Invest in This – It’ll Be Worth $1.5 Million by 2030 | World Leading Investing Expert - Cathie Wood
2491 segments
I've read through a decade of your
research to figure out what the best
investment is, so anyone can get rich in
the future. And you predicted that this
will grow by at least 5,000%.
Yes, and my conviction is so high
because of what I do on a day-to-day
basis. Is there a woman on planet Earth
that manages more money from an
investing capacity than you? Maybe not.
I'm overseeing nearly $30 billion.
Okay, so I might have $500. What should
I be doing with that? So, this is all
you need to know. Cathie Wood built a
multi-billion dollar fund by spotting
trends before anyone else. And now, with
over 40 years of market insight, she's
showing you how and where to invest,
too. AI is the biggest technological
disruption in history. And this
incredible rate of change is making
people uncomfortable. But if you are on
the right side of change, investment
opportunities and job opportunities are
going to be enormous. But people don't
know what to do. For example, many
people think Apple is a very safe
investment, but it's probably going to
be disrupted by artificial intelligence.
But yet, Tesla's going to be the
biggest.
You've invested just over 2 billion in
Tesla. Yeah, because Tesla is the
largest AI project on Earth. So, AI has
to be a top priority, not an
afterthought. Say I've got questions.
What's your top 10 public stocks that
anybody can invest in? What's the
philosophy towards investing that will
make one rich over time? And then, if I
want to invest in AI, how should I be
investing my money? According to our
research, these investments will go up
more than tenfold in the next 5 to 10
years and create incredible
opportunities for investors. So, number
one,
This has always blown my mind a little
bit. 53% of you that listen to this show
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much.
Cathie Wood,
is there a woman on planet Earth that
manages more money from an investing
capacity than you?
Well, there's probably not someone
overseeing Yes, nearly $30 billion.
Uh but I know there are teams out there,
including women, that manage maybe a lot
more than that. What is it that you do?
Invest in companies that are going to
that are technologically enabled and
that that are going to transform the
world as we know it.
Robotics,
energy storage, artificial intelligence,
blockchain technology, and multiomic
sequencing in the life science space.
The last is the most complicated. And
how long have you been an investor? I
started when I was 20 years old at a
company called Capital Group, and I was
introduced to the firm by Art Laffer.
Now, Art Laffer, he's one of the most
important economists of our time. He
created something called the Laffer
Curve. He's advised most presidents
since President Nixon, and he's advising
President Trump as well. And how is
these five big innovation platforms that
you speak of, how is that going to have
an impact on
the average person's life? Like, why do
they need to know this stuff?
How is it going to change their
decision-making and change their career
and Now that the world is moving so
quickly into this new world,
uh and Bitcoin has become so successful
an investment, many people are trying to
figure out, okay, how how do I get
involved with the new world? And when I
say get on the right side of change, we
think there's going to be a lot of
disruption to the traditional world
order. And when I say that in terms of
people understanding what I mean,
I think many people think Apple is a
very safe investment because huge hoard
of cash, very successful smartphone, you
know, number one market share of
smartphones
in terms of profitability, by far.
And yet, we can tell you, and this is
one of what's called the Mag 6 that led
the stock market over the last few
years.
The top six stocks.
The top six stocks, the market was very
narrowly focused on this ilk of stock,
and we were saying, you know what?
Apple is probably going to be disrupted
by artificial intelligence.
And one of the reasons we started asking
questions very early is what is the
ultimate mobile device? Ultimately, it's
going to be an autonomous vehicle.
Apple should have been all over that,
and they were trying, and we saw one
management turnover after another. This
is an AI project, and what we were
learning as they were turning that team
over
time and again is
they they weren't getting AI right. They
were not positioning correctly. You're
concerned for Apple?
I think Apple
it has so much cash, it has such a loyal
customer base. Uh it will be fine, but
maybe
its revenue growth has slowed to almost
nothing.
And so, maybe it'll be a mature cash
cow. That's not what we do. We invest in
technologically enabled disruptive
innovation. AI is the biggest
technological disruption in history. And
if they're not going to get it right,
we're not going to be there. So, if I
want to invest in AI, if I agree with
you, Cathie, and I say to you, you know,
I think I think you're right that AI is
the biggest technological wave coming
into shore and the biggest opportunity,
how how should I be investing my money?
In in in your view, how are you
investing your money to capitalize on
AI? Many people used to invest in AI
through one stock. That was Nvidia. That
was the check-the-box, I own the GPU,
the chip manufacturer, which is the most
important chip manufacturer in the AI
age. And its valuation, meaning
its
price relative to earnings, um really
got up to very heady levels. And we were
saying at the time, well, if Nvidia's
valuation is correct, there there there
are going to be a lot of other winners.
Who are they?
Uh well, our largest position in the
flagship strategy, ARKK, is Tesla.
And as we were trying to help people
understand why we were swapping away
from Nvidia to stocks like Tesla and
Palantir, which is a software provider,
um we were trying to explain that this
new world around AI is going to happen
very quickly.
And uh Tesla is the largest AI project
on Earth. Uh I posted that on X, and
Elon liked it, so it must be true.
But it is true if our research is
correct. Uh we believe that um
the entire ecosystem associated with
autonomous
uh taxi networks is going to be worth 8
to 10 trillion dollars in terms of
revenue generation in the next 5 to 10
years. And if you want to put that in
context, the the entire GDP of the world
today is about 130 trillion. So, 10
trillion is going to move the needle.
Tesla are launching their first cyber
taxi, I believe, in Austin in June,
potentially.
Yes, it So, the cyber cabs will launch
next year, but in Austin in June, those
will be Model Ys. And I'm looking to buy
another Model Y because it will in
effect be a cyber cab. Okay. And if I
chose to, I could have my
Model Y drive me to work and then let it
out for the day and earn money on it,
have it pick me up at the end of the
night. And some people will do that, and
Tesla will provide the platform for
that. I think a lot of people don't
realize just how much of the economy is
about driving. Yes.
So, taxis, deliveries, all these kinds
of things. It's a huge Is it the single
I think it's the single biggest employer
in the world. Yes, transportation,
broadly defined. Yes. And And it's not
just on the ground, of course.
As we've studied autonomous taxis
moving forward, we believe the cost of
transportation will come down fairly
dramatically. So,
in the US today, an Uber costs roughly
two to four dollars per mile.
Um at scale, now this may not be for 5
to 10 years, but this is the direction
that Tesla certainly is headed. We
believe that Tesla will be able to offer
a service for 25 cents per mile.
And because of that, we think there will
be much more congestion in the roads.
When you cut the price of something, you
get more of it. And that led us into the
air. And so, we've been studying
studying EVTOLs. Um What's an EVTOL?
EVTOL is an electric vehicle takeoff and
landing.
Like a drone type of
but for for people. Yeah. So we own
Archer in our portfolio. And of course
AI is a part of this new world as well.
Um and it's a part of the defense world
as well as we are trying to save our
soldiers and um
and move out there with autonomous
drones. So autonomous
uh mobility on the ground, in the skies,
ultimately on the water.
So so Tesla. So that's one big We we
think that's going to be the biggest in
the short term in terms of revenue
generation, the biggest application of
AI. We think the most profound
application of AI is going to be in
healthcare.
Because of AI, and this is already
beginning to happen.
Uh
we are able to diagnose
cancer with a blood test in stage one.
Think about that. If you discover cancer
in stage one, you can save most people.
Crazy. Right? And maybe even before
stage one. Why? This is the convergence
of sequencing technologies. So DNA, RNA,
protein sequencing
uh technologies,
and then the third uh technology that is
breakthrough and already making a
difference is CRISPR gene editing. The
convergence of those three technologies
is beginning to cure disease. So uh a
company called CRISPR Therapeutics,
which is one of the largest in our ARKG
fund and in the top 10 in our ARKK fund,
uh has developed a therapy
uh to cure sickle cell disease with and
beta thalassemia. Both of those are
blood-related diseases
with one treatment.
Think about that. Now, the
preconditioning for that is gruesome.
It's It's It involves It's almost like
chemotherapy, uh which is going to
change. Uh but nonetheless, there's huge
demand for it because, you know, these
people go to the emergency room 10 to 20
times per year for blood transfusions to
save their lives.
