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Why can't Trump end the Iran war?

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Why can't Trump end the Iran war?

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169 segments

0:00

It's 100 days since the latest war in

0:02

the Middle East began. The Straight of

0:03

Hormuz is still blocked. Iran and Israel

0:07

are still lobbing missiles at one

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another at times of their own choosing

0:10

and in places including obviously

0:12

Lebanon that spread the conflict. Donald

0:15

Trump, despite his vast military, dances

0:18

around on the sidelines shouting insults

0:20

in Netanyahu and Thran and endlessly

0:23

promising the peace that never quite

0:25

comes. I'm joined next tonight by

0:27

somebody whose insight and analysis are

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always worth it. John Brennan, the

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former head of the CIA. Mr. Brennan,

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welcome back to the show. It's great to

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have you here. Can I ask you to explain

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to people listening first of all some of

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the domestic pressures that are now on

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Trump's shoulders as he desperately

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tries to get this peace deal to work?

0:46

>> Well, Andrew, I think the pressures are

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both on the political front and on the

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economic front. I think on the political

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front, there are members even of Donald

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Trump's Republican party that are tiring

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of what's going on in terms of the

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continued war um that even if there's a

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ceasefire, we still have a large

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deployment of troops. It's expensive and

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also there are these violations of

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ceasefires that I think are bothering a

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lot of the Republicans. And so we've

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seen Republicans in the House of

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Representatives split from the from the

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party and vote for a war resolution uh

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act that would in fact force the

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president to stop the war. Um also

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though I think more fundamentally is the

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continued high price of oil and what

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it's meaning as far as at the gas pump

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is concerned particularly during the

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summer months when a lot of Americans

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are traveling uh on their vacations and

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the price of oil has got gone skyhigh.

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Uh this is something that I think is

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putting pressure on Donald Trump and

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even his advisers at the White House. So

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they recognize that not only is there a

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problem as far as no near-term

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resolution of this conflict, but also

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the continuation of it is having a both

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a political and economic cost,

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especially the concerns in the run-up to

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the November midterm elections.

2:00

>> And in terms of how he's responding to

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that pressure, uh President Trump seems

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to be quite close to boiling point. I

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mean the the profanity littered to phone

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call that he had with Netanyahu and

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other evidence is that he is getting

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deeply deeply frustrated and worried

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about his own inability to stop a war he

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started.

2:19

>> Yes. Even though he says he doesn't care

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really about the impact it's having

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politically and even dismissed potential

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impact on the midterm saying that the

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economic pressures on the American

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citizen uh is not a concern to him. Uh

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it clearly is as you point out. I think

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we see these outbursts of temper, his

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frustrations. Uh he just walked off the

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set of a a recent interview with Meet

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the Press just the other day. Uh and

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also these profanity profanity laced

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tirades that he's reportedly having with

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Netanyahu. So clearly the frustration is

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getting to him, but you know publicly he

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continues to say that everything is in

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control. But again, I think it just

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demonstrates that he doesn't have a good

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sense of how he can get out of this

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problem and also the fact that BB

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Netanyahu is also complicating it even

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more. Uh the Israeli lobby used to be

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one of the most powerful forces around

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Washington. What is all this doing to

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that?

3:17

I think they're losing support uh again

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because it's having such a political and

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economic cost in the United States. Uh

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especially when uh the Netanyahu

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government continues to violate some of

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these ceasefires uh these strikes in

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Lebanon and on the outskirts of Beirut.

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Uh the Israelis whenever they are able

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to geollocate one of the leaders of

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Hezbollah or Hamas uh they don't care

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about any type of you know ceasefire.

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They will go after them. And this is

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something that causes then this recent

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escalation and the the strikes between

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Iran and Israel. And so this is

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increasing danger that we could lead to

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it could lead to a a full-blown, you

3:58

know, um outbreak of hostilities once

4:00

again. So, uh, Donald Trump has to find

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a way to tell Netanyahu in no uncertain

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terms not to take these actions because,

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again, they just set back any prospects

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for any type of near-term, not

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resolution of this conflict, but a an

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ability to make sure that this does not

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uh flame up again.

4:20

>> And John, I noticed that President Trump

4:22

was, as it were, making nice to Thran in

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some of his recent comments. Do you

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think he's got any leverage there at all

4:28

at the moment?

4:30

Well, I think the Iranians know that

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they now have more cards than Donald

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Trump has. And Donald Trump's

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traditional way of trying to get himself

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out of these fixes is to flatter his

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adversaries and to make promises to

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them. But I I do think that there's a

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real absence of trust. And I think the

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Iranians know that they really can't

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trust Donald Trump uh given that he was

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the one that tore up the the previous

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Iranian nuclear deal. But also I think

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there's real suspicion on the part of

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the White House that they can trust the

4:59

Iranians. Uh so I think that trust

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deficit not just between Iran and United

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States but also between uh Tel Aviv and

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Washington. Uh I think this is again

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further eroding the prospects for some

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near-term progress. And so does this

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mean that around the world all those

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nations and businesses and consumers

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desperate for the straight of Hormuz to

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be reopened that the bleak but blunt

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message is no time soon?

5:26

>> Well, I do think it's going to be up to

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Donald Trump and Netanyahu to make some

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concessions that they find difficult to

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swallow. And on the US side, there has

5:35

to be concessions about some type of

5:38

sanctions relief on Iran, uh lifting the

5:40

blockade on the Iranian ports and maybe

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unfreezing some of the assets. Uh and

5:45

unfortunately, I think Donald Trump is

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realizing that he's not going to get a

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better deal than President Obama got in

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the joint comprehensive plan of action.

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So, he's going to have to swallow some

5:55

pride. Uh again, Donald Trump will

5:57

misrepresent the facts. So, he can

5:59

always claim, you know, that he got much

6:01

more out of the Iranians than he

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actually did. But again, he's going to

6:04

have to give the Iranians something

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tangible. And it's really on the

6:07

economic financial front that the

6:08

Iranians really need relief. A tricky

6:11

and potentially humiliating moment for

6:13

the

Interactive Summary

This segment discusses the political and economic pressures facing Donald Trump regarding the ongoing Middle East conflict, specifically the blocked Strait of Hormuz, rising oil prices, and the instability of the ceasefire agreements. Former CIA director John Brennan offers insight into Trump's frustration with Netanyahu and his failed attempts at diplomacy, suggesting that progress requires difficult concessions on sanctions and an acknowledgement that a better deal than the original Iran nuclear agreement is likely unattainable.

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