The UNTHINKABLE is about to happen to GOLD & Silver
729 segments
The last time both gold and silver sat
where they're sitting right now, gold
went up 240%.
Silver went up 320%.
But it didn't happen the way you think.
Central banks were dumping gold for
months in 2026. And the headlines were
screaming that the gold trade was over.
And then quietly something started to
flip. And I'm going to show you exactly
what flipped, when it flipped, and what
it means for your money. By the end of
this video here, you'll understand the
mechanical pattern that's repeated after
every major crisis in gold and silver in
the last 50 years and why this pullback
isn't a breakdown, it's a setup. Winston
here is our in-house gold analyst. Get
it? Golden Retriever. He's also going to
give you three gold mining stocks and
royalty companies that could give you a
two or a 3x upside on that without
actually leveraging your account. And
because Winston is going to make this
video so information dense for you to
give you lots of value and to make sure
it really lands for you, we're also
going to give you a bonus full research
report covering everything that we're
going to go over today and more. Because
this video shouldn't be hours and hours
long. You can download that for free at
felixfriends.org/gold2026.
Links down below in the description.
It's completely free. Nothing required.
Just download it. If you're wondering
who the heck we are, my name is Felix.
I'm an ex-investment, banker, and
economist. This here is is Winston. Uh
he's also the co-founder of the Goat
Academy where our retired Wall Street
mentors have been teaching regular
investors like you for the last six
years. Uh we've taught well over 20,000
people by now, which is super super fun.
And we're going to show you how the
sausage gets made on Wall Street, what
it really means, and then the exact
pattern that we've seen play up multiple
times. Gold dropping in the middle of a
global crisis like it is right now. So,
I'm not going to give you financial
advice. I'm not even going to give you
my opinion. I'm going to give you the
mechanical sequence that repeats after
every major oil shock. Think 73, 79,
1991, 2001, 2022. Yeah. every every one
of the big ones. And once you see those
patterns, you won't be able to unsee
them again. So, let's start with what's
probably making your blood boil right
now. And let me know if if if it's
annoying you that gold and silver are
down. Let's put put annoyed in the chat
or an A will do, too. Gold hits an
all-time high of up here somewhere,
5,000 almost 600 in January. And then
the Iran conflict breaks out and gold
drops. Not like 5% or 10%, but no, like
a lot. You know, we're talking like 20
odd percent. And every retail investor
on the planet expected gold to moon,
right? And it did the exact opposite.
And I bet some of you are watching this
right now and you're sitting in the red,
right? Let me know if you're in the red
on on gold in the comments. Just write
red gold in the comments. But let me
explain to you what happened because
once you understand this, you'll never
look at a crisis the same way again and
you'll understand where the next
opportunity sits. So tattoo this on your
forehead or wherever you you you you
take notes because this is a really
important other thing to understand. The
step one is we get a geopolitical shock.
You know in this case it was a major
conflict in the Middle East. What
happens next? Well, oil goes up, right?
And oil is going to continue to go up.
In my humble opinion, uh 20% of the
world's oil flows through that part of
the world. And when it's disrupted, well
guess what? Prices go up. It's
particularly complicated. Step two, when
oil spike, inflation actually doesn't go
up immediately, but expectations of
inflations do like expectations of very
long golden retriever massages around
here. And in markets, expectations are
everything. And then you get to the
third step. The Fed can no longer cut
interest rates because they see the
inflation expectations rise. So the
Fed's going stuck, can't do anything
because we got to fight inflation. And
then step four, when the market realizes
the Fed isn't going to cut, the interest
rates go up. Bond yields they call it,
which are basically the interest rates
that the market sets, not the Fed or the
government. The Fed doesn't actually set
interest rates. It is the market that
does. The Fed doesn't want you to know
this, but it's how it actually works.
And it sounds a little bit complicated,
but stay with me because this is so
important. And when you understand what
bond yields are, it's basically how much
interest do you get for holding US
government debt. Well, if they're paying
you 5%. And gold is just sitting there
doing nothing, paying you nothing. So,
what do you think the big money does?
