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What We Got Right — and Wrong — in ‘Abundance’ | The Ezra Klein Show

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What We Got Right — and Wrong — in ‘Abundance’ | The Ezra Klein Show

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0:00

It has been a little over a year since

0:02

Derek Thompson and I published

0:03

Abundance.

0:05

And so I wanted here at the just over a

0:07

year mark to have a check-in. What has

0:10

happened? What hasn't happened? Which of

0:13

the arguments have changed our minds?

0:15

Which politicians actually seem to be

0:17

doing something with the idea? And where

0:19

does it all go from here? Derek Thompson

0:22

is a contributing writer at The

0:24

Atlantic. is of course a co-author of

0:25

abundance and the author of a great

0:27

Substack newsletter under his name. Mark

0:30

Dunkelman is a fellow at the Searchlight

0:32

Institute and at Brown University and

0:35

the author of a book that came out

0:36

around the same time, Why Nothing Works,

0:38

which is about some very similar ideas

0:39

but with a much more historical

0:41

perspective. So, I want to have them on

0:43

together to sort of talk through what

0:44

we've seen and what we think is coming.

0:46

As always, my email esc.com.

0:55

>> Mark Dunkelman, Derek Thompson. Welcome

0:57

to the show.

0:58

>> It's good to be here.

0:59

>> Thrilled to be here. Yeah.

1:00

>> So, our books came out a little more

1:02

than a year ago. Congratulations

1:03

everybody. But just at the high level,

1:06

where's your pet at? What are you

1:08

feeling good about? What are you feeling

1:10

worried about a year? And Derek, start

1:12

with you. So maybe one way to think

1:16

about the reaction to the fallout of

1:18

abundance is to think about its impact

1:21

at three different levels. The level of

1:24

vibes, the level of legislation, and the

1:26

level of outcomes. At the level of

1:28

vibes, this is a 0.1 percentile outcome

1:32

given where I was March 1st of 2025. Um

1:36

the degree to which the concept of

1:38

abundance has reached something like

1:40

full penetration of the political

1:42

discourse. Certainly the discourse of

1:43

the Democratic party. You look at the

1:45

fact that, you know, governors Kathy

1:46

Hokll, JB Pritsker are talking about how

1:49

their solutions to the energy crisis or

1:51

the housing crisis must begin with a

1:53

supply side policy. That tells me that

1:55

this is not just a word that's being

1:56

banded about. It's a concept. Look at

1:59

problems, solve them on the supply side

2:01

that is being actively talked about at

2:03

the level of governors, at the level of

2:05

Congress, at the level of the Senate.

2:06

Um, Zoran Mdani has called out the

2:08

concept of abundance and has paired his

2:10

policy of rent freezes with a policy of

2:12

helping developers build in New York

2:14

City. So that's the level of vibes. I

2:16

think it it it's clearly entered this

2:19

level of of mimetic strength that is far

2:22

beyond my wildest dreams of 13 months

2:23

ago. At the level of legislation, I'd

2:25

say it's like a BB+. Um, you know, one

2:28

bill that Gavin Newsome signed is

2:31

literally called Abundant and Affordable

2:33

Homes Near Transit Act. you abundant is

2:36

right there in the first word. Um

2:37

there's legislation that's been passed

2:39

around the country that also has tried

2:41

um many times explicitly citing

2:43

abundance to make it easier to build

2:44

housing and easier to build clean

2:46

energy. But then I think where the

2:47

strongest criticism of our movement has

2:49

to begin is at the level of outcomes.

2:51

You know, California should be commended

2:53

for the law that it signed. But if you

2:56

have the misfortune of going to say Fred

2:59

the St. Louis data website and looking

3:01

up housing starts in California between

3:04

say 2021 and 2026, you do not see the

3:08

publication of the book Abundance by

3:10

Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson in those

3:11

statistics.

3:12

>> What's even more worrisome to me, you

3:13

look at 2015 to 2026, you don't even see

3:15

the Yimi movement.

3:16

>> That is exactly right and that's pretty

3:19

concerning. Um, we said in our book,

3:22

judge political movements by their

3:25

outcomes.

3:26

The bright side is maybe you could say

3:28

it's too early to count our outcome

3:29

successes. But the very fair criticism

3:31

of our movement right now is where are

3:34

the outcomes especially in states like

3:36

California where the volume of abundance

3:39

has been the loudest.

3:40

>> Mark,

3:41

>> so I think I have a slightly more

3:43

optimistic

3:44

perspective.

3:45

>> More optimistic than that.

3:47

>> That's pretty optimistic.

3:50

My view is that your book and the

3:55

associated effort to rethink progressive

4:00

policy

4:01

um uh is a sort of a remarkable change

4:06

in the sense that from the beginning of

4:09

the progressive movement in the late

4:10

1800s through the 1950s,

4:14

basically the progressive answer to most

4:16

public policy questions was

4:20

put the government in charge and it will

4:22

make enormous strides, centralize power

4:26

and we will bring power to the Tennessee

4:28

Valley through the Tennessee Valley

4:30

Authority. We will uh remake the banking

4:33

system through the Federal Reserve. We

4:35

had a whole series of ideas that were

4:37

grounded in this notion that we were

4:38

going to have strong centralized power

4:42

do big things. And then beginning in

4:45

sort of the late 50s and into the 60s a

4:48

different idea which had been there at

4:51

the beginning but had really been uh

4:53

sequestered by this sort of idea that

4:55

big government could do big things uh

4:58

emerges and there are books like Cight

5:00

Mills's power elite and then the the SDS

5:03

puts out the portion statement and the

5:05

core notion that they are beginning to

5:08

seed inside the progressive movement is

5:12

actually uh centralized power is bad and

5:15

we need to uh take on the core elite

5:19

that have been making all these

5:21

decisions and uh the progressive

5:24

movement becomes about speaking truth to

5:27

power in almost every form and you see

5:30

that uh in the reaction to uh the civil

5:34

rights movement that's that speaking

5:35

truth to the the power of Jim Crow you

5:38

see it in uh secondwave feminism you see

5:40

it in the uh the objection to Uh you you

5:44

see that in the reaction to urban

5:45

renewal, to the highway program, Silent

5:48

Spring, ultimately the power broker,

5:50

which is my book is sort of in

5:52

conversation with the power broker. But

5:54

in all of these all all of these are

5:57

strikes against the old progressive way

6:00

of

6:02

governing. It is to push power down to

6:05

empower little people who have been

6:07

bulldozed in the proverbial sense and in

6:09

the literal sense uh to be able to stand

6:11

up against centralized power and that by

6:15

the mid1 1970s is the speaking truth to

6:18

power is the central idea of the

6:20

progressive movement. I think what

6:22

abundance has done for the first time

6:25

really since then is to open up a

6:28

conversation about whether we need to

6:30

rethink that core notion of what

6:33

progressivism is about. In the old

6:35

notion, the sense was that we needed to

6:38

in all cases put more oversight on

6:41

government rather than letting it cook.

6:43

And now I think we're beginning to say

6:46

many of us on the far left uh and in

6:50

more moderate circles like we need

6:51

government to function uh just sort of

6:55

generally and I think like that was not

6:57

a conversation we were having 18 months

6:59

ago in in nearly the same way.

7:02

>> All right. So so both of you are are

7:04

speaking more in the uh grand march to

7:06

triumph

7:08

uh register here. So I'm gonna come in

7:10

with things I'm more worried about. So,

7:13

I probably agree with a lot of what you

7:15

said, Derek, but at the level of vibes,

7:18

abundance has been more factionally

7:22

controversial in the Democratic party

7:25

than I would have expected and has cut

7:28

into it in ways that I wouldn't

7:29

expected. Sort of setting off a big

7:32

populist liberal fight. And I think

7:36

whether or not that fight is

7:38

constructive and whether or not the

7:40

synthesis that come out of it are

7:41

constructive is unknown as of yet. My

7:45

absolutely biggest worry though is not

7:48

the critiques of abundance outside the

7:50

tent, but a kind of

7:54

small balness that I see emerging inside

7:57

the tent. When when I think about

7:59

failure modes for what this could be and

8:02

what it could be becoming, it's an

8:04

abundance ends up as a synonym for

8:08

efficiency that we've rebranded an

8:11

agenda for state capacity that it's just

8:14

I always hear people like I don't

8:15

disagree with cutting red tape as if

8:17

like all abundance is is about cutting

8:18

red tape as opposed to an actual radical

8:22

vision of planitude. And I think

8:24

something that neither of our books

8:26

ended up doing all that well was really

8:30

describing what that vision of the

8:31

future would look like. You know, you

8:33

imagine a candidate, you know, running

8:34

for the Democratic nomination in 2028 or

8:37

running for the presidency in 2028.

8:40

What are the ways that they describe

8:44

what this abundant future is to look

8:46

like? Is it you're promising to build

8:48

just 5 million houses? Does that mean

8:50

anything to anybody? How do you make

8:52

clean energy abundance a concept that

8:55

people can actually feel? How is that

8:58

something people are excited about? And

8:59

then this this goes to another thing

9:01

that I think is going quite poorly

9:02

actually.

9:04

The back half of abundance, as you know

9:07

better than anyone, is about trying to

9:09

build a progressive politics of

9:11

technology. And I think the way

9:12

particularly the AI conversation has

9:14

gone and the often quite merited um

9:19

anger that is building at AI leaders and

9:22

AI companies. I see that as actually

9:25

farther away than I did at the beginning

9:26

of 2025.

9:28

So with all that on the table, uh our

9:30

book begins with housing. I think

9:32

housing is the place where you see the

9:33

most legislative action, where you see

9:35

the most um governors and and and

9:37

politicians talking about it. A lot of

9:39

the examples in the book are from

9:40

California, where I'm from, where I was

9:42

when we wrote much of the book. The

9:44

governor of California, Gavin Newsome,

9:46

has very much embraced the abundance

9:47

critique. And so I want to play this

9:48

clip of Gavin Newsome on Jimmy Kimmel.

9:51

>> Is California overregulated? Because it

9:53

feels like there are a lot of

9:54

well-meaning laws, rules, etc. that get

9:58

in the way of building your house, of

10:00

opening a restaurant. Uh, you know, I've

10:02

experienced this myself. What What do we

10:05

do about that?

10:06

>> No, we I mean, we need a liberalism that

10:08

builds and we have to own that. And I'm

10:10

very much part of this sort of new

10:12

nomenclature. We call this abundance

10:14

agenda and we've got to reconcile that.

10:16

We've got to be more focused on time to

10:19

delivery, not just rhetoric, not just

10:21

what we're for. We got to actually

10:22

deliver and manifest it. That's why this

10:24

year we did the most significant housing

10:27

reforms in our state's history. We did

10:29

something that hadn't been done in

10:30

decades. We've tried to address land use

10:33

reforms, what we call secret reforms. We

10:35

weren't able to get it done. We finally

10:36

were able to get it done this year in a

10:38

meaningful way. But this is a meaningful

10:41

topic for Democrats to recognize. We

10:44

have to deliver on big and bold things.

10:46

Trump breaks things. Democrats need to

10:50

build things. But we have to actually

10:52

deliver on that promise. Speaking of

10:54

Trump's reform,

10:55

>> Derek, what do you think when you hear

10:56

that?

10:57

>> I I definitely don't want to give the

10:58

same answer to every question, but I

11:00

hear the governor of California

11:03

describing a legislative victory in

11:06

terms that literally quote our book, a

11:09

liberalism that builds abundance. He's

11:11

being asked questions by a late night

11:13

host that are basically like LLM

11:15

summaries of our book. But then you look

11:18

at the outcomes and California still

11:20

hasn't actually increased housing starts

11:22

in the what is it now six months to

11:26

since that bill was signed nine months

11:27

after the debate over that bill really

11:29

began. That's not the fault of

11:33

that legislation necessarily. You could

11:36

think of it a couple ways. You could

11:37

think one that there's a set of problems

11:39

that have accumulated in California over

11:42

the last 50 years that have made it

11:43

harder to build housing. And this is one

11:46

important step to ungunk that process.

11:49

That's maybe that's an optimistic way to

11:51

frame it. Another way to frame it is

11:53

that, you know, legislation is not the

11:55

only ingredient when it comes to housing

11:57

construction. We're in an environment

11:59

with an elevated interest rate where

12:01

Trump is waging war against legal and

12:04

undocumented immigration, which is

12:06

complicating the fact that I think 40%

12:07

of construction workers in California

12:10

are foreign born. So, the labor supply

12:12

of construction work in California is

12:14

scarce and therefore very expensive,

12:15

also raising the cost of housing. And

12:18

you look around the country and there

12:19

just aren't a lot of housing

12:20

construction uh triumphs at all for a

12:23

variety of macroeconomic reasons. I care

12:26

about outcomes. We care about outcomes.

12:29

And if California, Illinois, New York,

12:32

if they're going to pass laws that hold

12:34

up abundance as the inspiration or

12:37

motivation or philosophy of those laws,

12:39

and then 3 months, 6 months, 2 years

12:42

later, we still don't have the fruits of

12:44

abundance, whether it's building more

12:46

housing, building more clean energy. I I

12:48

I am worried that that speaks to a gap

12:51

between what I call the legislation

12:53

vibes and the outcomes. Well, here is I

12:55

think also another way of thinking about

12:56

this that I've become more sensitized to

12:59

in the year after publishing the book

13:01

that I'd like to hear your thoughts on.

13:03

So whether a housing project gets built

13:05

can depend on a series of things, but I

13:07

think you can often break it into into

13:09

three things when there is demand for

13:10

it. So one is just legally, can you get

13:14

the damn thing built? Can you get the

13:15

permits? Can you get the agreements? Can

13:18

you, you know, get through if it's a big

13:19

enough project, the city council or the

13:21

planning board or whatever? And we focus

13:22

a lot on that. I would say when I look

13:24

around that there's been at least the

13:26

intellectual victory where there is a

13:30

something getting closer to a broad

13:31

consensus that you should be able to

13:34

build legally that should be possible in

13:36

places where we need housing.

13:37

>> But then there's a question of can you

13:39

finance the build

13:40

>> and then there's a question of how much

13:42

does the build cost? What is the cost of

13:44

construction in terms of materials in

13:47

terms of labor in terms of how much

13:49

you're paying labor in terms of what

13:51

kind of thing you need to build? And I

13:53

think a good critique of the book that

13:55

I've heard um is one, we don't talk very

13:57

much about financing. And one thing

13:59

that's been hard is that even as a lot

14:00

of yes in my backyard bills are passing,

14:02

as you sort of mentioned quickly, the

14:04

financing environment has gotten much

14:05

worse because interest rates went way up

14:07

after the um inflationary period. And

14:10

the second is that cost of construction

14:12

in a place like California is a very

14:15

fraught topic because nobody wants to

14:17

see um wages go down. Um there's a big

14:20

deportation agenda uh happening under

14:22

Donald Trump, which as you mentioned is

14:23

making labor more expensive. But even as

14:27

there's been a lot of victories on

14:28

zoning and exempting things from, you

14:30

know, environmental reviews, the

14:32

financing side has gotten harder. I've

14:35

definitely talked to mayors and others

14:36

who say, "Look, I've got all these

14:38

projects I want to see go forward, and

14:40

we've made it possible for them to go

14:42

forward, but the financing the the

14:44

projects are not penciling out, and we

14:46

don't have an answer to it."

