Ukraine Just IGNITED The Flame That Will BURN Russia to the GROUND
202 segments
Russia’s lifeblood is burning. Ukraine has done something that is brutally wiping out $100 million
of Russia’s money every 24 hours. Ukraine has ignited the flame. Hell has descended upon the one
industry that is keeping Russia alive in Putin’s insane war. And if Ukraine can keep this up, it
won’t be a matter of how many years Putin can fund his invasion. It will be about how many months.
The commander of Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces, the infamous Robert Brovdi, explains
all in an April 18 Telegram post. “$100 million in daily losses: the result of strikes by the
Unmanned Systems Forces and other components of the Defence Forces of Ukraine on the enemy’s oil
infrastructure,” Brovdi blares, as he goes on to explain that Ukraine’s approach of systematically
striking every aspect of Russia’s oil industry, from refineries to depots to export terminals,
is crippling Putin’s ability to keep cash flowing into the Kremlin’s war coffers. A series of
Ukrainian strikes conducted over the last couple of months has forced Russia’s oil shipments down
by a staggering amount. Exports are down 880,000 barrels per day. At the current market price for
Urals crude, that adds up to the $100 million in lost revenue that Brovdi mentions. “Step by step,
the enemy’s oil and logistics system is losing its ability to ensure uninterrupted exports,”
Brovdi says, adding, “The result of this work is already visible on the battlefield:
fewer resources for the Russians mean greater opportunities for Ukraine's units.” Russia is
getting desperate now that so much of its oil is burning. The Kremlin is trying to reroute the oil
that Russia wants to sell, bouncing it around the country in a desperate search for export terminals
that are outside of the range of Ukraine’s drones or aren’t already burning due to those drones
scoring direct hits. This alone affects Russia’s oil income. Even if Russia is able to find ports
that Ukraine hasn’t hit, it spends days, if not weeks, moving oil to them. Delays are happening
across the border, with each Ukrainian strike adding to the time that Russian oil that should be
en route to other countries spends within Russia’s borders. Buyers are getting impatient. The
Russians can’t do anything about it. What we’re seeing here is the result of Ukraine doggedly
smashing through Russia’s oil industry for around two months. In its report on Brovdi’s statement,
Euromaidan Press reports on the Tuapse oil refinery, which Ukraine struck on April 16,
causing an enormous fire. But that is just the tip of the iceberg that runs deep. In Novorossiysk,
Ukraine hit the Sheskharis oil terminal, which forced Russia to try to reroute its
oil to Tuapse. You just found out what happened there. Every time Russia tries to make a move,
Ukraine follows up with yet more drone strikes that take out the next place that Russia wants
to use to export its oil. This is brilliant by Ukraine. A step-by-step demonstration of
how to shatter the one industry that keeps Russia’s war alive. Going back a few weeks,
Ukraine has been hitting a ton of other ports and oil facilities. By March 31, the BBC was reporting
on day after day of Ukrainian strikes against Russia’s Baltic Sea oil terminals. Primorsk and
Ust-Luga, which account for a combined total of 42% of Russia’s oil exports, were hit over and
over again in late March as Ukraine made sure that Russia couldn’t get these key ports back online.
