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EMERGENCY DEBATE: The Death Of The Middle Class! Only The Top 1% Will Survive!

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EMERGENCY DEBATE: The Death Of The Middle Class! Only The Top 1% Will Survive!

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4502 segments

0:00

There is literally no example on planet

0:02

earth of a high functioning society

0:05

without big government.

0:06

>> No, that's not true. Big government is

0:08

sucking the life out of small

0:09

businesses. And I spent countless hours

0:12

with businesses and they're like, you

0:13

can't succeed in the UK. As soon as you

0:15

earn anything, they'll just tax it off

0:17

you.

0:17

>> So pop off to Dubai, run the business

0:20

virtually, and pay no tax. It's idiotic.

0:23

I don't know how you can look at that

0:24

and think this is a good system.

0:26

>> No, no. say what needs to happen is

0:28

reduce the taxes and the pressure on the

0:29

small businesses cuz everyone in this

0:31

economy needs to own stuff. We need to

0:33

own a house, own a business, and own

0:35

shares.

0:35

>> But not everybody can be an

0:36

entrepreneur.

0:37

>> Correct. Look, it would be wonderful if

0:39

everybody owned something. But ownership

0:41

starts with earning enough money so that

0:43

you can save money so that you can begin

0:45

to own something. So the problem is

0:47

wages because most people want to be

0:48

able to go to work and be treated

0:50

decently. I want to earn enough money so

0:53

that I can feel secure. I just want to

0:55

be married,

0:56

>> have kids, own a house, all that. That's

0:58

what I hear. I want people and I want

0:59

that for everyone. That's gone away.

1:01

Houses are unaffordable. Local jobs

1:03

don't exist. Technology has cut out all

1:05

the middlemen. No one's paying healthy

1:08

wages. We have the most unhappy

1:10

population.

1:10

>> And if you want to fix that, you have to

1:12

enact this.

1:13

>> Well, I've seen Nick's policies

1:14

implemented and I don't feel it's

1:16

enough.

1:16

>> You haven't seen all of the policies.

1:18

So, but we need people to know that the

1:20

rules that we grew up with have changed

1:21

and people have to learn the rules of

1:23

this new economy.

1:24

>> Yes. Yes. Yes. I totally agree. And if

1:26

you want to get the economy back on

1:28

track, the starting point is

1:33

>> This is super interesting to me. My team

1:34

given me this report to show me how many

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And some of you have told us according

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approaching quite a significant landmark

1:50

on this show in terms of a subscriber

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number. So, if there was one simple free

1:55

thing that you could do to help us, my

1:56

team, everyone here to keep this show

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free, to keep it improving year over

2:00

year and week over week, it is just to

2:02

hit that subscribe button and to double

2:03

check if you've hit it. Only thing I'll

2:05

ever ask of you, do we have a deal? If

2:07

you do it, I'll tell you what I'll do.

2:08

I'll make sure every single week, every

2:11

single month, we fight harder and harder

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and harder and harder to bring you the

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D of Sio and I will not let you down.

2:20

Please help us. Really appreciate it.

2:22

Let's get on with the show.

2:27

>> Nick, I want to start with your

2:29

background and your context so I can

2:30

understand your perspective and who you

2:32

are. You sold a company for almost $7

2:35

billion,

2:35

>> correct? And what's so fascinating about

2:38

you is you typically billionaires have a

2:41

certain narrative and perspective on the

2:42

world.

2:43

>> You seem to have a very different one.

2:45

>> I do.

2:46

>> Who are you? Where have you come from?

2:47

And what is your perspective on the

2:48

world as it relates to the subjects that

2:50

you know we're going to discuss today?

2:51

>> I was raised in a civic family, I should

2:54

say.

2:54

>> What does that mean?

2:55

>> That means a family that takes uh civic

2:58

responsibility seriously. Uh but we were

3:01

middle class people and my father

3:03

started to work for this tiny uh family

3:06

business that uh his his father had

3:09

started manufacturing bed pillows and

3:12

down comforters which is how I got my

3:14

start in business. And to make an

3:15

incredibly long story short, I had a

3:18

very early intuition uh about the

3:21

internet u and uh the role that it would

3:24

play in commerce. And as luck would have

3:27

it, I had a friend who agreed with that

3:29

proposition and his name was Jeff Bezos.

3:32

And so he wanted to start an e-

3:35

retailer. He was working in New York uh

3:38

uh for a hedge fund uh dating one of my

3:41

closest friends. And for a variety of

3:43

reasons, he ended up sending his stuff

3:45

from New York to Seattle to my house and

3:47

we started Amazon.com together. But from

3:49

that started starting other tech

3:52

companies. you know, I've helped run,

3:55

you know, manufacturing businesses,

3:58

e-commerce businesses. my friends and I

4:01

own a bank, you know, like that, you

4:03

know, and I think that that very broad

4:05

perspective on markets began to inform

4:07

an intuition that everything that people

4:11

are taught about economics today, that

4:13

sort of the conventional view is a pack

4:17

of lies and that if you take it

4:19

seriously and enact policy on the basis

4:21

of it, the only thing that can happen is

4:23

that the rich will get richer and

4:25

everyone else will get poorer. And uh

4:27

you know a signal piece of that evidence

4:30

for me sort of a thing that really sort

4:32

of galvanized my interest was that I got

4:34

a look at the IRS tax tables in 2007208

4:39

which showed American income shares in

4:41

the history of that and in 1980

4:45

the top 1% of Americans shared about 8

4:48

and a half% of national income. uh by

4:51

2007 that 8% had grown to 22% as I

4:56

recall so triple largely as a share of

4:59

national income. While the bottom 50% of

5:02

Americans their share fell from about

5:06

18% in 1980 to 12% in about 2007. And

5:12

what I did is I took those numbers and I

5:13

stuck them in a spreadsheet and said

5:15

what happens if this trend continues for

5:17

another 30 years? And the answer is

5:21

revolution. You know, it just it's just

5:23

arithmetic because you cannot sustain a

5:26

capitalist democracy if the top 1%

5:29

controls 45 or 50% of income and the

5:31

bottom 50% shares five. This is not a

5:35

deep political insight. This is just

5:39

math. And I and I freaked out and

5:42

decided that I needed to devote myself

5:44

to trying to figure out why this

5:46

happened and how you could how you could

5:49

fix it. And so I have been writing about

5:51

this and working on it since then.

5:53

>> Why did this feel so important to you?

5:56

I've heard you talk about pitchforks.

5:57

>> Even a cursory reading of history will

6:00

tell you that when societies get as

6:02

unequal as the societies we now live in,

6:05

uh, terrible things start to happen.

6:07

This leads to either a police state or a

6:10

revolution. And I believe that the

6:12

pitchforks are here. I think the Trump

6:14

administration is the is the, you know,

6:16

one of the canonical examples of a

6:19

society beginning beginning to tear

6:21

itself apart. And I just think it's the

6:23

responsibility of people with power and

6:25

resources to do the right thing.

6:28

>> Don, same question for you.

6:30

>> Yeah, I grew up in Australia and um as a

6:32

teenager, I discovered entrepreneurship.

6:34

I got an entrepreneurial mentor uh very

6:36

early on and I did two years in a

6:38

startup and it was really exciting and I

6:40

loved it. Um and I felt like I

6:41

discovered a cheat code in life which

6:43

was entrepreneurship and starting

6:44

businesses and small businesses and then

6:46

at 21 I went off and started my own

6:48

company which was my first agency and it

6:50

grew really rapidly. Uh went from zero

6:52

to a million in its first year and then

6:54

10 million in year three and it was like

6:56

this exciting young company with all

6:58

these cool young people working there

7:00

and living there. We actually kind of

7:02

did. Yeah. We actually were in a big

7:03

house and we kind of spent a lot of time

7:05

together. Yeah. I just fell in love with

7:07

entrepreneurship and small business and

7:09

family business and all of those kind of

7:10

things. And I also 15 years ago started

7:13

an entrepreneur accelerator where people

7:15

who want to get together and talk about

7:17

entrepreneurship and figure out how to

7:18

run their businesses can get together

7:19

and and figure out how to do that. Um so

7:22

for the last 15 years I've spent uh

7:24

countless hours with uh 5 a half

7:26

thousand businesses all over the world

7:28

who are getting together talking about

7:30

how entrepreneurship works. And over the

7:32

years I've also come to a similar

7:34

conclusion that the technological

7:36

revolution that we've seen in the last

7:37

25 years has hollowed out the middle

7:39

class. And I basically said I can't play

7:41

by the rules that I grew up in. I have

7:43

to learn the rules of this new economy,

7:45

this digital economy pretty quickly or

7:47

else I'm going to be displaced and

7:48

disrupted. Um and I don't have a

7:50

fallback position. I I didn't come from

7:52

any form of wealth or money. Um I also

7:54

didn't take on any venture capital. I

7:56

self-funded, bootstrapped uh my own

7:58

businesses by cobbling together credit

8:00

cards and things like that. And yeah, I

8:02

I think one of the things that I really

8:05

truly believe is that we are in a very

8:08

big danger at the moment that if more

8:09

people can't participate in the benefits

8:11

of capitalism, they're going to do crazy

8:13

things and vote in socialism. Correct.

8:15

uh and the pitchforks will come and

8:16

inequality is going to be a toxic

8:18

corrosive force uh in the economy. So

8:21

like I'm a capitalist who wants lots of

8:23

people to benefit from capitalism.

8:25

That's been my whole shtick for forever.

8:27

Um and I just want to include more

8:29

people in the benefits of capitalism

8:30

before we do do dumb things.

8:32

>> And I guess the question therefore is

8:34

how how do we do that? The prevailing

8:37

narrative and I think one of the most

8:38

dominant narratives is we need to tax

8:39

people like us a lot more. What's your

8:42

view of that Daniel? So it's very easy

8:45

to have a bad guy of a rich person. Uh

8:47

so you could imagine this billionaire

8:49

rich person, right? Nick maybe could be

8:51

a bad guy and you could sort of do that.

8:53

When I look at the economy and what's

8:55

draining it out, um it's it's harder to

8:58

conceptualize, but we have these mega

9:01

corporations and we have these mega

9:02

funds. So here in the UK, all the houses

9:05

are being bought up by Black Rockck, a

9:06

massive private equity fund that wants

9:08

the entire population to be a rental

9:10

class forever. And you know, our prime

9:13

minister has walked down street

9:16

handinhand with the CEO of this big fund

9:18

saying, "Yeah, come in and and buy up

9:20

stuff um and financialized houses and

9:23

that is causing a lot of trouble." And

9:26

then you've got big companies like

9:27

Microsoft, like Amazon, and they say,

9:30

"Hey, we want to do business in your

9:31

country, but we don't want to pay tax

9:32

there. We want to pretend that we're in

9:34

Luxembourg or we want to pretend that

9:36

we're in Ireland and we're going to send

9:38

something from our British warehouse to

9:40

our British consumer, but we're not

9:41

really in Britain at that time so we

9:43

don't pay tax. And then you got

9:44

Starbucks that says, you know, we we

9:46

want to do business and sell coffee next

9:47

to mom and dad family business coffee

9:49

shop, but we have to pay this license

9:51

fee for the Starbucks logo and that has

9:53

to go to Bermuda and you know, so so

9:56

when I look at who's hollowing out the

9:58

middle class, you've got massive mega

10:00

corp businesses uh that are the

10:03

absolutely bigger than we could have

10:05

ever conceived them to be. They're as

10:06

big as nations now. Um and you've got

10:08

mega corp funds which are also trillion

10:11

dollar funds. And one thing I'm worried

10:14

about is that a lot of people think that

10:16

a guy like me who's basically a dynamic

10:19

entrepreneurial person or even a

10:21

billionaire like Nick is the enemy. And

10:24

you know when you get a a James Dyson

10:26

who invents a cool vacuum cleaner and

10:28

sells a lot of them, that's not the

10:29

enemy. When you get Paul McCartney who

10:32

writes a bunch of songs and becomes a

10:33

famous beetle and makes a billion

10:35

dollars, that's not the enemy. The enemy

10:37

is the financialization of our homes.

10:39

The enemy is big mega corpse that don't

10:41

want to pay tax. And that's where we

10:43

need to we need to be a little bit more

10:45

nuanced and clear who's hollowing out

10:47

the middle class and how do we make

10:49

policy choices to make sure that doesn't

10:51

happen.

10:52

>> So you're saying taxing the rich isn't

10:53

the answer.

10:54

>> Taxing the rich is like a headline that

10:57

creates enemies who aren't actually the

11:00

enemies.

11:00

>> But so let's just say in the UK then if

11:02

you were prime minister, would you

11:03

increase the tax rate on the top 1%. You

11:06

could do that for political reasons

11:08

because it would make people feel good,

11:09

but it won't change the economy. What

11:11

needs to happen is we need a thriving

11:13

entrepreneurial class. Small businesses

11:15

are the answer. The biggest mistake the

11:17

the UK government is making is they

11:20

don't see that the 5.7 million small

11:22

businesses are their biggest asset. That

11:24

we could get those going, that we could

11:26

create an entrepreneurial uplift that

11:28

would create jobs and it would create

11:31

better opportunities. I would definitely

11:33

curb the issue that we're having with

11:35

these uh mega funds and I would

11:37

definitely stop pretending that Amazon

11:39

is in Luxembourg and Google's in

11:41

Ireland. Right. So those sorts of things

11:43

I would definitely do.

11:44

>> What about yourself, Nick? Would you

11:45

would do you want the top 1% to pay more

11:47

taxes? Is that important? So, it is not

11:49

true that the richest people in the

11:51

United States pay a lot of tax because

11:53

the the American tax system is riddled

11:56

with loopholes that allow the richest

11:59

citizens to pay taxes at a rate of 1/

12:01

half of what ordinary people pay. I

12:04

absolutely believe that in a high

12:07

functioning democracy, the wealthiest

12:10

citizens will pay taxes equal to or

12:14

greater than the typical citizen. And

12:17

that is just objectively not the case in

12:20

the United States

12:21

>> as a percentage

12:22

>> as a percentage. And I think that that

12:24

is, you know, sort of table stakes in

12:27

making an economy function and a

12:30

democracy go. But it is not the biggest

12:32

problem. The problem is wages.

12:35

So here's the most important

12:37

socioeconomic fact in the United States

12:39

that the median full-time worker today

12:43

earns in the range of $60,000 a year. If

12:47

that person had maintained their same

12:49

share of the economy since 1975,

12:52

instead of earning $60,000 a year,

12:54

they'd earn close to $120,000 a year.

12:57

That effect, by the way, goes up to the

13:00

90th percentile. If you earned $180,000

13:04

in 2018, 2020, if you had maintained

13:08

your same share of GDP, instead of

13:10

earning 180, you'd earn like a $250,000

13:13

a year. So in the United States over 50

13:16

years the only people who benefited

13:19

directly from economic growth and

13:20

productivity gains were the people in

13:22

the top 10% and the majority of benefit

13:25

went to the top 1%. And that is the

13:28

problem and that is trillions of dollars

13:30

a year that used to be wages for

13:32

ordinary Americans and now ends up in

13:35

the pockets of the richest people by the

13:38

way utilizing precisely the mechanisms

13:40

that Dan just outlined. And what we have

13:42

done is we have massively tilted the

13:44

economic playing field uh uh which once

13:48

favored small and medium-sized

13:50

businesses and local companies towards

13:52

these giant corporations. We used to

13:55

have an economy that actively encouraged

13:58

small businesses and entrepreneurship. I

14:01

mean basically what we call

14:03

neoliberalism this set of ideas around

14:05

economic cause and effect that came into

14:08

force in the 70s and 80s. regonomics,

14:12

Thatcherism, all this stuff. Cut taxes

14:15

for rich people, deregulate powerful

14:17

people, and suppress the wages for

14:19

working people. Basically, trickle down

14:21

economics. Those policies went in went

14:24

into effect in the 70s, 80s, and 90s.

14:27

And what happened is a huge shift in

14:31

concentration from smaller businesses to

14:33

bigger businesses and a huge uh shift in

14:36

income from ordinary Americans to the

14:38

very rich. And that's the core of the

14:41

problem. And of course, I think rich

14:44

people should pay their fair share. We

14:45

should. It is ridiculous for somebody

14:47

who make half a billion dollars a year

14:49

and to pay 15% tax rate. Uh somebody who

14:52

makes $200,000 a year pays 40. I just

14:55

think that's stupid and wrong, which is

14:58

which is the case in the United States.

15:00

May not be the case here in the UK. But

15:02

the bigger problem is wages. And if you

15:04

want to get the economy back on track,

15:06

you have to address that problem. Dan,

15:07

you say that optionality in

15:08

entrepreneurship will do more to raise

15:10

wages than any government policy.

15:12

>> Yeah. So, I believe that optionality is

15:14

the is the most important thing. Uh when

15:16

someone has lots of options, then they

15:18

don't accept terrible conditions.

15:19

>> So, give me give me some color on that.

15:21

>> Well, if I have 10 companies that are

15:23

wanting to hire me,

15:25

>> I'm going to choose the best option,

15:26

right? But if I live in a town where

15:28

there's only one employer, like let's

15:30

say there's one massive company that

15:31

employs people and you either work for

15:33

that company or you're unemployed, then

15:36

I have to accept whatever they're

15:37

dishing out. So the most important thing

15:40

in creating better quality of life is

15:42

optionality. We we need lots of

15:44

optionality. One of the options that I

15:45

want people to have is I want us to

15:47

teach entrepreneurship in schools so

15:49

that people have the option to start a

15:51

family business as one of their options.

15:53

They may not take that option, but at

15:54

least it's not a mysterious black box

15:56

that they that they just don't

15:58

understand that that would actually be

16:00

one of their uh one of their options.

16:02

Also, let's say you had no minimum wage,

16:04

but if you had 10 employers and a

16:06

limited pool of people who are available

16:08

to work at those companies, they're

16:09

going to have to bid against each other

16:11

to create better and better working

16:12

conditions and better and better pay.

16:15

Um, so you kind of only need to have

16:17

minimum wages when there's not enough

16:19

optionality. If there's enough

16:20

optionality, it pushes everything up.

16:23

>> Is that your view as well?

16:24

>> I agree with the spirit of that. It just

16:26

turns out that is never the case. So,

16:28

there's a lot of economic theory that

16:32

sounds a lot like that, but it but

16:35

exists in a in a in an imaginary world

16:39

where people have um power and

16:42

optionality and and in the real world

16:46

that actually doesn't ever exist. So can

16:49

by way of example there's a there's a

16:51

principle of economics the theory of

16:54

marginal productivity. Have you heard of

16:56

that?

16:56

>> No.

16:57

>> So that's a theory that is embedded in

16:59

the the center of econ of economics

17:01

which says that because markets are

17:04

efficient the amount of money you earn

17:07

reflects precisely the contribution that

17:10

you make to it.

17:13

>> If I make $15,000 a year that's because

17:15

I'm giving $15,000 of value

17:16

>> of value in the world. Okay. Correct.

17:18

And if I earn $500 million a year

17:21

rubbing money together to make more

17:23

money, that is a that is an accurate

17:26

reflection of the value I'm creating in

17:27

the world,

17:28

>> which is really central to capitalism,

17:29

isn't it?

17:30

>> It is absolutely central to capitalism

17:31

and is central to economic policym. But

17:34

here's the thing. If you understand

17:36

where that came from, it gives you

17:38

pause. So in 1879, a guy named Henry

17:41

George writes a book called Progress and

17:43

Poverty in the United States. And

17:45

basically it's the first book about

17:50

the rich stealing from the poor. And

17:53

this book isn't just a bestseller. It is

17:55

the best seller in the history of the

17:58

United States. And the powers that be

18:00

freak out. And JP Morgan brings this guy

18:03

John Bates Clark to Columbia University

18:05

which is sort of the home of like Wall

18:07

Street and stuff like that New York and

18:09

says fix this. And so Henry George

18:11

writes a book called the distribution of

18:12

wealth in which he invents this idea

18:15

called theory of marginal productivity

18:17

which asserts this idea but he says the

18:20

quiet part out loud in the book. He says

18:22

look we have to prove to working people

18:25

that no matter how much they make

18:27

whether it's a little or a lot it

18:29

reflects their value because if they

18:31

conclude that their work is worth more

18:33

than they are paid they will revolt and

18:35

kill us all and that would be bad. And

18:38

that idea, it will not surprise you to

18:40

learn, was very attractive to a bunch of

18:42

rich people and got swept up into

18:45

economics. And today is a core idea in

18:48

economic theory. And it would be true

18:51

potentially if markets were perfectly

18:54

efficient and all this optionality

18:56

existed. But there has never been a case

18:58

where that was been true. It has

19:01

materially harmed the welfare of most

19:04

people because as Dan says, your ability

19:07

to earn is related to your power to

19:10

negotiate, not some magical number that

19:12

the market decides.

19:14

>> And it's how easy you are to replace

19:16

because if I run an ad for a job and 400

19:18

people apply for the job, right? Which

19:20

which really does happen. Yeah. I know

19:23

this happens for you, Stephen.

