:17

big debate

26:19

over what it should be.

26:21

And I think that the book that Derek

26:24

Thompson I wrote released us here

26:25

abundance

26:26

which it was one of these things. I mean

26:29

I've released a book before.

26:31

It

26:32

things catch fire for their own reasons.

26:35

And abundance became in a way that is

26:38

unremarkable

26:39

one of the text that became

26:43

the thing people used to have an

26:46

argument they wanted to have.

26:48

Which was

26:51

uh Uh, which is not necessarily the

26:53

argument we're actually having in the

26:53

book, but abundance sort of became at

26:55

the center of this war between what I'd

26:57

call the populist wing of the Democratic

26:59

Party and the liberal wing of the

26:59

Democratic Party.

27:01

And what was funny about that fight to

27:03

me, so abundance the book we did, was

27:04

about the way in which liberalism,

27:08

Democrats [clears throat] of various

27:09

stripes, left center,

27:11

have made it very hard to build where

27:13

they govern. And so in places that tend

27:15

to be blue, like New York or um uh

27:18

California, it's been hard to build

27:19

homes, hard to build clean energy.

27:21

Texas, where you live, they build just

27:23

more homes and more clean energy uh than

27:26

blue states do. Not because they're

27:27

necessarily more pro affordable housing,

27:29

and definitely not because they're more

27:31

politically pro clean energy or worried

27:32

about climate change. They just have

27:34

created a structure in which it is

27:36

easier to build things. I've talked to

27:38

um climate tech entrepreneurs, not just

27:40

doing sort of normal green energy, but

27:41

doing things that are much more on the

27:42

cost, much bigger projects.

27:44

And their politics are Californian, and

27:47

they're just like, I can get things done

27:49

in Texas and Arizona, and I can't get it

27:51

done here, right? And what what was

27:53

interesting about the fight that book

27:54

kicked off then, is the book was very

27:56

much embraced by the people it was

27:58

actually criticizing. So Gavin Newsom

28:00

embraced that book, right? He talks all

28:02

the time now about we need to be,

28:04

Democrats need to be a party of

28:05

abundance. Uh he uses another term that

28:07

that I I I have called a liberalism that

28:08

builds.

28:10

And

28:11

so did a lot of people from outside of

28:12

the party. Obama's talked about the

28:13

book, right? The the the part of the

28:15

party that was actually in power that we

28:17

were criticizing kind of grabbed onto

28:19

it. And the part of the party that is

28:20

insurgent

28:22

sort of reacted against that. It's like,

28:24

well,

28:25

abundance kind of became for them the

28:26

face of like the Obamaism, you know, the

28:29

sort of the Obama side of the party

28:31

keeping power.

28:32

And and they want sort of a more

28:33

populist party.

28:35

Here's the thing, I just think most of

28:36

this fight is fake. Because, you know,

28:39

Zohran Mamdani just this week released a

28:41

big housing plan.

28:42

And it's a housing plan all about making

28:44

it easier to build, and all about

28:46

cutting through bureaucracy and red tape

28:49

and making it faster and cheaper and in

28:52

Los Angeles Nithya Raman Democratic

28:54

Socialist running against

28:56

Karen Bass who's the Democratic mayor

28:59

you know is also running like you you

29:00

know taping things in you know overgrown

29:02

fields that the LA city is like suing to

29:05

stop from becoming affordable housing

29:07

you know the new Democrats the

29:08

congressional caucus released a thing

29:11

about how to build more clean energy and

29:12

create clean energy abundance.

29:14

So one of the hard things for me and

29:16

like judging this debate is that there's

29:17

an online discourse that because of the

29:19

nature of online discourse becomes very

29:21

very factional

29:23

and it becomes very angry

29:25

and people who are

29:30

people sort of create a fight in it that

29:33

they're used to

29:34

but to me like the whole thing abundance

29:36

is doing is cross-cutting divisions that

29:38

exist not just inside the Democratic

29:40

not just inside the Democratic Party but

29:42

also between Democrats and Republicans

29:44

to sort of create new syntheses on

29:47

things and so I just don't see the

29:49

fights that people are scoring on

29:52

Twitter there as being even the fights

29:54

and the difficulties that our ideas

29:56

really face because in practice it's

29:59

much more about how hard these things

30:00

are to get done

30:01

and I also think that there's like a

30:02

whole technology side of abundance that

30:04

has proven a much much harder climb

30:06

because of AI than it was when we were

30:09

writing that book. So I I'm always like

30:12

a happy to be a character in various

30:14

people's discourse fights but I I tend

30:18

to think that the particular one that

30:20

has been you know present here

30:22

has at this point been pretty belied by

30:26

the reality of who's embracing these

30:27

ideas.

30:28

>> Well you're one of the few liberals that

30:29

sort of openly

30:31

critiquing liberal governance failures.

30:35

Do you ever feel like you need to walk

30:36

on eggshells a little because there is a

30:39

degree of purity spiraling and othering

30:41

on the left the right seems to be

30:43

prepared to welcome anybody with

30:45

whatever history they've got with open

30:46

arms.

30:46

>> Well, unless you say unless you say Joe

30:49

Biden won the 2020 election, and then

30:50

Donald Trump will primary your

30:52

like whole career into oblivion.

30:54

>> That is kind of he who shall not be

30:56

named for for [laughter] joining the

30:58

right. That's the Voldemort of the

30:59

right. That's correct.

30:59

>> So but I I want to say something

31:01

interesting about this cuz this I think

31:02

reflects a difference in the two parties

31:04

right now.

31:04

>> Mhm.

31:05

>> What Donald Trump did very effectively

31:07

is he collapsed purity on the Republican

31:09

Party down to a single dimensional

31:11

point, which is loyalty to him.

31:14

So he's willing to accept a tremendous

31:17

amount of views,

31:19

so long as you are loyal to and say nice

31:21

things about him personally.

31:22

>> There's a single ordinating principle.

31:24

>> Exactly. The left, which does not have

31:27

a leader in that respect.

31:29

>> plurality of ways that you can get in

31:31

trouble.

31:32

>> Exactly.

31:32

>> Whereas this is just a unity of ways

31:34

that you can get in trouble on the

31:35

right. That's so interesting.

31:36

>> the right has it's a little bit of like

31:38

the fox and hedgehog thing. [laughter]

31:40

So the right has this one big

31:42

>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

31:43

>> thing you have to accept. This one I I

31:45

not just lie, right? I had the 2020

31:46

election stuff is a lie. But the the

31:48

problem they're about to have, the

31:49

problem they're having right now, is

31:51

that

31:53

what it means to be loyal to Trump

31:56

is a more complicated thing than it was

31:57

in the 2024 election because he's doing

32:00

things, right? Like the war in Iran. And

32:02

so what it means to be loyal to him is

32:03

not just you're pro-Trump, but you can

32:06

believe whatever on vaccines, you can

32:08

believe whatever on Now you actually

32:10

have to as a member of the Republican

32:11

Party, you know, sign on to you can't

32:16

You you see this happening. And so

32:17

you've had like very MAGA people like

32:19

Marjorie Taylor Greene and Thomas

32:20

Massie,

32:21

you know, who 100% were on board with

32:24

all kinds of election [ __ ] from

32:25

Trump, but they got pushed out over

32:27

other things now because they weren't

32:28

loyal on

32:30

>> The single ordinating principle has

32:31

fractured into

32:33

>> Party the or the maybe I'll call it like

32:34

the broad left.

32:36

It It's not like it was 4 years ago.

32:39

But it it what it has is an agenda and a

32:43

set of um

32:44

different factions

32:46

have a like a platform and an

32:48

orientation and a set of ideas you have

32:50

to be loyal to, right? Do you believe in

32:51

Medicare for all? Like how do you feel

32:52

about billionaires? Or Yeah, how do you

32:54

feel about wokeness if you're sort of

32:56

more in the set, right?

32:57

They're They're trying to create a

32:59

programmatic um test.

33:02

And

33:04

you know,

33:05

that has a problem in that it like it it

33:07

keeps more cohesive and coherent

33:09

coalition if you're able to do it, but

33:11

it makes it much harder to welcome

33:12

people into it.

33:13

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34:16

What if we step outside of the more

34:18

political dimension of this and we talk

34:20

about the cultural left, the people that

34:22

contribute to the discourse online?

34:25

Because at least with that,

34:27

people can be dissenting of Trump, but

34:31

broadly still be seen as part of the

34:33

right. I'm not convinced that the same

34:36

level of

34:37

the same amount of ballast is in the

34:39

system for people that are on the left.

34:40

Now, maybe this is declining. I think

34:42

that you're right. It was significantly

34:43

more pure five or six years ago. Um

34:46

but I'm just interested

34:49

as somebody who seems to be departing or

34:51

at least criticizing in a manner that I

34:54

wouldn't have heard five years ago,

34:57

whether that ever plays into the back of

34:58

your mind where I'm [ __ ]

35:00

I mean, I'm going to press post on this

35:01

thing, but I know the subsequent nuclear

35:04

fallout that's going to occur once I do.

35:06

>> I like to think that I have tried to

35:10

hold this approach to my um politics and

35:13

work for a long time. I mean, the thing

35:14

that led to the moment I've had over the

35:16

past couple of years was um a sort of

35:18

early and and pretty aggressive argument

35:21

that Biden should step down. And that

35:24

was not a popular thing in the

35:25

Democratic Party when I made it, and it

35:26

caused problems. So,

35:28

I I have a view that

35:30

um and by the way, Abundance, which

35:32

releases last year, I mean, the columns

35:34

and essays that led to that started in

35:35

2021. So, I was writing all this at a at

35:37

a different time.

35:39

I think you have to be

35:41

self-critical

35:42

as a party in politics both for two

35:45

reasons. One is you're probably making

35:47

mistakes and and two is that if you

35:49

believe in getting things done and

35:50

you're failing, you have to try to

35:51

figure out why, whether that getting

35:53

done is winning elections or that

35:54

getting done is building homes, whatever

35:56

it might be.

35:57

>> [snorts]

35:58

>> Um

35:59

I want to But But to take the broader

36:01

thing you're saying cuz I I don't want

36:02

to

36:04

present that as too idiosyncratic.

36:07

I think one, this has all gotten an

36:09

easier

36:10

um

36:11

in part because I think like the the

36:12

weird moment in the platforms has

36:13

fractured. So, here's another theory I

36:15

have.

36:16

Whoever dominates Twitter

36:19

pays for it three to four years later.

36:22

And in 2020

36:24

progressives dominated Twitter.

36:26

>> Mhm.

36:27

>> And they convinced themselves of a lot

36:28

of kind of wild ideas.

36:30

>> Mhm.

36:30

>> And those ideas came and bit them in the

36:32

ass in 2024.

36:34

>> Okay.

36:35

>> And Kamala Harris got like really hung

36:37

out

36:38

on different um

36:41

ads that got run against her with things

36:43

she had said years before.

36:45

Even right now, James Talarico,

36:47

the attacks that Ken Paxton and

36:49

Republicans are using against him have

36:50

to do with things he said like three or

36:52

four years ago, right? Like God is

36:53

non-binary, that kind of thing.

36:55

So, the thing is then Donald then Elon

36:57

Musk bought Twitter.

36:59

Made it X.

37:00

Sort of drove a lot of the left off of

37:02

it.

37:03

Opened up the floodgates to the right on

37:05

it.

37:06

And now the right has ended up in a

37:08

somewhat similar place where they have

37:10

gotten like

37:12

attached to Nick Fuentes

37:14

and like the more conspiratorial

37:16

incarnation of Tucker Carlson

37:18

and the the sort of like Twitter anon

37:20

world and people are talking themselves

37:23

into much more wild and conspiratorial

37:25

things and this is going to hurt them is

37:27

my prediction in you know, two or three

37:30

years when like the bill on all this

37:31

comes due, which is all to say that I

37:33

think you cannot separate the dynamics

37:36

we are talking about

37:38

from algorithmic social media.

37:40

>> Mhm.

37:40

>> I think that is fundamentally what is

37:42

shaping these fast rise and fast falls

37:45

in coalitional purity

37:48

>> Yep.

37:48

>> in um

37:50

kind of extreme ideas taking hold and in

37:53

a sense where you get so

37:56

consumed

37:58

in talking to your own side that you

38:00

lose a sense of where other people

38:02

really are.

38:03

And I mean that's most dangerous thing

38:05

in all of this. It's not having some of

38:07

these ideas. I mean, I agree by the way

38:09

with like many of the ideas people like

38:11

now to write as wokeness.

38:13

The problem is when you don't realize

38:16

you have not done the political work

38:19

to make those ideas legible to others

38:23

or to sort of win enough support that

38:25

you can push other ideas out of the

38:27

marketplace. You you stop instead of

38:29

doing politics, you're doing posting.

38:31

And politics is a constant balancing of

38:33

disagreement.

38:35

Politics is an act of endless pluralism

38:38

in a liberal democracy.

38:40

And posting is not. Posting is for your

38:43

side to and get in a lot of energy to

38:45

hate on the other side.

38:46

>> Mhm.

38:47

>> And posting tends to habituate people to

38:51

a very very very bad and very um

38:55

weak form of politics.

38:57

>> So, you're saying that people sort of

38:58

believe their own hype for a while. That

39:00

becomes its own kind of derangement. And

39:02

then at some point in future

39:04

>> No, I'm I'm saying that in the way we

39:05

were talking about the algorithms

39:06

earlier, people get into these

39:08

one-up

39:10

>> Mhm.

39:11

>> dynamics to sort of prove their purity.

39:13

So, Mondaire, right? In here in New

39:15

York. When he ran for mayor,

39:18

he just had to straight-up disown a

39:20

bunch of things he had said on Twitter a

39:21

couple years ago, right? Like that the

39:23

NYPD is anti-queer and it and

39:27

a lot of politicos on the on the left

39:29

are just having to be in a Yeah, 2020

39:31

was a crazy time. Yeah, like it like I

39:33

said some [ __ ]

39:34

>> Mhm.

39:35

>> And

39:36

that came from being in a online milieu

39:40

where people are getting pushed to like

39:43

see and say stuff that was ever more out

39:45

of

39:46

the mainstream as a way of proving that

39:48

they got it.

39:48

>> You're optimizing for the platform.

39:50

>> And and your corner of it.

