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I Got Rich Off NVIDIA. This Is Even Bigger.

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I Got Rich Off NVIDIA. This Is Even Bigger.

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544 segments

0:00

If you put $10,000 into Apple at the

0:02

start of the smartphone era, you'd have

0:04

over half a million dollars today. If

0:06

you invested that money in Nvidia when

0:08

Chat GPT started the AI era just three

0:11

years ago, you'd already have over a

0:13

hundred grand. Well, three big

0:15

breakthroughs just kicked off the

0:17

quantum computing era, and it's already

0:20

something we can invest in. My name is

0:22

Alex, and I spent eight years as an

0:23

electrical engineer and AI researcher at

0:25

MIT, and I've never seen back-to-back

0:28

breakthroughs this big. So, let me show

0:30

you what just happened and how I'm

0:32

investing in it. Your time is valuable,

0:34

so let's get right into it. I want to

0:36

start this video in an interesting

0:37

place, CES 2025, the Consumer

0:41

Electronics Show in Las Vegas. I was

0:43

there in person when during a press Q&A

0:45

session, Jensen Huang told the world

0:48

that useful quantum computers were 15 to

0:50

30 years away. The market reaction was

0:53

instant and it was brutal. IonQ dropped

0:56

by about 39% in one day, Rigetti fell by

0:59

45% and D-Wave crashed by 36%. One

1:03

sentence from one CEO cratered an entire

1:06

class of stocks. And then, something

1:09

strange happened. Two months later, when

1:11

I was at Nvidia GTC 2025, I saw Jensen

1:14

change his tune. He said that quantum

1:16

computing was closer than he thought,

1:19

and he hosted the first ever Nvidia

1:20

Quantum Day. Three months after that in

1:23

Paris, he said that quantum was reaching

1:25

an inflection point and that it was

1:26

going to solve some real problems in the

1:28

coming years. Those comments ended up

1:30

fueling the massive bubble in quantum

1:32

computing stocks late last year. That

1:34

bubble was so big that I decided not to

1:37

cover quantum at all. Everything was

1:39

already priced to perfection, but now

1:41

the bubble is behind us and something

1:43

big just happened. Just two weeks ago,

1:46

Nvidia shipped an open-source software

1:47

stack called Icing, which figures out

1:50

how to split a problem between GPUs and

1:52

quantum computers to get the best of

1:54

both worlds, and they put IonQ on the

1:57

short list of early adopters. In the 10

1:59

years that I've been investing in

2:01

Nvidia, I've never seen Jensen change

2:03

his stance on any technology so fast,

2:06

but now I understand why. On the same

2:08

day that Nvidia shipped IonQ announced

2:11

the first photonic interconnect between

2:13

two separate commercial quantum

2:15

processors.

2:16

In English, that means that IonQ linked

2:19

two quantum chips together and got them

2:21

to act like one, kind of like how

2:23

Nvidia's black GPUs get two compute dies

2:26

to act like a single chip. That same

2:29

day, DARPA picked IonQ for a two-year

2:31

program called HARQ, effectively giving

2:33

them federal funding to scale their

2:35

quantum systems. And just 1 week before

2:38

that, Rigetti made the first 100-plus

2:41

qubit quantum computer generally

2:43

available on AWS, which means you can

2:45

now rent a state-of-the-art quantum

2:47

computer the same way you'd rent a

2:49

regular server. So, in just 1 week,

2:52

Nvidia released software to control

2:54

quantum computers along with GPUs, IonQ

2:57

figured out how to connect theirs

2:58

together, and Rigetti put theirs on the

3:01

cloud. Quantum computing isn't science

3:03

fiction anymore. It's an entire market

3:06

sector that's finally worth investing

3:08

in. And I'm not here to keep you

3:10

hostage. So, here are the three stocks

3:12

I'm going to use to explain the market.

3:14

IonQ, ticker symbol IONQ, which uses

3:17

photons to scale beyond single quantum

3:19

chips. Rigetti Computing, ticker symbol

3:22

RGTI, which has a 128 qubit processor

3:26

you can already rent on AWS. And D-Wave,

3:29

ticker symbol QBTS, a quantum company

3:32

already solving big problems for even

3:35

bigger customers. And of course, which

3:37

of these three stocks I think is the

3:39

best buy right now. I want to make the

3:41

best use of your time. So, let's start

3:43

with what these companies have in

3:44

common. And uh what the heck a quantum

3:46

computer even is. In classical

3:49

computing, a bit can either be a zero or

3:51

a one, Just like a coin can either be

3:53

heads or tails. That's it. Every piece

3:56

of software you've ever used, every app

3:58

on your phone, every AI model, every

4:00

spreadsheet runs on those two binary

4:03

numbers, one or zero, heads or tails,

4:06

flipped billions of times every second.

