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If You Missed NVIDIA Stock, This is Way Bigger.

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If You Missed NVIDIA Stock, This is Way Bigger.

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549 segments

0:00

If you put $10,000 into Armsttock when

0:02

it went public three years ago, you'd

0:04

have $40,000 today. If you put that

0:07

money into Palunteer's direct listing in

0:09

2020, you'd have almost 200 grand. Well,

0:13

SKH Highix makes the memory chips that

0:16

every AI data center is racing to buy,

0:18

and they listed on the NASDAQ earlier

0:20

this summer. My name is Alex and I spent

0:22

eight years as an electrical engineer

0:24

and AI researcher at MIT which helped me

0:27

find great stocks like Nvidia, Micron,

0:30

and TSMC years before the rest of the

0:33

market. So, let me show you what SKHEX

0:35

actually does and if they're worth

0:37

investing in. Your time is valuable, so

0:40

let's get right into it. I want to start

0:42

this video in an interesting place.

0:44

November 2022 in San Francisco. OpenAI

0:48

just released Chat GPT and it instantly

0:50

spread like wildfire, hitting a 100

0:53

million users in just 2 months. It grew

0:56

four times faster than Tik Tok, 15 times

0:59

faster than Instagram, and 25 times

1:01

faster than YouTube. The wave that

1:04

followed turned into the biggest

1:05

technology investment cycle since the

1:08

internet. And over the next four years,

1:10

Nvidia would grow from a $400 billion

1:12

valuation to over five trillion because

1:15

they designed the chips powering chat

1:18

GPT and every other generative AI

1:20

application. Investors that caught it

1:22

early made lifechanging returns. And

1:25

they caught it early by understanding

1:27

the science behind the stocks. Nvidia

1:29

more than 12xed in size because their

1:32

GPUs were perfect for training and

1:34

running AI models since they could make

1:36

trillions of calculations per second.

1:39

They're insanely fast and insanely power

1:42

efficient, which meant the rest of the

1:44

data center had trouble keeping up.

1:46

Normal fans couldn't keep the hardware

1:48

cool enough. Normal networks couldn't

1:51

move data fast enough. And normal memory

1:53

couldn't feed the GPUs fast enough. So,

1:56

the GPUs sat idle, burning cash instead

1:58

of generating tokens. And the AI race

2:01

quickly shifted from who had the fastest

2:03

chips to who had the data center

2:05

infrastructure fast enough to feed them.

2:08

And in many ways, Wall Street still

2:10

hasn't figured that out. This is why the

2:12

hyperscalers, Amazon, Microsoft, Google,

2:15

and Meta platforms are on track to spend

2:18

well over a trillion dollars on AI

2:20

infrastructure in 2025 and 2026 alone.

2:24

The GPUs, the cooling, the networks, and

2:27

the memory. But while we could invest in

2:29

the market leaders for data center,

2:31

GPUs, cooling, and networking, there was

2:34

no easy way for most US investors to buy

2:36

shares of the market leader for high

2:38

bandwidth memory until this summer.

2:41

There are three major players in the

2:42

high bandwidth memory market. SKH

2:45

Highix, Samsung, and Micron. Of the

2:47

three, only Micron was listed on US

2:50

exchanges. So, that's the one I covered

2:52

and invested in. But it turns out that

2:55

SKHX dominates the HBM market with a 50%

2:59

share, as much as Micron and Samsung put

3:02

together. And on July 10th, they started

3:04

trading on the NASDAQ with the ticker

3:06

symbol SKHY,

3:08

raising $26.5 billion in what became the

3:12

largest US IPO by a foreign company in

3:15

stock market history. According to their

3:17

IPO filing, they'll use that money to

3:20

fund new fabs and EUV lithography

3:22

machines. But SKHEX has been publicly

3:25

listed on the Korea exchange for almost

3:28

30 years now. They listed on the NASDAQ

3:30

as an American depository share or ADR

3:34

the same way TSMC and Alibaba list on

3:37

the New York Stock Exchange. Each ADR

3:40

represents onetenth of a Korean common

3:42

share. The problem is each ADR costs a

3:46

lot more than that. Let me show you what

3:48

I mean. If you Google SKHY right now,

3:51

you'll see that Skhinx trades at around

3:53

a $920 billion market cap. That number

3:56

comes from its price on the Korea Stock

3:59

Exchange since that's where almost all

4:00

of the shares actually trade. Skinx has

4:03

$729 million shares outstanding, which

4:07

works out to about $1,260

4:09

per share or $126 per ADR, but the ADR

4:15

currently goes for $175.

