AGI Has Arrived. Here's How I'm Investing In It.
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If you put $10,000 into Microsoft stock
at the start of the internet era, you'd
have over $2 million today, almost 10
times more than the S&P 500 returned
over that same time frame. If you
invested that money in Nvidia when Chat
GPT kicked off the AI era less than 4
years ago, you'd already have around 150
grand, doubling your money every single
year. Well, OpenAI just did it again.
GPT6 Astra just kicked off the era of
AGI and it's already something we can
invest in. My name is Alex and I spent
eight years as an electrical engineer
and AI researcher at MIT. And I've never
seen an AI breakthrough this big. Let me
show you what just happened and how I'm
investing in it. Your time is valuable,
so let's get right into it. I want to
start this video in an interesting
place. two weeks ago on Nvidia's
earnings call. I was listening to it
live when during the Q&A session, Jensen
Hong told analysts that tracking AGI
milestones was kind of senseless. And
the only thing that matters is whether
AI is doing useful work today. And then
something big happened. 11 days later,
after OpenAI announced Astra, Jensen
changed his tune. GPT6 Astra trained on
over 100,000 Nvidia Grace Blackwell
GPUs. From chat GPT to 01 to Astra in
four years, AGI has arrived. I've been
an Nvidia shareholder for over 10 years,
and I've only seen Jensen change his
stance this fast one other time on
quantum computing. But now I understand
why. Back in May, OpenAI gave two of its
models a test called exploit gym. One of
those models was never even meant to be
released. The test was to break into a
piece of software and copy a hidden
digital flag. Some of the questions on
the test were so hard that they have no
known answers. So, the model started to
cheat. They took control of a shared
server on OpenAI's network. They used it
as a hidden message board to talk to
each other and then they used that to
reach the open internet. By July, one
model found leaked passwords to
HuggingFace and shared them on OpenAI
server that they had taken over. Within
three days, they had root access to
dozens of Hugging Face servers. Nobody
told these AI agents to do any of this.
They planned, executed, and adapted to
achieve their goals. Then last week,
OpenAI released GPT6 Astra. That same
day, Wharton Professor Ethan Mollik gave
Astra tens of thousands of his emails,
his calendar, years of his writing, and
then just walked away. 5 days later, it
had downloaded its own software, built
him a personal wiki, and now reads his
inbox to tell him what he's missing
twice a day. And that same day, Nvidia
agreed to buy Hugging Face for 12.9
billion. So, think about what's happened
over the last few months. OpenAI's AI
agents broke out of a test environment,
coordinated with each other for weeks
without anybody noticing, and hacked
their way into the biggest AI hub on the
internet. Just a few weeks later, OpenAI
shipped a model that thinks the same
way. Nvidia is buying the company that
got hacked, and Jensen went from calling
AGI Milestones senseless to celebrating
AGI's arrival. Whether or not this is
true artificial intelligence doesn't
matter to the market. What matters is
that AI just went from an intern that
needs instructions for each task to a
co-orker that you can hand a goal to and
simply walk away. And that changes how
we should invest in AI. I'm not here to
hold you hostage. So here's how I'll
cover these big changes. What GPT6 Astra
actually is and what it can do. Whether
this really is AGI or at least the
start. What changes when you can give AI
a job instead of a prompt in high margin
markets like software, cyber security,
and chips? And of course, which stocks
I'm buying as a result. I want to make
the best use of your time. So, let's
start with what Astra actually is. As
you know, we give AI models prompts, a
question, an image, a document, and we
get back an answer, one exchange at a
time. On the flip side, we give AI
agents goals and tools. Web search,
writing and running code, access to
software and spreadsheets. Then the AI
agent breaks the goal down into steps,
chooses which tools to use for each
step, checks its answers, and decides
what to do next until the job is done.
So AI models answer questions, and AI
agents do real work. GPT6 Astra is an
agent that can use the ultimate tool, a
computer. Most of the world's software
isn't built for a separate program to
run it. So, an AI agent has to use it
the same way we do through a user
interface. Astra is the first model that
can read a screen and use a mouse and
keyboard reliably enough, fast enough,
and for long enough to be handed a job
and left alone. And that's huge because
according to market US, the global
artificial intelligence market is
expected to almost 19x in size over the
next 9 years, which is a compound annual
growth rate of 38.5%
through 2034. But many of the companies
building next generation AI applications
are not publicly traded. Think about the
'9s and early 2000s. Companies like
Amazon and Google went public very early
in their growth cycle. But today,
they're waiting an average of 10 years
or longer to go public. That means
investors like us can miss out on most
of the returns from the next Amazon, the
next Google, the next Nvidia. That's
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right. The important thing for investors
to really understand is that GPT6 Astra
is much more than a language model.
