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Silicon Valley’s Case Against The Wealth Tax

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Silicon Valley’s Case Against The Wealth Tax

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1000 segments

0:00

But this is specifically designed, as

0:02

Bradley astutely pointed out, to

0:03

villainize the rich, to villainize

0:05

successful people. And when they hear

0:08

that you want to put the eye of every

0:12

socialist lunatic in New York on Ken

0:14

Griffin's house, or you want to

0:16

villainize Larry and Sergey,

0:18

uh they leave. They don't want to be in

0:20

a state where they're not wanted.

0:22

>> [music]

0:22

>> And also, it's dangerous. We've now

0:24

tipped over with the United Healthcare

0:25

CEO Brian Thompson being murdered.

0:28

They're literally putting targets on

0:29

people's back. And the target they're

0:31

putting on their back is this person's

0:32

successful, [music] and you should hate

0:34

them for being successful.

0:40

Welcome to [music] Prop G Markets. I'm

0:42

Ed Elson. It is May 20th. Let's check in

0:45

on yesterday's market vitals.

0:47

The major indices ended the day in the

0:49

red with tech stocks declining ahead of

0:51

Nvidia's earnings due tonight. Brent

0:54

crude climbed back above $110 per barrel

0:57

with no progress on Iran, and the yield

0:59

on 30-year Treasuries hit its highest

1:01

level since 2007 on long-term energy

1:04

inflation expectations. Traders are

1:06

increasingly anticipating a rate hike

1:08

from the Federal Reserve, and on

1:10

Calc-U-Late, the odds that we will see a

1:11

hike this year have climbed to 43%.

1:16

Okay, what else is happening?

1:20

Billionaire wealth has more than doubled

1:22

since 2019, and now voters want to tax

1:26

it. The 2026 Billionaire Tax Act is

1:28

officially on the November ballot in

1:31

California. It would impose a one-time

1:34

5% tax on the assets of Californians

1:37

worth $1 billion or more. The union

1:39

backing the measure says the goal is to

1:41

prevent hospital closures across

1:42

California and fund state programs, but

1:45

the proposed tax has drawn fierce

1:47

opposition. Critics argue that wealth

1:49

taxes target the people driving

1:51

investment and job creation, and could

1:53

push them out of the state. And

1:55

California is just the start. Senator

1:58

Bernie Sanders and Congressman Ro Khanna

2:00

have introduced a federal version that

2:03

would go even further with a 5% annual

2:06

tax on every American billionaire. So,

2:09

we figured that this was a good time to

2:11

have a discussion about the wealth tax

2:13

with two people who have thought very

2:15

hard about it. Today, we are speaking

2:17

with Jason Calacanis, investor and host

2:20

of the All-In podcast, and also Bradley

2:23

Tusk, founder and CEO of Tusk Ventures.

2:27

Jason and Bradley, thank you so much for

2:29

joining me here on Prof G Markets.

2:31

Bradley, I'm going to start with you

2:33

because you've just written about this.

2:36

I'd like to just sort of set the stage

2:37

here.

2:38

We're thought talking about taxing

2:40

billionaires, not just in California,

2:43

but also across the rest of of the

2:45

nation or at a federal level. How did we

2:47

get here? And when you look at

2:49

California, what are the chances that

2:52

you think this will actually go through?

