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Nvidia Forecasts $1 Trillion in Revenue Through 2027 | Bloomberg Tech

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Nvidia Forecasts $1 Trillion in Revenue Through 2027 | Bloomberg Tech

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1146 segments

0:00

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Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts,

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radio, news.

0:09

[music]

0:11

Bloomberg Tech is live from coast to

0:13

coast with Caroline Hyde in New York and

0:17

Ed Lelo in San Francisco. [music]

0:22

This is Bloomberg Tech. Coming up,

0:24

Nvidia CEO Jensen Wong makes a big

0:26

forecast for the AI buildout.

0:29

>> [music]

0:30

>> Right here where I stand,

0:33

I see [music] through 2027

0:39

at least $1 trillion. [music]

0:43

>> Plus, we discussed the AI and M&A

0:45

landscape with the CEO of IBM hot off

0:47

the company's own GTC announcement. and

0:50

Gecko Robotics works to deploy its AI

0:53

powered robots to assess the condition

0:55

and readiness of the US Navy's warships.

0:59

But first, we turn our attention to

1:01

well, once again, a market that is

1:03

focused on geopolitics on war, but also

1:06

on the eve of the Federal Reserve rate

1:08

decision. We're currently seeing some

1:09

buying of stocks. In fact, 89 of these

1:12

100 names are in the green for the

1:13

NASDAQ 100. We're up for a second

1:15

straight day. We're up 8/10% and we're

1:17

seeing a little bit more of a risk on

1:19

attitude. dead and you're going to dig

1:20

into well perhaps one of the catalysts.

1:23

>> As I stand here right now, Nvidia shares

1:26

are completely flat in the session, but

1:27

they've been on a roller coaster across

1:29

two sessions. Late Monday, when Jensen

1:32

had his keynote, you can see the big

1:34

spike almost 5% in the session and what

1:36

was extended visibility into the demand

1:40

for Nvidia's products. Here's what he

1:41

said. Right here where I stand, [music]

1:45

I see through 2027 [music]

1:51

at least $1 trillion. A trillion dollars

1:55

is an enormous amount of infrastructure.

1:58

That infrastructure investment you could

2:00

make on Nvidia, you could make with

2:02

complete confidence.

2:04

We have now proven that.

2:07

>> Let's get right into it with Bloomberg's

2:09

equities reporter Ryan Bastella. I mean,

2:11

you've summarized what the sell size

2:12

reaction has been to that $1 trillion

2:15

number. It's mixed, but on the whole

2:18

bullish. What are you seeing?

2:20

>> Yeah, absolutely. I would say people are

2:22

in general pretty positive on this

2:24

target. It really speaks to how much

2:26

visibility uh Nvidia has going forward.

2:29

It really speaks to how they expect all

2:31

this AI infrastructure spending to

2:33

remain pretty durable, which is

2:35

something that has come under question

2:36

this year and led to a lot of volatility

2:38

across the tech space. However, I think

2:41

it also just speaks to just a certain

2:43

amount of uncertainty and a certain

2:45

amount of hesitancy when it comes to

2:47

this company and this stock. Now, we

2:49

wrote about this earlier this week, but

2:51

Nvidia has been stuck in a pretty tight

2:53

trading range for months. It's been

2:55

unable to break out even on the back of

2:57

strong earnings, even on the back of uh

2:59

yesterday's announcement. We did see a

3:01

brief spike, but then as people sort of

3:03

dissected the the target, it came back

3:05

down again. So, I think there's still a

3:07

lot of skepticism out there. Now, I

3:09

would flag that it is hosting an analyst

3:11

Q&A. I think it starts in about an hour.

3:12

That is something I think people are

3:14

going to be really drilling into this

3:15

one trillion number trying to understand

3:17

it and uh maybe that's something that

3:19

will spur a little bit more gaining. But

3:21

so far, it seems like there's been

3:22

nothing that has been able to lift the

3:23

stock.

3:24

>> Yeah. Because of those analysts who are

3:25

going to be tuning in, 75 say buy the

3:28

stock. Only one as ever says Stell sell.

3:31

And look, they see more broadly a price

3:34

target in the next 12 months of $269,

3:36

well above where we currently trade,

3:38

Ryan. So, they're still just waiting on

3:39

some other catalyst.

3:41

>> Yeah, I it's hard to know what the

3:43

catalyst is going to be at this point.

3:44

They've really talked about their

3:45

product lineup. They've talked about uh

3:47

you know, their growth expectations. The

3:49

multiple has really come in. It's I

3:50

think one of the cheapest stocks in the

3:52

MAG 7. Uh there is still a lot of

3:54

questions about what is growth going to

3:56

look like you know years out. What kind

3:58

of deceleration could we see? and people

3:59

are factoring that in. But certainly

4:01

when you talk to a lot of people,

4:03

everybody still likes Nvidia. Everybody

4:04

still thinks it's a very well-run stock.

4:07

Uh they don't really see demand drying

4:08

up anytime soon. But it does seem like

4:10

there's a certain amount of hesitancy.

4:12

Uh you know, it's almost like they built

4:14

up a tolerance for the kinds of gains

4:16

that we've seen in quarters past where

4:17

they would give some kind of big target

4:18

and we'd see the stock jump 20%. It's a

4:21

lot harder to imagine anything like that

4:23

happening today.

4:24

>> Ryan, what else are you seeing on your

4:25

desk this morning as it relates to GTC?

4:27

Like is there a broader market digestion

4:30

of the 2 and 1/2 hour speech that Jensen

4:32

Wong gave yesterday?

4:35

>> Yeah, 2 and a half I did see a lot of

4:36

people saying you know this could have

4:37

been a lot shorter. So that was kind of

4:39

funny. But beyond that we are seeing a

4:40

lot of people just digesting this. We

4:42

saw some moves yesterday in uh in IBM in

4:44

optical companies in Intel. So there are

4:47

a lot of companies like it hasn't quite

4:48

been the same way that it was in years

4:50

past where they would mention a company

4:51

and we'd see that stock rally.

