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The SpaceX IPO May Be Much Bigger Than Expected

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The SpaceX IPO May Be Much Bigger Than Expected

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733 segments

0:00

When SpaceX goes public this Friday,

0:01

June 12th, it might very well go down in

0:04

history as the greatest ever. Here are

0:06

four reasons why. First, this is shaping

0:08

up to be the largest IPO in history.

0:10

SpaceX has officially launched its road

0:12

show, targeting roughly 74.4 billion in

0:15

proceeds at $135 per share, implying a

0:18

valuation around $1.75 trillion. That's

0:22

not just bigger than most IPOs, it's an

0:24

entirely different league. Second,

0:27

demand appears extraordinary. JP Morgan

0:29

CEO Jaime Diamond is personally helping

0:32

promote the IPO to wealthy clients. This

0:34

despite his long and complicated history

0:36

with Elon Musk. At the same time, SpaceX

0:39

is reportedly pushing banks for some of

0:41

the lowest underwriting fees ever seen

0:43

for a mega IPO, reflecting just how much

0:45

leverage the company has. Third, unlike

0:48

most IPOs, SpaceX isn't raising money to

0:50

survive. It's raising money to

0:52

accelerate. The filing shows proceeds

0:54

will be used to expand AI compute

0:55

infrastructure, launch capacity,

0:57

satellite constellations, and future

0:59

growth initiatives. In other words,

1:01

investors aren't funding a company

1:03

trying to find product market fit.

1:05

They're funding a company trying to

1:06

scale what may already be the

1:08

infrastructure backbone of the future.

1:10

And finally, the growth engines are

1:12

getting bigger, not smaller. Star Mobile

1:15

is already connecting millions of users

1:17

with next generation satellites

1:18

targeting 5G speeds from space and

1:21

dramatically higher capacity. Meanwhile,

1:23

Terapab just received major tax

1:25

incentives for what could become a $55

1:27

billion chip manufacturing project,

1:29

potentially linking SpaceX, XAI, and

1:31

Tesla into a vertically integrated AI

1:34

ecosystem. The question isn't whether

1:36

SpaceX is going public. to questions

1:38

whether investors fully understand what

1:40

they're actually buying, a rocket

1:41

company or the infrastructure layer for

1:44

AI, connectivity, compute and the future

1:46

economy. Got Larry Goldberg here today.

1:48

He is a serial entrepreneur and has been

1:50

an active venture capital investor for

1:52

the last decade. Check out his website

1:54

lumisenti.com.

1:56

Welcome Larry.

1:56

>> Great to be here on this particularly

1:59

apicious day.

2:02

Today is going to be Monday. Uh and uh

2:04

the actual SpaceX IPO will be Friday

2:07

very soon. Retail investors can actually

2:10

participate. So if you are interested uh

2:13

contact your broker, there's select

2:15

brokers. We'll we'll go through a lot of

2:16

that today. But uh the topic today is is

2:20

this is just it's going going bonkers

2:23

this whole SpaceX thing. I mean it's

2:24

it's gone a maybe too far, maybe too um

2:28

you know overly excited by folks. SpaceX

2:31

dropped this uh video. I'll play that.

2:34

And they're trying to position

2:35

themselves first as the only company

2:37

building the infrastructure of the

2:38

future across space, connectivity, and

2:40

AI. Let's watch this video.

2:56

Heat. Heat.

3:16

Heat.

3:29

Heat.

3:57

In order to

3:59

understand

4:01

the nature of the universe and all these

4:03

fundamental questions, we must expand

4:06

the scope and scale of consciousness.

4:17

Honestly, I I I don't know what to take

4:19

of this. It's very exciting. Maybe too

4:21

much of a frenzy, Larry. I don't know. I

4:24

would not recommend to I'm not saying to

4:26

everybody buy SpaceX or not buy SpaceX.

4:28

It's just it's getting too much of a

4:30

frenzy. And the question is, is it over?