2:54

Yeah, there is, in my view, no question

2:56

that we have an income inequality

2:58

problem in the United States. Um the

3:00

question is, how do you best go about

3:02

solving it? And to me, you know, there's

3:05

half a dozen ideas that are a lot better

3:08

than a billionaires tax. And I'm saying

3:10

this is someone who ran the state of

3:12

Illinois. I was the deputy governor. I

3:14

oversaw the state's budget and

3:16

operations. And so, every year, I had to

3:19

figure out how we were going to take in

3:21

money, and then how we were going to

3:22

distribute it. And I know for a fact

3:24

that every time that someone like Ed

3:26

Ellison sent us a dollar in tax revenue,

3:29

by the time that money reached the

3:30

people in need, 30-40 cents on that

3:33

dollar was gone. And so, sure, we could

3:36

make billionaires pay more in taxes, but

3:39

odds are a lot of that really is just

3:41

about, you know, further full-time

3:43

employment for the public sector and

3:46

public sector unions, who are big

3:48

Democratic donors. And so, I do think

3:51

that people who have more should have to

3:53

pay more. I don't think that this is the

3:55

way to do it. Um but the reason we're

3:57

here is there is political opportunity

4:01

in exploiting the anger of people, and

4:02

you see that from both sides. Trump is a

4:04

master out of that at the right, and

4:06

people like Sanders are masters out on

4:08

the left. And when you take people's

4:10

frustrations with their lives, and you

4:12

stoke their anger, and you promise them

4:14

revenge and justice, they will vote for

4:16

you. And therefore, the more they vote

4:18

for you, and the more they pay you

4:19

attention, and the more they donate

4:20

money, the more you do it. And so, we're

4:23

in this self-fulfilling cycle now, where

4:25

both sides are incentivized to be as

4:27

demagogic as possible, and ideas like

4:30

billionaires taxes or whatever else

4:32

become very popular. In terms of your

4:34

second question out of will this pass,

4:37

I'm not sure. So, the latest polling

4:39

that I saw did have it at about 50%

4:42

support, 28% opposed, and the other 23

4:45

or whatever it was undecided. But if you

4:47

look at Cal Western polling market, it's

4:49

much more like two to one against. Um

4:52

so, that kind of gives you a mixed

4:53

thing. On a more basic level, on the

4:56

30-something years I spent in politics,

4:58

the way I would look at this is to say,

5:00

the average person, when they see the

5:02

ballot question, is going to say, um

5:04

does this affect me? No. Do I think

5:07

billionaires should pay more? Yes. Do I

5:09

want to see healthcare cut? No. And so,

5:11

that would argue that people will vote

5:13

for it. However, there were some pretty

5:16

fatal flaws, whether it just out of sort

5:19

of greed or stupidity by the proponents.

5:22

And one of them is that it allows the

5:25

California legislature to expand this to

5:27

any group they want, as long as

5:28

consistent with the intents and purposes

5:30

of the referendum, which means that 1.1

5:33

billion could fall to 110 million, or 11

5:36

million, or 1.1 million. Once you're 1.1

5:38

million, that's every homeowner in

5:40

California, pretty much. And so, um the

5:42

opposition will have a lot of money uh

5:45

to spend. And I think that if they can

5:47

craft the right message, they can win

5:49

this thing, but I think it's probably

5:51

going to be pretty close. Jason, you

5:53

speak with politicians, lawmakers, and

5:55

you also speak with many Silicon Valley

5:58

investors and Silicon Valley

5:59

billionaires on your podcast and through

6:02

through your investing. What do you make

6:05

of their reactions? How are they

6:07

reacting to this and then what do you

6:09

think about this California tax?

6:12

So, I think first you have to understand

6:14

it's not a

6:16

tax in the traditional sense. This is a

6:19

seizure.

6:21

So, they're not just saying, "Hey, you

6:22

got to pay 5% more." If it was, I don't

6:25

think they would have had any reaction

6:26

to it. If they said anybody with

6:28

equities that are valued over this

6:31

amount or if it was, you know, wealth

6:34

over a certain amount, nobody would have

6:36

complained. You might have had some

6:38

hand-wringing, but generally they've

6:40

been boiling the frog in New York and in

6:42

California where people pay over 50%

6:45

When I lived there, I paid well over

6:46

50%. I think New York's up to 54%. 54.

6:50

Yep, 54.

6:51

>> 54, yeah. So,

6:53

people are not complaining too much

6:55

about that. If they want to opt out of

6:56

it, they can. They can move to a no-tax

6:58

state and save 14, 15, 16%. Okay, great.

7:03

This is Tell me everything in your

7:05

house, Ed. Tell me every painting. Tell

7:07

me every car. Oh, you have the first

7:09

Model S. What's it worth? Okay, go find

7:12

somebody to appraise my two,

7:14

you know, classic cars. What are they

7:16

worth? And then we want 5% of those. So,

7:19

and then what do you have in private

7:21

companies? So, it's a seizure of assets.

7:24

I've already paid taxes on all of my

7:26

wealth

7:28

and so why am I then having to organize

7:31

everything, hire auditors? It's just

7:34

impossible

7:35

to execute on these.

7:37

In addition, the way it was written,

7:38

people who have preferred shares or a

7:40

found what's called founder shares like

7:42

10 to 1 super voting rights, would get

7:45

valued at the voting rights, not the

7:48

actual asset. That's why Larry and

7:50

Sergey, Zuckerberg, immediately left.

7:54

Travis has left, David Sacks has left.

7:57

The list of people leaving is huge. Why?

8:00

It is incredibly disruptive to have to

8:02

then go, make a list of everything you

8:04

own, and pay 5% of it. Nobody is upset

8:09

about paying more taxes. So, it's the

8:11

seizure part.

8:12

So, it's incredibly poorly constructed.

8:14

The second piece is

8:16

everybody knows that once you start a

8:18

tax, you never take it away. It is

8:21

incredibly hard to get rid of taxes. And

8:23

if you smoke cigarettes, or you stay in

8:26

hotels, you see the taxes, they never

8:29

come down. Nobody's eliminating taxes.

8:31

In some Republican states, they do lower

8:34

taxes when they have a windfall, or

8:36

they'll do like a tax moratorium for

8:38

some period of time if they have a

8:39

surplus. Things like universal health

8:41

care, the minimum wage, there are things

8:43

that we can do. But this is specifically

8:46

designed, as Bradley astutely pointed

8:48

out, to villainize the rich, to

8:49

villainize successful people. Being a

8:51

modestly successful person,

8:54

uh and knowing a lot of people who are

8:56

extremely successful, they're astute

8:58

people.

8:59

And when they hear that

9:02

you want to

9:04

uh put the eye of every socialist

9:07

lunatic in New York on Ken Griffin's

9:08

house, or you want to villainize Larry

9:11

and Sergey, uh they leave.

9:14

And it's partially because

9:16

well, they know it's going to get worse.