4:18

Same company, same shares, but US

4:20

investors are paying a 40% premium to

4:23

buy it on the NASDAQ. Set another way,

4:25

SKHEX is worth $920 billion on the Korea

4:29

exchange, but $1.3 trillion on the

4:32

NASDAQ. I wanted to make sure I wasn't

4:35

crazy for buying other ADRs, so I

4:38

checked them out, too. Alibaba trades at

4:40

the same price in Hong Kong and in New

4:43

York since they can freely convert

4:45

shares to ADRs and back. Taiwan

4:47

semiconductor trades at a 12% premium

4:50

because Taiwan will only issue new ADRs

4:53

when the old ones get cancelled. So

4:55

there's limited supply and SKHEX has an

4:59

even tighter limit on their supply since

5:01

only 2.5% of the company can become ADRs

5:05

in the first place which is part of the

5:07

reason it has such a high premium. If

5:09

SKHEX ever lets more ADRs exist, this

5:12

premium should fall accordingly and so

5:14

should the price. But that raises the

5:17

obvious question. Is SKH Highix actually

5:19

worth buying at a 40% premium? By the

5:22

way, if you've ever tried comparing

5:24

stocks like SKH Highix, Micron, and

5:26

SanDisk head-to-head, you know it can

5:29

eat your whole weekend, pulling all the

5:31

numbers, building the spreadsheet, and

5:33

tracking it after. Or you can hand it

5:35

off to GenSpark, the all-in-one AI

5:37

workspace sponsoring this video. I gave

5:40

its super agent a single prompt. compare

5:42

these three companies on valuation,

5:44

growth, margins, and HBM market share.

5:48

Then a few minutes later, it handed me a

5:50

side-by-side breakdown that would have

5:52

taken me hours to build myself. It even

5:55

included all its sources. Then I dropped

5:57

that into Agent Base and had it build a

6:00

live dashboard that color codes the

6:02

winner for every metric so I can see

6:04

who's ahead at a glance. But here's the

6:06

best part. I saved that whole process as

6:09

a skill. So now it can rerun on its own

6:11

and it emails me the moment there's a

6:13

clear winner with a link straight to the

6:15

dashboard. And right now you can try

6:18

GenSpark with free credits when you sign

6:20

up with my link below. All right. In

6:23

order to decide if SKH's ADR is actually

6:26

worth buying at a 40% premium, we need

6:29

to understand the science behind this

6:31

stock. The most common mistake investors

6:33

make is assuming SKHENX is a pure play

6:36

HBM company when they're actually a

6:39

full-line memory chipmaker. Skhinx

6:42

splits their business into two major

6:44

categories. The first is DRAM, the

6:46

fastworking memory a computer uses to

6:48

hold data that it's actively processing.

