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How I Beat the Stock Market in 2019: A Review

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How I Beat the Stock Market in 2019: A Review

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1333 segments

0:00

hi this Adam Koo here and welcome to

0:02

this final weapon of the year on the

0:04

2019 stock market review so it's one

0:07

week to Christmas and two weeks to the

0:09

end of the year and I drew about you by

0:11

found that this year really passed by in

0:13

a flash or is it just that when you're

0:15

getting older time passes faster anyway

0:18

towards the end of every year I do a

0:20

review of what has happened for the year

0:23

in the markets and before I do that I

0:25

think it's important to go back to

0:27

January 2019 to look at my strategy for

0:30

the year so at the beginning of every

0:32

year I do a strategy forecast for the

0:36

year and I do it every year so watch out

0:38

for my general one coming in 2020

0:40

alright so let's take a quick look at

0:42

the one I presented in January of this

0:45

year let me just bring it out alright so

0:51

I'm not gonna run through the entire

0:52

forecast all of the games gonna take two

0:54

hours so I'm just gonna highlight some

0:57

of the main ideas of my 2019 strategy

1:00

and how much of it actually played out

1:02

how much came true how much did not come

1:05

true because I don't get it right all

1:06

the time

1:07

no one does alright alright so let's go

1:09

back to that presentation so what I

1:13

talked about in the beginning of the

1:15

year was really about the China's stock

1:18

market opportunity because at the

1:19

beginning of the year China was really

1:21

undervalued and it came from a big

1:24

sell-off that happened back in late 2018

1:27

at the start of the us-china trade war

1:30

and I said that China presented amazing

1:35

investment opportunity u.s. had great

1:38

opportunity but China had even bigger

1:39

opportunity and the reason is because

1:41

China was near the bottom of their bear

1:45

market right here at to 744 right so I

1:53

said this was a big bear market where it

1:56

dropped about 40 percent because the

1:58

trade law as well as the China's slowing

2:01

economy and I said that we are right now

2:03

at the bottom of this bear market and

2:06

we're gonna buy just before the next

2:08

bull market as you know markets are made

2:10

up of bear markets and bull markets they

2:12

don't want me

2:13

straight line and the time to buy is not

2:16

during a bull market where people are

2:17

excited the time to buy is towards the

2:20

end of the bear market when people are

2:22

fearful right to court Warren Buffett be

2:25

fearful when others are greedy and

2:27

greedy when others are fearful and the

2:30

way to make money is to buy when there's

2:32

blood running on the streets so in late

2:35

2018 there was intense fear about China

2:38

because China was you know slowing down

2:40

the trade war people freaking out and

2:43

said this is the time to buy because

2:45

we're a bottom of the bear market and

2:47

again if you look at the history of

2:49

China now the US stock market has been

2:52

around for over 227 years started in

2:55

1782 there abouts China's stock market

2:59

is only about 30 years old and it's

3:02

really fall at all but if you know when

3:04

to get in you can make a lot of money

3:06

like what I have so we look at the last

3:08

24 years you can see there's a bear

3:10

market here from market dropped 61% and

3:13

the Shanghai index after the bear market

3:17

61% drop you've got the bull market

3:20

three hundred percent up 32% down bull

3:23

market bear market bull market bear

3:25

market bull market and bear market so

3:29

again we are we were right at the bottom

3:31

of the bull market going into Jimmy 2019

3:34

so I said that you know I'm gonna really

3:37

really start to allocate a lot of my

3:39

portfolio to China just be an example

3:43

back in 2018 my portfolio was about 90%

3:49

us 10% China right now it's about 50% us

3:54

50% China and Asia so I've made a big

3:57

shift in my allocation and it's the

4:00

reason is because I want to catch the

4:03

next bull market up basically right now

4:05

here's the thing the market dropped 51%

4:10

and I said that that's the bottom okay

4:12

how did I know is the bottom I looked at

4:14

a price action of the individual chance

4:16

of the market I'll talk about in a short

4:18

walk now question is could I have been

4:20

wrong yeah but I was not wrong okay I'll

4:23

show you later that I was right it was

4:24

the bottom but even if I was wrong

4:27

and you dropped a bit more how much more

4:29

can it drop because normally during a

4:31

bear market it has dropped 70% in the

4:34

past it has dropped 61% in the past so

4:38

it has really dropped 51% which means my

4:41

downside is limited at the very most you

4:45

would drop another 10 or 20% okay but

4:48

once I catch the next bull market the

4:50

next bull market how much would it be

4:52

well no one knows but again based on

4:54

history it has gone up 200% 500%

4:58

trehearne percent a hundred percent I

5:00

don't know which is gonna be but a point

5:03

is is gonna go up at least a hundred

5:05

percent to up to five hundred percent

5:08

which means by getting in right at the

5:11

bottom of the bear market I've only got

5:13

a ten or twenty percent more downside

5:15

for a hundred to five hundred and upside

5:18

and that is what I call a cement

5:21

asymmetrical risk in trading you're

5:24

betting $1 to make two three four

