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Zuckerberg Is Spending $10 Billion on a Private Internet (And Nobody Knows Why)

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Zuckerberg Is Spending $10 Billion on a Private Internet (And Nobody Knows Why)

Transcript

325 segments

0:00

In the late 1990s, telecom companies

0:02

spent billions laying fiber optic cable

0:04

across the ocean floor to connect

0:06

continent to continent. Companies like

0:07

Global Crossing and 360 networks were

0:10

going to create the backbone of the

0:12

internet age. And then by 2002, they

0:14

were bankrupt. The cables they built are

0:17

still laying on the ocean floor. We're

0:19

actually using them right now. But every

0:21

dollar investors put into those

0:23

companies gone. Now Google, Apple, Meta,

0:27

and Amazon are doing the same grift, but

0:30

this time they're spending $15 billion,

0:32

and they're doing it for AI. The

0:34

question is, are we watching the same

0:35

movie again? But before we get into

0:37

that, you need to understand what

0:39

happened the last time companies

0:41

proposed wiring the ocean floor for a

0:44

technology that was going to change

0:45

everything. It's misleading to think

0:46

that the internet lives in the cloud. It

0:48

doesn't. It actually lives on the ocean

0:50

floor. In fact, about 95 to 99% of

0:54

global internet traffic travels through

0:56

undersea cables, not satellites, not

0:59

anything else through these cables.

1:01

There are more than 400 active submarine

1:03

cables worldwide carrying voice data,

1:06

financial transactions, government

1:08

communications, and we have a really

1:09

good map of them here. This is by a site

1:11

called submarinecablemap.com.

1:14

You can see that this is a massive

1:15

enterprise that connects continents. So

1:18

these cables are basically fiber optic

1:20

strands and they come on shore at

1:23

various terminuses. In the US we have

1:25

stations in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina

1:28

as well as Virginia Beach, a bunch of

1:30

other ones. But a vast majority of these

1:33

undersea cables are now privately owned

1:35

and operated. Let's talk about the men

1:37

who died on this hill before the current

1:40

tech giants took a stab at it. One

1:42

company, Global Crossing, I've never

1:44

heard of it. You probably haven't either

1:45

because they're bankrupt. They raised

1:47

3.2 2 billion. This is late '90s money.

1:49

3.2 billion, okay? Via stock offerings

1:51

and bonds. They laid 100,000 route miles

1:54

of fiber across 27 countries. And then

1:57

they filed bankruptcy on January 28th,

2:00

2002. That's not even the biggest fall

2:02

from Grace. You have 360 networks. They

2:04

went from a $13 billion market cap to

2:08

bankruptcy in about 12 months. So, they

2:10

speed ran it. WorldCom, the shadyiest of

2:12

these, did 11 billion in fraudulent

2:15

accounting to hide the fact the demand

2:17

wasn't there. Does that sound familiar?

2:19

So, of course, they went bankrupt. And

2:21

at that time in 2002, it was the largest

2:24

bankruptcy in US history. The

2:26

infrastructure survived, the companies

2:28

didn't, and investors got wiped. The

2:30

thing is that everyone was so sure that

2:33

the demand would be infinite, nobody

2:35

stopped to check the math and ask basic

2:38

questions. Enter our new tech overlords.

2:41

Google, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft

2:44

accounted for less than 10% of undersea

2:46

cable capacity when they first got into

2:48

the game. Today, that number is over

2:50

70%. They own a stark majority of the

2:54

undersea cables connecting our internet.

