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The UNTHINKABLE is About to Happen to Stocks #PLTR #SOFI #NVDA #MSFT

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The UNTHINKABLE is About to Happen to Stocks #PLTR #SOFI #NVDA #MSFT

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547 segments

0:00

Palanteer is essentially a 50% discount

0:03

from its highs of over $200 per share.

0:05

And since it's been at that price, it

0:07

has only been one way down. And in this

0:10

video, I want to talk about the mistakes

0:11

that you might be making with your

0:13

holdings. Because if you have Palunteer,

0:14

if you have SoFi, if you have Nvidia,

0:17

maybe you have Microsoft as well, which

0:18

is a very popular stock, you might be

0:20

making this crucial mistake in the

0:21

market, which essentially is overlooking

0:24

some of the discounts that we get. So, I

0:25

want to go over which I think is the

0:27

best opportunity because for one of

0:28

these, I'm opening up my wallet. And I

0:31

am getting so excited. Basically, dollar

0:32

cost average and purchase a lot more of

0:34

these stocks because they are looking

0:36

very cheap to me. By the way, guys,

0:37

before I open up the chart and look at

0:39

SoFi, my name is Henry. I worked at

0:40

Goldman Sachs and I've been trading for

0:42

over 10 years. My goal here is to teach

0:43

and educate others. I'm not a financial

0:45

adviser. I'm just here sharing my

0:47

knowledge. So, let's jump into SoFi.

0:49

SoFi is under $18 per share. This

0:52

company has been on a 40% drop from its

0:55

top. My personal average cost on SoFi is

0:57

$21 per share over the last 1 month.

1:00

Basically, nothing has happened. Very,

1:02

very slow on SoFi. And there's a lot of

1:03

frustration here in the market. However,

1:05

I want to point out the facts on what's

1:07

actually happening with SoFi because if

1:09

you look at, you know, their net income,

1:11

it's $167 million, up 134%

1:14

yearover-year, and they're up to 14.7

1:18

million members. So, that's a 35%

1:20

year-over-year increase. Now, in terms

1:21

of products, they have 22.2 million

1:23

products, which was a 39% year-over-year

1:26

increase. So, guys, tell me this. Is a

1:29

struggling stock the same as a

1:31

struggling business? Because in SoFi's

1:34

case, with so much members growth as

1:36

well as product growth, okay, it's not

1:38

just acquiring members, it's not like a

1:40

scammy company that's just acquiring

1:41

members and not doing anything with

1:42

them. They're acquiring members and

1:44

those members are willingfully by their

1:47

own choice adopting more products. Okay?

1:50

versus a 35% year-over-year growth in

1:52

members. So that means there's a higher

1:55

product adoption even then members

1:57

growth which they're already extremely

1:59

talented at gaining new members. So for

2:01

me it looks like the quality of the

2:02

business is intact. And what's actually

2:05

happening here is the struggling stock

2:07

price does not really reflect reality.

2:09

It doesn't reflect what's actually

2:11

happening in the business itself. So

2:13

when I kind of look at the pain people

2:14

are experiencing, I remind myself, no

2:16

pain, no gain, guys. That's what it's

2:18

all about right here. because you guys

2:20

forget how fast stocks go up. You guys

2:22

forget that, you know, these tough

2:23

periods is exactly what makes better

2:25

investors. If I look at the six-month

2:26

chart here, this has been a very

2:28

difficult period. And to be honest, I

2:30

don't think it's really justified. So,

2:32

when I look at a stock that has been

2:33

kind of, you know, flailing and not

2:35

doing too much, you know, it's kind of

2:36

like that dead fish in a way, just going

2:39

sideways. That's not really even a bad

2:40

thing because you can still make money

2:42

in two different ways or actually three

2:44

different ways, I guess. So, two

2:45

different ways. The first one is LEAPS.