Of course they're going to go through a
tough regimen. They want to live a more
normal life. Uh so it's already
generating revenue. Both Both of those
are already generating revenue for
CRISPR Therapeutics and a company called
Vertex. So this this
Well, there's three or four different
companies you've mentioned here. Tesla,
the other one was Archer.
Archer is the EVTOL company, yes. So
it's your flying cars, basically.
They're your drone cars. Yes. And CRISPR
and Tesla. So if I start with Tesla, you
were bullish on Tesla. You were making
big predictions about Tesla before
pretty much anyone else out there. I
think in 2015. Mhm. And at the time in
2015, you said that you believed the
stock would get above 4,000, roughly.
Right, on the old stock.
Yeah, on the before the stock split. And
you were right by some significant
margin. Um
I think you predicted it would be 4,000
before the stock stock splits. And I
think at its peak, that equates to about
18,000, maybe 12,000 at its peak. Yes,
well
region. We We We were right about two
early years
or Tesla got to where we believed it
would go two years before most expected.
You know, in 2018 and 19, many people,
as Elon was dis discussing
and describing production hell for the
Model 3,
um many people thought the company would
go bankrupt.
And uh and yet we knew
that if Elon Musk
could create a reusable rocket that
could land on a barge
in the water, he would be able to figure
out how to produce at scale the Model 3.
That was to us a simple um conclusion.
Now, as in hindsight, as we're learning
from Tesla, production hell, and they
themselves were worried. That's why Elon
slept on the floor in the production
factory and just became maniacally
involved, which is how he works uh as uh
So yes, and now our prediction, the
stock is I'm not going to be exactly
right on this, 270 280 uh dollars. Uh
our prediction in five years is 2,600.
And 90% of that valuation comes not from
the electric vehicle, but from this
robotaxi platform. Uh because the
electric car, if you think about it, is,
you know, a one-shot sale. You know,
sell and hope they come back when
they're replacing their car. This
essentially means that we'll be driving
cars that we can
click a button and then then it becomes
an autonomous taxi. So I go on holiday,
I have my my Tesla car at my house. When
I go on holiday, the car turns into a
taxi and starts chauffeuring people
around. It makes me money. But also,
from the consumer's perspective that are
trying to hail a taxi, at any point I
can go on my Tesla app, press a button,
a autonomous car comes to me with no one
driving it, and it takes me to my
destination with no driver at all.
Um and then the recurring revenue model,
I believe, is you subs you subscribe.
probably could It It could be a You
could subscribe to the network or they
could uh
you know, maybe it could be either or,
subscription or ala carte if you don't
think you're going to use it that much.
So
now, when I'm here in the UK and Europe,
many people do not believe what what you
just said. And and they don't because
your regulators have not allowed FSD
here. I think they might I I
Somewhere in Europe, I think they're
beginning to consider it.
Maybe even in the UK here, they have are
considering it.
Um in St. Petersburg, Florida, where
we're based, um
I can go from my house to anywhere,
and
flawlessly the car will take me there.
Now, we still have to sit in the
driver's seat for now, but in June uh or
soon thereafter, when they turn the
system on, if regulators permit. Right
now, we're state by state. I think
that's going to change so that we'll
have federal regulations so that this
can happen a lot faster. One other thing
about Tesla, though, in that 2,600
uh dollar number,
we do not include much for humanoid
robots.
Now,
I
This And and this is happening faster
than we thought.
Um
she And the reason it's happening faster
is humanoid robots,
they are the convergence of the same
three technologies or innovation
platforms as robotaxis.
Robo robots, robotics. So actuators and
so forth, getting them to work.
Energy storage, battery operated. And
AI. Mhm. So Tesla's way ahead of the
game on humanoid robots. And yet we have
very little. Now, Elon thinks that the
humanoid robot business is going to
dwarf the robotaxi business. And we
think he's right, uh but longer term. So
as I mentioned, we expect all in, around
the world, including China, not just
Tesla, but the entire ecosystem, an 8 to
10 trillion dollar market uh in the next
five to 10 years for humanoid robots.
Uh we expect a 26 trillion dollar
revenue market. Now, that's going to be
a little further along. Uh robotaxis
will happen faster, but it may not be as
distant as we were once thinking.
For anyone that doesn't know, humanoid
robots are basically robots that we'll
have in our home and at work. Mhm. So
these are There was a video that I think
um Elon retweeted the other day showing
one of the human humanoid robots
dancing.
Dancing, yes.
Was that real? I was like looking at
that video thinking, surely that's not
real. But he confirmed, I believe, that
it was real.
Yes. Yes. Now, when we went to the
cybercab event,
uh there were some humanoid robots
dancing there, but they were tethered
and they were remotely controlled.
Yeah. Uh now, cybercab, I think, was
About a year ago.
Yes, maybe. So since then,
they've been able to untether them, and
uh I do believe that those that dancing
robot was was um
not tethered and not remotely
controlled. It was quite shocking to see
a robot doing that, because if a robot
can have that dexterity and mobility,
and then you overlay that with the AI
technologies that are accelerating
rapidly, it begs the question.
And the question is quite clear, which
is what about humans? Yes.
Um and just to put a finer,
you know, note on this, um
Elon will not be satisfied until these
robots can thread a needle.
So that's where we're going. What does
that mean for humans? So, you know, the
history of technology
is that it has been a net job creator
throughout history.
But, humanoid robots are getting awfully
close to what we do, right? So, it's a
good question. I I think creativity is a
big part of that, ingenuity and
creativity. And, you know, I think
there's going to be a
they're going to be a
lot of new inventions uh in the future.
So, let's see what those are. But, even
today, there's something called vibe
coding. Have you heard of it?
Okay.
Because we've moved into the world of
natural language programming. What is
vibe coding for someone that doesn't
know? It's
Vibe coding means you know a natural
language. I know We all know a natural
language. Ours is English for the most
part, but it could be any language. Um
we're going to be able to go to chat GPT
or to especially now, they just
launched, I think, last week something
called Codex, Replit, uh and Anthropic's
fantastic for for um
programming. And, we'll say, "This is
what I'm attempting to do." in English
language. And I And I've seen demos of
this just internally. We We're going to
replace some of our software that we're
buying from outsiders and customize it
for us because, you know, we don't have
to buy off the shelf anymore. One size
fits all. I think there's going to be a
lot more customization and
personalization
and creativity explosion here. You know,
it's interesting that this is happening
when the demographic profile of the
developed world is as it is. Uh we have
a very low unemployment rate in the US.
I know the unemployment rates in Europe
and the UK have been dropping
to much lower levels than where where
they were stuck for years. I remember
thinking, "Wow, double digits."
Uh
we have a demographic issue. I mean, if
you if you watch what uh
Elon Musk worries about the most, he he
worries about the population implosion
uh because
Collapse? Uh collapse. Collapse in
population in the developed world um
because we're not uh
uh
we're not producing children above the
fertility rate. We're We are setting up
for a shrinkage with China's going
there, Japan is going there.
And so, we're going to need productivity
uh
productivity to help us if we can't find
human beings.
Uh okay. So, you're So, you're saying
that the ro- robotics and AI could
actually fill the gap that we lose in
terms of productivity because our
society's going to be like an inverted
pyramid. It's going to be more um
elderly people and less young people.
Yes. Yes.
are going to
Yes, absolutely. It's Productivity is
going to be essential. So, as we're
looking at real growth ahead and mhm
when you think about real growth
uh you should be thinking, "Okay,
somebody's benefiting from this." Um and
I'm going to set what I I'm going to set
up the number here uh by describing what
has happened historically. If you look
from 1500
to 1900
and you try and figure out what real GDP
growth was back then, real economic
growth
um as best as uh Brett Winton, our chief
futurist, in consultation with academics
can determine.
It was roughly 0.6%
per year.
And then we had the Industrial
Revolution.
Uh we had
the internal combustion engine,
telephone, electricity.
And for the past 125
years, real GDP growth has been 3%.
And and most li- living standards have
gone up over time. Some more than
others. I know that's a debate, but most
have gone up.
If we as we look forward
based on the five innovation platforms
around which we have centered our
research and investing
if we're right, real GDP growth in the
next five years could accelerate to
7.3%.
And that gives you a sense of uh
the economic uh
activity, wealth generation out there.
And
what when we are presenting to
investors, we are actually presenting to
them not only because they're investors
but because they have children or
grandchildren who need to adapt to this
new world. And our mantra in giving away
our research, which we do
is get on the right side of change. We
also do podcasts.
