1968 Predicted Every Modern Tech Problem | TheStandup
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All right, welcome to the stand up.
Today we have asked legendary game
programmer Casey Muratori to give us an
amazing presentation and what he's going
to do is going to give us a glimpse of
the root of the root of all
evil is pre-optimized performance. Okay,
I can't even I can't even remember the
title. It's too many too many crushes.
>> Thank you. I'm crushing it. I was also
going to say prime I mean I think we
need at this point probably add computer
historian
to Casey's repertoire.
>> At this point maybe.
>> That's true.
>> Yeah,
occasional computer historian perhaps.
>> Yeah. Okay.
>> Yeah.
>> Today we have with us legendary
[laughter] game programmer and competent
and very insightful his computer
historian Casey Muratori.
Anyways, I'm sorry.
>> I love the legendary like the this not
legendary at all but now you have made
it a thing and under my videos people
NOW PUT LEGENDARY
>> [laughter]
[applause and cheering]
>> YOU GOT TO CHANGE YOUR USERNAME.
>> WAIT. WAIT. CHAT, can you guys search
Casey on Google? Okay, [laughter] I
don't know what the legend There's no
legends. There's not a single legend.
Anyway, um
>> Chat, we have the funniest thing we can
do. You know AI overviews? If we keep
this up
>> Oh, no.
>> AI overviews will have a
>> legendary
>> Yeah.
>> [laughter]
>> game programmer Casey Muratori.
>> Yeah. That's what I want to see.
>> All right, spin up your bots.
>> Yep.
>> So, it's time.
>> The legend is about how how I started
being called [laughter] legendary.
That's the actual only legend.
And that will be an actual legend since
people will have to explain it cuz it
doesn't make any sense. Anyway,
yeah, so
a lot of people last year saw that big
oops talk that I did because for some
reason it was very popular which was
just luck I guess cuz it's very long.
>> Um it's very long and I wasn't expecting
that. So, just like I don't know, people
were in the mood for a longer thing, so
that was cool. And so, a lot of people
watched the big oops. That was my Better
Software Conference 2025 talk. So, for
Better Software Conference 2026, I just
wanted to do uh one more of those.
They're very hard to do. I think I've
talked about this before. You have to
just read a tremendous amount and you
have to condense things down so
dramatically that like you're leaving
most of the things out. Uh you know, a
lot of people ask me like, "Why didn't
you talk about X or this that?" And I'm
like, "Because, bro, there is so much
stuff you can't talk about even spending
2 hours. There's just I mean, it was
thousands of pages of documentation.
Everything had interesting stuff in it.
I mean, computer history is just
chock-full of things. It's hard to get
through a single paper without being
like, "Wow, I this would be cool to talk
about, but it just doesn't fit here or
whatever."
So, anyway, um
So, this year I wanted to do one more of
those and it was uh on the phrase
"Premature optimization is the root of
all evil."
And the reason I wanted to do that one
is cuz I before I started researching it
a while ago, I actually didn't really
know the circumstances around the sort
of like first times it was committed to
page, if you will. Like written into an
article and or had uh examples shown
about it. And I kind of wanted to go I I
knew about the original sort of sighting
in the Knuth paper.
>> [clears throat]
>> Sort of the first paper anyone wrote
that has it in it. Knuth actually said
it uh
according to a transcript. He said it in
a lecture slightly before that paper was
printed, but the paper's manuscript had
already been submitted at the time. So,
this is like the first time it would
have ever really been committed to paper
as far as I know.
Obviously, people probably were saying
it before that, but anyway.
So, I wanted to find out more about like
why it got said, like why would someone
like Knuth write it down, you know, what
was going on at that time period. I just
kind of wanted to get it more than I did
because I just didn't really know, and I
obviously know Knuth's like research. I
know he has the Art of Computer
Programming series and a lot of other
like he has his discrete math book and
all these like publications, all that
stuff, but I never really like knew much
about his history.
And so, I kind of started like looking
into all of that and and kind of found
this whole story about structured
programming and what was going on at the
time that I found really educational.
So, really the talk is just an attempt
to kind of share that point in history.
It's like, here's kind of what they were
thinking about, what they were tackling,
what professors like Knuth were looking
at at that time. And once you kind of
know all that, I think it puts the
phrase in much better perspective about
what like it actually means. It's like a
really much more tangible
>> Yeah.
>> way you can relate to the phrase. So,
anyway, that's what the lecture is.
>> If you're anything like me, you have a
bunch of ideas, but perhaps you're a bit
disorganized. So, often I find myself
having a long brainstorming session, but
at the end of it, I just have a big
markdown file and then of course at that
point I've lost everything. Hey, stop
doing that. You got to check out Linear
and use the Linear MCP. I have a big
conversation, I come up with a bunch of
ideas, and at the end, I get a set of
tickets that are actually all the things
that I need to do. And when I don't know
what to work on, I go, "Hey, Agent, go
to Linear and tell me what I need to do
next." And it will find exactly what I
need to work on. This has been so
successful for me that I'm in actual
serious danger of completing a project.
Go to linear.app/terminal
and get 6 months for free on Linear.
Thank you for supporting the channel,
and thank you Linear for sponsoring the
video.
>> It's exactly like the big oops where I
you know I use pretty much exclusively
excerpts from source material to kind of
like give you a sense of everything that
was going on and who is involved and all
this other stuff.
