I Got Rich Off NVIDIA. This Is Even Bigger.
544 segments
If you put $10,000 into Apple at the
start of the smartphone era, you'd have
over half a million dollars today. If
you invested that money in Nvidia when
Chat GPT started the AI era just three
years ago, you'd already have over a
hundred grand. Well, three big
breakthroughs just kicked off the
quantum computing era, and it's already
something we can invest in. My name is
Alex, and I spent eight years as an
electrical engineer and AI researcher at
MIT, and I've never seen back-to-back
breakthroughs this big. So, let me show
you what just happened and how I'm
investing in it. Your time is valuable,
so let's get right into it. I want to
start this video in an interesting
place, CES 2025, the Consumer
Electronics Show in Las Vegas. I was
there in person when during a press Q&A
session, Jensen Huang told the world
that useful quantum computers were 15 to
30 years away. The market reaction was
instant and it was brutal. IonQ dropped
by about 39% in one day, Rigetti fell by
45% and D-Wave crashed by 36%. One
sentence from one CEO cratered an entire
class of stocks. And then, something
strange happened. Two months later, when
I was at Nvidia GTC 2025, I saw Jensen
change his tune. He said that quantum
computing was closer than he thought,
and he hosted the first ever Nvidia
Quantum Day. Three months after that in
Paris, he said that quantum was reaching
an inflection point and that it was
going to solve some real problems in the
coming years. Those comments ended up
fueling the massive bubble in quantum
computing stocks late last year. That
bubble was so big that I decided not to
cover quantum at all. Everything was
already priced to perfection, but now
the bubble is behind us and something
big just happened. Just two weeks ago,
Nvidia shipped an open-source software
stack called Icing, which figures out
how to split a problem between GPUs and
quantum computers to get the best of
both worlds, and they put IonQ on the
short list of early adopters. In the 10
years that I've been investing in
Nvidia, I've never seen Jensen change
his stance on any technology so fast,
but now I understand why. On the same
day that Nvidia shipped IonQ announced
the first photonic interconnect between
two separate commercial quantum
processors.
In English, that means that IonQ linked
two quantum chips together and got them
to act like one, kind of like how
Nvidia's black GPUs get two compute dies
to act like a single chip. That same
day, DARPA picked IonQ for a two-year
program called HARQ, effectively giving
them federal funding to scale their
quantum systems. And just 1 week before
that, Rigetti made the first 100-plus
qubit quantum computer generally
available on AWS, which means you can
now rent a state-of-the-art quantum
computer the same way you'd rent a
regular server. So, in just 1 week,
Nvidia released software to control
quantum computers along with GPUs, IonQ
figured out how to connect theirs
together, and Rigetti put theirs on the
cloud. Quantum computing isn't science
fiction anymore. It's an entire market
sector that's finally worth investing
in. And I'm not here to keep you
hostage. So, here are the three stocks
I'm going to use to explain the market.
IonQ, ticker symbol IONQ, which uses
photons to scale beyond single quantum
chips. Rigetti Computing, ticker symbol
RGTI, which has a 128 qubit processor
you can already rent on AWS. And D-Wave,
ticker symbol QBTS, a quantum company
already solving big problems for even
bigger customers. And of course, which
of these three stocks I think is the
best buy right now. I want to make the
best use of your time. So, let's start
with what these companies have in
common. And uh what the heck a quantum
computer even is. In classical
computing, a bit can either be a zero or
a one, Just like a coin can either be
heads or tails. That's it. Every piece
of software you've ever used, every app
on your phone, every AI model, every
spreadsheet runs on those two binary
numbers, one or zero, heads or tails,
flipped billions of times every second.
A qubit is like a weighted coin where
you can choose the weight. Before you
flip it, it has some probability of
heads and tails at the same time. You
only know which way it landed once you
flip the coin and you look at it.
So, until you see the result by
measuring a qubit, it still has the
probabilities of both one and zero,
heads and tails. Now, take a bunch of
those quantum coins and link them all
together so that when you check one, you
instantly know how all the other coins
could land. They follow a shared pattern
instead of flipping independently.