Some facilities in these ports burned for days, only for Russia to have to deal with yet more
drones attacking targets once they had managed to put the fires out. Oil storage tanks were
also burned up during these earlier attacks – at least eight each in Ust-Luga and Primorsk, along
with two at the Kirishi oil refinery that is also in the Leningrad region. Russia thought this was
the bulk of Ukraine’s oil strikes for early 2026. But Ukraine was just getting started. Ever since
the Baltic Sea depots started to burn, Ukraine has been expanding its scope. The Tuapse and
Novorossiysk strikes that we’ve already mentioned are examples, and both came after the Baltic Sea
strikes. The latter also just so happened to take out oil infrastructure in the Black Sea region,
meaning Russia can’t get its oil out from any of its European ports. Fast-forward to April 18,
which is the same day that Brovdi revealed the $100 million per day figure, and there are
yet more attacks. Four important oil sites were hit overnight on April 18, The Kyiv Independent
reports. Among them were yet another oil terminal in the Leningrad Oblast, refineries in Samara
Oblast, and the Tikhoretsk oil pumping station, which is in Russia’s Krasnodar Krai region. All
Russia would say is that it intercepted 258 Ukrainian drones on April 18. The truth is
that Ukrainian drones have shattered yet more of Russia’s oil. And adding to all of this is another
strike that was reported literally as we were creating this video. Tuapse was hit again on April
20, with Ukraine this time striking facilities at the Tuapse port that started a major fire
at a facility that had already needed to call on more than 150 firefighters and emergency personnel
to handle the blaze caused by the first Tuapse strike that we mentioned. Over and over again,
Ukraine’s drones batter Russian oil. This is Ukraine’s flying sanctions in action. And there
is nothing at all random about the timing of these strikes. When the U.S. launched Operation Epic
Fury against Iran in late February, Iran responded by closing off the Strait of Hormuz. Putin rubbed
his hands in glee. That strait is responsible for 20% of the entire world’s oil flow. For Putin,
less oil leaving the Gulf states would inevitably lead to a price shock that would benefit Russia,
which is precisely what we’ve seen. By April 7, the price of Urals crude, which is Russia’s brand
of oil, had risen to the highest that it has been in 13 years. In a matter of days, all of the hard
work done by Western sanctions to drive the price of Russian oil down was undone. To make matters
worse, the U.S. has made some decisions about its sanctions that have angered Ukraine. American
sanctions against Russian oil have been lifted twice now, most recently on April 17, which means
Russia will benefit from another 30 days of being able to offload its oil before America’s sanctions
come back into effect. There is a certain logic to this U.S. move. Allowing Russia to sell eases some
of the price shocks caused by America’s attacks on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz blockade that
resulted. But for Ukraine, this would have felt like the U.S. handing the keys to an oil lifeline
back to Russia at the worst possible moment. So, Ukraine has been doing something about it. If
Russia is going to benefit from sanctions being lifted on its oil, Ukraine will keep on hitting
that oil. After all, sanctions don’t matter if Russia has no oil to sell. And with $100 million
per day being burned up by Ukraine’s drones, which amounts to about $3 billion per month,
Ukraine is proving that it can take the Russian oil problem into its own hands. Western sanctions
be damned. Ukrainian flying sanctions will cripple the Russian economy instead. The sheer level of
coordination displayed by Ukraine’s military has been a highlight in all of this. The Security
Service of Ukraine has been working alongside the country’s Main Intelligence Directorate, Special
Operations Forces, and Unmanned Systems Forces to pull off a broad campaign that has left nothing
in Russia that is within range of Ukraine’s drones safe. The timing has been impeccable.
Every solution that Russia thinks it has found ends up burning almost instantly. And this is
where things will start to shift for Russia. The burning oil and collapsing exports are bad
enough. But the real problem is that Russia simply can’t afford to be losing out on $100 million per
day. Putin was expecting a tax windfall on higher Russian oil profits than ever before, and he needs
that because Russia is slipping into an economic crisis. That alone changes everything for Russia.
But before we get into that, this is a quick reminder that you’re watching The Military Show.
If this is the sort of insight that you crave, make sure you’re subscribed to the channel. Russia
is caught in an economic trap. An inescapable maze of financial foul-ups that have all been caused
by Putin’s tunnel vision in Ukraine. If Russia’s president had his way, every single dollar in tax
revenue that Russia generates would be dedicated to Ukraine. As it stands, almost every dollar is
going to the war, which has forced Russia into an ouroboros of bad financial decisions. The cycle is
simple – Russia gets money, it spends it on war equipment, that equipment gets destroyed, Russia
achieves no returns on its investment, and then more gets pumped into the war machine. Eventually,
something has to give. The money can’t keep on flowing forever. Russia’s military spending
has grown so massive that it is siphoning away funds that are supposed to be keeping the country
itself running. The official figures coming out of Russia are bad enough. According to the Stockholm
International Peace Research Institute, Russia spent 7.5% of its gross domestic product, or GDP,
on the Ukraine war effort in 2025. That amounted to 16 trillion rubles, or about $213 billion.
Spending for 2026 is supposed to be lower. “Just” 6.3% of Russia’s GDP, or around $198 billion,
will be spent on the war machine this year. But that is still a ridiculous amount of money
as Putin’s invasion enters its fifth year, and it tells us that Russia will likely have spent
in excess of $1 trillion on Putin’s war by the end of 2026. And that’s the best-case scenario.
