SpaceX stock price gotcha down?
313 segments
He just opened his own modern merchant
bank along with several Wall Street
veterans. Yorkville I & Co. partner and
senior managing partner Dan eye's here.
Did I get all that right, dude?
>> Dude, that's
>> You seem like the same guy to me, man.
Like it's good.
>> I'm I'm the [laughter] same guy.
>> You're the same guy.
>> Exactly.
>> How's it feel like you have your own
name on the building now? I mean, it's
pretty cool.
>> Look, me and you have known each other
for decades. And and look, for me, from
a Wall Street perspective, it's like
this was the evolution and the next step
in my career. Because I wanted to do
something to really build what I believe
in when talking about modern merchant
bank, Yorkville I's, that could
transform Wall Street. Because I see the
gaps. And when we when we talk about AI,
energy, infrastructure, it's to build a
one-stop-shop bank. And that's something
I'm just so excited about. And
especially, you know, I get a lot of
questions like my role. I'm still be
covering tech stocks, the same, you
know, a lot of the the names that we're
very familiar with. But this is really
to sort of build something ground
>> the millions of and millions and
millions of people in your audience that
have followed your work for many years.
They may not be familiar with a merchant
bank. Like, what is that? And how will
this
be different than what you were doing
before?
>> Yeah, and if you go back to like Robbie
Stevens, Thomas Weisel,
>> Yeah, Thomas Weisel.
>> the some of the early days of Jefferies
with Handler, like what he did. Look, a
merchant bank is basically, okay, you
have research, you have banking, you
have trading, but you actually have
capital that you could ultimately
alongside you have partners, whether
it's investing, whether it's ultimately
skin in the game as well. And I think
the the reason merchant bank is so
important, private companies, public
companies, okay, it's very easy to say
you should do X, Y, and Z, whether
that's on as a banker or an analyst.
This is to really have a company that
has all those, you know, all those skill
sets that companies from private to
public could come to us
and ultimately take them through that
journey. And we're, you know, we've
already done a number of hires. We have
many more, you know, interested in
coming in. Because look, this is
something where I I I really truly
believe there's it's seen around the
corner where I think there's a huge gap.
>> So, all new firms of this kind they
launch with bull calls. Are you have you
initiated coverage on any names and like
what are some of the biggest things
you're going to you're going to come out
of the gate with?
>> Yeah, again when I initiate I'll be
right here.
>> I appreciate [laughter] that. You better
be.
>> I am look
the fourth industrial revolution as I've
talked about
I could argue if I felt like we are in
the seventh, eighth inning I don't even
know maybe that I would have done this,
right? It speaks to my view third inning
one out, man on first.
And you know, that's something that fits
into so many of my themes whether it's
on AI, infrastructure, cybersecurity,
software. Look at what Apple's done,
right? He I mean if you go back to the
haters,
you know, they look at Apple and they're
like oh they're out of the AI game, but
you know, I don't know the price target
right now, but just look at that stock
today, okay?
>> Yeah.
>> So, it just speaks to my view there's so
many opportunity I think investors are
still underestimating the scale and
scope of this broad theme.
>> All right, let's talk some stocks. I
imagine you have a little more leeway
now than what you did in your prior
firm. SpaceX below its IPO price. What
do you think?
>> I mean look, we've talked about it if
you go back to look at Amazon on the
IPO. Look at Facebook on the IPO. If you
look at these with the lockups and
especially with this and a lot of the
indexing over the course of months
there's going to be a lot of volatility,
but I think investors that are looking
at SpaceX they're saying okay, what
could this be over the next two, three,
four, five years? And it's hard to say
fourth industrial revolution without
SpaceX, but any company like a SpaceX
the valuation support is not there.
>> I mean do you think a SpaceX goes the
way you mentioned Meta goes the way of
then Facebook where the stock was I mean
from the time of the IPO for maybe 18
months after it was it was dead money.
It went straight down. Could that happen
with SpaceX?
>> But Zuckerberg pre-jiu-jitsu, okay, even
though he wasn't as as jacked as he is
today.
>> jacked.
>> He is pretty jacked.
>> Almost as much as me.
>> Yeah, almost almost. I'd actually I'd
put you above him.
>> [laughter]
>> But that could be another show.
>> high T.
>> That could be a whole 'nother show.
Okay. So, but the reality is like when
you look at what Zuck did and you know,
what the team, they had execute. I mean
that the reality is when these companies
go public, whether it's what SK did last
week, whether it's SpaceX, whether it's
Anthropic, OpenAI, look, the the golden
path there, you have to execute. And if
you execute, everything else works
itself out. But that's that's the risk
and reward for any of this.
>> Is that that Is this the moment in
SpaceX where
if you sell it here, 5 years from now,
you're like, what the hell was I
thinking?
>> Look, and I think that look, you're
going to have both sides of that, right?
Like in terms of how investors view it.
I mean, I think it just comes down to to
a name like SpaceX.