That's quantum entanglement, or at least
it's my best attempt at understanding
it. And when you entangle a system of
qubits together, the math gets wild
really fast. A single qubit has two
possible states, zero or one, heads or
tails. A system of two qubits has four
states, 00, 01, 10, or 11. A system of
three qubits has eight states. Eight is
two to the third power. That means a
system of 300 entangled qubits has two
raised to the 300 different possible
states, which is more possibilities than
there are atoms in the observable
universe. That's why quantum computers
are exponentially more powerful than
classical ones, at least for certain
kinds of problems, like optimization,
simulation, cryptography, and certain
kinds of machine learning. But there's a
catch. Qubits are insanely fragile, and
things like heat, vibration, or even a
single stray photon can knock them out
of their shared pattern, turning them
back into regular ones and zeros. That's
called decoherence. Keeping a qubit
stable long enough to actually run a
useful calculation is the entire name of
the game, and every company in this
video is making a different massive bet
on the best way to do it. At the start
of this video, I pointed out that Apple
and Nvidia made investors rich by being
the cornerstone companies of the mobile
and AI computing eras. Well, the global
quantum computing market is expected to
more than 20x in size over the next 10
years and could become a $40 billion
market by 2035. That's almost as fast as
the growth of the AI market itself.
According to Market US, the global
artificial intelligence market is
expected to almost 19x in size over the
next 9 years, which is a compound annual
growth rate of 38.5%
through 2034. But, many of the companies
building next-generation AI applications
are not publicly traded. Think about the
'90s and early 2000s. Companies like
Amazon and Google went public very early
in their growth cycle. But today,
they're waiting an average of 10 years
or longer to go public. That means
investors like us can miss out on most
of the returns from the next Amazon, the
next Google, the next Nvidia. That's
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right. So, the quantum computing market
is expected to grow at a 36% compound
annual growth rate for the next decade,
over two times faster growth than the
S&P 500. And that's before Nvidia
started building infrastructure to
support it, which will obviously
increase adoption. And that brings us to
Nvidia themselves. Nvidia isn't building
a quantum chip. They're building the
infrastructure between everyone else's
quantum chips and their own GPUs. Late
last year at Nvidia's GTC DC conference,
they announced something called NVLink,
a super fast connection that lets GPUs
send instructions and read results in
just a few millionths of a second.
That's fast enough for GPUs to watch the
qubits, correct their errors, and adjust
things along the fly before the system
decoheres. And then, just a couple weeks
ago, they released Ising. That's an
open-source AI toolkit that helps
quantum chips fix their own errors in
real time. Ising also speeds up quantum
calibration, which is a process that
took days, but now takes just hours. As
an investor, this made one thing crystal
clear for me. Nvidia doesn't think
quantum computers are going to replace
GPUs, or else they obviously wouldn't
build systems to support them. Instead,
they see quantum computers plugging into
our current data center infrastructure
to help with very specific kinds of
workloads. So, the future will be about
hybrid computing, a mix of CPUs, GPUs,
and QPU all working together. But even
if that happens, these companies still
have some serious risks that you need to
know about. First, their revenues are
still small. IonQ is the only one over a
hundred million dollars in revenue.
Rigetti made just seven million dollars
last fiscal year, and D-Wave made around
25 million. That's why their stocks can
move by 30, 40, even 50% in a single day
in either direction, just like we saw
over the last year. Second, they have
serious customer concentration. Most of
their money today comes from government
and defense contractors, so any budget
cuts would hit all three at once. And
third, like I'm about to explain, well,
explain, all three companies have
fundamentally different approaches to
quantum computing. That means today's
winners could be tomorrow's losers, and
you need to know that going in. All
right, IonQ is the current frontrunner
in public quantum hardware. If I had to
boil them down to a single sentence,
IonQ is the closest thing to being the
Nvidia of quantum computing, if their
approach ends up being the right way to
go. IonQ uses something called trapped
ion systems, which uses charged atoms as
the qubits, the coins we talked about
before. It holds them in place with
electromagnetic fields, and it controls
them with lasers. This trapped ion
approach gives IonQ some of the highest
quality qubits in the industry. They run
slower, but they also have fewer errors,
which means you can run them longer
before the decoherence kicks in. And
importantly, trapped ion systems are the
easiest kinds to network multiple chips
together. Here's why that matters. The
hard part about scaling quantum
computers is that a single chip tops out
at a few hundred qubits, but it takes
tens of thousands of qubits to do things
like certain kinds of cryptography,
simulate real chemistry, and optimize
global supply chains. So, how do you
scale from 100 to 10,000? You can try to
build one giant chip, but nobody's
figured out how to do that. Or, you can
network multiple chips together. That's
exactly what IonQ just did last week,
when they announced the first photonic
interconnect between two quantum
processors. Proving this could even be
done is a serious milestone the entire
industry has been chasing since the
1990s. The path from 100 qubits to
10,000 is no longer science fiction.
