”Human + AI Beats Both Alone" - Alix Pasquet on Analog Training
1888 segments
I run a hedge fund. We are very
different than others uh in many ways
and we like to deal
with a few things. One is finding the
inefficiencies of our business and
exploiting them. And then the second
thing that we like to do is finding the
problems that often people are not even
aware of and solving them. And both
these things give us an advantage on top
of the advantages that we have and helps
us accomplish our goals, right? Uh which
is make a lot of money for our partners
with as little risk as possible. Um, and
one of the problems currently popping up
in our business is,
uh, young people
no longer are trained like the boomer or
unk PMs that are out there, right? Um,
and the problem with that is the young
guys are they're very good at, you know,
they they they they are taught modeling,
uh, freshman and sophomore year in
college. They are taught the accounting,
they are taught all of that stuff. But
the problem, and by the way, they're
very good at it. I could never compete
with the current students that are in in
schools today. Um the other day I was at
my alma mater and I was looking at the
incoming crew of students. I'm like
these kids trance me intellectually.
Um but what do they lack? They lack what
we call analog training. And I'll go
into to to
uh what that is, okay? But first, um, we
have a problem. The problem is
Idiocracy. Now, I don't know if you've
seen this movie. It's a hilarious movie
from uh, I think 20 years ago. It's
about a guy that that in an army
experiment gone gone wrong gets put
uh
in a
uh
uh in a cell that stores his body for
200 years and then a couple hundred
years he comes back out. And even though
he was an average man in his current
time, he ends up being a genius 200
years from now because of how bad
society has deteriorated.
And one of the examples is crops are
dying because 200 years from now the
idea is to put Gatorade on crops to make
them grow. And he comes out, he's like,
"No guys, we should put water." And ends
up solving a famine crisis. Um now
you know this the picture on the right
says Idiocracy was just supposed to be a
movie not a documentary. There is a
certain element of of society becoming
idiocracy. Uh um and and by the way if
you think business and culture setters
are trying to help solve this problem
they're not. Um uh if you watch the
latest Joe Rogan, Matt Damon, and Ben
Affleck podcast, they talk about how
movies today
to be able to make money, they're making
them to deal with people that are
looking at two screens at the same time,
both the movie and the screen. So
throughout the movie, they put in scenes
that it reiterate what the plot is to
make sure that it's okay while you're
not paying attention that you still
capture what's going on. So instead of
making it you live up to the movie,
they're having the movie live down to
where current state of society is and
just in my opinion making it worse. Now,
I know I sound like a [ __ ] boomer,
and I I know I am, but we're seeing this
uh come in in the results of young
investors today and the the output and
the work that they do. Okay. By the way,
the other uh sign that this might be a
problem is a lot of Silicon Valley exe
executives don't allow their kids to use
the products they built. They don't
allow them to use cell phones till a
certain time. They don't allow them to
use iPads till a certain time. You know,
they're sending them to schools like the
Waldorf school that doesn't allow
computers. You know, it's just literally
using analog tools. There's a school in
Switzerland that I'm thinking of sending
my son to when he's a certain age where
there's no phones allowed, no computers.
All you do is read and write memos for
for a semester. That's very powerful in
terms of of of of
you know thinking under constraints and
the problem with modern tools today is
they don't have constraints and that's
very dangerous.
Hey, thank you so much for listening to
all open. If you want to be able to
attend talks like these live, sign up
for my substack below. I'll be posting
all future events there and I'm looking
forward to seeing you.
>> All right. You saw me talk about this
before. Uh this is the generational
battle. Now this is a global problem
that I just like the slide because it
shows it in the US. So so currently the
baby boomers have $76 trillion.
Uh Gen X, which is my generation, we
have $ 37 trillion in wealth. The silent
generation, so those are my
grandparents, your great-grandparents,
uh they have 19 trillion. And then
millennials have 13 trillion. And then
you have the zoomers, the baby zoomers,
sorry, the excuse me, the zoomers that
have, you know, we actually don't know,
but they're they're ramping up. What's
happening here is the first baby boomer
is reaching 80. Actually, he's reached
80 this year, right? And that wealth is
trickling down.
Okay? So, let me step back. We're very
thematic in our investing. It's not just
that we want great fundamentals, but we
want themes that are pushing those
fundamentals forward.
You know, it's one of the secrets of
investing is you want to be part of
great themes. Last night I had dinner
with a very strong PM,
probably one of the best PMs in the
world, and he was talking about his
analyst class from 1999,
and how all the ones that went into tech
are worth 50, if not 100 times the ones
that went into other sectors, despite
the the in his opinion, the IQ's of the
guys that were in the other sectors were
way better. And why is that? Because
they were part of the the right rising
tide in terms of wealth creation. There
are reasons why technology was the right
sector and theme to be pushed in. Um now
is it going to be the right sector and
theme to be pushed in in the future? I
don't know. But but still it helps to
have the best weapons, right? So
thematically we look for themes like we
call this the boomers to zoomers theme
that what is happening with wealth as it
trickles down to Gen X then millennials
then baby zoomers. But one of the things
uh that you'll see is the Gen X guys
were the last generation to be trained
with analog tools but really know how to
use digital tools as well. Whereas the
millennials and the zoomers were more
trained with digital tools. And the
problem with that is they lack the
thinking under constraints that we had
when we were reading, writing, you know,
using things like, you know, these like
notebooks, right? Um and it it
constraints are powerful because they
force you to to to break them. Uh and
thinking without constraints uh can be
very dangerous. And and by the way, um
to use the analogy, the way you train
special forces in the military
is you don't give them the special
weapons that can shoot around corners,
the goggles where you can see all your
teammates are at night, the infrared
goggles and all these things from day
one. No, you drop them in the jungle
with a knife that they have to hold in
their mouths and you say, "Dude, see you
in two weeks." And the guy's like, "I
don't have any food." Work it out. By
the way, we're going to be messing with
you in these two weeks. So, you better
learn how to survive. You first learn
how to survive with your mind first.
What we call in our in our business the
10K and a pencil approach. I want you to
be good enough that you don't need any
of the tools.
You have a 10K. You read it and with a
pencil, you're able to hammer out what
is this business worth? What are the
three things that matter and where do
you think is going to happen in the in
the next 18 months to three years?
