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UK Burnham is Blair 3.0, UK Gets More of the Same as Britain Sinks

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UK Burnham is Blair 3.0, UK Gets More of the Same as Britain Sinks

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0:00

All right, Alexander, let's talk about

0:02

uh the UK. What is happening in the in

0:05

the UK post Stalmer resignation? Though

0:08

Stalmer is still hanging around Bernham

0:11

is ready to take over or maybe not. Uh

0:15

well, maybe he will have to wait until

0:16

September. Maybe not as quickly as as he

0:18

thought July. Maybe Bernham prefers to

0:20

wait until September. What's going on in

0:23

the UK? Well, if you remember um um when

0:26

we last discussed this, I did a I I

0:29

explained that um this long interval

0:32

between replacing one prime minister

0:35

with another uh violates u British

0:39

constitutional conventions. There's now

0:41

been articles in the British media about

0:44

this, including an editorial, by the

0:46

way, in the Daily Telegraph asking why

0:49

are we having to wait so long for Andy

0:52

Bernham? And in fact, the British elite,

0:55

the British establishment have indeed

0:58

tried exactly as we said in our previous

1:00

program to extend the transition even

1:03

further all the way to September.

1:06

They've been they've been trying to find

1:09

some Labour MP who they can persuade to

1:12

stand against Burnham in the leadership

1:15

election

1:16

which would indeed were that to happen

1:19

would delay Burnham taking over as prime

1:23

minister until September keeping stalmer

1:27

in place for all that time. So um there

1:32

are still factions, there are still

1:34

powerful people who want the transition

1:37

to continue as long as possible. But the

1:40

the big story in Britain is that with

1:43

every single day that passes,

1:47

the clearer it becomes that Burnham is

1:51

continuity star. Exactly what we said.

1:55

Um he's um picked as chief of staff.

2:00

He's chief of staff. James Pernell um a

2:04

uh Blair loyalist. Blair loyalist.

2:06

Minister in Blair's government just as

2:08

Bernham was a minister in Blair's

2:10

government. Somebody who um was and is

2:14

totally loyal to Blair. Somebody who's

2:16

acted as a lobbyist for all sorts of big

2:19

companies, including big American tech

2:21

companies. exactly the sort of person

2:24

that um you would look to if you wanted

2:29

to continue the same policies as the

2:31

ones we've already seen. And he's

2:33

recommitted to all the fiscal rules that

2:37

the um Star government had. In other

2:41

words, he's not going to increase

2:42

spending beyond those limits, except of

2:45

course on Ukraine, which we'll come to

2:46

in a moment. So there really isn't any

2:50

sign of any fundamental change in policy

2:54

and there cannot be any fundamental

2:57

change. Now there is a story that is

3:00

going out there and which is all over

3:01

the media that what caused Star to fail

3:06

is that supposedly he didn't have a

3:09

plan. This is completely wrong in my

3:12

opinion. Stara absolutely had a plan.

3:15

His plan was to support project Ukraine

3:18

to bring Britain back into the European

3:20

Union and to execute the wishes of his

3:24

globalist masters. And that is exactly

3:27

what Bernham's plan is. It is the same

3:30

plan as always. The reason we're going

3:33

from one prime minister to another is

3:36

that this plan is weakening Britain

3:41

every year.

3:43

It's creating a prolonged economic

3:46

stagnation in Britain. It is making

3:49

people in Britain more and more angry.

3:52

And that is why prime ministers come in.

3:56

They have a big brief uptick in

3:58

popularity. Then their popularity

4:02

rapidly falls at which point they're

4:05

replaced by someone else. But the plan

4:08

itself continues to be executed in

4:11

exactly the same way as before.

4:14

>> Okay. So what's the plan for Bernham?

4:16

>> What is the plan for Bernham? He will

4:18

come in. He's still trying to find uh

4:20

who the new finance minister is going to

4:23

be. There was some suggestions that it

4:25

might be Ed Milliband who was the former

4:27

Labour leader um who lost an election by

4:31

the way but who is now the energy

4:34

minister and who said to be the person

4:36

that the left wants. Um the unions don't

4:40

like him. The business community doesn't

4:42

like him. Burnham is turning against him

4:45

it seems. So the most likely candidate,

4:48

finance minister, is going to be the

4:50

other Blairite who is of course West

4:52

Streeting, the right-wing minister that

4:54

we were talking about. In fact, um this

4:58

is going to end up being a more

5:00

Blairight government even than Stalmer's

5:02

was. So we are going to see a further

5:05

drift. Burnham himself, of course, was a

5:08

minister in Blair's cabinet, which

5:11

Stalmer never was. Pernell his chief of

5:14

staff was a minister in Blair's cabinet

5:18

and um and West Streeting is the

5:22

Blairite was the Blairite candidate for

5:26

being the leader of the Labour Party and

5:28

the next prime minister. He might not be

5:31

that, but he's going to be apparently

5:33

finance minister instead. That's how it

5:35

increasingly looks. So this is going to

5:38

be a more blare government than the one

5:44

that Starmer himself led. A more openly

5:48

Blairite government than the government

5:50

that Starmmer himself led.