OpenAI showed Astra laying out a printed
circuit board in an open-source design
tool, placing every part and routing
every copper trace until the board was
ready to manufacture. This is one of the
slowest and most manual steps in
electronics engineering because small
changes and optimizations can add up to
really big differences in production
costs over millions of units. Astro laid
out this board in under 3 minutes. It
can also look at an image and rebuild 3D
objects as CAD code with 96% accuracy.
The previous best was 84%. This is the
step between a picture of a part and the
file that a machine needs to make it. So
this is a big step up for many markets
from interior and product design to
video games and physics simulations. And
when it comes to scientific workflows
like running those simulations,
analyzing data, and fitting models, it
scored 12 points better than Anthropic's
brand new Fable 5.1 model, 65% versus
53%. A legal tech firm named Lagora
planted four hard to find errors in a
set of 41 financial documents, handed
them all to Astra and asked it to verify
every number. Astra found all four
errors and left a line by line record
for the lawyer who needed to sign off on
it. A game studio called PlayCo plugged
Astra into their game engines so it
could edit scenes, play the game, find
bugs, and fix its own work. The big
unlock here is if the developers have 10
ideas for games, they can quickly
prototype and test all 10 instead of
just imagining them. And now we've come
full circle. Most ideas die because
proving them out requires a lot of work
that could end up going nowhere. But
that work, which used to take a lot of
skilled manh hours, now takes tokens
instead. So what Astro really unlocks is
the ability to put serious effort into
many more things very quickly. Not just
prototypes of potential video games, but
10 circuit board layouts, 10 product
designs, 10 user interfaces, 10 science
experiments, 10 financial and trading
strategies. The list goes on and on. And
businesses can be much more ambitious as
a result. So is GPT6 Astro really
artificial general intelligence? Well,
that just depends on your definition.
The Turing test measures if a machine
can pass as a human in a conversation.
If you think an AI model needs to pass
the Turing test to qualify as AGI, well,
we've been there for a while. A recent
study by UC San Diego reported that
judges thought GPT 4.5 was human 73% of
the time, and now we're on GPT6. The
term artificial general intelligence was
popularized in 2002 by Shane Le, who
would go on to co-found deepmind. The
idea was one system that can handle any
task you put in front of it. Play a game
of chess, filter out spam emails or
write a paper. Astra meets that bar as
well. If you go by OpenAI's definition
of AGI, which is highly autonomous
systems that outperform humans at most
economically valuable work, then we're
not there. At least not yet. Astro only
scores a 57% on humanity's last exam,
which focuses on measuring an AI's true
expertise across many different
disciplines. That's lower than
Anthropics Fable 5.1, Fable 5, and even
Opus 5 scored on the same exam. It also
scores three points worse than Fable 5
when it comes to coding. But to be fair,
it costs less than half as much as Fable
5 to run. And it's even worse than its
own predecessor, Soul, and a small open
model called GLM 5.3 Flash when it comes
to GDP val, which is a professional work
benchmark created by Open AI themselves.
All right, here's what I think. In my
opinion, AI benchmarks are useful tools
to measure relative progress, but
they're not a good way to quantify
intelligence itself. kind of like how
the SATs and other standardized tests
can't actually tell you how smart your
kids are. I think this was Jensen's
point on Nvidia's earnings call when he
said that tracking AGI milestones was
senseless and that what really matters
is whether AI is doing productive,
useful work. So, a better way to measure
artificial general intelligence might be
the same way we measure it with people
today. How much instruction and
additional context do you have to
provide to get the output you want? It's
not about standardized tests. It's about
how much you have to explain, supervise,
or correct a model the same way you
would judge a new hire. In practice,
Astra can reason across more kinds of
tasks, use more tools and software,
recover from failures faster, and
ultimately work for longer without input
from the user. In a nutshell, Astra
didn't just get more general. It also
got much more intelligent. You can now
hand AI a job instead of a prompt. and
that changes everything. So, let's talk
about what that actually means for the
markets we invest in and which stocks
I'm buying as a result. And if you feel
I've earned it, consider hitting the
like button and subscribing to the
channel. That really helps and it lets
me know to make more content like this.