So um that's up now. The VOD is up. You
can get to it easily if you just go to
computerenhanced.com/theroot.
All one word, the root. It will take you
directly there. And I have a page where
it's got the YouTube video of the talk
and then uh references hyperlinked so
you can actually like any of the slides
that you see if you're like I want to
read more of that uh I'd like to see the
original. The they're all hyperlinked on
that page. You can just click through
and get them uh and read the original
references. Sometimes they're paywalled
cuz they're at like you know it was an
institute uh like you know it's IEEE's
like you know publication that isn't uh
available for free currently or
whatever. So but most of the time there
there's just a freely available PDF that
the author has posted or or whatever or
or that journal is is out of out of
print for so long that it's just on you
know they just put their archives
online. So
>> Casey, you know that you could uh
Oh, never mind.
Never mind my joke. I just realized
completely doesn't work. Keep on going.
>> Brian, we could fix it in post.
>> an actual question.
>> Josh, definitely leave it in.
>> Brian, go again.
>> No no no I like I can't because I
thought computer enhanced was CH for
abbreviating it or for initializing it
but then I realized there's the EN piece
then it could have been CH root. It
could have been charoot.
Yeah yeah yeah yeah that doesn't work
but then I realized I'm an idiot.
>> [laughter]
>> I need to capitalize that. It used to be
like computer enhanced with like a big H
and then it can
Uh okay sorry what were you going to say
Trash?
>> Trash I had a trash
>> Uh real question. What does um for these
long talks like how many hours does it
take to
like like what's the level of effort
that you're going through to make these
long talks?
>> Way too much I guess is what I'd say.
Typically, I do like typically the
the idea or basis research comes from
something I happened to do earlier, so
like a year or two ago or something like
that. And then I spend
it's just like I don't know maybe like 2
weeks of 16-hour days
like straight just going through all the
material, clipping it out. It's like cuz
I can't afford to spend that much time
on them and I have to go through so much
history that's just It's It's really
brutal
cuz then just going back and and you
know
going through all the papers again,
finding new papers, answering questions
that like are like oh this
what about this part? Like where's that
reference or why did this person do
this? Can I find something?
And so it's it's really really brutal
and I don't recommend it.
I don't recommend it at all
>> [laughter]
>> to anyone.
>> Every My rule of thumb is always been 40
hours per hour when it comes to a
conference talk.
>> Um that's
>> Yours sounds even higher.
>> It's It's higher than that just because
of the nature of the work because of how
much reading is involved. Um and and I
think
you know, one of the things that I uh
sort of talked about with Dimitri cuz we
do that AI podcast and we do an episode
coming out later where I I sent him like
a paragraph describing like the research
and I was like Dimitri, have the have
the AIs do it and we'll compare them
like afterwards on an episode. We'll go
through it and see like how they did cuz
it was going to be like a kind of a
shoot-down episode, right? Where we go
like here's what Anthropic got, here's
what OpenAI got, here's what Gemini got
cuz now I know the thing like backwards
and forwards I can kind of be like who
who did what when and how. Uh
And like
one thing I was thinking about on that
episode, too, was just
I don't know how you speed this process
up. You can't really outsource it to an
AI or something like that or even a
research assistant because the valuable
part is you exploring the text without a
preconceived notion of like what the
questions are that you want to have
answered, right? And so it's kind of
this It's It's this really difficult
problem of making a talk like this. It's
The value comes from you immersing
yourself in the material, not from
answering a particular question. And so
it's very hard also to figure out how
you would accelerate it. Like using
using AI, using assistance, using
whatever. I just
It's It's not really
I don't know. It just kind of is a long
process is I guess all I would say. And
so eh
>> I've been I've been trying to do that as
well, seeing if I can like Can I do
research and all that? And then at the
end of the time after spending, you
know, 3 hours getting research from an
AI, I go, "Ah, I have to read the
paper anyways." And so then I just go
read it like either way. And so now I
just just like, "Well, I can't say this
thing because I don't even actually know
how accurate it is or if it really is
the like the thing I'm thinking." And so
then
>> And And I wouldn't like I don't want to
say it too strongly because since I
haven't tried actually using AI to
prepare a talk like this, I don't know
if maybe like you could come up with a
workflow that sort of works.
>> Yeah.
>> But in my experience, like, you know,
you doing reading all of the papers
yourself, like, all the stuff you find
is so valuable and you never knew you
were looking for that, right? Uh and so
that's just That's the tough part about
it is it's all about that happenstance
of exploration. I really enjoy it. It's
just the time pressure is so brutal. And
I'm never going to get a chance to
rehearse these talks, either. So, I just
have to get up and give the talk just
from the slides that I ended up with
that are were done, you know, at just
before
I get up there, right? Because I'm
constantly making modifications. And so,
it's just it's a it's a really grueling
experience is I guess what I would say.
Uh but so, I probably this is probably
it. Those are probably the two that I'm
ever going to do.
Uh but, you know, I certainly learned a
ton when I was doing it.
>> Nice.
>> I think the stuff for me that I found
helpful uh using AI for it is like
finding original sources for stuff,
which like if you have papers already as
a starting point, then you can use those
and you could literally read them
through. But sometimes you're like, I
don't even know can you like find
anything to read? Like that's very
helpful.
>> Right.
>> Um and to like even just, you know, hey,
can you turn these really badly
formatted PDFs or like weird old web
pages? Like you can just
>> ask it.