5:28

dollars and you want to buy aggressively

5:30

in those situations and that's why in

5:32

2019 throughout the year I accumulated a

5:35

lot of China companies and China ETFs

5:39

aggressively while still holding on to

5:41

my US position so that was my first call

5:44

for 2019 and it did play out we'll look

5:48

at what happened what happened

5:49

thereafter in a short law all right at

5:52

the beginning of the year the p/e ratio

5:55

for the Shanghai index stood at 12 PE

6:01

right it stood at about 12 PE now to

6:05

give you some perspective historically

6:06

the PE ratio has been as low as 10 which

6:11

means we were already near the bottom in

6:13

January as high as 70 and the median is

6:17

40 okay now I don't expect to get back

6:20

to 70 of course but I expect that the PE

6:23

ratio will get back to 40 eventually

6:26

once the trade war is resolved alright

6:29

so from a PE of 12 to 40

6:33

that's about more than three times right

6:40

so I

6:41

that whatever I bought in China I

6:43

expected to triple in value in the next

6:47

couple of years so that was my first

6:48

call for 2019 get aggressive on China

6:51

and buy the china index ETFs the

6:55

Shanghai ETF the Hang Seng ETF as well

6:59

as individual China companies and I

7:01

talked about basically four main

7:04

companies I was looking at by - Alibaba

7:09

Tencent

7:10

and ping uninsurance right and after

7:12

four I dropped by 2 at the middle of the

7:15

year for those of you who've been really

7:17

my reports the reason I dropped it is

7:19

because from my scuttlebutt now what is

7:22

scuttlebutt scared what means you gotta

7:23

talk to people who are using the

7:26

products every day you gotta talk to

7:28

employees while working in the companies

7:30

and that's the only way to really

7:32

understand the business see many times

7:34

when you invest in a stock and you only

7:37

look at the chance or the financial

7:39

statements you're looking at what's on

7:41

the surface but to understand what's

7:44

going on deep down inside to get a first

7:47

mover advantage you have to talk to the

7:50

customers who are using the products

7:51

every day you have to talk to the

7:53

employees who are working in the company

7:55

okay because when you do that what

7:58

happens you are doing what costs cattle

8:00

back which means you're digging up

8:01

information that is for presented yet in

8:06

the chance for the financial statements

8:07

so when I discover that many of my

8:09

friends in China they said pi2 sucks

8:12

right it too much adds a lot of scams

8:15

right we're not using by do anymore and

8:17

that's why at the middle of the year I

8:19

soaked by two shares I got up before the

8:21

crash thank God and I use it to buy mate

8:24

110 which later we're not fifty two

8:27

percent since I bought it four months

8:29

ago because all my friends in China were

8:31

using mate 1 TN ping their new super app

8:34

so you gotta understand like customers

8:36

who are using the products every day now

8:38

I don't live in China I have not been to

8:41

China for many many years but I've got

8:43

close friends who live in China and they

8:45

can tell me everything about the Chinese

8:47

companies and I share it with all my

8:49

friends and my subscribers and my

8:51

students and that's how they're able to

8:53

get an age

8:54

over other investors because got people

8:56

in China using the trucks every single

8:58

day all right now when it comes to $0.10

9:01

Alibaba and pick an insurance these

9:03

three companies did pretty well and

9:04

again we'll look at the performance

9:07

later on but these are the three main

9:08

stocks I held on to plus I replace this

9:12

with mate 110 ping at the middle of the

9:14

year now how about the US what did I say

9:19

about the US markets at the beginning of

9:21

2019 I said that the US markets were not

9:25

cheap but they were not extremely

9:27

expensive yet and I'm still holding and

9:30

I'm still buying a lot in fact it was

9:32

still some companies they were very

9:34

undervalued then I was buying like the

9:37

banks JP Morgan bank of America Johnson

9:42

& Johnson Amazon Facebook they were

9:46

still cheap alpha but Google still cheap

9:48

I was buying a lot of these companies

9:50

Microsoft as well during 2019 okay at

9:55

the beginning of the year the S&P 500

10:00

the p/e ratio was seventeen point seven

10:04

three remember the figures seventy point

10:06

seven three which is above historical

10:10

average so for the last eight years the

10:14

average p/e is fifteen so anything about

10:17

fifteen PE is expensive below fifteen is

10:21

she now of course we like to buy one is

10:23

really undervalue but the US markets are

10:25

not cheap they are slightly over value

10:28

at 17 but say hey it could go back as

10:33

high as 30 or 25

10:36

in fact historically 25 has been the

10:39

historical high once he reaches 25 it

10:43

gets really expensive it has to go back

10:45

down again

10:45

so from 17.7 to 25 we have still got

10:49

some runway all right so I said the US

10:52

market I expected to be bullish this

10:55

year as well now don't forget that at

10:59

the end of 2018

11:00

the US market was actually in a bear

11:03

market for a month you know some mini

11:05

bear market let me just show that to you

11:07

oh yeah so look at that right so this

11:11

was December 2018

11:13

and the US markets went into a bear

11:16

market way when below the 200 moving

11:18

average the 50 moving average cross

11:21

below the 150 and this was scary as [ __ ]