It's just a matter of time, money, and
engineering. On the same exact day,
DARPA added them to a program called
HARQ, Harnessing Quantum Computing at
Scale, which basically means the US
Department of Defense is willing to bet
real money on IonQ's solutions. And
speaking of money, IonQ reported $62
million in revenue last quarter, which
is up a massive 429%
year-over-year. They made $130 million
for the full year, which is more than
triple their year before, making them
the only public quantum computing
company to cross the $100 million mark.
But the special thing about IonQ isn't
just their revenue, it's their backlog,
which grew to about $370 million, or
almost three times their last year's
revenue. And they're guiding for $235
million this year, which would imply
around 80% revenue growth for 2026. One
thing to be careful with, they reported
a net income of $754 million, but that
number was driven by a non-cash warrant
reevaluation gain of $950 million. That
means they actually had an operating
loss for the quarter, and their
management actually expects larger
losses in 2026 as they keep investing in
their systems. On the balance sheet,
IonQ has roughly $3.3 billion in cash
and short-term investments. That's a
massive war chest for a company this
small, and exactly what you want to
offset so much execution risk. For
investors, the takeaway here is simple.
IonQ has the biggest backlog and the
strongest balance sheet in quantum
computing, but you're still betting on
an unprofitable, highly volatile stock
where the core technology has real risks
and the market is still very small.
That's what I mean when I say get in
early, but getting in early is a
double-edged sword. All right, let's
talk about Rigetti Computing next. If
Jensen Huang is right that quantum
computers will work with GPUs instead of
replacing them, then Rigetti is set up
to win big. It's already plugged
directly into Nvidia's NVQ link and
CUDA-Q stack for hybrid workloads. So,
any enterprise that wants Nvidia's stack
and quantum computing will be running on
Rigetti's hardware. Quantum computers
from Google, IBM, and Rigetti all rely
on superconducting systems, which use
tiny electrical circuits that are cooled
so close to absolute zero that they
behave like artificial atoms. They run
around 4,000 times faster than the
trapped ion qubits from IonQ, but their
errors are so much harder to control
that they only end up being something
like 10 times faster in practice. Those
errors also make superconducting systems
much harder to scale, but unlike IBM or
Google, Rigetti is the only way to
invest directly in this technology
without investing in all the other, much
bigger business units as well. Rigetti
also has the first 100-plus qubit
processor available on AWS. AWS is the
default cloud computing infrastructure
for millions of developers around the
world, and they all just got access to
Rigetti's quantum computer. Now, here's
where Rigetti looks very different from
a company like IonQ. Their Q4 2025
revenue was just $1.9 million,
and it was down 18% year-over-year.
Their full-year 2025 revenue was just
$7.1 million.
So, Rigetti is still a pre-commercial
company, and valuing them based on
revenue won't get you very far. Instead,
I'm watching their cash position and
their milestones. Are they increasing
the number of qubits in their systems?
Are more AWS customers using their
chips? And are they getting more
partnerships with hyperscalers in
general? With government agencies? And
are they getting more integrated with
Nvidia? Rigetti finished the year with
about $590 million in cash, and they're
burning about $20 million a quarter.
That means they have about 30 quarters
of cash runway, or about 7.5 years. So,
don't mistake their lack of revenue for
a lack of funding. And that brings us to
D-Wave, the only company with a
commercial product that customers
actually pay for today, not pilots and
not research partnerships. Quantum
annealing, like the kind in D-Wave's
Advantage line of systems, isn't really
a general-purpose computer. It's a
specialized machine built to solve
optimization problems like scheduling,
routing, and materials design. The
important thing for investors to know
about this one is that companies like
Volkswagen, Google, NASA, and Lockheed
Martin already pay to run workloads on
D-Wave's systems today. And in January
of this year, D-Wave closed a $550
million acquisition of Quantum Circuits
Inc., which gives them a gate-based
quantum platform on top of their
existing annealing business. Gate-based
superconducting is more of a
general-purpose quantum computer, which
complements D-Wave's more specialized
quantum annealing systems. For
investors, that means that D-Wave has
two different quantum architectures
under one roof. So, D-Wave doesn't have
to win the war to survive it. They only
need one of them to work out long-term.
