Why Isn’t China Further Behind in AI? - Dylan Patel
39 segments
Chinese companies today are not that far
behind in AI models at least perceivable
by the public relative [music] to the
amount of compute they have, right? The
leading Chinese labs have 100-200
megawatts total of compute at [music]
most, whereas Anthropic is, you know,
nearly 5 gigawatts by the end of the
year. You know, the question is sort of,
well, does it matter? And I think
[music] right now it doesn't matter that
much because, you know, when we break
down the compute [music] ratio or budget
of a lab, historically it's been like
60% training, 40% inference, but that
training gets broken down further. And
then it's [music] actually like 50% of
the compute is research, like 10% of the
compute is development, and then 40% is
inference. And what I mean [music] by
research and development is, you know,
researchers are generating ideas,
testing new architectures, testing new
data mixes, [music] but ultimately when
Anthropic trains Methos, it's sub-200
megawatts, right?
>> They didn't pre-train the whole thing.
>> The pre-train. It's sub-200 megawatts
for, call it, 2 months, and then the RL
is even less.
>> But total computer was probably higher,
right?
>> But it's like sequential, right? The
most they ever used at one point in time
was maybe 200 megawatts. And then in
reality, [music] they had multiple
gigawatts, so most of their compute was
going to the research, not the
development or the model.
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The video discusses the current standing of Chinese AI labs compared to industry leaders like Anthropic, specifically focusing on compute capacity and usage. It explains that while Chinese labs possess significantly less total compute power, they remain competitive because the majority of a lab's total compute budget is typically allocated to research and testing rather than the actual pre-training of flagship models.
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