11:25

so at that point of time it was again

11:29

the heart of the trade war China was

11:31

crashing the u.s. was crashing and at

11:33

that time people were saying that hey is

11:35

the start of the big bear market is a

11:38

start of a recession and they pointed to

11:41

a yield curve signal au curve has

11:43

inverted and it's de it's a signal for

11:46

recession now what did I say I said that

11:51

yes the US market is on a bear market

11:54

but in a strong economy that's

11:56

divergence because we have got a

11:58

remarkable S&P 500 earnings growth right

12:01

company earnings were still growing

12:04

strong and projected to continue growing

12:06

strong the bear market I said was

12:09

primarily psychological fear over the

12:12

uncertainty of the trade war brexit

12:16

flattering new curve I said economic

12:18

fundamentals are still strong employment

12:21

is growing manufacturing is growing at

12:24

the same time I said the current bear

12:27

market is unlikely to leave here's what

12:31

I say the current bear mark is unlikely

12:33

to lead to a recession and presents an

12:36

opportunity to buy great companies at

12:39

huge discounts however it is at a late

12:42

late stage of the economic cycle so what

12:46

were the stops I was buying I've got a

12:48

preference for stocks in technology

12:51

communications and financials my

12:53

favorites were Microsoft Adobe

12:56

Salesforce and Applied Materials

13:00

Facebook elphaba Netflix JP Morgan as

13:04

well as Blackrock now I must say that

13:06

through during the mid of the year I did

13:08

sell my Blackrock for a small profit but

13:12

I held onto the rest I never bought

13:14

Netflix by the way I bought everything

13:16

else ok and what happened sure enough

13:20

the

13:21

bear market the everyone thought would

13:23

lead to a recession did not in fact it

13:25

only lasted for a month after falling

13:28

20% the bear market reversed back into

13:32

the bull market and that's how I had a

13:34

pretty good return on my portfolio by

13:37

holding on an eddy more shares right at

13:39

the bottom over there okay if you

13:42

remember Facebook was also going through

13:45

a lot of problems

13:47

Zuckerberg went to Congress and got

13:49

grill for you know the Dieterle in

13:53

basically selling data to to the wrong

13:59

party is basically right and I said that

14:01

you know Facebook's a great opportunity

14:02

and buying Facebook at a huge discount

14:05

my evaluation for Facebook was about two

14:08

hundred and seven dollars but right now

14:10

I've raised my evaluation to $250 and I

14:13

bought it at a huge discount at about a

14:15

hundred and but I had 150 bucks right

14:20

and Facebook has gone up quite a bit

14:21

quite a bit since then I also talked

14:24

about Johnson & Johnson after it plunged

14:26

10 percent because of the problems with

14:30

asbestos in baby powder right so gng

14:34

plunged to $129 I started to buy really

14:37

cheap and right now it's a really really

14:39

high price again J&J is up about I'll

14:45

check it out later

14:46

let me see how much is up so far J&J

14:49

since I bought it let me check it out

14:55

there we go right yeah so since I bought

14:58

it in a support level it's gone up from

15:01

$127 to 140 for a pretty good return let

15:07

me see what's return yeah well 11% in

15:12

just a couple of months G&G right and

15:15

again this came out in my general report

15:18

but I started entering at the support

15:21

level over there all right

15:23

so these were my summary of

15:25

opportunities for 2019 what did I say I

15:28

said that the current bear market in US

15:30

stocks is unlikely to lead to a

15:33

recession and offers value investors an

15:36

opportunity to buy great copies at huge

15:38

discounts

15:39

was I right on that yes I was okay the

15:42

US economy is at a late stage cycle best

15:45

to focus on high-quality good companies

15:48

that are less economically sensitive

15:50

example Adobe Microsoft Google and

15:53

Facebook how did these stocks do let's

15:55

take a look so first of all Adobe for

15:58

the year let's look at how we did for

16:00

the year for the last one years so Adobe

16:03

you can see it's up from two hundred and

16:09

ten dollars to $325 it tripled in 2019

16:14

so that was a great call next Microsoft

16:17

what are my core holdings as well

16:19

Microsoft there we go it started a year

16:26

at $90 it's now a hundred and fifty five

16:30

dollars so again that's about almost an

16:33

80% return for the year for Microsoft

16:36

alphabet Google right my call in January

16:42

it was at $1,000 now it's at $1300 so

16:48

there's 30% return for alphabet as well

16:52

all right and I also talked about

16:55

Facebook yeah Facebook how could I

16:58

forget Facebook my call holding as well

17:00

it's gonna see Facebook was in the

17:03

[ __ ] at a hundred and twenty dollars

17:07

now it's a hit a high of $200 so it

17:11

almost a 90% return over there

17:15

consolidated and now we had 198 so about

17:20

80% return for the year as well

17:21

all right so all that worked out for me

17:24

pretty well what else did I say okay my

17:28

favorite sectors were communications

17:30

technology and finance all of which have

17:32

outperformed the markets this year China

17:35

is the long-term world growth leader is

17:38

undervalued and so I was buying the

17:42

China ETS like gxc ethics I and EWH I

17:47

talked a bit about Singapore and

17:49

Malaysia and I said that day we're not

17:52

gonna do very well long term growth

17:54

potential is low and indeed they did not

17:56

do as well as before I also use the

17:59

option to buy a lot of REITs as well

18:03

right so those were my main calls for

18:05

the year so what happened at the end was

18:10

the result so again let's take a look

18:14

so the S&P 500 let's go to year-to-date

18:19

yeah started the year at the bottom of

18:24

the bear market at two three four six we

18:27

are now at tree one nine eight

18:30

so the S&P 500 is up about 26 percent

18:34

for the year right so it's been a pretty

18:38

bullish year the Dow Jones is up

18:44

slightly less it's up about 21% for the

18:50

year

18:52

okay now how they tryna do let's look at

18:55

China so for China basically I look at

18:59

two markets the first bit is Shanghai

19:02

Composite Index

19:10

okay so Shanghai started the year

19:20

here at about 2004 and now we're at 3:01

19:26

7 so China and the year are about let me

19:31

see

19:32

19 percent right so this is one thing I

19:37

got wrong I expected China to up from

19:40

the US this year but the US still up

19:43

outperform Kylie right so the u.s. is up

19:45

26% China is up 19% but this is okay I

19:49

got it wrong but I'm again 50/50 in both

19:52

so it doesn't really matter me right

19:54

I've got an equal allocation to US China

19:57

agent stocks but I really do expect that

20:00

in 2020 right China and Asia will

