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Reid Hoffman, LinkedIn Founder: It’s Time To Quit Your Job When You Feel This! Trump Will Punish Me!

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Reid Hoffman, LinkedIn Founder: It’s Time To Quit Your Job When You Feel This! Trump Will Punish Me!

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4513 segments

0:00

president Trump was threatening personal

0:02

and political retaliation because they

0:04

tried to help Harris get elected do you

0:05

think you'll be penalized yes and Direct

0:08

on you and direct me you're not planning

0:09

on leaving the US are

0:11

you um Reed Hoffman is the co-founder of

0:14

LinkedIn and one of the world's most

0:16

successful entrepreneurs playing pivotal

0:18

roles in the success of influential

0:20

companies including PayPal Airbnb

0:22

Facebook and open Ai and now he is a

0:24

leading voice in AI helping people

0:26

utilize this new technology to empower

0:29

themselves in their life and careers you

0:31

were part of what they call the PayPal

0:33

Mafia who went on to create Tesla

0:34

YouTube Reddit SpaceX LinkedIn and

0:36

become multi-billionaires and so I've

0:39

got so many questions let's do it what

0:41

are the key factors of a great

0:42

entrepreneur's mindset one is you have

0:44

to understand that you don't get to an

0:45

optimistic future by trying to avoid

0:47

failure when we started LinkedIn

0:48

everyone said this won't work but just

0:50

because you don't have a 100% chance of

0:52

succeeding doesn't mean that you

0:54

shouldn't do it but there's also a set

0:56

of skills that are rare that you can

0:57

actually teach to entrepreneurs makes

1:00

you much more likely to be successful

1:01

the first is and then how do you know

1:04

when to quit the job what's your view on

1:05

work life balance and if you were

1:07

advising anyone to build wealth in 2025

1:10

what would you say here's some simple

1:11

tips one is Reed what is your take on AI

1:15

it gives us super powers now there will

1:17

be costs to it but like electricity it

1:19

does electrocute people but it's

1:20

essential for human society and is there

1:22

anything that the average person should

1:24

be doing to capitalize on the

1:25

opportunity that AI presents 100% this

1:27

is what you do so

1:31

this has always blown my mind a little

1:33

bit 53% of you that listen to the show

1:36

regularly haven't yet subscribed to the

1:38

show so could I ask you for a favor

1:40

before we start if you like the show and

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you like what we do here and you want to

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support us the free simple way that you

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can do just that is by hitting the

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Subscribe button and my commitment to

1:47

you is if you do that then I'll do

1:49

everything in my power me and my team to

1:51

make sure that this show is better for

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you every single week we'll listen to

1:54

your feedback we'll find the guest that

1:56

you want me to speak to and we'll

1:57

continue to do what we do thank you so

1:59

much

2:00

[Music]

