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Was I Wrong About Covered Calls?

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Was I Wrong About Covered Calls?

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463 segments

0:00

I was not going to make another video on

0:02

covered calls, but I was at a retail

0:04

investor conference recently. That's me

0:05

and the plain bagel up on stage and I

0:07

spent the day talking to retail

0:09

investors. It struck me how hard the

0:11

conference attendees were being sold on

0:13

covered call funds and how frequently I

0:15

was being asked about them. When I made

0:17

my last video on this topic, I honestly

0:19

did not realize how widespread this

0:21

financial had become. These

0:24

products are likely to be detrimental to

0:26

long-term investors, including those who

0:28

need income. And I think it's important

0:30

for the truth about what they should be

0:32

expected to do to be articulated in an

0:34

understandable way. I'm Ben Felix, chief

0:37

investment officer at PWL Capital, and

0:39

I'm going to tell you again why the

0:41

passive income from covered calls is a

0:43

financial

0:52

I'm going to start with some quick

0:54

background uncovered calls, go through

0:55

some live fund examples with reasonably

0:58

long-term data, including dividend

1:00

reinvestment, and then go through

1:02

similar examples modeling spending from

1:04

the portfolios. As you will see, even in

1:06

that case, covered calls perform worse

1:08

than their underlying equities. If you

1:11

stick around to the end of the video, I

1:12

also have some comments on whether I, as

1:14

a chief investment officer and portfolio

1:16

manager, am professionally threatened by

1:19

covered calls and also why people need

1:21

to be aware of incentives when they are

1:23

consuming information. Covered calls are

1:26

a perfect storm of financial innovation,

1:28

which tends to favor the financial

1:30

product provider more than the end

1:32

consumer, and investor biases, which

1:34

lead people to seek income producing

1:36

investments without realizing the cost

1:38

to total returns. Selling a call option

1:41

means selling someone the right to buy a

1:43

stock from you at a predetermined price

1:46

called the strike price in exchange for

1:48

a premium. Say the stock is trading at

1:50

$100. You sell a call option with a

1:52

strike price of $15 and you collect a $2

1:56

premium. The effect of this trade will

1:58

depend on the future price of the stock.

2:00

If the stock stays below $105, the

2:02

option expires worthless. you keep the

2:04

$2 premium, which means in this whole

2:06

light green shaded range in the chart,

2:08

you're always doing a little bit better

2:10

than if you had just held the stock. As

2:12

long as the stock stays above $98,

2:14

you're not losing any money on the

2:15

trade. If the stock rises above $15, the

2:19

option gets exercised. Your upside is

2:21

capped. You do make $5 from the stock

2:23

price increase plus the $2 premium from

2:26

selling the option. That's a maximum

2:28

profit of $7 on the trade. If the price

2:30

goes higher than that, you don't

2:32

participate in the upside. The line on

2:34

the payoff diagram flattens right there.

2:36

Compared to simply holding the stock,

2:37

you're ahead as long as the price stays

2:39

below $17. That's the strike price plus

2:42

the premium. But once it climbs past

2:45

$17, you would have been better off

2:47

without the covered call. And on the

2:49

downside, say the stock crashes to $50,

2:51

you still pocket the $2 premium, but

2:54

you're taking nearly the full hit on the

2:56

price decline of the shares. The premium

2:58

softens the blow a little tiny bit on

3:00

the downside, but your downside risk is

3:02

mostly unchanged from simply owning the

3:04

stock. A fund using the strategy

3:06

typically distributes the option

3:08

premiums from selling calls to

3:09

investors, resulting in their high

3:11

distribution yields. Those distribution

3:13

yields are misleading due to their

3:15

effect on total returns. Remember,

3:17

selling the call is only the first step

3:19

in the trade. The fund has sold the

3:20

right to buy the underlying stock at the

3:22

strike price. If the price of the

3:24

underlying rises above the strike price,

3:26

the option holder, whoever the fund sold

3:28

the option to, will exercise their call

3:30

option and the fund will have to sell

3:32

their stock at a price below its market

3:34

value, putting a cap on upside returns.

