EMERGENCY DEBATE: They Are Lying To Us About AI, The Iran War & What Happens Next!
2795 segments
Everybody is in a rush to fire 10 to 25%
of their workforce, but 10% unemployment
would be worse than anything that's ever
happened in our lifetimes. We are going
to have a depression like we've never
seen in our lives.
>> Wow. Jake's a real Debbie Downer today.
I mean, this is an unbelievable
opportunity we're talking about. I got
to buy more sunglasses for how bright
the future is.
>> If you notice, Kevin actually didn't
address the wave of unemployment at all
because there's no question that it's
going to happen. And when we hit the
iceberg, we're not going to be ready.
And it is going to be an epic disaster.
>> Change is disruptive and it's
uncomfortable. But the scare factor of
saying that everybody loses their job
and the robots eat the children. I just
don't buy it.
>> I I don't know anyone saying that the
robots are going to eat the children.
And I understand that change happens,
but we have to be careful with change
because by 2028, we're going to have
disaster from AI, unemployment, and
disaster from the war. The only hope is
electing a smart person who's prepared
in 2028. Republicans, I have one thing
to tell you.
There's no way. Nobody's showing up to
vote. Their voter enthusiasm is
obliterated.
>> But the Democrats have also lost their
way.
>> And the Republicans only have one guy
who could win. And I'm worried about it.
Tucker Carlson. So, as we head towards
the midterms, but also the elections,
which aren't actually that far away now,
do you agree that we're heading towards
a more socialist America?
>> So, let me just say this.
How about that for an answer?
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Let's get on with the show.
Jenk,
thank you so much for being here with
me. Um, there's so much going on in the
world that I have so many questions and
you both have very different
perspectives on all of the issues that I
care about the most. So, I thought I'd
bring us together to try and pass
through what is true. Unlike a lot of
shows, I I don't expect a shouting
match. What I'm trying to get is to
truth. And I'm hoping that seeing the
collision of your ideas on some of the
big issues that are front of mind for me
like artificial intelligence, like
geopolitics, like what's going on in
America now that I live there, I think
will be incredibly beneficial to me and
hopefully therefore my audience. I have
this graph here that says seven in 10
Americans oppose local construction of
AI data centers.
>> If you go back in time, any new
technology is extremely disruptive.
Change is disruptive and it's
uncomfortable
and it always is that way and yet it
always proves within the context of the
American economy to create a lot of
productivity and opportunity. And I
would argue today if we're going to find
a cure for cancer, it's going to be
through AI. If we're going to
democratize education, it'll be through
AI. If we're going to do some advances
on space research and travel, it'll be
through AI. Productivity in the S&P 500
and it's all small companies, AI. And
you can't have it without data centers.
You actually need the underpinnings, the
infrastructure. And so that debate, that
narrative is going on, but there's a
dark side to this that I've only started
to bring forward in the last couple of
weeks. I discovered this in Utah
that there are some nefarious forces.
Um, Arabella is the name of it. I didn't
know anything about it, but I was
wondering who was spending all the money
in Utah with all that misinformation
about what the data center was going to
be talking about using water we weren't
or using power we had no intention to or
40,000 acres that's complete BS. It was
all lies. And I said, who could afford
that? So I hired a bunch of forensic
auditors and lo and behold it took me
back to the Chinese through Arabellum uh
Neville Singum is his name. He's funding
all these organizations in Utah and I
caught him through the IRS 990 filings
and I handed it over the White House and
to a bunch of special agents and I just
wonder what's going to happen next. I'm
loving this now. This is so interesting
and it's a national debate and the poo
poo's hit the fan. But I'm not debating
this. I'm not suggesting it. I have
irrefutable evidence the Chinese are
meddling in every place where new power
is being proposed in America, every
state, every city. And it all goes back
to the Chinese through this Arabellum.
And just look at the IRS filings. Don't
shoot the messenger. I'm just providing
the truth.
>> Kevin, so just just for context here,
there was a proposal to build some data
centers in Utah, and you're saying that
the push back and the negative reaction
that has been seen is being encouraged
or sponsored by the Chinese who are
driving misinformation through bots. Is
that what you're proposing?
>> No, it's not through bots. It's actually
through contributions that are shown
through a a wide network of different
entities. It's very it's very well um
cloaked, but through forensic audit and
IP address scraping uh with some really
strong data scientists that I hired and
I'm working with, we were able to
provide 90 pages of IP addresses from
foreigners uh to various agents and
various entities within the US
government. And we're going to keep
doing it. We're we're providing it every
four hours. where cuz one thing I have
that I guess they hadn't thought through
is I have 12 million followers on social
media. No, no uh data center developer
has 4 million followers. This all showed
up on my feeds with bots on on Twitter
which is now X and on Instagram and then
onto LinkedIn. So we just provided the
data to the government and where the
chips fall I have no idea. And we had
death threats uh to our executives. I
provided that to the FBI and they
visited the woman who did it in Denver.
I think scared the pee peee right out of
her, but she won't be doing that again.
So, I mean, it's Listen, bring it. Don't
mess with me. I'm just going to provide
the data back to the government. I'm I'm
I'm just telling the truth. I'm not
debating it. I'm not suggesting it. I'm
providing the IRS filings of the cash
coming from Marabella right into the
Alliance for a Better Utah
>> and the story. I mean, that's Listen, I
didn't ask for this fight. I'm just
providing the data.
>> Is that how you see things? Are you
seeing the push back in terms of AI? Um,
do you think it's coming from Chinese
sponsored actors or do you think it's
something else?
No, I I don't think China has anything
to do with it. Uh, so first off, there's
a lot of things Kevin and I share. Uh,
I'm also an entrepreneur. I'm a
capitalist and went to Wharton Business
School. So, I love America. I love the
opportunity that America provides. I
wanted to provide opportunity for all
sorts of new businesses. So, that's not
remotely the issue. Okay. So, the
question is, are we going to pay our own
uh costs? So now on the AI data centers
um in the beginning I started reading
these stories about how the data centers
are driving up the energy cost for
everybody in that community that they're
based in and I couldn't believe it. But
then I thought okay since we have
basically legalized bribery in America
that probably is true they probably you
know given enough campaign contributions
to make this happen and it turns out
they have. No, if you're going to do a
data center you have to pay for it and
you have to pay for all of its costs.
None of this subsidizing your costs to
the average taxpayer who's not getting
anything out of it. So, we have to be
absolutely meticulous about who's paying
for the cost of the data centers. And it
should be the businesses that profit
from it. Unless you'd like to take have
the American people take some equity in
your business because if we're going to
pay your costs, obviously we should have
equity in it. When we bailed out the
bankers back in 2008, it was an absolute
crime. We should have taken equity in
those companies and then sold it later
for a profit. I don't want the
government to run banks, but I do want
us to not be suckers. Uh we constantly
pay for the research of the drug
companies and never get any equity. So,
um if you going to be capitalists, let's
be capitalists. Now, the real reason why
people are most angry about AI is not
even the data centers. And they have
every right to be livid about their
energy costs being higher uh so somebody
else can make a buck. Uh but the bigger
issue is the unemployment that we're all
worried is coming and it most definitely
is. So, there's a lot of uh happy talk
about, oh, 10 years from now, 20 years
from now, robots are going to be cooking
our salmon. Or two years from now, I
don't really care. I don't need my
salmon cooked by a robot. What I care
about is, are we going to have massive
unemployment? And right now, and I'm
curious what Kevin's going to say about
this because it's kind of indisputable
if you're in the business community,
everybody is in a rush uh to fire 10 to
25% of their workforce. and whoever gets
there first gets a competitive advantage
and the market's rewarded and their
stock uh price goes up. Well, if
everybody goes to fire 10 to 25% of
their employees, we are going to have u
not just a recession but a depression
like we've never seen in our lives. And
everybody's whistling past the graveyard
here. Uh so, do we have a plan? Does the
government have a plan? The only guy
I've ever heard of working on a plan to
deal with this tsunami of unemployment
is Roana. other than him it's crickets
and I think we're going to hit the
iceberg really hard.
>> Interestingly Jenk, the other person
that I've heard talk about the
unemployment wave coming has actually
been some of the big AI CEOs. And if you
go back and look look at their quotes
through time, people like Sam Alman
predicted that there will need to be
some kind of UBI scheme. And I think
Worldcoin, which is his other startup
that uses um retina scanning to be able
to distribute value to people to check
their humans. One of the principles of
the foundation of that company was to
distribute UBI, universal basic income
to everybody. So on this point, Kevin,
do you do you disagree that there there
will be a widespread unemployment
apocalypse, as Jenk has called it on his
Twitter feed.
>> So So let's go through Jack's shopping
list of disaster. I think it's fair to
address them one at a time. Let's talk
with the energy. I totally agree with
him. You can't build a data center
anywhere and tap into the grid because
he's right. the price of energy would go
up at the library, the church, and the
community center by 30%. And that's what
happened in Virginia. So that is no
longer a possibility. In Utah, for
example, I have to bring my own power.
But the idea would be if we produce this
energy because there's no data centers
without energy. We'll put it back into
the grid, not just for Utah, but for the
whole country. Because I think he's
right. Anybody that's building a new
data center should have the
responsibility to provide the power and
put some of it back into the grid. That
would solve two problems at once. The
grid is tapped out. The library has no
more power. We'll solve that problem for
Utah and the country. So that's the
first falsehood I run into fueled by the
Chinese propaganda that came into Utah
or whoever they are at Arabella, the CP
C the CPP or the U you know who whoever
this agency is because you have to
follow it through all these nefarious
holdings. But at the end of the day
that's number one. Number two, the idea
that everybody gets replaced by robots
and then they eat the children, I don't
buy that at all. Every new technology in
American history for over 200 years has
created vast opportunity, productivity,
and fueled the economy to lead all
economies on Earth by 20%. Which is
still the case today. Now, it's an
uncomfortable reality. The market hit
new highs today. And that is an index of
how great American companies are. And
the smaller companies that are 5 to 500
employees also hitting on all cylinders
now using AI tools for productivity,
customer acquisition, maintenance. So
the scare factor of saying that
everybody loses their job and the robots
eat the children. I just don't buy it.
