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The Savings Expert: “Do Not Buy A House!” Do THIS Instead! - Morgan Housel

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The Savings Expert: “Do Not Buy A House!” Do THIS Instead! - Morgan Housel

Transcript

3541 segments

0:00

if you're buying a house because you

0:02

don't do it run for your life Mr Morgan

0:05

H he's the author of the psychology of

0:08

money one of the bestselling business

0:09

books of this decade he can help anyone

0:12

build wealth and change their life the

0:14

world is split between people who don't

0:16

know how to start making money and

0:17

people who don't know when to stop

0:19

making money and if you are stuck in a

0:21

low-income job you feel like you don't

0:23

have the opportunity to generate wealth

0:25

but once you realize that opportunities

0:26

are available for everybody you can

0:28

choose where you want to live what job

0:30

you want when you retire because you can

0:32

be rich prove it people like Ronald Reed

0:35

and he was a janitor what does it take

0:37

to amass Mr Reed's $8 million Fortune

0:39

he's a fascinating story of somebody who

0:41

became Rich despite not having the

0:43

skills that you normally associated with

0:45

wealthy people then there's Warren

0:46

Buffett he's worth $100 billion do but

0:48

the real secret to their success

0:50

investing my parents are a great example

0:53

of this we were very poor no Financial

0:55

background and they have like minimal

0:56

financial interest but now they'd

0:57

probably be in the top 3% of

0:59

professional investors if you want to do

1:01

well with money you don't need to be a

1:03

genius if you have endurance in your

1:05

investing you're going to be filthy rich

1:07

but when most people say I want to be a

1:09

millionaire what they actually mean is I

1:11

want to spend a million dollars I want

1:13

some nice clothes bigger house the nicer

1:14

car ask yourself what is your

1:16

relationship with money if your

1:18

expectations rise faster than your

1:19

income you're never going to be happy

1:21

with your money that's the problem so if

1:22

I have1 what's the first thing that I

1:25

should do I keep it as painfully simple

1:28

as I can so

1:31

ladies and gentlemen you're about to

1:32

meet the man whose book changed my

1:34

entire life as it relates to money and

1:37

finance about four or five years ago my

1:40

brother who's a investment banker said

1:43

Steve there's one book I need you to

1:45

read about wealth investing and money in

1:47

finance and he passed me a book called

1:49

the psychology of money that book

1:52

changed my fortunes it is the reason

1:55

I've been a successful investor and it's

1:57

the reason I've been able to hold on to

1:59

my wealth and build it it's this man and

2:02

that's the reason why you need to stay

2:04

tuned and listen to this

2:06

[Music]

