APLD Signs NEW AI Data Center Contract for $36B
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Hey guys, it's Will. So, the S&P 500
recently topped out at all-time highs
and we saw big moves happen today. We
got some big sell-offs in the data
center market, but Tonx market was
selling off and the first thing we see
spy recently reaching all-time highs
shortly after you get the pull down and
then Fed decision coming out tomorrow
and we potentially could see a rate
hike. And then you also got Broadcom's
guidance that recently, you know, was
not so hot and that was last week which
really drove the market down. And so now
we got this uh, you know, 12-h hour, 13
hour, 4 hour, 5 hour articles coming
out. Um, even the White House is
actually sending messages. You see even
Trump tweeting about it or talking about
it that, you know, we better not have a
rate hike or whatever. But you know the
reality is is in this moment where we
see I was just driving back from Mammoth
in the mountains going through the lakes
and driving I was going on a fishing
trip with my dad recently and uh
yesterday we were driving through the
mountains. The diesel was $889
per gallon. Just absolutely insane. And
then the economists say when you look at
some of the uh Reuters um articles here
that inflation persisting above 4% key
rate remains at 3.5 to 3.75%
and there's a 70% expect no rate cuts
this year to actually potentially
looking at uh very ill timing
potentially for SpaceX IPO where you
have you know correction from SPY and
then you have SpaceX IPO um happening
right after Fed rate decision, which if
a rate hike were to take place, that
would be a pretty big deal. But, you
know, these are all things that most
likely won't be as bad as people think.
And while they say that, you know, the
facts are obviously that we do see
inflation higher, that we do see spy at
an all-time high, and the facts are that
some of the guidance was lower on top
companies like Broadcom. There's one
fact that is very true as well, which is
the number one thing that is super clear
is that companies that are driving the
market right now are seeing really great
financials. What does really great
financials mean? Well, one of the things
that has allowed us to make well over
100%, in fact, over 10x on this stock,
specifically APLD, as we started
covering it back around $5 to $7 a
share, and it sold down to already down
to $3 and then recovered all the way to
$50 a share as of yesterday. Is that
they have these financials that seem to
follow all of their financial reports,
seem to follow their uh news. And so
what news have we recently seen? Well,
KE is one. You've got TSSI. You've got
AOI. You got Oracle as well where
they've come in with pretty good
earnings, pretty good revenues. And the
thing is is that what happens is that
these aren't just big um so-called
moments where a big heroic thing happens
and they just report and surprise with
these massive financials. You see, with
APLD, for example, we were watching
back, you know, June 2025, they had this
15-year deal with uh Core Weeave for $7
billion. That was increased to 11
billion. Shortly after, they added some
more deals. Some of their recent uh AI
factories, this was one of their recent
7.5 billion that then increased their
total contracted lease revenue to $23
billion. Shortly after that, they then
just came in with a deal yesterday. Or
was it today? Yeah, it was today
actually. It's been a long day. Or was
it yesterday? I think it was yesterday
that they came in with this deal for a
12.7 billion approximate contracted
revenue, which now increases their
current portfolio of AI factory campuses
with $36 billion in contracted revenue.
Now the time spans on most of those are
around 15 years. But the point is is
that when you're looking at this $36
billion when we've seen these articles
come out and we've seen this is directly
from the source once again and they've
partnered with these these hyperscaler
companies and they're getting these AI
factories built. They're constructing
them. They're getting the connections
with the liquid cooling. They're
building them in places like North
Dakota where it's really cold and it's
super efficient for them to build in
those locations. They're even bringing
down some of the uh the rates for
electricity in the area, not negatively
impacting the local areas. And they're
doing it in a way that seems to be where
they haven't had these stoppages or
these uh times where they haven't been
able to construct because of weather.