39:52

>> Correct. Yes, you're optimizing for this

39:53

very specific echo chamber. You've got

39:55

this

39:56

arms race of attention and also you're

40:00

trying to do something which garners as

40:02

much as many eyeballs as possible.

40:05

Eventually somebody when that dust

40:07

settles a little bit gets to look at it

40:09

with a

40:10

clearer set of eyes and go

40:13

What's this?

40:14

What's this thing that you said not that

40:15

long ago? And sometimes it appears in an

40:17

ad.

40:18

>> Or you're now running statewide in Texas

40:21

or citywide in New York.

40:23

And all of a sudden, it just it wasn't

40:24

for them.

40:26

You were You were saying something

40:28

to the person you had seen 2 seconds ago

40:30

>> Yeah.

40:31

>> on social media, and now it's being

40:33

blasted out in an ad running all across

40:36

El Paso.

40:37

>> Yeah.

40:37

>> And it wasn't for the median voter in El

40:39

Paso.

40:40

>> The internet is forever. Do you

40:42

Do you consider yourself, given the this

40:46

interesting position and especially with

40:48

with the book, where it's put you in

40:50

terms of criticizing liberal governance,

40:53

do you see yourself as further left or

40:55

further right than previously, or are

40:56

you just in exactly the same spot?

40:58

>> I don't think my politics are that

41:01

different. I mean, I see myself as a

41:03

liberal. And I've been a liberal for a

41:04

long time, and like the American

41:05

tradition, it means different things in

41:07

Europe and other places.

41:08

And I have

41:12

fairly recognizable liberal goals. I

41:14

want universal health care. I want um

41:17

more like economic egalitarianism. I

41:19

want people to have just the ability to

41:22

live a flourishing life.

41:24

But in the way that I think it's

41:26

traditionally been a big part of

41:27

liberalism, and think about Obama, for

41:28

instance, I believe very strongly that

41:33

the work of making a fractious

41:38

complex multi-ethnic democracy function

41:42

is honorable important work. And that

41:44

requires not just policies

41:48

but certain political virtues and

41:50

approaches to politics

41:51

>> Mhm.

41:52

>> that

41:53

keep

41:54

conflict from spinning out of being

41:57

constructive

42:00

and allow it to spin into spaces that

42:01

are really destructive.

42:03

>> If you were to design

42:04

an incentive to do the opposite of that,

42:06

it would be social media.

42:07

>> Yes.

42:08

And so

42:10

I

42:12

Yeah, I I think I'm

42:13

>> [laughter]

42:14

>> In some ways I'm probably further left

42:16

than my temperament makes people think

42:18

in terms of what I believe about things.

42:21

Uh, but I also think that policy is not

42:24

really the way people code other

42:27

people's ideology.

42:29

Um,

42:31

you know, what makes you more far left,

42:33

right? Is it believing

42:34

in the maximum level of universal health

42:36

care you can get to

42:38

or is it your view on climate change? Or

42:41

is it your view on what level political

42:42

compromise is okay? A lot of the places

42:43

where people get really angry at me is I

42:45

am much more open to political

42:47

compromise and I'm very open to

42:49

uh

42:50

Democrats running very different

42:52

candidates in very different places,

42:53

including candidates who are much more

42:54

conservative than me because I believe

42:57

disagreement is very real.

42:59

And one mistake I think a lot of people

43:00

make when looking at politics

43:02

is

43:04

they don't really credit how different

43:06

people are from them.

43:08

And so if you're in a political bubble

43:09

in New York City or Austin or Los

43:12

Angeles

43:14

what it takes for a Democrat like Joe

43:16

Manchin to win statewide in West

43:17

Virginia, I don't think it's

43:19

conceivable. Do you Like you don't know

43:22

anybody like Like you don't know what it

43:23

means to win working class voters in

43:25

West Virginia. He does.

43:27

He was like the Democratic MVP, right? I

43:28

don't have Joe Manchin's politics. I

43:30

find Joe Manchin incredibly

43:32

uh irksome. And I also understand that

43:34

his job is not my job.

43:37

And so one of the the the things I'm

43:40

One of the things I worry about because

43:41

I worry about where

43:44

this country's politics are going and I

43:45

am like very deeply opposed to Donald

43:47

Trump and MAGA and like the way the

43:49

politics are work

43:50

is I think it's really important

43:52

Democrats win Iowa.

43:54

I think it's really important they are

43:55

competitive in places like Nebraska,

43:57

which they used to be.

43:58

Um, you know, in 2010 Democrats held, I

44:01

believe, both seats in West Virginia,

44:03

right? In the Senate. Like that's

44:05

unimaginable now.

44:06

And so the the question of what

44:09

what kind of big tent would allow that

44:12

where you can have a Zephyr Teachout

44:13

here, but you know, Rob Sand who's this

44:15

more moderate Democrat running statewide

44:17

for governor in Iowa who's great, he's

44:19

running on getting rid of the two-party

44:20

system.

44:22

Right? He's not running

44:23

as a like a Democrat to appeal to

44:26

liberals in Brooklyn or leftists in

44:27

Brooklyn for that matter.

44:29

He starts every town hall

44:31

with he like has Republicans stand up,

44:34

he says, "I want everybody to clap for

44:35

the Republicans in this room." The

44:37

Democrats to stand up, everybody clap

44:38

for them, the independents, and then he

44:39

has them all do the pledge of allegiance

44:41

or sing the Star Spangled Banner

44:42

together.

44:44

And is that my politics exactly? Like is

44:46

that how I would run a rally? Probably

44:47

not. Would I win statewide in Iowa? I

44:49

sure would like it wouldn't man.

44:50

>> [laughter]

44:52

>> But Rob Sand might win statewide in

44:55

Iowa. And Rob Sand is a hero for that.

44:57

Uh and so, you got to believe in things,

45:00

but also I do think the question I mean

45:04

I think in the Trump era I take more

45:05

seriously than I used to

45:07

that

45:11

building

45:12

the

45:15

stability of our politics was an

45:16

incredible achievement.

45:18

And many countries don't have that.

45:20

And in many countries they had it and it

45:22

was lost.

45:23

And believing that in America

45:26

we cannot break this thing

45:28

is a mistake.

45:29

And if you do believe we can break this

45:30

thing, then you actually have to think

45:32

about what kinds of politics

45:35

bring it back. And that's why I'm not

45:37

excited even if it works attentionally

45:39

about seeing a doom loop of

45:42

vice and venality because even if you

45:45

can win that way,

45:47

you are breaking the thing by doing it.

45:49

And so, the question of how do you win

45:51

virtuously

45:52

is very important to me because I think

45:54

like it for all the other things I want

45:56

to have,

45:57

you actually need a working peaceful

45:59

politics to get there.

46:01

>> Yeah.

46:02

Who's your ideal Democratic Party

46:03

candidate?

46:04

>> For 2028?

46:05

>> Yeah.

46:06

>> They They don't exist.

46:08

I mean, I don't think there's a perfect

46:10

Democrat for 2028. And to the extent if

46:12

there is, we don't know them yet because

46:14

they've not been under those lights yet.

46:16

Uh

46:17

I think

46:19

I am a sort of unreconstructed

46:21

admirer of Barack Obama.

46:23

And if Obama were running today, he

46:25

would have to run differently than he

46:26

did then.

46:27

>> More aura.

46:28

>> Uh he had a lot of aura then, man.

46:30

>> Online aura.

46:31

>> I think if you're running today, he'd

46:32

have more online aura. That's the point,

46:33

right? You can't transpose who he is

46:35

post-presidentially

46:37

to now, right? He is a human

46:39

institution.

46:41

He's like a like a monument in some

46:42

ways.

46:43

Um so he's not going to be who he was

46:46

even when he was running in '08.

46:48

But I think he did something that's

46:49

really hard to do.

46:50

Which is one, he contained many of the

46:53

country's contradictions inside himself.

46:56

And was able to make people even who

46:58

disagreed with him quite deeply feel

46:59

seen.

47:00

And he was able to combine two forms of

47:02

moral imagination that I think are hard

47:03

to combine. Which is one was a sort of

47:05

moral imagination of policy of things

47:06

like universal health care, which he

47:08

basically achieved, right? It's like a

47:11

lot of people have failed on that before

47:13

him.

47:13

Um

47:15

Could we make Obamacare better? Always,

47:16

but Obamacare is no small thing.

47:19

And the second was a moral imagination

47:21

on politics itself.

47:23

In a country that had

47:25

the kinds of racial divides and legacy

47:27

we have and had

47:29

in a country that in the Bush years felt

47:31

very divided.

47:33

He made people feel politics could be

47:34

different. And the tragedy of Obamaism

47:38

is that it got worse.

47:40

That he was able actually to pass quite

47:42

a lot of the policy he promised.

47:44

But he was not able to make politics and

47:46

this country's divisions feel better. In

47:47

fact, they felt worse.

47:49

>> Mhm.

47:50

>> And the thing that I think no one has an

47:52

answer to

47:54

is how to resuscitate that side of his

47:55

moral imagination in a way that does not

47:57

feel naive or hopeless

48:00

or cliche.

48:02

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48:03

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48:06

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48:07

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48:09

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48:13

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49:00

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49:03

>> Yeah, it's an interesting one to look to

49:05

what happens in 2028. You know, it was

49:07

so fascinating to me being in the UK and

49:09

starting to come online with realizing

49:12

just how

49:15

how tumultuous America was politically

49:18

and then observing that unfold and then

49:20

being starting to be a part of the

49:21

conversation, I guess, because I started

49:24

Modern Wisdom in 2018 and then to roll

49:27

it forward and to think about what

49:28

happens in just two years time, just two

49:30

years from now, kind of blows my mind

49:33

and uh

49:35

I don't know I don't know what people

49:37

are looking for on either side in 2028

49:39

anymore. Do you follow Do you I don't

49:41

know how deep you are in politics. I

49:42

know you've had Bernie and people like

49:43

that on the show.

49:44

Do you look at the Democrats and think

49:45

that one?

49:48

No.

49:50

No.

49:51

But I also don't look at the

49:52

conservatives and think that one either.

49:54

I mean my basic read of the field for

49:56

what it's worth right now is that the

49:58

ones doing the most interesting things

50:00

are

50:01

Gavin Newsom or AOC

50:04

or Buttigieg and then the big dark horse

50:07

I think that people should not

50:09

underestimate right now is Jon Ossoff

50:11

who is the senator from Georgia who is

50:13

in a re-election this year.

50:15

But when I look at the Democrats those

50:18

are the four

50:20

who I think have figured out attention

50:23

in this era and one of my views on

50:26

politics is it attention is its own

50:30

competency now

50:32

and that if you are not capable of

50:35

earning it and wielding it and using it

50:38

and breaking through on it yourself

50:40

then you actually cannot compete at the

50:43

highest levels. Certainly not right now

50:45

with the way that the ecosystem says at

50:47

the moment. And I don't think it'll be

50:48

different in 2020. You got to play the

50:49

ball where it lies. And there's also

50:51

something about one of the great I think

50:54

character mistakes of the Democrats

50:56

and and central left parties actually I

50:58

think you see this with Keir Starmer

51:00

in a bunch of places

51:02

is people who are too formed by

51:04

institutions

51:07

they're afraid.

51:09

And it one way I often put this is I

51:12

think right now one of the problems in

51:13

American politics is Republicans are

51:16

under formed by institutions and

51:17

Democrats are over formed by them.

51:19

So Republicans sort of in the Trump era

51:21

they're too contemptuous of institutions

51:24

too contemptuous of institutional

51:25

authority too contemptuous of the norms

51:27

of institutions and how you act inside

51:29

of a company just rip it all up dog [ __ ]

51:31

chainsaw it it's all [ __ ] anyway and

51:33

that's wrong.

51:35

The problem for Democrats can be that

51:37

they can become a party of Tracy Flick

51:40

and they are so

51:42

framed and molded

51:45

by like from birth having competed their

51:47

way,

51:48

you know, through every school, you

51:51

know,

51:51

through every competition, through every

51:54

company, through their politics

51:58

in a party that is much more

52:00

pro-institutions than Republicans are.

52:02

And people who come through institutions

52:04

like that, they often reflect those

52:06

institutions. They they begin to talk

52:08

like them. You can hear the institution

52:09

when they open their mouth. Keir Starmer

52:11

speaks like he is

52:13

the government, right? Like you you feel

52:17

like he's like got like he feels like a

52:19

bureaucracy.

52:19

>> Right.

52:20

>> And I'm not even saying that as a

52:22

negative on him. At another time that

52:23

might have been more, you know, a doable

52:26

thing.

52:27

But

52:30

I don't think that works in this media

52:32

environment at all. Like you have to

52:35

feel

52:36

honest, authentic. You have to like talk

52:38

like a real person. You have to talk

52:39

like a real person. People can

52:41

People can sense that before they can

52:44

sense anything else about you.

52:45

And so when I see some Democrats who are

52:49

running,

52:50

but they still talk like someone who is

52:52

optimized. And to be fair to them, this

52:54

used to be a thing you optimized for and

52:56

it worked, to win over like local

52:59

editorial boards at small-town

53:00

newspapers.

53:02

They were optimized to be somebody that

53:04

the editors of newspapers thought seemed

53:06

like a competent, decent person.

53:09

And it might be and it is, I think, a

53:11

shame

53:12

that that has become some kind of a

53:14

liability

53:15

that you need to have

53:18

some edge of wildness to you.

53:20

But it is what it

53:21

>> skill set as you rise up through the

53:23

ranks. Yeah, it's interesting there's

53:24

kind of a common thread here, which is

53:26

that

53:27

um you almost get locked into a a

53:29

mode of thinking from a particular

53:32

domain that you're in, whether it be a

53:33

platform, from a particular niche that

53:36

you're in, geographically, culturally,

53:39

from a particular time that you were in

53:40

in your career, and what was useful

53:43

then, and the inability to be prepared

53:45

to update that, and also the potential

53:48

hypocrisy of having updated that, that

53:50

creates its own challenge, too. So,

53:52

you're sort of fighting against it. I

53:53

guess when we're talking about a more

53:55

like active left, like a building left,

53:58

right?

53:59

The word deregulation gets used

54:02

by Elon Musk, and it also gets used by

54:04

you.

54:04

>> It does.