Um we we try We do a lot of outreach
because we think this is a very
important moment in time.
Uh seize the moment, grab hold of these
new technologies
because that growth rate is more than
twice where we've been. And if you are
on the right side of change we think the
opportunities are going to be enormous.
Uh investment opportunities and job
opportunities. Yeah, I feel like I've I
feel like I'm
I feel like I can't figure out what
how the displacement rate
meets the creation rate.
So, the destruction rate of of current
jobs will meet the creation rate of new
jobs because many of these new jobs I I
guess there's some of them we can't
predict yet. I I understand that. But,
even the ones that we can't predict yet
would need to be inherently
human, i.e. need the skills of a human
for them to be occupied by by humans.
Um so, what category of stuff is that?
Like, my my girlfriend's a breathwork
practitioner. She's upstairs now with 10
women and she's teaching them
breathwork.
Okay. So, she's fine. Yeah? Like, cuz
they're doing that in person, what
whatever. She's fine.
Well, and
maybe she's not if people decide
it on chat GPT. Yeah, on chat GPT. But,
but if they want to be with a group of
women
Yeah. and, you know, learn from an
expert whom they respect. There's as
much the social experience. That's going
to become more important. Relationships
are going to become more important. Many
people in our business
I think are going to be out of jobs
because
uh the business has become really
nothing I I shouldn't be this
disrespectful. It's not quite right.
But, uh at all. Uh but you know, so many
are just hugging benchmarks
uh whether it's S&P 500 or MSCI World or
the Nasdaq that a machine can do that. A
machine can do that easily. And that is
what passive investing is is machines
doing it.
I think in order to earn a place in the
new world, you've got to add a lot of
value, more value than a machine can.
So, in our case, we're saying "Okay,
well, our stocks are not in those
benchmarks." Uh and therefore
you know, they're they're We are doing
original research trying to figure out
who they are and where they are, these
these companies that are going to
transform the world. Why can't AI
replace what you're doing in terms of
So, and we think about that all the
time. So, AI
can
use pattern recognition. It's all based
on history, right? Uh it can use pattern
recognition, maybe, to do what we're
doing.
What are the three characteristics that
define an innovation platform for us?
The most important one is they follow
something called Wright's Law, which
measures the learning curve, how fast
the costs are going to decline
with this new technology. Technology is
deflationary. Costs fall over time and
they're passed through into lower prices
or better performance, one or the other.
Um
that is the most important. A machine
can figure that out, I'm sure. But,
asking the questions uh are going to be
important. Like
there wasn't before 2014 when we started
Arc much on autonomous mobility or
eVTOLs
or, for that matter, AI. AI had become
science fiction. There weren't any
breakthroughs in recent years. But, then
we got some breakthroughs. So, could So,
Wright's Law is the first, figure out
that cost curve decline, and and see how
quickly the technology can prolific
proliferate across sectors. That's the
other criteria criterion here. The
technologies
that we are following are going to cut
across economic sectors and apply uh
to more than one group of people. And
then, the third is that these
technologies serve as launching pads for
new technologies. So, in the case of DNA
sequencing, which was the base
technology we needed that
before CRISPR gene editing
uh could be created. We needed to be
able to understand what was mutating in
the genome, where the programming errors
were, so that gene editing could come in
and edit out those programming errors.
And do you think in 5 10 years from now
that unemployment is going to be higher
or lower?
In 5 or 10 years,
um
let's let's assume we don't have a
policy mistake and and a recession. So
just just steady state,
I think it will be the same or lower.
And most of this is because those baby
boomers are retiring.
Uh they
come out of the employment
They come out of the labor force. And uh
and the generations following them are
smaller. Even now what's happening is
uh we're we're passing through the baby
boom echo, meaning the children of the
baby boom. That cohort was
I don't think it was any bigger than the
baby boom uh
baby boom population. Do you think
there's because of the speed of and the
acceleration of AI the like this the
length of careers has radically reduced
cuz you would go to like you'd go to
school, then you go to university, you
qualify as I know an accountant and
that's like a 10-15 year process. You
get a job as an accountant, you start
working your way up. But now with AI
coming in, these some of these jobs are
being
completely annihilated
extremely quickly. At the same time vibe
coding
Yeah. is booming. So I think what's
going to happen and this will be very
healthy for productivity. We're going to
have a lot more experimentation and
people taking risks on themselves. Uh
and maybe this idea of a corporation as
we know it is going to change radically.
You know, crypto is enabling distributed
autonomous organizations.
Uh just like Bitcoin, there's there's no
no one governing it, right?
The it's a distributed network.
And you know, let's see how these do and
how vibe coding
and AI integrate into the crypto I and
I'm going to stop calling it crypto
because it should be called digital
assets world, which legitimizes it more.
Crypto sounds nefarious. Digital assets
is where you know, more than
young people and uh I'll say
young people are spending more than half
of their discretionary their free time
online.
And so property ownership online is
becoming more important. It's it's being
legitimized by the way people are
spending their time. On this point of
robotics and AI, your your biggest
position I believe is Tesla, isn't it in
your fund?
Yes. Um
but obviously Elon decided that he
wanted to go into politics.
He wanted to do
Oh, Elon. the Department of Government
Efficiency called Dodge. So teaming up
with Trump to try and eliminate
government waste. Now as an investor
Mhm.
you must
not love that. Well, the I I have two um
I have Cuz it did impact
two points of view.
performance of the company. Do you know
I have I drive a Tesla when I go to
America and it was the first time ever
on the last trip to America in January.
I live in LA now. Oh. Um what what I'm
driving my you know, my cybertruck. It's
the full self-driving. It's incredible.
But it was the first time ever I
thought, [ __ ] I like I could be
attacked. So I probably shouldn't get a
cybertruck. I should probably get
something else cuz I had all these
reports of people being attacked.
Mhm. And so it was quite interesting to
hear in the earnings report which I
listened to that there's been this
decline in revenue in profitability in
vehicle sales growth etc. in Q1 of this
year
Mhm. which I think even Elon in that in
that earnings call highlights is a
consequence of him becoming political.
Yes. Uh I think that surprised him. Uh
um
so
I have many thoughts about this. Our
government has become so bloated, it is
scary. And uh our indebtedness is
growing.
And if we want to remain the reserve
currency of the world we're at risk of
of losing it and and on our tail is the
whole
digital asset world, right? So
um
government spending is taxation.
It's either taxation that's going to
happen immediately or will happen in the
future
or will happen through inflation, which
is the most regressive tax at all. So I
think his the the sentiment was was
right in terms of you know, getting in
there and seeing what technology can do
for the government, which is really
what's happening. I'm watching it in the
FDA how they're starting to use AI. It's
phenomenal what's happening.
Uh so
the question I usually get So I I'm very
happy that uh
half of the solution is understanding
the problem, that someone is in there
with that focus and determination. He of
course has said he's stepping away uh
this month as a matter of fact to spend
more time with his companies. Which you
must be happy about.
Well, of course I'm happy about it, but
I I have with the exception of this
political dynamic, I don't think
that Elon
uh not being there on a day-to-day basis
is what has caused the problem in the
first quarter. It was much more macro.
We had a negative quarter in real GDP
growth in the first quarter. So macro
which is hitting everyone and the
overlay of this political dynamic. The
news cycle, thank goodness, moves fast
and so we'll we'll be through that I
think. And by the way, there are news
reports even this weekend saying those
who were feeling about him you know,
as it relates to Dodge and you know, one
party are having a change of heart
because tax rates are going to come down
because we're being more disciplined on
the on the government spending side.
Elon's way of
managing his companies is to attract the
best and the brightest, not only
scientists, engineers but also business
people.
Uh they these are people who want to
solve the hardest problems in the world.
Um he sets a timeline
that seems uh reasonable to him for
milestones to occur.
And he doesn't interfere unless they
start missing those milestones or the
timing of those milestones. Then he gets
involved and that's where you hear he'll
go in and he'll just fire people
wholesale and you know, and and you
know, get the program going again. And
he's he's done that certainly at Tesla.
He's done that at all of his companies.
And so he's really
troubleshooter-in-chief.
Once he understands and has set a
strategy
he then becomes troubleshooter-in-chief.