5:53

>> And his foreign policy

5:55

>> exactly the same. um he said absolutely

5:58

nothing about um project Ukraine,

6:02

but he's already said that he's going to

6:04

increase defense spending, which is a

6:06

way of saying that he's going to

6:07

continue with project Ukraine. He's very

6:10

angry though that is representing

6:13

Britain at the NATO meeting, the

6:15

forthcoming NATO meeting, but of course

6:17

he can't do anything about that because

6:19

he's agreed himself to wait until mid

6:22

July before he takes over as prime

6:24

minister. it might might now be

6:26

September. And he's also um he's also

6:31

very very angry that Starmer is moving

6:34

forward with the new defense review and

6:38

is going to make commitments as to how

6:41

much um Britain should spend on defense.

6:44

Um Bernham says that as he's the

6:46

incoming prime minister that should be

6:49

decided by him and Star says no, I'm

6:52

going to decide it. I'm still the prime

6:54

minister now. So ultimately it's not

6:57

going to be Starma and it's not going to

6:59

be Bernham. It's going to be the men in

7:02

gray coats whose names we don't know.

7:05

They will be the people who will make

7:06

all these decisions.

7:08

>> What about Brexit? He was uh

7:12

he was quiet about Brexit, Bernham. He

7:14

didn't want to talk too much about

7:16

Brexit. He was he would even hint at at

7:20

uh

7:22

at not trying to reverse Brexit. That's

7:24

what he would hint at. But then there

7:26

were there were many many analysts who

7:28

who saw through that and they understood

7:30

that he can't go um at the moment as he

7:34

was campaigning for for the prime

7:36

minister. He wasn't able to just come

7:37

out and say, "No, I'm gonna I'm going to

7:39

reverse Brexit."

7:40

>> So So he kind of played that line. Now

7:42

that he's going to become prime

7:44

minister, most likely going to become

7:45

prime minister,

7:46

>> do you think that's going to change and

7:48

he's going to start to come out with

7:49

statements saying, "Oh yeah, I'm going

7:50

I'm going to to get the UK back into the

7:52

EU."

7:53

>> So um so u Starmer was a fervid pro-EU

7:59

person. I mean he was one of the major

8:01

advocates and the most public advocate

8:05

of the second referendum. You remember

8:07

the second referendum that we went

8:09

through? Um the second referendum he he

8:12

he uh openly campaigned for it during

8:16

the Brexit war um which of course um

8:20

eventually the remain people lost u when

8:24

Boris Johnson won the general election.

8:27

But up to that point, Starmmer had been

8:29

a major advocate of a second referendum

8:32

designed to take Britain back into the

8:34

EU. And he has moved Britain

8:37

significantly closer to the EU in the

8:40

two years that he's been prime minister.

8:42

Um Bernham, if possible, has been even

8:46

more outspoken on this. He's said in the

8:48

past that leaving the EU was a mistake.

8:51

He said that uh rejoining the EU is an

8:55

absolute objective and it's one that

8:57

should be followed. Um he was saying

9:00

that until just a few months ago. Then

9:03

of course he had to be reelected to

9:06

parliament.

9:07

the constituency that was opened up for

9:10

him was um an a workingclass community

9:15

in Greater Manchester, Makerfield, which

9:18

had overwhelmingly voted leave. So he

9:22

had to reassure people there that he was

9:25

not going to reverse Brexit. So suddenly

9:28

he said that he would not reverse

9:30

Brexit. Now of course he's won that

9:32

bi-election. He's in parliament. he's

9:35

about to become prime minister. He will

9:37

change course and he will take Britain

9:39

further and more quickly towards

9:43

um rejoining the EU given that we're

9:46

going to have a Blairite government an

9:48

openly Blairite government and Blair

9:50

himself by the way reappeared resurfaced

9:54

about two weeks ago. he published um a

9:57

5,700word

9:59

statement charting what the future

10:02

direction of the government ought to be,

10:05

you know, giving a message given that

10:07

we're having a very Blairite government

10:09

now. I think we're going to see an

10:11

acceleration towards the EU. And one of

10:14

the things that isn't being discussed

10:17

much in the media is that now that it is

10:22

certain that Bernham is going to become

10:25

the next prime minister, you're starting

10:28

to get increasing signs that the British

10:31

people are cooling on him. And um um I

10:35

it it instead of the euphoria that many

10:40

predicted would come when he took over

10:44

from Star, who to be clear is the most

10:47

unpopular prime minister we have ever

10:50

had.

10:52

There's been little sign of that

10:54

euphoria.

10:55

And on the contrary, um, no real sense

11:00

in the country that things are changing

11:02

or that things are going to get better

11:04

anytime soon.

11:07

>> Okay, we will I

11:09

>> I'm going to give I there was a

11:10

statistic actually that came out. It was

11:12

in the Financial Times which basically

11:16

um set out the reality

11:20

of how bad Britain's economic situation

11:23

is. Um and he said that if the British

11:26

economy after the 2008 crisis had grown

11:33

at the same level that it did between

11:36

1970 and 2007,

11:40

it would now be 40% bigger.