>> Like I ask it sometimes I literally say
like, just turn this into a web page
locally in H like just that I can click
through and open it like a book. You
know what I'm saying? Or some stuff like
that, which just helps.
>> Like OCR this for me cuz this is a mess.
Yeah.
>> Literally OCR this.
>> right now that I can't scroll cuz of
just the way it is on the internet. It
just won't scroll. It just is so chunky.
So, I'm just like, make it different.
Thank you.
>> Yeah, yeah, yeah.
>> Or like collapse it into something like
I have this one thing right now where um
I just it goes through uh the the guy
who made Obsidian made a thing that like
turns most web pages into like really
simple like markdown that you can read.
So, like use his little package to like
turn some stuff into like offline
markdown. I can read articles like from
my phone. So, like that stuff's pretty
nice if you're trying to just like get
stuff.
>> All right. Hey, Casey, you need to kind
of keep on going with this presentation.
I realize we're pretty far off topic.
>> That's okay. I mean, it's the standard
>> I already gave the talk. If you want to
see the talk, it's there. Uh so,
>> So, uh yeah, there uh
we were kind of talking about
obviously these talks are not things I
can give other versions of, right? So,
there's not much I could really do uh on
the stand-up, but
what I kind of wanted to do was figure
out something I could show on here that
might be fun because, you know, I like I
already said when we were talking about
this, you basically you you don't really
have um time to put in almost any of the
things you found, right? What you see in
the talk is like a tiny little sliver,
right, of the actual um of the actual
stuff, right? And so,
what I wanted to show here was there's
this um
one of the period- There's there's
multiple periodicals that like everyone
read at the time. Communications of the
ACM
uh was an example of of one of those.
It's in fact Communications of the ACM
was what that original Donald Knuth
Structured Programming with Go To
Statements paper where Premature
Optimization is the Root of All Evil,
where he writes that uh that was
actually in Communications of the ACM.
That was like a very common thing people
would would see. Um
Actually, no, that I I'm sorry. Uh
that was in Computing Surveys.
Um
Communications of the ACM is kind of
like more like has the letter letters in
it and stuff like this. So, those
periodicals from the Association of
Computing for Computing Machinery, those
are like very common periodicals that
lots of people read. But, there was this
actual magazine called Datamation, d a t
a m a t i o n, that was a very prominent
like trade magazine at the time, and a
lot of things are like are in there.
And so, I happened to have to read
through those, as you'll see in the
talk, uh I had to read through those to
like dumpster dive to find this one
advertisement that Edsger Dijkstra, like
like of the Dijkstra algorithm, like
that Dijkstra, uh programmer of the
month refers to multiple times. He
Sorry?
>> Programmer of the month on Prime's
channel. So that was cool.
>> Oh.
All right. Well, yes, programmer of the
month Edsger Dijkstra.
>> Yep. Very important. Very prestigious.
>> Yeah. It's literally like Turing Award.
Programmer of the month.
>> Yep.
>> Um yeah, I was going to say that Turing
Award is kind of like a nice to have
uh resume patter, but programmer of the
month is when you know you've really
made it, right?
>> you know you've Yeah.
>> You know.
>> I get that one day.
>> So someday we're all aspiring to
uh
So anyway,
in this this magazine uh like Dijkstra
actually refers to an advertisement
derogatorily refers to an advertisement
in this magazine Datamation and that
that's in the talk you can you can go
see that. But while I was trying to find
this ad that he sort of, you know,
cryptically refers to multiple times,
I read through all the issues of
Datamation like in 1968.
And because they've been digitized by
this like preservation uh patron called
Bit Savers.
And while I was reading through these,
it kind of like just struck me how
it it's weird, but like the more things
change the more they stay the same. In
1968, like computers were like massive.
Like most a lot of them were size of the
room. They were at least cabinet-sized,
right? Uh they had like, you know,
teletype for for like talking to them
stuff. It was like, you know, they were
like terminals. Occasionally you would
have a CRT display that could maybe like
draw some lines on it for you and things
like this. They also had big plotters
that they would use, you know. It's that
era of computing history. Nobody has a
personal computer. That's not a thing. I
don't even think the term personal
computer would be used at this point,
right?
>> I think '75 was that Apple I? I don't
I don't know, but like uh cuz yeah, that
heaven help me.
>> It was called a personal computer.
>> Yeah, and so you know, we're talking
about 1968. So several years before the
the term was really a thing that people
were thinking about, right?
But anyway, when you read through it,
it's still kind of nuts. Like you get
this really interesting sense for the
time period. The sorts of things that
were kind of different. Like now you can
buy a high-resolution CRT for 60 to $100
in 1968 dollars. So, you know, it's kind
of interesting to see how some things
have have uh
have gotten better. But in a large to a
large extent, the stuff that they talk
about is like the exact same stuff we
talk about today. So I kind of just
wanted to grab some screenshots. I'm
sorry, I just rapidly did this last
night Prime when you said
that I should I should show something
today. So these are not as organized as
I would like.
>> That's perfectly fine. We love to hear
from you.
>> say that's $60,000 in today's dollars if
I did the Google search correctly.
>> it would That's it's around 10x. Yes.
>> Yeah.
>> So I don't know if you can see here, but
this is an adverti- well, it's not
really an advertisement. It's an
announcement for a new product of a 4K
display.
>> [laughter]
>> In 1968.
Right? 4K 4096 by 4096
raster elements.
Right?
>> doing here?
