Former UN Ambassador Bolton Concerned About Iran Regime Change
59 segments
Ambassador, you are a long time critic of Iran, but I'm wondering what you
think about these strikes and how they were carried out and if they were legal
under presidential authority. Well, I think the the objectives of the
strikes are clearly correct and proper. Eliminating the threat of Iran's nuclear
weapons program, its ballistic missile program, its long history dating back to
when it came to power in 1979 of international terrorism, particularly
against Americans and its repression of its own people, which Donald Trump drew
a red line against back in January and said that help was on its way and didn't
come until earlier today. So I think the objectives are clear.
This is manifestly within the president's constitutional commander in
chief authority. The Gang of Eight were briefed on this
on Tuesday. And if Congress doesn't like it,
Congress can cut off appropriations. That's where congressional power comes
in. Ambassador Bolton, if you were to take
that book off the shelf, John Bolton's plan for regime change in Iran, how
closely would it shield what we've seen take place here today?
I'm curious what you make of the means by which the president decided to do
this, the the element of surprise so much as there was one here and the
cooperation with Israel on these attacks?
Well, I think there are a couple of things that worry me.
In his statement in the very early morning hours today, when he told the
people of Iran that that he was finally delivering, he said.
Now you have a president who is giving you what you want, so let's see how you
respond. That doesn't sound like cooperation with
the opposition. Iran.
It sounds like a challenge. And I'm worried that that this is
campaign in the air. However important it may be for other
reasons has not been made clear to the people of Iran how
they can use the time to seek defections from within the regime to try and pull
it apart at the top. And I think it's something that when
autocratic regimes begin to fall, people look around to say, I want to be on the
winning side of this. And if they think the regime is in
danger, they could well defect to the opposition.
I think it said coordination with opposition leaders and their
disorganized opposition, to be sure. But I feel a lot better if if I knew
there was more to that. And second, I just I worry about the
potential that after a couple three days, Trump declares, okay, that's
victory. And now it's up to the people of Iran.
That's that's not going to be enough. It's not a one and done kind of
operation. These attacks, I think, as they destroy
the instruments of Iranian state power, can be very effective.
But but it remains to be seen if Trump will carry it through.
That's what we were just talking about. You break it, you bought it.
If if the U.S. does, in fact, destroy this regime, what
should the U.S. set up in order to facilitate some sort
of democratic transition in that country?
Is that even possible, given the decades long repression of civil society?
Who leads Iran if the Ayatollah does not?
Well, that's going to be up to the Iranians, and I don't think it's up to
us to set it. I don't buy the Pottery Barn rule.
I buy American national security interest, which are threatened by the
nuclear program, the ballistic missile program and decades of terrorism.
I think we should certainly help the Iranians in in many different ways.
But ultimately, it's up to them. I think the most likely near-term
outcome of the fall of the ayatollahs and the Revolutionary Guard will be a
military government, a secular military government, not the Revolutionary Guard,
but the conventional military that will hopefully then allow the Iranian people
to have some kind of constitutional process to decide on what
they want their new government to look like.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
Ambassador John Bolton supports the objectives of the strikes against Iran, viewing them as crucial for eliminating Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile threats, terrorism, and repression. He believes the strikes are within the president's constitutional authority. However, Bolton expresses concern about the president's communication strategy, which he feels sounds more like a challenge than an invitation for cooperation with the Iranian opposition, and worries that the operation might be perceived as a "one and done" event, which he deems insufficient. He emphasizes the importance of supporting Iranian opposition leaders. Regarding the aftermath of a potential regime destruction, Bolton asserts that the U.S. should prioritize its national security interests rather than adhering to a "Pottery Barn rule." He anticipates that a secular military government would likely emerge after the fall of the current regime, eventually paving the way for the Iranian people to establish their own constitutional process.
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