2:12

episode

2:13

Morgan you wrote what I would consider

2:17

to be the greatest book on money and

2:20

finance ever written I say that because

2:23

I remember when I came into money when I

2:25

was 25 20 no 27 27 28 years old and my

2:29

brother turned to me and said there's

2:31

one thing I ask of you he said you have

2:34

to read this book called the psychology

2:36

of money it will stop you losing all of

2:38

the money you've just earned from your

2:40

career and it changed my life I've

2:42

talked about it for years and years ever

2:44

since and that's why I was so Keen to

2:46

have this conversation with you because

2:47

I really believe if people choose to

2:49

listen to this conversation it stands

2:51

the chance of changing those two so

2:53

let's begin why of all the things that

2:56

you could do with your life Morgan why

2:58

are you writing books about the subject

3:01

matter that you explore what is the

3:02

reason well first that's a that's a big

3:04

statement that's a lot to live up to

3:05

it's kind of scary to hear that because

3:07

I've I've often been and this gets to

3:09

the why I I've defined it as selfish

3:12

writing where I write for an audience of

3:14

one and that is me and I like to think

3:16

of myself as a pretty selfless person

3:18

but for writing I don't try to say I'm

3:21

going to write a book for this person or

3:22

that person or that audience I write

3:25

what I'm interested in and I write it in

3:26

a way that I think is interesting and I

3:28

try to solve my own problem problems and

3:30

then I take a leap of faith that if this

3:32

is interesting to me and it's going to

3:34

help me maybe it'll help somebody else

3:36

that's very different from the

3:37

traditional writing style of saying know

3:39

your audience know your audience very

3:42

quickly turns into Pander to your

3:43

audience and I think a lot of people

3:45

maybe they don't even know it but if

3:46

they read a book and they don't

3:47

necessarily like it it's because they

3:48

were being pandered to they were being

3:50

spoken to in a way that a person would

3:52

never speak to them in real life so I

3:54

just this is almost like my diary I

3:56

think in terms of these are the topics

3:58

that I found interesting for myself and

4:01

so I guess that's the why I feel like

4:03

I've really found myself in a career

4:05

where I can just figure out my own

4:06

problems and try to figure out what I

4:09

think and what's interesting to me and

4:11

then kind of put it out to the world and

4:13

then hope that other people will enjoy

4:14

it let's start with the psychology of

4:16

money what is the benefit to my life if

4:17

I understand the things that are written

4:19

in the psychology of money well let me

4:21

start with I think most Finance books

4:24

will their their answer to that question

4:26

would be when you're done with this book

4:27

you will know how to pick stocks better

4:29

you will know how to balance your

4:30

checking account or what credit cards

4:32

that you should use for my book I think

4:34

when you're done with it I hope that you

4:36

will just look in the mirror and say who

4:39

am I which is kind of what I did with

4:41

this trying to figure out who I am and

4:43

what I want and why I was insecure why I

4:45

wanted to show off to other people the

4:47

car that I drove so if you become more

4:50

introspective about who you are and what

4:52

you want out of life and what money can

4:54

do for you and cannot do for you and

4:56

become a little bit more introspective

4:58

about why you think

5:00

about where you are in the social

5:02

hierarchy and greed and fear and why you

5:04

think about these things that you do I I

5:07

honestly think that I I I hope at least

5:09

because it was this way for me that when

5:11

you're done for with the book that's

5:13

kind of when the learning begins because

5:15

maybe this will just spark a bit of

5:18

curiosity for you to then go for a walk

5:20

and think about what you want out of

5:22

life and whatnot so I think most books

5:24

when you're done with the last page the

5:25

learning is done this I hope is just

5:28

sparked something in you that will get

5:29

you to think more clearly about what you

5:31

want with money and what money can and

5:33

cannot do for you part of that journey

5:34

of understanding what you want helps you

5:37

to define the word on the front of this

5:39

book wealth what is your definition of

5:42

wealth well I I I made up these

5:44

definitions in the book so these are

5:46

just my things that I made up but I

5:47

defined rich as you have enough money to

5:51

buy what you want to pay for your

5:52

mortgage to make your car payment to go

5:54

out to dinner with your friends you have

5:55

money in the bank wealth I think is very

5:58

different wealth is money that you did

6:00

not spend and maybe you will not spend

6:03

so wealth is hidden it's the money that

6:05

you didn't spend on a car it's the money

6:07

that you didn't spend on a big house you

6:09

didn't spend on jewelry and that's

6:11

really important because wealth that's

6:13

saved up the unspent money is what gives

6:16

you Independence and autonomy and just

6:18

the ability to wake up every morning and

6:19

do whatever you want with your with your

6:21

life and so I think separating that is

6:24

really important because when most

6:26

people say I want to be a millionaire

6:28

what they actually mean is I want to

6:30

spend a million dollars that's what they

6:32

mean and when I think about being a

6:35

millionaire I think it's you have a

6:36

million dollars that you're not going to

6:37

spend and that because you're not going

6:39

to spend it you have this giant cushion

6:41

that will give you Independence and

6:43

autonomy and so you can wake up tomorrow

6:45

and say I can do whatever the hell I

6:46

want today I can work for who I want I

6:48

can work for as long as I want I can

6:50

retire when I want the World is Yours

6:52

like every bit of savings that you have

6:55

is a piece of your future that you own

6:58

it's a you're just buying your time in

7:00

the future so that it's yours and you

7:01

can do whatever you want with it and

7:03

that to me has always been the goal

7:05

there's a quote from Charlie Munger

7:07

where he says I never wanted to become

7:08

rich I just wanted to become independent

7:11

and that when the first time I read it

7:12

it was like that's me too that's what I

7:14

want I don't want a Lamborghini I don't

7:16

want a mansion and a yacht I want to

7:18

wake up every morning and just say

7:20

whatever I want to do today it's mine

7:22

nobody's going to tell me where to work

7:23

when to work what to do it's all me and

7:26

to me for not just work but for your

7:29

family life for your health for your

7:31

mental sanity there's nothing more

7:33

important than that it sounds like

7:35

you're talking about your

7:36

father my dad it was he has such an

7:39

interesting background my my my mother

7:40

too their background is so crazy and I

7:43

didn't realize how crazy it was until I

7:44

was an adult the early part of my

7:46

childhood when my parents were in school

7:49

we were very poor my parents were

7:50

students living off of student loans and

7:52

grants we had no money and then my dad

7:54

became a doctor when I was 12 or 13 and

7:57

things changed it wasn't we were not

7:58

rich but like things got very

8:00

comfortable and what was really

8:01

important is that the frugality that my

8:04

parents had to have when they were poor

8:06

stuck with them even after they started

8:08

making a little bit of money they didn't

8:09

buy a Lamborghini no no we grew up in a

8:11

very like modest house it was a nice

8:13

house and we took some like decent

8:14

family vacations but my we always live

8:16

well below our means way below our means

8:18

did that confuse you because you must

8:20

have known that your dad had the money

8:21

yes particularly when I was probably

8:23

like 16 17 and I could learn like how

8:26

much does a doctor make you can go look

8:27

it up and figure it out and and then it

8:29

was like I definitely looked down on my

8:31

parents at that age because I was like I

8:34

know you can afford a better car I know

8:36

you can buy me better Christmas presents

8:38

I know we can afford a bigger house and

8:40

you're and you're not doing it because

8:42

you're mean I think that was I think

8:44

that was my view and then it really

8:46

clicked about 10 years ago this is not

8:48

that long ago so my dad is an ER doctor

8:51

which is one of the most stressful jobs

8:52

that you can imagine it's literally

8:54

people dying in your arms every day and

8:57

he did this for 20 years and after after

8:59

20 years of doing this night shifts

9:01

children dying in your arms literally

9:04

every every week he said he he had had

9:07

enough it was it was a lot he put in his

9:08

dues he did it for 20 years and he said

9:10

I'm done I'm I'm going to retire and the

9:12

reason he could do that is because he

9:14

had saved up so much money he was living

9:16

well below his means they had a very

9:17

high savings rate the moment he woke up

9:19

and said I want to be done he was done

9:21

and that was it and if you contrast that

9:23

with so many other people including some

9:25

of his colleagues who were also burnt

9:27

out at age 60 who were also so burnt out

9:30

by having people die in their arms for

9:31

20 years they wanted to retire and they

9:33

couldn't because they had the bigger

9:35

house because they had the nicer car

9:37

that I thought that we should have had

9:39

when we were growing up and when they

9:42

quit and moved on to their next phase of

9:45

Life they got so much happier and so it

9:48

was like so that this was 10 years ago I

9:50

was in you know in my late 20s at this

9:52

point I was like now I get it he was

9:54

Frugal he saved a lot and that made him

9:56

independent and the Independence made

9:58

him Happ than any car would have done

10:01

made them happier than any big house

10:02

would have done so it's like I think

10:04

that is one of the keys to happiness

10:06

happiness is like the most complicated

10:08

topic you can imagine but one of the big

10:10

puzzle pieces is independence and

10:12

there's been a lot of work on this

10:14

studies on this of like one of the

10:16

things that makes people really happy in

10:18

life is having control over what they're

10:20

doing and it's more so the flip of side

10:22

of that it's like what makes people very

10:24

unhappy in life not having control over

10:27

what happens in their future not having

10:29

control over their schedule where

10:31

they're going to work whether they're

10:32

going to get laid off having that

10:34

uncertainty is a massive anchor and

10:36

waight on your life your health

10:39

absolutely I mean that was a big thing

10:40

for my dad too he was working night

10:42

shifts for for 20 years with this it

10:45

it's very bad for your health it's not

10:46

great at all so the ability the

10:48

financial ability to just wake up one

10:50

day and say I'm done done with that is

10:53

huge I I was reading studies about this

10:55

idea of autonomy because I was trying to

10:56

figure out what you have to have

10:57

professionally to love your work and I

10:59

came up with these five different points

11:01

one of them was autonomy and control and

11:04

I I came up with that because I read

11:06

studies where people who work jobs where

11:08

they had a low autonomy and control had

11:10

physiological consequences they were

11:12

more likely to get disease they

11:14

experienced stress significantly more

11:15

more likely to have cardiovascular

11:17

problems and heart disease which is the

11:18

single biggest killer of of people

11:20

generally I thought [ __ ] hell just

11:21

not having control in your life yeah

11:23

makes your body shut down yes you know

11:26

this is something that I think everybody

11:27

has experienced if they have something

11:28

really stress going on at life they get

11:30

into bed they're tired you can feel your

11:32

heart pounding like the physiological

11:35

response of stress is huge it's massive

11:39

and if you have that going on every day

11:41

for 5 years 10 years 20 years 30 years

11:43

forget about it forget about it this's

11:45

this great quote from John D Rockefeller

11:47

he's the richest man in the world and he

11:49

lived till I think he was 99 something

11:50

like that he was 97 and his doctor

11:53

talked about why like his key to

11:55

longevity and the doctor said quote he

11:58

never lets any anything bother him he

12:01

spends plenty of time outside and he

12:03

leaves the table when he's still a

12:04

little bit hungry that was his key to

12:06

longevity it was just and and when you

12:08

read his biography you realize how true

12:09

that was no matter what was going on in

12:11

his life and the most stressful business

12:14

conditions you can imagine none of it

12:15

ever bothered him he just had ice in his

12:17

veins and he could just keep going and

12:19

so I I I do think that's that's

12:20

definitely one of like the keys to

12:22

physical health is lowering that amount

12:24

of stress and there are not many other

12:26

things in life that are going to

12:28

increase the stress that you have have

12:30

than not having control over what you're

12:32

doing in life Freedom chapter seven of

12:35

your book this is the broadest lifestyle

12:38

variable that makes people happy doing

12:40

something you love but on a schedule you

12:42

can't control starts to feel the same as

12:44

doing something you hate psychologists

12:46

call this reactants that's right you

12:49

know I I do think there are a lot of I

12:51

think the best example are CEOs who

12:53

might make $30 million a year $50

12:55

million a year but they have no control

12:57

over their time every single second of

12:59

day is planned and demanded by somebody

13:02

else and they have to do things that

13:04

they don't want to do if they wake up

13:05

and they're tired too bad you got to go

13:06

to your meetings today they wake up and

13:08

they're exhausted too bad you have to

13:09

travel to China to close this deal they

13:11

have no control over their time and

13:13

compare that to someone who makes much

13:15

less but they wake up they can wake up

13:17

and do whatever they want whatever they

13:18

want to do you want to hang out with

13:19

your friends you want to sleep in you

13:20

want to take a nap at 2 o'clock whatever

13:21

you want to do the person who I think

13:23

really sticks out in that in that vein

13:25

is Warren Buffett who is the the CEO who

13:28

makes a zillion a year he's worth

13:30

hundred billion do but if you dig into

13:32

how he structured his day total control

13:34

100% autonomy can do whatever the hell

13:36

he wants all day long what he wants to

13:38

do is get up and go to work but he he

13:41

has delegated things so effectively that

13:44

he can do whatever he wants and that's

13:45

not only the key to his I think business

13:47

success but his health lifestyle success

13:51

why he's 93 and still going as strong as

13:54

ever I I was thinking about my calendar

13:56

when you were talking about the CEO that

13:57

makes $30 million a year but is just

13:59

dragged around by his schedule sounds a

14:00

lot like me to be honest I feel like the

14:02

more successful I've got in my

14:04

professional career the more my calendar

14:07

the minute I wake up in the morning I'm

14:09

just like a puppet master to these

14:10

little boxes on my Google Calendar yeah

14:13

they drag me around the world and

14:15

there's very little I actually said to

14:17

my assistant about a month ago I was

14:18

like um Sophie please can you do me a

14:20

favor could you just put lunch in for 30

14:22

minutes because I'm not eating could you

14:24

just put like could you just put that in

14:25

midday every day at the same time so you

14:27

can breathe so I can have a little bit

14:28

of a moment I do nothing and then also

14:30

the other thing I've put in now I have a

14:31

personal trainer 7 days a week and I've

14:33

just put that in my calendar it was

14:35

before then a residual beneficiary as

14:37

was everything for me well not for me

14:39

because my work is for me but um it it

14:42

got the time that was left over when all

14:44

my priorities were done and I do reflect

14:46

on that and go like how like a when does

14:48

that stop because it's clearly not going

14:50

to stop when I make money because I have

14:51

the money and B how much control do I

14:56

actually have and you know what I do

14:58

sometimes I think I've noticed about

14:59

myself I think sometimes I councel

15:01

things just to prove to myself that I

15:02

still have control that's great see

15:04

that's a good thing there's a quote from

15:05

n talb where he says like you are

15:07

wealthy when the money that you deny

15:09

tastes better than the money you accept

15:11

so you get someone comes to you with a

15:13

business deal and you say no thanks I

15:14

don't want it when that tastes better to

15:17

you than accepting the deal it feels

15:19

better to you that's like one definition

15:21

of of Rich there's another great quote

15:23

from TYB where he says the world is

15:25

split evenly between people who don't

15:27

know how to start making money and

15:28

people who don't know when to stop

15:30

making money and I think there are a lot

15:32

of people that are watching this that

15:35

are in kind of our field who are easily

15:37

in the ladder they have all the money

15:39

that they could ever want to spend or

15:40

maybe not not that much but they have

15:42

more money than they ever thought they

15:44

would have but for every gold that they

15:47

hit oh when whenever my net worth is X

15:50

all my problems are going to go away

15:51

everything's going to feel great and

15:52

then they hit X and they just keep

15:53

moving the goalpost down and down so I

15:55

read in the book that like the hardest

15:56

Financial skill is getting the goalpost

15:58

to stop moving it's the hardest thing in

16:00

the world it's hard for everybody

16:02

because virtually everybody thinks if my

16:04

net worth or my income was this level

16:07

I'll be fine I'll feel great no more

16:08

problems I'll wake up every morning with

16:10

a smile on my face and then if you're

16:12

lucky enough or you work hard enough to

16:13

get there you realize it's not the case

16:14

at all you're just going to keep pushing

16:16

it keep pushing it keep pushing it

16:17

forever have they done studies to test

16:20

that in terms of analyzing whether

16:22

people's goal posts move off into the

16:23

future even when they're like

16:24

billionaires and whatever I mean here's

16:26

here's the broadest way that I would

16:28

frame this up that as has been studied

16:29

if you look at America today the average

16:32

household adjusted for inflation is

16:34

making twice as much money than they

16:36

were in the 1950s to adjusted for

16:38

inflation the average household double

16:39

the income that they were back then and

16:41

we less happy the statistics that try to

16:44

measure happiness over time it's not an

16:46

easy thing to do but we're less happy

16:48

today than we were back then and this is

16:50

why like look can money buy happiness

16:52

yes and to some extent does it yes like

16:54

people who are in abject poverty are not

16:56

as happy as people who are covering the

16:58

basics and they have food and shelter

16:59

etc etc but over time when you when the

17:03

society is getting richer and you're

17:05

comparing yourself to other people and

17:07

maybe the average American's income

17:09