That's it.
Very very hard for the new school kids
to do that by the way.
Okay. So, we talk about this a lot in my
firm. Uh it comes from
my background as a professional gambler.
Um,
I never looked to play against
professionals.
That was a waste of time and money. You
looked to play when you were gambling
against rich people with big egos that
did not know how to gamble as well as
you did, right? Same thing matters in
business. Same thing matters in the
military. You know, there's a saying in
the military. um if you find yourself in
a fair fight, you haven't planned your
mission properly,
right? And one thing that you'll see in
what we call internet 3.0, and I learned
this from a very talented PM called Doug
Douglas Schwarz, uh he was teaching me
about internet 1.0,
internet 2.0, internet 3.0. And internet
1.0 And it was like Yahoo,
Geio Cities and the the first internet
sites which was disrupting traditional
business but not really. Internet 2.0
which was Amazon, Google, Facebook that
really disrupted a lot of businesses.
Think about traditional ad agencies,
traditional advertising, newspapers,
yellow pages. I mean do you guys even
know what yellow pages are? You know,
these are all businesses that were
disrupted by internet 2.0. And then
internet 3.0, which is AI and blockchain
enabled internet, in our opinion, is
going to be even more disruptive, but
more importantly, internet 3.0 is going
to eat out internet 2.0 and most likely
crush them as well. Um, and what you'll
see is whenever you study a business,
it's just like an ecosystem. You have to
study who are the predators and who are
the prey,
right? Who are the companies that are
literally going to wipe out
um uh the other other companies? When
you study an ecosystem, it's always
predator prey dynamics, right? The top
predict like a pond where there's like
big fish, mediumsized fish, small fish.
The big fish sometimes prey on the
mediumsized fish. So medium sized fish
sometimes bring a small fish. It's
really interesting, by the way, when you
introduce another predator to a pond.
What usually happens is the top
predators try to fight the new predator,
but then they realize it's really
costly. So those guys turn on those
guys, the middle guys, and then the
middle guys then turn on the small guys,
and you get what's called a ecosystem
wipeout where everybody just wip start
wiping out each other until they
stabilize
u ecologically. Again, this happens in
companies. If you study, for example,
when Amazon when Amazon entered sports
retailing,
they fought Dick Sporting Goods first.
Then Dix was like, "Yeah, I don't really
like fighting this Amazon guy." So, what
did they do? They turned on everybody
else and literally started wiping out
guys. Um, so one thing you'll see in the
age of AI is that the predator prey
dynamics are amplifying and
accelerating.
Okay, take a look at what's going on
with SAS software today,
right? Where the AI companies supposedly
are wiping out these businesses. By the
way, in some cases it's unclear if
they've impacted them, but they've
impacted their narratives which impact
their multiples and people perceive then
that they're being impacted and then
that might impact seeks uh that they
sell. It might impact consumption. It's
actually unclear if there is going to be
an impact. We think in certain cases
there are by the way but
what's clear is that the predator prey
dynamics are amplify and accelerating
okay and it's happening across business.
There's also
um there are other things that drive
predator prey dynamics. Uh by the way
very important book to read is the book
on this. It's called From Predators to
Icons, exposing the myth of the business
hero. By the way, was written by a
French academic and then translated by
another academic. So, you have to be a
bit careful. It's also fairly clear, you
know, to me that these guys might be
socialists
um or at least maybe perhaps not
socialist, but perhaps French. uh but
they describe
how the best entrepreneurs start out as
predators and then eventually
redo their their history to look like
icons. So we see them as today as iconic
and then we're like we have to behave
like they do but we forget that what got
them to be to become who they became was
they became like predators, right? And
it's and again predator pynamics are
amplify and accelerating. Okay, so just
just recall that.
Then we have uh master naan. So there's
a Chinese uh master called master naan.
I I had to study him when I was a kid.
um because my parents uh had me study
him and he's brilliant and you can read
his books and uh Joshua Ramo mentions an
anecdote
uh from master non in his brilliant book
called the seven sense which is about
power fortune survival in the age of
networks um
genius book also you should read uh the
age of the unthinkable in my opinion the
best strategic book uh uh ever written
for a bunch of reasons uh especially in
modern times. But Master Nun uh has an
anecdote. He says the disease of the
19th century
was the flu. Why? because it was the
first time people were coming from rural
area and to cities and
people were not used to these cities and
being packed all in one place we had the
disease called the flu.
Right? And then he says the disease of
the 20th century is cancer. And the
reason why is we created all these
ingredients and labs that our bodies are
not used to and put it into our food
into our environments and our bodies are
rebelling and it's causing uh cancer.
Right? But he says the disease of the
21st century is going to be madness.
And the reason why is because we're
being connected
because of modern communications tools
to cultures, philosophies,
societies even that we're not really
supposed to be connected to as humans.
And we actually don't know how to deal
with that. And that's why the disease of
21st century is going to be madness.
Already you're kind of seeing signs of
that. things that pop up and down, pop
up and down in society. Um, and it's
happening very fast and unbelievably
it's as if people are like have the
memory of a goldfish. They believe in
things and they stop believing and
almost forget the fact that they
believed in it. And part of the reason I
think is the the digital
uh uh uh intoxications that are that are
happening.
All right. Now, I talked about this in
your last
uh thing. It's very important to know
how to compete with AI. Um we call it
competing with the machines. Imagine a
world James Cameron world where you have
a bunch of Terminators running around.
How would you compete with them and even
defeat them? And and and AI in many ways
uh us for example in my firm, we don't
use the AI tools. We've decided they are
extremely dangerous to use. Part of the
reason we think they're dangerous to use
is
AI tools
we believe are portfolio management
tools. They're not analyst tools. An
analyst needs to operate under
constraints. You know, when you
suboptimize an analyst, you actually
optimize the performance of a fund.