>> I'm [laughter] just I'm just pointing it
I don't know. It's hard to get more
information about some of these things,
but I thought that was kind of cute. Um
Anyway,
>> [clears throat]
>> I thought it was kind of cool that we
could get some salary comparisons. So
again, 10x these. So, you know, here's a
partial list of computer careers.
$100,000 to $350,000 a year.
So
>> Nice.
>> It was already like people were getting
Silicon Valley salaries.
>> True.
>> In 1968.
>> Wow.
>> Um
which is pretty great.
Uh,
AI
taking over the world and us being very
scared about it.
>> That was huge [clears throat] during
that time.
>> Hexapon, a learning demonstration. This
is by some people
from IBM.
And they essentially say that
that
what what was the good thing it says?
The um,
uh,
This arises from the belief that the
computer is a serious threat to man
because it poses and it possesses an
intelligence that dwarfs man's. Many
people do not realize the contribution
that programmers make to computer
performance. Instead, they ascribe the
performance to some inherent mystical
ability of the computer. This naturally
results in their regarding the computer
with considerable awe.
>> [cough]
[clears throat]
>> And it has I think it says there is
therefore a need to communicate to the
public that basic principles underlying
computer artificial intelligence in
order to dissipate some of the mystery
surrounding computers.
And there's another one in here that I
was going to point out where they talk a
little bit more about the
the degree to which people
In fact, this article itself says
accompanying this positive attitude
toward computers is an underlying sense
of anxiety. There's there's more here on
here.
Anyway,
this
These are in no particular order, so
we'll get back to that thing that we I I
just showed in a minute.
>> Is that a COPE 45?
>> That's what I was going to say. This is
This computer is called the COPE 45.
>> [laughter]
>> Brian, you can reply to people with this
on X with this ad when they say
something you're like, "Uh, here's a
COPE 45 for you."
>> [laughter]
>> Okay. The COPE 45 is here, guys, working
now. That is what it says in this ad,
the COPE 45.
It provides 100% backup with immediate
turnaround in a load-and-go environment
for your library of programs. So, you
know,
>> That sounds literally just like today's
computing.
>> When [laughter] people tell you to cope,
okay, when people tell you to cope, you
tell them
I cope I use a cope 45 [laughter]
for all my backup needs.
So,
another thing that's exactly the same is
everyone was worried about
data mining.
In 1968,
there was literally this thing called
the long subcommittee, which they were
reporting on
in Congress, uh where they were
>> though Casey, right? Not like
they're not just saying that
>> [laughter]
>> It's Edward V. Long, a demo- a Democrat
from Missouri.
>> Casey, I thought you were about to show
us something where they were saying,
"Guys, turns out having subcommittees
that put red tape on everything really
makes the program suck." That's what I
thought we were about to get.
>> That's also separately true.
Uh but if you take a look at this, it
basically says
um
"Citizens' names appear 3 billion times,
their age is 2 billion, their marital
status 1.5 billion, and their income
1.25 billion. And Senator Long, who was
like heading the committee, goes,
"Hearings before my subcommittee have
convinced me that whatever privacy
remains for the American citizen remains
because the federal government is
presently too inefficient to pull all
its personal information files together.
It is extremely time-consuming and
expensive to put your finger on any one
individual, but the
but the proposed federal data bank will
make it easier and cheaper to put your
whole life history no further than the
push of a button away. What good will
this technical progress be if we fail to
preserve our privacy?" In 1968.
>> Dude, Long would have lived quite short
knowing [clears throat] about Flock
cameras.
>> Oh, uh Flock cameras, you say? Gosh, uh
I wonder if those will come up in a
clipping in a couple of slides here.
So, um
software as a service, they got you
covered. Now you can lease your software
with no capital investment, guys.
Yep. They had it all figured out. They
were like, "Look, you just pay us, and
then, you know, for this monthly fee, we
will provide the software to you, and
when, you know, when you stop paying, we
take the software back. It's all good,
guys."
>> The benefits are great, though. It says
right in the article. It says the
benefits are great.
>> [laughter]
>> Exactly. Uh,
this was the year, 1968, that they
decided software could be patented,
right? There was a
There was a bill introduced that would
have banned software patents, and they
decided, "All right,
maybe not."
That was this year, 1968. So, that that
bill, had it been passed, we wouldn't
have had software patents.
All right.
Moving on. I'm just kind of going
through these, uh, uh,
rapid-fire rapid-fire here. This is more
about the the patent, like, office
there. If you look at the table of
contents,
those among you
with with eagle eyes, with the sharp
eyes, the razor-sharp eyes of a
sharp-eyed stand-up viewer,
>> Sex Party
>> eagle.
>> Sex Party
>> Yes.
>> Yes.
>> will notice
will notice a particularly
famous publication here in the April
edition.
>> computerandhance.com
>> Nope.
>> [laughter]
>> Can anyone see it? Does anyone Can
anyone out there see it? Do you see it?
>> FCC? No, I don't.
>> Number page [clears throat] 28,
How do committees invent?
>> Conway's Law.
>> Conway. That is right, T.
It is the original publication of
Conway's Law.
>> Whoa.
>> That's wild.
>> That's actually full circle.
>> How did people read it if it was more
than 140 characters, Casey?
>> I don't know. [laughter]
Uh they they were thumbing through this
weird dead tree thing and they I don't
know how it worked. It's weird.
Uh really foreign concept.
>> Mhm.