4:09

A qubit is like a weighted coin where

4:11

you can choose the weight. Before you

4:13

flip it, it has some probability of

4:15

heads and tails at the same time. You

4:17

only know which way it landed once you

4:19

flip the coin and you look at it.

4:24

So, until you see the result by

4:26

measuring a qubit, it still has the

4:28

probabilities of both one and zero,

4:31

heads and tails. Now, take a bunch of

4:33

those quantum coins and link them all

4:35

together so that when you check one, you

4:38

instantly know how all the other coins

4:40

could land. They follow a shared pattern

4:42

instead of flipping independently.

4:45

That's quantum entanglement, or at least

4:47

it's my best attempt at understanding

4:49

it. And when you entangle a system of

4:51

qubits together, the math gets wild

4:53

really fast. A single qubit has two

4:56

possible states, zero or one, heads or

4:59

tails. A system of two qubits has four

5:02

states, 00, 01, 10, or 11. A system of

5:07

three qubits has eight states. Eight is

5:10

two to the third power. That means a

5:12

system of 300 entangled qubits has two

5:15

raised to the 300 different possible

5:17

states, which is more possibilities than

5:20

there are atoms in the observable

5:21

universe. That's why quantum computers

5:23

are exponentially more powerful than

5:26

classical ones, at least for certain

5:28

kinds of problems, like optimization,

5:30

simulation, cryptography, and certain

5:33

kinds of machine learning. But there's a

5:35

catch. Qubits are insanely fragile, and

5:38

things like heat, vibration, or even a

5:40

single stray photon can knock them out

5:43

of their shared pattern, turning them

5:44

back into regular ones and zeros. That's

5:47

called decoherence. Keeping a qubit

5:50

stable long enough to actually run a

5:52

useful calculation is the entire name of

5:55

the game, and every company in this

5:57

video is making a different massive bet

6:00

on the best way to do it. At the start

6:01

of this video, I pointed out that Apple

6:03

and Nvidia made investors rich by being

6:06

the cornerstone companies of the mobile

6:08

and AI computing eras. Well, the global

6:11

quantum computing market is expected to

6:13

more than 20x in size over the next 10

6:16

years and could become a $40 billion

6:18

market by 2035. That's almost as fast as

6:22

the growth of the AI market itself.

6:25

According to Market US, the global

6:27

artificial intelligence market is

6:28

expected to almost 19x in size over the

6:31

next 9 years, which is a compound annual

6:34

growth rate of 38.5%

6:37

through 2034. But, many of the companies

6:39

building next-generation AI applications

6:42

are not publicly traded. Think about the

6:44

'90s and early 2000s. Companies like

6:47

Amazon and Google went public very early

6:49

in their growth cycle. But today,

6:51

they're waiting an average of 10 years

6:53

or longer to go public. That means

6:55

investors like us can miss out on most

6:57

of the returns from the next Amazon, the

6:59

next Google, the next Nvidia. That's

7:02

where VCX comes in, the sponsor of this

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7:39

right. So, the quantum computing market

7:41

is expected to grow at a 36% compound

7:44

annual growth rate for the next decade,

7:47

over two times faster growth than the

7:49

S&P 500. And that's before Nvidia

7:52

started building infrastructure to

7:54

support it, which will obviously

7:56

increase adoption. And that brings us to

7:58

Nvidia themselves. Nvidia isn't building

8:01

a quantum chip. They're building the

8:03

infrastructure between everyone else's

8:05

quantum chips and their own GPUs. Late

8:08

last year at Nvidia's GTC DC conference,

8:11

they announced something called NVLink,

8:14

a super fast connection that lets GPUs

8:16

send instructions and read results in

8:19

just a few millionths of a second.

8:21

That's fast enough for GPUs to watch the

8:23

qubits, correct their errors, and adjust

8:26

things along the fly before the system

8:28

decoheres. And then, just a couple weeks

8:31

ago, they released Ising. That's an

8:33

open-source AI toolkit that helps

8:35

quantum chips fix their own errors in

8:37

real time. Ising also speeds up quantum

8:40

calibration, which is a process that

8:42

took days, but now takes just hours. As

8:45

an investor, this made one thing crystal

8:47

clear for me. Nvidia doesn't think

8:49

quantum computers are going to replace

8:52

GPUs, or else they obviously wouldn't

8:54

build systems to support them. Instead,

8:56

they see quantum computers plugging into

8:58

our current data center infrastructure

9:01

to help with very specific kinds of

9:03

workloads. So, the future will be about

9:05

hybrid computing, a mix of CPUs, GPUs,

9:09

and QPU all working together. But even

9:12

if that happens, these companies still

9:15

have some serious risks that you need to

9:16

know about. First, their revenues are

9:18

still small. IonQ is the only one over a

9:21

hundred million dollars in revenue.

