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APLD Signs NEW AI Data Center Contract for $36B

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APLD Signs NEW AI Data Center Contract for $36B

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425 segments

0:00

Hey guys, it's Will. So, the S&P 500

0:02

recently topped out at all-time highs

0:05

and we saw big moves happen today. We

0:08

got some big sell-offs in the data

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center market, but Tonx market was

0:11

selling off and the first thing we see

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spy recently reaching all-time highs

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shortly after you get the pull down and

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then Fed decision coming out tomorrow

0:21

and we potentially could see a rate

0:23

hike. And then you also got Broadcom's

0:25

guidance that recently, you know, was

0:27

not so hot and that was last week which

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really drove the market down. And so now

0:33

we got this uh, you know, 12-h hour, 13

0:35

hour, 4 hour, 5 hour articles coming

0:38

out. Um, even the White House is

0:41

actually sending messages. You see even

0:44

Trump tweeting about it or talking about

0:46

it that, you know, we better not have a

0:48

rate hike or whatever. But you know the

0:50

reality is is in this moment where we

0:53

see I was just driving back from Mammoth

0:56

in the mountains going through the lakes

0:58

and driving I was going on a fishing

1:00

trip with my dad recently and uh

1:03

yesterday we were driving through the

1:05

mountains. The diesel was $889

1:10

per gallon. Just absolutely insane. And

1:13

then the economists say when you look at

1:15

some of the uh Reuters um articles here

1:19

that inflation persisting above 4% key

1:23

rate remains at 3.5 to 3.75%

1:26

and there's a 70% expect no rate cuts

1:29

this year to actually potentially

1:32

looking at uh very ill timing

1:34

potentially for SpaceX IPO where you

1:37

have you know correction from SPY and

1:39

then you have SpaceX IPO um happening

1:42

right after Fed rate decision, which if

1:45

a rate hike were to take place, that

1:48

would be a pretty big deal. But, you

1:50

know, these are all things that most

1:52

likely won't be as bad as people think.

1:55

And while they say that, you know, the

1:57

facts are obviously that we do see

2:00

inflation higher, that we do see spy at

2:03

an all-time high, and the facts are that

2:05

some of the guidance was lower on top

2:08

companies like Broadcom. There's one

2:10

fact that is very true as well, which is

2:13

the number one thing that is super clear

2:14

is that companies that are driving the

2:17

market right now are seeing really great

2:20

financials. What does really great

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financials mean? Well, one of the things

2:24

that has allowed us to make well over

2:26

100%, in fact, over 10x on this stock,

2:29

specifically APLD, as we started

2:31

covering it back around $5 to $7 a

2:34

share, and it sold down to already down

2:36

to $3 and then recovered all the way to

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$50 a share as of yesterday. Is that

2:44

they have these financials that seem to

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follow all of their financial reports,

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seem to follow their uh news. And so

2:52

what news have we recently seen? Well,

2:55

KE is one. You've got TSSI. You've got

2:57

AOI. You got Oracle as well where

3:00

they've come in with pretty good

3:01

earnings, pretty good revenues. And the

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thing is is that what happens is that

3:08

these aren't just big um so-called

3:11

moments where a big heroic thing happens

3:14

and they just report and surprise with

3:16

these massive financials. You see, with

3:19

APLD, for example, we were watching

3:21

back, you know, June 2025, they had this

3:24

15-year deal with uh Core Weeave for $7

3:27

billion. That was increased to 11

3:30

billion. Shortly after, they added some

3:33

more deals. Some of their recent uh AI

3:36

factories, this was one of their recent

3:38

7.5 billion that then increased their

3:41

total contracted lease revenue to $23

3:44

billion. Shortly after that, they then

3:47

just came in with a deal yesterday. Or

3:51

was it today? Yeah, it was today

3:52

actually. It's been a long day. Or was

3:54

it yesterday? I think it was yesterday

3:56

that they came in with this deal for a

3:59

12.7 billion approximate contracted

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revenue, which now increases their

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current portfolio of AI factory campuses

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with $36 billion in contracted revenue.