doubled but so did their neighbors so

17:10

did their co-workers so did their

17:12

siblings so you just automatically

17:13

adjust to that I talked about

17:15

Rockefeller before Johnny Rockefeller

17:17

who died in I think the 1930s he was

17:19

worth adjusted for inflation almost half

17:21

a trillion dollars during his day

17:23

adjusted for inflation but he never had

17:26

during his life penicillin Advil

17:30

sunscreen polio vaccine keep keep going

17:33

down the list of things that virtually

17:34

everyone can take advantage of today

17:36

that he never had but you can't say that

17:39

the average American is living better

17:41

than Rockefeller today because we have

17:43

all of these technologies that he never

17:45

did because we just look at what other

17:47

people have and assume that that is the

17:49

Baseline so you can imagine a world in

17:51

which my kids my grandkids are earning

17:55

twice as much as me adjusted for

17:56

inflation and they're no happier for it

17:58

because the new technologies whatever it

18:00

would be that would seem like magic to

18:03

you and I will just become their

18:05

Baseline and that's always been the case

18:07

if there was if Thomas Jefferson or

18:10

somebody came to the year 2023 he would

18:12

faint at the new technologies and the

18:15

medical discoveries that we have and

18:17

these are technologies that you and I

18:18

don't spend one second being grateful

18:21

for because we've just accepted them as

18:22

a new Baseline it reminds me of

18:24

something in your new book which is out

18:26

in November which is

18:29

you know I've gassed up a lot of books

18:31

on this podcast before but this is one

18:32

of my favorite of all time it's just so

18:35

easy to read and so engaging because you

18:38

you're one of those authors in this book

18:40

that realizes the world that the reader

18:42

living in and they are busy and they

18:44

want the point and they want you to you

18:46

know give them not one word more than

18:48

you need to it is so brilliant it's so

18:51

brilliant um in this book you talk about

18:53

exactly that you say the first rule of

18:55

happiness is low expectations Y and

18:58

that's exactly what you're talking about

18:59

is comparison is the thief of Joy

19:01

because it just raises our own

19:02

expectations right when with that out

19:04

the window goes our happiness yeah and

19:07

it's it it it seems counterintuitive to

19:08

people that if you want to be H for most

19:10

people it's if you want to be happier

19:11

you need to be ambitious you need more

19:13

you need to make more money work harder

19:15

have a more successful startup whatever

19:16

it would be and there's that's true but

19:18

that's half the equation the other half

19:19

the equation is keep your expectations

19:21

low so the gap between those two it's a

19:24

gap between those two that actually

19:26

accru to happiness over time how did you

19:28

learn that I think it's just I think

19:30

there have been a couple little stories

19:31

that really stuck out to me one that I

19:33

love that just knocked me on my ass the

19:35

first time I read it was Stephen Hawking

19:38

the late physicist who was without

19:40

exaggeration one of the smartest people

19:42

to ever walk this planet he was just an

19:43

absolute genius and a quirky of course

19:46

is that he had a motor neuron disease

19:47

and he was paralyzed from head to toe he

19:49

had no control over his body he spoke

19:51

through a computer not a single muscle

19:53

in his body could he actually control by

19:54

himself so he was you know

19:57

physiologically it's one of the worst

19:58

Liv that you can imagine and he did an

20:00

interview with the New York Times a

20:01

couple years before he died and during

20:03

the interview he's talking about how

20:04

happy he was and how amazing his life

20:07

was and the New York Times said they

20:09

asked him they said what is your secret

20:10

to happiness like if there's anyone who

20:13

has the right to complain about life

20:15

it's it's that guy and he's talking

20:16

about how happy he was and he said my

20:19

expectations were reduced to zero when I

20:21

was 21 which is when he got his disease

20:24

and he said everything else since then

20:26

has been a bonus so this is like the who

20:29

whose life is like has ended up in a way

20:32

that most people watching that would say

20:33

like that's among the worst scenarios

20:35

you can imagine and he's probably

20:37

happier than you and I because his

20:39

expectations were so low that just

20:41

waking up in the morning and seeing the

20:43

sunrise and getting to go to work and

20:45

talk to people was this magical gift I

20:48

mean you can imagine not to get too

20:49

morbid about this but imagine you're on

20:50

your deathbed and the doctor is very

20:53

confident that you're going to die

20:54

tomorrow and let's say that you make it

20:56

one more day what is that Sunrise going

20:59

to feel like what's that you know

21:01

holding your your wife's hand for one

21:03

more day going to feel like it' be

21:06

amazing just because your expectations

21:07

were on the floor and so it it's always

21:10

like that and you go through life seeing

21:11

so many people who have everything all

21:13

the money the great family all the

21:16

health the beauty everything you can

21:17

imagine and they're not happy for it and

21:19

it's because with everything that they

21:20

have their expectations rise not only to

21:23

that level they might rise above it so

21:25

if you are some if your expectations

21:27

rise faster than your inome

21:29

you're never going to be happy with your

21:30

money no matter how much money you make

21:32

you can make a billion dollars a year

21:34

but if you needed and wanted 1.1 billion

21:36

you're broke you feel broke and the

21:39

reverse of that is true too there are

21:40

people who make $50,000 a year but if

21:42

they only need 40 to be happy they're

21:44

sto they feel great and so that's I

21:47

think that's one of the reasons it's so

21:48

important is because managing your own

21:51

expectations is more in your control

21:53

than managing your circumstances in

21:55

terms of raising your income raising

21:57

your investing return

21:59

it's not that you can't control raising

22:01

your income you can be ambitious and

22:02

smart and entrepreneurial of but it's

22:04

more in your control to just inside your

22:06

head to say I'm going to try to want

22:09

less that that's just a mental exercise

22:11

that's it's not to say it's easy it's

22:13

not easy at all but you have total

22:15

control over doing it so how in a

22:17

practical sense can one go about keeping

22:20

their expectations below their

22:23

circumstances I guess here's here's one

22:25

that really made an impact on me and

22:27

it's great that we're in La cuz that's

22:29

where this story took place I was a

22:31

valet here in La all throughout college

22:33

at a fstar hotel here in town so a I I

22:37

was young I was you know aged 19 to 24

22:39

or something like that and all day it

22:41

was people driving in in Ferraris and

22:43

Lamborghinis and rolls-royces and one

22:45

day it hit me just I I I remember the

22:48

moment because it was like out of the

22:49

blue it hit me whenever someone would

22:51

drive in in a rollsroyce or something

22:53

never once would I look at the driver

22:55

and say that guy is cool like wow look

22:58

at him he's so cool what I did is I

23:00

imagined myself as the driver and then I

23:03

thought if I was a driver people would

23:04

think I'm cool and I was like wait don't

23:06

you see like the disconnect here nobody

23:09

cares about the driver but they want to

23:11

be the driver because they think people

23:12

will then care about them and once you

23:14

realize that like the takeaway is nobody

23:18

is thinking about you as much as you are

23:20

nobody cares about your stuff as much as

23:22

you do nobody cares about your car or

23:24

your house or your clothes or your

23:26

jewelry as much as you do because to the

23:28

extent that they're even looking at them

23:30

they're looking at your car looking at

23:31

your house really what they're doing is

23:33

imagining themselves with that nice car

23:36

they're not giving you the credit

23:37

they're imagining themselves having it

23:39

so once I realize like that was the game

23:41

that was being played in society once

23:43

you once you recognize that's the game

23:45

your willingness your desire to show off

23:48

plunges and of course I I like nice

23:51

stuff I like nice cars I want some nice

23:52

clothes I live in a decent house but

23:55

once you realize that it plunges and I

23:57

think the most valuable Financial skill

23:59

that anybody can have is not needing to

24:01

impress other people if you don't need

24:04

to impress other people that is an asset

24:07

on your balance sheet that is worth a

24:09

billion dollars because so much of

24:11

society as a whole and individual is

24:14

just geared towards how can I get other

24:16

people's attention how can I show off to

24:18

other people how can how can they like

24:19

me more I both agree and understand but

24:22

agreeing and understanding is different

24:24

from being able to do I think at the

24:26

society level it will never be it'll

24:27

always be like that same as ever it's

24:29

never it's never going to move away from

24:31

that if you can manage it around the

24:33

edges at the individual level it's

24:35

massive for your life one thing that's

24:36

important here is that if you are a

24:39

young person and you're kind of looking

24:41

for a spouse a mate a boyfriend a

24:43

girlfriend a wife a husband whatever it

24:45

would be then your ability to look

24:47

really nice and to signal and to kind of

24:49

put up your peacock feathers is

24:51

important and I get it and I did it back

24:53

in the day once you are more settled

24:55

down in your career in your

24:56

relationships if at that point you are

24:58

still hanging on to the desire to

25:00

impress other people that's when it's

25:01

broken that's when it's just pure net

25:03

loss in your life because you're trying

25:05

to show off to for people who you don't

25:07

even need or want to love you there's a

25:10

great quote from Warren Buffett where he

25:11

says the definition of success is when

25:14

the people who you want to love you do

25:16

love you and so for me it's like five

25:19

people it's like my parents my wife and

25:21

my kids and like that's it that's it

25:23

those are the people who I want to love

25:24

me and if they love me I I probably have

25:27

90% of the happiness that I'm capable of

25:30

and if they don't love me and then I'm

25:32

never going to have more than like 10%

25:34

of the happiness that I'm capable of in

25:35

that chapter about happiness you talk

25:37

about your friend Brent as well in his

25:38

theory on marriage yeah my friend Brent

25:40

B sure has this great theory on marriage

25:42

where he says marriage only works if

25:45

both Partners want to serve the other

25:48

partner and expect nothing in return so

25:50

you wake up every morning and you say I

25:51

want to serve my spouse but I expect

25:54

nothing in return from them and if you

25:56

both do that simultaneously you're both

25:58

pleasantly surprised because what

26:00

happens is I didn't expect you to do

26:01

anything for me but you did and vice

26:04

versa and both of you just wake up every

26:05

morning you're like but you did that for

26:07

me you you helped me out here you you're

26:09

empathetic to me there and it feels

26:10

great you exceeded my expectations

26:12

exceed my expectations and I think what

26:14

breaks down any marriage or career or

26:16

whatever it would be is when you become

26:19

needy like nothing breaks love more than

26:22

being needy and really what needy is is

26:25

just your expectations are so high that

26:26

you wake up and you say I expect to do

26:28

this for me I expect you to help me I

26:31

expect you to serve me that's just like

26:33

massively high expectations that you

26:35

have in that relationship it's it's also

26:37

like expecting an external factor in

26:39

that case your partner to validate you

26:42

in some way or to and that kind of goes

26:44

back to your point about money where in

26:46

order to stop showing off and focusing

26:48

on those five people that we want to

26:50

love

26:51

ourselves we need to understand and

26:54

ideally solve our often toxic

26:57

relationship with like our need for

26:58

validation and that I guess brings me to

27:01

the first chapter in your book where you

27:02

talk about the stories of money that we

27:04

have and where they've come from and

27:07

something that's always baffled me is

27:08

when you go into low-income areas

27:10

there's more gambling shops yeah and I

27:12

can attest to it when I was 18 19 years

27:15

old and I'm shoplifting pizzas to feed

27:17

myself and I'm doing all sorts of stuff

27:20

when I got my student loan in I was in

27:21

university for one day and they gave me

27:23

like the first payment of my student

27:25

loan I don't think I've ever said this

27:27

before I put the entirety of the payment

27:30

on a bet wow and I lost it in the six in

27:33

the an injury time of that football

27:35

match I don't bet and did you need that

27:37

money for tuition like it it was then it

27:39

was then gone I needed it to eat yeah I

27:41

wasn't speaking I had no money I don't

27:43

come I didn't come from money and my

27:44

parents I'd gone to University with 50

27:46

Quid and I got this like, sent to me

27:48

from student loan whatever I was so

27:50

reckless with money when I didn't have

27:52

money the minute I got money it's like

27:54

everything just chilled the [ __ ] out and

27:55

I I became really longterm I made

27:59

responsible decisions I stopped buying

28:01

flashy things I like don't even own a TV

28:03

now I'm very Sim I feel like the more

28:05

money I have the less my material

28:07

desires are for sure for sure when I say

28:09

that out loud I'm like oh absolutely why

28:11

is that that when we have less we are

28:13

Reckless with our money well I think

28:14

there's two sides to this one of my

28:16

theories is

28:17

that what everyone wants in the world is

28:20

respect and admiration from other people

28:22

and there's kind of two ways to get that

28:24

you can get your respect and admiration

28:25

through your wisdom through your love

28:28

through your humor or if you don't have

28:30

that to offer from the to offer to the

28:32

world you're going to get it through

28:33

your material possessions so if you can

28:36

gain respect and admiration through your

28:37

business success your wisdom your love

28:40

your friendship great then you're going

28:42

to get it and you're going to fulfill

28:43

that bucket if you can't get it from

28:45

those things then you're like well might

28:46

as well show off my car it's all I got

28:47

to do that's all I have I think that's

28:49

one side of it so as you become more

28:51

successful your desire to show off

28:54

diminishes because you're gaining

28:55

respect and admiration through other

28:57

things that are not matural

28:58

the other side of this that's so

29:00

important is that you know I saw this

29:02

statistic years ago that the poorest 10%

29:05

of Americans buy like 80% of the lottery

29:08

tickets in America and these are people

29:10

who can like barely feed themselves

29:13

lowest 10% they're literally struggling

29:15

to put a roof over the head and feed

29:17

themselves are going out hand over fist

29:19

buying scratcher tickets and the the

29:21

knee-jerk reaction when you hear that is

29:24

morons what are you doing you idiot and

29:26

maybe that is the right reaction but I

29:28

started thinking about it and it was

29:29

like okay maybe if you try to put

29:31

yourself in those people's shoes maybe

29:33

they would say something like this if

29:36

you are stuck in a low-income job and

29:38

you feel like there's no way out you

29:39

feel like you don't have the opportunity

29:41

to work your way up the ladder become an

29:43

entrepreneur you feel like you're stuck

29:45

in this position buying a lottery ticket

29:47

might be the only thing in life that

29:49

gives you a little bit of hope it might

29:51

it's might be what feels like literally

29:52

your only ticket to get out and that

29:55

might be not something that you and I

29:57

feel like because because we have we we

29:59

we at least feel like we might have

30:00

other opportunities I it's you're so

30:02

right because when I gambled what I then

30:05

did the same day before the result of my

30:08

bet or my lottery ticket came in and I

30:10

said this to my team the other day is I

30:12

would go on right move and like auto

30:14

trader and look at stuff that I would

30:16

buy if I won yeah yeah I think there's a

30:19

sense too that if you are stuck in a

30:21

lower spot in life if you have a feeling

30:24

that the world is unfair and very often

30:26

it is so some maybe that that might be

30:28

the right mindset but if you feel the

30:29

world is unfair then it's very natural

30:32

to think I might as well cheat too if

30:34

the world's unfair why not might as well

30:35

cheat and I think that at least at some

30:38

level has some explanation for the

30:40

relationship between poverty and crime

30:42

that word hope is is so is so true I

30:44

think it's true too just a glimpse of

30:46

Hope because it gives you even if it's a

30:48

0.00001% chance if it's the only thing

30:50

in your day that made you smile a little

30:52

bit made you feel like you had a little

30:53

bit of hope then I get why they do it

30:55

the other reason the other thing I think

30:57

a lot about here is that if you are in a

30:59

low-income job and you're working

31:01

graveyard shifts and you're exhausted

31:03

and you're taking three buses to get

31:04

your kids to school if the only thing

31:07

that day that gives you a little bit of

31:08

pleasure is a cigarette and some alcohol

31:11

I get it I totally get it and that's

31:13

also the relationship between health and

31:15

poverty is a lot of that too so it's

31:16

very easy for people who are of higher

31:19

means to look down at those people and

31:21

point out all the bad decisions that

31:23

they're that they're doing in life but I

31:25

think you underestimate how much that

31:27

desire to just have a little bit of Hope

31:29

a little bit of pleasure and if those

31:30

feel like your only avenues for Hope and

31:32

pleasure maybe that's the explanation

31:33

for at least part of it quick one this

31:36

is really really fascinating to me on

31:37

the back end of our YouTube channel it

31:39

says that

31:40

69.9% of you that watch this channel

31:43

frequently over the lifetime of this

31:44

channel haven't yet hit the Subscribe

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button I just wanted to ask you a favor

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it helps this channel so much if you

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choose to just subscribe helps us scale

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and it makes the show bigger so if I

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could ask you for one favor if you've

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watched the show before and you've

31:58

enjoyed it and you like this episode

32:00

that you're currently watching could you

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please hit the Subscribe button thank

32:03

you so much and I will repay that

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gesture by making sure that everything

