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Bloom Energy Stock Could EXPLODE — Here’s My Strategy (BE)

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Bloom Energy Stock Could EXPLODE — Here’s My Strategy (BE)

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407 segments

0:00

Guys, we're going to talk about Bloom

0:01

Energy. This stock has a lot of implied

0:03

volatility, which is the focus of my

0:05

video today. I want to give you analysis

0:07

on Bloom Energy, and then I want to talk

0:09

about this implied volatility and what

0:11

we can do from it as option traders. So,

0:15

on August 19th, Bloom introduced Power

0:17

Connect, and for the past 2 weeks, my

0:20

community has been asking me a lot about

0:22

this stock, and I've covered it a couple

0:24

times on my channel. It's been very

0:26

interesting, but now I think this is a

0:28

perfect opportunity for investors to run

0:31

an option strategy that I'll discuss

0:33

later. But first, I want to give you a

0:34

breakdown of the technical analysis and

0:36

what I think is going to happen with

0:38

Bloom Energy next. So, take a look at

0:40

the chart right here. You can see that

0:41

Bloom Energy has basically spiked to

0:43

over $300 per share, and then the stock

0:46

has taken, you know, a nose dive all the

0:49

way down to under $200. The volatility

0:52

has been very intense, and what you see

0:55

right now from this fall is actually a

0:58

stabilization. So, here we have some

1:01

stabilizing activity in all of August

1:03

for the past 30 days, and this right

1:06

here, these black lines, this is a

1:07

Bollinger Band. This is one of the key

1:09

technical analysis tools that I teach

1:12

within my community. I've been teaching

1:13

the Bollinger Band for 6 years now, and

1:16

what I like about the Bollinger Band is

1:18

that it tells me the range where the

1:19

stock is likely to trade. So, what

1:21

happened on August 19th is Bloom

1:23

introduced Power Connect, which says

1:25

they can reduce on-site installation

1:27

time by more than 40%, and time is the

1:31

most important factor right now because

1:34

speed to power is actually the

1:35

bottleneck that I see. So, this is

1:37

really important because Bloom's biggest

1:39

advantage is speed to power already. So,

1:42

do you guys realize that speed to power

1:44

is Bloom's competitive advantage, but

1:46

now is August 19th, Bloom introduced

1:48

Power Connect, this actually reduces

1:50

their on-site installation time by more

1:52

than 40% further. This gives them a

1:55

significant competitive advantage, and

1:58

this is why I think that Bloom Energy

1:59

stock is actually likely to go towards

2:02

the higher end here of, you know, next

2:04

20 days. I think the next 20 days is

2:06

going to be very insightful with Bloom

2:09

Energy. I think $2.40 per share is kind

2:13

of like my price target, which is pretty

2:14

insane because the stock is so volatile,

2:18

you know, 240 might not seem like a lot,

2:20

but that's a lot. That is a lot, okay?