And so I think we should have that
debate. But you don't know yet what
opportunities there are in the economy
driven by this new technology. So I
think what I know there's fear and
loathing and I think it's important to
have that narrative. I think it's great
to debate it but I think we should deal
with fact. It's very very uncomfortable
when chain hit change hits anywhere and
yet it's proven itself within the
context of the American economy to rise
it above all challenges and still lead
the world. Unfortunately,
there's the issue of defense and the
economy against China. They're our big
adversary. In this last conflict in the
Middle East where very few boots hit the
ground, it was the technology that
provided the ordinance precision that's
been used. In the future, wars will be
conducted using AI. And unfortunately,
the country with the best AI technology
will win those wars. I would certainly
not want China to be ahead of us. Yet, I
think they're the ones that would like
to stop us building power and developing
our AI platforms because they have
something called deepseek. I just want
to put a fact out there because we're
talking about this. While we were
stymied in building any new power,
forget about data centers, just new
power. The Chinese in the last 19 months
built 400 gawatt of power off burning
coal. They don't care about the
environment. They don't have any policy
about that. They have a supreme leader
who points his finger at the ground and
says, "Build a coal burning plant here.
Put a data center behind it or you'll
disappear in 18 months." And the people
involved say, "Chop chop, Supreme
Leader. We will make it happen." We
can't do that in America. And he knows
that. So he's spending as much money as
he can making sure he styies the efforts
of every entrepreneur in every state to
do the same. So that's what I think is
happening and I'm happy to provide the
data as I mentioned earlier and let the
government and their special agents in
all of these different departments I'm
working with now. I'm proud to be
providing this information. I think I've
kicked the door open on something very
very nasty.
>> Um Kevin, I would like to take a look at
that information as well. So we I'll
pick pick up that pick up with you about
that off camera. Um, what I wanted to
ask you is a lot of this sort of
doomerism around unemployment that we're
talking about comes from the CEOs
building the AI companies. And this is
something that that's always caused me a
bit of cognitive dissonance, which is I
think if you go back to I've got some
quotes here from March 2021. Sam Alman
said, and he's the for anyone that
doesn't know the CEO co-founder of
OpenAI, which is the maker of ChatgBT,
AI will probably replace most of the
jobs people do today. entire job
categories will be totally totally gone.
And then Elon Musk said in May 24,
probably none of us will have a job. If
you want to do a job that job, it's kind
of like a hobby. You can do a job, but
otherwise AI and robots will provide any
goods and services that you want. And
Dario, who's the founder of Claude,
which is the other major leading AI
model, said this was in 2025, AI could
eliminate half of all entry-level white
collar jobs within 5 years. a shift that
could push unemployment up to 20%. The
public is being sugarcoated on what is
coming. These are the people that are
most wellplaced and arguably I mean
depends how you look at it have the
least incentive to say that their
companies are going to cause societal
harm and they're saying that their
companies are going to cause massive
massive unemployment. Do we do we assume
that they're not telling the truth or
that they don't know what they're
talking about?
I think that's a very selective um bunch
of sound bites. Dario also said the CEO
of Ananthropic, if we don't build more
compute capacity in the next 6 months,
the Chinese will catch up with us with
deepseek.
That's an ominous warning because, you
know, let's say you decide, look, it's
too scary. Let's shut down the US's
ability to advance compute. Let's just
shut it all down as the Chinese want and
let's all sit around the campfire and go
kumbaya. Do you think the Chinese are
gonna stop? I don't think so. I think
they're going to continue to do this and
they'll invade Taiwan using no boots.
They'll just use AI to shut down their
power.
I mean, I'm just telling you that the
Kumbaya stuff I totally agree with. I
love it. But it's not reality. Should we
compete? Should we advance our
technology? Should we be the best in the
world advancing research on AI to solve
for cancer? Yes. Or do you want the
Chinese to do that for you? And in 20
years, they'll tell your children what
to eat when they're sitting at their
table in New York City for breakfast.
I'm the in the camp that says, "We know
who our adversary is. We know that why
they want to stop us." And Dario himself
said, "Hey everybody, we better build
some data centers real fast or in 6
months, Deepseek is now number one on
Earth." I don't want that outcome.
>> Jen, it appears to me that, you know,
there's the CEOs are acknowledging that
there could be a mass wave of
unemployment that's going to cause a
bunch of problems that I don't think
people are thinking about. But also what
Kevin's saying about it, you know, there
being this this sort of global race
between countries also appears to me to
be true that if we just sit back and
relax and put our fingers in our ear,
then there's going to be a huge
competitive advantage with this
transformational technology that falls
into the hands of China and um and we'll
miss out as the West. What's your
perspective?
>> First to address a lot of things that
have been said. First, I I don't know
anyone saying that the robots are going
to eat the children. So, I want to thank
Kevin for educating me on a talking
point there. Uh, I'm less concerned
about that. A lot less concerned. Uh,
but I am concerned about some level of
death with AI, and that has already
begun to happen. There are reports that
we use AI in targeting that girl school
in Tehran where we killed over 160
innocent school girls. Uh, so if that's
what AI is going to bring us in
precision, as Kevin pulled it, called
it, uh, no thank you. I'm not interested
in that kind of non-precision. Um, and
and I would much rather have human
beings involved in life and death
decisions. And I'm super worried that AI
is going to be used more in the military
and uh, no, I do not trust Palanteer.
Um, so now in terms of universal basic
income, I mean, think about it, guys. If
a coder is making $120,000, you know, I
I don't know where that puts him in two
years in, seven years in, uh, it's a
healthy salary. It's not the world's
greatest salary, but it's a good good
salary for a middle class person in
America. Then you switch to UBI, you'd
be lucky to get 3,000 a month. That's
36,000 a year. You're going to go from
120,000 to 36,000. That is going to be
devastating. Even if you magically got
universal basic income passed in America
immediately as the wave of unemployment
hit, but I don't think that's going to
happen either. So, is the wave of
unemployment going to hit? Well, if you
notice, Kevin actually didn't address
that at all. uh because there's no
question that it's going to happen. That
is why literally every CEO of the AI
companies is saying, well, you know, our
product is great and you should value us
at a trillion dollars or so. Uh but
yeah, you're all going to be fired. And
and that's inescapable. It's already
begun. The coders have already started
getting fired, especially young coders.
Uh they feel totally betrayed. They have
to find a new line of work. But maybe
that's a little bit easier for them
because they're young and they're smart
and they're professionals, etc. Uh, and
there's a lot of smart folks, but
getting a new profession at the age of
58, 62, what if you're a truck driver?
Um, and so I'm not saying that the
Whimos don't work better. I actually
would trust a Whimo more than I would
trust a human driver. But nevertheless,
that car no longer has a driver that it
did when it was a taxi or an Uber or a
lift. And I understand that change
happens. And look, I'm a progressive.
for change politically, for massive
change. I thought Obama did comically
little change. Um, but we have to be
careful with change. So, which direction
is it going to go and how are we going
to handle it? Right now, I think Wall
Street has lost its mind. How could we
be at record numbers? Who do you think's
going to buy your products? So, this guy
named Nick Hanower, there's a lot of
folks who believe in this, but he's a
big advocate of it. really smart guy up
in Seattle, also an entrepreneur, also
sold his business and has done well, and
he talks about middle out economics. If
we give more advantages to the middle
class, they immediately spend their
money. If you give it to the rich, which
is what we've done all our lives with
this neoliberal nonsense that we've been
doing, uh, and trickle down economics,
well, they barely spend any of it. So,
giving to the middle is a much better
way to go. And of course, the question
is, how are you going to do that? And
you don't just want to give away money.
Uh, on the other hand, we give away
money to oil companies and big drug
companies and every one who's got
excellent army of lobbyists in DC, but
we're not ready. And no one on earth has
given me a plan for, "Oh, Jen, don't
worry. When 10% unemployment hits, which
is at this point almost baked in,
completely inevitable, right? Um, what
are we going to do? 10% unemployment
would be worse than anything that's ever
happened in our lifetimes, let alone if
you get to 25%. Zero plans for it. None.
When that when we hit the iceberg, we're
not going to be ready and it is going to
be an epic disaster. There isn't going
to be anyone to buy your goods because
employees are also customers and you're
going to lose a massive amount of
customers and it is going to absolutely
torpedo our economy. I can't believe how
shortsighted Wall Street is. Now, does
that mean we stop AI in its tracks and
we stop change? No, we can't stop
because it's it's true that China is
also going, Russia is, North Korea is,
Israel is.
Now, the problem is if we get it first,
then very very likely the Israelis will
also have it and God help the world if
that's true. Uh they have not been
restrained in how they use their power
and I wouldn't want them anywhere near
that kind of power. But nevertheless,
there is a race. So
we can't just stop. So can we do the
race in a way that is responsible and
actually serves the American voters and
citizens instead of just serving the
executives of the AI companies and the
shareholders of the AI companies? I hope
we can, but we've taken absolutely zero
steps in that direction.
>> So let's get specific, Jenk. What might
that look like to to continue developing
this technology but do it in a way
that's responsible and benefits
everybody? Because this is kind of what
I hear a lot of. I hear from one side
people saying we need to carry on going
or you know the robots and the kids
thing. On the other hand I hear we need
to be responsible but either side don't
tend to be very specific about what
their definition of responsible or a
race a responsible race might look like.
So does anyone have any specifics? Jenk.
>> Yeah. So look, it's a it's a tough uh
industry to regulate. I get it. You have
to move fast and regulation usually
involves some degree of bureaucracy. Um
but if you have no regulation at all,
you will have it run a muck. That's
pretty much guaranteed. And all the
leaders of the AI companies say
likewise. So um we've got to the problem
here in America is that it's nearly
unsolvable in the window of time that
we're talking about because we've lost
our democracy in America. But we've
legalized bribery that happened back in
Supreme Court decisions in 1976 78 and
then of course Citizens United. And so
since we have legalized bribery in this
country, there's no way they're going to
serve the voters. So whichever AI
companies are giving them more money,
they're going to serve them. And that's
already begun to happen. And the AI
companies have already started getting
involved in primaries and eliminating
their opponents through money and
politics. So, our politicians are deeply
deeply corrupt in America. Republicans
and Democrats, they almost all serve the
donor class. So, we we won't make it.
We'll I'm telling you right now, uh
we're going to run into the iceberg and
it's going to be an epic disaster. The
only hope is electing a smart person
who's prepared in 2028. Uh that that can
begin to get us on the road. So now when
the disaster hits, the AI shareholders
and executives aren't going to like it
either because the reaction will likely
be tremendous anger. And then someone
like me is going to say, "Hey, you know
what? Uh why do they get to keep all the
money and you're all broke and out of a
job? They created this cost which is
unemployment. Why don't they pay for it?
So why don't we take some of the
billions and billions and billions of
dollars that these AI companies have
made and put it towards their costs,
which is the unemployment of the
American people. So they could at a
minimum fund unemployment insurance and
we could make sure that that's very
healthy. Uh and we they could begin to
fund other things that might actually
help other human beings. I know heaven
forend that a millionaire or a
billionaire should ever help another
human being. But if you don't, the
pitchforks are coming. I'm not a
pitchfork guy. I'm I believe in
nonviolence and I always will. Uh but I
don't think people get the level of
anger that's happening. I'll try to stop
it, but the pitchforks will be
significant. And this whole thing of no,
I get all the money and you get nothing.