>> So, uh this was good. 27 cents for 1,000
characters. That was the price of the
>> Oh, I love measuring it in characters.
>> Oh, that's awesome.
>> Yep. Uh so, here's that uh Melvin
Conway, the original.
There he is right there.
Very dashing, I would say.
>> just thinking like hey ladies, that
guy's handsome.
>> Hey ladies.
>> I'll listen to anything he says.
>> Let me tell you about how commodities
are sold.
>> [laughter]
>> Yeah.
>> Uh so anyway, the term firmware was corn
coined uh
just the prior year and they were
talking about the concept that computers
of the future might have firmware in
them.
>> Oh.
>> In 1968.
Boy, did
>> [laughter]
>> do they ever. I I'd like to tell you
about UEFI BIOS. Uh
Anyway, that's not really quite what he
meant by
>> to tell us about UEFI BIOS in one of
these
uh in a stand-up one day?
>> I mean, there's not much to say. It's
it's it's like something like 2 million
lines of code just for, you know, the
reference implementation of the thing
that is the software on your computer
before you use any software on your
computer, right? It's it's nuts.
Firmware here, they were kind of
thinking of it as being um
Well, no, this is kind of what
I won't go into it. It doesn't matter.
That'd be like a whole rat rat hole, but
anyway, uh
I thought it was kind of fun. It was
like wow, 1968 was the first time they
were really talking about firmware. It's
the year before, 1967 actually, that I
think it was first coined.
Now, this article, an experimental 360
40 for time sharing, right? 360
[clears throat] being the the system
360, like the IBM system 360.
And 40 being the model 40 of that uh
that line of computers.
I thought this was kind of interesting
because
they already were talking about like
virtual memory and all this stuff, but
they were also talking about virtual
machines and everyone running on a
virtual machine. Like hypervisor, they
were like, "Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah,
yeah, like no problem."
You can read up in the corner here, it
says, "If only If only software is used,
the overhead is considered to be larger
than if the supervisor program is
assisted by some additional hardware.
With this added hardware, the user is
not aware of anyone else in the system.
In fact, he cannot reach data belonging
to others. That part of the physical
machine the user sees under these
conditions is called a virtual machine,
which can, but need not, have the same
specifications as the host machine. In
our case, the virtual machine had the
same specifications as the host
machine."
So, it's like
>> That's crazy.
>> They were just running on VMs. They were
like, "Yep, that's going to be cool.
Don't worry about it. We got it."
>> [laughter]
>> Uh did you want like continuous
integration testing? No problem.
They were like, "Do you need to have
like your you know your tapes tested and
things like this?"
>> Is this an ad?
>> Yes, it is.
>> Oh my god. I just can't believe how much
of this is like right for today.
>> No, it's it
>> Based on how much of these fundamental
assumptions are wrong? Like right like
do you need your tapes tested today? We
never test tapes today, but it's like
but it's all right.
>> Yes. The the the the the like we have
done nothing it basically. Hardware got
a lot better and we just are exactly the
same as what was in a Data Mation
magazine from 1968.
Um
So, uh
what was this in like Oh.
>> of OSes. I have to I have to hear about
this because I hear agents are operating
systems these days.
>> Okay, this is a joke. Uh that one of the
weird things about this is the level of
like satire and like just generally
horsing around that happened in
Datamation magazine is kind of nuts.
We'll get to another one of these in a
second. But they would There'd be a lot
of these parody articles that are just
in there. No call out. It's not like,
"Oh, this haha this is a joke." It's
like we just wrote
>> Mad magazine?
>> Yes. They just They would just do that
every Maybe maybe every episode there'd
be like two articles that were just
straight-up humor.
And there was no differentiating them
from the completely dry, 100% serious
like the other stuff that I've been
showing, right?
>> Here and they they literally say,
"A new programming system was announced
for delivery in 2 years to be called
Assembler Stack Support or ASS."
>> [laughter]
>> So it's just like, all right.
Good job, guys.
The ASCII standard was adopted.
So President Lyndon Johnson
I assume I don't
>> LBJ stamped ASCII?
>> I think so. It just says President
Johnson. It could have been another guy
uh President of
maybe President of the Standards
Institute, I don't know. It just says
President Johnson. Uh
>> Oh.
>> Because I mean I have my petsky right
here already.
>> Okay.
>> You know, so ASCII's a big upgrade. I do
have to say.
>> I
and Lyndon Johnson maybe uh agrees with
you.
>> helped me get off the petsky and I'm
very happy about that.
>> So I thought that was kind of cool. I
was like, all right. And again,
this is not Here's all the back issues
of Datamation. This is just 1968. All of
this is just from 1968.
>> That's insane.
>> Um I I like this picture
>> year, Casey, or how often did they
publish one for month?
>> It's a It's one a month. So that's 12
issues of Datamation.
And oh, but but the things I'm showing
you, I only had time to go through the
first six again. So, it's only half that
you're actually So, only the first half
of 1968 that we're looking at here.
>> Mhm.
>> Um
I like this this piece of artwork. I
think it's very moving. That's all. The
mournful fisherman, it's called.
>> Scary.
>> Uh anyway, um so, here's more about the
privacy. Statistical data bank said to
be privacy threat.
Protecting individual privacy requires
more than controlling access to personal
dossiers, a lawyer and management
consultant told the Boston Bar
Association's Committee on automation
recently. Aggregate statistics can also
provide intelligence about individuals.