4:33

Is it kind of like over too too much or

4:37

is it just right? What do you What's

4:39

your take on this?

4:40

>> You know, take it all with a pinch of

4:43

salt. I mean, I'm I've seen this kind of

4:46

thing before,

4:48

but it's fair to say that this is the

4:50

most unique

4:52

company. You know, you could think back

4:55

in moments in history.

4:59

Um

5:00

you think back to the launching of the

5:03

great colonizing companies

5:07

uh setting forth from Europe. You can

5:09

think of you can think about the Chinese

5:13

you know empire expanding

5:16

with the use of gunpowder and so on.

5:18

This is a moment in history and uh so

5:21

people get pretty excited to be

5:23

witnessing it and seeing it. So

5:26

I think I think the excitement is

5:28

warranted. I think people must be very

5:32

cautious about getting over their skis.

5:34

I think there's enough skepticism to

5:36

keep

5:38

to keep that

5:40

excitement somewhat tempered tempted.

5:45

Um so but it's it's fun to watch. I tell

5:50

you from my perspective it's fun fun to

5:52

watch. Um,

5:56

>> yeah,

5:56

>> you've been waiting for this for a long

5:58

time. I'm sure Elon has been waiting for

6:00

this a long time. We'll talk about his

6:02

employees have been waiting for this for

6:03

a long time. It's not only happening,

6:06

but it's happening at the kind of the

6:07

right time in history with the need as

6:10

they position it as a infrastructure

6:12

layer for AI, not it's not about space

6:14

per se, not about rockets. Um they

6:17

SpaceX also after they published that

6:19

video they followed up with this like

6:21

they felt it was important enough to

6:23

point out that retail investors will be

6:25

able to participate at the same prices

6:28

as the big institutions expected SPCX

6:31

which is the stock trading symbol that

6:33

will go live on June 12th price of $135

6:37

per share. Again another thing that

6:39

they've done that's just unprecedented.

6:41

They don't give a range. They're giving

6:43

you a price and that's the same price

6:45

that the the big boys are are buying it

6:47

at. Um so they have now officially

6:50

announced that the actual initial public

6:53

offering will be 555

6:55

million shares class A and it will be a

7:00

uh uh what $135 per share. So that would

7:05

raise it to 7 $75 billion would be

7:08

raised and that would be $7.5 trillion

7:11

would be the sorry

7:13

>> uh one what am I saying?

7:15

>> They will raise actually the total of

7:19

$75 billion.

7:21

>> Yeah. At $1.75 trillion. Sorry I'm

7:23

getting my my billies and trillies. So

7:25

the market cap will be $ 1.75 trillion.

7:28

Okay. Uh which is good. Remember the

7:31

some people were thinking it was going

7:33

to be two trillion. Now we don't know

7:34

what it'll end up the end of the day but

7:37

that is what this is for. Uh so this is

7:40

the actual data and then um or 8 85.7 so

7:44

they have the ability to even sell more

7:46

shares if it's overs subscribed I guess

7:48

right is that the way that works.

7:50

>> Yeah. So the underwriters can purchase

7:53

additional shares

7:55

um under the terms of the agreement uh

7:58

which if they do would raise the total

8:01

to 85.7 and um so that would be if the

8:06

demand is you I think if the demand is

8:09

very high they may do that. One of the

8:13

objectives is not to is things shouldn't

8:16

get out of hand too far. I mean, I've

8:19

heard people being very concerned about

8:22

the fact that retail may

8:26

over bid because of excitement. Um, not

8:31

understanding that,

8:34

you know, there isn't there isn't a a

8:38

sufficient supply

8:40

and that if they buy and send the prices

8:43

high, there's nobody on the other side

8:45

to sell it to.