4:53

Everything is a bit more muted right

4:54

now. People are really trying to

4:56

understand this and trying to understand

4:57

where this trade goes from here and

4:59

we're not seeing the sort of excitement

5:01

that we saw really at the onset of the

5:03

AI era.

5:04

>> We ran Vicelica with all the technicals

5:06

on trading this stock. Now let's get you

5:07

the fundamentals, the market perspective

5:09

with Daniel Pilling. He's senior

5:10

research analyst and portfolio manager

5:12

over at Sans Capital. Daniel, I mean,

5:14

let's talk about the demand for Nvidia's

5:17

products. You still see them as

5:18

insatiable. We got GPU, CPU, LPU. What

5:21

drove your optimism from yesterday's

5:24

speech?

5:25

Um yes so I think uh the proof is in the

5:28

pudding I might say. So when we look at

5:29

sort of the the the the labs and their

5:32

revenue growth this year to date has

5:34

been massively accelerating right so

5:35

anthropics public's numbers went from 14

5:38

to 19 billion uh literally within a few

5:40

weeks and I think the crux of what is

5:42

going on here is that aentic AI is here

5:46

it is as viral as zoom was at the

5:48

beginning of co and what I mean with

5:50

that is that once somebody starts using

5:51

it and starts doing amazing things every

5:54

colleague will follow over time and we

5:56

just don't have enough compute to really

5:58

satiate this and this is likely a

6:00

multi-year process of sort of everybody

6:02

starting to use agentic AI within their

6:05

own workflows. We have a billion people

6:07

as knowledge workers and we maybe have a

6:09

few million agents as of today. So to me

6:12

and to us this feels like sort of the

6:14

iPhone moment of 2007 and 8 where

6:16

everybody will want to buy an iPhone and

6:18

everybody will want to run an agent

6:20

which means the numbers will likely

6:21

continue to be much much much bigger

6:23

over time. And Jensen wants to be the

6:25

infrastructure for that, but also not

6:27

just the chips, but the operating system

6:29

that that goes with. Talk to us about

6:31

open core and how they're developing

6:33

sort of their own operating system for

6:35

that and for Aentki.

6:37

>> Yeah. So, it's very interesting. So, so,

6:39

so Nvidia created this security

6:41

framework to wrap these open-source

6:44

agents within an enterprise, right? And

6:46

why do they do that, right? because an

6:47

an agent will be able to access your

6:50

calendar, your payment mechanisms, your

6:53

documents. So, it's got to be very very

6:55

safe and secure. So, this is one of the

6:57

key bottlenecks that people have to

6:58

overcome to install agents within the

7:01

enterprise space. And then, as Nvidia

7:04

always does, they sort of create their

7:05

own markets. So they created this

7:06

framework called Nemo Claw which means

7:08

that everybody every enterprise in the

7:10

world now can implement an agent locally

7:12

on their devices which means that this

7:14

growth can really start to accelerate

7:16

within the enterprise because the

7:18

security is there.

7:20

>> Daniel, my Bloomberg terminal tells me

7:22

Sans Capital has about 20 million Nvidia

7:24

shares. Is that right?

7:26

>> Uh yes ballpark.

7:29

Let's go back to the number. 2025

7:32

through the end of calendar 2026, five

7:34

fiscal quarters was $500 billion of

7:37

demand just for Blackwell and Reuben. I

7:41

think that Bernstein were able to

7:43

confirm with Nvidia CFO that the 1

7:45

trillion is also Blackwell and Reuben

7:48

including associated networking. But

7:50

there was a bit that that Jensen said in

7:53

passing right after that sentence which

7:55

was we will be short. In other words, I

7:59

think they're still massively supply

8:01

constrained relative to demand. How are

8:03

you interpreting that?

8:05

>> Yeah. So, I would I would agree. I think

8:06

there's two things we need to see here.

8:09

One, uh the hyperscaler revenue growth

8:11

has to accelerate to get, you know, to

8:13

basically maybe get this market away

8:16

from focusing on some sort of peak cycle

8:18

concern and back to focusing on sort of

8:20

this growth and tokens that Jensen is

8:22

talking about. So once we start seeing

8:24

hyperscalers really reacelerate because

8:26

they're buying all these chips,

8:28

>> I think that concern goes away. And then

8:30

the second piece is the demand is truly

8:33

viral, right? So everybody in the world

8:36

I think will start seeing these agents

8:38

as a massive productivity tool. If your

8:40

colleagues are five to 10 times more

8:42

productive than you, then you have to

8:44

implement it as well. And we think the

8:46

penetration of agents today is within

8:48

single digits percentages, right? So as

8:50

we go from single digits to 100% it's a

8:53

billion people that means he needs so

8:55

much more capitals. [snorts]

8:57

>> The associated data point with with the

9:00

one trillion bar chart was the pie chart

9:02

that 60% of that demand is still coming

9:05

from the hyperscalers. It wasn't that

9:06

long ago that we were very focused on

9:09

how much Nvidia diversified away from

9:11

the hyperscalers. It seems like that

9:14

hyperscala portion is just going up.

9:17

>> Uh yes and no. Right. So hypers scalers

9:19

are by far the biggest purchases of

9:21

these things but there's also the

9:23

neoclouds which are investing heavily

9:25

and actually also very interesting

9:26

enough governments will be able to

9:28

invest more going forward as well and

9:30

and Nvidia is playing a key role in that

9:32

right they they are the one of the

9:33

leading open- source providers of these

9:36

models which means as a government you

9:38

can take the open source neotron model

9:40

from Nvidia implement it locally you can

9:43

buy all the chips from Nvidia at the

9:45

same time and sort of run your own local

9:47

uh cloud within your country. So I think

9:49

those three will be quite important but

9:51

hyperscalers will always be very

9:52

important in all of this.

9:54

>> Daniel, it's interesting that really

9:55

where Jensen always tries to lean in is

9:57

is differentiation, the fact that he's

9:59

got the right chip for the right

10:00

workload at the right time and that's

10:01

why they started to talk a lot more

10:02

about inference and grot for example,

10:04

but I'm interested about he usually

10:06

pushes us forward a little bit more.