Whereas, if you overoptimize an analyst,
it makes them lazy and less creative,
right? Creativity is driven by a lack of
resources, not an abundance of
resources. Right? That's actually a
principle of our business. We call it
sidelor.
uh creativity is driven by a lack of
resources and and when you look you give
AI to an analyst you ask questions it
almost gives them a sense that oh I
answered the question no
all it does is gets you to the consensus
point of view faster
right whereas if it took a week to have
a consensus point of view before today
you get to a consensus point of view
within a day with AI but The problem
with that though is that it's in the
friction while you're thinking about
something that you come up with the
questions that you really have to
answer. It's when you're in the field
talking to a customer that you come up
with the the the right questions. It's
when you're testing out a product that
you come up with the right insights, not
when you use the AI tools. Okay? So, an
analyst has several investment skills.
recall of past patterns, mental
visualization of a business within the
feedback loop of its ecosystem, reading
between the lines. So, what reading
between the lines is a CEO says in a
transcript, this is what is happening.
And you read between the lines and
you're like, uh, yeah, that's what he
says, but here's what his incentives,
his culture,
and and what they're not saying is,
right? As an analyst, it's very
important that you have to you read
between the lines. Uh make leaps of
judgment. A leap of judgment is when you
analyze a business and you're like,
"Wow, they have a problem with their
sales department."
And then you say, "Oh, they have a
problem with their sales department
because there's something wrong with the
board of directors."
Right? you just you you think the the
location of the problem is not where the
solution of the problem is right and
when you when you study by the way it's
very important to study systems thinking
complexity chaos theory ecology that
kind of shows you that systems like
companies behave in very strange ways
you try to solve something at the part
of the system where the problem is it
doesn't fix it often you have to fix it
somewhere totally different like for For
example,
um I used to have a problem with my knee
and I go to the knee doctor in America
and the American doctor is like, "We
we're going to cut open your knee and
cut and shave this so that your knee can
work." And then I'm at my acupuncturist,
which happens to be a Chinese doctor.
And he's like, he looks at me, he's
like, "What's wrong with your knee?" I'm
like, "It hurts." And he's like, looks
at me, he's like, "It's not your knee,
it's your hip." I'm like, "What do you
mean?" He's like, "Well, your hip is
weak." So the the muscle is taking the
bone your your your your thigh bone and
actually shifting on top of your knee
and now your knee is hurting. So I'm
like what do I do? He's like just do uh
a hip exercises strengthen the muscle.
Two days of those exercises my knee pain
went away. So which do you prefer? Knee
pain or $35,000 surgery and three months
of recovery the American way? you know
let's let's let's go towards fixing it
the Chinese way right so so again a leap
of judgment you know that's a very
powerful analytical uh skill okay and
then synthesize putting everything
together where you're like okay you
study competitive strategy you study
valuation you study governance of the
business and you're able to synthesize
all of that and insight as to hey it's a
long or dude everybody's wrong it's a
short, right?
Our insight about AI is that AI tools
inhibit or dull all of these skills,
especially in rookies, especially in
young young analysts. Okay.
All right. Very important to read our
freestyle future in uh in this book by
Tyler Cowan. It's a chapter on freestyle
chess. Freestyle chess is when uh
tournaments are between humans
or human plus computer teams or computer
teams and everybody is just freestyling.
You can use whatever you want. And the
inside is human plus computer ends up
being both human and computer which is
interesting. So, it's a combination of
analog thinking, human and digital
thinking.
That's going to be the combination that
we think wins. If you were to only pick
one in my opinion, I would just pick
analog for a lot of reasons. And by the
way, frankly, you know, to be to be very
open, for reasons that competitively
we cannot disclose publicly, we've
actually found flaws in the digital
tools that make people make catastrophic
mistakes. And for competitive reasons,
I'm not allowed to say it, but trust me,
they're there. Look for them. One of the
places you'll find it is in this chapter
if you're going to read it. Since the
young people don't read anymore, maybe
you'll never find it, but read this
[ __ ] chapter. Trust me on this.
One of his insights is that in a analog
plus digital way, both secrecy and
deception go up. That's interesting,
right? Why is that? And is that also
happening at companies?
Important question to answer.
All right. Young people don't read
anymore. This is a quote from Henry. Uh,
and I'll read it out loud because I
think it's important. It says, "Reading
books require you to form concepts, to
train your mind to relationships. A book
is a large intellectual construction.
You can't hold it all in your mind
easily or at once. You have to struggle
mentally to internalize it. Now there is
no need to internalize because each fact
can instantly be called up again on the
computer. There is no context, no
motive. Information is not knowledge.
People are not readers but researchers.
They float on the surface. This new
thinking erases context. He's talking
about computer thinking. It disagregates
everything. All this makes strategic
thinking about world order or by the way
on companies nearly impossible to
achieve. Reading books requires you to
form concepts to train your mind to
relationships. A book is a large
intellectual construction. You can't
hold it all. Sorry, I just realized that
I'm repeating this twice, but forgive
me. Okay. What does Henry mean? Well,
it means that
when you're thinking about a book, not
only are you absorbing the intellectual
capital of the writer, you know, it took
him two years to write it, you can read
it in less than three days. For me, I
always thought that was magical that I
could take all that knowledge from
somebody and took it to me in a couple
days. But it allows you to imagine
what's not written. You see, companies,
the things they do that give them an
advantage, especially when they're
crushing another company, they're not
going to put that in a 10K or 10 Q.
Neither will a hedge fund manager that
has competitive advantages. He's not
going to put in his memos or his
letters, this is what we're doing to get
an edge. No, they don't have to disclose
that. I wouldn't disclose that if I was
them. But when you read the questions
you'll ask will more or less find what
those advantages are if you're looking
for them. Okay. So it's very important
to read
have to remember to disagregate this
quote later. All right. Other problems.
So we talked about it. Do you have a
question Ethan?
Okay. Uh other problems. We talked about
artificial intelligence. Here's another
problem. By the way this is our term for
it. I don't know if it has a term in the
investment business, but we call the
junior senior problem.
Hedge funds are realizing that they
don't need to hire junior guys anymore.