2:03

read as I read through your life it's

2:07

remarkable in it's almost impossible

2:10

that one individual could be involved in

2:12

so many companies that have had such a

2:14

big impact on

2:15

society but at the same time someone

2:18

would be able to seemingly see the

2:19

future over and over and over and over

2:22

again so because as I read through your

2:24

life I thought this can't be one

2:25

individual this can't be one lifetime it

2:28

it begs the question to me what is in

2:30

your view the causal factors that set

2:33

you up for such a

2:35

life well that's interesting I've never

2:37

been asked that question before

2:41

um probably it's a

2:45

combination of the fact that my passion

2:49

is who are we as human beings and where

2:51

are we going so like that's from from a

2:54

very young age like I've been like and I

2:57

think I got it by reading science

2:58

fiction right this kind of like what is

3:00

the scope of humanity like you know

3:02

Isaac asimov's foundation and you know

3:05

this kind of stuff and then

3:08

um I ended up growing up I was born in

3:11

the Stanford hospital I ended up growing

3:12

up in Silicon Valley and and so I got

3:16

the exposure to technology can change

3:20

the world and so focusing on thinking

3:22

about you know kind of this intersection

3:24

of humanity and technology and of course

3:26

obviously science fiction has some play

3:29

to that too although most the technology

3:31

in science fiction is just fiction right

3:34

just like we have wormholes and we do

3:36

Intergalactic travel it's like as far as

3:38

we know there is no such thing as

3:40

wormholes for Intergalactic travel right

3:43

I mean all current contemporary Theory

3:45

of physics would suggest that there

3:48

isn't I mean there may be wormholes but

3:49

they're not for you know put your Star

3:51

Trek spaceship in it and go somewhere

3:54

and then probably the other part of it

3:56

is um I played a lot of board games when

3:59

I was kid and so it gave me a very deep

4:01

sense of strategy and so approaching

4:04

life yeah exact wow this one here you

4:07

probably remember this yes I do remember

4:09

that right in the names on the cover

4:12

Borderlands what age were you when you

4:13

started playing Rune Quest you were very

4:15

young uh when I started playing Rune

4:18

Quest

4:19

probably

4:21

10 and what is the link between the life

4:24

you lived in the board games you played

4:25

as a 10-year-old um well mostly as a

4:28

function again like the role playing

4:30

games is like strategy right so it's

4:33

kind of um you know how do you uh kind

4:37

of think about like uh like an adventure

4:41

is both a narrative experience but it's

4:43

also a strategic experience like you

4:45

know how do you save the town from the

4:47

from the you know the bandits you know

4:48

that kind of thing and so um so it gave

4:52

me a deep sense of kind of like how do

4:55

strategy and tactics and problem solving

4:58

um and how do you do it as a group

5:00

right because you know in fantasy role

5:01

playing games it tends to be you know

5:04

especially when I was doing it as a kid

5:05

a set of blos around the table uh I hear

5:08

it's now a little bit more gender Balan

5:10

which is good and especially especially

5:11

for the blos it's like oh we're not

5:13

we're not just Geeks by ourselves here

5:16

right um and um and so and the way that

5:20

I got to doing this is I was enough

5:22

because this is kind of the focused you

5:25

know kind of kid I was is what I um I'd

5:28

heard that the chaosium had their

5:31

offices were were down the street from a

5:33

friend of minees and so I literally

5:36

walked in the door and started hanging

5:38

out at their office and they're the

5:40

maker of this game they're maker of this

5:41

game the chief editor I think wanted to

5:45

get me out of the office so he said he

5:47

handed me the pre the the in development

5:50

draft of this and said here go look at

5:52

this and so I took it home as an

5:55

obsessive kid I I like redlined it I

5:58

worked my way through it and I brought

6:00

it back like he gave me a Friday and I

6:02

brought it back on Monday so he failed

6:04

on his get this kid out of the office

6:07

mission right but he's he was then and I

6:10

I I still remember this look of vague

6:14

irritation when I handed him this

6:15

because he's like ah this kid is handing

6:17

me this thing oh [ __ ] I don't want to be

6:19

a meany guy and then he started looking

6:21

at it and went oh this is actually good

6:24

work and it was like I want to use this

6:26

work and I was a kid so I didn't

6:27

understand he needed to pay me to use it

6:29

I was that wasn't why I was just doing

6:31

it because I wanted to show that I that

6:33

I knew how to do this stuff and so he

6:35

then wrote me a check um so it was my

6:38

like my very first paycheck to to be

6:41

able to to use the work in the

6:43

publication um because you know this is

6:46

how copyright that that means he then

6:48

owns all the work that I did so he could

6:50

publish it and is your work still in

6:53

here today yes uhuh so edits that you

6:55

made to this game are still in here at

6:57

what age uh that was 12 wow that's

7:01

incredible and how much did he pay you

7:04

oh it's like $160 or something it's not

7:06

bad for 12-year-old no no no my dad my

7:09

dad was originally opposed to Fantasy

7:11

role play games it was like uh what what

7:13

are you doing like you know go like be

7:16

on a path to a real life and then when I

7:18

brought home the paycheck I like well

7:19

maybe that

7:20

works and what was your what were your

7:23

dreams at that age what did you think

7:25

you were going to be when you were older

7:26

sort of 12 13 14 years old frankly I had

7:29

no idea other than the following

7:30

entertaining thing which is since both

7:32

my mother and father are lawyers when I

7:34

was asked when I was 12 what I wanted to

7:35

be when I grew up the answer was not a

7:37

lawyer really yes well because

7:40

lawyers um look obviously bunch of are

7:44

barister the side of the pond um lawyers

7:48

are essentially modern Gladiators who

7:50

are paid to be the Gladiator of whatever

7:53

their paycheck is whether it's a client

7:55

or whether it's you know being a

7:57

full-time employee and so forth and it's

7:59

quality work it's important for society

8:01

but like I was like no no I want to

8:03

create things I don't want to be a you

8:06

know you know belt on my sword and you

8:08

know go to verbal battle for you know

8:10

whatever the you know contract or or

8:12

litigation or any of those things and I

8:14

was like no no no I I actually want to

8:16

go build things and so I didn't know

8:18

what I wanted

8:19

to be when I grew up other than and

8:22

maybe I still don't know right um but

8:26

what I evolve to is I normally have

8:28

about a two to three year plan that's

8:30

iterating right and that's that's tends

8:32

to be what I do and being born at

8:34

Stanford hospital is pertinent as well I

8:36

don't think people in the UK and around

8:37

the world necessarily know the

8:38

significance of that yeah but can you

8:40

explain why that's important Silicon

8:42

Valley um is a it's a network of a

8:47

generative platform so like one of the

8:48

things that that I have learned to think

8:50

about is networks amplify productivity

8:53

that's not just as we get to you know

8:55

why it is i f i conceptualized and

8:58

founded LinkedIn but but it's think in

9:01

terms of networks it's one of the

9:02

reasons why cities are such uh engines

9:06

like basically if you really look at

9:07

economies it's city regions and U it's

9:10

because the city region creates a

9:12

network right it's a network of could be

9:15

suppliers and all the rest but also

9:16

talent and capital and and and and

9:19

knowledge and communication and and

9:21

strategic lenses onto the world and so

9:24

Silicon Valley has been an like like

9:27

people go oh I'm a genius it's like no

9:28

no I'm in Silicon Valley right and that

9:31

really helps and so being born in

9:34

Stanford gave me this a set of different

9:38

you know kind of perspectives one

9:39

technology is a lens into the uh future

9:43

another one is as an individual you can

9:46

go create a technology or technology

9:49

company that can be a lever that can

9:50

move the world right and that an

9:53

individual you know from anywhere can

9:55

kind of do that um and all of those

9:58

things were were part of the luck of

10:02

being born in

10:03

Stanford the luck yes well I don't

10:06

choose you don't choose where you're

10:07

born but a lot of people were born there

10:09

and they didn't go on to do the things

10:11

that you did people like to tell stories

10:13

of manifest destiny it's because I am

10:15

great it I would have been great

10:18

anywhere that I was right and it's self-

10:22

delusional I mean yes I think I'm smart

10:24

yes I think I'm hardworking yes I think

10:25

I'm strategic yes I think I have skills

10:28

that are rare in in in human condition

10:32

but any great achievement also has luck

10:35

right and and I can point it in any

10:38

companies I can point it at any

10:40

individuals um and for example one of

10:42

the basic luck is like I had exposure

10:46

and connection to Silicon Valley if I

10:48

didn't have that the technology Destiny

10:51

or the technology achievements I've done

10:53

wouldn't have been able to do those or

10:55

wouldn't have been able to do those the

10:56

amazing way that I did them

10:59

so what would you say then because

11:00

there's people that listen to the show

11:01

all around the world um I we just

11:04

Spotify rap just came out and globally

11:06

we have quite an extensive audience it's

11:08

funny it's funny that it's so globally

11:09

distributed but I think a factor of

11:11

being on YouTube and speaking English

11:13

what would you say to people that are

11:14

born in we've got an audience in Cape

11:16

Town in Indonesia in Australia New

11:19

Zealand what would you say to people in

11:21

those parts of the world can you still

11:22

be quot unquote massively successful yes

11:26

but but you have to think so um and I

11:29

see you have a few of my books there um

11:32

my very first book the startup review um

11:35

which um came from the commencement

11:39

speech I gave at my high school the

11:40

Putney School in Vermont because I was

11:42

like what do I say to a bunch of 17y

11:43

olds right and I was like well be the

11:45

entrepreneur of your own life and what

11:47

that means there's a chapter in there

11:48

that

11:49

says uh uh the bad advice you're usually

11:52

given is just follow your passion and

11:55

the problem is the passion your passion

11:56

might be very passionate but does do you

11:59

have a strategic Advantage there is that

12:01

something you can do and so applying the

12:04

rules of Entrepreneurship yes of course

12:06

you have to be passionate about what

12:07

you're doing because if you're not

12:08

passionate you can never be world class

12:10

unless you're passionate about what

12:12

you're doing but that's not the only

12:14

thing and so you look at okay what are

12:17

Market realities what's the market what

12:18

does a competition look like and within

12:20

those what can your aspirations be and

12:22

there's a whole chapter on that in that

12:23

book because that's by the way similar

12:25

to how you plot out if you're founding a

12:27

company right if you're founding a

12:28

company you have to think the same way

12:31

about this but think about it as an

12:32

individual so if you're in Cape Town

12:36

there are many great things you can do

12:38

now if you say what I'm going to do is

12:39

create a search company to compete with

12:41

Google ah don't do that I mean unless

12:44

you really have some real unique thing

12:47

because remember you're competing with

12:48

this intensely powerful not just the

12:51

company but the network of Silicon

12:53

Valley which attracts amazing talent

12:56

from around the world Capital knowledge

12:59

and they're all sharing it with each

13:00

other at a very fast clock speed and so

13:03

wherever you are that doesn't work now

13:05

you do think about okay what can the

13:07

thing I do so for example um you know on

13:11

I love podcasts as you know I you know

13:13

Master scale possible Etc and so I had

13:16

the Delight of of um of doing like

13:19

interviews with Toby lutka right or

13:22

Daniel a and what you do is you look at

13:25

part of their success Shopify you know

13:27

Spotify is is what how do I run my

13:31

strategy from here like how is it that

13:34

I'm

13:35

competitive and and can win a global

13:38

field Marketplace that Silicon Valley

13:41

doesn't do and so for example one of the

13:42

things that they're different in the

13:44

cases because like for example in

13:46

Spotify that was hey I can get the

13:50

record labels to give me a chance to

13:53

start doing the business by doing just

13:56

Scandinavia prove it and then expand it

13:59

whereas those record labels the capital

14:00

to do it in the US would never happen

14:02

and hence you have Spotify and in

14:04

Shopify it's hey the silkon valley tends

14:07

to go oh e-commerce is over its own by

14:09

Amazon we're not going to do any of that

14:11

as a platform maybe you know this thing

14:13

or that thing but we're not going to do

14:14

it as a platform well but they're wrong

14:17

and I can do a long place and then once

14:19

I get to this network effect of a whole

14:21

bunch of you know small and medium

14:22

businesses doing their own you know kind

14:25

of websites in e-commerce then I am the

14:28

plat for that so it's kind of a long

14:31

under the radar strategy where you're

14:33

not directly competing with Silicon

14:35

Valley companies and by the time the

14:37

sellon value companies go oh there's a

14:38

Manor opportunity you've got it so those

14:41

are plays that you can do if you're

14:43

smart and strategic but you have to know

14:46

like uh Toby lutka um like is deeply

14:52

informed what what's going on in Silicon

14:54

Valley like when he's charting a

14:56

strategy he's aware of that he's got

14:59

connections he visits I mean I'm a

15:01

friend of his right and um and that's

15:04

part of like if you're doing a global

15:06

software

15:07

play you have to be aware that your

15:10

competition is global there's an element

15:13

of self-awareness required here yeah and

15:16

it's funny because when I was younger I

15:18

certainly didn't have that

15:18

self-awareness I thought that I could

15:20

start a social network from my bedroom

15:22

without ever doing it before and I

15:23

wasn't necessarily thinking about the

15:25

geographical situation or Silicon Valley

15:27

um how important is self-awareness as an

15:30

entrepreneur and how does one cultivate

15:31

it to know what they what challenge is

15:33

actually befitting of their skills so I

15:36

think um self-awareness is generally a

15:39

very good thing for all human beings um

15:43

and um you still have to be irrationally

15:47

ambitious which is I think very

15:49

important and so sometimes

15:50

self-awareness and and just you know uh

15:55

immense ambition sometimes don't go

15:57

together it's better when they do but

15:59

that's fine what you do have to do is be

16:01

very aware of what your competitive

16:03

space looks like right so just about

16:06

everybody who succeeds in substantive in

16:09

a substantial way is good at being

16:13

competitive right and and you if you're

16:15

blind to your

16:17

competition H you're kind of hosed if

16:20

you're successful it's just because

16:21

you're lucky right because uh and that's

16:24

part of what I was referring to earlier

16:25

in luck if you if you start a business

16:27

where you have the luck where

16:29

competitors haven't haven't identified

16:32

it haven't gotten you get a long head

16:33

start on it that's an instance of luck

16:36

not all the successful companies are

16:37

that way but that's very that that can

16:39

be very good and very useful on that um

16:42

but you have to be very aware of what

16:44

the competitive landscape looks like now

16:46

that's also true of individuals right um

16:48

because it's like well who am I

16:49

competing against is a relevant question

16:53

but it's uh you can be kind of

16:56

competitively blind as an individual

16:59

and still be very successful because of

17:01

the way it works but if you're

17:02

competitive blind leading a business

17:04

leading a

17:05

startup almost always that's hosed right

17:08

that's one of the reasons why like you

17:10

know the all investors in Silicon Valley

17:14

always ask about your competition and if

17:16

you say I don't have any competition

17:18

you're like well if they disagree with

17:20

you they're not going to invest because

17:21

they go you're competitively

17:23

blind is there any such thing as an

17:26

entrepreneur in the sense of you know

17:28

people always ask me they say can anyone

17:30

be an entrepreneur and a founder and

17:32

there's so many different types of

17:33

companies one can start these days that

17:35

it's a quite tricky question to answer

17:37

but do you think any because there's

17:38

going to be people listening to this now

17:40

that are in they're managers in

17:41

companies they're you know they're

17:43

they're working in a law firm or

17:45

whatever and maybe they've got an idea I

17:47

mean everyone's got an idea and they

17:49

don't know if they're the type of person

17:51

that should pursue it or not is there a

17:53

framework one can run through run

17:54

through to decide that yeah I'll run

17:56

through a framework to help the folks

17:58

the um the short answer is no not

18:01

everyone should be an entrepreneur just

18:03

like not everyone should try to be a

18:04

professional mus musician not everyone

18:07

should try to be an athlete not everyone

18:09

should be you have to look at what your

18:10

competitive advantages are and does

18:13

your disposition skill sets path give

18:17

you a Competitive Edge in this case of

18:20

being an entrepreneur right because any

18:23

game that's competitive right and

18:26

Entrepreneurship is a highly competitive

18:27

game that's that's part of the you know

18:29

it's as competitive is trying to become

18:32

you know a uh a globally renowned actor

18:36

it's as competitive as trying to become

18:38

the CEO of a major bank or anything else

18:41

so it's it's a competitive

18:43

game so for an entrepreneur what you

18:46

have to do is you have to say okay well

18:48

um I have to be uh able one of the

18:51

classic ones to uh to take substantial

18:56

risks now it's not being risk blind

18:58

Entre rurs are actually not risk blind

19:01

or occasionally they are and

19:02

occasionally they're lucky and it works

19:05

but almost all the successful ones

19:07

realize that I'm that when you start a

19:10

company you're default debt right by

19:13

default the company is out of business

19:16

right and so you're trying to get to a

19:19

point where it's default alive versus

19:22

default dead then there's a whole bunch

19:25

of different things that go into that

19:26

game so one is um well can you go get

19:28

the capital um are you in in a market

19:31

that allow you to get the capital um can

19:34

you move to a market that allows you to

19:35

get the capital um how do you pitch the

19:38

capital how does pitching Capital go and

19:40

then you get this this kind of flywheel

19:42

going between you know Capital um Talent

19:47

uh business realization Capital Talent

19:51

right and you're doing that and the

19:52

business realization obviously includes

19:53

customers includes go to market includes

19:55

building products and services Etc and

19:58

by the way it's Dynam so you say well I

19:59

wouldn't worked at a large company and I

20:01

learned a bunch of things like well yeah

20:02

but you didn't learn how your default

20:05

dead you didn't learn how to launch a

20:07

new product you didn't learn how to how

20:08

do you start with a small product and

20:10

grow to a larger product right you

20:13

didn't learn how do you set up a team

20:14

from scratch and by the way a team from

20:17

scratch when the vast majority of human

20:20

beings like more certainty in what their

20:22

week looks like right like I'm going to

20:25

come work at a place because I can

20:27

continue to work at a place and as long

20:28

long as I'm capable of what I'm doing I

20:31

keep my job right in terms of what I'm

20:34

doing and so I understand the certainty

20:36

so so entrepreneurs have to do all that

20:38

sort of thing so in addition to kind of

20:40

risk taking you have to be good at

20:42

bringing many resources from different

20:46

uh vectors into your vision and working

20:48

with you so there's investors there's

20:50

employees there's customers there's

20:53

advisors there's Partners you have to

20:56

bring the right set of those people

20:57

along with you in this iterative this

21:00

this kind of you know iterative Journey

21:02

um you have to be able to grow yourself

21:05

and learn because the game changes um

21:07

like one of the metaphors I use to to to

21:11

train and and conceptualize young

21:13

entrepreneurs is kind and there's a

21:15

bunch of different parallels between

21:16

military strategy it's part of like the

21:17

board games thing and and and business

21:20

strategy but it's like Marines take the

21:21

beach army takes the country police

21:23

governs the country three three very

21:26

crude broad generalizations about how

21:28

you do it so you go what's your Marine

21:31

strategy do you have because you must as

21:34

a C Series a you must have a good

21:36

strategy how you get on the beach how

21:38

you get you know initial product Market

21:39

fit how you're heading towards scale

21:41

product Market fit okay you're there how

21:43

do you win the country right the market

21:46

right what how do you get to scale

21:47

product Market fit how is that going to

21:49

work how are you going to play against

21:51

competition different in these two how

21:52

do you get up to scale you have to learn

21:54

this game is different than this game

21:57

right and you're learning new things as

21:58

you're doing it so you have to have this

22:00

kind of um what I refer to as being an

22:03

infinite learner like you're learning

22:05

what the new game is because by the way

22:07

no entrepreneur shows up at door one at

22:09

day one going well I know how to do

22:11

marketing I know how to do sales I know

22:12

how to do uh product development I know

22:14

how to do engineering I know how to do

22:16

engineering operations I know how like

22:18

no no no you have to bring all that in

22:20

you to be learning what you need to

22:21

learn in order to do that through that

22:23

and and and and that's part of how you

22:26

you grow into that and then by the way

22:28

once you you've established a business

22:30

because the thing another thing that

22:32

brings in a lot of competition is people

22:33

say oh that's a valuable business I'd

22:36

like to possibly that and then you then

22:39

a new generation of heavy competitors

22:42

come in so can you can you kind of keep

22:44

your position and grow your position in

22:46

a market which is the police part right

22:48

the police part yes exactly and so so

22:50

you have to you have to look and each of

22:51

these three is different games and

22:53

there's more games than that but it's a

22:54

a way of kind of Simply understanding

22:56

that so uh always being learning being

22:59

an infinite learner and changing your

23:00

mindset and so frequently like for

23:03

example when I'm talking to an

23:06

entrepreneur

23:07

um especially the first few times is I

23:12

will push them on their Vision to see if

23:14

their Learners now one they should have

23:16

persistence and grit because like no

23:18

I've thought about this I've got a good

23:19

plan this is how I'm going to go to

23:21

market I understand what the competition

23:23

looks like because if they go oh you're

23:24

right I should totally change that

23:25

you're like okay you have to have some

23:27

grit and precis

23:29

but on the other hand if they're not

23:30

like going oh yeah no if we can counter

23:32

that yeah we'd have to do something

23:34

about that like if our competitor

23:35

started doing that and maybe we do this

23:39

right so they also are learning they

23:40

have flexibility so you want that

23:42

combination like one of the things about

23:44

startups is uh you have to um bring kind

23:49

of this dual lensed focus of things that

23:52

seemingly are a little contradictory so

23:54

like persistence flexibility another one

23:57

is right now now long term right now you

24:01

have to do right now but if you don't

24:03

have a long term of how you're building

24:05

something that's insanely ambitious no

24:07

you're never going to get there if if if

24:09

you shoot for the hillside you're never

24:11

going to get to the moon you have to

24:12

shoot for the moon so you're shooting

24:13

for the moon but it's me and my two

24:16

friends in a garage right now it's

24:18

interesting because the middle bit yes

24:21

does that matter it does but it's it's a

24:25

remember like the Marines Army police

24:28

yeah

24:28

Army when you're doing the Marines is

24:30

the middle bit right okay right right so

24:34

so it does but it's not by the way and

24:36

one of again mistakes and that's part of

24:38

the reason why there's another chapter

24:39

in Starview is abz planning the mistakes

24:41

is like you have a plan and then you

24:43

have a plan B it's like no no no you

24:45

have a plan and then you have a lot of

24:47

micr plan BS right so you're kind of

24:49

like well if that doesn't work then

24:50

let's try this if that doesn't work then

24:52

let's try this you know and and you're

24:54

iterating through them and when you know

24:56

to do a major pivot because by the way

24:59

many successful businesses also do major

25:02

pivots um PayPal started as encryption

25:05

on cell phones right that's that's where

25:08

it started right so you do major pivots

25:13

it's when you go

25:15

oh my current plan which I've iterated

25:18

for my first plan is worse than my first

25:20

plan like the market circumstances its

25:23

chance of

25:24

succeeding those are now worse mhm

25:28

that's when you think about okay let's

25:29

do a major pivot so with your analogy of

25:33

evading the beach how do you know what

25:35

beach to invade like how do you know if

25:36

you've got a good idea and how do you

25:38

know what a good idea is because most

25:40

people as I said listen to this they've

25:41

got a business idea yeah and they how do

25:44

they know if it's good and part of the

25:46

issue they often have is they've heard

25:48

anecdotally or they've seen that someone

25:50

else is already doing it so they go oh

25:52