Thanks. Now, let's talk about how GPT6
will change the market. Let's start with
the most obvious change first. Chat bots
like Google's AI mode use data center
resources in bursts. You type in a
prompt, it answers, and then the GPU and
memory sit idle waiting for your
response. Astra can work for half an
hour, 5 hours, or 5 days straight. And
on Nvidia's earnings call, Jensen said
that an AI agent uses 15 to 100 times
the compute of a human that's using the
same model. And that's on top of already
insane growth. Google alone processes
over 300 times more tokens today than
they did just 2 years ago. Just to give
you some context, 3.2 quadrillion tokens
is the equivalent of reading through a
billion books per day. About eight times
as many books as all of humanity has
ever collectively written every single
day. But AI agents don't just need more
GPUs. They change what data centers need
in three key ways. First, every tool an
AI agent uses, like searching the web,
running code, and moving files, runs on
CPUs. So CPU should stop being an
afterthought and start being treated as
a critical supply constraint by
investors. And wherever there's
constrained supply, there's pricing
power, which means high margins. AMD's
Helios racks ship 18 epic CPUs for every
72 GPUs. And those CPU slots are
uncontested because Helios ships as a
system and it's contracted in gawatt.
Microsoft created dedicated Azure
instances on top of Helios. specifically
for agentic AI and data pipelines and
hyperscalers only add things to their
menu if they plan to support those
instances for years because real
businesses run on top of them. So as
more companies and more consumers adopt
Agentic AI across more industries and
use cases, AMD's data center CPU
business becomes more and more valuable.
ARM stock should be another big winner
here. Nvidia's current Grace CPUs have
144 ARM cores each and almost 2.5
million of them have already shipped.
Each one pays ARM royalties. ARM's data
center royalties more than doubled
year-over-year and their own server
chip, the aptly named AGI CPU, already
has over $2 billion in customer demand
with Meta Platforms as their lead
partner. One obvious risk is that ARM
now has their own wafer and
manufacturing costs that they never had
when they only licensed their designs to
other companies. So, their overall
margins should naturally drop. Most
investors may not realize that Nvidia
has a booming CPU business as well. They
delivered their first 88 core Vera CPUs
to Oracle, SpaceX AI, Anthropic, and
OpenAI, which are the companies behind
Grock, Claude, and Chat GPT. These Vera
chips were designed in-house and are
Nvidia's first custom CPUs ever, so
they'll pay less royalties to ARM as a
result. Just something to keep in mind.
The second thing that changes is memory.
When an AI agent works for 5 days
straight, everything it reads and
calculates has to stay close to the
processor, so it stays in high bandwidth
memory. While a chatbot can clear memory
between sessions, an agent's memory only
grows over the course of a job. SKH
Highix, ticker symbol SKHY, is the
global leader when it comes to high
bandwidth memory, making around half the
world's HBM. On top of that, they have a
25% share of the global DRAM market and
18.5% of the global NAND flash market,
making them the second largest supplier
of memory overall. And Micron is the
American side of the memory trade with
18% of the HBM market and 23% of overall
DRAM. Their revenue more than tripled
year-over-year and they report earnings
at the end of September. This will be
the first memory earnings call since
Astro was announced, making it a good
leading indicator for compute demand in
the era of AGI. So stay tuned for my
coverage on that. Even though both
stocks are up huge this year already,
they still trade at a forward price to
earnings ratio of under eight. That's
because Wall Street still treats demand
for memory as cyclical. But everything
I've researched says that Agentic AI
makes that demand permanent, which means
memory stocks are still a great way to
get rich without getting lucky. The
third big change will be the
interconnects that link chips and
memory. When an AI agent needs more
memory, it takes it from somewhere else
in the rack, like a pool of memory
that's shared between chips. The problem
is that memory sits physically further
away from the processor. So every bite
has to cross a longer distance and that
takes time and power. Astera Labs,
ticker symbol ALAB, makes the
controllers for that kind of shared
memory and their revenues doubled
yearover-year. Astera is coming off of a
massive rally, so I have it on my watch
list for now. On the flip side, Krato,
ticker symbol CRDO, makes the copper
cables that carry data between chips
inside AI racks with a tiny chip built
into each connector to keep the signals
clean. These cables are Kratos's biggest
product line, more than doubling in 2025
and more than tripling in 2026.