9:18

They don't want to be in a state where

9:19

they're not wanted. And also, it's

9:22

dangerous. We've now tipped over with

9:23

the United Healthcare CEO, and Brian

9:25

Thompson being murdered.

9:27

This is uh basically politicians like Ro

9:31

Khanna and others,

9:33

uh Mondami in New York,

9:35

Bernie, they're literally putting

9:37

targets on people's back. And the target

9:39

they're putting on their back is this

9:40

person's successful and you should hate

9:42

them for being successful. Full

9:44

disclosure, we were going to have Ro

9:46

Khanna on to discuss this.

9:49

Unfortunately, I think I'm going to have

9:50

to step in and and play the the devil's

9:52

advocate here. I was hoping that Ro

9:54

Khanna could do it, but I'm going to do

9:55

it for him and hopefully we'll have Ro

9:57

on another time and we can discuss this.

9:59

I think one response to your points,

10:01

Jason, would be that there is this

10:03

question of would it be effective? The

10:06

idea of can you appraise everyone's

10:08

assets and do that every year and count

10:10

up how much your art is worth and your

10:12

cars and your private companies and

10:14

would you do all of that and does that

10:15

make sense? Does it Is it possible?

10:17

There are very, very big questions

10:19

there.

10:20

But it does seem that it in a lot of

10:23

ways it seems like the the very richest,

10:26

the the centimillionaires, the

10:27

billionaires, in a way I think a lot of

10:29

people would say that that is an excuse

10:32

in order to not be taxed properly. And

10:34

the things that people would point to in

10:36

terms of the reason that you need

10:38

something like this, the reason that you

10:39

would need something quite dramatic, is

10:42

the fact that wealth inequality has

10:44

gotten, some would say, way out of

10:46

control. The top 19 households owning 2%

10:49

of all the household wealth up from 0.1%

10:52

just around uh 20 to 30 years ago. The

10:55

fact that the top 1% owns more of the

10:57

household wealth in America than the

10:59

entire middle class, that wasn't true 30

11:02

years ago. There are things that have

11:04

changed here. And it seems as though

11:06

this wallet might not be the most

11:10

>> [laughter]

11:10

>> effective or or easiest way to do it, to

11:13

Bradley's point. This is something. And

11:15

then when we propose something, then

11:17

suddenly the billionaires say, "This

11:19

isn't possible This isn't fair. I don't

11:21

like this. I'm out of here." Some would

11:23

say, "Maybe you just don't want to pay

11:25

taxes." What would you say to that

11:26

argument?

11:28

Uh well, I want to let Bradley get in

11:30

here, but I'll answer it as quickly as I

11:31

can. I don't want to monopolize the time

11:33

but um what I would say is if you think

11:36

there's a better way to tax then we

11:38

should do that as opposed to

11:41

villainizing folks and doing something

11:42

completely impractical that's

11:43

unconstitutional. I actually have some

11:45

recommendations here

11:47

and as a free market capitalist myself

11:49

I've invested in 700 companies some of

11:51

them have gotten very big and I invest

11:53

in 100 new companies a year. I do this

11:55

week in startups. I've done 2500

11:57

episodes where I interview startups. I'm

11:59

a fan of entrepreneurship. It is the

12:01

greatest force for change in the world.

12:03

Uh there's very simple things you can

12:05

do. You can look at something like

12:07

>> just Jason, I just want because I would

12:09

like to get to solutions. I think it's

12:11

important. I just want to understand

12:12

where you stand on this. Do you believe

12:15

that that billionaires that that the

12:18

richest in our society that there should

12:19

be more redistribution, that there

12:21

should be more taxation, that they

12:23

should be paying more in taxes just

12:26

generally?

12:27

>> Yeah, the the the biggest challenge is

12:29

So the the short answer is yes

12:31

and the the reason is capital gains has

12:34

not anticipated the concept of capital

12:36

gains which we want. We want people to

12:38

be investing. It wasn't really designed

12:41

for people to have large amounts of

12:43

wealth and to be able to set up margin

12:44

loans. Anybody who's got more than 10 or

12:47

20 million dollars can just set up a low

12:49

interest mortgage a low a low interest

12:51

margin loan for people who don't

12:52

understand what that is.

