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SpaceX stock price gotcha down?

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SpaceX stock price gotcha down?

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313 segments

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He just opened his own modern merchant

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bank along with several Wall Street

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veterans. Yorkville I & Co. partner and

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senior managing partner Dan eye's here.

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Did I get all that right, dude?

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>> Dude, that's

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>> You seem like the same guy to me, man.

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Like it's good.

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>> I'm I'm the [laughter] same guy.

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>> You're the same guy.

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>> Exactly.

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>> How's it feel like you have your own

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name on the building now? I mean, it's

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pretty cool.

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>> Look, me and you have known each other

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for decades. And and look, for me, from

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a Wall Street perspective, it's like

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this was the evolution and the next step

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in my career. Because I wanted to do

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something to really build what I believe

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in when talking about modern merchant

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bank, Yorkville I's, that could

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transform Wall Street. Because I see the

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gaps. And when we when we talk about AI,

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energy, infrastructure, it's to build a

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one-stop-shop bank. And that's something

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I'm just so excited about. And

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especially, you know, I get a lot of

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questions like my role. I'm still be

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covering tech stocks, the same, you

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know, a lot of the the names that we're

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very familiar with. But this is really

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to sort of build something ground

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>> the millions of and millions and

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millions of people in your audience that

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have followed your work for many years.

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They may not be familiar with a merchant

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bank. Like, what is that? And how will

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this

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be different than what you were doing

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before?

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>> Yeah, and if you go back to like Robbie

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Stevens, Thomas Weisel,

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>> Yeah, Thomas Weisel.

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>> the some of the early days of Jefferies

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with Handler, like what he did. Look, a

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merchant bank is basically, okay, you

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have research, you have banking, you

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have trading, but you actually have

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capital that you could ultimately

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alongside you have partners, whether

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it's investing, whether it's ultimately

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skin in the game as well. And I think

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the the reason merchant bank is so

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important, private companies, public

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companies, okay, it's very easy to say

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you should do X, Y, and Z, whether

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that's on as a banker or an analyst.

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This is to really have a company that

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has all those, you know, all those skill

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sets that companies from private to

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public could come to us

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and ultimately take them through that

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journey. And we're, you know, we've

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already done a number of hires. We have

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many more, you know, interested in

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coming in. Because look, this is

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something where I I I really truly

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believe there's it's seen around the

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corner where I think there's a huge gap.

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>> So, all new firms of this kind they

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launch with bull calls. Are you have you

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initiated coverage on any names and like

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what are some of the biggest things

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you're going to you're going to come out

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of the gate with?

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>> Yeah, again when I initiate I'll be

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right here.

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>> I appreciate [laughter] that. You better

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be.

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>> I am look

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the fourth industrial revolution as I've

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talked about

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I could argue if I felt like we are in

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the seventh, eighth inning I don't even

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know maybe that I would have done this,

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right? It speaks to my view third inning

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one out, man on first.

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And you know, that's something that fits

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into so many of my themes whether it's

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on AI, infrastructure, cybersecurity,

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software. Look at what Apple's done,

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right? He I mean if you go back to the

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haters,

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you know, they look at Apple and they're

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like oh they're out of the AI game, but

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you know, I don't know the price target

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right now, but just look at that stock

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today, okay?

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>> Yeah.

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>> So, it just speaks to my view there's so

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many opportunity I think investors are

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still underestimating the scale and

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scope of this broad theme.

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>> All right, let's talk some stocks. I

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imagine you have a little more leeway

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now than what you did in your prior

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firm. SpaceX below its IPO price. What

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do you think?

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>> I mean look, we've talked about it if

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you go back to look at Amazon on the

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IPO. Look at Facebook on the IPO. If you

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look at these with the lockups and

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especially with this and a lot of the

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indexing over the course of months

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there's going to be a lot of volatility,

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but I think investors that are looking

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at SpaceX they're saying okay, what

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could this be over the next two, three,

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four, five years? And it's hard to say

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fourth industrial revolution without

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SpaceX, but any company like a SpaceX

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the valuation support is not there.

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>> I mean do you think a SpaceX goes the

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way you mentioned Meta goes the way of

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then Facebook where the stock was I mean

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from the time of the IPO for maybe 18

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months after it was it was dead money.

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It went straight down. Could that happen

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with SpaceX?

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>> But Zuckerberg pre-jiu-jitsu, okay, even

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though he wasn't as as jacked as he is

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today.

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>> jacked.

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>> He is pretty jacked.

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>> Almost as much as me.

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>> Yeah, almost almost. I'd actually I'd

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put you above him.

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>> [laughter]

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>> But that could be another show.

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>> high T.

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>> That could be a whole 'nother show.

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Okay. So, but the reality is like when

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you look at what Zuck did and you know,

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what the team, they had execute. I mean

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that the reality is when these companies

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go public, whether it's what SK did last

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week, whether it's SpaceX, whether it's

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Anthropic, OpenAI, look, the the golden

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path there, you have to execute. And if

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you execute, everything else works

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itself out. But that's that's the risk

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and reward for any of this.

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>> Is that that Is this the moment in

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SpaceX where

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if you sell it here, 5 years from now,

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you're like, what the hell was I

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thinking?

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>> Look, and I think that look, you're

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going to have both sides of that, right?

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Like in terms of how investors view it.

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I mean, I think it just comes down to to

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a name like SpaceX.

