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Trump's Ballroom, US Attorneys & Kalshi Loses | Bloomberg Law

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Trump's Ballroom, US Attorneys & Kalshi Loses | Bloomberg Law

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892 segments

0:02

[music] This is Bloomberg Law with June

0:05

Graasso from Bloomberg Radio.

0:11

One thing I know how to do is build. And

0:13

so we put a brand new uh face on the

0:16

front of the White House on the ground,

0:18

the cars will pull up and this is what

0:20

should have as opposed to the asphalt

0:24

which was literally they had potholes in

0:26

it. President Trump has spent much of

0:28

his second presidential term trying to

0:31

leave his mark on the White House

0:33

complex and throughout DC. And the White

0:36

House ballroom has been the centerpiece

0:38

of that campaign.

0:40

>> I think it'll be the finest ballroom of

0:42

its kind anywhere in the world. On

0:44

Monday, in a 5 to4 vote, the Supreme

0:47

Court cleared the way for construction

0:49

to continue with a procedural ruling

0:52

over the dissents of the Chief Justice

0:54

and the court's three liberals. Will

0:57

that decision present a new higher

0:59

hurdle for the legal challenges to

1:02

Trump's other projects like the

1:04

construction of a 250 foot arch,

1:07

painting the granite exterior of the

1:10

19th century Eisenhower Executive Office

1:13

building, renovating the Kennedy Center,

1:16

and building a championship level golf

1:18

course near the Jefferson Memorial. My

1:21

guest is Tracy Fight Love, founder and

1:24

executive director of Lawyers for Good

1:26

Government. Tracy, so the majority on

1:30

the Supreme Court found that the

1:32

historic preservation group that sued

1:36

did not have standing. Tell us more

1:38

about that.

1:40

>> So basically the court did not rule that

1:43

President Trump has the authority to

1:46

build the ballroom. What they did rule

1:49

is that the particular plaintiffs that

1:51

initiated this lawsuit are not allowed

1:55

to challenge it. When you say someone

1:56

doesn't have the standing, it means they

1:58

don't have the legal right to challenge

2:00

a particular action. It does not mean

2:03

the action that they're challenging was

2:05

legal. Do you think that the Supreme

2:08

Court often uses standing as sort of an

2:12

offramp that allows it to avoid making a

2:15

decision on the merits until it's too

2:18

late?

2:19

>> Yes. Yes, I do think that. And the

2:22

reason I think that is because there

2:23

have been too many instances over the

2:26

years when the court seems to find that

2:29

someone does have standing if it relates

2:31

to an issue that they want to see

2:32

decided in a particular way and someone

2:34

else doesn't have standing because they

2:37

don't want to get to the merits of a

2:38

particular issue. That distinction

2:41

really really matters. I mean, when you

2:43

look at the decision, the only four

2:45

justices who addressed the legality of

2:48

the actual ballroom project all

2:50

concluded that it was likely unlawful.

2:53

That includes Chief Justice Roberts, who

2:55

emphasized that Congress has not

2:57

expressly authorized this construction.

2:59

So, it does seem in this instance that

3:02

possibly standing was an easy out for

3:05

them.

3:05

>> It's not a typical case where someone is

3:08

injured and obviously has standing. Do

3:12

you think it's a harder case to make

3:14

outstanding here than usual?

3:17

>> Yeah, this was not clear-cut in terms of

3:19

the standing question. The real issue is

3:22

when you look at the overarching pattern

3:24

of decisions about standing. For

3:27

example, in this case, when they

3:29

concluded that the National Trust lacked

3:32

standing, they said it was because the

3:34

aesthetic or historical injuries that

3:37

the plaintiffs were asserting were not

3:39

sufficiently concrete or particularized.

3:42

But there is other precedent, Supreme

3:44

Court precedent that has in some

3:46

instances recognized aesthetic injuries

3:49

as being sufficient for a standing. For

3:51

instance, in environmental and

3:52

conservation cases when plaintiffs

3:54

actually use or observe the place or

3:56

resource that's being affected. So, it

3:59

was a close question and I think because

4:03

it could be perceived as close, it gave

4:06

them the room to maneuver that they

4:08

wanted in order to not stop the ballroom

4:11

construction.