Well, they flow into the sure thing,
right? Wall Street likes a sure thing.
And 5% is a sure thing. And then what
happens? The dollar strengthens. Why the
heck does the dollar strengthen? Because
every scared investor around the world,
every pension fund manager is losing
sleep and they're all moving their money
into the one safe haven the world still
believes in for some reason, US
treasuries or US debt. So money money
pours into US debt. And all those
foreign buggers like me, they have to
buy dollars, right? They sell their yen
and their euro monkey currencies and
they buy the good old, you know, US
dollar for it. And because gold is also
priced in dollars, a stronger dollar
means gold gets cheaper or it looks
cheaper to everybody else. So you get
three headwinds hitting gold at the
exact same time. You get the higher bond
yields, the higher interest rates, a
stronger dollar, and then you get force
selling from institutions who need to
raise cash or those who are locking in
or those who are locking in their
profits because you remember gold
started around here where the first sort
of real like buy signal kicked in in Feb
2024 around $2,000. So, a lot of people
made a lot of money there. Seems the
massage has finished over here. So now
you know why your gold position is in
the red while the world is uh is is on
fire. And this has happened every single
freaking time. Going to have to put
these on because these lights are very
bright. Better for your eyes. So
literally go back the last 50 years.
October 73. OPEC cuts production, slaps
an embargo on the US. Oil does something
insane. And gold initially dropped and
then it rallied
tremendously. Or you have the Iranian
revolution of 79, oil production drops,
price of oil goes to the moon, gold
doesn't do anything and then over the
next 12 months it goes up like 89%.
1991 Gulf War, Iraq invades Kuwait, Bush
invades Iraq for the first time and um
oil spikes, gold popped about 10%.
Energy stocks went to the roof, defense
stocks obviously outperformed. But if
you go back into then 911, what does
gold do after that? Gold goes on a
decade long run from 250 to 1900, right?
Which is kind of what we got to in 2024.
And then Ukraine, Russia, same scenario.
Gold finally breaks 2000. So gold
initially tends to drop and then it
recovers to higher highs every single
time. Now of course past performances
and the future promise and all that kind
of stuff, is it Winston? Um but this is
what's happened every single time in the
last 50 years. So I think it's a pretty
important thing to understand. Now most
investors will get surprised by exactly
this kind of a move, right? They'll
chase too late. They buy at the top,
they sell at the bottom. And and let me
know if any of you, and there is no
shame in this, did any of you buy silver
up here at sort of $100 and right now
you're really frustrated with it because
it's down 30 40%. Or maybe you did the
same to gold. Literally share it in the
comments. If you bought it near the
highest in January, write highs in the
chat. Or maybe you panic sold during the
crash because it was down quite a bit
and you got annoyed by that, put panic
in the chat. Or maybe you've been doing
it with a stock. It doesn't matter
whether it's gold or silver. It's the
same thing. Is I've literally reviewed
thousands of portfolios and I see the
difference in strategy between retail
and Wall Street. Most retail investors
lose money because they are stuck in
certain stocks or gold or silver and
then they seek safety. And what do they
then do? Well, they buy index funds. But
index funds hide the real picture. The
truth is that if you own an S&P 500
index fund, and I guarantee you do,
maybe not directly, but it'll be in your
pension, there are handful of winners,
10 15 winners that carry the whole
thing, and then there are 490 stocks
that drag you down. And that sounds
weird, doesn't it? Why do I own 500 when
only these guys up here do anything? But
I've been told it was safe. But what if
that was wrong? That's exactly why
Winston and I are going to run a free
live session for you. First time ever,
probably last time ever. And I call it
the index fund trap. Why the S&P 500 is
lying to you. And it's something
institutional money understands. It's
something that almost no retail investor
understands. And I'm not trying to scare
you. I'm not trying to freak you out.