2:47

Or you can just use my deep strategy and

2:49

get into the stock and just hold for the

2:51

longer term, right? Because a LEAP

2:52

option is a one-year option. You you buy

2:54

the LEAP option and you hold because if

2:56

I look at the stock's price right now, I

2:58

find it very attractive. I think SoFi is

3:00

probably like a 25 to $27 stock in 2027.

3:04

That's the next 12-month road map that I

3:06

see. I think that's not going to happen

3:08

in one day. It's going to be they're

3:10

very very slow and then all of a sudden

3:11

they end up shooting up. Now that

3:13

catalyst could either be earnings, could

3:15

either be momentum or investor

3:17

psychology. So there's a number of

3:18

reasons why stocks shoot up like Micron

3:20

Technology right now is up a lot. And

3:22

yes, the valuation looks very attractive

3:24

in relation to Nvidia, but also it's

3:26

because there's so much support from

3:27

community. If you look at Reddit, if you

3:29

look at YouTube, everyone is talking

3:30

about the stock. Right now, SoFi is a

3:32

little bit out of favor, but I don't

3:33

think that's like a permanent thing.

3:34

It's not going to be out of favor once

3:36

they continue to make more money because

3:38

as they make more money, right, as

3:39

revenue increases, as product adoption

3:42

increases, as members increase, then the

3:44

business is going to generate more money

3:45

and it's eventually going to

3:46

fundamentally be too cheap just because

3:48

it's out of favor right now and

3:50

investors are, you know, basically like

3:52

searching for the next opportunity.

3:53

They're like, well, where can I make

3:54

money with this with this AI stock?

3:56

Where can I make money with this fast

3:58

growth stock? Right? Well, the reality

4:00

is at the end of the day, a company is

4:02

still based off of what it's making in

4:04

terms of revenue, the cash that it has

4:06

on its balance sheet, and the future

4:07

prospects of the business. For me, SoFi

4:10

has good prospects. So, I am very

4:12

excited to basically be purchasing

4:15

shares. So, the first way to make money

4:16

is basically leaps in my deep strategy

4:19

and just essentially sit there and wait

4:20

six plus months. I get that might seem

4:22

like a lot of time, but it's really not.

4:24

I mean, waiting 6 months to build

4:26

wealth, I mean, that's building wealth.

4:28

I'm sorry it doesn't happen faster. Like

4:30

I wish building muscle happened faster.

4:31

I wish everything was much faster. The

4:33

restaurant would bring me my food in

4:35

like you know 30 seconds. But that's

4:36

just not how reality works, right? The

4:38

second way to make money is covered

4:39

calls. So you see when a stock is just

4:41

going sideways like SoFi, you can see

4:43

like it has literally not done anything.

4:44

Like we're July 1st right now. It's at

4:46

$18 per share and in March it was $18

4:49

per share. Well look because SoFi is a

4:51

higher implied volatility stock. This

4:53

company has premiums. So, if you go in

4:55

with a covered call and you sell call

4:57

options and the stock goes sideways,

4:59

then you're just generating premium,

5:00

right? Generating premium on a weekly

5:02

basis or on a monthly basis is very

5:05

attractive on SoFi. Now, look, I get it

5:07

because if your average cost like mine

5:09

is $20 plus, you might not want to sell

5:12

a covered call that's below your average

5:14

cost. However, I would encourage you to

5:16

at least use my strategy, which is

5:18

partial. However, I want to bring up the

5:20

strategy that I learned at Goldman

5:22

Sachs. The strategy at Goldman Sachs

5:24

that they used for CEOs who had massive

5:26

positions, right? A lot of Goldman Sachs

5:28

clients or, you know, the big CEOs that

5:30

have, you know, massive wealth, but the

5:32

thing is their wealth is actually

5:33

concentrated in a single stock. So, if

5:35

you have some of your wealth

5:36

concentrated in a single stock, here's a

5:38

very valuable lesson that you can learn.