19:24

uh that that essentially you run an ad

19:26

and 400 people so you don't think about

19:28

raising the wage because 400 people

19:30

applied and they're all good like

19:32

they're all really like super qualified

19:34

people and this happens all the time in

19:35

the UK right now

19:36

>> happens everywhere

19:38

>> I mean and there are almost zero

19:40

circumstances where where workers have

19:44

more power than owners and e you know

19:48

even Ed even Ed even Ed even Ed even Ed

19:48

even Ed even Ed even Ed even Ed even Ed

19:48

even Adam Smith in the in in the wealth

19:50

of nations outlined this asymmetry of

19:52

power And and the thing is is that if

19:56

you persuade people that what they earn

19:59

is all they're worth, then you've

20:01

created this narrative that makes rich

20:03

people richer and everybody else poorer.

20:05

>> So what's the solution here? Is it to

20:06

put a a higher minimum wage on society?

20:10

>> Well, that's a policy solution. But if

20:12

you if you really want to solve the

20:14

problem, the starting point is getting

20:17

people to understand economics in a way

20:21

that actually reflects

20:24

how the how the economy actually works,

20:26

not this stylized invention,

20:30

dating back to 1787,

20:33

that if you take seriously and enact

20:35

policy on the basis of it, the only

20:37

thing that can happen is that the rich

20:38

will get richer and the poor will get

20:40

poor, which is a story of the last 50

20:42

years.

20:42

>> So what is the policy solution?

20:44

>> A policy solution is most definitely to

20:46

apply a standard which requires

20:48

companies to pay people uh you know a

20:51

living wage. So the minimum wage is a

20:53

perfect example of a great policy.

20:55

Another policy in the United States

20:57

which is really really important is the

20:59

overtime threshold

21:01

>> which I don't know whether you have here

21:02

in the UK. We do

21:03

>> but it's the salary threshold below

21:05

which you automatically get paid

21:08

overtime which is time and a half here

21:09

too.

21:10

>> Yeah. 48 hours. Yeah. 48

21:11

>> 48 hours is the upper limit of a week a

21:13

working week.

21:14

>> Okay. So in the United States it's 40

21:15

hours. So if you work more than that you

21:17

get paid overtime. And so one of the

21:19

things so that that standard used to

21:21

apply to virtually every worker in

21:23

America in 1970 1965 today that standard

21:28

applies to less than 10% of workers. Now

21:30

why does that matter? Because people

21:31

like me at the scale of tens of millions

21:34

have turned three 40hour a week jobs

21:36

into two 60-hour a week jobs and

21:38

pocketed the difference. You may be

21:41

doing that here, right? You put gummy

21:43

bears in the lunchroom and a and a ping

21:45

pong table and you force people to work

21:46

60 hours a week and then you can have

21:48

two employees instead of three. If you

21:50

do that 30 million times, you've taken

21:52

10 million jobs out of the workforce.

21:55

>> So, do you agree with this, Daniel? This

21:56

approach,

21:56

>> not as much. Well, here's here's the

21:58

issue. I agree with it at one level, but

22:00

um almost every solution that Nick has

22:04

recommended, the UK's had for the last

22:05

20 years. So, we have uh a minimum wage

22:07

that is pegged two/irds of the median

22:09

and it ratchets up. We've got 28 days

22:11

worth of paid s uh holiday every year.

22:14

We've got sick leave. We've got

22:15

maternity and paternity leave. Uh we've

22:17

got uh the ability uh very very

22:20

difficult to h fire someone if they've

22:22

been with you for more than 6 months.

22:24

So, we have this unbelievable set of

22:27

workers rights and all of these

22:29

recommendations from minimum wage right

22:31

through to how how to handle employment.

22:34

We have the most unhappy population. Our

22:36

economy is not growing. We have a

22:38

million young people out of work. Uh we

22:41

have no one's hiring at the moment. Um

22:43

so it hasn't created those conditions

22:46

have not created runaway prosperity. And

22:49

that gives me pause to think something

22:51

deeper is going on. And the reason that

22:53

I think this is that I think we need to

22:56

make more participation in capitalism.

22:58

Capitalism is about ownership. You have

23:00

to own an asset. And if you don't own

23:02

anything, if you're just selling labor

23:04

in the current economy with digital and

23:06

AI and robots and all this sort of

23:07

stuff, the real reason that the wages

23:11

because what Nick's saying is that the

23:13

amount of money people would should be

23:14

earning right now is like in the

23:16

hundreds of thousands. And what I think

23:17

is happening as another major part of

23:20

this is that the e- the rules of the

23:21

economy have shifted. Technology has cut

23:24

out all the middlemen. Technology has

23:26

hollowed out the middle class. Uh we

23:29

used to go to the video store and the

23:31

video rental store used to have 12

23:33

people working there and now we just go

23:34

to Netflix. Uh and we used to go to our

23:36

little local retailer and buy a CD and

23:39

now we just go to Spotify and we just go

23:41

to Amazon. So it's hollowed out all of

23:43

those supply chains that used to create

23:45

amazing jobs. The value of the labor has

23:48

been eroded because it's very easy to

23:51

outsource labor to another country. It's

23:53

very easy to simplify a job down to

23:56

automated parts uh using technology. So

23:58

the fundamental value of actual labor

24:01

has diminished because of technology.

24:03

Technology has reduced the actual

24:05

utility of this thing that we call labor

24:07

uh for for 90% of people

24:09

>> and it's only going to get worse with AI

24:10

>> and with AI and with robots. It's going

24:12

to go down. So the if you just simply

24:15

say oh this is about lifting work

24:17

standards you're going to miss the point

24:19

that we can't compete with technology.

24:22

Technology is better at this stuff than

24:23

we are. And the answer, the solution is

24:26

ownership. We have to everyone in this

24:28

economy needs to own stuff. We need to

24:30

own a house. We need to own a family

24:32

business. We need to own shares in the

24:34

companies that are growing. So it's you

24:36

cannot outrun this. This is like trying

24:38

to run against someone who's in a car

24:40

and they say, "Oh, you just need nicer

24:41

shoes." No, you the shoes won't change

24:44

things. We've already tried nicer shoes

24:46

in the UK economy and it's made no

24:48

difference. Everyone's miserable. So

24:49

that's one of the things that I that's

24:51

where you and I would disagree.

24:52

>> I mean, both things can be true. The

24:53

minimum wage in the United States is

24:55

$7.25 an hour or $2.13 plus tips. It's

25:00

half. It's a third of what it is here in

25:02

the UK. Okay.

25:03

>> But you have twice the disposable income

25:06

that we have. Your median wage is one

25:08

and a half to two times what our medium

25:10

wage is. We're now a poor country

25:11

relative to the US. And even though your

25:14

minimum wage is terrible and horrific

25:16

and inhuman

25:18

>> Yeah. However, it's magically done it.

25:21

Your your country and your citizens are

25:23

so much richer than ours.

25:25

>> Yeah. Except if you consider that out of

25:28

that median wage, you have to take

25:30

$20,000 a year to pay for healthare,

25:32

>> right? Like

25:33

>> I think adjusted it's still you're 30%

25:35

better even adjusted.

25:37

>> I I think if you look at the AIC OECD uh

25:40

uh it would be interesting. We might be

25:41

able to look it up. I can't remember.

25:43

But I I bet you it's about 10%

25:44

different. Mhm.

25:45

>> Even when you subtract out of pocket

25:47

healthare costs and insurance premiums,

25:48

the average American worker still takes

25:50

home significantly more money than the

25:52

average UK worker,

25:53

>> the average US salary is around $74,000.

25:56

The average UK salary is around roughly

25:58

$50,000.

26:00

>> Americans pay heavily for healthare. The

26:01

average employee in America pays about

26:03

$6 to $8,000 a year in premiums and

26:05

out-of- pocket costs. Brits do not pay

26:08

for healthare because of the NHS. If a

26:09

US worker makes $74,000 and spends 8are

26:12

in healthcare, they are they are at

26:14

$66,000

26:15

before relatively low taxes. The UK

26:18

worker starts at 52,000 before

26:21

relatively high taxes. The bottom line

26:24

is the gap in base salaries and tax

26:26

rates is simply too large for UK free

26:28

healthcare to close. The US wins on pure

26:31

disposable income per person.

26:33

>> Yeah, there there's no doubt the US has

26:35

had a much more successful economy than

26:37

the UK. Brexit being, you know, a

26:40

catastrophe.

26:40

>> Can I push back on one thing though with

26:42

the minimum wage or or this? Yeah.

26:45

>> The companies that hollowed out the

26:46

middle class are big tech companies, big

26:50

finance companies, those mega

26:52

corporations, and I agree with you, they

26:53

can afford to pay their workers more

26:55

money.

26:56

>> One of the issues that I feel, and this

26:58

is what I'm concerned about,

26:59

>> is that in the UK, the majority of

27:02

businesses that do pay minimum wage,

27:04

like a friend of mine owns a pub, and

27:06

that pub has razor thin margins. it's

27:08

losing money. He's not taking any money

27:10

out of it. He's massively impacted by

27:12

taxes and minimum wage.

27:13

>> So, the companies that I see that are

27:16

the ones who have to pay minimum wage

27:17

workers and give people the on-ramp into

27:20

the economy, pubs, little retailers, mom

27:23

and dad businesses, these are the ones

27:25

that really do get squeezed out of the

27:27

economy. They have razor thin margins

27:29

and you put more pressure on them. You

27:31

say, "You've got more government

27:32

regulations, you got more taxes, and now

27:34

you've got more minimum wages." And they

27:36

just go, "I've had enough. I can't do

27:38

it. And the companies that hollowed out

27:40

the middle class, the Microsofts, the

27:42

Googles, the, you know, Amazons, they

27:44

go,

27:44

>> Starbucks.

27:45

>> Yeah, the Starbucks, they go, "Yeah, we

27:47

can we can absorb it." Um, and also,

27:49

we're not paying tax anyway, so we'll

27:50

just kind of like do that.

27:52

>> So, one of the things that you could do,

27:53

one of the things that we recommend is

27:54

that you impose these standards

27:56

progressively that the biggest companies

27:58

have to pay the highest minimum wage,

28:00

medium-sized companies pay slightly

28:02

less, and small businesses pay less.

28:04

Yeah. But even within that context,

28:07

ensuring that everyone pays enough for

28:10

people to have enough money to continue

28:11

to buy stuff. I mean, it's fine and good

28:13

to say, "Look, I don't want to pay high

28:15

wages in my pub." Uh, but surely the

28:19

people working in the pub should make

28:21

enough money so that they can go to the

28:22

pub themselves and buy a beer, right?

28:25

You have to I mean, you know, the

28:27

National Restaurant Association in

28:28

America is, you know, famous for this.

28:30

It's like they want everybody in America

28:32

to be able to go to a restaurant and eat

28:35

except for the people who work in the

28:36

restaurants, right?

28:37

>> Can I just say something with your

28:38

friend that owns the pub as well?

28:40

>> So, say you own Starbucks.

28:42

>> Yeah.

28:42

>> You own a pub.

28:43

>> Yeah.

28:44

>> I'm a worker.

28:46

>> Yeah.

28:47

>> If you're going to pay me more because

28:49

you have this progressive minimum wage

28:51

and you're going to pay less. I'm sorry,

28:53

Daniel. I'm not going to apply for the

28:55

job. I'm going to want to go work at

28:57

Starbucks. So, is there not an issue

28:59

where you're not going to be able to

29:00

attract talent because you're not going

29:01

to be able to pay them as much?

29:03

>> There are there are many reasons why you

29:05

would work for a small business as

29:07

opposed to a mega corp.

29:08

>> But I'm saying you're paying me £4

29:10

minimum wage. He's paying me eight.

29:11

>> So, do not does he not end up getting

29:14

all the the best talent?

29:15

>> He might get the best talent. And also

29:17

for my pub, I might be able to have to I

29:20

might ma match eight, right? So, maybe

29:22

it works that I just pay eight, but I'm

29:24

not necessarily legislated to pay eight.

29:26

So, here's the thing. It's more look as

29:28

a small business owner you can treat

29:30

there's all sorts of techniques that you

29:31

can use to retain people

29:33

>> and you're going to have more

29:34

optionality

29:35

>> as a big company.

29:36

>> Yeah. Because you can you are going to

29:38

definitely pay me more.

29:39

>> Well, being bigger is always better. It

29:41

is absolutely true that that high

29:43

standard will put pressure on throughout

29:45

the economy. But the small pub owner is

29:49

also going to benefit from the fact that

29:51

all I mean are we using Starbucks

29:52

whatever whatever whatever example we're

29:54

using all these people now own now earn

29:58

so much more that they can afford to go

30:00

to the pub and buy stuff. So one of the

30:03

interventions that

30:04

>> I was part of in the United States was

30:06

the $15 minimum wage. We cook that up in

30:10

Seattle Washington. And so I spoke to

30:12

many many many many many small business

30:14

owners who are absolutely terrified by

30:17

this because you know look we are all

30:20

business owners right and so you can do

30:23

a calculation in seconds about the risks

30:27

and the expenses of higher wages.

30:29

Correct?

30:30

>> But what you cannot calculate is the

30:33

benefit of living in of operating your

30:36

company in a regime where everyone earns

30:39

more. Right? and the benefits that occur

30:41

to you from that. Look, a ham sandwich

30:44

in, I don't know, Somalia cost 25 cents.

30:46

It costs $25 in Switzerland. What kind

30:49

of economy do you want to live in,

30:51

right? You know,

30:53

>> what were you going to say about your

30:54

friend?

30:54

>> Well, the friend who owns the pub, his

30:56

pub is actually full most nights of the

30:57

week. They have lots of people going

30:59

there. The issue is taxes and costs.

31:01

He's got a big government in the UK. We

31:04

have all of these things. Like

31:05

everything that you've mentioned, we

31:06

have it and we've had it for 25 years.

31:08

We don't have an affluent middle class

31:10

that's been created. We have an eroded

31:12

middle class. So the actual numbers here

31:15

is that my friends, he took no money

31:17

himself and the pub lost £180,000 last

31:20

year and it's because of VAT and he

31:23

feels like he's carrying the weight of

31:24

training people in their first job. He's

31:27

creating jobs as one of the only

31:28

employers in his little town.

31:30

>> Um and and also he didn't create this

31:33

mess. Amazon and Microsoft and Google

31:36

and Facebook and big funds, they are

31:39

sucking money out of the economy.

31:40

>> We're in violent agreement about this.

31:42

>> So, so I just feel like

31:44

>> the the issue is like I really want to

31:47

make sure that we're super super clear

31:50

>> that small businesses are currently

31:52

squeezed here in the UK. I don't know

31:54

what's like in the US.

31:54

>> It's the same in the US.

31:55

>> Like they are so squeezed and they are

31:57

squeezed by big tech and now AI has come

31:59

along. they feel like they have to learn

32:01

this new thing and they have to start

32:03

posting on LinkedIn 45 times a day using

32:05

AI posts or else they'll get drowned out

32:07

and they have to, you know, edit videos

32:10

and become a Tik Tocker as well, right?

32:12

So, it's all of this constant pressure

32:14

caused by this tech sector

32:16

>> and these big funds like one of the

32:19

biggest threats to my friend's pub is

32:20

that a big American private equity fund

32:23

wants to buy the pub uh and turn it into

32:25

a block of flats, right? So like they

32:28

want to financialize this this community

32:30

asset and he's trying to fight to keep

32:32

his pup,

32:33

>> right? So what I what I don't want to

32:35

have is I don't want to have big

32:37

government create a new framework that

32:39

that basically squeezes small family

32:42

businesses even harder. They all start

32:44

going, we're losing two pubs a day here,

32:45

right? They're closing down. Um they

32:47

they go out of business and then we end

32:50

up with big corpse, big funds who can

32:53

afford to absorb it and they own

32:54

everything. And I also want to be clear

32:56

that the reason people are struggling is

32:58

they don't own anything. It's not

32:59

because of working conditions. They

33:01

don't own anything. And if they don't

33:03

own anything,

33:04

>> no, it would be wonderful if everybody

33:06

owned something. Um but but ownership

33:09

starts with earning enough money so that

33:12

you can save money so that you can begin

33:13

to own something, right? Like one of the

33:16

lessons that we learned was that trying

33:19

to give stock options to everyone in a

33:23

company often doesn't work.

33:25

>> Yeah, I agree.

33:25

>> It's a catastrophe because for 90% of

33:29

the workers in a company that their

33:32

concerns are immediate and they don't

33:34

value stocks

33:36

>> and if you give them the choice between

33:38

cash or stock options,

33:39

>> it's not even close, right? And so

33:42

again, I agree with this sentiment. It's

33:45

just that I have never seen and I do not

33:48

believe there is an existence proof for

33:50

it working on planet Earth. What

33:52

certainly worked great in the United

33:54

States for 40 or 50 years was a set of

33:57

standards that required companies to

34:01

fairly split the value they create with

34:03

their employees

34:05

uh through a variety of mechanisms,

34:07

unions, which can be problematic for

34:09

sure, but labor standards like the

34:11

minimum wage and the overtime threshold

34:13

and so on and so forth, coupled with a

34:17

set of policies to discourage

34:20

consolidation and discourage the kind of

34:22

exploitation that you have I think very

34:26

smartly articulated um so that we can

34:29

have a dynamic economy.

34:31

>> The only difference that happened back

34:32

in the in the time that you're

34:34

describing where workers had to be

34:36

included is that it was nearly

34:38

impossible for a company to outsource

34:41

their customer success team to the

34:43

Philippines and it was nearly impossible

34:45

for a company to come up with a piece of

34:46

software that would do 80% of the heavy

34:49

lifting of a job. And one of the issues

34:51

that we have right now is that when you

34:53

put a lot of pressure on on all sorts of

34:56

companies, we're living in the age of AI

34:57

and robotics where you essentially, you

35:00

know, one of the options that companies

35:02

have is just the option, well, we'll

35:04

just outsource the labor to another

35:06

country. We'll automate it. We'll

35:08

simplify it.

35:09

>> Okay. But those the the rules that

35:12

enable people to do that were written by

35:15

the same people who are consolidating

35:18

industries and and taking advantage. I

35:21

mean, you don't have to live in a world

35:23

like that. There are other ways to

35:25

organize the world.

35:26

>> The neoliberals promised that free trade

35:29

was going to make all of us richer. And

35:31

what it did is it flooded our markets

35:33

with cheap stuff from China, but it is

35:36

absolutely not clear that it made

35:38

people's lives better.

35:40

>> Chinese people's lives.

35:41

>> It made Chinese people's lives better,

35:43

but it certainly didn't make people in

35:45

the UK's life better. And it certainly

35:47

didn't make people in the United

35:48

States's life better. And so you could

35:50

have imagined approaching that in a

35:52

fundamentally different way. I guarantee

35:54

you that if the United States could go

35:56

back and do it again, we would have

35:58

reought it.

35:59

>> We would have reought it.

36:00

>> There's a few ownership models that I

36:02

think are important that could be looked

36:03

at. Number one is a sovereign wealth

36:05

fund. So the countries like Norway, uh

36:08

Singapore, these countries, they own

36:11

natural assets uh in a sovereign wealth

36:13

fund. And essentially every citizen

36:16

therefore owns a piece of some asset.

36:18

There is an asset that is owned through

36:20

a sovereign wealth fund. It's a very

36:21

successful model. It seems to work so

36:23

incredibly well that it's dangerously

36:25

well. Um half of London is now owned by

36:27

the Qatari self sovereign wealth fund,

36:29

the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund.

36:31

We're literally losing all of our

36:32

property to the sovereign wealth funds

36:34

of the world. So the sovereign wealth

36:35

fund model is incredibly powerful.

36:37

>> Yes. Um,

36:38

>> so just for someone that doesn't know

36:39

what that is, you you have natural

36:42

assets within the company own owned in

36:44

part by the state.

36:45

>> So the UK did a stupid thing. We

36:47

discovered the North Sea back in the '

36:50

80s, I think it was, and Norway had half

36:52

and we had half of this Norwegian uh

36:55

this North Sea oil. And the Norwegians

36:57

said, "Hey, we'll just own this in a

36:58

fund that all of our citizens will

37:00

benefit from, and that will be a

37:01

state-owned fund, and then we'll take

37:04

the profits of that, we'll reinvest it

37:06

into assets, and every citizen will

37:08

benefit from those assets." And the UK

37:10

said, "We'll just sell a license to

37:12

British Petroleum." Yes.

37:13

>> Right.

37:13

>> We'll make the rich people richer.

37:15

>> Yeah. And Australia is so stupid. We

37:17

have all this incredible natural

37:19

resource, no sovereign wealth fund. uh

37:21

Britain when we took over the whole

37:22

world or 25% of the world we operated

37:25

sovereign wealth funds called the East

37:26

India Trading Company and all this sort

37:28

of stuff and basically our business

37:29

model was sovereign wealth funds for

37:31

many many years

37:32

>> so sovereign wealth funds number one

37:34

>> so that would be one the other one is to

37:35

put shares into baby's names so when a

37:37

baby's born uh you have a piece of the

37:39

stock market like $1,000 worth of shares

37:42

>> it's a baby bond idea and

37:44

>> Trump's doing both of these things isn't

37:46

he sovereign wealth fund and the baby

37:47

bond he's calling it the Trump fund or

37:49

something

37:49

>> yeah well they're They're experimenting

37:51

with some version of this right now.