8:47

And and so the you know

8:52

we're in uncharted territory, absolutely

8:55

uncharted territory. We we've not seen

8:58

this level of supply, this volume, this

9:02

this value of supply before. We haven't

9:05

seen potentially this level of demand

9:07

before. The question is

9:11

how does the how do the market makers

9:15

manage

9:16

the demand supply curve

9:20

you know on on the day which is Friday

9:23

which is a very unusual day by the way

9:26

for an IPO to go. I think only one in

9:29

10, one in 20 IPOs in the past have gone

9:34

on a Friday.

9:36

Mainly because

9:39

what happens in a in an IPO is you get

9:42

this demand and then towards the end of

9:45

the day you get it tapering off and

9:47

falling off. And you don't want to enter

9:50

a weekend, you know, way below the what

9:53

was the peak of demand because you get a

9:55

sense, oh, it's falling. Whereas if you

9:58

do like on Tuesday or Wednesday, you get

10:02

that by Friday, you get the the ups and

10:05

downs, leveling out.

10:08

>> So it's been usual I've done three IPOs

10:11

in my I've taken three companies public

10:14

in my time, not in the United States,

10:16

but in South Africa. and each time we

10:19

went on a Tuesday.

10:20

>> There's a lot of things about this IPO

10:22

that's so unusual and that's why it is

10:24

historic. Um, just to be transparent,

10:27

uh, Larry, you are an investor in

10:29

SpaceX. Um, I am not yet

10:31

>> and I have not decided if I'm going to

10:33

participate. I'm getting myself ready.

10:35

But um that's why I'm kind of like

10:37

looking at all this frenzy and

10:40

>> I'll tell you for what it's worth, I uh

10:44

went ahead and made a bid for shares

10:49

>> just like any retail shareholder. Yeah,

10:52

like any retail shareholder. I

10:54

>> Yeah,

10:54

>> made a bid for shares because I really

10:56

want to see what it looks like um in in

11:00

in my Charles Schwab account. So, I've

11:03

got a lot of accounts with Charles

11:05

Schwab. Uh, my family offices with

11:08

Charles Schwab. So, I'm not sure whether

11:11

they'll treat me as a retail shareholder

11:14

or not. But anyway, I went to the I went

11:18

there and made a bid for what it's

11:21

>> um and every single institutional, you

11:24

know, wants to be part of this. You got

11:25

Goldman Sachs who's actually leading it

11:27

now, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America,

11:29

Cityroup, JP Morgan, Barclays,

11:31

everybody. You name, you see the list

11:33

here. They all want a piece of this.

11:35

It's a huge list. And and by the way,

11:37

the ETF list of the number of ETFs

11:39

who've included SpaceX is unprecedented.

11:41

That list is massively long. And it's

11:44

rare that they actually have even

11:45

announced it prior to the IPO. It's

11:48

crazy. Uh Goldman Sachs, honestly, it's

11:51

weird that he chose Goldman Sachs. And

11:53

then of course JP Morgan even even Jaime

11:56

Diamond there has a history there

11:58

between the two of them. They weren't

12:00

partners for a long time. They sued each

12:02

other. But Jamie Diamond himself of JP

12:05

Morgan is getting personally involved in

12:07

the hype around SpaceX going public.

12:09

He's teaming up with SpaceX management.

12:11

He's going to actually meet with Gwyn

12:13

Shotwell and CFO Brett Johnson and

12:14

they're going to do uh you know host a

12:17

live Q&A this Thursday. It's norm. While

12:20

it's normal for big banks to pitch a

12:21

company to investors before it hits the

12:23

stock market, the sheer scale of the JP

12:25

Morgan campaign is unprecedented. It

12:27

highlights the absolute frenzy of

12:29

investors demand for what could become

12:30

one of the biggest stock market debuts

12:32

in history. What makes JP Morgan's

12:34

aggressive backing so surprising, said

12:36

Jamie. Jaime and Elon used to be on

12:38

terrible terms. In 2021, JP Morgan sued

12:41

Tesla over a messy dispute involving

12:43

stock options after Mus threatened to

12:45

take Tesla private. Tesla immediately

12:47

counters sued. two giants locked horns

12:49

for years. They finally buried the

12:51

hatchets and dropped the lawsuits in

12:52

November 2024. And then a few months

12:55

later, Jaime joked publicly that he and

12:57

Musk had hugged and made up, promising

12:59

that JP Morgan would support Musk and

13:01

his business empire going forward. I

13:03

mean, even your past enemies are now

13:06

want to be part of this IPO. Uh what's

13:08

any thoughts on this?

