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NBIS Stock Shakeouts As Captital Moves To SpaceX IPO…

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NBIS Stock Shakeouts As Captital Moves To SpaceX IPO…

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0:00

So, is the AI data center boom actually

0:02

real? Or are investors getting way ahead

0:05

of themselves? And as an investor for

0:08

years now in the AI infrastructure plays

0:10

like NBIS, which we're going to be going

0:12

in today, the stock has been one of the

0:14

biggest winners in the AI infrastructure

0:15

trade, but the data center spending, the

0:18

accelerating of the hyperscalers,

0:20

committing hundreds of billions of

0:21

dollars to AI, and the new capacity

0:24

coming along every single quarter has

0:26

investors asking that exact question. Is

0:29

the demand really there or are we

0:31

heading towards an over supply? So today

0:33

we're going to just break down NBIS, an

0:36

AI data center company that focuses on

0:39

working with companies like Microsoft,

0:41

Amazon, Google, Meta, and OpenAI to

0:44

supply the AI compute for these massive

0:48

companies. One thing to note is that

0:50

when you're looking at an industry like

0:51

this, the demand is definitely there.

0:53

You can look at broader ecosystems or

0:55

just the underlying technology that's

0:57

being in demand. For example, the

1:00

photonics, the semiconductors, the

1:03

construction of these infrastructure uh

1:07

campuses, all these things. It would be

1:08

nearly impossible that these companies

1:10

aren't growing significantly if they

1:12

were seeing all that construction. Of

1:13

course, I use Prophecy, and this is

1:15

actually our company. You just saw me

1:17

pull them up a moment ago. I can get

1:18

projections from the best models in the

1:20

world. And so I know firsthand as a

1:23

founder that owns a company like this

1:24

that we actually see a ton of usage from

1:27

investors just like you. And this is a

1:29

system that I've used personally to keep

1:31

up to date with the top companies in the

1:34

world. From the data center markets to

1:36

the quantum markets to the space tech

1:38

markets, everything that's going on.

1:40

It's almost impossible to keep up

1:42

without having AI perform research and

1:44

find deals for you. And so that's where,

1:46

you know, I've actually seen the real

1:48

world usage. You can see just in the

1:50

last 7 days from our users here at

1:52

Prophecy, we've had 13,500

1:55

projections on Gemini alone. In Claude

1:59

over the last 7 days, 13,600

2:02

projections on Meta, 12,900,

2:06

13,174

2:08

on GPT, Grock, 15,569.

2:12

So this argument that, you know, maybe

2:14

Quanta or maybe AI is not actually

2:16

useful is not really holding up, at

2:19

least as someone that owns a company

2:20

that's seen firsthand what it's doing.

2:22

For example, investors are able to make

2:24

significantly more money if they're

2:26

relying on, for example, evaluations and

2:28

projections that are correct in their

2:31

direction 64% of the time. You know,

2:34

that just gives an edge for investors.

