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EMERGENCY DEBATE: They Are Lying To Us About AI, The Iran War & What Happens Next!

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EMERGENCY DEBATE: They Are Lying To Us About AI, The Iran War & What Happens Next!

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2795 segments

0:00

Everybody is in a rush to fire 10 to 25%

0:03

of their workforce, but 10% unemployment

0:05

would be worse than anything that's ever

0:07

happened in our lifetimes. We are going

0:08

to have a depression like we've never

0:10

seen in our lives.

0:11

>> Wow. Jake's a real Debbie Downer today.

0:14

I mean, this is an unbelievable

0:16

opportunity we're talking about. I got

0:18

to buy more sunglasses for how bright

0:20

the future is.

0:21

>> If you notice, Kevin actually didn't

0:22

address the wave of unemployment at all

0:24

because there's no question that it's

0:26

going to happen. And when we hit the

0:28

iceberg, we're not going to be ready.

0:29

And it is going to be an epic disaster.

0:32

>> Change is disruptive and it's

0:34

uncomfortable. But the scare factor of

0:37

saying that everybody loses their job

0:39

and the robots eat the children. I just

0:41

don't buy it.

0:42

>> I I don't know anyone saying that the

0:44

robots are going to eat the children.

0:45

And I understand that change happens,

0:47

but we have to be careful with change

0:49

because by 2028, we're going to have

0:51

disaster from AI, unemployment, and

0:54

disaster from the war. The only hope is

0:56

electing a smart person who's prepared

0:58

in 2028. Republicans, I have one thing

1:00

to tell you.

1:05

There's no way. Nobody's showing up to

1:08

vote. Their voter enthusiasm is

1:10

obliterated.

1:11

>> But the Democrats have also lost their

1:13

way.

1:13

>> And the Republicans only have one guy

1:15

who could win. And I'm worried about it.

1:17

Tucker Carlson. So, as we head towards

1:19

the midterms, but also the elections,

1:20

which aren't actually that far away now,

1:22

do you agree that we're heading towards

1:24

a more socialist America?

1:26

>> So, let me just say this.

1:30

How about that for an answer?

1:36

>> This is super interesting to me. My team

1:37

given me this report to show me how many

1:39

of you that watch the show subscribe.

1:40

And some of you have told us according

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to this that you are unsubscribed from

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the channel randomly. So, favor to ask

1:46

all of you. Please could you check right

1:47

now if you've hit the subscribe button

1:49

if you are a regular viewer of this show

1:50

and you like what we do here. We're

1:51

approaching quite a significant landmark

1:53

on this show in terms of a subscriber

1:55

number. So, if there was one simple free

1:57

thing that you could do to help us, my

1:59

team, everyone here to keep this show

2:01

free, to keep it improving year over

2:03

year and week over week, it is just to

2:05

hit that subscribe button and to double

2:06

check if you've hit it. Only thing I'll

2:08

ever ask of you, do we have a deal? If

2:10

you do it, I'll tell you what I'll do.

2:11

I'll make sure every single week, every

2:14

single month, we fight harder and harder

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and harder and harder to bring you the

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2:17

to hear. I've stayed true to that

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promise since the very beginning of the

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D of Sio and I will not let you down.

2:23

Please help us. Really appreciate it.

2:25

Let's get on with the show.

2:33

Jenk,

2:35

thank you so much for being here with

2:37

me. Um, there's so much going on in the

2:38

world that I have so many questions and

2:40

you both have very different

2:42

perspectives on all of the issues that I

2:43

care about the most. So, I thought I'd

2:44

bring us together to try and pass

2:46

through what is true. Unlike a lot of

2:48

shows, I I don't expect a shouting

2:50

match. What I'm trying to get is to

2:52

truth. And I'm hoping that seeing the

2:53

collision of your ideas on some of the

2:56

big issues that are front of mind for me

2:57

like artificial intelligence, like

2:59

geopolitics, like what's going on in

3:01

America now that I live there, I think

3:03

will be incredibly beneficial to me and

3:04

hopefully therefore my audience. I have

3:06

this graph here that says seven in 10

3:09

Americans oppose local construction of

3:12

AI data centers.

3:14

>> If you go back in time, any new

3:16

technology is extremely disruptive.

3:19

Change is disruptive and it's

3:22

uncomfortable

3:24

and it always is that way and yet it

3:27

always proves within the context of the

3:29

American economy to create a lot of

3:31

productivity and opportunity. And I

3:33

would argue today if we're going to find

3:35

a cure for cancer, it's going to be

3:37

through AI. If we're going to

3:39

democratize education, it'll be through

3:41

AI. If we're going to do some advances

3:44

on space research and travel, it'll be

3:47

through AI. Productivity in the S&P 500

3:50

and it's all small companies, AI. And

3:53

you can't have it without data centers.

3:55

You actually need the underpinnings, the

3:58

infrastructure. And so that debate, that

4:00

narrative is going on, but there's a

4:02

dark side to this that I've only started

4:05

to bring forward in the last couple of

4:06

weeks. I discovered this in Utah

4:10

that there are some nefarious forces.

4:12

Um, Arabella is the name of it. I didn't

4:15

know anything about it, but I was

4:17

wondering who was spending all the money

4:18

in Utah with all that misinformation

4:21

about what the data center was going to

4:23

be talking about using water we weren't

4:26

or using power we had no intention to or

4:29

40,000 acres that's complete BS. It was

4:32

all lies. And I said, who could afford

4:35

that? So I hired a bunch of forensic

4:38

auditors and lo and behold it took me

4:40

back to the Chinese through Arabellum uh

4:44

Neville Singum is his name. He's funding

4:46

all these organizations in Utah and I

4:48

caught him through the IRS 990 filings

4:51

and I handed it over the White House and

4:53

to a bunch of special agents and I just

4:56

wonder what's going to happen next. I'm

4:58

loving this now. This is so interesting

5:01

and it's a national debate and the poo

5:03

poo's hit the fan. But I'm not debating

5:06

this. I'm not suggesting it. I have

5:08

irrefutable evidence the Chinese are

5:10

meddling in every place where new power

5:14

is being proposed in America, every

5:16

state, every city. And it all goes back

5:19

to the Chinese through this Arabellum.

5:22

And just look at the IRS filings. Don't

5:25

shoot the messenger. I'm just providing

5:28

the truth.

5:29

>> Kevin, so just just for context here,

5:31

there was a proposal to build some data

5:32

centers in Utah, and you're saying that

5:34

the push back and the negative reaction

5:36

that has been seen is being encouraged

5:39

or sponsored by the Chinese who are

5:42

driving misinformation through bots. Is

5:45

that what you're proposing?

5:47

>> No, it's not through bots. It's actually

5:48

through contributions that are shown

5:51

through a a wide network of different

5:54

entities. It's very it's very well um

5:57

cloaked, but through forensic audit and

6:00

IP address scraping uh with some really

6:03

strong data scientists that I hired and

6:05

I'm working with, we were able to

6:07

provide 90 pages of IP addresses from

6:10

foreigners uh to various agents and

6:13

various entities within the US

6:15

government. And we're going to keep

6:16

doing it. We're we're providing it every

6:18

four hours. where cuz one thing I have

6:21

that I guess they hadn't thought through

6:22

is I have 12 million followers on social

6:24

media. No, no uh data center developer

6:28

has 4 million followers. This all showed

6:30

up on my feeds with bots on on Twitter

6:35

which is now X and on Instagram and then

6:37

onto LinkedIn. So we just provided the

6:40

data to the government and where the

6:42

chips fall I have no idea. And we had

6:45

death threats uh to our executives. I

6:49

provided that to the FBI and they

6:51

visited the woman who did it in Denver.

6:53

I think scared the pee peee right out of

6:55

her, but she won't be doing that again.

6:58

So, I mean, it's Listen, bring it. Don't

7:01

mess with me. I'm just going to provide

7:02

the data back to the government. I'm I'm

7:05

I'm just telling the truth. I'm not

7:07

debating it. I'm not suggesting it. I'm

7:09

providing the IRS filings of the cash

7:12

coming from Marabella right into the

7:16

Alliance for a Better Utah

7:19

>> and the story. I mean, that's Listen, I

7:22

didn't ask for this fight. I'm just

7:23

providing the data.

7:24

>> Is that how you see things? Are you

7:27

seeing the push back in terms of AI? Um,

7:30

do you think it's coming from Chinese

7:33

sponsored actors or do you think it's

7:35

something else?

7:37

No, I I don't think China has anything

7:38

to do with it. Uh, so first off, there's

7:41

a lot of things Kevin and I share. Uh,

7:43

I'm also an entrepreneur. I'm a

7:45

capitalist and went to Wharton Business

7:47

School. So, I love America. I love the

7:49

opportunity that America provides. I

7:51

wanted to provide opportunity for all

7:53

sorts of new businesses. So, that's not

7:56

remotely the issue. Okay. So, the

7:58

question is, are we going to pay our own

8:00

uh costs? So now on the AI data centers

8:05

um in the beginning I started reading

8:06

these stories about how the data centers

8:08

are driving up the energy cost for

8:10

everybody in that community that they're

8:12

based in and I couldn't believe it. But

8:13

then I thought okay since we have

8:15

basically legalized bribery in America

8:17

that probably is true they probably you

8:19

know given enough campaign contributions

8:22

to make this happen and it turns out

8:23

they have. No, if you're going to do a

8:25

data center you have to pay for it and

8:27

you have to pay for all of its costs.

8:29

None of this subsidizing your costs to

8:32

the average taxpayer who's not getting

8:33

anything out of it. So, we have to be

8:36

absolutely meticulous about who's paying

8:38

for the cost of the data centers. And it

8:40

should be the businesses that profit

8:42

from it. Unless you'd like to take have

8:44

the American people take some equity in

8:46

your business because if we're going to

8:47

pay your costs, obviously we should have

8:49

equity in it. When we bailed out the

8:51

bankers back in 2008, it was an absolute

8:53

crime. We should have taken equity in

8:55

those companies and then sold it later

8:56

for a profit. I don't want the

8:58

government to run banks, but I do want

9:00

us to not be suckers. Uh we constantly

9:02

pay for the research of the drug

9:04

companies and never get any equity. So,

9:06

um if you going to be capitalists, let's

9:08

be capitalists. Now, the real reason why

9:11

people are most angry about AI is not

9:12

even the data centers. And they have

9:14

every right to be livid about their

9:16

energy costs being higher uh so somebody

9:18

else can make a buck. Uh but the bigger

9:21

issue is the unemployment that we're all

9:23

worried is coming and it most definitely

9:25

is. So, there's a lot of uh happy talk

9:27

about, oh, 10 years from now, 20 years

9:29

from now, robots are going to be cooking

9:31

our salmon. Or two years from now, I

9:33

don't really care. I don't need my

9:35

salmon cooked by a robot. What I care

9:37

about is, are we going to have massive

9:40

unemployment? And right now, and I'm

9:43

curious what Kevin's going to say about

9:44

this because it's kind of indisputable

9:46

if you're in the business community,

9:47

everybody is in a rush uh to fire 10 to

9:50

25% of their workforce. and whoever gets

9:53

there first gets a competitive advantage

9:54

and the market's rewarded and their

9:56

stock uh price goes up. Well, if

9:59

everybody goes to fire 10 to 25% of

10:01

their employees, we are going to have u

10:03

not just a recession but a depression

10:05

like we've never seen in our lives. And

10:08

everybody's whistling past the graveyard

10:10

here. Uh so, do we have a plan? Does the

10:13

government have a plan? The only guy

10:14

I've ever heard of working on a plan to

10:16

deal with this tsunami of unemployment

10:19

is Roana. other than him it's crickets

10:22

and I think we're going to hit the

10:23

iceberg really hard.

10:25

>> Interestingly Jenk, the other person

10:27

that I've heard talk about the

10:28

unemployment wave coming has actually

10:30

been some of the big AI CEOs. And if you

10:32

go back and look look at their quotes

10:34

through time, people like Sam Alman

10:36

predicted that there will need to be

10:37

some kind of UBI scheme. And I think

10:39

Worldcoin, which is his other startup

10:41

that uses um retina scanning to be able

10:44

to distribute value to people to check

10:46

their humans. One of the principles of

10:48

the foundation of that company was to

10:50

distribute UBI, universal basic income

10:53

to everybody. So on this point, Kevin,

10:55

do you do you disagree that there there

10:57

will be a widespread unemployment

11:00

apocalypse, as Jenk has called it on his

11:01

Twitter feed.

11:02

>> So So let's go through Jack's shopping

11:04

list of disaster. I think it's fair to

11:06

address them one at a time. Let's talk

11:08

with the energy. I totally agree with

11:09

him. You can't build a data center

11:11

anywhere and tap into the grid because

11:14

he's right. the price of energy would go

11:16

up at the library, the church, and the

11:19

community center by 30%. And that's what

11:21

happened in Virginia. So that is no

11:24

longer a possibility. In Utah, for

11:26

example, I have to bring my own power.

11:28

But the idea would be if we produce this

11:31

energy because there's no data centers

11:34

without energy. We'll put it back into

11:36

the grid, not just for Utah, but for the

11:39

whole country. Because I think he's

11:40

right. Anybody that's building a new

11:42

data center should have the

11:44

responsibility to provide the power and

11:46

put some of it back into the grid. That

11:49

would solve two problems at once. The

11:51

grid is tapped out. The library has no

11:54

more power. We'll solve that problem for

11:56

Utah and the country. So that's the

11:58

first falsehood I run into fueled by the

12:00

Chinese propaganda that came into Utah

12:03

or whoever they are at Arabella, the CP

12:07

C the CPP or the U you know who whoever

12:10

this agency is because you have to

12:12

follow it through all these nefarious

12:14

holdings. But at the end of the day

12:16

that's number one. Number two, the idea

12:18

that everybody gets replaced by robots

12:21

and then they eat the children, I don't

12:22

buy that at all. Every new technology in

12:25

American history for over 200 years has

12:28

created vast opportunity, productivity,

12:31

and fueled the economy to lead all

12:34

economies on Earth by 20%. Which is

12:37

still the case today. Now, it's an

12:40

uncomfortable reality. The market hit

12:42

new highs today. And that is an index of

12:44

how great American companies are. And

12:47

the smaller companies that are 5 to 500

12:50

employees also hitting on all cylinders

12:53

now using AI tools for productivity,

12:55

customer acquisition, maintenance. So

12:58

the scare factor of saying that

13:00

everybody loses their job and the robots

13:02

eat the children. I just don't buy it.