9:24

Rigetti made just seven million dollars

9:26

last fiscal year, and D-Wave made around

9:28

25 million. That's why their stocks can

9:30

move by 30, 40, even 50% in a single day

9:35

in either direction, just like we saw

9:37

over the last year. Second, they have

9:39

serious customer concentration. Most of

9:42

their money today comes from government

9:44

and defense contractors, so any budget

9:46

cuts would hit all three at once. And

9:48

third, like I'm about to explain, well,

9:51

explain, all three companies have

9:53

fundamentally different approaches to

9:55

quantum computing. That means today's

9:57

winners could be tomorrow's losers, and

10:00

you need to know that going in. All

10:02

right, IonQ is the current frontrunner

10:04

in public quantum hardware. If I had to

10:06

boil them down to a single sentence,

10:08

IonQ is the closest thing to being the

10:11

Nvidia of quantum computing, if their

10:14

approach ends up being the right way to

10:16

go. IonQ uses something called trapped

10:18

ion systems, which uses charged atoms as

10:21

the qubits, the coins we talked about

10:23

before. It holds them in place with

10:26

electromagnetic fields, and it controls

10:28

them with lasers. This trapped ion

10:30

approach gives IonQ some of the highest

10:33

quality qubits in the industry. They run

10:36

slower, but they also have fewer errors,

10:39

which means you can run them longer

10:40

before the decoherence kicks in. And

10:43

importantly, trapped ion systems are the

10:45

easiest kinds to network multiple chips

10:48

together. Here's why that matters. The

10:50

hard part about scaling quantum

10:52

computers is that a single chip tops out

10:55

at a few hundred qubits, but it takes

10:57

tens of thousands of qubits to do things

11:00

like certain kinds of cryptography,

11:02

simulate real chemistry, and optimize

11:04

global supply chains. So, how do you

11:07

scale from 100 to 10,000? You can try to

11:09

build one giant chip, but nobody's

11:11

figured out how to do that. Or, you can

11:13

network multiple chips together. That's

11:15

exactly what IonQ just did last week,

11:18

when they announced the first photonic

11:20

interconnect between two quantum

11:22

processors. Proving this could even be

11:24

done is a serious milestone the entire

11:27

industry has been chasing since the

11:29

1990s. The path from 100 qubits to

11:32

10,000 is no longer science fiction.

11:35

It's just a matter of time, money, and

11:37

engineering. On the same exact day,

11:40

DARPA added them to a program called

11:42

HARQ, Harnessing Quantum Computing at

11:44

Scale, which basically means the US

11:46

Department of Defense is willing to bet

11:48

real money on IonQ's solutions. And

11:51

speaking of money, IonQ reported $62

11:54

million in revenue last quarter, which

11:56

is up a massive 429%

11:59

year-over-year. They made $130 million

12:02

for the full year, which is more than

12:04

triple their year before, making them

12:06

the only public quantum computing

12:08

company to cross the $100 million mark.

12:11

But the special thing about IonQ isn't

12:13

just their revenue, it's their backlog,

12:16

which grew to about $370 million, or

12:19

almost three times their last year's

12:21

revenue. And they're guiding for $235

12:24

million this year, which would imply

12:27

around 80% revenue growth for 2026. One

12:31

thing to be careful with, they reported

12:33

a net income of $754 million, but that

12:36

number was driven by a non-cash warrant

12:39

reevaluation gain of $950 million. That

12:43

means they actually had an operating

12:45

loss for the quarter, and their

12:46

management actually expects larger

12:48

losses in 2026 as they keep investing in

12:51

their systems. On the balance sheet,

12:53

IonQ has roughly $3.3 billion in cash

12:57

and short-term investments. That's a

12:59

massive war chest for a company this

13:01

small, and exactly what you want to

13:03

offset so much execution risk. For

13:06

investors, the takeaway here is simple.

13:08

IonQ has the biggest backlog and the

13:11

strongest balance sheet in quantum

13:12

computing, but you're still betting on

13:14

an unprofitable, highly volatile stock

13:17

where the core technology has real risks

13:19

and the market is still very small.