They're they're going to be central to
this broader theme that we see in terms
of AI revolution because it's also my
view when it comes to Musk. Like Tesla
I've talked about, you know, the chances
are over 80% we talked about before that
they were going to acquire Tesla. And
this is this is essentially Musk. It A
lot of it is really it's betting on
Musk. It's betting on Musk as much as it
is SpaceX. I think that's what so many
investors are doing.
>> Yeah, outside SpaceX, we are seeing
large sell-offs in Micron and SanDisk.
And on the one hand, Dan, I I get it.
These momentum stocks, we got a little
whiff of a Fed rate hike, those names
are going to probably unwind those
gains. But I look at the fundamentals of
both of these companies, and I it's hard
to make the case that SanDisk is worth
30% less today than it was a month ago.
>> Yeah, I think part of what's happened,
look, the golden child of this AI
revolution, you know, it was the last
few months, It's memory stocks. I mean,
a lot of times if you go to You you
mentioned Cosby 2 years ago, someone
would have to Google it.
>> [laughter]
>> Now Cosby, New York City cab driver you
>> We start our whole day with look at the
Cosby.
>> Dude, cab driver coming here, he's
looking at the Cosby.
So the point is is that it just shows
memory stocks have really been front and
center. So I think you're seeing
basically a maybe a little bit of a
rotation there. But then I'd argue on
the other side Look at where like
Nvidia, what's happening to that stock?
Look at Microsoft. Look at you know, you
you just have Buffett with Alphabet. I
mean, look what's happening in terms of
that name. So I do think that we're
going to continue and we've talked about
it over the years like we're going to go
through these rotations in this AI
revolution as it plays out. But as you
know better than anyone, it comes down
to earning season. You have to show the
monetization piece. Cuz right now it's
just cap backs. You need to monetization
piece as that plays out.
>> Is Palantir still the messy of of AI?
And then
aren't they a when when Palantir reports
soon
isn't that report going to be so strong
that they're going to just destroy the
short sellers? Like Palantir every
single quarter they've reported since
they've gone public has been pretty damn
good at least to me.
>> The Karp's playing a different game.
>> Alex Karp.
>> Okay, and I think it but it's not just
about Karp, Palantirians you know, there
was like it's something where from the
outside I think investors they're
starting to appreciate but I I think if
you for really many years you know, when
that stock was you know, in kindergarten
or junior high school, right? And then
you know, and a lot of the investors
were saying like you know, it deserved
to be there and then all of a sudden
triple digits, you know, you saw what
happened.
I think Palantir it's hard to say that
the AI revolution happens without a name
like Palantir.
>> Sure.
>> Cuz what they're doing on enterprise,
cuz what they're doing on the you know,
obviously on the government side.
But for them it's the same thing. It's
just as stocks go up, expectations get
out there. But for them it's an
execution story. And I I just think
Palantir is still as you think about the
ripple effect, the software piece is
still to come.
>> At this new firm,
theoretically it is going to be where
you're going to get to cover OpenAI and
Anthropic going public, whether it's
later this year or early next year.
Would you launch coverage in advance of
that happening as we as we've seen some
shops do and what are your thoughts on
an OpenAI and Anthropic?
>> Yeah, and I've seen when it comes I mean
I've never done that before, but we got
>> I never did that.
>> Yeah, but but again it's like I
understand I think in this in this new
age I mean we talk about it in the age
of AI. We're going to see like a lot of
things. You and me and you that have
done this for decades, there's going to
be new ways that companies are covering
in terms of the way it's approached.
Look, my view in terms of OpenAI and
Anthropic that it's it's really
foundation of the AI revolution. And I
do believe as these companies ultimately
go public just like SpaceX I actually
think it's better for the market. It's
transparency. I actually think that's
very healthy for the just broader tech.
And but then for them it just comes down
to like who gets out first
what you know relative to the the
different views in terms of what
Anthropic's done with the models
obviously versus OpenAI in terms of what
Altman's done and you look at the Apple
lawsuit and I think that just speaks to
less about the lawsuit but just choose
the arms race.
It's happening across the board. It's
not just two companies, right? You're
going to start seeing a lot of
converging in this AI revolution.
>> Uh it's good to see you. Uh and
really um congrats on your new firm. You
got to give me one of those jackets too.
>> I Look, I I I want to get you a jacket
like this, you know, especially with
your jacket
>> Sign it. I need I need to I need you to
sign it though.
>> And then you wear it with one of your
size t-shirts.
>> And then the glasses. I think that's the
look. And the Corvette.
>> Yours your yeah. Your success is well
deserved and good to see you, man.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
Dan Ives discusses his new venture, Yorkville I & Co., a modern merchant bank designed to bridge gaps in the Wall Street landscape, particularly in AI, energy, and infrastructure. He reflects on his continued focus on tech stock coverage while emphasizing the firm's role in providing capital and research to help companies navigate the transition from private to public. Ives also shares his bullish outlook on the AI revolution, views on SpaceX, and the importance of execution for companies like Palantir and the emerging leaders in the generative AI space.
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