4:13

>> I mean, we don't often see the chief

4:14

justice in descent with the three

4:16

liberals. How surprising is that? Yeah,

4:20

I mean it's I'll admit I'm not often

4:23

surprised anymore at all about what

4:25

these Supreme Court justices do, but I

4:29

think it does speak to the fact that

4:31

this is not a partisan question. The

4:33

issue of standing was not decided along

4:36

the basis of who appointed which

4:38

justice. Right? That means that this

4:41

issue may have even been closer than the

4:44

court wants to admit. So, I think it's

4:46

interesting that Justice Roberts

4:49

actually agreed that the substantive

4:51

question, the actual question of whether

4:54

that ballroom was legally being

4:56

constructed was probably going to be

5:00

answered in the negative.

5:02

>> It was a pretty strong disscent and he

5:05

said that the majority's order is no

5:07

victory for the separation of powers.

5:10

The court's conservatives have given in

5:12

to Trump on so many issues, especially

5:15

on the emergency docket. Do you think

5:18

he's suddenly realizing that there's a

5:20

separation of powers problem arising

5:23

from these decisions?

5:25

>> I hope he's realizing it. I don't know

5:27

if it's sudden or if this is something

5:29

that he's been willing to accept up

5:31

until a certain point, but this is

5:33

fundamentally a story about separation

5:36

of powers and the rule of law. We can't

5:38

allow the rule of law to be act first,

5:41

ask permission later. Standing matters

5:44

obviously, but if these procedural

5:47

barriers are repeatedly preventing

5:49

anyone from challenging potentially

5:51

unlawful executive action, then the

5:54

question is who can actually hold the

5:56

president accountable? And are the

5:58

checks and balances that the

5:59

constitution meant to set out really in

6:03

existence now in a meaningful way? The

6:05

administration has been doing this over

6:09

and over again in different areas. You

6:11

know, deporting people before things can

6:14

get into court, cutting off funding

6:16

before things can get into court. And

6:18

you know, the Supreme Court except in a

6:20

couple of instances,

6:22

tariffs and birthright citizenship has

6:26

allowed the president to do this.

6:29

>> That's correct. This court has shown a

6:31

remarkable unwillingness to

6:35

hold the executive branch accountable to

6:39

the constitutional limits that it is

6:41

meant to operate within. I'm running out

6:44

of words to describe how dangerous it is

6:46

to be in a situation where the actions

6:49

of the executive branch are not being

6:52

effectively checked or challenged by

6:55

either of the other two branches. But

6:57

that is the situation we have found

6:59

ourselves in.

6:59

>> Obviously the the administration is

7:02

making an argument that the president

7:03

has the authority to build this. But I

7:05

mean is there any real substantive legal

7:09

authority that contradicts what the

7:11

courts below have said which is that a

7:16

project like the ballroom needs

7:18

congressional approval. Basically, do

7:21

the plaintiffs have a really strong

7:23

argument about Congress's role here?

7:27

>> Yes. I mean, the the circuit court that

7:29

ruled on this issue expressly said that

7:32

Congress has constitutional authority

7:34

over federal property and that it was a

7:36

problem that Congress had not authorized

7:38

this project. And the Supreme Court did

7:41

not find otherwise. All the Supreme

7:43

Court really said was that this

7:46

particular plaintiff couldn't challenge

7:48

it.

7:49

You know, I'm I'm a little um usually

7:52

you have an injunction that will

7:53

preserve the status quo as a lawsuit

7:56

goes on, but this is an injunction that

7:59

is allowing the ballroom to go forward.

8:02

It's already 65% built and by the time

8:05

this gets back, if it ever does, to the

8:07

Supreme Court, it'll likely be done. So,

8:10

it's not preserving the status quo.

8:13

>> No, it is not. And I personally,

8:16

although I cannot read the justice's

8:18

minds, um I can't obviously speak for

8:21

them, but it doesn't seem to me that the

8:23

court as a whole is really trying to

8:27

manage or maintain the status quo here.

8:29

It's pretty clear to me that they're

8:33

very willing to allow the construction

8:35

to proceed, understanding that that

8:37

means it will be nearly impossible to

8:39

undo and that effectively the president

8:41

has just been granted the authority to

8:43

do what he should not have the authority

8:46

to do.

8:47

>> This administration mentions national

8:49

security. It seems to me like in almost

8:51

every argument there's a national

8:53

security reason. I mean, did they

8:55

actually buy that this is required for

8:59

national security? National security

9:01

wasn't the initial focus. Trump has been

9:03

wanting to build this ballroom since

9:06

Barack Obama was in office. I mean, he's

9:08

always wanted to have a ballroom. Then

9:10

all of a sudden, they came up with

9:11

national security reasons.

9:14

>> National security is one of those

9:16

phrases that the administration likes to

9:18

throw out there because they believe

9:20

that it grants them almost unlimited

9:22

powers. It's an easy way for them to

9:25

make the argument that they should be

9:26

allowed to do whatever they want to do.