6:51

The second is NAND flash, the storage

6:53

that holds your data even when the power

6:55

is off. In the most recent quarter,

6:58

SKHENX's DRAM segment brought in about

7:00

73% of their total revenue and Nan flash

7:04

brought in 27% while non-memory products

7:06

and foundry services accounted for less

7:09

than 1%. High bandwidth memory falls

7:11

under DRAM. This is the specialized

7:14

stacked memory that sits next to every

7:16

AI chip and feeds it data fast enough so

7:18

that it doesn't sit idle. And this is

7:20

what most investors focus on since it's

7:23

where a lot of the growth and margins

7:24

come from. But this segment also

7:26

includes conventional DRAM. The server

7:29

memory in data centers, the memory in

7:31

your smartphone and the memory on your

7:33

graphics card. This part is priced much

7:35

more like a commodity. Rising and

7:37

falling with the industry's normal

7:39

supply and demand cycles. Then there's

7:41

NAND flash, which is basically data

7:44

storage. SKHNX's headline products here

7:46

are their enterprisegrade solid-state

7:48

drives for data centers. The kind of

7:51

highdensity storage that AI buildout

7:53

can't get enough of. A big piece of that

7:55

business comes from Solidime, the SSD

7:58

business that SKHix bought from Intel

8:00

for $9 billion. Solid specializes in

8:04

storage density. Their flagship drive

8:06

holds 122 tab in a single unit and AI

8:10

data centers buy them by the rack to

8:13

hold training data. As a result, SKH is

8:16

now the second biggest enterprise SSD

8:18

supplier in the world, only behind

8:21

Samsung. Every model that gets trained,

8:24

every data set that gets stored, and

8:26

every system checkpoint gets saved

8:28

somewhere on NAND flash. That's why the

8:31

enterprise SSD market more than doubled

8:33

in size in a single quarter. SKH's NAND

8:36

revenue more than quadrupled

8:38

year-over-year thanks to higher prices

8:41

and higher sales volumes. So, these

8:43

drives really are a second AI hardware

8:45

business hiding in plain sight. As a

8:48

result, their total revenues came in at

8:50

79 trillion Juan or about 55 billion for

8:54

the quarter, which is up $257%

8:57

year-over-year. Here's how I've been

9:00

thinking about SKHENX after reading

9:02

through their IPO filings and their

9:04

latest earnings. Their NAND flash

9:06

business is 60% bigger than SanDisk's

9:08

entire company, even though that's all

9:10

SanDisk makes. and their DRAM business

9:13

which includes HBM is about 25% bigger

9:16

than Microns. Like I said earlier, about

9:19

half of every dollar spent on high

9:21

bandwidth memory goes to SKH Highix

9:23

today. But you should know that that's

9:25

down from a 64% market share this time

9:28

last year since Samsung was actually

9:31

first to mass-produce HBM4, which caused

9:34

Samsung's market share to jump from 21%

9:37

to 33% in a single quarter. Either way,

9:40

SKH Highix is the second biggest global

9:42

supplier of DRAM and NAN storage

9:45

overall. So, investing in them means

9:47

owning the entire memory layer of the AI

9:50

revolution. Another common mistake

9:52

investors make is assuming memory is

9:54

still a cyclical low margin business.

9:57

Before the AI era, memory makers didn't

9:59

set their prices. The entire computing

10:02

industry set them based on supply and

10:04

demand. When demand outruns supply,

10:07

prices and margins spike. But when

10:09

supply outruns demand, they both

10:11

collapse. So memory makers lived and

10:13

died by how well they could predict

10:15

demand and how much of that demand they

10:17

could fill without going over. Case in

10:20

point, SKH posted an operating loss of

10:23

about $5.9 billion back in 2023, which

10:27

was the last major downcycle for memory.

10:29

But watch how fast that formula flips

10:31

when demand grows much faster than

10:33

supply, which is exactly what's

10:36

happening in the AI era today. Last

10:38

quarter, SKHEX made 79 trillion1 in

10:41

revenue and 65 trillion of that was

10:44

operating profit. In dollars, that's

10:46

roughly 55 billion in revenue and 42

10:49

billion in operating profit, which works

10:51

out to an operating margin of 76%.

10:54

The highest in the company's history.

10:57

Those are the kinds of numbers we

10:58

usually see at Silicon Valley software

11:01

startups, not 43-year-old hardware

11:03

companies. Now, let me tell you

11:05

something that will put you ahead of

11:07

almost every Wall Street analyst

11:09

covering this stock. Conventional DRAM

11:11

prices still move with the normal

11:13

commodity cycle, but high bandwidth

11:16

memory is different. It's built for a

11:18

specific customer specs and sold on

11:20

pre-negotiated agreements. So, the

11:23

number of chips and the price get

11:24

settled before the chips are ever even

11:27

made. So, high bandwidth memory is

11:29

priced less like a component and more

11:31

like a major enterprise contract. Think

11:34

about what that means for the risks we

11:36

just talked about. A commodity company

11:38

can't predict what their products will

11:39

sell for for more than a year out. But

11:42

this year, SKH signed contracts with

11:44

about 10 major customers that lock in

11:47

volume and pricing terms for 5 years or

11:50

more. And they all require deposits

11:52

upfront. As contracts make up more and

11:55

more of their revenues, Skhinx grows

11:57

their sales, their operating margins,

11:59

and they also become much more

12:01

predictable, which shareholders love

12:03

because it lowers their overall risks.