13:05

And so I think we should have that

13:07

debate. But you don't know yet what

13:09

opportunities there are in the economy

13:12

driven by this new technology. So I

13:15

think what I know there's fear and

13:17

loathing and I think it's important to

13:19

have that narrative. I think it's great

13:21

to debate it but I think we should deal

13:23

with fact. It's very very uncomfortable

13:26

when chain hit change hits anywhere and

13:29

yet it's proven itself within the

13:31

context of the American economy to rise

13:34

it above all challenges and still lead

13:37

the world. Unfortunately,

13:40

there's the issue of defense and the

13:43

economy against China. They're our big

13:45

adversary. In this last conflict in the

13:48

Middle East where very few boots hit the

13:52

ground, it was the technology that

13:54

provided the ordinance precision that's

13:57

been used. In the future, wars will be

14:02

conducted using AI. And unfortunately,

14:04

the country with the best AI technology

14:07

will win those wars. I would certainly

14:09

not want China to be ahead of us. Yet, I

14:13

think they're the ones that would like

14:15

to stop us building power and developing

14:17

our AI platforms because they have

14:20

something called deepseek. I just want

14:21

to put a fact out there because we're

14:24

talking about this. While we were

14:26

stymied in building any new power,

14:28

forget about data centers, just new

14:30

power. The Chinese in the last 19 months

14:34

built 400 gawatt of power off burning

14:39

coal. They don't care about the

14:41

environment. They don't have any policy

14:44

about that. They have a supreme leader

14:47

who points his finger at the ground and

14:49

says, "Build a coal burning plant here.

14:52

Put a data center behind it or you'll

14:54

disappear in 18 months." And the people

14:57

involved say, "Chop chop, Supreme

14:59

Leader. We will make it happen." We

15:01

can't do that in America. And he knows

15:05

that. So he's spending as much money as

15:07

he can making sure he styies the efforts

15:09

of every entrepreneur in every state to

15:12

do the same. So that's what I think is

15:15

happening and I'm happy to provide the

15:16

data as I mentioned earlier and let the

15:19

government and their special agents in

15:21

all of these different departments I'm

15:22

working with now. I'm proud to be

15:25

providing this information. I think I've

15:27

kicked the door open on something very

15:29

very nasty.

15:31

>> Um Kevin, I would like to take a look at

15:32

that information as well. So we I'll

15:34

pick pick up that pick up with you about

15:36

that off camera. Um, what I wanted to

15:38

ask you is a lot of this sort of

15:40

doomerism around unemployment that we're

15:41

talking about comes from the CEOs

15:44

building the AI companies. And this is

15:46

something that that's always caused me a

15:48

bit of cognitive dissonance, which is I

15:50

think if you go back to I've got some

15:52

quotes here from March 2021. Sam Alman

15:55

said, and he's the for anyone that

15:56

doesn't know the CEO co-founder of

15:58

OpenAI, which is the maker of ChatgBT,

16:00

AI will probably replace most of the

16:02

jobs people do today. entire job

16:04

categories will be totally totally gone.

16:07

And then Elon Musk said in May 24,

16:10

probably none of us will have a job. If

16:12

you want to do a job that job, it's kind

16:14

of like a hobby. You can do a job, but

16:16

otherwise AI and robots will provide any

16:18

goods and services that you want. And

16:20

Dario, who's the founder of Claude,

16:22

which is the other major leading AI

16:24

model, said this was in 2025, AI could

16:27

eliminate half of all entry-level white

16:29

collar jobs within 5 years. a shift that

16:31

could push unemployment up to 20%. The

16:34

public is being sugarcoated on what is

16:36

coming. These are the people that are

16:39

most wellplaced and arguably I mean

16:43

depends how you look at it have the

16:44

least incentive to say that their

16:45

companies are going to cause societal

16:47

harm and they're saying that their

16:49

companies are going to cause massive

16:51

massive unemployment. Do we do we assume

16:54

that they're not telling the truth or

16:56

that they don't know what they're

16:57

talking about?

16:59

I think that's a very selective um bunch

17:02

of sound bites. Dario also said the CEO

17:05

of Ananthropic, if we don't build more

17:08

compute capacity in the next 6 months,

17:10

the Chinese will catch up with us with

17:13

deepseek.

17:14

That's an ominous warning because, you

17:17

know, let's say you decide, look, it's

17:20

too scary. Let's shut down the US's

17:22

ability to advance compute. Let's just

17:25

shut it all down as the Chinese want and

17:28

let's all sit around the campfire and go

17:30

kumbaya. Do you think the Chinese are

17:32

gonna stop? I don't think so. I think

17:35

they're going to continue to do this and

17:37

they'll invade Taiwan using no boots.

17:40

They'll just use AI to shut down their

17:42

power.

17:44

I mean, I'm just telling you that the

17:46

Kumbaya stuff I totally agree with. I

17:49

love it. But it's not reality. Should we

17:52

compete? Should we advance our

17:54

technology? Should we be the best in the

17:56

world advancing research on AI to solve

17:59

for cancer? Yes. Or do you want the

18:01

Chinese to do that for you? And in 20

18:04

years, they'll tell your children what

18:05

to eat when they're sitting at their

18:07

table in New York City for breakfast.

18:09

I'm the in the camp that says, "We know

18:12

who our adversary is. We know that why

18:14

they want to stop us." And Dario himself

18:17

said, "Hey everybody, we better build

18:19

some data centers real fast or in 6

18:22

months, Deepseek is now number one on

18:24

Earth." I don't want that outcome.

18:27

>> Jen, it appears to me that, you know,

18:29

there's the CEOs are acknowledging that

18:30

there could be a mass wave of

18:32

unemployment that's going to cause a

18:34

bunch of problems that I don't think

18:35

people are thinking about. But also what

18:37

Kevin's saying about it, you know, there

18:39

being this this sort of global race

18:41

between countries also appears to me to

18:42

be true that if we just sit back and

18:45

relax and put our fingers in our ear,

18:46

then there's going to be a huge

18:48

competitive advantage with this

18:49

transformational technology that falls

18:51

into the hands of China and um and we'll

18:54

miss out as the West. What's your

18:56

perspective?

18:57

>> First to address a lot of things that

18:58

have been said. First, I I don't know

19:00

anyone saying that the robots are going

19:02

to eat the children. So, I want to thank

19:03

Kevin for educating me on a talking

19:05

point there. Uh, I'm less concerned

19:08

about that. A lot less concerned. Uh,

19:10

but I am concerned about some level of

19:12

death with AI, and that has already

19:14

begun to happen. There are reports that

19:16

we use AI in targeting that girl school

19:19

in Tehran where we killed over 160

19:22

innocent school girls. Uh, so if that's

19:24

what AI is going to bring us in

19:26

precision, as Kevin pulled it, called

19:29

it, uh, no thank you. I'm not interested

19:31

in that kind of non-precision. Um, and

19:34

and I would much rather have human

19:35

beings involved in life and death

19:37

decisions. And I'm super worried that AI

19:40

is going to be used more in the military

19:42

and uh, no, I do not trust Palanteer.

19:45

Um, so now in terms of universal basic

19:48

income, I mean, think about it, guys. If

19:50

a coder is making $120,000, you know, I

19:53

I don't know where that puts him in two

19:55

years in, seven years in, uh, it's a

19:58

healthy salary. It's not the world's

19:59

greatest salary, but it's a good good

20:01

salary for a middle class person in

20:02

America. Then you switch to UBI, you'd

20:05

be lucky to get 3,000 a month. That's

20:07

36,000 a year. You're going to go from

20:09

120,000 to 36,000. That is going to be

20:12

devastating. Even if you magically got

20:15

universal basic income passed in America

20:18

immediately as the wave of unemployment

20:20

hit, but I don't think that's going to

20:21

happen either. So, is the wave of

20:23

unemployment going to hit? Well, if you

20:25

notice, Kevin actually didn't address

20:26

that at all. uh because there's no

20:29

question that it's going to happen. That

20:30

is why literally every CEO of the AI

20:34

companies is saying, well, you know, our

20:35

product is great and you should value us

20:37

at a trillion dollars or so. Uh but

20:39

yeah, you're all going to be fired. And

20:41

and that's inescapable. It's already

20:43

begun. The coders have already started

20:46

getting fired, especially young coders.

20:48

Uh they feel totally betrayed. They have

20:51

to find a new line of work. But maybe

20:53

that's a little bit easier for them

20:54

because they're young and they're smart

20:56

and they're professionals, etc. Uh, and

20:58

there's a lot of smart folks, but

21:00

getting a new profession at the age of

21:01

58, 62, what if you're a truck driver?

21:04

Um, and so I'm not saying that the

21:06

Whimos don't work better. I actually

21:08

would trust a Whimo more than I would

21:10

trust a human driver. But nevertheless,

21:13

that car no longer has a driver that it

21:15

did when it was a taxi or an Uber or a

21:17

lift. And I understand that change

21:19

happens. And look, I'm a progressive.

21:22

for change politically, for massive

21:24

change. I thought Obama did comically

21:26

little change. Um, but we have to be

21:29

careful with change. So, which direction

21:31

is it going to go and how are we going

21:32

to handle it? Right now, I think Wall

21:34

Street has lost its mind. How could we

21:38

be at record numbers? Who do you think's

21:40

going to buy your products? So, this guy

21:43

named Nick Hanower, there's a lot of

21:44

folks who believe in this, but he's a

21:45

big advocate of it. really smart guy up

21:47

in Seattle, also an entrepreneur, also

21:49

sold his business and has done well, and

21:52

he talks about middle out economics. If

21:54

we give more advantages to the middle

21:56

class, they immediately spend their

21:58

money. If you give it to the rich, which

22:00

is what we've done all our lives with

22:01

this neoliberal nonsense that we've been

22:03

doing, uh, and trickle down economics,

22:06

well, they barely spend any of it. So,

22:08

giving to the middle is a much better

22:10

way to go. And of course, the question

22:12

is, how are you going to do that? And

22:14

you don't just want to give away money.

22:16

Uh, on the other hand, we give away

22:17

money to oil companies and big drug

22:19

companies and every one who's got

22:21

excellent army of lobbyists in DC, but

22:26

we're not ready. And no one on earth has

22:30

given me a plan for, "Oh, Jen, don't

22:32

worry. When 10% unemployment hits, which

22:34

is at this point almost baked in,

22:36

completely inevitable, right? Um, what

22:39

are we going to do? 10% unemployment

22:41

would be worse than anything that's ever

22:43

happened in our lifetimes, let alone if

22:45

you get to 25%. Zero plans for it. None.

22:48

When that when we hit the iceberg, we're

22:50

not going to be ready and it is going to

22:52

be an epic disaster. There isn't going

22:54

to be anyone to buy your goods because

22:58

employees are also customers and you're

23:01

going to lose a massive amount of

23:03

customers and it is going to absolutely

23:05

torpedo our economy. I can't believe how

23:08

shortsighted Wall Street is. Now, does

23:11

that mean we stop AI in its tracks and

23:13

we stop change? No, we can't stop

23:16

because it's it's true that China is

23:18

also going, Russia is, North Korea is,

23:20

Israel is.

23:22

Now, the problem is if we get it first,

23:24

then very very likely the Israelis will

23:26

also have it and God help the world if

23:28

that's true. Uh they have not been

23:30

restrained in how they use their power

23:32

and I wouldn't want them anywhere near

23:34

that kind of power. But nevertheless,

23:36

there is a race. So

23:39

we can't just stop. So can we do the

23:42

race in a way that is responsible and

23:44

actually serves the American voters and

23:46

citizens instead of just serving the

23:49

executives of the AI companies and the

23:51

shareholders of the AI companies? I hope

23:54

we can, but we've taken absolutely zero

23:56

steps in that direction.

23:58

>> So let's get specific, Jenk. What might

24:00

that look like to to continue developing

24:02

this technology but do it in a way

24:04

that's responsible and benefits

24:06

everybody? Because this is kind of what

24:07

I hear a lot of. I hear from one side

24:09

people saying we need to carry on going

24:11

or you know the robots and the kids

24:13

thing. On the other hand I hear we need

24:15

to be responsible but either side don't

24:18

tend to be very specific about what

24:20

their definition of responsible or a

24:23

race a responsible race might look like.

24:25

So does anyone have any specifics? Jenk.

24:28

>> Yeah. So look, it's a it's a tough uh

24:31

industry to regulate. I get it. You have

24:34

to move fast and regulation usually

24:36

involves some degree of bureaucracy. Um

24:38

but if you have no regulation at all,

24:41

you will have it run a muck. That's

24:43

pretty much guaranteed. And all the

24:44

leaders of the AI companies say

24:46

likewise. So um we've got to the problem

24:50

here in America is that it's nearly

24:52

unsolvable in the window of time that

24:54

we're talking about because we've lost

24:56

our democracy in America. But we've

24:58

legalized bribery that happened back in

25:00

Supreme Court decisions in 1976 78 and

25:03

then of course Citizens United. And so

25:06

since we have legalized bribery in this

25:08

country, there's no way they're going to

25:09

serve the voters. So whichever AI

25:11

companies are giving them more money,

25:13

they're going to serve them. And that's

25:14

already begun to happen. And the AI

25:16

companies have already started getting

25:17

involved in primaries and eliminating

25:19

their opponents through money and

25:21

politics. So, our politicians are deeply

25:24

deeply corrupt in America. Republicans

25:26

and Democrats, they almost all serve the

25:28

donor class. So, we we won't make it.

25:31

We'll I'm telling you right now, uh

25:34

we're going to run into the iceberg and

25:36

it's going to be an epic disaster. The

25:38

only hope is electing a smart person

25:40

who's prepared in 2028. Uh that that can

25:43

begin to get us on the road. So now when

25:45

the disaster hits, the AI shareholders

25:49

and executives aren't going to like it

25:50

either because the reaction will likely

25:53

be tremendous anger. And then someone

25:55

like me is going to say, "Hey, you know

25:57

what? Uh why do they get to keep all the

26:00

money and you're all broke and out of a

26:02

job? They created this cost which is

26:05

unemployment. Why don't they pay for it?