54:05

>> And you clearly don't mean the same

54:07

thing, but the same word doing two jobs

54:10

is a problem in politics, right? It sort

54:12

of lets one team's project

54:16

ride the slipstream of the other, and

54:18

you end up in this sort of semantic game

54:19

back and forth.

54:20

How do you tell the difference between

54:22

your kind of deregulation

54:24

and Elon's in a

54:27

simple way that you can explain around a

54:29

dinner table?

54:30

>> They have different goals.

54:32

I mean, what is deregulation?

54:34

You are removing rules.

54:36

What is regulation? You're adding rules.

54:38

Is adding rules or removing rules good

54:40

or bad?

54:42

Well, how the [ __ ] would you answer that

54:43

question?

54:43

>> Until the rule is

54:44

>> Depends on the rule.

54:45

>> Yeah.

54:45

>> And so,

54:48

look, I consider

54:50

Musk

54:51

to be

54:53

a tragedy.

54:56

This is a guy

54:58

who is clearly a genius,

55:00

who is the most capable industrialist of

55:02

our time,

55:04

who built

55:06

those industries

55:07

on public-private partnerships.

55:10

Tesla is built

55:12

on government subsidies, on government

55:14

tax credits. There is no electric

55:16

vehicle

55:17

market in this country without the huge

55:20

amount of money we, and California by

55:21

the way, in particular,

55:23

pumped into making that market real.

55:25

Tesla would have gone under without an

55:26

Obama-era loan guarantee. SpaceX SpaceX

55:29

is NASA contracts.

55:31

And Musk

55:33

at some point, and I I that can like

55:36

basically like chart when it happened

55:37

because he was sort of a Democrat in

55:39

semi-good standing. He was like

55:41

pro-Obama, right? He radicalizes. He's

55:44

online way too much. He gets Twitter

55:47

brained. Twitter has been

55:49

bad for no one the way it's been

55:50

specifically bad for the way that guy

55:52

thinks. And his information environment

55:55

is so deeply toxic.

55:58

And

56:00

there's a world where he joined the

56:01

Trump administration

56:03

and tried to increase state capacity.

56:06

And yes, that might mean chainsawing

56:08

through some of what the government did.

56:10

But with the goal of making it possible

56:13

to do more in space.

56:15

With the goal of making it possible to

56:17

do more effective research into battery

56:20

technology.

56:22

And instead, he cuts completely

56:26

indiscriminately. I have friends

56:29

who got

56:30

layoff notices that the email read,

56:34

"Dear

56:35

first name last name,

56:38

you have been terminated for cause."

56:42

Which cause? Who was that email to?

56:45

So,

56:46

like Musk's project deregulation is a

56:48

traditional Republican thing. He didn't

56:50

make it up. But the point is that

56:54

right now the government often imposes

56:56

too many rules on itself.

56:59

And that makes it hard for it to do

57:00

things. So, if you look at the Mamdani

57:01

housing plan that came out this week,

57:03

block by block is what it's called.

57:05

What he is doing in that plan overall

57:08

is he is removing rules. He is

57:10

deregulating

57:12

what is required

57:14

when New York

57:16

puts in money to build affordable

57:18

housing.

57:19

That in order to build affordable

57:21

housing in most jurisdictions, certainly

57:23

blue ones in this country,

57:25

because you're using public money,

57:27

it triggers a bunch of government rules

57:28

that make it much more expensive.

57:30

Because a lot of interests have come up

57:31

and you know, won their way into the

57:33

fight. And so, they've been able to

57:37

uh,

57:37

you know, force higher building

57:39

standards and higher wage standards and

57:40

higher environmental standards. And all

57:42

these things might be good on their own.

57:43

They really might be.

57:45

But, what you've done is make it twice

57:47

as expensive or three times as expensive

57:49

or four times as expensive

57:51

to build affordable housing as to build

57:52

market-rate housing.

57:53

And so, the taxpayer's getting a shitty

57:55

deal and you're not building enough

57:56

affordable housing.

57:58

Uh, there was a story in Washington D.C.

57:59

a couple years ago

58:00

about how they'd ended up building

58:03

affordable housing units that were

58:04

costing $1.2 million per unit.

58:08

These are affordable housing units with,

58:10

again, like public and nonprofit

58:12

dollars. Uh, there was one particular

58:14

build where I I'm worried I'll get the

58:16

numbers wrong, um, from memory, but I

58:18

think it was something like the same

58:19

developer built affordable and

58:20

market-rate next to each other.

58:22

And the affordable cost something like

58:23

$800,000 a unit [laughter]

58:24

and the market rate was like $400,000.

58:27

And like, you just can't achieve the

58:30

goal is affordable housing.

58:32

And so, what I care about, the point of

58:35

abundance, the first sentence of it,

58:37

basically, of the book,

58:39

is what do we need more of?

58:42

And how do we get it?

58:44

And so, the thing that separates

58:46

different people in this debate for me,

58:48

the the abundance debate, the the the

58:49

debate about plenitude,

58:51

is first you have to decide what do you

58:52

want more of? Mhm. I want a lot more

58:54

green energy.

58:55

Donald Trump does not. So, the fact that

58:57

he is deregulating what it means to

59:00

build like coal or oil in this country

59:02

is not a big abundance win because he's

59:04

trying to achieve something that I don't

59:07

support. He's actually made it harder to

59:09

build wind and solar. So, you can

59:12

regulate government to make it harder

59:13

for government to act. You can

59:14

deregulate it. You can use rules well

59:17

and poorly.

59:18

And when you get your politics

59:22

wrapped up on the axle of having

59:24

emotional reaction

59:26

>> Mhm.

59:26

>> to the means

59:28

to the tools you're using, then you got

59:30

a problem.

59:31

The idea that deregulation is owned by

59:33

the right

59:34

or for that matter, that regulation is

59:36

owned by the left, it's not true, but

59:38

it's a way of shutting off your thought.

59:39

The right regulates things all the time.

59:41

>> Mhm.

59:42

>> The left deregulates things. Like it's

59:43

just a stupid

59:44

>> Mhm. [laughter]

59:45

Yeah, I know. I agree.

59:46

>> Stupid way of thinking.

59:47

>> This proposal for abundance is a lot

59:50

about rolling back red tape, but I know

59:52

a lot of people are concerned about

59:55

what that means for unchecked power of

59:58

potential AI overlords. You know, if

60:00

you've got a very small number of people

60:02

who are controlling a massive amount of

60:04

influence and a massive amount of the

60:06

economy,

60:09

how does the rolling back of red tape

60:11

help with that solution?

60:13

>> So, two things. So, what I want to say

60:15

abundance is not about rolling back red

60:16

tape.

60:17

There are places like building housing

60:19

in dense blue cities where you probably

60:22

do need to roll back what people call

60:23

red tape.

60:24

But that is

60:26

that is useful where that is the

60:27

problem.

60:29

On AI,

60:31

I believe we need a lot more AI

60:32

regulation. This is why I don't buy the

60:34

sort of deregulation pro-regulation like

60:36

dichotomy. There are places I want to

60:37

regulate more, places I want to regulate

60:39

less.

60:40

Um I think the abundance question on AI

60:42

is different.

60:44

I have a lot of concern

60:46

about the power concentrating on AI.

60:47

I've covered these guys forever. I've

60:49

had

60:50

Demis and Sam Altman and

60:52

Dario all on my show, right? Like I've

60:54

I've been in this since GPT-2, I guess.

60:58

And you do not want power concentrating

61:00

with that. I mean, at one point, and

61:02

some of them will still say that, they

61:02

don't want power concentrating with

61:03

them, although in practice they don't

61:05

always act like that now.

61:06

>> Yeah.

61:06

>> Sam Sam Altman I think in OpenAI seemed

61:08

to be more pro-regulation a couple years

61:10

ago than in practice like the Greg

61:13

Brockman as president has helped fund

61:14

the super PAC that is dumping money

61:17

against candidates who want to regulate

61:18

AI. And so, it's like on the one hand

61:19

they'll come to a hearing and say, "We

61:20

want to be regulated." Then somebody

61:22

will run for office saying, "We should

61:23

do some light regulation." It's like,

61:25

not you. Not by you, we don't.

61:27

Um

61:29

So, you have like real money and

61:31

politics problems. And uh I, by the way,

61:34

just as a broad thing, this is not

61:36

something we're worried about in

61:37

abundance, but

61:38

like I just believe in much, much, much

61:40

stronger money and politics regulations.

61:42

You should amend the US Constitution to

61:45

say, "Money is not speech."

61:48

Money should not be as protected speech

61:50

when spent on politics and make it

61:52

possible to regulate it. There's an

61:53

effort to do that through state houses

61:54

happening right now.

61:56

Um but I think the abundance question on

61:58

AI

61:59

is at two levels. One is

62:03

we think of AI models, right? People

62:05

argue about are they using Gemini or

62:07

ChatGPT or Claude.

62:09

But AI is, you know, Jensen Huang of

62:12

Nvidia always makes this point. It's

62:13

like a five-layer cake.

62:15

And there's an energy level, there's a

62:17

chips level, there's all this

62:18

infrastructure you actually need.

62:20

If we want the US to be

62:23

continue to be kind of AI competitive or

62:25

even AI dominant, you're going to need

62:27

to get that infrastructure right.

62:29

And uh in order then not make that a

62:33

energetic disaster, you're going to need

62:34

to use the data center build out to

62:36

create a modern grid and create much

62:39

more of electro state, not a petro

62:40

state, right? Like there's like a whole

62:41

set of questions that are raised by the

62:45

physical AI build out. But then the

62:46

second thing, I'm actually writing about

62:47

this right now,

62:49

is we are having so many conversations

62:51

about what we don't want from AI.

62:53

What do we want from it?

62:55

What is the public agenda for AI?

62:58

What does the public What What are the

63:00

public goods? Because they're not just

63:01

going to come on their own.

63:03

Right now, if you talk to any

63:04

corporation

63:05

that is really tooling itself for AI,

63:08

they are spending huge amounts of money

63:10

on compute,

63:11

just buying enough tokens.

63:13

But they are often restructuring

63:17

themselves as an organization in order

63:19

to become legible

63:21

and make their problems legible to the

63:22

systems.

63:24

So,

63:25

for AI to be able to solve a problem for

63:27

you, you need a couple of things. One is

63:29

there needs to be money behind the

63:30

problem

63:31

because if you need a lot of compute to

63:32

do it, it is costly even now.

63:35

The second thing is the problem needs to

63:36

be legible

63:37

to the system. So, what I mean by that

63:39

for instance is

63:41

AlphaFold, which I think is the most

63:42

impressive thing AI has done yet, which

63:43

is the the protein folding um is solving

63:46

the protein folding problem. The reason

63:48

it was possible to do that was there was

63:49

a thing called the protein data base,

63:51

which had been was arguably the cleanest

63:53

scientific database in existence.

63:54

Certainly one of them. Where people had

63:57

been keeping

63:58

really high quality data on every single

64:01

protein that we had mapped its

64:03

structure.

64:04

And that meant there was one place where

64:06

the data was structured in a way we can

64:08

set the machine learning loose on it and

64:11

it could learn the data, begin to

64:12

predict based on the data, and then also

64:15

begin to create synthetic versions of

64:16

that data to extend its predictions, and

64:18

then be able to test them backwards, and

64:19

so on and so forth. Okay.

64:22

There are a lot of problems that might

64:24

have that shape, but you will have to

64:26

create the data

64:28

that the machine learning can work on

64:30

for them.

64:31

Uh like and in government, that's often

64:33

not been done.

64:34

So, like here's a very simple use case I

64:37

keep talking to people about.

64:39

There's no reason

64:40

that the IRS can't have

64:43

I mean build it on Claude, build it on

64:45

ChatGPT, build your own.

64:48

They could have an LLM that does your

64:50

taxes with you.

64:52

The IRS knows how much money you make,

64:54

so they have ground truth there.

64:56

They know the tax code, they write it a

64:59

lot of the time.

65:00

Uh or at least certainly help in the

65:02

regulatory uh system to to define it.

65:05

There's no reason

65:07

most people have to pay an accountant.

65:11

More broadly, you could have an AI that

65:13

act as a concierge to anything the

65:15

government might be able to do for you

65:16

because it knows you, it knows your

65:17

situation, and knows what the government

65:18

is capable of doing. It's very, very

65:20

hard to navigate the government right

65:21

now.

65:22

But, you have to make the underlying

65:25

data and system legible

65:27

so the AI can learn what it needs to

65:28

learn. Um drug discovery, energy,

65:31

there's a lot of questions like this

65:33

where for instance, on drug discovery, I

65:35

don't know how good AIs will be on drug

65:37

discovery. I've talked to different

65:39

people who disagree on it. But, if you

65:40

look at what AIs are good at, like did

65:42

you follow the um the solving of this

65:47

Erdos theorem?

65:48

>> Yes. Yes, I did.

65:50

>> Okay. So, I talked to some

65:50

mathematicians about this. My dad's

65:51

actually a mathematician. I haven't

65:53

talked to him about it yet, I should.

65:54

Uh but, this particular theorem, what it

65:57

was able to do was sort of two things.

65:59

What it was able to do was come It It

66:01

knew kind of everything about

66:02

mathematics. So, it was able to combine

66:05

approaches from fields that were not

66:06

primarily thought to be useful in this

66:08

particular theorem. But, there was one

66:10

mathematician who was like, "Oh, I

66:11

thought about doing this, but it was

66:12

super labor intensive, so I just didn't

66:14

bother."

66:15

So, it also was able to be tireless in

66:16

doing that.

66:18

It's It did not do, I think, what you

66:20

would call like truly new groundbreaking

66:22

mathematics. It didn't like invent a

66:24

whole new field here.

66:26

It did something very clever and very

66:28

labor intensive, and that is how a lot

66:30

of advances happen.

66:32

>> Synthesis plus hard work.

66:33

>> Mhm.

66:34

So,

66:35

think about what's called orphan

66:36

diseases.

66:38

These are diseases, my wife actually has

66:40

one of them, that are quite rare.

66:42

So, there isn't a huge amount of money

66:44

in solving them.

66:45

And that means, unlike say something

66:47

like diabetes, where there is just a

66:50

functionally endless number of drug

66:51

researchers working on diabetes drugs,

66:54

and a huge amount of money behind it,

66:55

and like the best people in the field,

66:57

on these things, you don't have that.