12:06

But contracts can cut both ways. Last

12:08

quarter, memory prices jumped between 30

12:10

and 60%. And SKHEX had more of its

12:14

revenue locked into fixedpric contracts

12:16

than Samsung or Micron. So they captured

12:18

less of that growth as upside which is

12:21

why they missed Wall Street's

12:22

expectations for operating profits and

12:24

the stock fell close to 10% even though

12:27

they reported record earnings. The same

12:29

contracts that protect memory companies

12:31

when prices fall can also cost them some

12:34

of the upside when memory prices rise.

12:36

That's the price for long-term

12:38

predictability. But hyperscalers aren't

12:41

just buying memory. They're knocking

12:43

down the doors. On their latest earnings

12:45

call, Skhinik said that their HBM,

12:47

DRAMM, and NAND capacity will stay tight

12:50

because new fabs take years to come

12:52

online. Micron said the same thing on

12:55

their earnings call. And Nvidia's

12:57

earnings showed that their purchase

12:58

commitments more than doubled from $119

13:01

billion to $279 billion in a single

13:05

quarter, primarily to lock in memory

13:07

supplies. So, let's talk about why

13:09

memory supplies are so tight in the

13:12

first place. Like I said earlier, modern

13:14

AI processors are so fast that they end

13:17

up spending a significant portion of

13:18

their time waiting for data to arrive

13:21

from memory. If the GPU is the engine of

13:23

AI, then high bandwidth memory is the

13:26

fuel line. It may not be obvious by

13:28

looking at me, but I'm not actually a

13:30

car guy. Oh, what's that? It's actually

13:32

extremely obvious. Well, stick with me

13:34

anyway. If the GPU is the engine, then

13:37

HPM is the fuel line and data is the

13:40

fuel. If the fuel line is too narrow, it

13:43

doesn't matter how fast the engine can

13:44

go. It will constantly be waiting for

13:47

more fuel. So, what determines a GPU's

13:50

real performance, which is how much math

13:52

it actually does per dollar or per watt

13:54

when it's inside a real data center, is

13:57

how fast you can feed it that data. That

13:59

doesn't just mean higher memory

14:01

bandwidth. It also means more power

14:03

efficiency and better cooling. If we

14:06

look at their road map, SKH started

14:08

shipping HBM4 in volume last quarter and

14:11

in June they shipped samples of their

14:13

next generation HBM4 memory to major

14:16

customers. Each stack holds 48 GB across

14:20

12 layers of memory running at up to 16

14:23

Gbits per second per pin, which works

14:26

out to about 4 tab per second of

14:28

bandwidth per stack. or said in English,

14:31

that's enough bandwidth to transfer

14:32

around 300 fulllength 4K movies to the

14:36

GPU every single second. If the GPU is

14:39

the engine, then HBM4E

14:42

is a massive fuel line. On top of that,

14:45

it's over 20% more power efficient and

14:47

has 17% better heat resistance than the

14:50

previous generation, so it runs cleaner

14:52

and gets less hot. See, maybe I'm a car

14:55

guy after all. Here's why the supply

14:57

constraints won't go away overnight.

14:59

High bandwidth memory takes about three

15:01

times the wafers to make compared to

15:03

standard memory. Process yields are

15:05

lower. It takes four to 5 years to build

15:08

the specialized fabs needed to make it

15:10

in the first place. And unlike software,

15:12

you can't just patch in new updates

15:14

every few days. Another thing to

15:16

consider is that SKH is a fully

15:19

integrated memory manufacturer. They own

15:22

and operate their own factories and they

15:24

do their own wafer fabrication. They

15:26

also do their own packaging and testing

15:28

end to end. They even stack and bond the

15:30

DRAM dies into finished high bandwidth

15:33

memory cubes before TSMC mounts them

15:36

next to Nvidia's GPUs. And SKH Highix

15:39

just broke ground on their first

15:40

packaging plant in the United States

15:43

with production slated to start in 2029.