11:44

So I mean that you know we we we

11:45

basically flatlined since 2008. In fact,

11:50

the reality is that living standards

11:52

have fallen over this period, which is

11:55

the longest single decline stretch of

11:59

decline in living standards in Britain,

12:03

I believe, since the early 19th century.

12:06

In other words, since the time of the

12:08

industrial revolution. So that that that

12:10

gives you a sense of how bleak the

12:13

situation for people is. And to the

12:16

extent that we've managed to get

12:18

economic growth at all, it's been done

12:22

by um importing labor or importing

12:26

people if you like from overseas. And of

12:29

course they come in and um they create a

12:33

certain degree of economic activity.

12:36

they they are able to do uh poorly paid

12:40

jobs and that creates a degree of

12:43

economic activity. So some parts of the

12:46

economy like it the health system for

12:48

example uh um relies very heavily now on

12:52

imported labor and of course you know to

12:56

the extent that these people spend money

12:58

or earn money or do things that causes a

13:02

kind of economic uptick. But what I

13:06

think a lot of people don't realize is

13:08

that importing labor, immigration in

13:11

other words, now plays, it's difficult

13:14

to say exactly how big a role, but a

13:17

role at least in giving the impression

13:21

that Britain still has had a growing

13:23

economy over this time. So that makes it

13:26

even more difficult to stop it because

13:29

if you do stop it, you're going to lose

13:32

that upward blip in the GDP.

13:37

And um it will become even more clear

13:40

that basically since 2008,

13:44

Britain has been in a kind of continuous

13:46

recession.

13:47

Um,

13:49

and on top of that, we have because

13:53

we're in continuous recession,

13:56

we have steady increases in debt, public

14:00

debt, private debt. That leaves very

14:03

little funding to uh spend on the

14:07

economy itself.

14:09

That means that the pressure to

14:12

increases increase taxes continuously

14:16

grows.

14:17

Um, one of the things that the Burnham

14:20

people are talking about is increasing

14:23

taxes on property on houses above a

14:27

certain value given that another major

14:30

driver of the economy in Britain has

14:34

been house prices.

14:36

Not a good thing in itself, but

14:38

nonetheless it has been a driver. It has

14:42

also contributed to ticking up the GDP

14:47

figures. If you start taxing

14:50

the value of properties,

14:53

that is going to cause property prices

14:55

to fall, which is further going to

14:58

create depression uh a recession

15:02

um in in Britain and of course it's also

15:05

going to suffocate the economy even

15:07

further. So what do you do in this

15:09

situation? The only thing they seem to

15:12

be prepared to do other than push

15:14

towards the EU is spend still more money

15:17

on Project Ukraine because uh the

15:19

amounts of money that they can still

15:23

spend

15:25

they can give to Ukraine

15:27

and it does keep some people in Britain

15:31

happy but that's basically the priority

15:34

at the moment.

15:37

>> All right. Not not a good outlook

15:39

anyway.

15:40

>> No, I mean by the way there are there

15:42

there are lots of things that can be

15:44

done. I mean I think this is the other

15:46

thing to say. A a really dynamic

15:48

government could do lots of things at

15:50

this time. I mean they could stop the

15:51

staunch of money going to project

15:54

Ukraine. They could uh do real trade

15:57

deals with real countries. Um um um they

16:01

could make systems to increase inward

16:05

investment into Britain. they could

16:07

conduct a genuine tax reform, a real tax

16:10

reform which would open space for um

16:15

entrepreneurial activity of which by the

16:17

way there is a there is a residual

16:21

significant amount here in Britain. I if

16:24

you really wanted to get the economy

16:26

moving again, there are lots of ways you

16:29

could do it here. But doing all of those

16:32

things would

16:35

come up against various very powerful

16:39

interest groups in Britain

16:42

and nobody's prepared to do that. So the

16:46

result is that we continue as we are. We

16:49

continue to have this policy of a very

16:53

open economy still um functioning in the

16:56

way that it is.

16:58

and we continue to see a prolonged

17:01

decline. Um, things are going to have to

17:03

get a lot worse in Britain before they

17:05

get better.

17:07

>> All right, we will end the video there.

17:08

The durand.locals.com. We're on Next on

17:10

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17:11

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17:13

out on Substack as well. The links are

17:16

in the description box down below. Take

17:18

care.

Interactive Summary

This discussion examines the political transition in the UK, focusing on the expected premiership of Burnham and his adherence to the established policies of his predecessor, Starmer. The analysis highlights that despite the change in leadership, the overarching 'plan'—characterized by alignment with globalist agendas, continued support for 'Project Ukraine,' and a desire to move closer to the European Union—remains fundamentally unchanged. The conversation also explores the bleak economic situation in Britain, noting long-term stagnation, declining living standards, and the role of immigration and fiscal policies in masking deeper structural problems. Ultimately, the speaker argues that a lack of political willingness to challenge powerful interest groups ensures the country will continue on its path of economic decline.

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