66:59

So, that's a great place where being

67:02

able to have a lot of compute, and then

67:05

the federal government saying, "If you

67:07

invent this thing

67:09

This is basically what they did with

67:10

Operation Warp Speed, right? We said,

67:12

"If you invent this thing, we will buy

67:13

it."

67:14

And then we will hand it out at low

67:16

cost. Right? That's how they made the

67:17

COVID vaccines. You could do that across

67:19

a huge number of diseases and say, "If

67:22

you're able to solve any of these,

67:23

here's what we will give you."

67:25

Like, it is worth it to us, the public,

67:28

to have cures here and we'll make those

67:30

cures cheap.

67:31

Um and we'll put work into making the

67:33

regulatory system amenable to this. They

67:35

also did that in Warp Speed. We'll put

67:38

in work to try and to like create better

67:39

databases. Like, we'll clean things up

67:41

for you, but we will create a prize

67:43

system, an advanced market commitment

67:44

system. What do we want AI to solve?

67:47

Because right now the private market is

67:49

putting a lot of money into that

67:50

question.

67:51

But the public sector is only thinking

67:53

about what it wants to prevent AI from

67:55

doing, which is important. I'm a big

67:56

believer in AI harms. I've been talking

67:58

about existential risk for years.

68:01

But you also need a theory of AI goods.

68:04

And right now we don't have one.

68:05

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modern wisdom.

69:00

It's interesting. I had Nick Bostrom on

69:02

the show and

69:04

Superintelligence 10 more more than 10

69:06

years ago now 2014 15 something like

69:08

that when that came out was kind of my

69:10

introduction to holy [ __ ] like there are

69:12

a lot of ways that this could go very

69:13

very wrong the X risk of X risks

69:16

>> [gasps]

69:16

>> and then

69:18

his new book was basically okay what

69:19

happens if this goes right and even on

69:21

the path to it going right

69:23

there were tons of different ways that

69:25

it could go wrong. It is it is

69:27

kind of mind-blowing to me that there is

69:29

any time being spent on anything that

69:31

isn't AI safety at the moment uh you

69:34

know I'm aware climate change something

69:36

that we need to keep an eye on. It's not

69:38

going to happen within the next decade.

69:40

Uh birth rate decline something that

69:42

I've talked a lot about on the show too.

69:43

I think you know that's going to happen

69:45

more quickly than climate change is but

69:46

still not on the timelines that we're

69:48

talking about here. I'm like

69:51

I you see uh Tristan Harris's new thing

69:53

the AI doc

69:54

>> I haven't seen the doc but I know

69:55

Tristan.

69:56

>> Uh dude you it's really really good.

69:58

It's really really interesting.

69:59

>> come as a person who was in that world

70:01

for a long time

70:02

I've come to a probably slightly

70:03

different view on the right way to

70:04

approach AI.

70:05

>> You going to give me a white pill? I

70:06

really need one.

70:07

>> [laughter]

70:08

>> What would a white pill be? I never know

70:09

the pills anymore there too many of

70:10

them.

70:11

>> Hope.

70:12

>> Hope. No look I I

70:13

>> You the

70:16

You cannot solve a problem whose shape

70:18

you do not know.

70:20

You can't.

70:21

So it's very it's good to talk about AI

70:24

safety. We should be pumping money into

70:26

say mechanistic interpretability. We

70:28

have made big strides on

70:29

interpretability. Shout out to Chris Ola

70:31

at Anthropic who's been a hero in this

70:33

and is now hanging out with the Pope I

70:35

guess so

70:35

>> Apparently yeah.

70:36

>> good thing to see good things happen to

70:38

good people.

70:39

Um

70:41

we should be trying to understand these

70:42

systems.

70:43

But so much of the AI conversation

70:47

the mind is attracted

70:49

to these speculative scenarios mass

70:52

automation where there are no more jobs

70:53

>> Yep.

70:54

>> Um

70:56

recursive superintelligence

70:57

self-improving superintelligence that

70:58

subset of our control like overnight.

71:00

>> Yep.

71:01

>> Here's the deal. If we create

71:03

recursive superintelligence that subset

71:05

of our control overnight, which is sort

71:06

of how like the AI 2027 scenario works,

71:11

we better just hope for the best cuz I

71:12

think we are kind of [ __ ] in that

71:14

scenario. I don't think it will happen

71:16

like that or that quickly.

71:18

But

71:19

>> we want as good interpretability as we

71:21

can possibly have. But here But the

71:22

other thing we want is to be in constant

71:26

work on regulating the existing nature

71:30

of these systems and at their frontier

71:32

and testing the systems and working on

71:33

them constantly because

71:35

in the same way that the AI companies,

71:38

the ones who are founded on the theory

71:39

of safety like OpenAI which

71:41

and Anthropic were like, "Well, we can't

71:44

make it safe unless we build it."

71:45

You cannot figure out how to regulate it

71:47

unless you regulate it.

71:49

Both for good and for bad. And so my

71:51

view is that the political system needs

71:52

to get in the game

71:55

on the system that exists right now

71:57

and not endlessly debate a speculative

72:00

scenario that it is not going to be able

72:02

to respond to until you're there.

72:03

>> Mhm.

72:04

>> That is not how politics works. It's not

72:06

how like anything we do works. So yes,

72:08

like that does imply a certain amount of

72:11

pessimism if we end up in the

72:13

extraordinary fast takeoff scenario. I

72:16

don't think we're in the extraordinary

72:17

fast takeoff scenario. And just by the

72:20

way, I have always thought and have

72:22

always had this argument with my

72:23

effective altruist friends and actually

72:24

Dwarkesh Patel who's like a great AI

72:26

podcaster just sent out a like a little

72:28

Substack making the same point.

72:33

The capability to wield power is more

72:36

than intelligence, a lot more.

72:38

And so the world is full of friction.

72:41

And the superintelligence scenario has

72:43

always had this dynamic where it isn't

72:46

just like the thing becomes recursive

72:47

improving and super powerful and super

72:49

but it also never makes a mistake

72:51

>> Yep. on its way to

72:54

taking over a world it doesn't

72:55

understand.

72:57

And

72:58

have you ever dealt with smart people?

73:01

Like is Donald Trump the smartest person

73:03

in the world? No, he's got a like

73:05

incredible animalistic instinct for

73:06

power and other people's weakness and

73:08

he's made a ton of mistakes.

73:10

And you know, Dorcas in his piece is

73:11

like maybe Stalin is a person we're

73:13

talking about here, but Stalin also is

73:14

not like the world's greatest genius. I

73:17

think there's like a real mistake being

73:18

made on how easy it is to translate

73:21

intelligence and information into power.

73:23

>> Yeah.

73:24

>> And I am just skeptical. Like again, we

73:27

can all come up with a sci-fi scenario,

73:29

but

73:30

I can't forever argue against the

73:32

absolute worst

73:33

thought experiment. You can like

73:35

like then we're just in a world like

73:36

yeah, if all we're dealing with here

73:39

is

73:41

an endless effort for you to come up

73:43

with thought experiments that the

73:44

regulators can't match, you will

73:46

outmatch the regulators very quickly.

73:47

>> Correct.

73:47

>> Which is why the regulators should be

73:48

increasing their competency by actually

73:50

dealing with AI in the present moment.

73:52

You get better at things by doing them.

73:54

>> So you're saying that the most dangerous

73:55

AI isn't the smartest one, it's the

73:57

canniest one.

73:58

>> That I I think that's true, but I'm I'm

74:00

saying that the

74:02

AI safety debate

74:03

has been caught in thinking about the

74:05

future for too long and not in the

74:06

present.

74:07

>> Yeah.

74:07

>> And so the thing to do is to figure out

74:09

how to take some of these fears, which I

74:10

take as serious. I do not I'm not

74:12

somebody who's dismissive of them. Um I

74:14

have a pee doom sitting in the back of

74:16

my head. But you have to take them and

74:18

do something in the now because now

74:20

we're at the point where AI is here. For

74:22

a long time there was nothing really to

74:23

do

74:24

because AI was speculative, right? You

74:26

could [snorts] try to be running your

74:27

experiments in these labs, but that's

74:28

all you can do. Now the thing is here.

74:30

We actually have quite powerful AIs are

74:31

getting more powerful all the time.

74:33

Like Congress

74:34

like we need to probably build more

74:36

capable institutions um that actually

74:38

like have expertise on regulating it and

74:40

are able to like hire some of the best

74:42

people because the market for AI

74:43

researchers

74:44

is uh more expensive than the current

74:47

civil service rules we have for hiring

74:49

really make possible to compete in.

74:51

And you have to like be getting your

74:52

hands dirty and trying to like make what

74:54

we have work well and also be like

74:56

trying to create the goods that can give

74:58

it a direction that is safer.

75:00

>> Well, think about who was involved in

75:01

the conversation from 2015 to 2020-ish.

75:06

Philosophers.

75:07

>> Yeah.

75:08

>> of philosophers. And if you watch the

75:10

new AI doc, it's math grad, computer

75:12

science, programmer, futurist,

75:15

technologist. It's moving more, but

75:17

you're saying this goes even beyond that

75:19

to people who are

75:21

policy makers. Like we need to bring

75:23

those sorts of people in to actually get

75:24

involved in this too. So, yeah, it's

75:26

gone from being as

75:29

hypothetical and theoretical as possible

75:31

to now something where the rubber's

75:32

really met the road.

75:33

>> like my my view on this is not that I am

75:36

dismissive

75:38

of the possibility of future AIs about

75:40

our control.

75:41

Or frankly even, although I am more

75:43

skeptical of this, the possibility of

75:45

mass automation.

75:47

What I am saying is it it is long past

75:51

time

75:52

to start working on the systems that we

75:55

have now as

75:57

regulators and stop debating a

75:59

hypothetical. You do not have a way to

76:01

stop the hypothetical.

76:02

Like maybe like have you read Eliezer

76:04

Yudkowsky's book?

76:05

>> Yes. I had him on the show.

76:07

>> The argument as did I.

76:08

>> Yeah.

76:08

>> The argument is shut it all down.

76:10

That's where it goes.

76:12

And for better and maybe for much worse,

76:14

maybe he's right. I mean, his view is

76:16

98% if we create superintelligence,

76:17

we're [ __ ]

76:18

But we're not going to shut it all down.

76:21

And so, the question is given what we

76:24

have and where we are,

76:26

like start actually

76:30

bringing the system

76:32

and the systems under democratic

76:33

control. What would you do?

76:35

>> Let's say that you had

76:35

>> So, I would start by coordination power.

76:37

>> I I would have like probably three or

76:39

four buckets. So, one, I would put a lot

76:41

more money into

76:42

than we're currently putting in

76:43

publicly. Actually, Trump and Musk

76:45

gutted a bunch of that.

76:47

Um but I would make our public

76:49

evaluation capabilities incredibly

76:51

strong.

76:52

So, that's one thing. They were trying

76:54

to do that sort of in Biden.

76:55

I would start doing a lot of regulating

76:57

AI around kids cuz I think there's

76:58

actually a fair amount of consensus on

77:00

that. And so, you could move on that. I

77:02

think we should be quite careful about

77:04

running this experiment on children.

77:06

I think that the idea of kids growing up

77:08

with a bunch of AI buddies and lovers,

77:12

I don't think we know how it will work

77:14

people's sense of how relationships

77:16

should work

77:18

when they have those before they have

77:19

real relationships.

77:20

>> I've heard you say that the kind of

77:22

childhood that you had could have fallen

77:23

prey to this kind of

77:25

>> was a very lonely kid. I was bullied a

77:26

lot. Like, I If there And I was also a

77:29

smart nerdy kid.

77:30

And so, what would it have meant

77:33

if instead of having to sort of fight

77:35

through that and find my, you know, best

77:36

friends and figure it out as I did,

77:39

like, work with the friction the world

77:41

gave me, which made me who I am,

77:43

I could have disappeared into

77:44

frictionless digital relationships,

77:47

friends, tutors,

77:49

lovers. Like, I think that's actually

77:51

quite scary. I

77:52

>> So, I was the same except for being a

77:54

lot less smart and nerdy.

77:56

>> [laughter]

77:56

>> Oh, I don't know. I think you're

77:57

probably underrating yourself. But so,

77:59

I would do a lot on kids.

78:01

I would do a lot on actual

78:04

um

78:05

goods as I was just saying. Like, I

78:06

really want to see a public goods agenda

78:08

for AI.

78:09

And I think there are harms we can begin

78:11

looking at now in the way AI is used and

78:14

what it is given autonomy and power over

78:17

on when human beings you need to be in

78:19

the loop. I think that there's a pretty

78:21

good thinking on safety.

78:22

>> Hm.

78:23

>> Um you know, something that isn't in the

78:25

AI 2027 uh thing that I think is smart

78:28

is AI should always have to keep a

78:31

legible chain of reasoning notepad in

78:33

English. That the the moment we start

78:35

letting them come up with their own

78:37

languages and we really have no capacity

78:39

>> Mhm. to see how they're reasoning.

78:40

>> box has a black box.

78:41

>> I don't want to make the black box too

78:43

black boxy.

78:43

>> Yep.

78:44

>> And so

78:45

>> Yep, that's smart.

78:45

>> So you you want to start working with

78:47

what you have now.

78:48

Uh and you know, I'm not saying I have

78:50

like all the ideas in my head, but

78:52

there's enough on the table that I think

78:54

we could begin. And I also by the way, I

78:56

thought whether you want Anthropic doing

78:58

it is like we we can argue.

79:00

I think having a fair number of

79:02

restrictions on how AI can be used for

79:05

surveillance, for um kill chain

79:07

questions

79:09

is wise. And I particularly worry about

79:11

surveillance. I am

79:13

both in a a kind of macro way against

79:16

using AI to create the panopticon, but

79:18

in a micro way a lot of the machine

79:20

learning tools being used to make the

79:23

lives of workers

79:25

measured and miserable right now

79:28

are inimical

79:29

>> What's that being used?

79:31

>> You read a lot about this on, you know,

79:32

with Amazon and delivery drivers. I've

79:33

read things about uh like eye tracking

79:36

software. There's all kinds of software

79:38

being used in different places. I don't

79:39

want to do it by memory cuz it's a

79:41

minute since I looked at the report, but

79:43

to just track how productive workers

79:44

are. It's like having somebody always

79:46

watching you to make sure you're never

79:47

sacking off. And what I would say is

79:50

that

79:51

turning using machines to turn people

79:53

into machines is inimical to human

79:56

flourishing.