13:09

>> I will I will tell you that when you sit

13:12

in the conference room in Jamie

13:14

Diamond's office, it's very very very

13:17

impressive.

13:18

>> So I think even Elon would be somewhat

13:23

impressed by it. It's a pretty amazing

13:26

organization. JP Morgan, uh I I I've sat

13:31

there and you know been intimidated,

13:35

but I'm not Elon's height. And I don't

13:38

have his, you know, he's I don't know

13:41

what it is, but he has this personality

13:45

that is so large that it can fill any

13:48

space. So I can see he and Jamie Diamond

13:51

getting on very well indeed. And I'm

13:53

very pleased that they made it because I

13:55

have high a lot of money involved. Yeah.

13:57

>> And as leverage. Yeah.

14:00

>> Yeah. And the man is I think Jamie

14:02

Diamond is a gym is one of the great

14:05

gems of our um financial community.

14:09

>> He's absolutely great. Okay, so I do

14:11

want them to partner. Uh SpaceX has

14:14

tremendous leverage. Uh this is again

14:16

another thing that they did that just

14:18

it's great for retail, great just

14:20

amazing that they were able to pull this

14:22

off. But um a fee cut from IPO bankers.

14:24

The IPO bankers don't make as much money

14:26

targeting 500 million windfall. Uh so

14:28

it's pushing banks for one of the lowest

14:30

IPO fee rates ever. The company's

14:32

negotiating to pay less than 75% on its

14:35

plan 75 billion IPO though banks could

14:38

still collect roughly 500 million fees.

14:40

Goldman and Morgan Stanley are

14:41

reportedly set to take the largest share

14:43

of the fee pool. 21 other brokers

14:45

involved. This is far below the typical

14:47

IPO underwriting fee range of 4% to 7%.

14:50

This is like they're paying poultry

14:52

amounts. It is so nice to see the

14:55

strength that SpaceX has and uh this is

14:59

how much this is how much they raised in

15:01

the past um Facebook, Alibaba and others

15:05

of other mega IPOs each low versus other

15:08

mega.

15:08

>> Mhm.

15:09

>> Well, I mean 75% fee is not

15:12

unprecedented. GM GM did it on a $15

15:16

billion raise. I mean in real terms

15:19

2010$15 billion is probably closer to 40

15:23

billion today. So it's not that unpre un

15:27

you know precedented.

15:29

Um I don't remember their Ramco but I

15:32

know that they also squeezed for a very

15:34

very low fee. Um but listen, the banks

15:36

are going to do very well and um they're

15:40

certainly not crying about this level of

15:42

fee because the dollars, you will watch

15:44

their quarterlys will look pretty good

15:47

at the end of the quarter. As long as

15:48

things go well, if things don't go well,

15:51

then everybody could take a bath here.

15:53

But I think things are looking pretty

15:55

good for the moment. I hope nobody

15:59

starts a war tonight.