2:37

So investors are able to make more money

2:39

and they're able to essentially

2:41

be able to extract value by using the

2:44

AI. The biggest issue if you're looking

2:46

at NBIS, while they have a very

2:48

consistent uptrend from $89 in March,

2:52

late March 31st up to $282

2:56

recently by June and they've sold off

2:58

since June into June 10th. Now, they've

3:00

they've now sold off from 282 down to

3:03

209. And they're in this overall uptrend

3:06

with a previous resistance level around

3:08

$200. At least that's what I've

3:10

identified here. That most likely will

3:12

act as a support. Let's also just head

3:14

over to prophecy real quick. So, it

3:17

looks like over the next day or the next

3:20

month here and next week, the nearest

3:22

support level is actually going to be

3:24

right around $200. That's what the AI

3:26

says. And the secondary support is at

3:29

175. So if this doesn't hold and the

3:32

market continues to sell off a little

3:34

bit into tomorrow or we got the SpaceX

3:37

IPO coming up, so that might be intense

3:39

as well. Then you're going to see

3:41

breaking pattern down below the 200 day

3:43

moving average, that green line. And

3:45

[clears throat] then you're going to see

3:46

the nearest support level around uh that

3:50

175 for NBIS, in which case they're

3:52

selling down about 13%. But most

3:55

projections and what we're seeing is

3:56

that potential continuation of trend

3:59

that this has been a pullback and that

4:00

hyperbull trend continues. Now why is

4:02

that? Well, one of the things that you

4:05

have to consider and this is going to be

4:08

one of the biggest constrictions or um

4:10

the biggest constraints you could say of

4:13

the data center market is going to be

4:16

that they are able to support the energy

4:20

and the energy companies are going to

4:21

see big um infrastructure buildouts,

4:25

massive load growth, self-generation

4:28

micro grids, energy deal. You're going

4:31

to have to see resource um allocation

4:34

that is not droughtstricken areas, that

4:38

is not going to negatively impact any

4:40

households, that's not going to um

4:42

increase the amount of spend in the

4:45

local communities. The regulation

4:47

pressure, Texas lawmakers and EPA are

4:49

currently reviewing sweeping data center

4:51

regulations. It's good they're doing

4:53

that because things are moving so

4:54

extremely fast. I don't think that they

4:56

have any idea what's going on. And I say

4:58

that as an investor in data center um

5:01

markets and I could say that there's

5:04

probably going to be some slowdown on

5:06

the actual development of how fast these

5:08

things are springing up. It would be

5:10

kind of similar to if they had a new

5:13

rocket launching in every single state

5:16

and all these space companies start to

5:18

just come out of everywhere and

5:20

everybody's launching rockets, they're

5:23

going to have some big problems because

5:25

that's a lot of pollution. It's a lot of

5:27

uh regulation. There's some safety

5:29

issues the local communities could see.

5:31

I mean, I grew up with asthma. They

5:33

could see some issues. And so, same

5:34

thing with data centers. If there's new

5:36

power sources that are offputting with

5:38

certain pollution um pollutants that are

5:42

going to hurt local communities or

5:44

change the economics, then of course

5:46

they're going to need more regulation.