20:03

outperform the US and let's see if I'm

20:05

right next year okay now I was equally

20:09

bullish on the Shanghai index and the

20:12

Hong Kong hansung index at the beginning

20:14

of the year what I did not see I did not

20:16

predict was the riots that unfolded in

20:21

Hong Kong is something that I never

20:22

foresaw and it's still going on and so

20:26

when that happened I started to allocate

20:28

more resources to Shanghai as compared

20:31

to Hong Kong but despite all the riots

20:34

Hong Kong is still up all right if you

20:36

check it out interestingly enough the

20:37

despite all the problems that Hong Kong

20:40

has been having and they will be

20:42

resolved eventually right they will be

20:44

resolved right how I don't know but it

20:46

will be resolved it still ended up the

20:48

year from here to year right so Hong

20:53

Kong is 2 up 7.7 percent return for the

20:58

year not as great as I wanted but still

21:00

not bad now the great thing is that you

21:03

see in the Hong Kong stock market in the

21:05

Hang Seng Index half the companies are

21:09

China companies where they sell to China

21:11

and the other half a Hong Kong companies

21:14

where they sell primarily to the Hong

21:16

Kong consumers right and for me I only

21:19

buy companies that sell to the China

21:21

market why because it's a much bigger

21:24

market than Hong Kong so I buy china

21:26

companies that sell to China in the

21:28

world but are listed on the Hong Kong

21:30

market so even though Hong Kong had all

21:33

the

21:34

but the companies I bought like 10 Sen

21:36

like Alibaba like me 20 and ping they

21:39

all wanna double digits because they are

21:43

Chinese companies primarily selling to

21:46

the mainland China as well as to the

21:50

rest of the world and not confined to

21:52

just the Hong Kong markets now the

21:54

interesting thing is that although the

21:56

S&P 500 is up 26.4%

21:59

here today and the Shanghai market is up

22:03

19% here today but the whole year has

22:06

been nothing but bad news if you

22:07

remember right almost every single month

22:10

there were tremendous bad news in the

22:13

mainstream media from the brexit

22:15

uncertainty to the us-china trade war

22:17

Trump's tweeting right slowing China GDP

22:21

the yield curve inversions signaling a

22:25

recession the Hong Kong on unrest so is

22:28

all the bad news and so that's one thing

22:31

you have to understand about the markets

22:32

bull markets tend to climb a wall of

22:36

worry in other words I can tell you that

22:37

after being in the markets for 28 years

22:39

I found that every time the media tells

22:42

you it's really bad news doomsday the

22:45

market keeps going higher

22:46

now once the media tells you that

22:49

everything is great that's when the

22:51

market crashes so boo is always climb up

22:53

wall of worry and best slide down a

22:57

slippery slope of hope right remember

23:00

that saying now and again the mainstream

23:03

news was all about fear this year right

23:05

like back in October you know they said

23:08

that awfully high risk of global

23:10

recession in the next 12 to 18 months

23:13

they were saying things like the father

23:15

of the yield curve says now is the time

23:17

to prepare for recession this was back

23:20

again in October right and you know a

23:22

lot of these economies were saying it's

23:24

time to start shorting the S&P 500 and

23:27

all this was back in August to October

23:29

when the yield curve was signaling a

23:31

recession somewhere about there so if

23:34

you listen to all these people all these

23:36

experts and economists and news what's

23:39

gonna happen right when it drops over

23:42

here you're gonna panic and start

23:43

selling and once you sell what happens

23:46

that's where it goes hi

23:47

so that's why retail investors always

23:49

get screwed by the root system all right

23:53

because the rigged system will tell them

23:55

to always sell at the lowest point and

23:57

after they sell the market goes up once

23:59

it goes up you'll tell them to buy once

24:02

they buy your crash again and that's why

24:04

the retail investors will never ever

24:05

make money that's why in the markets

24:08

it's always 90% of people who lose all

24:11

the money to the 10% will make all the

24:15

money now some people may hate me and

24:17

say hey you're a bastard taking my money

24:19

let me tell you something don't hate the

24:21

player hate the game but the game is

24:25

rigged but if you want to be a player

24:27

that makes money from this game you have

24:29

to understand that you never make

24:32

investment decisions based on reading

24:35

the mainstream news you never make

24:38

investment decisions based on emotions

24:40

like fear and greed you never make

24:44

investment decisions by listening to the

24:46

opinions of all these experts economies

24:51

or analysts the only way to make money

24:53

is to think independently the only way

24:56

to make money is to make investment

24:59

decisions of buying and selling based on

25:03

number one fundamental research you have

25:06

to do the research of the companies that

25:09

you're buying remember when you're

25:11

buying a stock you're not buying a

25:13

lottery ticket you're buying a part

25:15

ownership of a business you got to

25:16

understand the business you can

25:18

understand are the sales earnings

25:21

growing does the company have a strong

25:23

business model that gives it a white

25:26

economic mode do they have growth

25:29

drivers all right is the company

25:31

overvalued or undervalued

25:33

this is what is important not brexit and

25:37

not the trade war all those are merely

25:40

noise and distractions meant to screw

25:43

you up you're gonna look at the

25:45

fundamentals of the company next

25:47

scuttlebutt I make decisions based on

25:49

again like I said talking to employees

25:52

of the company asking eh how's your

25:54

company doing I talk to the customers I

25:56

used to buying a product every single

25:58

day I talk to competitor

26:00

to find out what do you think about my

26:02

company the next thing is you're gonna

26:05

look at technical analysis it's gonna

26:06

look at the trends is it an uptrend or a

26:08

downtrend is it at a resistance or

26:11

support level you can look at price

26:13

action so my decisions on whether to buy

26:16

or sell every single day is based on

26:18

fundamentals technicals and scarib at

26:21

the same time I also keep an eye on a

26:24

macro picture I look at market cycles

26:26

right market cycles are driven by

26:29

interest rates is the whole market on an

26:31

uptrend or is a whole market on a

26:33

downtrend I look at secular growth

26:35

trends there are certain industries that

26:38

are growing because of certain trends

26:42

like health care from an aging global

26:45

population 5g technology cloud computing

26:49

marijuana being legal in the u.s.