10:08

Yes, we've already actually heard a lot

10:10

about Vera Rubin. We know a lot about

10:12

Blackwell, but why not even push us into

10:14

Feainman more? Why not hear about the

10:16

next iteration? because it's like every

10:18

single year we've got a new architecture

10:20

coming for us.

10:21

>> Yeah. So I I would actually say what

10:23

happened yesterday is quite

10:24

revolutionary. Yeah. So Nvidia is the

10:27

first company that will have two

10:30

different types of chips for inference.

10:32

So for calling on the AI models to get

10:34

an answer. There's a new LPU chip which

10:36

is super fast. Nobody else has that. And

10:39

that's combined together with sort of

10:41

the old sort of the generalized GPUs

10:43

that they always had in the past. And

10:45

and then he he he did give an

10:46

astonishing quote um that LPU or the

10:50

fast chips, they will be 35 times more

10:52

performant on a performance per watt

10:54

basis than anything that was there

10:55

before. 35 times. So I do think those

10:58

jumps are just as good, maybe even

11:00

better than in the past. Daniel, you you

11:04

clearly have a command of the spec,

11:05

right? Generation to generation on on

11:08

the on the chips. I take it back to the

11:11

stock. You know, Cara outlined where the

11:13

sell side stands on this name. The

11:15

question for you and for Sans Capital,

11:18

do you buy more based on what you heard

11:20

on stage in San Jose?

11:22

>> Yes. So, so I I think this event itself

11:25

has been very re reaffirming of the

11:27

future, but but the entire debate about

11:30

the stock I think will be resolved truly

11:32

by this. The market is looking at Nvidia

11:35

as a business that is at peak revenue

11:38

and peak earnings. We disagree and the

11:41

reason why we disagree is everything we

11:43

discussed before. Agentic AI is

11:44

exploding in terms of demand. Now this

11:46

all will get resolved once the free cash

11:49

flow and the revenue growth of the

11:51

buyers of these chips that 60% of the

11:53

hyperskllers for example will start

11:54

growing again. And when whenever you

11:57

start seeing this this entire debate

11:58

will be resolved because then the market

12:00

will say we're going from peak concerns

12:03

to actually this is a very structural

12:05

durable growth uh trajectory over the

12:07

next 5 to 10 years. I don't know

12:09

precisely when this will be solved, but

12:11

my guess is that we're going to see a

12:13

significant acceleration hypers skiers

12:14

scale and revenue growth within the next

12:16

one or two years because they're buying

12:18

hundreds of billions of dollars of these

12:19

chips. And then maybe equally important,

12:22

the return or the payback periods of

12:24

these chips is actually improved in the

12:26

past 12 months because we're completely

12:28

sold out. So basically, you're buying a

12:30

GPU and you're getting your money back

12:32

in record time, which again then leads

12:34

to the point of the hyperskllers will

12:36

start seeing more growth, better free

12:39

cash flow growth, which should translate

12:40

then hopefully to a positive outcome for

12:42

Nvidia.

12:44

>> Daniel Pilling from Sans Capital. Thank

12:46

you very much.

12:48

[music]

12:52

Let's check in on the shares of Uber and

12:54

Lyft right now in the green as you'll

12:56

see significantly and that's after both

12:58

companies announced deepening

13:00

partnerships with Nvidia which is

13:01

currently down 310 a percent. Look Uber

13:03

says it plans to roll out a global fleet

13:05

of NVIDIA powered self-driving vehicles

13:07

across 28 cities by 2028. Lyft meanwhile

13:11

will use Nvidia's AI to strengthen

13:12

machine learning systems across its

13:14

operations. For more consumer apps and

13:16

gig economy reporter Natalie Lang joins

13:18

us now. What's interesting with Uber is

13:20

that we' had some big bold ambitions

13:23

articulated back in February, was it?

13:24

And 100,000 cars are going to be on the

13:26

road in this partnership with Nvidia.

13:29

But what's the timeline now looking

13:30

like?

13:31

>> So the updated timeline is that these

13:34

vehicles will be scaled across 28 cities

13:37

by 2028. And that will really start in

13:40

earnest in 2027 in Los Angeles and San

13:43

Francisco.

13:44

I mean, Uber's about a percentage point

13:46

of having its its best day since June of

13:49

last year. So, like at first you're

13:50

like, this is a name check that's

13:52

driving the the stock, but really it's

13:54

it's more updates to an existing

13:56

partnership. What about Lyft then? I

13:58

mean, this really is by name association

14:01

because it's more about internal use.

14:04

>> Yeah, it's about internal use. uh but

14:06

part of the release also mentions future

14:08

possible deployments uh of Nvidia

14:11

powered vehicles on the lift platform

14:12

but we don't have a lot of details on

14:14

the manufacturer uh partner yet um

14:16

whereas for Uber they have a couple of

14:19

partnerships uh already announced such

14:22

as Lucid and Neuro vehicles uh wave

14:24

vehicles with Nissan that will be that

14:27

will be powered by Nvidia uh chips and

14:29

technology

14:30

>> I think it sort of goes to what RBC's

14:32

analyst Brad Ericen was spelling out

14:34

that all of This news vindicates perhaps

14:36

both Uber and Lyft's role as platforms

14:40

in the AV era. We'd all been worried

14:42

about competition, but actually they're

14:44

the ones that can bring it all together,

14:45

right? Yeah. And and this further shows

14:47

it's not just a demand generation

14:48

platform. It's not just going to be an

14:50

app that will um allow people to hail a

14:53

robo taxi. Uh but here we can see that

14:55

Uber wants to be the fleet partner. It

14:58

wants to support some remote assistance

14:59

operations for these fleets um that they

15:02

they run themselves with partners as

15:04

well.

15:06

Blue Ni lung across all the movers in

15:08

the gig economy space after GTC. Thank

15:11

you. Another deal announced at Nvidia's

15:12

GTC conference. IBM will collaborate

15:15

with the chipmaker on an open-source

15:17

project aimed to help enterprises use AI

15:19

at scale. We sat down with IBM CEO Arvin

15:22

Krishna for more on the deal and on his

15:24

take about the wider M&A landscape.