3:37

The result is that selling the call has

3:39

reduced exposure to the underlying

3:41

equity primarily on the upside while

3:43

downside returns remained largely

3:45

exposed, reducing expected returns and

3:48

capping the ability of the fund to

3:49

recover after the inevitable downturns

3:52

that stocks experience. For long-term

3:54

investors, my view is that covered call

3:56

funds are not good investments. They do

3:58

not generate passive income and they

4:00

create unnecessary layers of risk and

4:02

cost. This is also true for investors

4:05

who need income as I will show you with

4:07

five examples in just a minute. These

4:09

funds create the illusion of income

4:10

while systematically lowering expected

4:13

returns and increasing risk by changing

4:15

the shape of the distribution of

4:16

returns. One of the most common

4:18

questions that I got on my last video

4:19

was whether my performance comparisons

4:21

assumed the reinvestment of

4:23

distributions. The yields on these

4:25

covered call funds are incredibly high.

4:27

So distributions being reinvested or not

4:30

does matter a lot. I can confirm that my

4:32

performance comparisons did assume

4:34

reinvestment of distributions and they

4:36

will in this video too. Let's look at

4:38

some quick examples. The Global X S&P

4:40

500 covered call ETF has trailed the

4:43

EyesShares Core S&P 500 ETF by an

4:46

annualized 3.15 percentage points since

4:48

January 2014. The Global X S&P TSX 60

4:52

covered call ETF has trailed the

4:54

Eyesshares S&P TSX60 ETF by 3.81

4:58

percentage points since March 2011. and

5:00

the BIMO covered call Canadian banks ETF

5:03

has trailed the BEIMO equal weight banks

5:04

ETF by an annualized 2.86 percentage

5:07

points since February 2011. An important

5:10

question is whether total returns which

5:13

we just looked at are the right metric

5:15

for an income oriented investor. The

5:18

premise here is that showing wealth

5:19

accumulation and annualized returns, as

5:21

I just did, might itself be misleading

5:24

if covered calls actually perform better

5:25

in a scenario where funds from the

5:27

portfolio are needed each month to buy

5:29

your groceries and pay your property

5:31

taxes or rent or whatever. I'm going to

5:34

address this with a simple portfolio

5:36

withdrawal analysis. I have 10 years of

5:38

data for five pairs of funds. Each pair

5:41

has a covered call fund and a fund of

5:43

the underlying equity or a very close

5:45

proxy for the underlying equity. In my

5:47

model, the investor in the covered call

5:49

fund is spending approximately the

5:50

fund's distributions while the investor

5:53

in the underlying equities will spend

5:54

the same dollar amount as the covered

5:57

call investor each month through a

5:59

combination of portfolio dividends and

6:01

selling shares. I'll say it again since

6:03

this is really important to the example.

6:05

They are both spending the exact same

6:07

dollar amount each month. But the

6:09

investor in the regular equity fund in

6:11

the underlying equities is creating

6:13

their own income through a combination

6:14

of dividends and sales from the

6:16

portfolio. Believe it or not, whether

6:18

your returns come from income or

6:20

capital, it is the combination of the

6:23

two, the total return that actually

6:25

matters for funding your consumption.

6:27

And it is possible, contrary to popular

6:30

belief, to spend from the capital

6:32

portion of a portfolio sustainably. If

6:34

you do not believe this to be true, you

6:36

are suffering from the mental accounting

6:38

bias and it may be costing you a lot as

6:40

we are about to see. This withdrawal

6:42

analysis will give us ending portfolio

6:44

values to compare where a higher

6:46

portfolio value, remember holding

6:48

withdrawal amounts constant in dollar

6:50

terms suggests a better outcome. After

6:53

running through the withdrawal

6:54

scenarios, I found that not one of the

6:55

covered call funds had higher ending

6:57

wealth after 10 years than a comparable

6:59

fund of the underlying equities. The

7:01

investor in the underlying spent the

7:03

same dollar amount as the covered call

7:05

investor each month and had on average

7:08

26% more capital left after 10 years.

