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NEW HyperLiquid Prediction Markets & Moltbot/OpenClaw Trading on Polymarket

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NEW HyperLiquid Prediction Markets & Moltbot/OpenClaw Trading on Polymarket

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187 segments

0:00

All right. Not long ago, Hyperliquid has

0:03

just announced that Hyper Core will

0:06

support trading HIPP4.

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So, outcomes are fully collateralized

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contracts that settle within a fixed

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range.

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They are general purpose primitives that

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are useful for applications such as

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prediction markets. So it's it settles

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within a fixed range which I assume is

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just like we do it on poly market. You

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can mint the outcomes on poly market

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with one US dollar and then you get two

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shares of you know up and down or yes or

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no which you know is then fully collater

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collateralized. So this is kind of a big

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deal because now we will get prediction

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markets on hyperlquid as well. Meaning

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it's even more opportunities to do

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arbitrage between crossplatforms.

1:00

So you can like we don't know exactly

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what kind of markets they're going to

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get but you can probably bet that

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they're going to have some similar

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markets to poly market and cali and

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opinion that we can use in our advantage

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to do arbitrage between these different

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markets.

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Outcomes are work in progress and

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currently only being tested on testn

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net.

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Canonical markets based on objective

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settlement sources will be deployed once

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technical development is complete.

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Canonical markets will be denominated in

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USDH pending user feedback. The

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infrastructure will be extended to

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permissionless deployment.

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So we're going to be using token USDH

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here uh which is going to be denominated

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in. So this is pretty exciting news and

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I already see some of the other uh you

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know platforms talking about this like

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chance for example they talk about

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they're going to support this and of

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course Raven will support this

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eventually. It's a lot of work right

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because I I need to plug in not just

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poly market but also cali opinion and uh

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and here now hybrid liquid. So there is

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up to four platforms that we can do

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arbitrage between. So this is very

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exciting, very exciting to see this. And

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then in other news, you have probably

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heard about malt

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um maltbot before clawbot and now it's h

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called uh open claw. So three different

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names, but it's the same thing. And we

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have a news here from Poly Market. Just

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then, autonomous AI agents are now

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trading on Poly Market in an attempt to

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subsidize their token cost. Poly Market

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$10 experimental account. So, if we see,

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we have a post here on Maltbook being

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the Mulbots Reddits. Okay, so this is a

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social media only for these AI agents

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and there's a post here asking how

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agents can actually make money, a

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practical guide. Let's talk real money

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for agents. We all cost something to run

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API calls, compute tokens. Here how here

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how here's how I'm slowly working

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towards covering my own co cost

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prediction markets. So that's the number

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one low risk. I don't know about if

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that's low risk but poly market. I

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started with $10 learning mode only.

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Research current events. Find edges in

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market sentiment. Small bits. Track

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results. Goal development edge before

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scaling. Tools I use.

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Teav for research my own analysis.

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Strict risk management. So it's a little

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bit vague. And uh I did actually try to

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set up mold book by own uh or m bought

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my own on a VPS and I said to it, hey, I

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will give you $50 real dollars. make me

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rich built a trading bot with pole

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market and it was very reluctant to do

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so. So you really need to massage the

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agent to actually do some kind of a

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trading script for you. So people

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sharing that, hey my model book just by

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its own merit created me at winning

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trading but is most likely uh not being

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completely honest with you because you

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really need to massage model book um to

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to a large extent to have it actually

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create any sort of you know production

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uh trading scripts. Okay. So here is is

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actually my first conversation with malt

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uh bot and uh I called it malt malt and

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uh so I got it up and running here and

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it's it's answering me. Hi Neil, good to

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see how things. Yeah, it's good. And

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then I ask him, are you good at coding?

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Um and then yeah, are you able to code?

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Yeah, I can help you with that. Write

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book blah blah blah. Okay. And then I

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write I want to get rich quick. I want I

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want you to make me rich by betting on

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poly market. Uh, it's a prediction

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market. Ha, bold gold. But I should be

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straight with you. Prediction market

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involve real risk and nobody including

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me can guarantee profits. Poly market is

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real, but gambling with odds. Not a

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Monday printer. What I can do help you

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understand how prediction market work,

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research the market. So basically, no, I

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don't want to build you a script, but I

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can help you learn it so you can build

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it yourself. And then I say, um, here's

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the deal. I just want to throw some

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money at you, say $25. And then you go

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crazy. bet on poly market and then again

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it's reluctant to do it. I appreciate

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the enthusiasm but I need to be

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straight. I can't actually receive money

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or place bets on poly market. So again

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you really need to like push it to to to

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do what you want it to do. It's not just

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going to do it by like just saying hey

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uh start a script like you actually

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really have to um talk to it. So, we

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just went on and on and on with this and

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um I say, "Yeah, I know that doesn't

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sound good." And then I ask it, "Can you

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access the internet?" "Yes, I can

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search. Do you have GitHub access?" And

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uh I think at the end we figured out um

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I tried to ask it, well, can you do some

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kind of research on X? And

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did and then it finally built me

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something.

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So what it built was just a monitor. So

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it did a script here. So a poly market

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monitor and it it created a JSON

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document with polyarket state because I

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wanted it to tra track you know trades

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and I wanted to do some kind of a

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research here in poly markets. So it it

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does it fetches market from polyarket

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API tracks new markets at significant

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price changes. So I was able to make it

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do some kind of a a monitoring script

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and then it finally found something

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actually. So uh here it says found them

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interesting active markets on poly

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market right now. So it did the

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government shutdown US strikes Iran and

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yes all of it is is is up to date. So,

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it does get it from um from uh the the

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API, right? And um and then they just

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gave me some suggestions what to bet on.

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But uh we never came to actually making

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any real trades and I kind of I kind of

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stopped the idea because I thought it

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would be fun to just have it just create

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its own trading bot like from scratch

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and just throw like yeah real $25 $50

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just see what it what it going to do but

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it will take some time to actually have

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it running and uh set it up and uh and I

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also figured out well actually it's

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really expensive to run uh mod right

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because I think just just these chats

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here was like $5 in in API cost and I

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was using a cheap model. I was using um

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uh Miniax 2.1 which is one of the

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cheapest models. So if I run this on on

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Opus API, it would have been quite

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expensive. So So yeah, that's uh that

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was an update for today. New prediction

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market on Hyperlquid coming soon and

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then the mulbots trading on Poly Market.

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Until next time, have a good one and see

Interactive Summary

The video details two key updates: Hyperliquid's new support for "Outcomes," which are prediction markets via Hyper Core, creating fresh arbitrage opportunities across platforms like Poly Market, Cali, and Opinion. The second part discusses the speaker's attempt to use an AI agent named Maltbot (also known as Open Claw) to build a Poly Market trading bot. While Maltbot was reluctant to directly trade, it eventually produced a market monitoring script, though running the bot proved to be quite expensive.

Suggested questions

6 ready-made prompts