26:08

So why don't we take some of the

26:10

billions and billions and billions of

26:11

dollars that these AI companies have

26:13

made and put it towards their costs,

26:15

which is the unemployment of the

26:16

American people. So they could at a

26:18

minimum fund unemployment insurance and

26:21

we could make sure that that's very

26:22

healthy. Uh and we they could begin to

26:24

fund other things that might actually

26:25

help other human beings. I know heaven

26:28

forend that a millionaire or a

26:30

billionaire should ever help another

26:32

human being. But if you don't, the

26:34

pitchforks are coming. I'm not a

26:35

pitchfork guy. I'm I believe in

26:37

nonviolence and I always will. Uh but I

26:40

don't think people get the level of

26:42

anger that's happening. I'll try to stop

26:44

it, but the pitchforks will be

26:46

significant. And this whole thing of no,

26:48

I get all the money and you get nothing.

26:51

Will not play well. You can try it, but

26:54

it will end in disaster.

26:55

>> Kevin, the pitchforks are coming. We're

26:57

going to hit an iceberg. And it also

26:58

sounded like AI is going to ultimately

27:01

lead to a rise in what sounded like

27:03

socialism.

27:04

>> Wow. Jake's a real Debbie Downer today.

27:07

You know, this has been forecast in the

27:09

American economy. Every 20 years, it's

27:11

the end of the free world as we know it.

27:13

And that's not what happens. Let's go

27:15

back and do a little factchecking on

27:17

Jakester here. First of all, AI

27:19

companies lose billions. They don't make

27:21

any money right now. They're in a race,

27:24

as we talked about earlier, against

27:25

China primarily. They're raising a ton

27:28

of capital and losing billions every

27:30

year. We don't know yet how they're

27:33

going to monetize it, but the market's

27:35

willing to provide it because they see

27:37

the productivity opportunity and the

27:39

cure for cancer and the democracy around

27:41

education and productivity for the

27:44

nation already been proven by record

27:46

earnings in the S&P of which all 11

27:48

sectors have adopted the first wave of

27:51

AI to enhance productivity and reduce

27:53

costs. We don't know yet what new jobs

27:56

are going to be created. I'll just talk

27:59

about the ones I'm creating in Utah.

28:02

4,000 construction jobs for about nine

28:04

and a half years highpaying. And another

28:07

2,000 engineering and support jobs,

28:10

extremely highpaying, because what's now

28:12

a desert will be a data center. not near

28:16

anybody's backyard, not replacing

28:19

farmland, not using any of the water the

28:21

way the people have been talking about,

28:23

not taking any energy from Utah, but in

28:26

fact contributing to it, not polluting

28:28

the air because we can't do that without

28:31

air permits. All of this stuff is a

28:33

falsehood. So, what we don't know, and

28:36

Jake's right about this, is no one ever

28:39

predicts with a new technology what the

28:42

outcome is. So, I'm not a doomer on this

28:45

stuff. My job here is to maintain a

28:49

direct focus on entrepreneurship,

28:52

hire as many people as I can because

28:55

that's what I do. And I take a lot of

28:57

flak. I mean, Jake's hitting me hard

28:59

today and he and I appreciate he's an

29:01

intelligent guy and he's got an opinion

29:03

and I'm glad we're in this narrative and

29:06

having this discourse. It's important,

29:08

but let's deal with fact,

29:11

not rhetoric and not hysteria. Because I

29:15

still go back to the robots eating the

29:17

babies, cuz that's all I all I listen to

29:19

every day. It's just ludicrous. And I

29:22

don't think robots are actually going to

29:24

do as much as people think or look the

29:27

way they think. They're not going to be

29:28

humanoid walking around taking out your

29:30

garbage. That's not how it's going to

29:32

work. Robots have been building cars for

29:34

decades now and doing other things in

29:37

medical research and robotics have been

29:39

used in all kinds of technologies and

29:41

chipm and everything else but they don't

29:43

they don't look like people walking

29:45

around. So, you know, I I say to myself,

29:48

we don't know what we don't know, and

29:50

that's fair. But to say that all of

29:52

these AI companies are making billions

29:55

of dollars and something else, and Jake

29:58

knows this, most of the taxes in America

30:03

are paid by the rich people. They pay

30:06

their fair share now. So if you take it

30:09

past 50%

30:12

like California, like New York, like New

30:15

Jersey, like Massachusetts in the

30:18

Constitution of America with the

30:20

forethought of the founding fathers,

30:22

they believed in the competition of

30:24

states. And so you have people moving

30:28

Schultz to Florida, you know, the Google

30:31

guys to Florida, some have gone to

30:34

Texas. If you want to steal rich

30:36

people's money, go ahead. They'll just

30:38

move. And if you really make it

30:41

difficult for them in every state in

30:42

America, they'll do what they did in

30:44

England. They'll find a new America.

30:46

That's what made America great to over

30:48

200 years ago. Taxation.

30:51

It doesn't work. The thing about

30:53

socialism and communism is you run out

30:55

of other people's money very quickly

30:58

because they simply leave. The French

31:01

figured that out. That's what happened

31:03

any in England when they raised 90% tax

31:05

rates. Monaco, I mean, it only exists

31:09

because the French screwed the rich

31:10

French guys and they all move four miles

31:12

across the border. It's very simple. You

31:15

want to support entrepreneurship and job

31:18

creation. Only onethird of the

31:20

population in America can be

31:22

entrepreneurs and they employ the other

31:24

twothirds. That's the way it's been for

31:27

200 years and it's a great thing. And I

31:31

don't see anybody else investing money

31:33

anywhere else except America 52% of the

31:36

time. 52 cents of every dollar on earth

31:40

from sovereign wealth comes to America

31:43

because it has the opportunity. No other

31:45

country. I don't see a lot of people

31:47

saying boy would I like to invest in

31:49

North Korea. Hey, can you get me into

31:51

Russia? Is there a Russian fund I can

31:54

invest in? Oh, can I invest in Cuba? I

31:57

don't think so. I don't want to put my

31:59

money there for retirement. That's why

32:01

I'm talking about this. The facts are

32:03

the facts. Get over it. Inhale.

32:07

Everybody chillax and let's keep the

32:09

American dream going.

32:12

Jen, I'll get your response to that.

32:14

Many things said there. I mean, the core

32:15

argument there is if you try and tax

32:17

rich people, they're going to leave and

32:18

go somewhere else and, you know, we

32:19

might end up like Cuba.

32:21

>> Yeah. So, I did I miss this meme about

32:25

the robots eating the kids because I

32:27

don't know why they

32:29

>> I love the robots eating the kids. I

32:30

just don't think it's going to happen.

32:33

>> I don't think anybody thinks it's going

32:34

to happen. It sounds like it was made

32:36

up. Um, okay. So, there's some

32:38

fear-mongering about robots eating kids

32:40

and how America's going to turn

32:42

communist or something. No, no, no.

32:44

Look, as I said, we're capitalists.

32:46

We're just trying to figure out what's

32:47

the best way to do this. Capitalism

32:50

isn't supposed to be let's crush the

32:52

average guy and make sure the corporate

32:53

CEOs get everything. I'm a corporate

32:55

CEO, but it's not right and it's not

32:57

balanced and it's not American. The

32:59

American way is to make sure that we

33:01

build a super strong middle class that

33:04

are great, productive citizens, voters,

33:07

and by the way, consumers, right? And so

33:10

if we lose track of that, then we're all

33:14

going to be doomed. So, like Kevin's so

33:17

worried that somebody's going to take

33:18

his money. And it's not just Kevin. They

33:20

always like threaten us like, "Oh, oh

33:22

yeah, we'll leave. I mean, don't

33:24

threaten me with a good time." Uh, but

33:26

but beyond that,

33:29

okay, but beyond that, Kevin, that's not

33:32

going to be your main problem. When you

33:33

don't have any consumers, that's going

33:35

to be your main problem. You have to

33:38

protect the American middle class. That,

33:40

you know, you could argue that's the

33:42

goose that lays the golden eggs. And you

33:44

guys keep chipping away and chipping

33:46

away at that middle class. And so right

33:48

now, Stephen, this late into the

33:50

conversation, still no plans on what to

33:53

do with inevitable massive unemployment.

33:57

And what I'm telling you is we're not

33:58

going to go necessarily to communism,

34:00

but we are going to wonder, wait, why is

34:03

everyone unemployed and and only a

34:06

couple of people have reaped billions or

34:08

trillions of dollars? So, and and and

34:10

come on, Kevin. You know, you know how

34:12

uh the economy works and the markets

34:14

work. Yes, you invest into it in the

34:16

beginning and that's why right now

34:17

they're theoretically losing billions of

34:19

dollars. Same exact thing that happened

34:20

to Amazon. And then later you make

34:22

billions and maybe even trillions.

34:23

That's why their stock prices are so

34:25

high. And so they're powered by that

34:28

investment and later they'll reap the

34:30

rewards. And when they reap those

34:31

rewards, it's fair to ask who got you

34:34

those rewards. It's not to say that the

34:36

entrepreneurs didn't and the employees

34:38

and the shareholders of those companies

34:39

didn't, but there were other factors

34:41

involved, including all the American

34:43

government and the American people that

34:45

supported the infrastructure that made

34:47

that happen. That conversation is going

34:49

to be inevitable when we have tens of

34:51

millions of people unemployed. And and

34:54

guys, there's one other factor that's

34:55

involved there. When you have a lot of

34:58

unemployed young men sitting around,

35:01

usually what happens is nothing good.

35:04

Wars happen, crime goes up. We have to

35:07

be prepared. And all I'm hearing from

35:10

the AI industry is like, as Kevin said,

35:13

chillax. Don't sweat it, bro. Don't

35:16

worry. We're going to have all the money

35:18

and then you guys, I don't know, you'll

35:19

figure it out and I'll be in Monaco.

35:21

Monaco. That was hilarious. Monaco.

35:26

So maybe that's where the child eating

35:27

robots are. Uh, so Kevin, be careful.

35:30

>> Kevin, your thoughts on that? No. No.

35:32

there's, you know, saying there's no

35:34

answers and we're we're being asked to

35:35

just chillax. I think Kevin, you do

35:37

acknowledge that there will be a change

35:39

in the occupation mix in America, right?

35:42

Even as a a founder and CEO myself and

35:44

as a business owner that employs

35:45

hundreds of people, I am thinking

35:47

differently about especially entry-

35:49

level positions in a way that I wasn't

35:52

honestly 6 months ago before some of the

35:53

models got more advanced, especially as

35:55

it relates to things like coding. But

35:57

I'm thinking very, very differently

35:58

about who to hire. And actually, one of

36:00

the things I find myself naturally doing

36:01

is the person that still is on the

36:03

coldface of hiring in my company is when

36:05

I see entry- level positions, the first

36:07

thing I'm looking for is if they have an

36:08

AI proficiency. And there are candidates

36:11

now, even for me at entry- level

36:12

positions that I'm not selecting for

36:14

because I realize that someone with an

36:15

AI proficiency in that exact same role

36:18

is now like a five or 10x person. And so

36:22

I I'm just experiencing myself making

36:24

different hiring decisions as a founder.

36:26

And I'm I'm sure you are as well. People

36:29

think that engineers are going to be

36:31

replaced by AI codew writing. Uh claude

36:35

is one of the tools being used right

36:36

now. But actually most engineers aren't

36:40

hired to write code. They're hired to

36:43

solve problems. They use code to try and

36:46

solve those problems. So you know

36:48

companies that have been firing people,

36:51

everybody's attributing it to AI. It's

36:53

not true. There's been a lot of fat in a

36:56

lot of these companies that hired trying

36:58

to assume what would happen next. They

36:59

got it wrong. So I don't think we've yet

37:01

seen what the outcome's going to be. I

37:04

tend to be the optimist as I talked

37:06

about other technologies in the past

37:09

being loathed for the fact that they

37:11

cause disruption. There is no question

37:13

AI is disruptive.

37:15

Um

37:16

>> Kevin, did you see this week Figure AI,

37:18

which is one of the humanoid robot

37:19

companies, did a live stream for I think

37:21

it was four days where they just showed

37:23

a robot um on a sort of factory floor

37:27

sorting out parcels for four straight

37:29

days and it it did it better and faster

37:31

than humans doing it. This was a

37:33

humanoid robot. And so the one of the

37:35

things I think about is if you listen to

37:37

someone like Elon Musk who's made a

37:38

prediction, this is a direct quote from

37:40

him. My prediction is that there will be

37:42

far far more robots like intelligent

37:44

robots in the world than there will be

37:46

people. Long term I think the ratio of

37:48

humanoid robots will be more like 2:1.

37:52

There might be two humanoid robots or

37:55

more for every one human. And when you

37:58

when you think about Elon Musk's

37:59

predictions over time, to his credit,

38:01

sometimes his time frames are wrong. But

38:04

when he says the rocket is going to land

38:06

on the chopsticks, the rocket eventually

38:08

lands on the chopsticks. when he says,

38:10

"My car in LA, my Tesla, will eventually

38:12

drive itself without me interfering,"

38:14

the car eventually drives itself. So,

38:16

with Elon's track record in predicting

38:18

what he'll be able to do with

38:19

technology, I think he's got a pretty

38:21

solid track record. So, when he says

38:23

these humanoid robots are going to be

38:25

better at surgery or cleaning or

38:28

whatever than humans in short order,

38:31

sometimes predicting, you know, time

38:33

frames of 2027, 2028, I tend to believe

38:37

him. Is he lying? Because if he's

38:39

telling the truth, what we're seeing is

38:41

both the disruption of intelligence, but

38:43

also, one could say, the disruption of

38:44

our muscles at the same time. And I

38:47

can't think of a comparable like the

38:48

industrial revolution where humans like

38:51

two real um sort of professional

38:54

productivity driving forces of their

38:56

brains and their their physicality are

38:59

being disrupted at the same time. And

39:01

just to give you another story to

39:02

overlay onto this, my co-founder and my

39:04

company called Third Webb, big company,

39:05

we've raised 30 odd million dollars.