7:11

Mind-blowing passive investment income

7:14

in shambles. I was not surprised by this

7:16

and you should not be either. Covered

7:18

calls are capping upside returns without

7:21

offering downside protection and their

7:23

yield is far from sufficient to offset

7:25

the lost upside. The implied cost of

7:28

these products is substantial. I solved

7:30

for the non- taxdeductible fee that you

7:33

would have to pay to invest in the

7:35

underlying equity funds such that the

7:37

ending wealth outcomes are equal to

7:38

their covered call counterparts. The

7:41

break even fee was between 1.5 and 2.7%

7:45

depending on the fund. That's not to

7:46

suggest that you should be paying a fee

7:48

that high to invest. It just illustrates

7:50

how much the covered call strategy is

7:52

costing you relative to simply investing

7:54

in the underlying equities and creating

7:56

your own income stream by receiving

7:58

dividends and selling some shares. The

8:00

other thing I looked at is how much cash

8:02

you would need to hold alongside the

8:04

underlying equities in each case such

8:06

that the ending wealth for the covered

8:08

calls fund and the portfolio of the

8:10

underlying equities plus cash have the

8:12

same ending wealth. Again, holding

8:14

withdrawals constant. Remember that

8:16

covered calls reduce your exposure to

8:18

the underlying equities asymmetrically

8:20

by capping upside while leaving downside

8:22

mostly exposed. Another way to reduce

8:24

your exposure to an equity is to

8:26

explicitly reduce your exposure to it by

8:28

selling some of your position and then

8:30

holding the sale proceeds in a low-risk

8:32

investment like a high interest savings

8:33

account. I found that the cash

8:35

allocation, the high interest savings

8:37

account allocation that make the wealth

8:39

outcomes equal range from 19% to 36%.

8:42

This means that in the most extreme case

8:44

in my examples, you could hold a

8:45

portfolio of 36% cash and 64% stock and

8:50

holding monthly spending constant at the

8:52

yield of the covered call fund have an

8:54

outcome equal to writing covered calls

8:56

on the same underlying equities. Again,

8:58

I am not suggesting that you should be

9:00

holding high cash allocations if you're

9:02

living off your portfolio, but I think

9:04

this is another great way to illustrate

9:05

the effect that cover calls have on

9:07

expected returns, including in cases

9:09

where the portfolio is funding cash flow

9:11

needs. It's similar to holding a whole

9:14

bunch of cash, except in the case of

9:16

covered calls, you're fully exposed to

9:17

the downside risk of the stock. At least

9:19

holding cash reduces downside risk

9:21

exposure. Again, this should not be

9:23

surprising. If you want income, creating

9:25

it yourself through a combination of

9:27

dividends and sales produces a better

9:29

expected outcome than writing covered

9:30

calls. Their high distribution yields

9:33

create the illusion of income. But that

9:35

income comes with a liability. The

9:37

capped upside on returns in the event

9:39

that the option is exercised. That at

9:40

least in these examples far more than

9:42

offsets the income. The other big

9:44

trade-off for long-term investors is

9:46

that by capping upside returns, you are

9:48

removing the mean reversion that

9:49

historical stock returns have exhibited.

9:51

After bad returns, stock returns tends

9:54

to bounce back. Those bouncebacks are

9:56

important to long-term returns and make

9:58

stocks a bit less risky than they would

10:00

be if returns were completely random. To

10:02

broaden my sample, I collected data for

10:04

20 Canadian listed covered call ETFs

10:06

with closely or identically matched ETFs

10:09

of the underlying holdings and I

10:10

compared their performance. To be clear,

10:12

we are back to total return comparisons

10:14

now, not withdrawal analysis, just

10:15

because it's a short time series of

10:17

data. In cases where the covered call

10:19

fund is not an index fund, I found a

10:21

fund with a high holdings overlap and

10:23

high return correlation to compare it to

10:25

for the underlying. I excluded really

10:28

niche funds and those without any

10:30

obvious comparables for the underlying.