gosh it's already been done yeah

25:55

there's call it two kinds of ideas is

25:58

and frankly by the way you think you

26:00

know there's over 8 billion people in

26:01

the world the fact that you think you're

26:04

the one person who thought of this idea

26:08

you may not be doing math well right um

26:12

so so thinking you're the one person

26:15

who's thought of the idea that's a

26:17

mistake right the question is are you

26:19

the person who can pull it together in

26:22

the

26:23

momentum and and pull it together and

26:25

it's still by the way that may be well

26:28

okay that gets down to 100 people okay

26:30

well am I the one who's in motion right

26:32

now am I the mo person who's willing to

26:34

take the risk quit my job and do it um

26:37

and you never really get down to one

26:40

right so so startups are risky

26:42

businesses like one of the things let's

26:43

get back to entrepreneurs like I think

26:46

the greatest chance and even when I was

26:48

starting LinkedIn after having started

26:50

social land after having you know uh

26:52

co-founded PayPal as a board member even

26:56

when I was starting LinkedIn what I

26:58

would tell the people like look we have

27:00

about a maximum of 20 25% chance of

27:03

being successful right just to be clear

27:06

right we're GNA try to grow that to 100%

27:10

right but but we're a couple people in a

27:13

garage right now right like there's all

27:16

kinds of things that can go wrong anyone

27:18

who's telling you it's 100% now they're

27:20

lying to themselves or they're lying to

27:22

you and and you know like I'm very

27:24

realist and ambitious in my strategy and

27:27

so so you you should never think you're

27:29

starting something 100% now within the

27:32

ideas you go there's roughly speaking

27:35

two kinds of ideas one kind of idea is

27:40

people generally think that's a good

27:41

idea they think it's a good idea because

27:43

you go to customers and customers say

27:44

yeah I'd like that right they go to they

27:47

go oh well hey AI is going to create a

27:49

whole bunch of new SAS businesses right

27:51

oh yeah that makes sense and new new

27:53

technology trans

27:55

transformation that or people in

27:57

e-commerce they're going to want buy

27:58

this kind of stuff okay you know makes

28:00

sense so there's a stack of things where

28:02

they're pretty measurable as ideas like

28:04

you can measure them with customers you

28:06

can you can you can do feedback and

28:09

polling and other kinds of things now

28:12

the good news there's good news bad news

28:14

on this category the good news is you

28:16

can drisk is there a market for your

28:19

idea mostly not not entirely but mostly

28:23

the bad news is so can a lot of other

28:24

people yeah right and so in this

28:27

category there always tends to be

28:29

competition and your competitive

28:31

strategy generally speaking needs to be

28:34

why against like in this category you

28:36

should be expecting competition why am I

28:39

going to win out sufficiently against

28:41

this competition in a global

28:44

Arena I have invested in those

28:46

businesses Greylock invests in a bunch

28:48

of those businesses because we do we're

28:49

you know one of the best VCS in

28:50

Enterprise on the planet you know blah

28:52

blah blah then um the other kind of I

28:56

thing which is the one I tend to start

28:58

and the one I tend to most invest in is

29:01

people think that you're uh that you're

29:05

crazy when you're starting your business

29:08

and by the way that can be a by the way

29:10

and frequently you are right yeah but

29:13

but people think you're crazy which

29:14

means most people think you're crazy

29:16

which means your competitive field is a

29:17

lot less right so for example I'll give

29:22

LinkedIn um as an example and I'll give

29:26

Airbnb as an example so l in um I go and

29:29

I say hey um individuals will join this

29:32

network and bring in their and establish

29:34

a public identity and profile and bring

29:37

in their Network and and use that even

29:40

as the vast majority of the billion

29:42

people register for LinkedIn are you

29:43

know basically work at companies right

29:45

they're not starting company like it's a

29:46

great platform for entrepreneurs

29:47

entrepreneurs get it right away but like

29:49

I'm like well I'm working in a company

29:51

is am I going to seem disloyal to my

29:53

company if I establish a profile here

29:55

you know cuz back back when we started

29:58

it like no one's going to use that why

30:00

well because like they're worried about

30:03

uh will their company fire them or not

30:06

give them a bonus or something else

30:07

because they have a LinkedIn profile

30:08

because they're saying they're dis oil

30:10

so it looks like they're shopping

30:11

because I mean for most people that use

30:13

LinkedIn now you don't see it as I'm

30:15

looking for another role exactly but

30:16

back then people do 2003 literally

30:20

everyone said to me this won't work

30:23

because you're individual focused you

30:25

need to be selling products to companies

30:28

okay right right and so I was like no no

30:31

I think I'm right about the way the

30:33

world can and should be right and um and

30:39

so uh I'm gonna take that risk and

30:42

that's the contrarian risk I'm gonna

30:43

take that risk and I'm gonna I'm gonna

30:45

play it forward and if I'm right I will

30:48

create something that will transform the

30:51

industry that will be amazing for

30:53

individuals amazing for companies Etc

30:55

and we can go obviously whatever length

30:57

you want to go through the LinkedIn

30:58

Journey we can do that now Airbnb is as

31:00

an investor example so Airbnb was my

31:03

first investment at Greylock and so and

31:05

I was at Greylock because David Z who

31:07

was my partner who was the Greylock

31:09

partner who was my most valuable board

31:11

member at LinkedIn convinced me that I

31:13

should do Venture AT Greylock and I'm

31:15

very close to David and so I bring in

31:18

Airbnb as an investment and David looks

31:20

across the table from me and says look

31:23

every VC has to have a deal they're

31:24

going to fail on Airbnb can be yours

31:28

really yes because arbnb at the time had

31:32

so little volume in its transactions

31:35

that the founders could have called

31:37

everyone who used Airbnb that week if

31:39

what they did is dedicated making phone

31:41

calls like you know five minutes of

31:42

phone call you know through the through

31:44

the week that was how small it was and

31:46

David's argument at the Greylock Round

31:49

Table was look this is very strange

31:53

staying in other people's houses you

31:56

know like the danger of something going

31:59

wrong um cities are going to hate it

32:02

hotel lobbies are going to try to Outlaw

32:05

it within cities You Know da like this

32:08

is just going to be a train wreck all

32:09

over the

32:11

place and I was like no but I want to

32:13

take the v he's like great like we hired

32:15

you as a partner we think you're smart

32:17

go ahead right now to David's credit six

32:20

months later the trend the transaction

32:22

volume in airbn is like this classic

32:24

hockey stick it was years a very small

32:27

and then it grew to being very big um so

32:31

the hockey stick hadn't started yet and

32:32

David came to me and said okay because

32:35

because like they always be learning is

32:37

also useful in Venture Capital he came

32:39

and said okay you were totally right

32:40

about Airbnb and I was I was totally

32:42

wrong what did you see that I didn't see

32:45

like how did you know when I was sitting

32:47

there blowing smoke at you saying this

32:50

is going to be a total failure you said

32:51

nope I'm I want to do this I said well

32:53

look you were right about all of the

32:56

risks about that could happen with

32:58

Airbnb you absolutely right any of those

33:01

things could have made the business

33:03

worth zero but this is the reason as

33:05

investors we do a portfolio because yes

33:08

Airbnb could be zero but if it worked it

33:12

was going to be huge right it was going

33:14

to transform an industry this is the

33:16

kind of investment I like doing as an

33:18

entrepreneur or as an investor and I

33:20

said look we had a plan for each of

33:22

those risks we had a plan a we had plans

33:25

B we're going to try to navigate it

33:26

isn't that we could guarantee

33:28

the risk but the fact that everyone else

33:30

saw those risks meant that we had years

33:32

of no competition that we could

33:34

establish the network we could establish

33:36

the marketplace and then once we're

33:38

there we are the marketplace for how

33:41

that works and that's the kind of

33:43

investment I like doing that's the same

33:44

thing with LinkedIn as I as I founded it

33:46

same thing with you know kind of uh with

33:49

Airbnb as an investment and so that

33:51

category of investment you cannot

33:53

validate with the customers I was going

33:54

to say so if everybody thinks it's a

33:56

good idea it's probably not a big idea

33:58

yes it it's much more challenging to be

34:00

a big idea

34:02

interesting really

34:05

interesting because it's funny because

34:07

when people pitch to you they say I've

34:09

asked everybody and everybody thinks

34:10

it's great yes so that's probably an

34:13

indicated that it's probably not big or

34:15

they bullshitting yes yes and I'm

34:17

looking for both in my creation of ideas

34:20

and in my funding of ideas it's not dumb

34:23

people who think it's a bad idea it's

34:26

smart people who think it's a bad idea

34:28

you want smart people to yes because

34:30

then you have something that's

34:32

contrarian because that's what contan

34:34

contrarian isn't I don't understand

34:36

technology at all and I think it's a

34:37

terrible idea it's like well who cares

34:38

you don't understand anything right it's

34:41

smart people who think it's a bad idea

34:43

right right and then you have a theory

34:46

of the game that's a good one not

34:48

perfect very risk can be very risky

34:51

about why they're

34:52

wrong so I'll give you the LinkedIn

34:54

example literally John Lily partner mind

34:57

gr I recruited him into Greylock later

34:59

he was the CEO of Milla that I was on

35:01

the board of super smart guy friend of

35:03

mine I sat down with him about LinkedIn

35:06

because this is how I go when I'm

35:08

starting a company I go to all my

35:10

smartest friends and I go here's what

35:12

I'm doing what's wrong with it I don't

35:14

want to have the conversation of them

35:15

going oh it's great useless doesn't help

35:17

me right what's wrong with it why will

35:20

this go why will this fail and so I sat

35:22

down with John we had breakfast at a at

35:24

a breakfast place in Silicon Valley I

35:27

said da and he said okay you you know

35:30

I'll I'm your friend you it's never

35:31

going to work right and I said okay well

35:34

why do you think it's never going to

35:34

work said well look you never grow the

35:37

network like the first person who comes

35:39

in no one else in the network not

35:41

valuable for me why should I invite

35:43

someone in until you have like you know

35:45

I don't know 500,000 people a million

35:47

people there's no value in the network

35:48

so there's zero value so it's never

35:49

going to grow you're never going to get

35:51

anywhere right and it was a very smart

35:54

perspicacious thought that was probably

35:56

the key thing for starting LinkedIn was

35:59

how do you get to millions of people in

36:01

the network because that's the only

36:02

place where the value proposition kicks

36:04

in right I knew that if you had a

36:06

thousand people come

36:08

in 900 of those people would be exactly

36:11

like John they' go huh I don't see

36:13

anyone else here in this network Etc but

36:16

I knew that some of them somewhere

36:18

between 10 and a hundred of them would

36:20

go oh I see what this could be and I

36:22

kind of want to play with it so you know

36:24

I'll invite Stephen I'll invite you know

36:27

I'll invite some people in and then as

36:30

it very slowly starts going then all of

36:32

a sudden there's enough people in it's

36:34

interesting it's curious and you could

36:36

grow to being valuable so I knew that

36:38

that by persistence through those

36:40

initial exploratory people people who

36:43

are curious people who want to

36:44

experiment with it people who got the

36:45

vision of it you know Etc ET but all of

36:48

that I could grow to your initial

36:50

critical mass and then it would kick in

36:53

the model of LinkedIn obviously I know

36:56

LinkedIn more today than I did back then

36:58

in what 19 no so 2002 2003 200 2003 and

37:02

then really got 2003 is when we turned

37:04

it on Wow and back then was it a social

37:09

network as it is now where there's a

37:11

news feed and people talking to each

37:13

other or was it more of a a public CV

37:18

was a public CV with a search capability

37:21

and ability to communicate with people

37:23

okay interesting so the network effects

37:25

were slightly less important than the

37:27

modeling is today because a lot of

37:29

people today using it not to search for

37:31

a job or a professional but to talk

37:34

about themselves or to share their life

37:35

Etc and we knew that we would get to

37:38

Growing Network fact like for example

37:40

Again part of the you know Marines Army

37:43

police is your network effects may very

37:45

much evolve you may start with no

37:47

network effects that's fine yeah but you

37:49

have a plan yes yeah yeah yeah so am I

37:52

right in thinking because around then

37:55

there were social networks emerging that

37:56

were very FOC focused on people

37:58

conversating with each other whereas

38:01

LinkedIn by design it didn't really

38:04

really matter if anybody was chatting to

38:06

you about what they ate for dinner that

38:07

day so a new network could penetrate the

38:11

market that was less dependent on the

38:13

like social networking component because

38:16

if I go on there and make a profile and

38:17

put my CV up it doesn't really matter if

38:19

I don't come back for four days exactly

38:21

because I can get an email that will

38:23

bring me back in saying oh there's a job

38:24

here but once my profile's up and ready

38:27

yes I'm now giving value to the rest of

38:29

the network just by being there yes and

38:31

that that's a virtue not a bug because

38:34

it was part of how we solved the

38:35

critical mass problem yeah I I could

38:37

never understand how LinkedIn did that

38:39

but now it makes sense to me yes because

38:40

I always think God building a social

38:42

network is just asking for like hell in

38:44

your life yeah well I'm kind of a

38:46

specialist yeah right uh you know uh one

38:50

of the First Investors in Facebook one

38:52

of the First Investors in frenster oh

38:54

right I didn't realize you were invest

38:55

in frenster as well yes you

38:58

were part of what they call the PayPal

38:59

Mafia I know you use a different term

39:01

Network it's it it's less it has less

39:04

Pizzazz but we weren't really a criminal

39:06

group but Mafia is cool as well yes yes

39:09

people people love the term Mafia and

39:12

through that time you worked with the

39:13

likes of Elon you knew Peter the from

39:15

your days at University

39:18

um I mean everybody asked this question

39:20

about

39:22

PayPal and why it was so successful but

39:24

also why so many of the alumni of PayPal

39:27

went on to become multi-billionaires I

39:29

think seven people that that were part

39:32

in that sort of part of that St sort of

39:34

early PayPal founding team went on to

39:36

create Tesla YouTube Reddit SpaceX

39:39

LinkedIn was it Talent density was it

39:42

was that what made the PayPal mafio well

39:44

it certainly was a component and so it's

39:47

it's it's it's a couple of things so one

39:51

um that high density Talent of folks who

39:55

are willing to take intensive risks

39:57

want to do contrarian things believe in

40:01

what their contrarian thing is against

40:02

Common Sense wisdom that's one part

40:05

another part is um when PayPal went

40:09

public it was one of it was a it was a

40:12

technology winter it was one of two

40:13

technology companies that went public

40:15

that year wow right so all of a sudden

40:18

and then got bought by eBay so all of a

40:20

sudden you had this talent group of

40:21

people that had a bunch of money in

40:23

their pockets and the Network within and

40:29

that believed in the consumer internet

40:32

so the network of Silicon Valley at that

40:35

point had thought the consumer internet

40:36

was played they were going into clean

40:38

tech and Enterprise so if you asked if

40:41

you try to Ping a venture capitalist but

40:44

I have a new consumer idea they wouldn't

40:45

even take a meeting with you they would

40:47

take a meeting if it was clean tech

40:48

they' take a meeting if it was

40:50

Enterprise software right now then you

40:53

get all the the the PayPal people coming

40:55

out going hey I can f my own initial

40:58

idea I've got this great idea YouTube

41:02

Right LinkedIn and I can fund it and I

41:05

can get it going and then and this is

41:07

part of the web 20 movement this is a i

41:10

i coined the term internet 20 and then

41:12

Tim uh O'Reilly uh made the much better

41:15

term web to right and

41:18

so the uh these folks going no no the

41:22

consumer internet is like that was just

41:25

the first wave on the beach the tsunami

41:27

is still coming right and so we were all

41:30

out investing and we were talking to

41:31

each other because frankly we're like

41:34

well these these VCS don't get it like

41:36

this is coming and then of course you

41:38

started seeing you know YouTube and you

41:40

started seeing LinkedIn and you started

41:42

seeing and it was like okay like we will

41:46

like these are important things that

41:47

we're going to invest in and that that's

41:49

that's part of the reason why the that's

41:52

the uh Because by the way remember you

41:54

know a bad competition

41:57

right that's one of the reasons why not

41:58

just Talent not just Capital but also

42:02

competitive steering as part of the

42:03

reason why the PayPal Network or PayPal

42:05

Mafia had such a massive uh Suite of

42:10

success you know I often Hazard a guess

42:13

that what the like the the fundamental

42:15

game of business is for a startup

42:17

founder and I've hazarded a guess before

42:19

that it's recruiting the best group of

42:21

people you possibly can binding them

42:22

with a culture that gets the best out of

42:24

them and setting them a vision that's

42:25

worthwhile but from reading your work

42:27

there's a couple of things just from

42:28

hearing you today sales is so like all

42:32

whatever your go to market is and it can

42:33

be sales be to be Enterprise Etc but

42:36

like for example in in social networks

42:38

it's usually a viral you know a viral

42:41

marketing or viral growth plan so when I

42:43

say sales I actually mean like selling

42:45

to oh yes employees 100% yes you must

42:48

you said like Partners investors yes cuz

42:51

you have to come come on board my vision

42:54

invest in my vision Because by the way a

42:55

partner when you're startup is also

42:58

investing in Your Vision yeah an

42:59

employee is investing your vision yeah

43:02

right how' you be good at

43:04

that there's a limited set of skills

43:07

that you can actually teach to

43:08

entrepreneurs versus the entrepreneurs

43:10

just learning by doing one of them is

43:12

pitching right one of them is

43:14

understanding the how do I communicate

43:17

my vision in a way that other people

43:20

cannot go that's really exciting I want

43:23

to join your vision with you and if I

43:26

was a young entrepreneur telling you

43:27

right I want to be better at pitching my

43:29

vision so I can get worldclass people to

43:30

join me worldclass investors Partners is

43:32

there any advice you could give me on

43:34

things I should and shouldn't do uh yeah

43:36

absolutely and by the way there's we

43:38

could spend the entire podcast only

43:41

doing this I mean there's there's a very

43:43

deep well but here's some simple tips so

43:45

one is the mistaken lesson that most

43:49

people learn is to try to do reality

43:51

Distortion it's like no no no no no uh

43:54

silicon chips to make ice cream shakes

43:57

it's the thing no one's thought of it

43:59

it's really big right and people like

44:02

okay what you're convincing me is you're

44:04

crazy right like you're literally like

44:07

please leave now yeah right so you have

44:10

to realize that all pitches are

44:11

dialogues right and you want to be

44:14

listening to smart people and you like

44:17

generally speaking everyone you want to

44:19

be recruiting you want to be recruiting

44:21

smart people you want the absolute best

44:23

talent working with you you want the

44:24

absolute best talent working in your

44:26

company you want the absolute best so

44:27

you want people who are who are

44:30

thoughtful and asking good questions

44:31

like for

44:32

example I pitch insanely aspirational

44:37

businesses but I don't pitch them saying

44:38

Oh LinkedIn is guaranteed to succeed

44:40

there's no Universe in which LinkedIn

44:42

won't be the Transformer of professional

44:45

work and careers what I do is say it can

44:48

get here like we have a real chance at

44:51

this now we have to navigate these risks

44:55

but if we navigate these risks we're

44:56

going to be here mhm right and then

44:58

people say ah you're credible you have a

45:02

huge Vision you're compelling I think

45:05

you can do this right and then they come

45:07

on board with you so one of it is to

45:10

pitch the huge Vision but show that

45:12

you're aware of the difficulties of

45:15

getting there right now you don't have

45:17

to go through all of them you just have

45:19

to go through enough of them or a big

45:22

enough one that the person goes okay

45:24

great I get it you're seeing it right

45:27

another part of it is to say this is

45:29

part of the reason why competition is

45:30

important is like I understand what game

45:32

I'm playing right here's my theory this

45:35

is what competition plays in this is why

45:37

I think the market will favor me this is

45:38

why I think technology Trends will favor

45:40

me this is why I think I have a very

45:41

unique Edge and you know in blit scaling

45:45

which I think is another book on your

45:46

thing uh most consumer internet plays

45:51

are uh what we call Glen Gary Glenn Ross

45:53

markets which is first prize the

45:55

Cadillac second prize steak knives and

45:57

third prizes you're fired so you have to

45:59

be pitching why you're possibly first

46:02

yeah right right because there's only

46:03

going to be a couple of winners yes and

46:05

so like this is why we can win right and

46:09

so um now there's also mechanics in

46:13

pitching which is you know how do you

46:14

tell a story of it part of the thing I

46:17

tell entrepreneurs is to even if the

46:19

person doesn't ask you the risk tell

46:22

them what the risks are and how you're

46:24

navigating them because it'll establish

46:26

trust right so like for example in in

46:29

pitching Investments now this I didn't

46:31

know until I started learning it in

46:33

terms of mechanic of pitching is and

46:35

entrepreneurs tend to go oh when I need

46:37

money is when I you know write up my

46:39

PowerPoint and I hit you know knock on

46:41

the door like hey give me some money

46:43

that's a foolish time to start the

46:45

conversation much better to start the

46:47

conversation when you're not saying give

46:48

me money so if you like as much as you

46:52

can in all of these things start the

46:54

conversation well before you're getting

46:56

to a

46:57

potential contract of any sort a

47:00

partnership or or a investment or even

47:02

an employment contract like so for

47:04

example always be recruiting doesn't

47:06

mean oh I want to hire you right now

47:08

it's like okay find great talent this is

47:10

one of the things I learned from social

47:11

lent and brought into PayPal find great

47:13

talent and start talking to them right

47:17

even if today you don't have the right

47:19

position to hire them right now

47:21

obviously there's a whole bunch of great

47:23

talent you could waste a whole bunch of

47:24

time you want to be talking to people

47:25

that

47:27

you know you either really would love

47:29

them to join at some point not too

47:31

distant future or they know other people

47:33

who would be like that because by the

47:34

way part of when you um when you meet

47:38

great talent you realize how to like

47:41

because because you're always you're

47:42

always adding new great talent you're

47:44

like oh my God we need people like this

47:48

how do we bring them in so for example

47:51

one of the things that I learned that

47:52

was you know from social net that I

47:55

brought to PayPal was at Social at I was

47:58

trying to hire people who had 10 plus

47:59

years experience doing the thing that we

48:01

were hiring them to do before because

48:03

the classic kind of wisdom that you get

48:04

from Business Schools is make sure they

48:06

have experience on their

48:08

CV look they have to be able to do the

48:10

job right no question but if you said

48:14

two years of experience and an insane

48:16

learning curve that's much better an

48:19

insane learning curve by that you means

48:20

someone that's rapidly learning self-

48:23

teing yes okay and learning on the job

48:26

and going and figuring it out and so

48:28

when I went to PayPal and I was I when

48:32

the company was founded I was on the

48:33

board of directors I was like this is

48:35

what you're looking for not this okay

48:37

right and so back to your like PayPal

48:39

Mafia question that's because we hired

48:41

those kind of people right interesting

48:44

there was a very limited set of people

48:46

in the company who had had more than a

48:47

couple years experience working within

48:52

payments within banking within you know

48:55

because it was the no know learning

48:58

curve when you look at your portfolio of

49:00

Investments and the entrepreneurs you

49:01

meet do you think young entrepreneurs

49:03

realize how significant hiring is to

49:05

their eventual outcome because they tend

49:07

to focus on like how good the product is

49:09

or sometimes Capital but I just looking

49:11

at my own portfolio I I often find

49:14

myself like feeling like an old man

49:16

because I'm telling them that like spend

49:17

more time hiring not just hiring your

49:19

friends because they're willing to come

49:20

work here yes aoxy for a Founder if

49:23

you're not spending a third of your time

49:25

hiring

49:27

you're very much underd delivering this

49:29

is the thing it's like look uh life is a

49:32

team sport companies are team sports