5:47

They're going to have to look through

5:48

things more in depth. So, that's the

5:50

biggest I would say constraint, which is

5:52

a good constraint. It's actually very

5:54

good. I think it's quite um excellent

5:57

that they continue to assess the

5:59

integrity of how these companies

6:01

develop. We don't want to have anything

6:03

negative come out of the AI um uh

6:06

revolution. And while we're in a golden

6:08

age, we want to build steady. And it's

6:11

okay if things are slow because that

6:13

means when we have growth, it will be

6:15

kept because it's built on a strong

6:17

foundation. Whereas if we have you know

6:19

things just rallying all these huge data

6:22

centers being built without any um you

6:25

know forethought of what's going into

6:27

the construction of these data centers

6:29

and the the energy and the power and

6:31

everything else in the local communities

6:32

then that's going to end very badly. So

6:35

it's good that they have a lot more of

6:36

this. So anyway that's one of the main

6:38

constraints that you could see slowed up

6:40

growth in some of these companies. Now,

6:42

when it comes down to the actual

6:44

financials and you look at a company

6:45

like NBIS, as we mentioned, they got

6:48

Meta, Microsoft, they're working with

6:50

Google, and if you go to their site, you

6:53

have an idea of kind of what their focus

6:55

is as they've been growing significantly

6:59

year-over-year. Their revenue is now up

7:01

over 680%

7:04

in revenue with positive net income of

7:07

$400 million last quarter. and you go to

7:09

their site, they specialize in the cloud

7:12

computing. Now, as you guys know, we do

7:15

hold long-term in a lot of these

7:17

companies in the data center market in

7:19

Nebus. NBIS is one of them. I also find

7:23

it really interesting to trade these

7:25

companies short-term. And if you're not

7:27

fully familiar with how to do so, you

7:29

can trade obviously the ticker symbol,

7:31

but a lot of people find that while

7:33

things are either crowded over there or

7:36

the exposure or the volatility isn't

7:38

quite as big, although it was up 14%

7:41

recently, the opportunity in trading

7:44

some of the 2x opportunity here is

7:47

something you can see when you're on

7:48

Mumu. So on Mumu, one thing I jump into,

7:51

and the reason I've been using this

7:52

platform recently is that if you're new

7:55

to Mumu, you can find a lot of

7:57

institutional grade analysis here, but

7:59

you can also just click into ETFs and

8:01

see all the 2x plays related to this

8:04

company. Right now, Mumu actually is

8:06

giving any new investors and traders the

8:08

opportunity potentially to make up to

8:10

$1,000 with qualifying deposits and get

8:14

some Nvidia stock. If you want to get

8:16

the opportunity to do so and also use

8:18

some high-quality tools for free, it's

8:20

going to be the first link in the

8:21

description or you can use the QR code

8:23

on the screen. Let's continue into the

8:25

video. So, the scale of AI is going to

8:28

be heavily impacted by the ability for

8:33

these companies that every single one of

8:36

them have mentioned this problem. And

8:39

it's not a problem. It's actually their

8:41

their next investment which is Apple,

8:44

Tesla, Google, Microsoft, all these

8:48

companies all said that they are going

8:50

to be having more spend going into the

8:54

AI cloud and infrastructure for AI. Now,

8:58

with that being said, what does that

8:59

mean? Well, it means they're going to

9:02

spend more. And that's actually what

9:03

made a lot of the top companies in the

9:06

world that are in the AI markets pull

9:08

back is because they were saying they're

9:10

going to spend more. So their financials

9:12

might not look as good next quarter. But

9:14

what did that mean? So you had Broadcom

9:16

for example come out and they said our

9:18

guidance is lower. Our revenue guidance

9:20

is lower. And the whole market kind of

9:22

pulled back on that type of news. It's

9:24

capex. It's expenditures that they're

9:26

going to be putting into capital

9:28

expenditures into the AI infrastructure.

9:31

And so while that's not so good maybe in

9:33

the short term for some of those top

9:35

MAG7 companies, it does mean that

9:38

smaller companies like NBIS or APLD or

9:42

another one we were looking at recently

9:44

which is a little overvalued is RUM.

9:46

TSSI for sure, Oracle, Coreweave, we're

9:50

looking at um Irene, Keel is another

9:52

small one. All these data center

9:54

companies feel free to you know

9:55

screenshot uh the watch list if you

9:57

want. But my point is is that there's

10:00

more spend maybe impacting negatively on

10:02

the top companies, but smaller companies

10:04

stand to benefit tremendously from this

10:07

new capital expenditure because it's

10:09

going to these companies. That's why we

10:11

see their financials absolutely explode.

10:14

So there's four ways to evaluate a

10:16

company outside of the three map

10:18

strategy that I normally use. Normally

10:20

we go through the market which includes

10:22

real world usage and financials which in

10:25

this case this company has pretty solid.

10:27

Then you go through the fundamentals,

10:29

the technical analysis, the financials.

10:31

That's kind of what we went through.

10:33

Things look pretty good there. We could

10:34

go deeper in the financials. And then

10:37

you know the third of the map strategy

10:38

is to look at the profit plan. I

10:40

personally hold this company longterm.

10:42

And I'm also looking for a shorterterm

10:44

entry for a trade that could potentially

10:46

be about 20 to 40%. if it continues up

10:48

in this consistent uptrending pattern.

10:51

Otherwise, if it breaks below $200, then

10:53

things are going to look a little bit

10:54

more, you know, bearish and we will just

10:57

play it cautiously and just hold some of

10:59

our long-term positions and probably not

11:01

enter heavy on any short-term trades,

11:03

especially since we're going to be

11:04

allocating most likely into some space

11:06

tech for some moves with the SpaceX IPO.

11:10

But aside from that three-part map

11:12

strategy of the market, the analysis and

11:14

the profit potential and kind of the

11:16

plan and the reason we would enter here,

11:18

one more thing actually is because of

11:20

the risk-to-reward. We're near the

11:22

support level. Rising support trend

11:24

looks good and we could have our

11:26

stop-loss set for short-term trade and

11:28

something we already hold long-term

11:29

where we would be able to cut losses and

11:32

in that break-in pattern whereas um the

11:35

margin for profit is much greater. So,

11:37

it's a nice trade to be looking at. But

11:39

aside from that three map strategy, you

11:40

have the other kind of four pieces. And

11:43

I was just learning this actually today.