14:47

>> Yeah. The framework that I've developed

14:49

for this, which I think is a critique of

14:51

that first chapter of that housing

14:52

chapter, is that to really understand

14:54

housing in America, you need to

14:56

understand a 50-year story, which is

14:58

mostly about rules, a 20year story,

15:00

which is about business cycles, and a

15:02

5-year story, which is about the

15:04

incredibly weird business cycle that has

15:06

followed the pandemic. Chapter one of

15:09

our book, The Housing Chapter, does, I

15:10

think, a very good job explaining the

15:12

50-year story of how a set of zoning and

15:16

permitting and environmental legislation

15:18

and rules that accumulated around the

15:20

1960s and 1970s has slowed housing

15:22

construction across the country, but in

15:24

particular in blue cities and blue

15:26

states where there is very, very hot

15:28

demand. I think it did a good job of

15:29

explaining that 50-year accumulation of

15:31

rules. But there's also the 20-year

15:33

story, which is that after the Great

15:35

Recession, the construction industry in

15:37

this country was decimated. And that led

15:39

to the 2010s being the decade with the

15:42

fewest houses built per capita of any

15:44

decade on record. That's not just a

15:47

rules story. That's a story about

15:49

macroeconomics. It's a story about the

15:50

fact that after the Great Recession,

15:52

there just wasn't demand or available

15:55

labor or companies sufficient to build

15:57

the kind of housing that we would need

15:58

in the 2020s. And then what happened in

16:00

the 2020s was just like one piece of

16:03

mayhem after another. You had the

16:04

pandemic. You had inflation. You have

16:06

now I think a scarcity of construction

16:09

labor which makes it more expensive to

16:10

build in many places. And so I do think

16:12

that to really understand the problems

16:16

that states, the governors and mayors

16:18

face when it comes to housing, you you

16:20

do have to understand that there is this

16:22

kind of like Russia nesting doll of

16:24

problems. 50 years of rules, 20 years of

16:26

macroeconomic crisis, and then five

16:29

years of macroeconomic and financing

16:31

crisis. And and that's really put us

16:34

where we are. And so I I agree. I think

16:37

and like you, I'm I'm I'm picking up the

16:40

criticisms that I heard about financing,

16:42

about the fact that if you want to build

16:44

this level of housing, you need to be

16:46

obsessed with the question of how do we

16:48

actually finance that construction? how

16:50

especially do we make loans to

16:52

developers at a time of high interest

16:54

rates possible for them to keep up with

16:56

the level of housing construction that

16:58

you want? Those are really really strong

17:00

critiques. I think they click into the

17:03

story that we were telling the 50-year

17:04

story. Um but I do think that that it is

17:07

fair to argue that our book missed that

17:09

very important ingredient.

17:10

>> Mark, there's also a question of power

17:12

here that I know you've been very

17:13

focused on. So I I'm going to keep

17:15

California in the front of my mind here

17:16

just because I know it very well. But

17:18

very recently we've seen huge clashes

17:20

between Governor Nuome and cities across

17:23

California because they are all these

17:26

big bills are passing at the state level

17:28

and then the cities are using all kinds

17:31

of often fairly innovative uh approaches

17:35

to just making them not work to dragging

17:36

their feet. Right? This is a big

17:37

conflict between Los Angeles and the

17:39

state at the moment, but not only Los

17:41

Angeles. And this is hard. The question

17:46

of who should have the right to say yes

17:49

and who should have the right to say no.

17:51

And I think even within conversations

17:53

among, you know, people on the left,

17:56

they're very there's like a lot of

17:58

contrasting intuitions here for good

18:00

reasons. How do you think about this?

18:03

Well, h housing to my mind is sort of an

18:06

outlier within the abundance agenda

18:10

because

18:12

uh unlike in linear infrastructure,

18:15

transit lines, train lines, uh

18:19

electrical transmission lines, um the

18:22

challenge here is to empower someone who

18:25

owns a plot of land to build housing or

18:28

more housing on it. And I say that

18:31

because in this circumstance, in the

18:34

world of housing, the challenge is that

18:37

the state wants more housing and they're

18:41

up here and the person that has

18:43

purchased a plot of land wants to build

18:46

housing, but the neighborhood doesn't.

18:49

Right? So, you've got it's sort of a

18:50

sandwich and it's the it's the peanut

18:52

butter and jelly that's that that's

18:54

gumming up the works. Uh to I think mix

18:57

metaphors. Um uh and in this case, in

19:00

the case of housing, like what Buffy

19:03

Wixs and Scott Weiner have largely tried

19:05

to do is to push power down to the

19:08

homeowner, which feels good to us as

19:11

progressives who want to speak truth to

19:12

power, right? We we we don't like it

19:15

when some oppressive force sitting above

19:18

us uh tells us we can't do the thing

19:22

that is good. Um, and so empowering

19:25

someone who lives near a transit stop,

19:27

who who has a a a an underutilized piece

19:31

of land in a city that they can build a

19:33

bunch of housing on it feels good to us.

19:36

And that's largely what's passed. It's

19:38

pushing power down to the land owners

19:42

that they can do more. And then you you

19:45

reach into these challenges of financing

19:47

and whatnot. I have to say in the scheme

19:49

of things I you guys are journalists and

19:51

I have spent a long time in politics.

19:53

The idea that a year later you'd have a

19:55

bunch of more housing built because of a

19:57

book is seems a little far-fetched to

19:59

me. I agree with that. But but but you

20:02

know uh I I like the standard you're

20:03

holding yourself.

20:04

>> Well, let me I I will add one thing on

20:06

that because I think the way to think

20:08

about why you should worry about this is

20:10

that it's not like the last year was the

20:12

first time California or any of these

20:13

states passed a bunch of new housing

20:15

bills. They were they were bigger and

20:16

they were cleaner.

20:18

>> But there has been a decade of housing

20:20

bills being passed in California. Dozens

20:22

and dozens of bills including many that

20:24

were framed to me as transformative

20:27

>> that just weren't. And so to what you're

20:29

saying and as somebody who's worked in

20:30

politics, you've seen this and as

20:31

somebody who's covered legislation, I've

20:33

seen it. I think there is a tendency to

20:35

assume when a bill has passed, it's

20:38

done. Right? if you've been fighting for

20:40

the bill and you know you're you know

20:42

finally we got the duplex bill or

20:44

whatever it is well it's passed

20:47

great great news everybody we're going

20:48

to get our duplexes and often it doesn't

20:50

work that way a lot of things don't work

20:52

in practice the way you think they would

20:54

and that implies to me particularly on

20:57

housing um that when you don't have

21:00

enough consensus on the ground for

21:01

something it can be very very very hard

21:05

to implement it because cities and

21:08

neighborhoods and planning commissions

21:09

and so on use a lot of different uh

21:12

tools to you know block their projects

21:15

in other ways.

21:16

>> I mean the the core question you're

21:18

asking here and I think we're all asking

21:20

is who should decide what housing is

21:23

built when and where? How how should

21:25

that decision-m process work? And so

21:28

when I wrote Why Nothing Works, the sort

21:30

of the big aha moment I realized was

21:33

that for a lot of progressivism's

21:35

history, our view was centralize that

21:39

power in the hands of one person who

21:41

will decide what is built. And that's

21:43

how Levittowns were built. It's that

21:45

that's how Robert Moses built housing

21:47

all over New York City. That's how uh

21:50

you know s sort of the the establishment

21:52

built housing for a long time. And then

21:55

we switched horses, right? We decided we

21:58

didn't like that model because in many

22:00

cases it was abusive to people who lived

22:02

in communities that were bulldozed or uh

22:05

they were discriminatory or they were

22:08

not sensitive to what was what was

22:10

happening in the environment. So, uh we

22:12

created over the course of 50 years a

22:14

whole series of laws that put new checks

22:17

um on on those who would build housing.

22:21

And uh we're now beginning to try to

22:24

dial back the number of veto points in

22:29

the process. And you're right, it's been

22:32

10 years uh of of small bore changes and

22:36

now I think more substantial changes. Um

22:39

but I do think that you're going to see,

22:41

you know, I'm from Rhode Island. we've

22:42

got a bunch of more housing starts than

22:44

we had and that like I understand that

22:47

it's not the immediate satisfaction of

22:48

suddenly uh we have five million more

22:51

units across the country but it is like

22:53

it's a different discussion among

22:55

progressives and that feels to me like a

22:58

a sea change.

22:58

>> So so something that I wrote about in

23:00

our housing chapter was the

23:05

anger in the 60s and the 70s that

23:07

America was just getting uglier. The

23:09

term ticky tacky comes from, you know,

23:11

the song about the uh housing in Daily

23:14

City, like in, you know, not too far

23:16

south from San Francisco. You had the

23:19

accurate view that a lot of forests and

23:22

rivers were being despoiled and the

23:25

growth machine, government construction,

23:28

all of it that the public lost a kind of

23:30

faith in it because instead of this

23:33

building making their surroundings more

23:36

livable and more beautiful, it just

23:38

became these soulless gray, you know,

23:42

mixeduse um anonymous uh you know,

23:46

construction. And and so actually one

23:49

thing that has been very very badly

23:51

underplayed here is the centrality of

23:52

aesthetics in whether or not people want

23:55

to build.

23:56

>> I don't know that I buy this idea at

23:57

all. Um at least I think it's incredibly

24:00

underpowered as an explanation. So the

24:02

claim on the table seems to be that

24:04

Americans 1950s and 1960s turned against

24:07

the growth machine as you described it

24:09

primarily out of an aversion to the

24:12

ugliness of the world. Ugliness is not

24:14

the word that I would use. Right. The

24:16

word that I would use is um uh

24:19

environmental degradation. I mean the

24:21

environmentalist movement of the 1960s

24:23

and 1970s was about the fact that people

24:25

were dying from the air and dying from

24:28

the water. That's not a question of

24:31

aesthetics. That's a question of health.

24:35

If you want to understand why it's easy

24:38

to build in Texas but difficult to build

24:40

in California and all you have is a

24:43

beauty explanation, well then you're

24:45

essentially saying that continued

24:47

building in Texas is made possible

24:48

because Houston is so damn beautiful.

24:50

Houston is not so damn beautiful. The

24:52

reason that it's easy to build in

24:54

Houston, I think, has very little to do

24:56

with like the aesthetic perfection of

24:59

downtown Houston, and much more to do

25:00

with the fact that there's a system of

25:03

customs and laws and a lack of zoning

25:05

regulation that simply makes it easier

25:07

to build up and to build out. Same goes

25:09

for Dallas. Same goes for Austin. Same

25:11

goes for San Antonio. I want us to build

25:13

beautifully. I want to build things that

25:14

people love. in part because I want the

25:17

growth machine of the 21st century to

25:19

have democratic approval such that we

25:22

build houses, people love them, they

25:24

want us to build more houses, I think

25:25

that's a fly flywheel we should hope

25:27

for.

25:29

But if you really want to understand

25:31

why pedaluma stopped building in the

25:33

1970s, why you can't build in San

25:35

Francisco, why it's so much harder to

25:37

build in blue cities and blue states

25:39

than in Texas. I don't think the beauty

25:41

argument or the beauty paradigm gets you

25:45

very far.

25:46

>> I think that is probably right. I I in

25:49

some ways want to put beauty closer to

25:51

the center of politics or at least say

25:53

it is more important than we give it

25:54

credit for in politics. And also I don't

25:56

think it explains why Austin builds

25:58

homes and you know Los Angeles doesn't.

26:01

But I actually want to hold then on

26:02

Austin for a second because one fight

26:05

that still felt fairly live when we were

26:07

writing the book is does building

26:09

housing lower rents? Right? There was an

26:12

argument that because demand is always

26:13

so high, you can build homes, but it

26:15

doesn't do anything. It just allows more

26:17

kind of wealthy people to move into them

26:18

and you know, maybe it's even like

26:19

building freeways where it increases so

26:21

much demand that you know, you don't get

26:22

any uh faster travel time. You've done

26:26

some reporting on Austin. That's been a

26:28

kind of hell of a story over the past

26:30

year or two. What have we seen there?

26:32

>> What we've seen essentially is that

26:33

Austin built an enormous number of homes

26:35

in the 2010s and early 2020s and average

26:39

rents have gone down down down over the

26:41

last 18 to 24 months. Austin is like the

26:44

canonical story here. But the story that

26:46

I find more impressive in a way is

26:49

Dallas, Texas.

26:51

Dallas, Texas between 2019 and the early

26:55

2020s added a population equivalent to

26:58

the size of urban Boston. Hundreds of

27:01

thousands of people moved into the

27:03

Dallas metro. And if Dallas were like

27:05

Los Angeles and San Francisco, the

27:07

average price of a home in Dallas, Texas

27:10

right now would be around $3 billion.

27:12

But that's not what happened. No, I'm

27:15

just joking. It's like it would be so

27:16

absurdly high you wouldn't you have to

27:18

calculate it in like Bitcoin. But what

27:20

happened instead is that housing prices

27:22

in Dallas have actually declined over

27:24

the last three and a half years. Dallas

27:26

built so much that construction

27:29

increased per capita throughout this

27:31

period. Dallas builds more housing today

27:33

than any other metro in the country.

27:35

That is a triumph of allowing the

27:38

housing market to work. And that's

27:40

because housing is not a special kind of

27:43

good. It's a good that like so many

27:45

other goods is responsive to supply and

27:48

demand. Given a steady level of demand,

27:50

if you restrict supply, prices go up. If

27:54

you add supply, prices stabilize. And if

27:56

you add enough supply, prices can

27:58

actually go down. It's why you have in

28:00

so many places where people want to

28:01

live, price is going through the roof

28:03

because we've simply made it too hard to

28:05

build. It is really, really important to

28:07

me that whatever explanation that people

28:09

have for this phenomenon, some people

28:10

say it's about billionaires or corporate

28:12

interests. I say look to Texas. Texas

28:15

has billionaires. Texas has corporate

28:18

interests, but Texas also has an

28:20

entirely different set of rules and

28:23

customs and permitting regulation that

28:26

simply makes it easier for supply to

28:28

respond to demand. And as a result, we

28:32

have outcomes in Texas that are better

28:35

than the rent freeze that Mani has

28:38

promised New York and other uh left-wing

28:40

politicians have promised their own

28:41

cities and states. We have something

28:42

better than a rent freeze. we have rents

28:44

going down because we've made it easier

28:46

to build.

28:47

>> So, you mentioned Mani and the rent

28:48

freeze and uh of course there's another

28:51

side to his agenda which is to increase

28:53

supply, right? Mandani is attempting a

28:56

synthesis I think you're seeing much

28:57

more often now on the Democratic side

28:59

which is price controls paired with

29:02

supply increases. You'll sometimes even

29:04

hear these argued as uh one creating the

29:08

support for the other, right? Price

29:09

controls creating political momentum for

29:11

supply increases. I want to play a a

29:14

clip of Mam Donnie here speaking in

29:15

March.

29:16

>> And we're all here together today for an

29:19

announcement where we launched the

29:21

neighborhood builders fasttrack.

29:25

What does that mean? Because I know it

29:27

doesn't explain itself.

29:29

What this means is that we are creating

29:32

a pre-qualified roster of developers and

29:35

in doing so we are going to cut down on

29:38

pre-development time for new projects

29:40

from 18 months to 10 months.

29:46

Now, when you couple that with the

29:48

referendums that were passed just late

29:51

last year, that means that we are

29:53

cutting down on the time it takes to

29:55

build affordable housing in this city by

29:57

up to 2 and 1/2 years.

29:58

>> And I say that to you in a city where we

30:01

know that time is money.

