Robot Stocks: Tesla, Figure, Apptronik
437 segments
I think many of you already know that
one of the largest markets in the world
is the coming intelligent robot market
and that we're actually still very
early. And the reason I know is that the
question I keep getting asked more than
almost any other right now. How do I
invest in robots? How do I actually
participate in this? So today I want to
walk through one answer to how you might
invest in robotics, especially those
private humanoid robot companies. A
company called Robo Strategy went public
last month. You can find it under the
ticker bot B in NASDAQ and is built
specifically to answer that question.
It's an opportunity I'm pretty excited
about and I wanted to share it with you.
I personally think it's important to be
investing in robotics. By some
estimates, the robotics industry might
be up to $218 billion by 2030 and go
past 370 billion by 2034. And honestly,
I think even those numbers are likely
underelling it because the move of the
labor market over to physical AI is in
my opinion and Jensen Hong's opinion
going to be one of the biggest economic
events ever. I think it's bigger than a
PC. It's bigger than the internet. So,
both of those changed how we move
information around. This one, it changes
who does the physical labor. That's a
different order of magnitude. All right.
First, for full transparency, I want to
make it clear. This is not a paid
segment. Nobody paid me to make this
video. Many of you already know I myself
started to invest in robotics. I've
shared a few times now that I'm an
investor in a bunch of robotics
companies, Figure, Electronic, and
others. My thesis is this. I think the
market is going to be so massive. There
are lots of opportunities. Yes, there
will be plenty of losers, but there will
also be plenty of winners. So, instead
of trying to pick the one perfect robot
stock, my strategy is to buy into as
many of the serious robot companies as I
can spread across the field. Tesla is
still my single biggest holding. And
since it's public, Tesla's basically
been the only real option for everyday
investors who want a piece of this. But
the question I keep getting is the
harder one. How do you invest in the
private robotics companies, the figures
and the electronics, the ones you can't
just buy on the open market? And that's
where Robo Strategy comes in. And full
disclosure, I own a small stake in Robo
Strategy myself. Just bought it
recently. Part of that same buy across
the field approach. So, let's do a real
deep dive on what it is. Here's what
we're going to do today. First, we're
going to cover the actual size of what's
happening with robotics and labor
because the number is bigger than most
people think. Then the access problem,
why almost none of this is investable
today. Then what robo strategy actually
is, who's running it, and the company
it's modeled after. than the portfolio,
the due diligence and the track record,
including a name a lot of you will
recognize from this channel. And at the
end, the real risks because there are
some real ones and what I think this
means for you. So, let's start with this
thing. This whole bet sits on labor.
According to the International Labor
Organization, labor is about 52% of
global GDP. Global GDP last year ran
around 118 trillion. Do the math and you
get an implied global labor market
somewhere around $60 trillion. That's
the pool robotics is aiming at the
actual cost of human work across the
planet. And that workforce is shrinking
in the places that need it most. Reports
show we have a global shortage of 85
million skilled workers by 2030. Now,
the robotics market itself today is
still small next to that 60 trillion. I
mentioned the forecast up top up to 218
billion by 2030, maybe past 370 billion
by 2034. Andrew Kang, the guy running
Robo Strategy, he pegs the current
private robotics market at roughly 100
to 150 billion. And he thinks it
eventually becomes a tens of trillions
kind of industry. Big claim, and I'd
hold it loosely, but put it next to that
$60 trillion labor pool and it stops
sounding crazy. And that's exactly why
my strategy is to spread the bets across
the field instead of betting the farm on
one name. A market this big creates a
lot of winners. It also creates a lot of
roadkill. I want exposure to the winners
without having to be perfect about which
one it is. So, here's the problem. If
you actually want to invest in this,
almost all of the best robotic companies
are private. Figure is private. Uptronic
is private. The most exciting, fastest
growing names in the space are nowhere
near a public listing. And the reason
matters, companies stay private way
longer than they used to. There's so
much capital floating around in private
markets now that a great company can
raise billions without ever touching the
public market. Look at OpenAI,
Anthropic, SpaceX. Enormous valuations
and the general public mostly watched
from the outside. Figure is the perfect
example. Back in early 2024, it raised
money at a $2.6 billion valuation. By
its series C last fall, it was valued at
39 billion. That's 15x under 2 years.
Basically, none of that climb was
available to a normal public investor.
So, what are your options today if you
want robotics on the public market?
Honestly, they're pretty thin. You can
buy big diversified tech companies that
happen to have a robotics arm where
robotics is a rounding error on the
income statement. Or you can buy Tesla.