49:35

right if you could just do it yourself

49:36

you wouldn't hire anybody no you're

49:37

hiring people so like you say well I've

49:39

got a really good let's you know use a

49:41

European football analogy I've got a

49:43

really good Striker

49:45

great well we don't need to worry about

49:47

the halfbacks or defensive or you know

49:51

goalkeeper no no you have to hire all

49:54

things and you go well I'm a really good

49:56

halfback that's great you need the

49:57

others too I think when I was young when

50:00

I was 18 19 years old I somewhere in my

50:02

brain thought my outcomes were going to

50:03

be determined by how hard I worked and

50:06

how good my ideas were and it wasn't

50:08

until I accidentally hired someone

50:09

fantastic that I realized yes the

50:11

absolute tremendous impact that an a

50:13

player can have on everything yes and

50:15

that was just such a mental shift for me

50:17

yeah literally I think Zuckerberg puts

50:20

us in a very good way he wants to hire

50:22

people he would work for

50:27

and why why is that because that's a

50:28

demonstration of high Talent okay yeah

50:32

yeah when you're a young found you're

50:33

somewhat insecure though you think oh

50:35

God why would that person want to come

50:36

work here or I can't afford them or you

50:38

want to hire the best people you can and

50:41

by the way if you can hire people better

50:42

than you oh my God it makes you much

50:44

more likely to be successful yeah yeah

50:47

it's my experience that young Founders

50:48

don't really think about that because

50:49

they're also insecure so they think I

50:51

can't manage that person yeah well but

50:53

but your theory of management is look if

50:55

you're if you can hire someone where

50:57

your only management technique needs to

50:59

be let them

51:01

loose that's that that's

51:04

best like just

51:06

go right and is there any pra anything

51:09

practical about hiring you know people

51:11

say like hire slow Fire fast or uh other

51:14

sort of like cliche advice around hiring

51:16

that matters like how important is it

51:18

that they're culturally aligned or so

51:20

culture can matter um I would say look

51:24

in terms of and I hopefully it's not a

51:27

cliche but hopefully a puristic

51:29

principle um uh references are more

51:32

important than

51:34

interviews right we get a lot of

51:36

repetitive experience at being

51:38

compelling in an interview and if you

51:41

can't and by the way some great people

51:43

aren't compelling in interviews right

51:45

they're they're they're not really great

51:46

at selling themselves but oh my God are

51:48

they amazing in the field they're am

51:49

like an engineer like an engineer might

51:51

be like you like okay but oh my God can

51:55

they do great things mhm in which case

51:57

like like do whatever you can to hire

52:00

that person so if you if you ask me you

52:02

can only have references or only inter

52:04

interview 10 out of 10 times I'll take

52:07

the I'll hire the person on the

52:08

references you surely you're not talking

52:10

about the types of references where they

52:11

give you the references no no course not

52:13

no no and this is one of the features of

52:14

LinkedIn like you want to find

52:16

references that will give you um uh good

52:21

perspective now even if you can't go

52:24

find someone that you know or you have a

52:27

tie to or as what we refer to frequently

52:29

as an off-balance reference sheet e not

52:31

the one they give you to be a reference

52:34

so even if they say oh here's you know

52:36

I'm reading here's my reference you know

52:40

Bob or

52:42

Susan you call Bob or Susan and you say

52:45

this is a standard question I will use

52:47

all the time but especially if I'm

52:49

calling someone who's a given reference

52:51

say look I believe every every person is

52:53

a combination of strengths and

52:55

weaknesses and you don't give me a

52:58

weakness I will believe it's so bad that

53:01

I should not hire this

53:03

person right so if if you say there's no

53:07

weakness I'll just go okay I understand

53:09

I shouldn't hire this person thank you

53:10

very much right in that they will always

53:15

almost always give you

53:17

something right and you can think

53:19

because we are all combinations of

53:20

strengths and weaknesses like I'm one of

53:23

the best people to have on your side for

53:24

Creative strategic problem solving

53:27

like one of my employees once told me

53:29

he's like I would never hire you to run

53:30

a McDonald's I'm like I wouldn't hire me

53:32

to run a McDonald's either I'd be

53:34

terrible at it right so that's

53:38

combinations of strengths and weaknesses

53:41

right and so everyone has them there is

53:43

no one who is all strengths I mean

53:44

people tell themselves that but that's

53:46

self- delusion right and so so you have

53:50

that conversation with a reference and

53:51

the reference will tell you something

53:53

because because they're not used to

53:54

saying it so they might say oh you know

53:57

he um uh you know Susan or Bob they're a

54:01

perfectionist he like oh so they get

54:03

their work done slowly because they you

54:05

know like you know like you you push

54:07

them because they're trying to get the

54:08

one that's actually like more oh they

54:10

spend too much time working you're like

54:12

oh that means they're unintelligent

54:13

about how they do the work yeah right so

54:17

you can push them into where they're

54:18

like yeah like they can get a little

54:20

disorganized when they're stressed okay

54:22

great right and then you could that giv

54:24

you by the way because when you get that

54:25

from reference one then when you're

54:28

calling reference two you say oh I heard

54:31

that the person is disorganized like can

54:34

you tell me a little bit about

54:36

that right yeah got some ammo and they

54:39

can't then say Oh no I've never seen

54:41

that they'll probably give you a little

54:42

bit more context yes on all these great

54:45

people you've worked with specifically

54:47

you know you during that PayPal period

54:49

of your life one of the things I was

54:51

reflecting on is they're all

54:52

independently successful people but

54:55

they're all very different people

54:57

and that in and of itself is evidence

54:58

that there's not one version of success

55:01

there's many different types of success

55:03

presumably there's many different types

55:04

of entrepreneur leader yes give me a

55:07

flavor of the different types of

55:09

entrepreneurs you've worked with and and

55:12

and what you know because I I sat with

55:13

Walter isacson and he talked to me about

55:15

Steve Jobs Elon Musk Etc and he was like

55:18

Steve's really great at hiring people

55:20

elon's not as good as at the people team

55:22

building part but he's better at this

55:23

part yes so no

55:27

entrepreneur wins at every

55:30

game generally

55:32

speaking as an entrepreneur you should

55:34

try to win to to play the games that you

55:36

have a massive Competitive Edge on same

55:38

thing is true so some people for

55:40

example um uh like take an Neil busri at

55:44

workday right he is thoughtful

55:48

intentionally cultural building very

55:51

professional so it's a HR uh product for

55:54

work his contrarian idea was going the

55:56

cloud and the people were going to do

55:57

Cloud software um for the first I think

56:02

it was 500 people the workday hired he

56:04

would always do a cultural interview at

56:06

the end because to make sure that the

56:08

first 500 people all kind of shared

56:10

cultural things so once you get through

56:12

all the competence and all the rest of

56:13

the stuff he would make sure that was a

56:16

fit and that's part of how you get

56:17

cultural coherence that's like one

56:20

example right um another example um Elon

56:24

is the um like I have a big idea and I

56:28

convince myself 100% that it's

56:31

absolutely going to be the case like I

56:33

am going to settle Mars we're going to

56:35

terraform Mars in our lifetimes which is

56:38

no it's

56:40

impossible no no human being on the

56:43

planet including Elon is going to do

56:46

that within elon's Lifetime right but

56:50

I'm going to go all in I'm going to work

56:52

really hard I'm going to be

56:53

technologically sophisticated I'm going

56:55

to work work against the odds right in

56:58

order to make that work that's a you

57:01

know an Neil very professional

57:04

understands the workplace Mark Elon like

57:08

I think I was like the second person he

57:09

pitched SpaceX to and and his pitch

57:12

though to my defense was I'm gonna send

57:15

a turtle to Mars and I'm like that's not

57:17

a business and you're competing with

57:19

national governments and like Russian

57:22

subsidized rocket programs and so forth

57:24

this is not a good E I was wrong he was

57:25

right

57:26

right but there not a good Equity you

57:28

know kind of play he pitch at you as an

57:30

investor yes yeah right at what point

57:33

was SpaceX at when he pitched it it was

57:36

before he started it so it was an idea

57:38

yes and I'm GNA send a turtle to Mars

57:40

and then it became I'm going to send a

57:42

gelatinous cube with plant seeds in it

57:44

to Mars because they'll grow I'll be the

57:46

first person will send life to Mars and

57:48

you're like okay right what did you

57:51

think genuinely when he said that to you

57:54

I thought he'd gone off his rocker

57:56

really well yeah of course you would

57:58

yeah like someone's my friends said that

58:00

to me I think I'd make a couple of calls

58:01

just to check in you know what I mean

58:03

like youon doing okay just told me about

58:05

this Turtle he want yes it's like that's

58:08

not of

58:09

business has your opinion of him changed

58:12

over time in terms of his potential and

58:16

ability as an entrepreneur no no I've

58:19

always thought of him as one of the

58:20

world great entrepreneurs um always yeah

58:23

all all the way back to PayPal days

58:25

really yeah yeah yeah no look he has

58:28

done repetitively amazing things now he

58:31

pitches everything with the same level

58:33

of

58:33

certainty right like you know I have

58:36

this idea for online banking I have this

58:38

idea for boring tunnels under cities I

58:40

have this idea for creating a pneumatic

58:42

tube for hyperloop tube all of them he

58:45

has the same level of I am 1,000% right

58:49

that this is like guaranteed to be part

58:52

of the future right and I you know and I

58:54

may be the unique person to make it

58:56

happen right so you have to have some

58:58

discernment but he's his you know on Bas

59:02

batting is pretty

59:03

good for such major ideas but it's not

59:06

it's not 100% yeah people kind of excuse

59:09

that though if of course if you get if

59:11

you're if you get one that's big that's

59:13

fine right yeah on the hiring side has

59:17

he been is he up there with the best or

59:19

is he not a direct hirer of people like

59:22

Steve Jobs was um he hires well um

59:27

matter of fact you can't be a great

59:29

entrepreneur and not ultimately hire

59:30

well

59:32

mhm um I think some people are better

59:36

hirers some people

59:39

also

59:41

have like are the kind of people that

59:43

people would work for forever um

59:48

Elon uh tends to burn people out a lot

59:51

like there's lots of burnt out people in

59:54

his wake and when you go and talk to

59:56

those people what you hear is some

59:59

people say that was the best work

60:00

experience ever and I never want to work

60:02

for him again and other people say that

60:03

was the worst work work experience ever

60:05

and I never want to work for him again

60:07

so they're all I never want to work for

60:08

him again right so you know as kind of a

60:12

a dynamic because he basically looks at

60:14

them as disposable parts and you know go

60:17

as hard as you can right and then

60:19

afterwards you're out don't care because

60:22

he goes so hard yeah he goes hard but he

60:25

also thinks you're only relevance to me

60:26

is your relevance your only relevance to

60:29

me is can you help me with my mission

60:30

and after you're done after you can no

60:32

longer help me with my mission you're

60:33

not relevant to me

60:36

anymore what do you think of that

60:37

approach that's not my Approach right L

60:40

LinkedIn mirrors my Approach like

60:42

literally I am

60:44

referenceable by every entrepreneur that

60:46

I've ever worked with right as a board

60:48

member and as an investor right who you

60:52

know even ones that I've like fired as

60:54

CEO and so forth those people people

60:56

will say he was really good to work with

60:58

on these things they may also have some

60:59

critical things there's no problem with

61:01

that right but like like literally like

61:04

when I'm pitching an entrepreneur I like

61:06

call anyone that I've worked

61:09

with right because you I try to work

61:12

with people in a way that even when

61:14

we're at a at a at a difficult moment

61:18

because I disagree with them intensely

61:19

about how well they're doing or what

61:21

they're doing or something else that I'm

61:23

doing it in a collaborative constructive

61:25

way

61:27

and so my goal is to work with people

61:31

like anyone I want to work with Brian

61:35

chesy you know Mark Pinkus Etc I want to

61:38

be able to work with them for you know

61:41

uh the rest of our

61:44

lives what's interesting

61:47

is I think these strategies

61:49

fundamentally come down to what you

61:50

think matters in life yeah the most

61:52

because you could optimize even you

61:54

could optimize more for um building more

61:57

companies or something at the expense of

61:59

something else and it's a trade-off of

62:01

something else like you could go harder

62:02

yes but there's a trade-off happening

62:04

here and we often because elon's done

62:07

these crazy things like the cars and the

62:08

neural links and there tunnels and the

62:10

now the AI and the X and the spaceships

62:12

and stuff we go oh my God that's so

62:14

amazing and I do that as well as an

62:15

entreprene one person can do that much

62:18

but we almost never talk about the

62:19

trade-off yes yep you're 100% right and

62:22

we and and it's so this goes back to the

62:24

point about self-awareness it's like you

62:26

it's so tempting for the like the brain

62:29

to go oh my God I want that that's what

62:30

I want because you're not seeing the

62:32

tradeoff you're not seeing the darkness

62:34

that is 100% correct and look I respect

62:37

it I understand the burn people out like

62:41

treat them as disposable assets that

62:43

when they burn out you just jettison

62:44

them and you can be very elon's not the

62:47

only entrepreneur who is very successful

62:49

doing that right but for example on the

62:52

other side um like if you go to uh Mark

62:57

Zuckerberg and you talk to the people

62:59

who worked for him they're like that was

63:00

great that was the best working

63:02

experience of my life of course I work

63:03

with him again

63:06

interesting because there's a lot of

63:08

entrepreneurs that are coming Rising

63:10

through the ranks at the moment that

63:11

have kind of been raised on the Elon

63:13

philosophy of do [ __ ] tons of things do

63:16

them intently do them with uh less of a

63:18

regard for the I guess the human

63:20

consequence do them with less of a

63:22

regard for work life balance yeah well

63:25

you have

63:27

have the nature of this thing because

63:29

it's it's you know you're by Nature dead

63:31

as a startup work life balance is not

63:34

the startup game right so like I like

63:39

what when like when we started LinkedIn

63:41

we started with people who had families

63:42

so we said sure go home have dinner with

63:44

your family then after your dinner with

63:46

your family open up your laptop and get

63:48

back into the shared work experience and

63:50

keep working if you say that today

63:51

though you're

63:53

toxic the people who think it's toxic

63:55

don't understand the the startup game

63:58

and they're just

63:59

wrong right that the game is intense and

64:02

by the way if you don't do that then

64:05

eventually you're out of a

64:07

job I mean the people that say it's

64:09

toxic are often those that have never

64:11

had to do it yes and and look that's

64:13

fine it's not that everyone has to work

64:15

at startups working at startups is a

64:17

voluntary

64:18

choice but that's the game for a startup

64:21

and so that's how we try to balance in

64:23

the early days of LinkedIn we try to

64:24

balance how to to be human because we

64:26

like a third of the company had kids

64:29

right and so you're like okay like we

64:32

all have to work this way so we can't

64:34

say oh you third you sure you guys can

64:36

go home and you're out of the office and

64:38

then and then then call in or whatever

64:41

no like we'll all go for dinner and then

64:43

we'll all plan on getting back to work

64:47

after dinner so you get time with your

64:49

family you get to have dinner with your

64:50

kids it's the right human thing right

64:53

but we're working hard and Saturday

64:55

morning we're working is there a way to

64:58

build a startup in your

65:00

opinion where you have work life balance

65:04

and I Define work life balance maybe as

65:06

being able to see your friends often

65:07

spend time with your family often

65:11

um only in two circumstances one it's a

65:14

small startup it's both comp it's both

65:17

an absence of competition that's the

65:18

general one is it's so small no one's

65:21

really competing with you that's fine

65:23

okay right right my screen b a village

65:25

yeah it's fine right on number two you

65:30

have some such intense competitive mode

65:34

that people can't compete with you like

65:36

say for example you have

65:38

some like the only thing that matters in

65:40

this business is contracts with these

65:41

three companies and you have those three

65:44

contracts okay fine but absent that

65:48

that's reason because the the startups

65:49

that you're if you're in a valuable

65:51

space the startups that you're competing

65:52

with right like we had to make the

65:55

deliberate decision like startups we're

65:56

competing with aren't going home for

65:58

dinner right they're serving dinner at

66:00

the office that's what we did PayPal we

66:02

sered dinner at the office at PayPal

66:04

right right and that was a deliberate

66:07

thing we were one of the first companies

66:08

that started not only serving lunch but

66:10

serving dinner right and then other

66:13

because this The Learning Network you

66:14

get with SL Valley other companies start

66:15

looking oh yeah we're going to serve

66:16

dinner too so people don't go home yeah

66:19

don't go home keep working right to some

66:22

people this does it sounds somewhat

66:24

toxic right sounds like oh God but

66:26

that's not what life's about this is

66:28

like capitalism this is people just

66:29

wanting to make loads of money well

66:32

choose what your life's about that's

66:33

fine there's nothing that says you have

66:35

to do that and and what gives you the

66:37

right to tell other people that they

66:39

can't do that I mean like what are you

66:41

patronizing like people choose their own

66:43

lives right so and and people can choose

66:47

that now you have to understand the game

66:49

it's like well I'd like to be a

66:51

worldclass Olympic Athlete but I really

66:53

only want to swim two hours a day well

66:55

that's

66:56

nice right not gonna

66:59

happen right you have to understand the

67:01

game you're playing if if you're playing

67:03

an Olympics game like someone who's

67:05

trying to compete in the Olympics and

67:07

swimming they're swimming seven days a

67:09

week 12 hours a

67:11

day right so that that choose the game

67:15

and you say well that's toxic fine not

67:18

for you I think the important thing

67:20

which I see some companies doing well is

67:21

just to be honest about that when you're

67:24

on boarding people and don't shy away

67:26

exactly no that's like in early days of

67:28

LinkedIn when we were talking to people

67:30

we'd say by the way this is how we work

67:32

right we work six and a half days a week

67:35

right we um do get people home for

67:38

dinner but everyone including Reed is

67:43

expected you know you know you know

67:46

online working after

67:49

dinner and do you pay people more for

67:51

that than the average rate or so they

67:53

get paid in equity and this is one of

67:54

the things again um is you know the the

67:59

first I don't know some hundreds of

68:02

people at LinkedIn all don't need to

68:04

work anymore because their Equity is

68:07

enough that if they choose not to work

68:08

anymore that's totally fine which is a a

68:12

trade-off that was clearly worth making

68:15

yes you stepped back as CEO after four

68:18

years when you're at LinkedIn right yes

68:20

why did you do that

68:22

so um I had

68:27

um awareness of strengths and weaknesses

68:30

like I know how to do the CEO job right

68:33

um uh and I think it kind

68:36

of uh 150 people or less I'm as good as

68:41

anyone else right like that that that

68:44

scale of Co job um is a scale that I

68:48

that operates within my strengths and

68:51

weaknesses um when you start getting to

68:54

call it 500 people thousand people part

68:57

of the CEO job ends up becoming like how

68:59

do you govern the community of the

69:01

company now it's not the only thing but

69:04

like okay like you know what the kinds

69:06

of things that Jeff weiner that I

69:08

learned from him on was all right well

69:11

you start thinking of recruiting not as

69:13

you going out and individually

69:14

recruiting people or helping your hiring

69:16

manager recruiting people but you think

69:17

about recruiting as a general strategy

69:19

for the company and how does that

69:21

General strategy work and how do you

69:23

have like for example you get to this

69:24

point in the scale company where you

69:26

start having onboarding days so like for

69:28

example new employees start at one of

69:31

the onboarding days and they start as a

69:33

group together right so it's kind of

69:35

like okay we're going through kind of

69:37

how it works and we're integrating

69:39

people into the different group like

69:40

like you know the sales people the

69:41

engineers they all start and they're

69:43

going into different groups we like

69:44

we're approaching it as as the engine of

69:46

the company and the things that I you

69:49

only world class but the things you're

69:50

passionate about the things I'm

69:51

passionate about like the technology

69:53

strategy the product strategy um the um

69:57

the kind of the big idea for what you're

70:00

doing there and I love working with

70:02

super high-powered talent and one of the

70:05

things that I had kind of learned is

70:07

well that's the reason I like working

70:08

with Founders that's the reason I like

70:09

working with CEOs because the some

70:11

degree it's like okay you're the talent

70:13

I'm working with on this company right

70:16

in order to do that and so I was like

70:19

yeah I like doing more of being a board

70:23

member working with c

70:26

more than I like being the CEO once you

70:28

get past you know 150 people so that's

70:31

what I should be doing and what I need

70:34

to do is I need to get linked in to a

70:35

point where it's already you know it's

70:40

it's already kind of hit breakout

70:42

velocity right and so you can recruit

70:45

now a worldclass CEO that you can work

70:48

with right and that's what that's what I

70:51

should do and you know I like for

70:53

example the entire time time that Jeff

70:56

weer was the CEO of Linkin my primary

70:58

office was immediately next door to

71:01

his interesting so you stay close but

71:04

you yeah yeah again this is another

71:06

point of self-awareness which a lot of

71:08

Founders don't have but the great

71:09

Founders that I've met and interviewed

71:11

whether it's I don't know Brian chesky

71:13

or whether it was some Founders from the

71:15

UK like Bennett Jim shark and Julian

71:17

from hu one of the things that really

71:19

Define them was they did a low ego move

71:23

to move out of that CEO role which is

71:25

typically associated with like the glitz

71:27

and the Glam because they knew that

71:28

their skill set was in branding or

71:30

marketing or something else or just

71:32

vision for the the future of the company

71:34

a lot of CEOs don't do that because the

71:35

COO title comes with a certain yeah I

71:37

understand esteem um and yes everybody

71:40

myself included does have a big ego

71:44

right but my ego is you you have to

71:46

attach the right way my ego is attached

71:48

to LinkedIn

71:49

succeeding right yeah yeah yeah yeah

71:52

yeah it's a big difference yes

71:55

LinkedIn went public in 2011 with a 4.3

71:58

billion valuation and then Microsoft

72:00

later paid 26 billion to buy LinkedIn at

72:03

the time it was reported you owned about

72:05

11% of the company which made you a

72:07

multi-billionaire

72:10

how does life change when one becomes a

72:12

multi-billionaire

72:14

so it's funny I try to never like like

72:18

one of the funny things I never repost

72:19

things that call me billionaire and so

72:21

forth because I try to not have that

72:23

identity I am aware that it's an

72:24

accurate descriptor yeah right um but

72:28

it's not like the way I think of myself

72:29

I don't think of myself as Reed Hoffman

72:31

billionaire I think of myself as Reed

72:33

Hoffman technologist Reed Hoffman public

72:36

intellectual Reed Hoffman uh creative

72:39

you know strategist Reed Hoffman Etc so

72:41

I try

72:43

to um change my life as in those

72:46

directions not in the the wealth

72:48

Direction now of course you know I

72:51

travel around in a private plane you

72:53

know I own houses in several different

72:56

areas of the world you know that kind of

72:58

stuff yeah right um but uh I try to live

73:02

a life within those you know high wealth

73:06

things as much of a as an upper middle

73:09

class person as I can so for example

73:12

before I came here to do the interview I

73:14

I got here a little early so I went to

73:15

the nearby Starbucks had a cup of coffee

73:17

pull up my laptop was working on it

73:21

interesting you know because because

73:23

that's the way that I want to live right

73:26

uh and I want Human Relationships that

73:27

are like that I think human

73:28

relationships are really important I

73:30

feel lucky to have um relationships with

73:34

some people who are these really really

73:36

amazing people but by the way there's

73:37

amazing people who are like World

73:39

celebrities and there's amazing people

73:41

who the world doesn't know about I just

73:43

like I just like going through life with

73:46

amazing people and that's part of what I