30:03

>> Yes, sir. Here here's what I like about

30:05

that clip and that I think reflects

30:07

something bigger happening in across

30:10

democratic policym which is a

30:13

recognition that speed matters and in a

30:17

way that was I think not admitted a lot

30:20

of policym actually took the view that

30:22

delay was good that delay was good

30:24

because policy is complicated its

30:26

effects are complicated and what we need

30:29

is a lot of process and time to surface

30:33

information, surface objections, surface

30:35

concerns. You can really see this in the

30:36

way environmental reviews are conducted.

30:38

You can see this in the way that, you

30:39

know, housing is built. And I don't

30:42

think we often said like delay is good,

30:44

but in practice, we believed delay was

30:46

good. I mean, there you have a

30:48

democratic socialist out there saying as

30:50

a applause line, time is money. And I

30:52

think the sense that uh like speed is

30:56

progressive. It's more affordable, but

30:58

also it allows you to deliver at the

31:00

time frame of elections and show

31:01

government making a difference in

31:02

people's life. That is a principle that

31:06

I am seeing people take more seriously.

31:08

I'm not saying that's just our fault or

31:09

anything of that nature, but I think

31:11

it's actually really important. And

31:13

recognizing that delay is corrosive to

31:15

democracy because you can't feel

31:17

government in your life is a really,

31:20

really, really important shift for

31:23

democratic side policym to make. Mark,

31:26

you've written about this explicitly.

31:28

Among liberals, input was considered a

31:32

costless virtue. It was considered

31:34

costless to have long periods of input,

31:37

to prize input, to say that the ultimate

31:40

expression of democracy is people

31:42

standing up and telling their city

31:43

council, don't build this thing anywhere

31:46

close to me. That was seen as more

31:47

democratic in some places than the

31:49

actual vote for the mayor who promised

31:50

for h who promised to deliver housing to

31:52

that city. and they're and actually like

31:54

found that like the people who showed up

31:56

on Tuesday night at the city council

31:57

meeting were the veto point that

31:58

prevented him from allowing housing.

32:01

>> People also use the term procedure

32:02

fetish as if progressives just sort of

32:05

like procedure for procedure sake.

32:06

>> Nick Bagley's term.

32:07

>> That's Nick Bagley's term. And um my

32:10

general view here is that we're not

32:13

looking for procedure just because we

32:16

like it. We're not looking for delay

32:17

because we like delay. We have a fantasy

32:20

and we've had it now for several decades

32:23

that if you get everybody in the room

32:26

early enough in a planning process, you

32:29

can create a product or an outcome that

32:32

has no tradeoffs. And the truth is that

32:36

we're facing and one of the major

32:38

barriers to abundance is we're facing

32:41

real trade-offs here. I I mean I do want

32:43

to point out you know the housing crisis

32:45

in New York City there's always been a

32:46

housing crisis in New York City and we

32:49

put all sorts of restrictions on what

32:50

government could do. We are now trying

32:52

to figure out I think Mdani Warren

32:56

people in the moderate wing of the party

32:58

people who are further left how are we

33:00

going to do this in a fair and

33:02

expeditious way and I I think the

33:04

abundance discourse has wanted in many

33:09

cases to pit

33:12

us or you guys against the left

33:16

and that's not an accurate portrayal of

33:19

what's happening you're seeing

33:21

Mom Donnie Elizabeth Warren is author of

33:24

the maybe the most pro-abundant housing

33:27

bill introduced forever uh in the Senate

33:31

and has passed the Senate and I I think

33:34

you know to the degree that uh there

33:36

seems to be tension about this here's an

33:38

idea where it seems to me that there's

33:40

growing consensus. The polling outfit

33:42

Blue Rose um recently did this survey

33:45

where they asked people whether they

33:47

liked abundance messaging or populist

33:49

messaging. And it turns out that the

33:52

most popular messaging was a synthesis

33:54

of abundance and populism. It was things

33:56

like quote working Americans can't

33:58

afford the basics and it's because we

34:00

stop building them. Not enough housing,

34:02

not enough energy, not enough child

34:04

care. And what little gets built goes to

34:07

the wealthy first. Democrats will build

34:09

an America that works for everyone, not

34:11

just those at the top. That was the

34:13

message that pulled the best. I don't

34:14

think that that's dispositive. I mean,

34:16

testing messaging is not the beall

34:18

endall of politics. And look, there are

34:20

philosophical differences between

34:21

liberals and populists that we shouldn't

34:23

run away from. Like, they exist. But the

34:27

fights often obscured the degree to

34:30

which individuals could hold

34:33

simultaneously both populist and

34:36

abundance principles. And I've come to

34:38

think of this somewhat cheesily as the

34:41

abundance mullet, which is to say

34:42

economic populism in the front and

34:44

abundance in the back. So who's wearing

34:46

the the abundance mullet, as horrifying

34:48

as that might be to imagine? Zor Mamdani

34:52

ran on freezing the rent, but here he is

34:54

talking about making it easier and

34:56

faster for developers to build in New

34:58

York City.

34:59

>> To be fair, he ran on both.

35:00

>> He did. Yes, you're right. He ran on

35:02

both. But I think if you pulled people

35:04

and asked them, "What did you hear more

35:06

about? Freezing the rent or accelerating

35:08

the time with which developers could

35:10

start getting building in Manhattan and

35:12

Brooklyn." I think most people associate

35:14

him with the mimemetic freeze the rent

35:16

rather than the less mimetic uh

35:18

shortening the permitting time from 18

35:20

months to 10 months. So he's one

35:22

example. Another example I think is um

35:24

is New Jersey Governor Mikey Cheryl who

35:26

ran on uh freezing uh utility increases

35:31

um making it easier for people to afford

35:33

electricity by talking about price caps.

35:35

But her second executive order was all

35:38

about supply side uh renovations uh to

35:41

encourage the construction of solar and

35:43

storage in particular by making it

35:45

easier to build energy in New Jersey. So

35:47

there again you have the promise of

35:50

freeze the utility increase in the front

35:52

with the promise of expanding supply in

35:54

the back. So, uh, I was going to do this

35:57

later, but I I think I'm going to do it

35:58

now because I think one of the dangers

36:00

of this conversation is that the three

36:01

of us largely are are proabundance. And

36:04

I have done previous episodes where I've

36:06

had critics sitting at, in fact, this

36:07

very table. But I want to try to offer

36:10

up the critique so it is represented in

36:13

the strongest way I can which is that

36:15

yes of course there can be a synthesis

36:17

of populism and abundance and you can

36:18

see it in somebody like you know maybe a

36:20

mom Donnie but that in fact in practice

36:24

abundance has two huge problems from the

36:27

populist perspective.

36:29

One is that a lot of rich people and

36:32

billionaires really like it and are

36:34

funding things with abundance in the

36:36

name and that they are going to use

36:38

abundance as a mask or a vehicle to push

36:43

the Democratic party, you know, back in

36:45

their direction. Um, and the other which

36:48

is like the big critique that gets made

36:49

of certainly our book, I don't know if

36:51

it is as true in the critique that gets

36:53

made of yours is that abundance just

36:56

isn't focused on the right enemies. that

36:59

what politics should be about is a

37:02

confrontation with corporate power and

37:04

what abundance is at least perceived as

37:07

trying to make politics about is a more

37:10

positive sum. We can all build, we can

37:12

all get along. It's a sort of more

37:14

liberal uh approach to things. That I

37:18

think is like the strongest version I

37:19

can give. But you can hear um Elizabeth

37:21

Warren make a version of this argument

37:23

in a a speech he gave not too long ago.

37:26

So yes, we need more government

37:28

efficiency, a lot more. But many in the

37:32

abundance movement are doing little to

37:35

call out corporate culpability and

37:38

billionaire influence in creating and

37:41

defending those very inefficiencies.

37:45

Instead, abundance has become a rallying

37:49

cry, not just for a few policy nerds

37:52

worried about zoning, but for wealthy

37:54

donors and other corporate aligned

37:57

Democrats who are putting big time

37:59

muscle behind making Democrats more

38:03

favorable to big businesses. It looks

38:06

like the corporate tycoons have found

38:08

one more way to stop the Democratic

38:11

party from tackling a rigged system with

38:14

too much energy.

38:16

>> She goes on to kind of note that Reed

38:18

Hoffman, who's a, you know, tech

38:20

billionaire and and influential tech

38:22

figure, has been sending the book around

38:24

to to people he knows. I want to ask

38:26

this of of both of you. What do you

38:29

understand to be the relationship

38:31

between abundance and corporations and

38:35

abundance and concentrations of wealth

38:39

and income and power? Mark, look, I

38:43

think there are certain cases where

38:46

concentrated corporate power is a

38:48

problem. Uh we're we're coming off a

38:52

week where there were a bunch of

38:53

victories for the anti- monopouist

38:57

movement, uh Live Nation and Ticket

39:00

Master. Like I'm not sure that any of

39:02

the three of us would voice any

39:05

objection to taking a a strong stance on

39:10

abuses of corporate power in that realm.

39:13

>> As someone who goes to a lot of uh music

39:15

shows, I really really hate ticket fees.

39:18

I really don't like them. So, so, so

39:20

there you go. I But my concern about

39:23

that critique is that if you look at the

39:25

stories, at least in my book and several

39:27

of the stories in your book, like the

39:29

problem in many cases is not created by

39:32

corporate power. Like, you know, the the

39:34

last chapter of my book is about an

39:36

effort to build a clean energy

39:38

transmission line through the state of

39:40

Maine, which is really just a like a a

39:42

string through a bunch of forests in

39:45

Maine. It's proposed in 2016 and it's

39:50

constructed in 2026.

39:53

Like not because there was some

39:55

corporate behemoth that was uh standing

39:59

in the way or trying to drive up its

40:01

own. Like the the the fight there was

40:04

about whether it was worth it to imperil

40:07

some portion of a pristine forest in

40:10

northern Maine with a wire. And the way

40:14

that people used the levers available

40:17

within the government uh made it so that

40:20

we could not replace something like

40:24

700,000 cars worth of carbon into the

40:27

atmosphere through old fossil fuel

40:31

generation with clean hydro power coming

40:34

from Canada. Like that's not a problem

40:37

about corporate power. That's a problem

40:39

with can government make an expeditious

40:42

decision.

40:43

>> Durk, I want to say something really

40:45

clearly. I think the people who focus on

40:47

corporate power being the most

40:49

significant problem in America have some

40:51

very good ideas. I also think frankly

40:53

that we just heard from Elizabeth

40:54

Warren, the Consumer Financial

40:56

Protection Bureau in a way is like kind

40:57

of a very abundancy agency. I mean it

41:00

consolidated what used to be

41:03

>> she says earlier in that speech that the

41:04

Consumer Financial Protection Bureau

41:06

which she helped found and and and

41:08

ideulate is like an abundance before

41:10

abundance.

41:10

>> Oh great then maybe maybe I'm just

41:12

totally ripping off her point here

41:13

because I I read it months ago but I

41:15

think she's right. I mean it

41:16

consolidated what used to be entirely

41:18

disperse regulatory authority in the

41:20

government in order to bring it to bear

41:22

to help consumers against corporate

41:25

power. That strikes me as exactly what

41:27

we were talking about when it comes to

41:29

state capacity and your line which you

41:31

repeated so much on our book tour about

41:33

deregulating government, getting

41:34

government out of its own way, getting

41:36

government to work faster and better for

41:39

the public. CFPB seems like an absolute

41:41

unaloyed triumph in that respect. At the

41:44

same time, I think people who fixate on

41:46

corporate power, while they have some

41:47

very good ideas, have some not very good

41:49

ideas. I mean, last year, not going to

41:51

open up this can of worms all the way,

41:52

but I was engaged in a very protracted

41:54

debate against anti- monopoly folks

41:56

about the degree to which Dallas was a

41:59

housing oligopoly. I don't think it is.

42:02

I don't think we should be fixated on

42:03

punishing builders who are successfully

42:06

adding housing that seems like taking

42:09

this one lens and applying it where it

42:11

shouldn't be applied. And that tells me

42:13

that if the lens of corporate power

42:16

leads to both some very good ideas and

42:18

some not very good ideas, then it might

42:20

not be the single best lens through

42:22

which to see improving America. I am not

42:25

a populist. I am a liberal. I am

42:27

concerned not about corporate power

42:30

specifically but about power but about

42:33

how power can manifest in strange

42:36

places. It can manifest absolutely at

42:39

the level of corporations and monopoly.

42:41

It can also manifest at the level of the

42:43

neighborhood. As Mark was just

42:44

explaining, when a group of neighbors

42:47

stop a new apartment from going up by

42:51

lobbying the city council and mayor to

42:54

not build housing where it is where it

42:56

should be added, what is that if not the

42:58

application of power? In 2017, the New

43:02

York Times, where we are sitting,

43:03

published this incredible piece that I

43:04

think went back and forth between us and

43:06

notion, even if the final didn't make it

43:08

in the book. And it was about the

43:10

incredibly expensive per mile cost of

43:12

connecting Grand Central to the Long

43:14

Island Railroad.

43:16

Why was it so expensive to build a

43:20

train, a tunnel in New York? Partly it

43:23

was about consulting fees. Partly it was

43:25

about construction. Partly it was about

43:27

the fact that public union staffing

43:29

levels in New York City are like four

43:32

times higher than they are in the

43:33

typical city or state in Europe, France,

43:37

Spain, the UK. And that's why our

43:39

construction costs are so much higher.

43:40

>> So if I'm a if I'm a populist sitting

43:42

here, I'm going to interrupt you. Sure.

43:43

>> If I'm a populist sitting here, I'm

43:45

somebody who more believes with this in

43:46

this critique.

43:48

>> Here's my answer to what you just said.

43:50

>> Yes, it's all true. Yes. Uh if I'm a if

43:53

I'm I think making the best argument I

43:55

can make at least. Yes, that's all true.

43:58

But you sure seem more excited when you

44:01

start talking about the power being

44:03

misused by the neighborhood group or by

44:06

the public sector union or by the poorly

44:09

run government and you sort of yada yada

44:12

yada your way past the corporate power.

44:14

I think that some of the critique comes

44:17

from a a feeling and I have my own

44:19

answer to this but I'm curious for for

44:20

yours. a feeling that yes, you could

44:24

certainly have an abundance, a version

44:26

of abundance that understood corporate

44:29

power as one of the many blockages and

44:31

you know and and often a very central

44:33

blockage. But in practice, the way

44:36

abundance is written, the way many of

44:37

the people arguing for it seem to argue

44:39

for it, there's like a yeah, the

44:41

anti-corporate folks are right

44:43

sometimes. Let's go back to talking

44:46

about how government doesn't work,

44:47

right? Let's go back to talking about

44:49

where public sector unions increase

44:50

costs and that it's in that where the

44:53

real message, the real priority set is

44:56

revealed.

44:58

There's a way in which I'm not exactly

45:00

sure how to answer that question. Um,

45:03

it's a really good question.

45:06

Why am I more excited to make the point

45:08

that I seem more excited to make? Um,

45:12

you know that feeling when like when

45:15

you're in a room and everyone around you

45:18

is like freaking out about something and

45:20

in a weird way that like calms you down

45:22

because you're like, "Oh, everyone's

45:24

freaked out about this thing, so I don't

45:25

need to add my anxiety to like the

45:28

median level of anxiety in this room."

45:32

That's kind of how I feel about certain

45:34

aspects of fearing the influence of

45:38

corporate power in monopolies and energy

45:43

and entertainment. I see it's being

45:45

covered. I see people writing about it.

45:48

I see people getting agitated about it.

45:50

I think it's good that the government is

45:52

winning lawsuits against entertainment

45:54

companies that are abusing their own

45:56

power to raise ticket prices. I think

45:57

it's good.