Don't do anything. Don't sell your S&P
index funds right now. But learn what it
actually is that you own. And then you
can come to the realization whether or
not that's something you want to keep
earning or whether you might want to
improve upon that. So you can get
yourself a free ticket to this live
event be two hours long. I'm running
this live from France at index.com
index.com. The link's down below and I'm
going to walk you through the exact
setup for navigating what's coming here
including this gold and silver setup.
But two hours, as I say, live from
France, free seed atindextrap.com.
Uh, why am I not telling you everything
in this video? Because the video would
get silly long and YouTube doesn't like
making putting out twoour videos. But
let's get back to the promise and the
premise of this video. Every time gold
or even silver sat where it's sitting
right now, literally there's a technical
level that every big institution, every
fund, every central bank watches, and
it's very simple. It's called the 200
day moving average line. And let me show
you gold right now. Gold right now. Get
a pen. Okay, first of all, there is a
purplish line on here. That is this 200
day moving average. Please take notes.
You will forget it. And right now, we're
trading significantly below that. Right,
we're trading here. So, we're looking
bigly below that. The last time we were
that bigly below it was briefly in April
2025. And before that, it's actually not
on my chart in the last year or two. So,
what happened, and again, I'm not saying
to you it's going to happen exactly the
same way, but last time we were at that
sort of a level, we were at 27 bucks and
we went up a couple of hundred%. And if
you zoom out even more, and you see
these opportunities where we are below
that line, well, we were below that line
down here at $17. We were below that
line in a big fashion at $11 in 2020.
Right? All of those were beautiful shiny
opportunities for a rally in silver.
I'll show the same thing to you for
gold. You can see where we are right now
on gold. You see this line here, which
is again the same 200 day moving average
line. We're trading here. Pretty big gap
below the line. That gap here was
actually less. Now, that gap, we were
trading at $1,800 for gold. So, let me
ask you this. Would you like to have
bought gold at $1,800? But actually, if
you zoom out a little bit, the
significance of the drop is more like
what we saw in 2022.
And in 2022, I can tell you we were
trading at 1,500, $1,600 an ounce,
right? Right now, we're trading at
$4,300, which everyone's crying about.
This is something that happens very
rarely. When it does, it is, I believe,
an opportunity. I'm not telling you to
buy it. I'm not a financial adviser. you
got to come to your own conclusions, but
it's something to understand in study.
So, I looked up the data. Last 10 times
gold touched the 200 day moving average
line over the next 12 months. On
average, we did 8%. Obviously, more if
you had a bit more patience. 60% win
rate on that. Again, not promising
that'll happen in the future, but we
were 100% positive at 12 months into it.
Now, obviously, some of you are saying
past performance doesn't guarantee
future results. True. Yes, you're
completely right. It doesn't. But let me
walk you through why the conditions
today are more extreme than anything we
saw in all those previous episodes. The
US the US um debt or the uh please vote
for me please vote for me fund. It was
sitting at 500 billion in 73. It's about
39 trillion right now. The government is
paying three billion a day in interest a
trillion a year more than the entire
defense budget. Literally every aircraft
carrier, every fighter to every soldier,
more goes to paying interest on the debt
than in defending the great US ofA. And
central banks in 73 were selling gold.
There is no silver supply deficit.
Today, central banks are buying again at
a pace we haven't seen in a long time.
And we have a tool for that in in the
Winston app. There's a whole metal
section. And one of the things we track
in there on literally a map, make it
bigger for you. We track on here if you
just remove the mining operations and
everything else. You just leave the
central bank gold thing on there and and
we pin you out an alert as well a few
days ago when the data came in and you
can see a lot of the um more abundant
European nations are selling gold.
Poland, they're smart. They're buying
gold. You see a lot of the Asian nations
are buying gold and we're back to
central banks by being net buyers of
gold. Now, the reason that they started
selling off is like you see all these
little red dots here in the Middle East.