37:53

>> Yeah.

37:53

>> Yeah. So, if if an a baby by the time

37:56

they hit 18 has had 18 years of

37:58

compounding of owning that asset, then

38:01

by the time they hit 18, they're

38:03

literally getting an asset that they can

38:04

then turn into another asset if they

38:06

want to. Um, that's pretty powerful. And

38:09

then the the biggest issue is the

38:11

financialization of houses. So if you

38:14

take a value of a house, about half the

38:17

value of the house is what you might

38:18

call the utility value of the house,

38:20

which is it's a house to live in and I

38:21

want to live in it. And then the other

38:23

half the value is the financial

38:24

speculation value of the house, which is

38:27

how much value does a fund have if we

38:29

can rent this out to people for the rest

38:30

of their lives.

38:31

>> I looked at the Black Rockck thing and

38:32

it said the idea that Black Rockck is

38:34

buying up UK homes is a is a myth. They

38:36

are a financeier, not a landlord. They

38:39

provide loans and debt facilities to to

38:40

property developers, but they do not

38:42

directly own or manage residential

38:44

housing stock.

38:45

>> Uh Lloyd's Bank is buying 70,000 UK

38:47

homes to rent forever.

38:49

>> The number of single family homes Black

38:51

Rockck directly owns and manages in the

38:52

UK is zero.

38:53

>> Okay. But he's right.

38:55

>> Yeah.

38:56

>> Um I I don't know what the details are,

38:58

but this is a private equity thing

38:59

that's going on in this country and in

39:01

the United States right now.

39:02

>> Yeah. In the United States, I've heard a

39:04

lot about Black Rockck buying a

39:05

>> I'm not sure what the entities are. It

39:08

may be true. I again I don't know what

39:09

>> they come up they come up with

39:10

structures to do it at arms length.

39:12

Yeah. But um like

39:14

>> I guess you kind of own it if you're

39:15

financing it is

39:16

>> well or you loaned it to a subsidiary or

39:19

somebody else or whatever it is. But the

39:20

but the meta point here is that homes

39:23

used to be owned by people.

39:24

>> Yeah. And they bought them to live in.

39:26

>> And they bought them to live in. And one

39:28

of the nefarious things that's going on

39:31

in the west driven by this neoliberal

39:35

consensus that the only purpose of the

39:37

of of the economy is to make rich people

39:39

richer is this idea that private equity

39:42

should buy all these homes and turn the

39:45

turn ordinary people into this rental

39:47

class. Just to confirm, yeah, Lloyd's

39:49

Bank are doing that through something

39:50

called Citra Living. They are buying up

39:52

thousands of new built homes and

39:53

apartments to act as a direct private

39:55

corporate landlord. Um they view the

39:57

structural shift away from home

39:58

ownership towards long-term renting as a

40:00

major profit opportunity for them.

40:01

>> Yes,

40:02

>> that's it. They want to have a permanent

40:04

rental class that people never you'll

40:06

own nothing and be happy is the idea.

40:08

And people are not like that. People

40:10

love to own stuff.

40:11

>> There should be a button just down below

40:13

here. And if it says subscribed, you're

40:15

already subscribed. If it says

40:16

subscriber, that means you're not yet.

40:19

And if you're not subscribed, please

40:20

could you do us a favor and hit that

40:21

button? It helps the show more than you

40:23

know. And according to the algorithm,

40:25

you're someone that watches our show,

40:26

but you haven't yet hit that button.

40:27

Thank you so much.

40:29

>> I want to go back to the central point

40:30

we were talking about, which is like how

40:31

do you how do you solve this? Because

40:32

you've got two different views on how

40:33

you solve this inequality. What I find

40:35

interesting is the UK has better worker

40:39

rights.

40:40

>> But it is

40:41

>> but you also have much less inequality

40:42

here. I mean, just to be clear,

40:44

>> that is true. So the US is significantly

40:46

more unequal. Yeah. The US top 1% holds

40:50

over 30% of the nation's wealth compared

40:52

to roughly 20% in the UK. Um, and the US

40:55

consistently ranks as the most unequal

40:56

of the G7 nations.

40:58

>> Correct.

40:58

>> However, the US is growing much much

41:00

faster. If you look at 209 to 2026, the

41:04

US has grown over 100% faster than the

41:06

UK.

41:07

>> Yes.

41:07

>> Um, and the UK is vastly more protective

41:09

of workers. We have the things Daniel

41:11

said like paid vacation, paid maternity

41:13

leave. The UK mandates up to 39 weeks of

41:16

statutory pay. The US mandates zero,

41:19

which is unbelievably correct horrific.

41:21

>> But I mean, one of the things that's

41:22

happened in the UK, Steve, is is Brexit.

41:25

>> When did that happen? 2016.

41:28

>> That's taken that's taken, what has that

41:29

taken? Eight or 10% out of UK growth

41:31

rates. It has affected unemployment by

41:34

4%, productivity gains by 4%. I mean,

41:37

the list goes on. So that own I mean

41:39

part of part of why people in the UK are

41:43

feeling down

41:45

>> is this unbelievable mistake that the

41:48

country made.

41:49

>> But it's the same in Germany. It's the

41:51

same in Australia. Germany has

41:53

unbelievable workers rights. Australia

41:55

unbelievable workers rights. In fact the

41:57

USA is the outlier of all the modern

42:00

capitalist economies.

42:01

>> Absolutely. But we're confusing things.

42:03

People are pissed off everywhere in the

42:05

world. everywhere.

42:08

>> I don't I want the pitchforks to go away

42:09

as well, but these workers rights are

42:12

not putting the pitchforks away. Like

42:14

all of this stuff, we've given this

42:16

stuff to Australia, New Zealand, Canada,

42:19

uh all of Western Europe, all the

42:21

English speaking democracies other than

42:23

the USA. USA is the only one that has

42:26

virtually no safety nets and no

42:28

safeguards. Everywhere else has health

42:30

care systems that are much more generous

42:32

and welfare systems that are more

42:33

generous and like maternity leave. I

42:35

mean, it's just inhumane that USA

42:37

doesn't have maternity leave. So, all of

42:39

that stuff, but we've got all of that,

42:40

but we've got the pitchforks here, too.

42:42

>> Yes.

42:42

>> Um, and this is why I'm saying I'm

42:44

really zoning in on the idea that people

42:46

need to own a house, they need to own a

42:48

business, and they need to own shares.

42:49

And it's like if they own stuff,

42:50

>> I could not agree more. And I don't know

42:53

how to get them there unless they are

42:54

paid well enough to to make to do that.

42:57

>> Let me tell you an anecdote. During the

42:59

George Floyd riots, people were burning

43:02

stuff down in the United States. And

43:03

there was this fantastic interview with

43:06

this woman and the reporter said, you

43:08

know, I just I cannot believe that you

43:10

don't have respect for property rights.

43:12

And the woman said,

43:14

>> they've got nothing.

43:15

>> We have no property.

43:16

>> Yeah.

43:17

>> You know, why should I respect property

43:19

rights? No one I know owns anything.

43:21

Yeah. You know, like, so I am 100% with

43:24

you. But I think at the core of it, the

43:26

core of it is that inequality is way

43:30

more than an economic inconvenience for

43:33

the people that it affects. Yeah.

43:35

>> What it does is it shreds the

43:37

reciprocity norms

43:38

>> that make social cohesion and democracy

43:42

possible. Yeah. It's this dog eat dog.

43:45

You're all on your own. Grab what you

43:48

can. I mean, obviously the Trump people

43:49

>> and burn the place down.

43:50

>> That's right. And burn the place down.

43:52

Obviously, Donald Trump has created a

43:54

permission structure for the worst kind

43:56

of behavior, right? The worst kind of

43:58

corruption. Uh, basically stealing has

44:01

come back into style, right? And you

44:04

know, there's all sorts of reasons that

44:06

are generating this malaise, this this

44:09

sense of unfairness and lack of control,

44:14

right? And and and the thing is I I just

44:16

I agree 100% with your sentiments. I

44:19

really do about entrepreneurship and

44:22

ownership and you know at the end of the

44:23

day the cool thing about

44:24

entrepreneurship is you're in charge.

44:26

>> Yeah.

44:27

>> Like you're in charge here

44:28

>> but not everybody can be an

44:29

entrepreneur.

44:30

>> Correct. Correct. And so I do think that

44:32

that's a little bit unrealistic.

44:33

>> The the issue is is that like 70% of all

44:36

jobs that get created are created by

44:37

small businesses and not governments,

44:40

not big companies. They're, you know,

44:42

they don't create jobs. Small businesses

44:43

create jobs. And if we just not everyone

44:46

can be an entrepreneur, but if we had a

44:47

100,000 entrepreneurs who were all

44:49

hiring 10 people, we'd we'd have a

44:52

million jobs and we'd have 100,000

44:53

options for people with jobs. So like I

44:56

I don't think that we discount the whole

44:59

idea that entrepreneurship is a big part

45:00

of the solution. Can I take us briefly

45:03

back in time? This is not the first time

45:05

this has happened. The K-shaped economy

45:07

has happened in the Engles pause.

45:09

>> Yeah.

45:09

>> So the the

45:10

>> what do you mean by K-shaped economy? So

45:12

the K-shaped economy is where so a

45:14

normal economy is one where everyone

45:15

agrees it's going up or down or

45:17

sideways. Everyone can sort of say, "Oh

45:18

yeah, roughly speaking, it's a good

45:20

economy. It's a bad economy. It's it's

45:22

rising and falling like a tide." A

45:24

K-shaped economy is where it's really

45:26

good for some and really bad for others.

45:28

It's a disrupted economy. Yeah. Right.

45:29

So the top percentage are going up and

45:31

the bottom percentage are going down.

45:33

Now the headlines that we run today are

45:35

the exact same headlines that were run

45:37

in the early 1800s in Britain. And it

45:39

was essentially record profits for

45:42

industrialists and workers haven't had

45:44

any improvements. They all like you

45:47

could almost take every grievance that

45:49

we have today and you could just overlay

45:51

it in the early 1800s and you get the

45:53

exact same words.

45:55

>> Um the solutions uh one of the big

45:57

solutions in the early 1800s was we need

45:59

to export people. We need to get rid of

46:01

people. And what they did is they sent

46:02

everyone to Australia. So they they sent

46:05

they sent they picked up people and they

46:06

put them in in Australia, right? So they

46:08

same sort of thing mass mass immigration

46:11

or whatever you call it remigration. So

46:13

they got rid of people out of the

46:14

country. So it was very similar and we

46:16

call this the Engles pause but we

46:18

understand what caused it

46:19

>> 1790 to 1840.

46:20

>> Yeah. So what caused it was technology

46:23

and it was this new

46:24

>> it was the industrial revolution.

46:25

>> Yeah. So it's the new technology where

46:28

we introduced a steam engine, we

46:30

introduced a spinning loom, we

46:32

introduced uh tractors, we introduced

46:34

all of this sort of new technology and

46:36

the owners of that new technology and

46:38

the people associated with that new

46:40

technology went like that. They leveled

46:41

up because of tech and the people who

46:43

were not part of that technology went

46:45

down. Very simple picture you might want

46:47

to have in your mind is a farm that had

46:50

a 100 workers farming versus one farm

46:52

that had a tractor. The tractor farm

46:54

went like that and the all the workers

46:56

went like that. It's because of

46:57

technology.

46:58

>> The interesting thing about the angles

46:59

paws is that for approximately two

47:02

generations, 50 75 years with the

47:06

exception of the owners of capital

47:09

basically everybody else on planet earth

47:11

went backwards. It

47:12

>> was hell.

47:12

>> It was hell. Um and what and what

47:15

happened is that over time the political

47:19

consensus changed and working people

47:23

clawed back some of that value through

47:25

unions through labor standards so on and

47:28

so forth. So one of I guess the essence

47:30

of what I want to get to is I mean

47:32

something you've always talked about Dan

47:33

as well is that if you start applying

47:35

pressures on these companies or

47:36

entrepreneurs they can just now get up

47:38

and leave. And that was quite different

47:39

from that era where we weren't dealing

47:42

with technological businesses. is we

47:43

weren't dealing with IP and those

47:44

things. So if you start imposing some of

47:45

these measures, will these companies get

47:47

up and leave and go somewhere else where

47:49

market conditions are preferable? A lot

47:51

of UK entrepreneurs are, as we've seen

47:53

from some of the numbers recently,

47:55

choosing to go work elsewhere. Okay.

47:57

Yeah. I think one of the things that

47:58

just needs to be acknowledged and put on

47:59

the table is one of the challenges you

48:01

have here is you have the Europe or the

48:04

world has built this incredibly stupid

48:06

system where you can operate a business

48:09

here, take advantage of the UK's market,

48:13

take advantage of the UK's rule of law,

48:15

take advantage of the UK's uh

48:17

infrastructure,

48:19

put your stuff in a box, move to Dubai,

48:22

and pay no tax. Right? It's idiotic.

48:26

It's just it's just idiotic and

48:29

suboptimizing. As an American, I pay tax

48:31

wherever I go, right? So, I cannot come

48:34

to a place and take advantage of it and

48:36

then skirt the laws. So, this is such a

48:40

profound

48:42

disincentive to do the right thing.

48:44

>> Well, yeah. Yes. But the real culprit is

48:47

what companies can do because US

48:49

companies can do it. You you can't do it

48:51

as an individual, but you can set up an

48:53

office in Ireland in Luxembourg,

48:55

>> which is even worse. and and it's the

48:56

corporations that are the bad guys,

48:58

>> which is but you have both problems be

49:01

you have you have UK based entrepreneurs

49:03

who are like well I can stay here and

49:05

pay 40% tax or whatever it is right and

49:07

just pop off to Dubai run the business

49:10

virtually and pay nothing.

49:11

>> So what are you saying should be done

49:12

with those people that do that?

49:13

>> I think that UK citizens should pay UK

49:16

UK tax wherever they go and German

49:19

citizens should pay German tax wherever

49:20

they go.

49:21

>> Do you agree? I don't think that will

49:22

solve it because it's not citizens, it's

49:25

corporations that are the bad guys.

49:26

>> Well, it will solve one problem. It will

49:28

not This other problem needs to be

49:30

handled too.

49:30

>> The the the giant vampire squids of the

49:32

world are companies that are pumping

49:34

money out of the economies and they're

49:36

faceless corporations that have figured

49:38

out how to play this game. So, for

49:40

example, let's take YouTube for example.

49:43

YouTube is serving up a ton of videos to

49:46

people all over this country and they're

49:48

running ads, but that is pretending to

49:51

be in some distant place. It's not

49:53

pretend. It's not being in the UK. And

49:55

what we used to do in the UK is we used

49:57

to have a broadcast license. If you want

49:58

to broadcast in the country, you pay a

50:00

flat fee and you can broadcast. Why is

50:02

YouTube not playing a paying a broadcast

50:04

license? If they are a broadcaster

50:07

effectively uh and running ads, they sit

50:10

there and say, "Oh, but there's this and

50:12

we shift our profit through here and oh,

50:13

we have to I'm so sorry, but we have to

50:15

buy our licensing, you know, from this

50:17

company over in this other vanuatu or

50:19

whatever." It's like, "No, no, no. We

50:21

don't care about that." It's like, look

50:22

at how

50:22

>> you do business in the UK. You should

50:24

pay tax.

50:24

>> It's just as simple as you you're you've

50:26

got this many views and the broadcast

50:28

license for you is this much.

50:30

>> Okay. So do you agree on both points

50:31

then that you should tax corporations

50:33

based on where their customers are

50:34

consuming and you should tax individuals

50:38

irrespective of where they decide to fly

50:39

off to?

50:40

>> Look, I think in a globalized world that

50:42

we live in an individual should be

50:45

allowed to make a new life for themsel

50:46

if they want to, right? Like so for

50:48

example, if I genuin I I I make a new

50:50

life for myself in the UK 20 years ago.

50:53

I came here from Australia and I don't

50:55

want to pay tax in Australia because I

50:56

was born in Australia. I paid a million

50:58

dollars worth of tax in Australia, but I

51:00

now live here. Like my I've got three

51:02

kids here and I've got a house here and

51:03

my whole life is here. I don't like the

51:05

idea that just because I was born in

51:07

Australia, it's it's not possible for me

51:09

to make a new life.

51:10

>> But we have a tax treaty.

51:11

>> Yeah.

51:12

>> Like there are ways of handling this,

51:14

but this ridiculous Look, every rich

51:16

person I know in Europe is playing this

51:18

ridiculous game of trying to avoid

51:20

taxes, right? I don't know how you can

51:23

look at that and think this is a good

51:24

system. But the issue is you and I both

51:26

know it's so easy to just turn this into

51:29

a company game. So like for example, if

51:33

>> we have to appropriately close the

51:34

loopholes

51:35

>> like Yeah. But like I just I'm seeing so

51:38

many people demonize people like Nick,

51:41

right? They go, "Oh, this guy, he's you

51:44

know, he's a rich guy and he's like, you

51:45

know, shouldn't be so rich." Honestly,

51:48

he's not the problem. I'm sure you pay a

51:49

bunch of taxes and also you you create

51:52

economic activity around you. These mega

51:54

corporations do trillions of dollars out

51:58

of economies.

51:58

>> If we take a mega corporation, you know,

52:01

think of one in your head, and we decide

52:04

to tax them where their customers are.

52:05

>> I was looking at some of the research

52:06

and says corporations rarely just absorb

52:08

the tax. When countries like the UK or

52:10

France introduce taxes based on local

52:12

users,

52:13

>> tech giants like the like the biggest in

52:15

the world immediately raised fees and

52:17

prices for the consumer and small

52:18

businesses inside those specific

52:20

countries to offset the cost. If we had

52:22

a global tax system that prevented this,

52:24

then they wouldn't do it. They couldn't

52:25

do it.

52:26

>> If the compliance cost of tracking user

52:28

locations and paying to local taxes

52:29

outweighs the profit from the region,

52:30

companies also tend to simply block

52:32

users in those countries or pull their

52:34

products entirely.

52:35

>> Great. Great. And that opens up a

52:37

possibility of a local company to do it.

52:39

>> Worse,

52:40

>> huh?

52:41

>> Worse,

52:42

>> maybe better.

52:43

>> I was thinking here about the large

52:44

language models and I was thinking about

52:46

that as an example. If you know if the

52:48

UK tried to take on Gemini or Chat GBT

52:51

etc we would be using a significantly

52:54

worse technology.

52:56

>> The truth is that those those mega corps

52:58

>> that's accurate though

52:59

>> those mega corpse they don't do this

53:01

they they want to own the world and they

53:02

want to dominate the world. They they're

53:03

not interested in cutting countries out

53:05

right none of them actually cut

53:07

countries out.

53:08

>> When do you think you think Facebook is

53:09

just going to leave the UK?

53:11

>> Yeah. Like they're not going to do that.

53:13

So and the other way is how you do it.

53:15

So if you simply

53:16

>> How do you do that in Australia though

53:17

with the news publishing business?

53:19

>> They might do it very briefly as a way

53:21

to punish political uh disscent but

53:24

ultimately they operate globally. They

53:26

have a global business model and they uh

53:30

essentially too we just need to say I'm

53:32

sorry you've had your 20 30 years of not

53:34

paying taxes anywhere but we're not

53:36

doing that anymore and you know we we

53:38

are very good at coordinating when we

53:40

want to coordinate and we need to say

53:42

the bad guy here I mean it is really

53:44

just pulling money out of our economies

53:46

and taking it to other other places and

53:49

one of the reasons that the USA has

53:51

become so wealthy with its stock market

53:53

is because it is the end valuation where

53:56

all of these vampire squids end up with.

53:59

>> If I look at what happened, it was um

54:01

Australia I was thinking about um but it

54:03

also happened in Canada where they

54:04

passed a law called the online news act

54:06

requiring tech giants to pay local

54:08

publishers whenever Canadian users

54:10

shared or viewed news links. And

54:12

immediately instead of paying uh the

54:14

user location tax, Meta simply blocked

54:15

all news content from every user in

54:18

Canada because the cost of compliance

54:20

just wasn't worth the hassle for one

54:21

particular market. And you have the same

54:23

thing happen with Amazon where several

54:24

US states like California tried to force

54:26

Amazon to collect local sales tax simply

54:28

because Amazon had independent

54:30

affiliates like bloggers etc um living

54:32

in those states and rather than dealing

54:34

with the complex local tax collection

54:35

Amazon instantly terminate thousands of

54:37

affiliate accounts. If every state

54:40

required Amazon to collect local sales

54:42

tax then obviously they couldn't do any

54:44

of that. they would have to deal with

54:45

it, right? It's just these big

54:48

corporations have a massive advantage

54:51

over the jurisdictions that they're

54:53

operating in because they have so much

54:55

more power and so much more flexibility.

54:57

So what is the what is your solution

54:59

then Daniel to solve for this inequality

55:02

problem that we're experiencing because

55:05

you know you seem to be less interested

55:06

in the sort of workers rights piece

55:08

because that seems to

55:09

>> we've tried it.

55:10

>> We try you're saying we tried it.