15:26

Listen to this.

15:27

>> I think the regulatory environment is

15:30

definitely friendlier where we got this

15:32

done in just uh under 4 months whereas

15:35

it used to take a lot longer uh a few

15:38

years back.

15:39

>> If regulatory environment is friendlier,

15:42

should you be doing more of it? Should

15:43

there be more M&A particularly with some

15:45

beaten up overall valuations of software

15:48

companies at the moment?

15:49

>> I'd just say watch the space.

15:51

>> Oh, watch the space. Okay. But where

15:53

would you want to add on in this moment?

15:54

I mean what would make sense to be

15:56

adding to your portfolio?

15:57

>> So we're very focused hybrid cloud and

16:00

AI and the intersection. The work we're

16:02

doing together with NVIDIA was a five

16:05

times speed up. So five times not 5% not

16:08

a little amount but uh five times. So

16:11

there we began to leverage the Nvidia

16:13

GPUs together with some of their CUDF

16:17

software combining it with our Watsonx.

16:20

data and the example we used was our

16:23

client Nestle where together we managed

16:26

to get that speed up across their

16:27

massive amounts of data and that really

16:30

is important in that case combining some

16:33

of the technologies we work on also in

16:35

open source with the Presto Presto data

16:37

engine uh Nvidia and the example at

16:40

Nestle but then we're very excited we're

16:42

going to do more work on that and then

16:44

take it into the market and take it out

16:46

to hundreds of clients uh from

16:49

That was IBM CEO Arvin Krishna. Karen,

16:52

many more headlines out there.

16:53

>> There is. It's time to talk talking

16:55

tech. First up, the UK is ramping up its

16:58

push into quantum computing, committing

17:00

more than $1.3 billion over the next

17:02

four years. It's a major bet on a

17:04

technology increasingly seen as critical

17:06

to national security, future economic

17:08

competitiveness. Plus, [music] don't

17:10

expect memory chip shortages to ease

17:12

anytime soon. SK Highix, well, it says

17:14

that the crunch could last another four

17:16

to 5 years. SK Group chairman that's

17:18

Anthony Chay notes that while chipmakers

17:20

have already ramped up capacity may not

17:23

be enough to satisfy demand until around

17:25

2030. And Samsung well is already

17:27

pulling back on its Galaxy Z Trifold

17:31

just 3 months after the launch. Now the

17:32

South Korean company plans to halt sales

17:35

and the nearly $3,000 device in its home

17:37

market and the US discontinuation

17:39

expected to follow it. [music]

17:41

Okay, coming up, amid the chaos of the

17:43

Iran conflict, Bitcoin is emerging as an

17:46

unlikely oasis [music] for some

17:48

investors. We have more on that next.

17:50

This is Bloomberg Tech.

17:56

[music]

17:59

One of the world's best known investors

18:00

in Nvidia, ARK CEO Kathy Woods says

18:03

she's optimistic about the return on

18:05

investment from Frontier AI model

18:07

providers. She spoke with Bloomberg's

18:09

Anna Edwards in London. Take a listen.

18:11

>> We are seeing uh revenue generation

18:14

exploding from uh the frontier model

18:16

providers. Uh Anthropics annualized

18:20

revenue run rate. So ARR uh went from 9

18:24

billion in December to 19 billion today.

18:29

So annualizing revenue at 19 bill that's

18:32

that's astonishing growth. Open AI from

18:34

20 to 25 billion. uh the productivity

18:38

that uh we are enjoying from these large

18:42

language models is astonishing even

18:44

within our own firm. Uh I'm even former

18:47

skeptics uh that this was going to

18:49

amount to very much you know very New

18:52

York skepticism

18:53

>> [laughter]

18:53

>> uh they're they're blown away by what

18:57

they can do.

18:57

>> Just to take a detour to geopolitics

18:59

because it's become such a dominant

19:01

market driver and I wonder how it

19:02

influences your your thinking. We are

19:05

week three of a war that's taking place

19:07

in the Middle East. Many tech businesses

19:09

of course probably quite insulated from

19:11

everything that is happening there. But

19:12

I wonder does it what what uh rethinking

19:15

does it prompt at ARC? What um what uh

19:19

shift in in focus or shift in strategy

19:21

if any does does this kind of thing

19:23

prompt?

19:24

>> Yes. Uh well of course it depends how

19:26

long-term this is. Um and we are

19:28

thinking it will be shortterm. We do

19:30

have midterm elections this year and uh

19:33

other considerations. Uh but of course

19:36

energy prices going up any supply shock

19:39

to the extent it slows unit growth down

19:43

um it will slow down the learning curves

19:45

associated with various technologies. If

19:48

this is you know a a month or two months

19:51

uh it's not going to have a big impact

19:53

at all. If this is extended co, we did

19:56

not understand that the supply shock

20:00

would reverberate for 3 years and that

20:02

inflation would take off and that

20:04

monetary policy would accommodate the

20:05

inflation the way it did. Uh we're not

20:08

in that situation right now. Monetary

20:10

policy is not accommodating uh

20:12

inflation. We're at 4.3% M2 growth on a

20:16

year-over-year basis. So nothing like

20:18

the high 20s, low30s in in CO. AR CEO

20:22

Kathy Wood there alongside Bloomberg's

20:23

Anna Edwards. And look, let's talk more

20:25

about the war in Iran because it is

20:26

fueling volatility across global

20:28

markets. But cryptocurrencies are

20:30

actually emerging as an unexpected

20:32

bright spot of late. Bitcoin and its

20:34

peers have rallied during these times of

20:35

geopolitical stress. For more, Bloomberg

20:37

Crosset reporter Isabel Lee joins us.

20:39

Look, on the day a little bit of

20:41

pullback over the last few weeks, we've

20:43

actually finally seen some what more

20:45

buying or less bearishness?