39:07

It's out in San Francisco. I went down

39:09

to his his uh entrepreneurship

39:11

accelerator. I've not been there in 2

39:13

years. And I I arrived and I was like,

39:14

"Why is everyone building robotics?" And

39:16

he said to me, he goes, "Stephen, the

39:18

robot pieces have been here for decades.

39:20

We've always had them. What we've been

39:21

missing and the expensive part was the

39:23

intelligence." And he tooured me through

39:25

this 40,000 square ft um building called

39:28

Ethink down in San Francisco. And I saw

39:30

a robot cooking with a robot arm making

39:34

food. I saw a robot making perfume for

39:37

you. Whatever perfume you wanted, this

39:39

big machine that just makes it for you.

39:40

And he says, because we've got

39:41

intelligence and we've always had the

39:43

machinery, there's going to be this huge

39:45

explosion of robotics that we've always

39:47

been waiting for. Intelligence was the

39:49

missing piece. And now he says it costs

39:51

pennies and everyone there is building,

39:53

not software anymore. They're all

39:54

building robotics. And so for me, I was

39:57

like, wow,

39:58

the future's going to look very, very

40:00

different, I think, in short order than

40:02

the past. And I'm just a realist. So,

40:03

I'm not trying to be pessimistic or

40:05

optimistic. I think there's truth on

40:06

both sides. But Kevin, do you

40:08

acknowledge that the jobs that we have

40:10

today in large part are going to go

40:12

away.

40:13

>> Yeah. You know, I don't think um shaking

40:16

a perfume bottle is a great job for

40:18

anybody, but I do think, and I'll give

40:20

you two examples, cuz maybe you're right

40:22

about Elon, he doesn't get a big chunk

40:25

of his stock unless he populates Mars

40:27

with a million people. NASA announced 6

40:30

hours ago that they're going to put a

40:32

permanent

40:34

plant there on the moon, an established

40:37

base on the moon. Can you imagine the

40:41

hundreds of thousands of jobs just those

40:45

two activities are going to create to

40:48

actually execute on that highpaying jobs

40:53

engineers analysts coders everything the

40:56

manufacturing of facilities to take to

40:58

Mars to take to the moon I mean

41:00

everybody wants to talk about the guy

41:02

shaking perfume bottles losing his job

41:05

when you're talking about millions of

41:07

jobs on new opportunities for mankind

41:10

that no one even could think about 24

41:13

months ago that have been announced

41:14

today. So, you either have to be a

41:18

jaker, a doomser, like you know, it's

41:21

the end of the free world as we know it

41:22

and we're all going to be eaten by

41:23

robots or you're in my camp saying the

41:26

opportunity is so bright I got to wear

41:29

shades. I got to buy more sunglasses for

41:32

how bright the future is. This is an

41:34

unbelievable opportunity we're talking

41:36

about. And we're not wiping out jobs.

41:40

We're creating new jobs that are very

41:42

highpaying and really interesting for

41:45

people to do. Imagine somebody working

41:47

on the Mars project or putting data

41:50

centers in space or expanding the

41:54

telecommunications on Starlink. I mean,

41:57

these are the future jobs. No, you know,

42:00

I think the person that was born to

42:02

shake perfume would rather have a job

42:05

getting people onto the moon.

42:06

>> Just on this point, Elon, you mentioned

42:08

Elon's pay packet. Part of that is he

42:10

gets that big payout if there are a

42:11

hundred uh sorry, a million humanoid

42:14

robots um in very short order. And when

42:17

we think about who you might want to

42:18

send to Mars, a super intelligent

42:21

humanoid robot is probably much easier

42:23

to send than a biological human being

42:26

for v various reasons to do with

42:27

atmospheric pressure. But if if he's

42:30

right on both counts on both this

42:32

journey to Mars and humanoid robots,

42:34

presumably it'll be the humanoid robots

42:35

going. I just wanted Kevin, can you tell

42:37

me how you might be wrong? I think

42:40

that's quite important because I think

42:41

it it it shows your ability to see both

42:43

sides of the argument. Is there a case

42:45

where you could be wrong about this

42:47

about this unemployment issue?

42:49

>> No. How about that for an answer,

42:54

>> Jen?

42:58

Yeah. So, look, I shouldn't laugh too

43:00

hard because I'm trying to answer that

43:03

same question in my head. And Stephen,

43:05

it's hard to uh answer it from my

43:08

perspective because the interregnum is

43:12

just unaccounted for. So, here's what I

43:15

mean by that. So, even if we have

43:17

Kevin's beautiful uh sunshine scenario,

43:21

none of the robots ever eat the

43:22

children. I don't know why that keeps

43:24

coming back in, but anyway. Um so and

43:28

and we create all these wonderful jobs

43:30

in in some uh distant future. Well,

43:33

okay. Yes. But the nevertheless, the

43:35

truck driver and the assembly line guy

43:37

and all those folks already lost their

43:39

jobs. And the guy who lost his job on an

43:42

assembly line in Cleveland is not going

43:44

to be able to become the engineer who

43:47

figures out how to get on Mars. So, it's

43:50

not that he's not capable of it. he's

43:52

just 61 years old and he he can't learn

43:55

a whole new profession. So this is an

43:57

unrealistic conversation. So even if all

44:01

of the wonderful scenarios about AI are

44:03

true, it would take minimum 20 years to

44:06

get to this place where the robots are

44:09

running everything, we all have leisure

44:11

time and we just can't figure out what

44:12

to do with ourselves and we decide how

44:14

to get to Venus and and Uranus and

44:17

wherever else you want to go. Okay. But

44:20

in the meanwhile, in those 20 years, we

44:23

had massive waves of unemployment. It is

44:26

indisputable. Even as Kevin explains it,

44:29

he says, "Well, you know, you're not

44:30

going to be doing doing the perfume

44:31

shaking, you're not doing the assembly

44:33

line, you're not doing the driving,

44:34

you're not doing this, you're not doing

44:35

that. All those jobs are going to go."

44:38

And in fact, if you actually just listen

44:40

to folks on Wall Street, they brag about

44:42

it nonstop. Oh, we're going to get to,

44:45

you know, cut 25%. We're going to have

44:47

synergies. we're going to have cost

44:49

cutting. And then when people say that,

44:51

everybody gets the analysts get excited

44:52

and they're like, "Oh, bye, bye."

44:54

They're going to fire all their

44:55

employees. And then the other guy goes,

44:56

"No, no, no. I'm going to fire them even

44:58

quicker." And they go, "Bye, bye bye."

45:00

And not once have they thought, "Who's

45:01

going to buy the actual products?" And

45:04

they just don't have an answer for that.

45:06

So into into there is going to be

45:09

upheaval, massive upheaval. And it

45:11

doesn't And I'm not a doomsday guy. My

45:14

god, we have a thing called Operation

45:16

Hope on on the Young Turks. Um, we our

45:20

slogan is get caught trying. No, no, I'm

45:22

an enormously optimistic guy and I think

45:24

we can solve these issues, but we got to

45:26

try to solve them. And I don't see

45:28

anyone even trying to solve them now

45:30

again outside of Roana.

45:32

>> Kevin, I spoke to Dra, the CEO of Uber,

45:35

and I think I'm right in saying that

45:36

driving is the biggest employer in the

45:38

world. And when I asked Dra, who's the

45:40

CEO of Uber, if they're going to um

45:43

create autonomous vehicles very very

45:45

quickly to automate the 9.4 million

45:49

drivers that they have. He said that

45:51

they are. And then I asked him the

45:52

question, what will those 9.4 million

45:54

people do? And his response to me, the

45:56

direct quote is he said, I don't know.

46:00

Which is pretty pretty shocking. He also

46:04

noted that privately he said, "I have to

46:07

be honest. AI will replace 9.4 million

46:10

jobs at Uber. Tech executives are not

46:13

being transparent about AI. They talk

46:15

behind closed doors about the sheer

46:16

amount of disruption they anticipate,

46:18

but they don't talk about it publicly.

46:22

Look, I don't think we're going to make

46:23

any progress, more progress on this

46:24

issue." So, um, because

46:27

>> well, I think I think you're bringing a

46:28

great point, but the fact is we don't

46:30

know what comes next. Much of the reason

46:33

most people haven't posted content or

46:35

built their personal brand is because

46:37

it's hard and it's timeconuming and

46:39

we're all very very busy and if you've

46:41

never posted something before there's so

46:44

many factors in your psychology that

46:46

stop you wanting to post what people

46:48

will think of you am I doing this right

46:50

is the thing I'm saying absolutely

46:51

stupid all of these result in paralysis

46:54

which means you don't post and your feed

46:56

goes bare I'm an investor in a company

46:59

called Stanto which you've probably

47:01

heard me talk about and what they've

47:02

been building is this new tool called

47:03

Stanley that uses AI, looks at your

47:06

feed, looks at your tone of voice, looks

47:07

at your history, looks at your best

47:08

performing posts, and tells you what you

47:11

should post, makes those posts for you.

47:13

You can also just use it for

47:14

inspiration. And sometimes what we need

47:16

when we're thinking about doing a post

47:18

for our social media channels is

47:19

inspiration. Building an audience has

47:21

fundamentally changed my life, and I

47:23

think it could change yours, too. So,

47:25

I'm inviting you to give this new tool a

47:27

shot and let me know what you think. All

47:29

you have to do is search

47:30

coach.stand.sto. store now to get

47:32

started.

47:35

>> Steve, what are you doing?

47:36

>> Uh, just making myself a delicious

47:38

coffee

47:39

>> from the freezer.

47:40

>> From the freezer? Have you not heard

47:41

about CompTIA?

47:42

>> No.

47:43

>> Oh my gosh, this is going to change your

47:44

life. Couple of months ago, the founder

47:47

of this business called Matt sent a big

47:48

shipment of this coffee to our office in

47:52

London. What most people don't know is

47:53

that the processing of coffee takes out

47:54

a lot of the taste. So, what they do is

47:56

they flash freeze it at the optimal

47:59

moment when it's most tasty and they

48:02

send you in the post the coffee in these

48:04

little frozen ice cubes. Now, Matt sent

48:06

a big shipment to my office. I moved it

48:08

to the kitchen. I said to the team,

48:09

"Knock yourselves out." And then I saw

48:11

so many messages in our Slack channel of

48:12

people going, "Oh my god, what the hell

48:15

is that? It's so delicious." All I have

48:17

to do is pop it out in the morning using

48:19

the little button on the back of this

48:20

thing. I pour my hot water in and I mix

48:23

it and that is done. You can get $30 off

48:27

your first order of Cometier coffee if

48:30

you go to cometier.com/stephven.

48:33

Try it and please Instagram DM me,

48:35

LinkedIn me and let me know if you love

48:37

it as much as I do.

48:40

One of the things that's probably going

48:41

to be a disruptor to

48:44

AI's so I should say America's ability

48:46

to pursue these technologies is what's

48:48

going on with president approval ratings

48:50

at the moment. I've got this uh graph

48:52

here in front of me which you you know

48:53

you don't need to be able to zoom in to

48:55

see which shows that President Trump's

48:57

approval rating is declining rapidly in

48:59

part because of what's going on in the

49:00

Middle East. I wanted to get um Jenk

49:03

your opinion on what all of this stuff

49:05

is. As someone like me I don't really

49:06

know much about politics. I know that

49:08

there's these midterms coming up in

49:09

November time in the US, um, which is

49:12

going to be consequential, but from a

49:14

30,000 foot perspective, how do I how do

49:17

I pass out the truth of this war?

49:19

Because Trump seems to be saying

49:20

different things. Every day there's a

49:21

ceasefire with Iran, and then there's

49:23

and then they're bombing again. I think

49:25

2 days ago, they started bombing again,

49:26

which they call defensive strikes, and

49:28

then there's a ceasefire, and he says

49:29

there's a deal about to be done, and

49:31

then there's some bombing again. The

49:32

straight straight of Hormuse is open,

49:34

then it's closed, then it's I just don't

49:35

know what the truth is. Chank, in your

49:37

opinion, what is the truth? What's going

49:38

on?

49:40

>> Yeah. So, first let's start with uh the

49:42

president's polling numbers. Yeah.

49:43

They've been uh decimated by this war.

49:46

They were already in trouble because the

49:47

Epstein files and he didn't do anything

49:48

about affordability. Just gave a massive

49:51

tax cut for the rich as usual. Did

49:53

whatever Israel wants as usual. Uh and

49:56

so now, uh you know, he's eaten into his

49:59

own base. So, he's barely hanging on to

50:02

a majority of non-MAGA Republicans that

50:06

voted for him. Only 53% still support

50:08

him. He's lost about 20% of hardcore

50:11

MAGA. Uh his disapproval numbers are at

50:14

record numbers now. Um 68% of the

50:17

country thinks we're going in the wrong

50:18

direction. Uh he they about 76% of the

50:22

country is dissatisfied with how the

50:24

economy is going. And a lot of that is

50:27

because of the war. And so the war is

50:29

obviously driving up gas prices which is

50:31

then uh leading to uh inflation in other

50:34

areas. Of course a lot of things uh use

50:37

not just oil and gas but fertilizer

50:40

which has also been blocked uh through

50:42

the straight of hormuz. So we're we're

50:44

having an energy crisis um actually

50:46

mainly in Asia and Europe uh more so

50:49

than than even America. So that's why

50:51

the South Koreans are livid at the

50:53

Israelis that they're having to cons,

50:55

you know, conserve gas and go through

50:58

lean times because Israel wanted this

51:00

war and literally no one else on planet

51:02

Earth did. And so shortages in India and

51:06

this is all before we re-engage and

51:09

restart the war, which is what I'm

51:10

afraid is going to come next. So now

51:13

it's some folks have a hard time

51:16

believing this, but we we have to go

51:17

back to a conversation we had earlier.

51:19

Remember in America we legalize bribery.