55:12

>> Yeah. What I would like personally is I

55:14

want to see way more small businesses

55:16

and I want the government to favor small

55:17

businesses and essentially say we're

55:20

going to reduce the taxes and the

55:22

pressure on the small businesses. We're

55:23

going to advantage local small

55:24

businesses that are here and paying tax.

55:26

Um we're going to create special

55:28

economic trading zones if your business

55:30

is based here uh and is a smaller size.

55:32

We're going to basically make ourselves

55:34

highly competitive for small businesses

55:36

to show up and do their aame.

55:38

>> And what about big businesses? punish

55:40

punish big businesses that that uh I

55:42

wouldn't punish them. I would just tilt

55:44

the pl I'm 100% with him. Tilt the

55:47

playing field

55:49

>> towards smaller businesses and startups.

55:52

You know, I I'm not sure if you've heard

55:53

about this thing that uh I just joined

55:55

the board of called Enterprise Britain

55:57

that that um Brent Herman who does

56:00

Founders Forum. Yep.

56:01

>> And Steve Fitzpatrick who founded OO

56:03

just started. It's called Enterprise

56:05

Britain. It's a group of us who have

56:07

gotten together uh with the express

56:10

purpose of doing exactly pretty much

56:12

what you what you describe, which is to

56:15

try to make Britain an even better

56:18

environment for business, mostly small

56:20

and medium-sized businesses. And one of

56:22

the great challenges here is to f try to

56:24

find capitalist structures that allow

56:26

small companies to turn into larger

56:28

companies while remaining here and not

56:30

fleeing to a better place. But I'm I am

56:33

100% in agreement with this. And you can

56:38

have an incredibly dynamic, fast growing

56:40

economy

56:42

where all of the benefits flow to the

56:44

people at the very top and everybody

56:46

else gets screwed.

56:48

>> And you have to do both.

56:50

>> You have to do both. I've spent the last

56:52

decade building and investing in

56:54

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56:55

around marketing budgets follows the

56:57

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56:59

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57:01

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57:02

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57:05

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57:07

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57:10

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57:12

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57:14

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59:00

I mean, one of the most important

59:01

subjects at the moment in society is

59:04

artificial intelligence. And we you

59:06

probably saw recently Eric Schmidt did a

59:07

commencement speech in front of

59:08

thousands of students and every time he

59:10

said the word stage

59:11

>> every time he said the word AI um one of

59:13

the things that Anthropic or one of the

59:14

leading AI companies said recently is

59:16

that entry- level jobs are at risk and

59:18

I've got this graph here showing the

59:20

decline of entrylevel job postings. I

59:23

believe it was on LinkedIn um pull from

59:26

somewhere and it shows that they're

59:28

consistently dropping and dropping and

59:29

dropping. AI is I think about it so

59:32

often. I was up late last night trying

59:34

to think through some of this stuff

59:35

because Anthropic released a report

59:37

yesterday showing that the AI models

59:39

will be able to improve themselves

59:40

theoretically in the future and what

59:42

this might mean.

59:44

>> How disruptive do you think AI is going

59:46

to be as it relates to job losses?

59:48

>> You know, I don't think Bernie Sanders

59:49

latest idea is terrible.

59:51

>> US will own 50% of all the companies. It

59:53

is absolutely true that AI has

59:56

monetizing for free humanity's

59:59

intellectual property and a few people

60:01

are going to directly benefit from that.

60:03

And I think that um in the same way that

60:06

Norway created a sovereign wealth fund

60:08

with this enormous asset that they had

60:12

uh creating a sovereign wealth fund with

60:14

50% of the value created by AI and

60:17

recycling that into uh I think it's

60:20

unclear exactly how those benefits

60:22

should be should be recycled but trying

60:25

to find a way to make some of that value

60:28

a cushion for the disruption that it

60:30

will inevitably cause. I don't think

60:32

that's a crazy idea.

60:33

>> It's a good idea for China and the US.

60:35

>> Yes. Yes.

60:38

>> But not for anywhere else necessarily.

60:39

It's not going to help Senagal or

60:41

Southampton much.

60:42

>> No. In fact, it'll damage a lot of those

60:44

places. You know, like the Philippines

60:46

has benefited enormously by being the

60:49

outsourced back office uh for a lot of

60:52

small businesses that AI can now do a

60:54

lot of those those uh those jobs. Um,

60:57

one of the things that I always come

60:58

back to is the idea that say the UK has

61:01

5.7 million businesses. We have a

61:03

million unemployed people. We need

61:05

1/5ifth of the businesses to employ one

61:08

person. AI does actually make your

61:10

business better. Like AI is really good

61:12

at helping you with your marketing. AI

61:13

is great at helping you do legal

61:15

contracts. There are 100 ways that AI

61:17

could actually make 5.7 million

61:20

businesses a little bit better to the

61:22

point where they want to hire someone.

61:24

And if we can incentivize those things

61:26

to happen, businesses are trained on how

61:27

to use AI to their advantage and tax

61:30

breaks for small businesses that are

61:32

hiring. And we will, you know, there's

61:34

actually 5.7 million businesses and a

61:36

million unemployed people. That's a good

61:37

there's a good match there.

61:39

>> You know, um, a lot of people have been

61:40

talking about AI agents and, uh, what an

61:43

AI agent can do, for anyone that doesn't

61:45

know, is it can go on your computer and

61:47

it can get any task you want done on the

61:49

computer. um whether that's you know

61:51

editing tasks or whether it's you know

61:53

manual data entry tasks or whatever it

61:54

is it can click around on a computer and

61:56

do things a lot of the entrylevel roles

61:59

were often given are that kind of work I

62:01

think my entry level entry- level job

62:03

job after I dropped out of university

62:04

was kind of doing that kind of thing

62:06

there was also a little bit of a sales

62:07

component where I'd cold call people and

62:09

AI can now do the cold calls too and

62:11

increasingly if we just play the rate of

62:13

development forward we'll be able to do

62:14

those things so if these businesses get

62:16

more and more efficient um again it

62:19

comes back this an entry- level point is

62:22

what what role will entry-level team

62:24

members have in these kind of companies.

62:26

So what's interesting for me I have a

62:28

group of companies small businesses uh

62:30

dynamic small businesses we've

62:32

implemented AI in all of them and as a

62:34

result we've hired people

62:35

>> who have you hired

62:36

>> entry- level people

62:37

>> we've hired some entry- level people who

62:40

are augmented by AI so they become more

62:42

valuable because of AI but like things

62:44

like appointment setting we've ended up

62:46

hiring more salespeople because we get

62:48

more appointments we we use it with our

62:50

marketing and we end up hiring people

62:52

who can actually have those final

62:53

conversations with people at the very

62:55

core of my organ organizations, we have

62:57

an AI layer and the AI layer has context

63:00

and skills and models and security

63:02

layer, right? All all in there and it

63:04

spits out amazing information and data

63:07

and reports and tells us who to talk to

63:08

and why to talk to them and what to talk

63:10

to them about. All these things are

63:11

happening because of AI.

63:12

>> But it doesn't get around the point that

63:14

like if you think about Uber, uh DAR has

63:16

been pretty clear that the 9 million

63:17

drivers they have, I think it is, are

63:19

going to lose their jobs in the future.

63:20

If you think about the the other sort of

63:22

white collar professions we've

63:24

described, they those roles won't won't

63:26

exist in the future. Well, I should say

63:28

those roles will be will be will be

63:30

changed.

63:30

>> Correct. If I put on my more optimistic

63:33

hat, the thing is is that all businesses

63:37

operate in a competitive environment and

63:39

there are two ways to compete. One is to

63:42

be cheaper. The other is to be better.

63:45

Right. And the thing about AI is that

63:50

yeah, there are tasks that you can

63:53

automate away, but one person with good

63:58

AI tools may be able to do the job of

64:01

five.

64:02

>> Mhm.

64:02

>> Right. And yeah, you could eliminate

64:05

that job or you could keep that person,

64:08

give them the right tools and out

64:09

compete your competitors.

64:10

>> The right tools.

64:11

>> The right tools. I think there's an

64:13

assumption that

64:14

>> I mean this is of course what happened

64:15

with computers, right? I mean I'm I am

64:17

older than you guys so I I remember when

64:20

calculators hit.

64:23

>> You had to be there to realize how

64:25

freaked out people were about

64:27

calculators,

64:29

>> right? Like people were talking about

64:30

like what are the accountants going to

64:32

do and and and will kids learn math

64:35

anymore? I mean it was it was like

64:38

extremely controversial to bring a

64:40

calculator to to to school and then

64:44

along came computers and the truth is

64:46

that computers didn't reduce the amount

64:49

of work that people did they increased

64:50

the amount of work that people did and I

64:53

do believe that there are ways in which

64:55

AI is probably going to do that and so

64:57

the job loss may not be as apocalyptic

65:00

as it now feels like it may be because

65:03

again at the end of the day you have two

65:05

ways to choose to compete. If you, you

65:09

know, you can get rid of somebody and do

65:12

X, but you could keep that person and

65:14

have them do 5X and out compete,

65:17

>> you know, your competitors in another

65:18

dimension. I think that that will be

65:21

something that people are likely to do.

65:22

Doctors are just going to be better

65:24

doctors.

65:25

>> I think I I definitely agree that

65:26

there's going to be this sort of

65:27

augmentation of certain individuals. I

65:30

think maybe the difference between like

65:32

calculators or computers versus this is

65:34

AI is coming into a technological

65:37

economy and it is coming in with instant

65:41

scale in a way that when when anthropic

65:44

shipped their new model last week it

65:47

went to all of us at once. Yeah.

65:49

>> Everywhere in the world we were all boom

65:52

step changed with computers. I remember

65:54

the day that like my dad ordered the

65:56

first computer for our house and we

65:57

waited for weeks and weeks and weeks and

65:58

then we got it. It was super expensive

66:00

to get one. We unboxed it. I remember us

66:02

all stood around it looking at and it

66:03

was like this Windows 95 machine that

66:05

had like no memory on it.

66:06

>> Um so the distribution the sort of

66:08

disruption was much slower.

66:10

>> The the pace the pace was much slower,

66:12

>> right?

66:13

>> And I understand that like with my with

66:15

our team there's no intent we have no

66:17

intention at all to let anybody go

66:19

because of AI. We're reskilling people,

66:21

training people. However, would we end

66:23

up hiring less people, especially in the

66:26

near term, than we would have otherwise?

66:28

>> I think that's maybe conceivable.

66:30

>> Yeah.

66:31

>> Um, and a lot of companies, I think, are

66:32

in that position where I actually was

66:33

speaking to someone yesterday and they

66:34

said, "We're just letting the natural

66:35

attrition in our call center take care

66:40

of the shift, which means they they have

66:43

they lose 25% of people from their call

66:45

center naturally. They're just not

66:46

hiring other people back in." And

66:48

actually, Clown's CEO said the same

66:49

thing. thing. He said, "We're just

66:50

letting the attrition take care of it."

66:52

>> I'll give you another example though,

66:53

just to counter that. Um, I work with a

66:56

husband and wife couple in the north of

66:58

England who they had a little video

67:01

production agency and like one or two

67:04

people who did a little bit of

67:05

contracting with them. Uh, they used AI

67:07

to create a piece of software and that

67:09

piece of software uh helps automate

67:12

script writing and a few of the things

67:14

that they do.

67:15

>> Um, they launched a waiting list for

67:17

this. They got 5 a half thousand people

67:18

to join the waiting list. They then

67:20

signed up their first 1500 clients to a

67:22

piece of software that cost almost

67:23

nothing for them to build in four

67:24

months. Um, and now they're hiring a

67:26

team of 10 people. And this is a husband

67:29

and wife who had a small constrained

67:32

business who are now uh building out a

67:35

bigger business. And this is something

67:37

that could never have happened. They

67:38

haven't had to raise billion millions of

67:42

dollars. They haven't had to hire 30 40

67:44

people. So this this tiny little SAS

67:47

opportunity is suddenly possible because

67:49

of AI and take take that AI away and

67:52

that fast growth dynamic little

67:54

businesses is

67:55

>> yeah I think anecdotally I could come up

67:56

with lots of examples as well where

67:58

particular people are highly

67:59

entrepreneurial they come across an

68:00

opportunity but there's this broad if

68:02

you just zoom out on the way that people

68:04

generate value in the economy at the

68:05

moment so much of that is going to

68:07

change and it's going to be quite quick

68:08

it feels like

68:09

>> oh totally

68:09

>> and I don't know what you do about like

68:11

what do you do about that sudden shift

68:12

>> well this this happened in the Jevans

68:14

paradox The person who had a tractor

68:17

displaced a hundred people who were in

68:19

the field and those hundred people went

68:21

into the city looking for work all at

68:23

once. And it was Charles Dickens wrote

68:25

the tale of two cities. He wrote u uh

68:28

Oliver Twist. Uh guess who else came out

68:30

of the Jevans paradox? Our good friend

68:33

KL Marx who came up with the most toxic

68:35

ideas ever created and written down,

68:37

right? He came off the back of the

68:38

Jevans paradox.

68:39

>> So what you do about it?

68:41

>> Uh UBI.

68:42

>> I'm not a big fan of UBI at the moment.

68:44

Isn't that kind of what this 50% Bernie

68:45

Sanders thing would do?

68:46

>> Well, it's it's sovereign wealth fund

68:48

basically, but you have to find a way to

68:50

help manage through this transition and

68:53

you have to I think depend on the value

68:55

create. Look, the the whole the the

68:58

whole valuation that AI is predicated on

69:02

is job disruption, right? You can't you

69:04

can't get to those numbers unless you're

69:06

displacing lots of jobs.

69:08

>> Exactly. And and if that's true, then we

69:11

should grab some of that value that is

69:14

created and recycle it into the economy

69:17

to try to cushion the disruption that it

69:19

creates.

69:20

>> This is a bit of a socialist idea,

69:21

right?

69:22

>> I don't call that socialism.

69:23

>> What do you call that?

69:24

>> I don't know. Just common sense.

69:26

>> But wouldn't that broadly apply to all

69:27

all companies and rich people? If

69:29

there's if they are disrupting the

69:31

economy and taking an unfair share of

69:33

that disruption, should we not just grab

69:35

and recycle back in? But that's the b

69:37

that is the basis upon which every high

69:39

functioning democracy in the in the

69:41

world operates. I mean every high

69:43

functioning democracy in the world has

69:45

progressive taxation labor standards.

69:48

There's a difference between seizing

69:49

private property uh which would be a

69:52

socialist way of doing things and a

69:54

communist way of doing things and owning

69:57

strategic assets which

70:00

>> which are private property. So, for

70:01

example, the the Dubai government owns

70:04

the uh physical hotel buildings that uh

70:08

that run Dubai and it leases those out

70:11

to hotel operators, but it keeps money

70:13

in its sovereign wealth fund because it

70:15

says basically a big part of Dubai is

70:17

that we own these kind of land assets.

70:19

>> So, do you think we should go and take a

70:22

a portion of these companies?

70:24

>> Well, the difference was the Dubai

70:25

government actually developed those

70:27

assets,

70:28

>> right? But we're we're already too far

70:29

down the line with within a capitalist

70:30

society like

70:32

>> we might say we might say that data is

70:34

the new oil and data is a common good

70:36

and it is a common asset that has been

70:38

um sequestered illegitimately by these

70:40

companies. So therefore you're not

70:42

seizing what they created. You're you're

70:44

basically saying I'm sorry but you need

70:45

to pay a license back to this sovereign

70:48

wealth fund because you're using a

70:50

common asset that you were able to

70:52

essentially seize.

70:53

>> You stole it you stole it from Africans

70:55

and British people. You stole it from

70:56

people in Australia. You stole it from

70:58

people in Canada.

70:59

>> The biggest issue that we're having is

71:01

that we're actually the nature of the

71:03

entire economy is changing. So this

71:05

happened 250 years ago where the nature

71:07

of the economy was land and we had an

71:09

economic system called feudalism and

71:11

colonialism. And then the nature of the

71:13

economy was industrialization and we had

71:16

a economic system called socialism and

71:18

capitalism. And now the nature of the

71:20

economy is actually fundamentally

71:22

changing. So in economics there's four

71:23

factors of production. land, labor,

71:25

capital, enterprise. We're now swinging

71:27

like a pendulum from land through

71:29

capital, labor, and now we're actually

71:30

in an enterprise economy. And we need

71:33

some sort of economic system that

71:35

reflects the reality of how money and

71:36

wealth is made.

71:37

>> What is that? Is that go to open AI,

71:39

take 50% of their company and then pay

71:43

out the profits of that 50% to the

71:45

people.

71:45

>> I'm always skeptical of any socialist

71:47

ideas. If it comes from Bernie Sanders,

71:49

I'm skeptical.

71:50

>> Okay. But Bernie Sanders is not a

71:51

socialist. Like let's be socialist. He

71:53

he says he's a socialist. Socialism

71:56

social no social socialism is

72:00

>> you know the government owning all the

72:01

means of production right look there are

72:05

a million forms of capitalism right we I

72:09

every country operates slightly

72:10

differently and there I don't think that

72:14

Bernie Sanders is saying that we should

72:18

abandon markets. What he is saying is we

72:21

should manage markets for the public

72:24

benefit, not exclusively for the benefit

72:27

of the owners of capital. And I think

72:29

that's really different.

72:30

>> You know, with like an Amazon, they're

72:32

using the roads.

72:34

>> Yeah.

72:34

>> And the infrastructure,

72:35

>> correct?

72:36

>> So would you go take 50% of those

72:38

companies as well for public benefit and

72:41

then pay it out to

72:42

>> No, but the citizens

72:43

>> we effectively do take part of them in

72:46

the form of taxes, right? Now, now, now

72:49

the taxes that we impose on those

72:51

companies, I would argue, and Dan may

72:53

may agree, are insufficient.

72:56

>> They do not accurately reflect the value

73:00

that we give them. They don't return

73:03

equal value that

73:04

>> So, you think increase the taxes on

73:05

companies like Amazon? You both agree?

73:07

>> Well, Amazon is very successfully

73:09

avoiding taxes. Um, so

73:11

>> so would you agree to increase?

73:13

>> I think we need to have we need to close

73:14

tax loopholes.

73:16

taxes like all other companies that

73:19

operate within the econom

73:26

and all that sort of stuff who in

73:27

competition with Amazon look one of the

73:29

biggest issues that we have is we have

73:31

widespread incompetence in governments

73:32

and I'll give you a quick stat on this

73:34

in the UK government you are 10 times

73:37

more likely to die than to be fired for

73:39

poor performance and the UK government

73:42

fires people at 1600th the as normal

73:45

businesses for incompetence. So we have

73:48

an accumulation of massive incompetence

73:51

in government. So the idea you can come

73:53

up we can come up with all the best

73:54

ideas under the sun at this table. We

73:57

have a uh fundamentally incompetent set

74:01

of people who have misaligned

74:04

incentives. Uh we have basically a

74:06

revolving door between financial

74:09

industrial complex, technology

74:10

industrial complex. Well, the

74:13

Singaporean government, they basically

74:15

said that we're going to have a very

74:17

high degree of meritocracy in government

74:19

that essentially we promote and fire

74:22

based on outcomes and merit merit.

74:24

>> Singapore is a miracle of governance.

74:26

Amazing governance.

74:27

>> It's it's a it's a miracle of

74:28

governance, but it is a very small

74:30

place.

74:31

>> No, totally. And perhaps the only place

74:33

in the history of planet Earth that has

74:35

benefited from uh a well-meaning

74:39

dictator, right?

74:40

>> Well, yeah.

74:42

It's an astonishing story of capability,

74:45

competence, for foresight. Um,

74:48

>> so what is the solution with this AI

74:50

revolution? It's I think we all agree

74:51

that there's going to be job disruption

74:53

and there's going to be a new type of

74:55

job. There's going to be probably a

74:56

delta of people transitioning to those

74:58

new types of jobs. Um, I I've said this

75:00

before, but I even noticed that within

75:02

our recruitment processes now, we are

75:04

really looking for people that have a

75:05

certain set of skills.

75:06

>> We always ask,

75:07

>> and it's harder and harder and harder to

75:09

find those people. Um,

75:11

>> well that's training. That's education

75:12

and training. It is that takes time.

75:14

>> The school system needs to produce

75:16

people that you would want to hire.

75:17

>> Yeah. And that takes a lot of time.

75:19

>> In my hiring, I ask the question, how

75:20

deep are you in the AI rabbit hole? And

75:22

anyone who says, oh, a lot. I'm like,

75:24

okay, join the team.

75:25

>> And and also, if you think about

75:27

humanoid robots, Elon Musk's pay packet

75:29

mandates him to deliver millions of

75:31

humanoid robots or else he doesn't get

75:33

his big pay packet. If we think about

75:35

robotics and humanoid robots coming

75:36

through, we watched the other day Figure

75:38

AI released this video showing a

75:40

humanoid robot sorting packages on a

75:42

production line for eight days straight,

75:45

beating a human sorting those packages

75:46

on the production line. My car in Los

75:49

Angeles now drives itself and as do the

75:51

taxis and there's a huge race to make

75:54

autonomous vehicles. Um, I'm sure

75:56

there's new jobs created and I

75:57

understand in foresight it's hard to

75:59

understand what those will be. I assume

76:00

there'll be more human jobs, more sales

76:02

jobs. My only thing that I can say is

76:04

that the future is small businesses.