20:47

>> I think it's both. Bitcoin has been

20:48

resilient. It's now on a six-w week high

20:50

and unlike its other asset classes,

20:52

gold, equities or even other asset

20:54

classes, it's se it's seen a relative

20:56

calm. The volatility of Bitcoin has been

20:58

kind of flat and really you can point to

21:00

it to many things. Maybe um it's

21:02

institutional buying or maybe it's just

21:03

a narrative although what a lot of my

21:05

analysts are saying at least when they

21:06

talk to me it's really more institutions

21:08

especially corporate treasuries for

21:10

every fall they absorb it and they buy

21:12

more of the supply. There is a um a

21:15

technical or I guess a better phrase for

21:17

it transactional part of this story

21:19

which you write about that the the rally

21:21

is driven in part by traders unwinding

21:24

their options bets. Could you explain

21:25

that quickly Isabelle?

21:26

>> This is the thing with Bitcoin. It's

21:28

interesting because more than the

21:29

sentiment it's really all about this

21:30

mechanic. So we have traders unwinding

21:32

their options bets those that bet that

21:34

Bitcoin will continue to fall. And so

21:36

when they unwind that, as traders close

21:38

out their negative positions, Bitcoin

21:40

rallies and we have about $1.5 billion

21:42

of Bitcoin puts clustered around the

21:44

60,000 level and now we're around 75,000

21:47

level, which is again a six-month high,

21:49

so which is really impressive. And there

21:50

are 1.3 billions of calls at 75,000. So

21:53

that's why you see Bitcoin rally, but

21:55

again, it's more about uh narrative.

21:57

We're moving beyond that. Now it's about

21:58

mechanics. And when you look at ETF

22:00

flows, $1.5 billion have flown monthto

22:02

date. So that's really a sign of

22:03

confidence. Then

22:05

>> Bloomberg's Isabelle Lee. Thank you.

22:06

Cara, what are you looking at?

22:07

>> Well, I just want to look at what's

22:09

happening in the world of stable coins

22:11

because a bit of an acquisition has

22:12

happened with Mastercard and BVNK. Look,

22:16

this is a company that they're buying

22:17

for $1.8 billion to really ride into the

22:20

infrastructure play of stable coins.

22:22

Remember, Coinbase were looking at that

22:23

asset and they decided to walk away when

22:25

it cost them 2 billion. That were the

22:27

reports at least.

22:29

[music]

22:36

Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. One of

22:37

the other stories out this morning is

22:38

Qualcomm buying back another $20 billion

22:41

of shares, also boosting its dividend

22:43

from 89 cents to 92 cents. The story is

22:46

pretty simple as Qualcomm tells it. They

22:49

want to bolster shareholder returns

22:51

while also continuing to try and

22:52

diversify this business from smartphone

22:55

to things like automotive and

22:57

increasingly and more recently data

22:59

center. That's what the CEO Cristiano

23:00

Aman is talking about in the statement.

23:02

Stock up 2%. And then another check on

23:04

Nvidia. We're now modestly lower, 4/10en

23:07

of 1%. The peak of Monday's session

23:10

during Jensen Wong's keynote was a gain

23:12

of 5% which very quickly faded as the

23:15

market interpreted the 2025 to 2027

23:19

outlook or forecast of a trillion

23:21

dollars of demand for its AI compute.

23:24

We're now down half a percentage point.

23:25

Car.

23:26

>> Yeah. and two and a half hours of

23:28

speeching it would feel. Jensen Hang

23:30

didn't actually only just forecast that

23:32

trillion dollars. A core said he also

23:34

talked about what the company will need

23:36

to get there including more copper and

23:38

optics capacity. Look those comments

23:40

really rattles shares of companies that

23:42

make data center optical components.

23:44

Let's talk about it with most common

23:45

Ricky. Look, we're off by one and a

23:46

half% on Corning and and some other

23:48

suppliers at the moment. But what's been

23:50

interesting is Lmentum and Coherent,

23:52

they've been running up into this

23:54

announcement on the anticipation that

23:55

we're all in on optics and it looks as

23:58

though there's a doublebarreled strategy

24:00

here. Yeah, totally. And it's so

24:02

interesting because we see those run-ups

24:03

and then we just have one little comment

24:05

from Jensen Wong and it just, you know,

24:07

unraveled right away. So yeah, I mean

24:10

what he said was basically that, you

24:11

know, copper is still going to be or is

24:13

going to remain important in these data

24:15

center buildouts, which just I guess

24:17

made some of the investors a little bit

24:19

concerned about all of these, you know,

24:21

optics components. The thing that's

24:24

interesting, a lot of analysts did say

24:26

this morning in some notes following GTC

24:28

that, you know, both are definitely

24:29

going to remain important in these

24:31

buildouts going forward. So there's

24:33

probably not huge cause for concern

24:35

here. And we did see some some of those

24:37

stocks recovered today. I think momentum

24:39

did kind of go back up and so is in

24:41

positive territory now.

24:43

>> Common, what's the experience of a GTC

24:45

like for the equities team? Every single

24:47

time on stage there was a name check of

24:50

any given company, you'd notice a little

24:52

tick higher uh in some of those stocks,

24:56

which were the ones of substance and

24:57

which were just literally name checks.

25:00

>> Yeah. I mean it ends up being such a

25:02

like a flurry of excitement as we're all

25:03

rushing to, you know, send headlines and

25:05

watch these shares move. I mean we did

25:07

see some things, you know, move quite

25:09

materially, you know, uh outside of

25:11

Lmentum Coherent, we saw uh shares of

25:14

Uber and Lyft jump on partnerships that

25:17

were announced. Um IBM shares also

25:20

jumped and then there were some other

25:21

little smaller ones where things quickly

25:23

faded. did I mean one that was actually

25:24

kind of interesting is Nvidia itself had

25:26

a very big spike you know around that 1

25:29

trillion figure and then actually paired

25:31

most of those gains sort of as the

25:32

market digested it but yeah overall we

25:35

really are seeing again that you know

25:37

Jensen's comments have the ability to

25:39

move markets to move these stocks and it

25:41

actually is a little bit of a flip from

25:43

last year we didn't see a ton of

25:45

movement around GTC investors were

25:47

really sort of concerned about the macro

25:49

and you know had a lot of AI skepticism

25:51

so seeing a little bit of a trend and

25:53

kind of maybe back towards normal this

25:55

year where you know they have the power

25:58

to move stocks of other companies.