45:59

But that's not where the debate is. I'm

46:02

excited about adding an impression that

46:05

I think we introduced you and I to the

46:07

conversation, which is that we are so

46:10

used to seeing this

46:13

version of power exist at the level of

46:16

corporations. And we're so used to

46:18

seeing the way that that can have

46:20

pernitious impacts on consumers that we

46:24

miss other instantiations of power. And

46:27

a neighborhood can in a strange way be

46:29

an instantiation of power. It doesn't

46:32

seem like some nefarious thing when a

46:36

nicel lookinging woman stands up at a

46:37

city council meeting and says, "I would

46:39

prefer to not build an apartment

46:41

building behind my farm because I'm

46:42

afraid of my horses being freaked out by

46:44

the construction noise." But I want us

46:46

to see that that that is power if it

46:49

stops an apartment building from being

46:50

built. So, it's always difficult to but

46:53

but but important maybe to respond to a

46:56

question about like affect. Um maybe the

46:58

first thing I should have said was I

46:59

encourage people to read the transcript

47:00

where my affect isn't visible rather

47:02

than watch this on YouTube where my

47:03

affect is visible. But I really do think

47:06

it's like that if if I'm really reaching

47:08

down into understanding like why am I

47:11

passionate about getting people to see

47:13

these these other ways that you know

47:16

surprising accumulations of power can

47:18

stop things from happening in the public

47:20

good. It's because that's where I think

47:22

we're missing the story.

47:24

>> This is a conversation, this

47:26

conversation among progressives between

47:28

the populace and the abundance nicks or

47:31

whatever we're called, uh, that is more

47:34

than a century old, right? At the turn

47:36

of the 20th century, and I go through

47:37

this in my book, the turn of the 20th

47:39

century, the railroads have completely

47:41

remade the American economy. power is

47:44

accumulating and the people who are

47:46

concerned about these monopolies have

47:49

two wildly different ideas about what to

47:51

do about it. One idea is anti- monopoly.

47:53

It's brandian. It's uh big is bad, small

47:56

is beautiful. How do we carve these

47:59

things up so that the old sort of 19th

48:01

century kind of capitalism that Louis

48:04

Brandeise had seen on the on the on the

48:06

streets of Louisville, Kentucky as being

48:08

grown up could be reestablished. But

48:10

there was a second idea which was we

48:12

should build up what was then like just

48:14

a shadow of a government that so that it

48:16

could accurately and and powerfully

48:19

regulate uh with centralized power. The

48:23

Roosevelt proposed a bureau of

48:24

corporations. We eventually get the

48:26

federal trade commission. Before that we

48:28

have the interstate commerce uh

48:30

commission which is a big bureaucracy

48:32

designed to to regulate the railroads.

48:34

Um that's a different idea that is

48:36

taking power as it is and pushing it up

48:38

into some big powerful competent

48:40

government bureaucracy that will do the

48:43

things that ordinary people can't do for

48:46

themselves. And uh I I I think sort of

48:49

the misunderstanding here is that those

48:53

who say you know we need to attack

48:54

corporate power are just taking the

48:56

Brendesian notion of it and that the

48:59

abundance ethos hearkens back to the old

49:04

ideas that existed you know from the

49:06

turn of the 20th century through the

49:08

1960s that we should be building up

49:10

government power so that government is

49:12

capable of taking on these corporations

49:14

that we have people in government who

49:16

can make discretionary decisions about

49:18

where we're going to build transmission

49:19

lines, how we're going to improve

49:21

transit, where we're going to build

49:22

housing, how we're going to regulate

49:24

this and that. We want bureaucracies to

49:26

be able to move speedily. Um, and we we

49:30

want them to be able to make decisions

49:31

in the public interest. And strangely

49:34

enough, it is the reforms that we've

49:36

seen since the 60s and 70s that have

49:38

slowed government down so they cannot be

49:40

responsive to the corporate challenge.

49:42

And so to my mind like there's a some

49:44

confusion here and that the the the idea

49:48

that we should abandon abundance in the

49:51

name of just sort of attacking

49:53

corporations misses the point that

49:55

government should be a competent

49:58

institution that can accurately and

50:01

thoroughly

50:02

review and challenge corporations when

50:06

they're doing wrong.

50:07

>> Can I throw the baseball back to you?

50:08

like h how do you how do you situate the

50:11

corporate power critique in your current

50:14

conception of abundance slash maybe

50:16

alternative way to ask that question? Um

50:18

a time machine materializes right next

50:20

to us over here takes us back to

50:22

December 2023 allowing us just enough

50:27

time to add a chapter 7 to the book

50:29

called abundance and corporate power.

50:32

Do you write that chapter and what do

50:35

you put in it?

50:36

>> So I have a couple answers to this. Um,

50:39

one which is more to the way we wrote

50:41

the book and the question I asked you

50:42

about affect is that I think we wrote

50:45

the book with a couple of thoughts but

50:49

one was it was a book about blind spots

50:52

>> of liberal and leftist governance and

50:57

and interesting this is actually an

50:58

argument right the populists often do

51:00

think this to be a blind spot of liberal

51:02

governance

51:04

but to me corporate power is actually

51:07

something that the left, broadly

51:09

speaking, understands and is relatively

51:11

attentive to. I mean, we were writing

51:12

this book when Lena Khan was the chair

51:15

of the FTC. So, one thing that it just

51:19

wasn't that much about was things where

51:21

I thought, you know, progressives kind

51:23

of had the right idea, but that created

51:27

the impression that it isn't concerned

51:28

with that. And so, I think then you get

51:30

into two things that are more

51:32

substantive.

51:33

One is that I think when you are talking

51:36

about building things and this is a book

51:39

about building things, this is a

51:40

movement about building things and

51:42

typically building them in the real

51:43

world.

51:45

You are necessarily forced into a

51:48

complex relationship with corporations

51:50

and functionally everything else because

51:54

first things are built by corporations.

51:57

Most things will continue to be built by

51:59

corporations. Whether you're talking

52:00

about drug development where there is a

52:03

mix of obviously public research but

52:04

then the pharmaceutical industry

52:06

actually does do a huge amount of drug

52:08

development and you're not there's no

52:10

nobody has a theory of getting away from

52:11

that. Um to when you're talking about

52:14

you know building commercial buildings

52:16

often building housing decarbonizing

52:19

almost anything you can think of that

52:21

needs to be built at a large scale is

52:24

going to be built in part by

52:25

corporations. So, you need to find a way

52:28

to align corporate energy with your

52:32

program. Just sort of being

52:34

anti-corporate as an orientation isn't

52:37

going to work. Um, and so I think that's

52:39

one other reason why I I've always said

52:41

that the theory of power in abundance is

52:43

liberal in the sense that it believes

52:45

power can concentrate poorly anywhere.

52:47

It can concentrate poorly among

52:49

corporations, in government, among

52:51

unions, in neighborhoods. that there is

52:53

no safe uh concentration of power. But

52:57

here's where I think if I could add your

52:59

chapter seven um I probably would.

53:03

Yeah, Mark, I take your point that a lot

53:05

of the things we focus on in the book uh

53:08

or frankly that you focus on in your

53:10

book um corporate concentration isn't

53:13

the reason the transmission lines aren't

53:16

getting built and it's not the reason

53:18

that housing isn't getting built in, you

53:20

know, this or that city.

53:23

But one thing that we are at a

53:26

principles level arguing for is that

53:29

government should be stronger, more

53:32

capable of being decisive and then more

53:34

capable of uh turning those decisions

53:37

into actual concrete and steel and law

53:41

and so on. and the way money affects

53:45

politics at its highest levels from

53:48

state houses to the federal government.

53:51

I wouldn't have really thought of a

53:53

campaign finance reform chapter in the

53:54

book the way we initially conceived of

53:56

it and also because I have a bunch on

53:58

campaign finance reform in my first book

54:00

in my own head. I'm like I've covered

54:02

this.

54:03

But I think the place where I think you

54:07

could have put in a a chapter 7 I think

54:09

the place where on the one hand I think

54:11

progressivism already has like the right

54:13

view on this but it has not been able to

54:15

instantiate this view into policy is the

54:18

more powerful government is the more

54:21

worried you have to be about the

54:23

distorting influence of money inside of

54:25

it. And so a political system as porous

54:29

to money as the one we have currently is

54:32

becomes very dangerous. So, I I just put

54:35

out a a podcast about um or with this

54:38

congressional candidate, Alex Boris, who

54:41

is running uh for Congress in um in New

54:43

York, and you know, this kind of super

54:47

PAC that is funded by co-founders

54:49

Palunteer and Open AI and Andre Horowitz

54:52

is like dumping money to destroy him and

54:55

and Boris is a former employee of

54:57

Palunteer, but what's going on there is

54:59

he wants to regulate AI and these

55:02

companies uh and investment firms firms

55:04

that are making functionally

55:06

unimaginable amounts of money from AI

55:09

are kind of trying to build like a death

55:11

star to destroy anybody who might

55:13

regulate AI in a way they don't like.

55:15

And so a system where you cannot trust

55:19

there to be like a good structure of who

55:23

has voice and who has influence because

55:24

it is so dependent on donors is not a

55:27

system where just saying let's make

55:30

government more powerful and trust that

55:31

the people running it are going to do

55:32

the right thing really works because you

55:35

have a like a fundamental corruption of

55:39

the central decision-making apparatus

55:42

and I think it's a sense of that being

55:44

true and the cynicism coming from that

55:47

that well I'm not try I I buy a bunch of

55:49

the critiques I think that the feeling

55:52

that if the billionaires who have all

55:54

this influence like this book and

55:56

implemented it you know or got really

55:58

behind it in the system as it exists

56:00

that it would just give them a really

56:01

big voice because it's not specifically

56:04

oriented towards taking some of their

56:05

voice away. I think there's validity to

56:08

that. That's that that's the version of

56:09

it I would uh give credibility to.

56:12

>> Yeah, I think I agree. I

56:17

I don't consider myself anti-billionaire

56:21

TM, but I don't think you can look at

56:23

what's happening with money and

56:24

government right now and the increasing

56:26

role that billionaires have over

56:28

campaign finance and not be a little bit

56:30

concerned about the last 15 months. And

56:32

what we saw between 2024 and 2025 is

56:35

that billionaires contributed by some

56:38

estimations between 10, 15, and 25% of

56:41

total campaign spending. Then got a

56:44

president that cut taxes for the top.1%

56:48

by an average of $300,000

56:51

and paid for it by the largest cuts to

56:55

Medicaid health care for low-income

56:58

people in American history.

57:00

That is that is a terrifying vision of

57:04

the future of plutoaucracy if that's an

57:06

omen. And if you look at the direction

57:09

of billionaire incomes made possible by

57:12

the rise of technologies like AI which

57:15

are currently in private markets which

57:18

means that retail investors do not even

57:20

have an opportunity to benefit from the

57:22

tripling and triple quadrupling and

57:25

decatupling of anthropic and open AI's

57:28

enterprise value.

57:30

that clearly points toward a world in

57:32

which billionaires have an an enormous

57:35

amount of political power and that and

57:39

that scares me and I don't have a

57:41

perfect solution to it. It's something

57:43

I'm thinking about a lot right now. Had

57:45

a conversation on my own podcast with

57:46

Gabriel Zuckman about the feasibility of

57:48

um of billionaire taxes which are their

57:51

own can of worms. But I I I think it's

57:53

absolutely a problem we need to think

57:55

about more in the next few years. I

57:56

guess I'm sort of struck by the degree

57:59

to which we're avoiding this sort of

58:02

central question which is who should be

58:05

making big decisions right like in the

58:09

50s60s like there were these public

58:11

figures like Robert Moses or like Robert

58:14

McNamera who were purportedly speaking

58:18

for the public interest and

58:20

progressivism turned against that model.

58:22

We become culturally averse to power

58:25

almost no matter where it is. And that

58:27

means we don't like billionaires, but we

58:29

don't like autocrats. We don't like uh

58:32

powerful bureaucrats like like we're

58:34

just whoever is making the decision. Our

58:37

solution in every case is move the

58:39

decision-making power somewhere else

58:42

without really thinking like well what

58:44

is the system we think would be fair to

58:47

get to an expeditious decision that

58:49

actually does serve the public interest.

58:51

And I think like we we can have

58:54

conversations about the influence of

58:55

money in politics but like fundamentally

58:57

what we need is government to be

58:59

competent in small doses so that we can

59:02

grow from that. The promise of abundance

59:05

is that we will reempower government to

59:08

be able to make decisions expeditiously

59:09

sort of across the board and we should

59:11

hold those the public figures who are

59:13

making decisions accountable through

59:15

elections. But like ultimately here the

59:18

proof of the pudding is in the eating.

59:20

Um and we need to have uh uh systems

59:25

that allow some discretionary power to

59:28

the people who are in powerful parts of

59:30

government to be able to make decisions

59:32

and then uh evaluate there. I I would

59:35

hate for us to predicate our efforts to

59:38

empower government to make decisions

59:40

about housing, about uh clean

59:42

infrastructure, about school, any of

59:44

these issues on uh a change in the way

59:47

we finance campaigns. I I think we're

59:49

gonna figure out how people feel about

59:51

AI more and more in the next few years.

59:54

And almost no matter how much money they

59:56

put up against Alex Boris or whomever,

59:59

if AI turns out to be wildly unpopular,

60:02

they're going to have a problem. So, I

60:04

think that actually gets us into AI,

60:06

which we've been circling here a little

60:07

bit. And one other group of people you

60:10

will hear the word abundance from quite

60:12

a lot are the people who run AI

60:16

companies. For instance,

60:18

>> you know, AI and robotics will will

60:21

bring um bring out what might be termed

60:25

the age of abundance. Um other people

60:27

have used this word um and and and that

60:31

this is my prediction will be an age of

60:32

abundance um for everyone. I had like

60:34

the one interest of like radical

60:36

abundance and just like what what what

60:38

were the kind of technological leverage

60:40

points to just like make the future like

60:42

wildly different and better.

60:43

>> As we get closer to AGI and we made

60:45

breakthroughs in we we probably talked

60:47

about last time material sciences,

60:49

energy fusion, these sorts of things

60:50

helped by AI, we should start getting to

60:52

a position in society where we're

60:54

getting towards what I would call

60:55

radical abundance where there's a lot of

60:57

resources u to go around. So that's Elon

61:00

Musk, Sam Alman, and Deisabis. And one,

61:04

I think a lot of people are very

61:05

skeptical that these AI companies are

61:08

going to bring anything that would feel

61:09

to a normal person like abundance. What

61:11

they're instead hearing about is a

61:12

scarcity of jobs that is coming down the

61:14

pike. We thought of having AI in the

61:16

book. We mostly cut it out because it

61:18

felt like it was moving too fast. It has

61:21

gotten a lot further now. How do you

61:23

think about the ways in which AI could

61:26

create abundance or also for other for

61:28

people create scarcity?

61:30

>> I had an interesting conversation last

61:32

year when I was simultaneously working

61:34

on abundance and this cover story that I

61:36

wrote for the Atlantic called the

61:37

antisocial century. And for that latter

61:39

story, I talked to Bob Putnham, Robert

61:41

Putnham, the author of Bowling Alone.

61:43

And he made this interesting point about

61:45

technology which he significantly blames

61:48

for the rise of solitude in America. He

61:50

said, "Too often we adopt a technology

61:55

and then we adopt that technologies

61:58

values

61:59

without thinking about incorporating

62:01

that technology into our values." And so

62:05

one example of his was the television.