26:52

robotics cyber security so when you buy

26:54

companies that position themselves

26:56

within these trends you make a lot of

26:59

money and I'll talk a lot about it in my

27:01

coming premium newsletter reports that

27:04

I'll be sharing with you later in this

27:06

webinar next you gotta look at macro

27:09

economic drivers as well things like the

27:11

political cycle the interest rate cycle

27:14

in fact let me just show you one of my

27:18

reports that I wrote and these are

27:21

monthly reports this is not the premium

27:23

report this is just the basic Mickey

27:25

Mouse report right the premium report

27:27

will blow your mind away now this was

27:30

back in me alright this was my May

27:33

report and what did I say in me right

27:37

oops sorry yeah I said there are two

27:40

reasons that the boom market is likely

27:42

to continue now to jog your memory

27:44

remember what happened in me all right

27:46

in me over here we had this big drop so

27:51

people freaky oh my God we're gonna die

27:53

and I say hey hold on we're gonna die

27:56

we're gonna end up the year much higher

27:59

and the reason I knew was because I was

28:01

watching the US presidential cycle I

28:05

said that there are two reasons the boom

28:07

market is gonna continue

28:08

number one 12 months after the US

28:11

midterm elections and the third

28:14

year of the presidential US stub have

28:16

been the most bullish historically so

28:18

you're gonna look at what we call cycles

28:21

for example look at his chart over here

28:24

there we go

28:26

so this is the first year of the new

28:29

presidential term which was 2016 for

28:32

Trump's administration 2017 I'm sorry my

28:36

bad

28:36

2017 was year 2016 was the elections

28:39

right 2017 is the first year of the

28:42

tribal administration second year third

28:44

year and fourth year and historically

28:45

since 1928 the most bullish year has

28:51

been the third year of the presidential

28:53

term and this is the third year 2019 so

28:55

I said this you're gonna be bullish

28:56

because of the third year cycle so you

28:59

gotta understand the cycle really

29:01

important right and I said reason number

29:03

two why I'm bullish is because the

29:05

majority of investors are fearful and

29:08

pessimistic remember when everyone is

29:11

scared the market tends to go up when

29:14

everyone is excited the market tends to

29:16

crunch the market tends to always go

29:18

opposite of what the general public

29:20

things and at that time in me when

29:24

everyone was saying that amok is gonna

29:26

go to [ __ ] I said I'm buying right now

29:28

so when you go opposite of the crowd of

29:31

the hood that's how you make money

29:33

always remember these guys 90% of people

29:36

will lose money in their investments 90%

29:39

and only 10% will make money so if you

29:43

want to be the ones to make money you

29:45

have to follow the minority and ignore

29:48

the majority it has worked for me for 28

29:50

years and I got my students to follow

29:53

this philosophy every month every week

29:55

every day every year and that's how we

29:58

beat the markets so this year has been

30:01

pretty bullish like I said the espys up

30:03

20 26 percent my goal has to be has been

30:08

to beat the markets every year and I've

30:09

beaten the markets almost every single

30:12

year of the last 28 years and I'm

30:13

thankful to have beaten it again this

30:16

year

30:16

all right so this is one of my accounts

30:18

I've got several accounts that I manage

30:20

for myself and for my family so one of

30:23

my accounts and you can see that I'm

30:25

using Interactive Brokers

30:27

one of the many brokers I use so here

30:30

today all right you can see I'm up so

30:34

far for the year forty five percent for

30:37

the year

30:37

alright beating the S&P 500 of 26

30:40

percent another counter can show you

30:43

would be is another kind of managing

30:46

yeah this one right so this account I

30:50

only funded it with Interactive Brokers

30:52

in Maine right if you look at since

30:54

inception over here okay so I only

31:03

started in me with IB and it's up about

31:06

15 percent for the last six months about

31:12

yeah seven months right so annualized

31:17

it's about 25 percent analyzed because

31:20

this 15 percent return is just for about

31:23

six to seven months and the reason is

31:26

because I transferred all these funds

31:27

from another broker which I'm not gonna

31:31

use anymore I won't mention which broker

31:32

but because their customer service SAP

31:35

so I transferred all my funds to IB into

31:38

this new account right in fact from that

31:41

broker I actually started with about a

31:42

hundred grand $100,000 in that broker

31:45

and I grew it to now almost seven

31:47

hundred thousand over the last five and

31:51

a half years alright so again I don't

31:53

say I can you know double my account

31:55

every year some years you get twenty

31:57

percent some years thirty percent some

31:59

years forty percent some year seventy

32:01

percent but if you compound it you can

32:03

really really build your wealth with

32:06

your account right so what was some of

32:08

the great opportunities that helped me

32:11

to drive my account value up this year

32:13

right and there were many of them and I

32:16

share many of them in my monthly reports

32:18

with my students the basic reports and

32:20

more importantly my upcoming premium

32:23

report known as the ultimate investors

32:27

playbook we shall talk about towards the

32:29

end of the webinar and a chance for you

32:31

to grab this very powerful report that

32:33

will come up once a month where I talk

32:35

about exactly what stocks I'm looking at

32:37

what stocks I'm buying and what stocks

32:39

I'm selling

32:40

right and it's available for anyone who

32:42

wants to purchase this premium ultimate

32:46

investors playbook all right so let's

32:49

take a look at some of the opportunities

32:51

for the year and I'll show you some of

32:53

my previous reports one of one or one of

32:57

them was back in August alright so you

33:01

can see this was my August report and

33:03

again as always my disclaimer is I am

33:07

NOT a licensed financial adviser so I do

33:10

not give financial advice and

33:11

recommendations I never tell people what

33:14

to buy what to sell I only tell you what

33:16

I'm buying and what I'm selling ok so i

33:19

only share this for educational purposes

33:21

but before you buy and sell a stock

33:23

always do your own research always seek

33:26

advice from a licensed financial advisor

33:29

because i'm not licensed all right I'm

33:31

just a professional investor who manages

33:35

my own money and no one else's money my

33:37

family and my money and I'm just sharing

33:39

what I do for the benefit of people's

33:42

education so that's my disclaimer right

33:44

and so back in August some of my key

33:49

things I talked about was Microsoft

33:52

right so I said you look at Microsoft

33:54

you can see that yep it's finding

33:57

support at the moving averages exactly

33:59

when I would add Microsoft and Microsoft

34:02

is up almost 100% this year as you saw

34:05

earlier on the other one was Johnson &

34:08

Johnson which was in my report back in

34:10

August so I said that hey I'm getting in

34:14

at these support levels over there right

34:17

so always buy at the support levels of a

34:20

consolidation pattern and now as you can

34:23

see J&J for the year it's up to a new

34:32

high right there right at the support

34:35

level right so I take advantage of

34:38

technical analysis and looking at the

34:40

fundamentals really really important

34:51

right the other thing which I entered

34:57

was Domino's Pizza this was also my

35:00

August report you can see Domino's was

35:02

at a very strong support level so I

35:04

started buying Domino's at about 2 to 44

35:10

Domino's Pizza right and now it's

35:13

already recovered let's see where

35:16

Domino's is right now yeah so from 244

35:21

which was my entry price there about 244

35:23

it's now at 291 and it's right now at

35:26

the previous resistance so good B's

35:29

would be some would be a good time to

35:31

take some profits right before it comes

35:34

back down again it could but I'm buying

35:37

some put options and selling cutter

35:38