And they go on to talk like it's all
here.
>> That's crazy.
>> Like it is all here. Uh everyone they
people knew about everything that was
going to happen, but it happened anyway
might be the way to say it, right? Uh
which is kind of a bit sad uh or or
disheartening, I don't know.
Uh anyway, these are just more salary
examples.
>> If you're blocked in your career, COBOL.
>> Yeah.
>> Still good advice. Still good advice
today.
>> beyond old limits. It's an acronym,
Prime.
>> [laughter]
>> Oh, career opportunities beyond old
limits.
>> That is real good. I didn't even notice
that.
>> Jeez.
>> But hey, it's still actually good advice
today. If you learn COBOL, you can make
hundreds of thousands of dollars because
they really need people to figure out
how to, you know, maintain and move
forward these systems.
>> At at at this point in time, no one is
sure if there will ever be a time when
you when learning COBOL isn't a still a
valuable marketable skill. Like it
should have been [laughter]
that that no one knows it today.
That's not what happened.
Uh okay.
Uh using computers to try to win
elections. 1968,
right?
>> Sick.
>> Political pros applying computers to
campaign. The Democrat National
Committee recently replaced a 1401 with
a five tape 360-30 is working with the
uh with the equipment in two and a half
shifts or more just about every day and
plans to add at least one disk pack.
>> Damn.
>> The RNC is renting 25 hours a month on
an SBC mod 40 and Lester from another DC
service bureau Integrated Business
Methods. So, it's like
yup, they were already doing that, too.
Lawyers see computers as aid in handling
cases.
So, this was someone going, "Look, we
could have the computers read these
legal opinions and then they could
predict what the judge was going to do."
It's It's just kind of nuts.
>> Now, my computer is my lawyer, which is
sick.
>> [laughter]
>> Yeah.
I just hold it up. I hold up uh my phone
in the and have it speak for me at at
the thing.
>> Your honor, can you talk to ChatGPT
voice for me, please?
>> Objection.
>> [laughter]
>> Objection.
>> Repeat that. Repeat that for ChatGPT
voice.
>> It feels like a husk. This is like
turning into a husk thing with husk in
[snorts] the uh in the courtroom.
>> This
uh
writing from a reader
and it's an op-ed page.
Literally.
Like
literally, it just sounds like
an AI stan from today wrote in.
They say, "With each passing year since
the development uh called ENIAC, man has
been increasingly making computers and
automation the whipping boy for his own
deficiencies.
>> [clears throat]
>> I have been working in this field for
over 15 years and have watched in
silence as unemployment, dehumanization,
Big Brother, invasion of privacy, and
finally the very destruction of the
fiber of our society have been blamed on
my chosen field. I no longer can remain
silent. It is time we put our critics
and their criticisms in perspective.
It's not our computers to err is human.
Let me cite some examples. Several years
ago, I was associated with a project
which attempted to provide computer
assistance to medical x-ray
interpretation. Most, if not all of the
doctors to which the project was
ascribed, offered the universal argument
against computers, but you cannot
automate the years of study and value
judgment which must be based on years of
experience. Does it sound familiar? A
series of x-rays from the case history
of a patient who died was presented to
trained physicians and the computer. In
all cases, the physicians missed the
vital interpretation until the malady
could no longer have been arrested. The
computer sensed an irregularity early
enough So we were we were advised that
corrective action could have started,
right? He just goes on and on talking
about all these ways that like people
have demonized about the computers are
better. It's It's nuts. Like this is
1968.
>> This is wild.
>> It's totally nuts. Here
Sorry, yeah?
>> Uh so now I feel like I can't decide if
it's a good tweet or not, so I need your
approval before I send it. I typed it
while you were talking.
>> [laughter]
>> All right, yeah, yeah.
>> Can I So it said to err is human, you
know, cuz it's talking about how the
people make mistakes. But now I kind of
feel like we should be saying to err is
agentic. Should I tweet that or not?
What do you think? Is [laughter]
>> I'm the wrong one to ask.
>> Is agentic.
To fable is divine.
>> [laughter]
>> All right. I'm just going to say to err
is agentic. I'm just going to tweet that
only. There you go. Okay, sorry.
>> only one way to find out. You just got
to Sometimes you just got to put it out
there to you just see what happens.
>> yeah, I did. Okay.
>> Uh somebody asked about flock cameras.
I think Prime, you were saying flock
cameras.
>> Oh, I did, yeah.
>> Cuz you were like saying that other
piece, oh, sort of like flock cameras,
but it was kind of distantly related.
How about actually just flock cameras?
New York State has a development program
underway to use a video camera to
capture the image of the rear of motor
vehicles passing a vehicle presence
detector. This image is processed by a
specialized device which locates the
license plate and identifies its
alphanumeric code. The code is
transmitted to the central computer at a
remote location for comparison with
stolen vehicle and traffic warrant
files. A match results in the output of
the license number, vehicle type, and an
indication of the charge. The police
vehicle is monitoring the output device
a short distance from the detector and
is able to enter the stream of traffic
and apprehend the wanted vehicle two or
three seconds after the initial
detection. J. J. Paley of the New York
State Identification Intelligence System
expressed optimism as to its potential
contribution in the stolen vehicle and
wanted traffic violator areas.
>> Wow.
>> Do you just have to read 1968's
data whatever, the animation, you can
come up with modern-day billion-dollar
companies.
>> Just read through this and find
something someone isn't doing right now
and there's your next Y Combinator
pitch, folks.