And the reason why is a lot of AI tools
are as good as the junior guys now,
right? And the other problem is when the
portfolio manager ask a junior guy, hey,
that's great. Congratulations. You tell
me that it's a long, it's a short, but
this just happened. What's the CEO
thinking right now? The junior guys have
a hard time explaining that. Whereas the
senior guys that have seen a lot more
reps, that have read all the books, that
have read uh all the memos, they're
like, "You know what? Here's what I
think the CEO is thinking. I may not be
right, but at least you give the
portfolio manager some options as to
what the the the CEO of the company or
what might be happening that is not in a
10K or 10 Q or even a press release,
right? And what the the the PMs are
realizing is I don't want to hire junior
guys anymore. I want to hire just senior
analysts, people that have seen a lot
more reps. One of the ways you see rats,
by the way, is reading. Okay. Another
problem. There's a mental health
epidemic going on. This is a serious
serious issue. We see people that are
self-sabotaging
left, right, and center right now. It
It's happening more and more. And not
only that, they don't know how to deal
with uh this mental health problem.
There's too much hyper stimulants.
There's too there's a lack of the
nutrition is freaking terrible. No one
it spends time on recovery activities.
Spiritual practices are on the downside.
It uh the there's all sorts of mental
health problems that are popping up. You
know, there's a comedian Sebastian
Maniscalico. He's blaming it on the
internet because he says if you know if
you were crazy 50 years ago, you didn't
really find other people that were crazy
like you. He's like, "Today,
if you like to dress like a baby, you
can find people on the internet and get
together at the conference of everybody
that likes to dress like a baby, you
know, and and it's hilarious, but it's
true, you know. The internet can be very
dangerous for for for for that stuff."
Um, okay. Other problem, the millennials
and zoomers have the attention spans of
gnats. Okay. Very dangerous. Very very
dangerous. fertility is crashing.
It's a catastrophe. Meaning the the
ability to having kids and it's
happening globally by the way where
people have less and less kids on a on a
yearly basis. It's even been happening
in my country where I'm from where in
Haiti where we literally [ __ ] like
rabbits but for somehow le we're having
less and less kids every year. Right.
Okay. Talked about master nuns disease
of the 21st century. And then there's
something else that is happening which
is when you talk to an analyst
he hasn't read all the books about the
historical context of our business. So
he looks at a situation and it doesn't
remind him of a past period, right? It
doesn't remind him of, hey, this is
actually what happened in the late 90s
with this group of stock. That can be
very helpful by the way to for for
judgment.
Okay?
But there are solutions to all these
problems. This is my mentor Peter
Kaufman in my opinion. Uh me and a group
of guys, we all call him Uncle Peter.
Um,
I am forever grateful
for the things that Peter has taught me
and to this day I'm like, "Wow, they're
probably in my opinion
definitely in the top five of investment
teachers out there. I put him on top
with
Charlie Mer, Warren Buffett, Peter
Kaufman, Michael Moeson, and I would put
Peter Theel in terms of people that I've
learned so much for investing. I mean,
there are others as well, by the way.
Some that don't like to be named, but
Bill Miller, you know, people that I
think I've learned a lot from uh on
investing
um or being a great person. And there's
these quotes that Peter loves and he's
he gives you these pens with these
quotes on them. And one of them is what
the pupil must learn if he learns
anything at all is that the world will
do most of the work for you provided you
cooperate with it by identifying how it
really works and aligning with those
realities. If we do not let the world
teach us, it teaches a lesson.
Teaches us a lesson. And he says, "Most
geniuses, especially those who lead
others, prosper not by deconstructing
intricate complexities, but by
exploiting unrecognized simplicities.
I actually believe that analog training
is powerful for for for these for as an
unrecognized simplicity, but also to
help us find the ways to align how the
world works.
All right. Here's one of the first
tools, analog tools I'm going to teach
you. Um, frameworks.
So, what a framework is is
it's a list of ways of thinking that you
look at an investment through,
right? Or a life situation. So, for
example, um for relationships,
the five languages of love is a great
book for relationships.
Not everybody's loves the same way or
not everybody experiences love the same
way. And you if you're with a friend or
a boyfriend or girlfriend and you don't
know their love language, you might be
having communication issues. Your love
language not the same. That's a
framework that helps you. the pro it's
not always correct but the probability
of using that framework and it being
very powerful is is very helpful to
judgment and decision- making and also
results right so here are some of the
frameworks there's many more than this
but here are some of the ones I like
right now so Mike Maples who runs a VC
firm and has had very successful
investments
uh some 100 baggers
um uh he has these frameworks one of
them is when he's looking at a at a
company, he asks, "Hey, have they
stumbled on an insight?"
So, do they know something or have an
insight that the world doesn't realize
yet?
Right? And then another framework he has
is did the company harness an inflection
point? So, it's one thing
for Uber to exist, but what was the
inflection point that Uber or Lyft, by
the way, uh Mike was an investor in Lyft
and actually made a lot of money in
Lyft. What was the inflection point that
Uber leveraged? Well, it was the
creation of the iPhone,
right? the iPhone enabled all of these
different
uh uh uh businesses to exist.
Right? So that's what he means by an
inflection point. And the third one
which by the way I think is very
powerful is he calls it founder future
fit. And that's his f favorite framework
where the founder that he's investing in
he wants him to already be in the
future.
So he gives the example of Eric, the
founder of Zoom, our current host, and
and says if you look at Eric when he
created Zoom, he had already been
working at Cisco on on on
web a video conferencing for 10 years.
So when he created Zoom, it was already
a product that was of the future. We
just hadn't used it yet. The saying by
the way comes from uh found the future
fit comes from this the saying the
future is already here it's just not
evenly distributed yet right and that's
a very powerful
uh uh uh way of thinking because when
you invest in a company are they doing
things that you know it's like what it's
like everybody's going to have this
eventually it's it's the guy is the
founder future fit if you look at a
founder that has found their future fit
by it's Elon. Elon clearly is living in
a in the future and we're just like it's
just not evenly distributed yet, but it
will be. Okay. You have standard equity
frameworks. So value stocks,
there's things that matter to them. Do
you know them? That's a framework. It's
a frame that allows you to work, right?
Growth stocks, restructurings,
turnarounds, events, spin-offs. By the
way, in the early odds, there was a
group of investors that said, "Okay, the
best value investments in the world.
Let's study all of them and find out
what they have in common." Same for
growth, same for turnarounds. And by the
way, when they were the only ones that
had this approach, it was very powerful.
They made a lot of money. Part of the
mistakes they made is they taught it to
everybody else. Now, everybody has it.