15:46

So memory will be supply constrained for

15:48

years to come. Because not only does

15:50

each generation of HBM need to keep up

15:53

with current GPU and network speeds, but

15:55

the designs, the factories, and the

15:57

fabrication process all need to be set

16:00

up and coordinated years in advance.

16:03

Speaking of years in advance, there's

16:05

another part of their initial SEC filing

16:07

that I want to highlight. On June 7th,

16:09

Nvidia and SKH Highix announced a

16:12

multi-year partnership to co-develop

16:14

next generation memory built around

16:16

Nvidia's AI roadmap spanning four of

16:19

their next generation platforms. Vera

16:21

Rubin AI supercomputers, the Vera CPUs,

16:24

RTX Spark PCs, and even Jetsenthor for

16:28

robotics. 6 weeks later, they also

16:30

signed a letter of intent on a

16:31

partnership around memory supplies and

16:34

AI factories. That partnership is valued

16:36

at over $500 billion. The first Vera

16:39

Rubin AI factory powered by SKHEX's HBM4

16:43

is planned for 2027. And even though

16:46

Nvidia qualified all three memory makers

16:48

for Vera Rubin, SKH is expected to

16:51

supply about 2/3 of the HBM4 for it this

16:54

year. Here's a funny story from Computex

16:56

2026 in Taiwan. Jensen Hang walked up to

16:59

an HBM4E wafer at the SKH Heinix booth,

17:03

wrote, "Please make more on it," and

17:05

signed it. "Whenever I try to do that, I

17:07

just get escorted out by security." The

17:10

thing is, this isn't just a vendor

17:11

filling purchase orders. Vendors can be

17:14

swapped out on price. This is a

17:16

long-term co-development partnership

17:18

where Nvidia designs their chips around

17:20

what next generation memory can deliver.

17:22

And SKHX's memory gets designed for

17:25

Nvidia's road map years before the chips

17:27

even ship. So SKHEX isn't waiting for

17:30

Nvidia to hand them a spec sheet.

17:33

They're helping write it. All right, now

17:34

that you understand the company, let's

17:37

talk about the stock, the valuation, and

17:39

the risks. And if you feel I've earned

17:41

it, consider hitting the like button and

17:43

subscribing to the channel. that really

17:45

helps and it lets me know to make more

17:47

deep dives like this. Thanks. Now, let's

17:50

talk about SKH High stock. I think the

17:52

best way to analyze their valuation is

17:54

by comparing it to stocks we already

17:56

know like Micron for DRAM and SanDisk

17:59

for storage. Here's a table summarizing

18:01

everything I've covered. I built it by

18:03

pulling numbers from each company's

18:05

latest earnings and I'm showing Skhinx

18:07

twice because the ADR price is

18:10

significantly different from their price

18:12

on the Korea exchange. I tried to make

18:14

each row as apples to apples as I could.

18:16

But all three companies have different

18:18

fiscal years, different customers, and

18:20

SKHIX reports their numbers in the South

18:22

Korean one. So the numbers might change

18:25

a little based on the conversion rate.

18:27

So treat this as a good way to compare

18:29

these companies, but not as official

18:31

audited numbers. Let's start with their

18:33

size. Micron is worth a trillion and

18:36

SanDisk is worth around a quarter of

18:38

that. SKH Highix is worth $920 billion

18:41

on the Korea exchange and 1.3 trillion

18:44

when you buy the ADR on the NASDAQ. All

18:47

three companies are growing revenues

18:48

extremely fast. SanDisk is up 372%

18:53

year-over-year. Micron is up 346%

18:56

and SKH is up 257%.

19:00

SKHX isn't really growing slower than

19:02

the other two. They're just growing from

19:04

the biggest revenue base. And all three

19:06

companies have operating margins that

19:08

would embarrass most software companies.