73:47

mean by that you've always been

73:50

associated with the left side of

73:52

politics your parents were very uh left

73:54

leaning to to to say the least I heard

73:57

that you got pepper sprayed when you

73:58

were a kid because because I was I was a

74:00

kid on my uh father's shoulder at a

74:04

demonstration against against the

74:06

Vietnam War okay so that's it's in your

74:08

DNA yes the thing about being on the

74:11

left is it's typically the left that

74:13

have a opinion of billionaires that

74:15

they're evil yes I'm aware of that but

74:18

not just billionair I've I've been

74:19

called Evil by a number of people on the

74:20

left really yes of course look I they

74:24

are wrong

74:25

that that is a necessary

74:27

correlation right um but I you look I I

74:31

try to understand people I understand

74:32

their

74:33

perspective I disagree with it but I

74:35

understand it it's I mean you you're one

74:38

of the few people that's still a

74:40

billionaire and on the left it seems no

74:42

I'm not I actually in the valley

74:44

especially in the selection cycle uh

74:46

well it's the public facing people that

74:48

we see on the podcast and stuff and look

74:51

so part of the reason why I think less

74:53

people were public about about it this

74:57

cycle was

74:59

because uh you know president Trump was

75:03

threatening you know personal and

75:05

political

75:06

retaliation and so you had to have a

75:08

certain degree of courage to stand up

75:11

right and so en courage in the public

75:13

area not just courage in taking risks

75:15

and so forth but in the public arena for

75:18

doing that and so I literally had

75:21

conversations with billionaires who were

75:22

like oh look I really applaud what

75:24

you're doing and I think what you're

75:24

doing exact right thing and that's for

75:26

you not for me right I mean trying to

75:29

get people into it and so um so I was

75:32

aware and because they kind of did the

75:34

simple Mini Max and they said well if if

75:36

Harris is elected I won't get penalized

75:39

for not having supported and if Trump is

75:42

elected I will get penalized so I'm just

75:45

gonna stand out of it and do you think

75:47

you'll be penalized uh I think that uh I

75:51

think that there's a greater than 50%

75:53

chance that there will be um uh

75:57

repercussions uh from a misdirection and

75:59

Corruption of the institutions of State

76:02

uh to uh respond to my having tried to

76:08

help Harris get elected you must spend

76:11

time at night thinking about what that

76:12

might be because if I would yeah well

76:15

look it's a range and look I hope that

76:18

it's only in the soft end of the range

76:20

like IRS audits or phone calls like you

76:23

know Trump made saying you know deny

76:26

Bezos that that DOD contract because you

76:31

know he owns the Washington Post and I

76:32

don't like him you know that kind of

76:34

stuff I hope it's in that Arena right

76:37

could get much worse but I don't really

76:39

want to speculate on it because I don't

76:41

want to give anybody any

76:43

ideas right but like I think it's like I

76:47

think I would safely win a bet that

76:49

there will be political repercussions

76:52

that are that are essentially

76:54

undemocratic

76:55

American um and Direct on you and direct

76:58

to me yes um I I think I'd safely win

77:01

that bet um I'm hoping it's in the what

77:04

I'm terming the soft Arena you're not

77:06

planning on leaving the US are you no no

77:08

no oh my resident's outside of Seattle

77:10

and you know we have a constitution you

77:12

know that kind of thing because Mark

77:13

cubin was the same right Mark cubin was

77:15

very public and vocal he's a billionaire

77:17

he was very Pro KL Harris very anti

77:20

Trump through the cycle he took a lot of

77:21

flack as well yes I mean I follow

77:23

everybody on Twitter so I watch it play

77:25

out and it was kind of like he was stood

77:26

in no man's land just taking shots from

77:28

everywhere and you were kind of in the

77:30

same category yes exactly would have

77:33

been much easier for you to just shut

77:34

the [ __ ] up or fall in line or something

77:36

exct well but that's the problem you

77:38

can't allow that form of Neo fascism

77:41

right is precisely when you feel fear I

77:43

have huge respect for Mark Cuban when

77:45

you feel fear stand up because that fear

77:48

that you're feeling that's you're

77:49

feeling as a powerful wealthy

77:52

person right and if you're not not going

77:55

to stand up who is right can you see any

77:58

redeeming qualities in Trump I know

78:00

you're Pro K Harris oh yeah well I think

78:04

he's going to bring a wrecking ball and

78:06

some of the places a wrecking ball are

78:07

useful like so for example if you say

78:09

hey on regulation you want a new

78:10

regulation replace to that kind of

78:13

refactoring is a good thing um hey we

78:15

going to need a bunch of energy in the

78:17

future and we're going to need good

78:18

clean energy I understand everyone

78:20

doesn't like nuclear I don't care we're

78:21

going to do nuclear like I can see a

78:23

number of things that could come out

78:25

that'd be very positive and I want those

78:27

things to happen and a matter of fact

78:28

you know part of being an American you

78:30

know I'm going to try to make the next

78:31

four years as great for America as I can

78:34

right my

78:35

precise complaint with some of the

78:38

people I'm in political opposition for

78:39

is don't ever try to break the country

78:42

try to always be building the country it

78:44

doesn't matter if the person you agree

78:46

with is in power or not be working

78:48

towards a good Collective future and so

78:50

I'll be doing all all of that and I I'm

78:52

hopeful for some of that from this

78:53

Administration do you think think it's a

78:55

good time for

78:56

entrepreneurs to be building companies

78:58

with Trump coming into

79:00

Power um fundamentally I think it's

79:03

always a good time as entrepreneurs to

79:05

be building companies so one is like you

79:08

have a good idea the time's now go do it

79:10

yeah Capital markets harder fine

79:13

actually if you can get Capital you get

79:15

competitive differentiation from the

79:16

people who couldn't I mean it's like so

79:18

you have to it's always like trying to

79:19

figure out how to turn the negatives

79:21

into positives in terms of what you're

79:22

doing now I think Trump will be broadly

79:25

um very good for entrepreneurship

79:26

because I think he's going to reduce a

79:27

lot of Regulation some of that

79:29

regulation will have very negative

79:31

consequences on the society which you

79:32

know as a society person I'll be

79:34

concerned about like climate like you

79:36

know you get the new EPA person coming

79:38

in Environmental Protection Agency you

79:41

ask him what the job is and he says we

79:43

need to drill more oil wells right

79:47

you're like that's not the EPA that

79:50

might be the Commerce Secretary or

79:52

something else the energy secretary

79:54

that's not the EPA so there will be a

79:56

reduction of Regulation because we do

79:58

have climate change we're living in it

80:00

and it's going to get worse so those

80:02

will be places where there'll be real

80:03

damage from the Wrecking Ball but for

80:05

entrepreneurs building new businesses

80:07

like for example I've invested in a

80:09

number of fusion and fision businesses

80:11

because nuclear because that's the clean

80:13

energy that we're going to need to you

80:16

know just to bring more PE more of the

80:19

billions of people into the middle class

80:21

and and to and to try to remove carbon

80:23

from the environment on so forth so and

80:25

I've known the regulatory stuff is is

80:27

ferociously bad for that well actually

80:29

in fact I have hoped that that they are

80:31

going to they're going to reset the that

80:33

thing and so all of a sudden that

80:35

entrepreneurship turns out to be in

80:37

retrospect wise U but I think they're

80:39

going to reduce regulation across the

80:41

board for all entrepreneurs right so I

80:44

think ENT like that's helpful on

80:46

entrepreneurship now they're going to be

80:49

probably much more closed at the border

80:50

and immigration is an important part of

80:52

Entrepreneurship you want to you want to

80:54

be able to to get the best talent from

80:56

anywhere in the world it's one of the

80:58

advantages that's helped buil the US

81:00

that I think is going to be more uneven

81:02

anyway so it's like Goods goods and bads

81:05

one of the things that is very different

81:07

I think in this Administration with the

81:09

people he's appointed is there seems to

81:10

be quite a few entrepreneurs being

81:12

appointed to fairly important High roles

81:15

well by entrepreneurs you mean zero

81:16

experience ever doing the thing they

81:18

were doing

81:19

before potentially I was referring

81:22

particularly to um Elon Musk David saaks

81:26

doing I think he's doing Ai and

81:27

Technology I think there's another guy

81:29

who's looks like he's built a business

81:30

before yeah so uh David Elon obviously

81:33

super smart very accomplished you work

81:35

with both at PayPal right yes yeah right

81:37

um and now David knows crypto very well

81:40

so he's the AI and crypto are and the

81:42

pcast person he knows crypto very well

81:45

he hasn't yet done anything in AI like

81:47

he hasn't been mentioned as an investor

81:49

or a like when I talk to all the a

81:52

entrepreneurs you know as a desired

81:54

person for them to work with and so so

81:56

you know he's very smart so I presume he

81:57

knows something but you know AI I think

81:59

yet TBD what he knows and what he tweets

82:02

about is anti-woke AI is the most

82:04

important thing you're like that is not

82:06

that is not even even the top 100 of the

82:08

issues around how to you know promote

82:10

and build and navigate AI um but he's

82:13

very good at crypto he done a bunch of

82:14

good stuff there so that'll be and Elon

82:16

obviously understands AI quite well on

82:19

this point of speech as well obviously

82:22

there's quite a big shift in speech

82:23

that's happened in the last last I'd say

82:25

two years really from Elon buying

82:27

twitters where I I saw a drastic shift

82:30

in globally yes and what we think is

82:33

okay and not okay what's your thoughts

82:35

on the the change in spee speech good

82:37

bad positive negative um so I you know

82:40

gave a couple days ago here in London

82:42

the sir Isaiah Berlin speech and one of

82:44

the lines that I used in the speech was

82:47

um there there's competing freedoms you

82:48

could say there's the freedom of speech

82:51

to say whatever I want to say and then

82:53

there's a freedom to try to offer

82:55

something in civil discourse where I'm

82:57

not going to get harassed by a whole

83:00

bunch of

83:01

antagonists right um and obviously

83:05

they're both good virtues and what you

83:07

want is the right blend right from them

83:11

I think that a lot of folks like for

83:12

example what's happening on you know

83:14

Twitter and and X right is um just

83:20

virulent right it's just toxic it's

83:23

terrible like when I tweet anything

83:26

including hey you know um I think the

83:30

following thing is great

83:31

entrepreneurship I get a oh you evil

83:34

liberal you know I hope you you know

83:36

kind of uh fail terribly and you know

83:39

blah blah blah blah okay I was tweeting

83:42

about this great entrepreneurship thing

83:44

right and that's the kind of theme in

83:48

you know Twitter

83:50

x.com um I prefer what you kind of thing

83:52

you see on Linkin is like look you can

83:54

say critical things but you try to say

83:56

critical things within the theme of oh

83:58

well that entrepreneurial thing I

84:00

actually don't think it's going to be as

84:01

good as you think and this is why what's

84:03

the difference in the in the design of

84:05

the platform that results in two

84:06

different types of behavior there uh

84:08

well uh uh Twitter is anonymous it

84:11

allows a lot of bots um it

84:15

encourages um like it says freedom of

84:17

speech like if if you're tweeting a rape

84:20

threat that's fine it's freedom of

84:22

speech you're allowed to do whatever you

84:23

want right uh uh LinkedIn is you're tied

84:27

to a named profile that's tied to your

84:30

identity uh if you're reported for

84:33

saying something that's frankly uncivil

84:35

doesn't even have to be as bad as a rape

84:36

threat right it's just unil like you're

84:39

you're you're cautioned right it's

84:41

removed and you're saying hey by the way

84:42

that's not for for the platform and if

84:44

you keep doing that we remove your

84:46

ability to post right so on the Twitter

84:49

example what Elon said is that if it's

84:52

legal then it's fine

84:55

but is there an upside to having an

84:56

environment where people can anonymously

84:59

say what they want within the constraint

85:01

of the

85:02

law um look I think there

85:06

are it's important to allow one of the

85:09

things I think that online platforms

85:10

give us the difference between freedom

85:11

of speech and freedom of reach like I

85:14

think it's okay for people to say such

85:16

thing as vaccines are evil plots to put

85:20

chips in people and they give us

85:22

autism it's

85:25

100% wrong right and every credible

85:30

medical Authority goes vaccines are good

85:34

and so you go okay a thousand people get

85:35

vaccinated or call it you know a 100,00

85:38

people get vaccinated and 50 of them

85:41

have adverse conditions to the vaccine

85:45

right that happens out of 100,000 right

85:48

but a thousand people or 10,000 people

85:51

might have died otherwise right

85:54

that your lottery for everyone being

85:57

vaccinated is a very good Lottery

85:59

everyone should do it right uh Because

86:03

by the way you were more likely to have

86:05

died in the lottery than have an adverse

86:08

condition that doesn't mean there aren't

86:09

people who have adverse conditions so

86:11

all quality medical professionals

86:14

medical researchers agree I am allowed

86:17

legally on x.com to say vaccines are

86:20

evil plots right to control

86:24

the American people to sell drugs and

86:27

make drug companies profitable and blah

86:29

blah and I can say all that and you see

86:30

all that ramping on Twitter rampant you

86:33

know in talk radio and you know and all

86:36

the things you can say that that's a

86:39

problem right I'm okay with people

86:42

saying it what I'm not okay with is

86:43

promoting it and having it have broad

86:46

reach so on this point of the vaccine so

86:48

just to clarify my position I think

86:50

vaccines are a wonderful invention that

86:52

have saved a lot of people's lives so

86:53

that's my position but I want to I want

86:55

to interrogate a little bit with the

86:58

with the vaccine roll out in particular

86:59

there's a lot of things that we didn't

87:01

know at the time right the lab leap

87:03

thing I had Boris Johnson sat here and

87:05

he said oh yeah we think it's a lab Lab

87:07

leak if if if I had said that on this

87:10

podcast a couple of years ago I would

87:12

have been kicked off YouTube uhuh yes

87:14

and so having a forum where you can even

87:16

entertain ideas that are contrarian yes

87:20

I also think is important and I exist in

87:21

the the sort of dichotomy of like speech

87:25

is important but at the same

87:28

time you know yeah look I am um I was on

87:33

the support people being able to say lab

87:36

leak yeah category Because by the way I

87:39

do think freedom of speech is a good

87:40

thing and part of the reason I have

87:41

freedom of speech is sometimes you have

87:42

a contrarian idea that should have

87:43

freedom of reach yeah but there should

87:46

be and look how do we make decisions as

87:49

a society of what expertise like how

87:52

what truth is as we convene groups of

87:54

experts MH like in a science we have a

87:58

group of scientists review a paper

87:59

before it's published we have scientists

88:02

able to reproduce things in a jury we

88:06

have 12 people who listen to the case

88:08

and make a decision so we use groups of

88:11

people as experts and different kinds of

88:13

expertise for different kinds of things

88:15

to make a judgment and we should also

88:17

bring in expertise right right now that

88:19

doesn't mean that even when all the

88:21

experts say that's completely wrong you

88:23

should say you can't post it like I

88:26

loved what Twitter did pre Elon which is

88:29

they said hey you can post vaccines or

88:31

this evil plot by the government to

88:33

control you but we're going to put a

88:35

little box around it that says oh and by

88:37

the way experts disagree here's where

88:39

you can go get the facts so you can say

88:42

it right but we'll also put in in

88:45

selective cases expert opinion and I

88:47

think that's like for example a balance

88:50

of how to do freedom of speech and

88:51

freedom of reach because I do think look

88:53

I should be a to say the World is Flat I

88:56

should be able to go on and say the

88:57

world is flat and by the way LinkedIn

88:59

wouldn't take that post off because it's

89:01

like well it's civil I'm just saying the

89:03

world flat I'm out of my mind right but

89:07

I'm being civil so the LinkedIn

89:09

principles are not you must say

89:11

something that's scientific truly true

89:13

it's you must say something that's civil

89:15

I also think people shouldn't be

89:18

deplatformed or canceled because of

89:20

their speech even if you disagree with

89:22

it providing it's in the constraint like

89:24

constrains of the law I sat with a well

89:26

by the way I generally think agree on

89:28

the constrains of the law but I also

89:30

agree on I also think importantly civil

89:33

and civil means well like no threat of

89:36

violence okay yeah I agree with that you

89:37

shouldn't be threatening anybody with

89:39

violence yes um I sat with a I'm GNA say

89:43

astrologist I don't even know if that's

89:44

the right word it's not astrology was it

89:46

who's BR what's cosmetologist and he

89:48

told me the story of Galileo discovering

89:51

that the world was round and Galileo

89:53

basically being threatened by everybody

89:55

um because it threatened the I think the

89:57

Catholic institution at the time and

89:58

then well because the preach the

90:00

preaching of the church was as was that

90:02

yeah and so that's a cautionary tale

90:05

although it's a long time ago in there

90:07

are always going to be strong forces

90:09

that are heavily incentivized around

90:10

some kind of ideology yes and that I

90:12

mean that does happen today yes 100% And

90:14

and these forces are powerful forces um

90:18

so allowing dissent even if it's coming

90:20

from someone who is not credible yes

90:23

100% by way strongly in defense of that

90:26

yeah right I just think that and like so

90:29

you know I don't

90:30

mind um people criticizing me I don't

90:35

mind them criticizing my arguments I

90:37

don't mind them criticizing my choices

90:40

of who I'm going to support

90:42

politically right what I'm going to do

90:45

philanthropically I strongly prefer that

90:48

those cred those those criticisms be

90:50

backed

90:51

with uh some knowledge and intelligence

90:54

and some argu good argument point of

90:56

view and I really want it to be a civil

91:01

discourse it's interesting because the

91:03

human brain when we think about it from

91:04

an evolutionary standpoint wasn't

91:05

designed to deal with a thousand people

91:07

tweeting at you that you're you're an

91:09

[ __ ] and as a podcaster as someone

91:11

who's in the public high yourself who is

91:13

a podcaster but also a famous

91:15

entrepreneur you have to deal with that

91:17

like you you have to deal with that in a

91:19

way that's just we weren't designed to

91:21

yeah and I struggle with it I struggle

91:23

with when I first came into the public

91:24

spot like when I started doing Dragon's

91:26

Den Shar tank in the US um opening my

91:30

phone and being exposed to just a

91:32

barrage of like noise on the brain yes

91:36

now whose responsibility is that is it

91:39

my responsibility to like delete the app

91:41

or is it the platform's responsibility

91:43

to moderate people expressing their

91:47

innate human jealous whatever it is you

91:50

know so so the classic thing that humans

91:52

make in reasoning is they go A or B

91:55

right okay and you answer is both okay

91:57

right so there's responsibility on both

91:59

sides like it's like oh no it's a

92:01

responsibility of the individuals like

92:03

well like are you kind of saying I have

92:06

zero responsibility there's zero I can

92:08

do to be positively contributory here of

92:10

course you can right so for example like

92:13

it's totally possible to say I have a

92:16

freedom of speech Network and if you

92:19

were engaging in threats like for

92:22

example your Trump and you're tweeting

92:26

that Mark Millie should be executed when

92:28

he is the joint chief of staff's General

92:33

that's a threat of violence that should

92:35

be removed right you know so it's

92:39

totally doable to say violence has no

92:43

place on this platform or threats of

92:45

violence now violence is illegal threats

92:47

of violence is not right one of the

92:50

theories I had many years ago and I I

92:52

don't actually think this theory was

92:53

based on anything other than I read it

92:54

and it sounded good so I used to say it

92:56

was that over the next 10 years and I

92:58

used to say this about six seven years

92:59

ago on stage social network working

93:02

would become more and more siloed into

93:04

these smaller interest based networks I

93:08

was thinking the other day in the taxi I

93:09

was like oh my God that's actually

93:10

happening now you're having like blue

93:11

sky and threads and you've got your

93:13

Instagrams and your rumbles and we've

93:14

got more and more social networks that

93:16

are more like centered around different

93:19

pockets of people what is your theory of

93:22

social networking over the next decade

93:23

two decades I'm always open as an

93:26

investor to interesting ideas yeah right

93:28

here we are in a business podcast so I'm

93:30

always looking at stuff um look I think

93:34

uh they will grow to be an increasingly

93:37

just as they've grown massively in the

93:39

last 20 years they will continue to grow

93:40

to be an important part of life I think

93:42

there will be different social networks

93:44

that fit different parts of our Lives um

93:46

that's part of the reason like for

93:47

example like back when I started

93:49

LinkedIn it was also thought to be oh no

93:51

no no one's ever going to do a business

93:52

Network it's only going to be social

93:54

networks right it was only going to be

93:57

at the time it was like Friendster then

93:58

it was Myspace then it was Facebook like

94:00

look there's only going to be that

94:01

there's never going to be those and then

94:02

people say well there's only going to

94:04

ever be one social network and you're

94:05

like well actually in fact we do have

94:09

like Twitter we do have snap and we do

94:11

have right there's there is multiple

94:14

ones and I think there will be more um

94:17

so I think they're going to have more

94:18

social networks and they're going to fit

94:20

into different people's lives they're

94:21

going to have different Community

94:23

cultures

94:24

um for them and so and I think not only

94:27

will they get multimodal but they'll use

94:29

AI in different ways and so and part of

94:32

that invention like one of the things I

94:34

tend to think people say well what ideas

94:36

are you looking at as an investor and

94:38

I'm like look I'm looking for that great

94:40

idea that I haven't thought of that

94:41

someone out there amongst the millions

94:44

of entrepreneurs has got that great

94:46

thing and can possibly make it work

94:48

that's what I'm looking for so when I

94:49

look to future of social networks now to

94:52

give a little bit more of a specific

94:53

answer like I tend to think social

94:55

networks need to both have individuals

94:57

as customers and societies as customers

94:59

so you need to think about like that

95:01

balance of you need to think about both

95:03

in how you're designing them right so

95:05

it's and that doesn't mean no freedom of

95:07

speech and you know autocratic because I

95:10

actually think more or less she should

95:11

allow people to post whatever they want

95:13

as long as it's civil right and if you

95:16

want to choose to have an anonymous

95:17

social network that's fine like there's

95:19

a definite rule for especially when you

95:21

get to places where the government is

95:23

oppressed

95:24

you know go to in Iran or or or Russia

95:27

or something else he like well anonymity

95:29

is important for saving your life right

95:33

but on the other hand you should also be

95:34

thinking about like okay what do this

95:35

means as society and part of what we

95:37

want in media networks is we want to be

95:39

collectively learning so if I'm posting

95:41

that you know vaccines are an evil plot

95:44

for corporations to try to kill our

95:46

children you're like well you're trying

95:48

to persuade people to do something

95:50

that's bad for them and bad for society

95:53

so we should respond in some way we may

95:55

still allow you to post but we may put a

95:57

little box around it saying you know

96:00

here's what experts you know here's what

96:02

all of the doctors at all the elite

96:03

hospitals you know survey says

96:07

99.999% of them you know there's only

96:10

one out of all the doctors that lead

96:12

hospitals who don't think like these

96:13

vaccines are a good idea and do you

96:16

think social networks have been a net

96:18

positive for society I think broadly

96:20

look it doesn't mean that they're that

96:21

they don't have some challenges mhm

96:24

like people

96:25

criticize Facebook for example um but

96:29

actually in fact a billion people get on

96:30

it every day they share their

96:32

experiences pictures lives with loved

96:34

ones friends Etc all of that's very very

96:37

positive um I think Twitter

96:39

unfortunately is taking a turn for the

96:41

worst I think if you go you know where's

96:43

the largest site which has the most

96:45

untruths on it I think it's Twitter

96:47

right um but you know that doesn't mean

96:51

it can't also be improved and fixed over

96:53

time

96:54

what's worked well in your business this

96:55

year where did you need more help we

96:57

should all be asking ourselves these

96:59

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97:01

year Q4 is a time for reflecting but

97:03

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97:05

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there's so many different takes that

