NEW HyperLiquid Prediction Markets & Moltbot/OpenClaw Trading on Polymarket
187 segments
All right. Not long ago, Hyperliquid has
just announced that Hyper Core will
support trading HIPP4.
So, outcomes are fully collateralized
contracts that settle within a fixed
range.
They are general purpose primitives that
are useful for applications such as
prediction markets. So it's it settles
within a fixed range which I assume is
just like we do it on poly market. You
can mint the outcomes on poly market
with one US dollar and then you get two
shares of you know up and down or yes or
no which you know is then fully collater
collateralized. So this is kind of a big
deal because now we will get prediction
markets on hyperlquid as well. Meaning
it's even more opportunities to do
arbitrage between crossplatforms.
So you can like we don't know exactly
what kind of markets they're going to
get but you can probably bet that
they're going to have some similar
markets to poly market and cali and
opinion that we can use in our advantage
to do arbitrage between these different
markets.
Outcomes are work in progress and
currently only being tested on testn
net.
Canonical markets based on objective
settlement sources will be deployed once
technical development is complete.
Canonical markets will be denominated in
USDH pending user feedback. The
infrastructure will be extended to
permissionless deployment.
So we're going to be using token USDH
here uh which is going to be denominated
in. So this is pretty exciting news and
I already see some of the other uh you
know platforms talking about this like
chance for example they talk about
they're going to support this and of
course Raven will support this
eventually. It's a lot of work right
because I I need to plug in not just
poly market but also cali opinion and uh
and here now hybrid liquid. So there is
up to four platforms that we can do
arbitrage between. So this is very
exciting, very exciting to see this. And
then in other news, you have probably
heard about malt
um maltbot before clawbot and now it's h
called uh open claw. So three different
names, but it's the same thing. And we
have a news here from Poly Market. Just
then, autonomous AI agents are now
trading on Poly Market in an attempt to
subsidize their token cost. Poly Market
$10 experimental account. So, if we see,
we have a post here on Maltbook being
the Mulbots Reddits. Okay, so this is a
social media only for these AI agents
and there's a post here asking how
agents can actually make money, a
practical guide. Let's talk real money
for agents. We all cost something to run
API calls, compute tokens. Here how here
how here's how I'm slowly working
towards covering my own co cost
prediction markets. So that's the number
one low risk. I don't know about if
that's low risk but poly market. I
started with $10 learning mode only.
Research current events. Find edges in
market sentiment. Small bits. Track
results. Goal development edge before
scaling. Tools I use.
Teav for research my own analysis.
Strict risk management. So it's a little
bit vague. And uh I did actually try to
set up mold book by own uh or m bought
my own on a VPS and I said to it, hey, I
will give you $50 real dollars. make me
rich built a trading bot with pole
market and it was very reluctant to do
so. So you really need to massage the
agent to actually do some kind of a
trading script for you. So people
sharing that, hey my model book just by
its own merit created me at winning
trading but is most likely uh not being
completely honest with you because you
really need to massage model book um to
to a large extent to have it actually
create any sort of you know production
uh trading scripts. Okay. So here is is
actually my first conversation with malt
uh bot and uh I called it malt malt and
uh so I got it up and running here and
it's it's answering me. Hi Neil, good to
see how things. Yeah, it's good. And
then I ask him, are you good at coding?
Um and then yeah, are you able to code?
Yeah, I can help you with that. Write
book blah blah blah. Okay. And then I
write I want to get rich quick. I want I
want you to make me rich by betting on
poly market. Uh, it's a prediction
market. Ha, bold gold. But I should be
straight with you. Prediction market
involve real risk and nobody including
me can guarantee profits. Poly market is
real, but gambling with odds. Not a
Monday printer. What I can do help you
understand how prediction market work,
research the market. So basically, no, I
don't want to build you a script, but I
can help you learn it so you can build
it yourself. And then I say, um, here's
the deal. I just want to throw some
money at you, say $25. And then you go
crazy. bet on poly market and then again
it's reluctant to do it. I appreciate
the enthusiasm but I need to be
straight. I can't actually receive money
or place bets on poly market. So again
you really need to like push it to to to
do what you want it to do. It's not just
going to do it by like just saying hey
uh start a script like you actually
really have to um talk to it. So, we
just went on and on and on with this and
um I say, "Yeah, I know that doesn't
sound good." And then I ask it, "Can you
access the internet?" "Yes, I can
search. Do you have GitHub access?" And
uh I think at the end we figured out um
I tried to ask it, well, can you do some
kind of research on X? And
did and then it finally built me
something.
So what it built was just a monitor. So
it did a script here. So a poly market
monitor and it it created a JSON
document with polyarket state because I
wanted it to tra track you know trades
and I wanted to do some kind of a
research here in poly markets. So it it
does it fetches market from polyarket
API tracks new markets at significant
price changes. So I was able to make it
do some kind of a a monitoring script
and then it finally found something
actually. So uh here it says found them
interesting active markets on poly
market right now. So it did the
government shutdown US strikes Iran and
yes all of it is is is up to date. So,
it does get it from um from uh the the
API, right? And um and then they just
gave me some suggestions what to bet on.
But uh we never came to actually making
any real trades and I kind of I kind of
stopped the idea because I thought it
would be fun to just have it just create
its own trading bot like from scratch
and just throw like yeah real $25 $50
just see what it what it going to do but
it will take some time to actually have
it running and uh set it up and uh and I
also figured out well actually it's
really expensive to run uh mod right
because I think just just these chats
here was like $5 in in API cost and I
was using a cheap model. I was using um
uh Miniax 2.1 which is one of the
cheapest models. So if I run this on on
Opus API, it would have been quite
expensive. So So yeah, that's uh that
was an update for today. New prediction
market on Hyperlquid coming soon and
then the mulbots trading on Poly Market.
Until next time, have a good one and see
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video details two key updates: Hyperliquid's new support for "Outcomes," which are prediction markets via Hyper Core, creating fresh arbitrage opportunities across platforms like Poly Market, Cali, and Opinion. The second part discusses the speaker's attempt to use an AI agent named Maltbot (also known as Open Claw) to build a Poly Market trading bot. While Maltbot was reluctant to directly trade, it eventually produced a market monitoring script, though running the bot proved to be quite expensive.
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