51:23

So um one uh corporation can give to an

51:27

infinite amount to a super PAC uh

51:29

corporate interest, lobbyists,

51:31

individuals. To give you a sense of the

51:33

scale of the problem, one family alone

51:35

uh the Aden family, Miriam and Sheldon

51:37

Adlesen have given Donald Trump over

51:40

$317

51:42

million in campaign contributions. We

51:44

used to have a word for that. It was

51:46

called a bribe. And Trump is so

51:49

accidentally honest on this stuff, he

51:51

just can't keep anything in his head uh

51:53

from going outside his mouth. So he has

51:56

said, "Oh, Miriam, she cares more about

51:58

Israel than America, right?" I'm like,

52:00

"No, that's super awkward." And then he

52:02

says, "Oh, Sheldon Adlesen used to come

52:04

in here and tell me what to do all the

52:05

time." And then I did it, you know, and

52:07

I moved the embassy for the Adles, our

52:09

embassy in Israel. He's just, you know,

52:12

basically selling off our foreign

52:13

policy. To be fair to him, almost all of

52:15

our politicians do that. uh Israel gives

52:17

to 94% of Congress. So there Israel is

52:21

not some unique lobbyist that uh

52:23

community that is unseen in the world.

52:26

No, all the lobbyists do this. That's

52:28

why we give $35 billion in uh oil

52:31

subsidies which they're profitable

52:33

companies. That makes no sense. Why does

52:35

an average person have to give money to

52:36

Exon Mobile? That's insanity. Because

52:39

big pharma's lobby is so strong, we

52:41

can't negotiate prices. Now, when it

52:43

comes to Israel, that's when people lose

52:45

their minds. And mainstream media goes,

52:46

"Okay, you're right about big farmer.

52:48

You're right about big oil and defense

52:49

contractors and every other lobby. But

52:51

if you say the same exact thing about

52:53

Israel, we'll call you an anti-semite,

52:55

cancel you, and you're never going to

52:57

ever get another job again. No criticism

53:00

of Israel is allowed without us doing

53:02

massive oppression inside this country."

53:05

So, we've now got Israel that is totally

53:08

empowered to go, you know, rogue. They

53:11

don't follow any laws. They don't follow

53:14

the laws of war crimes. They've now

53:16

invaded Lebanon. They say they're going

53:18

to take all the way to the Latani River.

53:19

They're going to own southern Lebanon.

53:22

They've already ethnically

53:24

cleansed southern Lebanon, moved out a

53:27

million people to ethnically cleanse

53:28

Gaza. Netanyahu on tape bragged about,

53:31

oh, we used to have 53% of Gaza after

53:33

the war. Uh, now we have over 60%. So,

53:36

it was to steal land. That's what it was

53:38

about. It wasn't self-defense. Lebanon's

53:40

not self-defense. Israel invaded them.

53:42

Iran's not self-defense. We invaded

53:44

Iran. This war was utterly pointless,

53:47

especially from an American perspective.

53:49

Let me tell you what American interests

53:51

are and what Israeli interests are. And

53:52

they're very, very different. And in

53:54

America right now, because of we started

53:56

this war, we need the straight of Hormuz

53:57

open. That's what's hurting our gas

53:59

prices and all of our other prices and

54:01

affordability, inflation, all of that is

54:02

connected to the straight of horm. We

54:04

didn't have that problem before the war,

54:06

but now we have it. We've got to open it

54:08

back up. In order to do that, Iran has

54:10

an enormous amount of leverage. We've

54:11

got to make a reasonable peace deal.

54:13

Good news. We were about to have one

54:14

over this weekend. And all we want

54:18

theoretically is for them to take out

54:20

their to not make nuclear weapons. And

54:22

they've already promised 18 different

54:24

times that they wouldn't do that. They

54:25

did it under the Obama deal. They've

54:26

offered it before the war. They've

54:28

offered it during the war. So, that is

54:30

not an issue. And them promising it

54:32

doesn't mean anything. It has to be

54:33

verified. So what they're saying is yes,

54:35

we will have international monitors

54:36

verify that we will not have a weapon.

54:39

So that's the only thing that America

54:40

said they cared about before the war. So

54:42

then we're done. And we just killed 49

54:45

of their top regime leaders. Trump says

54:48

we destroyed their navy, their air

54:49

force, and everything else. We're done.

54:52

We have no American interest in there.

54:53

The only interest left is leave, open up

54:56

the straight of Hormuz so we can get our

54:57

economy back on track. Israel, on the

55:00

other hand, has said they would like,

55:01

and again, this is on tape. Netanyahu

55:03

said it. They would like to be the only

55:06

regional superpower in the Middle East.

55:08

In order to do that, they have to

55:09

destroy every other power in the Middle

55:11

East. Now, good news for them. They

55:13

completely control our Congress and our

55:15

presidents. So, uh they got us to they

55:18

literally gave us a list after 9/11 of

55:20

seven countries they wanted us to attack

55:23

on their behalf. We have attacked all

55:26

seven. Iran was the last one on that

55:28

list. So they want them destroyed so

55:31

that they can't fight back when Israel

55:33

takes more land as they are doing today.

55:35

They don't want anyone to be able to

55:37

defend themselves. They're going to kill

55:40

and take land as much as humanly

55:42

possible. And they want us Americans to

55:44

pay the bill. They say, "You owe us a

55:47

genocide. You owe us endless string of

55:49

wars. You owe us a global war on

55:51

terror." No, that was a global war on

55:53

Israel's neighbors. That cost us $8

55:55

trillion.

55:57

We gave $320 billion to Israel so far

56:00

already. Lifetime. Why? Why? Why don't

56:03

they give us the money back? No. They

56:04

say, "You owe us. You owe us. You owe

56:06

us. That's why we're in this war." And

56:09

by the way, the last thing, Stephen, is

56:11

while we're all distracted in Iran,

56:12

Israel has taken southern Lebanon. And

56:15

now they're saying they're going to keep

56:16

it forever. So that was the point of

56:18

this war. 100% Israeli interest, 0%

56:23

American interest. Let's get out of

56:25

there. Let's stop fighting Israel's wars

56:27

for them and come back home.

56:29

>> What about nuclear weapons? One of the

56:30

pretenses is that they were weeks away

56:33

from enriching uranium to a point where

56:34

that weapon could be used.

56:36

>> Yeah. So that's what Netanyahu has been

56:38

saying for the last 30 years in back in

56:40

the 1990s. Oh, they're weeks away.

56:42

They're weeks away. Do you know and you

56:44

probably don't know because American

56:46

media pretty much works for Israel. And

56:48

now when I say that guys, those are not

56:49

hyperbole.

56:51

Uh the Israeli lobby donate donates I

56:54

would say legally bribes like the other

56:55

lobbies do. 94%

56:59

of Congress. Number one lifetime donor

57:01

to Donald Trump is Israel. Number one

57:02

lifetime donor to Joe Biden. Number one

57:04

lifetime donor to Hakee Jeff, Chuck

57:06

Schumer, Mike Johnson. All of our

57:08

leaders, their number one lifetime donor

57:10

is Apac and the Israeli lobby. They

57:12

completely control our government. And

57:13

then our media comes and lies to us and

57:15

says, "Oh, they're the victims." Well,

57:17

we have eyes. We saw Gaza. Gaza is

57:20

utterly destroyed and Israel did that

57:22

with our money. That's insane. So, no,

57:26

we look, is I don't even think Israel is

57:29

an ally. I I don't know why in the world

57:31

we would ever serve a foreign nation.

57:34

They're treading all over us. They've

57:35

taken our sovereignty away. They've

57:37

taken our freedom away. And all we have

57:39

is these dupes in mainstream media

57:41

telling us about how they're doing

57:43

self-defense. Well, part of self-defense

57:45

is I take your land. Currently, they're

57:48

taping themselves

57:50

going into IDF soldiers are going into

57:52

Lebanese homes, Muslims and Christians,

57:55

stealing all their property. Then they

57:57

put it on online, go a look, we stole

57:59

other things. Then they destroy the

58:01

homes and they say, "Now this is Israeli

58:03

territory." That's not self-defense.

58:04

That's terrorism. It we are supporting a

58:07

terrorist nation and we're giving them

58:10

hundreds of billions of dollars and this

58:12

isn't even helping Israel. were enabling

58:14

their worst instincts and they're

58:16

getting the whole world to hate them.

58:18

How does that help Israel to have the

58:20

whole world despise you because you're

58:22

so selfishly driving up everyone's

58:25

prices and creating endless wars?

58:27

Literally, no other country on earth

58:29

wants this war in Iran to continue other

58:32

than Israel.

58:33

>> Kevin, you have a different perspective

58:35

on the um effectiveness and purpose of

58:38

the the original strikes that Trump did.

58:40

Are you supportive of this military

58:42

operation at large?

58:44

>> Well, you know, I'm not a show for uh

58:46

any politician. I focus on policy

58:49

because that's ultimately what survives.

58:51

Politicians come and go. Policy lingers.

58:53

I've always said that and that's as an

58:55

investor what you have to worry about.

58:57

So, um let's talk about the situation in

59:00

the Middle East for about 49 years. Um

59:05

some people would say 60. It depends

59:07

what you believed in the early years.

59:09

The Persians are were a very advanced

59:12

society in mathematics, poetry, art, you

59:14

name it. Uh they're very famous. And

59:17

then you have this small um

59:20

I I'm going to call it bad management. I

59:23

don't know what else to call it. that

59:25

took this society, brutalized the people

59:28

there, created a million um man army run

59:33

by 150,000 people, a super militia

59:38

um that caused a lot of chaos in that

59:41

region with proxies uh as people have

59:43

been talking about. Um and and the this

59:46

militia is is paid with cash that's

59:50

gotten from um the sales of of energy

59:53

and they would stop killing their own

59:56

people if they didn't get paid. So that

59:58

the the 150,000 that run that country

60:01

that brutalize the almost 100 million

60:03

others. I mean it's a really strange

60:06

platform that hasn't worked for the

60:07

people there for 60 years. But it it was

60:11

tolerated by all the neighbors until 6

60:13

months ago. the United Arab Emirates,

60:16

Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, they they

60:21

wanted to stay out of it because it was,

60:23

you know, it was relatively calm. Every

60:25

6 months the hoodies or one of the

60:28

uranium proxies would blow up an oil

60:30

ship kept the insurance premiums 30%

60:32

higher and then the proverbial poo poo

60:35

hit the fan. Now, China, let's get down

60:38

to business, gets 48% of its energy

60:41

through that straight, as does many

60:44

other Asian countries. So, they, as Jake

60:47

pointed out, um,

60:50

uh, you know, basically are underwater.

60:54

They don't have energy, Jack, I should

60:56

say. So, you know, at the end of the day

60:58

here, um, there's a problem. And so,

61:01

what's going to happen when this is

61:02

over? Um, forget about Look, you can't

61:06

let a You can't let a society that 150

61:09

people there say, "Let's kill

61:12

everybody." I mean, they're on a

61:14

different kind of mandate. They they

61:16

they're a little a little strange. You

61:18

don't want to give those people a

61:19

nuclear bomb. I don't care who you are.

61:22

They're just offside. And they they're

61:24

happy to kill their own people, but I

61:25

don't want them killing everybody else

61:26

with interbolistic missiles. So, no,

61:28

they can't have 90 pounds of rich

61:30

uranium. and they're not going to get it

61:33

and they're going to keep getting bombed

61:35

until they give it up. And at some

61:37

point, somebody in there is going to

61:38

say, "Whoa, uh, they're really we're

61:41

getting tenderized in here and we got to

61:42

stop this and we got to get the best

61:44

deal we can." We want to stay in power

61:46

to keep killing our people as long as we

61:48

can because we're the 150,000 guys that

61:51

live very well and everybody else lives

61:54

like crap. And that's just the way that

61:56

society works. And if the people want to

61:58

rise up and kill the 150 that are

62:00

killing them, they will one day. I don't

62:02

know. But here's what I think. I think

62:04

the actual countries around there are

62:08

going to end up in the same boat that we

62:11

have in the Suez and Panama canals where

62:14

there's a fee to go through, but it's

62:16

managed so that no country, including

62:18

China, gets to run it. And so that has

62:21

already found peace and all the shipping

62:24

lanes are open and the insurance rates

62:25

are normal there. So, if you're Saudi

62:27

Arabia, you got let's let's say it costs

62:29

five billion a month to police the

62:33

strait. Okay, that's a good number

62:35

because I'm probably right, pretty close

62:37

to it. That's nothing for the UAE and

62:40

for Saudi Arabia and Qatar, Bahrain.

62:43

They're going to need it open. So, if

62:45

they have to be like the United Nations

62:47

for that region and keep it open, that's

62:49

great. Now, I'm staying long the UAE

62:52

because I've invested there in in ADGM.

62:55

I have a company there. I've got

62:56

employees there. I talk to them every

62:58

day. I think this is going to end soon.

63:01

But I would like to see it in a way that

63:04

Iran is isolated. Maybe, you know,

63:07

they're not they can't control the

63:08

strait and they can't have the nukes.

63:10

Those are the two things that I think

63:12

have to be resolved. And then if they

63:14

want to brutalize their people forever,

63:17

okay, you know, they're going to do

63:18

that. It's a horrible outcome for those

63:20

people. I feel terrible for them. But

63:23

this outcome is a good one. If we

63:25

resolve those two things, new policing

63:27

of the strait, that would be great

63:29

because the Chinese need that, they want

63:31

that. And at some point, they're going

63:34

to squeeze the heads of these Iranian

63:36

leaders, whoever they are. They keep

63:37

getting killed and a new one pops up

63:39

like whack-a-ole. But that's just the

63:41

way that regime works. And nobody's

63:43

willing to to say, "Look, I I want to

63:45

take them over because you got the army

63:47

still being paid." But by blocking that

63:50

straight for the last 60 days, the the

63:54

amount of money they're losing is 210

63:58

million US per 24 hours. So at some

64:03

point, whoever's running the show there

64:05

is going to say, "If we can't pay our

64:07

soldiers to kill our people, we're going

64:09

to be screwed. They're going to come up

64:11

to the top of the castle and take

64:13

Frankenstein out." So we got to make

64:15

sure we cut a deal. That's why I'm

64:17

optimistic. The price of oil is down

64:19

almost 16%. It'll get back near 70. I

64:23

don't know what that's going to do for

64:24

the midterms because, you know, yeah,

64:27

the numbers are terrible, but every

64:28

incumbent gets screwed in the midterms.