98:46

I've heard on AI I've spoken to Mustafa

98:48

Solomon I've spoken to lots of different

98:49

I you know Mustafa because you invested

98:50

in his company yeah we co-founded

98:52

inflection ah he co-founded inflection

98:54

which then sold to Microsoft well it's

98:56

it did a commercial deal with him it's

98:58

still going as a company oh okay all

99:00

right cuz my stuff moved over yeah he

99:01

moved over because he wanted to do a

99:02

consumer agent and inflection is doing

99:04

B2B uh software sales now what is your

99:08

take on AI and how should we be thinking

99:09

about it how should Dave and Jenny the

99:11

average person with you know working in

99:14

a company or building a small startup

99:16

think about AI so I think AI is in a

99:19

look so I last year I published a book

99:21

called impromptu which is the first book

99:23

on AI co-written with AI right yeah to

99:27

show as well as tell that AI is not just

99:30

artificial intelligence it's

99:31

amplification intelligence it gives us

99:34

superpowers right as part of that I'm

99:36

publishing a book in January called

99:37

super agency which is our human agency

99:41

even with this agentic technology can

99:43

and will be magnified we will get these

99:47

superpowers and super agency is the time

99:49

where um when a lot of people get access

99:53

to a new general purpose technology um

99:57

the transformation of society that comes

99:59

and it's like printing press or

100:01

electricity or cars or mobile phones

100:05

it's it's this

100:06

amazing uh uh transformation of all of

100:11

our Lives because not only do I get the

100:13

superpower by having AI the fact that

100:16

you have a superpower with AI also

100:18

increase my agency so for example you're

100:20

a doctor who now has access to AI your

100:23

ability to help tend to lots of people's

100:27

heals now just get Amplified and it's

100:29

the same thing like when a car was

100:30

created a doctor could now do have a

100:33

broader range of places they could visit

100:35

to go help that part of his cars have

100:38

that super agencies not just I can drive

100:40

places now because the doctor can drive

100:43

places that also

100:45

increases her his agency and also my

100:48

agency through super agency and that

100:50

book's coming out in January there's a

100:52

little around AI as well there's fear

100:55

all the time with new technologies is

100:57

any of that Gloom

100:58

warranted yes but with an asterisk which

101:00

is every time a new general purpose

101:02

technology comes out the discourse when

101:04

the printing press came out the

101:06

discourse was very similar to the

101:08

current discourse on AI it's going to

101:10

destroy Society um it's going to destroy

101:13

human learning and knowledge you know

101:15

it's going to disable the current people

101:18

who are the who are the the custodians

101:20

of knowledge which mostly priests you

101:22

know in Society from from from being

101:25

able to control the flow of information

101:27

we're going to have all this

101:28

misinformation etc etc now by the way

101:30

you don't have a scientific revolution

101:32

without the printing press right so um

101:35

now so there's always this fear but and

101:39

you say is the fear completely

101:40

unwarranted well look human societies

101:42

are bad at new general purpose

101:45

Technologies right so um with the

101:47

printing press we had nearly a century

101:50

of religious War because of it so the

101:53

transitions are very difficult because

101:54

we as human beings are difficult at new

101:57

general purpose Technologies and so the

101:59

transition look the transition is going

102:00

to have pain there's going to be

102:02

challenges and reordering and so

102:04

disruption because of it no question

102:06

what I'm hoping and part of the reason I

102:08

write these books is say look let's

102:10

manage this transition better than we've

102:12

managed the previous transitions right

102:15

let's I have one 100% confidence that

102:18

the other side this will be enormously

102:21

amazing super agency what I wanted to do

102:24

is manage the transition as best we can

102:27

now people say well shouldn't you manage

102:28

the transition by being really slow and

102:30

being really regulated well the

102:32

challenge is is that these new

102:34

technologies are developed competitively

102:36

across the entire Globe different

102:39

countries different Industries different

102:42

companies Etc and we don't set the clock

102:46

like there's no one group that sets the

102:48

clock and if you don't like go with it

102:52

like take the industrial Evolution which

102:53

also had a bunch of things why did

102:56

Europe basically set the the the the

102:59

drum beat for the globe for centuries

103:02

the answer is Europe embraced the

103:04

Industrial Revolution robustly and early

103:07

right the um you know it's part of what

103:10

you know made uh the British Empire

103:13

right and so that clock is set by

103:18

different human beings all running at it

103:20

and by the way they have different

103:21

theories of the good they have different

103:23

theories of how technology should be in

103:25

society they have different theories of

103:26

what the risks are Technologies like you

103:29

know when these people published this

103:30

pause letter that was like that's a

103:32

mistake like other people aren't going

103:34

to PA like it's a simple thing you look

103:35

at the people who care about Humanity if

103:37

they all pause and the people don't care

103:39

about Humanity don't pause your letter

103:42

if you if you achieve your success will

103:46

cause a bad impact on Humanity so you

103:50

have to be developing it you have to be

103:51

going with the CL that's set by the

103:54

world right when I think about AI in

103:57

simple terms the the way that I've I've

103:59

been thinking about it and this is not a

104:01

Perfect Analogy or whatever but it's

104:02

just a simple way to think about it is

104:04

if there was one Steven Bartlet here

104:05

that has an IQ of 100 and there was

104:07

another one sat next to me that had the

104:09

IQ of a

104:10

thousand what would this Steve do and

104:12

what would that Steve do that's a good

104:13

question is that an apt analogy is that

104:16

somewhat well it depends this is part of

104:19

the thing is we human beings are very

104:21

bad at imagining future technology mhm

104:23

so I can tell you stories about where we

104:26

have created AIS with IQ of a

104:29

thousand I can tell you stories where

104:32

we've created AIS with IQs of uh 200 of

104:37

150 and I can also tell you stories of

104:39

AIS where we' created that are kind of

104:41

the equivalent because today we have

104:42

this is a form of like idiot seant like

104:46

today's AI are super intelligent I'll

104:48

give you an example so if I go to a

104:51

human being I try to look human say

104:53

explain to

104:55

me mixture of experts creation of AI

104:58

with an AI what does that mean uh it's a

105:00

it's a technique by which modern AIS are

105:03

created that have um different kind of

105:07

expertise roles in the combination like

105:09

chat gbt is created this way that create

105:12

their output it's a it's a particular

105:15

technical definition for the way of

105:17

creating a a worldclass AI model then I

105:22

say okay compare a mixture of experts uh

105:25

so it's only thousands of people who

105:27

understand how to do that I say okay

105:29

compare that to uh modern economic Game

105:34

Theory well there's probably some humans

105:36

that can do that too we're probably now

105:38

down to like 50 to 100 right then I say

105:41

okay compare those two to Modern

105:44

oceanography right okay now we're at

105:47

zero human beings there's no human

105:48

beings who can do this but I can go to

105:50

gbd4 and I can run this gbd4 because

105:54

it's ingested a mill a trillion words of

105:59

knowledge can write the comparisons

106:01

between these three things because it

106:03

knows all three because it knows all

106:04

three that's a superpower that no human

106:06

being has we have ai superpower today

106:10

right but of course no one's alarmed

106:12

about that because like oh that's a

106:13

great amplification intelligence that

106:15

really helps me I think there's a very

106:17

good chance that what happens is is that

106:21

what we're creating with all of every

106:23

current e AI technique that's under

106:26

development is these amazing savants

106:28

that are these great co-pilots right and

106:31

that's what we're creating not

106:33

Terminator robots not super

106:35

intelligences there's a possibility of

106:37

that and I can address the existential

106:39

risk questions around the possibility of

106:41

that because people think about that

106:44

poorly but um but the I think the

106:47

likelihood is that we're going to be

106:49

having these kind of co-pilots that give

106:51

us these

106:54

informational GPS's these cognitive

106:57

superpowers that make us as human beings

106:59

a lot

107:01

better B Act is are G to yes that too

107:04

yes that's the bigger worry so you say

107:07

one worry is transition and another

107:08

worry is whenever you're you're creating

107:10

this new technology you want to say I

107:12

want to empower all these people who are

107:14

building Better Lives for themselves in

107:16

society and I want to not Empower

107:18

criminals terrorists Rogue States and

107:21

also you think

107:23

I also need weapons that are

107:25

sufficiently uh Advanced attacking my my

107:29

enemies and everybody globally is

107:30

thinking that yes China might be

107:32

thinking about the the west and the West

107:34

are thinking about China Russia are

107:36

thinking about this person this person

107:37

the Middle East are probably thinking

107:38

about a couple of people yes so with

107:40

with all developing weapons or defense

107:42

systems they're going to probably make

107:44

those robots you talked about the

107:46

Terminator robot that can go to the

107:47

battlefield yes and that's super smart

107:49

they're going to probably make some

107:50

cyber weapons as well yes so those

107:53

things end up existing and then they're

107:54

in the wrong hands the mistake happens

107:56

so you want to build them in the right

107:57

hands first that's all I mean look there

108:00

will be cost to it there's never look

108:03

electricity essential for Human Society

108:06

it does electrocute people right it does

108:10

two things in the wrong hands too right

108:14

is this technology different though

108:15

because there's been comparisons to the

108:16

printing press electricity but is this

108:19

no no it's new but by the way each

108:22

technology the printing press was

108:24

different when it was created

108:26

electricity was different when it was

108:28

created cars were different when they

108:30

were created is this the most profound

108:33

well in terms of impact it C it might be

108:36

right that's that's that's possibility

108:38

um I think there is I always think in

108:41

probability distributions I think

108:42

there's a good probability of it but to

108:45

some

108:46

degree like it doesn't matter if it is

108:49

or isn't the most it is a Prof found new

108:54

technology it's as important at least as

108:57

these other ones that's the only thing

108:59

that matters whether it definitely is or

109:01

not doesn't really matter and look what

109:03

is different it's the fact it's a gentic

109:06

technology which means it it's creating

109:09

agents that can operate on their

109:11

own right we already have that by the

109:13

way like the agent you can be running an

109:16

agent with a connection to the internet

109:18

on your computer and it can go buy stuff

109:19

for you right you can do that today it's

109:22

doable

109:23

you have agent just a question of what

109:24

the shape is right so it's agentic it's

109:27

cognitive like like it's very strange

109:30

that we have a technology now that we

109:31

can talk to in various ways and so you

109:34

have people mistaken going oh it must be

109:37

conscious because they asked if who was

109:38

conscious and it said it was conscious

109:40

and I was like no but by the way before

109:43

this technology existed that was a good

109:45

test does by the way there are conscious

109:47

things that can't there's there's mute

109:49

people and the fact that they can't tell

109:51

you their conscious so conscious not

109:53

perfectly they tell you they're

109:54

conscious but you tell me your conscious

109:56

that was a pretty good test before now

109:59

it's a little bit more complicated

110:01

because I don't think any of the current

110:03

AIS are conscious and we can go in depth

110:05

of reason of Neuroscience and other

110:06

kinds of things about why that is it's

110:08

not a just a human species parist view

110:12

um and figur out under what circumstance

110:16

it would be conscious is a very

110:17

interesting question that we need to we

110:18

need to figure out because it won't be

110:20

that it has gray matter it'll be

110:22

something else or you know maybe we'll

110:24

figure this

110:25

out so so that's new the cognitive

110:28

superpowers are new the fact that the

110:31

speed of deployment is going to be

110:33

unusual because now we have the mobile

110:35

phone internet so I create a new agent

110:38

and tomorrow a billion people can use

110:41

it right that's new right so so all of

110:46

these things are new and by the way new

110:48

is anxiety producing and new is

110:50

difficult to navigate and new can make

110:52

transition's very difficult right but by

110:56

the way the fact that we're facing a new

110:58

challenge is not itself a new

111:01

challenge right for the average person

111:04

out there that's I know they might be

111:06

working in a hospital or might be a

111:08

lawyer or or a doctor whatever just

111:10

someone with a a job that's heard this

111:12

term Ai and they're saying chat GPT is

111:15

there anything that they should be doing

111:17

on an individual level to make sure that

111:18

they can capitalize on the opportunity

111:20

that AI

111:21

presents the basic answer is absolutely

111:24

yes and that's part of the reason why

111:27

like like I do my podcast possible I do

111:30

super agency I do impromptu because the

111:34

strong advice I give everyone and

111:35

literally I was sitting with the

111:36

governors of the bank of England

111:37

yesterday and my advice to them among

111:40

other things was personally go use AI

111:44

right don't just use it to make a Sonet

111:46

for your kids's birthday that's great

111:49

don't just use it for a recipe for what

111:51

happens to be refrigerator that's great

111:54

for something that matters to you that

111:56

part of your expertise and soth start

111:58

using it and by the way you'll find that

112:02

uh some of the things are still not

112:03

useful for it all like when I sat down

112:06

to ask gbd4 how would Reed Hoffman make

112:09

money investing in AI it gave me an

112:13

answer that was the smart business

112:16

school Professor answer who didn't

112:17

understand Venture Capital it was like

112:19

well study which areas have the largest

112:21

total addressable Market it then look at

112:23

what the possibilities for competitive

112:25

disruption are then you know market

112:27

research test that it's like it's no way

112:30

like go find a great entrepreneur with a

112:32

great idea right you know and and it's

112:34

best when the idea is something you

112:36

haven't thought of and few other people

112:37

have thought of too right is a way of

112:40

doing so it got it completely wrong from

112:42

how I how Reed Hoffman how I invest in

112:44

Ai and what I do very successfully now

112:47

you say well then it's useless for

112:49

Venture Capital it's like no no cuz I

112:51

kept experimenting with it and I said

112:52

okay I fed in a uh an entrepreneurs plan

112:57

and I said how would I do due diligence

112:58

on this plan and it came back with a

113:00

pretty good list was like yeah yeah one

113:02

that was I was absolutely planning on

113:03

doing that two I was absolutely three

113:05

yeah I could see why you'd think I was

113:07

doing it that's not important oh four I

113:09

would have gotten to it would would have

113:10

gotten to it like four days down the

113:11

road of doing the work and now I know it

113:14

now so it's useful there so it is today

113:17

useful to everybody you can use it for

113:22

things that you care about today so go

113:25

start playing with it and I love Ethan

113:28

mik's line which is the worst AI you're

113:31

ever going to use in your life is the AI

113:33

you're using today so one of the reasons

113:35

to start using it is to start getting

113:36

familiar with it because like it is a

113:39

stunning tool and I'll give one since

113:42

you're talking about Everyday People

113:43

I'll give one kind of tip that I give

113:47

everybody at the beginning it's part of

113:48

the reason I wrote impromptu Etc which

113:50

is um what what is ai ai is great at

113:54

adopting a role that you tell it to

113:57

adopt right so here's a very simple one

113:59

you have an argument for something you

114:01

can paste it into an AI um and you can

114:05

say uh counter this argument take the

114:08

role of critic argue against me and you

114:11

can see it it will immediately give you

114:14

an you know a a a capable argument

114:17

against your position that is very

114:19

helpful it's helpful for cognitive

114:20

development it's helpful for learning

114:22

it's for our understanding you know what

114:23

are the strengths and weaknesses but by

114:25

the way you can also say take my side

114:27

give me another argument for the thing

114:30

I'm arguing for like make that argument

114:33

but that's just the beginning you can

114:35

also say like for example if I go okay

114:37

I'm making this argument

114:39

for uh um how general purpose

114:43

technologies always have initial strong

114:46

fear by people and how they're described

114:49

as the end of society the end of

114:50

humanity Etc it's happened a number of

114:52

different

114:53

times um how would a historian of

114:57

Technology analyze my argument how would

115:00

they criticize my argument and then you

115:02

get it so you can get to like it's

115:05

literally it's only your own creativity

115:07

and your own inspiration of who what

115:10

role should I be talking to and once you

115:13

start realizing that you can start using

115:15

AI very powerfully for whatever you're

115:17

trying to do should entrepreneurs be

115:20

thinking about building companies in the

115:22

field of AI at the moment you know as a

115:24

entrepreneur who's like roughly 30 years

115:26

old I look back and go gosh I wish I was

115:28

of entrepreneurial age when the.com boom

115:31

came around because everyone became

115:32

billionaires and and is is that is this

115:35

that moment in time yes so short answer

115:38

is yes okay so what so I'm an

115:40

entrepreneur I'm I'm 30 OD years old um

115:42

I've got disposable income I'm

115:45

financially free m i' I'd love to take

115:48

part in the next Revolution yeah should

115:51

I be fing out to San Francisco and build

115:55

building an AI joining an AI start about

115:57

there yes why

116:00

so so one of the things is Silicon

116:02

Valley so Silicon Valley has built

116:05

itself up of multiple the reason it's

116:07

called Silicon Valley is because it

116:09

started with silicon right it's now

116:11

software Valley Silicon Valley almost

116:13

never invested in Silicon anymore

116:15

silicon being the chips yes Bing the

116:16

chips yes um so now really it's much

116:19

more software Valley it's like we invest

116:21

billions and billions of dollar every

116:23

year into new software companies

116:26

right so we went from Silicon through

116:30

you know networking equipment like Cisco

116:34

through like just stacks of different

116:36

things getting to where we are now ai is

116:39

the new one by the way we did the thing

116:41

with internet we did it with mobile

116:42

phones we did it with web

116:44

2 now it's AI right and so you know the

116:49

principal thing is when you get this new

116:52

like uh new general uh purpose

116:56

technology uh it opens up massive

116:59

amounts of entrepreneurial space because

117:01

one is's all the new things that can be

117:03

built that were never possible before

117:05

Airbnb couldn't be done before the

117:07

internet there's just no way right so it

117:10

opens up these things that weren't

117:12

possible before um and so like the

117:14

internet's a good proxy to the to the

117:16

wave we have now with AI then it also by

117:20

the way uh makes a mass massive

117:22

transformative force on all existing

117:24

businesses so you say well I had a

117:26

business of of selling you know kind of

117:31

um of e-commerce and doing you know mail

117:34

order cataloges well now there's

117:37

e-commerce right so it it it transforms

117:41

all of these businesses and so by the

117:43

way for example the internet is part of

117:45

what makes the cloud Revolution so now

117:47

it's like well actually in fact it's not

117:49

software on your desktop it's not

117:50

software on your your phone it's in the

117:52

cloud and of course it bounces back and

117:54

forth a little bit then you have well no

117:57

actually in fact you've got this really

117:58

great app on your phone and soth but

118:00

these kinds of things AI is the next one

118:03

that affects all of them so you have

118:07

Green Field you have potentially

118:09

revolutionized any particular place

118:11

where there's a product or service

118:12

especially that intelligence could be

118:14

added to it right there's a possibility

118:17

of a great startup idea there so so yes

118:21

now

118:23

should you go try to build your own

118:25

Frontier Model which is a 10 billion

118:27

doll computer it's a hard thing that's a

118:29

hard amount of capital for startups no

118:30

no no try to figure out like degrees you

118:33

use Frontier models from you know open

118:36

AI or Microsoft or Google or you know

118:38

others as ways of doing this but you

118:40

still May build your own model right um

118:42

that a lots of lots of startup companies

118:44

are building their own models I invested

118:47

in this customer service company called

118:49

Sierra that Brett Taylor is doing and

118:51

their thing is we're not building our

118:52

own models we're just deploying other

118:53

models so we have best of readed for

118:57

what models are available to us you

118:58

could do that as an AI startup there's a

119:01

whole range and part of what I love

119:03

about entrepreneurship and invention is

119:06

like I have a whole set of theories

119:07

about what kinds of things will be

119:09

really big and some of my theories will

119:10

be right and I will also discover some

119:12

other people who have amazing theories

119:15

that's one of the things I really I and

119:17

we at Greylock love to invest in

119:20

interesting oh what's the best way for

119:22

someone to go and learn about AI right

119:24

now because like going to University

119:25

feels like it would be start using it

119:28

start building it if you want to if you

119:30

can if you're technical uh download an

119:33

open source model uh llama mraw other

119:37

start playing with it what if you not

119:39

technical well then well generally

119:41

speaking like you can't do a technology

119:44

it's very hard to do a technology

119:45

startup without a technology co-founder

119:48

so then go find a technology co-founder

119:50

so for someone like me who's built my my

119:52

career in building teams marketing

119:54

social media content media those kinds

119:56

of things who is really interested in AI

119:59

should I go and do you think I should go

120:01

learn AI now and start trying to be a

120:03

technical person or too slow okay yeah

120:06

too slow no no speed matters speed

120:09

matters and startups but by the way uh

120:13

like gen because we tend to so much

120:16

lionize what is usually the man versus

120:18

the person most of these people are men

120:21

um the

120:22

individual startups succeed because

120:25

their initial team that's part of the

120:26

hiring point we were talking about

120:27

earlier and so generally speaking if you

120:30

ask me would I rather invest in an

120:32

individual uh founder or two to three

120:35

co-founders I'd rather invest in two to

120:36

three co-founders right so going and

120:39

finding a co-founder is a great thing

120:42

because by the way your your throw

120:43

weight your capability weight is so much

120:46

better when you do that and so you know

120:49

um uh Mark Zuckerberg had Dustin

120:52

muskovitz Adam

120:53

D'Angelo right you know Chris Hughes

120:57

that's a really important part of how

121:00

things get created you invested in open

121:03

aai almost a decade ago yes before

121:05

everybody was talking about it what did

121:08

you see in that company so Sam Alman

121:11

Greg Brockman Ilia

121:14

suser um

121:17

amazing um and uh they had a focused

121:21

bold vision

121:22

which is yes Google has invented the

121:26

Baseline of the attention based

121:28

Transformer but they don't realize that

121:30

it's just scale like apply scale to this

121:34

we are going to bet the entire company

121:36

everything we're doing on scale on it

121:38

and we're gonna be very focused on doing

121:40

it that's that's

121:43

great but people had said the we AI for

121:46

a long time and it had never manifested

121:47

in it and I had passed on a lot of AI

121:49

Investments but the thing that people

121:51

need to understand about AI is it's a

121:53

transformation to scale Computing

121:55

Learning Systems so as opposed to we

121:57

program it like we program the AI we

122:00

program a scale Computing Learning

122:03

System so it

122:05

learns right and that only becomes

122:08

available once you have scale compute so

122:11

you need the Internet you need the cloud

122:15

you need massive data centers and you

122:17

need access to massive amounts of data

122:20

which you get from the internet and

122:21

other things and then you need a scale

122:23

team to build

122:25

it on that point of people how important

122:28

if you're trying to be successful as a

122:29

young entrepreneur is

122:32

networking uh almost always critical

122:34

because you need that initial team now

122:36

you don't need networking of I should

122:39

spend 12 hours a day seven days a week

122:42

going to every party that I can possibly

122:43

go of and shaking people's hand and

122:44

giving my them my business card that's

122:46

not particularly

122:48

useful what you need to be is just like

122:51

you have a strategy

122:52

for your business you need to have a

122:54

strategy for how you're building your

122:56

network around your business and your

122:57

network around you like who are the

122:59

people that I should be talking to who

123:01

are the people that I should be learning

123:03

from who are the people I should be

123:04

trying to bring into my network that the

123:07

project that I'm creating and how do I

123:09

meet those people there's so many

123:11

obvious things that people talk about

123:12

when they're describing what makes an

123:14

entrepreneur successful they say hard

123:15

work they say have a big Vision but is

123:17

there anything that's

123:19

really underappreciated

123:21

like when I say this I'm talking about

123:24

being a nice person or being etiquette

123:28

or politeness or manners are there any

123:30

things like that that you think make a

123:31

big difference but people don't

123:33