5:39

You don't have to sell covered calls on

5:41

your entire position. You don't have to

5:42

do that. you know, when I look at a

5:44

holistic approach to generating premiums

5:47

uh via selling call options or selling

5:49

put options with my students and I'm

5:51

looking at an individual portfolio and

5:52

someone might have a larger position

5:54

whether it's SoFi or Palunteer or Nvidia

5:56

or Microsoft or or any any stock, right?

5:59

I actually always analyze the average

6:01

cost and I analyze kind of that person's

6:03

mindset if they would be comfortable

6:05

getting rid of the stock or if they want

6:06

more upside and they would be upset or

6:08

aka they would feel FOMO if the stock

6:10

ended up skyrocketing which oftent times

6:12

happens right when you look at a high

6:13

quality company that's beaten down it's

6:15

going to eventually come up. So when I

6:17

kind of figure out that you know overall

6:19

picture then I might only sell 25%

6:21

covered calls. I might sell half the

6:22

position on covered calls. I might take

6:24

that type of approach. So keep in mind

6:26

if you are looking to sell covered calls

6:28

on SoFi, you don't have to do 100%. For

6:30

me, I am selling 100% covered calls, but

6:33

I'm picking the right strike price and

6:34

I'm but I'm essentially analyzing where

6:35

I'm comfortable. Okay, that's the long

6:37

story short. And the third way to make

6:39

money is really just I guess get out of

6:40

SoFi, kind of give up on the stock and

6:42

go chase some rabbits, chase some nice

6:44

white rabbits and look for, you know,

6:46

other opportunities. I guess that's

6:47

another way you can go about it as well.

6:49

So anyways, that's my opinion on SoFi.

6:50

Let's get into the next stock, which is

6:52

Palanteer. Palanteer has honestly like

6:54

fallen so much from these highs right

6:56

here where it was over $200 per share.

6:58

It didn't really have a straight line

7:00

down. There was a pretty big and violent

7:03

sell-off and then, you know, several

7:04

bounces here. And right now, Palanteer

7:06

has essentially bounced all the way down

7:08

to, you know, almost $100 per share,

7:11

which would be about 50% discount from

7:13

where it was trading at its peak. Now a

7:15

Palanteer, the most attractive part of

7:17

the business is just their relationships

7:18

with the government, their consistent

7:20

revenue as well as their 40 plus%

7:22

operating margin. I guess another thing

7:24

that's attractive is they virtually have

7:25

no debts and they have five plus billion

7:27

dollars of cash. So when I look at

7:29

Palanteer, I actually see a really huge

7:31

opportunity here. I think investors

7:33

could see the stock move back to, you

7:35

know, basically the moving average right

7:36

now is at 135. So I don't think it's

7:38

unreasonable to look at balance here

7:40

being at 135 a lot faster than many

7:42

investors think because again violent

7:44

moves are very common within this

7:46

market. We're essentially in a momentum

7:47

market where stocks can come crashing

7:49

down because they become unfavorable and

7:51

investors start running for the hills

7:52

and but then when the dog comes around

7:54

and you know trying to get all those

7:55

sheep into you know their pen or

7:57

whatever then all those sheep just run

7:58

in the other direction at just as fast

8:00

as they went down. So as fast as they

8:01

went left that's as fast as they go

8:03

right as well. And that's the same thing

8:04

in the stock market. It's not really

8:06

based off of fundamentals right now.

8:07

It's based off of violent technical

8:09

swings. So, when I'm looking at an

8:10

opportunity, I don't want you guys to

8:12

like ignore a stock that's coming down.

8:14

I think that's a huge mistake. So many

8:16

investors right now, they see a stock

8:17

coming down and they kind of give up.

8:18

They mentally even check out. I have a

8:20

lot of people that mentally um, you

8:22

know, are telling me it's really tough

8:23

to hold right now. But I remind them

8:25

like nothing is really that easy in

8:27

life, right? If you want to build real

8:28

wealth, it's not going to be easy.

8:30

you're going to have to sometimes go

8:31

against the grain, especially when you

8:33

know something is going down like a

8:35

Palanteer or SoFi or you know any of

8:37

these other stocks that are still good

8:38

quality businesses but they're down and

8:40

doesn't make sense to you. That's good.