32:07

we do here gets better and better and

32:08

better and better that is a promise I'm

32:10

willing to make you do we have a deal

32:11

let's speak then to 18-year-old Steve

32:14

that was in that little room with the

32:15

stack of these what they call County

32:17

Court judgments and bays and stuff stack

32:19

of letters on his desk what advice based

32:22

on all you know about money and finance

32:24

can you give to somebody who is Maybe

32:28

making a, $1,000 $2,000 a month covers

32:32

their rent just about doesn't have a lot

32:33

of money left over what is the best way

32:36

to go from that position to a position

32:38

of wealth in your

32:39

view I think one of the best ways to

32:42

think about it at the lower levels and I

32:44

explained a little bit this earlier but

32:45

to dig into it is a lot of what's

32:47

probably giving you stress in life is

32:49

that you don't have control over what

32:50

you're doing and if you view every

32:52

dollar of savings that you have as a bit

32:53

of your future that you own and control

32:56

then I think that mind that mindset can

32:58

shift pretty dramatically and it's like

33:01

that's that's the ticket out the ticket

33:02

out is not a nicer car it's not a bigger

33:05

house it's not better closeth the ticket

33:06

out is Independence that's what's going

33:08

to give you the better career that's

33:09

what's going to make you happier it's

33:10

what's going to make you healthier and

33:11

the only thing that's going to give you

33:12

Independence is having enough money

33:14

saved up so that you can choose where

33:16

you want to live maybe even what job you

33:19

want you can choose at at at some point

33:22

down the road when you retire if you get

33:24

sick it's not just going to break you

33:25

immediately having that Independence is

33:27

going to take more weight off your

33:28

shoulders than anything else you can do

33:30

in life save money that's it that's the

33:33

the title of that chapter in the book is

33:34

save money because you can't put it any

33:36

clearer or Starker like that's that's it

33:38

he says there are three types of people

33:40

those who

33:41

save those who don't think they can save

33:44

and those who don't think they need to

33:46

save yep three types of people which one

33:49

are you those who save those who don't

33:51

think they can save and those who don't

33:53

think they need to save I tell you what

33:55

I've been all three in my life that's

33:57

interesting I've always been a saver no

33:59

I haven't and see that I think that's

34:01

actually very rare that you change who

34:03

you are really on the nature nurture

34:05

Spectrum I actually think and this is

34:07

kind of disappointing to talk about it's

34:09

not fun to talk about but on the nature

34:10

of nurture Spectrum I think a lot of

34:11

money is nature Warren Buffett talks

34:14

about the people who have the money mind

34:16

which means like either they get it or

34:17

they don't and if they get it they get

34:19

it instantly and if they don't they'll

34:20

get it never at all I I I actually don't

34:23

believe in it it's that black and white

34:24

Charlie merer explains it like that he

34:26

says when explaining financial matters

34:29

to young people they either get it

34:30

instantly or never at all and he's

34:33

putting that too starkly I think I don't

34:35

think it's that black and white but on

34:37

the nature nurture spectrum is it 8020

34:39

is it 7030 I think it's probably

34:41

something in that range so let me give

34:44

you a count a counterargument to that

34:46

then so as I said I've been someone that

34:49

didn't think he could save because I

34:50

didn't have money and I just thought oh

34:52

you know but I could have saved in it

34:53

looking back now I know I could have

34:54

saved I could have saved a small amount

34:56

but I didn't see the value in saving

34:57

small numbers I didn't understand the

34:59

laws of compounding returns which we'll

35:00

definitely talk about I have also been

35:03

the person that

35:04

saves and I've also been the person who

35:09

thought they didn't need to save I've

35:10

been all three my Counterpoint to this

35:12

goes back to a story that I read from

35:14

your early years where two of your

35:17

friends died on a ski trip yeah and it

35:19

also links to something youve said in

35:21

your new book same as ever where you

35:23

speak about

35:24

how sometimes in life like hitting rock

35:28

bottom is the greatest incentive to

35:31

change our lives yeah so I put those two

35:33

things together and go that moment when

35:35

you were two of your friends died on a

35:36

ski trip that you were on when you were

35:38

younger it had an impact on your risk

35:40

appetite and your attitude towards and

35:42

therefore your attitude towards money

35:44

yep what what happened what happened so

35:46

I grew up skiing in in Le Tahoe

35:47

California and I was a competitive ski

35:49

racer right uh so all throughout my

35:51

childhood and teenage years I skied six

35:53

days a week 10 months a year all over

35:55

the world and it was great there about

35:57

12 of us on the squad Valley ski team we

35:58

had grown up together and we had spent

36:00

our entire lives together and when I was

36:02

17 this is in 2001 I was skiing with my

36:05

two two of my best friends brenon Allen

36:07

and and and Brian Richmond and we would

36:09

ski out of bounds which is illegal

36:12

you're not supposed to do it we would

36:13

duck under the rope that says do not

36:15

cross and we'd ski out of bounds because

36:16

that's where a lot of the good skiing is

36:18

and when we would do this it would spit

36:20

us out on this back country road where

36:22

we'd have to hitchhike back there's no

36:24

chairlift when you ski out of bounds you

36:25

have to hitchhike your way back so so we

36:27

did it one morning in February 2001 the

36:29

three of us did it and when we did it we

36:31

triggered a very small Avalanche and I I

36:34

remembered it so clearly like I can

36:36

still feel it 21 year 22 years later I

36:40

can still feel what is like it's the

36:41

weirdest sensation of that I've had in

36:44

my life because when you get hit by an

36:46

avalanche rather than pushing on the

36:47

snow to gain traction with your skis the

36:50

ground is pushing you so all of a sudden

36:53

you're skiing along and you got control

36:54

and all a sudden boom you have no

36:55

control everyore the the ground is

36:57

pushing you around probably similar to

36:59

what it feels like if you're standing on

37:00

the ground during an earthquake like the

37:01

ground's pushing you but it was a pretty

37:03

small Avalanche maybe came up to our

37:05

knees ended pretty quickly and we kind

37:07

of like literally high-fived about it at

37:09

the bottom and went about our day we get

37:11

back around to the the base Lodge we hit

37:14

shik back and Bren and Brian said they

37:16

wanted to do it again they wanted to ski

37:17

again and I said hey for whatever reason

37:20

I I I just didn't want to do it so I

37:22

said hey rather than hit cheing back why

37:23

don't you guys go do it again and I'll

37:25

drive my truck around and pick you up so

37:28

we said great we made our plans went our

37:29

separate ways they went skiing I went

37:31

back around to take my boots off and

37:33

jump in my truck and go pick them up 20

37:35

30 minutes later I go to pick them up at

37:36

the pickup spot and they weren't there

37:39

and I knew it only took us a minute to

37:41

ski down the hill so 20 minutes later I

37:43

knew like they they they weren't coming

37:44

I I was not worried I figured that they

37:46

had already hit hike home but so after

37:49

waiting for another 20 or 30 minutes I

37:50

just left and I went back to the lodge I

37:52

expected them to be there and they

37:54

weren't and I still didn't really worry

37:56

like we didn't have cell phones back

37:57

then and people were just comfortable

37:58

being out of touch if you didn't know

38:00

where your your buddy was like wasn't

38:01

that that wasn't that big a deal so we

38:04

went about the day I I started worrying

38:06

a little bit I remember I stopped at

38:07

Brendan's house and expected him to be

38:09

there and he wasn't there either and I

38:11

remember calling and leaving a message

38:12

on his voicemail and I remember ending

38:14

the voicemail by saying I hope you're

38:15

okay man those are my last words I

38:17

remember that very clearly the day went

38:19

on and I think at about 4 or 5:00

38:22

Brian's mom called me and she said Brian

38:25

never showed up for work today do you

38:26

know where he is

38:28

and I told her what happened I said we

38:30

skied the backside of squa where we'd

38:32

hit Chik back I was going to pick them

38:34

up but they never showed up and I

38:35

haven't seen them since and I also

38:37

remember so clearly Brian's mom saying

38:40

oh my God and hanging up the phone and

38:42

that was so like so it's then we started

38:44

getting worried we called the police the

38:45

police didn't take it very seriously

38:46

because they thought ah they're out at a

38:48

party they ran off with a girl for the

38:49

night like they weren't worried but we

38:51

finally got search and rescue involved

38:53

and Rescuers of probe poles frowned

38:56

Brenan and Brian buried under 6 ft of

38:58

snow and they were they had been killed

39:00

from a massive Avalanche and so look I

39:03

think virtually everyone listening to

39:04

this I'm sure you to have lost somebody

39:06

close to you somebody that you love so I

39:08

know the experience was not unique in

39:10

that way but it was the first time that

39:12

I had experienced loss and it was the

39:15

first bad thing that had ever happened

39:16

to me in my life so it had a big impact

39:18

on me and there were a lot of takeaways

39:21

I think at the time I didn't have the

39:23

cognitive tools to piece together what

39:25

happened or to learn about what happened

39:28

like have any sort of takeaways but as I

39:30

got older and thought about it and

39:32

looking back I put together all these

39:35

like realizations of what that did to me

39:37

how it changed me and what were some of

39:39

the lessons from it too one that I talk

39:42

about in the book that I think about all

39:43

the time is my decision to not go with

39:47

them on a second run was this completely

39:50

brainless decision I put no thought into

39:52

that decision it was not a cost benefit

39:54

analysis I didn't think through it but

39:56

it's the most important decision I've

39:57

ever made in my life 100% chance if I

40:00

was with them I would have died and I

40:02

had skied literally thousands of runs

40:04

with Brendan and Brian how many times

40:06

did I deny a second run with them or say

40:09

you guys keep going I'm going to go in

40:11

almost never the one time I did it saved

40:13

my entire life and so that you really

40:16

realize that the world hangs by a thread

40:18

everybody thinks like oh you're going to

40:20

put a lot of thought into your big

40:21

decisions to make sure that you're

40:22

successful in life where you go to

40:23

college what your career is going to be

40:25

who you marry that's all great but the

40:27

world hangs by a thread and there are

40:29

tiny little no nothing decisions maybe

40:31

that you made today of maybe it was when

40:34

to cross the street maybe it was when to

40:36

leave to get in your car that can

40:38

utterly change the course of your life

40:41

and so when once you accept that of how

40:44

much the world hangs by a thread I think

40:45

you become much more humble with your

40:47

willingness to make forecasts about the

40:49

future what the economy is going to do

40:51

who's going to win the election what's

40:52

going to happen in my life my career my

40:54

family's life we have no clue we have no

40:57

idea because all we can think about are

40:59

the big decisions we cannot piece

41:02

together the chaos theory of I got in my

41:05

car at the at the wrong time I met the

41:08

wrong person or I met the right person

41:09

or you know I I decided not to take a

41:11

second run we cannot forecast the impact

41:13

of those things and so that had a big

41:16

impact on me too of just who are we to

41:18

fool ourselves that we can predict the

41:20

next recession that we can predict where

41:22

our careers are going to be in 10 years

41:24

that we can predict how long our

41:25

marriage is going to last that we can

41:27

predict how long we're going to live we

41:28

can't nobody can because we can't

41:30

predict how crazy these tiny events can

41:33

turn into and this comes right back to

41:35

investing doesn't it

41:37

because most people that consider

41:40

themselves to be investors whether

41:41

that's just putting a couple of quid

41:42

into crypto or something else engage in

41:46

the idea that they can predict the

41:47

future yeah um and this is where it

41:50

appears that most money is lost I mean

41:52

think about the biggest risk to the US

41:54

economy over the last two generations Co

41:57

mean that's one of them the others would

41:58

be Pearl Harbor okay 911 Co and maybe uh

42:02

Lan Brothers couldn't find a buyer in

42:04

2008 which sparked the financial crisis

42:06

of 2008 those are the biggest Risk by

42:08

far and the common denominator of every

42:10

one of those stories is that nobody saw

42:12

them coming they were not in any

42:14

newspaper before they happened they were

42:15

not in any economic Outlook nobody was

42:18

going on TV warning you that this was

42:20

coming the common denominator of those

42:22

is that they did all of their damage in

42:24

two seconds and that would be the case

42:26

going forward you can guarantee that the

42:28

biggest news story and the biggest risk

42:30

over the next year or the next 10 years

42:33

of our life whatever it is is something

42:34

that nobody's talking about today that

42:37

you and I have can't even fathom because

42:39

it's always been like that there's never

42:40

been a time when the biggest news story

42:42

was

42:43

foreseeable and it's all and it'll be

42:45

like that going forward so that's

42:46

another just like embracing how fragile

42:49

the world is there's a great quote from

42:50

a financial adviser who I really admire

42:52

Nam Carl Richards and he says risk is

42:54

what's left over when you think you've

42:56

thought of everything

42:57

H you can go out of your way to think

42:59

about all of the risks that are in your

43:00

life and like great and like how you're

43:02

going to prevent them great that's a

43:03

good thing to do when you're done with

43:05

that exercise what's left over that

43:07

you're not thinking about is what risk

43:09

actually is it's like by definition we

43:11

can never plan or even imagine what the

43:13

biggest risks in our lives are going to

43:14

be you say that in same as ever you say

43:17

I think the the chapter title is risk is

43:19

the things you can't see or something

43:21

risk is what you don't see risk is what

43:22

you don't see that was a little bit

43:24

terrifying and it's true and I think I

43:27

think sometime you can phrase it as

43:28

terrifying it's also kind of relieving

43:32

that like why are you going to put so

43:34

much effort into trying to predict what

43:36

the stock market's going to do next what

43:37

the econom is going to do next why are

43:39

you building a forecasting model to

43:41

figure out what the econom is going to

43:42

do over the next 10 years when you look

43:44

at the last 10 or 20 years how could you

43:46

ever predict 911 or Co and even look

43:50

like something like Co there's like a

43:51

2015 Bill Gates Ted Talk where he talks

43:54

about the biggest risk to society is a

43:56

viral pandemic so it's not that nobody

43:59

saw that thing coming but the specifics

44:02

of when it's going to happen how bad

44:04

it's going to be is it just going to

44:06

shut down the economy for a week or two

44:08

years that is completely impossible but

44:10

there's also lots of other TED Talks

44:11

that say everything's going to be great

44:13

of course of course there's proba

44:14

there's a lot more so on balance the

44:16

world had no idea I think on balance the

44:19

world breaks once per decade not exactly

44:22

once per de but on average once per

44:24

decade everything that you thought about

44:25

risk and uncertainty and stability goes

44:29

to [ __ ] so how do I prepare if risk if

44:32

risk is what I don't see how do I

44:33

prepare there's another great quote from

44:35

Nasim talad that I like where he says

44:37

invest in preparedness not in prediction

44:40

so rather than going out of your way to

44:41

be like here's what I think is going to

44:43

happen in crypto here's what I think is

44:44

going to happen in the stock market just

44:45

make sure that you have a big enough

44:47

buffer in your finances cash liquidity

44:50

being scared of debt so that no matter

44:52

what happens you're you at least have a

44:55

Fighting Chance of enduring it and make

44:57

through one thing I've I've often

44:59

thought about is that you should have

45:01

enough cash in your investing portfolio

45:03

the amount of cash you should have