Will not play well. You can try it, but
it will end in disaster.
>> Kevin, the pitchforks are coming. We're
going to hit an iceberg. And it also
sounded like AI is going to ultimately
lead to a rise in what sounded like
socialism.
>> Wow. Jake's a real Debbie Downer today.
You know, this has been forecast in the
American economy. Every 20 years, it's
the end of the free world as we know it.
And that's not what happens. Let's go
back and do a little factchecking on
Jakester here. First of all, AI
companies lose billions. They don't make
any money right now. They're in a race,
as we talked about earlier, against
China primarily. They're raising a ton
of capital and losing billions every
year. We don't know yet how they're
going to monetize it, but the market's
willing to provide it because they see
the productivity opportunity and the
cure for cancer and the democracy around
education and productivity for the
nation already been proven by record
earnings in the S&P of which all 11
sectors have adopted the first wave of
AI to enhance productivity and reduce
costs. We don't know yet what new jobs
are going to be created. I'll just talk
about the ones I'm creating in Utah.
4,000 construction jobs for about nine
and a half years highpaying. And another
2,000 engineering and support jobs,
extremely highpaying, because what's now
a desert will be a data center. not near
anybody's backyard, not replacing
farmland, not using any of the water the
way the people have been talking about,
not taking any energy from Utah, but in
fact contributing to it, not polluting
the air because we can't do that without
air permits. All of this stuff is a
falsehood. So, what we don't know, and
Jake's right about this, is no one ever
predicts with a new technology what the
outcome is. So, I'm not a doomer on this
stuff. My job here is to maintain a
direct focus on entrepreneurship,
hire as many people as I can because
that's what I do. And I take a lot of
flak. I mean, Jake's hitting me hard
today and he and I appreciate he's an
intelligent guy and he's got an opinion
and I'm glad we're in this narrative and
having this discourse. It's important,
but let's deal with fact,
not rhetoric and not hysteria. Because I
still go back to the robots eating the
babies, cuz that's all I all I listen to
every day. It's just ludicrous. And I
don't think robots are actually going to
do as much as people think or look the
way they think. They're not going to be
humanoid walking around taking out your
garbage. That's not how it's going to
work. Robots have been building cars for
decades now and doing other things in
medical research and robotics have been
used in all kinds of technologies and
chipm and everything else but they don't
they don't look like people walking
around. So, you know, I I say to myself,
we don't know what we don't know, and
that's fair. But to say that all of
these AI companies are making billions
of dollars and something else, and Jake
knows this, most of the taxes in America
are paid by the rich people. They pay
their fair share now. So if you take it
past 50%
like California, like New York, like New
Jersey, like Massachusetts in the
Constitution of America with the
forethought of the founding fathers,
they believed in the competition of
states. And so you have people moving
Schultz to Florida, you know, the Google
guys to Florida, some have gone to
Texas. If you want to steal rich
people's money, go ahead. They'll just
move. And if you really make it
difficult for them in every state in
America, they'll do what they did in
England. They'll find a new America.
That's what made America great to over
200 years ago. Taxation.
It doesn't work. The thing about
socialism and communism is you run out
of other people's money very quickly
because they simply leave. The French
figured that out. That's what happened
any in England when they raised 90% tax
rates. Monaco, I mean, it only exists
because the French screwed the rich
French guys and they all move four miles
across the border. It's very simple. You
want to support entrepreneurship and job
creation. Only onethird of the
population in America can be
entrepreneurs and they employ the other
twothirds. That's the way it's been for
200 years and it's a great thing. And I
don't see anybody else investing money
anywhere else except America 52% of the
time. 52 cents of every dollar on earth
from sovereign wealth comes to America
because it has the opportunity. No other
country. I don't see a lot of people
saying boy would I like to invest in
North Korea. Hey, can you get me into
Russia? Is there a Russian fund I can
invest in? Oh, can I invest in Cuba? I
don't think so. I don't want to put my
money there for retirement. That's why
I'm talking about this. The facts are
the facts. Get over it. Inhale.
Everybody chillax and let's keep the
American dream going.
Jen, I'll get your response to that.
Many things said there. I mean, the core
argument there is if you try and tax
rich people, they're going to leave and
go somewhere else and, you know, we
might end up like Cuba.
>> Yeah. So, I did I miss this meme about
the robots eating the kids because I
don't know why they
>> I love the robots eating the kids. I
just don't think it's going to happen.
>> I don't think anybody thinks it's going
to happen. It sounds like it was made
up. Um, okay. So, there's some
fear-mongering about robots eating kids
and how America's going to turn
communist or something. No, no, no.
Look, as I said, we're capitalists.
We're just trying to figure out what's
the best way to do this. Capitalism
isn't supposed to be let's crush the
average guy and make sure the corporate
CEOs get everything. I'm a corporate
CEO, but it's not right and it's not
balanced and it's not American. The
American way is to make sure that we
build a super strong middle class that
are great, productive citizens, voters,
and by the way, consumers, right? And so
if we lose track of that, then we're all
going to be doomed. So, like Kevin's so
worried that somebody's going to take
his money. And it's not just Kevin. They
always like threaten us like, "Oh, oh
yeah, we'll leave. I mean, don't
threaten me with a good time." Uh, but
but beyond that,
okay, but beyond that, Kevin, that's not
going to be your main problem. When you
don't have any consumers, that's going
to be your main problem. You have to
protect the American middle class. That,
you know, you could argue that's the
goose that lays the golden eggs. And you
guys keep chipping away and chipping
away at that middle class. And so right
now, Stephen, this late into the
conversation, still no plans on what to
do with inevitable massive unemployment.
And what I'm telling you is we're not
going to go necessarily to communism,
but we are going to wonder, wait, why is
everyone unemployed and and only a
couple of people have reaped billions or
trillions of dollars? So, and and and
come on, Kevin. You know, you know how
uh the economy works and the markets
work. Yes, you invest into it in the
beginning and that's why right now
they're theoretically losing billions of
dollars. Same exact thing that happened
to Amazon. And then later you make
billions and maybe even trillions.
That's why their stock prices are so
high. And so they're powered by that
investment and later they'll reap the
rewards. And when they reap those
rewards, it's fair to ask who got you
those rewards. It's not to say that the
entrepreneurs didn't and the employees
and the shareholders of those companies
didn't, but there were other factors
involved, including all the American
government and the American people that
supported the infrastructure that made
that happen. That conversation is going
to be inevitable when we have tens of
millions of people unemployed. And and
guys, there's one other factor that's
involved there. When you have a lot of
unemployed young men sitting around,
usually what happens is nothing good.
Wars happen, crime goes up. We have to
be prepared. And all I'm hearing from
the AI industry is like, as Kevin said,
chillax. Don't sweat it, bro. Don't
worry. We're going to have all the money
and then you guys, I don't know, you'll
figure it out and I'll be in Monaco.
Monaco. That was hilarious. Monaco.
So maybe that's where the child eating
robots are. Uh, so Kevin, be careful.
>> Kevin, your thoughts on that? No. No.
there's, you know, saying there's no
answers and we're we're being asked to
just chillax. I think Kevin, you do
acknowledge that there will be a change
in the occupation mix in America, right?
Even as a a founder and CEO myself and
as a business owner that employs
hundreds of people, I am thinking
differently about especially entry-
level positions in a way that I wasn't
honestly 6 months ago before some of the
models got more advanced, especially as
it relates to things like coding. But
I'm thinking very, very differently
about who to hire. And actually, one of
the things I find myself naturally doing
is the person that still is on the
coldface of hiring in my company is when
I see entry- level positions, the first
thing I'm looking for is if they have an
AI proficiency. And there are candidates
now, even for me at entry- level
positions that I'm not selecting for
because I realize that someone with an
AI proficiency in that exact same role
is now like a five or 10x person. And so
I I'm just experiencing myself making
different hiring decisions as a founder.
And I'm I'm sure you are as well. People
think that engineers are going to be
replaced by AI codew writing. Uh claude
is one of the tools being used right
now. But actually most engineers aren't
hired to write code. They're hired to
solve problems. They use code to try and
solve those problems. So you know
companies that have been firing people,
everybody's attributing it to AI. It's
not true. There's been a lot of fat in a
lot of these companies that hired trying
to assume what would happen next. They
got it wrong. So I don't think we've yet
seen what the outcome's going to be. I
tend to be the optimist as I talked
about other technologies in the past
being loathed for the fact that they
cause disruption. There is no question
AI is disruptive.
Um
>> Kevin, did you see this week Figure AI,
which is one of the humanoid robot
companies, did a live stream for I think
it was four days where they just showed
a robot um on a sort of factory floor
sorting out parcels for four straight
days and it it did it better and faster
than humans doing it. This was a
humanoid robot. And so the one of the
things I think about is if you listen to
someone like Elon Musk who's made a
prediction, this is a direct quote from
him. My prediction is that there will be
far far more robots like intelligent
robots in the world than there will be
people. Long term I think the ratio of
humanoid robots will be more like 2:1.
There might be two humanoid robots or
more for every one human. And when you
when you think about Elon Musk's
predictions over time, to his credit,
sometimes his time frames are wrong. But
when he says the rocket is going to land
on the chopsticks, the rocket eventually
lands on the chopsticks. when he says,
"My car in LA, my Tesla, will eventually
drive itself without me interfering,"
the car eventually drives itself. So,
with Elon's track record in predicting
what he'll be able to do with
technology, I think he's got a pretty
solid track record. So, when he says
these humanoid robots are going to be
better at surgery or cleaning or
whatever than humans in short order,
sometimes predicting, you know, time
frames of 2027, 2028, I tend to believe
him. Is he lying? Because if he's
telling the truth, what we're seeing is
both the disruption of intelligence, but
also, one could say, the disruption of
our muscles at the same time. And I
can't think of a comparable like the
industrial revolution where humans like
two real um sort of professional
productivity driving forces of their
brains and their their physicality are
being disrupted at the same time. And
just to give you another story to
overlay onto this, my co-founder and my
company called Third Webb, big company,
we've raised 30 odd million dollars.
It's out in San Francisco. I went down
to his his uh entrepreneurship
accelerator. I've not been there in 2
years. And I I arrived and I was like,
"Why is everyone building robotics?" And
he said to me, he goes, "Stephen, the
robot pieces have been here for decades.