These official figures are what Russia is willing to tell us about its military spending. The
reality going on behind the scenes is much worse. In February, Defence24 reported that the German
Federal Intelligence Service, or BND, has found that Russia’s actual military expenditures are far
higher than the country is declaring to the world or its own people. The reality, the BND says,
is that Russia’s spending might have been up to 66% higher than it was declaring. For instance,
2025 may have seen Russia allocate 10% of its GDP to its military, rather than the 7.5% that
has been accounted for by official spending. This all means that Russia could be spending as much
as 50% of the country’s entire state budget on Putin’s insane vision for a world where Ukraine
is part of the Russian Federation. How can Putin possibly see this as sustainable? Even if Russia
were to somehow win in Ukraine, there would be nothing left of Russia for Ukraine to become a
part of. As for where these hidden military costs lie, there are several expenditures that Russia
tries to sweep under the rug. A huge amount of the massive bonuses that Russia pays to its volunteer
soldiers just for signing up are rarely declared, as they come out of regional budgets and aren’t
officially part of the salaries that Russian soldiers receive. Russia is also relying very
heavily on off-budget debt that was made possible by legislation that the Kremlin put in place back
in February 2022. War-related lending at Russia’s major banks is now being controlled by the state,
which allows the Kremlin to provide favorable loans to businesses that it believes will help
the war effort. So, if you’re an entrepreneur in Russia who is looking to set up a factory
for manufacturing military equipment, you’re going to find it much easier to get your hands on a loan
to create that factory. This is war spending that is being hidden away from the public. At least,
for now. Keep Russia’s banks in mind, because they’re at the root of an economic catastrophe
that is starting to engulf Russia. All of this brings us back to Ukraine taking out $100 million
per day of Russian oil sales. Oil underpins Russia’s war spending. Official or otherwise,
a huge portion of the hundreds of billions that Putin is pouring into his invasion comes from
the revenue that the Kremlin receives through taxing oil sales. What Putin has done is create
a military economy that can only exist as long as money from Russia’s energy sector is flowing
in. That’s the trap. And Ukraine knows it. The combination of lower energy revenues and record
levels of military spending is putting Russia, as a nation, on the brink of ruin. Stagflation
runs rampant in a country that has an increasingly impoverished population. And there’s no way back
for Russia for as long as the Ukraine war is happening because Putin needs to keep spending
on the war machine. All of the money poured into that machine is creating unproductive output. As
we said before, the tanks that Russia builds get blown up in Ukraine. That’s not going to benefit
anybody inside Russia. Businesses that make products that Russia could sell aren’t getting the
funding that they need to grow. State-controlled banks that favor war-related companies make sure
of that. Outside of oil, Russia doesn’t really have a product that it can export anymore. Even
the weapons that used to bring billions into the economy are being burned up in Ukraine rather than
sold to other countries. Sure, you could argue that Russia’s weapons industry will be revitalized
when the Ukraine war ends. The equipment currently being built to be sent to Ukraine could then be
sold to other countries. But is anybody going to want to buy Russia’s weapons at this point?
Over four years of fighting against a country that Russia was supposed to dominate has revealed that
the Russian military is a paper tiger. Too much of Russia’s equipment fails to do what it’s supposed
to do, so it’s tough to say how successful the war industry will be for Russia in the future. Plus,
Putin has to realize that Russia’s oil situation has the potential to go from bad to worse. The
Strait of Hormuz-related windfall that Russia is trying to capitalize on, and Ukraine is expertly
cutting off, can’t last forever. There is already an uneasy ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran,
and the end of Operation Epic Fury should lead to the Strait of Hormuz reopening. Oil prices
would fall as a result, which would only compound the issues that we’ve already mentioned. Russia’s
economy is still struggling even as it’s able to sell whatever oil it can get out of the country at
higher prices than it has at any other point during the Ukraine war. What happens to that
economy when the price of oil goes back down, and Ukraine keeps on hitting the export terminals?