Companywide revenues were up 115%
year-over-year. And management is
guiding for more than 85% growth. Tower
Semiconductor, ticker symbol TEM, is the
foundry that manufactures silicon
phetonics, the chips that turn
electrical signals into laser light to
transfer data between racks inside huge
data centers. And that business unit
went from $180 million annual run rate
to $680 million over the last year.
Management expects them to cross a
billion dollars this quarter, and they
already have $1.3 billion in photonix
contracts signed for 2027. Silicon
Phetonics chips can direct light, but
they can't make it. So, every single one
of them needs a laser. That's why I've
been pounding the table on Lumenum,
ticker symbol Liit T, and Coherent,
ticker symbol CH. Lumenum makes the
light sources that go into optical
transceivers. And for chips with
co-ackaged optics, the revenues more
than doubled year-over-year, and Wall
Street expects it to more than double
again. Coherent is bigger and broader.
It makes the lasers and finished
transceivers that carry data between
racks. That's why Nvidia invested $2
billion into each of them and made
purchase commitments with them both
earlier this year. The last piece of the
puzzle is the inference compute itself.
When an agent loops through planning,
acting, and checking its work hundreds
of times per job, every second of
inference costs money. Even when the
model is sitting idle because it's still
reserving data center resources, that's
where Cerebrris comes in. Ticker symbol
CBRS. Instead of cutting a silicon wafer
into hundreds of chips just for them to
beworked back together again in a data
center, Cerebrris keeps the whole wafer
as one chip, roughly the size of a
dinner plate. 4 trillion transistors,
900,000 cores, and instead of expensive
stacks of high bandwidth memory, the
model's working memory is right on the
chip itself. That means data never has
to leave the chip, which is why
Cerebrris can serve standard open models
up to five times faster than Nvidia's
B200s. Cerebras went public this summer,
and their latest earnings report showed
a $25.4 billion backlog against $900
million in revenue this year. That means
their backlog is 29 times bigger than
their current business today. And about
20% of that is scheduled for delivery by
mid 2028. That works out to around $2.8
billion a year or roughly three times
this year's revenue. So this is another
very focused and very early bet on
Agentic AI that I expect to do very well
over the long term. The two big things
to know about Cerebrus are that most of
their backlog is a single contract with
Open AI. So, a very high concentration
risk, but with the company that made
GPT6 Astra in the first place. And
second, they still lose money today.
They reported a net loss of $450 million
on $180 million in revenue, or a loss of
about $2.98 per share, although over 85%
of that loss came from stock-based
compensation triggered by their IPO. And
they're sitting on $8.6 billion worth of
cash. And here's the best part for
investors. Every layer of the Aentic AI
stack only has two or three companies at
the top. So instead of picking a winner,
it's easy to own most of every market.
That's how every stock in this video
works together. Micron and SKHEX make
about 68% of the world's high bandwidth
memory combined. AMD, ARM, and Nvidia
cover most of the CPUs inside AI racks.
ARM even collects royalties on the cores
inside the custom chips of Amazon,
Google, and Microsoft. Krato and Tower
connect those chips. The copper that
moves data inside the rack and the light
moving data between racks. While Lum and
Coherent make the lasers that those
chips need, and Cerebrris is the one
pure play bet on inference speed, which
is going to be more and more important
as more companies and consumers put AI
agents to work. I'm not here to guess
which companies will win the agentic AI
era. I just need to own the parts of the
stack that they can't win without.
That's the best way to get rich without
getting lucky. And if you want to see
even more stocks I'm buying to get rich
without getting lucky, check out this
video next. Either way, thanks for
watching and until next time, this is
Tickerol U. My name is Alex, reminding
you that the best investment you can
make is in you.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video discusses the emergence of OpenAI's GPT6 Astra, marking the arrival of agentic AI. Unlike previous AI models that required constant user prompts, these agents can plan, execute, and adapt to complete complex goals independently. The shift toward agentic AI is expected to significantly increase compute demand, impacting the semiconductor, memory, and networking sectors. The author highlights several investment opportunities across this 'agentic AI stack,' including companies involved in CPU production, high-bandwidth memory, data center interconnects, and specialized inference hardware, as these are critical infrastructure components that any winning AI agent will require.
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