We've always had them. What we've been
missing and the expensive part was the
intelligence." And he tooured me through
this 40,000 square ft um building called
Ethink down in San Francisco. And I saw
a robot cooking with a robot arm making
food. I saw a robot making perfume for
you. Whatever perfume you wanted, this
big machine that just makes it for you.
And he says, because we've got
intelligence and we've always had the
machinery, there's going to be this huge
explosion of robotics that we've always
been waiting for. Intelligence was the
missing piece. And now he says it costs
pennies and everyone there is building,
not software anymore. They're all
building robotics. And so for me, I was
like, wow,
the future's going to look very, very
different, I think, in short order than
the past. And I'm just a realist. So,
I'm not trying to be pessimistic or
optimistic. I think there's truth on
both sides. But Kevin, do you
acknowledge that the jobs that we have
today in large part are going to go
away.
>> Yeah. You know, I don't think um shaking
a perfume bottle is a great job for
anybody, but I do think, and I'll give
you two examples, cuz maybe you're right
about Elon, he doesn't get a big chunk
of his stock unless he populates Mars
with a million people. NASA announced 6
hours ago that they're going to put a
permanent
plant there on the moon, an established
base on the moon. Can you imagine the
hundreds of thousands of jobs just those
two activities are going to create to
actually execute on that highpaying jobs
engineers analysts coders everything the
manufacturing of facilities to take to
Mars to take to the moon I mean
everybody wants to talk about the guy
shaking perfume bottles losing his job
when you're talking about millions of
jobs on new opportunities for mankind
that no one even could think about 24
months ago that have been announced
today. So, you either have to be a
jaker, a doomser, like you know, it's
the end of the free world as we know it
and we're all going to be eaten by
robots or you're in my camp saying the
opportunity is so bright I got to wear
shades. I got to buy more sunglasses for
how bright the future is. This is an
unbelievable opportunity we're talking
about. And we're not wiping out jobs.
We're creating new jobs that are very
highpaying and really interesting for
people to do. Imagine somebody working
on the Mars project or putting data
centers in space or expanding the
telecommunications on Starlink. I mean,
these are the future jobs. No, you know,
I think the person that was born to
shake perfume would rather have a job
getting people onto the moon.
>> Just on this point, Elon, you mentioned
Elon's pay packet. Part of that is he
gets that big payout if there are a
hundred uh sorry, a million humanoid
robots um in very short order. And when
we think about who you might want to
send to Mars, a super intelligent
humanoid robot is probably much easier
to send than a biological human being
for v various reasons to do with
atmospheric pressure. But if if he's
right on both counts on both this
journey to Mars and humanoid robots,
presumably it'll be the humanoid robots
going. I just wanted Kevin, can you tell
me how you might be wrong? I think
that's quite important because I think
it it it shows your ability to see both
sides of the argument. Is there a case
where you could be wrong about this
about this unemployment issue?
>> No. How about that for an answer,
>> Jen?
Yeah. So, look, I shouldn't laugh too
hard because I'm trying to answer that
same question in my head. And Stephen,
it's hard to uh answer it from my
perspective because the interregnum is
just unaccounted for. So, here's what I
mean by that. So, even if we have
Kevin's beautiful uh sunshine scenario,
none of the robots ever eat the
children. I don't know why that keeps
coming back in, but anyway. Um so and
and we create all these wonderful jobs
in in some uh distant future. Well,
okay. Yes. But the nevertheless, the
truck driver and the assembly line guy
and all those folks already lost their
jobs. And the guy who lost his job on an
assembly line in Cleveland is not going
to be able to become the engineer who
figures out how to get on Mars. So, it's
not that he's not capable of it. he's
just 61 years old and he he can't learn
a whole new profession. So this is an
unrealistic conversation. So even if all
of the wonderful scenarios about AI are
true, it would take minimum 20 years to
get to this place where the robots are
running everything, we all have leisure
time and we just can't figure out what
to do with ourselves and we decide how
to get to Venus and and Uranus and
wherever else you want to go. Okay. But
in the meanwhile, in those 20 years, we
had massive waves of unemployment. It is
indisputable. Even as Kevin explains it,
he says, "Well, you know, you're not
going to be doing doing the perfume
shaking, you're not doing the assembly
line, you're not doing the driving,
you're not doing this, you're not doing
that. All those jobs are going to go."
And in fact, if you actually just listen
to folks on Wall Street, they brag about
it nonstop. Oh, we're going to get to,
you know, cut 25%. We're going to have
synergies. we're going to have cost
cutting. And then when people say that,
everybody gets the analysts get excited
and they're like, "Oh, bye, bye."
They're going to fire all their
employees. And then the other guy goes,
"No, no, no. I'm going to fire them even
quicker." And they go, "Bye, bye bye."
And not once have they thought, "Who's
going to buy the actual products?" And
they just don't have an answer for that.
So into into there is going to be
upheaval, massive upheaval. And it
doesn't And I'm not a doomsday guy. My
god, we have a thing called Operation
Hope on on the Young Turks. Um, we our
slogan is get caught trying. No, no, I'm
an enormously optimistic guy and I think
we can solve these issues, but we got to
try to solve them. And I don't see
anyone even trying to solve them now
again outside of Roana.
>> Kevin, I spoke to Dra, the CEO of Uber,
and I think I'm right in saying that
driving is the biggest employer in the
world. And when I asked Dra, who's the
CEO of Uber, if they're going to um
create autonomous vehicles very very
quickly to automate the 9.4 million
drivers that they have. He said that
they are. And then I asked him the
question, what will those 9.4 million
people do? And his response to me, the
direct quote is he said, I don't know.
Which is pretty pretty shocking. He also
noted that privately he said, "I have to
be honest. AI will replace 9.4 million
jobs at Uber. Tech executives are not
being transparent about AI. They talk
behind closed doors about the sheer
amount of disruption they anticipate,
but they don't talk about it publicly.
Look, I don't think we're going to make
any progress, more progress on this
issue." So, um, because
>> well, I think I think you're bringing a
great point, but the fact is we don't
know what comes next. Much of the reason
most people haven't posted content or
built their personal brand is because
it's hard and it's timeconuming and
we're all very very busy and if you've
never posted something before there's so
many factors in your psychology that
stop you wanting to post what people
will think of you am I doing this right
is the thing I'm saying absolutely
stupid all of these result in paralysis
which means you don't post and your feed
goes bare I'm an investor in a company
called Stanto which you've probably
heard me talk about and what they've
been building is this new tool called
Stanley that uses AI, looks at your
feed, looks at your tone of voice, looks
at your history, looks at your best
performing posts, and tells you what you
should post, makes those posts for you.
You can also just use it for
inspiration. And sometimes what we need
when we're thinking about doing a post
for our social media channels is
inspiration. Building an audience has
fundamentally changed my life, and I
think it could change yours, too. So,
I'm inviting you to give this new tool a
shot and let me know what you think. All
you have to do is search
coach.stand.sto. store now to get
started.
>> Steve, what are you doing?
>> Uh, just making myself a delicious
coffee
>> from the freezer.
>> From the freezer? Have you not heard
about CompTIA?
>> No.
>> Oh my gosh, this is going to change your
life. Couple of months ago, the founder
of this business called Matt sent a big
shipment of this coffee to our office in
London. What most people don't know is
that the processing of coffee takes out
a lot of the taste. So, what they do is
they flash freeze it at the optimal
moment when it's most tasty and they
send you in the post the coffee in these
little frozen ice cubes. Now, Matt sent
a big shipment to my office. I moved it
to the kitchen. I said to the team,
"Knock yourselves out." And then I saw
so many messages in our Slack channel of
people going, "Oh my god, what the hell
is that? It's so delicious." All I have
to do is pop it out in the morning using
the little button on the back of this
thing. I pour my hot water in and I mix
it and that is done. You can get $30 off
your first order of Cometier coffee if
you go to cometier.com/stephven.
Try it and please Instagram DM me,
LinkedIn me and let me know if you love
it as much as I do.
One of the things that's probably going
to be a disruptor to
AI's so I should say America's ability
to pursue these technologies is what's
going on with president approval ratings
at the moment. I've got this uh graph
here in front of me which you you know
you don't need to be able to zoom in to
see which shows that President Trump's
approval rating is declining rapidly in
part because of what's going on in the
Middle East. I wanted to get um Jenk
your opinion on what all of this stuff
is. As someone like me I don't really
know much about politics. I know that
there's these midterms coming up in
November time in the US, um, which is
going to be consequential, but from a
30,000 foot perspective, how do I how do
I pass out the truth of this war?
Because Trump seems to be saying
different things. Every day there's a
ceasefire with Iran, and then there's
and then they're bombing again. I think
2 days ago, they started bombing again,
which they call defensive strikes, and
then there's a ceasefire, and he says
there's a deal about to be done, and
then there's some bombing again. The
straight straight of Hormuse is open,
then it's closed, then it's I just don't
know what the truth is. Chank, in your
opinion, what is the truth? What's going
on?
>> Yeah. So, first let's start with uh the
president's polling numbers. Yeah.
They've been uh decimated by this war.
They were already in trouble because the
Epstein files and he didn't do anything
about affordability. Just gave a massive
tax cut for the rich as usual. Did
whatever Israel wants as usual. Uh and
so now, uh you know, he's eaten into his
own base. So, he's barely hanging on to
a majority of non-MAGA Republicans that
voted for him. Only 53% still support
him. He's lost about 20% of hardcore
MAGA. Uh his disapproval numbers are at
record numbers now. Um 68% of the
country thinks we're going in the wrong
direction. Uh he they about 76% of the
country is dissatisfied with how the
economy is going. And a lot of that is
because of the war. And so the war is
obviously driving up gas prices which is
then uh leading to uh inflation in other
areas. Of course a lot of things uh use
not just oil and gas but fertilizer
which has also been blocked uh through
the straight of hormuz. So we're we're
having an energy crisis um actually
mainly in Asia and Europe uh more so
than than even America. So that's why
the South Koreans are livid at the
Israelis that they're having to cons,
you know, conserve gas and go through
lean times because Israel wanted this
war and literally no one else on planet
Earth did. And so shortages in India and
this is all before we re-engage and
restart the war, which is what I'm
afraid is going to come next. So now
it's some folks have a hard time
believing this, but we we have to go
back to a conversation we had earlier.
Remember in America we legalize bribery.