And then that that approach actually
started declining in results. Same for
shorts. What have been the best frauds?
What do they have in common? And
whenever you look at another fraud, do
they do does it also apply? Same for
fads. Same for failures. Failures is
stuff like um a bankruptcy, right? Uh
what have been the fakes? So fakes is
when I I call them fake value. Fake
growth is something that looks like a
growth company, but it doesn't have the
return invested capital and eventually
it's going to crack. Same for value,
fake turnarounds. We love when a
turnaround is failing and we love to
short those. Uh, by the way, we do short
stocks in my firm. We love shorting
stocks in my firm and we're pretty good
at it. Uh, let me, you know, touch wood
because the market goddesses are
listening and this is when you're being,
oh, you're good at it. Watch this [ __ ]
Boom. And they hit you, you know. So,
so, so it's something that we look to be
very good at. uh the short side because
I love running money long short. Right
now, for example, I don't know what's
happening in the market. I haven't even
looked at the opening yet, but I know
that the market's going down. My shorts
are protecting me. So, Peter Lynch and
One Up on Wall Street, he has a list of
final checklist page uh chapter 15. Must
read. By the way, those two books that
you see, you can be a stock market
genius and one up on Wall Street has
created more sention and billionaires
than probably any other book. Should you
be reading them? Yes, you should.
Very important to study and read mental
models. My mentor, Charlie Mer. Uh
Charlie Munger is everybody's mentor at
this point. Uh I miss him dearly.
um a very wise man. By the way, I'm very
much into elder culture and it's
something that we're missing that
younger people miss today is they don't
spend enough time with their elders. You
see an elder, he has the battle scars.
He's made the mistakes. If you go and
ask them, hey, I'm thinking about doing
X. What do you think I should do or how
do I go about it? very often he'll give
you insights and he's like look when I
tried to do that here's what happened
and let me show you the scar on my back
right for for when I [ __ ] up when I
did that and and I think a lot of
younger people are losing elder culture
you know they're they're they've made
the mistakes before you know they have
insights go talk to them very important
uh uh but mental models Charlie says you
got to take the best mental models from
economics, psychology,
philosophy, physics, evolution, biology,
and and and
have them in your mind because when
you're looking at a situation, very
often it's those different tools that
are going to help you. Oh, here's what's
happening. And mental models help your
memory. So, so people, they've done
studies on this. people that use mental
models remember more because when you
look at something or you read something,
the mental model is like the hook that
in your mind, whatever you're reading,
you hang it on.
Right? By the way, u few things to
remember. One,
all models are wrong, some are useful.
That's not a quote from me. That's Mary
Galman, right? It's like when you're
looking at a reality and you're taking a
model putting on top of it, it's like
putting a map on top of the reality. The
map is not the territory, right? That's
actually a principle from NLP, uh,
neural linguistic programming, which if
I shouldn't include a slide on this, god
damn it. Um,
sorry, one second.
And I will. So NLP
um is a science from the 70s. It's more
or less been forgotten for a bunch of
reasons. There's still a darance to it.
I was trained in it. Is how do you take
the best and study what they do and be
able to replicate that? It's actually
there's a science for it. It's called
NLP. And one of the things they say is
whenever you're looking at somebody's
map, you have to understand that the map
is not the territory that it represents.
that if it was really the territory that
it represents, the map wouldn't be the
map. It would be the territory. There's
things that are missing and you have to
to understand that. And and and then the
last thing is
mental models. Uh
uh one example of them is paro
distributions,
right? The 8020 rule by the way. So one
of our best insights
came from applying the 8020 rules. I did
a a series uh it's on it's on YouTube.
You can watch it actually. It's called
idea ingredients. What makes great
ideas? And I listed 20 things. And my
business partner said, "Look, you have
20 things. If you run a 2080 rule to it,
right? 20% of those 20 things are going
to give you 80% of your results. So what
do you look for an idea that are the
four things 20% of 20 is four that are
the most powerful things in an idea and
that alone has multiplied the value of
our business right so just the 8020 rule
and applying that um uh in your life is
is extremely powerful you know so if you
make a list of 20 things to do say hey
what are the four things and give me 80%
of the results and only focus on these
things. If you look at a company, very
often a company u uh 20% of their
products give them 80% of the
profitability. Right? So those are all
things that you can do to to study. All
right. Art of war principles very
important to study those. Uh there's a
great the the principles. So if we look
at a company, we always look at the
company through art of war principles.
We say okay how does the this company
attack its competitor's strategy
right the reverse of that how does a
company protect and amplify their
strategy
right how does a company disrupt the
alliances
of the competitor so for example uh uh
we love companies that go and all right
they have a great sales guy let's try to
hire
Oh, really? The their their CFO just
quit. He was really good, but he quit
for political reasons. Okay, let's hire
him. Disrupt the company's alliances.
You see, the hidden part about business
is the predatory behavior of businesses
on top of each other. They're never
going to put that in a 10K,
right? So, it's very the the and it
happens, by the way. They just never
talk about it unless it's like inside
baseball stuff. Third principle, attack
him where he is weak. Use fourth
principle, use the environment against
your enemy. And a fifth principle,
fornowledge and spying. You know,
corporate spying, corporate
intelligence, in my opinion is as big as
countries spying on other countries. In
fact, there's one country where shall
rename Nameless, but their entire spying
apparadice is on literally spying on
American companies and stealing the best
secrets. By the way, um but anyways,
okay, another principle, have time on
your side when you're investing.
Do you have time as an ally that the
more every day goes by, the value of the
business increases?
have time on your side could also mean
do you have timing
right so when we're investing I always
say to myself hey if I hold this thing
one week one month does the business get
better
as the passage of time happens do I have
an advantage
very important I know it sounds like to
you guys what the [ __ ] is talking about
but trust me dig into it one from Peter.
Where there's mystery, there is margin.
Very important.
When there's mystery around a company,
often there's very high margins at the
company. When there's mystery around a
way of doing things, there's margin,
there's profitability.
Another one, it's one of our favorites.
I learned it from
uh
actually a bunch of investors that don't
like to be named. It's better to observe
than to predict. Everybody wants to
predict in the investment business, but
very few people actually observe.
You cannot predict that a moat of a
business is expanding.