26:00

>> Bloomber's Colin Rhiniki thank you very

26:02

much. Let's stick with what's going on

26:03

in broader markets today, particularly

26:05

for tech, and bring in Carol Schlife,

26:06

chief market strategist at Beimo Wealth

26:09

Management. And on a very serious note,

26:11

like with everything going on, um you

26:13

know, the war in Iran, uh considerations

26:15

around trade, a number of headlines

26:17

relating to trade this morning, even a

26:19

decline of 4/10en of a percent uh for

26:22

Nvidia, it's the second biggest points

26:24

drag at the index level for the NASDAQ

26:26

100. Carol um you know how closely were

26:29

you watching GTC over the last 24 hours

26:32

for some macrolevel impact?

26:34

>> I think not necessarily a macrolevel

26:37

impact and and it's really important to

26:40

zoom out from what's going on in these

26:41

day-to-day basises and try to think

26:43

intermediate longer term. Clearly

26:45

markets are trying to get beyond that.

26:47

And I think it's one of the reasons why

26:49

you've seen the aggregate indexes hold

26:51

in so tightly because realistically

26:54

given all the news we've had since

26:56

basically the first weekend before

26:59

January 4th, we've had several different

27:02

wars, conflicts started in here, lots of

27:05

stuff that have hit the markets and yet

27:06

the aggregate averages are still hugging

27:10

that close to all-time highs even though

27:12

there's been a lot of turbulence

27:14

underneath. But I think that's

27:16

indicative of the fact that people are

27:18

really leaning into you've still got

27:20

growth stories going on. You had GTC

27:22

reaffirm that growth story. I mean a

27:24

trillion dollars if you will out over

27:27

the next couple of years. And so you've

27:29

got a lot of momentum underneath and

27:31

investors don't want to be out of the

27:33

market when when some of that macro

27:35

[snorts] clears.

27:37

>> I find that interesting. You know, as

27:38

Jensen Wong tells it, the global economy

27:40

is in the early phase of a transition

27:43

spanning aentic AI through to robotics

27:45

and the physical AI space. You know, if

27:48

you've stud classic econ economics, um

27:50

how does one prepare for that as an

27:52

investor to understand where in that

27:54

transition the global economy is?

27:57

>> Well, I think one of the things you do

27:58

is understand we are in the middle of a

28:00

transition. and they tend to be really

28:02

muddy when they're you're in the very

28:04

short term or the new new phases of a

28:07

technology. I was rolling it back

28:09

thinking to when we first got Excel and

28:12

Word Perfect and and some of the other

28:15

early software and everyone was trying

28:17

to figure out how do I use it? Do I have

28:19

to put everything into a spreadsheet or

28:21

just some things into a spreadsheet? And

28:22

when you have that sort of recon or

28:26

reconfiguration if you will, it takes

28:28

some period of time to figure out what

28:30

the impacts are. But rolling it back and

28:33

looking at

28:35

company after company, country after

28:37

country, reinvesting or investing for

28:40

the first time in a long time in some of

28:42

those really important infrastructure

28:44

and capital investments. And that has

28:46

long long live and long tail to it, if

28:49

you will. But it's also important to

28:51

remember from economics 101 that a lot

28:54

of the economic stats we have were meant

28:57

to measure a very different society than

28:59

we have now or are emerging to. And so

29:02

that'll be part of the challenge. So as

29:04

investors I think part of it is stay

29:07

diversified, stay long, lean into it and

29:10

don't get too

29:12

uh don't hyperventilate too much about

29:15

[clears throat] day-to-day uh activity.

29:17

Should you be leaning more into the

29:20

compute buildout, the AI infrastructure

29:22

buildout? That's what's worked for the

29:23

last few years. And I'm looking at Nebas

29:25

today for example, it's selling well

29:28

convertible debt to be able to continue

29:30

to build out its own NeoCloud offering.

29:32

We know it's got to deal with meta.

29:34

Should you be long that space? Well, I I

29:37

think a piece of it is is to understand

29:39

not only the buildout, but to to look

29:43

far and wide for those companies that

29:45

are leaning into using the new

29:46

technology as well, because there's lots

29:48

of different applications, different

29:50

places that that it has the chance to to

29:54

um to supplement, if you will, not

29:58

necessarily replace everybody, but

29:59

supplement. And so where are those

30:01

leaders that are encouraging and their

30:05

employees, if you will, and prepping

30:06

their employees to be able to lean in

30:08

and use those new technology?

30:10

>> I mean, look, Carol, they've got to lean

30:12

in cuz many of them are going to be

30:13

forced out. Look, there's another

30:15

headline in your space of of banking,

30:17

Norda, which is a Nordic bank, saying

30:19

they're going to be laying off some 5%

30:20

of staff because of AI productivity.

30:23

Now, you can call it AI washing, but

30:25

when someone like Jack Dorsey is laying

30:28

off 40% of staff and he's thinking he

30:30

can do that because of AI, are we just

30:33

going to see more and more of that

30:34

impacting the labor force? I I think the

30:38

it's interesting because I do think

30:39

there's a t a a hint if you will of AI

30:42

washing to some of it, but there's also

30:45

the issue that these leaders are looking

30:47

for people in their organizations who

30:49

and they're giving them seats at the

30:51

table, the ones that are rolling up

30:52

their sleeves, getting messy, trying

30:53

this stuff out and figuring it out. But

30:55

also, there was a report out recently

30:58

that talked about the bulk of the

30:59

spending being done in AI is done on the

31:02

technology, not on teaching people how

31:04

to use it. So there's a piece of it

31:06

where we have to create an environment

31:08

where it's okay for people to experiment

31:10

with it. We're not going to replace

31:12

overnight some of these macro systems

31:14

and especially in highly regulated

31:16

industries like banking. It's hard to

31:18

believe that you're necessarily going to

31:20

totally displace an old software and

31:23

allow aentic AI to take over all of it.