2:23

Because a 10% move in the stock is 20

2:25

bucks. So, going up to 240 is over a 10%

2:27

move. That's insane, okay? And if I

2:30

catch that in my community, which is my

2:32

plan going into um as the market opens

2:35

up, then we're going to do well. We're

2:37

going to make some money. So, Power

2:38

Connect is kind of my catalyst here why

2:41

I think the stock can go up. But just

2:42

generally speaking, I'm not a market

2:45

predictor in my community. What I'm

2:46

doing is I'm actually option selling

2:48

because my main goal is income. I think

2:50

a lot of people want and need income,

2:52

the most important component to how we

2:54

live our lives. So, that's what I've

2:55

been focusing on for the last 6 years as

2:57

a coach is producing income. And that's

3:00

really through option selling. So, when

3:02

I used to work at Goldman Sachs, I read

3:03

tons of research and everything pointed

3:06

me to option selling. That's why I

3:07

prefer to sell options. So, I'm going to

3:09

show you kind of what strategy that I'm

3:10

looking at, but I wanted to summarize my

3:12

video real quick just in case you don't

3:14

have time. So, Bloom isn't just trying

3:16

to produce cheaper electricity. They're

3:17

trying to sell something AI companies

3:19

may value right now way more than

3:21

anything else, which is really time,

3:23

okay? That's what I think Bloom Energy's

3:25

advantage is. And that's the point of my

3:26

video of why I am pretty bullish on

3:29

Bloom Energy and I think $2.40 per share

3:32

could happen in the next 20 to 30 days

3:35

and the option strategy that I'm going

3:36

to discuss is going to be the wheel and

3:38

I'm going to show you what strike prices

3:39

I'm going to pick. So, that's basically

3:41

everything I'm going to cover in this

3:42

video. All right, so let's kind of dive

3:43

in a little bit deeper now. So, I'm

3:45

going to go to Trade BE Options. It's

3:47

really conveniently at $200 per share

3:50

right now and we can see that the market

3:52

cap is at a $60 billion market cap. I

3:56

think, you know, I'm not going to say

3:57

it's a $100 billion company, and I don't

3:59

even need to say that. All I'm trying to

4:01

do is, with the wheel strategy, I just

4:03

want to collect a ton of premium. That's

4:06

my goal. I just want to make hand over

4:07

fist, bicep over tricep, premium.

4:10

Premium cash flow. That's That's it.

4:13

That's all I want, right? I'm not trying

4:14

to hold this stock into the future. I

4:16

don't think this is the next Nvidia or

4:18

anything like that. Although their

4:20

numbers are getting pretty crazy, like

4:22

in Q2, Bloom, their strongest quarter

4:24

ever was over a billion dollars in

4:27

revenue. So, it was 1.065 billion. And

4:30

when you look at the revenue growth as a

4:31

percentage, boy, oh boy, that percentage

4:35

is wild. 166%

4:37

year over year. Honestly, like when I

4:39

look at their partnerships, it's it's

4:41

looking good. So, one main partnership

4:43

that they have is a Bloom and

4:45

Brookfield, which actually ended up

4:46

expanding their AI infrastructure

4:48

financing partnership from 5 billion to

4:51

25 billion in June. So, you know, that

4:54

was like 3 months ago, right? We're in

4:56

September. But, what's interesting is I

4:58

do see that playing out in their like in

5:01

their money. In their money, money,

5:02

money. Their money's looking great.

5:04

Investors that are looking to make

5:06

money, I think Bloom Energy is a good

5:09

position in a portfolio. It's volatile,

5:12

and it's not cheap, but hey, if you got

5:15

some money, if you have a portfolio

5:16

that's, you know, in the five figures,

5:19

multiple five figures, man, there's a

5:21

lot of money we can make off of options

5:23

There there is, honestly, genuinely a

5:25

lot. So, their relationship with

5:28

Brookfield's financing increased by 5x

5:30

from 5 billion to 25 billion in June,

5:32

and

5:33

you know, I think that's going to

5:35

continue to lead them into high revenue

5:37

growth. So, that's why I like this. I

5:39

think Bloom doesn't only need customers,

5:41

they they need partnerships, okay? They

5:43

need to really tackle this as fast as

5:45

possible, because in AI, things are

5:47

changing so fast. They they got to make

5:49

quick money. They have to scale fast,

5:51

make fast money cuz who knows what

5:54

competition's going to look like. There

5:55

is risks to competition, for sure. So,

5:58

when I look at Bloom Energy, I think

6:00

they're bringing the power right now in

6:02

technology. So, let me go to trade Bloom

6:04

Energy BE stock and I want to show you

6:07

what I'm looking at. So, I just want to

6:08

go back here to the technical analysis.

6:10

If I'm running the wheel strategy,

6:12

right, you can see here that there's

6:14

kind of mindset that you should have,

6:16

okay? Yes, I'm bullish, but we also have

6:18

to look at risk management. That's what

6:19

sets me apart from every other my

6:21

competitors and YouTube coaches that

6:23

came after me on YouTube that have some

6:25

of them have grown bigger than me is

6:26

they talk about hype. They talk about

6:27

this, buy this and do this, but often

6:30

times I see people coming from their

6:31

programs into my programs and having

6:33

better experiences with me. Why is that?

6:35

Because a lot of beginners, they're

6:37

chasing hype, okay? And it's all fun and

6:40

games and it's really exciting to make a

6:42

bunch of money and, you know, other

6:44

channels and and all these other picks

6:46

that you guys are seeing online, they

6:48

work in good markets. But what happens

6:50

when, you know, kind of the roof caves

6:52

in? What happens when the weather is

6:53

bad? What happens when implied

6:55

volatility is high? How do you protect?

6:57

How do you guard against, you know,

6:59

losses, right? That's the most

7:01

important. That is the missing piece

7:03

that YouTubers can't really cover

7:04

because they're not financial experts.

7:06

They don't have degrees in finance or

7:08

experience on Wall Street, like, you

7:10

know, your boy Uncle Henry here has.