4:14

Now the time spans on most of those are

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around 15 years. But the point is is

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that when you're looking at this $36

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billion when we've seen these articles

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come out and we've seen this is directly

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from the source once again and they've

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partnered with these these hyperscaler

4:29

companies and they're getting these AI

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factories built. They're constructing

4:32

them. They're getting the connections

4:34

with the liquid cooling. They're

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building them in places like North

4:37

Dakota where it's really cold and it's

4:39

super efficient for them to build in

4:41

those locations. They're even bringing

4:43

down some of the uh the rates for

4:46

electricity in the area, not negatively

4:48

impacting the local areas. And they're

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doing it in a way that seems to be where

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they haven't had these stoppages or

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these uh times where they haven't been

4:56

able to construct because of weather.

4:59

That was a big one over with um uh

5:02

Texas. I remember there's huge flooding

5:03

happening and a lot of people or a lot

5:06

of companies weren't able to construct

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their data centers. They haven't had any

5:09

of those big slowdowns. They've been

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able to continually build and they've

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also been very selective about the

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companies that they decide to lease out

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their data centers to. Not in a big

5:19

rush, but we were saying a while ago,

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hey, let's just see them deliver on

5:23

their current contracts. If they get

5:25

more, great. But even where they're at

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now, when they were at, you know, 40

5:30

bucks a share or 30 bucks a share and

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they had just 23 billion, this was

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literally last month, we were saying

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they're still looking undervalued. Now

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they come in at $36 billion across their

5:40

AI campuses and their financials

5:42

continue to improve. I was just using

5:45

Prophecy. This is something that's

5:46

allowed me to be able to monitor all my

5:49

different positions. In the last two

5:50

quarters, we've had over 10 positions,

5:53

in fact, 12 stocks that have gone up

5:55

over a 100% in concentrated markets like

5:58

data centers, AI infrastructure, space

6:00

tech, quantum computing, semiconductors,

6:04

drone tech, and AI defense, and even

6:06

some energy stocks as well where we've

6:09

been focusing on a lot of different

6:10

stocks and in order to keep up with

6:12

them, we've been using AI. And that's

6:14

why we developed Prophecy here. Prophecy

6:17

is one of the top platforms in the world

6:20

for using all of the best AIs in the

6:22

world. And that's actually what our goal

6:24

was was to be able to search up any

6:26

stock like APLD, get the best AI models

6:29

in the world to all give us projections

6:32

on the 1 hour, the 4 hour, the 1 day.

6:35

Currently, Claude is as accurate as 60%

6:39

in its direction accuracy when

6:42

projecting stocks. And so we're using

6:45

Claude right now in chat GBT. We're

6:47

actually using all the AI models. We got

6:49

it on AI max mode right now. But my

6:52

point is is that when we've seen this

6:54

big surge and why we're using prophecy

6:57

and if you guys want to use it, third

6:58

link below is because the reason why

7:01

there's so much momentum is because

7:04

there's this um financial

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buildup. You can look at the financials

7:08

starting to build up here and we could

7:10

see that develop that the the contracts

7:14

and the news comes out and then shortly

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after when the earnings come out these

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financials are looking so much better.

7:23

And so you can see that definitely in

7:26

the uh the new revenue from the company

7:29

and that it almost always is actually

7:32

following the reports in their news. So

7:36

my point is again as they come out here

7:39

with this big news of now $ 36 billion

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across five AI factory campuses and

7:46

their market cap is still sitting right

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now at 11.9 billion. I know it's up

7:51

there because we started covering around

7:54

a billion dollars market cap. So it is

7:56

up there to 12 billion now. But the

7:59

point is is that if they are currently

8:02

did they just sign another 5.2 two

8:04

billion one today. Is that just today?

8:07

Did they sign another deal? Seems like

8:09

they just signed

8:11

yet another one or maybe that was from

8:12

yesterday, but just 36 billion across

8:15

all the data centers they're building

8:17

and their market cap sits at 12 billion.

8:20

if they're going to see their revenue

8:21

continue to ramp up as it has been

8:23

ramping up quite drastically from just

8:26

50 million in 2025 in February to then

8:30

you know uh getting up to by the end of

8:32

the year 160 million in the quarter and

8:35

then they've been having now 126 million

8:38

and they got their up andcoming earnings

8:40

here with their assets now surging as

8:43

well to over uh 2.5 billion in equity

8:48

and assets are up to 6.25 billion. So

8:52

assets are up there, revenue over 100

8:54

million per quarter, plus they got this

8:57

$12 billion market cap while their

8:59

backlog sits above 36 billion. It's

9:02

funny, not long ago, we were just doing

9:04

a a video on this. The facts were that

9:08

as their pipeline was sitting here at

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about what is it 3.5 see 3.5 active