79:57

And I do think we need to think harder

79:59

in politics and AI is going to push this

80:02

on what actually human flourishing

80:03

means. What does it mean to be a human

80:04

being in the in the age of AI? What does

80:06

it mean to learn like a human being?

80:08

What is human dignity, right? The Pope

80:10

is right about that.

80:11

>> People are already feeling this

80:13

like

80:14

thought entropy thing kicking in. This

80:17

like lifting with an exoskeleton suit on

80:20

that my capacity to actually be able to

80:21

think properly is being degraded. I know

80:24

Pema Chödrön, you're one of your

80:26

favorite writers,

80:27

talks about sitting with uncertainty

80:29

instead of

80:30

running from it.

80:30

>> Mhm. AI is like in a sense the most

80:34

powerful uncertainty killer ever built,

80:36

right? You have instant answers straight

80:39

away. You never need to wonder again.

80:41

Even I you know I think about

80:43

the the before times of internet use.

80:46

There was friction even in your search.

80:48

Right? To go on to Google to look for a

80:50

thing, to go uh is that how reliable is

80:54

that particular forum? How reliable is

80:56

this particular poster? Have they got an

80:58

agenda on the Oh, the it's not got a

81:01

security certificate on this particular

81:03

website. Or I'm going to have to scroll

81:04

for a little while to find the specific

81:06

type of answer that I'm looking for and

81:07

then I'm going to have to scan the

81:08

document as opposed to having the

81:11

equivalent of sort of refined NASA

81:15

ready-to-eat dehydrated reconstituted

81:18

food that you can just squeeze from a

81:19

toothpaste tube into your mouth.

81:21

>> My like simp- the simplest thing I tell

81:23

uh sometimes you college speaking I'll

81:25

get asked like kids, you know, what

81:26

should I do, you know, AI?

81:28

My answer's always read books and paper.

81:32

You should have a practice

81:34

of cultivating the form of attention,

81:38

the form of sustained attention

81:42

without reaching to resolve every

81:43

question that occurs in your mind

81:46

that books create. People think I uh of

81:49

books I think as a technology of

81:51

information that they you download

81:54

information from a book into your head.

81:55

>> Mhm.

81:56

>> But they're a technology of thinking.

81:58

They are a scaffold for thinking.

82:00

And what is happening when you read a

82:01

book in paper and are not distracting

82:03

yourself every 2 seconds

82:05

is connections are being made in your

82:06

mind. Like the value of a book is not

82:09

just the information on it. It is what

82:11

happens in your mind when you read it.

82:14

And one of the things I feel very

82:15

strongly about with my kids,

82:16

one of the things that

82:18

I worry about with degrading AI into

82:20

schools is

82:22

it you know, we talked about attention

82:23

at the beginning here,

82:25

we need as human beings to cultivate

82:28

healthy forms of attention. And AI, one

82:30

of its seductions,

82:32

even for smart agentic, as we now call

82:35

them, people,

82:38

is

82:39

the constant feeling and simulacra of

82:42

productivity it gives you. Yep.

82:44

So, you're you're reading something and

82:45

you go and you look it up and you're and

82:47

it all feels very productive.

82:49

Because you are this constant

82:51

information that's back and forth. And

82:52

And I do, I use AI for research, I learn

82:54

things from it. I'm I'm not I mean, I

82:56

think you can hear in this conversation,

82:57

I'm not uh

82:59

like a pure hater.

83:00

But, if you are not spending time

83:04

thinking and reading away from screens,

83:06

you're just you are allowing something

83:08

that atrophy that you will not get back.

83:10

And what I worry about with a lot of

83:11

smart people I know is that AI makes you

83:13

feel superhuman and it's making you less

83:15

than human.

83:15

>> Mhm.

83:16

>> And I've watched a lot of people who

83:17

seem to use AI a lot more and their work

83:18

is not getting better. It's getting

83:20

worse.

83:20

>> Mhm.

83:21

>> Uh I I hear about people have all these

83:23

agents running on their behalf now. And

83:25

they come in in the morning and it's

83:26

prepared this huge summary of

83:28

everything.

83:30

And it's like,

83:31

what about reading a physical newspaper?

83:34

Instead of now absorbing tons of book

83:37

reports from your AIs. Right? Like,

83:39

where is your space? Where is your mind?

83:42

The

83:44

the

83:45

ghost of productivity, the illusion of

83:47

productivity, is something that you have

83:50

to fight so hard, I think, in this era

83:54

because I mean, even prior to AI,

83:56

it sure feels like you're doing

83:57

something productive to sit there on

83:58

your

83:59

laptop, on your iPad,

84:02

and even when your brain has stopped

84:03

really working, you're flicking back and

84:04

forth to the news, to your email, you're

84:08

seeing things on social media that sort

84:09

of pose as information.

84:11

But, it's all distraction wearing

84:13

productivity's clothing.

84:14

>> Yes.

84:15

>> And you have to be really vigilant

84:18

against it cuz deeper productivity often

84:20

doesn't look or even feel like

84:21

productivity. It's taking a walk and

84:23

having an idea.

84:24

>> Correct.

84:25

>> It's like the second hour reading an

84:27

actually pleasurable good book in a

84:29

coffee shop, right? Like these things

84:31

are deeply human experiences that the

84:32

reason books worked and the reason we

84:36

festoon

84:37

rooms in them when we want the rooms to

84:39

look smart. Which is what we're doing in

84:41

here.

84:43

There's a reason we associate them with

84:44

intelligence because they're not about

84:45

what's in the book, they're about the

84:47

way that people who read books are

84:50

trained to think and attend. And like

84:52

that will ultimately make you much

84:53

better at using AI.

84:55

>> Desperately compensating.

84:57

>> [laughter]

84:58

>> All the books behind. No, I um

85:00

I noticed with myself that one of the

85:02

best questions I asked myself on an

85:04

annual review a couple of years ago was

85:06

um

85:07

what do I think is productive that isn't

85:10

>> Mhm.

85:10

>> and what do I not think is productive

85:12

but is.

85:13

And going for a walk without AirPods in.

85:16

>> Wait, what did you come up with? What on

85:17

your second list there? I want to hear

85:18

it.

85:19

>> Um driving without consuming anything.

85:22

So no music, no podcasts, no nothing

85:24

else. The same with going for a walk. Uh

85:26

at dinner with friends. Massively

85:29

productive. Hugely productive. Come home

85:31

and I've got five new ideas or I feel a

85:33

little bit more peaceful or I've just

85:35

got to listen to someone else entertain

85:36

me or get new perspective on something

85:38

or I've not thought about my [ __ ] Even

85:41

simply the the space that you create,

85:44

the void that you create between

85:46

thinking about your [ __ ] and thinking

85:47

about your [ __ ] by hearing somebody else

85:49

extemporaneously think about their [ __ ]

85:51

to you. You're like, "Oh, brilliant. I

85:53

thought about someone else's [ __ ] for a

85:54

bit." Um that's stuff that

85:57

isn't productive but I thought was.

85:59

Sitting at my desk when I'm not working.

86:01

I've just got the laptop open. I'm like,

86:02

"Oh, maybe I'll pick up some

86:05

productivity panties here."

86:08

Uh Slack almost ever.

86:10

>> Mhm.

86:10

>> Um being on calls when I don't need to.

86:13

Like just just checking in calls.

86:16

They they have all of the trappings of

86:18

something that looks like progress and

86:20

productivity, but when you think about

86:22

what's actually happened at the end of

86:23

it, it's almost never anything

86:25

productive. Uh

86:27

lying in a hammock.

86:28

>> Mhm.

86:29

>> Lying in a hammock, unusually

86:30

productive. Uh so,

86:32

what comes to my view?

86:35

>> A bunch of those I'd agree with. Um

86:37

travel.

86:38

Huge. Uh

86:40

And And I always like want to be careful

86:41

about the language of productivity here

86:42

because the point is not to like

86:44

>> Do it in service

86:45

>> in service of Yes. Yes. Yes. Yes. It the

86:49

for me, the absolute best thing I can do

86:51

for my productivity is go to a coffee

86:54

shop or some beautiful space. The the um

86:57

aesthetic richness of the space is

86:59

meaningful for me.

87:01

And

87:03

read paper books

87:04

>> Mhm.

87:04

>> for a long enough time to get into a

87:06

state where my mind has

87:09

settled on that being what it's doing.

87:11

So, that's very very very

87:13

Like that is I think the most important

87:15

thing I do for my work.

87:17

Walking.

87:18

I don't listen to or read things for the

87:19

most part on the subway anymore. I just

87:21

sit there.

87:22

>> [snorts]

87:22

>> Like a psychopath.

87:23

>> Like a psychopath. Um and I

87:25

It is amazing how much is like sitting

87:27

there staring forward. You feel weird

87:29

now on the subway.

87:30

>> Do you know the Rory Sutherland line

87:31

about this to do with smoking? He says

87:34

um

87:35

sometimes you just want to stand in the

87:38

corner of a room and stare out of the

87:39

window.

87:40

The problem is if you do this without a

87:42

cigarette, you look like a friendless

87:44

idiot.

87:44

>> [laughter]

87:45

>> But if you do it with a cigarette, you

87:46

look like a [ __ ] philosopher.

87:48

>> Yeah.

87:49

Yeah.

87:49

So,

87:50

>> Aesthetics count for a lot.

87:51

>> Yeah, they they do.

87:52

So,

87:55

really just taking breaks in general.

87:57

>> Yeah.

87:58

>> I mean that Like I think actually the

87:59

thing, if you want to just boil down a

88:00

lot of what we just said, aside from the

88:02

reading,

88:03

it's that

88:04

just staring at a screen

88:07

endlessly is bad for you. It's good for

88:09

you

88:10

when you're doing it intentionally and

88:12

for long enough,

88:13

but

88:15

I mean, I cannot tell you how many times

88:16

I've solved a problem on a column

88:19

that I had been

88:20

banging away at the keyboard on for

88:22

hours or days by just leaving.

88:24

>> You can't white knuckle creativity.

88:26

>> Yeah.

88:26

>> You don't get to white knuckle it.

88:28

>> And so there's So there's a lot of that.

88:29

I mean, the gym is obvious, you know,

88:31

you get a lot of ideas there. Showers, I

88:33

mean, this [ __ ] is all It's all there,

88:34

but I think to to draw it out of the

88:37

creativity space that the product

88:40

company space, the thing that is being

88:41

said here is you need to make space for

88:43

yourself to be a human being and do

88:45

human being things.

88:47

And AI is going to be better at being a

88:49

machine than we're going to be at being

88:50

machines. And so trying to make yourself

88:52

into a better machine

88:54

like everybody thinks using the AI as a

88:57

prosthetic.

88:59

But again, the lesson of McLuhan and

89:00

Postman and others is eventually the AI

89:02

is going to be using you as a prosthetic

89:04

or certainly to make maybe be more

89:06

specific

89:07

the

89:09

organization that pays for both you and

89:11

the AI is going to be making you a

89:13

prosthetic of the AI in the same way

89:15

that Amazon has made people into

89:17

prosthetics of the

89:19

boxes they pick up in the delivery vans

89:22

they drive.

89:23

And it trying to be as little

89:27

like a machine as possible

89:30

or at least create big spaces where

89:32

you're not acting as a machine is I

89:33

think going to be really important. If I

89:35

had to make a bet on how I would educate

89:36

my kids

89:38

and I had to you told me you can put

89:40

them in a school that is going to be at

89:41

the cutting edge of using AI

89:43

>> Like a alpha school or whatever.

89:44

>> or you can put them in a school that is

89:46

like St. John's University or something

89:48

and it's like going to be all paper and

89:51

pens I would go the I would go that one.

89:53

Because there will be AI. It will be out

89:55

there. What I need to develop in them

89:58

is the ability to be a human being.

90:00

And one of the dangers whenever we get

90:02

really excited about a new technology is

90:05

we over adopt it in a thoughtless way.

90:09

And then the technology colonizes our

90:11

minds and then we can't realize how much

90:13

we have lost. Attentionally in terms of

90:16

our own independence, in terms of our

90:19

our own depth. So, just like

90:22

all the things we're talking about

90:24

take breaks, take a walk.

90:25

>> Yeah.

90:25

>> Like it

90:26

>> It is so basic.

90:27

>> It's it's the so it's the sort of [ __ ]

90:28

that your mom would happily give you an

90:31

answer for. Like she's happily got the

90:33

answer for it.

90:34

>> What's that line

90:35

>> I is it I think it might be a Nietzsche

90:36

one where it's like um I beg you my

90:38

friend

90:39

uh

90:39

sleep well and go for more walks. You

90:41

know, it's just always a solution.

90:43

>> So, oh my god, really advice Nietzsche

90:45

should have taken.

90:45

>> Yes, agreed. Um [laughter]

90:48

you mentioned earlier on about this

90:50

challenge, this positioning that we've

90:51

got at the moment around um

90:54

encouraging people, both sides

90:56

encouraging people to better themselves,

90:58

perhaps a little bit of an aversion of

91:00

this

91:01

self-determination,

91:03

personal development, at least

91:05

traditionally coming from the left but

91:06

maybe also coming from the right now.

91:08

And the left

91:09

talks a lot about structural barriers

91:10

for women.

91:12

Do you think it's got a an equally

91:13

serious account of what's going wrong

91:15

for men

91:15

>> At the moment, I don't. I think it knows

91:17

it doesn't and it's beginning to try to

91:19

think about what to do about that.

91:20

People like Gavin Newsom are taking that

91:22

a lot more seriously.

91:23

I want to get at the thing you said

91:24

underneath that cuz I think it's

91:25

important though.

91:26

I think a very damaging thing that

91:29

happened

91:31

on the left, I'll call it liberalism to

91:33

be more in my own stream here,

91:35

is that it began to see individualistic

91:38

explanations as excuses for structural

91:41

dysfunction.

91:43

And so it became hostile

91:45

to

91:46

any politics or moral structure that was

91:51

also about self-improvement.

91:53

And one, that's a betrayal of the long

91:55

history of liberalism, which has always

91:56

been about self-cultivation, like your

91:58

reader, Kant, your John Mills.