>> Casey, this reminds me of Have you ever
seen Oh, go ahead. Go ahead, Casey.
>> No, continue.
>> Have you ever seen Colossus: The Forbin
Project?
Have you ever watched this movie? 1970.
>> That's right. I have not watched it, but
that sounds very I've heard the name,
certainly.
>> They probably wrote and, you know,
produced this during this time. Here,
Casey.
Little I'll give you a homework
assignment for once, which is watch this
movie. You'll love it. I promise you. I
guarantee it.
>> Say it one more time about Colossus: The
Forbin Project or something?
>> Colossus: The Forbin Project, yep.
>> Okay. Sorry, continue.
Don't eat in the computer room.
All right. You eat these donuts.
>> I'd be thrilled to eat these donuts.
I actually tell this to my kids. They're
not allowed to eat in the computer room.
Yeah, this is good. This is actually
really good advice.
>> Okay.
>> Residual static charges attract crumbs
to the tape surface and the crumbs cause
dents and dents create permanent errors,
guys. So, that one not as applicable to
today.
Uh there's some more software as a
service. I thought uh you guys might
like 1.5 cent uh per bit
storage cuz I was thinking pretty soon
with the AI uh data center build out I'm
imagining this is roughly I'm imagining
this ad will be accurate again.
>> [laughter]
>> I want to say Casey, I do have to say it
seems like it cost a little bit to get
memory in that time.
>> It cost just a little bit.
>> Is that a little bit Lockheed Martin?
>> Yeah, that's what I was going to say
Lockheed.
>> Yeah.
>> Um so Lockheed Martin was just Lockheed
Aircraft Corporation at that time
because they hadn't merged with the
Martin Marietta
>> But with Martin Marietta.
>> Got it.
>> Uh interesting. Yeah, that that that
wasn't true in 1968, yeah.
>> They were just making generic also like
memory system stuff too like outside of
>> Well, yeah, because
>> No, it's a you can actually see uh you
probably can't a minute it says Lockheed
Electronics Company a division of
Lockheed Aircraft Corporation. So they
kind of had like this you know what I'm
saying?
>> Yep. Yep. Yep.
>> Um so yeah.
Uh this is well o- okay, I I guess I
don't know.
I assumed this was another one of their
comedy ones. It's called a hexadecimal
pronunciation guide.
I thought it was really funny. I I
>> It has to be.
>> I just it has to be. I don't I I don't
know.
So don't take my word for I can't prove
it uh because like I said they don't
really um
they don't really say whether the
article is comedy or not. But but here
are the way that they suggest
pronouncing the the digits.
A for Ann, B is Bett, C is Chris, D is
Dott, E is Ernest, and F is Frost.
So when you encounter things uh
>> [laughter]
>> you're supposed to
>> Oh my gosh.
>> That this Yeah. Yeah.
>> Yeah.
>> [laughter]
>> Uh I'm loving that.
>> Yeah, me too. Anti, Betty, Christie,
Dottie, Earnesty, right? Uh Frosty.
>> Giffity.
>> And it's not off.
>> Yeah.
>> [laughter]
>> These are just so good.
>> Anti 07? Oh, that's crazy because on
Silicon Valley F
F5 was Flevity 5.
>> Yeah.
>> Anti Christine, that's like a that's
that's hitting home.
>> So anyway, I was like, we should do
this. Like I should try to learn this
pronunciation thing.
>> 2?
>> Yeah.
>> Oh my god.
>> A FROSTY 2 IS SO GOOD.
>> It is good. I thought maybe they were
going to be working up to like a hidden
message inside where they like pick a
hot or pretty high number and then it
like says a whole sentence and it's like
you're an idiot for reading this article
or something like that.
>> I don't I don't think it just it's
written very tongue-in-cheek so I just I
just assumed it was comedy but but I
don't I didn't have time to really read
through the entire article to like see
if there was any thing where they
literally say it but I don't think they
ever do. They These The humor was like
wicked dry in that way.
>> Can you send me a link to that one cuz I
think I'm just going to make a YouTube
video on that one. That was just really
funny.
>> Yeah, just send me send me a message
>> Send me a DM so
>> I'll remember as soon as we're done
here.
>> Okay, I'm going to send it now.
Yeah, yeah.
>> Otherwise it will be forgotten.
>> Yeah, otherwise I'm also forgetting your
forgot your forgettings.
>> Um
So again, we kind of already went over
this. Here's an entire book called
Privacy and Freedom by Alan F. Westin
that they're reviewing here that's
entirely about like
the you know, it has an entire section
on computer like what computers are
doing to privacy in that era.
>> All right, Tom. Why does it say $10 like
after the heading?
>> That's the price of the book. The price
of the book.
>> Oh, got it. Got it.
>> Which would have been $100.
>> Uh Yeah, this is a review of the
>> It's a good book. It's a $100 book.
>> Mhm.
>> Honestly, its logo does kind of look AI
generated though. If you go back to it,
notice that it has like it's an anus
with kind of arrows sticking out of
things and then one part doesn't have
arrows. It's literally claws. It's a
claw logo. You're right.
>> It's the claw logo.
>> One of It's a claw butthole, yeah.
>> [laughter]
>> They stole the logo when they read this
and stole the data. That's makes sense.
>> [laughter]
>> Claude created his own logo by stealing.