19:11

80% for Micron, 78% for SanDisk, and 76%

19:16

for SKH Highix. But here's where things

19:18

get interesting. Back in 2018, SKHix put

19:22

about $3.5 billion into Kioia, a

19:25

Japanese NAND flash memory maker spun

19:27

out of Toshiba. Kioxia's stock

19:30

skyrocketed this past spring. So SKHix

19:33

had to report a $45 billion gain, which

19:36

inflates their net profits. I removed it

19:39

since that's a one-time gain that has

19:41

nothing to do with selling memory chips,

19:43

which is why my table shows SKH trading

19:46

at around 12 times earnings and the ADR

19:48

trading at around 16 times earnings.

19:51

That's still less than Micron and

19:53

SanDisk, which have price toearnings

19:54

ratios above 20. And when it comes to

19:57

their forward PE ratio, meaning what

19:59

analysts expect them to earn over the

20:01

next 12 months, SanDisk trades at a 7.3

20:05

and Micron trades at a 6.8. Skhinx

20:08

trades at a 4.2 on the Korea exchange.

20:11

And even with the 40% premium for the

20:13

NASDAQ listed ADR, it still trades at a

20:16

5.8. That's about a 15% discount to

20:19

Micron even after the ADR's premium. All

20:23

right. So, is SKH Highix worth buying?

20:26

Even with the ADR trading at a big

20:28

premium, SKHX is the clear leader when

20:30

it comes to high bandwidth memory, and

20:32

their enterprise storage business is a

20:34

second stream of AI revenues that Wall

20:36

Street is still ignoring. On top of

20:38

that, they have 76% operating margins on

20:42

hardware that will stay supply

20:44

constrained for years to come, and

20:46

they're co-developing their next

20:47

generation of memory with Nvidia. All

20:50

while their stock trades cheaper than

20:52

Micron and SanDisk even after that 40%

20:55

premium. In fact, the company itself is

20:58

spending 40 trillion Juan or $29 billion

21:02

buying back its own shares after calling

21:04

them undervalued in a recent SEC filing.

21:07

Just to be clear, they were talking

21:08

about the Korean shares, not the ADR.

21:11

And that 40% premium is only because

21:14

2.5% of the company's shares can be ADRs

21:17

at once. If that number grows, the

21:19

premium shrinks, which means the price

21:22

of the ADR would likely fall to close

21:24

that gap. So, make sure you keep that in

21:26

mind. In my opinion, if you have any way

21:29

to buy the shares directly, that's the

21:31

way to go. For example, Interactive

21:33

Brokers has offered the stock itself

21:35

since May. Otherwise, the ADR is

21:38

actually still fairly cheap relative to

21:40

the other memory makers. You just need

21:42

to be ready for the price to drop if

21:44

SKHENX issues more ADRs. The rest of the

21:48

risks are ones we've already covered.

21:50

Samsung caught up on HBM4 production and

21:53

is taking meaningful market share.

21:55

Long-term contracts protect SKHNX from

21:58

falling memory prices, but they also cap

22:00

their upside when memory prices rise.

22:02

And every memory stock on my table is

22:05

priced around 75% margins. So, if

22:08

margins start to fall, prices might fall

22:11

with them. But based on everything I've

22:13

learned and everything I've covered in

22:14

this video, I think SKH Highix is

22:17

currently a great way to get rich

22:19

without getting lucky. And if you want

22:21

to see even more stocks I'm buying to

22:23

get rich without getting lucky, check

22:25

out this video next. Either way, thanks

22:27

for watching and until next time, this

22:29

is Tickerol U. My name is Alex,

22:32

reminding you that the best investment

22:34

you can make is in you.

Interactive Summary

This video provides a deep dive into SK Hynix, a major player in the high-bandwidth memory (HBM) market that recently listed on the NASDAQ as an ADR. The analysis covers its pivotal role in supporting AI infrastructure alongside Nvidia, its dominance in both DRAM and NAND flash memory, and the risks associated with the premium pricing of its US-listed shares compared to those on the Korean stock exchange.

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