92:01

But or for that matter, if you're, you

92:03

know,

92:04

great liberal politicians like Frederick

92:06

Douglass or MLK or um FDR,

92:10

Lincoln.

92:11

>> [gasps]

92:12

>> But,

92:14

when you give up on that, you're giving

92:16

up on one of the fundamental drives. So,

92:18

you want a society that is taking

92:21

seriously all the ways in which

92:22

structures oppress and coerce

92:25

and impede people's flourishing.

92:28

And also, what you're trying to create

92:29

space for

92:31

is for them to use their

92:34

agency and their energy and their will

92:36

to flourish.

92:37

And so, you need both sides of that. You

92:39

need the vision of the just society and

92:40

you need the vision

92:42

of the flourishing self-cultivating

92:45

person. And and I do think the left

92:48

became

92:49

hostile to this and particularly became

92:50

hostile to it when it was male-coded.

92:54

So, when it was coded in the way that

92:56

self-help is for women, right, more

92:58

therapeutically,

92:59

um more relationally,

93:01

it was, you know, much easier. Uh Esther

93:03

Perel, Brené Brown, other people like

93:05

that who who have more of a vision in

93:07

that.

93:08

That that went down easily.

93:10

But, in the male space, where it's a

93:12

little more testosteroney, when it got

93:14

associated with uh the Joe Rogans and

93:16

Modern Wisdoms and something I I

93:18

shouldn't say that, but the Jordan

93:19

Petersons is maybe a better way to put

93:20

it.

93:23

I think there was like a pushback

93:24

because also some of those people did

93:25

have very aggressive right-wing

93:26

politics. And so, these things got like

93:29

linked together in their minds

93:31

and

93:32

instead of saying, "Okay, how can we

93:34

take

93:36

the impulse in here that is clearly

93:38

making Jordan Peterson into some kind of

93:40

international phenom

93:42

and also try to answer it and have

93:43

something constructive to say about it."

93:46

It

93:46

there was sort of a rejection of it.

93:48

>> Discarded entirely because it's

93:49

rejecting the structural inequalities

93:51

that people are facing by saying that

93:53

there are things that you can do in to

93:54

pull yourself up by your bootstraps.

93:56

What what is surprising to me, and I'd

93:58

be very curious for what you think

93:59

happened here, because you know this

94:01

world a lot better than I do. Not the

94:02

right politically, but but somewhere

94:03

this went.

94:06

Is I don't really the way that

94:09

Peterson and maybe Doug Murray and

94:12

people like that, it seemed to like what

94:14

came after that was Andrew Tate and Nick

94:17

Fuentes and people who have I think no

94:20

real concept of virtue.

94:22

Right? I got my disagreements with

94:23

Jordan Peterson on lots of things, but

94:24

that guy thought a lot about virtue.

94:26

Thought about myth, thought about, you

94:27

know,

94:28

and

94:28

>> Over thought about it.

94:29

>> Over thought about it.

94:32

Somehow the right, like Bronze Age

94:33

Pervert, it pushed towards

94:37

vice.

94:39

So, the left gave up on virtue.

94:42

And the right rejected it.

94:45

Now, I I shouldn't say the left and

94:46

right because lots of people on both,

94:48

just like normal ass people, raising

94:50

kids and loving their partners and doing

94:52

their job and volunteering their

94:53

community and going to church.

94:55

But

94:56

maybe it's like an algorithmic dimension

94:58

of things.

94:58

>> The quiet middle three quintiles.

95:01

>> Yes.

95:02

But

95:03

at like the apex of the attention

95:05

economy

95:07

like I do feel I watch this happen. Like

95:09

you're not going to convince me it

95:10

didn't. Like the left became quite

95:11

hostile to sort of ideas of individual

95:13

cultivation. Like, oh, that's just like

95:15

you using your privilege.

95:17

And the right became the right moved in

95:18

a way where it became like

95:21

vice maxing. Do you use the term that

95:23

that comes in uses?

95:24

>> Kind of caricatured it to a degree.

95:27

>> But

95:28

>> [clears throat]

95:28

>> the most extreme version of this

95:30

I mean, certainly

95:31

I think if Jordan hadn't had his time

95:33

away uh if he hadn't done the God pivot

95:37

in the same way, if he'd continued to do

95:38

the

95:40

clean your room

95:41

get your bootstraps and and pick

95:43

yourself up by them

95:44

I do think that that would have probably

95:47

curtailed a lot of the vacuum that other

95:49

voices got sucked into. Now, who knows

95:52

how that would have actually played out,

95:53

but I I definitely get the sense that

95:56

wow, there is this big cohort of largely

95:59

men, largely young men, who

96:02

have increasingly grown up in fatherless

96:03

homes, which is a problem that the left

96:05

should be very concerned about, right?

96:07

Uh

96:09

they're looking for a patriarch figure.

96:11

They're looking for someone to tell them

96:12

how like how do I become a like it's the

96:14

equivalent of Dad, how do I shave?

96:17

Or I fancy this girl in school, how do I

96:19

talk to her? It's the equivalent of

96:20

that, but life-wide. And

96:23

if you open up that market, but then

96:26

remove yourself from it,

96:28

>> [snorts]

96:28

>> it's just going to suck in anybody that

96:30

can service it, but perhaps not quite at

96:33

the level that that first mover had been

96:36

able to do. And I think that that was

96:37

that was definitely a big part of it.

96:39

It's been kind of fascinating to see

96:42

this conversation unfold because

96:45

everybody's talking out of both sides of

96:46

their mouth, which for instance, one of

96:48

the big criticisms that I can certainly

96:49

have of most of the pro male advocates

96:53

and most of the people that are on the

96:54

right, uh um men's mental health isn't

96:57

taken seriously until it affects women

97:01

or other people.

97:02

Um

97:03

lip service is paid to that, but no one

97:06

really cares and there aren't very many

97:08

therapeutic models that sort of speak to

97:09

men in the way that they want to be

97:10

spoken to with regards to understanding

97:12

their desire for progress and conquering

97:14

mastery, and also providing them with

97:16

solutions that they can move forward on

97:18

as opposed to just hey, come in here,

97:19

talk about your feelings. Your your

97:21

issue is that you're a defective woman

97:22

as opposed to a man who needs

97:25

assistance.

97:26

Moving forward linearly.

97:28

Uh

97:29

but also

97:30

that same group of people that say that

97:32

that's a big deal and claim to be

97:33

advocates for men

97:35

will happily mock a guy who opens up

97:38

about his emotions on the internet. If

97:40

you see a video of a guy who's crying or

97:42

is really struggling or is down on his

97:43

luck,

97:44

there is not the sort of camaraderie

97:46

that you're claiming that it's supposed

97:48

to be there. That's like it is just a

97:49

huge hypocrisy. This is

97:52

men are good Tom Golden's got a substack

97:54

and he identifies this. It's like guys

97:57

won't help other guys that are

97:59

struggling emotionally in that sort of a

98:01

way whilst saying that men's mental

98:03

health needs to be taken more seriously.

98:05

It's like it's the equivalent of not

98:06

putting your money where your mouth is

98:07

with regards to this. But on the left

98:11

kind of complete denial of self-agency

98:14

of sovereignty of um

98:17

modern men being made to pay for the

98:19

sins that their grandfathers benefited

98:22

from a patriarchy that they no longer

98:24

feel a part of as Christine Emba says

98:26

and you go okay well

98:29

on both of those sides

98:32

it doesn't feel like much progress is

98:33

being at least much productive progress

98:34

is being made and then if you do begin

98:37

to try and have this conversation I'm

98:38

aware like

98:40

looking the way that I do maybe it's the

98:42

British accent maybe it's the whatever

98:43

like as soon as you start talking about

98:45

the problems of men and boys unless you

98:48

have this

98:50

painful throat clearing land

98:51

acknowledgement before you [ __ ] do it

98:54

every single time

98:55

the same boring accusations get thrown

98:57

at you. You don't care about women that

98:59

this is misogyny rebranded that this is

99:01

the thin end of the wedge that it's a

99:02

gateway drug to something that's much

99:04

more pernicious down the line that

99:06

talking about

99:08

birth rates or coupling or it's it's you

99:10

trying to pull women out of the

99:12

boardroom and put put them back into the

99:13

kitchen and it's just it's the boring

99:16

and fatiguing when you're trying to make

99:18

genuine progress and you say okay well

99:20

at what point can we have this

99:21

conversation without having to prostrate

99:23

ourselves for all of these issues that

99:24

have come before.

99:25

>> Let me ask you something though because

99:27

I I I think you're right

99:29

about the world of a couple of years

99:30

ago.

99:31

>> Mhm.

99:32

>> But I go on podcasts like this one

99:34

sometimes I was just on with Dax and I'm

99:36

sure expert and and I've done others.

99:40

Do you

99:41

who who are you sha- who are you we

99:42

shadow boxing with here?

99:44

>> Mhm. Because is this still true? I

99:46

actually do think there's a period where

99:49

you would get a lot of

99:51

I mean a lot maybe is even a strong

99:53

word, but

99:55

in both directions

99:58

there was like pretty

100:01

toxic and weird social media dynamics

100:03

that got very very gendered.

100:04

And were very identitarian.

100:08

And now I think there's a lot of

100:11

hangover of that.

100:14

But it and I'm not saying you can't find

100:17

it somewhere on the internet. You can

100:18

find anything somewhere on the internet.

100:22

But is it really still there in that

100:23

way? Like I see for instance Gavin

100:24

Newsom on the left is the trying to

100:27

engage this conversation

100:28

you know, fairly successfully, I think.

100:31

And in who he's having on his podcast,

100:33

which has been I think a very

100:34

interesting project. And you know, I see

100:36

Ryan Holiday, right? Who I know has been

100:37

on the show and I think he's great.

100:38

>> Obama Obama made a pivot a long time

100:40

ago. Yeah.

100:41

>> I mean his po- I mean Obama was always

100:42

This is a thing, right? This was a very

100:44

this this thing we're talking about was

100:46

a very punctuated moment. Because Obama

100:48

had a very aggressive politics of

100:50

self-cultivation.

100:51

Right? A very big there's a society and

100:54

there's the individual and you have to

100:56

act in a certain way. You have to be a

100:58

certain thing for your family. And his

100:59

post uh presidential project was about

101:03

young men, right? That was like a big

101:05

thing he did.

101:06

And so like there was this period online

101:08

where things got really fractious um

101:11

between the genders and and other

101:12

things.

101:14

And I think everybody is having some

101:17

trouble

101:18

knowing if they can declare it over.

101:20

>> Yeah, it's I I understand what you mean.

101:22

Uh

101:23

have

101:23

>> you still experience it is I guess the

101:24

question I was going to

101:25

>> I I absolutely I

101:26

>> From where? Like who?

101:28

>> If I was to put out any kind of a real

101:30

online that talks about sex differences,

101:32

still the blank slateism will come in.

101:34

There was one that came out yesterday.

101:35

There was one that came out yesterday

101:37

that said um the

101:40

differential in terms of housework

101:42

around the house between men and women.

101:43

Really interesting study. If you look at

101:45

the number the amount of housework time

101:47

that is spent by single men and single

101:49

women living on their own,

101:51

women do 200%

101:53

the amount of housework. Their standards

101:55

for a home tend to be more clean than

101:57

men's do. And I mean this has been

101:58

showing up in The Simpsons and Family

101:59

Guy and you know, all of the kind of

102:01

clichés for a long time.

102:03

But a ton of the comments are to do with

102:05

well, the only reason for that is

102:06

because women are socialized into

102:08

thinking that they have to have high

102:09

levels of presentability and that it

102:11

it's

102:12

uh uh

102:14

judgmental and social conditioning

102:15

that's caused this thing to happen. I

102:16

don't think that that's the case. I

102:18

think that you can make a pretty easy

102:20

evolutionary

102:21

psychology explanation to understand why

102:23

that would not be the case. If you to

102:24

talk ever about anything that's to do

102:27

with

102:30

male self-improvement

102:32

and the challenges that they're facing

102:34

with regards to that. I mean a good

102:35

example of this was there was a study

102:37

that said men need two

102:39

guys nights out per week in order to

102:42

maintain optimal mental health. It's a

102:44

pretty big study. It was

102:46

pretty well researched.

102:47

Every single comment was

102:50

boohoo poor patriarchy.

102:53

Tell me that you're a manchild without

102:54

telling me that you're a manchild. I

102:56

think when you see what Sabrina

102:58

Carpenter at the moment the lyrics the

103:02

uh

103:03

the

103:04

broad culture that's happening is not

103:08

unifying. And it's not unifying from

103:09

both sides. I would agree it's not

103:11

unifying. But I I think this is the

103:13

thing I'm trying to get out here a

103:14

little bit. Because I'm not disagreeing

103:16

that that either these comments are real

103:18

or some of these dynamics are real.

103:19

I'm

103:21

I think one of the things

103:25

we have to get over in the culture

103:28

is

103:30

one expecting anything to be unified.

103:33

But treating the comment section like

103:36

the actual reaction.

103:38

>> What would be a more real reaction?

103:40

>> I think that

103:41

other people in the conversation, I mean

103:43

cuz my my perception of this, right?

103:46

Which I track more what the people in

103:48

politics are saying and what the other

103:50

journalists are saying

103:51

is that this conversation about men

103:52

doing poorly

103:54

is everywhere. I mean Richard Reeves'

103:56

book was a big deal. And it's completely

103:59

at this at like the Democratic Party

104:00

like

104:02

it had this like sort of ridiculous

104:04

thing where it was going to spend tens

104:05

of millions of dollars on this like

104:06

problems of

104:07

men, but

104:08

but the idea that you can just say like

104:10

toxic masculinity be done with it. I'm

104:13

not saying you won't find that in a

104:14

comment section. I'm just saying that it

104:16

actually doesn't feel to me like where

104:18

the zeitgeist is.

104:20

But I think there's a lot of

104:23

shadow boxing with it. So I mean I

104:25

again like I'm a

104:27

well-known liberal commentator out here

104:28

talking about how much we need a liberal

104:30

politics of virtue. And broadly getting

104:32

a good reaction to that. Not never

104:34

getting [ __ ] for it, but I don't know. I

104:36

don't expect to never get [ __ ]

104:37

>> It's interesting. I wonder whether

104:38

the accelerator was pressed and we're

104:40

still sort of coasting close to maximum

104:42

speed, but it's not actually being

104:43

increased. That might be that might be a

104:44

way to look at it. At least in my

104:46

perspective

104:47

you're right that talking about the

104:49

problems of men and boys, talking about

104:50

the problems of men and boys

104:53

is not seen with the same dismissiveness

104:56

that it would have been 2 years ago.