Have you met him? Oh yes, we did
actually. Our
first podcast with him was in 2019. Oh I
saw that podcast.
production hell. Yeah. And uh we were so
happy. So as you know, we have a social
strategy, so we push our research out
through social media as we give it away
or as we're evolving it. And uh he liked
a piece of research that Tasha Keeney
had put out on autonomous back then. And
I was on a phone call I couldn't get
off, but I heard this whooping and
screaming through the office and I I I
thought it sounded good. It wasn't an
emergency, so I I didn't have to leave
that call, but I got out. I said, "What
happened?" "Elon." And I said, "Okay,
ask him if we can do a podcast." And we
were there the next week. Oh,
incredible. Yeah. What do you think of
him as a entrepreneur?
I think he's the Thomas Edison of our
age in terms of uh in terms of his
um
in innovative ingenuity and
I also think having met him a number of
times, I think he's a very good person.
He wants to do the right thing. If I had
to say one thing, he wants to do the
right thing to transform
the lot of most of humanity. And he
started
uh with Tesla, SpaceX and Tesla
Tesla, you know, was a an environmental
move. Which I think a lot of people
attacking his cars who are probably very
um
supportive of the environmental
movement, uh they they've forgotten.
Sending
uh
a rocket to Mars and with humanoid
robots and ultimately people um he
thinks will transform
life on Earth as well because as we've
learned from space history uh what we
learn about material science and
technologies that help us break through
into these very difficult or problems to
solve is going to help us here on Earth
as well. Uh so I think he's a very good
person and wants to do the right thing.
That if I had to describe him, that's
what I say other than genius of our
time.
I often wonder, right? You know, cuz
he's had such a impact on the world in
many, many ways through the companies he
started. I think the uh the biggest risk
really is just his own his own health.
Doesn't seem to sleep much.
You know though, he he says that he does
sleep. I think he he he he recommends, I
think, if I'm right on this, getting 7
hours sleep a night.
Uh
uh and
yes, but when when he is focused,
uh you know it. And I mean, people even
look and they they There were many
pictures of him, whether it was
standing, you know, with other policy
makers,
and then he zones into something you
know he's zoned in and thinking about
only that and a problem that he wants to
solve. So, You've invested what, just
over 2 billion in Tesla? Let's see. So,
it would be roughly, yes. In that
region?
Mhm.
Bitcoin. Mhm. You invested in Bitcoin
very, very early. What was the the first
price what you bought Bitcoin for in I
think it was 2015?
Yes. It was in
um the summer of 2015.
Uh we got in at roughly $250.
Uh today it's $104,000,
I think, roughly. So, we did get in very
early.
And we knew we were onto something
uh really when people were making fun of
us saying, "Okay, that's a marketing
trick. You're you're new to our business
and you know, new to our to the new fund
world and uh you're trying to attract
attention." And we were thinking, "Wow,
they have no idea how much research
we've done on this."
And Art Laffer,
uh my professor, again, from USC, we had
him uh
we had him read our first white paper on
Bitcoin.
Bitcoin, could it serve the three roles
of money? So, means of exchange, what we
use every day uh to to buy things,
a store of value, uh like gold,
and unit of account. Would prices be
quoted in terms of Bitcoin?
Chris Bradysky was our first analyst on
Bitcoin,
wrote the paper, Art Reddit,
and you know, from a added to it
enormously in terms of economic theory,
which was great for us.
And then he said to us, he said, "This
is what I've been waiting for since the
US closed the gold window in 1971.
A rules-based
global
monetary system
like Bretton Woods under the gold
exchange standard."
And I said, "Art, that's a very big
idea.
Uh how big is it?"
And he said, "Well, how big is the the
monetary base of the US?
Uh back then it was 4 and 1/2 trillion.
And Bitcoin's market cap or network
value was 6 billion."
And I said,
"Okay, that's a very big idea."
And we were trying to get it into our
portfolios. Regulators were hesitant and
but I bought it right then for for
myself and haven't sold it and I'm very
happy with it. You bought it for
yourself personally?
Personally, because we couldn't buy it.
$250.
Uh so, we couldn't buy it back then, but
we finally got through the regulatory
process and we were able to put the New
York Stock Exchange said, "Okay, you can
put a 1% position in the portfolio."
And it was of a grantor trust called
GBTC.
So, we did. And we just never sold it.
They didn't tell us we had to keep it at
at 1%. So, Oh, it's risen to be more.
Oh, yes, it it ballooned. And what is it
about Bitcoin that you believe
was and is still a a good investment
opportunity for the average person? Yes.
So,
at this at this price, it's about a $2
trillion uh market
uh market cap.
And so, halfway to that original 4 and
1/2 trillion,
but our price target actually has
expanded since then.
Um because it's not just a global
monetary system.
It is a new asset class.
And that's a very big idea as well. What
makes a new asset class? And we haven't
had one truly since
equities in the 1600s. When you say a
new asset class, you mean a completely
new category of
of funding companies, yes. Right?
So, an asset class would be something
like technology is an asset class,
right? No, it would be like stocks,
bonds, commodities,
real estate.
This is a new asset class and most
people will agree with that. We we did a
study on it.
If this asset does not perform like
other assets, in other words, it
provides diversification for funds.
And because it is behaving differently,
institutions have to consider it
uh because they're competing against
each other and if one puts it in,
they all know they're competing against
each other. So, others have to consider
it.
And uh we believe that part of the
opportunity has not been tapped. And
just to put some numbers on this, right
now,
we're approaching 20 million Bitcoin
outstanding. Which means the number of
Bitcoin that
uh have been minted
over time
uh by Bitcoin miners. So, there's 21
million in total, right? There will be
at the end of the minting process, 21
million. So, we have only 1 million to
go. Yeah. Uh 1 million would be
what is that?
That would be a hundred billion dollars
worth, a little more than that, right
now. So, just for someone that might not
know much about Bitcoin, Bitcoin is
mined using computers and so far they've
mined 20 million of them and there's 1
million of them left to mine. Mhm. Yeah.
So, institutions
really just started considering Bitcoin
cuz the SEC gave the
uh the the green light
uh to Bitcoin with uh the the approval
of the spot Bitcoin ETF in January of
last year.
And it takes a while for institutions to
do their research and and commit.
Uh and so, they're just now committing
and there's only a hundred billion
dollars
of new ma- market cap uh that is going
to be created, whereas they have
trillions of dollars under management.
Um and so, we think there will be a lot
of incremental demand and uh to satisfy
a lot of that demand, someone's going to
have to sell.
Which means the price goes up.
Which yeah, if people don't want to sell
because Bitcoin's been awfully good. And
our forecast, right now it's um
right now the Bitcoin's around a
hundred, a hundred five thousand. Our
forecast
uh for 2030
is 1.5 million dollars.
And we do that uh
uh
the building blocks for that, the three
biggest building blocks
are institutional, which has barely
started,
uh store of value or digital gold. Young
people
are much more
uh
comfortable with digital gold than gold.
So, on the institutional side, that
means institutions, investment
institutions start investing in it. Mhm.
Young people start investing it in it as
a way to save and store their money.
Yes. Yes.
And then uh the
the the the the very important use case
that many people do not discuss is how
important Bitcoin and stablecoins, which
are backed by US Treasuries,
are going to become to the emerging
markets.
Uh in emerging markets, many of them are
at the whim of policy makers who uh
show no discipline in fiscal or monetary
policy. And so, they they're used to
going through booms and busts and booms
and bailed out by the IMF and they need
an insurance policy. So, if you're in
Venezuela, you need a currency that's
going to be stable.
Exactly.
Well, this Bitcoin is
uh so, stablecoins are stable vis-à-vis
uh the dollar.
Uh Bitcoin is more of an investment
because
it does appreciate over time. Now, you
go through it's volatile, no question,
and that's the first thing people have
to know about it. Uh but it is becoming
less volatile as more and more
investors hold it. So, you think Bitcoin
will potentially
multiply in value by 15 times in the
next 5 years? Mhm.
Wow, that'd be pretty crazy. It's a very
big idea because it is a new asset
class, it does represent a global
monetary system unlike any other digital
asset out there.
Um it is backed by the largest computer
network in the world. The the layer one,
which is the base layer, has not been
hacked. Think about that, since 2009
when it was released, not been hacked.
How many how how many systems can say
that?
And it is a technology. It is native to
the internet. And again,
digital assets or any Bitcoin, Ether,
Solana,
all of them exist because they're vying
to be the native currencies to the
internet. And to to enable smart
contracts
and really transform the financial
services industry. Why did you invest in
Coinbase?