45:05

should feel like it's too much it should

45:07

feel it should make you winse a little

45:08

bit because if you only have enough cash

45:11

to put up with the risk that you can

45:13

Envision and the risk that you can

45:14

foresee you're going to miss a surprise

45:16

every single time every single surprise

45:18

is going to be a surprise to you but if

45:20

you feel like you have too much cash

45:22

then at least you have a Fighting Chance

45:24

of putting up with the 911 the co the

45:27

Harbor whatever it might be so when

45:29

people look at my asset allocation my

45:32

investments a lot of people look at it

45:34

and say you seem really conservative why

45:36

do you have this much cash what are you

45:38

saving for and my answer is always I

45:40

don't know I have no idea what I'm

45:42

saving for who are we to assume that we

45:45

can predict the risks that are going to

45:47

be in our own personal lives and

45:49

throughout the broader World nobody can

45:51

do it the only way to prepare for it is

45:52

to have what feels like too much safety

45:55

what is your capital strategy how do you

45:57

invest your money um this is you know

46:00

this is the thing people want to know

46:01

most about you I keep it as painfully

46:04

simple as I possibly can so literally my

46:06

entire net worth is cash a house and

46:09

index funds and some shares of Marquel

46:11

where I'm on the board of directors and

46:13

that's it there's nothing else my entire

46:15

I can summarize everything so easily and

46:18

so cleanly and truly that's it and it's

46:20

not even like I have 20 bank accounts I

46:22

I have one bank account one brokerage

46:23

account like in a house and that's it so

46:25

simple why why index funds you're the

46:28

reason I your Capital allocation

46:31

strategy is almost identical to mine I

46:32

want to talk about the house thing as

46:33

well but um after reading your book I

46:36

stopped trying to pick stocks yeah and I

46:39

invested all of my available Capital

46:41

into index funds outside of investing it

46:45

in starting companies so I'm a

46:46

shareholder in I don't know 50 60 70

46:48

companies I all my other available

46:51

capital is invested in index funds and

46:53

then I have a very long-standing

46:57

position in ethereum which I've held for

46:58

like six years or something which has

47:00

done me very well yeah that is it and

47:02

the ethereum investment is also based on

47:05

the fact that I run a software business

47:07

that is in blockchain and I could see

47:09

that developers are building on top of

47:10

ethereum more than any other blockchain

47:12

so that Insight was really beneficial to

47:15

me and six years so even with the big

47:18

fall of the last two years you're still

47:20

up a lot yeah I I think your book taught

47:23

me that successful investing is when you

47:26

lose the pass to your investment account

47:28

yes that's exactly it I don't actually

47:30

think you said that in there but that's

47:31

like when I lose the password to my

47:33

investment account I'm so proud of

47:34

myself yeah because it means I haven't

47:36

checked it in

47:37

forever and so it was funny because you

47:39

were coming today I thought oh yeah well

47:41

I have all this money in these index

47:42

funds I'll check it and I thought [ __ ] I

47:44

don't know the password good that's why

47:46

you're going to do okay the reason I do

47:48

this what's important is that I am not

47:49

one of the people who says nobody can

47:51

beat the market so therefore use index

47:52

funds that's not what I believe I think

47:54

there I think it's extremely hard to

47:56

beat the market and very few people will

47:58

do it but I think there are really smart

48:00

people who can do it and people who I

48:02

know who I could invest with the reason

48:04

I don't is not because I don't believe

48:06

it can be done it's because the variable

48:07

that I want to maximize for in my

48:09

investments is endurance if I can just

48:12

earn average returns for an above

48:13

average period of time it's going to

48:15

lead to amount of success that will

48:17

literally put you in the top 5% of

48:19

investors my parents are a great example

48:22

of this my parents are smart people but

48:24

they really they have no Financial

48:25

background and they like minimal

48:27

financial interest I would say and but

48:29

they have dollar cost average into index

48:31

funds for going on 40 years now and

48:34

literally if you look at the returns

48:35

they've never sold anything ever and

48:37

literally if you look at the returns

48:38

they'd probably be in the top 3% of

48:40

professional investors what is for

48:42

anyone that doesn't know what is dollar

48:43

cost averaging and what is an index fund

48:45

dollar cost averaging means you buy the

48:48

same dollar amount of Investments every

48:50

single month come hell or high water

48:51

doesn't matter what the stock market's

48:52

doing recession boom bust you say I'm

48:55

going to put $100 or whatever it is in

48:57

the stock mark on the first of every

48:59

month now most people who like have a

49:00

401k at work are doing this whether they

49:03

know it or not they have $100 or

49:05

whatever removed from every paycheck and

49:07

it goes into the funds that they own and

49:09

they don't have to do anything whether

49:10

you know it or not you're actually doing

49:11

it the contrast to that would say I'm G

49:14

to buy and sell based off of how I feel

49:16

in the stock market I wake up I watch

49:18

CNBC I decided to sell and I'm going to

49:20

put it back in when I feel better about

49:21

the market it's the contrast to that an

49:23

index fund is just a single fund that

49:25

owns hundreds or or thousands of stocks

49:28

within it and if it's diverse enough if

49:30

it's big enough really what you're doing

49:31

is you're owning a slice of the global

49:33

economy which is how I think about it

49:35

it's thousands of individual stocks in

49:37

there Tesla Apple whatever it would be

49:39

but really what you're doing is you're

49:40

owning a slice of capitalism if I was

49:42

your son and I said Dad prove to me that

49:44

that's a better long-term wealth

49:46

creation strategy than buying crypto or

49:49

buying companies that I use or like how

49:51

would you explain that to your to your

49:54

kid your ability to do well over the

49:56

next one year or 5 years is going to

49:58

have no role whatsoever on your lifetime

50:00

ability to generate wealth all that's

50:02

going to matter is not what are the best

50:05

returns you can earn all that matters

50:07

are is what are the returns that you can

50:08

sustain for the longest period of time

50:10

all that matters is your endurance it

50:12

doesn't matter if you can double your

50:13

money this year or even double your

50:15

money again the next year all that

50:16

matters is can you stick and keep it

50:19

going for 50 years that's where

50:21

compounding comes from prove it all

50:23

because the formula for compounding is

50:25

returns to the power of time

50:27

that's not quite it but like more or

50:28

less that's it so in that equation if

50:30

you understand the math all of the heavy

50:32

lifting comes from the exponent prove it

50:34

because that's how exponential growth

50:36

works that's how it works it's literally

50:38

exponential give me a case study where

50:39

someone has followed that strategy and

50:41

done well okay here's one way to explain

50:42

it that I use in the book 99% of Warren

50:46

Buffett's net worth was accumulated

50:48

after his 60th

50:49

birthday after he turned 60 years old

50:52

99% of his wealth Jesus has been

50:54

accumulated after that period because

50:56

the longer do you hold that for the

50:58

crazier the numbers get when he was 60 I

51:00

think he was worth about $3 billion lot

51:02

of money he's a multi-billionaire but

51:04

now that he's 90 he's worth over hundred

51:06

billion and he's given like a 100

51:07

billion away to charity so if he didn't

51:09

do that he'd be worth he'd go from three

51:10

billion to 200 billion since he's been

51:12

60 because the numbers just get crazier

51:15

at that point he's worth a hundred

51:16

billion dollar so if his if his Market

51:18

if his net worth goes up 10% in one year

51:20

he makes $1 billion which is three times

51:22

that he was worth when he was 60 so

51:25

that's when you look at somebody like

51:26

Buffett is he a great investor is he a

51:28

great stock picker of course but the

51:30

real secret to his success is that he's

51:33

been a good investor for 80 years and if

51:36

he had retired at age 60 or at age 50

51:38

nobody would have ever heard of him he

51:40

would have been like one of the other

51:42

multi-billionaires who lives in Florida

51:44

and plays golf and like you've never

51:45

heard of him the reason he use a

51:47

household name is because he's been

51:49

doing this non-stop since he's since

51:51

he's been 11 years old and he's never

51:52

stopped it's just the endurance that's

51:54

made him so wealthy not necessarily the

51:56

annual returns patience it's a difficult

51:59

thing it also reminds me of the story

52:00

that you talk about in the introduction

52:01

of your book about the janitor Ronald

52:03

James Reed yeah who when he died in 2014

52:08

age 92 had a net worth of over 8

52:11

million and he was a janitor how did he

52:14

do that he took what very little money

52:16

he could save from his job as a janitor

52:18

mopping floors at the gas station he put

52:21

it in stocks and he left it alone for 70

52:23

years and that's it that's all you need

52:25

that's all you need to do if you have

52:27

endurance in your investing and you can

52:29

keep it going for years or decades you

52:31

don't need to be a genius stock picker

52:34

and not only you do not need to do it if

52:35

you have endurance you're going to beat

52:37

literally 97 or 99% of the genius stock

52:41

Pickers and what's so interesting about

52:43

it is like picking the right stocks is

52:45

hard it's supposed to be hard like

52:47

there's no world in which everybody who

52:48

tries to beat the market is going to do

52:50

it of course it's hard just like being

52:51

an NBA player is hard and but having

52:54

endurance is like largely in your

52:55

control

52:56

it's so much easier to just be patient

52:59

than it is to pick the right stocks

53:01

every single day now I think some people

53:03

nature nurture some people like probably

53:04

Ronald Reed and my parents Ju Just

53:07

understand it naturally it's not hard

53:08

for them to be patient but do like there

53:11

are professional investors who work 80

53:13

hours a week for 30 years to try to beat

53:16

the market and they can't do it not only

53:18

some that that explains like most of

53:20

them and even the ones who can do it are

53:21

maybe going to beat the market by half a

53:23

percent per year 1% per year but if you

53:25

can have Endor

53:27

that is that's a bigger benefit than you

53:29

can have by even being like a very

53:31

successful stock picker like somebody

53:32

who outperforms the market by one

53:34

percentage Point per year and they can

53:36

do that for 10 years that's amazing

53:39

that's like Mount Rushmore investor but

53:41

somebody who earns average returns and

53:43

does it for 20 years is going to have

53:45

way more money you do it for 30 years

53:47

you're going to be Filthy Rich you be

53:49

like Ronald Reed you can be a janitor

53:50

who leaves 8 million to charity when you

53:52

die but so in the case of Ronald Reed do

53:54

you not look at him a little bit and go

53:56

listen bro if you had eight or9 million

53:59

in the bank you should have been living

54:00

it up see this is one I I do kind of

54:03

regret that in the book that I'm I kind

54:05

of I didn't say it explicitly but I kind

54:07

of make him out to be a role model and I

54:09

don't think that's the case he he's not

54:10

my role model I think he's a fascinating

54:13

story of somebody who became Rich

54:15

despite not having any of the pedigree

54:18

or any of the skills that you are

54:20

normally associated with wealthy people

54:22

but you're right that he lived in a a a

54:26

s wed housing and he worked as a janitor

54:28

that's not my goal so I I I want to live

54:30

a nice life I want to be independent but

54:32

he's the most extreme example that you

54:34

can come up with and I I I wish I had

54:36

stated that more clearly in the book A

54:37

lot of people have this conversation

54:39

around pensions and in the UK we we can

54:41

pay money from our salary into our

54:43

pension but I think a lot of people

54:45

think gosh when I'm 60 when I'm 65 I

54:48

want to be rich I want to be rich when

54:49

I'm 25 yeah and I can go to Vegas and

54:53

you know ball out and buy nice things

54:56

and have great experiences not when I'm

54:58

65 yeah no I think that's true I think

55:00

there are a lot of people a lot of

55:01

financial advisers will say that one of

55:03

the hardest things they do as an adviser

55:05

is getting their clients to spend money

55:07

because they've been so conditioned to

55:08

save save save save save that when they

55:11

finally retire at 65 they don't know how

55:12

to spend they have no clue how to spend

55:14

money there's a great uh author I think

55:16

you've had him on your show RIT Siti who

55:18

talks about this a lot like how you like

55:19

you need to learn how to live a a rich

55:22

life and figure out what that is for you

55:24

for some people like for me it's just

55:25

like my my happy state is like sitting

55:28

on the couch in sweatpants reading a

55:30

book going for a walk with my wife

55:31

that's that's that's my rich life that I

55:33

love doing and to do that I need to be

55:35

independent and autonomous so I can do

55:37

that all day long I can do that on a

55:38

Wednesday afternoon rid talks a lot

55:40

about like maybe your rich life I think

55:42

for him it's flying first class and

55:44

wearing nice clothes and he talks about

55:46

like he drives I think like a beat up

55:48

Honda but he flies first class and he

55:50

dresses very nicely so you just have to

55:52

figure out what is the little thing

55:53

that's going to make you happy and I

55:55

think a lot of people's problem is that

55:57

Society tells you what you're supposed

56:00

to do to be happy you're supposed to

56:02

have a nice car you're supposed to have

56:03

a big house supposed to wear nice

56:04

clothes that's what Society tells you to

56:06

do and for some people that might be the

56:08

case for other people like me I think it

56:10

it's not that's that that would not ever

56:13

make me happy what does make me happy is

56:15

Independence so I can just do these

56:16

little quirky things that I like to do

56:18

so I think you just have to figure out

56:20

the little things that make you happy

56:22

rather than just being forced by Society

56:24

into what they want you to do

56:26

knowing when enough is enough this was

56:28

one of

56:29

the most interesting things that I think

56:31

really rang true to me was how do I know

56:34

in my life when enough is enough I've

56:35

definitely been a victim to that

56:36

external narrative that I need to have

56:38

these things in my life to be a happy

56:40

person but how does one go about knowing

56:43

when enough is enough I think back to

56:46

the story of my father he just woke up

56:47

one day and it was obvious that he would

56:50

he had been doing what he did for long

56:53

enough and it was he had felt like he

56:54

had enough and whatnot and he and he

56:56

broke away from it I

56:58

think for for a lot of people it's just

57:00

I one thing that's important about the

57:01

concept of having enough in Independence

57:03

is that when most people even if they

57:05

are independent they wake up every

57:07

morning what they want to do is go to

57:08

work one of one of the big problems with

57:10

the fire movement the financial

57:11

Independence retire early movement where

57:13

people are like they're going to be a

57:14

Super Saver and then retire at age 31

57:16

whatever it' be so many of those people

57:18

who actually did that and retired at age

57:21

31 they once they retired after about

57:23

two weeks they were bored out of their

57:24

mind and if they did it for six months

57:26

they were clinically depressed cuz for

57:28

most people you want to be productive

57:30

you want to keep doing it so having

57:33

enough doesn't necessarily mean that

57:34

you're going to stop working it just

57:36

means you're going to keep doing only

57:37

the work that you want to do there's a

57:39

really interesting question that Patrick

57:40

oesi asked a lot of people uh in in his

57:44

office he says if you won a billion

57:46

dollars in the lottery but you had to

57:48

stay at this job you're a billionaire

57:50

but you can't quit what did this company

57:52

would you want to do and what would you

57:54

get rid of and virtually everyone has an

57:56

answer for that question they say oh if

57:58

I didn't need the money but I have to

57:59

stay I would love to work on this

58:01

project I love working on this thing

58:03

this that and the other is all [ __ ]