76:07

It's it's small teams of 10 people

76:09

making YouTube channels. It's small

76:10

teams of 10 people making software. It's

76:13

like the the when you have millions and

76:15

millions of little small businesses,

76:17

everyone's happier.

76:18

>> But if you read what Anthropic released

76:19

yesterday, they're making the claim that

76:21

actually we're getting to a point where

76:23

it will be an individual with a team of

76:26

agents who can now make a trillion

76:28

dollar company without hiring a single

76:30

person. And actually when you said about

76:32

making software making that they would

76:34

they might argue that that'll be agents

76:36

making that software. Anthropic said

76:38

that the amount of code each

76:39

individual's producing on their own is

76:41

eight times. And this one particular

76:43

quote which I actually screenshotted on

76:44

my phone last night comes from an

76:45

engineer at Anthropic who was saying

76:47

they feel useless because now they they

76:50

say they haven't written a line of code

76:51

in months and months and months. This

76:52

anthropic engineer was basically saying

76:54

like I come to work this agent writes

76:56

the code for me and I kind of sit and

76:58

watch and I feel useless. Um so all

77:01

those examples you gave

77:02

>> what I'm okay but what would happen in

77:04

that situation is you would have a

77:05

massive deflationary effect the cost of

77:07

if if there was one person doing all

77:09

sorts of things in the economy then the

77:11

cost of that would go to the cost of the

77:13

electricity to run it right so massive

77:16

deflationary and then the question

77:17

becomes well what does everyone do right

77:19

what do we all do we do human things

77:21

right humans always come up with things

77:23

to do with each other uh like if I was

77:25

to tell my grandfather that there is a

77:27

job called a personal trainer who takes

77:29

you to the gym and counts your reps,

77:31

right? My grandfather would go, "That's

77:33

insane." And I say, "Oh, there's 50,000

77:35

personal trainers in gyms all over the

77:37

country." So, there are always these

77:40

crazy new jobs that get created. I look

77:42

at what trust fund kids do, right? Cuz a

77:43

lot of trust fund kids, they go, they

77:45

don't have to worry about money and they

77:47

don't have to worry about resources and

77:48

they go find something to do and it's

77:50

always weird. We're going to traverse

77:52

through, you know, potentially the jobs

77:53

we have now involuntarily

77:56

go through this transition moment where

77:59

I think history is quite clear on what

78:00

happens in these transition moments.

78:02

>> It gets ugly.

78:02

>> It gets ugly.

78:03

>> Yeah.

78:04

>> And then we'll come to, you know, what

78:05

I'm hearing is that you're saying we

78:06

will come to some kind of utopia on the

78:08

other end of this.

78:09

>> No,

78:10

>> no,

78:12

>> no. I don't think I don't think there's

78:14

going to be utopia.

78:15

>> What do you think?

78:15

>> Uh, look, I I don't think utopias exist.

78:18

I do think that markets are the greatest

78:20

social technology ever invented for

78:22

creating prosperity and for enobbling

78:24

the human spirit. That is not because

78:27

markets are efficient allocators of

78:29

scarce resources which is the

78:30

conventional view. Markets are an

78:33

evolutionary system that enables groups

78:35

of people to come together and solve

78:36

complex problems and solutions to human

78:39

problems is what prosperity actually is.

78:42

It isn't GDP or money. And the best

78:45

world that you can build, I think, on

78:48

earth is a market economy

78:52

governed by a robust democracy that

78:54

robustly includes all citizens in that

78:58

economy. And your your answer is small

79:01

business. And I I'm 100% behind you and

79:04

I I wish you all the success. My answer

79:08

is that a lot of people are going to end

79:10

up working for large companies or medium

79:12

companies and that we have to ensure or

79:15

my part of the answer is that we have to

79:18

have standards in place to ensure that

79:21

those companies treat people well enough

79:24

so that they can be dignified

79:27

participants in both the society and the

79:29

economy. And that will require

79:33

innovation in laws and rules and all

79:36

sorts of mechanisms to enable that. But

79:39

that there is no alternative if you want

79:42

to live in a decent society. And and the

79:45

but the high order bit for me and the

79:47

reason I work on economics is that the

79:50

existing economic paradigm basically

79:53

says markets are perfectly efficient. We

79:55

should just let them run and you know

79:58

what comes will come. So you're really

80:00

focused on increasing the workers lives

80:03

and pay.

80:04

>> So if you understand the economy from

80:06

the conventional point of view,

80:09

including people in the economy is a

80:11

liberal luxury

80:14

that you can afford if and when you have

80:16

growth. And I think everything the new

80:18

economics says is that including more

80:21

people in the economy more robustly is

80:24

actually the tech technical mechanism

80:26

that makes both economies grow and

80:30

democracies function.

80:31

>> So to simplify that what does that mean

80:33

if you from a policy perspective

80:35

>> it is very hard to answer in an

80:37

uncertain future in an AI if you don't

80:40

know what what's going to happen with

80:41

the economy. I mean we have no idea how

80:43

much job loss there will be. We have we

80:45

are we are I think Dan says quite

80:47

rightly going through a transition where

80:49

the shape of the economy will change.

80:51

>> So do we do nothing through the

80:52

transition?

80:53

>> No.

80:53

>> No. We aggressively experiment with ways

80:57

to include more people in the economy.

80:59

Bernie Sanders idea is an experiment.

81:02

What's the worst that can happen? Like

81:04

just think about it. What is the worst

81:06

that can happen?

81:07

>> The worst would be is that you give

81:08

government more money and they leverage

81:10

more debt. And as soon as the government

81:12

has

81:13

>> the the economy of the United States

81:15

does not need assets to leverage more

81:16

debt. We just created we just created

81:20

we we didn't need that is not true. That

81:22

is just not true. We have $37 trillion

81:24

of debt all of which was basically given

81:27

away in wars or tax cuts for rich

81:29

people. So

81:30

>> but they they can print more money and

81:33

>> absolutely but these two things they are

81:34

not connected. But the truth is that the

81:37

worst that can happen by running that

81:39

experiment is that there will be a few

81:41

dozen guys who are worth a hundred

81:44

billion and not 200 billion. Like that

81:47

is the worst that that can do. Is that

81:50

going to be the end all beall? Will it

81:52

work perfectly? I have no idea. But what

81:54

I do know is that democracies need to

81:56

move aggressively to try to make sure

81:59

that these technological innovations

82:02

benefit the society broadly, not just a

82:04

few people narrowly.

82:05

>> If I think about the UK, if you

82:07

implemented something like that here,

82:09

would would people leave?

82:13

So if you implemented, say we had an AI

82:14

company here and you said, well, the UK

82:16

is going to own half of it. Would that

82:17

company just

82:18

>> restructure somewhere else because it's

82:19

digital? They they probably would.

82:21

>> But you're now you're back to this old

82:22

problem.

82:23

We've even seen this with the data

82:24

centers. People are going I read a

82:26

report that said the reason Open AI

82:28

didn't open their data center in the UK,

82:29

which they said they were going to, is

82:31

because energy costs four times more

82:32

here.

82:33

>> So they said we're not going to go

82:34

somewhere where it's cheap.

82:35

>> Yeah.

82:36

>> And would that not be the case here

82:37

where you'd get the sort of brain drain

82:39

where

82:39

>> and the risk that you run with this

82:41

Bernie Sanders model is that we leverage

82:44

the the government's balance sheet or

82:46

non-balance sheet to take out huge debt

82:49

in the name of our kids and our

82:50

grandkids that they have to repay. They

82:52

buy up all these intangible assets and

82:55

then they're left holding those assets

82:58

that may or may not perform and may and

83:00

will have debt regardless. And then the

83:03

super clever little anthropic guys say,

83:06

"Oh, actually we're just going to

83:07

restructure to Vanuatu now. Leave you

83:09

guys holding all of that toxic debt and

83:11

we're going to go run this from

83:12

somewhere else." That could happen. The

83:14

other thing that could happen is if

83:16

let's say OpenAI as one example are

83:18

making $100 profit at the moment $100

83:21

profit at the moment and Bernie Sanders

83:22

says we want $50 of that profit. China

83:27

are going to have an additional

83:29

theoretically an additional $50 to

83:30

invest in their frontier models in

83:32

getting ahead.

83:33

>> Bern isn't saying I I'll take $50 your

83:35

50% of your profit.

83:37

>> What is he saying? I'll take 50% of your

83:39

stock

83:39

>> which means that then the US would have

83:41

a equal voting.

83:43

>> Yeah.

83:44

>> Well, then you're going to get gridlock

83:46

in terms of voting, right? So, if the US

83:48

own 50% of the company and Sam Alman,

83:50

let's say, owns 50%. They're going to

83:52

have to vote on decisions.

83:54

>> Well, you could put some directors from

83:55

the from the public on that board.

83:57

>> And what happens when to a company when

83:59

you have the government on the on the

84:01

voting board? The thing I mean you

84:03

effectively have this in lots of

84:05

countries where labor has a seat at the

84:07

table,

84:07

>> right?

84:08

>> With one of your companies, if half of

84:10

your board were a government,

84:11

>> do you think you'd be able to be as

84:12

innovative, move as fast? I mean, we

84:14

talked about the bureaucracy of of the

84:15

government.

84:15

>> Yeah. I I'm not suggesting that half the

84:18

should be on the government.

84:19

>> Yeah. Mind you, that's what China has as

84:20

well. China has got essentially the the

84:22

CCP on the board of all of those

84:24

companies as well.

84:25

>> And they work and they move pretty fast.

84:27

>> There slightly different government,

84:28

isn't it?

84:28

>> Yeah, it is. And there's different

84:30

levels of competence and and meritocracy

84:32

hierarchy. I I I worry about all of

84:35

these solutions that empower government

84:36

because I don't trust government. My

84:38

entire life has been one thing after the

84:40

next made worse by government. Right.

84:41

That's that's my reality. Born in 81

84:44

1981. I've never had a good experience

84:46

with government.

84:46

>> Okay. But dude,

84:49

you you grew up in Australia and you

84:52

live in the UK. If you hate government

84:55

so much, move to the Congo.

84:58

>> Seriously? Yeah,

84:59

>> you are look I mean it is just no one

85:02

likes to be constrained. Everyone wants

85:05

other people held to a high standard and

85:08

it it just

85:10

seriously there is no libertarian

85:11

paradise in the world

85:14

>> where nobody follows any rules, nobody

85:16

pays any taxes and everybody lives like

85:17

a king. If you hate government there are

85:20

plenty there are 220 countries in the

85:22

world. 150 of them effectively have no

85:25

government. Why do you not move your

85:28

base of operations to those places?

85:31

Because

85:32

you would instantly be somebody's,

85:35

you know, munch.

85:36

>> I'm not I'm not an anarch I'm not an

85:38

anarchist. When a government doesn't

85:41

fire incompetent people,

85:42

>> okay, but everybody agrees the previous

85:45

governments.

85:46

>> Everybody agrees democracy is the worst

85:48

econ is the worst except all the others,

85:51

right? Like of course

85:54

it is easy to to to point to these

85:58

things and say they're incompetent, but

86:01

it is it is just not honest to say that

86:04

government doesn't improve our lives.

86:07

There is literally no example on planet

86:09

earth of a high functioning society

86:12

without big government.

86:13

>> I'm not saying well without big

86:15

government. That's not true.

86:17

>> Give me an example.

86:18

>> Singapore. Singapore is insanely big

86:20

government.

86:21

>> 22% of GDP.

86:22

>> Okay. But they are involved in every

86:26

element of people's lives.

86:27

>> High competence. They fire incompetent

86:29

people.

86:30

>> And and again, we're in violent

86:33

agreement that we should have

86:34

governments that do that.

86:36

>> You should work hard on the politics in

86:39

the UK to to bring in reforms that would

86:43

increase the velocity of competence.

86:45

Now, that's the answer. That is the

86:47

answer is to is to work hard, build a

86:50

government that is as high functioning

86:52

as they can be. But here's the thing and

86:54

I think you would agree. Look, look,

86:56

Microsoft I big companies are equally

86:59

incompetent. Microsoft bought my company

87:01

Aquana for $6.4 billion. This is a

87:04

company that was growing at 40%

87:05

year-over-year. It's been so long. 30

87:07

40% year-over-year. 750 million in

87:10

sales. 200 million at IBA or something

87:12

like that. 3,000 4,000 of the best

87:15

internet advertising people on planet

87:17

Earth and in one year it was gone.

87:20

>> Wow. Yeah.

87:21

>> Gone. And they wrote the entire $6

87:24

billion off five years later.

87:26

Incompetence lives everywhere. I

87:30

>> And and I I I just don't think it is

87:33

realistic to say, "Oh, pucks and them,

87:35

you know, they suck." I I just Dan,

87:39

there is no place on earth without

87:42

government cocreating prosperity for

87:44

>> for sure. Here's where I put my hope in

87:46

this post AI world. I want to stack the

87:49

favor I want to stack the economy in the

87:50

favor of the small family business and

87:52

the small business.

87:53

>> I'm 100% with you. Yeah, I agree. I

87:56

agree. The question is how do we get

87:58

there? And you and I are completely

88:00

aligned in some ways. We need to

88:02

aggressively tilt the balance of power

88:06

in the economy from the biggest from the

88:08

biggest most exploitive companies to

88:11

small and medium-sized businesses.

88:12

>> So I see big government and big

88:14

corporate

88:16

uh sucking the life out of little people

88:19

and little businesses

88:20

>> and I think you are ab no doubt correct

88:23

in some cases but the only thing in

88:26

human societies that has the power to

88:28

confront big business is big government.

88:30

>> Right. There's ne in the history of the

88:32

world, there has never been another

88:34

force that w that had the power to to

88:37

address this problem. And the reason I

88:40

care so much about this economic

88:41

paradigm

88:42

>> is that all of the problems you were

88:45

describing

88:45

>> Yeah.

88:46

>> are a consequence of an economic

88:49

paradigm that was designed to create

88:51

those problems. That's why we are in the

88:54

box we're in is because neoliberalism

88:57

literally said the bigger is better and

89:00

that we should afford no protection to

89:02

small businesses that we should actively

89:04

advantage the largest players that that

89:08

free trade is good for everyone. all of

89:10

these things that weren't true and dis

89:14

and ended up advantaging in this room me

89:18

effectively and you know a few thousand

89:21

people from around the world and

89:23

disadvantaged everyone else. And I think

89:26

the starting point for for change is is

89:30

addressing the fact that we just

89:32

understood economic cause and effect in

89:36

inadequately that the things that we

89:38

thought would lead to growth led to

89:41

concentration.

89:42

Right? And the things that we thought

89:44

were bad for the economy, in many cases,

89:47

those were good for the economy. Because

89:48

look, again, you know the UK so much

89:51

better than me, and I I hate to argue

89:52

with you about it, but the truth is that

89:55

you cannot sustain a capitalist system

89:58

unless most people are paid enough to

90:00

buy the stuff that that the system

90:02

produces. And there has to be a balance.

90:05

And there and again in the history of

90:07

the world there is no example of a

90:10

thriving economy that did not impose

90:13

those standards or or create through

90:16

some mechanism the counterveiling power

90:18

that enabled the the the the owners of

90:21

capital and everybody else to work

90:23

together to benefit everyone in the long

90:25

term.

90:26

>> You are you and I are in so much

90:28

agreement on on most on most of

90:30

>> it. Like an inch apart, right? And what

90:32

is that inch? So, I've seen Nick's

90:34

policies implemented and I don't feel

90:36

it's enough. And the reason I don't feel

90:37

it's enough is I think people are more

90:39

than consumers. They're more than

90:40

wallets.

90:41

>> Okay. You've only heard me talk about

90:42

the minimum wage and something else. You

90:44

haven't seen all of the policies. So,

90:45

>> but the missing piece for me is

90:48

ownership. When people had houses, they

90:51

felt really good about communities. When

90:54

people had small businesses that they

90:56

owned, they felt really good about their

90:57

communities. And when people own some

91:00

shares in the overall economy of the

91:02

fastest growing companies in the

91:04

economy, then they feel like they're

91:05

participating. So for me, the

91:06

non-negotiables of fixing this problem

91:09

is that people can easily own a house,

91:11

own a business, and own shares in the

91:12

fastest growing economy.

91:14

>> Yes. Yes. Yes. And how do we get there?

91:17

>> Yes. Yes. Yes. I totally agree. And I

91:19

think I I just think that Dan and I have

91:21

a slightly different view on the path.

91:24

>> I think capitalism is ownership. It's

91:26

ownership. That's what capitalism is.

91:27

Otherwise, you if you don't own

91:29

anything, you're not a capitalist. If we

91:32

your

91:32

>> grew on the path, but the the sorry, you

91:34

agree on the outcome, but the path.

91:36

>> Yes. But how did Nick get rich? Like

91:38

Nick started companies. He owned he

91:41

owned a family business. He leveraged

91:43

the family business into an investment

91:45

into Amazon.

91:47

>> It's it's own but it's ownership.

91:49

Ownership. Ownership. And did a lot with

91:50

it. Okay. Right.

91:51

>> Fair. But but I'm saying

91:52

>> let's be let's be fair. But how is that

91:54

applicable? You're saying other people

91:55

should do what Nick did.

91:56

>> Yeah. But it's hard to get born into a

91:58

family that owns a small business. And

92:00

>> well, if there's more people who own

92:02

small businesses than there are more

92:04

than there it is easier, right? I I just

92:06

want I I do want more people.

92:08

>> What do you mean by this?

92:08

>> Well, it it's all about how how you get

92:10

there, right?

92:11

>> But you overlook the fact being born on

92:13

third base. We should aim for more

92:15

people to be born on third base. If more

92:17

people

92:17

>> the third base is coming from a family

92:20

>> that owns a small business

92:21

>> with ex or whose parents earn enough

92:25

income to enable all of that, right? And

92:27

and and and look, not everybody who is

92:30

affluent, in fact, a a tiny minority of

92:33

people who are affluent uh uh uh are are

92:36

small business owners, right? that they

92:39

are mostly doctors and lawyers and

92:41

professionals of a variety of kinds who

92:43

work in med in big companies in middle

92:46

management roles and they

92:48

>> I'm not saying everyone should be a

92:49

small business.

92:49

>> Yeah. So anyway, I just think that I I

92:52

think the high order bit here, I mean,

92:54

for me, and and this may sound like too

92:57

squishy for you, is that is that

93:01

societies have both the right and the

93:03

responsibility to organize their

93:05

economies in ways that benefit everyone.

93:09

>> Is socialism the answer?

93:10

>> No. Socialism is most definitely not the

93:13

answer because socialism, again, we we

93:16

need to operationally define that term.

93:18

Yeah. If socialism means, look it up in

93:21

the dictionary, the state ownership of

93:22

the means of production, that is a

93:25

catastrophe, right? And it's a

93:27

catastrophe because all socialism can do

93:31

is split up existing prosperity in a

93:35

fairer way. It can do that. The problem

93:38

is is that socialism does not know how

93:41

to create more prosperity. Okay? So for

93:44

one minute you can make everybody better

93:46

off but 10 years later everyone is poor

93:50

because once because this is the power

93:52

of markets is what markets do as

93:55

evolutionary systems is they generate

93:57

increasing prosperity. They that that's

94:00

what solutions to human problems is,

94:02

right? Going from aspirin to antibiotics

94:05

is economic progress, right? And the

94:08

beauty of markets is that they are

94:10

evolutionary systems where every

94:12

business effectively is an organism

94:15

competing to fill a niche which is the

94:18

perfect product for whatever market

94:21

segment they're creating. You are you're

94:23

a canonical example of this, right? What

94:25

you have done here and thank goodness

94:27

for it, right? Because in a world where

94:29

there wasn't capitalism, there's no way

94:32

you you you have effectively

94:34

independently created what was a

94:36

television network. It's miraculous.

94:39

Like you have more reach than MSNBC,

94:41

dude. That is the power of markets, but

94:44

you know, they have to be harnessed to

94:47

benefit people broadly. This does not

94:49

mean that the profit mo motive shouldn't

94:51

exist, but and and

94:53

>> how though this is what I'm trying to

94:54

get to. And there sounds a little bit

94:56

like there's this middle ground we're

94:57

like playing with where socialism on one

94:59

end is okay you know short-term whatever

95:02

you said then on the other end you've

95:03

got this like extreme capitalist

95:05

approach and I was looking

95:06

>> yeah those are the less a fair

95:07

capitalism right and this socialist

95:10

status control both of those things are

95:13

terrible ideas

95:14

>> am I right

95:14

>> we want something in the middle

95:15

>> on on the left side then on the

95:17

socialism side you get lower growth in

95:19

your economy over the long term

95:20

>> correct

95:21

>> okay and then in a capitalist economy

95:23

you might have higher growth growth but

95:25

then you have more inequalities.

95:26

>> Correct. And the sweet spot and this is

95:29

this is the one of the most important

95:32

this is the important matter one of the

95:34

most important points I would like to

95:35

make is that all of the evidence

95:37

suggests that when you come to the

95:40

middle and you have a market economy

95:42

that is actually actively managed to

95:46

include people that is the growth sweet

95:49

spot. You have more growth. So you have

95:52

more growth.