12:54

Essentially like a a credit line you

12:56

might have against your home like a home

12:57

equity line except it's against your

12:59

stocks. And you can just draw down from

13:02

it, pay it back and if your stocks are

13:04

growing more than 10% a year, 6, 7, 8,

13:07

9, 10% a year and your margin loan is

13:09

mine was as low as 2% which is

13:11

essentially free money. Now it's maybe

13:13

more like 5% given the but which is

13:16

still kind of free money. You know that

13:17

is a an actual loophole and people will

13:20

just keep drawing down on their margin

13:21

and their equities keep going up. Very

13:23

simple solution to all this is to look

13:24

at capital gains and income tax and find

13:27

something in the middle where we move to

13:29

sort of a flat tax and then

13:32

when you take out and you originate a

13:33

margin loan you you could put a tax on

13:35

it. So, let's say you had 10 million in

13:37

net worth you had 2 million

13:40

a 2 million dollar margin loan just to

13:41

make this easy

13:42

you could pay the capital gains on that

13:44

2 million margin loan or pay half of

13:45

them and then if you pay the margin loan

13:47

back you would get the credit for the

13:48

tax in the future. Very simple solution

13:51

and then finally I'll just say I think

13:52

we should really have a conversation

13:53

about minimum wage in this country which

13:55

I didn't used to think but my thinking

13:58

on it's evolved but I'll I'll let

13:59

Bradley jump in here. Yeah. Yeah,

14:00

Bradley so two suggestions there it

14:02

sounds like Jason's advocating for maybe

14:04

equalize capital gains versus income tax

14:07

also some sort of borrowing tax. What do

14:09

you make of Jason's thoughts and what do

14:10

you agree with or disagree? Yeah, I mean

14:12

I I think those are those are both good

14:14

good ideas but let's take a half a step

14:17

back if that's okay which is

14:18

if you take your devil's advocate

14:20

position the question is what are you

14:22

solving for right? So, there are two

14:24

different things. One would be

14:27

giving people who have less more and the

14:30

other would be promoting a concept of

14:32

fairness and I would say these two

14:34

things are at the moment not linked

14:36

together. So, for example in New York

14:39

City in 2012

14:41

we had 12.7% of America's millionaires.

14:44

In 2022 after tax increases a really bad

14:49

way to handle COVID excoriation of

14:51

people who are successful more

14:52

regulations everything else that fell to

14:55

8.7% and I'm sorry I meant millionaires

14:57

not billionaires. The resulting

14:59

differential in money for New York

15:01

City's and state budget was 13 billion

15:04

dollars a year in less tax revenue. So,

15:06

if you take Mondavi and all of his ideas

15:08

and all of his plans and his deficit all

15:11

of it would have been funded if we had

15:13

just maintained our percentage of

15:15

millionaires and this is why

15:17

jurisdictional tax increases tend to not

15:20

work particularly well because as Jason

15:22

said, people can move. People have been

15:25

moving already. And then if you are a

15:28

poor person, right, and you need public

15:30

housing, you need Medicaid, you need

15:32

food stamps, you don't care about social

15:34

justice, you care about the money being

15:36

there on the budget to provide you with

15:38

these things. So if California, which I

15:40

believe it would at the law at the

15:42

conclusion of if they do enact this tax,

15:44

or New York right now has the less money

15:47

to be able to help the poor,

15:49

then you're not solving for the problem

15:50

of inequality. You might be solving to

15:52

make people who are upper middle class

15:54

and highly progressive feel better

15:56

emotionally because they feel like now

15:58

the people who did better than them are

16:00

being justly punished. I don't care

16:02

about their emotional state or needs. I

16:04

care about helping poor people. So, the

16:06

two ideas Jason threw out there I think

16:08

are good ones. I'll throw some more out

16:09

there. Um I think that universal basic

16:12

income, where you give someone a dollar,

16:14

is a lot more effective than a system of

16:16

taxation and then appropriation. Now you

16:19

need taxation and you need government

16:22

for things that require collective

16:23

action, a military, a hospital, building

16:26

a road, things like that. But most

16:28

social services, um to me would be

16:31

unnecessary and you could make

16:32

government smaller, you could reduce

16:34

that part of the tax burden and instead

16:36

direct that money and more into a system

16:39

of a direct wealth transfer where if

16:40

people need money for rent or food or

16:43

clothes for their kids or whatever it

16:45

is, they would get it. And by the way,

16:47

let me give you a couple of ideas, of

16:48

which I'm an independent at this point.

16:50

So to to Jason's point, I left the

16:51

Democratic Party about 15 years ago. So

16:53

I have ideas that offend both sides,

16:55

right? So I think universal basic

16:56

income, I think Bernie was right about

16:58

Medicare for all. It is a successful

17:00

government program and there's no reason

17:02

not to let more people have access to it

17:04

if they want. You should still have

17:05

private insurance as an option as well.

17:07

Um I think we need to take things that

17:09

would really make life more affordable.

17:11

Um that includes tort reform. We have

17:13

$367 billion a year years on frivolous

17:16

lawsuits that results in all of us

17:18

having higher insurance premiums. I

17:20

think you need a lot more affordable

17:22

housing and as a result that means

17:24

taking a lot of the sort of, you know,

17:26

sacred cows of the You sound like you're

17:27

running, Bradley.

17:29

You know I'm not, but but I certainly

17:30

have a platform if I ever did.

17:33

Like endless environmental review,

17:35

endless community review, having to use

17:37

unions to build everything and and not

17:39

doing that.

17:40

>> though about people moving in geography.

17:43

This is the truth in today's era. The

17:45

people who are on the top half who are

17:47

business owners and who have equities

17:49

are running away with it. The people on

17:51

the bottom half of society who don't own

17:53

equities are stalled because America is

17:56

the greatest wealth creation machine in

17:58

the world. Our equities are phenomenal.

18:00

That's the win of America. So instead of

18:02

talking about how do we take more money

18:04

from the rich, we should be really

18:06

concentrating on

18:07

how do we get rid of waste which is

18:09

about 30% of all these budgets we found

18:11

out.