13:22

That's what I mean when I say get in

13:24

early, but getting in early is a

13:26

double-edged sword. All right, let's

13:28

talk about Rigetti Computing next. If

13:30

Jensen Huang is right that quantum

13:32

computers will work with GPUs instead of

13:34

replacing them, then Rigetti is set up

13:37

to win big. It's already plugged

13:39

directly into Nvidia's NVQ link and

13:42

CUDA-Q stack for hybrid workloads. So,

13:45

any enterprise that wants Nvidia's stack

13:47

and quantum computing will be running on

13:49

Rigetti's hardware. Quantum computers

13:51

from Google, IBM, and Rigetti all rely

13:55

on superconducting systems, which use

13:57

tiny electrical circuits that are cooled

13:59

so close to absolute zero that they

14:01

behave like artificial atoms. They run

14:04

around 4,000 times faster than the

14:07

trapped ion qubits from IonQ, but their

14:09

errors are so much harder to control

14:12

that they only end up being something

14:14

like 10 times faster in practice. Those

14:16

errors also make superconducting systems

14:19

much harder to scale, but unlike IBM or

14:22

Google, Rigetti is the only way to

14:24

invest directly in this technology

14:27

without investing in all the other, much

14:29

bigger business units as well. Rigetti

14:31

also has the first 100-plus qubit

14:33

processor available on AWS. AWS is the

14:37

default cloud computing infrastructure

14:39

for millions of developers around the

14:41

world, and they all just got access to

14:43

Rigetti's quantum computer. Now, here's

14:46

where Rigetti looks very different from

14:48

a company like IonQ. Their Q4 2025

14:51

revenue was just $1.9 million,

14:54

and it was down 18% year-over-year.

14:57

Their full-year 2025 revenue was just

14:59

$7.1 million.

15:01

So, Rigetti is still a pre-commercial

15:03

company, and valuing them based on

15:05

revenue won't get you very far. Instead,

15:08

I'm watching their cash position and

15:10

their milestones. Are they increasing

15:12

the number of qubits in their systems?

15:14

Are more AWS customers using their

15:16

chips? And are they getting more

15:18

partnerships with hyperscalers in

15:19

general? With government agencies? And

15:22

are they getting more integrated with

15:24

Nvidia? Rigetti finished the year with

15:26

about $590 million in cash, and they're

15:29

burning about $20 million a quarter.

15:32

That means they have about 30 quarters

15:34

of cash runway, or about 7.5 years. So,

15:38

don't mistake their lack of revenue for

15:39

a lack of funding. And that brings us to

15:42

D-Wave, the only company with a

15:44

commercial product that customers

15:46

actually pay for today, not pilots and

15:48

not research partnerships. Quantum

15:50

annealing, like the kind in D-Wave's

15:52

Advantage line of systems, isn't really

15:54

a general-purpose computer. It's a

15:56

specialized machine built to solve

15:59

optimization problems like scheduling,

16:01

routing, and materials design. The

16:03

important thing for investors to know

16:05

about this one is that companies like

16:07

Volkswagen, Google, NASA, and Lockheed

16:09

Martin already pay to run workloads on

16:12

D-Wave's systems today. And in January

16:15

of this year, D-Wave closed a $550

16:17

million acquisition of Quantum Circuits

16:20

Inc., which gives them a gate-based

16:22

quantum platform on top of their

16:24

existing annealing business. Gate-based

16:27

superconducting is more of a

16:28

general-purpose quantum computer, which

16:31

complements D-Wave's more specialized

16:33

quantum annealing systems. For

16:35

investors, that means that D-Wave has

16:37

two different quantum architectures

16:39

under one roof. So, D-Wave doesn't have

16:41

to win the war to survive it. They only

16:43

need one of them to work out long-term.

16:46

That optionality is the unique thing

16:48

about D-Wave. Last quarter, D-Wave's

16:50

revenue came in at $2.8 million,

16:53

up 19% year-over-year. But their

16:55

business is still spiky and driven by

16:57

big deals. Full year 2025 revenue came

17:00

in at $24.6 million, which was actually

17:03

up 179%

17:05

year-over-year. In January and February

17:08

of this year alone, they reported $32.8

17:11

million in new bookings, already more

17:14

than their entire 2025 revenue in just 2

17:17

months. On April 14th at the Semaphore

17:20

World Economic Summit, D-Wave's CEO said

17:23

that Nvidia should be shaking in their

17:25

boots when it comes to quantum. That

17:27

line landed on the same day that Nvidia

17:29

launched Ising, and D-Wave stock

17:31

skyrocketed by around 50% that week.