9:29

And because they are unilaterally making

9:31

these declarations of when there is or

9:33

isn't a national emergency, it's very

9:35

hard to put any checks on that. And

9:36

that's exactly why they use that phrase

9:38

so often. There is nothing inherently

9:41

national security related to a ballroom.

9:44

I understand that there is meant to be

9:45

something constructed underneath the new

9:47

ballroom that may be relevant to

9:49

national security, but that's a separate

9:51

question. Trump is trying to remake DC

9:54

in different ways. He keeps trying to

9:56

put his name up on the Kennedy Center. I

9:58

mean, we have the reflecting pool. He

10:00

wants to build this arch. Will this

10:03

decision by the Supreme Court lead him

10:06

to start building the arch? Is the arch

10:09

next?

10:10

>> It could be. [laughter] Like I said

10:12

about the justices, I can't understand

10:14

or predict what happens inside the mind

10:17

of this president or his colleagues. But

10:20

it does seem that the president here has

10:23

been set in a way that establishes for

10:26

practical purposes. If the president is

10:29

willing to move quickly enough, he will

10:31

be allowed to get away with it. And that

10:33

means we need Congress to step up and be

10:37

willing to do its job. If the Supreme

10:39

Court is unwilling to put any meaningful

10:41

checks on the authority of this

10:43

president, the only branch of government

10:45

left that is capable of doing that is

10:48

Congress.

10:49

>> Do you think that other groups can try

10:51

to sue over the ballroom or it's too

10:54

late for that?

10:55

>> I mean, it's theoretically possible that

10:58

another group could try. My hunch is

11:02

that the litigators, the lawyers who

11:05

brought this suit did their best to find

11:06

the plaintiff that they thought would be

11:08

most likely to have standing. But is it

11:11

possible that there's another group out

11:12

there that might be deemed to have

11:15

standing? It's possible. I think it's

11:17

unlikely that that will happen.

11:19

>> We'll see if this decision has any

11:22

impact on the many other cases

11:26

challenging Trump's projects. Thanks so

11:29

much, Tracy. That's Tracy Fight Love,

11:32

executive director and founder of

11:34

Lawyers for Good Government.

11:37

The Department of Justice has repeatedly

11:40

been trying to install loyalists to run

11:43

US attorneys offices around the country

11:46

without Senate approval. The first

11:48

well-known case was that of Trump's

11:50

personal attorney, Alina Haba, to head

11:53

the New Jersey US Attorney's Office. And

11:56

of course, there was Trump's personal

11:58

attorney, Lindseay Halligan, to head the

12:00

Eastern District of Virginia office.

12:03

Halagan's disqualification prompted the

12:05

dismissal of criminal cases against New

12:08

York Attorney General Leticia James and

12:11

former FBI Director James Comey, both on

12:15

Trump's enemies list. two circuit courts

12:18

of appeals, the second circuit and the

12:20

Ninth Circuit ruled against the Justice

12:23

Department's legal maneuvers to try to

12:26

get around federal vacancy laws, finding

12:29

that the acting heads of the US

12:31

attorney's offices in Nevada and the

12:34

Northern District of New York were

12:36

properly disqualified. Joining me is an

12:39

Joseph Okonnell, a professor at Stanford

12:41

Law School. Let's go back for a second

12:44

and explain what the Trump

12:46

administration has been trying to do

12:48

repeatedly to get the people they want

12:52

running US attorneys offices across the

12:54

country without going through the Senate

12:58

confirmation process.

13:00

>> They seem to have a specific pattern

13:02

though they have deviated from it in

13:04

particular districts and that specific

13:07

pattern went as follows. administration

13:10

comes in, they turn to a provision

13:14

called 28USC546,

13:17

which allows the attorney general to

13:19

pick anyone to serve as an acting US

13:22

attorney for 120 days. Usually what

13:25

would happen at the end of the 120 days,

13:28

the district court in that relevant

13:30

district would extend that person until

13:33

someone could be nominated and confirmed

13:35

for the spot. But that's where it went a

13:38

bit astray in this administration where

13:41

some of these district courts refused to

13:43

extend the service of the person who had

13:46

been put in for 120 days. So what the

13:48

administration did next is typically a

13:51

few days before the 120 days ran out,

13:54

they would name that person under a

13:56

different statute, the Federal Vacancies

13:58

Reform Act of 1998,

14:01

and they would give that person the

14:03

title the first assistant to the US

14:05

attorney of the relevant district. And

14:08

they argued that under the vacancies act

14:10

that first assistant automatically

14:13

became the acting US attorney. Or if

14:17

that was not permitted this idea of post

14:20

vacancy first assistance if that was not

14:23

permitted in the alternative the first

14:26

assistant could carry out all of the

14:29

duties of the job through what's known

14:31

as delegation.