18:12

And then number two, how can we look at

18:16

the systematic things that people in the

18:18

lower half, non-equity holders, how do

18:21

we make them equity holders? That's what

18:23

this Trump accounts, America USA

18:25

accounts, they'll handle that. That's

18:27

going to take a 20 That's a 20-year

18:29

story. So we close that gap from kids up

18:31

and then we have the rich. So what do

18:32

you do with the people in between? I've

18:35

been studying minimum wage and you know,

18:38

I travel all over the world and in New

18:40

Zealand, Australia, the Nordics, it's 15

18:43

to 20 bucks.

18:45

You know, in US dollars as high as 20 to

18:47

25 dollars. I think Switzerland or

18:49

Norway might be the the leader right now

18:52

in the in the low 20s. In America it's

18:54

still federally seven and in different

18:56

locations it's 15 to 18 dollars, you

18:59

know, Portland, Seattle, San Francisco,

19:01

New York, etc.

19:02

We really should be looking at that

19:03

because when they raised the rates in

19:05

those other countries there was a lot of

19:06

hand-wringing that it would have a

19:07

negative impact on employment and it

19:09

would have a negative impact impact on

19:11

the economy. And what these studies

19:13

showed in those markets and they're not

19:14

perfectly analogous but they're worth

19:16

studying and considering and I'm not

19:18

finalized in my thoughts on this

19:20

but it turned out there was no

19:22

discernible increase in the cost of

19:24

goods it like added 50 cents to a cup of

19:26

coffee or a dollar to a hamburger in

19:28

other words it was no big deal it did

19:30

you got rid of tipping because people

19:31

were living had a

19:33

livable wage and then what happened for

19:35

the companies because everybody did it

19:37

in unison they were forced to do it

19:38

because of regulations

19:40

we had more customers who could afford

19:43

to go to Starbucks and buy a $5 coffee

19:45

or could afford to buy the next pair of

19:46

Nikes see actually take the

19:49

if you were in the bottom half of

19:51

society if you make over under $100,000

19:53

a year you're probably saving zero

19:55

except for mandatory savings like social

19:56

security you're saving zero so you spend

19:59

it all so then you just make more

20:00

consumers which is good for the rich

20:02

people and you get the virtuous cycle

20:03

going and I it's really like if I say on

20:06

all in I'm for reassessing the minimum

20:09

wage all you're a libtard whatever I'm

20:11

I'm a moderate independent every time I

20:13

bring this up rich people have

20:15

you know a very dogmatic approach to

20:17

this minimum wage has to be free market

20:20

it doesn't it doesn't it isn't right now

20:23

and so what would it kill society to try

20:25

raising it $1 a year for 5 years to go

20:28

from 7 to 12 dollars I can tell you none

20:30

of these [ __ ] would last

20:33

a week making $7 an hour or $15 an hour

20:37

because they'd be taking Uber Black and

20:39

ordering Door Dash and spending 150

20:41

bucks you know for their lunch and and

20:43

to commute so I think that's like where

20:45

we need [music] to spend our cycles

20:47

We'll be right back and if you're

20:49

enjoying the show be sure to subscribe

20:51

to the Profitt Markets YouTube channel

20:53

at the link below

20:56

>> [music]

21:04

[music]

21:11

>> We're back with property markets. I

21:13

think Jason, your point that when you

21:15

suggest raising the minimum wage and

21:18

then you're immediately dubbed as a

21:20

libtard gets to something important

21:22

here. Which is that a lot of people

21:24

would say that the same thing could be

21:25

said for one, the wealth tax, but we

21:28

could go a step further and say, you

21:29

know, for example, Zoran Mamdani's

21:32

recent pied-a-terre tax proposal. Which,

21:35

you know, a lot of people have have been

21:37

making the point where if you raise

21:39

taxes, then they'll leave. And then

21:41

Mamdani says, well, why don't we tax

21:43

people who have already left? This is

21:45

their second home. They're already gone.