2:56

That doesn't look like organic growth to

2:58

me. It looks like a hostile and

3:00

intentional takeover. So you have the

3:02

old model where telecom consortiums, a

3:05

group of these companies would get

3:06

together and they would build the

3:07

undersea cables and that I think

3:10

provided a lot of benefits because you

3:12

had multiple people governing over who

3:14

gets to use the cable for what, how much

3:16

we sell bandwidth for. It was some good

3:18

free market capitalism and you couldn't

3:21

do anything too shady because you're

3:22

working with a larger group of other

3:24

people. It's more observable by more

3:26

people. But then Google started to buy

3:28

consortiums in 2008 between 2008 and

3:31

2010 and they started building sole

3:34

ownership cables which was new at the

3:36

time. So they would build their own

3:37

cable, no other owners. It's just their

3:39

cable. Then Meta started to get in on

3:42

this. And so you have these legacy

3:43

telecom providers starting to the

3:45

percentage share of all the cables they

3:47

they own is decreasing while these tech

3:50

giants are starting to gain a monopoly

3:52

and over control of new cables and

3:55

existing cables. And in 2017, our new

3:58

tech giants started to surpass the

4:00

telecom companies that previously

4:02

dominated this space. I wish this was a

4:04

simple villain story, but it's really

4:06

not. The new tech giants push the

4:08

internet to go faster and to broadcast

4:11

more information. One of the reasons

4:13

that we were able to high bandwidth

4:14

share things between countries, between

4:16

continents across the planet right now

4:19

is because of a lot of the innovations

4:20

that came with this private ownership of

4:23

new cables. the capacity and bandwidth

4:26

of these communications scaled

4:28

massively. One, because there were more

4:30

cables all of a sudden when you had

4:31

private companies building them, but

4:33

also because the technology that Amazon,

4:36

Microsoft, other companies were able to

4:38

bring to the table was so far beyond

4:40

what the telecom companies were doing.

4:42

So while you might not think of someone

4:44

like Google is a proper hardware

4:47

company, they are deeply leveraged into

4:48

the hardware game. We are talking this

4:50

is planetary scale vertical integration

4:53

where you own everything from the pipe

4:54

that the internet runs through to the

4:56

web hosting to the websites and services

4:59

that run on it. It is everything all the

5:01

way down to the hardware. And it's a

5:03

tempting model to think that you're

5:04

watching this video because it's going

5:05

through an undersea pipe, which is

5:08

partially correct. But an undersea pipe,

5:10

if you're on another continent, it's not

5:11

connecting my computer to your computer.

5:14

It's connecting a data center on your

5:15

continent to a data center in my

5:17

continent. So these cables connect data

5:19

center to data center, not computer to

5:21

computer. That's an important

5:22

distinction because what are they using

5:24

the data centers for? AI development,

5:27

training, and proliferation. Things have

5:29

really started to jump the shark

5:30

recently when we're talking of undersea

5:32

cables. Meta just announced they're

5:33

spending $10 billion to build one of the

5:35

longest undersea cables in history,

5:38

which you could say, fine, they've been

5:40

up to this sort of thing before. What's

5:42

the big deal? They're just making it

5:43

longer. A lot longer. In fact, it's over

5:45

40,000 km of fiber. But here's the

5:48

messed up part. Meta will be the owner

5:50

and operator, but they will also be the

5:52

sole user of this cable. That's private

5:55

internet. Code name for this project is

5:57

project water. It's connecting US to

6:00

India, South Africa, and Brazil. So,

6:03

it's a multi- terminus project. The

6:05

cable route deliberately skips Europe

6:07

and the Middle East. And straight from

6:09

Meta themselves, you have Kevin

6:11

Salvadori, Meta's VP of network

6:13

infrastructure, saying explicitly, AI is

6:15

increasing the need for subc

6:17

infrastructure. So there, there you go.

6:19

It's not a conspiracy theory. I'm not

6:20

grasping its straws. They are building

6:22

more of these cables and they are

6:24

building them at higher bandwidth to

6:25

connect data centers to enable AI. Total

6:28

subse cable investment projected to hit

6:31

15.4 billion by 2028. That's up from 900

6:34

million in 2023. That's a 17x increase

6:38

in just 5 years. Initially, part of this

6:40

was a consortium cable, but there was a

6:42

conflict in the Red Sea obviously, which

6:44

delayed that. Uh, that cable's name was

6:46

to Africa, like the number two. So, Meta

6:49

just decided, yeah, we'll we got enough

6:51

money, we'll just go solo on this. We

6:52

don't need anybody else to participate.