14:33

And that all generated a lot of

14:36

litigation. Yeah. So, let's talk about

14:38

the the latest, which was the second

14:41

circuit ruling about the top federal

14:44

prosecutor in Albany. Explain their

14:47

decision.

14:48

>> Sure. So, John Cone followed this

14:51

pattern. He was the interim US attorney

14:53

of the Northern District of New York,

14:55

refused to extend him. He's slotted in

14:57

as the first assistant, uses the title

15:00

the acting US attorney, and litigation

15:03

follows. And what this case decided

15:06

which was titled the in ray of the grand

15:08

jury subpoenas to the office of the New

15:10

York State Attorney General decided two

15:13

issues. The first issue is whether the

15:16

federal vacancies reform act of 1998

15:19

allows a post vacancy first assistant to

15:23

use the acting title. And then second,

15:26

assuming that the answer to the first is

15:28

no, whether the alternative of then

15:31

delegating all of the functions of the

15:34

job to him as a special assistant or

15:36

first assistant, though not using the

15:39

acting title, could work as an

15:41

alternative.

15:43

And uh the second circuit in a split

15:45

decision there was a disscent held that

15:48

the answer to each of the questions was

15:50

no. That the vacancies act did not allow

15:52

a post vacancy first assistant to use

15:54

the acting title. And two in the

15:57

alternative he alone could not be

16:00

delegated all of the functions of the

16:02

job. leaving open the question whether

16:06

the administration could delegate the

16:08

functions of the US attorney for the

16:10

northern district of New York to two or

16:13

more people.

16:15

>> You're an expert in this area. Do you

16:16

agree with the finding of the second

16:18

circuit?

16:20

>> I do not. which puts me in a bit of a

16:23

strange position as someone who is not a

16:25

fan of the administration but is a fan

16:29

of the vacancies act uh and the need for

16:31

government to function. I do think the

16:34

first ruling is a is a is a harder one

16:38

for me. I I I do think uh this idea of a

16:42

post vacancy first assistant is

16:45

difficult and indeed the vacancies act

16:47

was enacted in 1998 and initially the

16:50

office of legal counsel which sits in

16:52

the justice department and gives legal

16:54

opinions uh and is seen to be pretty

16:57

pro-executive right because it's giving

16:59

legal opinions to the executive branch.

17:02

Its initial take was that you could not

17:04

have post vacancy first assistance which

17:07

is the decision that the second circuit

17:09

reached the ninth circuit a few days

17:11

before and then months before that the

17:13

third circuit but a few years later OLC

17:16

changed its mind and said no actually

17:18

post vacancy first assistance are okay

17:21

under the statute. The language is a bit

17:23

of a mess and the legislative history is

17:26

a bit of a mess. And definitely in terms

17:28

of the purpose of the statute, the idea

17:30

was not to have this strategic

17:33

maneuvering of putting people in to the

17:36

first assistance slot after the vacancy

17:38

to kind of then elevate them. The kind

17:40

of purpose was that the default would be

17:43

the person who was already there. So I

17:45

think that first question really could

17:47

go either way. It's the second question

17:50

which has larger ramifications and where

17:53

I feel a bit more strongly about my uh

17:56

disagreement. But we're going to have

17:57

some answers soon presumably because the

18:00

Ninth Circuit reached the same two

18:03

answers and the government has asked the

18:06

Ninth Circuit to stay its decision while

18:09

it files the CIR petition which it

18:11

promises to do by early October. So

18:14

since you have agreement among the

18:16

circuits so far, I mean do you think the

18:19

Supreme Court would take this case?

18:22

>> So you have agreement on the first

18:23

question but not the second question. So

18:26

until this administration, we didn't

18:28

actually have an appellet ruling about

18:30

post vacancy first assistance. It was

18:33

commonly done by uh administrations on

18:36

the left and administrations on the

18:38

right, but we actually didn't have an

18:40

appelllet decision either way. Now, we

18:43

do have three appellet decisions,

18:45

second, third, and ninth, that say no

18:47

post, vacancy, first assistance. If that

18:50

was the only question, no circus split.

18:52

Why would the court take it? Looks like

18:54

the administration has lost. Though, I

18:56

would say sometimes the court does take

18:58

cases where the government is the one

19:00

who's lost in a variety of circuits.