Look, I love Tesla. It's my biggest
position. Optimus might end up being the
most valuable thing the company ever
builds. But Tesla is a oneplus trillion
dollar company. Optimus is one piece of
a very big pie. If you want concentrated
pure exposure to the robot buildup, even
Tesla only gets you part of the way
there. And that's the gap. The value is
getting created in private companies and
the public investor has almost no clean
way in. So that brings us to Robo
Strategy. The legal name is Robo
Strategy Incorporated. It trades on the
NASDAQ under the ticker bot B. It's a
great ticker by the way. It listed on
May 11th, so it's about a month old as
I'm recording this. Structurally, it's a
closed end fund. So what does that mean
in plain English? is a publicly traded
company whose entire job is to own a
portfolio of robotics and physical AI
businesses, mostly private ones, and
they let you buy a slice of that
portfolio on the open market. You buy
bot, you own a piece of the basket. The
man running it is Andrew Kang. He
founded a firm called Mechanism Capital,
which made his name in crypto and
frontier tech. He's now pivoted hard
into robotics, and Robo Strategy is the
first time he's ever taken outside
capital into an actively managed fund.
The model they're copying is the part
that makes this very interesting.
They're openly calling themselves, and
these are their words, the micro
strategy of robotics. You know the micro
strategy story. So, Michael Sailor
turned a software company into a public
vehicle that raises money into capital
markets and pours it into Bitcoin. The
stock became a way for public investors
to get leverage Bitcoin exposure. Robo
Strategy is running the same playbook,
except instead of Bitcoin, the asset is
equity in private robotics companies.
Kang's pitch is basically this. Bitcoin
got the micro strategy treatment.
Robotics is a bigger industry than
Bitcoin and far harder for a regular
person to access. So robotics needs its
own version. That's the whole thesis in
one line. Okay. So what does the fund
actually own and why should you believe
these guys can pick the winners? The
portfolio is a who's who of private
robotics. They've got Figure AI,
Uptronic, plus Dino Robotics, Standard
Bots, Dexmate, Cocoa Robotics, Path
Robotics, and a few others spread across
humanoids, robotic arms, mobile
manipulation, and the compute behind
them. The track record is what Kang
leans on hardest, and it's a real one.
So, about 2 years ago, when most VCs he
talked to were telling him to stay away
from robotics, he put roughly $19
million into Figure AI. That was his
first robotics bet. Figure was a
fraction of today's size back then. It's
now a $ 39 billion company. He got into
Uptronic early, too, before its
valuation tripled to over $5 billion
this year. And he's not just an early
check anymore. By his own account, Robo
Strategy is now leading rounds and
beating top tier venture firms for
allocations. In robotics right now,
allocation is everything. The best
rounds are oversubscribed and getting in
is genuinely hard. If a firm is winning
those fights, that's a real signal it
has access. Now, axis gets you into the
room. Picking right is a different
skill, and this is the part that made me
pay closer attention. The person running
their investment due diligence is
someone a lot of you already know from
this channel. My friend Dr. Scott
Walter. So, if you watch my robot shows,
you've seen Scott. We've done hundreds
of shows together. He's one of the most
respected voices in humanoid robotics,
40 years in the field, and he just left
the field to go work for Robo Strategy.
His title there is robotics research
diligence director. They shortened it to
R2-D2, which for robotics funny is
pretty funny, pretty perfect, too. In
his own words, he spent 40 years on the
playing field, and now he can do more
good in the front office, helping decide
which companies actually get the
capital. That matters to me when you're
betting on a fund's ability to pick
winners in a field full of hype. Having
a genuine engineer with decades of
hands-on experience kicking the tires in
every deal is exactly what you want. He
knows which demos are real and which
ones are smoke. That's a kind of edge
that doesn't show up in a pitch deck.
And the underlying companies are clearly
moving. Figure just signed a commercial
deal with Catalyst Brands. That's the
parent of J. C. Penney, Aropastel, and
Brooks Brothers. Figure starting to
deploy human or robots at their
operations in Reno, Nevada. That's a
portfolio company landing real paying
commercial work. A signed contract, not
a demo reel. And on production figures
bot Qline is now building a robot
roughly every 90 minutes. Electronics
got Google, Mercedes, and others writing
checks. These companies are scaling for
real. Now the mechanics because this is
where the micro strategy comparison
earns its keep and where the risk lives
too. A close-end fund like this has one
big structural advantage. The capital's
permanent. No fun life, no clock forcing
them to sell in seven or 10 years like a
normal VC fund. Kang can hold a position
as long as he wants, which for an
industry this early actually matters a
lot. And right after listing, they lined
up the fuel. Robo Strategy signed a
committed equity facility of up to $2
billion with a firm called Roth
Principal Investments. That's a standing
ability to issue new shares and raise up
to $2 billion over time, which they then
redeploy into more private robotics
deals. Here's the engine in plain
English. So, every share bought is
backed by a basket of robot companies.
Add up what that basket is worth, divide
by the number of shares, and you get the
value behind one share. On Wall Street,
they call that the net asset value or
NAV. Just think of it as the real value
packed into each share. Now, here's the
trick. Sometimes the stock trades for
more than that real value. People are so
excited about robots that they'll pay,
say, $150 for a share that only holds a
dollar of robot companies inside it.