7:11

This is not to brag, I'm just saying

7:13

risk management is the most important

7:15

piece that you need to understand and

7:17

one simple way, one of the ways that I

7:19

assess risk, is I look at the Bollinger

7:21

Band. So, what is the bottom of the

7:23

Bollinger Band? How low could this stock

7:24

potentially go next 20 days,

7:26

technically, right? I look at it

7:27

fundamentally as well, that's beyond

7:29

this video. Technically though, 194.

7:31

That's it, okay? 194 here, the moving

7:34

average.

7:35

I'm going to zoom in here to the moving

7:36

average a little bit. We can't really

7:37

see it, but the moving average is

7:40

looks like it's around 240, 238. So, we

7:43

see that the stock is below the moving

7:46

average. It's a little cheaper than the

7:47

last average 50 days. That's actually a

7:50

good sign. It's a little bit better of a

7:52

value. So, if we bridge this gap, we got

7:54

$35 to go or so. And on the bottom end,

7:57

I don't see the stock falling, you know,

8:00

below 194 in next 20 days. It would be

8:02

unusual. It can happen, but it would be

8:04

unusual. So, we have about, you know,

8:06

$20 on on the downside for protection.

8:10

So, look, if I'm going to run the wheel

8:11

strategy, okay, I love the wheel, been

8:13

teaching the wheel all the time weekly

8:16

for seven, six years. It's been a long

8:19

time. And I like the wheel specifically

8:21

on high implied volatility stocks.

8:23

That's why DE is good because BE high

8:26

implied volatility. Let me show you. So,

8:28

if I go for next 20 days out, let's say

8:30

I I want shorter-term income, okay,

8:32

that's my goal here. Then, I'm going to

8:34

go down here. I'm going to I'm going to

8:35

expand the 190. We're going to take a

8:36

look at it. You can see the implied

8:37

volatility is about 80, okay? Typically,

8:41

stocks are 30, 35, 40. Above 50, that's

8:44

high implied volatility. It's high.

8:47

That's good because as an option seller

8:49

who's running the wheel strategy, um it

8:51

is more profitable to sell options when

8:53

the implied volatility is high, okay?

8:55

So, again, our bottom is about 194. So,

8:58

you know, if I wanted to be safer, if I

9:00

wanted to generate income and and be um

9:02

safer in producing income, then I want

9:05

to go below, you know, where I think the

9:07

support level is. 190, I would say, is a

9:10

mini support. I'm not going to call it a

9:11

strong support because the fact is AI

9:14

stocks are super volatile. So, I'm

9:16

trying to optimize here, okay? My goal

9:18

is to optimize. If I want to produce

9:21

money, if I want to produce fat stacks

9:24

of cash, just cash, I'm trying to build,

9:27

trying to get bicep over tricep results.

9:30

If I want that type of scale, I must not

9:34

only be safe because I don't want to

9:36

blow up my portfolio, I must also look

9:38

for high implied volatility. Biggest

9:40

lesson, biggest takeaway. So, with BE,

9:43

the delta here is 0.28, which is pretty

9:46

good. That means there's a 20% chance

9:48

of, you know, BE going to 190 or below

9:51

based off of the delta. Okay, the delta

9:53

is a great metric. It's one of the most

9:56

important metrics that I look at all the

9:58

time. Delta is incredibly, incredibly

10:00

important. Okay, the bid-ask spread here

10:03

is pretty tight. 697 15 is good. That's

10:06

tight bid-ask spread. So, simply to

10:08

start the wheel strategy, you just sell

10:10

puts. Okay, it's it's a pretty simple

10:12

process overall. So, if I sell a put

10:14

here, um it's about $700, okay, which is

10:19

you know, pretty decent. It's definitely

10:21

not uh anything crazy. So, if I wanted

10:23

to increase this, I would just go closer

10:25

to the money. So, I would go 195 right

10:27

here. Let's expand this option. Now,

10:29

this one does have implied volatility

10:30

exactly 80. The delta here would be a

10:32

bit higher. So, right here I would

10:34

collect $880.

10:36

And, you know, this is very attractive

10:38

because it's only in a 2-week period.

10:40

Now, what's more attractive is the

10:42

second portion of the wheel strategy,

10:44

which is once you get assigned, right?

10:45

You're basically selling a put with the

10:47

risk and danger of getting assigned.

10:49

That's not a bad thing. You know, let's

10:50

say that we got assigned last week or

10:52

what or right? And Bloom Energy's at 201

10:55

and we got assigned at 202, 203, right?