8:41

It's not supposed to make sense. The

8:43

market is supposed to be tricky. So by

8:45

doing the difficult things in the

8:46

market, you get different results. So if

8:48

you want different results, you have to

8:49

do different things than everyone else,

8:50

right? Sometimes it's okay to just kind

8:51

of be in a momentum play. And I have

8:53

several of those types of positions in

8:55

my portfolio in my Discord community.

8:56

I'm always kind of doing two things. is

8:58

I'm either going with the momentum and

8:59

trying to squeeze out profits and not

9:01

take profits too early because that's

9:02

another huge mistake that you know even

9:04

I still make is is I get into a momentum

9:06

driven name and then I don't ride the

9:08

profit enough because some of these

9:09

stocks you go up 50 plus% in a given

9:11

year and if you sell too early only make

9:12

20% you're leaving a lot of money on the

9:14

table. So, it's a difficult market to

9:15

trade, but there's also a ton of

9:17

opportunity. If you don't sell too

9:18

early, if you get into high quality

9:20

companies at lower prices, I see a ton

9:22

of opportunity, honestly. Like,

9:23

Palanteer, it's looking really great to

9:25

me. Let's go into the next stock, which

9:26

is Nvidia. Nvidia is trading for

9:28

basically $200 per share flat, and it

9:30

just seems like the stock was just under

9:32

200 and then investors were like, "Nah,

9:34

no, no, no. This is this is way too

9:35

cheap. I want me some Nvidia." And look

9:37

at the market cap. I mean, it's under $5

9:39

trillion. And honestly speaking, like

9:42

Nvidia is most likely going to be 10

9:43

trillion at some point, right? Like mark

9:45

my words, it's not really of if it's

9:47

going to be 10 trillion. It's just

9:48

really when will Nvidia be 10 trillion.

9:51

And that could potentially happen before

9:52

2028. So the PE ratio is 30. And if you

9:55

look at the Ford P ratio, it's probably

9:57

right around where the S&P 500 is right

9:59

now. So the Ford P ratio is basically

10:01

meaning that in one year from now, how

10:03

much money will this company make? And

10:05

given the same price, right, given that

10:07

it's $200 per share, given that same

10:09

price, what will be the new PE ratio?