All these guys were selling Turkey
especially, but also rumored to be the
Emirates and so on because their oil
sales stopped. So, they're not getting
dollars in. So, they're selling
something that's liquid they can tide
themselves over with. So, we're at a
phase now where we seem to have bottomed
out there. So these guys are no longer
selling as much or maybe they stopped
selling and overall all the central
banks in the world are now net buyers
and I think that's very important to
understand. You want to get access to
that data. There's a ton of data in
here. You can also like click on gold
for example and it shows you what the
biggest players are doing institutions
still sellers which actually is kind of
an indicator to be a contrarian. I I
would argue show you the gold and silver
premiums in Shanghai and so on. the
Chromx inventory, the stress tests. It's
it's it's all in there. Who's buying and
holding gold and everything? It's all
it's all in there, plus much much more.
There's a link down below. You can try
it for for literally there's a whole
month trial. So, we I'm not someone who
wants to hold you hostage to software.
If you like it, you stick around. If you
don't, you cancel it on day 29, which is
also fine. But let me teach you what
I've learned from my Wall Street MA
mentors, the guys who literally worked
on the metal exchanges, made the markets
I mean, you know, I like to think, but I
when I say make the market, I always
think of manipulate the market, but
obviously I'm wrong because they made
the market more efficient. That was that
was the word I was looking for. And
they're the same guys who teach teach my
students. There are four phases to this.
And again, you might want to write this
down. So phase numero uno is week sort
of one to four. You get panic selling.
Retail tends to lock in losses. Um tons
of media fear coverage. Don't watch the
news. Don't watch the war news. It
doesn't make you any smarter. It makes
you more fearful, which is what a lot of
people make money out of. The smart
money usually just sits there and waits.
And then you get to phase two, which is
sort of month two to three end. So the
panic starts to settle a little bit. The
fear comes down a bit. the safe havens
kind of pull back. Gold drops, silver
drops a little bit more, and that's
usually where retail gets massacred
because you look at your portfolio, you
see red, you read the headlines saying
gold's over, and then you sell, right?
Now, in my opinion, just a humble
opinion, this is the worst possible time
to sell. But it is the most common time
that people sell because we're human
beings. We're hardwired to do the wrong
thing at the wrong time. Right? Money
isn't intuitive. I always say that it's
just it's rules based but it isn't
intuitive. And then we get to phase the
which is the central banks are giving us
the structural bid the structural
buying. The miners start popping up. The
recovery begins but retail is too scared
to get back in because they just had a
painful period with gold and silver and
and miners and everything else. So they
miss out. And I want to make sure you
don't miss out on the opportunities that
are in front of us. I'm not telling you
what to buy. I'm just saying learn the
rules so you can come to your own
conclusions. Right? Better you learn how
to fish than me give you an old smelly
fish. And then we go to four phase four
where prices are now above the crisis
levels. Happens after every major shock
oil shock in the last 50 years. And even
Wall Street is currently saying gold
should be 35 to 40% higher than it is
right now. And I'm talking JP Morgan and
Deutsche and every Wall Street bank out
there all with their price targets and
the 6,000 something. So let me ask you
this simple question. Do you want to be
positioned before the herd figured this
out? If you do, put herd in the
comments. So you understand the
mechanics, you understand why gold
dropped, you understand the signal, you
understand the four phases, but there's
still a piece missing that most
investors really miss out on. And it's
probably the most important one because
most investors will get surprised by
this, right? And then they're going to
do the same thing again. They're going
to chase
too late. They're going to buy silver
again somewhere up here, you know, after
the rally. Our entry point was here. Our
entry point was there. This one here is
one you should frame because the volume
institutional money pouring in was
something I've never seen before on a
stock chart. But retail bought it too
late once it was mainstream news and
became exit liquid and it was painful,
right? How does it feel to hold
something that's down, you know, a lot?
Feels doesn't it? Feel painful.
You stomach is tighter. You feel like
you've been conned. You feel like there
is, you know, market manipulation and
you feel frustrated and all that stuff,
right? Put your emotions in there in the
comments how that makes you feel. But
you're not losing money because delete
that last sentence. You're losing money
because
you haven't got the rules. You're losing
money every day in my humble opinion
because you're stuck in an index fund
that hides what's actually going on
there. You own basically these winners
and you hold this many losers as your
president likes to say. And I want to
help you fix that. I want to help you
look at the market in the way that Wall
Street looks at the market because Wall
Street doesn't do that. Wall Street
doesn't just even Warren Buffett, Mr.