64:30

It's it's just the nature of how it

64:32

works. Now, whether they lose the

64:33

Senate, I don't know. Are they going to

64:35

lose the House? Who knows? But if

64:36

gasoline's back to 70 bucks, we won't be

64:40

having this narrative about

64:41

unaffordability around energy in the

64:43

United States. And you just don't know.

64:46

But I do know that the status quo

64:50

because the UAE and Qatar and Bahrain

64:56

left those Iranians alone until they

64:58

rained missiles on them. Now they're

65:00

pissed. And so it's not business as

65:03

usual. And so I think the the winds of

65:07

change are going to blow through there.

65:09

And maybe the upside is the great

65:11

Persian people get better leadership

65:14

because boy, their leaders suck.

65:16

>> Jenk, it sounds like an optimistic um

65:18

outcome is being forecasted by Kevin and

65:21

I can see you nodding your head there in

65:23

a disagreement, shaking your head.

65:26

>> Yeah. So, look, again, I'm normally an

65:28

optimist here, but we've gotten

65:29

ourselves uh in some significant ruts

65:32

here. So, uh first of all, u you know,

65:36

this whole idea of the Iranian regime is

65:37

bad. Okay. Yeah, it is. Uh, it's Muslim

65:40

fundamentalist. I don't like

65:40

fundamentalists of any religion. I'm an

65:42

atheist. Uh, you know, they abuse their

65:45

people and they're corrupt. No question

65:46

about it. Netanyahu is corrupt. He's up

65:49

on corruption charges that seem to never

65:50

come. Uh, the Israeli settlers are

65:53

religious fundamentalists, biggest

65:55

lunatics on earth. They think that God

65:57

said to kill the Palestinians and take

65:59

their land, and we fund them. We give

66:01

them billions of dollars. So, I'm not in

66:03

favor of any of these uh

66:05

fundamentalists, no matter what religion

66:06

they're from. Now, on the issue of

66:08

nukes, uh, that you asked about earlier,

66:10

Stephen, you know that the reason I

66:12

brought up American media is because

66:13

they pretty much do nothing but Israeli

66:15

propaganda, they never clarified to

66:17

anyone. You know that Iran doesn't have

66:19

a missile that can deliver any warhead

66:22

to America. It just doesn't. It's that

66:25

it's never had it. It didn't have it 30

66:27

years ago when Netanyahu started saying

66:29

it. It doesn't have it today. So, and

66:31

they never enriched uranium up to 90%,

66:33

which is where you would have to get it

66:34

for weapons grade. They get up to about

66:36

60% and then we destroy their nuclear

66:38

facilities and Trump bragged about it

66:39

and now all that's buried underneath. So

66:42

where's the question? They're not even

66:43

close. And and again they've promised

66:46

not only to this repeatedly in

66:49

negotiations, but the former Grand

66:50

Ayatoll, the one we murdered, uh had

66:53

done a fatwa, the most important

66:54

religious edict in Shia Islam, when he

66:57

said we are to never build nukes. So

66:59

when they Hamas has something in their

67:01

charter, the Israelis say oh the charter

67:02

is the most important thing. Then the

67:04

grand ayatollah does a f way import more

67:06

important than a charter and they go

67:08

ignore that. Ignore that. No, no, don't

67:10

ignore that. And why would Iran ever use

67:12

a nuke? If they use a nuke then we

67:14

either Israel or us would strike back

67:16

and would kill 90 million Iranians.

67:18

Nobody wants that. They they want you to

67:20

believe that the Iranians are irrational

67:22

psychotic terrorists. Boo. They're

67:25

Muslims. Oh, that's super scary, right?

67:27

No, there is an irrational government in

67:29

the Middle East. It's it's Israel.

67:32

They're the Iran did not attack a single

67:34

neighbor. Israel has attacked seven

67:36

neighbors. Iran hasn't asked us for a

67:38

single dollar. Israel asked us for

67:40

hundreds of billions of dollars. So

67:43

there's one country that is constantly

67:45

attacking their neighbors and taking

67:47

land. And by the way, the ter the

67:49

civilian kill ratio of the IDF is 83%.

67:53

83% of the people that they kill are

67:54

civilians. That is higher than Hamas or

67:57

Hezblah or any terrorist group on earth.

68:00

and they kill about a hundred times the

68:02

civilians of Hamas. So if Hamas is

68:05

terrorist, it is absolutely indisputable

68:08

that Israel is a terrorist government.

68:10

And yet we're forced to fund that when

68:12

we don't have any money. They have

68:14

universal healthcare. They have free

68:15

college. They have paid family leave. We

68:17

don't have any of that. And then our

68:20

greedy and corrupt politicians and media

68:22

tell us that we owe the Israelis more

68:24

war and more genocide. The reason why I

68:27

think we're in a lot of trouble here and

68:28

it's not going to be easy to resolve is

68:30

every time we get close to peace.

68:32

Netanyahu calls Trump literally happened

68:34

this weekend. Right after the call,

68:36

Trump then goes back to wararm

68:38

mongering. After the call, we bombed

68:41

Iran. Israel started heavy bombing of

68:43

Lebanon. And then Trump came up with

68:46

three new totally impossible things.

68:48

Give me all the highly arrange enriched

68:50

uranium on day one. Well, it's buried

68:52

under the ground. It's going to take

68:53

months to take out. Uh, number two, uh,

68:56

you all have to join the Abraham

68:57

Accords. The Abraham Accords, again,

68:59

American media paints it as, oh, this

69:01

wonderful peace plan. It's no such

69:03

thing. It's to normalize relations with

69:05

Israel and start doing trade with Israel

69:07

without getting a promise back that

69:09

they're going to end the occupation. It

69:11

is betraying the Palestinians and saying

69:13

the Israelis can permanently occupy

69:14

them. By the way, again, never talked

69:17

about in American media, but I we read a

69:19

lot of this in the Israeli press and

69:21

that's why we get a lot of our

69:22

information on the Young Turks from them

69:24

because they actually do pretty good

69:25

reporting in Israel. And so, uh, one of

69:27

the things is they believe in Greater

69:29

Israel. They talk about it all the time.

69:31

Our press never talks about it, but they

69:32

do. They know they stole our nuclear

69:34

secrets. They know they stole our

69:36

nuclear triggers and our uranium. What

69:38

kind of an ally steals all of our

69:40

material? And and so but last thing,

69:43

Stephen, the most important impossible

69:45

thing was Netanyahu demanded, he made

69:47

this public, that everyone else stop

69:50

fighting except Israel, that they have a

69:52

right to keep attacking and invading and

69:54

taking southern Lebanon. Well, that's

69:56

not a peace deal. Nobody's going to sign

69:59

on to that. So, and and Israel has said

70:02

no matter what happens, they're going to

70:04

keep attacking Lebanon. That means even

70:06

if Iran and America make a peace deal,

70:08

Israel will literally ruin it on a first

70:11

day. So we can't ever get to peace as

70:14

long as we're allies with Israel. It's

70:16

literally impossible. They're massive

70:18

wararm mongers. And they say we need

70:20

endless wars. And by the way, it makes

70:22

sense because they're a settler colony.

70:24

In order for a settle settler colony to

70:26

expand, you need permanent war so they

70:30

can keep taking more land. We shouldn't

70:32

be funding these terrorists. We have a

70:34

way of getting out. This is what you do.

70:36

You just say, "Hey, we make a peace deal

70:38

with Iran. We take Israel out of it.

70:40

Israel, you want peace, you have peace.

70:41

If you want war, have war with Iran.

70:43

It's not our business."

70:44

>> So, what's what what are you predicting,

70:46

Jenk, is going to happen? What is your

70:48

prediction?

70:48

>> Disaster. A positive disaster. So,

70:52

there's no way we're going to get to

70:53

peace because Israel says their line in

70:54

the sand is they're going to keep

70:56

attacking Lebanon. As long as they keep

70:58

attacking Lebanon, Iran is not going to

71:00

get to a peace deal.

71:01

>> What does disaster mean specifically?

71:03

Oh, disaster means we re-engage in the

71:06

bombing. We have 50,000 ground troops on

71:08

those ships. People forgot that we're

71:09

there. Of course, it has to be American

71:11

ground troops. It can't be precious

71:13

Israeli ground troops because Israeli

71:15

lives are apparently worth more than

71:16

American lives if you listen to American

71:18

politicians. So, we have the ground

71:20

troops there. We're going to very likely

71:22

do more disastrous bombing of Iran. And

71:25

then Iran is going to bomb the oil and

71:27

gas fields in of the Gulf countries. And

71:29

then not only will gas prices go

71:32

absolutely through the roof and cause a

71:34

massive economic recession, perhaps

71:36

depression worldwide, but on top of

71:39

that, then uh they're going to say,

71:42

"Well, it's not enough. We want more."

71:45

And the infrastructure is already

71:47

destroyed. It's going to take 5 to 10

71:49

years to rebuild that infrastructure.

71:51

They're going to do permanent damage to

71:53

our economy. Why? They want more land.

71:56

Enough. enough with supporting the

71:59

terrorists.

71:59

>> Kevin, is it fair to say if you look at

72:02

what Trump said over since the start of

72:03

this war that he miscalculated this

72:06

because he gave us a window of time when

72:07

it would be over and that window of time

72:09

is now long gone. And it appears to me

72:11

like he thought it would be similar to

72:13

Venezuela where you could just go in

72:14

there, boom, boom, boom, regime change,

72:17

you control the country. But that's

72:19

clearly, I mean, just like a logical

72:20

impartial person, that's kind of like

72:21

how it looks.

72:23

This is different because this war is

72:26

what I would call the first tech war um

72:30

ever. A lot of the ordinance being used

72:33

um is with very advanced GPS systems

72:36

controlled from space. We've learned

72:38

something else uh which is rather

72:41

interesting. The I learned this from my

72:43

own employees that are sitting in Abu

72:44

Dhabi and Dubai. The drones that came

72:47

over in the first four weeks, those

72:50

waves every morning were basically

72:52

carbon fiber wings with lawnmower

72:56

engines on them and and very inexpensive

73:00

to make about $35,000. and we shot them

73:03

down or at least the UAE did with

73:05

American ordinance between a million2

73:08

and $3 million per missile on a $35,000

73:14

homemade drone. And so it goes back to

73:19

um wow I hope the Pentagon has enough

73:21

compute power because I wouldn't want

73:24

that in the hands of the Chinese cuz I I

73:27

what I've learned from this conflict and

73:29

look that you know people dying is

73:32

horrible period wherever they are it's

73:35

just horrible but this is not a

73:37

traditional war. I don't know if there's

73:39

going to be boots on the ground by the

73:41

time this is over. If there's another

73:42

wave of conflict, it's just going to be

73:45

more ordinance taking out more

73:46

infrastructure until the 150,000 people

73:50

running the show there say, "Wow,

73:53

this is really hurting us in terms of

73:56

maintaining control." I don't see uh a

73:59

boots on the ground invasion. I just see

74:01

more tenderizing and more tenderizing.

74:04

It's expensive because we're on the

74:05

wrong side of defense. We need the cheap

74:08

drones. And I think in two years from

74:10

now, from what I see in the development,

74:12

because I I see these deals all over the

74:14

place, there's a whole bunch of new tech

74:17

being developed around drone blocking

74:19

technology and very inexpensive versions

74:22

of what those Iranians built, better

74:24

than lawnmower engines, though. So, it's

74:27

it's going to be pretty interesting in

74:30

24 months. I'm not a fan of war, but I

74:34

have a different view of the outcome

74:35

here. And I think that part of the

74:37

world's going to be stabilized and

74:39

funded by the neighbors there, and

74:42

probably everybody's better off because

74:44

the Chinese can't take the pain much

74:46

longer. Their oil supplies, both on the

74:49

water and in storage, are starting to

74:53

really dwindle. And if I'm the big

74:55

supreme leader there, I'm thinking to

74:57

myself, I'm going to call those guys in

75:00

Iran, say, "Okay, big boys, time to

75:02

settle. We've had enough." Cuz that that

75:05

is actually

75:07

a different view of that policy over

75:09

there. Because every Asian country is

75:11

hurting. And by the way, in North

75:13

America,

75:14

we actually don't have any problems with

75:17

energy. We have an abundance of it,

75:19

including the stuff coming from Canada,

75:21

the number one import. The problem we

75:24

have is the price of oil is determined

75:26

by world markets. It's a commodity in US

75:29

dollars. You know, it was 106. Now it's

75:32

9712, whatever it is trading right now.

75:35

Um

75:37

it's but we're not going to run out of

75:39

energy in America. That's not going to

75:41

happen. It's it's the rest of the world

75:43

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77:02

vulnerability is the doorway to

77:04

connection. And after sitting here for 2

77:06

three hours with a guest, I feel a deep

77:09

sense of connection to them. And as they

77:11

leave, what I get them to do is to write

77:13

a question in the diary of a CEO. We've

77:16

taken all of the questions from the

77:18

diary of a CEO. We have put the question

77:22

here on this card with the name of the

77:24

person that wrote it. So you can sit at

77:26

home as I do with my fiance and my

77:28

colleagues at work and other people in

77:29

my life. Whenever we get a minute, we

77:31

play the Duracio conversation cards. And

77:34

it is incredible what happens. These are

77:37

great if you're in a romantic

77:38

relationship and you want to connect

77:39

your partner more. These are also great

77:41

if you're in a team and you want to bond

77:43

your team together. And I have to say

77:44

they're also great for families that

77:46

want to learn more about each other and

77:47

that need a good excuse to spend some

77:49

time in a digital world in the analog

77:52

environment connecting human to human.

77:54

It is remarkable what the right question

77:57

at the right time can do. Go to the

77:59

diary.com

78:01

and you can get these conversation cards

78:03

right now.