62:07

And we're going to get to AI in a

62:08

second. He said with television,

62:11

you know, most people put a television

62:13

in their room and then immediately

62:15

started watching five, six hours of

62:16

television a day. It was as if the human

62:18

body were designed by evolution to do

62:22

nothing but sit in a couch and watch

62:23

streaming images on a screen. That's how

62:25

immediately it insinuated itself into

62:27

modern life. He said that that's

62:29

different from say the Amish which are

62:31

very very purposeful about almost

62:33

screening a technology to ensure that it

62:36

fit their values before incorporating

62:37

it. And so, for example, something like

62:39

solar energy, which they say does fit

62:41

their values, it you can often find near

62:43

Amish farms. Whereas the television set,

62:45

they said it's going to interrupt the

62:48

values that we have about family

62:50

interconnectedness and time spent

62:52

looking at other people in the face. And

62:53

so, we're going to keep it out of our

62:54

homes. I don't think that we should take

62:58

the Amish approach to television with

63:01

artificial intelligence. I don't think

63:03

we should ban it. But I do think we

63:05

should take a kind of Amish light

63:09

approach to thinking about incorporating

63:12

this technology into our values rather

63:16

than adopting the values of artificial

63:18

intelligence mindlessly.

63:21

What the latter would mean is

63:25

allowing data centers to be built

63:28

absolutely any anywhere, including in

63:31

many places, as the Wall Street Journal

63:33

reported in places where residential

63:35

developers are selling land that is

63:38

needed for homes for people to data

63:40

centers to build a house for computer

63:42

chips. I don't want a data center

63:45

mortorium in this country, but stories

63:47

like that feel awfully close to allowing

63:49

the values of AI to supplant the values

63:53

of people, which is having a home to

63:55

live. Because I I think there's a lot

63:57

that I agree with there, but but let me

63:59

drop this down to, as you put at the

64:00

beginning here, the level of vibes. I

64:03

think one of the vibes projects in

64:05

abundance is to try to create a

64:08

political vibe that is simultaneously

64:11

progressive in the sense that it cares

64:13

about social goals and equality and

64:16

distribution and a bunch of things that

64:18

you know progressives typically care

64:19

about and prochemnology. I mean right on

64:22

the cover of our book right we have this

64:24

somewhat solar punky you know you see

64:28

technology and forestry and we talk

64:30

about rewing you know very much at the

64:32

beginning because you have you know

64:33

vertical farming right where we are

64:34

trying to create a kind of vision of the

64:37

way technology can be pulled into

64:40

politics to you know make things

64:42

possible that are not currently possible

64:43

to solve and I would say the level of

64:46

vibes that has gotten harder

64:48

>> because one there is a very very

64:51

reasonable sense that technology is

64:54

concentrating power more narrowly in the

64:57

hands of a more narrow group of people.

64:59

Elon Musk is well on his way at the

65:00

moment to becoming the world's first

65:02

trillionaire. You see the power Sam

65:04

Alman wields that Daario wields Darede

65:07

people are scared of AI. They, you know,

65:10

the way Jasmine Sun describes AI

65:11

populism is that it's an elite project,

65:13

right? That it's a sense it AI is really

65:15

an elite project that is like being

65:17

shoved down people's throats, not

65:18

something they want, but something that

65:20

they're being forced to accept and adapt

65:22

to.

65:23

>> And so at the at the level of vibes,

65:25

this sort of politics that merges

65:28

progressive goals and uh a kind of view

65:31

that technology can be harnessed for

65:32

them, it seems very far. GLP1s are very

65:36

widespread, but I think the way the left

65:37

feels about them is very unsettled. Um,

65:40

I I'm I'm curious for you to talk a bit

65:42

about about that level because I think

65:44

it's very hard for a positive politics

65:46

to grow out of a deep enmity and

65:48

suspicion and yet I understand why the

65:50

suspicion is there right now.

65:52

>> Yeah. Let me talk first about AI and

65:53

then let me get to GOP ones because I I

65:55

I I think they're quite different. I

65:57

think the populous energy, the the

66:00

anti-tech energy that faces artificial

66:02

intelligence is very different than the

66:04

disperse anxiety that people feel about

66:07

some of some of the implications of

66:08

GLP-1s despite this in many ways being

66:10

like one of the most popular drug

66:12

categories in like the last few decades.

66:14

So, I think in that respect they they

66:15

definitely deserve a little bit of of um

66:17

of distinction. But I like the

66:19

>> the thing I just meant about that

66:20

because I think you're right. It's just

66:21

that I don't see any place where the

66:22

left is like excited about a new

66:24

technology.

66:25

>> Right. So, okay. Yeah. So, I really like

66:29

the two, three sentences that we had

66:31

about artificial intelligence in the

66:33

sci-fi vignette that kicked off our book

66:35

because while we don't have a fully

66:37

fleshed out AI policy in that book, we

66:40

say two things that I think are are

66:42

worth holding on to. The first is that

66:45

the profits of artificial intelligence

66:48

because it is a technology that is built

66:50

on human achievement and human

66:52

intelligence are taxed and redistributed

66:54

to the public. And number two, that the

66:57

work week has shrunk. And implicit in

67:01

the idea that artificial intelligence

67:02

allows the work week to shrink is the

67:04

idea that to the extent that it reduces

67:07

labor, that reduction of labor is not

67:10

born on the backs of a dramatic increase

67:13

in unemployment, but is rather

67:16

distributed among a stable set of fully

67:19

employed labor force that is working a

67:21

bit less and earning more because of

67:22

higher productivity. So, if I were

67:25

crafting a sort of abundance AI message,

67:28

what I would say is this is rapidly

67:31

looking like it's going to become a

67:33

trillion multi-trillion dollar industry.

67:35

We have to restore the ability to tax

67:39

corporations that could be among the

67:41

most profitable in the history of

67:42

capitalism. That's part one. We want to

67:44

tax these companies and redistribute

67:46

their income to the people. But also, I

67:49

think we need to think about what kind

67:52

of labor market policies we can begin to

67:55

build to ensure that there isn't a

67:57

displacement of workers so that if this

68:00

technology makes people more productive,

68:02

it results in something that looks much

68:04

more like a 4-day work week than the

68:06

equivalent 20% of the economy just being

68:09

shunted onto unemployment. Um, on GLP1s,

68:13

I definitely get the impression that

68:16

there is a left-wing, is it leftwing?

68:20

Um, there's an aversion to the

68:22

technology within certain aspects of

68:26

media. Like there are magazines and

68:28

newsletter writers who are against GOP1s

68:31

because um they promote a new thinness

68:34

culture uh or they might represent some

68:37

kind of unnatural way of getting a

68:39

normal body. I biohacking optimization

68:42

culture peptides now clavvicular right

68:45

which is like a sort of whole weird

68:46

dystopic looks maxing

68:48

>> that it accelerates us towards some kind

68:49

of transhumanist future with which we

68:51

feel uncomfortable

68:52

>> and while enriching a small number of

68:54

people

68:54

>> while enriching a small number of people

68:55

but I I also think it's important to

68:58

look at the fact that this is by all

69:01

accounts the most popular category of

69:04

drug in the last 2030 years I mean the

69:08

pharmaceutical companies can't sell it

69:10

fast enough. The the peptide makers with

69:12

the relationships to Chinese or whatever

69:14

labs, they can't sell it fast enough. I

69:17

mean, here you have an emerging

69:19

technology that looks like it might have

69:22

implications for neurodeenerative

69:23

disease, for inflammation, for

69:25

cardiovascular disease. These are

69:28

diseases that are are among the highest

69:30

mortality burden in the country, in the

69:32

developed world.

69:34

Why aren't we devoting even more public

69:36

resources to studying this drug faster

69:40

and finding new ways of bringing down

69:42

the cost in the next few years for all

69:44

Americans? What if the federal

69:46

government spends a lot of money to

69:48

promote a certain drug category reward

69:51

certain companies with advanced market

69:52

commitments, hundreds, not not hundreds

69:54

of millions, billions of dollars for

69:56

companies that build these drugs so that

69:59

the government essentially is buying

70:01

those drugs and then can distribute them

70:02

to

70:04

which is exactly what we did for co

70:06

vaccines. And right now the federal

70:08

government just sort of seems MIA on

70:09

this in a way that I'm not sure I

70:11

entirely understand. So if I were in

70:13

government looking at this revolution, I

70:16

would frankly be interested in something

70:19

like an operation warp speed for GLP1s.

70:22

Mark, I want to pick up on something

70:24

that Derek said a little bit earlier in

70:25

the AI part of that, which I think is

70:27

really pregnant, which is should

70:30

abundance of time be a goal? And one

70:32

reason I ask is that you've done a lot

70:34

of thinking about the progressive

70:35

movement. It comes up a lot in in in

70:37

your book. And when I go back into the

70:39

progressive movement, one thing I am

70:41

struck by is how much broader its

70:44

conceptions of human flourishing were

70:47

than what I think liberalism tends to

70:49

offer or for that matter socialism or

70:51

democratic socialism tends to offer

70:52

today. You have a lot of talk about

70:55

parks. You have a lot of talk about

70:57

public spaces. You have a lot of talk

70:58

about the liberal arts and certain forms

71:00

of enriching education. Obviously, you

71:02

have temperance movements and things

71:03

like that. And there's a lot of talk in

71:06

that era of work and the role it should

71:08

play or should not play in our life. And

71:10

now we just sort of accept it as so

71:12

central. Um you know we have two earner

71:15

families and you know everybody works

71:17

all the time. But particularly if we do

71:20

end up in this world where AI is a labor

71:23

replacing technology which you know to

71:26

some degree it will be should the goal

71:29

be that I mean the 5day work week isn't

71:32

set in stone. Maybe it should be four

71:33

days. Maybe it should be three. I mean,

71:35

Brink Lindsay in his sort of abundance

71:36

adjacent new book, The Permanent

71:38

Problem, is is circling some of these

71:39

ideas. But I'm curious, like given your

71:41

more historical perspective, what you

71:43

think of that and what you think of time

71:45

as a thing, leisure time, you know, time

71:49

that you have autonomy over as a

71:51

long-term goal for abundance. In the

71:54

moment of every new technological

71:56

transformation,

71:57

we have had some notion, some dream that

72:00

maybe we could have less work and more

72:03

leisure uh for the same income. And in

72:06

most cases, it's part of the American

72:08

DNA to use the extra time to do more

72:12

work. Right. I think you know canes

72:14

famously expected that we would be

72:17

spending less time at work.

72:18

>> It' be our 15- hour work week by now.

72:20

>> Right. Right. Um but we did create the

72:22

weekend right the labor movement.

72:25

>> I mean we have taken time back at times

72:27

>> we have taken time back. I suspect that

72:30

we are going to find with the rise of

72:32

China with with with the uh enormous

72:36

challenges that we face and the various

72:38

new technologies that we have in other

72:40

realms that there's going to be a demand

72:44

for speedy progress on all sorts of

72:46

other issues and those who want to spend

72:49

time doing that are going to spend all

72:52

week and all weekend working on those

72:54

challenges. So I'm I'm less sanguin that

72:56

we're going to have less time. I I I do

72:59

I mean I think what's so interesting

73:01

about Derek's uh analysis of what

73:04

happened with GLPs is that in in

73:07

situations like warp speed we have clear

73:10

delineations of who makes decisions

73:13

right we are empowering people to take

73:16

chances to uh make you know enormously

73:20

consequential decisions about where

73:21

money goes and to to try things quickly.

73:24

That is exactly what we don't have in

73:26

these other realms of abundance. Right?

73:28

It is very hard to figure out who makes

73:31

the decision about where the

73:33

transmission line's going to go, how

73:35

we're going to build the uh the new

73:37

transit line, where the housing is going

73:40

to go. And I think like that's an

73:42

interesting model uh in these other

73:45

realms. How are we going to how are

73:47

progressives going to change decision-m

73:49

processes across the board so that we

73:52

can make expeditious decisions? I think

73:54

the transmission lines uh question

73:56

brings up another area that both

73:59

interfaces with technology obviously but

74:01

but but also politics. Uh for me a lot

74:04

of abundance comes out of

74:07

thinking first about the Yimi movement

74:09

and then thinking about climate change

74:11

and decarbonization and the need for a

74:13

really really really aggressive green

74:14

energy buildout which was being

74:17

conceived of and attempted in the Biden

74:19

administration and it became very clear

74:21

that the laws we have and the permitting

74:22

we have was not going to allow enough

74:24

solar and wind and transmission lines

74:26

and so on to get placed. Then Donald

74:28

Trump gets elected and I would say a

74:31

couple things happen. One is he uh guts

74:34

in the inflation reduction acts credits

74:36

for wind and solar trying to mess all

74:38

that up and also makes it in some cases

74:40

like harder to permit and harder to

74:41

finance.

74:43

There were hopes that you would see big

74:46

level permitting reform at least maybe

74:47

that would happen under a Republican

74:49

presidency but that has not happened in

74:51

any real way. Nor is Donald Trump

74:53

exactly doing fossil fuel abundance

74:55

because he has gotten the straight of

74:56

Hormuz into a complete mess. And so, you

74:59

know, uh, oil prices are really high,

75:01

but most of the debate is how to make

75:03

oil cheaper again. Like, when you think

75:06

of where we were talking about green

75:08

energy a couple of years ago, and you

75:10

think of where we are now where it's

75:11

just like, can you even keep oil

75:14

affordable? It seems like a total

75:17

absolute disaster.

75:20

And and I would add this and and then

75:21

turn it to you Derek which is one thing

75:23

that worries me is that when people lose

75:25

political fights they sometimes like

75:27

backfill into just saying like well

75:29

maybe they were wrong about everything.

75:30

I think we are acting like climate

75:32

change science has somehow stopped being

75:35

true because the politics of climate

75:37

change have proven harder than people

75:39

hoped.

75:39

>> But we are just warming the world really

75:42

fast and there's no reason to think that

75:44

that will not have all the terrible

75:45

effects that people have feared. And so

75:48

I don't think this politics is gone

75:49

forever because you're going to have

75:50

huge natural disasters and storms and

75:52

things like that. But I don't know. I,

75:55

you know, we've gone from a place where

75:56

the question is how fast can we build

75:57

out the decarbonization to whatever the

76:00

hell this is now and it's a real it's a

76:04

real fall.

76:05

>> It doesn't just seem like an abject

76:06

disaster. It is an absolute disaster. I

76:09

mean, this is what you and I were

76:10

talking about a lot with audiences in,

76:13

you know, May and April of last year.

76:16

were saying that, you know, Donald Trump

76:17

wins this affordability election where

76:20

if you ask people who switched the

76:21

Democratic to the Republican column, why

76:23

did you switch? They said over and over

76:25

again, it's cost of living, it's

76:26

affordability, it's the price of

76:27

housing. What's happened to cost of

76:29

living affordability under Donald Trump?

76:31

All of it has gotten worse. And it's not

76:33

just that it's gotten worse because like

76:35

a comet came in from outer space that

76:36

Donald Trump couldn't possibly change.

76:39

It's often directly because of Trump's

76:41

policies. I mean, he is governed often

76:43

very explicitly as a scarcity candidate.

76:46

There's a scarcity of labor in large

76:48

part because the amount of legal and

76:50

anti and undocumented immigration coming

76:52

into this country has fallen off a map

76:54

such that the labor market is barely

76:55

growing anymore. We have trade scarcity.