So um one uh corporation can give to an
infinite amount to a super PAC uh
corporate interest, lobbyists,
individuals. To give you a sense of the
scale of the problem, one family alone
uh the Aden family, Miriam and Sheldon
Adlesen have given Donald Trump over
$317
million in campaign contributions. We
used to have a word for that. It was
called a bribe. And Trump is so
accidentally honest on this stuff, he
just can't keep anything in his head uh
from going outside his mouth. So he has
said, "Oh, Miriam, she cares more about
Israel than America, right?" I'm like,
"No, that's super awkward." And then he
says, "Oh, Sheldon Adlesen used to come
in here and tell me what to do all the
time." And then I did it, you know, and
I moved the embassy for the Adles, our
embassy in Israel. He's just, you know,
basically selling off our foreign
policy. To be fair to him, almost all of
our politicians do that. uh Israel gives
to 94% of Congress. So there Israel is
not some unique lobbyist that uh
community that is unseen in the world.
No, all the lobbyists do this. That's
why we give $35 billion in uh oil
subsidies which they're profitable
companies. That makes no sense. Why does
an average person have to give money to
Exon Mobile? That's insanity. Because
big pharma's lobby is so strong, we
can't negotiate prices. Now, when it
comes to Israel, that's when people lose
their minds. And mainstream media goes,
"Okay, you're right about big farmer.
You're right about big oil and defense
contractors and every other lobby. But
if you say the same exact thing about
Israel, we'll call you an anti-semite,
cancel you, and you're never going to
ever get another job again. No criticism
of Israel is allowed without us doing
massive oppression inside this country."
So, we've now got Israel that is totally
empowered to go, you know, rogue. They
don't follow any laws. They don't follow
the laws of war crimes. They've now
invaded Lebanon. They say they're going
to take all the way to the Latani River.
They're going to own southern Lebanon.
They've already ethnically
cleansed southern Lebanon, moved out a
million people to ethnically cleanse
Gaza. Netanyahu on tape bragged about,
oh, we used to have 53% of Gaza after
the war. Uh, now we have over 60%. So,
it was to steal land. That's what it was
about. It wasn't self-defense. Lebanon's
not self-defense. Israel invaded them.
Iran's not self-defense. We invaded
Iran. This war was utterly pointless,
especially from an American perspective.
Let me tell you what American interests
are and what Israeli interests are. And
they're very, very different. And in
America right now, because of we started
this war, we need the straight of Hormuz
open. That's what's hurting our gas
prices and all of our other prices and
affordability, inflation, all of that is
connected to the straight of horm. We
didn't have that problem before the war,
but now we have it. We've got to open it
back up. In order to do that, Iran has
an enormous amount of leverage. We've
got to make a reasonable peace deal.
Good news. We were about to have one
over this weekend. And all we want
theoretically is for them to take out
their to not make nuclear weapons. And
they've already promised 18 different
times that they wouldn't do that. They
did it under the Obama deal. They've
offered it before the war. They've
offered it during the war. So, that is
not an issue. And them promising it
doesn't mean anything. It has to be
verified. So what they're saying is yes,
we will have international monitors
verify that we will not have a weapon.
So that's the only thing that America
said they cared about before the war. So
then we're done. And we just killed 49
of their top regime leaders. Trump says
we destroyed their navy, their air
force, and everything else. We're done.
We have no American interest in there.
The only interest left is leave, open up
the straight of Hormuz so we can get our
economy back on track. Israel, on the
other hand, has said they would like,
and again, this is on tape. Netanyahu
said it. They would like to be the only
regional superpower in the Middle East.
In order to do that, they have to
destroy every other power in the Middle
East. Now, good news for them. They
completely control our Congress and our
presidents. So, uh they got us to they
literally gave us a list after 9/11 of
seven countries they wanted us to attack
on their behalf. We have attacked all
seven. Iran was the last one on that
list. So they want them destroyed so
that they can't fight back when Israel
takes more land as they are doing today.
They don't want anyone to be able to
defend themselves. They're going to kill
and take land as much as humanly
possible. And they want us Americans to
pay the bill. They say, "You owe us a
genocide. You owe us endless string of
wars. You owe us a global war on
terror." No, that was a global war on
Israel's neighbors. That cost us $8
trillion.
We gave $320 billion to Israel so far
already. Lifetime. Why? Why? Why don't
they give us the money back? No. They
say, "You owe us. You owe us. You owe
us. That's why we're in this war." And
by the way, the last thing, Stephen, is
while we're all distracted in Iran,
Israel has taken southern Lebanon. And
now they're saying they're going to keep
it forever. So that was the point of
this war. 100% Israeli interest, 0%
American interest. Let's get out of
there. Let's stop fighting Israel's wars
for them and come back home.
>> What about nuclear weapons? One of the
pretenses is that they were weeks away
from enriching uranium to a point where
that weapon could be used.
>> Yeah. So that's what Netanyahu has been
saying for the last 30 years in back in
the 1990s. Oh, they're weeks away.
They're weeks away. Do you know and you
probably don't know because American
media pretty much works for Israel. And
now when I say that guys, those are not
hyperbole.
Uh the Israeli lobby donate donates I
would say legally bribes like the other
lobbies do. 94%
of Congress. Number one lifetime donor
to Donald Trump is Israel. Number one
lifetime donor to Joe Biden. Number one
lifetime donor to Hakee Jeff, Chuck
Schumer, Mike Johnson. All of our
leaders, their number one lifetime donor
is Apac and the Israeli lobby. They
completely control our government. And
then our media comes and lies to us and
says, "Oh, they're the victims." Well,
we have eyes. We saw Gaza. Gaza is
utterly destroyed and Israel did that
with our money. That's insane. So, no,
we look, is I don't even think Israel is
an ally. I I don't know why in the world
we would ever serve a foreign nation.
They're treading all over us. They've
taken our sovereignty away. They've
taken our freedom away. And all we have
is these dupes in mainstream media
telling us about how they're doing
self-defense. Well, part of self-defense
is I take your land. Currently, they're
taping themselves
going into IDF soldiers are going into
Lebanese homes, Muslims and Christians,
stealing all their property. Then they
put it on online, go a look, we stole
other things. Then they destroy the
homes and they say, "Now this is Israeli
territory." That's not self-defense.
That's terrorism. It we are supporting a
terrorist nation and we're giving them
hundreds of billions of dollars and this
isn't even helping Israel. were enabling
their worst instincts and they're
getting the whole world to hate them.
How does that help Israel to have the
whole world despise you because you're
so selfishly driving up everyone's
prices and creating endless wars?
Literally, no other country on earth
wants this war in Iran to continue other
than Israel.
>> Kevin, you have a different perspective
on the um effectiveness and purpose of
the the original strikes that Trump did.
Are you supportive of this military
operation at large?
>> Well, you know, I'm not a show for uh
any politician. I focus on policy
because that's ultimately what survives.
Politicians come and go. Policy lingers.
I've always said that and that's as an
investor what you have to worry about.
So, um let's talk about the situation in
the Middle East for about 49 years. Um
some people would say 60. It depends
what you believed in the early years.
The Persians are were a very advanced
society in mathematics, poetry, art, you
name it. Uh they're very famous. And
then you have this small um
I I'm going to call it bad management. I
don't know what else to call it. that
took this society, brutalized the people
there, created a million um man army run
by 150,000 people, a super militia
um that caused a lot of chaos in that
region with proxies uh as people have
been talking about. Um and and the this
militia is is paid with cash that's
gotten from um the sales of of energy
and they would stop killing their own
people if they didn't get paid. So that
the the 150,000 that run that country
that brutalize the almost 100 million
others. I mean it's a really strange
platform that hasn't worked for the
people there for 60 years. But it it was
tolerated by all the neighbors until 6
months ago. the United Arab Emirates,
Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, they they
wanted to stay out of it because it was,
you know, it was relatively calm. Every
6 months the hoodies or one of the
uranium proxies would blow up an oil
ship kept the insurance premiums 30%
higher and then the proverbial poo poo
hit the fan. Now, China, let's get down
to business, gets 48% of its energy
through that straight, as does many
other Asian countries. So, they, as Jake
pointed out, um,
uh, you know, basically are underwater.
They don't have energy, Jack, I should
say. So, you know, at the end of the day
here, um, there's a problem. And so,
what's going to happen when this is
over? Um, forget about Look, you can't
let a You can't let a society that 150
people there say, "Let's kill
everybody." I mean, they're on a
different kind of mandate. They they
they're a little a little strange. You
don't want to give those people a
nuclear bomb. I don't care who you are.
They're just offside. And they they're
happy to kill their own people, but I
don't want them killing everybody else
with interbolistic missiles. So, no,
they can't have 90 pounds of rich
uranium. and they're not going to get it
and they're going to keep getting bombed
until they give it up. And at some
point, somebody in there is going to
say, "Whoa, uh, they're really we're
getting tenderized in here and we got to
stop this and we got to get the best
deal we can." We want to stay in power
to keep killing our people as long as we
can because we're the 150,000 guys that
live very well and everybody else lives
like crap. And that's just the way that
society works. And if the people want to
rise up and kill the 150 that are
killing them, they will one day. I don't
know. But here's what I think. I think
the actual countries around there are
going to end up in the same boat that we
have in the Suez and Panama canals where
there's a fee to go through, but it's
managed so that no country, including
China, gets to run it. And so that has
already found peace and all the shipping
lanes are open and the insurance rates
are normal there. So, if you're Saudi
Arabia, you got let's let's say it costs
five billion a month to police the
strait. Okay, that's a good number
because I'm probably right, pretty close
to it. That's nothing for the UAE and
for Saudi Arabia and Qatar, Bahrain.
They're going to need it open. So, if
they have to be like the United Nations
for that region and keep it open, that's
great. Now, I'm staying long the UAE
because I've invested there in in ADGM.
I have a company there. I've got
employees there. I talk to them every
day. I think this is going to end soon.
But I would like to see it in a way that
Iran is isolated. Maybe, you know,
they're not they can't control the
strait and they can't have the nukes.
Those are the two things that I think
have to be resolved. And then if they
want to brutalize their people forever,
okay, you know, they're going to do
that. It's a horrible outcome for those
people. I feel terrible for them. But
this outcome is a good one. If we
resolve those two things, new policing
of the strait, that would be great
because the Chinese need that, they want
that. And at some point, they're going
to squeeze the heads of these Iranian
leaders, whoever they are. They keep
getting killed and a new one pops up
like whack-a-ole. But that's just the
way that regime works. And nobody's
willing to to say, "Look, I I want to
take them over because you got the army
still being paid." But by blocking that
straight for the last 60 days, the the
amount of money they're losing is 210
million US per 24 hours. So at some
point, whoever's running the show there
is going to say, "If we can't pay our
soldiers to kill our people, we're going
to be screwed. They're going to come up
to the top of the castle and take
Frankenstein out." So we got to make
sure we cut a deal. That's why I'm
optimistic. The price of oil is down
almost 16%. It'll get back near 70. I
don't know what that's going to do for
the midterms because, you know, yeah,
the numbers are terrible, but every
incumbent gets screwed in the midterms.