Maybe if you're good at it, but you can
observe, wait a second, their mode just
got better. They made this acquisition.
This is going to increase their
bargaining leverage. Like for example,
um
am I allowed to talk? No, we can't talk
about current holdings. But but there's
a company
they are
they weren't vertically integrated
before. they were just allowed to buy
another company that allows them to
vertically integrate
and it's giving them such a competitive
advantage that we believe they're going
to go from 6% market share to 30% market
share in the next 5 years. And if that
happens,
we think it's going to multiply the
value of the business and we're already
observing
that it's doing so. And in fact, one of
the uh uh our senators came out with a
letter talking about how this company is
going to be a dominant player and the
FTC should not allow it the deal to go
through. And the letter reads like a
bull case
on the company. It's that good. In fact,
we took that letter and attached it to
our memo. So, we're like, that's how
good this thing is if it's allowed to go
through. Um, and again, can you observe?
We predicted that it's going to happen.
We're already observing that it's
happening, right? Invert, always invert.
If you say, "Hey, Elise, how do I
succeed at this?" I'm going to invert
that question and have you ask, "Hey,
how do I fail at it?" You got to know
how to fail at something before you win.
Inversion. If you say, "Hey, how does
this company
uh uh take market share?" I would say,
"Well, how does this company lose market
share?" First, you know, you want to
invert things. And this, you know,
Charlie Munger, this was one of his
favorite principles.
Double down on what is working.
Something is working for you, do more of
it. The nine emotions.
Uh we love businesses or even in our
writing and our content creation, we put
in the nine emotions. Vanity, greed,
lust, fear, relief, addiction,
nostalgia, envy, novelty, right? Think
about Instagram. Well, I mean, what is
this? An iPhone.
Vanity, greed, lust, fear, relief,
addiction, nostalgia, envy, novelty,
Instagram.
Vanity, greed, lust, Google, vanity.
It's literally all the nine emotions,
right? Whenever you invest in a
business,
does the business have the nine emotions
embedded in it? Right? Uh uh I mean,
excuse me, let let me rephrase that.
Does the relationship between a customer
and a business is it based on the nine
emotions?
Like for example, what's an airline?
I mean, relief maybe. None of these. And
that's why airlines are terrible [ __ ]
businesses. Terrible.
You know, the only thing that makes
money from them is literally the points
on the airline. And that's not the
airline. That's a credit card company
that they're mixed with that you get
these points. And that's literally greed
really, right? Airlines are terrible
businesses. There's, you know, the the
there's no emotion. It's literally your
your relief that you get off of it. uh
unless you're fine private by the way uh
uh uh where you come at it and you're
like yeah this is great um but anyways
okay last principle the question is the
answer uh whenever somebody's wants an
answer I'm like focus on the question
much more important it's a Buddhist
apherism but it's very true
I want you guys we're hitting up on time
so I'm going to speed up I want you guys
to learn stress and recovery activities
ities.
Part of analog thinking
is happens mostly when you're in
recovery, not when you're in stress,
right? It's when so stress activity is
like brain exercises, endurance
activity, physical exercises, you're
stressing yourself. And people that stay
in stress too long, that's when mental
health problems get triggered, anxiety,
and all that stuff. Whereas if you're
actually recovering, it allows your
subconscious and your conscious to go
and learn the lessons and extract on
them. So recovery activities like
acupuncture,
massage, uh by the way, if you're a risk
taker,
it's very important that when you wake
up, you don't do anything that is even
more stressful. So a lot of people first
thing they wake up they go work out or
they do something like get on their
phone and it's something that
immediately stresses you. It's very
important when you sleep you wake up you
do something that deepens the recovery
of you having slept. And the other
reason why you want to do that is as a
risk taker when you're an analyst or PM
while you're sleeping your subconscious
goes to work on all of the positions you
have on all the risks you have on. So
you wake up kind of stressed,
right? And that stress over long periods
of time not only stress your days but
stress your years. And that's what
causes um burnout. It's what causes uh
um people leaving our business. You see,
there's a very high attrition rate in
our business. You know, there's a lot of
guys, we remember the guys that have
made it, but we don't remember the guys
that have failed and have left the
business, right? It's like the guys that
tell me, "You got to concentrate your
book." And you say, "Why do you
concentrate?" And the answer always
comes to, "Well, Charlie and Warren
survived the 70s when they char I think
Charlie was down 70%. Warren was down
60%."
But I'm like, "That's Charlie and
Warren. Tell me about the hundred other
guys that concentrated and we don't hear
about those. Don't don't cite to me the
survivorship bias. Right? So, so again
going back one of the best things you
can do as a risk taker when you wake up
get a massage.
Seriously, twice a week if you have
money. Twice a week I have a masseuse
come 6:30 in the morning, 90 minutes
massage.
It distresses you and gives you a lot of
energy throughout the day. If you don't
have that, get a Rumble roller. It's a
It's a It's a foam roller with nubs on
it. It looks like a torture rack. Uh uh
roll your entire body. It distresses
you. Get a theraun. A theraun. You can
get them. They're they're decently
expensive, but they're worth it. And you
literally use a vibration all over your
body. It distresses you. Same with a
zillion. It's a massage pod that
replicates jatsu shots massages and it's
been one of the best gifts. You lie on
it and it massages out of you. Now, it's
unbelievable how often you're doing a
recovery activity and you untense
and then that's when an insight
that you've been trying to generate on a
business or a stock, a stock or an idea
comes to you. So, recovery is very
powerful because while you're tense, you
won't have an insight. It's a second you
get rid of the tension that your
subconscious is like, "By the way, you
know that problem you've been trying to
figure out? Here's a solution."
sauna.
Very important to do sauna. Okay. The
data now is is you can't argue with
anymore. All cause mortality drops uh
stress recovery
uh uh uh uh improvement. Um but also as
we talk about next, it's a great way to
deal with your hyper stimulants. Okay.
Cold therapy. Now, I'm not a big fan of
waking up and then dudes are like
dunking in ice and literally causing all
sorts of health problems to themselves.
But once a week,
uh, you do cold therapy after you've
warmed up, after after a workout, and
you dip yourself into the ice, stay as
long as you can, come back. It's very
it's it's it's it is very powerful, but
don't do it more than once a week
because it takes about three to four
days from your body to recover from it.