Nothing good is the answer. And if you need any more reasons why Ukraine is on the right track
by taking out Russian oil, you need only look at something that we raised a few minutes ago:
Russia’s banks. They’re struggling enormously as a result of Russia’s reliance on its energy
industry and Putin’s refusal to let any of the emerging crises inside Russia distract him from
spending on the Ukraine war. We got early signals that Russia’s banks were going to struggle in 2026
toward the end of January. That’s when The Moscow Times revealed that Russia’s banks have been
shutting branches at the fastest pace in years. In 2025, 1,700 bank branches were closed down
in Russia, which was 3.6 times higher than the number of branches that closed in 2024. Right now,
Russia has 22,300 bank branches. It had about 30,000 back in 2019. Now, there’s a logic,
at least inside the Kremlin, for these closures. Russia’s banks are closing branches because
they’re shifting their services online. This is something that we’ve seen all over the developed
world, so, on the surface, nothing should seem out of the ordinary about all of this. Sure,
thousands of Russian people are losing jobs at a time when their country’s economy is crumbling,
but Putin won’t care about any of that. But something else that is happening with Russia’s
banks is catching people off guard. The branch shutdowns of 2025 happened ahead of the Kremlin's
crackdown on internet services throughout Russia. By April 3, The Kyiv Independent
was reporting that Russian banks are facing major service outages, as moving to online models isn’t
exactly a good idea when you have a government that is actively trying to stop people from
going online. The outlet says that outages have affected mobile banking apps, ATM withdrawals,
and payment transfers for some of Russia’s largest banks. This all has a knock-on effect for Russian
businesses, as they are forced to accept cash payments only. Adding to this, Meduza reports
that no Russian bank has been able to access the Russian Interior Ministry’s databases to verify
passports since April 15, as yet another service that keeps Russia’s banks running was shut down
with no timeline for restoration. If we didn’t know any better, we would say that the Kremlin is
purposefully trying to cripple Russia’s banks. None of this makes sense. Speaking about the
businesses that are struggling to provide services due to a combination of Putin’s war spending and
Russia’s banks dealing with outages and closures, those companies are becoming a problem. Overdue
accounts receivable in Russia’s business sectors have reached the highest levels seen since the
Global Financial Crisis of 2008, Pravda reports. Overdue receivables increased to $100 billion by
April 17, which is a 26% increase. Guess what that means for banks. Russian businesses aren’t getting
the money they’re owed. That breaks the payment chain, as those businesses can’t service the
debts they have with their banks if they’re not receiving income owed to them. Russian businesses
are getting poorer as their obligations to banks remain high, and that is a recipe for disaster.
When the businesses can no longer pay, the entire Russian banking system crumbles. Outages and
closures aren’t helping with any of this. And still, Ukraine’s drones fly. Ukraine’s campaign
against Russian oil exports has obvious impacts on the surface. When oil can’t be exported,
the Kremlin has less money that it can dedicate to the invasion effort. But beneath the surface
of those strikes is a Russian economy that is in crisis mode. Military spending has spiraled
out of control, as the Kremlin tries to hide the true extent of its expenditures from a population
that is getting poorer and watching as their towns and cities bear the brunt of Putin’s bad
decisions. Russia is producing far less product for export than it has in years, again because
Putin keeps pumping cash into the war machine. And now, the banks, which everybody from the
average person to Russia’s largest businesses need, are starting to crumble due to unpaid
debt and Kremlin internet crackdowns. This is an economic powder keg. Ukraine’s goal now is to keep
up the deep strike pressure until that powder keg blows up in Putin’s face. Maybe you want to find
out more about the types of strikes that Ukraine has been conducting against Russia’s oil sector.
If so, we can take you back to Novorossiysk, where Ukraine unleashed a hell storm against
one of Russia’s key Black Sea ports earlier in April. Check out our video if you want to find
out more about precisely what Ukraine is doing that is costing Russia $100 million per day in
exports. And if you enjoyed this video, make sure you subscribe to The Military Show so you don’t
miss any of our analysis of Ukraine’s strikes or Russia’s precarious financial situation.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
Ukraine has launched a systematic and highly effective campaign of drone strikes against Russia's oil infrastructure, costing the Kremlin approximately $100 million in lost export revenue every day. This strategic assault aims to cripple the primary financial engine funding Putin's war effort. Beyond the direct loss of oil income, Russia's economy is suffering from massive, often hidden, military spending and a deteriorating banking system. As Russian businesses struggle with payment chain failures and the state forces resources toward an unsustainable war machine, Ukraine's ongoing deep-strike pressure is accelerating a potential economic collapse within Russia.
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