21:47

Their tax dollars are gone. Why don't we

21:48

tax this? And then again, the response

21:51

is this is a libtard. This guy doesn't

21:54

know what he's talking about. I think on

21:56

the other side, the way that people

21:57

start to feel is that we're just

21:59

shooting down as many ways that we can

22:02

tax rich people as possible. And we're

22:04

using things like this is ineffective,

22:07

you're a libtard, you're a communist,

22:09

you're a socialist. To the point where

22:12

are we going to do anything? But I think

22:14

a lot of it again gets to the question

22:15

of are you trying to solve problems or

22:17

are you just trying to score political

22:19

points? So, you know, I came out in

22:20

favor of the pied-a-terre tax in New

22:22

York and said that I wasn't going to

22:24

oppose it or run any campaigns against

22:26

it. But when Mamdani then chose to make

22:29

Ken Griffin the face of it, which was

22:31

totally unnecessary because the

22:32

the the issue is not up for debate. Like

22:34

everyone supports it. So, he didn't need

22:36

to do anything. Now Griffin, who was

22:38

planning a $6 billion donation of 350

22:40

Park Avenue, might instead do that in

22:42

Florida, in Miami, which would mean

22:45

15,000 jobs that would have gone to New

22:47

Yorkers going to people in Florida

22:48

instead. And so if you care about New

22:52

Yorkers and their well-being, you

22:54

wouldn't take away 15,000 jobs. But the

22:57

reason why Mamdani did it, and I

22:59

understand politically why he did it, is

23:01

he ran for office promising social

23:03

justice, promising to tax the rich, and

23:06

that was an appealing message to help

23:07

get him elected. He thought he'd be able

23:09

to bully Kathy Hochul into doing an

23:11

income tax increase. He was totally

23:13

wrong, wasn't able [snorts] to do

23:14

anything. He got this effectively pretty

23:17

meager tax increase, and he had to make

23:20

it feel meaningful to his base so he

23:22

could get political credit for it

23:23

because otherwise it would look like he

23:25

failed. It was performative. Well,

23:27

right. And the way to do it was to make

23:28

it as controversial as possible. So, he

23:30

deliberately picked a fight with Ken

23:32

Griffin knowing that we'd all then talk

23:33

about it constantly.

23:34

>> is the next person who gets shot by the

23:36

next Mangione? And that is like

23:38

literally what people are thinking. I

23:40

can tell you like everybody working in

23:43

Silicon Valley, the number of people I

23:45

see with security teams now, and I'm

23:47

like, "Do you really need like I'll go

23:48

to dinner with five people and there's

23:50

15 security people." And I'm just like,

23:53

"What do we What are you guys doing

23:54

here?" And they're like, "Oh, I just had

23:56

a death threat. Oh, somebody just shot

23:57

the front of my house. Somebody threw a

23:58

firebomb at my house. Oh, somebody sent

24:00

a dead, you know, whatever." This is

24:02

like really happening, and the answer to

24:05

your question Ed earlier, which is

24:06

important, is if we're villainizing

24:08

everybody,

24:10

that's not helpful. Just to interrupt

24:12

Jason because agreed, we should not be

24:14

villainizing people. We should not be

24:16

posting images and videos of where Ken

24:17

Griffin's house is. But,

24:20

we shouldn't also assume that the anger

24:22

there is just because media people have

24:25

decided to villainize rich people. I

24:27

think we could also assume that the

24:29

anger there is real because of a

24:31

dissatisfaction in the system and a

24:33

dissatisfaction in the inequality that

24:35

has gotten worse and worse. You know, I

24:36

was just saying the bravest thing for a

24:37

politician to do is say, "Hey, I know

24:39

it's frustrating that some people are

24:42

making a lot of money, and we should

24:44

look at the tax code and figure out ways

24:46

to uh increase their taxes, and we think

24:50

there's a big win for everybody here. If

24:52

you own a pied-à-terre, we're going to

24:53

ask you to pay 5% uh or or 2% Normally,

24:57

you'd pay 1 and 1/2% taxes on that

24:59

place. We're going to ask you to pay 5%.

25:01

Why are we going to ask you to pay as

25:02

5%? Because we have

25:04

a crisis in New York of it's not

25:06

livable.

25:07

There's not enough homes, rent is at a

25:09

record high. Yeah. So we think it's

25:10

reasonable for you to either sell your

25:12

place and let a renter live there

25:14

or put it into Airbnb or whatever you

25:16

want to do or just pay that 3 and 1/2.

25:18

We're taking that 3 and 1/2 by the way

25:20

and we're assigning it to

25:22

you know, this pressing issue which is

25:24

building more affordable housing. So you

25:26

can feel great about paying that extra 3

25:27

and 1/2. If Mondami presented it like I

25:30

just presented it,

25:31

you would win 95% of people. Even the

25:34

rich people. They'd be like, "Yeah, I'm

25:35

rich. Who cares?" Prof G even said this

25:37

on the pod. He's like, "I got a $10

25:38

million house. If I pay an extra 100K,

25:40

what what do I care? It's no big deal."

25:42

I have the same position.

25:44

But if you villainize people, if you put

25:46

a target on their backs and

25:49

you make a billionaire's tax that isn't

25:50

really a tax, it's an asset seizure,

25:53

that's when people go, "You know what?

25:55

We live in the United States of America.

25:57

There are 50 options for me.

25:59

I'm going [snorts] to make a list of

26:01

the best options and I have a plane and

26:04

I already have four homes. So I already

26:05

summer in Aspen and I go to California

26:08

for 2 months in the summer and I go to

26:09

Hawaii. This makes no sense. I'm just

26:11

going to domicile myself in Austin which

26:14

is 3 hours away from every other city in

26:16

America. It's like being in Dubai. It's

26:18

like the perfect central location to be.