16:01

>> Exactly. Or this week. Okay. So uh one

16:06

of the things that uh again news is

16:08

coming out about you know capabilities

16:10

and potential revenue for uh SpaceX

16:13

Starlink mobile they published this

16:15

information this news 650 satellites in

16:18

low earth orbit today the world's

16:20

largest and only satellite to mobile

16:22

constellation is powering data voice

16:23

video and messaging across six

16:25

continents and will be accessible to

16:27

more than 1.7 billion people the nextG

16:30

satellites will even expand on this even

16:31

more and then Telra the largest telecom

16:34

company in Australia announced that over

16:36

200,000 of its customers connect to

16:38

Sonic Mobile per day. So, it's already a

16:40

real deal. It's no longer it's not just

16:41

this thing. Uh over 2.7 million

16:44

customers have connected at least once

16:45

within the last year. What stands out to

16:48

us the most is not the numbers, but what

16:50

they represent. A message home from a

16:52

remote road, a quick check-in during a

16:53

trip away, or peace of mind in places

16:55

beyond the range of our mobile network.

16:56

The nextG V2 startic mobile satellites

16:59

start launching in 2027 and they will

17:01

improve capacity. 5G speeds from space

17:04

with 100 times the data density of the

17:05

current V1 up to 150 megabytes. Uh will

17:08

seamlessly enable streaming, internet

17:10

browsing, high-speed apps, thousands of

17:12

spatial beams and high bandwidth

17:14

capability enabling 20 times the

17:16

throughput capability compared to first.

17:19

So that's coming in 2027. So this I

17:21

guess they're just trying to prove that

17:23

this is a real business already, right?

17:24

>> Yeah. And I you know it's interesting

17:27

that Telstra are an early partner of uh

17:31

Tesla of SpaceXes. I will just point out

17:35

that the chair person of Tesla

17:39

was the chief financial officer of

17:42

Telra.

17:44

>> So Rob Robbie Denhelms has this very

17:47

close connection with Telra. Just I see.

17:50

>> Thought I'd mention that.

17:51

>> Oh, I didn't know this. Okay. I guess

17:53

that's why there's a relationship.

17:55

>> Yeah.

17:55

>> People don't understand, you know, just

17:57

how experienced she is. I mean, she

18:01

that's a big company. It was the

18:03

largest, you know, it's the largest,

18:06

you know, operator in Australia,

18:09

huge operation. And, you know, she was

18:11

the CFO for many years. Then this uh

18:15

SpaceX uh IPO is the largest in history

18:18

so far. We'll see if it get anybody else

18:20

gets bigger than that. But uh boy,

18:22

they're going to make a lot of people

18:24

rich. SpaceX millionaires. 4,000 of them

18:26

will be um a millionaire. 400 will be

18:30

100 millionaires.

18:31

>> Wow.

18:31

>> Every employee who joined before the

18:33

first successful launch made unless they

18:35

sold early more than 100 million. SpaceX

18:38

list June 12th. Work backwards from the

18:41

cap table. This is how they calculated

18:43

the first 500 to join in 2002 to 2008.

18:47

they joined at $550 million company. If

18:50

they held it to now, right? Um they

18:54

maybe 150 to 250 still left holding

18:57

probably they would make that you know

18:58

$100 million each. Um 2008 SpaceX has

19:02

first successful launch. Uh and then

19:05

2010 to 16 that's companies now valued

19:08

at 10 billion and then there is a senior

19:11

grant for 100 to 200 people. Seuite

19:14

Shotwell Johnson passed one billion each

19:17

those two a layer of SVPs 100 clears 100

19:20

million but the most important thing is

19:23

the the employees um many of these guys

19:27

you know stuck to it and now they're

19:29

they're rich and then of course we've

19:31

learning now that Elon really favored

19:33

the his employees and he's actually even

19:35

carved out 5%

19:37

to be able to offer to friends family

19:40

and executives and others and and they

19:43

don't have a lock up period. So this is

19:45

something that he's really taking care

19:47

of good care of his employees.

19:49

>> Yeah. I mean, you know, working for

19:52

SpaceX

19:54

is very very demanding, extraordinarily

19:56

demanding. We read in several of the

20:00

books written, deeply researched books

20:03

written um just how tough it is on the

20:07

family and on the employee and just the

20:11

kind of sacrifices people have to make.