95:53

>> Absolutely. GDP growth rates in the

95:55

United States were four four and a half%

95:57

for decades 40 50s 60s and then as soon

96:01

as the neoliberals took over in 1975 GDP

96:04

growth rates fell first to 3% and now to

96:07

2%

96:07

>> when they did what?

96:09

>> Cut taxes for rich people deregulated

96:11

powerful people and suppressed wages for

96:13

everybody else. So, the most important

96:16

socioeconomic fact, as I've said many

96:18

times before, in the United States is

96:19

that the median full-time worker earns

96:21

about $60,000 a year today, if they had

96:24

maintained their same share of GDP since

96:27

1975, instead of earning 60, they would

96:29

earn $120,000 a year.

96:32

>> So, there's you're saying there's no

96:33

trade-off in the middle because there's

96:34

trade-offs on both ends, right? We just

96:36

described the trade-offs. You're saying

96:37

that in the middle there's this

96:38

>> that's the sweet spot where there's

96:40

>> where there's maximum amounts of growth,

96:42

maximum amounts of participation,

96:45

maximum amounts of political stability.

96:48

This is what Darren Oasamuglu and James

96:50

Robinson call the narrow corridor. This

96:53

perfect balance between less afair

96:55

capitalism and socialism. I mean

96:57

socialism is stupid because because it

97:00

kills markets. But this impulse to more

97:03

fairly share, let's call that where

97:05

socialism comes from. This impulse to

97:08

have a society which is more

97:09

egalitarian. But what all the data

97:12

suggests is that when you build a market

97:15

economy that basically tries to make

97:19

sure that everyone participates, where

97:21

workers get a fair share of the wages,

97:23

where as the company as the economy

97:26

grows, as it did for years, and you've

97:28

got another you have a you you have a

97:30

you have a a great graph in here.

97:33

So for decades

97:37

as productivity grew

97:39

everybody benefited and then in the 70s

97:42

it decoupled

97:43

and as soon as it decoupled GDP growth

97:46

rates fell right if we had and and all

97:50

of this that all of this was a

97:53

consequence of policy of policy so

97:56

here's another thing the new economics

97:58

teaches is that there's this idea that a

98:01

middle class a thriving middle class is

98:03

the consequence of economic growth that

98:06

if we just let the economy grow we'll

98:08

get this great middle class and that is

98:10

because economists assume the e the

98:12

economy is something called ergotic now

98:14

erotic means let me show you the

98:17

difference between two games one is

98:18

erotic one is non-orgotic rock paper

98:21

scissors is an ergotic game and what

98:24

that means is the outcome of the next

98:26

game has nothing to do with the game

98:28

before yeah right

98:29

>> monopoly is a non-urgotic game. And in

98:33

Monopoly, no matter how much how many

98:36

times you go to Monopoly school,

98:39

if you play a game of Monopoly long

98:40

enough, one person will own everything

98:42

and everybody else will have nothing.

98:44

And that is what a market economy is. It

98:47

is characterized by luck, path

98:50

dependence, and compounding.

98:52

>> The past.

98:53

>> The p well, it's the past, right? Where

98:55

you start.

98:56

>> Yeah.

98:56

>> Right. Some of us started on third base.

98:59

Some of us like you, as I recall,

99:01

started on actually first base or home

99:04

plate or something like that.

99:05

>> Well, I think yeah, probably probably

99:06

second base.

99:07

>> Okay, maybe second base, but whatever.

99:09

But we can

99:09

>> I have parents that love me electricity

99:10

at your house.

99:11

>> Okay, fair point, right? And you're very

99:13

capable and good-looking and all the

99:15

rest of it, right? It could it No, I

99:17

mean, just if we're just being honest,

99:19

right? We're just being honest. You had

99:20

some natural advantages,

99:22

>> but you know, in Monopoly, you land on

99:24

Park Place the first roll, you're

99:26

rolling. You get four good roles in

99:28

Monopoly, you're going to win the game,

99:29

right? And compounding. The better you

99:32

do, the better you do. And the thing

99:34

about in a in an honoric system is that

99:37

both advantages and disadvantages

99:39

compound. Surely you know people in your

99:41

life who have had a couple of things of

99:43

bad luck, right? And then they spiral

99:45

into oblivion, right? And so what that

99:48

means is that a a middle class and thus

99:52

a high functioning society with social

99:55

cohesion is always always a a deliberate

99:59

construction. It is always created by

100:02

policy.

100:03

Always. And all of these things that we

100:07

are pushing back against him and his

100:10

way, me and my way are a consequence of

100:12

basically an economic theory that said

100:14

to policymakers, do it that way. And it

100:17

was a mistake. And we should recognize

100:20

that mistake and try to heal these

100:22

mistakes, which we can. We can have a

100:25

great society. We can have an ownership

100:27

society. We can have anything we want.

100:28

We just have to decide to do it and not

100:31

let

100:33

a small group of incredibly rich people

100:35

dictate the terms of the economy. This

100:38

is within our grasp.

100:39

>> What are your thoughts then?

100:40

>> I agree in principle with all of that,

100:42

especially the last bit. A small group

100:43

of very very powerful people dictating

100:45

the economy, meeting up in Davos, coming

100:47

up with our how our lives should live.

100:50

Um there's there's more to the story

100:52

here. In the early '7s, they decoupled

100:56

uh the the dollar from uh gold and they

100:58

created the fiat system, which meant

101:00

they could print money that inflated

101:02

assets that financialized it

101:04

financialized assets, including the

101:06

family home, which meant that as soon as

101:08

we could print money, we could inflate

101:10

the value of family homes and make it

101:11

out of reach of most people.

101:12

>> Well, and then finance took over and

101:14

became 20% of the economy, the rest of

101:16

us.

101:16

>> Yeah. We ended up with these two massive

101:19

institutions which is the technology

101:20

industrial complex and the finance

101:22

industrial complex and those two

101:25

institutions have driven a wedge in

101:27

society. My only difference with Nick

101:30

and it's a small difference is that I

101:32

don't believe raising the floor is going

101:35

to be enough. I I really do

101:37

>> I I I didn't say it's enough. I I it's

101:39

table stakes.

101:40

>> Yeah. it and and and I my experience

101:42

with that it's a minimum

101:44

>> is because it's because I've seen the

101:45

minimum and and the pitchforks are out

101:47

>> here in the UK where we have that

101:49

minimum. My my worry here is that where

101:52

we are the technology economy and the

101:55

finance economy is racing as if it's in

101:58

a car and then all of the workers who

102:00

are selling time for money, labor for

102:02

money, it's as if they're running and

102:04

we're saying ah you guys just need

102:06

better sho comfier shoes. If we give you

102:08

a pair of Nikes will you guys be happy?

102:09

And it's like this is not going to close

102:11

that gap. No. Um we we have to

102:14

acknowledge that technology and finance

102:16

are the two like big funds and big tech

102:19

are the comp are basically hollowing out

102:21

the middle class. And if we don't

102:23

acknowledge who the real bad guys are,

102:25

when I say bad guys, I'm not sure

102:26

they're real bad guys, but essentially

102:28

systemically they're systemically

102:30

they're the bad guys. We need to

102:32

essentially say, "Hey, big finance, big

102:33

tech, you can't financialize our houses.

102:36

That's for us to live in and for us to

102:37

own." Um, and you also can't just

102:40

eradicate all of our little to small

102:41

businesses. We we need to tip the scales

102:44

back in the favor of those small

102:45

businesses because little towns, you go

102:48

into any town in England, little like

102:50

little towns in England, the thriving

102:52

towns that everyone wants to live in,

102:53

they have lots of small businesses. They

102:55

have a butcher, baker, candlestick maker

102:57

type, like stuff is going on.

102:58

>> By the way, the best high street in

103:00

London is the one I live on, Maran High.

103:02

Maran High Street. So, you agree?

103:04

>> 100%.

103:05

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105:16

>> One thing I find interesting is you're

105:17

saying that there's this sweet spot in

105:18

the middle.

105:19

>> Yes.

105:20

>> Where you you still get the the upside.

105:22

>> You get dynamism. You think there's a

105:23

sweet spot in the middle

105:24

>> and decency?

105:25

>> It's a very narrow sweet spot and it's

105:27

very hard to achieve because Germany has

105:31

really tried so hard and they've like

105:34

their economy is collapsing. Their

105:36

economy is going so badly at the moment.

105:38

Um, and they've tried everything.

105:40

They've got workers have to be on the

105:42

board for example of every company

105:44

you've got to have a worker on the

105:45

board. So they're like doing as much as

105:47

they can to do inclusion and the German

105:49

economy.

105:49

>> Okay. So where is it worked? Okay, but

105:51

here here's the thing is it's it is

105:53

simply not fair to say the German

105:56

economy is collapsing. Like have you

105:59

been to Germany?

106:01

>> Like come on. Like have you been to

106:04

Stockholm? Like these places are

106:06

incredibly functioning.

106:08

>> Yeah, there's definitely a Ford momentum

106:10

but the German car industry is getting

106:12

hollowed out right now. China, right?

106:14

China's doing that. Okay. But just

106:16

because workers are on the board of

106:19

German companies

106:21

and German people are unhappy the you

106:24

you can't necessarily connect these

106:26

things.

106:27

>> I just want to acknowledge though that

106:29

like there are places like Dubai which

106:31

are very close to lay fair capitalism

106:33

with a sovereign wealth fund. And just

106:35

just hold if you talk to someone who

106:38

lives in Dubai, they freaking love

106:40

Dubai. like they they are so they're the

106:42

happiest people

106:44

like and they talk they talk

106:46

millionaires entrepreneurial people.

106:48

>> Yeah. The rich people not the not the

106:50

poor brown people who are

106:52

>> well I mean

106:52

>> because they bust Indians and don't

106:54

>> well they they Yes. And also when I talk

106:57

to a lot of the Uber drivers there and I

106:58

talk to people who work in cafes there

107:00

and all that sort. They're all quite pro

107:01

Dubai as well.

107:02

>> But that's because their other options

107:04

are horrific.

107:05

>> Yeah.

107:05

>> That it's probably more extreme

107:07

inequality, isn't it?

107:08

>> It it's more extreme inequality. quality

107:11

of it because the place is growing until

107:13

recently obviously with right but

107:15

because the place is growing it feels

107:16

like there's a rising tide for everybody

107:18

there's something about economic growth

107:20

that makes people very very happy and

107:22

there's something about a lack of

107:23

economic growth that makes people

107:24

miserable here in the UK for example

107:26

>> okay but but just again Dubai is a place

107:30

the UAE has been powered by the most

107:34

extraordinary gusher of free cash

107:37

probably the planet has ever seen I mean

107:40

You can look up on your iPad there the

107:43

like the tailwind that economy gets from

107:47

the unlimited resources.

107:49

>> I wouldn't say that's why people love to

107:50

buy it. They love it because of the

107:52

entrepreneurial vibe. Like who loves it?

107:54

>> Like ambitious people.

107:56

>> Yeah. So this is the rich excitement.

107:58

Well people no I see young people who

108:01

want to have a crack

108:03

>> and they're because they're they're rich

108:04

relative to the people doing the work

108:06

the labor. Well, what they're looking

108:07

for is a place where their work will be

108:10

rewarded. Let's imagine the UK where

108:13

your ability to get onto capitalism,

108:15

your first million or your first 2

108:16

million is very easily low taxed in

108:19

order to get things going for you

108:21

economically. I I just want to see a

108:23

situation where ambitious. Yeah. Like

108:26

your ambitious people like what I hate

108:28

is that I see these young people who are

108:30

really super smart. I wish they were

108:32

here building and they're like you can't

108:34

succeed in the UK. They'll just tax it

108:35

off you as soon as you earn anything.

108:37

They take it.

108:38

>> What if you're not ambitious?

108:38

>> And they leave.

108:39

>> I think you're benefited by a lot of the

108:41

ambitious people. So when when you get

108:43

one in if you get one in 10 people who

108:46

are entrepreneurial or one in 100 people

108:47

who are entrepreneurial, they're

108:48

creating optionality. They're creating

108:50

companies.

108:50

>> The US is this the US is sort of set up,

108:53

you know, the American dream. This is

108:55

more of a US approach, isn't it?

108:57

>> And what we have there is higher

108:58

inequality.

108:59

>> I'll give you two to to one extreme. the

109:01

US, you hit the top rate of income tax

109:03

when you hit $700,000.

109:06

In the UK, it's $100,000 and and it

109:08

immediately goes to 60% tax, 62% tax,

109:12

and then it drops to 45% after that.

109:15

Like, but there's this kind of like

109:16

>> Does it really?

109:17

>> Yeah. It's this it's this it's this

109:18

weird. No, it's this insane thing where

109:22

you basically pay 20% 40% 60% 45% and

109:26

it's this kind of weird.

109:28

>> But to the point,

109:29

>> you should probably fix that.

109:30

preferred the US the US approach sounds

109:32

more like what you're saying

109:33

>> leaving to the US like a lot of Brits

109:34

are actually going to

109:35

>> and the US has an inequality has higher

109:37

inequality

109:38

>> which means it's probably more likely

109:40

that the pitchforks will come out

109:41

>> well for an ambitious person they don't

109:43

care about inequality right inequality

109:45

is the opportunity to get ahead

109:47

>> yeah they might not but from a social

109:49

perspective the pitchforks are probably

109:50

going to come out sooner in the US

109:51

because of that inequality than in

109:54

somewhere else

109:56

>> we're saying they seem to be coming out

109:57

here in a big way like here out here,

110:00

but they're also coming out in the

110:01

United States.

110:01

>> Look at look at Zack Palanski

110:04

uh is is gaining a huge political

110:07

movement.

110:07

>> Zoran Mandani in the UK, sorry, in New

110:10

York is we're seeing a rise of socialism

110:13

in the United States.

110:13

>> Okay, but Zoran Mandami calls himself a

110:16

socialist because he does not have

110:18

another word for what he is doing.

110:20

>> He has said seize the means of

110:22

production. He said it and he said take

110:24

houses off landlords like he is a he's a

110:27

card carrying socialist. Uh, but he

110:29

hasn't done any really socialist things.

110:31

I I just think that there there's a bit

110:33

of a confusion. But asking wealthy

110:35

people to pay a little bit more tax is

110:37

not socialism. Uh, standing up grocery

110:41

stores in food deserts because no

110:43

grocery store will will will do it

110:46

because it's not profitable enough is

110:49

not socialism. This is the government

110:51

provisioning benefits to citizens,

110:55

fixing potholes, making bike ramps,

110:58

whatever the stuff he's doing. These are

111:00

not socialist things. What they are is

111:02

not strictly neoliberal things, which is

111:05

just like letting rich people run rough

111:07

shod over everybody else. The thing that

111:09

I see with say a food desert and a a

111:12

store is that the tax system is so

111:15

punitive that a small opportunity like

111:18

setting up a grocery store with all the

111:20

taxes and all the regulations and all

111:22

the stuff the government puts on you,

111:23

it's just not worth doing it. There are

111:25

better opportunities out there. Like I'm

111:27

not talking about remove it for rich

111:28

people. I'm saying for startups, for

111:30

small businesses, for businesses that

111:31

employ less than 200 people. If you

111:33

basically create very positive

111:36

experience

111:37

for small businesses to get started,

111:39

they will set up a grocery store in a in

111:41

a bad neighborhood because they go,

111:43

"Yeah, you know what? I can figure out

111:45

how it works in this."

111:46

>> Do do you think there's a chance that we

111:47

have a a bit of a bias as entrepreneurs?

111:50

Everyone at this table is an

111:51

entrepreneur and for whatever reason,

111:53

and I think a lot of mine might be some

111:55

like I don't know, trauma or whatever. I

111:56

had a bias towards setting up a business

111:59

and taking that risk. Whereas like my

112:00

other three siblings, they didn't do

112:03

that. And I don't know what I did to

112:04

have that bias within me. Like if you

112:07

really think about it, I it's it was

112:08

probably something my parents didn't

112:10

intend to do, which meant that at 18

112:12

when my four three siblings went to

112:13

university and sort of followed that

112:15

more one could say safer path. Well,

112:17

yeah, safer path. I dropped out.

112:19

>> How angry were your parents when you

112:20

dropped out?

112:20

>> They didn't speak to them. My mom was

112:22

Yeah, my mom's Nigerian as well, so she

112:24

didn't she left school when she was a

112:25

child. Didn't get an education. Can't

112:27

read. must have him in a tough

112:28

>> a tough certain understatement of what

112:32

happened but for whatever reason that's

112:34

the path that I took and I'm I I can

112:35

acknowledge that I'm in a bit of a

112:37

minority

112:38

>> and I think I sometimes consider like

112:41

maybe I don't realize that through

112:42

privilege or through some genetic

112:44

privilege or whatever I had this

112:45

particular orientation towards like

112:47

entrepreneurialism that maybe other

112:49

people don't always have and that means

112:52

that they start the grocery store

112:54

>> I get crucified in the comments not

112:55

everyone can be an entrepreneur Right.

112:57

I'm not saying everyone could be an

112:58

option. I've never said that.

113:00

>> But the grocery store analogy there is

113:02

someone would start that grocery store

113:03

if it was easier.

113:04

>> Well, not everybody would.

113:06

>> There's always a risk-to-reward ratio

113:07

and government brings in all sorts of

113:09

regulations and government only really

113:11

thinks about big businesses. If you talk

113:13

to anyone in government, small

113:14

businesses don't exist and they just

113:16

simply think why hasn't Tesco done it or

113:18

why hasn't like Walmart done it.

113:19

>> Yeah. I I've never started a business in

113:22

the UK, but I can tell you that in the

113:24

United States, the the barrier to

113:27

setting up a grocery store in a food

113:29

desert is not the regulation. It's

113:31

Safeway. It's the supply chain. It's the

113:35

It's all the stuff that you've

113:37

described, which makes it incredibly

113:39

difficult for for for somebody to

113:42

operate a single location grocery store

113:45

>> like your friend's.

113:47

>> Yeah. What do you do about that?

113:49

Uh, so what I would do is I would I

113:53

would and again in the United States we

113:56

used to have lots of laws that pointed

113:58

the economy toward small businesses. So

114:01

if I was in charge, I would impose a

114:03

much higher minimum wage, but I would do

114:04

it progressively. All the labor

114:06

standards, all the all of the

114:08

regulations would be imposed

114:10

progressively. And in terms of

114:11

regulation, I would make it far like for

114:14

a big company, there's a lot of regs,

114:16

right? You have to follow every rule to

114:18

the tea. For a small business,

114:21

>> you have a lot more flexibility. It's

114:23

impo because because we need the

114:25

standards,

114:26

>> but it turns out to be really hard as a

114:28

single proprietor even to even to read

114:31

the manual, right? To know what you're

114:33

supposed to do. So to me, it would all

114:35

be progressive. So it would be easy to

114:38

get capital, easy to start a business,

114:40

relatively unencumbered by by

114:42

regulation, although constrained to a

114:44

certain extent. There are terrible

114:46

things that small business people do,

114:48

too.

114:48

>> Wait, how'd you make it easier to get

114:49

capital?

114:50

>> Oh, you could have government programs

114:52

that were designed to help small

114:53

businesses get off the ground.

114:54

>> We have the British Bank that uh

114:57

underwrites

114:58

for the first 25,000 of loans. We used

115:00

to have the Small Business

115:02

Administration in the United States that

115:03

did a lot of that work.

115:04

>> Yeah. So, we we have a lending

115:05

institution here that is uh 75%

115:08

underwritten by government for £25,000

115:10

startup loan. Right. So, there is some

115:12

some schemes that can can work. I

115:14

started all my companies on a on a

115:15

credit card. The key thing is this.

115:17

There's a difference between

115:18

entrepreneurials and startups that are

115:20

intending to scale and just small

115:22

businesses that want to exist as a small

115:23

business. I'm really big on the idea

115:25

that we want to we want communities that

115:27

have lots of small businesses even if

115:28

they have no intention to scale and exit

115:30

and any of those sorts of things that

115:31

>> that old fashioned thing, right, where

115:33

you just had a grocery store.

115:34

>> Yeah. And and it's a good and

115:36

>> you weren't trying to create Walmart.

115:37

Yeah.

115:38

>> You just wanted to run a grocery store.

115:39

>> It's hard though, isn't it? cuz

115:41

>> you want to be CVS or you you want to

115:43

you want to be a network

115:44

>> but with a grocery store idea if you've

115:46

got mom and pop grocery store here then

115:47

next to it you have let's say I don't

115:49

know in the UK it's called spa which is

115:50

a grocery store 7-Eleven the problem is

115:52

if those are next to each other and one

115:54

has um economies of scale i.e 7-Eleven

115:58

can buy the cucumber

116:00

>> for uh 20% of the cost of the mom and

116:03

pop shop. Then if you're on that street,

116:05

the 7-Eleven is going to survive.

116:07

>> That's why that's why we tilt towards

116:09

the

116:09

>> United States used to have laws that

116:11

expressly prohibited that.