26:21

Spend 6 months here, spend the other 6

26:22

months wherever you feel like it. So

26:25

that's what politicians have to realize

26:27

is rich people have options. Bradley,

26:30

you were going to jump in there. Look,

26:31

ultimately, if you know how to get

26:34

elected in a world of 10% primary

26:36

turnout and you know who you need to

26:37

appease and things you need to say, that

26:39

going up to 30-40% is terrifying to you

26:42

even though it would actually free you

26:44

from being hostage to the extremes which

26:46

most politicians would actually probably

26:48

like, but nonetheless, uh know, I ran

26:51

legislation in five different states

26:53

this year and lost in all of them

26:55

because fundamentally I was asking the

26:57

system to choose to reform itself and

26:59

it's not going to do that. So, that now

27:01

puts me in the position where I've just

27:02

got to try to build a big national

27:04

grassroots movement stoking the anger of

27:06

people uh across the board and say, "If

27:09

you want to keep living in a world where

27:11

we ignore all the solutions and just

27:14

keep screaming and tweeting instead,

27:16

then just keep things the way they are."

27:19

But, you know, if most people by

27:21

definition are moderate and if people

27:24

could vote on their phone, we could get

27:26

turnout up to 30, 40, 50% in primaries

27:29

and then politicians, just because they

27:31

want to keep their jobs, not because

27:33

they become better people in any way,

27:35

move to the middle and start working

27:36

together and compromising simply because

27:39

that's what the people now voting in

27:40

their primaries expect of them and want

27:43

from them. And so, like, in order to

27:45

sort of actually seriously debate,

27:48

discuss, and implement the kinds of

27:49

ideas that the three of us have been

27:50

throwing around around reducing

27:52

inequality, you've got to have a

27:54

political system that actually is

27:56

incentivized to want to have change in

27:58

the first place and you only do that

28:00

through changing the composition of the

28:02

electorate. And so, to me, that's why

28:04

something like mobile voting they're

28:05

working on, and you can go to

28:06

mobilevoting.org if you want to learn

28:08

more about it, um is so necessary

28:10

because otherwise, you know, we're

28:12

having these great conversations, but we

28:14

might as well be sitting in the ivory

28:15

tower cuz none of it's actually going to

28:16

happen. No, we're going to reach

28:17

millions. We're going to reach millions

28:19

here. I just got to try to

28:21

wrap this up, tie a bow on this. Come

28:23

next time, Ro Khanna. I like [laughter]

28:25

Ro, actually. Um but, he's a politician

28:27

doing politician things. Yeah, right. I

28:29

I and you know, it is a shame and I'm

28:31

sure

28:32

the audience will might wish that there

28:33

was someone there was someone like Ro

28:35

pushing back. I I hopefully have done a

28:37

little bit of that job.

28:39

>> Or AOC or

28:40

or Ro. Ro, we would love to have you on

28:42

the show to discuss this at some point.

28:44

>> need some stock tips. Did you see his

28:45

stock tips, Ed?

28:46

>> Enough.

28:47

>> [laughter]

28:48

>> I think one thing we can all agree on

28:50

here is that if this wealth tax does

28:54

doesn't go through or if it I mean it

28:56

sounds like we all agree that it's

28:58

probably not going to work because it's

29:00

not actually going to be effective, it's

29:01

going to be cumbersome, and it probably

29:03

won't even go through for a lot of

29:05

reasons.

29:06

But I think what we can all agree on is

29:07

that if the system doesn't change itself

29:09

or reorganize itself in some way, then

29:12

we will continue on this path and this

29:13

trajectory where Jason is going to

29:16

dinner and there are five security

29:17

guards behind him because his dinner

29:19

buddy literally got shot at at his home

29:22

the other week because there is so much

29:24

anger and because of anxiety. Well, he

29:27

he needs the security guards just to

29:28

keep all the fans away. I mean all the

29:30

paparazzi, all the all the fans. And

29:32

that's that's also true. I don't need

29:34

it. People love me. I'm funny.

29:36

>> [laughter]

29:36

>> People love me. I I'm not creating a

29:38

super intelligence to take all the jobs.

29:40

>> [laughter]

29:41

>> But no, you're right. But what we need

29:42

then

29:43

we need a message that other people that

29:46

everyone can sort of get behind. And I

29:48

guess the question for for politicians,

29:51

the question for lawmakers, and anyone

29:52

listening this podcast, and let's end

29:54

with your thoughts both of you on what

29:57

that message should really look, sound,

29:58

and feel like.

30:00

Okay, so number one

30:02

we should get rid of waste, fraud, and

30:03

abuse because that's 30% and everybody

30:06

can agree on that. Number two, we should

30:08

really look at the minimum wage and I

30:10

think everybody can agree that wouldn't

30:12

kill the system to just make modest

30:14

increments there. Number three, I think

30:16

rich people should be donating more to

30:19

these America Trump accounts and should

30:23

there should be greater philanthropy

30:25

in America by the top half of Americans.

30:29

Doesn't mean giving to NGOs or

30:31

nonprofits, just doing interesting

30:32

things with your money that helps

30:33

society.