appreciate well I don't think politeness

123:35

and etiquette are s are really

123:38

particularly good competitive advantages

123:39

I'm not saying the one should be rude

123:42

but like an emphasis like if an

123:43

entrepreneur is like I'm reading my

123:45

etiquette manual it's like don't spend

123:47

your time like sure be nice be I think

123:50

building a network like entrepreneurship

123:52

is a team sport it is not an individual

123:55

sport it's a team sport so you need to

123:58

be building your team right but you've

124:00

seen entrepreneurs be successful that

124:01

were bad at that right uh not ultimately

124:04

at scale oh

124:05

interesting right because it is a team

124:08

sport right like you know it requires

124:11

High Talent people around you doing it

124:13

now for example you can get enough

124:15

initial success going and capital that

124:19

even though you're bad with your team

124:21

people people will come on board because

124:22

they'll go oh I believe this is going to

124:24

go somewhere and I can make a bunch of

124:26

money doing it I'll come do it and so

124:28

like for example a classic Trope within

124:31

Silicon Valley which is broadly correct

124:33

and that's part of the reason you have

124:34

the tropes is I want missionary not

124:36

mercenary cultures right because the

124:38

missionaries I believe we're going to

124:39

change the world we're going to do it

124:40

this way and by the way mostly of the

124:43

big successful companies most of them

124:45

are missionary cultures they say oh

124:47

they're all missionary cultur no no no

124:49

there's mercenary cultures that have

124:50

gotten big tooo I'm how do you define

124:52

mercenary in this all I care about is

124:54

making money like all like the only

124:56

thing that matters is I'm selling

124:58

something I'm gonna make money that's

125:00

all that matters do you sometimes think

125:02

the mission's [ __ ] though just like

125:04

[ __ ] to get people to feel something

125:06

there are there are [ __ ] missions

125:08

that that are like the I'm just telling

125:11

a story I don't really care right I'm

125:14

telling a story that's incorrect right

125:16

there are like like like um the Silicon

125:19

Valley TV show uh on HBO

125:22

kind of you know um uh you know

125:24

satiredaily

125:51

because that's what people want to do

125:53

people want to be in things that

125:54

changing the world so you have to say

125:56

like I'm LinkedIn this is how I'm going

125:58

to change the world I'm open AI this is

126:00

how I'm going to change the world I'm

126:01

married baby be this is how I'm going to

126:03

change the world because humans are

126:05

emotional story animals exactly so yes

126:09

you need it but of course it's much

126:12

better if it happens to be that you

126:14

actually are trying to do that you are

126:17

actually in fact you have a good plan

126:19

for how you might succeed in doing that

126:21

because you know a fiz like a I know

126:23

fizzy drinks company yeah conglomerate

126:27

even they try and end they like value

126:30

proposition with we're going to change

126:31

the world yes exactly and you know it's

126:32

[ __ ] it's a public company they got

126:34

shareholders who want to return Yes but

126:37

even they I guess have to do it on the

126:39

mindset front what is the mindset the

126:42

factors of a great entrepreneur's

126:44

mindset what are the key things that you

126:45

look for when you're investing in one

126:48

insanely great ambition right I'm I'm

126:51

shooting for the moon and you know

126:53

sometimes literally but most often like

126:56

like if I'm successful I will transform

126:59

the industry

127:01

okay an awareness

127:04

of like a good plan for how you might do

127:08

that right an awareness that that

127:11

entrepreneurship is a team sport not an

127:12

individual Sport and I have a plan for

127:14

how I'm bringing in like all of

127:17

different elements Capital Talent Etc um

127:21

like for example one of the ways that I

127:23

interview Executives

127:25

is um I say who are the three to five

127:29

they five I love it but minimum three

127:32

worldclass people who worked for you

127:34

before and I'm going to call them and

127:37

ask them what it's like working for you

127:39

right because and by the way if I if it

127:42

really matters I will then reference

127:44

check those three people on are they

127:45

actually world class mhm right because

127:49

only hire people who are going to hire

127:50

worldclass people who who who play it

127:52

now similarly like who are the world

127:55

class people who think you're world

127:57

class as an entrepreneur and like this

127:59

is one of the things that actually

128:00

entrepreneur first that we actually in

128:02

fact Learned was it isn't necessarily

128:05

who everybody thinks it's who some

128:07

worldclass people think that this person

128:10

world class because they're edgy yeah so

128:13

you look for that it isn't that you look

128:15

for people that everybody loves them

128:17

everybody says oh I'd love to have a

128:18

drink with that person no no no like

128:20

having someone say uh that person's hard

128:22

driving they're difficult that can be a

128:25

very strong positive I've invested a

128:27

number of entrepreneurs that way what

128:28

about resilience well resilience also

128:30

very important almost every startup goes

128:33

through what I call a valley the shadow

128:34

moment which is like why did we think

128:36

this was a good idea oh my God we're

128:39

like when when I started social net one

128:42

of my connections from

128:44

Apple dropped me who had started doing

128:46

startups two years before dropped me a

128:50

um

128:52

uh a on line email that said welcome to

128:54

where 15 minutes is the difference

128:56

between exultation and Terror I'm Gonna

128:59

Change the World oh [ __ ] I'm gonna

129:01

die right so resilience is super

129:04

important because it is a dog fight um

129:08

and multiple times PayPal LinkedIn

129:13

Airbnb oh God we're going to die this is

129:16

going to be worth zero Can you spot

129:18

resilience in

129:19

someone um you can have a high

129:23

probability guess based on well it's

129:26

kind of like so you push them on things

129:28

and see what they've done have they

129:29

taken risk how do they respond to risk

129:31

are they trying to persuade themselves

129:33

that the thing that they're doing is

129:34

zero risk no no no I'm guaranteed to

129:38

succeed no one is does it m does it help

129:41

if they've been through some difficult

129:43

things in their life oh yeah because

129:45

then if they've gone through the

129:46

difficult things and they've been

129:48

resilient in there that's likely not

129:51

100% that gives a good probability

129:53

they'll be resilient in the traumatize

129:55

people well it depends on how they

129:57

respond to the trauma right what did you

129:59

learn from it like how did you respond

130:01

to it like because generally speaking

130:03

you need to be able to convert negatives

130:05

into positives right on the

130:07

entrepreneurial Journey so it's like

130:08

look that was that was really bad and I

130:11

learned from it if you were advising a

130:13

young person on how to build wealth in

130:16

2025 huh and when I say young I mean 18

130:19

years old yeah what would you and you

130:21

had to to plan out the road map of their

130:22

life can you walk me through how you'd

130:24

be thinking about those seasons of life

130:26

like 18 to 30 30 onwards Etc

130:30

so part of the reason I wrote startup

130:33

review was that the advice that

130:35

universities frequently give is you know

130:37

Follow Your Passion first do the things

130:39

that you're really passion about oh you

130:40

want to go volunteer in Bhutan do it now

130:44

is tends to be and it's terrible advice

130:47

right they that that actually is the the

130:48

wrong end for the advice the right thing

130:51

and it doesn't mean don't follow your

130:53

passion but the right thing is to start

130:54

with how do I get to a place where I

130:58

have establish myself and have like the

131:02

ability to like economically the

131:05

platform and maneuver could be enough

131:06

wealth to be you know uh to no longer

131:09

need a salary that was my own personal

131:11

goal um but it also could be the I'm

131:13

well known and have a network of

131:15

contacts of people who would want to

131:16

hire me and so forth and now I'm going

131:18

to go spend a year volunteering in

131:20

Bhutan because I really want to do that

131:22

right so the answer is go be vigorous

131:26

about the thing that matters for your

131:27

entire life early and take the big risks

131:30

outly yeah take the big risk early right

131:32

now you might say I want to be a doctor

131:34

it's not particularly risky it's fine

131:36

but then go to medical school establish

131:38

yourself as as as as a medical

131:41

professional and so before you do that

131:43

so whatever thing that is the thing that

131:46

you think gives you the platform for

131:48

resilience in your later life go esta

131:51

Lish that now and by the way that's part

131:53

of the thing of like wealthy but Wealthy

131:55

by the way could be measured in I have a

131:56

bank balance right or on stock Equity

131:59

portfolio but wealthy can also be the I

132:02

have a great network of people who want

132:03

to work with me who want to hire me who

132:06

value my talents right so this whole

132:09

range uh for things but go establish

132:12

that first and that can be take big RIS

132:16

if you if by the way some people say I

132:18

want to take as few big risks as

132:21

possible possible in my whole life

132:22

because that's who I am fine but go

132:25

establish yourself first now if you're

132:27

going to be entrepreneur you want to be

132:28

an entrepreneur then like for example

132:32

like okay maybe you shouldn't start a

132:33

business at 18 but maybe you should go

132:35

join a

132:36

startup right start learning it start

132:38

building the network and it's roughly

132:40

build the network is the broad thing and

132:43

by the way build the skills and you know

132:47

get like frequently doing a startup is

132:49

very difficult economically usually you

132:51

start with no salary Etc like having

132:54

some reserves is a good thing to have I

132:57

read a book and in the first chapter I

132:58

was trying to figure out what this

132:59

platform is for young people and the way

133:01

that I kind of described it is these

133:02

five buckets the first one being

133:04

knowledge and then when knowledge is

133:06

applied it becomes a skill and the good

133:07

thing about these first two buckets is

133:09

they're the only two that no one can

133:10

ever really um empty of what you put in

133:13

there yes the next one I posited was me

133:16

trying to remember my own book was um

133:19

your I'm gonna say Network y then your

133:21

resources and your reputation now anyone

133:23

can take these last three like life can

133:25

happen you can get five you can lose

133:26

your friends whatever um Well network is

133:30

hard to

133:31

lose if youve really authentically built

133:34

it right it can be lost there it can be

133:38

but it's very hard it's kind of like a

133:40

nuclear bomb kind of thing I mean it's

133:42

like like you may like one particular

133:44

person on you may have a real difference

133:47

of opinion um you know you may move and

133:51

then fired get fired and a lot of your

133:53

network is but by the way even if you've

133:55

gotten fired if you've got a couple

133:57

people at that company that you had good

133:59

relationship with they may still be part

134:01

of your

134:02

network so am I right in thinking that

134:04

the Knowledge and Skills part is really

134:05

the critical thing to uh prioritize when

134:08

you yeah well sof this is part of what

134:10

we did in SAR view soft assets are very

134:13

important people under prioritize them

134:15

they tend to say oh I should take the

134:17

job that offers me a 5% higher salary

134:19

and the answer is almost always that's

134:21

not the criteria that you should be

134:23

looking at even 30% higher SI salary is

134:26

not the criteria you should be looking

134:27

at you should be looking at where are my

134:29

soft assets where's my knowledge where's

134:31

my skills where's my network

134:34

interesting because the soft assets are

134:36

what compound generally to the much

134:39

larger like the fact that you took a job

134:41

with a 30% higher salary is not

134:43

necessarily the predictor that you're

134:44

going to get the job with a 300% higher

134:47

salary it's the soft assets that are

134:50

likely to get to the 300% economic

134:52

outcome so shortterm versus longterm So

134:54

Soft assets are longevity yes and the

134:57

and the hard assets I guess are short

134:59

term yes immediate is there a different

135:02

game you play when you hit your 30s do

135:03

you think well you have to evolve it so

135:06

for example you can when you're in your

135:09

20s you can say well I'm gonna I'm gonna

135:11

take more risk like the economics take

135:14

the the the jobs that have zero salary

135:15

or lower salary because I'm going to

135:17

live in the house with five of my

135:19

friends you know we're to have beans and

135:22

toast for dinner you know d d d da as

135:24

ways of doing it CU I can take those

135:25

risks now and then when you're 30 it's

135:26

like well maybe I'm planning on having a

135:29

life partner and being in an apartment

135:31

or a house with them and soth so so it

135:33

changes as you go through and then you

135:36

have kids yes did you have kids no um

135:40

because I'm I'm in that region now where

135:41

I'm thinking about having kids and I'm

135:42

just I'm wondering how dis disruptive

135:44

it's going to be it's another startup

135:47

like it's fine you can do startups and

135:49

have it but it's a complete startup

135:52

which do you think low is your chance of

135:53

being successful at a startup because

135:56

doing two startups is more difficult

135:57

than doing one probably a little yeah

135:59

but maybe worth it on balance okay yeah

136:03

what is happiness to you because you've

136:05

got the money you've got the success

136:06

you've got the reputation you've got the

136:08

the CV what is happiness for me is going

136:12

through life with people I love and

136:15

building great things but like by the

136:17

way if I failed at everything I built

136:19

and I was still going through life with

136:20

people people I loved

136:23

great why is that so

136:26

important because I think part of the

136:28

meaning of life is how you contribute to

136:30

the to the people around you it it's

136:33

like again I sorry I keep referring the

136:35

startup of you but it was my first book

136:36

Is advice the young people right it's

136:39

the I and the Wii like like like do

136:42

things for yourself do things for the

136:44

for for me do things for we right and I

136:48

I learn from people I get Delight from

136:51

people um I feel meaningful as I

136:54

contribute to people's lives and

136:56

obviously you know there's people

136:58

immediately around me there's people in

136:59

the whole world I mean like you know

137:01

LinkedIn billion people have signed up

137:03

for it like like there's there is there

137:05

is um like that's part of what I think

137:09

is essential in the in the meaning of

137:11

life and for me

137:13

especially how did you have happiness

137:15

wrong when you were

137:18

younger if in any way

137:23

um I probably

137:26

thought like it was important to be top

137:29

of your

137:30

class not that it was important to just

137:32

do well but it's important to be top

137:34

right and what I've come to realize is

137:37

you know there 8 billion people right

137:39

nobody is the best at

137:41

everything right some people delude

137:45

themselves that they are but but nobody

137:47

is you could be the best at something

137:50

and by the the way being the best at

137:51

something that's good thing but by the

137:53

way to really be obsessive about the

137:55

being the be the absolute best at that

137:58

thing well maybe you're

138:01

actually uh being you're you're less

138:05

investing in other things it's a little

138:06

bit like your earlier question about

138:08

managing like you say you'll be I I'm an

138:11

Oracle and I'll tell you you'll be four

138:13

times as economically successful if

138:16

you're a [ __ ] to the people you work

138:18

with n no uh not okay for

138:23

me and love how does love come into all

138:26

of this you're you're in you have a

138:28

long-term life partner yes yeah uh in

138:31

Seattle what role has that played in in

138:34

your happiness and your professional

138:36

success for me all the people around me

138:38

are people I learn from and that

138:40

includes Michelle like I learn all kinds

138:42

of things from Michelle Michelle are

138:44

actually both in some ways very similar

138:46

people deep belief in ethics deep belief

138:49

in The Importance of Being a good person

138:51

and in some ways very different she like

138:54

I'm Mr scale she's anti- scale right she

138:57

she she thinks she's fine with my doing

138:59

the scale things but like she wants to

139:02

go connect with local people in the

139:04

community right like she's like look I'm

139:06

volunteering in the senior center will

139:07

you come volunteer with me no no no I

139:08

don't do that I'm happy to give money to

139:10

the senior center but that's not what I

139:11

do but that that's that's her life and I

139:14

learn from that because by the way life

139:15

is both life is both here and here so so

139:20

it's it's one of the balance of

139:22

different people she she is intensely

139:24

going in she's taking this kind of call

139:26

it Quaker Buddhist approach to creating

139:28

art right and and that's just amazing

139:33

like I love being on that Journey with

139:35

her right um and that's her journey

139:38

right um but I learned from it and those

139:40

are the kinds of things that are that

139:43

are um you know part of what I think the

139:46

meaning of life is is how we learn from

139:47

each other when if two entrepreneurs

139:50

come to you and they the exact same

139:51

thing but one of them is in a long-term

139:54

marriage what is the difference between

139:57

those two entrepreneurs in terms of how

139:58

they'll show up in business in your

140:00

view interesting I've never been asked

140:02

that question uh it depends

140:06

um I do

140:08

think like one of the things that I

140:10

treat as a very relevant fact is how

140:12

someone treats the people around them

140:14

okay so it's somewhat evidenced that

140:16

there yes yes so like if a person is

140:20

good to the people around them then

140:22

that's a person I am more likely to much

140:24

more much much more likely to want to go

140:27

through because like a startup is like

140:29

10 years like I have passed on

140:32

investments that I've literally referred

140:34

to and I won't name them because it's

140:36

uncivil but I've literally passed on

140:39

investments that I thought this is going

140:40

to make a ton of money and I've told my

140:42

partners at Greylock hey look this

140:45

entrepreneur and this business this is

140:47

going to make a lot of money if any of

140:49

you want to do it great and I will

140:50

support you but I don't want to invest

140:52

because I don't want to spend the 10

140:53

years with this

140:55

entrepreneur right because it's just you

140:57

know Life's Too Short right uh and I was

141:00

right those businesses made a ton of

141:03

money right but it was yeah no no thanks

141:07

not worth a headache yes when I was

141:08

reading Blitz scaling and I was watching

141:11

the videos that you did you've done

141:12

several talks on it I've seen pretty

141:13

much all of them over the years um one

141:15

of the questions I had as an investor

141:17

myself is my early stage companies that

141:20

aren't in cons the consumer Internet

141:22

space they're selling I don't know they

141:23

might be selling a a drink in a

141:25

supermarket or something should should

141:28

they all be pursu pursuing this idea of

141:30

blit Blitz scaling where you go

141:32

lightning fast to building a mass

141:34

massively valuable

141:35

company not necessarily okay uh Blitz

141:39

scaling is a strategic response to

141:41

Global competition okay right and so now

141:46

there are certain industries where

141:47

Global competition is the norm not the

141:49

exception You're Building an Internet

141:51

Property right MH right or mostly like

141:55

much software not all software but most

141:57

like many software companies in which

142:00

case and by the way if you can get away

142:01

with not Blitz scaling it's much better

142:03

because Blitz scaling is spending

142:05

resources

142:07

inefficiently to get to Market size

142:09

ahead of your competition right so like

142:12

a classic example is like you know uh

142:15

Uber

142:17

would interview somebody offer them a

142:19

job and then say who are the three best

142:21

people at your company that that that

142:24

you worked with and send job offers to

142:27

those three people without even

142:29

interview them them right because that's

142:32

Blitz scaling right that's I'm going

142:34

super super

142:36

fast and uh and that that was a blitz

142:39

scaling technique I learned from Uber I

142:41

was like oh yep put that one in the tool

142:42

chest for when you need to do that right

142:46

because outpacing the competition when

142:49

you're in Glen Gary Glenn Ross markets

142:52

which is first prize Cadillac second

142:54

prize steak knives third prize you're

142:56

fired it's the

142:58

game right and it's one of the things

143:00

like when you know you and I were

143:01

chatting a little bit before we started

143:03

the podcast like one of the places that

143:05

things that places like you know London

143:07

and the UK and Europe need to learn is

143:09

when the competition is global it's not

143:10

the people down the street it's the

143:12

fiercest competitors around the world

143:14

and Silicon Valley has Fierce

143:16

competitors China has Fierce compe you

143:18

have to have a theory of how you're

143:20

playing that game against those the

143:22

fiercest competitors in the world and so

143:26

um Blitz scaling is in part like this is

143:28

stuff I've learned from Silicon Valley

143:31

and from the stuff I've done in China to

143:33

say like when you're in a global

143:36

competitive business and you're trying

143:38

to establish it and you have competitors

143:40

who are doing this this is some of the

143:42

techniques that you need to do if AI is

143:44

going to be so transformative when you

143:47

think about a country like the UK where

143:50

you know we don't have the blitz scaling

143:51

advantages as entrepreneurs and Founders

143:53

that you guys have in Silicon

143:56

Valley if you were the prime minister of

143:59

the

143:59

UK what would you do to give us a shot

144:02

at getting some of the value that's

144:03

going to acrw because of this air

144:04

opportunity so I think there's two

144:06

things one is you need to enable some of

144:09

your company's ability to Blitz scale as

144:12

much as you can right okay so because if

144:16

if if a company if company one is not

144:19

Blitz scaling and is competing against

144:21

Company 2 that is Blitz scaling company

144:24

one's going to lose I don't think we've

144:25

got any AI companies that are blit

144:27

scaling in company one is going to lose

144:30

right company two might lose too right

144:34

but company one is guaranteed to lose

144:35

and Company two is not guaranteed to

144:37

lose right so if you're competing

144:40

against companies that are Blitz scaling

144:42

you must also be Blitz scaling it's part

144:44

of the the reason I wrote the book it's

144:46

part of the reason I give talks it's

144:47

part of the reason I help uh Sher kou

144:50

standup the scale the scaling Institute

144:53

here in London you know etc etc now you

144:57

say we can't we're not going to be able

144:59

to well then choose areas where the

145:02

competitors are not blit scaling I've

145:04

got a example I want to give you I

145:06

invest in a matcha company they make

145:09

matcha like the you know green tea and

145:12

they've they've grown very very quickly

145:13

they call perfect T hash ad I'm an

145:15

investor Etc new investor in the company

145:17

I think um and I was wondering they've G

145:20

so quickly so they've gone from I don't

145:22

know zero to they'll probably do maybe

145:24

30 million pounds next year and they've

145:26

done it in

145:27

a could be measured in months really and

145:30

I wondered I was like match is this

145:32

trend that's coming into Shore

145:34

everyone's drinking match now every

145:35

coffee shop you go to has

145:37

matcha should they be Blitz scaling to

145:41

capture the opportunity globally so it

145:43

depends on two things one most centrally

145:46

comp competition do they need to be

145:49

outpacing their compet

145:50

ition could argue yes yeah but if yes

145:54

then and especially if their competitors

145:56

are Blitz scaling then absolutely yes if

145:59

the commits are not Blitz scaling it's

146:01

all will Blitz scaling enable us to

146:03

outpace them because by the way it does

146:06

involve moving so fast you're taking

146:08

risks and hiring and capital raise and

146:10

expenditures you're doing marketing that

146:13

you would like you're uber you're you're

146:14

launching in 20 cities at the same time

146:16

it's whoa you know

146:18

Etc because that does add risks right

146:23

but you're saying those risks that it

146:24

adds are less of a risk than not spit

146:28

scaling that's kind of the tradeoff so

146:31

competition is a central reason for

146:34

doing it and by the way most of the

146:36

compan most of the times where you can

146:37

raise Capital bit scaling is because if

146:39

you if it's a Glen Gary Glenn Ross

146:41

Market where first prizes Cadillac

146:44

second priz steak knives well then

146:46

generally speaking investors are willing

146:48

to invest

146:50

at premium prices give a lot of capital

146:53

etc etc because they'll go we agree that

146:56

you're going to get a great Market

146:57

position if you Blitz

146:59

scale and by the way part of the problem

147:01

is investors are not always right but if

147:02

some investors are willing to do it then

147:05

and they're going to do it in your

147:06

competitors then you absolutely have to

147:08

do it if your competitor is going to do

147:10

it so competition is the first thing the

147:13

second thing is do you need to get to

147:15

critical mass scale so like your

147:18

payments industry and this is one of the

147:19

things I learned to PayPal which is

147:21

basically payments businesses are dead

147:23

unless they have at least a billion you

147:26

know dollars of you know transactional

147:29

volume through them per year and that

147:30

was back in 2002 what I was looking I'm

147:32

sure it's higher now right maybe it's 10

147:35

billion whatever but it's like if you

147:36

don't get to that scale you're dead

147:38

you're irrelevant right so getting to

147:41

that scale and getting through the

147:42

highly unprofitable getting the scale as

147:44

fast as possible really matters and so

147:46

that's one of the places where you say

147:48

well we're none of our competitors are

147:49

doing it but we should still do it

147:51

because getting that critical mass and

147:52

scale really matters um and so that's

147:55

another time and and so that would be I

147:57

don't think that's probably the the

147:59

matcha company right that that's