76:59

We've essentially made it illegal for

77:00

all all sorts of goods to be not illegal

77:02

but highly taxed all sorts of goods to

77:04

be sold into the country. Some of those

77:06

goods are inputs into things like

77:08

building transformers. And if you look

77:10

at why the cost of electricity and

77:12

energy is rising despite the fact that

77:15

within the context of AI, it's often

77:17

blamed on the data centers. When you

77:19

talk to energy experts, they will say

77:21

almost to a person, it's not so much

77:23

about the exciting reason of AI is

77:26

driving up the cost of your electricity.

77:28

It's much more the slightly more boring

77:30

reason which is that the hardware guts

77:32

of the electrical grid are getting

77:34

scarce and more expensive in large part

77:36

because we have tariffed the inputs

77:37

which makes it harder to build

77:39

transformers and stations. So he's made

77:41

it difficult in so many different ways

77:43

in order to allow him to achieve the

77:46

very thing that he was elected to

77:48

achieve. That is I think an absolute

77:51

tragedy for America, for consumers, for

77:54

families. It is however, and I do mean

77:56

this like on a separate plane, an

77:59

opportunity for people who think of

78:01

themselves as abundance liberals to

78:04

refocus this question around how do we

78:07

solve these problems on the supply side?

78:09

How do we make it easier to build the

78:11

housing that currently is not being

78:12

built? How do we make it easier to build

78:14

the transformers that currently aren't

78:16

not only being built, but are also in

78:17

many cases being tariffed? So I think

78:20

Trump is a disaster, but Trump's

78:22

disaster is often instructive to the

78:26

opposing party. So this I do think is an

78:29

opportunity for someone to run on the

78:31

idea that like we we we know that like

78:35

economics works in many of these

78:36

industries. We know supply and demand

78:38

works. There are supply side solutions

78:40

to many of these problems. And if we

78:42

implement them in a way that the uh

78:44

Trump administration has not, we can

78:46

begin to fix some of these problems.

78:47

>> Okay. This is a place where to go back

78:49

to something I was saying at the

78:50

beginning of the conversation. I see a

78:52

big difference between having a vision

78:56

and

78:58

not uh so the the big by word of the era

79:02

right now is energy affordability. We're

79:04

all talking about affordability and I

79:05

also think energy should be affordable

79:07

and people should be able to afford it.

79:09

That is

79:11

not I think a forward-looking vision of

79:14

this.

79:16

I want to see clean energy abundance

79:19

described. I want to see a political

79:22

party that actually has a vision of a

79:24

world in which we have more energy and

79:27

the fruits of that energy available to

79:29

us, available to people in in in poorer

79:31

countries and is able to describe why it

79:34

wants that and how it's going to achieve

79:36

it. And this is a place where I think

79:39

that you're we're sort of at the

79:41

intersection of a few things that people

79:43

I think will come to believe have

79:44

failed. One is that climate politics has

79:47

proven very very hard and I think one

79:49

reason it's proven hard is that over a

79:51

long period of time endlessly trying to

79:53

motivate people to avoid a disaster that

79:56

they cannot feel day-to-day is very hard

79:58

right you're trying to create a

80:00

tremendous amount of political

80:01

motivation by warning people of a thing

80:04

that has not for the most part happened

80:06

to them yet and the you can do that to

80:09

some degree but I think the politics of

80:11

climate have proven hard the degree to

80:13

which the public doesn't really

80:14

prioritize It has been a a difficult

80:16

lesson to learn. Obviously, Trumpism has

80:20

not like taken the mantle of cheap

80:21

energy away from the Democrats for all

80:23

the reasons you just described. But I

80:25

think what separates abundance and what

80:27

is at least meant to be in my head from

80:29

what we're really seeing in a lot of

80:31

places is that you're supposed to have

80:34

some vision of what energy, clean

80:37

energy, abundance is and what it looks

80:39

like and what it can achieve. And that

80:41

is just not a grammar I think that

80:44

people are used to talking about. I

80:45

think the left kind of has a like a

80:48

worried relationship with energy. It

80:50

just wants to avoid the problems of

80:52

fossil fuel energy use, right?

80:54

Decarbonization, etc. The right just

80:56

wants energy to be cheap and plentiful

80:58

and to drill. And the idea that there is

81:00

some other future we could attain that

81:02

is not just the present but without

81:05

climate disasters or the present on the

81:07

right with climate disasters but a

81:09

longer period of cheap fossil fuel oil.

81:12

Like I would like to see that like

81:14

brighter future described and and that's

81:17

a place where I think there's been a lot

81:18

less by now than I would have hoped.

81:22

I might disagree with the way you're

81:24

splitting out

81:27

the economic case and the vision case.

81:31

There's a way in which I think the last

81:33

few months in particular

81:36

have demonstrated that the case for

81:40

clean electricity is also the case for

81:45

cheap energy in the long run. we just

81:48

saw is the degree to which a

81:51

totalitarian theoccratic regime can use

81:55

drone weaponry to control an artery of

82:00

gas and oil in a way that can raise the

82:05

cost of fossil fuels for the entire

82:07

world. One way to not rely on that one

82:11

artery is to build more energy at home

82:14

to insource your energy. What are some

82:18

ways to do that? It's to take advantage

82:20

of an unbelievable cost revolution in

82:24

solar and storage. Not to mention I

82:26

would like win geothermal and nuclear

82:27

but those are um those are alternative

82:30

for now to use the cost revolution in

82:33

solar and storage to build more in this

82:35

country such that we have not only

82:39

uh clean electricity but also clean

82:42

electricity that isn't going to ride the

82:44

sort of insurance spikes of a world in

82:47

which there's war on the seas that every

82:50

few months drives up the cost of

82:51

hydrocarbons that are put on ships. I

82:53

think the the distinction I am making

82:56

though is between

82:59

a world that is being described in terms

83:01

of the present, right? We can have what

83:04

we have now, but it is not subject to

83:06

Iran closing the straight of Hormuz

83:09

and actually imagining

83:12

energy and clean energy as a generator

83:15

of future wealth and change. I think

83:17

something that makes abundance

83:19

distinctive from where a lot of

83:21

Democratic party progressive politics

83:22

has been for a long time and and you've

83:24

written a lot about this as well is I

83:27

think there's been a longunning

83:29

skepticism you know going back to the

83:30

beginning of the environmental movement

83:32

of energy right you know you want to

83:34

reduce reuse and recycle and you know

83:37

you want to put on a sweater and I think

83:39

that abundance is distinctively pretty

83:43

pro- energy it believes that a world in

83:45

which we all had access to much more

83:47

energy would be a better world

83:49

dramatically so right it would make

83:51

possible all these technological

83:52

innovations like vertical farming and

83:54

things that we really want to see mass

83:56

desalination and it believes that the

83:58

technology is there or near there to do

84:01

that cleanly and so if you really invest

84:03

in that you know both in terms of things

84:05

we know how to build like wind and solar

84:06

but are getting better at you know

84:08

batteries and the things that we are

84:09

like we would like to sort of have

84:11

revolutions in like geothermal and

84:13

nuclear something really different is

84:15

possible

84:16

And yes, I agree that you could use the

84:19

current moment to pivot to that. What

84:21

I'm saying is I am not seeing people

84:23

really do that. And I think it isn't

84:25

actually an important dividing line. Is

84:27

what you're talking about just securing

84:30

a better energy supply than we have now?

84:32

Or is what you're talking about a world

84:35

of energetic wealth,

84:37

>> clean energetic wealth that you can

84:39

somehow describe, but that is quite

84:41

different than what we now live in?

84:43

I get I I just want to come back. I

84:46

think this is a perfect case for

84:48

abundance in this sense to Derek's

84:51

point. We're now got incredibly

84:55

expensive fossil fuel energy because of

84:57

the current crisis. But set that aside.

85:01

We have at our fingertips technology

85:04

that makes it possible for us to replace

85:06

much of that with clean environmentally

85:11

sensitive forms of electricity

85:14

generation.

85:15

The thing that we don't have, the real

85:18

cog in the wheel is transmission. It is

85:21

the fact that clean energy is created in

85:23

certain places. It used to be that you

85:25

would you would mine the coal or bring

85:29

the oil or gas through a pipeline to the

85:31

place where it was going to be actually

85:33

converted into electricity and then it

85:35

would be brought locally to the people

85:38

who were nearby. Now we've got the

85:40

problem of having the wind and the solar

85:44

and whatever else is being generated in

85:46

places that are far away from where the

85:48

load is going to be expended. And we

85:49

need to build lines that connect the

85:53

generation to the place where people

85:55

want to use the electricity. Like you've

85:58

got a a solar farm here and you've got a

86:01

uh a city here and between the two the

86:04

three of them are a wealthy

86:06

neighborhood, a pristine forest and a

86:08

and a and a you know a struggling more

86:11

marginalized neighborhood. The the line

86:14

has to go through one of those three

86:16

places. We don't and abundant Democrats

86:20

have not articulated the way that we're

86:22

going to come to that decision

86:24

expeditiously. We have sort of given

86:28

into our fantasy that if you just put

86:30

these three groups who some of whom are

86:33

going to be affected by this new

86:34

transmission line into a room and have

86:36

them articulate their problem, we will

86:38

magically come to some sort of

86:39

consensus. But in most cases, we don't

86:42

and we often get tripped up by it. And I

86:45

think this is the big coming challenge

86:46

for abundance. We have to build a system

86:50

that allows for us to make trade-offs.

86:52

We need a system where everyone has a

86:54

voice and not no one has a veto and we

86:57

get to a decision expeditiously and then

86:59

it's not subject to endless litigation.

87:02

And the challenge for our movement for

87:04

the abundance generally for

87:06

progressivism is how do we make

87:08

government work? And you're right that

87:10

abundance should be bigger than let's

87:12

get rid of red tape. This is not getting

87:14

rid of red tape. This is metabolizing a

87:17

whole series of of conflicting interests

87:20

so that we get to a decision.

87:21

>> Well, I agree with that. At the core of

87:22

abundance is the idea of a strong state,

87:24

a state capable of making decisions, a

87:26

ca a state capable of executing on those

87:28

decisions, implementing them, building

87:30

things in the real world, getting things

87:31

built in the real world. The Trump

87:33

administration began with Doge, which on

87:35

the one hand was enormously destructive

87:38

of state capacity. on the other hand is

87:41

proof that you could do a lot more to

87:43

the state than people thought you could.

87:46

That the the the the rules, the

87:48

regulations were not nearly as binding

87:49

as people thought. And I am seeing

87:51

Democrats begin to metabolize the idea

87:54

that if they are put back into power,

87:56

they are going to need to take some of

87:58

those lessons and build something

88:00

different. And I want to play a clip

88:01

from Pete Buddha Judge just the other

88:03

day. And my word of warning to my own

88:07

political party is that we would make a

88:10

terrible mistake if we thought that our

88:12

job was to just take power somehow

88:16

and then put everything back the way it

88:18

was.

88:20

That's not what we're here to do.

88:23

We're we're not out to go around and

88:26

just find all the little bits and pieces

88:28

of everything that that that they

88:29

smashed and tape it together and say,

88:31

"Here you go. I give you the world as it

88:34

looked in 2023.

88:36

That's not going to work. It's not what

88:38

we need. So much has changed. And the

88:40

truth is they are destroying things

88:42

right and left. They're destroying a lot

88:44

of good important things. They're

88:46

destroying some useless things, too, cuz

88:48

they're destroying everything. So now we

88:50

get a chance to put things together on

88:52

different terms.

88:53

>> So that Buddha Judge clip is like it's

88:55

like fan service for me, right? That's

88:57

that's what I want to hear somebody

88:58

saying. But I want to say he goes on to

89:00

say what those different terms should

89:02

be. And I think this is a really big

89:04

unsettled question for Democrats, which

89:07

is they know, you heard it also in the

89:09

the Newsome clip uh earlier. They know

89:12

that after Doge, after all this

89:14

destruction, and after also the

89:16

recognition that things can work

89:17

differently, they have to work

89:18

differently that they cannot just build

89:21

back. They can't even just build back

89:22

better. They have to build something

89:24

different. But I don't think they know

89:27

on what principles that different things

89:29

should be built.

89:30

>> Yeah.

89:32

>> Mark, this is obviously your wheelhouse

89:34

a bit. What would you tell Pete

89:36

Buddhajitch? So we need to make it so

89:39

that when various bureaucracies within

89:42

the federal government are thinking

89:44

about whether to site new uh uh new wind

89:48

farms off the coast and there are

89:50

implications for energy and there are

89:52

implications for uh for the fishing

89:55

industry and there are implications for

89:56

the wildlife and for the birds and for

89:59

the the energy companies onshore and all

90:02

of these things have divergent

90:03

interests. Right now, the federal

90:06

government and government generally gets

90:09

caught up in those negotiations again

90:12

with the fantasy that if everyone gives

90:14

their voice and we just have an equal

90:17

>> just I want to stop you for a second

90:18

because I feel like you're framing this

90:20

as if it's you you keep saying just the

90:22

fantasy.

90:22

>> Yeah,

90:23

>> it's the law, right? There are courts

90:26

they are I talked to the people doing

90:28

these decisions, right? They are worried

90:29

about lawsuits. They are worried about

90:31

the project getting dragged out. So Elon

90:33

Musk couldn't one reason Elon Musk just

90:35

gutted things during

90:37

>> is he the Trump administration didn't

90:39

try to do anything through statute

90:41

through law right they didn't try to

90:42

remake the civil service or its rules

90:45

except through executive order

90:47

>> you to to change things architecturally

90:49

and to change things in terms of who can

90:52

decide what at the level you're talking

90:54

about to make power wieldable in this

90:57

way

90:58

>> it requires new laws so that makes it

91:01

harder Yes, the

91:03

>> because it can get filibustered and

91:05

nobody's going to throw you a parade for

91:06

remaking the Administrative Procedures

91:08

Act, right? Who wants to spend all their

91:10

time on that? And so it I'm not saying

91:14

that even directionally I disagree with

91:17

you, but I do think it's worth saying

91:18

what you're describing is not just like

91:20

a bunch of progressives imagining it

91:22

would be nice. It's actually how the

91:24

whole thing works. You get sued if you

91:26

don't follow it.

91:27

>> That's absolutely true. And that's the

91:29

system that we've built over the course

91:30

of the last 50 years. We need to begin

91:33

like this is the challenge for

91:35

abundance. And you're right, it's not a

91:38

simple fix. It's not a it's not

91:39

something that a Doge could have done.

91:41

We need to have in our mind a process

91:44

that we believe is fair and that when

91:47

people don't get the outcome that they

91:49

want, they will abide it and understand

91:51

that that was determined to be in the

91:54

public interest. I am one of 17

91:56

Cincinnati Bengals fans in the entire

91:58

world. There there are 16 of us and we

92:00

all know each other. And uh there was a

92:03

moment in the

92:03

>> amount of angry emails I'm about to get

92:05

because of this comment.

92:06

>> Okay,

92:08

>> there are 19 and the other ones are

92:09

pissed.

92:10

>> Yeah, fair enough. You'll get you'll get

92:12

three. Um uh in the Super Bowl a few

92:15

years ago, there was a call at the end

92:17

against Logan Wilson for pass

92:18

interference at the end of the game. And

92:20

it was not pass interference. And I I I

92:22

mean I I feel very strongly about this.