19:02

It's the second question where there is

19:05

a circuit split where the federal

19:07

circuit years ago uh after the Supreme

19:11

Court decided a case called Arthrex

19:13

which was about various uh

19:16

constitutional law principles with

19:18

regard to kind of who selects and who

19:20

removes the patent trademark and appeals

19:22

board judges. That case then kind of

19:25

still had other issues to resolve. Uh

19:27

once the court kind of said that the

19:29

head of the PTO had to have control over

19:32

these PTAB judges. And when it went back

19:35

down to the lower courts, there was an

19:37

acting head of the PTO exercising

19:40

through delegation all of these duties

19:43

of the vacant position. And uh this

19:46

second issue was raised then about

19:48

delegation under the vacancies act

19:50

whether you could delegate all the

19:52

non-exclusive functions to one person

19:54

and the federal circuit said yes relying

19:57

um on a different but related provision

20:00

of the vacancies act. So now you have

20:02

the federal circuit on one side saying

20:04

you can't delegate exclusive duties but

20:07

anything that's non-exclusive and

20:09

everyone thinks that almost everything

20:10

is non-exclusive is okay. So you have

20:13

the federal circuit and me and a few

20:15

others on one side and then you have the

20:18

second, third and ninth circuit in the

20:19

US attorney context, a different context

20:22

on the other side. So I think that does

20:24

tea up a nice circuit split for the

20:26

court to resolve and I think it also has

20:28

really large implications. So I think

20:30

it's important for the court to resolve.

20:32

So if the court thinks the vacancies act

20:34

does not allow this as the second,

20:36

third, and nth circuits have found, I

20:38

think Congress would want to legislate

20:40

at least some sort of solution to help

20:43

new administrations function. I mean,

20:45

doesn't that then enable an

20:46

administration to bypass the advice and

20:50

consent of of the Senate?

20:52

>> Yes. So nothing is ideal and we've had

20:55

actings since the start of the country

20:59

uh in the late 18th century. The idea is

21:02

we have to find the right balance. We

21:04

have to find a balance that of course

21:06

incentivizes the White House to

21:08

nominate, incentivizes the Senate to

21:11

confirm, but also allows the government

21:13

to function while those procedures

21:16

churn. So maybe a middle path might be,

21:20

okay, we're going to allow delegation

21:23

so long as a nomination is pending or

21:26

we're going to allow delegation for a

21:28

certain number of days at the start of

21:30

an administration because we know it

21:33

takes time to get those nominations in

21:36

and then you're going to have, you know,

21:38

less ability to do these things because

21:40

right now we're coming up on the 2-year

21:42

mark and we still have these US attorney

21:45

offices, you working kind of in

21:48

non-traditional ways. Now, part of that

21:49

problem I also have to say the

21:51

administration would say, and again, I'm

21:53

not a defender of the administration,

21:55

but the administration might say, well,

21:57

let's look at some of these districts

21:59

where we don't have confirmed US

22:00

attorneys. Part of the reason we don't

22:02

have confirmed US attorneys is we still

22:04

have a blue slip process that's in

22:07

place. And so if you have a district in

22:09

a state where the senators are not at

22:12

the same party of as the White House,

22:14

you're not going to get confirmed people

22:17

in. And so you could, as this

22:19

administration has pushed, try to remove

22:21

the blue slip process. I think the

22:22

senators, even Republican senators have

22:25

held fast even now to that tradition.

22:28

And to just look back one

22:29

administration, President Biden at the

22:31

end of his first year only had a third

22:33

of the US attorney spots filled by his

22:36

confirmed picks. That was actually a

22:38

Bloomberg law analysis uh that did that

22:41

at the end of his first year. So it's

22:43

trying to find a balance. I think you

22:44

also have to think about the level of

22:46

position. I mean, US attorneys are

22:49

reviewed by the attorney general, and so

22:51

maybe we should have more concern about

22:53

who is the attorney general and less

22:56

openness to having an acting attorney

22:59

general than maybe people who serve

23:01

below that higher position.

23:04

>> It seems like some courts are allowing

23:06

these prosecutors to remain in their

23:09

positions in the US Attorney's Office as

23:12

the litigation plays out. But then

23:15

doesn't that open up the office to

23:19

challenges of judgments or verdicts that

23:22

are reached if it's finally determined

23:25

that that prosecutor shouldn't have been

23:27

in charge? we are seeing. So I said, oh

23:30

the second, the third, the ninth

23:32

circuit, they've all agreed on post

23:33

vacancy first assistance. They've all

23:35

agreed delegation is not allowed to one

23:37

person. They've actually differed in

23:40

what to do in the immediate cases that

23:44

raised those challenges. So in the

23:46

second circuit case, uh that involves

23:49

subpoenas and the second circuit held

23:52

that those subpoenas should be quashed.