If you do it every day, you're just
stressing your body out and it's
actually causing harm. You you need
recovery. It's like you do a very
powerful workout. If you do that every
day, you're going to break down. But if
you wait a couple days, you do recovery
in between, it's very powerful. Same for
when you're stressing your brain. By the
way, hot cold showers and naps. I'm a
professional nap taker. I went through a
period last year where without realizing
I stopped taking naps and I all sorts of
health problems started popping up every
day, 20 minutes to an hour, put your
head down, sleep, just rest your head.
Very, very powerful.
Uh, okay.
How to deal with hyper stimulants.
This is I think is one of the causes. Uh
guys, excuse me one second.
Hyper stimulants are a big problem in
modern society. sugar, porn, social
media, nicotine, caffeine, aderal,
cannabis, recreational drugs. These are
things that are extremely extremely
powerful. Uh, and mess with your brain
in all sorts of ways. Um, by the way,
I'm not talking a big game. I'm as
addicted to some of these things as as
everybody is. I'm pretty sure I'm
addicted to Instagram uh uh in a in a uh
uh in a big way and I have to literally
do digital detox uh all the time. Uh I'm
addicted to caffeine.
Uh you know, I go on and off caffeine.
Uh I'm back on it right now and it's
like I go to this restaurant. It's owned
by a friend of mine and the corporate
chef happens to be a coffee Jedi.
Okay. Like you you you like have one sip
and you get taken to this dreamland. I
love coffee, okay? But I'm an addict. I
have to get off of it every once in a
while because hyper stimulants, they
make your highs higher
and they make your lows lower.
So in our business, you're constantly
dealt with ass kickings.
You know, you own a stock is down 50%.
When you're on hyper stimulus, you don't
handle it as well. It's very important
to to know how to wean yourself off of
it. One of the most powerful hyper
stimulants today happens to be social
media AI and and and just digital
avalanche. You have to learn how to deal
with that. Learn how to detox from it.
Hydration and sauna is very powerful way
of weaning off of hyper stimulants. If I
start wanting to get off of caffeine and
want to get the effects of caffeine away
from me, I try to do 20 25 minutes of
sauna every day for three four days.
Right? One of the best rehabs uh in the
country.
Uh what they do is for to people get
people off of drugs is massive sauna
sessions. Hours and hours per week in
sauna because you literally sweat out
the gunk and the the residues of the
hyper stimulants. Very important. Okay.
Cycle on and off of it. I have one of my
mentees right now that secretly has been
taking Adderall without us uh knowing
and it's starting to have an impact on
him. Okay, very important to know how to
weed yourself off of these things.
Digital detox. This is obvious. Uh one
thing I like doing it Friday to to
Saturday for 24 hours. No phone, no
computer. It it's it's very restful. Uh,
I do physical exercise, spend time with
my family, play board games with my son.
I review my last week, I plan my next
week. It's a very powerful 24 hours.
One, this is probably
one of the most powerful spiritual
practices I can recommend to you because
this trains every single analytical
skill without you knowing that it's
being trained,
including visualization. So what yoga
nidra is is you lie down as comfortable
as possible. You don't move and you
listen to a script of an individual
bringing you through visualization
exercises where you visualize body parts
that you have
and you go through all of them. And in
doing so it brings you to a state of
relaxation that is between being awake
and sleeping. You're not sleeping.
You're not awake, but you're in the in
between. And that in between happens to
be where insight generation comes, where
you can visualize,
where you can recall past patterns,
where you can read between the lines,
and when you can make leaps of judgment.
25, 30 minutes. You should do it once or
twice a week. Also, people that do it
stronger immune systems,
recover from all sorts of mental health
issues. It's extremely powerful as a
spiritual practice. Now, by the way, you
should be doing other spiritual
practices. Prayer very powerful.
I don't recommend meditation.
Everybody's like, "You got to meditate,
bro." No. Be very very careful with
meditation. Meditation is too powerful
for people to do it when they don't know
what the hell they're doing. Especially
if you've had childhood trauma.
So a lot of guys that meditate have bad
trips. And the reason why they have bad
trips is while you're meditating, if you
have childhood trauma you haven't dealt
with and you haven't thought about it
for a while, the childhood trauma comes
back and it's like surprise [ __ ] and
then boom, you get hit with it and you
don't know how to deal with it. So, a
lot of these meditation coach, by the
way, it's worked for them. They teach
you how to meditate, but then they've
never dealt with somebody that's had a
bad meditation experience and they don't
know what to do. And when you go to
meditation retreats, there's a reason
why sometimes in the halls there are
people that are crying. They literally
have breakdowns. And the reason why is
whatever's wrong with you tends to pop
up in the meditation. I happen to be
lucky that I don't have any of these
issues, but I know people have had
meditation is very dangerous. If you do
it, you got to do with somebody that
knows what the hell they're doing,
right? Don't just do it. And then, but
one of the problems also lack of
vulnerability is people uh meditate,
they have problems, they never talk
about because they don't want to make
seem like I have a problem. No. be very
careful with meditation.
Uh Josh's MIQ process. So Wadekin has a
process. It's an analog process that I
love. If there's a So for example, one
question we're struggling with today is
how do I become better at position
sizing?
So I brainstorm on that. Right? But what
he recommends you do is you brainstorm
before a break. So you're about to work
out. brainstorm on the question and
while you're working out, forget it. And
then afterwards, take your journal out
and then brainstorm on the question
again. And he says that, and he's right,
there's actually a great book on this
called the breakout principle. I have it
somewhere where
while you're working out, your
subconscious goes to work on the
question you were trying to answer. Very
powerful and it's true. uh uh and that
process of journaling, taking a break,
answering the question, getting into the
habit of that, weights says that that's
how you generate insights. Um and he's
right. He's right. The I I don't do it
as religiously as I used to. Uh, but I
do do it every once in a while when I'm
struggling with stuff like how to be a
better PM, position sizing, trading
acumen, exposure management, uh, and
idea selection. Um, very powerful
process.