Buy the index fund. Well, guess what?
They sold all their index funds. They
don't own any anymore because they
realize the game's up. The market has
changed. It used to be in your parents
or grandparents' world, you could just
buy the index, you'd retire, and you'd
be wonderfully rich. Absolutely. It's
changed. And there is a mechanical
reason for that. And that reason is
understood by the guys I talk to, the
guys on Wall Street, the guys who used
to run the hedge funds and work in the
big banks, but it isn't understood by
many people out there in the retail
world. So, we're going to teach that to
you. One free live session, two hours.
It's called the index fund trap, and you
can get yourself a free seat at
indexp.com. It'll work for you if you
are in the socialist states of Europe or
if you're in in the Americas or pretty
much anywhere else in the world because
I'm doing it live from from France. So,
time zone should work for you guys and
I'll give you that exact playbook. How
they understand what's coming, how they
understand that it's changed. Index
funds were no longer are no longer what
they used to be. So, get yourself a free
seat. Two hours live. There won't be a
replay. Don't ask me for one. But I want
to give some of you guys who are more
the stock crowd. I want to give you some
something to to to study because we
cover the mechanics, the mechanics, the
the signals, the four phases, the
central banks flipping, all that stuff.
You know, there's a silver deficit. I'm
not going to u run you through that
again. So, what do I like to buy? Yes, I
like owning gold. I like owning silver.
But I make the real money with miners
because when gold goes up 10%, miners
tend to go up 30%. It's a leverage
that's built in. And I'm going to walk
you through three companies here. Um,
give you all the information so you can
look look at them. Um, first thing I
always do, go to the Winston app, look
at stocks, and and here's the first
ticker, AEM. And you can type that in
there. There it is. Agniko Eagle Minds.
And that tells you quite a lot. Gives
you our score. How solid of a business
do we think it is. Obviously, do your
own research. Shows you their revenue
growth, record revenue growth, profit
growth, insider ownership. It tells you
basically every number you want to see,
you want to understand and then little
sort of Winston tips of you know revenue
is actually accelerating here. But what
I really want to look at with you guys
on the weekend and we'll we can look at
these particular examples then for you
on the coming weekend that is is I see
something on this chart here that makes
my heart skip a beat. Um and it and it
is this slightly ludicrous looking
zigzag pattern. I call it a heartbeat
pattern. And right now, don't get me
wrong, it isn't quite where we like it
to be, but it is the setup. And the
setup to me is saying we're in the late
stages of selling. Don't run out and buy
it. I haven't yet. Um I'm going to wait
a little bit here. But for me, that's
exactly what I'm looking for here. And
if you didn't know who these guys are,
they are they're a company that dig gold
out of the ground and then they sell it.
That's I think the simplest way to
summarize the business. But the cool
thing is with gold prices where they
are, you know how much it cost them to
get a ounce of gold out of the ground?
$1,400
is their cost. So we're trading at
wherever we're trading at as you're
watching this. You know that they're
making money, right? Because they're
selling at the market price. So they're
making about
$3,300
an ounce profit. That's pretty good,
right? That's a pretty sweet margin. And
if gold goes higher, guess what? their
profits go higher and higher and higher.
So, it's a it's a leverage play on that.
The second stock I want to look at with
you and and these are also in the in the
dock down below or if you want to play
with the Winston app is called FNV. Uh
it is a stock listed in um Snow Mexican
Land Canada. I'm just kidding. I love
you Canadians. Canadians are wonderful
people. Um but look at that revenue
growth, right? Insane. 88% on the year
and very very very solid numbers. Very
very very solid numbers I'm seeing here.
And if I look at the stock, what am I
seeing? I'm seeing my famous pattern,
right? Still not where I wanted to be,
but I'm seeing the selling fizzling out.