It's it's just the nature of how it
works. Now, whether they lose the
Senate, I don't know. Are they going to
lose the House? Who knows? But if
gasoline's back to 70 bucks, we won't be
having this narrative about
unaffordability around energy in the
United States. And you just don't know.
But I do know that the status quo
because the UAE and Qatar and Bahrain
left those Iranians alone until they
rained missiles on them. Now they're
pissed. And so it's not business as
usual. And so I think the the winds of
change are going to blow through there.
And maybe the upside is the great
Persian people get better leadership
because boy, their leaders suck.
>> Jenk, it sounds like an optimistic um
outcome is being forecasted by Kevin and
I can see you nodding your head there in
a disagreement, shaking your head.
>> Yeah. So, look, again, I'm normally an
optimist here, but we've gotten
ourselves uh in some significant ruts
here. So, uh first of all, u you know,
this whole idea of the Iranian regime is
bad. Okay. Yeah, it is. Uh, it's Muslim
fundamentalist. I don't like
fundamentalists of any religion. I'm an
atheist. Uh, you know, they abuse their
people and they're corrupt. No question
about it. Netanyahu is corrupt. He's up
on corruption charges that seem to never
come. Uh, the Israeli settlers are
religious fundamentalists, biggest
lunatics on earth. They think that God
said to kill the Palestinians and take
their land, and we fund them. We give
them billions of dollars. So, I'm not in
favor of any of these uh
fundamentalists, no matter what religion
they're from. Now, on the issue of
nukes, uh, that you asked about earlier,
Stephen, you know that the reason I
brought up American media is because
they pretty much do nothing but Israeli
propaganda, they never clarified to
anyone. You know that Iran doesn't have
a missile that can deliver any warhead
to America. It just doesn't. It's that
it's never had it. It didn't have it 30
years ago when Netanyahu started saying
it. It doesn't have it today. So, and
they never enriched uranium up to 90%,
which is where you would have to get it
for weapons grade. They get up to about
60% and then we destroy their nuclear
facilities and Trump bragged about it
and now all that's buried underneath. So
where's the question? They're not even
close. And and again they've promised
not only to this repeatedly in
negotiations, but the former Grand
Ayatoll, the one we murdered, uh had
done a fatwa, the most important
religious edict in Shia Islam, when he
said we are to never build nukes. So
when they Hamas has something in their
charter, the Israelis say oh the charter
is the most important thing. Then the
grand ayatollah does a f way import more
important than a charter and they go
ignore that. Ignore that. No, no, don't
ignore that. And why would Iran ever use
a nuke? If they use a nuke then we
either Israel or us would strike back
and would kill 90 million Iranians.
Nobody wants that. They they want you to
believe that the Iranians are irrational
psychotic terrorists. Boo. They're
Muslims. Oh, that's super scary, right?
No, there is an irrational government in
the Middle East. It's it's Israel.
They're the Iran did not attack a single
neighbor. Israel has attacked seven
neighbors. Iran hasn't asked us for a
single dollar. Israel asked us for
hundreds of billions of dollars. So
there's one country that is constantly
attacking their neighbors and taking
land. And by the way, the ter the
civilian kill ratio of the IDF is 83%.
83% of the people that they kill are
civilians. That is higher than Hamas or
Hezblah or any terrorist group on earth.
and they kill about a hundred times the
civilians of Hamas. So if Hamas is
terrorist, it is absolutely indisputable
that Israel is a terrorist government.
And yet we're forced to fund that when
we don't have any money. They have
universal healthcare. They have free
college. They have paid family leave. We
don't have any of that. And then our
greedy and corrupt politicians and media
tell us that we owe the Israelis more
war and more genocide. The reason why I
think we're in a lot of trouble here and
it's not going to be easy to resolve is
every time we get close to peace.
Netanyahu calls Trump literally happened
this weekend. Right after the call,
Trump then goes back to wararm
mongering. After the call, we bombed
Iran. Israel started heavy bombing of
Lebanon. And then Trump came up with
three new totally impossible things.
Give me all the highly arrange enriched
uranium on day one. Well, it's buried
under the ground. It's going to take
months to take out. Uh, number two, uh,
you all have to join the Abraham
Accords. The Abraham Accords, again,
American media paints it as, oh, this
wonderful peace plan. It's no such
thing. It's to normalize relations with
Israel and start doing trade with Israel
without getting a promise back that
they're going to end the occupation. It
is betraying the Palestinians and saying
the Israelis can permanently occupy
them. By the way, again, never talked
about in American media, but I we read a
lot of this in the Israeli press and
that's why we get a lot of our
information on the Young Turks from them
because they actually do pretty good
reporting in Israel. And so, uh, one of
the things is they believe in Greater
Israel. They talk about it all the time.
Our press never talks about it, but they
do. They know they stole our nuclear
secrets. They know they stole our
nuclear triggers and our uranium. What
kind of an ally steals all of our
material? And and so but last thing,
Stephen, the most important impossible
thing was Netanyahu demanded, he made
this public, that everyone else stop
fighting except Israel, that they have a
right to keep attacking and invading and
taking southern Lebanon. Well, that's
not a peace deal. Nobody's going to sign
on to that. So, and and Israel has said
no matter what happens, they're going to
keep attacking Lebanon. That means even
if Iran and America make a peace deal,
Israel will literally ruin it on a first
day. So we can't ever get to peace as
long as we're allies with Israel. It's
literally impossible. They're massive
wararm mongers. And they say we need
endless wars. And by the way, it makes
sense because they're a settler colony.
In order for a settle settler colony to
expand, you need permanent war so they
can keep taking more land. We shouldn't
be funding these terrorists. We have a
way of getting out. This is what you do.
You just say, "Hey, we make a peace deal
with Iran. We take Israel out of it.
Israel, you want peace, you have peace.
If you want war, have war with Iran.
It's not our business."
>> So, what's what what are you predicting,
Jenk, is going to happen? What is your
prediction?
>> Disaster. A positive disaster. So,
there's no way we're going to get to
peace because Israel says their line in
the sand is they're going to keep
attacking Lebanon. As long as they keep
attacking Lebanon, Iran is not going to
get to a peace deal.
>> What does disaster mean specifically?
Oh, disaster means we re-engage in the
bombing. We have 50,000 ground troops on
those ships. People forgot that we're
there. Of course, it has to be American
ground troops. It can't be precious
Israeli ground troops because Israeli
lives are apparently worth more than
American lives if you listen to American
politicians. So, we have the ground
troops there. We're going to very likely
do more disastrous bombing of Iran. And
then Iran is going to bomb the oil and
gas fields in of the Gulf countries. And
then not only will gas prices go
absolutely through the roof and cause a
massive economic recession, perhaps
depression worldwide, but on top of
that, then uh they're going to say,
"Well, it's not enough. We want more."
And the infrastructure is already
destroyed. It's going to take 5 to 10
years to rebuild that infrastructure.
They're going to do permanent damage to
our economy. Why? They want more land.
Enough. enough with supporting the
terrorists.
>> Kevin, is it fair to say if you look at
what Trump said over since the start of
this war that he miscalculated this
because he gave us a window of time when
it would be over and that window of time
is now long gone. And it appears to me
like he thought it would be similar to
Venezuela where you could just go in
there, boom, boom, boom, regime change,
you control the country. But that's
clearly, I mean, just like a logical
impartial person, that's kind of like
how it looks.
This is different because this war is
what I would call the first tech war um
ever. A lot of the ordinance being used
um is with very advanced GPS systems
controlled from space. We've learned
something else uh which is rather
interesting. The I learned this from my
own employees that are sitting in Abu
Dhabi and Dubai. The drones that came
over in the first four weeks, those
waves every morning were basically
carbon fiber wings with lawnmower
engines on them and and very inexpensive
to make about $35,000. and we shot them
down or at least the UAE did with
American ordinance between a million2
and $3 million per missile on a $35,000
homemade drone. And so it goes back to
um wow I hope the Pentagon has enough
compute power because I wouldn't want
that in the hands of the Chinese cuz I I
what I've learned from this conflict and
look that you know people dying is
horrible period wherever they are it's
just horrible but this is not a
traditional war. I don't know if there's
going to be boots on the ground by the
time this is over. If there's another
wave of conflict, it's just going to be
more ordinance taking out more
infrastructure until the 150,000 people
running the show there say, "Wow,
this is really hurting us in terms of
maintaining control." I don't see uh a
boots on the ground invasion. I just see
more tenderizing and more tenderizing.
It's expensive because we're on the
wrong side of defense. We need the cheap
drones. And I think in two years from
now, from what I see in the development,
because I I see these deals all over the
place, there's a whole bunch of new tech
being developed around drone blocking
technology and very inexpensive versions
of what those Iranians built, better
than lawnmower engines, though. So, it's
it's going to be pretty interesting in
24 months. I'm not a fan of war, but I
have a different view of the outcome
here. And I think that part of the
world's going to be stabilized and
funded by the neighbors there, and
probably everybody's better off because
the Chinese can't take the pain much
longer. Their oil supplies, both on the
water and in storage, are starting to
really dwindle. And if I'm the big
supreme leader there, I'm thinking to
myself, I'm going to call those guys in
Iran, say, "Okay, big boys, time to
settle. We've had enough." Cuz that that
is actually
a different view of that policy over
there. Because every Asian country is
hurting. And by the way, in North
America,
we actually don't have any problems with
energy. We have an abundance of it,
including the stuff coming from Canada,
the number one import. The problem we
have is the price of oil is determined
by world markets. It's a commodity in US
dollars. You know, it was 106. Now it's
9712, whatever it is trading right now.
Um
it's but we're not going to run out of
energy in America. That's not going to
happen. It's it's the rest of the world
to the extent that we care about them.
Um we got to resolve this issue. For
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The thing that I think America's at risk
of running out of Kevin though is is is
patience and uh support. And if you
think about the sort of existential risk
to Trump, he you know, if you looking at
these numbers, so this this first line
you see is his disapproval going up and
his approval going down. If I'm the
supreme leader in Iran, I go listen,
this guy has got I mean there's an
election in 2028 in the United States,
this guy has got months. So in terms of
you talk about, you know, the art of a
deal and doing a good deal. If you know
your counterparty in the deal
negotiation literally has months to do a
deal or they are going to be thrown out
of power, if I'm one of those 150,000
people or the supreme leader, honestly,
I'm going to wait it out. I think I have
all the cards. if you have almost no,
you know, they can survive. Again, you
said they oppress their people. They
don't seem to have much morality
surrounding that. Could they wait it out
a couple of months knowing that Trump
can't because the midterms are coming
and then the election's coming. I
>> think you're making a good point on that
one. But I, you know, the one thing I
would say, Stephen, is that it's not
just Trump you're waiting out. You got
Chi, it's it's not just Trump, the big
guy. You got two supreme leaders. You
got whoever is running the show this
week in Iran
and you've got the Chinese leader, the
supreme leader. And the only way he gets
to say the supreme leader is people eat,
people have jobs there and his economy
stays buoyant. That's the only way he
stays in power. So
you're you're serving two masters.