78:05

The thing that I think America's at risk

78:07

of running out of Kevin though is is is

78:09

patience and uh support. And if you

78:13

think about the sort of existential risk

78:14

to Trump, he you know, if you looking at

78:17

these numbers, so this this first line

78:18

you see is his disapproval going up and

78:20

his approval going down. If I'm the

78:22

supreme leader in Iran, I go listen,

78:25

this guy has got I mean there's an

78:27

election in 2028 in the United States,

78:30

this guy has got months. So in terms of

78:33

you talk about, you know, the art of a

78:34

deal and doing a good deal. If you know

78:36

your counterparty in the deal

78:37

negotiation literally has months to do a

78:40

deal or they are going to be thrown out

78:42

of power, if I'm one of those 150,000

78:45

people or the supreme leader, honestly,

78:46

I'm going to wait it out. I think I have

78:48

all the cards. if you have almost no,

78:51

you know, they can survive. Again, you

78:52

said they oppress their people. They

78:54

don't seem to have much morality

78:55

surrounding that. Could they wait it out

78:57

a couple of months knowing that Trump

78:59

can't because the midterms are coming

79:01

and then the election's coming. I

79:03

>> think you're making a good point on that

79:05

one. But I, you know, the one thing I

79:06

would say, Stephen, is that it's not

79:09

just Trump you're waiting out. You got

79:11

Chi, it's it's not just Trump, the big

79:15

guy. You got two supreme leaders. You

79:17

got whoever is running the show this

79:19

week in Iran

79:22

and you've got the Chinese leader, the

79:25

supreme leader. And the only way he gets

79:27

to say the supreme leader is people eat,

79:30

people have jobs there and his economy

79:33

stays buoyant. That's the only way he

79:36

stays in power. So

79:39

you're you're serving two masters.

79:41

You're you're trying to time the 28

79:44

decision you talked about versus how

79:46

pissed off the big guy is going to get

79:47

in China. He has no choice. 48% of his

79:51

energy comes through that straight at

79:54

some point. I think before November,

79:58

Elsa primo in China squeezes Iranian

80:01

heads like teenage pimples. That's what

80:03

I think is going to happen. The other

80:04

thing just to give you the other thought

80:06

that's been spiraling in my head since

80:08

I've interviewed all these people on

80:09

this subject is that Trump and JD Vance

80:11

repeatedly say they don't even know who

80:12

they're negotiating with because they've

80:14

knocked out every layer it seems of

80:16

leadership. They on one hand brag about

80:17

that but then I would also suggest that

80:20

that makes negotiation hard. I think JD

80:23

Vance actually talked about or Marco

80:25

Rubio talked about the fact that they

80:26

can't get the carrier pigeon to the um

80:30

Iranian soldiers that are still shooting

80:31

the missiles. And this talk this speaks

80:34

to the um lack of organization in Iran

80:36

because you've wiped out all the

80:37

leadership. So I even wonder if you can

80:39

really do a deal at this point with

80:41

Iran, Jenk.

80:43

>> No, we can remember we almost had a deal

80:45

this weekend. Uh and the deal is

80:47

actually kind of obvious. Open up the

80:48

straight of Hormuz. We lift a blockade.

80:51

Iran says uh we'll find the

80:53

highlyenriched uranium and hand it over.

80:55

We won't have a weapons program and

80:57

we'll have international monitors for

80:59

the uranium that we enrich to just

81:02

energy levels, not weapons levels. Boom.

81:04

Done. Easy. Though, but as I explained

81:07

before, we can't get it done because

81:09

Israel says, "No, I want permanent."

81:10

>> How do you know it's Israel? How do you

81:12

know it's Israel, Jenk?

81:14

>> Yeah, there's no question. So first of

81:15

all in the before the invasion New York

81:18

Times with a rare good article that

81:20

explained uh that Netanyahu and the head

81:22

of MSAD came into the situation room

81:25

Netanyahu physically and head of Mossad

81:27

uh through a teleconference and they uh

81:30

told Trump you got to attack you got to

81:32

attack now and they to they at least as

81:35

the New York Times describes it they

81:37

convinced them. Whether they actually

81:38

convinced him through language or

81:40

through money or through blackmail is a

81:43

whole different question. But uh another

81:45

thing that's absolutely clear is that

81:46

after every call with Netanyahu, Trump

81:49

goes from saying we're going to have

81:50

peace to saying we're not going to have

81:52

peace and we're have these new

81:53

impossible standards. It's happened

81:55

about half a dozen times so far. It's

81:57

super clear that Israel is driving the

81:59

bus. Plus, you could see it based on the

82:01

facts on the ground. We have no interest

82:03

there. We have a deal ready to make for

82:05

American interests. Israel says, "No,

82:07

we're not done because we need southern

82:09

Lebanon and we need Iran to be

82:12

completely decimated." This idea that

82:14

Kevin's talking about, to be fair to

82:15

Kevin, almost everybody in in America

82:17

thinks in this, well, now to be unfair

82:19

to Kevin, this fantasy world where the

82:22

regime in Iran is just going to give up.

82:24

It's never going to happen. We already

82:26

tried to regime change it. It it didn't

82:29

work at all. They have an enormous

82:31

infrastructure set up so it doesn't

82:34

really matter how many people you knock

82:35

off at the top, somebody else rises up,

82:37

somebody else rises up out of that

82:39

150,000 people that that Kevin's talking

82:41

about. Now, China, he's got a theory

82:44

that maybe China puts pressure on him.

82:45

That's not a crazy theory. I get it. At

82:47

the same time, China's looking at Russia

82:49

and America and going, "Look at these

82:50

schmucks. Russia is wasting their entire

82:53

military and resources in Ukraine. And

82:55

now America's totally wasting their

82:57

military and resources in Iran. And

83:00

these two other knuckleheads keep

83:02

punching themselves in the face.

83:04

Meanwhile, we haven't started any wars

83:06

if you're China. And so we haven't had

83:08

any of those costs. We haven't had any

83:09

of those troubles. We don't have that PR

83:11

problem. So when we go into Africa or

83:13

Latin America and we say, "Hey, you know

83:14

what? We're going to build roads and

83:15

bridges for you guys and America's going

83:17

to come and bomb you. So which one do

83:19

you want to do a deal with?" Now a lot

83:21

of them are saying, "No, we want to do a

83:23

deal with China." because they don't do

83:25

war. Uh instead they build

83:26

infrastructure. Look, it just is a

83:28

business strategy, an economic strategy

83:30

that is much much smarter. But we can't

83:33

go into a smart strategy because Israel

83:34

won't let us. Every time we go towards

83:37

peace, Israel blocks it. And today, this

83:40

weekend, we had both Republicans and

83:43

Democrats go out and say we shouldn't do

83:45

the peace deal. You want to know what

83:46

the one connective tissue? Every one of

83:49

those politicians had over a million

83:51

dollars given to them by the Israeli

83:53

lobby. So that's just the stone cold

83:55

reality of it. And so in terms of energy

83:58

here at home, Kevin says we're not going

84:00

to run out. But he also acknowledged

84:01

that no, wait a minute, that has nothing

84:03

to do with anything. We oil goes into a

84:06

world market and it is controlled by

84:08

world prices. So the fact that we are

84:10

so-called energy independent means

84:12

nothing. That's not even our oil or gas.

84:15

It's Exon Mobile and Chevrons. So they

84:17

could sell it anywhere they want and

84:19

they do sell it anywhere they want. The

84:20

only way to get them to sell it

84:22

exclusively in America is to do

84:24

socialism and say you're not allowed to

84:26

sell that oil anywhere else. I don't

84:28

think Kevin wants that. So that means we

84:31

are definitely not energyindependent. We

84:34

are definitely tied to global oil prices

84:36

and that means again more disaster. When

84:39

you get to tech, oh my god, the Israelis

84:42

used AI in Gaza. They did this uh

84:44

program called Where's Daddy. AI would

84:47

pick a target uh that was maybe

84:51

connected to someone in Hamas at some

84:52

point, but they did, you know, he called

84:55

this guy and the other guy called other

84:56

guy and that lady now has a cell phone.

84:58

Good enough. But they would wait till

85:00

their target went home so they would

85:03

bomb the house and kill their entire

85:05

family. If that's the future of tech in

85:08

the military, we're all doomed. So,

85:10

they've been testing all of this stuff

85:12

in Gaza and now they're doing in Iran.

85:15

What I'm worried about is what Larry

85:16

Ellison said. He said, "Oh, we now can

85:19

track all citizens anywhere and we're

85:22

going to bring that technology to

85:23

America." I don't want their

85:25

surveillance state. I don't want

85:26

anything to do with the Israelis. Let's

85:28

just come home and serve American

85:31

interest. That's what I keep. That's But

85:33

the good news, Stephen, is almost all

85:35

the voters agree. 80% of Democrats now

85:37

have a negative view of Israel and say,

85:38

"No, take care of American voters first.

85:41

When you get to under 50 years old in

85:44

all parties, Israel now has a negative

85:46

45 rating." The only people left in this

85:49

country who still want to serve Israel

85:51

are our politicians and our media.

85:53

That's it. The rest of us can't stand

85:55

them anymore and the endless wars they

85:57

drag us into and all the money they take

85:59

from us. And Kevin, as a businessman,

86:02

what are we doing? Why are we letting

86:04

this country the size of their

86:06

population is the equivalent of Papa New

86:08

Guinea lead us around by the nose and

86:10

get us into endless wars? You know, this

86:11

war in Iran isn't helping us. And and if

86:14

they continue and they bomb the

86:15

infrastructure in Iran and the Gulf

86:17

countries, you know, it's going to take

86:18

5 to 10 years to rebuild and it is going

86:20

to be a global economic disaster. What

86:24

are we doing? We got to get rid of the

86:25

Israelis. I don't mean that in a

86:27

physical way. Just get them out of our

86:29

government and make decisions based on

86:31

what's good for America. will be 10,000

86:34

times better off and then we could end

86:36

the war.

86:37

>> I think if there was a path to peace in

86:39

the Middle East, it's one of the largest

86:41

consumer markets on earth. Just Iran

86:44

itself has 100 million people. They buy

86:47

stuff. And you know, I think about the

86:50

future of a global economy. If there was

86:53

stability there, uh including peace with

86:55

Israel and their neighbors, that would

86:58

be an amazing market, a huge market. And

87:01

one of the reasons that people like me

87:03

keep a foothold or a footprint in the

87:06

UAE, it is and was the capital of

87:09

capital until nine weeks ago. And I

87:12

think it'll return at some point. That's

87:15

a the size of the market in Egypt,

87:19

Jordan, Sudan, Saudi Arabia, I mean, and

87:24

Iran are they're just huge. And those

87:27

people want stuff that we make. I mean,

87:30

you know, it's that pragmatic. It's that

87:32

So, if you could have peace and

87:35

stabilize and you want to sell stuff,

87:38

that's a massive market. And and I, you

87:40

know, that's why I remain an optimist on

87:43

how this gets resolved because at the

87:45

end of the day, it doesn't matter what

87:46

religion you are or, you know, what

87:49

country you're in or what geography you

87:51

came from. Most people, and I would say

87:54

99% want to raise a family, have a job,

87:57

and enjoy life. they don't want to get

87:59

blown up. And so I'm I'm kind of an

88:01

optimist that it's in everybody's

88:05

interest to solve this. It's kind of

88:06

like the the human condition is I'd like

88:10

to get, you know, I'd like to form a

88:12

family unit and I'd like to live a

88:13

peaceful life and I'd like to buy stuff.

88:15

I want to be a consumer. So I'm uh in

88:18

the camp that says, look, I don't know

88:19

how this thing gets resolved. Nobody

88:21

does. I'm disappointed that there's no

88:24

peace deal this weekend, but hopefully

88:27

there'll be one soon. But in the end,

88:29

most people want peace, period. Unless

88:32

you're, you know, you're crazed as a

88:35

crazed leader and you just want to kill

88:37

everybody. Those people don't last that

88:40

long. They don't seem to, well, they're

88:42

certainly not lasting that long in Iran

88:44

right now, but you're right. They keep

88:45

popping up. But at some point, I don't

88:48

know. I think uh peace is a better deal

88:50

for everybody. There should be a button

88:52

just down below here. And if it says

88:54

subscribed, you're already subscribed.

88:56

If it says subscriber, that means you're

88:58

not yet. And if you're not subscribed,

89:00

please could you do us a favor and hit

89:01

that button? It helps the show more than

89:02

you know. And according to the

89:04

algorithm, you're someone that watches

89:05

our show, but you haven't yet hit that

89:07

button. Thank you so much, Kevin. Um,

89:09

based on that, based on both our

89:11

conversation on AI and also how

89:13

unpopular this war is, what we're seeing

89:16

across the world at the moment is this

89:17

rise in socialism in Western markets.

89:20

We're seeing it in the UK. We're seeing

89:21

it around Europe. And we're also seeing

89:22

it in the United States. Positive views

89:24

of capitalism amongst all Americans has

89:27

dropped to an all-time low according to

89:30

a poll done by Gallup. Um, a massive

89:32

almost 70% of Democrats now view

89:34

socialism positively with only 40%

89:36

roughly view capitalism favorably. And

89:39

again, this was at the end of last year,

89:41

so these stats aren't even factoring in

89:43

the war. And a staggering 62% of young

89:46

Americans hold a favorable view of

89:48

socialism as well. So, as we head

89:49

towards the midterms, but also the

89:51

elections, which I'm not actually that

89:52

far away now. It's quite clear to me, as

89:54

someone that, you know, I I'm an

89:56

entrepreneur in the United States. I I

89:57

live in Los Angeles, as you know. Um I

89:59

build businesses. It's quite clear to me

90:01

that we're on the verge of a very

90:03

different type of America. And we've

90:04

seen, you know, um Zhan Mandani be

90:07

elected in New York, and we're seeing

90:08

this sort of socialistic nar narrative

90:10

spread like wildfire. I think heavily

90:12

fueled by both wars, but also by

90:14

technology, AI, and sort of wealth

90:16

inequality. Do you agree that if things

90:19

continue on this trajectory, we're

90:21

heading towards a more socialist

90:23

America?

90:25

>> No. What I agree on is I'm I'm a history

90:28

buff. Um you can go back into the uh 40s

90:31

and 50s. It seems every 17 to 20 years

90:35

we take um a dip back into socialism and

90:38

back in those days communism even in New

90:41

York in Brooklyn longing for what the

90:44

Soviet Union had or Cuba had in its

90:48

heyday. Um and then the outcome is

90:52

always the same. It doesn't work. And so

90:56

it it really you have all these

90:58

different ideas about how a country

90:59

should run and what works best for all

91:02

the faults that US has now and the

91:05

debates we have and you know AOC and

91:08

Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren and

91:11

all this rhetoric and I get it. I mean

91:13

they're they're very successful

91:14

politicians. I love AOC. She just spews

91:18

out stuff and raises five bucks at a

91:20

time. You know it's smart. It's a great

91:23

social media strategy. And same with

91:24

Bernie. I mean, the guy But will she be

91:27

president of the United States? I don't

91:29

think so. And will Bernie get there? No.