92:24

We all 17 of us feel very strongly about

92:27

this. But it was called and the play

92:30

went on. And I think if that without

92:31

that call, the Bengals likely win the

92:33

game, but we lost. And I don't sit here

92:37

today and litigate whether or not the

92:39

Bengals were actually Super Bowl

92:40

champions several years ago. We have a

92:43

system today in which we haven't created

92:47

within the government a system by which

92:49

we can take a whole series of

92:51

conflicting signals, requirements, uh,

92:54

demands, concerns, metabolize them into

92:58

a decision where someone decides, I

93:01

understand that there's an environmental

93:03

cost to that. I understand that that's

93:05

not great for the fishermen. I

93:06

understand that we're giving up some

93:07

clean energy. I like, but this is the

93:10

thing that we're going to do. And those

93:11

who lose, who didn't get what they

93:13

wanted, are forced to stand down. And we

93:16

I think this is the criticism that I

93:18

have and the real worry I have for

93:19

abundance is I'm not sure that we are

93:21

articulating how we're going to make

93:23

these trade-offs in a way that makes

93:25

sense and is both fair to those who need

93:27

to have a voice, but doesn't allow for

93:30

interminable debate.

93:32

>> What's your version of this?

93:33

>> Doge was a total disaster. I mean

93:36

there's a way in which I think some

93:38

people say oh you know what we'll just

93:39

do is we'll build Doge but better that

93:41

somehat begs the question like

93:44

what is the thing we want progressive

93:47

abundance Doge to do better and there's

93:50

a little bit of a blank space there so

93:53

let me try to fill out some ideas

93:57

one of the failures of the B

93:58

administration that you and I talked

93:59

about a lot on the tour was the failure

94:01

to spend money authorized under the

94:03

bipartisan infrastructure bill. You

94:05

know, I talked to a lot of people at the

94:06

state level about what they saw as the

94:09

reason why rural broadband money, tens

94:11

of billions of dollars of it, didn't

94:13

actually build rural broadband and why

94:15

several billion dollars of electric

94:17

vehicle charger stations money was also

94:19

not spent. And the answer that I kept

94:21

hearing, they felt like the people they

94:24

were talking to in the Biden

94:26

administration,

94:28

they felt like they were coming up with

94:31

excuses to extend the period of time to

94:34

come up with more instruments of delay

94:36

than were necessary by the rules

94:39

inscribed by the law itself. And that

94:41

brings me to a point that you might

94:43

think of as sort of like doge but better

94:45

but I sometimes think of as being like a

94:46

little bit separate is this is this idea

94:49

that abundance is not just a set of

94:52

ideas and laws and rules. It's the

94:54

people who execute them. And one thing

94:57

that I think the incoming hopefully

95:01

Democratic administration 2029 will

95:03

value is not just a new set of rules

95:08

that value speed, but personnel that

95:11

value speed. I actually think you can go

95:14

quite far by bringing in people who

95:17

really really want laws to be passed and

95:20

then money to be spent expeditiously and

95:23

are looking for ways to do that legally,

95:25

not by violating the law because, you

95:27

know, as much as it's talked about how

95:29

much Donald Trump and Elon Musk when he

95:30

was in government just like, you know,

95:32

ran through everything with a chainsaw

95:34

and machete. You look at all the various

95:36

ways that Trump has lost in the courts

95:37

that have consistently slowed him down

95:39

to do all kinds of things. I mean, the

95:41

Trump administration is now paying back

95:42

$166 billion in tariff fees. That's not

95:46

moving fast. That's moving fast, then

95:47

moving very slow because you have to

95:48

undo everything you just did. So, you

95:50

want to follow the law, but I also think

95:52

you want to bring in people into

95:55

government that really, really want to

95:57

move quickly. And to the question of

95:59

what do we want to do quickly? I mean,

96:01

the bipartisan infrastructure law was in

96:02

many ways a very abundancy law. They

96:04

wanted to spend money to improve

96:05

American infrastructure. And in

96:07

particular, I think if you look at the

96:09

delays happening right now with

96:10

transmission lines and transformers, we

96:13

need to find some way either through

96:15

regulation or through legislation um or

96:18

through personnel to build this stuff

96:20

much faster because you cannot electrify

96:22

a grid if there's like interconnection

96:24

cues and transformer delays of months

96:26

and years. So that's one thing I think

96:28

you'd really really want to use a kind

96:30

of maybe the progressive doge to do. The

96:32

other that I think is so important is

96:34

right now the delay in the drug

96:38

development pipeline at the level of the

96:41

FDA and clinical trials is absolutely

96:43

horrendous. And there's a group of

96:45

people including Rexandra Tesla that are

96:47

looking at what would clinical trial

96:49

abundance mean? How could you use a

96:51

combination of artificial intelligence

96:54

and innovative public policy to renovate

96:58

the way that we test drugs to get the

97:01

same safety benefits out of it, but

97:03

going at something like warp speed?

97:05

Because, you know, despite what the

97:06

antivaxers say, the co vaccines were

97:09

really remarkably safe given the um

97:12

health effects that they the health

97:13

benefits that they they gave the

97:14

American and global population. But like

97:16

Ezra like you know you talked about this

97:18

a lot um when when we were traveling the

97:20

country. I'm I'm wondering how your

97:21

thinking has evolved here and what you

97:23

think a a good doge would look like in

97:25

2029.

97:26

>> So one of the lines I used often on the

97:29

tour as you remember is that uh the left

97:32

is overformed by institutions and the

97:34

right is underformed by them. And uh a

97:38

different version of it was that the

97:39

personality type of the left has become

97:41

bureaucratic and the personality type of

97:42

the right has become autocratic.

97:44

And I think in that is what where I

97:47

think the opportunity is and where I

97:48

think the danger is. One thing Doge very

97:51

naturally did was created a

97:55

a rallying around the institutions of

97:59

government among liberals among among

98:02

others, right? They're trying to gut the

98:03

NIH and the National Science Foundation

98:05

and USAD and all these things and we

98:08

need to defend them. And I think one of

98:09

the dangers and I think this is what

98:11

Buddha Judge is getting at is going to

98:13

be to be like pushed back into being the

98:17

coalition of the status quo, the

98:20

coalition of the institutions, the

98:23

coalition telling you believe in

98:25

government, believe in science, you

98:26

know, even if it's not working for you.

98:28

And I think something that that the left

98:30

has to be very very very careful of is

98:34

the left is now the coalition that

98:36

relies on the people for whom the

98:38

institutions have worked. The left is

98:40

the coalition of college grads.

98:42

>> And here you saying all left of center

98:44

here.

98:44

>> I'm saying all left of center. I don't

98:46

mean the far left. I mean the the left

98:47

the left of center coalition in in this

98:49

country, the Democratic party.

98:52

And so it will naturally be

98:54

fundamentally sympathetic to

98:55

institutions. And one of the things we

98:57

we focus on the book is this point which

98:59

came up earlier from Nick Bagley about

99:02

the procedural fetish and and the

99:03

argument he's making in that is that

99:05

lawyers and the Democratic party is full

99:08

of lawyers. Lawyers look at the question

99:10

of legitimacy

99:12

through whether or not you have followed

99:14

procedure, right? How do you legitimize?

99:16

How do you say that what the state is

99:17

doing is appropriate while followed the

99:19

rules? And and Bagley, who is himself a

99:22

lawyer who trains administrative law

99:24

students, who was also chief counsel for

99:26

Gretchen Whitmer, he makes this point,

99:28

no, for most people, legitimacy is

99:30

attained through outcomes. And so what I

99:33

understand to be the meta argument

99:35

running through all of abundance is it

99:38

the point of government

99:42

is to deliver real things for real

99:44

people. And you have to know what it is

99:47

you're trying to deliver, right? If

99:48

you're trying to deliver more housing,

99:50

then the only thing that matters is not

99:51

if you follow the rules or any of the

99:53

rest of it. Not saying you should like

99:55

break the law, but but you need to make

99:57

the law. You need to structure the law.

100:00

You need to structure the institutions

100:02

such that they deliver the housing. If

100:04

they don't deliver the housing, it does

100:06

not matter how many laws you

100:08

passed. There is this debate, Noah

100:10

Smith, the the economist and writer,

100:11

calls it checkism. This tendency to I

100:14

remember this from the 2020 primary

100:16

among the Democrats to just one up each

100:18

other on how much money you were

100:19

promising to spend on green energy. It

100:21

doesn't matter. What matters is how much

100:23

green energy you got for that money. You

100:25

know, and you get this with the NIH and

100:26

other things. I mean we did a lot of

100:28

work on this in in the book and you did

100:29

a lot of work on this in the book. The

100:30

National Institutes of Health are a

100:32

marvel. They are also a gigantic

100:35

pressure towards conservatism. And here

100:38

I don't mean it in the political sense.

100:39

I mean it in the caution sense in what

100:41

gets studied. They you know create more

100:44

herd mentality right the more

100:45

conventional wisdom. You have to be very

100:47

careful about institutional failure

100:49

particularly in government where failing

100:50

institutions cannot be outco competed by

100:53

you know newer younger corporations. And

100:56

so I think that the the principle for me

101:00

which is like maybe a little bit

101:01

different than your question of how do

101:02

you centralize more decision-making

101:04

authority

101:05

>> is how do you take the reality and the

101:09

constancy of institutional failure

101:11

seriously

101:13

>> and in particular how do you do that

101:14

when you are the coalition of people who

101:17

are heavily formed by succeeding inside

101:20

institutions.

101:22

What I find laudable in Elon Musk amidst

101:25

the many things I find not laudable in

101:28

him is the relentlessness with which he

101:31

tries to achieve his goals.

101:33

>> Right? That guy believes in you know

101:36

getting us to Mars and you know creating

101:38

an electric vehicle transition and all

101:40

the rest of it and nothing else matters

101:42

to him. He just tries to create

101:44

organizations that run through walls and

101:46

he actually does make tremendous things

101:48

happen in the world with that. And I

101:50

think that there is a culture among

101:52

Democrats

101:54

to hear the word no and be like, well,

101:57

the institution said no. It said we

101:59

don't do that. It said we can't do that.

102:02

And then to explain it away, to then

102:04

speak from the institutional perspective

102:06

and tell everybody why we can't do

102:07

anything. We can't do it because of the

102:09

filibuster and the filibuster is just

102:11

the way the Senate works. We can't do it

102:13

because of the, you know, the way notice

102:14

and comment periods are structured or we

102:16

can't move faster because of

102:17

environmental review. Instead of finding

102:20

these things and saying this is a

102:22

problem and we have to fix it because

102:24

what we promise to do is deliver for

102:26

people. The way I would think about the

102:28

different terms is that the institutions

102:31

are not the point of government.

102:34

Delivery is the point of government. And

102:36

so the point of the institutions is to

102:38

deliver.

102:39

>> And if they are not delivering and if we

102:41

don't know if they're delivering then

102:42

the institutions are not the thing we

102:44

defend. The institutions are the thing

102:46

we upend, change, remake, and we have to

102:50

treat them as much more liquid and

102:52

malleable and have to take reports of

102:54

their failure much more seriously than

102:56

we do. I think the NIH is a really

103:00

interesting flash point for the

103:02

perspective that you're advancing.

103:04

Consider like three approaches to the

103:06

NIH. a sort of pro-establishment liberal

103:09

approach, an anti-establishment MAGA

103:11

approach, which we'll call just current

103:12

policy in 2026, and an

103:15

anti-establishment abundance liberal

103:17

approach. So, the establishment approach

103:19

would be to say the NIH spends $40

103:22

billion a year, is the jewel of global

103:24

biomedical research. It is one of the

103:28

most important successful institutions

103:30

in America. You cannot criticize it. You

103:33

cannot touch it. it it exists in a kind

103:35

of spectral plane that we can simply not

103:38

broke any criticism of. That's sort of

103:40

one pro-establishment approach. The

103:42

current anti-establishment MAGA approach

103:45

essentially says for a variety of

103:46

reasons that are too complicated for me

103:47

to go into right now, we hate

103:49

universities. We don't trust scientists

103:52

and we really don't like mRNA. So, we're

103:54

going to attack universities. We're

103:56

going to destroy a lot of their

103:57

scientific programs. We're going to cut

103:59

NIH grants by billions of dollars and

104:02

also basically ban mRNA research because

104:04

RFK and Donald Trump don't don't like it

104:07

very much. That's catastrophic.

104:10

But then you come to category number

104:11

three and the abundance liberal approach

104:13

is not to say how dare you attack the

104:15

NIH which is a perfect program. It's

104:18

celestial and you have no business

104:20

criticizing it. It's to say, you know

104:22

what, current policy is horrific. But

104:26

what's also quite embarrassing is the

104:27

fact that according to their own

104:29

testimony, American scientists that are

104:31

funded by NIH spend up to 40% of their

104:34

time filling out paperwork. These are

104:37

the smartest people in the world that

104:39

we've entrusted with coming up with the

104:42

most important breakthroughs about the

104:43

cosmos and the human body, curing

104:45

diseases, and what do we do for almost

104:47

half of their time force them to check

104:48

boxes? That's a failure. And it's a

104:52

failure that we inscribed with decades

104:55

of cover your ass rules that force

104:57

scientists to essentially become

104:58

bureaucrats. It's to say again, what do

105:01

we want to accomplish with NIH? Don't we

105:03

want an abundance of scientific

105:04

breakthroughs? And isn't a good way to

105:05

do that to unleash the productivity of

105:07

scientists and unbburden them from some

105:09

of the paperwork uh requirements that

105:11

we've added in the last few decades?

105:12

Let's find a way to allow scientists to

105:14

be scientists by reducing that burden.

105:17

That's an approach that I would like to

105:19

see a quote unquote good Doge lean into

105:21

in 2029.

105:22

>> I think that the we're getting a a

105:25

crucial distinction within abundance

105:27

that uh I I just think we need to

105:31

acknowledge. One is your description

105:34

there of scientists being forced to

105:38

spend an incredible amount of time doing

105:39

paperwork, which is incredibly

105:41

inefficient. Like I don't I don't know

105:43

anyone who's going to hear that story

105:44

and not think that's an obvious reform

105:47

we need to do. There is a sense that

105:50

government doesn't work and sort of in

105:52

the spirit of Clinton's reinventing

105:53

government initiative from the 1990s

105:56

that we should be rethinking these

105:58

processes so that we are able to work

106:00

more efficiently. I think that that is

106:01

an important part of abundance. I think

106:04

to your earlier admonition that you

106:05

don't want abundance just to be like

106:07

we're going to get rid of red tape. That

106:09

isn't that half of the challenge. The

106:11

other challenge is trying to metabolize

106:13

conflict within the government because

106:15

some of that paperwork is ridiculous.

106:18

But there are moments where we're having

106:19

ethical challenges about whether we can

106:21

do this study, whether we've studied it

106:24

to the point of feeling comfortable that

106:27

it's not going to have terrible side

106:29

effects that we're not aware of. We're

106:30

going to have to make hard choices. And

106:33

the thing that we have yet to

106:34

articulate, I I have I think this is a

106:36

criticism I have in my own book, which

106:38

is that I argue that we need to have uh

106:40

a system where people have a voice but

106:42

not a veto. I'm not sure that we have

106:45

yet articulated

106:47

and it's going to take some law changes.

106:50

It's going to take some statutory

106:51

changes. It's going to take some

106:52

regulatory changes. and those the the

106:55

bureaucrats and the liberals within

106:57

government, the people that will be in

106:58

the the coming Democratic

107:00

administration, I think they do want to

107:02

get things out quickly, but they are

107:04

deathly afraid of the consequences of

107:07

making a choice that comes at a cost,

107:10

particularly of a Democratic

107:11

constituency.

107:12

>> I wanted as we kind of come to an end

107:13

here to play a clip from Bernie Sanders.