20:13

So every penny that's coming to them

20:16

appears to be very deserved indeed. And

20:19

so I I couldn't be more pleased for them

20:22

more than anything else in this whole

20:25

project. I couldn't be more pleased for

20:27

the employees. I really, you know, I

20:30

feel for them because I I watch these

20:33

launches in the middle of the night,

20:35

2:00 in the morning, and these guys have

20:38

been working for 3 hours getting four

20:40

hours, 5 hours getting this thing up and

20:43

running, and you know, they work through

20:44

at 2:00 and then they have to wait up

20:47

after we sign off because this launch

20:49

has been successful. an hour, two hours,

20:52

three hours into the orbit to make sure

20:55

the satellites in good health. These

20:57

guys really pull enormous amounts of

21:00

hours. They work their butts off. So,

21:04

they deserve every single penny coming

21:07

to them. One of the uh big controversies

21:10

it's already rearing its head now is

21:12

that Elon will become a trillionaire uh

21:15

with this IPO. Now, of course, these are

21:17

stock options and it's not cash. people

21:20

need to remember that and he deserves

21:22

it. He, you know, he almost went

21:24

bankrupt. Uh they have three flights uh

21:27

three the very first three rockets

21:29

failed. You see all those pictures with

21:31

the failed rockets. Uh it took him 20

21:34

years, right, to get to this point. Uh

21:37

but that is going to be the narrative

21:39

that he is going to be the richest guy

21:41

on earth and is he paying taxes all

21:44

those kind of things. Um do you have

21:46

thoughts on this?

21:47

>> Yeah, I do. I mean, I I think that if

21:50

anybody deserves to be in that

21:53

situation, he definitely deserves to be

21:55

in that situation. We talk about long

21:57

hours. Nobody nobody spends the hours in

22:01

their company that he does. Listen, I've

22:03

been an entrepreneur.

22:05

I've been up, I've been down, I've

22:07

worked very hard throughout my life. I,

22:10

you know, failed multiple times.

22:13

I I've been seen it all. and I didn't go

22:16

through a tenth

22:19

in my long career that he's been through

22:22

in a much shorter career. I I don't know

22:24

how he's survived, but he has survived.

22:28

And of course, what he's delivered in

22:31

terms of his employees, in terms of the

22:33

value he's brought to the United States,

22:36

I mean, he's probably made the single

22:38

biggest contribution to the US economy

22:41

of any living person today. There's no

22:45

doubt in my mind he has made the single

22:48

biggest contribution of any living

22:52

person in America in the United States

22:55

today. So yeah, does he deserve it?

22:58

Absolutely. Will he be criticized for

23:01

it? You bet. Will the criticism

23:05

mean anything to him? Not a damn thing.

23:10

And that's good.

23:11

>> Yeah. You did an incredible report where

23:14

you explained not only how much taxes

23:16

Elon has paid already, but all the uh

23:18

salaries he's given to employees. It's

23:21

just all the taxes they paid, the value

23:24

that they get, the

23:25

>> the taxes paid by every one of his

23:27

employees, the taxes paid by him, the

23:29

taxes paid by his company, the the the

23:33

amount of people he's employed, the

23:35

amount of uh infrastructure he's built,

23:38

the amount of money he's spent with

23:40

vendors in the United States, it's

23:43

staggering. You know that this man, this

23:46

single individual has generated 0.4% of

23:50

the gross domestic product of this

23:52

country. The greatest country on earth,

23:56

>> the largest the largest economy on earth

23:59

and the single individual, the single

24:02

individual has generated 04%. I mean it

24:07

is thousands of times more than the

24:11

average person. And it's gonna get even

24:13

crazier because uh robots uh AI data

24:17

centers all this we're talking about is

24:19

going to be you know some people are now

24:22

agreeing that it'll 10x the G US GDP 10x

24:25

it.