116:14

>> And why did they get rid of them?

116:15

>> Neoliberalism.

116:17

>> So they got rid of the restrictions on

116:19

>> Yeah. There there used to be express

116:20

laws to make sure that big companies

116:22

could not buy raw materials cheaper than

116:25

than small companies. Like when I was

116:27

young, when I was your age, if you

116:30

wanted to buy a competitor, you were

116:32

sweating bullets because you had that

116:36

had to be reviewed by a body and if they

116:39

thought that you were consolidating too

116:40

much, they would just say no. But if you

116:42

think I think about all my friends that

116:44

have opened retail stores through their

116:45

companies and they they only do that

116:47

when they get really big because their

116:49

ecom business is supporting it. So if

116:50

you think about I know the gym sharks,

116:52

the represents, honor actors. So you

116:54

can't

116:54

>> okay with respect to retail you are

116:56

largely correct it depends on what kind

116:57

of retail like you could have a gym you

116:59

can't e-commerce a gym or you know there

117:01

are all kinds of retail some of which is

117:04

somewhat immune from e-commerce and some

117:07

of which is getting destroyed by

117:08

e-commerce doesn't it doesn't matter if

117:11

we're talking about retail they were

117:12

regional manufacturing companies

117:14

regional everything sure

117:16

>> and it all went away and you have never

117:19

experienced a world in which that used

117:22

to exist like your your entire business

117:25

experience is this sort of neoliberal

117:27

world of giant companies.

117:28

>> True. And the world I grew up in, we

117:32

young,

117:33

>> right? But I I remember what it was like

117:36

>> to go to the video store and select

117:38

videos from the video store. I remember

117:40

what it was. Yeah. Like I remember going

117:42

to the CD store and listening to music

117:44

and talking to the retail employees when

117:47

I was growing up. The cool kids worked

117:49

at the CD store, the geeky kids worked

117:51

at the bookstore, and everybody worked

117:52

at the everyone else worked at the

117:54

grocery store. Yeah. And all of those

117:56

business models are gone. And this is

117:58

what I mean. We need to kind of tip back

117:59

towards small business experimentation

118:02

being protected and all of that. The

118:04

other thing, too, and I should should

118:06

raise this about minimum wage and giving

118:07

people more money.

118:09

>> The bottom half of taxpayers in the UK

118:11

pay 9.5% of all the uh income taxes. The

118:15

government could remove taxes off of 50%

118:18

of workers in one move and it would cost

118:21

33 billion and you just get rid of that

118:23

and then every single person in the

118:25

bottom half of income earners gets a 10%

118:27

pay rise to 15% payriseise, right?

118:30

>> I love it. So where do we get the 32

118:31

billion from?

118:32

>> Just just keep in mind their budget is

118:34

1.4 trillion.

118:35

>> I know. I know. I know. But we're going

118:36

to have if

118:37

>> trillion you're talking about this to

118:39

take 15 million people.

118:41

>> Yeah, I agree. I'm just saying where

118:42

does the money cuz I know what's going

118:43

to happen. Karma is saying they found

118:45

this 20 million billion 20 billion black

118:47

hole in the finances and they and that's

118:50

the reason why they're saying they've

118:51

had to cut back on pensions and these

118:53

kinds of things. So if we add another 30

118:54

billion to that where where do we where

118:57

do we get the money from?

118:58

>> You're talking about reduce the amount

119:00

of administrative burden to tax 15

119:03

million people and keep on top of the

119:05

tax on 15 million people. Just the sheer

119:08

volume of people who have to work at

119:09

HMRC

119:11

all of this insanity. No, but I'm saying

119:12

where does the money come from?

119:13

>> Yeah. So, out of 1.4 trillion, I'm

119:16

pretty sure we could find half of 1% 1%

119:18

of it or whatever to to get these number

119:21

of people out of tax. Um, I think we

119:23

could tax big corporations who are

119:25

taking the piss.

119:26

>> Uh, and I also think the economic

119:28

spending rounds of getting those people,

119:30

those poor, the poorer half of people

119:33

should not be paying tax. If you give

119:35

them more money, they'll spend more

119:36

money, right? They're not

119:37

>> Okay, I agree with you. So you're saying

119:39

tax big corporations more in the UK at

119:43

point of consumption.

119:45

>> Personally, I would make it a like very

119:47

similar to a broadcast license that it's

119:49

a fixed fee that's very hard to wiggle

119:50

out of.

119:50

>> So if I'm a let's say I'm an open AI,

119:54

>> yeah, you might have a broadcast license

119:56

to pay uh to to access this market.

119:59

>> So you're going to charge say you say

120:00

I'm going to charge Open AI 4 billion, 5

120:02

billion to access our market. Well, for

120:04

example, Facebook is very much

120:06

broadcasting videos and content all the

120:08

time. So is YouTube. So's Google, all

120:10

that sort of stuff. So you just simply

120:12

say, "Guys, the cost of doing business

120:14

in this country if you want access to

120:16

this market is a fixed broadcast license

120:18

fee of 500 million a year or whatever it

120:20

is." And you just say based on the

120:21

number of views that you guys get and

120:22

how much attention you suck out of our

120:24

economy, we just essentially tax the

120:26

attention. You're literally if people

120:28

are spending an hour a day on their

120:29

phone doom scrolling, we're that that is

120:32

a broadcast. you're broadcasting to our

120:34

people, so therefore we've got a

120:36

broadcast license. Um, so those are the

120:38

types of things that I would look at

120:39

because they're very hard to wiggle out

120:40

of.

120:41

>> Do you think then these these companies

120:43

like an open eye would would then as we

120:44

said earlier just increase the

120:46

subscription fee in this market and you

120:48

see this sometimes where in certain

120:49

countries something is cheaper. I

120:51

remember going to the United I I used to

120:52

go to the United States to buy my Apple

120:53

products cuz it was cheaper there.

120:55

>> Yeah.

120:55

>> And then in the UK it cost me like not

120:57

even not even a little bit it was like

120:58

hundreds of dollars more to buy a laptop

121:00

here. the same laptop in this market

121:02

versus this one cost different amounts

121:04

of money.

121:05

>> They they may choose to try and pass on

121:06

that consumption tax to to consumers.

121:09

Maybe they do do that. Uh maybe we could

121:11

try and avoid maybe we could try and

121:13

legislate against that that they have to

121:15

essentially be on par with where they

121:17

are in other markets that they they have

121:18

to charge par. Um if we don't if we

121:22

don't do anything we essentially have

121:25

nurses and uh you know like teachers and

121:30

all the people who are in the normal 50%

121:32

of the economy whose job is now to hold

121:34

up the economy while Starbucks doesn't

121:36

pay taxes while Amazon doesn't pay taxes

121:38

while Google doesn't pay taxes. And and

121:40

Steve, I think all your questions are

121:41

really really good, but they all point

121:43

to the same thing, which it which is

121:46

that, you know, the economy is a

121:48

collective action problem,

121:50

>> right? And

121:51

>> you know, it's a global action problem.

121:53

>> It's a global it's a global collective

121:54

action problem. And if we want if we

121:58

want robust solutions to these problems,

122:01

we're going to have to robustly

122:03

coordinate activity across the world.

122:06

And you know like for during the Biden

122:08

administration they tried really hard to

122:10

do this global profit tax where where uh

122:13

but that collapsed under the weight of

122:15

pressure but all you know again all of

122:18

your questions I think are really good

122:20

but they all point to the same

122:21

fundamental weakness of of of governance

122:24

>> and Nick you you need to talk to your

122:26

billionaire mates and also say if we

122:29

don't start investing in the economies

122:31

that we do business with which you are

122:32

saying right of course right

122:34

>> it's a lonely business I'll just tell

122:36

But but it's like it's like it's like

122:38

with those CEOs of those companies,

122:41

you know, you drain this you drain the

122:42

whole economy out and and and then where

122:44

then what next? Like

122:46

>> I think on this pass through problem I

122:48

was thinking I was looking at different

122:49

ways that this ends up being applied. So

122:50

if you think about the Big Mac, the Big

122:52

Mac costs different things in different

122:54

states depending on how much tax the

122:56

that state charges. So in Oregon the Big

122:58

Mac is $8 whereas in Chicago it's almost

123:01

$9. Um, if you think about like

123:03

bookstores, you can buy one book on the

123:04

high street for $20. The same book

123:06

online is $10 because they're passing

123:08

through the cost. So, it's conceivable

123:10

that if we we say to big corporations,

123:12

right, you guys are going to pay a

123:14

bigger tax to sell into the UK than the

123:16

UK consumer that they'll they might pass

123:19

that on to the UK consumer and they

123:22

might look at different markets and

123:23

because you know they might say as a

123:24

company we want to make 30% margin and

123:26

the way to make 30% margins in the UK is

123:28

to bump the cost. consumer could say,

123:30

"I'm going to use a VPN and pretend that

123:31

I'm going to be in a different market

123:33

and pay a lower price and doesn't

123:35

matter. You still have to pay the

123:36

broadcast license if you want to be

123:37

available in our in our country." These

123:40

are hard problems and we need to know

123:41

who is the person that we're targeting.

123:44

It's it's the Black Rocks of the world.

123:45

It's the it's the big banks of the

123:47

world. It's the big mortgage. like

123:50

>> I had um say I had a private

123:51

conversation with the CTO of a very

123:53

large company technology business and he

123:56

was saying to me he goes I don't think

123:57

the UK understands the situation it's

123:59

putting itself in and the EU with all

124:02

this regulation he said to me um that we

124:06

sell this particular product it's a

124:08

physical product and because the UK and

124:10

I think EU have put this new law in

124:13

where you have to have removable

124:15

batteries

124:17

>> interestingly the unintended consequence

124:19

of that is we have to stock more lithium

124:21

batteries. More of them go into landfill

124:23

and also your devices break because

124:25

they're no longer waterproof.

124:27

>> So you're going actually it's harming

124:28

the environment and also he said the

124:30

thing you guys don't realize is that

124:32

you're actually not a big market anymore

124:33

for us and because South America's

124:35

coming online we actually don't have to

124:37

sell the product here and you think

124:39

about this in terms of some of the

124:40

regulations around AI as well. When a

124:42

new product launches on a trackt,

124:44

>> yeah,

124:45

>> it goes in the US first because of

124:46

regulations and then maybe no

124:48

>> goes in the US first because it's the

124:50

biggest market. biggest market but also

124:52

we have we're our regulations around

124:54

some software and GDPR and all these

124:56

kinds of things means that sometimes we

124:58

just don't get the features

124:59

>> and sometimes in my history in our

125:01

history of building a the previous

125:03

business I was in as creators we would

125:06

sometimes have to wait 12 or 18 months

125:08

to get the same tools that my

125:09

competitors I know

125:10

>> in the United States could use

125:12

monetization tools they'd have the

125:13

monetization tools first and then we'd

125:15

have to wait 18 months

125:16

>> the economy is a set of trade-offs like

125:18

that is the problem like economics is

125:20

called a set of the the actual

125:21

definition of economics is making

125:23

trade-offs um and picking picking your

125:25

trade-offs. I totally get it. Like

125:26

regulation does actually suck for

125:28

consumers and for businesses. Um and

125:32

like the the EU is now overregulated to

125:34

the extent that you can't even take a a

125:36

lid off of a bottle without, you know,

125:38

the government being involved with how

125:40

the lid comes off the bottle. And it's

125:42

killing it's killing our dynamism. We

125:45

are really just like

125:46

>> and the US is underregulated. And if you

125:48

buy chicken in a in a store and and

125:51

don't cook it,

125:52

>> could be anything.

125:53

>> One in three chances you'll you'll

125:55

you'll you'll get uh either E.coli or

125:58

salmonella.

125:59

>> And your life expectancy is lower.

126:01

>> Exactly. It's all trade-offs. Everyone

126:03

who eats in the US trade-offs.

126:05

>> Comes back from the US and goes, "Oh my

126:07

goodness, I hate I hate eating food in

126:09

the US."

126:09

>> It's all tradeoff. It's all trade-offs.

126:11

Does this not then mean our ultimate

126:13

conclusion of this conversation is

126:15

around

126:16

morals and ethics around the trade-offs

126:19

that we think are the right ones to

126:20

make?

126:21

>> Yes.

126:21

>> And so it's a question really of morals

126:22

and ethics.

126:23

>> Yes. Human flourishing.

126:26

Yes. 100%.

126:28

>> The the purpose of the economy is is to

126:30

improve human human lives. The way to do

126:33

this is to massively maximize small

126:36

business power because when people get

126:38

more complicated when when pe when

126:40

people have to when I have to work

126:41

shoulderto-shoulder with my workers, I

126:44

treat people well, right? When I'm a

126:46

mega corporation who have faceless

126:48

workers down on the factory floor that I

126:50

will never meet. I will never sit next

126:51

to on a plane. I will never come in

126:53

contact with my workers. I can treat

126:54

them however I like.

126:55

>> Why do you think that's reductive, Nick?

126:57

Uh, well, I think that what Dan is

126:59

saying is true and massively

127:01

insufficient.

127:02

Of course, I mean, we're in violent

127:04

agreement about the small business

127:06

point. Like, I don't want to be naive

127:08

and think we should go back to the 60s

127:10

or something like that. Like, I don't

127:12

think that's true. But again, here's

127:14

what the new economics shows. that

127:17

corporate consolidation

127:19

increases prices,

127:22

lowers wages, decreases consumer choice,

127:25

and decreases the rate of innovation.

127:28

Right?

127:28

>> And I 100% agree

127:30

>> because innovation again that the

127:32

conventional view of innovation, the

127:34

conventional economic view of in

127:36

innovation is this sort of great man

127:38

theory is you have this smart rich guy

127:40

who's sitting somewhere and he he or she

127:43

has this amazing idea and that's

127:44

innovation. That is not what innovation

127:46

is. Innovation is always combinatorial

127:49

in technology makes itself out of

127:52

itself. You you start with a rock. The

127:56

the rock was our first technology. And

127:58

you did a lot of stuff with rocks. And

128:01

we also had sticks. Actually, sticks

128:02

were our first technology. But you tie a

128:05

rock to a stick, you have a hammer, a

128:09

spear, an arrow, an axe, a shovel. It

128:13

goes on and on and on. And what that

128:16

means in terms of policy is that because

128:18

innovation is combinatorial,

128:21

the more diverse people in a network who

128:25

come together with different ideas and

128:27

different sets of experiences, that is

128:30

what drives the rate of innovation. And

128:32

this is

128:33

mathematically demonstrated that a

128:35

diverse group of people working on a

128:38

problem will absolutely consistently

128:41

outperform a a a homogeneous group of

128:44

high performers.

128:46

>> And then when they when they become

128:47

really successful, which will happen

128:48

eventually if you let that system play

128:51

out, you have this inequality unless you

128:53

intervene at some point

128:54

>> and recycle it. And then when you go to

128:56

recycle it,

128:58

you go get back to this issue of us

129:00

having needing global cohesion. Yes.

129:03

Because some people won't want the

129:04

recycling.

129:05

>> Correct.

129:05

>> And they'll say, well, I'm just going to

129:06

go to Ireland or I'm going to go to

129:08

Dubai or I'm going to go somewhere else.

129:10

And this is maybe a function of the new

129:12

economy where people can just get up and

129:13

leave and take their value with them.

129:15

>> Yes.

129:16

>> And this is the conundrum.

129:17

>> This is the conundrum. But the meta

129:20

issue above the conundrum is recognizing

129:24

that citizens have both the right and

129:26

the responsibility to want to address

129:28

that problem. And we and you grew up in

129:31

a world where it was illegitimate to

129:33

address that problem that that that

129:35

economics told you don't worry about

129:38

those problems. The market will sort it

129:40

out.

129:40

>> Is there like a radical idea of how to

129:42

solve this? Do we need like all the the

129:45

very very rich people in the world to

129:46

come together collectively and say we're

129:49

going to create a new model? Like how do

129:51

how do you I don't know. Is there any

129:52

radical ways to solve this stuff or is

129:54

it just all trade-offs once again

129:56

democracy?

129:57

>> One of the big radical ways is breaking

129:59

up companies and it's unthinkable. You

130:01

know what PR did.

130:02

>> You know Jeff Bezos, right? Yes, I do.

130:04

>> So

130:04

>> it was in my wedding.

130:05

>> I wonder if he would lose more sleep

130:07

about higher taxes or having his company

130:09

broken up.

130:10

>> Oh, for sure. Broken up. Because if you

130:11

broke up uh Google from YouTube, if you

130:14

broke up AWS, Amazon Prime and Amazon,

130:17

if you like the biggest thing that

130:19

scares the billionaires is backing

130:21

competition with the market and it's

130:23

like, "Oh my goodness, I don't want to

130:24

have to compete. I've got this amazing

130:26

monopoly that just works."

130:28

>> Right. So,

130:28

>> but is is that a perfect solution? Cuz I

130:30

was thinking if

130:30

>> it's not a perfect solution.

130:32

>> It's the least worst solution available.

130:34

>> It's a good It's pretty It's pretty

130:35

good. It's pretty effective.

130:36

>> I mean, this is what Teddy Roosevelt did

130:38

in

130:39

>> these companies aren't making any any

130:40

money though. They're like being

130:40

subsidized by the mothership. So like in

130:42

an let's say Amazon Prime that's

130:45

competing against Netflix.

130:46

>> Dude, these companies make money where

130:48

they want to make money. Yeah.

130:49

>> For for tax optimization and strategic

130:52

reasons. Look, I mean, you know, like

130:54

when we started Amazon.com, I'm not sure

130:56

if you guys remember the whole hit on it

130:58

was it's not profitable, right? The

131:01

secret to Amazon.com success is the

131:04

negative cash conversion cycle, right?

131:06

For virtually every business on planet

131:09

Earth, to grow requires capital, right?

131:12

For all of your businesses, growth

131:14

requires capital. But for Amazon.com,

131:17

we took an order, we put up the website,

131:20

you take an order, you instantaneously

131:24

transmit that order to a book warehouse,

131:26

which has all of the titles in stock.

131:29

It's shipped the next day, it's received

131:31

the next day. You ship it out, hit the

131:34

hit the person hit the person's credit

131:36

card, but then you don't have to pay the

131:38

book seller for 90 days,

131:40

>> right? And what that means is the bigger

131:43

the company gets, the better cash flow

131:45

gets whether you're making money or not.

131:47

So, we didn't have to make money because

131:49

we had most companies have to make money

131:52

>> because if they don't, they don't have

131:53

the cash flow to continue

131:55

>> like Amazon Prime businesses and

131:57

>> Yeah. And so there are things available

132:00

that we could have made money in one

132:02

minute just by increasing our prices by

132:04

3 or 4%.

132:05

>> Yeah, these companies are also not worth

132:07

trillions of dollars because they're not

132:08

profitable. They're they're worth

132:10

trillions of dollars because they are

132:11

making money. But the issue is is they

132:13

have strategic monopolies. And if you

132:15

really want to make them lose sleep, you

132:17

need to break up strategic monopolies.

132:19

You need to say there's an actual limit

132:20

to how big a fund can be. There's an

132:23

actual limit as to how big a strategic

132:25

monopoly can be. uh you can't have

132:27

things that hedge naturally against each

132:29

other and prevent real competition. So

132:32

like these things are ways of and also

132:35

ties up their attention. So while

132:37

they're thinking about not getting

132:38

broken up, they're also not competing

132:40

with all the other guys out there. So

132:42

like it's it's basically capitalism runs

132:44

on competition. And this is the one

132:46

thing that we've missed

132:48

>> that the we have less competition.

132:50

>> Yeah. Like when Adam Smith said

132:52

capitalism works, he said it only works

132:54

when there's competition. If there's one

132:55

bakery in town, any bread at any quality

132:58

at any price is what you have to pay. As

133:00

soon as there's two bakeries in town, it

133:03

has to be the best quality at the best

133:04

price.

133:04

>> Although with two, you can collude. But

133:06

if you have five, it's very hard.

133:08

>> So, so Amazon has a monopoly over

133:11

>> strategic monopoly.

133:11

>> A strategic monopoly. So, what does one

133:13

do with Amazon?

133:14

>> You break it up.

133:15

>> Yeah.

133:15

>> Into what?

133:16

>> AWS, Amazon Prime, Amazon retail.

133:18

>> Fine. But they've still got a monopoly

133:20

in online e-commerce theoretically.

133:22

>> Yeah. Well, it's just harder. it's

133:24

easier for someone to come along and

133:25

compete right now. It's very very hard

133:27

for me to compete with Amazon because

133:29

they are pulling in cash from AWS.

133:31

They're pulling in cash from all these

133:32

other subscriptions. There's so Amazon

133:34

basics.

133:35

>> You could you could break up the retail.

133:37

You could say you can have a bookstore.

133:38

You can have an electronic store. You

133:40

can have this.

133:40

>> You can only you can't be the everything

133:42

store, right? So you could there's all

133:44

sorts of ways that you but you have to

133:45

acknowledge when someone has achieved a

133:47

strategic

133:48

>> think that's a good idea. Do you still

133:49

own shows on Amazon?

133:50

>> No, sadly.

133:51

>> Okay. I wouldn't be here talking to you

133:53

guys if I

133:55

>> No, no, no, no.