107:16

He was asked by my colleague David

107:17

Leanhart about abundance and I thought

107:20

his answer to this was really really

107:22

really interesting.

107:23

>> If the argument is that we have a

107:26

horrendous bureaucracy,

107:29

absolutely correct. It is terrible. Uh I

107:33

brought in over the years a lot of money

107:35

into the state of Vermont. It is

107:37

incredible. Even in a state like

107:39

Vermont, which is maybe better than most

107:41

states, how hard it is to even get the

107:42

bloody money out because she has so many

107:45

Oh my god. We got 38 meetings. We got to

107:47

talk about this. Got unbelievable. I

107:49

worked for years to bring two health

107:51

clinics into the state of Vermont that

107:53

we needed. I wanted two more to renovate

107:55

one and build another one in this.

107:58

You cannot believe you cannot believe

108:01

the level of bureaucracy to build a

108:04

bloody health center. It's still not

108:06

built. All right. So, I don't need to be

108:09

lectured on the nature of bureaucracy.

108:11

It is horrendous

108:13

and that is real. But that is not an

108:15

ideology. That is common sense. It's

108:17

good government. Sure, that's what we

108:19

should have. Ideology is do you create a

108:24

nation in which all people have a

108:25

standard of living? Do you have the

108:27

courage to take on the billionaire

108:28

class? Do you stand with the working

108:30

class? That's ideology.

108:31

>> So, I think this ideology common sense

108:34

distinction Sanders is making is like a

108:36

rich text. But I want to hold it to the

108:37

side for a minute.

108:39

>> I I love that answer from Sanders, but

108:41

but I want to point something out. I

108:43

covered Sanders getting that money for

108:45

community health clinics. That was in

108:48

the affordable care act which passed in

108:50

2010.

108:52

It is 2026.

108:55

He is saying one of the two is still not

108:57

built.

108:59

And it I think one of the things I am

109:01

saying around all this is that nobody

109:04

should be angrier than the left if we

109:08

have what Sanders calls a horrendous

109:10

bureaucracy. Mhm. That kind of saying we

109:13

all know bureaucracy sucks. We all know

109:15

the government can't do anything. We all

109:17

know the meeting structure is crazy and

109:19

saying but that's not the point of

109:20

politics. But I think it is the point of

109:22

politics. And I think that particularly

109:26

if you are the political party that in

109:29

your ideology believes very

109:31

fundamentally that government can do big

109:33

good things. that actually confronting

109:36

the ways in which bureaucracy is

109:38

horrendous just needs to be a very very

109:39

high order issue because if you can't do

109:42

that then I think the other parts of

109:44

your ideology won't work out. I think

109:47

that yeah you can confront the

109:48

billionaires, you can raise taxes but if

109:50

people don't trust you to spend the

109:52

taxes well

109:53

>> then they're actually not in the long

109:54

term going to help you do that. I think

109:56

you see this now with like Democrats

109:58

promising to just cut and cut and cut

110:00

taxes on the middle class because people

110:02

don't believe their taxes buy them that

110:03

much. Yeah, raise them on the

110:04

billionaires, but not on me. And so my

110:07

point here isn't a critique of Sanders.

110:09

I actually think what he's saying in

110:10

that answer is really important and

110:11

something you don't hear that many

110:12

people on the real left say, but I do

110:17

think just like in terms of

110:18

prioritization,

110:20

the question here of what does it

110:22

actually mean to prioritize fixing the

110:24

horrendous bureaucracy so you can build

110:26

the damn health clinics?

110:30

Some things are the level of like

110:31

principle and who decides, but some

110:32

things are the level of what do you

110:34

choose to do? And to me, it's very very

110:37

core to abundance that like you need a

110:39

vision for where you're trying to go and

110:40

then in the near term you have to choose

110:42

to do the hard things necessary to get

110:45

there.

110:45

>> I have two statements in a question. Um,

110:48

I had a 35 maybe 35 and a half minute

110:51

conversation with Roran Mandani last

110:52

year over Zoom and the one sentence that

110:56

fell out of my mouth that got the most

110:58

yep yep yep on the other end of the zoom

111:01

recording was when I said, you know, it

111:03

sounds to me like you're saying that

111:06

Democrats cannot ask government to add

111:10

more functions until it proves to the

111:12

public that government can function in

111:14

the first place. I think he recognizes

111:17

that

111:19

um despite the attempt to distinguish

111:22

common sense ideas from ideology, you

111:24

just heard from Sanders, in many cases,

111:26

it is the ability of the left to act

111:29

with common sense that preserves the

111:31

popularity of the ideology. To add

111:34

government functions, you have to prove

111:35

that government can function in the

111:36

first place. That's statement number

111:37

one. even two is that I think it's I

111:39

think it's notable that in that quote he

111:42

says that common sense good governance

111:45

is not an an ideology but caring for the

111:48

working class is and that's interesting

111:50

because I think that what he's just

111:52

describing in the inability to build a

111:54

health clinic is essentially the idea

111:57

that if Vermont politics were more

112:01

common sensical it would be more likely

112:03

to help the working class so I'm not

112:06

sure I I I I have the same distinction

112:09

between or I see the reason to

112:13

distinguish between a common sense

112:15

policy and an ideology. I think that the

112:18

problems that America faces are not a

112:20

shortage of ideologies but a shortage of

112:22

good governance and a shortage of common

112:24

sense governing. And so I wonder if I

112:27

wonder to what extent you

112:30

as my co-author prize the degree to

112:32

which abundance is um an ideology to the

112:36

exclusion of it being a sort of mere

112:39

common sense um approach to governance.

112:42

>> I'm glad you turned this back on me

112:43

because I'm not sure I realized I

112:44

thought this until you just made me

112:46

think about it. Sanders is using the

112:48

word ideology there when I think the

112:49

word is vision.

112:52

when he's describing this distinction

112:54

between good government, you know, uh

112:56

bureaucracy that actually works,

112:59

community health centers that actually

113:00

get built, and then he says, you know,

113:03

ideology is do you create a nation in

113:04

which all people have a standard of

113:06

living? Do you have the courage to take

113:07

on the billionaire class? I think he is

113:09

making a a distinction between the way

113:13

government society works right now and

113:17

is it working well or poorly and where

113:20

you are trying to go that it has not yet

113:24

gone and I actually sort of understand

113:26

that distinction he's making I think

113:28

that there is a version of abundance

113:30

which is just good government

113:33

and I think there's a version of

113:34

abundance which is a vision of a world

113:38

that is quite unlike our own. Um, you

113:41

know, in a place like California, New

113:43

York City, a world where you could be a

113:45

firefighter

113:47

in San Francisco or a firefighter in

113:50

Brooklyn and be able to afford a home in

113:53

the city you're keeping from burning

113:56

down, right? That is no less radical

113:58

right now than Medicare for all is.

114:00

Frankly, it's more radical um in those

114:02

cities because at least we do actually

114:04

have uh healthcare coverage for at least

114:07

some of the poor in this country. What

114:09

we're talking about with clean energy

114:10

abundance, a vision of a radically

114:13

increased energetic standard of living

114:15

is actually a quite different world than

114:17

we live in. If we can actually figure

114:18

out a way to make AI serve the public's

114:21

ends and not just be a way to replace

114:24

white collar workers, I think that could

114:27

create a radically different world. But

114:29

but so yeah I I think there is a real

114:31

distinction between a

114:36

abundance as efficiency and abundance as

114:39

vision and to a bunch of the points Mark

114:41

that you're making

114:42

>> abundance is efficiency and good

114:43

government hard enough right you're

114:46

really trying to change the guts of how

114:49

a lot of our institutions work and

114:51

you're changing things that are answers

114:52

to hard problems and I probably believe

114:55

a little bit more than you do that some

114:56

things are just overgrown. They're not

114:58

all like an actual effort to weigh

114:59

values in a thoughtful way. But but

115:01

nevertheless, like changing that will be

115:03

hard. But the the point of changing all

115:05

that, at least to me, is to make it

115:08

possible to go somewhere we haven't

115:10

been. A world in which your health care,

115:14

you don't have to be afraid of your

115:16

health care. You don't have to be and

115:18

how much it will cost. You don't have to

115:19

be afraid of how much your rent is going

115:21

to go up. You don't have to be afraid of

115:23

this economic insecurity and procarity

115:24

so many people live under. I think

115:26

that's very important and I believe in

115:28

that. And then I also think that there

115:30

is this vision of not just how to be

115:33

more secure but how to have

115:35

possibilities open to us that we don't

115:37

currently have um and ways of living

115:40

open to us that we don't currently have

115:41

or you know we could have highspeed rail

115:43

in this country you know bullet train

115:44

zooming around the way they do in Japan

115:46

and we don't that would feel really

115:48

different to people. Uh, and so if all

115:51

abundance does is uh push forward zoning

115:55

reforms for housing, like that will be

115:56

good, but it's not a I agree it's not a

115:58

vision, right? It's supposed to be

116:00

creating some different world than the

116:01

one we live in. I'm glad you made the

116:03

distinction because I if someone said

116:04

your book has no vision, I would say,

116:06

well, it does begin with a, you know,

116:08

four-page vignette of what the future in

116:10

2050 would look like if we got abundance

116:12

right. For a long time, I would argue

116:14

that the progressive movement was born

116:16

from abundance. That the centralizing

116:18

authority that it could do big things

116:21

really was the predominant ideology from

116:25

the late 1800s through the 1960s. That

116:28

that was an abundantoriented approach to

116:31

progressivism and that we got away from

116:33

that after that. And we don't want to go

116:35

back to the old, but we need to find

116:38

some core notion that government is

116:41

capable and willing to make the hard

116:44

choices that will drive humanity

116:47

forward. Um, and I I just think that's a

116:50

fairly new conversation within the

116:53

discourse on the left. And if your book,

116:56

my book, a bunch of other books, if this

116:59

movement

117:01

refocuses

117:02

on

117:04

giving people faith that these public

117:06

institutions can work, that they can

117:08

make decisions expeditiously. That is a

117:11

huge boon, I think, to the broader

117:14

progressive project because in the

117:16

absence of government working, people

117:18

turn to Trump. It feels to me as though

117:23

abundance as an ideology or a vision or

117:26

whatever you want to call it is the most

117:29

important antidote to the ascendants of

117:34

MAGA that the people that were Reagan

117:37

Democrats and that were uh you know

117:40

Obama Trump voters that the that the and

117:42

and also the people who are you know who

117:46

would be considered our base but simply

117:48

don't come out to vote from election to

117:50

election.

117:51

that they need to believe that when

117:53

they're casting a ballot for a Democrat

117:56

that that Democrat is going to be able

117:58

to effectuate a change that is

118:00

meaningful.

118:00

>> I think it's a good place to end. So as

118:02

our final question, what are three books

118:04

you'd recommend to the audience? And uh

118:06

Mark, why don't we begin with you?

118:07

>> So uh the first book I always recommend

118:09

to anyone is Liz Cohen's Making a New

118:12

Deal, which I think is the greatest pure

118:14

book of history that I've ever read. The

118:17

second book which I hope people will

118:20

pick up is uh yoni apple bomb stuck

118:23

which gets to a lot of these issues uh

118:26

explicitly in the realm of housing talks

118:28

about how a lack of geographic mobility

118:30

for many of the reasons that we have

118:31

here has really been the hindrance to

118:33

socioeconomic mobility. It's a great

118:35

book. And then the third uh you know to

118:37

the degree my book is in conversation

118:39

with uh Robert Keros the power broker.

118:42

Um, I I think that that book was

118:45

indicative of a way the progressivism

118:47

used to work and people too often

118:49

ascribe it to Moses the man who was

118:52

enormously powerful and influential in

118:54

New York. But there's a book by uh Mark

118:56

Reeseman called Cadillac Desert which

118:59

essentially traces the same arc um uh

119:03

with a guy named Floyd Dominy running

119:05

the Bureau of Reclamation and building

119:07

dams all across the West. And it is the

119:09

same core story but in an entirely

119:11

different uh realm of public policy.

119:14

>> Uh my three books number one weird

119:17

choice maybe for reformed Jew but Mere

119:19

Christianity by CS Lewis in the first 30

119:22

pages in particular is probably the most

119:25

interesting analysis of the concept of

119:28

morality that I've ever read. Um, at my

119:31

ripe old age of 39, uh, I find myself

119:33

often wanting to like re-enter reading

119:37

experiences that I had when I was

119:38

younger in the hopes that like the

119:40

reconsumption of that object would like

119:41

put me back in that mood again. There

119:43

was a period when I was in my 20s when I

119:44

just moved to New York. I read like a

119:46

bunch of books that I adored. Um, The

119:47

Emperor's Children by Cla Massud, The

119:50

Interestings by Me Witzer, and The

119:52

Secret History by Donna Tart. And I just

119:54

reread The Secret History by Donna Tart,

119:56

and it is so good. It's like I

119:58

like I finished the book two weeks ago

120:00

and like entered like a brief like one

120:02

hour period of morning like that that

120:04

wonderful experience you have with a

120:05

novel where like the turning of the last

120:07

page is a true tragic event for the

120:09

soul. Um I think the secret secret to

120:11

history is absolutely extraordinary. Uh

120:13

I have a four-month-old at home. Uh so

120:16

that means a lot of um audio books and

120:18

um the last book that I'm going to

120:21

recommend is specifically an audio book.

120:23

Um, the audio book of Blood Meridian by

120:27

Cormick McCarthy is like the trippiest

120:30

possible. It's the It's It's an

120:32

extraordinary book that that's basically

120:34

like um a sort of, if you haven't read

120:37

it, like a sort of 20th century Dante

120:40

explaining an absolutely hellacious

120:43

experience of a bunch of people in uh

120:45

the mid-9th century along the Texas

120:47

Mexico border. And the audio book is

120:49

like the guy who reads it has the most

120:51

incredible sonerous southern accent.

120:55

It's just this like amazing auditory

120:57

experience. So if anyone wants to feel

120:59

like incredibly

121:01

tripped out while they're making coffee

121:02

in the morning for their family, like

121:04

definitely uh get the audio book of

121:06

Blood Meridian. It's a really

121:07

extraordinary experience.

121:08

>> Derek Thompson, Mark Dunlman, thank you

121:10

very much. Thanks for having me.

121:12

>> Thank you.

121:17

Hey,

121:24

hey, hey.

Interactive Summary

This episode features a discussion between Ezra Klein, Derek Thompson, and Mark Dunkelman, authors who have recently published books exploring similar themes. The conversation centers on the concept of 'abundance' as a political and economic idea, evaluating its impact and potential over the past year. They examine the 'vibes' or discourse surrounding abundance, its presence in legislation, and the crucial aspect of tangible outcomes. Dunkelman offers a historical perspective on progressivism, contrasting the earlier focus on centralized power with the later 'speaking truth to power' movement, and suggesting that 'abundance' represents a potential rethinking of progressivism's core tenets. Thompson expresses concerns about the factional controversies within the Democratic party regarding abundance and the risk of it being reduced to mere 'efficiency' or 'cutting red tape' rather than a radical vision. The discussion delves into specific policy areas like housing, energy, technology (particularly AI), and healthcare, analyzing the challenges of implementation, the role of corporate power and wealth concentration, and the need for government to be more effective and capable of delivering tangible results. They explore the tension between populist and abundance-focused politics, the complexities of energy transition and climate change, and the critical need for a government that can make expeditious decisions while balancing competing interests. The conversation highlights the struggle to translate abstract goals into concrete outcomes and the importance of a clear vision for the future, contrasting 'abundance as efficiency' with 'abundance as vision'.

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