Coinbase is um
an exchange
for for digital assets.
And uh and increasingly derivatives.
It has just It has gone global.
It just bought Deribit, which is the
largest options uh exchange out there.
Uh and it owns a futures. So, it's
really going after uh
the derivatives market where there's a
huge amount of activity, which is
fantastic because it's all legitimizing
digital assets.
And it is the most regulatory compliant
exchange in the world. Um
Binance is another major exchange, but
has had more run-ins with regulators
around the world and really hasn't been
allowed into the United States.
It also wants to become
part of the new payments infrastructure.
And so is evolving strategies that way
as well.
Um we've gotten to know management very
well. They fought the fight against
regulators in a magnificent way, and
they have educated policy makers um
importantly, who understand that this
innovation we almost lost this
innovation to the rest of the world
because of our regulatory stance.
Uh they've helped policy makers
understand that, "Hey,
you know, this this infrastructure is
what developers did not build into the
internet in the early '90s cuz they
didn't know finance or commerce would
take place. That's all this is. It's
that simple, right?" So, if I'm trying
to invest in just to summarize it, if
I'm trying to invest in AI, that you'll
keep positions there and you'll keep
thoughts on companies like Tesla. I
heard you invest in Twilio.
Uh we we had invested in Twilio. They
had a uh they had a management turnover,
so we moved away from that. But uh
Palantir Palantir?
Yes, Palantir is a platform as a service
company, which we think uh is not only
going to help governance move
governments move into the digital age,
like our defense department, and now
it's moving into other departments, but
also these huge huge enterprises
because it's not forcing them to rip and
replace anything. They'll build on top
of whatever technology infrastructure is
there and over time just use usurp the
role of the legacy technologies. So,
very important company we think in uh
the digital age. It's had a very big
run. We have taken profits and, you
know, while it was having a big run,
Nvidia was selling off. It was down more
than 50%. So, we put some of our
Palantir proceeds in back into Nvidia.
Is there anything else in the AI bucket
when you're thinking about stocks? Well,
when you're thinking about uh
chip companies in particular,
uh TSM is the platform for chip
manufacturing. It doesn't matter who
wins. We We do think there are going to
be many more competitors to Nvidia.
Nvidia is still number one. Have you
heard about Grok?
Oh, yes, Grok we are invested in in our
um
in our private fund. Oh, okay. So, just
for people that might be confused. Do
you mean Grok with a Q? Uh yes, that's
that's in our private fund. We own We do
own Grok. And that's a very important
company on the inference side of um
of the equation. I've invested in Grok
as well.
Yeah. I should probably disclaim that.
Well, I think I think you're going to do
very well. Um
So, TSM though is where all the chip
manufacturers go uh for production. It
is the most sophisticated manufacturer
of chips uh in the world. Uh there is
geopolitical risk there. Most of its
business is in Taiwan. It is
diversifying into uh
certainly into the US, and I think even
into Europe. Uh so, I think uh that will
continue to be a very important company
as well. So, what are the What are you
What's your top 10?
In terms of public stocks that anybody
can invest in.
If you had to give me your top 10. So,
I'd have to give you and they're listed
on our website, and I won't go in order,
I'm sure, but of course, Tesla,
Coinbase,
uh Robinhood, uh Roku is uh an operating
system for connected TVs, highly
misunderstood stock. CRISPR
Therapeutics, which uh is
Gene editing?
Gene editing for sickle cell disease and
uh beta thalassemia.
Uh Palantir, I think I've mentioned uh
in the AI software space. Archer just
moved into the top 10. It's the EVTOL
company, which and it also signed a
deal, an exclusive deal on both sides,
which was quite impressive, uh with
Anduril, which Anduril, which is the um
most sophisticated defense tech play uh
and is growing like gangbusters. So, so
that's terrific. Shopify,
uh which is a shopping platform back end
and really using uh AI. Roblox? Oh,
that's the one we're missing. Roblox.
Roblox.
is a game, right? Yes, it's a
user-generated gaming company.
Uh the fascinating and it's also a
social platform.
Uh it started for children younger than
13 years old. And what's interesting
about it is
they've stayed with it because 60% of
its user base now is above 13.
Which is very interesting. It's the
largest user-generated
uh
um
content provider out there.
And what is fascinating about it is I
know one of my friend's daughter has
started her own dress shop on Roblox,
and what she doesn't understand is that
she's she's learning about business, but
she's also learning how to code,
especially in this new vibe coding
world. So, I think it's going to be a
very important company going forward.
Uh the the interesting thing about
gaming
and technology transitions is that it is
the only entertainment median medium
that has not fallen apart with
technology transitions.
Mhm.
Um it has actually grown because those
who love their games from 25 years ago
still play them. It's grown with each
technology revolution. So, uh and
user-generated content in gaming is
um the next big thing.
A business is only as good as the people
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I will speak to you then.
If you had a thousand dollars to invest
Mhm. and you had to invest it somewhere,
where would you be investing it?
Well,
and how would you be like the general
philosophy towards wealth creation at
such a stage if you had a thousand
dollars? How would you be thinking about
creating wealth for yourself?
A couple of things.
Averaging into
um
either an ETF
What's an ETF? ETF, exchange-traded
fund. So, it treats a group of stocks
like one stock. Mhm. So, ARKK
is
it's nearly it's 35 36 stocks,
but you can buy them
by purchasing ARKK. And you can do that
on your mobile phone by downloading
do it on your mobile phone.
of different apps that allow you to just
buy that one ETF, which means you own 35
stocks. Yes. And
And your team are basically choosing
what those 35 stocks are
Yes. based on your research. Right. And
ARKK are our highest conviction stocks,
uh and they they they offer an exposure
to all of the innovation platforms that
we've talked about. Whereas ARKI here in
Europe is focused primarily on
artificial intelligence and robotics.
Because we think that convergence is
going to be pretty explosive. What you
don't get there
uh and you do get in ARKK,
we also have in another very focused
fund, ARKG, which is really health care
applications of AI. Um and and other
health care other health care names that
we think uh are going to be pretty
transformative in the new world as
regulators really understand how
important AI is going to become to
discovery,
uh research, trials, development, uh to
diagnostic tests, and to curing disease.
Another question popped up, which is
about Ethereum and these other
cryptocurrencies. Do you invest in any
of these these others? Yes, we have uh
we have Well, in our public funds, we've
put them. I I don't think we can own
them here in the UK yet, but in the in
the US, uh we have them in um
some of our funds, both of them. Mhm.
They're key to the financial services
re- revolution. So,
uh to get people to understand and feel
comfortable with that, uh we don't call
it the crypto revolution. It's the
digital assets revolution, and it's
simply the finternet, the financial
internet. Okay, so that So, we do. We
do. And do you believe Are you more
bullish on the price potential of
Bitcoin than Ethereum?
Yes, we think Bitcoin is the biggest
idea. It serves the three three
revolutions. Global monetary system,
they do not.
Um
New asset class, they are part of a new
asset class, but Bitcoin's going to be
the biggest. And new technology, it's
the most secure
uh blockchain technology out there.
What about all these other Solana and
all these other So, Ether and Solana, so
the big three are the are those are the
the big three. Um and we think they'll
all be successful, all three of them.
Bitcoin the most. We're very interested
in stablecoins, but that's just like
cash. Uh and you know, there are
millions of crypto assets out there. We
think most of them die. Is there any way
to invest in stablecoins?
Like how do you invest them in in the
stablecoin?
right now, it is through Coinbase. They
have a deal with Circle.
Um any any revenue that Circle
generates, it's it's it's stablecoin is
USDC.
Yeah. Any revenue, they split 50/50
uh in US.
Uh Circle itself has announced that it
is going public, and so we're looking
forward to that.
And what's what's the the sort of
psychology or mentality one has to adopt
to be a good investor?
Depends what you've bought. If you buy a
strategy like ours, which would be in
the aggressive growth strategy,
put it in you know, averaging in over
time, just like with Bitcoin as I
mentioned earlier.
Uh averaging in over time
What does averaging in mean? Averaging
in means, you know, buy a little every
month, maybe every payday.
I think one of my daughters was buying
Bitcoin every week, but not a Bitcoin.