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They're they're going to be central to

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this broader theme that we see in terms

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of AI revolution because it's also my

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view when it comes to Musk. Like Tesla

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I've talked about, you know, the chances

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are over 80% we talked about before that

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they were going to acquire Tesla. And

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this is this is essentially Musk. It A

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lot of it is really it's betting on

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Musk. It's betting on Musk as much as it

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is SpaceX. I think that's what so many

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investors are doing.

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>> Yeah, outside SpaceX, we are seeing

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large sell-offs in Micron and SanDisk.

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And on the one hand, Dan, I I get it.

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These momentum stocks, we got a little

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whiff of a Fed rate hike, those names

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are going to probably unwind those

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gains. But I look at the fundamentals of

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both of these companies, and I it's hard

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to make the case that SanDisk is worth

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30% less today than it was a month ago.

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>> Yeah, I think part of what's happened,

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look, the golden child of this AI

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revolution, you know, it was the last

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few months, It's memory stocks. I mean,

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a lot of times if you go to You you

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mentioned Cosby 2 years ago, someone

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would have to Google it.

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>> [laughter]

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>> Now Cosby, New York City cab driver you

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>> We start our whole day with look at the

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Cosby.

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>> Dude, cab driver coming here, he's

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looking at the Cosby.

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So the point is is that it just shows

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memory stocks have really been front and

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center. So I think you're seeing

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basically a maybe a little bit of a

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rotation there. But then I'd argue on

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the other side Look at where like

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Nvidia, what's happening to that stock?

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Look at Microsoft. Look at you know, you

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you just have Buffett with Alphabet. I

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mean, look what's happening in terms of

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that name. So I do think that we're

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going to continue and we've talked about

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it over the years like we're going to go

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through these rotations in this AI

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revolution as it plays out. But as you

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know better than anyone, it comes down

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to earning season. You have to show the

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monetization piece. Cuz right now it's

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just cap backs. You need to monetization

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piece as that plays out.

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>> Is Palantir still the messy of of AI?

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And then

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aren't they a when when Palantir reports

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soon

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isn't that report going to be so strong

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that they're going to just destroy the

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short sellers? Like Palantir every

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single quarter they've reported since

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they've gone public has been pretty damn

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good at least to me.

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>> The Karp's playing a different game.

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>> Alex Karp.

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>> Okay, and I think it but it's not just

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about Karp, Palantirians you know, there

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was like it's something where from the

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outside I think investors they're

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starting to appreciate but I I think if

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you for really many years you know, when

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that stock was you know, in kindergarten

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or junior high school, right? And then

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you know, and a lot of the investors

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were saying like you know, it deserved

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to be there and then all of a sudden

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triple digits, you know, you saw what

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happened.

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I think Palantir it's hard to say that

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the AI revolution happens without a name

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like Palantir.

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>> Sure.

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>> Cuz what they're doing on enterprise,

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cuz what they're doing on the you know,

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obviously on the government side.

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But for them it's the same thing. It's

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just as stocks go up, expectations get

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out there. But for them it's an

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execution story. And I I just think

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Palantir is still as you think about the

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ripple effect, the software piece is

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still to come.

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>> At this new firm,

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theoretically it is going to be where

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you're going to get to cover OpenAI and

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Anthropic going public, whether it's

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later this year or early next year.

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Would you launch coverage in advance of

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that happening as we as we've seen some

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shops do and what are your thoughts on

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an OpenAI and Anthropic?

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>> Yeah, and I've seen when it comes I mean

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I've never done that before, but we got

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>> I never did that.

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>> Yeah, but but again it's like I

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understand I think in this in this new

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age I mean we talk about it in the age

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of AI. We're going to see like a lot of

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things. You and me and you that have

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done this for decades, there's going to

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be new ways that companies are covering

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in terms of the way it's approached.

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Look, my view in terms of OpenAI and

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Anthropic that it's it's really

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foundation of the AI revolution. And I

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do believe as these companies ultimately

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go public just like SpaceX I actually

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think it's better for the market. It's

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transparency. I actually think that's

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very healthy for the just broader tech.

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And but then for them it just comes down

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to like who gets out first

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what you know relative to the the

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different views in terms of what

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Anthropic's done with the models

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obviously versus OpenAI in terms of what

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Altman's done and you look at the Apple

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lawsuit and I think that just speaks to

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less about the lawsuit but just choose

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the arms race.

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It's happening across the board. It's

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not just two companies, right? You're

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going to start seeing a lot of

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converging in this AI revolution.

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>> Uh it's good to see you. Uh and

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really um congrats on your new firm. You

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got to give me one of those jackets too.

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>> I Look, I I I want to get you a jacket

9:27

like this, you know, especially with

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your jacket

9:29

>> Sign it. I need I need to I need you to

9:30

sign it though.

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>> And then you wear it with one of your

9:31

size t-shirts.

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>> And then the glasses. I think that's the

9:34

look. And the Corvette.

9:36

>> Yours your yeah. Your success is well

9:37

deserved and good to see you, man.

Interactive Summary

Dan Ives discusses his new venture, Yorkville I & Co., a modern merchant bank designed to bridge gaps in the Wall Street landscape, particularly in AI, energy, and infrastructure. He reflects on his continued focus on tech stock coverage while emphasizing the firm's role in providing capital and research to help companies navigate the transition from private to public. Ives also shares his bullish outlook on the AI revolution, views on SpaceX, and the importance of execution for companies like Palantir and the emerging leaders in the generative AI space.

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