You're you're trying to time the 28
decision you talked about versus how
pissed off the big guy is going to get
in China. He has no choice. 48% of his
energy comes through that straight at
some point. I think before November,
Elsa primo in China squeezes Iranian
heads like teenage pimples. That's what
I think is going to happen. The other
thing just to give you the other thought
that's been spiraling in my head since
I've interviewed all these people on
this subject is that Trump and JD Vance
repeatedly say they don't even know who
they're negotiating with because they've
knocked out every layer it seems of
leadership. They on one hand brag about
that but then I would also suggest that
that makes negotiation hard. I think JD
Vance actually talked about or Marco
Rubio talked about the fact that they
can't get the carrier pigeon to the um
Iranian soldiers that are still shooting
the missiles. And this talk this speaks
to the um lack of organization in Iran
because you've wiped out all the
leadership. So I even wonder if you can
really do a deal at this point with
Iran, Jenk.
>> No, we can remember we almost had a deal
this weekend. Uh and the deal is
actually kind of obvious. Open up the
straight of Hormuz. We lift a blockade.
Iran says uh we'll find the
highlyenriched uranium and hand it over.
We won't have a weapons program and
we'll have international monitors for
the uranium that we enrich to just
energy levels, not weapons levels. Boom.
Done. Easy. Though, but as I explained
before, we can't get it done because
Israel says, "No, I want permanent."
>> How do you know it's Israel? How do you
know it's Israel, Jenk?
>> Yeah, there's no question. So first of
all in the before the invasion New York
Times with a rare good article that
explained uh that Netanyahu and the head
of MSAD came into the situation room
Netanyahu physically and head of Mossad
uh through a teleconference and they uh
told Trump you got to attack you got to
attack now and they to they at least as
the New York Times describes it they
convinced them. Whether they actually
convinced him through language or
through money or through blackmail is a
whole different question. But uh another
thing that's absolutely clear is that
after every call with Netanyahu, Trump
goes from saying we're going to have
peace to saying we're not going to have
peace and we're have these new
impossible standards. It's happened
about half a dozen times so far. It's
super clear that Israel is driving the
bus. Plus, you could see it based on the
facts on the ground. We have no interest
there. We have a deal ready to make for
American interests. Israel says, "No,
we're not done because we need southern
Lebanon and we need Iran to be
completely decimated." This idea that
Kevin's talking about, to be fair to
Kevin, almost everybody in in America
thinks in this, well, now to be unfair
to Kevin, this fantasy world where the
regime in Iran is just going to give up.
It's never going to happen. We already
tried to regime change it. It it didn't
work at all. They have an enormous
infrastructure set up so it doesn't
really matter how many people you knock
off at the top, somebody else rises up,
somebody else rises up out of that
150,000 people that that Kevin's talking
about. Now, China, he's got a theory
that maybe China puts pressure on him.
That's not a crazy theory. I get it. At
the same time, China's looking at Russia
and America and going, "Look at these
schmucks. Russia is wasting their entire
military and resources in Ukraine. And
now America's totally wasting their
military and resources in Iran. And
these two other knuckleheads keep
punching themselves in the face.
Meanwhile, we haven't started any wars
if you're China. And so we haven't had
any of those costs. We haven't had any
of those troubles. We don't have that PR
problem. So when we go into Africa or
Latin America and we say, "Hey, you know
what? We're going to build roads and
bridges for you guys and America's going
to come and bomb you. So which one do
you want to do a deal with?" Now a lot
of them are saying, "No, we want to do a
deal with China." because they don't do
war. Uh instead they build
infrastructure. Look, it just is a
business strategy, an economic strategy
that is much much smarter. But we can't
go into a smart strategy because Israel
won't let us. Every time we go towards
peace, Israel blocks it. And today, this
weekend, we had both Republicans and
Democrats go out and say we shouldn't do
the peace deal. You want to know what
the one connective tissue? Every one of
those politicians had over a million
dollars given to them by the Israeli
lobby. So that's just the stone cold
reality of it. And so in terms of energy
here at home, Kevin says we're not going
to run out. But he also acknowledged
that no, wait a minute, that has nothing
to do with anything. We oil goes into a
world market and it is controlled by
world prices. So the fact that we are
so-called energy independent means
nothing. That's not even our oil or gas.
It's Exon Mobile and Chevrons. So they
could sell it anywhere they want and
they do sell it anywhere they want. The
only way to get them to sell it
exclusively in America is to do
socialism and say you're not allowed to
sell that oil anywhere else. I don't
think Kevin wants that. So that means we
are definitely not energyindependent. We
are definitely tied to global oil prices
and that means again more disaster. When
you get to tech, oh my god, the Israelis
used AI in Gaza. They did this uh
program called Where's Daddy. AI would
pick a target uh that was maybe
connected to someone in Hamas at some
point, but they did, you know, he called
this guy and the other guy called other
guy and that lady now has a cell phone.
Good enough. But they would wait till
their target went home so they would
bomb the house and kill their entire
family. If that's the future of tech in
the military, we're all doomed. So,
they've been testing all of this stuff
in Gaza and now they're doing in Iran.
What I'm worried about is what Larry
Ellison said. He said, "Oh, we now can
track all citizens anywhere and we're
going to bring that technology to
America." I don't want their
surveillance state. I don't want
anything to do with the Israelis. Let's
just come home and serve American
interest. That's what I keep. That's But
the good news, Stephen, is almost all
the voters agree. 80% of Democrats now
have a negative view of Israel and say,
"No, take care of American voters first.
When you get to under 50 years old in
all parties, Israel now has a negative
45 rating." The only people left in this
country who still want to serve Israel
are our politicians and our media.
That's it. The rest of us can't stand
them anymore and the endless wars they
drag us into and all the money they take
from us. And Kevin, as a businessman,
what are we doing? Why are we letting
this country the size of their
population is the equivalent of Papa New
Guinea lead us around by the nose and
get us into endless wars? You know, this
war in Iran isn't helping us. And and if
they continue and they bomb the
infrastructure in Iran and the Gulf
countries, you know, it's going to take
5 to 10 years to rebuild and it is going
to be a global economic disaster. What
are we doing? We got to get rid of the
Israelis. I don't mean that in a
physical way. Just get them out of our
government and make decisions based on
what's good for America. will be 10,000
times better off and then we could end
the war.
>> I think if there was a path to peace in
the Middle East, it's one of the largest
consumer markets on earth. Just Iran
itself has 100 million people. They buy
stuff. And you know, I think about the
future of a global economy. If there was
stability there, uh including peace with
Israel and their neighbors, that would
be an amazing market, a huge market. And
one of the reasons that people like me
keep a foothold or a footprint in the
UAE, it is and was the capital of
capital until nine weeks ago. And I
think it'll return at some point. That's
a the size of the market in Egypt,
Jordan, Sudan, Saudi Arabia, I mean, and
Iran are they're just huge. And those
people want stuff that we make. I mean,
you know, it's that pragmatic. It's that
So, if you could have peace and
stabilize and you want to sell stuff,
that's a massive market. And and I, you
know, that's why I remain an optimist on
how this gets resolved because at the
end of the day, it doesn't matter what
religion you are or, you know, what
country you're in or what geography you
came from. Most people, and I would say
99% want to raise a family, have a job,
and enjoy life. they don't want to get
blown up. And so I'm I'm kind of an
optimist that it's in everybody's
interest to solve this. It's kind of
like the the human condition is I'd like
to get, you know, I'd like to form a
family unit and I'd like to live a
peaceful life and I'd like to buy stuff.
I want to be a consumer. So I'm uh in
the camp that says, look, I don't know
how this thing gets resolved. Nobody
does. I'm disappointed that there's no
peace deal this weekend, but hopefully
there'll be one soon. But in the end,
most people want peace, period. Unless
you're, you know, you're crazed as a
crazed leader and you just want to kill
everybody. Those people don't last that
long. They don't seem to, well, they're
certainly not lasting that long in Iran
right now, but you're right. They keep
popping up. But at some point, I don't
know. I think uh peace is a better deal
for everybody. There should be a button
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our show, but you haven't yet hit that
button. Thank you so much, Kevin. Um,
based on that, based on both our
conversation on AI and also how
unpopular this war is, what we're seeing
across the world at the moment is this
rise in socialism in Western markets.
We're seeing it in the UK. We're seeing
it around Europe. And we're also seeing
it in the United States. Positive views
of capitalism amongst all Americans has
dropped to an all-time low according to
a poll done by Gallup. Um, a massive
almost 70% of Democrats now view
socialism positively with only 40%
roughly view capitalism favorably. And
again, this was at the end of last year,
so these stats aren't even factoring in
the war. And a staggering 62% of young
Americans hold a favorable view of
socialism as well. So, as we head
towards the midterms, but also the
elections, which I'm not actually that
far away now. It's quite clear to me, as
someone that, you know, I I'm an
entrepreneur in the United States. I I
live in Los Angeles, as you know. Um I
build businesses. It's quite clear to me
that we're on the verge of a very
different type of America. And we've
seen, you know, um Zhan Mandani be
elected in New York, and we're seeing
this sort of socialistic nar narrative
spread like wildfire. I think heavily
fueled by both wars, but also by
technology, AI, and sort of wealth
inequality. Do you agree that if things
continue on this trajectory, we're
heading towards a more socialist
America?
>> No. What I agree on is I'm I'm a history
buff. Um you can go back into the uh 40s
and 50s. It seems every 17 to 20 years
we take um a dip back into socialism and
back in those days communism even in New
York in Brooklyn longing for what the
Soviet Union had or Cuba had in its
heyday. Um and then the outcome is
always the same. It doesn't work. And so
it it really you have all these
different ideas about how a country
should run and what works best for all
the faults that US has now and the
debates we have and you know AOC and
Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren and
all this rhetoric and I get it. I mean
they're they're very successful
politicians. I love AOC. She just spews
out stuff and raises five bucks at a
time. You know it's smart. It's a great
social media strategy. And same with
Bernie. I mean, the guy But will she be
president of the United States? I don't
think so. And will Bernie get there? No.