24:25

>> So

24:26

>> you know your point is so your point is

24:28

so strong when you think about what he's

24:31

going to deliver in the next 10 years

24:33

what this IPO will give rise to.

24:37

>> Yeah. I mean it, you know, it's one of

24:41

the ways we're going to get out of debt.

24:43

I mean,

24:44

>> yeah. At this point, no worries about

24:46

that anymore.

24:47

>> Yeah.

24:50

>> Okay. Uh in terms of uh speaking about,

24:53

you know, paying taxes and so forth.

24:55

>> Elon on this this yesterday was very uh

24:58

out there multiple posts uh making sure

25:01

people are aware of the scenario. So,

25:03

Terraab was approved to buy land in

25:08

Grimes County, Texas. And uh now it

25:11

still needs to go through public

25:12

hearings so they could push back and

25:14

say, "Hey, I don't want it in my

25:15

backyard." And there's other lots that

25:16

they they're considering, but this one

25:18

seems to be moving forward. And uh so,

25:20

you know, SpaceX received the approval

25:22

from Grimes Grimes County for huge tax

25:25

breaks for the company's terrify

25:26

project. The tax abatement would give

25:28

SpaceX a full exemption on property

25:30

taxes tied to the project. County

25:32

leaders have framed the terrify proposal

25:33

as potentially transformative moment for

25:35

Grimes County. The judge called it a

25:38

generational change. Grimes County

25:40

commissioners voted 4 to1 to grant the

25:42

company a tax increment in reinvestment

25:44

zone and tax breaks for the $55 billion

25:46

project east of College Station. Okay,

25:48

so this is just a render of what it

25:50

could become the the terra fab building

25:52

in that area. Elon replied saying

25:54

something that perhaps isn't clear is

25:55

that if this location works out, other

25:57

locations are still in the running.

25:59

SpaceX will still be paying at an annual

26:01

amount that increases tax revenue for

26:03

Grimes County by 25%. And will be by far

26:06

the biggest source of revenue for the

26:08

county. Taking into account taxes paid

26:10

by SpaceX employees and contractors,

26:13

Terapab will far exceed all revenue that

26:15

Grimes County currently earns. The

26:17

reason SpaceX asked for this, which is

26:19

standard practice for massive capital

26:20

investments, is because Terrafab will

26:22

have a large number of extremely

26:24

expensive machines for making chips.

26:26

property tax on those crazy money m

26:28

money machines would put us at a serious

26:31

competitive disadvantage relative to

26:33

other chip fabs in the world. And then

26:35

uh Elon or Sawyer repeated that taking

26:38

into account taxes paid by SpaceX

26:39

employees and contractors, Terra Fab

26:41

will far exceed all revenue the Grimes

26:43

County currently earns. Elon said by

26:46

far. And then this person said, "This

26:48

isn't a tax giveaway. It's a classic

26:50

case of smart long-term thinking. The

26:52

county gets a massive permanent uplift

26:54

in revenue from employees, contractors,

26:56

and broader economic flywheel. Terrified

26:58

will spin up while SpaceX avoids a

27:00

property tax trap that kills

27:02

competitiveness on hund00 million chip

27:04

machines. Grimes County just proved it

27:06

understands how real innovation

27:07

compounds. You don't tax the golden

27:08

goose before it even lays the eggs. This

27:11

is how generational infrastructure

27:12

actually gets built. Neon said, exactly.

27:16

Can you uh comment on that?

27:18

>> Not a lot to add. I mean, if you're

27:20

intell if you're half intelligent, you

27:22

understand the trade-off here. It's not

27:25

that they're not paying taxes, it's just

27:27

that they're going to avoid being taxed

27:29

on the value of the machinery and

27:31

equipment and building that they're

27:35

putting in there. In other words,

27:38

don't tax the the goose that lays the

27:41

golden egg. You know, t you know, by all

27:44

means tax all the eggs you sell. by all

27:47

means tax the employees for their

27:50

earnings and the and the houses and the

27:53

property that they move in. The county

27:55

will do great.