10:11

That PE ratio is basically where the S&P

10:12

500 is at, which doesn't really make

10:14

sense to me because Nvidia is

10:16

essentially S&P 1. Okay? So the S&P 500,

10:18

it's S&P 1. It's the biggest company in

10:20

the entire S&P 500. And actually, if you

10:22

look historically, I'm not saying

10:24

historical returns will kind of predict

10:25

future returns cuz that's not the case,

10:27

of course. But historically, if you had

10:29

invested in the S&P 1, you would have

10:31

outperformed the S&P 500 in a majority

10:34

of cases. So when I look at the biggest

10:36

companies, they do tend to rise because

10:38

they risen to become the S&P 1. And

10:40

often times they become more and more

10:42

valuable. Obviously, that changes

10:44

throughout history. Apple was like the

10:46

biggest company in the world. And you

10:47

know, it's still growing. It still grew

10:48

a lot from becoming number one to where

10:50

it is now. I don't know the math on

10:52

that, but obviously when it became the

10:53

biggest company in the world and where

10:54

it is today is probably like a trillion

10:57

or over a trillion dollar difference in

10:59

terms of market cap. So when I look at

11:01

Nvidia and I just kind of logically sit

11:03

down, I'm like, what's likely to happen

11:04

here? Not in the next day because I'm

11:06

not a genie. I'm not a financial

11:07

adviser. I can't predict the next day or

11:09

the next two days, right? But when I'm

11:10

like, what's going to happen with Nvidia

11:12

for the next 6 months, the next, you

11:15

know, 18 months, I see really good

11:17

things. I think Nvidia is going to be

11:18

like a $300 stock. So, I actually really

11:20

like this as an opportunity. I think a

11:21

lot of investors are kind of nervous in

11:23

this market and I don't blame you

11:24

because it's it's hard to see your

11:26

hard-earned money fluctuate. It's very

11:28

difficult and that's another thing that

11:29

I work on with my Discord students. It's

11:31

not often times like, hey, what's the

11:32

best stock to buy? You know, sometimes

11:34

that can be fairly obvious. There's a

11:36

lot of good quality companies right now,

11:37

you know, Nvidia or Microsoft and

11:39

there's other, you know, Mac 7 stocks

11:41

that are very, you know, strong

11:42

long-term, but oftent times what I'm

11:44

working on with students and I'm really

11:45

mentoring them on is the mindset. How do

11:47

we hold through some of the difficult

11:48

times? How do we, you know, generate

11:49

premiums and what strike prices do we

11:51

pick and what expirations do we go for

11:52

while we're waiting for some of these

11:54

stocks to recover? Or, hey, these stocks

11:55

have gone up past my strike price. What

11:58

do I do now? You know, Henry, how do I

11:59

roll this position? Those are the type

12:00

of opportunities that I'm really looking

12:02

at with my students. And that's because

12:03

some of that stuff is very much

12:05

psychological. A lot of you guys that

12:06

are trading by yourselves, sometimes you

12:08

have good periods, you also have bad

12:09

periods. And honestly, I think trading

12:11

by yourself can be very difficult. Like

12:13

me personally, when I go to the gym, I

12:14

do not work out by myself. I have a

12:16

coach in my trading. I still have a

12:18

mentor in my personal life. I have

12:19

mentors. Like it's very important like

12:21

Kobe Kobe Bryant had mentors. Jookovic

12:23

has mentors. Federer, you know, every

12:25

athlete, every, you know, skill that you

12:27

have, trading included, you should have

12:29

a mentor. So, I really encourage you to

12:30

either find the mentor. It does not have

12:32

to be me. If you like someone else's

12:33

personality more, you know, fine. If you

12:35

want to work with me, obviously, I think

12:37

that's even better. I worked at Goldman

12:38

Sachs. I have tons of experience. I've

12:40

grown my portfolio from a very small

12:41

amount from when I was, you know, just

12:43

18 years old to now in my 30s. I've done

12:45

this for over a decade and I've been

12:46

through some really tough times. And

12:48

I've also worked with a lot of people.

12:49

Some folks that I've worked with are,

12:51

you know, out of work. They're

12:52

unemployed and they were they're smart.

12:54

They're smart people, right? But they

12:55

lost their job to AI. They're, you know,

12:56

engineers that no longer have a job.

12:58

They need to create income and they're

12:59

kind of in a more desperate situation

13:00

where they need to take care of their

13:02

families. I've been I've been with those

13:03

people. I've been with, you know, single

13:05

moms that don't have a high income. I've

13:07

been with business owners who have a

13:08

high income but are super busy. So, I've

13:09

seen a lot of different situations. I

13:11

think that's what makes me a really

13:12

great coach. Um, over the past six

13:13

years, I've helped people in every

13:15

situation from small portfolios to

13:16

medium portfolios to, you know, even

13:18

those bigger portfolios that are very

13:20

aggressive or those bigger portfolios

13:21

that are close to retirement. So, I look

13:22

at the stock market right now and some

13:24

of these stocks that I'm bringing up

13:25

here are very high quality

13:27

opportunities, but I also have many

13:28

other opportunities that, you know, I'd

13:29

love to share with you. I know I'm

13:30

yapping here, but I just think it's so

13:31

important to have mentorship and

13:32

coaching and someone that can help you

13:34

along your journey. So, yeah, the least

13:35

that I suggest is at least just schedule

13:37

a call in my description. Just kind of

13:38

figure out what I have to offer because

13:40

there's so much that I can do for you.