148:00

probably like doesn't need so but those

148:02

are the the lessons you look at but it's

148:04

not Blitz scaling for its own sake

148:07

that's one of the mistakes that people

148:09

make when they go Blitz scaling oh we're

148:11

doing it two Blitz scales no no you

148:12

Blitz scale as a set of strategic

148:15

techniques in response to a market and

148:17

response to competition mhm and in the

148:19

case of

148:20

matcher there is a role of brand being

148:23

the mo a little bit yes and so that may

148:26

be irrelevant that may be the relevant

148:27

thing of why it's a glen gar in the I

148:31

haven't looked at the market at all but

148:32

a glen gar Gad Ross Market a first prize

148:34

Cadillac second prize steak guys maybe

148:36

that's because of brand establishment

148:37

which case you have to be number one and

148:40

on that point that I asked earlier about

148:41

if you're the prime minister of the UK

148:43

you'd start enabling some of our

148:44

companies in the UK to like have more

148:46

Capital give them access to Capital do

148:49

you think

148:50

one of my fears is that AI is such a big

148:53

opportunity it's going to revolutionize

148:54

everything and it's basically going to

148:56

be owned by America and China it's one

148:59

of my fears it's like fears of someone

149:00

that lives in the UK that we're gonna

149:02

your economy is gonna in the US is gonna

149:04

have such a huge upswing in productivity

149:08

so good news for you is I happen to know

149:10

that t ding street is paying attention

149:12

to this issue because I had meetings

149:13

with him this week on that there's

149:15

things that they will be announcing

149:17

which I can't pre-announce okay right

149:19

but they know this is important and

149:21

they're working on it

149:24

okay and they're Consulting you know

149:26

people good yeah yeah that's what gives

149:29

me hope yes okay what's the most

149:31

important thing we haven't talked about

149:32

for entrepreneurs that we should have

149:33

talked about I'll give two

149:38

um the first

149:41

is and they're related the first is look

149:45

just because you don't have a 100%

149:47

chance of succeeding doesn't mean that

149:49

you shouldn't do it right so like when I

149:53

said earlier when we were talking about

149:54

like look when I started LinkedIn I

149:56

thought we had a most 20 25% chance of

149:58

being

149:59

successful that's

150:02

fine right so and a matter of fact what

150:05

you should be doing is aligning the fact

150:07

that there's risks on what you're doing

150:09

with the reason why you'll have less

150:11

competition while you have a higher

150:13

Runway before the com competition

150:17

intensifies because part of it is if you

150:20

have a theory like we talked about this

150:21

in LinkedIn about why other people see

150:23

that there is like they think there's a

150:26

0% chance you succeed and you think

150:28

there's a 20 25% chance you succeed

150:31

that's precisely that risk window is

150:34

your

150:34

opportunity right so think of risk not

150:38

as terrifying think of risk as potential

150:42

opportunity right that's one and we've

150:44

talked about threads of it but thinking

150:45

of it as opportunity right because you

150:48

see something other people don't see you

150:50

see the risks but you have an idea for

150:53

why that risk is something that you may

150:57

be able to win on and they won't right

151:00

so with LinkedIn that was hey I have an

151:01

idea about how the network will grow

151:03

even though it's not valuable until

151:04

there's a million people in

151:06

network right that's where that risk

151:09

becomes an opportunity right so the

151:11

second one also around risk

151:15

is

151:17

um have a plan B have plans B understand

151:22

that you have an idea in your risk

151:23

you're playing it and if it's not

151:25

working out how do you pivot don't think

151:28

oh the whole thing is going all in and

151:31

I'm just gonna be roadkill if it doesn't

151:32

work no no that's the whole point of the

151:34

reason I have this framework of abz

151:37

planning which is in the startup view

151:38

which is by the way startup view is

151:39

advice they give

151:40

entrepreneurs shrunk to advice to

151:43

individuals right every single chapter

151:46

applies to entrepreneurs in their

151:48

companies right like the abz planning is

151:51

don't just have a plan a where like well

151:53

if it doesn't work I'm dead you're like

151:54

well that's a bad strategy like

151:57

sometimes you'll do it sometimes it's

151:58

the only thing I have I love this plan a

152:00

it's the only thing I have and the only

152:01

way to do it is to go all in and doesn't

152:03

work I'm dead okay it's very

152:07

scary right um when I do

152:10

entrepreneurship I have plans B I have a

152:12

plan Z right I I I have thought through

152:16

not every because you can't think

152:18

through everything but maneuverability

152:20

and how to measure am I on track or not

152:22

am I am I increasing my probability of

152:24

success or not am I increasing my

152:26

ability to get to the moon or not and

152:29

and be doing risk management smart risks

152:32

take smart

152:33

risks that's the thing right how do you

152:36

know when to quit and I'm saying this in

152:37

a Prof professional context as well as

152:39

an entrepreneurship context so when I

152:42

get around to advising companies I've

152:44

invested in or friends that now is time

152:47

to quit or now is time to sell you try

152:50

to sell of course but sometimes if you

152:52

can't sell that means quit right is your

152:57

new plans your new plans a are much

152:59

worse than your previous plans a your

153:01

new plan a is much worse because you

153:03

pivoted yeah right and your new plan a

153:06

is a much worse plan in your plan a

153:08

that's when you get to your plan Z it's

153:09

like plan Z is I quit

153:12

right okay so you've you've tried

153:15

something else that's also messed up

153:16

like okay and in a professional context

153:19

when how do you know to quit when to

153:20

quit the

153:21

job um well it could be you have a much

153:24

better plan a right like like okay this

153:27

plan a that's okay and then by the way

153:29

this is part of the difference that I

153:30

tell people between should I found a

153:32

company or should I join one it's like

153:34

look one of the problems you have as a

153:35

Founder you can't really quit you're

153:37

you're you're with the business right

153:39

it's very dishonorable to quit before

153:43

you know the business gets to whatever

153:45

it's its design is now sometimes you're

153:47

fired fine but you're you know as a

153:51

Founder you're like people have come and

153:52

enjoyed this because of me being here

153:55

and doing this and I'm here until the

153:57

business gets to a point where it's it's

153:59

a massive growing concern now once the

154:01

company's public you can go do something

154:03

or once the company's sold you can go do

154:04

something or once the company is like

154:06

profitable and really strong you can go

154:08

do something but you're there until then

154:10

as a Founder as an employee you're

154:12

signing up for what I'm the alliance I

154:13

call a tour of beauty which is I am I've

154:17

I'm signed up to make a big difference

154:19

in in the company but I'm not here till

154:22

the end and so as your employee you can

154:24

go look have I delivered against my Tour

154:26

of Duty great and at that point a better

154:29

opportunity comes along so you know uh

154:32

Matt Kohler who you know now lives here

154:34

in London as a you know partner at

154:36

Benchmark like I recruited him out of

154:38

Mackenzie in a LinkedIn three years in

154:41

he comes to me and says hey I've been

154:42

offered this this opportunity at

154:43

Facebook I'm like look Matt I love

154:45

working with you you're a close friend

154:47

of mine etc etc you should take that job

154:50

at Facebook that is the right Next Step

154:52

for you right and because we're close

154:55

and so forth I think he probably

154:56

wouldn't have taken the job if I hadn't

154:57

said but like LinkedIn resembles my

154:59

brain I want people doing their best

155:01

work their best opportunities and

155:03

Facebook gave them a great opportunity

155:05

what's really interesting about the

155:05

LinkedIn story I've got the deck in

155:08

front of me here from August 20 2004

155:12

yes that's our Greylock series B

155:15

deck and what's pretty remarkable and by

155:18

the way Matt ker how create that deck oh

155:20

did he

155:21

yes I mean it's a it's a pretty good

155:24

deck for a series series B especially

155:26

back then it's very simple i' to say

155:28

simple as good very very simple yes one

155:32

of the things that really struck out to

155:33

me is on this page here which is the

155:35

sort of opening I guess vision mission

155:36

statement whatever you want to call it

155:38

is it's find and contact the people you

155:40

need through the people you already

155:41

trust and what's quite remarkable

155:43

although this was written 20 years ago

155:46

this is still very much what LinkedIn is

155:47

about yes and usually when I see these

155:49

decks they started as I don't know hot

155:51

or not and now it's like Facebook and

155:53

Instagram whereas this is still so close

155:56

to what the vision was yeah well it's

155:58

also my third company I had social net I

156:01

had PayPal PayPal pivoted a lot right

156:04

and so I had a good sense of both how to

156:06

be longterm and short-term when I

156:09

started LinkedIn and what is the key to

156:10

being long-term in this regard well you

156:13

know what is the you're going to

156:15

transform the industry oh and what do

156:17

you mean by key as in like

156:20

if you're trying to build a long-term

156:22

company from the outset yeah what are

156:23

you thinking about well you're thinking

156:25

about like if I'm successful at landing

156:29

on the beach at expanding into the

156:30

market how is it that I'm going to be a

156:33

industry transforming company like

156:36

what's the thing that changes millions

156:38

of customers lives you know um uh or if

156:43

it's an Enterprise company you know

156:44

whatever like lots of companies within

156:47

multiple Industries how am I an

156:49

essential part of how they change the

156:51

way they live they work they do

156:55

business and what do you think of

156:56

LinkedIn today because people use it in

156:59

such a surprising way I mean people are

157:00

building their personal brands on it

157:02

it's like a social network yeah I knew

157:03

that was all going to be from from

157:05

before this deck I knew that was

157:06

possible I have a probability now what

157:09

what thing surprised me people build

157:11

dating services on top of it really yes

157:15

well I'm in a relationship may you

157:16

haven't seen it but yeah but they're

157:18

like well some people want to be dating

157:20

people who have professional like my

157:22

dating set is I want people who have

157:24

good CVS okay I don't want LinkedIn to

157:27

ever build that business fine if you're

157:29

gonna go build that

157:31

business right no problem right I mean

157:34

and like for example like one of the ear

157:36

like this was I

157:38

think uh a few months after we raised

157:41

money from Greylock um on this deck um

157:45

one of the surprising uses is like I

157:48

never had envisioned this use case still

157:49

looking for a job an engineer wanted to

157:52

move to Denver from Silicon Valley and

157:58

so it's like didn't know what companies

157:59

to look at so this engineer went to

158:02

LinkedIn and searched for profiles like

158:06

his then looked at what companies those

158:08

people worked at then decided which

158:10

companies to go look for jobs at it was

158:13

brilliant like it's a very good way of

158:15

saying hey I'm look I'm interested in

158:17

going and working here

158:20

what kinds of companies that are

158:21

interesting employ people like

158:23

me are you still interested in building

158:26

companies in terms of like being a CEO

158:29

and founder again well so I co-founded

158:32

inflection so I'm definitely doing the

158:34

co-founding thing right um and you know

158:39

I I anticipate that will happen again um

158:43

but will I be the CEO it's not

158:45

impossible um but it's kind of like

158:47

because I have these amazing people like

158:49

Mustafa suan who the COO that I can be

158:52

the co-founder

158:53

with that's

158:57

great yeah I think that's the season of

158:59

life I'm in yeah I don't want to be a

159:00

CEO anymore which is unfortunate because

159:02

I named the podcast I have a CEO when I

159:04

was one but I just think there's an

159:06

element of self-awareness which I think

159:08

has really it's and for me the older

159:10

I've gotten the more I'm orientating

159:11

everything towards being happy yeah and

159:13

for me it's it's hard to be a CEO and as

159:17

happy as I and free as I want to be so

159:19

then then then you need to build the

159:22

network and skills by which you're

159:23

working with other people who are the

159:25

CEOs that's basically what I do now so

159:28

the companies that I've described the

159:29

software business the media company we

159:30

have here there's people that are

159:32

designed and built and much better CEOs

159:34

than me what do you do you care about

159:37

Legacy only because I care about impact

159:40

um so I don't like I I care that I I've

159:42

actually made a big difference to the

159:45

ongoing story of humanity um but I don't

159:49

that I mean look it's nice I like I

159:51

certainly don't mind that people go oh

159:53

Reed Hoffman did these amazing things it

159:55

feels good but I care much more about

159:57

the substance like did I do really good

160:00

things that was I a very positive impact

160:03

now I'm I'm not I'm not indicating I

160:07

have no ego you know the the

160:09

appreciation for having done that that

160:11

feels good but I don't do it for the

160:13

appreciation I do it for the

160:15

thing so do you make decisions based on

160:18

Legacy at all

160:20

only a by

160:23

impact did you did you decide not to

160:26

have children uh we did um and it was a

160:29

joint decision of course and I think it

160:31

was partially that we realiz we're um

160:35

you know we're God Parents to a number

160:36

of children we actually there's three

160:38

kids here in London that that we're God

160:39

Parents to right and uh you know there's

160:44

all kinds of Delights in being a God

160:45

parent which is you know you show up and

160:46

spend an evening and get to participate

160:49

and and the kids lives and then you know

160:51

when it's like oh time to change the

160:54

diaper and

160:56

it are there any unchecked boxes in your

161:00

life I'm sure there are um any major

161:03

ones yeah

161:06

um if you'd ask me um what book um I was

161:11

going to first write when I was an

161:12

undergraduate was book on friendship I

161:14

still want to write that book I I've

161:16

been taking notes for 30 years on

161:18

friendship on friendship yep um what

161:21

would that book be about friendship but

161:23

specifically what part of why why

161:26

everything look there's so few books on

161:29

friendship you go into to a bookstore

161:32

and you say where is your uh your

161:35

section on relationships and they every

161:37

bookstore will go oh over here right

161:40

relationship with capar romantic

161:42

relationship say okay where's your

161:44

section on

161:46

friendship no section on friendship Do

161:48

you have a a book on friendship the

161:50

answer is maybe we have

161:53

one your assistant we spoke to your

161:56

assistant ahead of this conversation

161:57

today and she said that friendship and

161:59

connection is a major part of your focus

162:01

at the moment yes always but it it

162:03

always has been now now you're doing

162:06

intense things with startups part of the

162:08

reason I actually think you should work

162:09

with friends you should hire friends

162:11

this is kind of a little bit you know

162:13

counter common wisdom is because you

162:15

want to be spending your time with

162:16

friends and that does ADD difficulties

162:20

right but you want to spend your time

162:23

with your friends that's really good are

162:26

you still friends with Peter the yes you

162:28

have a lot of disagreements in terms of

162:30

politics but intense disagreements on

162:31

politics but you still are able to be

162:33

friends but we also met um with you know

162:38

as undergraduates you know in a like

162:41

like I knew he was extremely right and

162:43

he knew I was left you know I've become

162:47

much more

162:50

uh business oriented than I was as

162:52

undergraduates and he's become much more

162:54

libertarian

162:56

but you know disagreements is a good

162:59

thing can be a good thing we have a

163:02

closing tradition on this podcast where

163:03

the last guest leaves a question for the

163:04

next guest not knowing who they're going

163:05

to be leaving it for oh and the question

163:07

that's been left for you is a very

163:08

interesting one

163:09

okay what are the two things you want

163:13

your life partner to know about you that

163:17

they do not know or do not understand

163:20

about you

163:21

yet that's an interesting thing it's an

163:24

interesting if someone has an answer to

163:27

that question it suggests that they're

163:29

not being a particularly good life

163:32

partner I think I have been and will

163:35

continue to be a good life partner so I

163:36

actually don't have an answer to that

163:38

question what's her name Michelle yes

163:41

has does she misunderstand you in

163:44

anyway

163:45

[Music]

163:47

um I don't know if it's a

163:49

misunderstanding because we put a lot of

163:51

energy into understanding each other I

163:53

mean like for example we've seen

163:54

marriage counselors together and not

163:56

because we're going we're like fighting

163:58

about something it's because helping

164:01

having a third party help you understand

164:03

the other person well is like actually

164:05

in fact a very good thing find someone

164:06

who's really good and do that right I do

164:09

that with my partner yeah it's it's it's

164:11

great you should do it you shouldn't be

164:13

because we're arguing it should be

164:16

because we are putting lots of energy

164:19

into understanding each other I still

164:21

think there's things about my partner

164:23

that she doesn't understand about me or

164:25

misunderstands about me and I

164:26

misunderstand about her yeah of course

164:28

and by the way I can point out things

164:31

that I have learned about her like for

164:35

example like the local community is what

164:38

really matters to her right I didn't

164:41

really understand that 10 years ago now

164:43

I understand that right um I'm sure she

164:46

has those kind of similar things about

164:48

me

164:49

but like the moment it occurs to me that

164:51

there's something she doesn't understand

164:52

about me it comes up at a

164:56

dinner you know not too many weeks in

164:58

the future because that's part of how we

165:01

come to our dinners right we come to our

165:03

dinners is if one of us is on you know I

165:06

had this thought we want to have those

165:09

dinners Founders you're investing in

165:12

that are in a stable solid relationship

165:14

before they start the startup

165:16

yeah and then they go on this crazy

165:19

intense Journey do you ever give them

165:21

advice on relationships and how to

165:22

manage that because I have so many

165:23

Founders come to me and they're like I

165:25

think she's going to break up with me or

165:26

he's going to break up with me because

165:27

I'm just I'm absent in my head in person

165:32

you try to have a really good

165:34

relationship you try to be as like like

165:37

I think you should in friendship and in

165:40

relationships you should try to identify

165:43

the things in yourself that the other

165:45

person may find challenging and you

165:47

should bring them up in advance

165:49

M right that is a very good way to build

165:54

deep quality friendships and

165:55

relationships so for example in startups

165:58

Michelle knew that about me so when we

166:01

had planned our wedding and we we were

166:03

doing a small you know um thing with you

166:06

know just basically Justice to the peace

166:09

and so forth we planned our wedding and

166:12

it was very early days of LinkedIn and I

166:15

came back home and I said we really need

166:17

to delay it

166:19

right we delayed it a couple weeks right

166:22

was like we really need to delay I'm

166:23

doing this thing at LinkedIn right now

166:24

we really need to have it I I don't have

166:26

time for that and Michelle didn't go ah

166:29

she went okay let's make it work because

166:33

I'd been clear with her about what the

166:34

startup Journey was like right I had

166:36

experience with it before and now

166:38

sometimes like we didn't know it before

166:39

but like look I'm really committed to

166:41

this and it's really important to me

166:42

that I do that well that should be kind

166:45

of life partner things did you let her

166:47

down a l uh I hope not in terms of

166:51

making a plan making a dat we had we had

166:54

multiple plans that got blown up right

166:59

and what about the dealing with the

167:00

stress when you come home something I've

167:01

always struggled with is if work is

167:03

stressful when I come home I can be

167:04

absent and then you have to transition

167:06

into this mode of partner but my head is

167:08

still thinking oh my God cash flow this

167:09

or whatever well occasionally that's one

167:11

of the things that Michelle go like you

167:14

know I think you're not being fully

167:16

present right like that's one of the one

167:19

of the kind of as it were key words

167:21

between us is I think you're not being

167:22

fully present and that's the stop

167:23

thinking about whatever else you're

167:24

doing and

167:26

focus okay and I'm yes we've had that

167:30

conversation more times than I can

167:32

probably remember and count and is it

167:34

easy just do uh you learn to really yes

167:38

you learn to because as you as you like

167:41

you have the okay what is that mean take

167:44

those other things push them off the

167:46

table Focus or by the way occasionally

167:49

you go you're right I'm really sorry I'm

167:53

just so distracted by this right now

167:55

would you mind if like like I'm fully

167:58

present tomorrow because a lot of

168:00

Founders would Gaslight their partner

168:01

there and say you don't understand you

168:02

don't get it I'm doing this for you this

168:04

is for us look you hate my work well if

168:09

you're having that conversation if the

168:11

person doesn't look the two people need

168:14

to believe in each other and what

168:15

they're doing if the person doesn't

168:17

believe in you and what you're doing

168:19

right you have a long-term

168:21

problem yeah and I guess the

168:23

communication is the very heart of that

168:25

right yes Reed we are all very excited

168:28

for your next book which you said it's

168:30

coming out in January January yeah end

168:32

of January it's a book called Super

168:33

agency what could possibly go right with

168:35

our AI future co-written with Greg bet

168:39

Bato

168:40

Bato what could possibly go right with

168:42

our AI future yes an optimistic take

168:45

about AI uh yes

168:49

why should someone in who should read

168:50

that book so anyone

168:55

who uh believes as I do the only way

168:58

that you can possibly get to an

169:00

optimistic future is envisioning what

169:03

some of the things are and head towards

169:04

it that you don't get to an optimistic

169:06

future by trying to avoid failure by

169:07

trying to avoid pessimism anyone who

169:10

says okay it's important for me to

169:13

understand that perspective about

169:14

AI they should read super agency we we

169:17

have a book blurb from yval Harari which

169:22

says this is a brilliant positive vision

169:25

of the future I disagree with some of

169:27

its main arguments and everyone should

169:29

read

169:29

it that's refreshing yes I'll link it

169:33

below for anyone that wants to pre-order

169:35

it um but I highly recommend everybody

169:36

goes and checks out your books which are

169:39

iconic because they've shaped the

169:40

thinking of Founders across the world

169:42

and if even if you're not a Founder the

169:43

startup of view is for everybody

169:45

regardless of what you're doing it helps

169:46

you navigate both building a business

169:47

but also just your cre generally and

169:50

also masters of scale which is an iconic

169:52

podcast that many of us listen to here

169:54

where you sit down with some of the

169:56

greatest founders of all time and

169:57

understand how they've scaled and built

169:58

their companies it's a podcast that I

170:00

Know Jack is a massive fan of and one of

170:02

the first podcasts they ever got

170:03

listening to as well highly recommend

170:05

that I also have the book there and I'll

170:06

link all of this stuff below Reed thank

170:09

you it's a pleasure I look forward to

170:11

the next one thank you so much it's been

170:12

such an honor and

170:14

I so so wonderful speaking to someone

170:16

that has such diverse

170:19

um contrarian at times opinions but is

170:21

willing to stand by them irrespective of

170:23

whether they are um believed or um

170:28

accepted or politically correct with the

170:31

dominant narrative at the moment yeah

170:33

and that comes from having such a wealth

170:35

of experience but being fundamentally

170:37

well intentioned I think so thank you

170:39

Reed for the time I really appreciate it

170:40

it's an honor to get to meet you thank

170:42

you and thanks for creating LinkedIn I

170:43

[ __ ] LinkedIn I think they sponsored

170:44

this podcast so oh awesome I I didn't

170:47

even know that oh really yeah they do

170:49

yeah so thank you so much appreciate

170:53

it isn't this cool every single

170:56

conversation I have here on the Diary of

170:57

a CEO at the very end of it you'll know

170:59

I asked the guest to leave a question in

171:03

the Diary of a CEO and what we've done

171:06

is we've turned every single question

171:07

written in the Diary of a CEO into these

171:10

conversation cards that you can play at

171:13

home so you've got every guest we've

171:15

ever had their question and on the back

171:18

of it if you scan that QR codee you get

171:21

to watch the person who answered that

171:24

question we're finally revealing all of

171:27

the questions and the people that

171:30

answered the question the brand new

171:32

version two updated conversation cards

171:35

are out right now at Theon conversation

171:38

cards.com they've sold out twice

171:40

instantaneously so if you are interested

171:41

in getting hold of some limited edition

171:43

conversation cards I really really

171:45

recommend acting quickly

171:48

a

171:50

[Music]

172:07

[Music]

Interactive Summary

Reed Hoffman, the co-founder of LinkedIn and a key figure in the PayPal Mafia, discusses the entrepreneurial mindset, the importance of networking, and the transformative impact of AI. He emphasizes that successful entrepreneurship requires high-level ambition, calculated risk-taking, and the ability to assemble world-class teams. Hoffman explains his strategies for building businesses that transform industries and explores how individuals can harness AI to achieve 'super agency' while managing the societal shifts that accompany new technologies.

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