Why does everybody leave Massachusetts,
including my son, because you can't
raise any money there to start a
company? The super tax is stupid. And
so, it it's sort of it's it's a it's a
it's a mixing pot of ideas and
competition. But in the end, and I
always say this to my students because I
I what I find so interesting about, you
know, a 20 a cohort of 23 year olds that
I teach in in business classes and
injury classes, they're all socialists,
all of them, until they get their first
paycheck. Then they become capitalists
when they see something called tax. And
they wonder, "Wait a second, wait a
second. Where'd half my salary go?
What's this?" And I say, "That's tax."
Now, if you want it to be 80% tax, you
follow that trail that you had before I
started teaching you, you were a
socialist. And now, what are you? Well,
I can't pay 50% tax. No kidding. Well,
move to Austin, move to Tennessee, you
move to Florida like everybody else is
doing, and you'll pay 16%. And so I love
the fact that everybody's an idealist
socialist
until they get their first paycheck. And
that's how America works. It's a
wonderful thing. And I say it's good
because you all everybody has a vote. We
continue to believe in that. And I think
the debate rages on and it's great. And
everybody has an opinion. I have mine,
others have theirs. And I love to be
part of this course. You know, one of
the reasons I keep doing what I do is I
love to get into the with
everybody. I like to say the things I
say cuz I really believe them and I've
been there before. I'm wise. I've seen
this movie before. That's what I tell my
students and it freaks them out.
>> Just a yes or no answer in this
question. So in 2028, do you think
another capitalistic sort of focused
candidate will win the election
>> or do you think a Democrat or a
socialist will? I don't think
socialism's going to is socialism going
to make it in America at the uh in the
office of the White House. I think the
pendulum always swings. The Biden
administration went way too far in one
direction. It snapped back. Now you
might argue it went too far the other
way and it snaps back. The whole idea of
midterm gives you the smell test of the
direction which is coming up just months
away and then you'll see who emerges. I
don't think we know who the next
president of the United States is going
to be, him or her. We don't know who's
going to emerge.
>> What's your sense though, Kevin? You're
you're a predict you're a man that makes
predictions. Is it Democrat or is it
Republican in your view? Got to give me
a straight answer here.
>> I I I wouldn't even make that guess.
It's It's so difficult. I really don't
know. I I I really think that in my
view, the Democrats have lost their way.
I would like to see them find a new
leader that's more moderate.
I don't think you can spew socialism and
get elected. You got to find somebody
that is in the middle that is more
pragmatic about providing jobs. I mean,
look at California. What a mess that
place is. It's just they may actually
they may hire a Republican mayor out
there. I mean, that's going to be a
shakaroo for LA. But it's gotten pretty
bad. I work out there. It's a you can't
even wear your watch at daytime anymore.
I mean, it That's true.
>> It's a mess. It's a mess. It's a a
lawless wasteland. It has poor
management, no executional skills with
the politicians. I mean, you know,
you're lucky to be You work there. You
know what I'm talking about.
>> Jenk, what's your point of view on that
socialism? Is it coming to America
midterms 2028?
It's a lot to talk about there. So,
look, I I'm not a fan of Karen Bass. I
voted against her before. I probably
vote against her again in this mayor's
race. Uh, and so I think that sometimes
Democrats, uh, like to get mired in
their bureaucracy and not push for
enough change. So, uh, so I'm not a
person who just, uh, supports Democrats
no matter what. In fact, I criticize
Democrats a lot on the Young Turks. Uh,
but no, you're not going to get your
watch stolen in LA. Uh, I have a family.
We go out all the time. It's perfectly
safe. Uh, so for a little while between
2019 and 2023, crime really did rise in
some of the big cities. We talked about
on the air. were very honest about it.
It took some heat from the left on it,
but crime's gone down significantly in
24 and 25. So, I don't think those are
real issues anymore. In terms of uh our
economic model, we need a couple of
clarifications here. So, as I said
earlier, we we really do corporatism in
America. And another word for that or
phrase for it is crony capitalism. So,
we'd be lucky to get back to capitalism,
let alone going all the way to socialism
because right now we don't have
capitalism. We don't have free markets.
We have uh every industry has captured
the government. They've bribed all of
our politicians. We can't negotiate
prices. Uh these are the I mean that is
the most socialist thing I've ever heard
except socialism for corporations. It's
mindbending. And that's and that's what
corporism is. It's totally run a muck
now. And why is that? Because of money
and politics. So in order to fix all of
these problems and to get back to real
free markets and capitalism, you have
got to get the money out of politics. If
you don't do that, you're just on a
treadmill of corruption and it never
ends. And you get BS guys like Biden and
Trump who come in and tell you that
they're going to drain the swamp and
then they fill it up even more and even
more. So they and they serve all their
donors. So in terms of socialism, we
never define what it means. The reality
is most governments are mixed economies.
Not most governments, almost all
governments are mixed economies. So when
we say socialism, are we talking about
Cuba or are we talking about the
Netherlands? Because you could argue
that Northern Europe does socialism. Uh
they have a lot more things that are
public rather than private. But do they
have private businesses? Of course they
do. Right? So I would argue that
democratic capitalism is the right way
to go where we have capitalism, but it
is checked by democracy. the CEOs and
the shareholders look out for the
companies and the legislators and the
president and the prime ministers are
supposed to look out for the citizens
and check the corporations so they don't
run a muck. I think Northern Europe's
probably pretty close to that. In terms
of candidates here in America,
again, I'd have to say Roana is probably
the closest one to that. And so if you
go too far left, um I get it that that's
hard, especially on identity politics,
which again we're not a fan of on the
Young Turks and we don't think that's
the right direction to go and it just
divides our country. Uh so I don't think
that that type of far-left candidate can
can win a national election. But after
what Trump does this to this country,
what he's already done to this country,
Republicans, I have one thing to tell
you. N
there's no way. The the midterms are
gone. Nobody's showing up to vote. Their
voter enthusiasm is gone, obliterated.
And by 2028, we're going to have the
disaster from the war and disaster from
AI, unemployment. So they they only have
one guy who could win, and I'm worried
about it, and that's Tucker Carlson. If
Tucker runs in the Republican primary,
he definitely wins that primary. You can
quote me on it. And then you could have
Kevin laughing and you could rerun that
tape. It'll be great. In fact, back in
2016, I was on ABC's This Week with
Stephanopoulos. They asked the whole
panel who's going to win. At that point,
they just won the Democratic National
Convention and Hillary Clinton had a
10-point lead. I was the only one on the
panel to say Donald Trump was going to
win. And they all laughed out loud.
Populists win. The people chasing after
the donors, whether it's Israel or Big
Farmer or any of the other donors, then
nobody nobody likes those people. Kla
Harris lost because she was bragging
about how she had 90 corporate CEOs on
her side. I got bad news for her. Nobody
likes corporate CEOs. Sorry Kevin. Sorry
me. But the reality is that's what every
poll shows. It is deeply deeply
unpopular and these days it's pretty
merited. So if if you've got someone in
the right lane, which is Democratic
capitalism, I think they win.
>> We just got two minutes left. Kevin, uh
you laughed there at the suggestion that
Tucker Carlson might win.
I know Tucker. I just did a thing with
him this week. It was really interesting
because he's taken a a very um uh
controversial view about AI and that's
the debate we had. And he has obviously
shifted his focus uh from being proTrump
to something else. But you know, I have
to admit when I think about it, that is
a possibility if he would uh align
himself. I'm not sure what party he
represents anymore. I think he is a
selfproclaimed Republican, but um that's
interesting idea. The more I think about
it, I can't I can't I I know I laughed
at it, but I've been thinking about it
for the last couple of minutes. Yeah. I
mean, the guy has a massive base. Um he
has a his own network now, which is
something you kind of need these days
in. Uh you need a really strong social
media base to play um in politics and
and to and to fight the fights in the
seven states. you really got to have a
good organization on social. So, I mean,
I think it's going to be fascinating.
Um, I think we'll get a pretty good
indication of what the themes will be in
November. Uh, affordability obviously
remains a big one. Um, border remains a
big one in in the US, but AI could
emerge as as a big one too. I mean it
maybe but I I think by then um
I always look at these big you know AI
kind of burst on the theme but it's not
really about data centers and power it's
about jobs I think is where it's going
and I don't know if that gets resolved
by you can always be a fear mongerer
about the robots eating the babies and
maybe that is an election issue. I don't
know. We'll see. It's going to be
interesting though cuz it it wasn't an
issue until 6 months ago. Jen, last word
before we close out.
>> Yeah. So, look, I don't think that a
pro-Israel candidate can win. Uh, and
so, but all of our politicians are
trained to be pro-Israel. And
apparently, they have trouble reading
polls. So, uh, I think that that, you
know, a populist right versus populist
left would in a sense be a dream. Um,
because either way, you hope that they I
mean, the key has to be that they have
to be real. I mean, we're so tired of
these fake politicians in America. They
never do what they say they're going to
do. They always back the donors. But if
you got two honest guys, and by the way,
maybe it's Kana versus Massie, and that
would be amazing. Or maybe it's Kana and
Massie, but there's two guys who were
clearly honest in Congress, and you
know, I can name Bernie as my third. I'm
going to struggle on the fourth one. So,
there aren't that many choices. So, and
maybe we go populist, we go independent,
and we go in a new direction because God
knows that America needs a new
direction.
>> Kevin Jenk, thank you so much for the
time. Um, I've been a fan of both of you
for many, many, many years. I was saying
to Jenk before we started recording that
I think I've watched The Young Tuck
since I was 19. And when I say watched,
I mean really, really watched, not not
casually saw it, but I would watch it
almost daily when I was going through uh
building my businesses and sort of
coming into the professional world. So,
thank you so much, Jen. It's a pleasure
to have spent this time with you and
Kevin. Again, I've been, you know, my my
my favorite shark for I think 15 years
now. Um, for many, many, many reasons.
Thank you to both of you. Um, I really,
really appreciate it. And hopefully
we'll have this discussion again soon
once all of this plays out because the
answer to a lot of these questions has
been I don't know. And we shall see. So,
we shall see. Thank you.
>> Thank you.
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The video features a debate between Cenk Uygur and Kevin O'Leary regarding the societal and economic implications of artificial intelligence, global geopolitics, and the potential for a wave of unemployment. Uygur emphasizes risks such as massive job displacement and the influence of corporate money on politics, advocating for populist reforms. Conversely, O'Leary maintains an optimistic outlook, viewing AI as a productivity-enhancing technology that will create new jobs and emphasizing the importance of competing with China in the tech and energy sectors. The conversation also spans discussions on the Middle East conflict, voter sentiment, and the future of American politics.
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