10:57

So, we're under the water uh a bit,

10:59

[clears throat] right? So, what we what

11:01

would we do, right? Once you get

11:02

assigned in the wheel strategy, we just

11:04

sell calls. Just keep it going. Keep the

11:06

cash flow going. Keep that, you know,

11:10

money coming in. How do you do that?

11:12

Sell calls. As soon as you sell puts,

11:15

once you get assigned, you will get

11:16

assigned. Your risk is pretty high

11:18

because, you know, the delta's around

11:20

30. Three out of 10 times you'll get

11:21

assigned. And then what? You got paid

11:23

$880. Okay, now what? Well, now you sell

11:27

calls. So, if your average cost is 202,

11:29

yes, in the wheel strategy the way I

11:31

teach it is you want to sell covered

11:33

calls above your average cost because

11:35

otherwise if you sell a call a covered

11:37

call on the shares that you have and

11:39

it's below your average cost, well,

11:41

you're not you know, you can still make

11:43

money depending on your average cost,

11:44

but ideally we want to be above our

11:47

average

11:48

cost per share. Okay? So, let's go for

11:51

an option that is going to be above our

11:53

theoretical 202 average cost, which is

11:56

205. We don't have to go too much

11:58

higher, although I'll tell you I do

12:00

think BE can be 240 and because I do see

12:04

a short-term run, I probably would give

12:06

myself a bit more room. Let's go for

12:08

let's say 215 here, okay? Now, this is

12:11

really interesting because

12:13

you have upside up to 215. You have nice

12:17

premium $1,100. You can actually you can

12:19

actually see here it seems like the

12:20

options are skewed towards calls. You

12:23

can see that I'm going out of the money

12:25

by a lot and the premium is still really

12:27

really high. So, it seems like

12:29

um there's a skew where call pricing

12:32

right now is more, which also is a

12:35

pretty bullish indicator. Okay,

12:37

investors seem to be placing more

12:40

volatility and more skew. You can see a

12:43

little bit higher on the implied

12:45

volatility. We can see a little bit of a

12:46

skew for the calls. Okay, so that's a

12:48

pretty decent indicator that there could

12:51

be a bullish move and option traders are

12:54

potentially also thinking that that

12:55

could be the case. So, 215 here, premium

12:58

is actually nice. Very very very nice.

13:01

So, yeah, once you get assigned in the

13:03

wheel strategy, you have shares, right?

13:05

Each contract is 100 shares and you just

13:07

sell out of the money covered calls on

13:10

the shares. So, you still have your

13:11

shares, you sell 215 covered call.

13:14

Premium here is $11.20,

13:16

which actually effectively makes your

13:17

break even $226

13:20

per share. So, when I look at

13:23

like as a company what Bloom Energy is

13:25

doing, they're solving the time problem.

13:27

This might be more important than the

13:29

fuel cell technology itself. Okay, so I

13:32

think that timing is really important.

13:34

Investors realize that. You know, this

13:35

is a big part of the AI bottleneck.

13:37

Also, all the hyper scalers are also

13:39

using BE. So, yeah, I'm pretty bullish

13:41

on it. I don't even think we need to go

13:43

to 240 for investors to see, you know,

13:46

great cash flow, great premium

13:47

collection from option selling, which

13:49

is, you know, what I'm known for, what

13:51

I've been doing for I've been personally

13:53

doing it for 11 12 years thereabouts.

13:56

And I've grown my portfolio to seven

13:58

figures. A lot of it from option

14:00

selling. But in the earlier days, I was

14:02

also option buying. I think Bloom Energy

14:05

has lots of opportunities for option

14:06

buyers. If you want some of my option

14:08

buying strategies and what I'd be doing

14:09

with BE, I'm going to be discussing that

14:11

live in my Discord community. So, I

14:13

welcome you to to apply and find out

14:15

more information in my description if

14:16

that's something that might be

14:17

interesting to you, might be a fit for

14:19

both of us to work together. But either

14:20

way, this is something I want to share

14:22

here on YouTube. If you appreciate this

14:24

content, make sure to subscribe and

14:26

yeah, I'll catch you in the next video.

Interactive Summary

The video provides a detailed analysis of Bloom Energy (BE) stock, highlighting the company's recent 'Power Connect' launch as a major catalyst for potential growth by reducing on-site installation times. The speaker, an experienced investor and coach, shares his bullish outlook on the stock, setting a price target of $240 in the near term, while emphasizing his focus on income generation through the 'wheel' option trading strategy. He discusses the technical aspects of the stock using tools like Bollinger Bands, explains the importance of risk management, and demonstrates how to collect premiums by selling put and call options on this high-volatility stock.

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