6:54

This is the same AI capex story that

6:56

Wall Street is sick of that has the

6:58

market obliterated over the past few

7:01

weeks, but it's underwater and it's

7:03

global. There's also a huge national

7:05

security problem with this. In fact, in

7:07

July 2025, three House committee chairs

7:10

sent letters to the CEOs of Google,

7:12

Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon with a

7:15

simple question. They said, "Hey, hey

7:17

guys. Hey guys, we we don't have access

7:19

to those cables because you you own them

7:21

and you actually have all the power and

7:22

we've given you all that power as a

7:24

private corporation to own those cables

7:25

and uh see all the data going through

7:27

them if you want to." So, and just

7:29

asking, you know, if it's not too much

7:30

trouble, just asking. Just asking. Is

7:32

China maintaining any of those that

7:34

American data runs through? As of today,

7:36

as of me recording this video, we still

7:38

don't have a straight answer, which to

7:40

to me seems a bit like a red flag

7:43

national security crisis. But I'm just a

7:45

dude. What would I know? But every time

7:47

I cover AI spending, there's at least

7:49

one person in the comments, usually a

7:51

handful, that's saying something like,

7:53

"But they're not building real

7:55

infrastructure. This is different than

7:56

the dotcom boom. They're building real

7:58

things. Let's talk about that because as

8:01

you've seen in this video, the dot boom

8:04

was only possible because of hardware

8:06

companies building real physical

8:08

infrastructure. Those internet cables,

8:10

those bankrupt internet companies that I

8:12

mentioned earlier on, the miles and

8:14

miles of fiber optic cable that they

8:16

built, deployed, and wired up, in fact,

8:19

they're so real that we're still using

8:21

them today, right now, actually. So you

8:23

have yet another situation where the

8:25

infrastructure was real, the business

8:26

case was not real and investors were the

8:29

ones that got burned. And the difference

8:31

here from the dot era is when those

8:34

backbone of the internet companies went

8:36

bust. Internet consortiums worked

8:39

together to buy those cables. You have

8:40

multiple points of failure. If you had

8:43

five companies owning a cable, you would

8:45

have to get buyin from five people to

8:47

say, "Let's do something bad with

8:50

people's data with those cables." I'm

8:52

not saying it's not possible, but I'm

8:54

saying it is far more likely than if you

8:56

have a single point of failure if

8:58

Zuckerberg is like, "Let's do something

9:01

bad with people's data coming through

9:03

those cables. All he needs to sell are

9:06

his investors, which are incentivized to

9:10

enable him to do things that exploit

9:12

user data." So, this is a massive

9:14

monopoly. Even if AI goes to ground

9:16

tomorrow, we have another AI winter,

9:18

those cables will still exist and these

9:20

companies will 100% survive even if

9:23

there's an AI crash and they will still

9:25

own all of that infrastructure. So you

9:27

basically have the internet in just a

9:29

very short period of time going from a

9:31

public utility to like a private toll

9:33

road that you got to pay to use and obey

9:36

a whole different set of rules to run

9:38

on. Ones made not by elected officials

9:41

but by our tech overlords. So, we're out

9:44

here arguing about chat bots and talking

9:47

about LLMs, but I think the real story,

9:50

the fundamentally real story, the story

9:51

that you could actually go touch, you

9:53

could go to one of these terminuses if

9:54

you live up and down the coast, uh, on a

9:56

continent where there's a terminus, if

9:57

we look at that map, you could go to

9:59

one, you probably couldn't go in there.

10:01

I imagine they're very, very, very high

10:02

security, but you could go over there

10:04

and you could point at it. You could

10:05

point at it, and if you got past

10:07

security, you could you could touch the

10:08

building. And if you got in the

10:09

building, you could you could touch the

10:10

cable. And if you could go under the

10:12

sea, you could also touch the cable. You

10:13

could trace it all the way from

10:14

continent to continent. It's very

10:16

fundamentally real. And instead of that

10:18

being our cable, it is their cable. It

10:22

is the pipe by which that connects data

10:25

center to data center where all of the

10:27

data flows from continent to continent.

10:29

And they control it. They can see the

10:31

ingress and egress of all data at that

10:34

terminus point. So the capex isn't as

10:36

big of a story. It's 15 billion compared

10:39

to what they're projecting, which is

10:40

like 600 billion last figure for data

10:43

center buildout across these major tech

10:45

companies. But it is the power play. So

10:47

for my money, this is one of the real

10:49

power plays of the AI boom or bust or

10:52

bubble pop that's going on now that

10:54

people just are not talking about. But

10:56

it's a huge threat to our national

10:58

security, especially when you consider

11:00

how involved China might be in these.

11:02

And even apart from that, our tech

11:04

overlords have total control of this

11:05

data and nobody is talking about it. I

11:08

track big tech's AI spending every

11:10

quarter. I stay on top of these numbers

11:12

and the call has come in the comments to

11:14

share this research with you, which is

11:16

exactly what I've done. If you sign up

11:17

for my newsletter below in the

11:19

description, you'll immediately get a

11:20

PDF of my AI spending guide of what's

11:24

going on, what are the dollar amounts,

11:26

where am I sourcing this data. So, go

11:27

sign up for that. Subscribe to the

11:29

channel if you haven't. Thank you for

11:30

watching and tell a

Interactive Summary

The video explores the history and future of undersea fiber optic cables, contrasting the dot-com bubble era with the current 'AI boom.' In the late 1990s, companies like Global Crossing and WorldCom built massive undersea networks but ultimately went bankrupt, leaving the infrastructure behind for others to use. Today, tech giants like Google, Meta, and Amazon are leading a new wave of investment, spending billions to build private cables specifically for AI data transmission. This shift from collaborative consortiums to private monopolies raises significant concerns regarding data control, national security, and the transformation of the internet into a private toll road.

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