58:05

to me so like in any job there's going

58:08

to be something that you want to do

58:09

there's going to be some project there's

58:10

going to be some position or or or maybe

58:12

it's like being an artist whatever it

58:13

would be it's not that you stop working

58:15

it's that when you have enough you get

58:16

to pick and choose which of those things

58:18

you're going to end up doing it's often

58:20

too late in our lives when we realize

58:21

the cost that we've paid for enough

58:24

never being enough you know it could

58:26

could be family it could be Health

58:27

whatever um I always reflect on the with

58:30

Brony we wasn't it who interviewed

58:31

people on their deathbeds and found out

58:33

that the biggest regret of the dying was

58:34

not living a life true to themselves

58:36

working too much Etc but that's on your

58:38

deathbed there's nothing you can do at

58:39

that point right and I think a lot about

58:41

this like what am I going to regret yes

58:43

I think about that too I think this is

58:45

this is pretty morbid to think about but

58:46

I think about if I were on my deathbed

58:48

tomorrow would I regret working hard and

58:51

saving a lot of money and my answer is

58:52

absolutely not it would give me so much

58:54

pleasure to know that my wife and my

58:56

young kids are going to be fine and the

58:58

opposite of that I cannot fathom being

59:00

on my deathbed and looking at my wife

59:02

and my 8-year-old son and my

59:03

four-year-old daughter and thinking you

59:05

guys are screwed that would that that

59:07

would that would be the biggest regret I

59:08

can fathom so I think a lot of people

59:10

would look at someone with a high

59:11

savings rate like me and would assume

59:13

that I'm going to regret it on my

59:15

deathbed and who knows but I I I have to

59:17

think it would actually be the opposite

59:19

what makes me gives me so much happiness

59:21

and pleasure is taking care of my family

59:23

and if I were to go tomorrow I wouldn't

59:25

regret for one second the car that I

59:27

didn't buy the big house I didn't buy

59:30

the nice clothes I didn't buy not for a

59:31

second would I regret not doing those

59:33

it's a really good frame to think there

59:34

isn't it about our financial decision-

59:36

making and you know a lot of people like

59:38

saving up to buy a lot of nonsense

59:40

that's going to depreciate and would you

59:42

rather have a little Nest Egg left over

59:44

for the ones you love or buy that

59:46

Lamborghini there's another great book

59:48

called die with zero which basically the

59:51

title is self-explanatory and one of the

59:54

concepts is even if you want to give

59:55

money away way to your family don't wait

59:57

until you die don't make your kids wait

59:59

or like hope you're going to die so they

60:00

can get their inheritance give it to

60:02

them when it really matters which for

60:03

most people is in their 30s and 40s if

60:05

you wait until you die at age 90 and

60:08

your kids are 60 and then they get your

60:10

money like what's the purpose of that

60:12

give it to them when they need it when

60:13

they're raising kids and whatnot that's

60:15

when they need your money I I I really

60:17

like that concept I think about that

60:19

with my own kids the counter point to

60:20

that is though if I just give my kids

60:22

money then like the chth quote

60:26

they might lose it quick think about

60:28

that especially as you know someone that

60:30

has a lot of cash they could give I

60:32

think about this because at some point

60:33

I'm G to have kids and they're going to

60:34

Daddy I want to do a driving lesson or

60:36

they're going to be 18 and go off to

60:38

University or whatever God I hope they

60:39

don't go to university um and they're

60:41

going to say like I've got nowhere to

60:43

live or I found this nice apartment dad

60:46

and in those moments do I make the

60:47

decision to pay for it because I can or

60:50

withhold it because they need to learn

60:51

the hard way I have this yeah I'd call

60:54

it an argument with my girlfriend

60:56

where I say babe listen when we have

60:57

kids they're going to sit an economy and

61:00

she's like absolutely not yeah and I'm

61:03

like no babe when they get okay we made

61:05

a deal I think we got to about when

61:06

they're 12 years old I'm going to put

61:07

them in economy so they can learn for

61:09

themselves the value of things see we we

61:13

made this mistake I don't think I've

61:14

ever talked about this but it was about

61:15

a year ago we flew my son who was me I

61:18

guess he was seven at the time we flew

61:19

first class and we explained to him that

61:22

this was not normal this was not going

61:24

to be the way it is as soon as as he did

61:26

it he went home he told all of our

61:27

neighbors told all of his friends told

61:29

everybody at school and that was when my

61:32

I like can't can't do this never again

61:35

you see how quickly somebody can be

61:36

spoiled or use that to try to show other

61:39

people that they are superior to them

61:41

that's when it was like no no we can't

61:42

ever do this ever again and you moved

61:44

his expectations in a way absolutely I

61:46

didn't fly first class till I was 35 and

61:48

he did it at 7 and so that my when I

61:50

first did it at 35 I remember feeling a

61:53

I earned this I worked for this and Al

61:56

felt so special to me because I'd flown

61:57

coach 9,000 times before that so it felt

62:00

amazing and so that's I I I think about

62:02

that a lot there's a great quote from

62:03

Charlie Munger where one of his rich

62:05

friends says Charlie if I give my kids

62:08

all of my money is that going to ruin

62:10

their ambition and Charlie says of

62:12

course it will but you have to do it

62:14

anyways and the guy says why and Charlie

62:16

says because if you don't your kids will

62:17

hate you and I think that's that too is

62:20

like lots of Charlie Monger quotes are

62:22

are framed as black and white they're

62:24

extreme but I think that's probably like

62:25

80% true really that it's it's maybe 70%

62:29

true that if you are a wealthy person

62:31

and I'm not talking billionaires if you

62:32

just have a moderate amount of wealth

62:34

that you might pass along to your kids

62:35

someday that your two options are kind

62:37

of at least to some extent hurt their

62:39

ambition or risk some level of strife

62:42

and it's always child dependent like I

62:44

always make the example that if

62:46

18-year-old Bill Gates or Mark

62:47

Zuckerberg or Elon Musk inherited a

62:49

billion dollars would have made any

62:51

difference to their ambition they would

62:52

have they would not have slowed them

62:54

down by one second but most people

62:56

including myself it would have like I

62:59

was driven by fear of not making it

63:01

which is what most people are I was I

63:03

was scared shitless that I was not going

63:05

to find the right career that I wasn't

63:07

going to make it and that's what drove

63:08

me some people don't need that but I

63:12

think it's very rare I think the huge

63:14

majority of people if you give them an

63:16

easy life they will take it and embrace

63:18

it with both hands making money and

63:20

keeping money require two different

63:22

skills you you've spoken about a few of

63:24

the skills that are required for making

63:26

money the one that really stuck out to

63:28

me that you've discussed so far is this

63:29

idea of endurance patience regardless of

63:32

what's happening in the markets

63:33

regardless of the volatility lose your

63:35

password and sit on your hands just on

63:38

that point as well I remember reading

63:39

somewhere it might have even been your

63:40

book you know it's so crazy because the

63:43

things that I know about money I can't

63:44

remember where I've got them from but

63:46

most of them came from this book like

63:48

most of the principles came from this

63:49

book and one of the things that I read

63:51

was that Warren Buffett would go like

63:53

five years without allocating capital

63:55

and this where he said the hardest thing

63:58

to be a great investor is to be able to

64:00

sit on your hands and do nothing sit on

64:01

your ass and do nothing that's it that's

64:03

that's AER quote and that's what they're

64:05

doing right now right now Berkshire

64:06

hathway which is Warren Buffett's

64:07

company has like $150 billion dollar of

64:09

cash right now and that's their entire

64:12

uh 60-year history of Warren Buffett and

64:14

Brookshire hathway is build up a

64:16

shitload of cash wait 10 years for an

64:18

opportunity deploy it all and then go

64:21

back to waiting and building up cash

64:23

crazy and that's that's that's how they

64:24

done it good opportunities are rare of

64:26

course they are they should be rare it

64:27

shouldn't be that anybody can just open

64:29

up their stock account and find the

64:30

opportunity of a lifetime what are the

64:32

gonna come once a decade what are the

64:33

other skills then endurance patience to

64:35

create to get money for the for the

64:38

ordinary person endurance and patience

64:40

is 99% of what you need as an investor

64:42

because the opportunities there to

64:44

invest in a lowcost Index Fund are

64:46

available for everybody and you can do

64:47

that from your phone like you do it from

64:48

your phone open up a Robinhood account

64:50

buy some index funds anybody can do that

64:52

and so that and but that was not always

64:54

the case it used to be 20 years ago that

64:57

the only people who could invest were

64:58

people who had a lot of money and could

65:00

afford a broker and had connection to a

65:01

broker and you yet to like make a phone

65:02

call make a phone call you had to know a

65:04

guy and even then you were going to pay

65:05

a ridiculous fee to that person for do

65:08

pieces of paper and all kinds it was a

65:09

joke and that's 20 years ago it's not

65:11

that long ago so I think like people

65:13

aren't grateful enough or appreciative

65:16

enough of how much things have changed

65:18

that open up those opportunities for

65:19

everybody you talk about the skill of

65:21

keeping money which is different from

65:22

the skill of getting money is predicated

65:26

on Survival Financial survival and just

65:28

putting up with all the unpredictable

65:31

nonsense that's going to happen between

65:33

now and the end of your life and we

65:35

talked earlier about the surprises Pearl

65:37

Harbor 9911 all these big surprises just

65:40

it's just your ability to endure things

65:42

like that that's going to be literally

65:44

90% of your financial success and your

65:46

investing success so gaining money is

65:48

like being an optimist and taking a risk

65:50

like being optimistic about yourself

65:52

swinging for the fences you need that to

65:54

get rich staying rich is is like the

65:56

exact opposite you need a level of being

65:58

conservative you need to be scared you

66:01

need to be like acknowledge of all the

66:03

unknown risks that are in front of us

66:05

and have a financial allocation and a

66:07

mindset that's going to allow you to

66:09

endure them and survive them financially

66:11

you need both of those skills at the

66:12

same time so well your kid is 20 years

66:15

old he's broke do you tell him to go and

66:19

take huge outsized risks he's not got a

66:21

family he's not got a mortgage he's not

66:22

got a dog what advice do you give him at

66:25

that age to create wealth I would

66:27

actually say I think this is a little

66:28

counterintuitive that when somebody is

66:29

Young you you think you would say you

66:31

got 50 years in front of you swing for

66:33

the fences go for it it's also when your

66:35

life is the most fragile it's when

66:37

you're most likely to be laid off most

66:39

likely to change your career most likely

66:40

to break up or get divorced whatever it

66:42

would be and so for that you need quite

66:45

a bit of financial flexibility just cash

66:47

and liquidity so once you had some level

66:49

built up whatever the level might be for

66:51

a different person then like do

66:53

something crazy I also think for careers

66:56

some of the best career advice that's

66:58

maybe not Universal but when you

67:00

graduate college and you're looking at

67:02

your career don't take the safe job

67:04

which is usually like the big company

67:06

the blue chick company go for the weird

67:08

company why go for something crazy

67:10

because when you're older when you're 40

67:12

and you have two kids and a mortgage

67:14

you're not going to want to take the

67:15

weird job that's when you want the

67:17

stability that's when you're probably

67:18

going to want the job that's has good

67:20

benefits and a stable paycheck cuz you

67:22

need that when you're 22 and you're not

67:24

tied down by anything

67:26

don't go work for Goldman Sachs or apple

67:28

or deoe or something like that go for

67:29

the weird startup where you like you're

67:31

you're going to learn something

67:32

completely different linked to that

67:35

point is in the weird startup you're

67:37

going to be so close to the failure and

67:38

failure is the knowledge you're going to

67:40

learn so much much and there's so many

67:42

people who take the blue chip the safe

67:44

job out of college and it puts them on a

67:46

very predictable track you're going to

67:48

be an analyst for two years and then if

67:49

you're good you'll get promoted to

67:51

senior analyst and then you'll get

67:53

promoted to associate it's like very

67:54

stable and linear and that's the like

67:57

it's you're capping all of your upside

67:59

where if you go for the weird company

68:00

you're either going to do one of two

68:01

things it's either going to fail and

68:03

you're going to learn a lot from that or

68:05

it's going to take off and you're going

68:06

to learn a lot from that and then maybe

68:07

when you're 40 after going through all

68:09

that then you want the stable job at the

68:11

big company it's interesting I was

68:13

thinking as you're speaking that the

68:14

proximity from your desk and the

68:17

CEOs probably needs to widen over time

68:20

yes I think I think that's that's true

68:22

yeah absolutely and mo most people I

68:24

think if they if you do it the other way

68:26

around or most people would never do it

68:27

the other around if you start your

68:29

career in the stable company you're

68:31

probably never going to leave you're

68:32

going to get addicted to the nice

68:34

paycheck the stable benefits whatnot and

68:36

you're never going to take a risk and do

68:37

anything else maybe that's okay maybe

68:39

for some people's personalities that's

68:40

exactly what they want but I think there

68:42

is a higher level of regret for people

68:44

that start in a safe company and then

68:46

they get the golden handcuffs they can't

68:47

leave and by the time they're 40 and

68:50

they realize that they wanted to work at

68:51

the crazy company they can't because

68:52

they got a mortgage and two kids and

68:54

they're saving for retirement and they

68:55

can't take the risk at that level of

68:57

their life you introduced this concept

68:59

of

69:00

tales long tales and this also changed

69:04

my life changed my investment strategy I

69:05

should probably say you talk about the

69:07

example of venture capital where for

69:09

every 50 Investments That Venture

69:11

capitalists make statistically half of

69:14

them will completely fail 10 will do

69:16

okay and one or two will make huge

69:19

profits that drive 100% of the funds

69:21

returns yeah this is a lesson about

69:23

investing in finance but it's also me a

69:25

lesson about life it's always life yeah

69:27

it applies to everything Tales where

69:30

just a couple of things that happen

69:32

explain 90 or 99% of what matters it's

69:36

always the case you see it in business

69:38

where you take in the United States

69:40

there are you know thousands of public

69:42

companies that you can buy stock in but

69:44

the huge majority of the value in the US

69:47

Stock Market is in like 10 companies

69:48

Apple Tesa Microsoft so even though you

69:51

have thousands of companies 10 of them

69:52

are the ones that really matter and are

69:54

going to drive all of the r turns over

69:55

time so why you just buy those 10

69:57

because nobody knows what they're going

69:58

to be at least in hindsight that that

70:00

that's the argument for owning a

70:01

thousand of them is that you know that

70:03

the 10 that are going to be the next big

70:04

ones are going to be in there all of

70:06

this is a case for humility this is

70:08

honestly what I took away from your book

70:10

you're expecting to walk away with tips

70:14

all these tips these tricks these

70:15

special ways to make more money than

70:17

everybody what I came away with is this

70:20

one important lesson that I've never

70:23

been able to unsee which is I don't know

70:26

I I think that's great and that back to

70:28

I wrote this book for myself that's been

70:30

the biggest lesson for me is not only do

70:33

I know but nobody else knows either

70:35

everyone everyone else is bullshitting

70:36

their way through the investing Market

70:37

too they don't know either I'm in this

70:39

crypto chat where one of my friends I

70:41

won't disparage him one of my friends

70:43

he's the guy in the chat that's always

70:44

posting the forecast graphs you know

70:46

those ones where they kind of like the

70:47

little logger graphs where they forecast

70:49

where the stock or the crypto where they

70:50

think it's going to go right and it's

70:52

always it's always up and to the right

70:56

um and it's kind of like male horoscopes

70:58

I heard someone say that that that's

71:00

such a great yeah no I think that's I

71:02

think what's closest to investing is

71:03

something like the horoscope or even if

71:05

you know it's [ __ ] you want to read

71:06

it why because it's comforting what a

71:09

lot of people want out of their

71:10

investing forecasts or whatever it is is

71:12

they want to reduce the uncertainty

71:14

that's giving them stress because

71:16

everyone I think intuitively knows that

71:17

the future in front of us is unknown and

71:19

it's unknowable but that hurts and so if

71:22

it hurts you try to reduce that stress

71:24

by finding someone who says I do know

71:26

what's going to happen you know what

71:27

this applies as well is I read Amazon's

71:29

Jeff Bezos who's the CEO and founder of

71:30

Amazon his shareholder letter where he

71:33

says we have to be the best place in the

71:35

world to fail um we swing for the fences

71:38

10 times and for every 10 swings nine of

71:41

them are in the Amazon graveyard he's

71:43

talking there about a9.com which nobody

71:45

knows cuz failed the fir phone which

71:47

nobody knows but the one in 10 pay for

71:50

the entirety of the graveyard the one in

71:51

one 10 is going to be AWS which make 70

71:54

billion this year right he talked about

71:55

that when the fir phone from Amazon

71:57

which if you don't know Amazon built a

71:59

cell phone it's called the fir phone and

72:00

it was a joke it was a disaster it was a

72:02

massive flop and he was doing like an

72:04

analyst call and this analyst talked

72:07

about like hey the Fire Phone flopped

72:09

like what happened there and bezo said

72:10

if you think that was a big failure just

72:12

wait you've seen nothing yet and like

72:14

that's why Amazon's successful they're

72:16

willing to try a thousand things with

72:18

the idea that they know 990 of them are

72:21

going to fail but the 10 that work are

72:23

going to be massive and you can fail

72:25

well and have the mentality to fail and

72:28

the financial backing to be able to fail

72:30

like make sure your bets are not that

72:32

big and you can just keep taking little

72:33

risks all the time the optionality that

72:36

you get from that like the odds that one

72:38

or two of those are going to explode are

72:40

huge it's massive I mean it's no

72:42

different than how do you win the

72:44

lottery you have to buy thousands and

72:46

thousands or millions of tickets if you

72:48

buy billions of tickets you'll probably

72:49

win the lottery it's probably not going

72:50

to pay off because it doesn't work like

72:52

that but it's the same concept like if

72:54

you if you if you take enough swings at

72:56

bat one of them is going to hit

72:58

eventually and this is also

73:01

a reason why some companies look

73:04

Innovative they look like their Geniuses

73:05

but in fact their failure rate is

73:08

massive massive there's a story at at at

73:10

Netflix several years ago where there

73:12

was uh a report to the CEO and the and

73:15

the report was all of the new movies

73:18

that we've come out that that we've that

73:19

we've produced have been successful and

73:22

whoever presented that probably thought

73:23

this is great this is what you want hear

73:25

and the CEO said that's terrible that

73:27

means we're not taking enough risks if

73:29

every movie that we release is a hit

73:32

we're not taking risks like you want

73:34

your failure rate to be at least some

73:36

that that's when you know you're at

73:37

least trying something new it's the same

73:39

like if you're managing uh a hotel you

73:42

don't want every room to be sold out

73:44

because that means you're not pricing

73:45

high enough you know you're doing a good

73:46

job when you have 10 empty rooms that's

73:49

when you know you're pricing the other

73:50

rooms at a high enough rate so there's

73:53

always going to be like some level of

73:55

what looks like failure that you need

73:57

and if you don't have it you're not

73:58

taking a big enough risk Daniel X sat

74:00

here and he said the same thing he goes

74:02

one of the most important metrics that I

74:03

think about at Spotify is our mistake

74:06

rate yeah and people will think okay so

74:08

he wants to limit mistakes very much the

74:10

opposite he wants to make sure that the

74:12

company maintains that sort of startup

74:15

mentality and they increase their rate

74:17

of mistakes and this brings me to

74:19

something which I kind of hit me like a

74:21

truck um in your new book same as ever

74:23

which was this idea that we need to keep

74:25

running now there were areas in my

74:27

professional life where I've been

74:28

successful poas is doing well I think

74:31

doing pretty well and I had a I had a

74:33