That was a big one over with um uh
Texas. I remember there's huge flooding
happening and a lot of people or a lot
of companies weren't able to construct
their data centers. They haven't had any
of those big slowdowns. They've been
able to continually build and they've
also been very selective about the
companies that they decide to lease out
their data centers to. Not in a big
rush, but we were saying a while ago,
hey, let's just see them deliver on
their current contracts. If they get
more, great. But even where they're at
now, when they were at, you know, 40
bucks a share or 30 bucks a share and
they had just 23 billion, this was
literally last month, we were saying
they're still looking undervalued. Now
they come in at $36 billion across their
AI campuses and their financials
continue to improve. I was just using
Prophecy. This is something that's
allowed me to be able to monitor all my
different positions. In the last two
quarters, we've had over 10 positions,
in fact, 12 stocks that have gone up
over a 100% in concentrated markets like
data centers, AI infrastructure, space
tech, quantum computing, semiconductors,
drone tech, and AI defense, and even
some energy stocks as well where we've
been focusing on a lot of different
stocks and in order to keep up with
them, we've been using AI. And that's
why we developed Prophecy here. Prophecy
is one of the top platforms in the world
for using all of the best AIs in the
world. And that's actually what our goal
was was to be able to search up any
stock like APLD, get the best AI models
in the world to all give us projections
on the 1 hour, the 4 hour, the 1 day.
Currently, Claude is as accurate as 60%
in its direction accuracy when
projecting stocks. And so we're using
Claude right now in chat GBT. We're
actually using all the AI models. We got
it on AI max mode right now. But my
point is is that when we've seen this
big surge and why we're using prophecy
and if you guys want to use it, third
link below is because the reason why
there's so much momentum is because
there's this um financial
buildup. You can look at the financials
starting to build up here and we could
see that develop that the the contracts
and the news comes out and then shortly
after when the earnings come out these
financials are looking so much better.
And so you can see that definitely in
the uh the new revenue from the company
and that it almost always is actually
following the reports in their news. So
my point is again as they come out here
with this big news of now $ 36 billion
across five AI factory campuses and
their market cap is still sitting right
now at 11.9 billion. I know it's up
there because we started covering around
a billion dollars market cap. So it is
up there to 12 billion now. But the
point is is that if they are currently
did they just sign another 5.2 two
billion one today. Is that just today?
Did they sign another deal? Seems like
they just signed
yet another one or maybe that was from
yesterday, but just 36 billion across
all the data centers they're building
and their market cap sits at 12 billion.
if they're going to see their revenue
continue to ramp up as it has been
ramping up quite drastically from just
50 million in 2025 in February to then
you know uh getting up to by the end of
the year 160 million in the quarter and
then they've been having now 126 million
and they got their up andcoming earnings
here with their assets now surging as
well to over uh 2.5 billion in equity
and assets are up to 6.25 billion. So
assets are up there, revenue over 100
million per quarter, plus they got this
$12 billion market cap while their
backlog sits above 36 billion. It's
funny, not long ago, we were just doing
a a video on this. The facts were that
as their pipeline was sitting here at
about what is it 3.5 see 3.5 active
pipeline of utility power we said you
know right now it seems that they have
the capacity to potentially have a
backlog of as high as about 50 to 70
billion dollar in backlog for their data
centers and so shortly after that you
know we saw them jump I remember just
not long ago they were, you know, under
10 billion. Now they're up to $36
billion in contracted revenue. But but
the reality is is again they still have
about 50 to 70 billion potentially in
contracted revenue. So I say that
because when we're looking at how many
of you guys have seen that some data
center companies, you know, they're
they're getting a lot of momentum. A lot
of people are talking about them. their
market cap might be going up, but they
haven't really seen the contracts or
people are just kind of anticipating
that they're going to go up. That's been
happening on quite a few stocks. And
some of them they're going to be in a
position where they will get contracts.
I think a good example of that where,
and I say will, but most likely will, is
like Keel for example, Keel. You know,
we've been covering them for uh since
like $2 a share at one point. Um I think
we started around four or five bucks,
they dropped to two, now they're at six
or something like that. And you know,
they haven't seen the the contracts come
in, but they have the revenue. And so
when we when we look back at APLD and we
kind of see these these um the moves
where they're at right now, the
difference is is that we've seen the
contracts already be right in front of
us. we can actually see the articles and
the earnings oftent times are showing
reflections of that exact thing, the
news that we're getting. And so it's
almost like we're getting the answer to
how much revenue they're expecting. And
they haven't even reported earnings yet.
And they've added like 20 plus billion
dollars in the last quarter in
contracted revenue that we're most
likely going to see a windfall of this.