calls and hold it onto the stop that's

35:41

another way to hitch my portfolio all

35:44

right so that is the August report so

35:48

you can see that in just one report I

35:50

had three great investment opportunities

35:53

that made a lot of money in just one

35:55

month report okay all right and my

36:03

September report was also really

36:06

interesting because my September report

36:07

I said that banks are very cheap so I

36:11

was buying the bags JP Morgan bank of

36:14

America because of the historically low

36:17

interest rates at a time I was buying

36:19

the banks and let's see what has

36:22

happened to the bank since then since my

36:27

September report right so since

36:29

September right you can see that JP

36:33

Morgan it went down it hit the 200

36:35

moving average

36:36

he was very undervalued and I started

36:39

buying aggressively at about a hundred

36:43

and five dollars and right now it's up

36:45

40% well it's up 40% for the year but

36:49

it's up about 20% since since my second

36:54

entry because I was holding it since

36:56

last year as well so over 40% for Bank

36:58

of America

37:00

that I also accumulated as you can see

37:02

back in September I added more shares at

37:05

a support level at a very strong support

37:07

every time we hit support I will add

37:09

more shares right now up to the five

37:11

bucks from twenty six again up about 25%

37:16

from there and for the year is up almost

37:19

40% so that was in this September report

37:25

right now in September I also talked

37:28

about the born ETF and I said bonds are

37:31

in a bubble waiting to burst and I said

37:36

that I'm shorting that bond etf right so

37:38

we shot the body thereby by put options

37:40

or by shorting the born ETF directly all

37:45

right and what has happened since then

37:46

it has indeed come down there we go so

37:51

this was my September report I said

37:54

bonds are overvalued it's in a bubble

37:56

short bones boom it's down all right now

37:59

again don't get me wrong I am NOT able

38:02

to anticipate anything a hundred percent

38:05

I don't get it right all the time

38:06

okay I I only get it right more than

38:10

half the time so there are times I get

38:11

it wrong okay so for example on GE

38:14

General Electric I was Barry's house

38:16

shorting the stuff I thought it would go

38:18

down but the bastard and it never went

38:20

down

38:20

it went up instead so anyway now I

38:22

quickly cut my losses so I took a small

38:24

loss on GE so the important thing is not

38:27

to be right all the time no one can be

38:29

right all the time

38:30

you just have to be right more than

38:32

you're wrong and make more when you're

38:34

right and lose less when you're wrong

38:36

and that's how you make great profits

38:38

every single year alright so that was in

38:42

my September report what else did I talk

38:47

about ah yes of course meet one Tian

38:50

Bing

38:50

this was the China stock that I started

38:54

buying back in September and I bought it

38:56

my buy price after I did my research

39:02

there was yeah so my buy price at a time

39:06

I said hey that's a resistance support

39:10

so I'm aiming to buy seventy dollars

39:12

over there

39:13

then I'll prefer to start adding shares

39:16

at $70 right so I bought this in

39:19

September

39:20

since then it has gone up from 70 bucks

39:32

over here to a hundred and three dollars

39:36

so 40% returns or a 50% return in just

39:40

four months

39:41

so this replaced my PI two shares that I

39:44

saw when all my friends in China told me

39:47

was a crap company right so the more I

39:48

sold it I reallocated the shares to May

39:51

20 and being made fifty percent return

39:52

in four months and again all these are

39:54

in my monthly reports and again stay

39:57

tuned because at the end of the webinar

39:58

show you how you can get my monthly

40:01

reports as well as again a premium

40:04

report known as the ultimate investors

40:07

playbook and if you think this is good

40:08

that would blow your freakin mind right

40:11

so this was my September report and

40:13

October

40:15

this was my October report I talked

40:17

about the health insurance industry

40:19

because Elizabeth Warren who is a

40:22

Democratic frontrunner she's against

40:25

private health insurance so the moment

40:27

she started leading in the polls why she

40:29

didn't lead her the moment she started

40:30

gaining in the polls against Joe Biden

40:32

people freaked out and saw all the

40:35

health insurance companies so this stop

40:40

united health right it drop all the way

40:43

down to the support level and I started

40:45

buying and I started buying this at two

40:50

to one seven that's right so where is it

40:53

right now it's recovered since then from

40:56

two one seven

41:03

it's up to 95 that's right so I bought

41:07

it here at the support level and it's up

41:10

34% since I bought it so this was

41:14

another great opportunity that came out

41:16

in the October report and I also talked

41:21

about this ETF right this one which is

41:27

the IHF this is the health insurance ETF

41:33

and you can see a strong support at the

41:35

150 it dropped and hit the support I

41:38

started buying at 161 that's right but

41:46

at 161 this was back in October and in

41:49

two months see what happened we go right

41:59

so my entry was at this 150 moving

42:02

average on the weekly candles I bought

42:04

it here now it's up here it's up about

42:07

23% in just two months in fact a month

42:15

and a half right 23 percent in a month

42:17

and a half great opportunity and this

42:20

was my October report right so this will

42:22

fall so you can see that in one report

42:25

one idea makes me so much money all

42:29

right

42:29

and I share these ideas again not as

42:31

advice no its recommendations but as

42:34

education and I make sure that you know

42:36

my subscribers are able to benefit from

42:39

the best education possible every single

42:41

month now those of you who are in my

42:43

investment in a circle you know that my

42:46

ability to pick great companies and

42:48

great stocks at the right time it does

42:50

not happen by chance

42:52

it takes a tremendous amount of hard

42:54

work and experience to pull this off

42:56

every single year and let me just say

42:58

that anyone can succeed in the markets

43:00

but again it takes hours and hours of

43:03

hard work you gotta first accumulate the

43:06

knowledge of knowing how to analyze

43:08

businesses fundamental analysis you must

43:11

be a master reading charts technical

43:13

analysis and

43:14

also understand macroeconomic analysis

43:17

as well and once you understand that you

43:19

must be able to do research before you

43:22

buy a stock you must be able to execute

43:24

your research and to track your

43:26

portfolio's and your investments

43:28

regularly see a lot of people they look

43:31

at me and say hey you've got a great

43:32

life all you do is sit around and talk

43:34

and click a button and you make you know

43:37

hundreds of thousands dollars all the

43:39

time but what they don't sees before

43:42

that click of the mouse before I sit

43:44

down and press that button they don't

43:46

see the hours and hours of hard work

43:49

that is put into it they don't see that

43:51

they just see that click all right so

43:53

let me just tell you that before I click

43:55

a buy or sell what goes on behind that

43:58

and here's just a very very quick

44:00

summary right so before I make every buy

44:04

or sell decision the first thing I do is

44:06

I spend up to 6 to 10 hours doing

44:09

intensive research into the company's

44:12

financial statements its business model

44:15

its technical patterns and I go back

44:18

through years and years of data

44:20

sometimes even up to 10 to 20 years of

44:22

financial data to do that I subscribe to

44:25

a whole range of research tools in the

44:28

markets like professional screening and

44:31

research tools from Bloomberg from S&P

44:34

Capital IQ and many others and in total

44:37

in a year I invest about $50,000 in

44:41

subscription fees to get all these

44:43

professional equipment and software to

44:46

get the data at the same time I watch my

44:50

favorite companies for months once I

44:52

like a company I don't buy immediately i

44:54