91:32

Why does everybody leave Massachusetts,

91:34

including my son, because you can't

91:36

raise any money there to start a

91:38

company? The super tax is stupid. And

91:41

so, it it's sort of it's it's a it's a

91:44

it's a mixing pot of ideas and

91:46

competition. But in the end, and I

91:50

always say this to my students because I

91:51

I what I find so interesting about, you

91:54

know, a 20 a cohort of 23 year olds that

91:56

I teach in in business classes and

91:59

injury classes, they're all socialists,

92:01

all of them, until they get their first

92:04

paycheck. Then they become capitalists

92:07

when they see something called tax. And

92:10

they wonder, "Wait a second, wait a

92:12

second. Where'd half my salary go?

92:14

What's this?" And I say, "That's tax."

92:17

Now, if you want it to be 80% tax, you

92:20

follow that trail that you had before I

92:23

started teaching you, you were a

92:25

socialist. And now, what are you? Well,

92:28

I can't pay 50% tax. No kidding. Well,

92:31

move to Austin, move to Tennessee, you

92:33

move to Florida like everybody else is

92:35

doing, and you'll pay 16%. And so I love

92:39

the fact that everybody's an idealist

92:41

socialist

92:43

until they get their first paycheck. And

92:45

that's how America works. It's a

92:48

wonderful thing. And I say it's good

92:50

because you all everybody has a vote. We

92:53

continue to believe in that. And I think

92:56

the debate rages on and it's great. And

92:59

everybody has an opinion. I have mine,

93:01

others have theirs. And I love to be

93:03

part of this course. You know, one of

93:04

the reasons I keep doing what I do is I

93:06

love to get into the with

93:08

everybody. I like to say the things I

93:10

say cuz I really believe them and I've

93:13

been there before. I'm wise. I've seen

93:17

this movie before. That's what I tell my

93:19

students and it freaks them out.

93:21

>> Just a yes or no answer in this

93:23

question. So in 2028, do you think

93:25

another capitalistic sort of focused

93:27

candidate will win the election

93:29

>> or do you think a Democrat or a

93:30

socialist will? I don't think

93:32

socialism's going to is socialism going

93:34

to make it in America at the uh in the

93:36

office of the White House. I think the

93:38

pendulum always swings. The Biden

93:41

administration went way too far in one

93:43

direction. It snapped back. Now you

93:46

might argue it went too far the other

93:47

way and it snaps back. The whole idea of

93:50

midterm gives you the smell test of the

93:52

direction which is coming up just months

93:54

away and then you'll see who emerges. I

93:57

don't think we know who the next

94:00

president of the United States is going

94:02

to be, him or her. We don't know who's

94:05

going to emerge.

94:05

>> What's your sense though, Kevin? You're

94:07

you're a predict you're a man that makes

94:08

predictions. Is it Democrat or is it

94:10

Republican in your view? Got to give me

94:11

a straight answer here.

94:12

>> I I I wouldn't even make that guess.

94:14

It's It's so difficult. I really don't

94:16

know. I I I really think that in my

94:19

view, the Democrats have lost their way.

94:22

I would like to see them find a new

94:24

leader that's more moderate.

94:26

I don't think you can spew socialism and

94:29

get elected. You got to find somebody

94:31

that is in the middle that is more

94:34

pragmatic about providing jobs. I mean,

94:36

look at California. What a mess that

94:38

place is. It's just they may actually

94:42

they may hire a Republican mayor out

94:44

there. I mean, that's going to be a

94:46

shakaroo for LA. But it's gotten pretty

94:49

bad. I work out there. It's a you can't

94:52

even wear your watch at daytime anymore.

94:54

I mean, it That's true.

94:56

>> It's a mess. It's a mess. It's a a

94:59

lawless wasteland. It has poor

95:01

management, no executional skills with

95:03

the politicians. I mean, you know,

95:05

you're lucky to be You work there. You

95:07

know what I'm talking about.

95:08

>> Jenk, what's your point of view on that

95:09

socialism? Is it coming to America

95:11

midterms 2028?

95:13

It's a lot to talk about there. So,

95:15

look, I I'm not a fan of Karen Bass. I

95:17

voted against her before. I probably

95:18

vote against her again in this mayor's

95:20

race. Uh, and so I think that sometimes

95:23

Democrats, uh, like to get mired in

95:25

their bureaucracy and not push for

95:27

enough change. So, uh, so I'm not a

95:30

person who just, uh, supports Democrats

95:32

no matter what. In fact, I criticize

95:34

Democrats a lot on the Young Turks. Uh,

95:36

but no, you're not going to get your

95:38

watch stolen in LA. Uh, I have a family.

95:41

We go out all the time. It's perfectly

95:42

safe. Uh, so for a little while between

95:45

2019 and 2023, crime really did rise in

95:47

some of the big cities. We talked about

95:49

on the air. were very honest about it.

95:51

It took some heat from the left on it,

95:53

but crime's gone down significantly in

95:54

24 and 25. So, I don't think those are

95:56

real issues anymore. In terms of uh our

95:59

economic model, we need a couple of

96:01

clarifications here. So, as I said

96:03

earlier, we we really do corporatism in

96:05

America. And another word for that or

96:07

phrase for it is crony capitalism. So,

96:09

we'd be lucky to get back to capitalism,

96:12

let alone going all the way to socialism

96:14

because right now we don't have

96:15

capitalism. We don't have free markets.

96:17

We have uh every industry has captured

96:20

the government. They've bribed all of

96:21

our politicians. We can't negotiate

96:24

prices. Uh these are the I mean that is

96:26

the most socialist thing I've ever heard

96:28

except socialism for corporations. It's

96:30

mindbending. And that's and that's what

96:32

corporism is. It's totally run a muck

96:34

now. And why is that? Because of money

96:36

and politics. So in order to fix all of

96:38

these problems and to get back to real

96:40

free markets and capitalism, you have

96:43

got to get the money out of politics. If

96:45

you don't do that, you're just on a

96:47

treadmill of corruption and it never

96:49

ends. And you get BS guys like Biden and

96:52

Trump who come in and tell you that

96:53

they're going to drain the swamp and

96:55

then they fill it up even more and even

96:56

more. So they and they serve all their

96:58

donors. So in terms of socialism, we

97:01

never define what it means. The reality

97:03

is most governments are mixed economies.

97:06

Not most governments, almost all

97:07

governments are mixed economies. So when

97:10

we say socialism, are we talking about

97:12

Cuba or are we talking about the

97:14

Netherlands? Because you could argue

97:16

that Northern Europe does socialism. Uh

97:18

they have a lot more things that are

97:20

public rather than private. But do they

97:22

have private businesses? Of course they

97:24

do. Right? So I would argue that

97:26

democratic capitalism is the right way

97:27

to go where we have capitalism, but it

97:29

is checked by democracy. the CEOs and

97:32

the shareholders look out for the

97:34

companies and the legislators and the

97:36

president and the prime ministers are

97:37

supposed to look out for the citizens

97:39

and check the corporations so they don't

97:41

run a muck. I think Northern Europe's

97:43

probably pretty close to that. In terms

97:44

of candidates here in America,

97:47

again, I'd have to say Roana is probably

97:49

the closest one to that. And so if you

97:51

go too far left, um I get it that that's

97:55

hard, especially on identity politics,

97:57

which again we're not a fan of on the

97:59

Young Turks and we don't think that's

98:01

the right direction to go and it just

98:03

divides our country. Uh so I don't think

98:05

that that type of far-left candidate can

98:07

can win a national election. But after

98:09

what Trump does this to this country,

98:12

what he's already done to this country,

98:13

Republicans, I have one thing to tell

98:15

you. N

98:19

there's no way. The the midterms are

98:22

gone. Nobody's showing up to vote. Their

98:24

voter enthusiasm is gone, obliterated.

98:28

And by 2028, we're going to have the

98:30

disaster from the war and disaster from

98:33

AI, unemployment. So they they only have

98:36

one guy who could win, and I'm worried

98:38

about it, and that's Tucker Carlson. If

98:41

Tucker runs in the Republican primary,

98:43

he definitely wins that primary. You can

98:45

quote me on it. And then you could have

98:46

Kevin laughing and you could rerun that

98:48

tape. It'll be great. In fact, back in

98:50

2016, I was on ABC's This Week with

98:53

Stephanopoulos. They asked the whole

98:55

panel who's going to win. At that point,

98:56

they just won the Democratic National

98:58

Convention and Hillary Clinton had a

98:59

10-point lead. I was the only one on the

99:01

panel to say Donald Trump was going to

99:02

win. And they all laughed out loud.

99:05

Populists win. The people chasing after

99:08

the donors, whether it's Israel or Big

99:10

Farmer or any of the other donors, then

99:12

nobody nobody likes those people. Kla

99:15

Harris lost because she was bragging

99:17

about how she had 90 corporate CEOs on

99:20

her side. I got bad news for her. Nobody

99:21

likes corporate CEOs. Sorry Kevin. Sorry

99:24

me. But the reality is that's what every

99:28

poll shows. It is deeply deeply

99:30

unpopular and these days it's pretty

99:32

merited. So if if you've got someone in

99:34

the right lane, which is Democratic

99:36

capitalism, I think they win.

99:38

>> We just got two minutes left. Kevin, uh

99:40

you laughed there at the suggestion that

99:41

Tucker Carlson might win.

99:44

I know Tucker. I just did a thing with

99:46

him this week. It was really interesting

99:48

because he's taken a a very um uh

99:52

controversial view about AI and that's

99:54

the debate we had. And he has obviously

99:56

shifted his focus uh from being proTrump

100:00

to something else. But you know, I have

100:01

to admit when I think about it, that is

100:04

a possibility if he would uh align

100:07

himself. I'm not sure what party he

100:10

represents anymore. I think he is a

100:12

selfproclaimed Republican, but um that's

100:17

interesting idea. The more I think about

100:18

it, I can't I can't I I know I laughed

100:20

at it, but I've been thinking about it

100:22

for the last couple of minutes. Yeah. I

100:24

mean, the guy has a massive base. Um he

100:27

has a his own network now, which is

100:29

something you kind of need these days

100:31

in. Uh you need a really strong social

100:33

media base to play um in politics and

100:37

and to and to fight the fights in the

100:39

seven states. you really got to have a

100:40

good organization on social. So, I mean,

100:43

I think it's going to be fascinating.

100:44

Um, I think we'll get a pretty good

100:46

indication of what the themes will be in

100:49

November. Uh, affordability obviously

100:52

remains a big one. Um, border remains a

100:56

big one in in the US, but AI could

100:59

emerge as as a big one too. I mean it

101:02

maybe but I I think by then um

101:06

I always look at these big you know AI

101:08

kind of burst on the theme but it's not

101:10

really about data centers and power it's

101:12

about jobs I think is where it's going

101:15

and I don't know if that gets resolved

101:17

by you can always be a fear mongerer

101:20

about the robots eating the babies and

101:22

maybe that is an election issue. I don't

101:24

know. We'll see. It's going to be

101:26

interesting though cuz it it wasn't an

101:28

issue until 6 months ago. Jen, last word

101:31

before we close out.

101:32

>> Yeah. So, look, I don't think that a

101:35

pro-Israel candidate can win. Uh, and

101:38

so, but all of our politicians are

101:40

trained to be pro-Israel. And

101:41

apparently, they have trouble reading

101:43

polls. So, uh, I think that that, you

101:46

know, a populist right versus populist

101:49

left would in a sense be a dream. Um,

101:52

because either way, you hope that they I

101:56

mean, the key has to be that they have

101:57

to be real. I mean, we're so tired of

101:59

these fake politicians in America. They

102:01

never do what they say they're going to

102:03

do. They always back the donors. But if

102:05

you got two honest guys, and by the way,

102:07

maybe it's Kana versus Massie, and that

102:09

would be amazing. Or maybe it's Kana and

102:11

Massie, but there's two guys who were

102:13

clearly honest in Congress, and you

102:16

know, I can name Bernie as my third. I'm

102:18

going to struggle on the fourth one. So,

102:21

there aren't that many choices. So, and

102:24

maybe we go populist, we go independent,

102:26

and we go in a new direction because God

102:28

knows that America needs a new

102:29

direction.

102:31

>> Kevin Jenk, thank you so much for the

102:33

time. Um, I've been a fan of both of you

102:35

for many, many, many years. I was saying

102:36

to Jenk before we started recording that

102:38

I think I've watched The Young Tuck

102:39

since I was 19. And when I say watched,

102:42

I mean really, really watched, not not

102:43

casually saw it, but I would watch it

102:45

almost daily when I was going through uh

102:47

building my businesses and sort of

102:48

coming into the professional world. So,

102:50

thank you so much, Jen. It's a pleasure

102:51

to have spent this time with you and

102:52

Kevin. Again, I've been, you know, my my

102:54

my favorite shark for I think 15 years

102:56

now. Um, for many, many, many reasons.

102:59

Thank you to both of you. Um, I really,

103:01

really appreciate it. And hopefully

103:02

we'll have this discussion again soon

103:03

once all of this plays out because the

103:05

answer to a lot of these questions has

103:07

been I don't know. And we shall see. So,

103:09

we shall see. Thank you.

103:12

>> Thank you.

103:13

>> Thanks a lot. YouTube have this new

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crazy algorithm where they know exactly

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Interactive Summary

The video features a debate between Cenk Uygur and Kevin O'Leary regarding the societal and economic implications of artificial intelligence, global geopolitics, and the potential for a wave of unemployment. Uygur emphasizes risks such as massive job displacement and the influence of corporate money on politics, advocating for populist reforms. Conversely, O'Leary maintains an optimistic outlook, viewing AI as a productivity-enhancing technology that will create new jobs and emphasizing the importance of competing with China in the tech and energy sectors. The conversation also spans discussions on the Middle East conflict, voter sentiment, and the future of American politics.

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