17:34

D-Wave has around $630 million on their

17:37

balance sheet, and that's after

17:39

acquiring Quantum Circuits Inc. They're

17:41

currently burning around $70 million a

17:43

year, which gives them almost a 9-year

17:46

cash runway. So, as an investor, I like

17:49

that D-Wave has all the funding they

17:51

need until they can become profitable

17:53

themselves. All right, before we can

17:55

decide which of these three stocks is

17:57

the best buy right now, here's a table

17:59

summarizing everything I covered. As you

18:01

read through it, just keep a few things

18:03

in mind. I built this table myself by

18:05

pulling numbers from each company's

18:07

latest earnings call, and I tried to

18:08

make each row as apples-to-apples as

18:10

possible. But, IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave

18:13

all have different customers, different

18:16

contract lengths, and fundamentally

18:18

different approaches to quantum

18:19

computing. So, take this table as a good

18:21

way to compare them, but not as official

18:24

audited numbers. And now that we have

18:26

all that context, we can answer the big

18:28

question: Which quantum computing

18:30

company is the best investment right

18:32

now? And if you feel I've earned it,

18:34

consider hitting the like button and

18:35

subscribing to the channel. That really

18:37

helps me out, and it lets me know to

18:39

make more content like this. Thanks.

18:41

Now, let's talk about IonQ, Rigetti, and

18:44

D-Wave stock. IonQ is the clear leader

18:46

of the quantum computing pack. Their

18:48

revenue grew by 428%

18:51

year-over-year. They have a backlog of

18:53

$370 million,

18:55

and they're the only public company to

18:57

link two commercial quantum computing

18:59

chips together. So, if you're the kind

19:01

of growth investor who waits for a

19:03

company to prove its product-market fit

19:05

at scale before risking your own money,

19:08

IonQ is probably for you. If you believe

19:10

that the future of quantum computing

19:12

isn't overtaking CPUs and GPUs, but

19:15

working alongside them, then Rigetti is

19:17

the company connected to Nvidia's stack

19:19

with NVQ link and CUDA-Q. And they

19:22

already have a quantum processor that

19:24

any AWS customer can rent. Just

19:27

remember, this is the smallest company

19:29

with the smallest revenue and cash

19:31

position of the three. So, if you can

19:33

stomach some execution risk and

19:34

volatility in exchange for a shot at

19:36

owning Nvidia's quantum future, Rigetti

19:39

may be the stock for you. And D-Wave is

19:42

for investors who like having their cake

19:43

and eating it, too. They already have

19:46

paying customers today, and you get

19:47

exposure to two different quantum

19:49

architectures instead of betting on one,

19:52

quantum annealing and the gate-based

19:54

superconducting architecture from their

19:56

quantum circuits acquisition. D-Wave is

19:58

growing almost as fast as IonQ, but from

20:01

a much smaller base, which isn't that

20:03

big of a deal since they already have

20:05

enough cash to last for almost nine

20:07

years. Personally, I want to own all

20:10

three stocks for one simple reason. All

20:12

three companies have fundamentally

20:14

different approaches to building quantum

20:16

computers at scale, and I don't know

20:18

enough about the space to reliably pick

20:21

a winner. So, this is one of those times

20:22

where I'd rather own the entire market

20:24

than bet on a single stock. If I had to

20:27

pick a winner based purely on market cap

20:29

versus revenue, backlog, and growth

20:31

potential, I'd pick IonQ because they're

20:33

already over $100 million in annual

20:36

revenue, they have a $370 million

20:38

backlog, and they're still growing by

20:40

over 200% per year. So, to me, they have

20:44

the best risk-to-reward ratio of the

20:46

three. But, one thing's for sure,

20:48

quantum computing is quickly moving from

20:50

science fiction to a future worth

20:52

investing in. Let me know which stock

20:54

you're buying below. All three companies

20:56

report earnings in early May. So, let me

20:59

know if you want me to follow up with a

21:00

deep dive video on any one of them. And

21:02

if you want to see more science behind

21:04

the stocks, check out this video next.

21:07

Either way, thanks for watching and

21:08

until next time, this is ticker symbol

21:10

U. My name is Alex reminding you that

21:13

the best investment you can make

21:15

is in you.

Interactive Summary

The video explores the emerging field of quantum computing as a viable investment sector. Alex, an electrical engineer and researcher, discusses why recent breakthroughs—such as Nvidia's development of supporting software and hardware for quantum systems, and companies like IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave reaching significant technological milestones—have shifted the industry from science fiction to a tangible market. The video provides a comparative analysis of these three companies, outlining their distinct technical approaches, financial statuses, and growth potential, ultimately suggesting a diversified approach to investing in this nascent, high-risk sector.

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