watch it every single day week and month

44:58

for the right time for the price to be

45:01

under value at the right support level

45:04

and I stripe and once I buy that's not

45:08

all I then watched a price action every

45:11

day to know hey is it time to get out is

45:13

it time to add more shares do I have to

45:16

protect my portfolio using options and

45:19

using inverse ETFs and even before I do

45:22

all that I gotta first have the

45:25

knowledge and the experience

45:27

okay so let me tell you that besides

45:30

spending three years in Business School

45:32

majoring in finance I also read since I

45:36

was seventeen I also read over 600 books

45:39

on accounting economics fundamental

45:42

analysis technical analysis behavioral

45:45

finance and any book that has got to do

45:48

with the markets I've spent the last 28

45:52

years since I was 17 years old I'm not

45:54

45 right I spent a last 28 years

45:56

watching the live markets every day for

46:00

about two to three hours every single

46:01

day so if you do the math that's about

46:04

19,000 hours I've been watching the

46:06

markets now let me tell you that if

46:08

anyone has spent 19,000 hours watching

46:11

the markets is hot not to be good at the

46:13

markets right in the same time I've

46:16

spent again the last 28 years

46:18

reading financial reports of companies

46:21

what reading their technical charts

46:23

drawing all those lines for at least two

46:27

to three hours a day every day for 20

46:28

years so add another 19,000 hours to

46:32

that okay so question is what is the

46:35

price you put on all this experience and

46:39

all this hard work what's the price now

46:42

I don't the honest view I've got no idea

46:43

what price to put but it's not a lower

46:46

price see everyone wants to succeed but

46:49

very few people are willing to pay the

46:51

price necessary to be the best in the

46:54

business

46:54

necessary to be successful and wealthy

46:57

now I'm not saying all this to impress

46:59

you but to really drive home the point

47:02

that there is no free lunch in this

47:04

world there is no free money because if

47:07

it was that easy everyone would become a

47:09

multi-millionaire everyone would be

47:11

sitting at home earning passive income

47:13

it is not easy the only way to succeed

47:16

and build your wealth is if you're

47:17

committed to put in the hard work that

47:20

time and the energy if you're committed

47:22

to pay the price now am I saying that to

47:26

achieve the same success you have to go

47:27

to three years of business school you

47:29

have to spend forty thousand hours

47:31

watching the markets reading financial

47:33

reports am I saying gonna do all this to

47:35

succeed the answer is you could write

47:37

but you don't have to

47:39

why here's the good news how could you

47:41

catch up with professionals like me who

47:44

have spent decades mastering the markets

47:47

mastering companies and how can you

47:50

massively cut short your learning curve

47:52

so what it takes people 28 years to pull

47:55

off you can pull off in a couple of

47:57

months and I've got a solution for you

47:59

and this is what inspired me to create

48:01

this brand new product for my students

48:04

for my subscribers and this new product

48:06

is called the ultimate investors

48:08

playbook so this is a premium report

48:11

that I write with my research team every

48:14

single month where we highlight the best

48:17

asymmetrical investment opportunities in

48:19

today's global markets and again what is

48:21

the meaning of asymmetrical which means

48:23

I only look for opportunities where we

48:25

put tremendous returns for very low risk

48:30

or capital and we're gonna be focusing

48:33

on both the US as well as China and some

48:37

Asian markets as well now my personal

48:40

allocation in investments is about

48:42

currently 50% the u.s. 50% China in Asia

48:46

but China and Asia could increase in

48:49

time to come now when I say this there

48:51

are some people for example from the

48:53

west from the US a Miss a you know but

48:55

China is a communist country you'll

48:57

think about the companies it's gonna be

48:58

dangerous hey you've been fed all this

49:00

[ __ ] by the media and if you don't

49:04

invest in China you could be missing out

49:06

on one of the greatest growth engines

49:08

over the next 20 to 50 years now I love

49:11

the US I use US products I invest in US

49:14

markets but you can't ignore China and

49:16

here's a great great news whether you're

49:19

from the u.s. from Europe from Asia from

49:21

Africa

49:22

anyone can invest in Chinese stocks US

49:26

stocks if you know how using the power

49:28

of the internet online trading online

49:31

investing so you can be learning about

49:33

how to do all that through these courses

49:35

and newsletters and be focusing not just

49:39

on stocks per se but also on ETFs as

49:42

well as other asset classes so if I see

49:45

an opportunity in goal if I see an

49:47

opportunity in bonds if I see an

49:49

opportunity in currencies you

49:52

the first to know in this report as well

49:54

because whatever I put my money into

49:56

I'll talk about in these reports so what

50:00

kind of opportunities do I put my money

50:02

into what kind of stocks do I buy the

50:04

answer is I buy all kinds of stocks as

50:06

long as I see a great opportunity

50:08

so in this premium report I'll talk

50:10

about the different kind of stocks that

50:13

will come up from time to time for

50:15

example there are times when I'll put my

50:16

money into large cap growth companies

50:19

that grow beyond 25% a year that

50:23

dominate industry there are also times

50:25

when I'll buy large cap predictable

50:27

companies like Johnson & Johnson or

50:30

McDonald's really save companies by

50:32

selling at huge discounts because of

50:34

temporary bad news in the markets and I

50:38

can make money really fast even if

50:40

they'll really save companies I also

50:42

look for companies that are selling at a

50:46

very undervalued price we call them deep

50:49

value stocks so there's certain times

50:52

when there's a industry recession where

50:55

certain companies just share price is

50:58

selling below their net liquidation

51:01

value or their cash value per share

51:04

which means even if the company closes

51:07

down and sells and liquidate everything

51:09

and say you get a dollar back you can

51:12

buy the stock of 50 cents and it's

51:14

happening in some markets like Hong Kong

51:16

right now so these are some great

51:18

opportunities that we'll also be looking

51:21

at next there are times when I also

51:24

invest in companies for great dividends

51:27

especially you REITs real estate

51:29

investment trusts when they do come up

51:31

these are the things you're gonna learn

51:33

as well I also go from time to time into

51:36

speculative growth stocks so these are

51:40

companies that have not yet dominated

51:42

the industry but they could potentially

51:45

become large companies but they're just

51:47

growing they're at their very early

51:49

phase of growth like may 20mp or

51:52

possibly zoom communications we call

51:55

this speculative growth stocks finally I

51:58

also look at secular growth industries

52:02

like I said 5g cybersecurity

52:05

computing and how do we select the right

52:08

ETFs to write on this strong waves of

52:12

growth in the time in the years to come

52:15

right there are also times when certain

52:17

industries are at huge discounts for

52:20

example the health insurance industry

52:22

which I mentioned in my earlier report

52:24

right because of the presidential

52:26

elections health insurance stocks took a

52:29

big beating bank stocks were really

52:32

undervalued in the last four months so

52:35

we'll also get really under than

52:36

industries and how do we write on them

52:40

using ETS as well so again we'll be

52:42

looking at anything that makes money

52:44

with lorries and low costs so for any

52:48

kind of stock which I'm watching and I'm

52:50

investing in I will highlight it into

52:52

this premium report and for every stock

52:55

I'll share view my detailed analysis of

52:58

how I analyze the company's business

53:01

model is competitive advantage again

53:04

it's competition its performance track

53:06