She couldn't do that. A Satoshi, you
know, so
And
close your eyes. Like you're this is a
long-term investment. If we're right, uh
according to our analysis. Now, you This
is our research, our analysis, no
promises. We can't do that, but
according to our research, the
technologies around which we have
centered our research
uh and which have focused our
investments,
they we believe will go up more than
tenfold in the next five to ten years.
And that's how much explosive growth we
have ahead of us as these technologies
converge
and create incredible opportunities for
investors.
And you know, I'm hearing a lot of
invest a lot of people um as they get
into investing, of course they have
their day jobs, but once they have
accrued enough,
you know, they're making choices about
dialing down their day jobs and spending
more time investing. You asked, what are
some of the jobs of the future going to
be? I think individual investors
are going to be providing for themselves
if they are investing on the right side
of change. So, if you're right, that
means that by investing your fund, I'd
make a thousand percent return roughly.
Yes, no promises, but this is all based
on research, and you can find it in our
big ideas.
Uh big ideas 2025 is on our website,
ark-invest.com.
Uh and you can find a lot more
of information about our funds on
ark-funds
uh dot com. And I should probably say
this is not in investing advice.
It is not, and and I want to make sure
Do your own research. You can lose all
of your money. Yes. You can lose all of
it if you decide to do any of these
things. But that's why we put ark-invest
separate from the fund site, because
that's just research. Learn. Learn what
you're investing in, or learn why we've
invested uh the the way we have. You
know, that's that's what we do all day
long is we try and help Well, first of
all, we're doing the research. We are
making the investments, but I think one
of the most important things we do
is communicate what we're doing and why
we're doing it.
What do you think of Trump tariffs,
everything that's going on in America at
the moment? What's, you know, for the
average person, should they be
concerned? Are you bullish? Do you think
Trump's got it right? If you look at
what happened to the equity market when
Trump was elected, the stock market. Uh
yes, the stock market. It went crazy to
the upside, as did our strategy.
And why?
The promise was
deregulation, and that I think is
underestimated uh how important it is,
because we're strangling in regulation.
It's just
This is not our DNA. We We got to get
out from under this.
Lower taxes,
lo- lower interest rates is what he
wants, of course. Um and lower tariffs.
What he didn't tell us
was exactly how he was going to go about
that process.
And it has it has felt chaotic.
And I've had to go out and explain
what's going on, try to explain what's
going on.
And I I have to tell you, it scared me
silly to see what was going on, because
I knew that businesses
were paralyzed, and that we could have a
mess on our hands.
And I certainly com- communicated
through my channels. Art communicated
through his channels. In fact, I think
in one publication, he said, I have
never been more scared in my career.
We were trying to really get into
Trump's head, and and I know President
Trump listens to Art, but he also
listens to a lot of other people. One of
whom was Peter Navarro,
who seemed to have
a hold on Trump when it came to tariffs.
And yet, when I saw Treasury Secretary
Bessant really push aside Navarro, and
that could only happen with Trump, I
knew we were going to be okay. I knew we
were going to be okay, because
throughout all of this chaos,
I think what he is trying to do is not
only get tariffs on the US down
throughout the world,
but maybe more important, get non-tariff
trade barriers down. Like for example,
I didn't even know the UK would not
accept our beef or ethanol.
Well, Mhm.
now you're accepting our beef and
ethanol. I I don't know if I don't know
if people in the supermarkets will buy
it, but anyway, this was but other
countries much many many more non-tariff
trade barriers. And so he is just trying
to bust that up, you know, make it more
visible.
You know, for example, Canada, I think
they charged a 250% tariff on our milk.
And one of President Trump's promises
was to take care of the farmers. Okay?
That's why you see the rhetoric around
Canada. Now, do I agree with his style?
I would never do it that way. I'd never
do it that way. I and it was
unfathomable, you know, for me because
he is sensitive to business and he must
have known that everything was going to
stop.
And
but he also knows that he has to sound
crazy for other people to take him
seriously. And he has and people have to
believe he will do crazy things in order
for people to take him seriously. And he
does do crazy things. So, do you think
it's going to work out? I do. You do?
And I think the stock market is
beginning to smell it.
If I if I just had to invest in one
stock right now, what stock would you
recommend I invest in?
Okay, well, I have to give you our Your
portfolio. So, it'd be Tesla.
It would be Tesla if I if I had to give
you one stock. Okay, interesting.
Because think about it. It is it is a
convergence
among three of our major platforms. So,
robots, energy storage, AI.
And it's not stopping with robo-taxis.
There's a story beyond that with
humanoid robots. And our $2,600 number
has nothing for humanoid robots. We just
thought it'd be an investment period and
you know, the re
But I think he's going to start
generating not only productivity gains
internally,
but revenues from humanoid robots. What
are you concerned about?
In terms of the way that the world is
going and everything that's happening.
What are the things that keep you up at
night? I've got many of concerns, so
got many unanswered questions and
worries about how things might play out,
but keen to hear yours.
I am such an optimist. I really do have
to dig down deeply. If you'd asked me
this a few weeks ago, I would have said,
you know, this tariff situation is going
to blow the global economy up if we're
if we're not careful. So, I'm much more
settled about that right now.
I'd have to say I am concerned
that there are going to be people caught
out
um by these new technologies and for
whatever reason not willing to adapt
because there going to be huge
opportunities if they do.
And so one of the reasons we give away
our research, you know, I'm very honored
to do a podcast like this is to get that
word out.
There is so much information available.
You can just go to our site and listen
to our podcast. And if anything inspires
you, go for it because it's going the
opportunities are going to be enormous.
When you say you're concerned people
might get caught out? Caught out in
you know, disrupted industries. I mean,
we think the whole transportation
industry is going to be disrupted. Um we
think retail as we know it going to be
disrupted as we are
Retail is in like shops and stuff and
Yes, although if they adapt with more
social personal experiences, I think
that anything physical you'll want to
have a social dynamic associated with
it. But in terms of what I think is
going to happen to retail is we're going
to have our personal shopping assistants
and they're going to they're going to
anticipate what we want, which I can't
wait. I hate shopping. Uh anticipate
what we want uh or basically flag
something that they know we would like
if we would knew it were available. And
they'll be disintermediating
all of the traditional sources because
they can go anywhere in the world. Um so
just think about almost every sector is
going to be disrupted. Healthcare is
going to be disrupted enormously, I
think.
For the better. For the better, but
those who are wedded to doing things the
old way are probably going to be
disrupted, you know?
Yeah, that is my concern as well.
And and just how we handle that as a
society.
But I think if we can help people
understand
that they have a lot of control over
this
if they're willing to learn and dream
and use their imaginations.
Not everybody is though, as you know.
Yes, but they have to do it for their
children at least, right? If we took the
general population in the London and
said, "100 people, how many of you
understand what AI is?" Or "How many of
you use ChatGPT?" We'd have a certain
percentage, maybe I don't know, 50% or
more. If I went to
the countryside Yes.
and I stopped a lovely person shopping
at in the local village and said, "Do
you use ChatGPT?"
It'd probably be significantly lower
percentage. They be they they wouldn't
care about that. What is that? Whatever.
Um I I wo- wonder about the inequality
of like
education, but just initiative and how
those that really do have a proclivity
to lean in and to experiment and to mess
around and to learn
because maybe there's an incentive
because they work in a city and their
employer is asking them to or be off to
the races with this disruptive
technology. And there's just like a lot
of the rest of society, of middle
America and the countrysides and those
types of people who
are just not even going to see it
coming.
But that's why we're out there. And the
the important word that you used was
initiative because I really think uh you
know, when people hear the word
inequality,
uh
they like to blame something, right?
There will be no reason for this. I'm
sure someone's going to come back at me
for saying that, but I I'm of course
there are people who who we have to help
along the way. No question about it. But
for those who are healthy and uh are
listening to this podcast
and are saying
uh you know, I don't I don't know
exactly what she's talking about, but
I'm going to start reading up on some of
these
new ways of doing things and make sure
to at least understand it.
I think within that kind of initiative,
they'll find it. They just will find it.
There's going to be so much opportunity.
It's going to be so exciting. And I
think
again, creativity and you know,
especially young people using their
imaginations, you know, they're they're
not held back by any preconceived
notions. So, I ask all the questions I
ask because I'm trying to like solve
little question marks I have in my head
about the future. And it's really
difficult at this time to see around the
corner because so much is changing so
quickly. And there's all of these
converging technologies as you described
like robotics and AI. And then when I
put robotics and AI together, you're
like, "Fuck."