133:57

>> That's true. Jeff won't come.

134:00

>> Uh, no. I sadly I sold my shares. But,

134:03

uh, you know, I I am open to all of

134:06

these ideas because I know I mean I am

134:10

completely with Dan. I know that the

134:12

world would be a better place if these

134:13

companies were smaller and we had more

134:15

competition. And again there is not

134:19

there are no silver bullets to these

134:21

complex problems the world faces. We are

134:23

not at this table going to come up with

134:25

this algorithmic idea that is just going

134:28

to make the world a better place. It it

134:31

none of these solutions are perfect.

134:33

They are always going to be the least

134:35

worst thing that we can come up with.

134:37

But I think at at the at the level of

134:39

principle

134:41

um living in a world where we try

134:44

actively to limit concentrated power in

134:48

all its forms.

134:51

Where we try actively to include people

134:54

in whatever way whether as entrepreneurs

134:56

or just workers as robustly as possible.

135:00

Where we try to make sure that people

135:02

are engaged enough in the economy so

135:04

that they will be supportive of the

135:06

democracy. not want to burn it down.

135:08

These are highlevel principles that I

135:10

think reasonable people can agree with

135:13

and they come into conflict with people

135:15

like Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos and Mark

135:17

Zuckerberg who do not want to live in

135:19

that world, who want to live in an

135:21

oligarchical world and I just think that

135:26

we should have that fight and win.

135:31

We have a closing tradition where the

135:32

Lask leaves a question for the next not

135:33

knowing who they're leaving it for and I

135:34

think it's quite a relevant question.

135:36

Um, I'll ask you first, Dan. The

135:38

question is, in a world with so many

135:40

challenges, what can we do to restore

135:42

hope and trigger engagement?

135:47

Uh getting back to what we were talking

135:50

about,

135:52

we need we need people to know that the

135:54

game the rules of the game have changed

135:56

and that the rules that we grew up with

135:58

where we grew up in a particular

136:00

industrialized late stage industrialized

136:02

world that had those rules and we now

136:04

live in an early stage digital

136:06

revolution world. And the thing that

136:08

gives me hope is I know how the rules of

136:10

that world work, right? Someone

136:11

explained it to me. They actually

136:13

explained this is how you start a

136:14

business. This is how you grow a

136:15

business. This is how you make a

136:17

million. This is how you hire some

136:19

people. This is how you get a great team

136:21

working side by side. That gave me an

136:23

enormous amount of hope. I have a

136:24

pathway out of where I was born and the

136:27

wealth I was born with and where I am

136:29

now. Someone explained to me the

136:31

pathway. Here's how the rules work and

136:33

here's how you make make success. One of

136:36

the things that makes people feel

136:37

hopeless is that they're stuck in a game

136:39

where no one explains the rules.

136:41

>> So explaining the rules. So I would say

136:43

we need a schooling system. The thing we

136:45

don't talk about enough is that the

136:46

schooling system has to explain to kids

136:49

the relevant information as to how to

136:50

function in the current economy.

136:53

So, I played that forward in my head and

136:54

I was thinking, okay, you get a million

136:55

kids and you explain all of the rules to

136:57

them. At some point, if you just give it

136:59

a year or two, say they all knew the

137:01

rules,

137:02

>> um, there's still an edge

137:04

>> and some of them would figure out the

137:06

edge.

137:06

>> Totally.

137:07

>> And then you've got this pocket that

137:08

know, everyone knows the rules, but then

137:10

others know this particular way to beat

137:13

the system. And that could be with, I

137:14

don't know, they learn about AI, they

137:16

learn about whatever, and then you're

137:17

kind of back into the same place. And

137:19

you were one such person who got the

137:22

edge. Someone came to you and went, you

137:24

know, they're saying the rules are this.

137:26

That's actually there's a way to get an

137:27

edge and you had it within you for

137:29

whatever reason to capitalize on that

137:31

edge and now you're a multi-millionaire.

137:34

>> So, so there's always going to be the

137:36

rule and then the rules get

137:39

every single day after you explain the

137:40

rules to someone

137:41

>> there's a new set of rules.

137:43

>> The only consistent is change. And at

137:45

the moment, most people I encounter who

137:47

have never had any explanation going on

137:49

about how the world works now, they are

137:52

hopeless. They feel completely hopeless.

137:54

As in like I see kids who are sending

137:56

out um CVS to Microsoft or to like some

138:02

major company, they don't realize that

138:03

those companies are getting 3500

138:06

applications.

138:07

>> The day after you explain the rules to

138:08

them, the rules are one day less

138:11

relevant. And so it's true. You'd have

138:13

to go to school every single day.

138:15

>> Well, yeah. You lifelong learning. You

138:16

do have to do lifelong learning. Like

138:18

there is a lifelong part of the rules is

138:19

lifelong learning. That is actually one

138:21

of the rules which is the only

138:22

consistent is change.

138:23

>> It sounds like you're saying though that

138:25

if we teach people the rules of business

138:27

then people will have more hope and but

138:29

but there's so many people that I know

138:30

like my my fiance who she doesn't she

138:34

cares about something else much more

138:35

than she cares about business. cares

138:36

about like

138:37

>> she just start she set up Bali breath

138:39

work and she was able

138:40

>> right she was able to create Bali breath

138:43

work #

138:44

>> because well I said it not you

138:46

>> she was able to figure out how to turn

138:50

her passion into something that is

138:52

commercially sustainable

138:54

>> I'm just using her as an example cuz we

138:55

did she get that from the school system

138:56

>> fundamentally she maybe she got it in

138:58

part because she has a dad who's an

139:01

entrepreneur she has a explain the rules

139:03

to her um she has the support network

139:06

like she supports me, I support her.

139:07

>> She knows how to enroll people into her

139:08

success. All of that is called pitching,

139:11

publishing content, creating a product

139:13

offering. I only know one thing that

139:15

I've seen work again and again and again

139:17

and again, which is I teach people the

139:19

people who learn the entrepreneurial

139:21

method suddenly feel agency and hope.

139:22

>> I agree. And I saying that's for

139:24

everyone.

139:24

>> Yeah, but this is the it's not for

139:26

everyone. It's for people like that had

139:27

whatever mean you had in terms of like

139:29

the upbringing, the luck, the whatever,

139:30

the fortune.

139:31

>> I'm not saying everyone's going to be an

139:33

entrepreneur. My answer to that question

139:35

>> is entrepreneurship

139:36

>> is the entrepreneurial tool set gives

139:38

people a lot of hope.

139:39

>> I get that and that one of the things

139:41

that we have to acknowledge there is

139:42

that's a certain type of person who has

139:44

a certain type of goals. There are some

139:46

people who actually just want to go

139:49

outside and they don't they want to work

139:51

maybe they want to work one day a week

139:52

or two days a week.

139:53

>> Sure I don't want to do push-ups and I

139:55

don't want to do sit-ups and I don't

139:56

want to go to the gym. But if you ask a

139:58

fitness professional how do you improve

139:59

your body? How do you feel good? Right?

140:01

The fitness professional says, "Hey,

140:03

these are all the things that I've seen

140:04

working for a lot of people about going

140:06

out and getting fit." And you might not

140:07

want to do them initially, but actually

140:09

the people who do these things, the hope

140:12

>> the people that do those things might

140:13

have an inherent privilege, right?

140:14

>> Wait, the monopoly the world's not fair.

140:17

Like the world's not fair. Some people

140:18

are born on

140:19

>> I need to know your answer to the same

140:20

question. I think we we need to have

140:23

vital democracies that manage economies

140:26

in ways that are optimized around human

140:30

flourishing and not capital efficiency,

140:32

not capital accumul accumulation. That

140:35

we live in a world, you completely grew

140:39

up in a world where the highest good was

140:41

capital efficiency. The capital

140:43

efficiency and godliness were the same.

140:46

>> And we have organized society in this

140:48

way. We in the United States it we

140:51

literally have a norm and a set of

140:53

regulations around maximizing

140:54

shareholder value for corporations.

140:56

Right? This was invented out of whole

140:58

cloth in the 1970s. This whole idea that

141:02

the purpose of the corporation should be

141:04

merely to enrich shareholders. And the

141:06

evil of that idea isn't what they

141:10

weren't saying was screw the poor. What

141:12

they said was if you maximize value for

141:15

shareholders, it will be good for

141:17

everybody. And that was the lie because

141:20

it wasn't good for everybody. It was

141:22

good for a tiny minority of people. And

141:24

the lie was that when you do that,

141:27

growth rates will go up, GDP will go up.

141:30

We'll have a rising tide. And the tide

141:33

didn't rise, it fell. And what modern

141:36

economics says is that we can have a

141:39

different construct. We can have a

141:40

different society that purposefully

141:43

includes people in a robust way, whether

141:45

they're a worker, whether they're a

141:47

small business. And if we do that,

141:50

everyone will benefit. The economy will

141:53

grow faster. People will be paid better.

141:55

Prices will be lower. We will have more

141:57

innovation.

141:59

This is within our grasp. We just have

142:02

to decide to do it.

142:03

>> You should go into politics.

142:04

>> I am in politics.

142:06

>> Well, I I hear that. One thing I don't

142:08

like is waiting for the world to change.

142:10

And I like I like personal agency. And

142:13

at Nick's level that he's playing at, I

142:15

love the fact that he's in politics and

142:17

he's he's using his wealth and his power

142:18

and his influence to change the system.

142:21

For most people, waiting for the world

142:22

to change does not feel empowering. And

142:25

and I guess what where I'm coming from

142:27

is

142:29

like, yes, tilt towards this because

142:31

that's the political movement that's

142:33

required to make sure the world includes

142:35

more people in capitalism. And I love

142:37

that. Um, and while that's happening,

142:40

take personal accountability, personal

142:42

agency, figure out what is your next

142:44

move. Watch all the episodes of Diary of

142:46

a CEO, learn from people, and you know,

142:49

and jump on

142:50

>> and and figure out Yeah. Subscribe,

142:53

right? Do me a favor, subscribe to the

142:55

channel. But if if that if that is done,

142:58

like people people who do that end up

143:01

feeling hopeful because hope comes from

143:03

having personal agency. And personal

143:05

agency is knowing your next move that's

143:07

going to benefit you and move you

143:09

forward.

143:09

>> I agree. I agree. And I real I' you

143:12

know, the older I've gotten, the more I

143:13

realize my own privilege.

143:16

>> And my privilege isn't necessarily that

143:17

I built a business and that I have money

143:20

now and all those things. My privilege

143:22

is something happened when I was young

143:25

from the point of maybe even where my

143:26

parents about it. I don't feel guilty

143:29

about it, but it just has allowed me to

143:31

see my own bias and to realize that I

143:34

have this unknown unknown.

143:36

Unfortunately, that's growing by the day

143:38

because I'm getting more entrenched in

143:39

my own privilege. And what I mean by

143:40

this is like I play out the scenario

143:42

theoretically. My dad left my mom and my

143:46

mom um still struggles to read and write

143:49

and she would have had like four kids,

143:52

can't read or write, can't really get

143:54

employment. She worked at St. Luke's

143:56

hospice as a volunteer and I go, "God,

143:58

if that one thing had happened, how

144:00

different would my of life have been and

144:03

and so that's like a privilege that I

144:05

I've never even acknowledged because I

144:07

it's kind of inherent. It was like built

144:08

into my life. And then would I be sat

144:11

here now? Would I be be the person I am

144:13

today if that one little thing had

144:15

happened?" No. Would I be ambitious and

144:17

optimistic about the world? Or would I

144:19

be theoretically could I be resentful?

144:20

Could I be like some of my other friends

144:22

who came from the same city where I came

144:24

from who didn't have a father who may

144:27

I've said to some of my friends I said

144:29

to one one of my particular friends back

144:30

home if you would just get a job for a

144:32

couple of months I will pay your rent

144:34

for years didn't happen can't get a job

144:37

at his subway for for 3 months so that I

144:40

would pay his rent for years I ended up

144:41

helping him anyway but I it just I

144:43

remember saying that 10 years ago it

144:44

just highlighted to me that there's a

144:46

real deep inherent privilege that I have

144:49

that I'm like not even aware that I

144:51

it sometimes it's trauma my DNA my

144:53

brothers are all very smart naturally um

144:56

and what if I didn't what if like I

144:58

didn't have those two parents and what

145:00

if I didn't have the whatever genetic

145:01

composition I had like then would the

145:03

advice apply that then would the advice

145:07

I give to the world would it apply so I

145:09

I I I mle that and go it's got to pass

145:12

that lens for it to be broadly

145:13

applicable and therefore I think

145:16

effective advice

145:17

>> I I love your level of compassion and

145:19

empathy for people and the fact that

145:21

you're having that self explo

145:23

exploration means you're an incredible

145:24

type of person with each individual.

145:27

Each person wants to do the most with

145:29

what they've got. I'm saying that if I

145:31

was to visit a small town that had a

145:33

thriving 10, 15, 20 businesses in there,

145:37

there were enough entrepreneurs to

145:38

create optionality for people. That

145:40

would be a good town to go to, right?

145:42

And if I go to a town where there are no

145:44

entrepreneurs and there are like

145:45

everyone feels downtrodden and there's

145:46

one big Costco and that's the only

145:49

employer in town, that's going to be a

145:50

town. So all I'm saying is you need

145:53

a critical mass of people who have uh

145:55

agency and that lifts up the like having

146:00

a few do you know in in Japan they call

146:02

it the Shogun family, right? and the

146:04

Shogun family lifts up that that little

146:06

community and that around that Shogun

146:08

family you end up with lots of other

146:10

businesses and lots of other like it it

146:12

it flows out. But when you have one

146:14

monolith in the world that is the only

146:16

company in town and it is the only place

146:19

that ships stuff to your door and it's

146:21

the there's only one place to get your

146:22

CDs and there's only one place to get

146:24

your Netflix then pretty much everyone

146:26

else is just reduced to being a

146:27

consumer.

146:28

>> What do you think, Nick?

146:30

>> Again, I've said it before. I I I I

146:32

agree with this sentiment 100%. I am an

146:35

entrepreneur myself, but I I expect that

146:39

operating in empowerment applies to it

146:42

will no doubt apply to a high percentage

146:44

of the people who watch your show,

146:46

right? Lots and lots of people who watch

146:47

this show are entrepreneurial, want to

146:50

be entrepreneurial, so on and so forth.

146:52

But I suspect you're talking about less

146:54

than 5% of people on planet Earth that

146:57

fit that paradigm. And I want to create

146:59

a paradigm that works for everybody.

147:01

>> And you're saying if you hit those 5%.

147:03

>> Well, even in the UK, it's six million

147:05

self-employed people out of 30 million

147:07

workers. It's not it's not tiny. It's a

147:09

pretty decent percent. Right. It it is a

147:12

major opport opportunity that more

147:14

people than ever could take part in. If

147:16

you asked a health professional, how do

147:18

you get hope? Go to the gym, go for a

147:20

run, all that stuff. You're asking an

147:21

entrepreneur, how do you get hope

147:23

through personal agency? I'm going to

147:25

tell you what's worked. What's worked

147:26

for me is the entrepreneurial method.

147:29

>> So maybe we need to ask a broad group of

147:31

people.

147:31

>> Yeah.

147:31

>> But I suspect that what they will come

147:33

back to you with is the quiet miracle of

147:36

a normal life.

147:37

>> If you want that, that's great. I I want

147:39

that and I want that for everyone.

147:41

That's gone away. It's gone. Houses are

147:44

unaffordable. Sorry. Local jobs don't

147:47

exist. No one's paying healthy wages.

147:49

Like all of that stuff that I want as

147:51

well. It's great to sit there and want

147:53

it, right? But that doesn't give me

147:55

hope. That gives me disappointment that

147:57

it used to exist, right? My the family

147:59

home that most people would love to

148:02

raise a family in, it's 1.2 million

148:04

pounds now,

148:05

>> right? And if you want to fix that, you

148:07

have to enact this.

148:08

>> Yeah.

148:09

>> You have to do that. Most people

148:11

>> What is People are going to wonder

148:12

what's in that piece of paper. So th

148:14

this is, you know, I mean, the the the

148:17

main body of my work is coming up with a

148:20

different economic paradigm, a way of

148:22

understanding economic cause and effect

148:24

that leads to the world that Dan

148:27

prefers, that I prefer. I think I don't

148:30

know, but I sense it's the world that

148:32

you prefer. And what you have to do is

148:34

you have to rip down the existing

148:36

economic framework and replace it with a

148:39

21st century thing that inclines

148:42

policymakers to make good decisions not

148:44

bad ones. And the booklet itself that

148:46

that can can you show the booklet?

148:47

>> Yeah.

148:48

>> So this booklet is 21st century

148:51

economics. Now this is aimed at policy

148:54

makers and professionals just but but if

148:58

you go to uh marketsbuilt forhumans.org

149:01

org. You can download this for free and

149:04

that is merely an expression of the

149:07

paradigm itself. Going from believing

149:10

that uh we should just increase uh

149:12

capital efficiency to human flourishing.

149:15

Going from understanding human beings as

149:17

homoeconomicist to homo sapiens. Going

149:19

from understanding the economy as a

149:22

parto optimal equilibrium to a complex

149:24

to an ecology all this stuff. But when

149:27

you understand it in a new way, you come

149:29

to very different conclusions about how

149:31

you should organize the world. And that

149:33

is the starting point for global

149:35

transformation.

149:37

>> I love it. He's already a billionaire.

149:39

He's got time on his hands and he's got

149:40

money to fly around the world doing it.

149:42

Do it. And while he's doing it,

149:44

>> all I need is for people like you to

149:46

help me explain it.

149:47

>> Yeah. And and like I I love it. I'm not

149:49

against it. I'm just saying what will

149:51

give most people hope is taking agency

149:53

over their life where they can do

149:54

something this week to improve their

149:55

life. So while

149:56

>> next time I see there will be a test

149:58

>> and and download download it give it to

150:00

your law makers.

150:02

>> Well so what I'll do then I mean we've

150:03

got different reading materials people

150:05

that are listening can uh can pursue

150:06

here. Um we've got Dan's books here

150:08

which I'll link below. Dan is there a

150:09

particular best book to start with in

150:11

your opinion.

150:12

>> The most recent one is called the

150:13

lifestyle business playbook and it's

150:15

basically how to get started with a

150:16

small business and a business that will

150:18

give you more fun freedom and

150:19

flexibility and I like the idea of

150:21

supporting anyone who's trying to create

150:22

a better economy. Some of the most

150:24

miserable people I know are waiting for

150:27

the system to change. And I don't want

150:28

you to be that person. I want you to be

150:30

doing something in your own life.

150:31

>> And then over here, I mean, I'm going to

150:34

link all of your books below as well.

150:35

But

150:35

>> yeah, I mean, I I just think that um a

150:38

starting point for global transformation

150:40

is under look, economics is the

150:42

operating system of the world. If it's

150:45

the wrong operating system, you end up

150:47

with a very bad circumstance. I

150:50

>> and in economics is invisible to most

150:52

people. They don't even understand it's

150:54

the it's the water they're swimming in.

150:56

They don't understand that policymakers

150:59

are making decisions that affect their

151:01

lives based on a particular

151:03

understanding of how the economy works.

151:05

And if that's wrong, then you're going

151:08

to make some terrible decisions. If you

151:10

believe that prosperity trickles down

151:12

from the top, you're going to enact a

151:14

certain set of policies. If you believe

151:17

that growth is built from the middle

151:19

out, you will make an entirely different

151:21

set of uh uh uh policies. If you believe

151:24

that the middle class is a consequence

151:26

of economic growth, you will go one way.

151:29

If you believe that the thriving middle

151:31

class is the cause of growth, you will

151:33

do a completely different set of things

151:35

in terms of policy. All of them aligned

151:37

with what Dan wants. But but that's

151:41

where you have to start. That's that's

151:43

the meta those are the meta questions

151:45

that you have to answer and then you and

151:47

then you deduce logically to all of the

151:51

things that Dan prefers. But you have to

151:54

start up here. You have to start with

151:55

the set of ideas that govern how people

151:58

see economic cause and effect. And that

152:00

is what this is.

152:04

>> I shall link it below. Thank you so

152:06

much. We're done.

152:06

>> Thank you.

152:07

>> You are fantastic. YouTube have this new

152:09

crazy algorithm where they know exactly

152:11

what video you would like to watch next

152:13

based on AI and all of your viewing

152:15

behavior. And the algorithm says that

152:18

this video is the perfect video for you.

152:21

It's different for everybody looking

152:22

right now. Check this video out and I

152:24

bet you you might love

Interactive Summary

The video features a conversation between Nick Hanauer and Daniel Priestley about the state of the economy, the decline of the middle class, and the role of government and entrepreneurship. They discuss the impact of technology, globalization, and 'neoliberal' economic policies that favor big corporations over small businesses. While Hanauer advocates for structural reforms like higher minimum wages and taxing corporations based on where customers are, Priestley emphasizes the importance of ownership and supporting small, local businesses to increase agency and optionality for individuals. They both agree on the necessity of breaking up strategic monopolies, the flaws in current economic paradigms, and the potential for a more inclusive, entrepreneurial-focused economy.

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