27:57

>> The county just Yeah. The county just

28:00

mustn't

28:01

>> tax the actual equipment that makes the

28:05

the the building and equipment that

28:08

makes the the the chips because this is

28:11

going to be very critical. You got to

28:14

understand that, you know, up until

28:17

2040, the cost of putting these chips

28:22

into space is going to render it more

28:25

expensive than groundbased

28:28

uh um AI factories, what you know what

28:32

we what we can consider AI factories. So

28:36

they have to save every penny they can

28:39

save. is going to be a very very

28:40

cost-sensitive operation to get those

28:44

you know those spacebased

28:48

processes to start equaling the cost of

28:51

groundbased processes. The

28:53

>> these are massive numbers we're talking

28:55

about uh people are going to make a lot

28:56

of money and he's going to share it with

28:59

employees but also counties,

29:01

governments, they're all going to get

29:02

in. They all want part of this.

29:04

Everybody thinks it's big.

29:06

>> The most important part of the the most

29:08

important part of this all is that it is

29:11

critical that the United States

29:14

gets these fabs up into space and gets

29:17

them economical

29:19

because right now we cannot compete with

29:23

China with their cost of electricity.

29:26

And so in this race to AI,

29:31

China has this builtin advantage

29:35

that they can't their citizens can't,

29:38

you know, protest against an an AI

29:42

factory being put into their

29:45

neighborhood as our people can.

29:48

>> I mean, this is uh global, right? So uh

29:50

TSMC Taiwan if China uh conquers Taiwan

29:54

for that reason they control AI the rest

29:57

of the world is in trouble. What do you

29:58

do? You this is world war.

30:01

It's going to be the largest world war

30:02

ever because you can't let you know uh

30:04

one country have complete control of AI.

30:07

So and what you need to do as Americans

30:09

is you need to create your own chips in

30:11

your own land and don't don't fight this

30:13

one. Uh Larry, what's your thoughts? Uh

30:16

what's your expectation for the day of

30:17

the IPO? Here's what Poly Market says.

30:19

These are the betting betting sites.

30:22

They're thinking that it's going to

30:23

close at $2.3 trillion. That's uh the

30:26

projections at this point.

30:27

>> You know, it's possible. I have I have

30:30

just learned not to try and project

30:33

this. I I I think that the value of the

30:37

shares are intrinsically sound at these

30:41

prices.

30:43

I would invest I would invest for the

30:45

long term. I have,

30:48

you know, quite a lot of u investment

30:51

already in SpaceX. I'm going to up it a

30:54

little bit. Not a lot. I'm I'm going to

30:56

up it a little bit. Um simply because I

30:59

want to participate in in this IPO.

31:03

Um every single I mean every single

31:06

IPO's had Elon's ever had before, which

31:09

is just one has been very good to me. I

31:12

want to be in this one as well.

31:14

>> Gotcha. It's historic. That's the That's

31:16

what we're covering today.

31:17

>> It is historic. Yeah.

31:18

>> Thank you so much, Larry. Appreciate

31:20

your uh comments today. Uh and uh follow

31:23

him on his website at lumicenti.com.

31:26

Follow him on his exac account at tesla.

31:29

Thanks everybody. I've created a website

31:31

that is the most comprehensive resource

31:33

for the Tesla investor. Please check it

31:35

out. Simply go to my website at

31:36

herdom.com.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses the highly anticipated and historic SpaceX IPO scheduled for June 12th. It highlights several unique factors: the unprecedented size of the IPO with a valuation around $1.75 trillion, the massive demand from institutions and retail investors, and SpaceX's leverage in negotiating record-low underwriting fees. The discussion also covers the company's long-term vision to build infrastructure for AI and connectivity, the massive wealth creation for its long-time employees, and the strategic importance of projects like TerraFab in the context of global AI competition.

Suggested questions

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