23:55

But in other cases they said well this

23:58

these issues have come up on collateral

24:00

review and only certain issues can be

24:03

raised on collateral review and so we're

24:05

not going to change say whether the

24:07

indictment can go forward and then that

24:10

then leaves the question if in fact

24:11

those rulings are upheld by the supremes

24:14

whether you know those indictments could

24:17

then be thrown out or was the person

24:19

just one of many you know who signed the

24:21

indictment. So the indictment, you know,

24:23

if it kind of goes all the way through

24:25

conviction, that conviction could still

24:26

stand. But no matter what, there's going

24:29

to be litigation on what the remedy

24:31

should be in all of these individual

24:34

cases. And you've got to know the second

24:36

circuit case was a bit unusual because

24:38

it involves subpoenas to the the

24:40

attorney general of the state. But in

24:42

these other cases involving kind of

24:43

individual criminal defendants, each of

24:46

them is like raising these claims. And

24:48

so you're going to get all of this mess

24:50

to untangle.

24:52

>> A lot more litigation ahead then. Thanks

24:54

so much, An. That's Professor Anne

24:56

Joseph O'Connell of Stanford Law School.

25:00

Are sports prediction markets closer to

25:03

casinos or to Wall Street? That question

25:06

is being teed up for Supreme Court

25:09

review. Khi in the prediction markets

25:12

took a hit as the Ninth Circuit Court of

25:14

Appeals is allowing Nevada gaming

25:16

officials to continue cracking down on

25:19

the sports prediction markets as if

25:22

they're unlicensed sports books. A three

25:25

judge panel composed of all Trump

25:27

appointees said that Congress didn't

25:30

mean to make the CFTC the gambling

25:33

police through an amendment to federal

25:36

commodity law. The opinion differed

25:38

starkly from an April one from the third

25:41

circuit, which opens up a circuit split

25:44

that's likely to be decided by the

25:46

Supreme Court. My guest is Bloomberg

25:49

Intelligence senior litigation analyst

25:51

Elliot Stein. Elliot, explain the issue

25:54

in these cases. The issue is whether

25:56

event contracts based on sporting events

25:59

are derivatives that should be regulated

26:01

by the CFTC which is what Cali and Poly

26:04

Market and the CFTC itself want as

26:07

opposed to the states and gambling

26:10

organizations which say that these event

26:14

contracts really are gambling and should

26:16

be regulated by the states and if states

26:19

want to ban them the states should be

26:20

allowed to do that.

26:21

>> Okay. So now we had the ninth circuit

26:23

and this was a panel of Trump appointees

26:26

>> and tell us what they ruled last week.

26:29

>> Right. So three Trump appointees

26:30

basically ruled for the state of Nevada.

26:32

They affirmed the lower court's decision

26:34

that would allow Nevada uh to

26:36

preliminarily enjoy from offering uh

26:39

sports event contracts and potentially

26:41

other event contracts like election

26:43

contracts in the state of Nevada. The

26:46

Ninth Circuit affirmed the trial court

26:48

and said that these event contracts

26:52

don't meet the definition of swaps under

26:54

the Commodity Exchange Act. Commodity

26:56

Exchange Act gives the CFTC exclusive

26:59

jurisdiction over swaps that are traded

27:01

on DCM designated contract markets. And

27:04

since they're not swaps, they don't fall

27:05

under the CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction.

27:08

And therefore, they fall to the states

27:10

to regulate as gambling. So, Judge Ryan

27:13

Nelson said that sports event contracts

27:16

are in reality sports bets is not just

27:19

an I know it when I see it. Rather,

27:22

everyone, including Cali, knows it when

27:24

they see it.

27:25

>> Part of the problem is that in the past,

27:27

Khi has sort of advertised this as a way

27:29

to bet or gamble across all 50 states

27:32

legally. You know, Ky's argument though,

27:35

however, is that the regulation should

27:37

follow the instrument, not necessarily

27:40

the underlying risk. And so the

27:42

underlying risk may be the same, but

27:45

when you have an event contract, you

27:48

know, you have an exchange that

27:50

essentially offers it and then you have

27:52

two sides that are trading that are

27:54

counterparties to each other, the

27:56

exchange makes money, you know,

27:57

regardless of the trade, just like in in

28:00

a normal financial contract. Um whereas

28:04

when you have a traditional sports book,

28:07

you have a bookie and they're selling

28:09

directly to the consumer. the consumer

28:11

can't get in and out of that bet like

28:14

you could with a with an event contract.