31:26

But it is going to supplement what each

31:28

of us are doing and and how we're doing

31:31

it. And you go back and look just in my

31:34

business in analysis where we started

31:36

with handplotted charts and hand

31:38

calculated moving averages to deploying

31:40

new technology all the way along makes

31:43

me a lot more productive dayto-day and I

31:45

think that's what companies are looking

31:47

for but pe each of us individually is

31:50

going to have to figure out how to lean

31:52

into that too.

31:53

>> Well said Kawish Life chief market

31:55

strategist at Beimo Wealth Management.

31:57

We always appreciate your time. Let's

31:59

talk about that disruption a little bit

32:00

more now for labor because China, it

32:02

faces a key test as the nation's AI boom

32:04

really reshapes industries while putting

32:06

millions of jobs at risk. Now, analysts

32:08

warned that up to 142 million urban jobs

32:10

could vanish by 2049 due to rapid

32:13

AIdriven automation. China correspondent

32:16

Minau reports from Beijing.

32:23

That almost looks like me, but it's not.

32:26

It's an AI generated video based on a

32:28

single screenshot. Tools from Alibaba,

32:31

Tencent, Quisho are making AI video

32:33

generation accessible to millions,

32:35

sometimes for free. Our company, I can't

32:38

imagine without AI, how can we survive

32:41

at the beginning

32:43

>> without AI, I don't think our game can

32:45

actually be done in one year.

32:49

It's brought huge productivity gains for

32:51

this game developer, but also raised

32:53

alarms in the entertainment industry.

32:56

Disney and Paramount have accused Bite

32:58

Duns of IP infringement after its video

33:01

generator produced near cinematic scenes

33:03

from just a text [music] prompt. The

33:05

fear is that AI could replace not just

33:07

mundane tasks, but jobs across creative

33:10

industries.

33:11

>> [music]

33:11

>> the painting if we use like labor works

33:14

it's like 2,000 to 4,000 for one piece

33:18

[music] but with AI we only use like

33:20

probably two R&B for one piece [music]

33:25

>> for policy makers the challenge is

33:27

balancing growth we will nurture

33:29

emerging industries and industries of

33:32

the future

33:33

>> with disruption

33:35

>> the rapid development of AI is having a

33:37

profound impact on employment

33:40

>> the China econ Economic Journal projects

33:41

that more than 30% of urban jobs in

33:44

China could be lost to AI [music] by

33:45

2049. That's 142 million jobs. That's a

33:50

scenario that could threaten social

33:51

stability. Beijing is aiming to create

33:53

another 12 million jobs this year with

33:56

just as many graduates set to enter an

33:58

already slack labor market

34:01

>> in finance and IT. If there weren't for

34:03

this kind of regulatory barriers, about

34:05

30 to 40% of the job could have been

34:07

lost right away. If you're thinking

34:09

about the automation

34:11

AI replacement of Junior Rose, it's

34:13

already happening massively in China.

34:16

>> That leaves Ciinping's government with a

34:18

dilemma. China can't afford to fall

34:20

behind in its tech ways with the United

34:22

States. But the implications of the tech

34:24

revolution are far [music] from clear.

34:26

>> If we let AI replace the jobs without

34:30

taxing the AI appropriately, then then

34:33

it can really get to the core of the

34:35

consumer economy. And we got to think

34:36

about sort of tax policy that is

34:37

targeted specifically at what is driving

34:40

those job losses.

34:41

>> It will be in the regulatory framework

34:44

at some point. I just don't see it as a

34:48

choice yet because we're at a very early

34:51

stage of promoting the application of

34:52

AI. So the gray area must be kept uh

34:56

actually by a very wide margin. Last

34:59

December, state media published a

35:01

landmark arbitration case in Beijing

35:03

that set some early guardrails.

35:05

Dismissing an employee because of AI is

35:08

illegal because it's a business decision

35:10

for profit, not an uncontrollable event.

35:13

That means companies must prioritize

35:15

retraining and reassignment before

35:17

dismissing an employee. But for now, all

35:19

signs at the two sessions suggest the

35:21

government is going allin on tech at the

35:24

risk of leaving some people behind.

35:28

That was Bloomberg's Mim Laauo. Coming

35:30

up, Gecko Robotics makes a deal with the

35:32

US Navy to monitor and maintain its

35:35

warships. We speak with CEO Jake

35:37

Lucerarian. That's next. This is

35:39

Bloomberg Tech.

35:51

>> [music]

35:51

>> The US government, well, it's stepping

35:53

up its use of AI to monitor aging

35:55

infrastructure and modernized military

35:57

systems. In a new push, Gecko Robotics

35:59

has announced a $71 million partnership

36:01

with the US Navy, deploying its AI

36:03

powered robots to assess the condition,

36:05

the readiness of American warships.

36:08

Joining us now, Jake Lucazarian, his

36:10

Gecko Robotics CEO and co-founder. Jake,

36:14

can you measure what your robots are

36:16

able to achieve in terms of real term

36:19

military readiness?

36:20

>> We're all about measuring the real um

36:22

the real information and details on the

36:23

ground. And so we swarm our robots all

36:25

over these ships as you see in the

36:27

videos. And what they're doing is

36:28

they're gathering ground truth and

36:29

information that would typically take 3

36:31

or 4 months to be done and gather 1

36:33

millionth of the amount of information

36:34

in data set that is not filtered to any

36:37

source of truth and software that could

36:39

be you know gathered and then and then

36:41

in perpetuity evaluated to help with

36:43

planning into the future. What we're

36:44

providing to the to the Navy and kudos

36:47

to the Navy for adopting this technology

36:49

you know in a way that's uh giving them

36:50

an advantage over others uh that deal

36:52

with the same problem every single day.