9:14

pipeline of utility power we said you

9:18

know right now it seems that they have

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the capacity to potentially have a

9:22

backlog of as high as about 50 to 70

9:27

billion dollar in backlog for their data

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centers and so shortly after that you

9:33

know we saw them jump I remember just

9:35

not long ago they were, you know, under

9:37

10 billion. Now they're up to $36

9:40

billion in contracted revenue. But but

9:44

the reality is is again they still have

9:47

about 50 to 70 billion potentially in

9:51

contracted revenue. So I say that

9:53

because when we're looking at how many

9:56

of you guys have seen that some data

9:59

center companies, you know, they're

10:00

they're getting a lot of momentum. A lot

10:02

of people are talking about them. their

10:03

market cap might be going up, but they

10:06

haven't really seen the contracts or

10:08

people are just kind of anticipating

10:10

that they're going to go up. That's been

10:11

happening on quite a few stocks. And

10:14

some of them they're going to be in a

10:16

position where they will get contracts.

10:18

I think a good example of that where,

10:20

and I say will, but most likely will, is

10:23

like Keel for example, Keel. You know,

10:26

we've been covering them for uh since

10:28

like $2 a share at one point. Um I think

10:31

we started around four or five bucks,

10:33

they dropped to two, now they're at six

10:35

or something like that. And you know,

10:37

they haven't seen the the contracts come

10:39

in, but they have the revenue. And so

10:41

when we when we look back at APLD and we

10:43

kind of see these these um the moves

10:45

where they're at right now, the

10:47

difference is is that we've seen the

10:49

contracts already be right in front of

10:51

us. we can actually see the articles and

10:55

the earnings oftent times are showing

10:58

reflections of that exact thing, the

11:00

news that we're getting. And so it's

11:02

almost like we're getting the answer to

11:05

how much revenue they're expecting. And

11:07

they haven't even reported earnings yet.

11:09

And they've added like 20 plus billion

11:12

dollars in the last quarter in

11:14

contracted revenue that we're most

11:17

likely going to see a windfall of this.

11:20

We're going to see some of this revenue

11:22

show up in the earnings very soon in the

11:24

income statement given that as they've

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continued to hold integrity up to this

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point and that their revenue has

11:32

reflected their contracts that they get

11:34

which we've seen that that will just

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continue to be the case and that the

11:38

financials will reflect the same as they

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have that they uh will continue to show

11:45

and reflect all of these articles that

11:47

we're seeing. So basically article comes

11:49

out we see the value shortly after

11:52

earnings comes out earnings surprise a

11:54

lot of Wall Street but we were just

11:56

simply paying attention and that's why

11:58

we were able to capitalize on now what's

12:00

been over a 10x opportunity here for

12:02

APLD so as we see them pull back from

12:05

$50 a share as an investor or trader if

12:09

there is one thing I noticed with you

12:11

know Warren Buffett talking about the

12:13

long term you know we're actually

12:15

holding this company we never ever plan

12:18

to sell this company. So, while we trade

12:21

it, we like to trade APLX and we do the

12:23

2x. I was just on the phone with the CIO

12:26

today of um Defiance ETFs. I got to talk

12:29

with them about the upcoming um upcoming

12:33

SpaceX IPO and we were talking about how

12:35

it's important to have those 2x

12:37

instruments to trade uh the short-term

12:40

opportunities if they do present

12:41

themselves. And we will do that if we

12:44

see that with APLD for sure. I mean, if

12:46

we see the opportunity where we get this

12:48

double bottom here at $37 that we've

12:50

seen them bounce over the last week,

12:52

they dip down big here after a big

12:55

market rally this morning. Then they

12:57

kind of surged or um drop down here to

12:59

37 38 bucks. If we're looking at that

13:02

potential recovery here, back up into

13:04

levels we just saw back here in May. So,

13:07

if they were to find that support around

13:09

that $35 level or $40 level really and

13:12

continue back up into that $48 to $50

13:15

range, it's a 20% margin for profit to

13:17

that previous resistance at 50 bucks.