That extra 50 cents is called the
premium. So, watch what the fund can do
with that. They sell new shares at
$1.50, take in the cash, and then go buy
a $150 worth of robot companies. They
collected a $150 but only had to back it
with a dollar value before. That gap
quietly makes every existing share worth
a little more. They raise high. They buy
assets and the value behind your share
ticks up. Then they do it again. That's
the whole loop. And it's exactly how
Micro Strategy grew its Bitcoin per
share. When it works, it's a flywheel.
The stock trades at a premium. They sell
shares into that premium. The value
behind each share climbs. That higher
value helps keep the premium going round
and round. It spins. So that one word
premium is the entire ball game. The
obvious question is what happens when
the premium goes away. Let's get into
that. Now let's be real about the risk
because there are some whole flywheel
runs on that premium. Look at Micro
Strategy. At its peak in late 2024, it
traded at almost four times the value of
its Bitcoin. By this year, that premium
had cooled to around 1.2 times. And when
the premium drifts down towards one,
issuing new shares stops helping you and
starts diluting you. Closeand fund can
also trade at a discount for long
stretches. Nothing guarantees bot sits
at a premium. If the mood turns, you can
own a dollar of robots and the market
only pays you 80 cents for it. Second,
these holdings are mostly private, which
makes them hard to value and hard to
sell. The fund's net asset value leans
on estimated marks for private
companies, not live market prices. If a
hot private round reprices lower, that
value moves down with it. And third,
this is simply early days. The fund is
about a month old. Andrew Kang has real
conviction and a genuinely good early
call-in figure. and they brought in
serious people like Scott Walter to vet
the deals, but it's still a young
non-diversified fund in one of the most
speculative corners of tech. If
humanoids take longer than hype says,
they might. This gets hit hard. So, both
things are true at once. The idea is
genuinely exciting and the risk are
genuinely real. I just want you walking
in with both eyes open. So, how do I
actually think about this as an
investor? So, for me, it comes down to
the role it plays in a portfolio. Robbo
strategy is a high-risisk, high
conviction holding. Nobody should
mistake it for a sleep well at night
position. It's a bet on a specific idea
that robotics follows the same private
market explosion AI just went through.
That a public vehicle can capture some
of that upside for you. If you believe
that bot is one of the only ways to
express it on the public market without
being an accredited investor writing
million-doll checks into private rounds.
That's the actual product here. Access
to something that's been locked behind
venture capital your whole life. The way
it framed the scenarios is simple. In
the bull case, robotic scales the way AI
did. The private marks keep climbing,
the premium holds, and the flywheel does
its thing. In the bare case, the
timeline slips, the premium collapses,
the fund trades at a discount, and you
found out the hard way what
concentration risk feels like. Both are
fully on the table. That's how it fits
my own approach. I told you my strategy
is to spread bets across as many serious
robot companies as I can because I'd
rather own a slice of the whole field
than gamble on one name. Bot is one
piece of that for me. So, here's what
I'd actually do with this. The first
thing is go read the source material
yourself before you touch anything. Robo
Strategy's own posts and their site lay
out the thesis and their holdings. Read
Andrew Kang's launch thread in his own
words. I'll link all of that below. Then
if you do look up bot, watch the premium
or discount to nav like a hawk. That
single number tells you whether the
machine is working for you or against
you. Buying a vehicle like this at a fat
premium is how people get hurt. There's
also a simple mental move that helps
separate the companies from the fun.
Figure electronic. These are real
businesses making real progress and the
Catalyst brand's deal is the proof. You
can believe in the robots and still be
careful with the rapper you buy them
through. After that, size it like the
speculative bet it is. Decide your
number before you buy, not after. And
the last one, keep watching Tesla and
Optimus as your baseline. If you want to
know how fast this whole trend is
moving, production ramps at Tesla,
Viger, and Electronic are your best live
signal. Okay, so let's zoom out for a
second. For years, the most exciting
part of technology has happened in
private behind a velvet rope and the
public investor got to buy in only after
the big gains were already gone. Robo
Strategy is a bet that robotics is too
big to get behind that rope. Check out
the sticker bought on NASDAQ. Whether
this exact fund turns out to be the
winner, I don't know yet. It's a month
old. But the gap it's trying to fill is
real and somebody's going to fill it.
Hopefully you enjoyed the show and found
it valuable. I'll see you in the next
one.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This video explores investment opportunities in the burgeoning robotics industry, specifically focusing on how everyday investors can gain exposure to private humanoid robot companies. The speaker introduces 'Robo Strategy' (ticker: BOTB), a closed-end fund designed to provide public market access to a portfolio of private robotics firms. The presentation covers the massive potential of the robotics market relative to the global labor economy, the challenges of accessing private companies, the mechanics of the fund's 'flywheel' strategy, and the significant risks involved, including premium volatility and concentration risks.
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