104:58

Talking about the solutions for the

104:59

problems of men and boys

105:01

which is really what matters. Like

105:03

identifying the problem is only

105:04

interesting insofar or useful insofar as

105:06

it allows you to find a solution.

105:09

That to me still

105:11

gets the hackles up of a lot of people

105:13

on the internet. And

105:15

whether comments are tastemakers, how

105:18

top-down versus bottom-up is this, like

105:20

I I it's kind of hard. What are you

105:22

aggregating it from?

105:23

>> Well, that's what I mean that I think is

105:24

very hard. I think we have very

105:27

distorted views of the public.

105:28

>> Mhm.

105:29

>> And this has been one of the ways we've

105:31

been deranged

105:32

by algorithmic media.

105:33

And I think a couple of years back,

105:35

people reflected that.

105:37

They thought it was real.

105:39

>> Mhm.

105:39

>> And so, the tastemakers and the elites

105:43

began to sort of like fall in line to it

105:44

a little bit.

105:45

>> Mhm.

105:46

>> And I think that has stopped to a large

105:48

degree, and I think people have sort of

105:49

reasserted um independence from it.

105:53

But obviously, like the

105:55

the

105:56

buzz is still there.

105:58

But not mistaking the buzz as like the

106:00

thing. So, like, look, I don't know what

106:01

the solutions are that that you're

106:02

describing. I'm sure they're like some I

106:04

might agree with, some I might not.

106:06

I don't feel I will say that even

106:08

compared to what I thought was true a

106:10

couple years ago, I don't feel this

106:11

particular conversation to be

106:13

electric fenced.

106:14

>> Mhm.

106:15

>> Right? Like, I believe there are

106:16

differences between men and women. Like,

106:18

something I've said on different shows

106:20

is that one reason I think that some of

106:22

the vision of masculinity I'm seeing

106:25

like the

106:27

you know, take the shackles off of men,

106:28

right? Seems wrong to me is that you

106:30

have to I think start any vision of

106:31

masculinity with the reality that men

106:34

are stronger and through testosterone

106:35

more aggressive.

106:36

>> Mhm.

106:37

>> And so, self-mastery has always been

106:40

an important part of visions of

106:41

masculinity. Like, self-mastery and the

106:44

constructive channeling of those

106:46

impulses is like foundational to any

106:49

healthy masculinity.

106:50

And you're mostly I think people

106:52

understand what I'm talking about when I

106:53

say that.

106:54

>> Yeah.

106:54

>> Uh like I have boys, I think about this

106:57

a lot. Like, that's my kids.

106:59

>> is increasingly important.

107:00

>> Yeah, you're not going to convince me

107:01

that they don't have to channel their

107:02

aggressive impulses in healthy ways.

107:05

Uh and I just think in politics, I mean,

107:07

you know, again, I think Newsom is

107:09

interesting because he's somebody who

107:11

and you should have him on the show,

107:11

it'd be a very interesting conversation.

107:13

But he's somebody who I think is very

107:17

he's a very sensitive touch

107:19

for the politics of a moment.

107:20

>> Mhm.

107:21

>> And I mean, you look at his book, like

107:23

Young Man in a Hurry, the one he just

107:24

released, which is unusually interesting

107:25

for a politician's book.

107:28

>> Which is not a high bar, obviously.

107:29

>> They should put that on the front cover.

107:30

>> It is very much about this question of

107:34

like

107:35

I mean, you could really understand that

107:37

book as a confrontation with a certain

107:38

kind of maleness.

107:39

And he's very explicit about that.

107:41

In a way I find interesting. So, so to

107:43

me, my sense is like the the water has

107:45

changed here. I will say I think the

107:46

other thing though is that

107:49

I have often thought like the division

107:51

of the problems into male problems and

107:53

problems and female problems. I agree

107:54

that there are different questions for

107:55

men and women. I also think that there

107:57

is a broader set of questions that are

108:00

part of the AI thing and are a little

108:02

bit more unifying about

108:04

we actually need to find ways for human

108:05

beings just like continue to be human

108:07

beings and become more so. I like I This

108:09

is one of my obsessions and it's not to

108:11

change the subject, we can talk keep

108:12

talking about men.

108:13

But

108:16

I think there are more things

108:18

that

108:19

everybody is going to need and ways in

108:21

which we have turned modernity as a try

108:24

to keep people useful in the ways the

108:27

economy needed them to be useful.

108:29

They're going to need to be rethought in

108:30

more fundamental fashions, starting with

108:32

education.

108:33

And

108:35

that actually has some specific male

108:37

questions around it. I think Richard

108:38

Reeves is right when he says that modern

108:40

education is not well built for boys.

108:43

But

108:45

in a funny way, like the competition

108:47

like we've been so used to framing this

108:48

as a competition between men and women.

108:51

That the possibility of framing at least

108:53

some things correctly as competition

108:55

between humans and machines

108:57

opens up some avenues and pathways I

108:58

think to talk about things that are more

109:01

innate to humans of both sexes and also

109:04

separately innate in both sexes that

109:06

maybe would have been harder to do 5

109:07

years ago.

109:09

>> It's suddenly going to be easier to

109:10

unify if you have a common enemy because

109:12

that happened previously. It was just

109:13

between each other as opposed to

109:15

together against something else.

109:17

Yeah,

109:17

>> I look, it's it's interesting. It it

109:19

definitely feels to me like

109:22

I hope that it's not just lip service

109:24

that's being paid to something because

109:26

evidently in 2024 that was a

109:30

blank space that because left untouched

109:34

resulted in a lot of people going to the

109:35

other side. Right? From the left. Like

109:37

that young men really really seem to

109:40

depart from they didn't feel like they

109:41

were part of the What was that line that

109:43

was a a group for

109:45

uh underprivileged or underserved uh

109:47

communities and there was 13 of them and

109:49

the only one that was missing was men.

109:52

That there was every different version

109:53

of this is a Richard Reeves big big post

109:55

about this.

109:55

>> wait for that wasn't true. There was a

109:56

metal There's a men for Harris thing

109:58

that like there was a whole

110:00

>> The white guys for Harris movement?

110:01

>> that, right?

110:02

>> Yeah. Uh

110:04

I mix it mix feelings on

110:05

>> I'm sure, but you you you live by the

110:08

affinity group, you die by the affinity

110:09

group.

110:09

>> That's true.

110:10

>> [laughter]

110:11

>> That is

110:11

>> Can't be like there's no affinity groups

110:12

for me and then they do one and

110:14

>> Well, it's interesting on the uh what

110:16

are the groups that are falling behind?

110:18

Uh that was the issue that Richard took

110:20

with it. I don't know what he thought

110:21

about the white guys for Harris group.

110:23

Um

110:24

there was definitely some sort of

110:25

prostrating of the self there that that

110:28

felt a little strange.

110:29

Uh I'm interested in as you sort of

110:32

think about being somebody who have put

110:34

has public opinions who is putting these

110:35

sorts of things out on the internet.

110:37

Having the changing landscape and having

110:39

this sort of very long career of saying

110:42

things that might have felt true at the

110:43

time, but can be pointed to in future.

110:48

How do you avoid being too deranged by

110:50

the criticisms?

110:51

>> By the criticisms?

110:52

>> Yeah.

110:54

>> Uh that's not where I thought you were

110:55

going to go with that. Um

110:58

I don't know. I think it's the same

110:59

thing we were talking about earlier. You

111:00

have a backstage. I have people whose

111:04

reactions to things are a bellwether for

111:06

me. And if there's a huge amount of

111:08

critique of me at a certain moment and

111:09

they're that happens every so often, I

111:12

try to take it seriously and think about

111:13

it. Doesn't mean I always change my

111:14

opinion on it.

111:16

But

111:18

I think you need your own internal

111:19

compass. Again, I will say I have pretty

111:22

aggressive

111:24

algorithmic media hygiene.

111:27

And so I'm not out there looking for

111:29

reaction.

111:30

>> The reason I ask is, you know, we're

111:32

talking about

111:33

need for a degree of resilience. Degree

111:35

of resilience

111:37

in terms of individual agency now up

111:39

against what's going to be happening

111:41

with AI, already up against what's been

111:42

happening with social media and screens

111:44

and distraction and

111:46

there's a great article by Ethan Strauss

111:49

which is called criticism capture is

111:50

more warping than audience capture.

111:52

>> Oh, yeah.

111:53

>> And

111:54

>> I've not read that article but I think

111:55

there's something really to that.

111:56

>> It's

111:57

one of the most canonical things I've

111:59

read for the modern age. It's so good.

112:01

And it basically says that

112:03

people begin to change their positions

112:06

more to either

112:09

in advance defend against or as a

112:12

reaction to the existing or potential

112:15

criticisms that their work is going to

112:17

receive.

112:18

>> I think that it is a very tricky thing.

112:22

I will say this for me. It is a very

112:23

tricky thing

112:25

to know the difference between

112:29

absorbing critique

112:31

and synthesizing good points from it

112:34

and absorbing critique and not wanting

112:36

to touch

112:38

the

112:40

stuff.

112:40

>> Mhm.

112:41

>> [clears throat]

112:41

>> And

112:43

because they kind of feel the same

112:45

inside.

112:46

And

112:48

I There's not like one way to do it.

112:50

But

112:52

I do think it is important. I try to

112:54

think about this a lot.

112:56

That

112:58

critique is often a form of in-group

113:00

disciplining.

113:04

One thing I found over the years is that

113:07

nobody is hated like an apostate.

113:10

So the right

113:11

you know, to start there

113:14

and I know this from my friends there,

113:15

it's like

113:16

if you are on the right and you

113:19

turn anti-Trump, the hell you get is

113:21

nothing like what I get as a like

113:24

forever anti-Trump.

113:25

>> Openly anti-Trump.

113:27

>> Um, nobody cares. In fact, I have

113:29

perfectly good relations with people I

113:30

have to report on for the Trump

113:32

administration because they don't So

113:34

they never saw me on their side. It's

113:35

like that It's a stable relationship in

113:37

a way.

113:38

Uh

113:39

similarly, on, you know, the left, like

113:42

nobody's hated like an apostate.

113:44

>> The small differences make the most

113:46

>> Yeah, but but also

113:48

it's a possibly effective action.

113:51

>> Get in line.

113:52

>> Yeah, get in line and maybe you will.

113:54

And so you have to be very

113:57

careful about that inside yourself.

113:59

On the one hand, you want to be able to

114:01

hear critique and on the other hand, you

114:03

don't want to be scared of it. One of my

114:05

practices is when there's a lot of

114:07

critique of me

114:08

I will often invite one of the critics

114:10

on the show.

114:11

>> Mhm.

114:12

>> And just kind of talk it out and see

114:14

where I agree and disagree.

114:16

And if I can sort of pull it into the

114:18

spaces where I can deliberate about it.

114:21

But if all I'm doing is exposing myself

114:24

to the

114:25

roar of anger at a moment that's getting

114:27

algorithmically boosted, I don't That's

114:29

not constructive. I will say the other

114:31

thing that I'll sometimes do

114:33

is I find it's quite important for me in

114:35

terms of how

114:37

thoughtfully I can integrate feedback

114:40

when and in what context I absorb it.

114:43

So

114:44

being at dinner

114:46

and

114:47

getting pinged on my phone

114:50

where somebody sends me a mean article

114:51

about me. Sometimes friends are like,

114:53

"Did you see these terrible things

114:55

people are writing about you?" And it's

114:56

like, "Thank you.

114:57

Um, they didn't have my personal, you

114:59

know,

114:59

>> [laughter]

115:00

>> way to reach me, but you do. And now

115:01

you've brought it to my attention.

115:02

>> Um, at dinner.

115:03

>> Yeah, you're a conduit.

115:05

>> Yeah, I didn't need to be the conduit. I

115:06

know people are mad at me. I'm aware.

115:07

>> Yeah.

115:08

>> Uh,

115:09

but the thing that I'll now do is

115:12

if there's stuff

115:14

collecting

115:16

I will like put it together and I will

115:18

go print it all out or if it's videos,

115:20

you know, watch a video

115:22

>> You create a portfolio of criticisms.

115:24

>> a.m. when I'm resourced and have energy

115:27

>> Resilience is highest.

115:28

>> and can think about it during the day as

115:30

opposed to at the end of the day when

115:33

I'm like trying to transition between

115:34

the subway and my kids or, you know,

115:37

dinner and bed, whatever it might be.

115:39

So, it's like everything else, right?

115:40

You need a certain

115:42

If you're getting a lot of it, I think

115:43

you need a certain level of of

115:44

discipline and you need to walk this

115:46

balancing line between not getting

115:49

overwhelmed and not shutting out.

115:51

And I'm not saying I always do it well.

115:53

You like I like I'm not it's not a thing

115:55

I would say I've mastered.

115:56

>> Mhm.

115:58

Yeah, you've

116:00

it's it's fascinating for me to see

116:01

somebody who

116:03

I I I'm just however

116:05

cantankerous and controversial and

116:07

inflammatory some of the topics that I

116:09

talk about are or have been

116:11

none of them ever come close to

116:12

politics.

116:13

Politics is always going to be ground

116:15

zero for this, right? It's always going

116:17

to be ground zero and just the uh

116:19

the preparedness to step into that over

116:21

and over again for me is is pretty

116:23

fascinating. I think in the past I've

116:25

heard you describe journalism as

116:27

organized curiosity.

116:31

Given

116:34

how the last few years have gone

116:38

I I I remember as well you talking about

116:39

Vox on the idea that um better

116:41

information leads to um better politics.

116:46

Do you still believe that? Do you still

116:47

believe that now?

116:49

I'd probably alter it a little bit to

116:51

say that um it's not just information,

116:53

it's the information environment.

116:56

Because

116:58

it's hard to say, did we get better or

117:00

worse information? What we got was more

117:02

information.

117:04

Uh and then the way the information is

117:07

sorted algorithmically and other things,

117:09

you can have better information than at

117:11

any time in history

117:13

and worse.