That optionality is the unique thing
about D-Wave. Last quarter, D-Wave's
revenue came in at $2.8 million,
up 19% year-over-year. But their
business is still spiky and driven by
big deals. Full year 2025 revenue came
in at $24.6 million, which was actually
up 179%
year-over-year. In January and February
of this year alone, they reported $32.8
million in new bookings, already more
than their entire 2025 revenue in just 2
months. On April 14th at the Semaphore
World Economic Summit, D-Wave's CEO said
that Nvidia should be shaking in their
boots when it comes to quantum. That
line landed on the same day that Nvidia
launched Ising, and D-Wave stock
skyrocketed by around 50% that week.
D-Wave has around $630 million on their
balance sheet, and that's after
acquiring Quantum Circuits Inc. They're
currently burning around $70 million a
year, which gives them almost a 9-year
cash runway. So, as an investor, I like
that D-Wave has all the funding they
need until they can become profitable
themselves. All right, before we can
decide which of these three stocks is
the best buy right now, here's a table
summarizing everything I covered. As you
read through it, just keep a few things
in mind. I built this table myself by
pulling numbers from each company's
latest earnings call, and I tried to
make each row as apples-to-apples as
possible. But, IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave
all have different customers, different
contract lengths, and fundamentally
different approaches to quantum
computing. So, take this table as a good
way to compare them, but not as official
audited numbers. And now that we have
all that context, we can answer the big
question: Which quantum computing
company is the best investment right
now? And if you feel I've earned it,
consider hitting the like button and
subscribing to the channel. That really
helps me out, and it lets me know to
make more content like this. Thanks.
Now, let's talk about IonQ, Rigetti, and
D-Wave stock. IonQ is the clear leader
of the quantum computing pack. Their
revenue grew by 428%
year-over-year. They have a backlog of
$370 million,
and they're the only public company to
link two commercial quantum computing
chips together. So, if you're the kind
of growth investor who waits for a
company to prove its product-market fit
at scale before risking your own money,
IonQ is probably for you. If you believe
that the future of quantum computing
isn't overtaking CPUs and GPUs, but
working alongside them, then Rigetti is
the company connected to Nvidia's stack
with NVQ link and CUDA-Q. And they
already have a quantum processor that
any AWS customer can rent. Just
remember, this is the smallest company
with the smallest revenue and cash
position of the three. So, if you can
stomach some execution risk and
volatility in exchange for a shot at
owning Nvidia's quantum future, Rigetti
may be the stock for you. And D-Wave is
for investors who like having their cake
and eating it, too. They already have
paying customers today, and you get
exposure to two different quantum
architectures instead of betting on one,
quantum annealing and the gate-based
superconducting architecture from their
quantum circuits acquisition. D-Wave is
growing almost as fast as IonQ, but from
a much smaller base, which isn't that
big of a deal since they already have
enough cash to last for almost nine
years. Personally, I want to own all
three stocks for one simple reason. All
three companies have fundamentally
different approaches to building quantum
computers at scale, and I don't know
enough about the space to reliably pick
a winner. So, this is one of those times
where I'd rather own the entire market
than bet on a single stock. If I had to
pick a winner based purely on market cap
versus revenue, backlog, and growth
potential, I'd pick IonQ because they're
already over $100 million in annual
revenue, they have a $370 million
backlog, and they're still growing by
over 200% per year. So, to me, they have
the best risk-to-reward ratio of the
three. But, one thing's for sure,
quantum computing is quickly moving from
science fiction to a future worth
investing in. Let me know which stock
you're buying below. All three companies
report earnings in early May. So, let me
know if you want me to follow up with a
deep dive video on any one of them. And
if you want to see more science behind
the stocks, check out this video next.
Either way, thanks for watching and
until next time, this is ticker symbol
U. My name is Alex reminding you that
the best investment you can make
is in you.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video explores the emerging field of quantum computing as a viable investment sector. Alex, an electrical engineer and researcher, discusses why recent breakthroughs—such as Nvidia's development of supporting software and hardware for quantum systems, and companies like IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave reaching significant technological milestones—have shifted the industry from science fiction to a tangible market. The video provides a comparative analysis of these three companies, outlining their distinct technical approaches, financial statuses, and growth potential, ultimately suggesting a diversified approach to investing in this nascent, high-risk sector.
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