HomeVideos

Former UN Ambassador Bolton Concerned About Iran Regime Change

Now Playing

Former UN Ambassador Bolton Concerned About Iran Regime Change

Transcript

59 segments

0:00

Ambassador, you are a long time critic of Iran, but I'm wondering what you

0:04

think about these strikes and how they were carried out and if they were legal

0:08

under presidential authority. Well, I think the the objectives of the

0:12

strikes are clearly correct and proper. Eliminating the threat of Iran's nuclear

0:18

weapons program, its ballistic missile program, its long history dating back to

0:24

when it came to power in 1979 of international terrorism, particularly

0:28

against Americans and its repression of its own people, which Donald Trump drew

0:33

a red line against back in January and said that help was on its way and didn't

0:39

come until earlier today. So I think the objectives are clear.

0:42

This is manifestly within the president's constitutional commander in

0:46

chief authority. The Gang of Eight were briefed on this

0:50

on Tuesday. And if Congress doesn't like it,

0:53

Congress can cut off appropriations. That's where congressional power comes

0:57

in. Ambassador Bolton, if you were to take

0:59

that book off the shelf, John Bolton's plan for regime change in Iran, how

1:02

closely would it shield what we've seen take place here today?

1:05

I'm curious what you make of the means by which the president decided to do

1:09

this, the the element of surprise so much as there was one here and the

1:12

cooperation with Israel on these attacks?

1:15

Well, I think there are a couple of things that worry me.

1:17

In his statement in the very early morning hours today, when he told the

1:22

people of Iran that that he was finally delivering, he said.

1:27

Now you have a president who is giving you what you want, so let's see how you

1:31

respond. That doesn't sound like cooperation with

1:35

the opposition. Iran.

1:36

It sounds like a challenge. And I'm worried that that this is

1:40

campaign in the air. However important it may be for other

1:45

reasons has not been made clear to the people of Iran how

1:50

they can use the time to seek defections from within the regime to try and pull

1:56

it apart at the top. And I think it's something that when

1:58

autocratic regimes begin to fall, people look around to say, I want to be on the

2:03

winning side of this. And if they think the regime is in

2:06

danger, they could well defect to the opposition.

2:09

I think it said coordination with opposition leaders and their

2:14

disorganized opposition, to be sure. But I feel a lot better if if I knew

2:19

there was more to that. And second, I just I worry about the

2:23

potential that after a couple three days, Trump declares, okay, that's

2:29

victory. And now it's up to the people of Iran.

2:31

That's that's not going to be enough. It's not a one and done kind of

2:34

operation. These attacks, I think, as they destroy

2:37

the instruments of Iranian state power, can be very effective.

2:41

But but it remains to be seen if Trump will carry it through.

2:46

That's what we were just talking about. You break it, you bought it.

2:48

If if the U.S. does, in fact, destroy this regime, what

2:53

should the U.S. set up in order to facilitate some sort

2:57

of democratic transition in that country?

2:58

Is that even possible, given the decades long repression of civil society?

3:03

Who leads Iran if the Ayatollah does not?

3:06

Well, that's going to be up to the Iranians, and I don't think it's up to

3:09

us to set it. I don't buy the Pottery Barn rule.

3:12

I buy American national security interest, which are threatened by the

3:16

nuclear program, the ballistic missile program and decades of terrorism.

3:21

I think we should certainly help the Iranians in in many different ways.

3:26

But ultimately, it's up to them. I think the most likely near-term

3:30

outcome of the fall of the ayatollahs and the Revolutionary Guard will be a

3:35

military government, a secular military government, not the Revolutionary Guard,

3:40

but the conventional military that will hopefully then allow the Iranian people

3:45

to have some kind of constitutional process to decide on what

3:49

they want their new government to look like.

Interactive Summary

Ambassador John Bolton supports the objectives of the strikes against Iran, viewing them as crucial for eliminating Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile threats, terrorism, and repression. He believes the strikes are within the president's constitutional authority. However, Bolton expresses concern about the president's communication strategy, which he feels sounds more like a challenge than an invitation for cooperation with the Iranian opposition, and worries that the operation might be perceived as a "one and done" event, which he deems insufficient. He emphasizes the importance of supporting Iranian opposition leaders. Regarding the aftermath of a potential regime destruction, Bolton asserts that the U.S. should prioritize its national security interests rather than adhering to a "Pottery Barn rule." He anticipates that a secular military government would likely emerge after the fall of the current regime, eventually paving the way for the Iranian people to establish their own constitutional process.

Suggested questions

5 ready-made prompts