117:15

And we did.

117:16

>> Mhm.

117:16

>> And so the way I would say it is I do

117:18

think better and worse information

117:20

environments, attention environments, I

117:21

really do take that layer as we've been

117:22

talking about pretty seriously.

117:25

But

117:28

is it a like a direct thing? I don't

117:30

know. I I will say one of the things

117:32

that has weirdly made me very hopeful

117:34

about how politics still can work is the

117:36

experience I've had on abundance. And

117:38

the point is not that just like me and

117:40

Derek did this. Abundance is

117:41

synthesizing things like the YIMBY

117:43

movement, the yes in my backyard housing

117:44

movement. It's synthesizing where I

117:46

think some of the smartest green groups

117:48

went on decarbonization and recognizing

117:50

we need to do that by accelerating green

117:52

technology and then figure out how to

117:53

deploy it at scale.

117:56

There were a lot of people and ideas and

117:58

so forth that we were kind of putting

118:00

into that. And I have watched

118:03

I have watched in a matter of a couple

118:05

of years ideas that were quite marginal.

118:07

I mean, the first piece on this I did

118:09

before we called it abundance,

118:11

I called it supply side progressivism.

118:13

Then I got to liberals and fields. Yeah,

118:15

right. Then liberals and fields which is

118:16

pretty good and then Derek got

118:17

abundance.

118:19

But the point was that

118:21

the left didn't talk about supply. We

118:22

only talked about demand. We talked

118:24

about how to redistribute. We talked

118:25

about how to subsidize, which are

118:26

important things, but we didn't talk

118:28

about how to create more of the goods we

118:29

needed. Now we do all the time.

118:32

So like there was a big intellectual

118:34

argument, again, not just mine, and it

118:36

worked.

118:37

And now everybody from

118:40

Newsom to Maura Healey to Wes Moore to

118:42

Momdani to everybody, right? Like it's I

118:44

just did a California governor's forum

118:46

where the top five Democrats in the

118:48

governor's race did a housing forum with

118:49

me.

118:50

And they were all just talking about how

118:52

to make it easier to build and how to

118:53

cut construction costs. So, like I have

118:55

watched

118:56

good information, good argumentation.

118:57

There's a RAND study about how much it

118:59

costs to construct per square foot in

119:02

California, Texas, Colorado. They were

119:04

all familiar with it. This one study had

119:05

been incredibly influential on all of

119:07

us.

119:08

So, it can happen.

119:09

>> What are you paying the most attention

119:10

to over the next couple of years?

119:12

>> I mean, AI.

119:14

I'm trying to help

119:16

create a better liberalism more capable

119:18

of competing with illiberalism.

119:20

I'm trying to create a better liberalism

119:22

more capable of competing with

119:23

illiberalism.

119:25

I obviously pay a lot of attention

119:27

politics. I cover Israel-Palestine a

119:30

lot, which is a just a tough ass issue.

119:33

Um

119:35

There's a bit of a mix of

119:38

I'm paying attention to everything you

119:39

would think I'm trying to pay attention

119:40

to and also the constant curves in the

119:43

road. Right? Did I expect us to be

119:45

spending the year

119:47

talking about war in Iran? I didn't

119:49

really.

119:50

Uh but now we are and like that's part

119:52

of what I'm paying attention to and so

119:53

more things will happen that I'm not

119:55

expecting and seeing. My work is a mix

119:58

of being

120:00

connected to the news,

120:02

connected to longer range intellectual

120:06

efforts in politics, and then connected

120:08

to

120:09

uh shows that are more about

120:12

the point of all this, which is a more

120:13

like beautiful and humane world with

120:16

novelists and meditators and people like

120:17

that. And so, it's all like for me it's

120:19

this constant

120:21

uh

120:22

calibrating of am I too far in this

120:24

direction, too much news, not enough

120:26

ideas, too many ideas, not enough news,

120:28

too much of politics and not enough

120:30

humanism,

120:31

and you know, there's no way to do it

120:33

but by feel and by

120:34

attending to the moment.

120:36

>> Sounds terrifyingly human.

120:38

>> [laughter]

120:38

>> So, I it does it does it sound it sounds

120:40

like

120:41

it sounds

120:43

unusually in touch, I think, with what

120:45

people's experiences of life are and

120:47

certainly

120:48

being on the outside and watching sort

120:50

of what goes on with politics, so much

120:51

of it seems to be this very sterile

120:53

detachment from what people's normal

120:55

day-to-day lives are like. The reporting

120:57

on it, too, also doesn't take that for

120:58

as if people wake up on a morning and

121:00

all that they're doing is mainlining

121:02

politics and political governance into

121:03

their veins.

121:04

>> You really don't want to let the

121:06

algorithms replace your intuition.

121:09

So, I mean

121:10

that I think a lot of people, because

121:12

they give their attention over to the

121:13

algorithms,

121:15

and then the algorithms decide what they

121:16

want to see.

121:17

>> Mhm.

121:18

>> That that process I just talked about

121:19

where you're constantly calibrating and

121:21

recalibrating and really trying to think

121:22

about what am I attending to.

121:24

Well, if you if the way you get

121:26

information is you open up X in the

121:27

morning or Instagram or TikTok or

121:29

whatever,

121:30

the algorithms have decided what you're

121:32

attending to.

121:33

Um there is much more room for intuition

121:35

when you're reading a print newspaper.

121:37

You looked around and looked at what you

121:38

were interested in and turned the page

121:40

and maybe saw something you didn't think

121:41

you were interested in, but you were,

121:42

and

121:43

I you were saying it it it sounds very

121:45

human.

121:46

It's all human in a way. We're all

121:47

humans doing it, though, you know,

121:50

I think

121:51

different spaces make us feel less that

121:53

way.

121:54

But I try to create a lot of space

121:57

for my own judgment to exist.

122:00

And to like feel what different things

122:02

feel like. Uh

122:04

one thing that I have

122:06

one way I

122:08

believe my own mind works differently

122:09

than I did 10 years ago, is I just am

122:11

much more in touch with how embodied it

122:14

is.

122:15

And the signals come from the body, not

122:17

just the mind. Including in a I don't

122:19

know how much you feel this way, but I

122:20

was thinking about this in

122:22

podcasts.

122:24

I have a questions document.

122:26

I don't follow it.

122:28

How do I know where I'm going? It's like

122:29

my skin prickles.

122:31

What the [ __ ] is that?

122:33

And yet

122:34

what makes me a good podcaster is not

122:36

the questions document, it's the skin

122:38

prickling.

122:39

>> Correct.

122:40

>> And trying to become more and more and

122:42

more in touch with that over time.

122:45

Again, these are the kinds of things

122:46

that I wish school would do more of.

122:48

It's like I want to teach my sons how to

122:50

listen to their bodies. It's very

122:51

difficult to teach instinct, to teach

122:53

taste. It's not scalable. It's going to

122:55

be different and idiosyncratic for every

122:56

person.

122:58

Uh and yet is

123:00

the

123:01

one of the most, if not the single most

123:03

important thing that you can continue to

123:04

develop. But I think you can teach and I

123:07

think you can help people cultivate

123:09

the connection those things need to come

123:11

through. Even just explaining the

123:12

primacy of it.

123:14

>> Mhm.

123:14

>> Like this is something that's important

123:16

that you should pay attention to.

123:17

>> Yeah.

123:17

>> Do not outsource your taste to the AI.

123:20

>> Yeah, but you have to feel, right? This

123:22

is one of the worries I have about a lot

123:23

of things is they disembody us.

123:25

>> Correct.

123:25

>> And you I I never know less about my

123:28

body

123:29

than when I'm really scrolling.

123:31

Do you ever Do you ever do

123:32

[clears throat] that where you like

123:34

move from a paper book to the to your

123:36

phone, which I will sometimes have both

123:37

out, and you can really feel the

123:39

difference, like how much I'm in touch

123:41

with the body on the physical, like

123:44

print, slow, versus here.

123:47

You really do become a brain in a vat.

123:48

And I'm not saying it's all bad. I don't

123:50

want to be overly

123:51

uh a Luddite here. I have a phone. I

123:53

have a computer. I work on the internet.

123:55

Uh but but I do think

123:58

yeah, developing intuition, developing

124:00

taste, that's a very personal, very

124:02

mysterious thing.

124:04

But developing the ability

124:07

to listen to what's happening inside of

124:08

yourself,

124:09

that through meditation and movement

124:12

practice and other things, it's like I

124:14

just would like to give people, kids, a

124:16

lot more meta training

124:18

in their attention and mind and, you

124:21

know, I think we do we're over-torqued

124:23

on information

124:25

and um need to push,

124:28

particularly in this era, harder, or I

124:30

would like to see us push harder

124:32

on

124:34

I don't even know what to call it. Um

124:36

like the art of thinking.

124:38

The art of feeling just as much.

124:40

>> Mhm.

124:41

>> I always think that going back to some

124:43

of the, you know, trends in podcasting a

124:45

few years back.

124:46

Uh

124:48

when I guess it was Ben Shapiro's line,

124:50

you know, facts don't care about your

124:51

feelings.

124:52

I always thought it was a big I was

124:53

really disagreed with that line.

124:55

Cuz it's not that facts care about your

124:56

feelings. Facts don't care about

124:57

anything. They're fact.

125:00

But you should care about your feelings.

125:02

Feelings are very intelligent.

125:04

And the dismissal of them

125:06

is which is not obviously just a a Ben

125:08

thing, it's a mistake, right? You want

125:10

to be in touch with the way things feel.

125:12

There's a lot of intelligence in that.

125:15

And again, you know, the AI can't feel

125:17

the way things feel, but you can. And so

125:19

like that's a

125:21

capacity to cultivate.

125:23

>> It's fascinating. I had I had a

125:24

conversation with uh Alex O'Connor, and

125:27

he was explaining how

125:29

the sort of modern world of rationalism,

125:33

focus on science, uh trying to uh

125:36

optimize your thinking tools, and the

125:37

dismissal of religion, story, mythology,

125:40

narrative, narrative arc,

125:41

personification, uh was getting people

125:44

to reject that that felt most real to

125:47

them

125:48

in place of something that you told them

125:50

was more real, but felt as fake as it

125:52

could be. Like if you see facts and

125:54

figures, they're not as compelling as a

125:56

story of a person that this affected.

125:58

And you can just continue to scale that

126:00

all the way up to Well, you can try and

126:02

reverse engineer virtue from first

126:04

principles, but it's like actually a

126:06

really hard it's a very

126:09

difficult and clunky thing to do as

126:11

opposed to uh

126:12

>> [sighs]

126:12

>> you know, when I did I you know, when I

126:13

behaved in that way, I didn't feel good.

126:16

I didn't feel good when I said when I

126:18

lied to that person as opposed to having

126:21

to be able to

126:22

uh show me your proof of why lying is

126:24

wrong

126:25

>> Mhm.

126:25

>> on this whiteboard. Uh it's it's way

126:27

harder. And uh yeah, I

126:30

I'm completely on board. I think

126:32

the

126:33

demand is going to be for people to feel

126:35

more.

126:36

>> Although I would take this in both

126:37

directions actually. We mentioned Pema

126:39

Chödrön who's a Buddhist teacher was

126:42

recently on my show and I'm a very big

126:44

fan of a lot of her work. And her work

126:45

is very much about tolerating the

126:47

feelings we don't want to tolerate.

126:49

And one of the reasons I think it's very

126:51

important to be in touch with what

126:52

you're feeling is not always because you

126:54

should listen to it.

126:56

Sometimes

126:58

actually I think so much of life

127:01

is driven by these little embodied

127:04

contractions we barely even notice. But

127:06

because we don't even notice that

127:07

they're happening

127:09

we follow them unthinkingly.

127:10

>> Mhm.

127:11

>> And so it it's such a weird balance.

127:14

On the one hand I completely agree with

127:16

you. You said it was Alex O'Connor? What

127:18

he was saying.

127:19

On the other hand of course there are

127:20

many many many times when the way the

127:23

world works violates what feels true to

127:25

us.

127:26

>> Mhm.

127:27

>> And so

127:29

it

127:30

having the information is there so you

127:32

can make good judgments about it. But if

127:34

you don't know that that information is

127:36

happening in you you're actually going

127:38

to be much easier much more easily moved

127:41

by it than if you do.

127:42

>> Mhm.

127:42

>> Right. I have become one thing that I'm

127:44

proud of myself because it has been very

127:46

hard work for me. Like genuinely hard

127:47

work for me and particularly in personal

127:49

relationships.

127:50

I have become better at knowing

127:53

that I am uncomfortable.

127:55

And so I don't run away from it.

127:58

But when I didn't know it

128:01

I was much more led around by it because

128:02

I just knew I didn't want to be there.

128:04

But I didn't take time to sit in the

128:06

space

128:07

cuz I wasn't like fully feeling it.

128:10

>> to it.

128:10

>> reacting to it. So that that to me is

128:12

like some of the the genius of getting

128:14

better at listening to your own body you

128:16

actually know if something's happening

128:18

that

128:19

you're going to need to sit through

128:20

rather than react to.

128:22

>> I can. As we climb

128:23

>> ladies and gentlemen

128:24

>> as we Thank you.

128:25

>> Okay. What's coming up next?

128:27

>> Uh who did I just tape up? Just taped

128:28

with Ian Bremmer. Had a great

128:30

conversation about

128:31

uh

128:32

the crazed state of the world.

128:35

>> That could be a title for pretty much

128:36

everything that you're doing at the

128:37

moment. I appreciate you man. Thank you

128:39

very much. All right. See you next time

128:40

everyone.

128:41

Dude.

128:42

Congratulations, you made it to the end

128:44

of a full podcast episode. You are not

128:45

so TikTok brain that you've completely

128:48

dissolved into nothingness. [music]

128:50

Why not watch another one?

128:52

Right here.

128:54

Go on.

128:55

Press it.

Interactive Summary

Ezra Klein discusses the impact of digital media, social media, and algorithmic culture on political discourse and personal well-being. He argues that the constant pursuit of attention through these platforms leads to the 'tragedy of the commons' and degrades both political virtue and individual cognitive function. Klein suggests that maintaining a 'backstage' life, practicing intentionality, and avoiding algorithmic capture are essential for preserving one's independence of mind and capacity for quality work in an era defined by attention-hacking.

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