10:32

This speaks to another problem that I

10:33

see with a lot of these products.

10:34

They're often really, really niche

10:36

sector funds and they often hold

10:38

concentrated, actively managed

10:39

underlying portfolios. Those sector bets

10:42

and the individual stock risk and the

10:44

active management all add to the risk of

10:46

these products for long-term investors.

10:48

I limited my sample to funds with at

10:50

least one year of history. I know that's

10:52

still way too short to draw conclusions

10:54

from, but this is what I had to work

10:56

with. There's just not a lot of funds

10:58

with really long histories. And the

10:59

newer funds tell the exact same story as

11:01

the older ones. Out of the 20 funds,

11:04

only two have outperformed a comparable

11:06

underlying equity fund. Both of them

11:08

were technology covered call funds with

11:09

fairly short histories and imperfectly

11:12

matched underlying equity portfolios.

11:14

So, I wouldn't read too much into those

11:15

two that under outperformed. On average,

11:18

the covered call funds in this sample

11:20

underperform comparable underlying

11:21

equity funds by an annualized 3.25

11:24

percentage points and the median

11:26

underperformance is 2.96 percentage

11:28

points. As we saw earlier, this

11:30

underperformance matters for both

11:32

accumulators and people drawing from

11:34

their portfolios. The last point I'll

11:36

cover is what are generally called

11:37

enhanced covered call funds. These funds

11:40

not only employ a covered call strategy,

11:41

but also use leverage to increase their

11:44

yield and their expected returns. I'll

11:45

be honest, these things are fascinating

11:47

pieces of financial technology. The

11:49

problem though is that the history of

11:51

financial innovation has tended to

11:52

create profits for financial product

11:54

manufacturers at the expense of end

11:56

investors. That aside, I think you have

11:59

to appreciate how incredible it is that

12:00

a fairly complex portfolio like this is

12:03

available under a single ticker. For

12:05

better or for worse, let's look at some

12:08

enhanced covered call funds. To keep it

12:10

simple, I will look at the Global X

12:12

index series of funds. Since they have

12:14

ETFs for the underlying, the underlying

12:16

with covered calls and enhanced versions

12:18

for both, they are targeting a leverage

12:21

ratio of 125% in their enhanced funds.

12:24

Across five index funds, all over

12:26

periods where returns have been overall

12:28

positive for the underlying equities,

12:30

the performance of the enhanced covered

12:32

call fund is above the regular covered

12:34

call funds and below the returns of the

12:36

underlying equities. The leverage

12:38

covered call funds have also performed

12:39

worse than the others during periods of

12:41

negative returns. What we'll generally

12:43

see is that leverage boosts returns of

12:46

these portfolios when times are good and

12:48

makes their draw downs more severe when

12:50

times are bad. No surprises there.