car Journey with Jima who's through the

74:35

wall who you met and we last time we

74:37

came to well I'm in the front seat of

74:38

the car and I go Jima do you know what

74:39

our biggest um our biggest threat is now

74:43

complacency when people get successful

74:46

they play defense to their detriment um

74:50

they don't play offense as much as they

74:52

need to to keep up with the rate of

74:54

change in the world and then a young

74:57

Scrappy agile incumbent who has a high

75:00

risk appetite will take their cheese

75:03

right and your chapter on keep running

75:05

there's two quotes that I really pulled

75:06

out chapter is called keep running and

75:09

the quot two quotes that I pulled out

75:11

were competitive advantages tend to be

75:14

shortlived often because their success

75:17

plants the seeds of their own decline

75:21

one more quote it's easy to overlook how

75:24

many forces pull you away from your

75:26

competitive Advantage once you have one

75:29

specifically because you have one

75:31

success has its own gravity that's right

75:34

and the the the the biggest source of

75:36

gravity there is laziness the reason

75:38

you're successful is because you work so

75:40

hard to get to where you were and now

75:42

that you feel like you've made it now

75:43

that you feel like you're on the top of

75:44

the mountain top you get lazy and that's

75:46

so many companies fall for that so many

75:47

careers fall for that there's a great

75:49

story from Jerry Seinfeld where he said

75:51

that one of the reasons that he quit the

75:53

show when it was still going gang

75:55

Busters is because he could start to

75:56

sense that what made the show successful

75:59

was starting to be was starting to go

76:01

away he said and part of the reason is

76:03

was because he got so famous when he was

76:06

not that famous he could go sit in a

76:08

coffee shop and watch how people ordered

76:10

their coffee and make a joke out of it

76:12

he was observing how Society worked once

76:14

he got very famous he couldn't do that

76:16

anymore he was too famous to go sit in a

76:17

deli and watch how people order their

76:19

sandwiches he couldn't do it so

76:20

therefore he didn't have a lot of the

76:22

source material that he had before and

76:24

so he was like look what made me so

76:26

funny and the show so successful I can't

76:28

do anymore so like red alert let's pull

76:31

the plug before it gets really bad here

76:33

so that's like a very specific example

76:35

but what he realized that what made him

76:37

successful was gone and a lot of a lot

76:39

of CEOs will will have this problem too

76:42

where what made them successful was that

76:44

they were a scrappy startup founder and

76:46

they were very good at building a

76:47

product but now that the company is big

76:49

and successful they also need to be an

76:50

HR Manager they need to be a finance

76:52

specialist they need to be a marketer

76:54

they need to be all these other things

76:56

and therefore their time is pulled away

76:58

from what they're actually good at which

76:59

was building a product a good example of

77:01

this if I can say it was Travis kenck of

77:04

uber the founder of uber probably nobody

77:07

in the world was better at scaling a

77:09

company like uber than he than he was

77:11

and there were a few people who were

77:13

worse at managing a big company than he

77:16

was so it's like what made Uber

77:18

successful is what pulled him away from

77:21

being a successful manager at that he

77:22

was very good at one thing he was the

77:24

best in the world at that one thing but

77:27

you shouldn't think that like it's going

77:28

to last during when another phase of the

77:30

company's life my person I consider a

77:33

mentor and a friend of mine been a

77:35

long-term friend of mine a guy called

77:36

Shaquille Khan he was one of the very

77:37

first investors in shop in Spotify um

77:39

new Daniel the founder from the very

77:41

Beginnings he said to me um a piece of

77:44

advice that stayed with me and I've also

77:47

imparted on other people at a time when

77:49

I'd left my company I was now

77:51

financially successful um financially

77:53

free by all regards and and I called him

77:55

after leaving my company and I said D I

77:57

said Shaq what should I do now with my

78:00

life he said to me Stephen the reason

78:02

you were successful was because you were

78:04

hungry you need to realize that you're

78:06

no longer hungry for the same reasons

78:09

and what he told me to do was the

78:10

hardest [ __ ] thing I've ever done in

78:11

my life which was nothing he said spend

78:14

a year don't rush back into starting the

78:16

same business again because he said to

78:17

me the reason why you were so

78:20

unbelievably disciplined and would go to

78:21

the office seven days a week was because

78:23

you were like an insecure kid that was

78:24

like fighting to survive that's gone now

78:26

so sit on your hands for a year do

78:28

absolutely nothing and get inspired

78:30

again get get hungry again about

78:31

something new um because my Temptation

78:33

was just to run back in and start a big

78:35

marketing business again or whatever

78:36

yeah I that's kind of what you're you're

78:38

speaking of as well is that like the

78:40

need to understand that our motivations

78:41

evolve and change over time and the

78:43

thing that made us successful might not

78:44

be the thing that makes us successful

78:46

again in a new Venture I think there are

78:47

some people who really can keep it going

78:49

some people who do keep running like

78:50

Elon [ __ ] perfect example guy worth a

78:52

quarter of a trillion dollars still

78:54

works 100 hours a week so there are

78:55

those people who exist but I think for a

78:57

lot of people this should not be a scary

78:59

thing the fact that after you've made it

79:01

and have some success and some some

79:02

wealth that you're not as hungry as you

79:04

used to be that's fine just you just

79:06

have to accept it it gets dangerous when

79:09

people don't realize it and they they

79:11

are less hungry they're not as motivated

79:13

but they're still going to try to go

79:15

start a new business even though they

79:16

don't need it anymore and then they're

79:17

shocked when that business doesn't work

79:19

he said to me you need to take on a

79:22

moonshot and cuz he know he goes you you

79:24

did the first business you did well

79:26

whatever Etc he goes the thing that will

79:27

make you hungry and sufficiently

79:29

terrified is you now need to find a big

79:32

scary terrifying goal that's what Elon

79:34

did with Twitter yeah he'd already

79:36

become the richest man in the world and

79:37

he probably got bored a little bit and

79:38

he said I need to do something that's

79:40

crazy and that even for someone like me

79:42

is going to be an absolute stretch to

79:43

pull off crazy which is buying Twitter

79:45

and running into the ground I mean

79:46

there's no surprise that billionaires

79:48

will seem to start rocket companies yeah

79:50

I mean the reason that they are

79:52

successful is because they have that

79:53

complete swing for def fenses I mean

79:55

most people would quit full stop when

79:57

their net worth hit 10 million or less 3

80:00

million and so for someone to have a net

80:02

worth of 10 billion and to wake up and

80:04

say I'm going to keep going as hard as I

80:06

possibly can that's why they have that

80:08

level of success it's complete

80:09

insatiable Hunger for More I sat with a

80:12

billionaire when I was

80:13

20 going to say 24 years old and I sat

80:16

in his office and I thought okay this

80:17

could be really interesting I get to

80:18

meet this very successful person in

80:20

Manchester and I looked into his eyes

80:22

and said why are you doing this like you

80:24

have all this money and it became

80:26

completely apparent to me that it was

80:27

not about the money it was all about

80:29

competition I then went and met another

80:31

billionaire who was in Manchester runs

80:32

another big company Manchester everybody

80:33

knows the company and it was the same

80:35

thing with him it was the thing that had

80:37

got him to a billion was the thing that

80:40

was going to keep him going after a

80:41

billion yeah I mean there's there's a

80:44

chapter in my book about natural Maniacs

80:46

like people like wild Minds people the

80:47

kind of person like Elon Musk who has

80:49

that mindset to say you know when he was

80:52

30 years old or whatever he took on GM

80:55

Ford Chrysler and NASA when he was like

80:57

30 the kind of person who thinks that is

81:00

not the kind of person who's going to

81:01

say I have enough I'm going to put it

81:03

all in Muni bonds and go live on the

81:04

farm like it's not the person who thinks

81:07

they can do that and can pull that off

81:09

is the kind of person who's never going

81:10

to stop if Elon Must List till he's 97

81:12

he's going to be starting new rocket

81:13

companies for sure do you think he's

81:15

happy no absolutely none I think most

81:17

people in that situation the word that I

81:19

would use is tortured I think they wake

81:21

up every morning tortured at the

81:23

problems that they are aspiring to solve

81:25

that they haven't solved yet there's

81:27

almost no biography of a very successful

81:30

person like that of that level of

81:32

success that you would read their

81:33

biography and say that life sounds great

81:35

it's one of the things that hit me like

81:36

a train truck was those two billionaires

81:38

I met were just the most miserable

81:40

people absolutely and I met their their

81:42

one of their sons and they go dad is so

81:44

unhappy I remember him saying that to me

81:46

and just go [ __ ] he's going to that

81:48

office every single day has a billion

81:49

dollars and his kids think he's like sad

81:52

there's this amazing story do you

81:54

remember uh

81:55

Myspace back in the day before before

81:57

Facebook and the guy who ran it his name

81:58

was Tom I forget his last name but when

82:00

you signed up for Myspace Tom was your

82:02

first follow he was the founder of

82:04

Myspace and every he followed everybody

82:07

and he sold Myspace I think to Qualicom

82:10

maybe no I'm sorry he sold he sold

82:13

Myspace to Viacom and uh did pretty well

82:16

let's say I'm guessing let's say he made

82:18

$50 million it's probably something in

82:20

in in in that range it's it's probably

82:21

nothing that's dramatic 500 was it he

82:24

sold the company for that much actually

82:26

don't but it was it was it was it was a

82:28

good but not extraordinary sum of money

82:30

and you can see his life on Instagram

82:32

it's not exaggeration he's like travels

82:34

around the world with his girlfriend

82:36

hiking in Bali it looks like at least

82:38

from Instagram he lives this amazing

82:39

life and then think about Mark

82:41

Zuckerberg who is like every year hauled

82:43

before Congress where he's like screamed

82:46

at for causing all of society's ills and

82:48

he has so much on his shoulders and

82:50

Facebook stock fell 70% last year

82:53

because everyone thinks it's going to

82:54

and like it looks like a very stressful

82:56

incredible amount of pressure on his

82:58

shoulders if you were to ask me which

83:01

one of those lives would I take would I

83:02

rather be someone with $50 million who

83:04

was traveling around the world hiking in

83:07

Bali with my wife or would I be wor a

83:09

hundred billion do and wake up every

83:11

morning scared shitless with so much

83:13

pressure on my shoulders for me it's

83:15

obvious I'd much rather be Tom than Mark

83:17

but that pressure is a drug in the sense

83:21

that when I say the pressure is a drug I

83:22

mean we know from motivation psychology

83:25

and I mean I think I saw on the back of

83:27

your your book yeah Daniel H pink y

83:30

Daniel pink told me that when people

83:32

aren't sufficiently challenged they lose

83:33

motivation and their level of challenge

83:35

kind of increases so to be engaged with

83:37

a task you need to um and you think of

83:40

this like game psychology the levels

83:42

need to get harder and harder for you to

83:43

be engaged that's why every game we play

83:45

it's not on level one over and over and

83:47

over again we need it to go to level two

83:48

crosswords get more difficult we stay

83:50

engaged do you not think that's the case

83:52

with like a big famous CEO know that

83:54

their engagement appetite their

83:56

challenge appetite just grows and that's

83:59

the only way they can stay engaged solve

84:01

bigger problems I think if you look at

84:02

someone like Bill Gates I think he had

84:04

figured out business and in 2000 he he

84:09

effectively quit Microsoft but he

84:10

immediately moved on to what I think was

84:12

in his mind a bigger problem which was

84:14

like how do I give this money away

84:15

effectively and how do I eradicate

84:17

malaria those kind of problems and so

84:19

even for someone like him who was able

84:20

to extract himself from the business

84:22

they' immediately move on to something

84:24

that I think in his mind was more

84:26

problematic and a bigger challenge so

84:28

there's never going to be a period where

84:29

someone like that were to say I've had

84:30

enough I'm just going to retire to read

84:32

books like that will never be the case

84:34

it's always going to be I think they're

84:35

addicted to the challenge is what it is

84:38

yeah and I think I I think I am I think

84:40

I think everybody is to some extent and

84:42

the mus and the gates those people are

84:44

extreme examples of it but every I think

84:46

everybody needs a minimum level of

84:49

stress in their life and the irony is

84:51

that we all kind of dream about like

84:53

what can I do to at the stress so I just

84:55

wake up in Nirvana every day and you

84:57

can't everyone needs to have some sort

85:00

of conflict Strife challenge stress in

85:03

their life and for I think for a lot of

85:04

people if they don't get it from real

85:06

places they just make up fake problems

85:08

in their life that's that's a big

85:09

problem with people for people who

85:11

richer people who have a lot of things

85:12

they will start worrying and stressing

85:14

about the most minute things because

85:16

they need that stress in their life on

85:19

that point as well just popping back to

85:20

we were talking about the complacency

85:22

the other thing that I think successful

85:24

people become a victim of is their own

85:27

correctness I think about that with me

85:29

like I've been right about several

85:30

decisions in a row so surely that

85:32

creates evidence that I'm probably right

85:34

again and that can be your downfall as

85:36

well or what a lot of it is is you were

85:38

right on this topic and then therefore

85:40

you assume that you're going to be right

85:41

on another topic and you didn't know the

85:42

role luck might have played you didn't

85:44

know what luck would play but let's say

85:45

you're a very successful investor and

85:48

then and they'll say you're like

85:49

massively successful a lot of those

85:50

people will think therefore I can also

85:53

be an effective politician

85:54

therefore I can also be an expert on Co

85:57

whatever it would be because they think

85:58

they're so smart in this area that they

86:00

must be smart in other areas a lot of

86:02

doctors have this problem with investing

86:04

where they think I'm a doctor I'm very

86:06

successful I got a PhD from a great

86:08

school therefore I can pick the stocks

86:10

because I'm a smart person and that

86:12

level of overconfidence is their undoing

86:14

can success I think your book the one of

86:16

the key things that stayed with me and I

86:18

didn't need to recap myself on was the

86:19

stories you told about people

86:22

that accurately predicted what was going

86:25

to happen in the stock market against

86:26

all conventional wisdom they all from

86:29

what I recall they went on to lose their

86:30

money eventually anyway a lot of them

86:32

yeah yeah what is that story you told in

86:33

your book there's a story about a guy

86:34

named Jesse Livermore who was back in

86:36

the 1920s he was the most successful

86:38

investor in the world and what's so

86:40

amazing about Jesse Livermore is that I

86:42

think four different occasions in his

86:43

life he became the equivalent of a

86:45

billionaire adjusted for inflation and

86:47

then went bankrupt four separate times

86:49

in his life so he was the person who was

86:51

like better at anyone in the world at

86:54

making money and had no skill whatsoever

86:56

at keeping money and that's someone who

86:59

like even when he became at one point he

87:01

was the richest man in the world and

87:03

rather than saying I have enough it's

87:05

enough he have said let's cap te bigger

87:07

bets let's swing even harder next time

87:09

it goes never enough and he eventually

87:12

the last time he went broke he

87:13

eventually ended up killing himself it's

87:15

the most amazing like just fascinating

87:17

life that you can imagine of someone who

87:19

is so good at making money but never

87:23

knew when to stop and it is actually the

87:25

more money he made the more risk he

87:26

wanted to take so it was always like his

87:29

I I think his outcome was always

87:32

predestined because there was never

87:34

going to be a moment like the Richer he

87:35

be the more successful he became the

87:37

higher the odds that he was going to

87:40

fail and I think there's some version of

87:43

that for a lot of people because it

87:44

because their success increases their

87:47

confidence more than their ability and

87:49

they don't even know that that's a

87:50

problem that you can't self diagnose

87:52

like if you're confident you think it's

87:53

earned and you think it's real and and

87:56

then because you're successful a lot of

87:58

people who when you were poorer or less

88:00

successful they would tell you you're

88:02

being an idiot you're wrong you're not

88:04

right about this but when you're rich

88:06

maybe because you employ them or because

88:08

they think that you're so smart even

88:10

when you say something stupid they might

88:12

go yeah maybe it's right go for it and

88:15

therefore you don't have people who are

88:16

telling you how overconfident you are

88:18

that again it comes down to humility

88:20

doesn't it a lot of it yeah and like I

88:22

think that's that's that's so much of it

88:24

and like and I think you have to go out

88:25

of your way sometimes for that humility

88:27

that when you have some level of success

88:29

in your life whatever that level is just

88:31

always remind yourself I think I

88:33

remember there was a quote that I think

88:34

it was um Roman Warriors that when they

88:37

would come home from a battle that they

88:38

won and they were in like the Parade of

88:42

you know like we won the battle and

88:43

we're going to go in the parade that

88:45

like we're we're the victors were so

88:46

great that they would have someone by

88:48

their side whispering in their ear

88:51

something something along the lines of

88:53

you're not that great

88:54

because they're in this parade where

88:55

they're glorious and like Victorious but

88:58

they need to someone to bring them back

88:59

down to earth and be like hey you're

89:01

just a you're just a dude you're just a

89:03

guy you're not that special you're very

89:05

fallible like make the like tame it down

89:08

they would actually hire people to do

89:09

that for them and I think if you look at

89:11

a lot of like the great entrepreneurs a

89:13

lot of the great investors they will

89:15

have some sort of partner with that

89:18

Charlie Munger is that to Warren Buffett

89:20

like when Warren Buffett comes up with

89:22

an idea a big part of Charlie munger's

89:23

job is to tell him when he's being an

89:24

idiot and to have someone like Warren

89:26

Buffett who will trust a person like

89:28

that and to have someone like Munger who

89:29

is willing to do something like that is

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how you get on confidence which comes

91:50

from success often really does create

91:52

blind spots and that's something I think

91:53

about so much like how do I stay aware

91:57

of those blind spots in my life that you

92:00

know the success I've had in various

92:01

areas has undeniably created and

92:04

honestly a lot of I just go just save

92:05

loads of money Steve because the day

92:07

you're wrong you don't want to go broke

92:09

I also think about that like whenever

92:11

the curtain comes down on my career I

92:12

want to make sure that I can say like

92:14

hey thank you for for for letting me

92:18

have this I'm so grateful for it but I

92:20

I've saved enough that like I'm ready to

92:21

pass a baton to someone else and that's

92:24

a form of humility too there's a quote

92:26

from Denzel Washington where he's

92:27

talking to Will Smith After Will Smith

92:29

slapped Chris Rock remember that whole

92:31

debacle after that show Denzel

92:33

Washington comes up to Will Smith and he

92:34

says will when you're at your highest

92:36

moment in your career that's when the

92:38

devil's going to get you and it's like

92:41

when when when you when your career is

92:42

so high and you're so famous you think

92:44

so highly of yourself that you can do

92:45

anything that's when you're going to get

92:47

yourself into

92:48

trouble what a powerful quote and I

92:51

think just paying attention to that

92:52

that's the natural humility that goes

92:54

into it and it's not false humility it's

92:56

not like oh I you know false humility is

92:58

like I I didn't do any of this I just

93:00

got lucky that's all false humility I

93:02

think real humility is like I built this

93:04

through hard work and I made some good

93:06

decisions but I'm just I'm just a guy

93:08

I'm as fallible as anybody else I think

93:11

that's it's that's not just important I

93:12

think that's critical to any amount of

93:14

sustainable success you taught me that

93:16

the price you pay to be wealthy is the

93:20

volatility you have to incur along the

93:23

way kind of how I think about it in my

93:24

head that's the cost of admission to

93:26

being to being wealthy and to to be to

93:28

any level of success is putting up with

93:30

an enduring unknowns and volatility and

93:34

Booms and busts and then other [ __ ]