28:17

>> So now this contradicts the third

28:20

circuit. Tell us what the third circuit

28:22

had decided.

28:23

>> Right. So the third circuit decided back

28:25

in April in a 2-1 decision. Again, all

28:28

judges uh were appointed by Republicans.

28:30

This is one of those issues that I don't

28:32

think really fits neatly along

28:33

ideological lines. The third circuit

28:36

ruled for Kshi and said yes, these event

28:39

contracts do meet the definition of

28:41

swaps and uh the exclusive jurisdiction

28:44

language of the commodity exchange act

28:46

preempts any states from regulating

28:49

these products.

28:50

>> So splitting the circuits y

28:52

>> and is the DFTC going to ask for a

28:54

Supreme Court review? So actually more

28:57

likely what's going to happen

28:58

immediately is that in the third circuit

29:01

case you just mentioned the state of New

29:03

Jersey was the losing party there. They

29:05

have until September 3rd which is in two

29:08

days to ask the Supreme Court to

29:10

petition the Supreme Court for Cert.

29:11

That deadline's already been extended a

29:13

couple times. It was initially July,

29:15

then it was pushed to August, then it

29:16

was pushed to September. I haven't seen

29:18

them ask for another extension. So I'm

29:20

expecting a C petition from the state of

29:22

New Jersey by September 3rd. Yeah,

29:24

because they said they're going to. Now,

29:26

so we also have the fourth and the sixth

29:29

circuit also heard arguments. Might the

29:32

Supreme Court wait until those decisions

29:35

come in?

29:36

>> I don't think they need to. You already

29:37

have a split. By the way, we also have

29:39

we're waiting for a decision from the

29:41

Massachusetts Supreme Court um on the

29:44

same issue. We have numerous trial court

29:48

rulings um the majority of which have

29:50

gone in the favor of the states. Um I

29:53

think you know this is an issue that

29:55

begs for clarity at this point. So I

29:57

don't know why the Supreme Court would

29:59

wait any longer if the state of New

30:01

Jersey petitions for certain.

30:03

>> So what is the position of the Trump

30:06

CFTC? I mean what's the framework? How

30:10

would they regulate these prediction

30:12

markets?

30:12

>> Right. They've come out in favor of Kshi

30:15

and the prediction markets and they say

30:17

that the statute is clear. These event

30:20

contracts should be treated as swaps.

30:23

There should be one national regulator

30:24

because this is a national market and

30:26

the CFTC should regulate it. They have

30:29

proposed a rule as well to clarify some

30:32

issues that were a little unclear in the

30:34

current rule which goes back you know

30:36

more than a dozen years right after

30:38

DoddFrank. And so the CFTC has come out

30:40

in favor of the prediction markets and

30:43

it's likely to finalize its rule making

30:46

potentially by the end of the year as

30:47

well. Trump has family ties to this

30:49

industry, doesn't he?

30:51

>> Yes. The short answer is yes. I believe

30:53

his sons are either advisers andor

30:56

investors in I believe Cal and or Poly

30:59

Market. And I think there was news this

31:00

morning that one of Don Junior's uh

31:04

investment groups is taking an

31:06

additional stake in um I forget exactly

31:08

which company may have been Poly Market.

31:10

>> What has the CFTC been doing to

31:13

supervise or regulate the prediction

31:16

markets? Yeah, I mean we we have seen um

31:19

insider trading cases brought some by

31:21

KCI I believe some by the CFTC and they

31:25

have promulgated this rulem to clarify

31:28

what they think are some ambiguities um

31:30

in in the CFTC's previous rule.

31:32

>> I mean do you think there would be

31:33

tighter regulation under the states and

31:35

that's why Khi and the prediction

31:37

markets don't want to be regulated by

31:38

the states?

31:39

>> I don't think that's the issue. Their

31:42

position is, you know, we should be

31:44

regulated, but the proper regulator

31:46

should be the CFTC because these

31:47

products really are national products

31:50

just like other exchanges are and the

31:53

CFTC is the natural regulator for that

31:55

and it has all the mechanisms and

31:58

surveillance apparatus in order to

32:00

regulate these markets.

32:01

>> In your BI note, you think that if this

32:04

goes to the Supreme Court, the Supreme

32:06

Court would rule in favor of Kshi. Why?