12:52

Overall though, leverage has helped all

12:54

of these enhanced funds outperform their

12:56

notenhanced covered call counterparts

12:58

over this short period, which should be

13:00

expected again when returns are

13:02

positive. Leverage is not a bad thing,

13:04

but I find the case for applying

13:05

leverage to a covered call fund to be a

13:08

little bit odd. Remember, covered calls

13:09

are capping upside and not helping much

13:12

on the downside. Leverage is enhancing

13:14

both the upside and the downside. If

13:16

you're comfortable with higher

13:17

volatility and leverage, leveraging the

13:19

underlying equity without writing calls

13:22

likely makes more sense. The data

13:24

support this. In all five of my example

13:26

funds, the leveraged version of the

13:28

underlying has outperformed the

13:29

underlying, the covered call fund, and

13:31

the leveraged cover call fund. One last

13:33

thing I want to address is whether I, as

13:35

a financial professional, feel

13:37

threatened by covered call funds, which

13:39

is something that has come up a few

13:40

times since I made my last video. The

13:42

idea seems to be that these products are

13:44

so good that they will put wealth

13:46

management firms out of business

13:48

entirely. They won't. Wealth management

13:50

is about much more than creating an

13:52

income stream in retirement. Expert

13:54

financial advice can be categorized into

13:56

areas where knowledge of base rates,

13:58

technical competence in financial

14:00

planning, and an understanding of human

14:02

psychology can be applied to help people

14:03

arrive at highquality financial

14:05

decisions. Those areas are goal

14:07

formation and quantification, asset

14:10

allocation, cash flow planning,

14:11

insurance needs analysis, financial

14:13

product allocation, and tax awareness.

14:16

Covered calls may kind of sort of solve

14:18

cash flow planning, but that's about it.

14:20

I also have some comments on where the

14:21

information promoting covered calls is

14:23

coming from. It is a requirement in

14:25

Canada for content creators to disclose

14:27

when their content is sponsored. This is

14:30

intended to avoid hidden conflicts of

14:31

interest. A lot of the content out there

14:33

promoting covered calls as a strategy

14:35

is, drum roll, sponsored by companies

14:38

selling covered call ETFs. This is

14:40

obviously a conflict of interest. At

14:42

least it isn't hidden, but it still

14:44

warrants caution. I have my own

14:45

conflicts of interest to be clear. I

14:47

work for PWL Capital which is a wealth

14:49

management firm. It is good for us if

14:51

people decide to delegate their

14:53

portfolio management and the financial

14:54

planning that informs that portfolio

14:56

management to us. But we have nothing to

14:58

gain or lose based on whether you invest

15:00

in covered call funds. As discretionary

15:03

portfolio managers, we can and as

15:05

fiduciaries, we must use covered call

15:07

ETFs in our clients portfolios if we

15:09

believe that is what is in the client's

15:11

best interest. We do not use them

15:13

because we think they are detrimental to

15:15

investors at any stage in life for the

15:17

reasons I have shown in this video and

15:19

in my last video. Other than the

15:21

psychological pacification that may come

15:23

from income distributions, these funds,

15:25

in my opinion, do not have any redeeming

15:27

qualities. I urge any investors who've

15:30

been wooed by the promise of so-called

15:31

passive income to ensure that they

15:33

understand exactly what they're

15:35

investing in and why those specific

15:37

investment characteristics are worth the

15:39

high implied costs I have detailed in

15:41

this video. I also implore you to

15:43

understand where you are getting your

15:45

information and what the information

15:47

sources incentives are. Thanks for

15:49

watching. I'm Ben Felix, chief

15:50

investment officer at PWL Capital. If

15:52

you enjoyed this video, please share

15:54

with someone who is not yet aware of the

15:56

high implied costs of covered calls.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses covered calls, a financial strategy often promoted to retail investors, particularly through funds offering high distribution yields. The speaker, Ben Felix, argues that these products are generally detrimental to long-term investors, even those seeking income. He explains that selling a call option caps upside returns while largely maintaining downside risk, and the premium received is insufficient to compensate for the lost potential gains. Analysis of fund performance shows that covered call ETFs have historically underperformed their underlying equity counterparts, both in terms of total returns and when simulating portfolio withdrawals for income. The speaker also touches upon "enhanced" covered call funds that use leverage, noting they also underperform the underlying equities. Finally, he addresses the role of financial incentives in promoting these products, highlighting conflicts of interest with ETF providers and emphasizing the importance of understanding information sources. He concludes that covered calls, despite their appeal for income generation, introduce unnecessary risk and cost, and do not align with the long-term interests of most investors.

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