11:44

I really like this setup. I was just

11:47

learning this um from a nice YouTuber

11:50

actually. His name is uh Chiron Shivatza

11:53

and he was talking about these four um

11:56

kind of pillars that he's gone through

11:58

that has allowed him to make successful

12:00

investments. He used to work at Goldman

12:01

Sachs and he had a really really good

12:03

breakdown of these four kind of pillars.

12:06

The first one was good people looking at

12:08

the companies knowing that they have uh

12:10

good stewardship. So that would be the

12:12

stewardship good intentions. That's a

12:15

big one especially with data center

12:17

companies making sure that they're

12:18

building with renewable energies. I have

12:21

seen some of that on the company while

12:23

they're talking about scaling AI.

12:25

There's also some talk about the

12:27

resources that they're using, that they

12:30

are choosing places that are very cold,

12:33

for example, and that they are

12:35

partnering with companies that are um

12:37

making it easy for them to build the

12:39

infrastructure without putting a big

12:41

toll on the environment or local

12:43

communities. And then the third one that

12:45

I saw here was good rationale. Really

12:48

like this. Does it make sense to be

12:50

looking at AI infrastructure right now?

12:51

Yes, we're in a golden age. This

12:53

company's growing. we see all the AI

12:55

infrastructure growing tremendously and

12:57

the financials can't keep up. So it

13:00

seems like it's a really good rationale

13:02

for the investment. And then the fourth

13:04

one, I don't know if we could find it

13:05

here, maybe we can. Good contracts. The

13:08

good contracts mean that they actually

13:09

are demonstrating good contracts with

13:11

partnerships with other companies and

13:13

that their trust from other companies is

13:15

heavy. And we see that with NBIS once

13:18

again. You got Nvidia as a top partner.

13:20

They are working with Microsoft. They're

13:23

working with Google. You can you can see

13:24

cursor is one of their top companies.

13:26

We've spent thousands of dollars per

13:28

month in the past. We don't use anymore

13:30

on cursor. You've got um you've got uh

13:34

uh Hicksfield was a big one. You got

13:36

Revolute is a big one. These are smaller

13:38

companies they're working with. And then

13:40

you have the top uh you know the the the

13:43

the bosses you could say with you know

13:46

Microsoft and uh Meta where they're

13:49

finding their biggest deals and that's

13:51

really where the contracts are huge and

13:54

most likely we would see it reflected in

13:57

their upcoming earnings. If you look at

13:59

the investor hub you look at some of

14:01

their press releases in the last few

14:03

months they've got Bank of America is

14:05

one. Bloom Energy is a top partner.

14:08

They're working with Nvidia there. They

14:10

also had a big Meta contract, I believe

14:12

it was recently. There's just a lot of

14:15

these deals that they're having with

14:17

these AI companies. There's the deal

14:18

with Meta there. The contracts look good

14:20

as well. But if they do find support

14:22

here, we're just going to look for that

14:23

opportunity and see if it presents

14:25

itself tomorrow morning at market open.

14:27

And we'll be using prophecy for that

14:29

projection as well along with our daily

14:31

live trading. If you'd like to tune on

14:33

into our daily live trading, it's the

14:35

second link in the description below.

14:36

would love to see you there at market

14:38

open. We're there every day 6:30 a.m.

14:40

Pacific Standard Time. So, it's early in

14:42

the morning, but we do show up there

14:44

Monday through Friday. Would love to

14:45

have you there. You can see my entries

14:47

and my exits and surround yourself with

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Interactive Summary

This video provides an in-depth analysis of the investment potential of NBIS, a prominent company in the AI data center infrastructure sector. The host examines whether the current demand for AI data centers is sustainable or leading to oversupply, discusses technical support levels for the stock, and outlines the major constraints—primarily regulatory and energy-related—facing the industry. Furthermore, the video introduces a four-pillar investment framework (stewardship, rationale, contracts, and people) used to evaluate the strength and growth prospects of such companies, while highlighting the importance of AI-driven research tools in making informed investment decisions.

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