record as well as how I value these

53:09

companies to know whether it's

53:10

undervalued or overvalued I'll also show

53:13

you how I read the technical chart

53:15

patterns to identify the exact points

53:18

when I'm accumulating the shares or

53:20

where may be selling the shares where I

53:22

analyze the trend support and resistance

53:25

levels using candlestick patterns price

53:27

action

53:28

I will also incorporate and show you how

53:30

I make use of secular growth trends by

53:33

looking again at market cycles macro

53:36

economics interest rates and also the

53:39

scuttlebutt approach to investing which

53:41

means we'll take a look at how I talk to

53:45

the customers of these companies even

53:47

the competitors and sometimes even the

53:49

employees so all these things go into an

53:53

investment opportunity whether it's it

53:56

stocks or REITs or ETS and again these

54:00

could be again companies like Apple

54:01

which are growth companies or Amazon or

54:04

speculative companies at Roku or Alibaba

54:07

China companies US companies Asian

54:09

companies we look at anything globally

54:12

worldwide there's a great opportunity

54:14

now once these great companies or ETS

54:18

are high light

54:19

in a report you'll be placed into our

54:22

ultimate investors watchlist so as a

54:25

subscriber you also get access to this

54:27

watchlist that you can watch every

54:29

single day ready to pull the trigger

54:31

right and the moment a stop is at the

54:36

right point to buy or to sell ok I will

54:40

start buying it I'll start selling it

54:41

and this will be highlighted in our

54:44

ultimate investors portfolio so once I

54:46

buy a stock you'll be included into the

54:48

portfolio and you will get an email

54:50

notification tell you hey Adams buying

54:53

this stock and I'm selling this stock

54:56

this stock has been included into the

54:58

watchlist and again let me emphasize

54:59

once again this is not an advisory not

55:03

an advisory or not a recommendation

55:05

service these are only shared for

55:09

educational purposes to show you how I

55:12

manage my portfolio everyone has

55:14

different financial objectives and

55:16

different risk and return profile so

55:20

please do your own research and make

55:22

your own decisions before making any

55:25

investment decisions ok let me just make

55:27

that disclaimer really clear right here

55:29

now they'll also be an ultimate

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join this private forum to clarify your

55:37

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our stock analysis so we get a

55:46

collective contribution from everyone

55:50

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55:52

certain industries at times

55:54

I'll also invite industry experts and

55:57

even customers to talk about the

56:00

companies or the stocks that we are

56:02

looking at so we get really insight

56:04

knowledge in each investment and this is

56:07

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ultimate investors playbook and I do

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and this investors playbook is a

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no-brainer mass 1/2 now I have looked at

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a lot of other premium investment

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them are selling for anywhere between

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$1,500 to $5,000 a year and some of them

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but I can tell you that they do not have

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you're gonna get from the ultimate

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investors playbook and 99% of these

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other newsletters are written by

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professional analysts and academics who

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do not have skin in the game in other

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words they do not actually put in money

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in whatever stocks they're recommending

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in a newsletter the difference is in

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this monthly premium newsletter I only

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highlight stocks that I am watching and

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month alright so this is an annual

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delivered to you at the beginning of

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every month you get a minimum of two

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sometimes even more alright and for

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58:06

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58:10

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58:24

also invite at times industry experts to

58:27

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58:31

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so this is worth you know a hundreds of

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thousands or millions of dollars worth

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of potential value and you can grab it

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for only one thousand eight hundred US

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dollars per year the retail price going

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out to the general public now

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great news we are offering our

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60% off before the first issue goes out

59:12

on the 1st of February 2020 right so

59:16

again the first issue be going out in

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February 2020 and you can pre-order for

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60% discount for next year's

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subscription and only 720 dollars and

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that works out to be only $60 per month

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and you saw earlier on that in a month

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it's just one great idea came in

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thousands or even hundreds of thousands

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of dollars so this is a very very low

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investment for tremendous valuable

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knowledge so I do hope you grab this

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opportunity at the same time for our

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Christmas gift to our students you also

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be getting 65% off all our courses I

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will stop investment costs our stock

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profits comm and this would be the last

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65% off go to our website or click right

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here right to subscribe to the ultimate

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investors playbook or to any of the

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courses at this crazy crazy Christmas

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discounts with that Merry Christmas have

60:29

a Happy New Year may DeMarcus be with

60:31

you for the coming years ahead I'll see

60:34

you soon

60:35

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Interactive Summary

In this 2019 stock market review, Adam Koo discusses the effectiveness of his investment strategies, focusing on the importance of fundamental analysis, market cycles, and ignoring mainstream media noise. He highlights his successful bets on Chinese markets and specific US stocks, while emphasizing the value of the 'scuttlebutt' approach. He also promotes his new 'Ultimate Investors Playbook' premium subscription service, detailing its benefits and providing a Christmas offer for his courses.

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