32:09

It's definitely a close call, which is

32:11

evident from all the different rulings

32:13

we've seen so far and from the circuit

32:15

split that we now have. I just think Khi

32:18

and the CFTC have the better statutory

32:21

argument here. I think the Commodity

32:23

Exchange Act has a very broad definition

32:25

of swap. I think the distinction that

32:28

the Ninth Circuit made, for example,

32:29

between events and outcomes is a

32:32

strained reading and doesn't really make

32:34

sense and it conflicts with the DC

32:35

circuits ruling from a couple years ago

32:38

that allowed election contracts um to go

32:41

forward. And I think the statute is

32:43

clear on the exclusive jurisdiction

32:45

language as well. And even the Ninth

32:46

Circuit said that the CFTC would have

32:50

exclusive jurisdiction and preempt the

32:53

states from regulating this if these

32:56

were considered swaps. It just disagreed

32:58

on the swaps issue.

32:59

>> Cali has been in all these I don't know

33:01

how much it's spent on legal fees

33:02

already, but

33:03

>> sure. Quite a bit. Yeah.

33:04

>> So why is it so important to the

33:06

prediction markets that they be

33:08

regulated by the CFTC rather than the

33:11

states? I mean, bottom line, forget the

33:13

legal stuff,

33:14

>> right? They don't want to have 50

33:16

different regulators essentially, which

33:19

is what's happening now cuz they're

33:20

getting sued peace meal by different

33:22

states. And so these contracts that

33:25

they're offering are really designed to

33:28

be national products, right? It

33:31

shouldn't be that you can offer a

33:33

contract in one state like in New Jersey

33:36

where the courts have allowed it so far,

33:38

but in Nevada you can't. And so it

33:41

becomes imagine if you you know you

33:42

could buy certain stocks in one state

33:44

but not in in another for example right

33:46

it's it's a cleaner regulatory regime

33:48

for them to have one federal regulator

33:50

as opposed to 50 state regulators

33:52

>> I mean gambling is different in in

33:54

states isn't it

33:56

>> right but that's again it's more like a

33:58

consumer transaction where you have um a

34:00

bookkeeper who's selling a bet to a

34:02

consumer who's buying it and and you

34:04

can't trade in and out of it which you

34:06

could do with event contracts. These

34:07

prediction markets are growing and

34:09

growing. I mean, what what kind of money

34:11

are we talking about?

34:12

>> Well, BI did a deep dive just a couple

34:15

months ago and thought that the the

34:17

overall market for prediction markets

34:18

could grow to about a trillion dollars

34:20

by 2030.

34:21

>> And before I let you go, we have to

34:23

mention that Khi has barred former

34:27

Congressman George Santos for life.

34:31

They've come down on a few politicians

34:33

who essentially are betting on their own

34:35

races. And this goes again to the

34:38

proposed rulemaking, right? They don't

34:40

want to have contracts that are easily

34:42

susceptible to manipulation. And if you

34:45

are a politician or you're someone like

34:48

George Santos who is betting on a

34:50

contract as to whether he'll attend the

34:52

State of the Union, right? Those are too

34:54

easy to manipulate. And so, you know, I

34:56

think that is an issue that we'll see a

34:58

lot of going forward. What types of

35:00

contracts are too easy to manipulate? In

35:02

the sports context, the proposed rule

35:04

making addresses that saying that, you

35:06

know, whether a player will be injured,

35:08

can't be the subject of a contract

35:10

because it's too easy to manipulate.

35:12

Whether a referee makes a certain call

35:14

is the same problem.

35:15

>> Okay, thanks Elliot. And we'll watch to

35:17

see how those two other circuit courts

35:20

decide. That's Bloomberg Intelligence

35:22

senior litigation analyst Elliot Stein.

35:26

And that's it for this edition of the

35:27

Bloomberg Law Show. Remember, you can

35:29

always get the latest legal news on our

35:31

Bloomberg Law podcast. You can find them

35:33

on Apple Podcast, Spotify, and at

35:36

www.bloomberg.com/mpodcast/law.

35:41

And remember to tune in to the Bloomberg

35:42

Law Show every week at 1000 p.m. Wall

35:45

Street [music] time. I'm June Graasso

35:47

and you're listening to Bloomberg.

Interactive Summary

This episode of Bloomberg Law explores several significant legal controversies involving the Trump administration and federal regulatory agencies. The discussion covers the Supreme Court's decision to allow the construction of a new White House ballroom despite concerns about standing and executive authority, the ongoing legal battles over the administration's attempts to install US attorneys without Senate confirmation, and the regulatory uncertainty surrounding sports prediction markets, with different federal circuits delivering conflicting rulings on whether they should be overseen by the CFTC or individual states.

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