93:36

that you put up with in the investing

93:37

market and in your career and in your

93:39

relationships there's always a cost for

93:42

anything good in life there's a cost

93:44

that you have to pay like of course like

93:46

nothing's free like that but most of the

93:48

costs that you pay are not they don't

93:50

have a price tag that you can just

93:51

measure very cleanly like the cost of

93:54

doing well at investing is putting up

93:55

with volatility the cost of a successful

93:57

career might be long hours where you

93:59

were pulled away from your family the

94:01

cost of a relationship is like always

94:03

needing to sacrifice and compromise for

94:06

the other person nothing is ever free

94:08

and so much of the success in life is

94:10

just identifying what the cost is and

94:12

being willing to pay it because for all

94:14

of those things I just laid out

94:15

investing career relationships the cost

94:18

of admission is worth it putting up with

94:20

the volatility is worth it over time

94:23

because if you can put put up with the

94:24

stock market falling 30% if you could

94:26

just say ah it's not that big a deal I'm

94:27

just going to hold tight 10 years from

94:29

now the cost is well worth doing that be

94:31

rich if you can put up with the

94:33

compromise that takes to have a

94:34

successful relationship by and large

94:36

that's going to be a cost that's worth

94:38

paying because you know like so much of

94:40

what matters in life is just the

94:42

relationships that you have and once you

94:44

identify the cost of that relationship

94:46

you're like oh I'll pay that cost all

94:47

day long so worth it this requires you

94:49

to be cognizant of time Horizons and

94:51

your own time Horizons which is

94:52

something you talk a lot about in

94:54

chapter 16 of the psychology of money

94:56

why is it important for us to know our

94:58

time Horizons and what do you mean by

95:00

time Horizon it's the the amount of time

95:02

between now and whatever your goal is

95:05

which is very different for everybody

95:06

not just by your age but like if you

95:08

want to retire early or whatever would

95:09

be like everyone's going to have a

95:10

slightly different time Horizon what's

95:12

yours mine I mean I you would break it

95:14

up into different chunks like I want to

95:16

get to a point or maybe I'm nearing a

95:18

point in my career where I'm just doing

95:21

things because I enjoy them there's

95:24

really no Financial incentive to what

95:25

I'm doing that's one time Horizon

95:28

another is like okay once my kids start

95:31

getting older I I want to make sure that

95:32

like I'm always there for them when they

95:34

need me teenage years are so difficult

95:36

for people like I'm always 24/7 I'll be

95:39

there for you which means I'm going to

95:40

have to pull back there's going to be a

95:41

point where I just say look I've

95:43

accomplished what I want to with writing

95:45

and I want to be able to move on to

95:47

something else and there's going to be a

95:48

point where I say I really don't want to

95:49

work that much anymore I just want to

95:50

move on and maybe I need to take care of

95:52

my parents would it be so like there's

95:53

multip multile different time Horizons

95:54

at different goals of your life is

95:56

buying a house a good or bad financial

95:58

decision I'll tell you my own experience

96:00

which was in my 20s and early 30s my

96:03

wife and I lived in like seven different

96:05

cities and there was nothing better for

96:07

us some of those were just like let's

96:09

try this new city for fun some of it was

96:11

moving for work we moved for her school

96:14

and our ability to just get up and go

96:15

hand the keys back to the landlord

96:17

nothing was more valuable than that once

96:19

we had our son our first kid then very

96:22

quickly nothing became more valuable to

96:24

me than having an established secure

96:27

home base that nobody could take away

96:29

from me that was The Cure and also like

96:32

kids are loud and they scream and I

96:33

didn't want Neighbors in an apartment

96:35

building that I was going to have to

96:36

like try to keep my kid quiet from so I

96:38

was I want my own house that's mine and

96:40

it's just a standalone house my kid can

96:42

scream as loud as he wants not bothering

96:44

anybody else that became important to me

96:46

like instantly so it's Le I think people

96:48

get caught up when they're like well the

96:50

housing market returns 4 and a half% per

96:52

year that's it's like with the

96:54

spreadsheets like just do what's going

96:56

to work for you I know I know RIT Siti

96:59

has a lot of thoughts about this on

97:01

renting versus buying and I think one

97:03

one of like the differences between

97:05

remit and myself is I have two young

97:08

kids and so like that that if I didn't

97:10

have kids I think I would be like rent

97:12

rent forever really and try and try

97:14

different cities move all move all

97:15

around what could be better than that

97:17

but when you have kids what's more

97:19

important to me is stability I want my

97:21

kids to go to a stable School know their

97:23

neighbors have friends that they can be

97:24

friends with for years that's important

97:26

if we just think about investing then in

97:28

terms of is buying a house a good

97:30

Financial investment my brother who

97:31

works in my company and he's the one

97:33

that introduced me to your book many

97:34

many years ago said to me something

97:36

along the lines of Steve don't buy

97:40

houses to make money because you have

97:42

the ability to play a different set of

97:44

games that very few people can play yeah

97:47

and what I mean by that is he kind of

97:48

explained it to me goes listen everyone

97:50

can buy a house so the returns there

97:52

aren't going to be huge go find a game

97:54

that like only you can play you'll get

97:56

bigger returns if you're buying a house

97:58

because you think it's going to be a

97:58

good Financial investment stop like even

98:01

if it turns out in hindsight that it was

98:03

it doesn't matter I think these are just

98:05

purely lifestyle decisions and I think

98:07

so many people get screwed up when

98:09

they're in a spot in their life where

98:10

they should be renting because they need

98:12

to be mobile they need to move around to

98:13

a new job new career new school whatever

98:15

it is but they end up buying because

98:17

they think they're going to make money

98:18

doing it and that's like that's the

98:20

problem so I own a house and if I ended

98:22

up losing money on it I I I I don't

98:24

think I'd care that that's not why I'm

98:26

owning it I'm owning it just cuz I want

98:27

the stability for my family I've just

98:29

made an offer on my first ever house and

98:30

I cuz I played I played other money

98:32

games for the last decade of My Life um

98:35

and now I have a partner and we've been

98:36

together many years and we're both like

98:38

31 years old and we're getting into that

98:40

position now you know Y and my brother

98:42

explained to me he goes listen this is a

98:45

bad financial decision but it's a good

98:49

emotional social life decision and you

98:51

need to know how to separate the two

98:53

don't mark this down as a way that

98:54

you're trying to make money like you

98:56

might make money in 20 years time if you

98:58

just like if you're still living there

98:59

look at it as you know you need

99:01

somewhere to live and he must have got

99:02

that from you when I when I when we

99:04

bought our last house which was after I

99:05

wrote this book so this is a different

99:07

experience um I thought at the time and

99:10

still think today I I probably paid a

99:11

little bit too much I mean I paid the

99:12

market rate but if you said like oh did

99:14

you get a good deal I say no no not

99:16

didn't bother me in the slightest that's

99:17

not what I was doing it for it would I

99:19

mean it would be like if you ask like if

99:22

someone is deciding whether or not to

99:24

have kids and they think about the cost

99:26

of kids like forget of course you're

99:28

going to dump hundreds of thousands or

99:31

millions of dollars into your kids and

99:32

it's G it's like if if money is coming

99:35

into the equation like stop right there

99:37

this is it should not do it you're doing

99:38

it for very different reasons this is

99:40

not an investment people people buy

99:42

houses because they think that they're

99:43

making loads of money from because there

99:44

have been periods in time in which

99:45

people have made loads of money

99:46

historically like that's the anomaly

99:48

historically in the US and the UK

99:50

housing prices adjust over inflation go

99:52

nowhere it's just been the last 20 or 30

99:55

years that there's this very brief

99:56

window of time that owning a house was a

99:59

great investment Robert Schiller won the

100:01

Nobel Prize about a decade ago for his

100:03

work in showing that over the last 150

100:06

years in the United States adjusted for

100:08

inflation most home prices have been

100:10

flat as a pancake it's just the last 20

100:12

years that have inflated people's

100:14

expectations of what a house can

100:16

do statistically there's going to be at

100:18

least one person listening to this that

100:21

has made an offer as we speak for a

100:23

house under the assumption that it's

100:25

going to help them stack

100:29

wealth if they were purely doing it for

100:31

those reasons what would you tell them

100:33

to do instead if that's purely the

100:35

reason run for run for your life don't

100:37

do it particularly I mean it it used to

100:40

be and maybe it still is like this in

100:41

many cities in America in the UK but it

100:44

used to be that rentals were almost

100:46

without exception shitty houses there

100:49

were no good rentals a big change at

100:51

least in America in the last 20 years is

100:52

that most cities have tons and tons of

100:55

luxury apartments to live in and that

100:56

are great places to live and they're in

100:59

the city centers and they got beautiful

101:00

granite countertops and they're great

101:02

places to live don't fall for the idea

101:04

that you can't live well if you're

101:06

renting I think that's that's that's the

101:08

problem and realize that if you're doing

101:10

it for financial reasons you're probably

101:12

about to borrow a shitload of money for

101:15

an investment that historically has been

101:17

a very bad investment like if you put it

101:20

in those terms like what are we doing

101:22

here man going to borrow hundreds of

101:24

thousands of dollars for an investment

101:27

that historically has been a loss that's

101:29

what you're doing here does you feel

101:31

good about that that's what I'd say to

101:33

that person God

101:35

speed I I would love to be in the room

101:37

somewhere where that person has just

101:39

looked at their partner after persuading

101:42

them to make that offer because it was

101:43

going to make them Rich sorry guys the

101:45

um this new

101:48

book same as ever essentially it's 23

101:52

short stories about things that never

101:53

change in the world y well there's a

101:55

couple of really interesting things that

101:56

I pulled out one of them again which

101:58

really hit me in the face was this idea

102:00

that the best story wins I know this I

102:03

know this intuitively I talk about it on

102:04

stage but I don't think people

102:06

understand the power of the best story

102:09

wins because when you think about

102:10

entrepreneurship or investing or

102:11

pitching or sales what most people do is

102:14

they lead out with facts stats and

102:17

figures yeah and even one of the things

102:19

I've noticed about you from our

102:20

conversation now is you have a

102:21

remarkable ability to tell stor thank

102:23

you and there's a huge power in that

102:26

prove to me that the best story wins I

102:30

mean it's it's always the case that it's

102:31

not the right answer or the best answer

102:34

or the mathematically accurate answer

102:36

it's just whoever gets people to nod

102:37

their heads in the right direction

102:38

that's who's going to win over time some

102:40

of the examples of this that I Love Ken

102:42

Burns one of the most famous uh

102:44

documentary filmmakers of all time most

102:47

of what is are in his

102:49

documentaries is is information that

102:51

people already know he'll make a

102:52

documentary about Civil War World War II

102:54

Vietnam whatever it would be there's not

102:56

you're not learn necessarily learning

102:58

something new in there but he is

103:00

massively successful massively popular

103:04

because he's probably the greatest

103:05

Storyteller of our time so even when

103:07

you're taking information that people

103:08

already know if you can spin a good

103:10

story about it you get people lining up

103:13

and they will knock your door down to

103:15

listen to you one other example of this

103:17

are people who tell comedy if you're a

103:20

good comedian like that's all just

103:22

storytelling and a lot of what a good

103:23

comedian does is takes something that's

103:25

very obvious and simple but you can make

103:29

you can tell a good story about it you

103:30

can make people laugh and all of a

103:31

sudden you get their attention and

103:32

they'll remember it you said in the book

103:34

not the best idea or the right idea or

103:35

the most rational idea just whoever

103:37

tells a story that catches people's

103:39

attention I think there are dangerous

103:41

stories which is when people want to is

103:43

when people tell you what you want to

103:44

hear oh I got a dangerous story The

103:46

vaccine gives you autism I think I think

103:49

it's a story that people wanted to hear

103:50

some people wanted to hear that and if

103:52

you tell people what they want to hear

103:53

you can be wrong forever and people

103:56

won't care because you tell them what

103:57

they want to hear T shrot who's a

103:59

neuroscientist sat here and she told me

104:00

a story of Donald Trump stood on the

104:02

debate stage and they panned over to Dr

104:05

Tucker Carson I believe he's called and

104:06

asked him about the vaccine and he

104:08

basically gave stats facts and figures

104:10

He said That vaccine doesn't give kids

104:11

autism and then they like pan over to

104:13

Donald Trump and Donald Trump tells this

104:16

elaborate story about a friend of his

104:18

one person one friend of his clearly

104:21

doesn't exist one friend of his and he

104:23

describes the needle like this he goes

104:26

this huge needle yeah and he so vivid

104:29

Vivid personal and emotional yep and you

104:32

get people nodding their heads to that

104:33

and and and capturing their attention

104:35

tally said I'm a neuroscientist I knew

104:36

it was wrong however there was something

104:39

about hearing it that even as a

104:40

neuroscientist I look to my daughter and

104:42

go [ __ ] I think we've always been

104:44

storytellers and that's what's really

104:46

set humans apart that's the whole idea

104:48

from youval no Harari is that like what

104:49

sets humans apart is our ability to tell

104:51

and remember stories and it's made it so

104:54

it's just a tool to simplify facts in

104:57

the world like most people the other

104:58

thing is powerful about stories is that

105:00

you remember them you think about in

105:02

school when you had a math test and the

105:04

teacher just said memorize this formula

105:07

to regurgitate it on the test literally

105:09

5 minutes after the test is done you

105:10

forget it you have no idea what it was

105:12

but if you remembered a good story even

105:14

that you were told when you were two

105:15

years old you remember it for the rest

105:17

of your life so it's just a tool for

105:20

getting people to remember how the world

105:21

works and they be so persuasive and so

105:25

good at eliminating the uncertainty that

105:28

grates on all of us that people will

105:30

listen to and believe things even when

105:32

they're just obviously flagrantly not

105:34

true if it's what they want to hear

105:36

people talk about um when we're talking

105:39

about investing but generally life

105:40

people talk about compounding interest

105:42

and we all know the I think a lot of

105:43

people should know the power of

105:44

compounding interest now but we rarely

105:47

think about how compounding interest can

105:49

negatively slowly impact our lives and

105:52

in your chapter about tiny and

105:54

magnificent you explore that and again

105:56

this hit me like a truck in the face

105:58

because I I think I spend my time now

106:00

thinking about how getting things to

106:02

compound in my fa favor will change my

106:04

life but I don't spend a huge amount of

106:05

time thinking about how things are

106:06

compounding against me right now yeah

106:08

what what's really true is that most

106:10

good news happens slowly and most bad

106:12

news happens very fast so bad news is

106:15

like Co literally happens overnight boom

106:17

you got a you got a virus it's going to

106:18

kill millions of people shut down the

106:20

economy happens literally overnight 911

106:22

Happ happens start to finish it's like

106:24

30 minutes like boom just happens

106:25

immediately good news is usually slow

106:28

compounding over time so I use the

106:30

example of the book of like the

106:31

Improvement in heart disease mortality

106:34

over the last 70 years is Bonkers we've

106:36

made so much progress and saved

106:39

literally tens of millions of lives in

106:41

the fact that we've gotten better at

106:43

treating heart disease and but nobody

106:45

talks about it it's like it most people

106:48

are aren't even aware that it's happened

106:49

because if you look at what happened it

106:51

was the mortality improved it got better

106:53

by about 2% per year now if you compound

106:55

2% per year for 70 years it's off the

106:58

charts we're like living in such a

107:00

better world now than we were 70 years

107:01

ago but in any given year you didn't

107:03

even notice it you're never going to see

107:05

a news headline like breaking news heart

107:07

disease mortality improves by 1.4%

107:09

that's not a headline like all the

107:11

headlines are bad news because bad news

107:13

happens fast so once you realize that

107:15

then it's like most of the news is going

107:18

to skew negative not because there's

107:20

some producer who's trying to toy with

107:21

your brain it's just because what is

107:24

obviously happening today tends to be

107:26

the bad news where the good news is just

107:28

very slowly compounding over

107:31

time that can go in the other direction

107:33

of like bad news that compounds over

107:35

time I think about our health smoking

107:37

Health like that's like in like one

107:39

cigarette is not going to do anything

107:41

bad for you but one cigarette per day

107:43

for 30 years is catastrophic and so

107:46

that's that's really what it is like

107:47

same with like getting one bad night

107:48

sleep not that big a deal but if you're

107:50

sleeping 6 hours a night every night for

107:53

years on end you're going to reduce your

107:54

life expectancy by a tremendous amount

107:56

this idea of compounding interest and

107:58

compounding returns and how important it

108:00

is I've spent so long trying to explain

108:02

to people that compounding interest and

108:04

compounding returns this very hard thing

108:06

to think about is so important I imagine

108:09

you have two what is your go-to way of

108:11

explaining to like your eight-year-old

108:13

kid or someone else the power of

108:15

compounding we were actually going to

108:16

get like a bowl of rice here and I was

108:17

going to do some experiments the rice is

108:19

the best the the rice board experiment

108:20

if you if people aren't familiar with it

108:22

it's this story that's probably not true

108:24

that back 500 years ago someone uh you

108:27

know told the king they said hey here's

108:29

a here's a chess board I'm going to put

108:31

one grain of rice on the

108:33

first Square two on the second Square

108:36

four on the third and then let's do that

108:38

and by the end of the chessboard that's

108:41

like it's like more rice than exists in

108:43

the entire world because like if you

108:44

double something again and again and

108:46

again it's just completely

108:47

counterintuitive how big it can grow the

108:49

one way that I I I had a friend of mine

108:51

Michael batnick explained this to me

108:52

years ago I think he wrote this in a

108:54

blog post he said if I ask you what is 8

108:57

plus 8 plus 8 plus 8 you can do that in

108:59

your head like it's it's not it's not

109:01

that hard but if I say what is 8 time 8

109:03

time 8 time 8 like forget about it even

109:05

if you are really mathematically

109:07

inclined there's no way you can like

109:09

very few people could figure that out in

109:10

their head so our minds are just not

109:13

good at exponential thinking that's just

109:15

not it's it's just not something that

109:16

we're really geared towards doing like 8

109:18

plus 8 plus 8 it's like so simple linear

109:20

thinking so simple exponential thinking

109:22

not intuitive in the slightest and

109:24

because it's not intuitive it's so

109:25

common to underestimate what smoking is

109:28

going to do to you that compounds over

109:30

time what investing is capable of doing

109:32

to your wealth because it's so

109:34

counterintuitive that 99% of Warren

109:36

Buffett's net worth came after he was 60

109:38

years old not intuitive at all and so

109:41

since exponential thinking is not

109:43

intuitive both on the positive and the

109:44

negative side we go through life

109:47

underestimating what's going to happen

109:49

to us in good things and bad things it's

109:50

like a religion we have to adopt I think

109:52

I think that's a great way it's it's

109:53

like a mathematical religion because

109:56

just like a lot of religion it's like

109:57

it's not intuitive and it almost takes

109:58

like a leap of faith to be like I know

110:00

it's seems crazy but this is this is

110:02

what I believe I think there's a sense

110:04

of that to compounding where like it's

110:06

just math you can just put the numbers

110:07

in a spreadsheet and they'll tell you

110:08

what it is but since it's not intuitive

110:11

there's almost like a religious aspect

110:12

that you need to believe how powerful it

110:14

can be over time two of the chapters in

110:16

your book same is ever speak to the

110:17

importance of discomfort one of the

110:20

chapters is called when the magic

110:21

happens and you say in that chapter

110:22

stress pain discomfort shock and disgust

110:24

for all its tragic

110:26

downsides it's also when the magic

110:29

happens and then the other chapter where

110:31

you kind of speak to this is It's

110:32

supposed to be hard most things worth

110:34

pursuing charge their fee in the form of

110:36

stress uncertainty dealing with quirky

110:39

people bureaucracy other people's

110:41

conflicting incentives hassle nonsense

110:43

long hours and constant doubt that's the

110:45

overhead cost of getting ahead what's

110:47

interesting is I never tied those two

110:48

chapters together but you're right

110:49

they're they're almost the exact same

110:51

idea that for the the whole economy for

110:53

the whole world when the biggest

110:54

improvements in society takes place is

110:56

when there's some sort of disaster like

110:58

for all of its obvious downside and

111:01

death and destruction nothing has been

111:03

more technologically Progressive for the

111:05

world than World War II the number of

111:07

inventions that came out of World War II

111:09

from atomic energy to Jets and like go

111:12

on down the list penicillin all of these

111:14

lists for things that you and I are

111:16

taking advantage of today happened not

111:18

in spite of but because of World War II

111:20

because there was this period where

111:21

everyone in the world came together and

111:23

they're like holy [ __ ] we got a big

111:24

problem to figure out let's put our

111:26

heads together and figure this out right

111:27

now but that's also on a personal level

111:29

on a personal level it happens as well

111:30

too like there there's there's there's a

111:32

book written many years ago called the

111:34

upside of down that's I thought that

111:36

just a brilliant title like the like the

111:37

upside of being down and it happens a

111:40

lot that when you have maybe it's a job

111:41

layoff or a breakup or a medical

111:43

emergency whatever it can be that it

111:45

changes you for the good and it's hard

111:48

it's always impossible to see that

111:49

silver lining in the moment you don't

111:51

ever imagine there's going be a silver

111:53

lining in that moment but when you look

111:55

back in hindsight it will be I saw this

111:57

recent example of this that really

111:58

knocked me on my ass it was Steven coar

112:01

who I might be getting these details

112:02

wrong but I think when he was uh a young

112:05

child his father and brother died

112:08

tragically and he said at one point that

112:12

uh I don't want to put words in his

112:13

mouth but he said something along the

112:14

lines of like he is grateful for that

112:17

and he was asked like what do you mean

112:18

you're grateful for that and he said

112:19

look of course I wish it never happened

112:22

but it allowed him to understand the

112:26

emotions of other people and get closer

112:27

to other people who had also experience

112:29

something like that and so even in like

112:31

the deepest darkest moment of his life

112:34

that he says he of course he wishes it

112:35

didn't happen it taught him something

112:36

about Humanity that he's Greatful for

112:38

today that's an extreme example but I

112:41

think for a lot of people being laid off

112:43

from a job in the moment is going to be

112:45

the hardest thing they've ever dealt

112:46

with and in hindsight it's going to be

112:48

one of the best things that ever

112:49

happened to their career a breakup might

112:51

be the hardest thing you've ever been

112:52

through and in hindsight it might be the

112:54

best thing that's ever happened to you

112:56

so I that's always like that's when the

112:58

magic happens is when things get really

112:59

tough It's just always impossible to see

113:01

that when you're going through it a lot

113:03

of people would have clicked on to this

113:04

conversation and if they've gotten to

113:05

the end of the conversation well done to

113:07

them what conclusion can we offer them

113:10

based on everything we've talked about

113:11

as it specifically relates to wealth

113:14

creation and money first I think for

113:16

both of these books we're almost ending

113:18

exactly where we started which is like I

113:20

hope they get you to think about your

113:22

life in different way both of these

113:24

books and the Publishers hated this

113:26

there's no advice in the books never do

113:28

I say and therefore you should do this

113:31

and the publisher wants you to do that

113:32

and I said no no no because I don't know

113:34

you I don't know the person reading this

113:35

book who am I to say what you should do

113:37

with your own life I don't even know to

113:38

do with my own life but I hope it gets

113:40

you thinking about what you want and who

113:43

you are and what you are capable of what

113:46

you're not capable of if it gets you

113:48

thinking about your life then I think

113:50

I've been successful doing this rather

113:52

other than trying to assume that I can

113:53

give you specific advice about what to

113:55

do Morgan we have a closing tradition on

113:58

this podcast where the last guest leaves

113:59

a question for the next guest not

114:00

knowing who they're going to be leaving

114:01

it for and the question that's been left

114:03

for you

114:05

is what is your biggest regret in life

114:08

and how has that experience changed

114:12

you I think I've uh always been prone to

114:17

mild depression not not significant but

114:20

mild depression and anxiety and I wish I

114:23

could go back to different periods of my

114:25

life in a time machine and just say it's

114:28

going to be okay it's not going to be

114:30

easy it's not going to be perfect but

114:32

it's gonna it's it's going to be fine

114:34

and I I I look back not with regret but

114:38

how much time have I wasted worrying

114:39

about things that never happened and

114:42

were almost certainly never going to

114:43

happen a tremendous amount and even if I

114:47

recognize that today I know I'm going to

114:49

worry about something tonight and

114:51

tomorrow and next week about something I

114:52

really shouldn't be worrying about I

114:54

don't know if I regret it because I

114:55

think having a sense of worry has kept

114:57

me safe A lot of times it's kept me out

114:59

of trouble in in a lot of things but I

115:01

do look back at the course of my life

115:03

and think man like I could have been

115:05

happier than I was if I had accepted a

115:09

certain level of just telling myself

115:10

it's going to be

115:12

okay well you're not going to have to

115:13

worry about your book because it's

115:15

superb thank you genuinely I I you know

115:18

hope my audience trust me um but I I

115:20

would really implore them to get both

115:22

books I mean the psychology of money I

115:23

think is the best book on money ever

115:24

written it's pretty much also the only

115:26

book I've ever read on money and then

115:28

same as ever is

115:30

just it's everything it's advice on

115:33

money life relationships everything that

115:35

matters because there are a set of

115:36

enduring principles that speak to the

115:39

fundamentals of life in a way that is

115:41

completely enduring you have a wonderful

115:42

ability to write enduring things and you

115:44

tell wonderful stories like you say I

115:46

actually didn't even notice that you

115:47

didn't give me advice when you said that

115:48

You' not given me advice any and I never

115:50

will to anybody bullshitting but you

115:51

know think about it you didn't I I

115:53

garnered my advice from the stories you

115:55

told and the evidence you provided

115:57

Morgan thank you so much I'm so glad we'

115:58

managed to have this conversation and

115:59

it's been a huge honor and pleasure um

116:02

to meet you thank you as well because I

116:04

can't imagine how many millions of

116:05

pounds you've Saved Me by writing this

116:06

book genuinely it's such an honor to do

116:09

this with you Stephen this been a lot of

116:10

fun thank

116:13

you as you'll know this podcast is

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sponsored by hu and we're going into

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that last quarter of the year it's

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getting a little bit colder back into

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our routines back into our work rhythms

116:22

and it's in those moments that I need to

116:25

focus most on my diet as I get back into

116:27

the swing of work I need to get back

116:28

into a routine as it relates to my diet

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and that's really where hu's RTD they're

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116:47

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[Music]

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a

Interactive Summary

This video features an in-depth conversation with Morgan Housel, author of 'The Psychology of Money' and 'Same as Ever', who discusses his unconventional approach to wealth and life. Housel argues that true wealth is not about spending, but about maintaining independence and autonomy through frugality. He explores why expectations must be kept low, why 'enough' is the hardest financial skill to master, and how endurance and patience are far more valuable for long-term investing than trying to beat the market. He also shares profound insights on handling risk, dealing with uncertainty, and the power of storytelling over raw data.

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