30:35

And then finally, for technologists, we

30:37

need to change the view of AI. I don't

30:40

know if you saw this week all the

30:41

commencement speeches getting booed when

30:42

every anybody evoked AI. AI could be a

30:45

profoundly powerful force if we can

30:47

solve a small set of problems that make

30:50

people who are poor

30:53

or lower middle class anxious and

30:56

frustrated with their lives. And I come

30:58

from a lower middle class background and

31:00

my parents were basically living

31:01

paycheck to paycheck. And the things

31:04

that are breaking people

31:06

are the cost of education,

31:08

the cost of health care,

31:11

and the cost of homes. These are three

31:13

areas that are the high highest

31:15

regulation in the country. And this is

31:17

where the opportunity lies at. If we

31:20

could have

31:21

the government start taking out the

31:23

regulations for accreditations at

31:25

universities, for building homes faster

31:27

like we do here in Texas and Nevada and

31:30

Florida do as well, and we could spread

31:32

that to the Democratic cities and GOs,

31:35

and then we could look at health care

31:36

and use the power of AI and the power of

31:40

you know, individually led health care

31:42

where individuals are driving it, we

31:44

could lower the cost of these three

31:46

things so dramatically if we unleashed

31:48

the same entrepreneurs who are being

31:50

vilified. Those same entrepreneurs could

31:52

solve those three things. Why don't

31:54

they? Why don't they attack those three

31:56

categories? I've had investments in all

31:57

three of those categories.

31:59

The regulation [snorts]

32:01

and the roadblocks the government puts

32:02

on any company that wants to work in

32:05

housing,

32:06

education, or health care is insane.

32:10

And then venture capitalists and

32:12

entrepreneurs

32:13

just say, you know what? Not worth it to

32:14

go after those three. And the government

32:16

has a monopoly on them. We need to break

32:18

that monopoly, dramatically lower the

32:20

cost of homes, education, and health

32:22

care, and then people would appreciate

32:24

entrepreneurs because they would feel it

32:26

every day. Oh, my kid's getting

32:27

educated. Oh, my daughter has a house

32:30

near us, not

32:31

2 hours away or in another city. And oh,

32:33

I can go get, you know, a scan or a

32:36

blood test for free or close to free and

32:38

a body scan instead of Prenuvo being

32:40

$3,500, it could be $300 or $30. That's

32:44

what technology could achieve and that's

32:45

where I think,

32:46

you know, if I do run for office, which

32:48

I've been considering, um I would run on

32:51

that platform is unlocking those three.

32:53

Bradley, your message and then we'll

32:55

wrap.

32:55

>> I I'd probably a little simpler even,

32:57

which is just there are reasonable,

33:00

achievable solutions to almost every

33:02

single problem we face, whether it is

33:05

education or health care or taxes or

33:07

climate or guns or immigration or

33:09

anything else, but the only way we can

33:11

do that is to take power away from the

33:14

extremes who currently dictate and

33:16

control the agenda and give it back to

33:18

the middle and the very people who are

33:20

screaming loudest right now are doing so

33:23

because they are the ones that are the

33:25

extremes and they are the ones that are

33:26

using their power to to empower

33:29

themselves at our expense. And so, if we

33:31

want our country back, if we want to

33:33

solve these problems, we don't need to

33:35

come up with these brilliant new ideas,

33:37

they're already there, but we have to

33:39

choose to finally take the power back,

33:42

and participate in elections, reform the

33:44

system itself, and and make it possible

33:47

so that all of the ideas that could

33:49

actually work, the ideas that Jason and

33:51

you and I have sort of already, you

33:53

know, explained on this podcast, um can

33:55

actually happen.

33:57

Bradley Tusk is the founder and CEO of

33:59

Tusk Ventures. Jason Calacanis is the is

34:02

an investor and host of the All-In

34:03

podcast and also a

34:05

potential future presidential candidate,

34:07

we just learned on the podcast

34:08

yesterday, Jason.

34:09

>> mayor,

34:10

I think that should be a [laughter]

34:10

little bit more

34:12

accessible. Like, sure,

34:13

presidentjason.com.

34:15

I go for mayorjason.com.

34:18

Sign up for my email.

34:19

>> Future mayor. Jason and Bradley, thank

34:21

you so much for joining me on [music]

34:22

Profiting Markets. Appreciate it. Ed,

34:23

thanks for having us. Pleasure.

34:25

Okay, that's it for today. A lot in

34:27

there. We appreciate you joining us for

34:28

another Profiting Markets panel. If you

34:30

have a guest who we should speak to on

34:32

this topic or any other, please drop us

34:34

[music] a line in the comments or email

34:36

our producer Claire at

34:37

markets@propertymedia.com.

34:39

[music] We hope to hear from you.

34:42

Thanks for listening to Property Markets

34:43

from Property Media. If you liked what

34:45

you heard, subscribe to our YouTube

34:47

channel and tune in tomorrow for more.

34:50

>> [music]

Interactive Summary

The video discusses the controversial topic of wealth taxes, specifically focusing on legislation proposed in California. The guests, Jason Calacanis and Bradley Tusk, argue that such taxes are poorly constructed, practically unfeasible to implement, and primarily designed to villainize successful individuals rather than effectively solve income inequality. They express concerns that these measures, coupled with aggressive political rhetoric, threaten to drive investment and job creators out of regions like California and New York. The conversation highlights the need to shift political incentives by moving away from extremes and fostering a pragmatic, solution-oriented approach that addresses the core issues of housing, education, and healthcare costs.

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