Do you know what I mean? Cuz I go like
there's like I keep coming back to this
question of like, "What am I going to
do?" And not in You know what's good
about that? You know what's really good
about that?
That will motivate you.
It does.
Of course it does. It's great. It's
great.
me to ask people like you the question
17 times in a row.
But it's a real point cuz I run
businesses. We have at our headquarters,
which is around the corner, it's about
25,000 square foot office. We have, you
know, hundreds of people in that
building. And I'm thinking about the
roles that we're hiring for and I'm
we're now looking at them through the
lens of agentic AI, so AI agents. And
And then if I overlay that with robotics
and AI,
you know, I'm going, "Oh, there's what
roles
would we need to hire in the future?"
Because
theoretically
like can you name a single role in a
media company that would when I'm
talking about in the robotics era that
would really need to be done by a human?
I guess other than one could say
human-to-human sales
would still have some kind of element of
human touch to them. You know though, I
mean, we've learned a lot from the
ancient game of Go. Yeah. So,
you've heard about AlphaGo, which was uh
Alphabet, Google.
Um
basically devising a program to compete
against the Go champions. Go is much
more complicated than chess. Yeah, it's
like a game a board game, basically.
Right.
Uh so, I think the the champion of the
world at the time was a South Korean.
And he was sure he was going to beat
this machine.
Well, the machine beat beat him.
And he was crestfallen.
And
then he got his
chutzpah,
to use a New York word, back. And
he said, "Wait a minute.
I'm going to start playing against
machines."
And so now
he's playing against machines. His game
is so much better that when he competes
against humans, and those competitions
are the more important ones.
Right? When he competes against other
human beings, the machine has kept him
as his champion. And of course,
everyone's using the machine. So, we're
all
we're going to artificial intelligence
But he still can't beat a machine, can
he? He still can't beat the best machine
in the world. No, he can't. And and But
I mean, he can occasionally. But but
people don't want to go see machines
competing against machines. I get that
in because human humans like human error
and they like to be able to relate and
to aspire. But as it relates to the
world of work, the incentive is
productivity. And my
my humanoid robot isn't going to get
sick, and it's going to have a PhD in
everything. So
I don't want to see a human failing at
their desk.
Right. Oh, right, right, right, right,
right, right. But then you you're your
robot and your AI is really focused on
the past, right? That's what it's
ingested, It can make predictions there
based on that past.
Pattern recognition.
how my brain works, right? Like a neural
network.
but
that's why we chose the word disruptive.
Disruptive means the traditional world
order and patterns therefore that
you know, the the robots and others will
recognize is going to change.
Right?
Sorry, what does that mean? Is it So,
what when we're doing our research we
have a white sheet of paper. There's no
history for this. Right? And so, we're
doing a lot of original research. So, AI
machines might use our research as that
cuz we put it out there. But it is
think differently to you to a human
though? In terms of is I thought the
human brain was building, you know,
predicting essentially something based
on lots of information. And AI is
basically doing the same thing with
neural networks. It's making a
prediction based on lots of new
information. And therefore, if we get to
AGI, it can create new information.
Yes. And and and it will. But I mean,
AGI Elon will say it's
two years away. And it does seem, you
know, we're able to generate PhDs and
rocket scientists now in the AI world.
So, he's probably right. But I also
think about this as giving us
superintelligence. So, could ChatGPT do
what we've done?
Maybe, I don't know. Actually, it's a
very interesting exercise. I'm going to
ask our team to do that before I put it
out. Uh to do to do a model, a SpaceX
model, financial model, income
statement, balance sheet, cash flow
statement between now and 2050 when we
have in 20 in the 2040s, Elon expects,
if not sooner, to colonize Mars. Uh I'll
see what kind of model it comes back
with. In terms of how much In terms of
how correct it is and what it uses to
get there.
Family man. Mhm. SpaceX.
A financial model.
Our income statement. Okay.
Income statement.
ask the really smart model, SD3.
Make a
SpaceX You're an investor in SpaceX?
Yes, in the private fund, yes. So am I.
Huh. Make a SpaceX
income statement.
Income statement based on Uh
Elon's predictions? Yes. Based on Elon's
predictions. Yeah.
This will be very interesting.
Now until 2050. Mhm.
Okay, I'll put that on the screen so
everybody can watch.
And this is essentially going to look at
everything he said about going to Mars
and colonizing Mars
and then tell you how valuable that
company's going to be Yes.
I'm not sure if you asked the question
that way. Did you
Did you say I just said make a SpaceX
income statement based on Elon's
predictions from now until 2050 and then
I can ask it what the market cap would
be.
I wonder how long it's going to think.
It's thinking for a while.
Yeah, it's going to think a long time, I
have a feeling. And then it's going to
take you through and I think uh you
know, it was interesting, DeepSeek
uh the breakthrough it had
on the reasoning side was it kept asking
questions so it could get to the right
answer faster. Mhm. I think they're all
adopting it now cuz cuz DeepSeek is open
source. Yeah. And they didn't need to
spend much as much money on the training
side because they
That's what they said. They said $6
million trained on a high-end
workstation and that that of course
caused a trillion dollars worth of
damage in the US market with Nvidia, one
of the biggest
casualties because people said, "Well,
wait a minute.
We're doing these data centers.
You mean we don't need all those big
data center servers to to do this work?
We could do a high-end workstation for
$6 million?" The answer is the
pre-training
for that model was done on a 50,000 GPU
cluster that the hedge fund had. Mhm.
And the last step of the large language
model was the $6 million step.
Okay, it's made its mind up now.
Oh.
So, it says Starlink revenue in 2050
would be 250 billion. Mhm. It says
launch and Starship revenue would be 120
billion. So, the total revenue would be
370 billion.
Cost of goods sold would be 172 billion.
Gross profit therefore would be 200
billion. Operating expenses 37 billion.
Operating income would be 161 billion.
After tax, so the net income would be
128
billion. All right.
And I have to I to to be honest, I
haven't seen the last stage of this
model. We haven't That'd be very
interesting. I'd love to get a a copy of
that if you could send it to me. Can you
Yeah.
100% I'll send it I'll email it to you
straight after. You know, when I asked
ChatGPT earlier, I said, "Who is the
number one woman in the world in
investing?" It repeatedly said your
name. Mhm. So, that's a pretty
remarkable thing to have accomplished,
especially in a male-dominated industry
where there isn't many women that manage
to rise to the top of that industry.
So, what what is it about you in
hindsight? You know, it's difficult to
be objective about oneself. But what is
it about you that meant that you were
successful in a male-dominated industry,
in an industry that's incredibly
difficult to be successful in?
My advice to all young people getting
into their first job especially, but
even later jobs, is
my mission when I started was to make my
boss look brilliant. Now, why do I why
do I say that? It's much more applicable
today and possible today than it was
back when there were no computers and no
cell phones, which is when I started,
right?
But what did I do? My boss wanted to
communicate, he was an economist, wanted
to communicate in charts that you know,
he couldn't find. So, I
figured out a way. I went to our
time-sharing system.
That's all you could do back then.
Time-sharing is an ancient mainframe
technology. And I figured out a way to
make these charts and delight him. And
and and I loved doing it and I loved
learning. I loved learning about
technology. I learned tech and about
economics through him. So,
that was the first thing. And then
Why is it important to make your boss
look good?
Well, I think because if you do make him
look good, um first of all, you should
you owe him a debt of
of gratitude if he turns around and
gives you more growth opportunities. So,
but if he or she doesn't, then you know
it's time to go to the next place where
you make that next boss look brilliant
and maybe you have the growth
trajectory. I had bosses who they they
loved the fact that I loved what I was
doing, that I had such high conviction
in what I was doing. And I I'm going to
give Art Laffer a lot of credit for
that. When I walked into the financial
world,
I knew more about economics than most of
the people in the room.
And that was a great source of
confidence, a great source of
confidence.
And when I was leaving that firm,
uh someone said my my boss at the time
said, I was moving from LA to New York.
My my boss said,
"You've only been doing this for 3
years. You're not ready to become their
economist." And
um
and I just thought I was ready. And more
important, the company to which I was
going thought I was ready. And as I was
leaving, um both he and and others said,
"Remember, you know more about economics
than anyone else in the room. You'll So,
take that with you." And I did. And I
think that sense of confidence
and understanding the way the world
works from a macroeconomic point of view
was critically important. Now, when I
got to New York,
I could not even speak Art Laffer
Laffer's name because the Laffer curve
says, "If you cut tax rates that are too
high, you will get more revenue."