We're going to see some of this revenue
show up in the earnings very soon in the
income statement given that as they've
continued to hold integrity up to this
point and that their revenue has
reflected their contracts that they get
which we've seen that that will just
continue to be the case and that the
financials will reflect the same as they
have that they uh will continue to show
and reflect all of these articles that
we're seeing. So basically article comes
out we see the value shortly after
earnings comes out earnings surprise a
lot of Wall Street but we were just
simply paying attention and that's why
we were able to capitalize on now what's
been over a 10x opportunity here for
APLD so as we see them pull back from
$50 a share as an investor or trader if
there is one thing I noticed with you
know Warren Buffett talking about the
long term you know we're actually
holding this company we never ever plan
to sell this company. So, while we trade
it, we like to trade APLX and we do the
2x. I was just on the phone with the CIO
today of um Defiance ETFs. I got to talk
with them about the upcoming um upcoming
SpaceX IPO and we were talking about how
it's important to have those 2x
instruments to trade uh the short-term
opportunities if they do present
themselves. And we will do that if we
see that with APLD for sure. I mean, if
we see the opportunity where we get this
double bottom here at $37 that we've
seen them bounce over the last week,
they dip down big here after a big
market rally this morning. Then they
kind of surged or um drop down here to
37 38 bucks. If we're looking at that
potential recovery here, back up into
levels we just saw back here in May. So,
if they were to find that support around
that $35 level or $40 level really and
continue back up into that $48 to $50
range, it's a 20% margin for profit to
that previous resistance at 50 bucks.
That's a 40% margin for profit over on
APLX. So, as an investor, you know, in
the long term, of course, I just
continue to hold. I've held this stock
through ups and downs. Um, I've held it
up to 42 and back down here to, you
know, 18. and I'll continue to hold it
long term. But I will say that for the
people that are looking at it short term
and you're just want to make a quick
cash on something like this. If you do
end up holding it again, spy, imagine
spy corrects down, IPO doesn't go as
expected. If those things happen, are
you willing to hold it down 25 30 40%
sellown? Because if you're not, then you
want to have clear risk management and
you you're looking for a trade and
that's totally fine. We trade this stock
as well, but we also hold it long-term
and we never touch that. When we trade
it short-term, there's a structured
approach that we have that again it
wouldn't have been possible to execute
without a structured plan. And that's
why I use prophecy because I can get
projections on the 1 hour and the 4 hour
and the one day. And you can see even
some of the projections into tomorrow,
some negative projections. But we do
have that uh nearest support level at
4150. We'll see if that holds into
tomorrow as we get into the longer term
time frames up into the next week. And
we are seeing some bullish projections
from the most accurate model like Claude
for example. We are seeing that bullish
projection. These models use all of the
real time and best financial data in the
world that we're able to plug into them.
And we found that the shorter term time
frames are more accurate than longer
term time frames within the one year.
The highest accuracy time frames are
between one hour and one day. And you do
have some negative projections into
tomorrow. We might see some dips. It
looks like big dips into tomorrow. And
it could be extended. But if we do see
recoveries into that next day towards
the end of the week building up to that
SpaceX IPO, which again I would love to
dive deeper on with you all, I do think
that's a company that uh is going to
surprise and we're going to have a lot
more um anticipation into the next week
after that Friday session than we
probably have ever seen in the space
tech market. So very looking forward to
that. But just one thing to consider,
you do have that possibility, Fed rate
cut, sell down. So if you're looking to
short-term trade, you have that
possibility for that sellown. But what
we're looking for is that continuation.
Of course, we'd like to expect as
financials look really good for these
companies that they continue to build
the momentum. You know, we've seen it
with AMD. AMD had really good financials
and continued to sell down and continue
to sell down. how much more can it sell
down when it has good financials until
it found that bottom at 75 and then just
rally to now what is 472. You know, you
you see that time and time again. And so
just something to watch out for,
especially in the data center market or
the semiconductor market. We might have
great financials and we still might see
the stock sell down. It's always a
possibility. Um, but with that being
said, you know, everything in mind, we
will see if an opportunity presents
itself here at market open tomorrow
morning at that $40 support level. If
you would like to tune on in to our
daily live trading sessions, we'll be
there at market open tomorrow morning.
Or you just like to learn with
like-minded investors and traders, we'd
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Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video discusses the current market landscape, characterized by the S&P 500 reaching all-time highs, concerns about potential Fed rate hikes, and inflation pressures. Will, the speaker, highlights APLD as a key investment, emphasizing its strong financials, significant contracted revenue from AI data centers, and long-term potential. He also outlines his trading strategy using the AI platform 'Prophecy' to monitor positions and navigate market volatility, while cautioning investors to maintain clear risk management, especially in the short term.
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