>> Um I I like the idea of asking the
boldly asking the question, how do you
gruntle the buyer of memory sacks?
I
because I've always wondered how you
gruntle the buyer of memory sack.
>> Can one define gruntle?
>> Uh yes, you can and I I'm going to use
it because it's not what it sounds like.
I'm going to use it in an inappropriate
ways in the future as well.
>> Oh, [laughter] I love this definition.
>> Me, too.
>> Oh my gosh.
>> Well, cuz disgruntled, right, is to be
upset, to be made upset, right? So,
gruntled
>> Oh, so if you gruntle you're not upset.
>> Yeah, is the opposite of disgruntled,
yeah.
>> Right, like the Eagles. They became very
gruntled.
>> Yes.
Uh Communist China
>> post-sex spiral gruntled
>> [laughter]
>> Yeah, yeah, exactly. Communist China
still posing a threat to our computer
supremacy.
Very important [laughter] to track. They
They said within 5 years they would have
uh
computing technology.
>> They didn't know China
>> That was what this estimate said. They
were 15 years behind currently and then
they would pull to 5 years behind in the
next something. And it was yeah.
>> Trash, what did you say?
>> Sorry, what?
>> What did Trash say? Trash say it louder.
>> [laughter]
>> It was a whisper joke. I was just saying
I didn't know China existed in '68.
That's crazy.
>> [laughter]
>> That's a good one, Trash.
>> No, one wasn't actually supposed to hear
it, but then you started laughing.
>> [laughter]
>> So, uh this one is not funny or really
interesting to anyone but probably me.
And that is that if you look up like on
Wikipedia, this is one of those ones
where I'm like, "Ah, man, I'm not doing
another one of these talks, but
if you look up on Wikipedia, what the
first ray traced image was,
it will tell you that the first ray
traced image was like published about in
April uh 1968
by uh a guy named uh what what was his
name?
I don't remember. Sorry. [clears throat]
Uh
but randomly going through the 1968
Datamation, here is three ray traced
images in an advertisement for a service
that does ray tracing for you.
>> Right.
>> And this is February 1968.
So,
I guess Odin being noteworthy is not the
only thing Wikipedia maybe doesn't quite
have correct in there. But I was like,
oh, that's
I wonder
where where the actual first ray traced
images came from cuz they probably
aren't the one cited
uh in that in that Wikipedia, but I
don't know. So, I I wanted to go through
the
>> very first time in an ad for a company
that's been doing and selling [laughter]
the services.
>> Uh
so, I don't know. Uh it's pretty it's
pretty hard to say, but you know,
made me want to look into it more. And
that's it. So, that's what we got, which
is good cuz I think we're basically out
of time anyway.
>> That was awesome.
>> And that's that's just the first 6
months of 1968. There's so much more.
Uh it's it's crazy. And by the way, if
you like that Coke 45
>> And two zigzags.
>> Um if you like the Coke 45, there's a a
another ad for Coke later on in
Datamation, later on in that year, where
the Coke logo is huge. So, I can try to
get that I can try to grab a screenshot
of that one for you. Just this big Coke
computer.
Um I'll I'll go dig that one up later
today.
>> Obviously, we'll have a link to the
whole
talk.
>> to your
>> Sorry.
>> I was just Go ahead, Prime. Go ahead,
you take it.
>> Okay, I was just going to say in all of
this kind of research, this is all the
side research. This is how Unbroken got
discovered. This is the same process
where you're just doing a lot of side
research for the root of the root of all
evil is premature optimization.
>> Yeah, because you know, like I said, the
to to me the interesting part of these
history talks is not like I don't really
want to tell people what to think about
the topic because that's more of like an
op-ed kind of a thing that's like, "Oh,
let me tell you what I think about, you
know, optimization or something like
that." Which is fine, you know, and
that's a different kind of article. But
when you're doing these history talks,
what I kind of want to do is I want to
go feel like I kind of know the time
period. I want to as much as possible
like put my brain back there by reading
all of the things that were going on at
the time and and stuff like reading
their trade magazines and all this sort
of stuff. Uh and then try to give you a
feeling for like this is when this thing
was said. Like this is actually what was
going on at the time. This is where
these people were in their lives. This
is what they were thinking about. This
is how their personal lives were
whatever, right? Just to kind of like
put you back there. And I to me it's
really really cool to have that
experience. And unfortunately,
I only can get a little bit of that
across in the talk, right? Like I I get
some of it across as best I can, but you
know, if I go back and look at the talk,
I'm just like, "Yeah, I I only got a
little fraction." Like I tried my best,
but you can never really give the full
impression of it. Of when you actually
go back and like read all this material,
you get such a much more palpable sense
of like, "Oh, okay. Like I see what what
life was like and what they were
thinking about." Right?
>> Hey guys, if you like this episode, you
can watch the rest of it on Spotify. And
don't forget to like AND SUBSCRIBE. WOO!
SEE YOU LATER.
>> [music]
>> Fire code, errors on [singing] my
screen, [music]
terminal coffee
and heaven
living in a dream.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
Legendary programmer Casey Muratori joins the stand-up to discuss his recent talk on the origin of the phrase 'Premature optimization is the root of all evil.' Muratori details the intense, years-long research process behind his 'computer history' style presentations, which involves diving deep into original source materials like 1960s trade periodicals. He shares fascinating, surprisingly modern discoveries from 1968 Datamation magazines, including discussions on AI, software as a service, automated surveillance, and even early ray tracing.
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