And what had happened is Ronald Reagan
had cut tax rates.
But Paul Volcker at the Fed was trying
to starve the economy of inflation. So,
we were in back-to-back recessions and
no, the government wasn't getting more
revenue. So,
Art Laffer was, you know, on I couldn't
say anything, but you know, that was
fine. I knew he was going to be right
and we were right. That was the story of
the '80s and '90s. And that's why uh
Jennison Associates and the Chief
Investment Officer there, uh Sig
Segalas,
um gave me an opportunity to get into
equity research. I wanted to grow. I
loved the stock market and he loved my
conviction and so he started me on
cyclical companies, which of course I
would know a lot about. But,
Jennison was primarily a tech-oriented
firm and of course, knowing that, I
wanted to delight the boss. I wanted to
get into the technologies and I made it
my business to know as much about them
and and I was the only one willing to uh
research stocks outside the US. Think
about that now.
Art Laffer?
Arthur Laffer? Yes. He wrote this
letter.
Oh, he did? He wrote this letter.
Describing you. Oh, to you? To me. Oh.
He said there was this young lady named
Cathy Duddy, later Cathy Wood,
whose face was the map of Ireland and
whose ambition was over the moon. I was
a tough teacher and grader and Cathy's
first steps were shaky, but in short
order she rose to the occasion and aced
the course. Impressed as I was, and
believe me, I was very impressed, I
helped Cathy land her first job at
Capital Group in LA and from that point
in time it was game on. I followed her
career closely after Capital Group, then
on to Tupelo and her final job as an
employee at at at Alliance
Alliance Bernstein. As you may imagine,
she was the star investor at each stage.
In 2014, Cathy took a giant
entrepreneurial leap in the founding and
funding of ARK Invest.
And the letter goes on
to say she's a mega success and God
bless her. She never has forgotten her
now aged professor.
Well,
that was very nice of him. Um
uh
so, he he has been so important to my
career. Now, I'm going to get a little
weepy, but um
I gave him 1% of my company when I
started it.
And uh
so, he deserved it. He deserved it
because he gave me a big big break. He
believed in me first.
Why does that make you emotional?
I don't know. We have We've gone through
our life together and what's so
interesting now is
um
it's
so interesting and and fun is
Bitcoin has rejuvenated
Art. He's 85 years old or 84
and
I'm seeing his excitement and he wants
to spread the word around the world and
now we're going into stablecoins
together.
And
he just started an account on X. He has
a flip phone.
He doesn't do email and yet he has just
started an account on X and so we now
have this technology relationship
because he wasn't going to technology,
but he knows he's seen like
ARK altogether, we have 3.3 million
followers and he's seen the reach that X
has and he's also, I think the other
thing and I'm I'm haven't answered your
question. It was just very nice of him
to do that, you know, and I see it's a
typed one page and very sweet. We have a
closing tradition on this podcast where
the last guest leaves a question for the
next guest not knowing who they're
leaving it for. And the question left
for you is
Hm? Great question for you. What is the
craziest idea
you ever had that turned out to be
right?
Well, there are just a a few One thing
that it's it's not that crazy, but it
just gives you a sense of how
not obvious in the early days of ARK.
I remember saying
I remember saying
well, you know,
autonomous vehicles are robots.
And I was in a research meeting and
everyone said, "No, they're not."
And of course they are. You know, it's a
crazy idea, but and there was something
I mean there
some things I'll say
and the reason that's important from our
point of view is this convergence idea.
Robotics, AI, energy storage. So, wait a
minute, this is a very big idea. So, it
seemed it seemed like no, it's like I
think it is and and so it was like we
were we were, you know, feeling our way
in the dark cuz that was 2014 and
nobody was really talking about them.
And there's something like that very
recently. Oh, we were talking it's not a
crazy idea. It's it's just we're trying
to solve problems. Um
someone uh
when as we were going on and on at our
brainstorm on Friday about humanoid
robots, uh someone he he's he's our um
what do we call him? What do you call
curmudgeon? Uh no, good way. In a good
way.
I don't even know what curmudgeon means.
Curmudgeon means
contrarian
curmudgeon like
yeah, yeah, yeah, that's not going to
work, you know. Um
he humanoid robots. He said he said, "I
don't think that's going to be a thing."
He said, "We really need robots that are
going to be able to carry a lot more in
terms of weight than those things will
on those stilts." And in my mind kind of
flashed
um
transformer robots. They'd have legs and
all of that. You'd be able to fold them
up so they look like a tamp tank. Mhm.
And so that's what I said on uh I know
this doesn't sound so crazy to you, but
I don't
I'm just imagining the future, going to
Disneyland when I'm 11 years old. We had
just come over
uh from Ireland and seeing someone
holding a phone on the Carousel of
Progress and
you know, saying, "I'm going to have one
of those." Um it sounded crazy at the
time and I felt a little crazy, but
always So, you think we can have
transformer robots? Yeah. So, the robot
that cleans my house can transform and
maybe become
everybody laughed at me. But, I think
that's going to happen.
Another one was and this was on These
are just little ideas in in terms of how
things hit my brain, but
uh someone was talking about Boring,
which is another one of Elon's
companies, the underground
transportation. Big tunnels and stuff.
Yeah. I forget what someone said in
a post on X,
but I my answer was
Mars.
Obviously. And people were laughing at
that. And and then as they were talking
about it, they're saying, "Of course
they're going to put that transportation
system underground. We learned why you
shouldn't have it on top of the ground
from Earth." So, just a little things
catch me in a funny way. It's not the
craziest. They're just like, "Oh, maybe
that is the way things are going to
work." I wonder if if Elon dies before
we get to Mars or if he just dies in the
next 10 years from anything, from any
cause,
how much of an impact that will have on
our rate of progress
generally with space and electric
vehicles and humanoid robots? Could be
quite profound.
He is getting us so far along that, you
know, there's just going to be a runway
he's created for years and years. Think
about it, Mars 2040, 50,
you know.
Cathy, thank you. Thank you for doing
what you do and um
that's a a sort of multifaceted point of
gratitude because you do so much. Um you
do so much in educating all of us in
terms of innovation, investing and what
the future looks like, but also from
your funds perspective and your
company's perspective, you do so much in
open-sourcing and putting the research
and the work that you guys do out into
the world when you don't necessarily
have to. But, uh as I've heard you say,
it's a great benefit both to the world,
but also so you do it because it also
brings people to your fund, right? And
it certainly did for me. That's how I
came across you many, many years ago
when I had was reading some research
with my brother um around investing in
the future and innovation and
understanding your thesis around all of
those things, but also from the
education side, you're distilling this
complex research into simple um
language and information that the next
generation can understand so that this
moment of transition doesn't catch them
off guard and that's an incredible
thing. But I but I have to say as well,
you're such an inspiration for the very
fact that you have achieved what you've
achieved in your life. It's it's exceed
it's extremely rare for someone and I I
don't always like to talk about gender
or race or these those kinds of things,
but it's a point of it's a particular
point a pertinent point in this case
because you have succeeded in a very
male-dominated industry. And I think
just your presence, your existence alone
is going to inspire lots of women um and
men, people like me, um to pursue
finance and investing as a career. Oh.
So, thank you so much for doing what you
do and thank you for being who you are.
It's incredibly important and you've
demystified so many things for me over
the years even though we've never met um
but watching your videos and reading the
research that you guys put out. So, I'm
going to link all of that below. Link to
your websites and your funds and all
those things so people can learn more.
But yeah, thank you. Thank you, Steven.
Thank you for doing what you do and and
it's been an honor and a privilege and I
know you have an incredible audience.
So, you've built a fantastic business
here and I have a feeling uh
that this new world that that you're
fearing is going to be very good to you.
I hope so.
Yes. Thank you.
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Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
Cathie Wood, a prominent investor overseeing nearly $30 billion, discusses her investment philosophy centered on disruptive innovation, specifically AI, robotics, energy storage, blockchain, and multiomic sequencing. She highlights Tesla as a key AI project and explains why she believes these technologies will lead to unprecedented economic growth. The conversation covers her long-term bullish view on Bitcoin, the importance of original research, and the necessity of adapting to a rapidly changing technological landscape.
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