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That's a 40% margin for profit over on

13:22

APLX. So, as an investor, you know, in

13:25

the long term, of course, I just

13:26

continue to hold. I've held this stock

13:29

through ups and downs. Um, I've held it

13:32

up to 42 and back down here to, you

13:34

know, 18. and I'll continue to hold it

13:37

long term. But I will say that for the

13:39

people that are looking at it short term

13:42

and you're just want to make a quick

13:43

cash on something like this. If you do

13:46

end up holding it again, spy, imagine

13:49

spy corrects down, IPO doesn't go as

13:52

expected. If those things happen, are

13:54

you willing to hold it down 25 30 40%

13:57

sellown? Because if you're not, then you

13:59

want to have clear risk management and

14:01

you you're looking for a trade and

14:03

that's totally fine. We trade this stock

14:05

as well, but we also hold it long-term

14:08

and we never touch that. When we trade

14:10

it short-term, there's a structured

14:11

approach that we have that again it

14:14

wouldn't have been possible to execute

14:16

without a structured plan. And that's

14:18

why I use prophecy because I can get

14:20

projections on the 1 hour and the 4 hour

14:22

and the one day. And you can see even

14:24

some of the projections into tomorrow,

14:26

some negative projections. But we do

14:28

have that uh nearest support level at

14:30

4150. We'll see if that holds into

14:33

tomorrow as we get into the longer term

14:35

time frames up into the next week. And

14:37

we are seeing some bullish projections

14:40

from the most accurate model like Claude

14:42

for example. We are seeing that bullish

14:43

projection. These models use all of the

14:46

real time and best financial data in the

14:49

world that we're able to plug into them.

14:51

And we found that the shorter term time

14:53

frames are more accurate than longer

14:56

term time frames within the one year.

14:58

The highest accuracy time frames are

15:00

between one hour and one day. And you do

15:03

have some negative projections into

15:04

tomorrow. We might see some dips. It

15:05

looks like big dips into tomorrow. And

15:08

it could be extended. But if we do see

15:10

recoveries into that next day towards

15:13

the end of the week building up to that

15:14

SpaceX IPO, which again I would love to

15:17

dive deeper on with you all, I do think

15:19

that's a company that uh is going to

15:22

surprise and we're going to have a lot

15:24

more um anticipation into the next week

15:29

after that Friday session than we

15:32

probably have ever seen in the space

15:34

tech market. So very looking forward to

15:36

that. But just one thing to consider,

15:38

you do have that possibility, Fed rate

15:39

cut, sell down. So if you're looking to

15:41

short-term trade, you have that

15:42

possibility for that sellown. But what

15:44

we're looking for is that continuation.

15:47

Of course, we'd like to expect as

15:49

financials look really good for these

15:50

companies that they continue to build

15:52

the momentum. You know, we've seen it

15:54

with AMD. AMD had really good financials

15:56

and continued to sell down and continue

15:58

to sell down. how much more can it sell

16:00

down when it has good financials until

16:02

it found that bottom at 75 and then just

16:05

rally to now what is 472. You know, you

16:08

you see that time and time again. And so

16:10

just something to watch out for,

16:11

especially in the data center market or

16:13

the semiconductor market. We might have

16:16

great financials and we still might see

16:18

the stock sell down. It's always a

16:20

possibility. Um, but with that being

16:23

said, you know, everything in mind, we

16:25

will see if an opportunity presents

16:26

itself here at market open tomorrow

16:28

morning at that $40 support level. If

16:31

you would like to tune on in to our

16:32

daily live trading sessions, we'll be

16:35

there at market open tomorrow morning.

16:37

Or you just like to learn with

16:38

like-minded investors and traders, we'd

16:41

love to see you there. It's the second

16:42

link in the description below. And you

16:44

do get a free t-shirt when you join.

16:46

That's a Stockmate t-shirt. get your

16:48

structured short-term trading more

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dialed along with your long-term

16:52

frontier investing in space-tech, data

16:55

center markets, semiconductor markets,

16:57

you know, all the top quantum markets,

16:59

then I would encourage you to have a

17:01

look at the first link below and we can

17:02

see if we can work together. Thanks so

17:04

much for watching. If I earned your

17:05

thumbs up, hit the like button. Do

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consider subscribing and I'll see you in

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the next video. Take care.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses the current market landscape, characterized by the S&P 500 reaching all-time highs, concerns about potential Fed rate hikes, and inflation pressures. Will, the speaker, highlights APLD as a key investment, emphasizing its strong financials, significant contracted revenue from AI data centers, and long-term potential. He also outlines his trading strategy using the AI platform 'Prophecy' to monitor positions and navigate market volatility, while cautioning investors to maintain clear risk management, especially in the short term.

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