13:41

you probably don't even know about it

13:42

because there's so much I can do for

13:44

you. You probably can't even imagine

13:46

honestly. So anyways, uh Nvidia, high

13:48

quality company, $200 per share, I think

13:50

I think looking really good. Honestly, I

13:51

think looking really good. The next

13:52

stock is Microsoft. So Microsoft is

13:54

under $3 trillion, but it was not that

13:56

long ago that it was over $3 trillion.

13:58

I'm not mega bullish on Microsoft, but I

14:00

do think that they have a huge

14:01

competitive advantage because

14:03

essentially everyone uses Microsoft.

14:04

There's millions of companies in the

14:06

world that run on Windows, Microsoft

14:08

365, and also built into that is

14:10

Microsoft's Azure. It's integrated into

14:12

the existing infrastructure. So, they

14:13

just have this really awesome ecosystem.

14:15

And as they continue to build out AI, I

14:17

think they're going to make a ton of

14:18

money because currently their AI

14:20

adoption is not high. I don't expect

14:21

them to super dominate. They also don't

14:23

really have to dominate that hard in AI

14:25

to have a much bigger valuation because

14:27

they're already everywhere, right? So,

14:28

if they have more AI adoption, not crazy

14:30

AI adoption, just more AI adoption,

14:32

which is likely to happen, then this

14:34

company is probably going to be a $500

14:36

stock. Right now, trading at $373 per

14:38

share. It has come back like pretty

14:40

significantly this month, literally like

14:42

the last 30 days from $441 to 373. So,

14:46

what I think is probably going to happen

14:47

is Microsoft is now increasing in value.

14:50

There's clearly more volume now and

14:51

investors are stepping back in. You can

14:54

actually see here that an analyst from

14:55

Stifle had a more bearish outlook from

14:58

415 to 400. But hey, you know, count me

15:00

in for $400 per share. I think that if

15:02

you have Microsoft and ideally you can

15:04

get to like a 100 shares and you just

15:05

sell covered calls and you collect

15:07

premium on a high quality company like

15:08

Microsoft which has arguably it should

15:10

have lower volatility. It's actually had

15:12

pretty high volatility over the last one

15:13

month down 17%. That's exactly why I'm

15:15

bringing it up. It's because a high

15:17

quality company that typically doesn't

15:18

have that high volatility that's down

15:20

17% in one month like doesn't really

15:22

make sense. So, this is an opportunity

15:24

that I'm very much so attracted to and

15:26

soon as the market opens up, I'm going

15:28

to be taking action on this. So, yeah,

15:29

guys, I hope that you enjoyed this

15:30

video. Make sure to subscribe to this

15:32

video. Again, if you want a mentor, if

15:33

you want a coach, I think it's

15:35

imperative to have one no matter where

15:36

you are in life. If you're super

15:38

successful, you should have one. If

15:39

you're not successful, you should

15:40

definitely have one, right? I have

15:42

coaches. So, I'd love to be that for

15:43

you. I'd love to help you in your

15:44

journey and guide you. Um, so anyways,

15:46

yeah, go ahead and check out the

15:47

description for that. Anyways, I love

15:49

you guys so much. Uh, thanks for

15:50

supporting the channel. Thanks for, you

15:52

know, listening in. It means a lot to me

15:54

because I do a lot of research here. I

15:55

spend a lot of time trying to figure out

15:57

which opportunities are attractive and

15:59

yeah, I just love what I do. So, I hope

16:00

to help more people. Thanks so much and

16:02

uh yeah, I'll see you in the next one.

Interactive Summary

This video, presented by an experienced trader, analyzes several high-quality stocks—SoFi, Palantir, Nvidia, and Microsoft—that are currently experiencing significant price drops. The host argues that these price declines do not necessarily reflect the fundamental quality of these businesses and presents them as attractive buying opportunities. He discusses strategies for navigating these market conditions, such as dollar-cost averaging, using LEAPS, and selling covered calls. Additionally, he emphasizes the importance of having a mentor to navigate the psychological challenges of trading.

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