36:54

Um they're taking very seriously this

36:56

demand of getting to 80% readiness of

36:58

their fleet and the robots collect all

37:00

this information and data that can help

37:02

perpetuate goodness both now saving 3 to

37:04

four months of cycle time um in

37:06

maintenance cycles but in but also into

37:08

the future to plan smarter so that we

37:10

have less and less days of downtime for

37:11

the vessels.

37:12

>> I mean you're seeing them flying we're

37:14

seeing them climbing we're seeing the

37:16

hardware but you're also about the

37:18

interpretation of the data as well. How

37:19

are you developing your own models to

37:21

ensure that the right information is

37:23

getting to the end user?

37:25

>> Yeah. Well, it's it's uh it's this

37:27

example and what we say at the at the

37:28

company a lot is if it's not ready, it

37:30

doesn't count. And that's very important

37:32

as it relates to the readiness of our

37:33

fleets as it relates to deterring

37:35

conflict, what's going on right now in

37:36

the Middle East and then also in the

37:37

Pacific side. And you know, we've been

37:39

doing this for 13 years. I started the

37:41

company of a college dorm with this idea

37:42

of what if you could diagnose the health

37:44

of the built world. you know, what could

37:46

that enable as it relates to predicting

37:47

what the future structures, how they

37:49

should be built, and then what what

37:50

they're going to what's going to occur

37:52

um and how to prevent that from

37:54

occurring. And so, you we've been um

37:56

improving these models and believing

37:59

that if you can gather information and

38:00

data using robots, turn atoms into bits,

38:03

you can have such an incredible

38:04

advantage as it relates to how to make

38:06

infrastructure smarter, make it make it

38:08

um more efficiently, and make even new

38:10

structures. And so these models are all

38:12

being fed into a central source of

38:14

truth, a digital thread for critical

38:16

infrastructure called canver.

38:18

>> Jake, you uh you presented basically at

38:21

the winning the AI race summit in DC

38:23

last year which was very much focused on

38:26

this administration's policy platforms

38:28

for AI. I'm curious in the time that

38:31

that since past, you've done a deal with

38:32

the Navy. you got it done. And I

38:34

wondered what that's like, you know, to

38:36

see a project through to fruition with

38:39

some of the military apparatus of this

38:41

nation.

38:42

>> It is so exciting and so incredible to

38:44

see the Navy being a leader in the world

38:46

as it relates to giving our war fighters

38:48

an advantage, an advantage that no other

38:50

um no other Navy around the world,

38:52

including China, has. And that's the

38:54

ability to have this incredible

38:55

advantage with robotics and AI to speed

38:58

up how quickly we're gathering

38:59

information and then deploying it. We're

39:00

not just doing that, you know, for the

39:01

US government. We're we're doing that

39:03

for the largest companies in the world.

39:04

Companies like Adno. Adno who's who's

39:07

giving this AI and robotics native

39:09

approach um in such an incredibly uh

39:11

advanced way. We're bringing that same

39:13

technology and beyond to the Navy and

39:15

and ensuring uh as well that it's not

39:17

just about talk about 5 years or 10

39:19

years where you're going to see

39:21

autonomous systems and and robots and AI

39:23

affecting the the Navy and our and

39:26

helping our war fighters. No, this is

39:27

actually happening today. And that is

39:29

something that the administration cares

39:30

deeply about. That's something that

39:32

Secretary Failen of the of the Navy

39:34

cares deeply about. If you want to have

39:36

the best Navy in the world, the best

39:38

assets and programs in the world, most

39:40

robust. You need impact today. And as

39:42

you're seeing today matters and it

39:44

matters more than ever,

39:46

>> right, Jake? Uh, what is your core

39:48

competence at Gecko Robotics? Are you

39:50

good at hardware or are you good at

39:52

software? We're good at building robotic

39:55

systems that go out and gather

39:57

information and data sets that no one um

39:59

one knew ever how to ever capture

40:01

before, but then two interpreting it to

40:03

allow for decisions to be made to give

40:05

you advantages that can speed up times

40:07

to to bring critical infrastructure

40:09

that's you know constantly delayed,

40:10

constantly over budget because of how

40:12

hard it is to find out where are things

40:14

broken, how to fix it. uh the robots are

40:16

able to gather all the information, not

40:17

have to destroy the infrastructure and

40:19

assets to gather it and then provide the

40:21

ability to optimize where to make the

40:23

repairs, the replacements, and then into

40:25

the future how to plan for that to

40:26

potentially never even have a shutdown.

40:28

You know, we've been able to prevent

40:29

shutdowns at oil and gas facilities that

40:32

were going to occur um that would cause

40:34

a big explosions and for the Navy to be

40:35

able to accelerate and give them

40:37

advantages in terms of how to get our

40:38

ships out of dry dock and defending

40:40

defending our values. And so we're just

40:42

so so incredibly proud to be serving u

40:45

the Navy in this way and and just uh

40:47

kudos to the Navy for taking a big bold

40:48

step as relates to giving us this

40:50

advantage.

40:51

>> Jake Lucerarian of Gecko Robotics, great

40:53

to have you back on the show. Thank you

40:55

very much.

Interactive Summary

The video covers several major tech and market developments, focusing heavily on Nvidia's GTC conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang forecasted a $1 trillion AI infrastructure buildout by 2027, which, despite being bullish, led to mixed market reactions and continued stock volatility. Experts highlighted the 'iPhone moment' of agentic AI driving insatiable demand for Nvidia's chips and operating systems, as well as the revolutionary capabilities of Nvidia's new LPU chip. The discussion also included Nvidia's partnerships with Uber and Lyft for self-driving technology, IBM's collaboration on open-source AI, and broader tech news like quantum computing investments and memory chip shortages. Bitcoin's unexpected resilience amid geopolitical tensions was noted, alongside Qualcomm's shareholder initiatives. A significant portion addressed the profound impact of AI on labor, particularly in China, where millions of jobs are at risk due to automation, prompting government considerations for retraining and regulation. Finally, Gecko Robotics' $71 million partnership with the US Navy was detailed, involving AI-powered robots to assess and maintain warships, significantly improving fleet readiness.

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