If you're wondering what these guys do,
read about it here. They don't mine any
gold. They're a royalty company, so they
finance gold miners. Um, and they
collect basically royalties for
everything that's dug out of the ground
in in return. Very very very impressive
numbers there. I I like that business
model, I must say. Then we also have
WPM, probably the most famous one you
might have heard of. Weaton precious
metals. We give it a pretty decent score
here, 72. We also show you politician
buying, Trump buying, all that stuff.
Not a lot going on there to be honest.
The answer too small for me to pay any
attention, but again, tremendous revenue
growth the last two quarters generating
a lot of cash. Just very, very, very
solid numbers overall. And again, WPM
has the same pattern that I look for.
Not quite where I wanted to be yet, but
setting itself up in my humble opinion.
So, I'm not buying it yet. I'm waiting,
but I'm seeing something that I really,
really want to have on my watch list
right now. But most people don't buy
these. Most people will buy a silver
index fund or something like that. But
you are missing out, I understand, on
the real opportunity with good risk
management, right? Don't just run out
and buy buy gold and silver miners if
you don't know what you're doing because
that could cost you a lot of money. And
that's the exact opposite of what we
want to achieve here. But if you can see
the opportunity, I'll show you the last
time we had that heartbeat pattern. It
was here really. That was the last one.
There was one here before, too. There
was one here. And I show you how much
that went up from that point. it really
broke out of it from here but it went up
a lot right 100% plus and so there is
something I think worth studying I'm not
promising returns but when you get these
these periods where you are drifting
sideways people are getting tired of the
gold and silver story that's exactly
when I want to look at potentially
buying it and look there are probably
two types of investors watching this
video right now right type one sees gold
pulling back from its highs and thinks
it's over gold was a hype. I should have
sold at the top and then they're going
to go back to scrolling and watch
someone else tell them to buy whatever
the latest AI stock or something and
then six months from now when gold is at
new all-time highs. They'll say, "Oh, I
knew I should have." Now the type two
investors sees the same pullback in
things phase two mechanical suppression
because I just taught you that they look
at the structural setup look see that
it's actually more bullish than it was
at the top and then they start
accumulating at the right moment not too
early at the right moment just like the
institutions just like the central banks
are it isn't about smarts it isn't about
intelligence it's not about how much
money you got it's not about your
connections it's about understanding the
rules but Wall Street for So, which type
do you want to be? Type one, the chaser,
or type two, the guy who's learning the
skills? Put it in the comments. Write
I'm I'm a chaser, or write skills in the
comments. And if you are someone who
wants to learn the skills, join me on
the weekend, go to indexp.com,
grab yourself a seat, show up for
yourself, bring a notepad and a hot
beverage, and we're going to have some
fun. And I'm going to teach you the
actual rules. I'm going to walk you
through actual stocks and the gold and
the metal charts and all that stuff,
show you how you can see the
institutional money moving around. It's
much much simpler than you think, but
you got to learn it. Otherwise, you will
forever be the chaser. You got some
value out of this video. If you know
some people who might get value out of
the live training, send them the link,
share it with them. That would make me
very happy. And I look forward to seeing
you guys on the weekend in France. All
the best. Six months ago on this
channel, Winston here warned you that a
wave of trillion dollar IPOs would mark
the top of the market. And this week,
Ray Dalio, literally the most success
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This video outlines why gold and silver have experienced a significant pullback after their recent highs, characterizing it not as a market breakdown, but as a classic 'setup' phase. The speaker explains the mechanical sequence that follows geopolitical shocks, which includes rising oil prices, increased inflation expectations, Fed inaction, and higher bond yields, all of which create temporary headwinds for precious metals. Drawing on data from the last 50 years, the presenter argues that this pattern is predictable, and that while central banks were selling, they have now shifted to become net buyers. The speaker also critiques retail investors' reliance on index funds, warns against chasing market trends, and introduces several gold mining and royalty companies (AEM, FNV, WPM) that could offer leverage once market conditions align with his proprietary 'heartbeat' pattern. Finally, he invites viewers to a free live session to learn more about navigating the current market landscape.
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