Board games and card games, use them as
personal laboratories. So, my personal
lab has always been back and poker, but
Jin and chess, go, bridge, other board
games. We like Settlers of Katan. Uh
these are Monopoly. These are all games
that have a lot of business lessons in
them. If I learn a principle like when I
was learning uh the art of war uh by
Sunsu as as principles, I used them
those principles in my back and in my
poker and it improved both my back and
in my poker. Right. So board games are a
great place to go test stuff out, test
out a mental model, test out a
principle, test out a book, and then see
if it adds value to your investing. And
the reason why you need a personal lab
like Tony Stark, he has Jarvis in his
personal lab is in your lab, the risks
are very small, but if you learn
something that gives you high reward,
you can then apply it to your investing.
Right? The first time I learned the
concept of Moes for example from from
Warren, I applied it to back gam and it
was like literally staring me in the
face like oh the concept of Moes is all
over back which is interesting
reading setup.
Don't just read
take a book uh
you know and just start reading. Set it
up for success. Especially if you're a
younger person and you have the
attention span of a nap. If you got to
be alone to read, be alone.
[clears throat] If you get energy from
being surrounded by people, be in an
office, read and or a cafe.
Put your phone away.
Turn it off if you have to. Put it on.
Do not disturb. You don't need the
distractions. Use earplugs. Okay? Don't
use electronic
uh noise cancelling first. It's too
expensive. An earplug, you have to
charge it. Earplugs, you put it in, it
blocks all the sound out. Um I have the
attention span of a nap myself, by the
way. So I have to put earplugs on. Use
pomodoros.
Uh I I take a timer, put it for 90
minutes, and I know that for 90 minutes,
it gives me the freedom to just read. I
can focus for 90 minutes, right?
Start reading. It takes you 15 minutes
to concentrate. If you get distracted,
it's okay. Recognize a distraction like
a meditation. Go back to to what you
were reading. Even if it was a really
good idea, let it go. It's okay.
Do not highlight while you read. If a
passage is interesting, put a check
mark. Problem. The highlight is it takes
time, right? And then also all you're
doing is mentally training. I have to
keep this. You're training your
endowment effect bias, your your loss
aversion. I don't want to lose this. And
odds are you're going to highlight it.
You're never going to review it anyways,
right? But make a check mark on it.
Review it afterwards. And at the end of
the reading session, write down and the
book if you like what you learned. And
this will train your recall. Very
powerful.
For people that have real attention
spans while you're reading on Kindle,
listen to the audible.
Hey, that's actually been a very
successful sometimes if my mind is too
frayed, I'll do that. I'm reading a
book, listen to it. So, you're both
reading and listening. Uh, it's helper
retention. It's a modern digital tool to
solve the analog problem
learning projects. Now, I recommend you
do digital deep dives on all of these
different topics. These are the ones
that I've spoken uh that that I've
chosen. Phil Stuts, uh, this guy in the
middle here, who in my opinion is one of
the wisest human beings that's ever
lived. Peter Theel, uh, you should watch
all of all of Peter's interviews. You
should read all the essays he's written.
You should read the books on him. Uh, he
has mental models that are very, very
powerful and can help both your private
investing, your public investing. Rory
Sullivan, who in my opinion, if you want
to learn how to deal in the age of AI,
you have to read Rory's mental models.
And then in my opinion, the greatest
competitor that's ever lived, uh, Tom
Brady. Uh, I happen to be a Brady fanboy
and I've learned more from him than
probably any investor I've ever studied.
Analog. Learn public speaking.
learn selling.
Uh we just did a study
um wealthy families
that
keep their wealth across generations.
But in studying that we found a lot of
wealthy families that have lost their
wealth across generation.
And what did the wealthy families that
kept their wealth have in common? Is
that though the founder knew how to
sell, the second generation,
often never learn to sell because they
never needed to or even worse look down
upon it.
And when you stop selling,
you stop getting wealthy.
Wealthy people tend to be great
salesmen. We've been taught as society
to look down on sales. No, take it very
seriously. Learn how to do it. And then
last, writing. Learn how to write. Very
powerful
mental exercises from the CIA. So these
are the two books given at the CIA to
train analysts. There are others.
You can literally buy them or find them.
It's actually unbelievable to me that
they publish this [ __ ] but they do.
Maybe it's because they publish the old
stuff and the new stuff.
uh is even better. But this old stuff is
pretty good. There's some exercises in
there like timeline analysis. You have
to learn how to do it. And then AC,
analysis of competing hypothesis. Very
powerful way to lower your biases and
solve the mental problems that you have.
Okay,
we're coming up to the end.
Here's the advice. I always give this
advice. I gave this advice in your the
last pod that we did together, Ethan.
Mentor and teach. This is an analog
process. Use coaches. You don't know how
to do something, find a coach. Pay him
if you have to. If you can't afford it,
find a mentor. Do stuff for him so that
he teaches you the stuff for free.
Watch out and prepare for your 40s and
your 50s. Midlife crisis dynamics are
real.
I've warned you. You guys are not
dealing with this stuff now, but it's
coming. And when you're dealing with it,
remember told you, right?
build leverage into your personal and
business life. Uh I talk about this a
lot. Capital leverage, code leverage,
content, community, contractual
structural leverage, conditional
leverage. I have a YouTube on that. Go
watch it. Um very powerful successful
people or even you know people that have
not even like accomplished great
success, but you'll see leverage in
their lives like oh he did this. It it
was a form of leverage. For example,
creating content, what Ethan and I are
doing now, is a form of leverage. It's
going to help us accomplish our goals,
right?
Actually, let me talk about this for a
second. I have three goals
for my business. I want really smart,
wealthy people to invest in my business.
I want a very smart analyst or PM at
another shop to be like, hey, we need to
call El leaks and share our best ideas
with him.
Third, I want a very smart person to
say, I want to work for this guy.
When you create content, at least when
we create it, it helps us accomplish all
three of these goals.
That's leverage. You create it once and
it's out there working for you forever.
Very powerful. Have a spiritual
practice. Have thought partners and
confidants. There are people you need to
share it with. There's a lack of
vulnerability in our culture right now.
You know, there there's this uh meme
going around where somebody is is like
guys don't talk about their feelings.
They don't talk about their problems.
Like are people interested? you know,
it's like no one, you know, we we have a
a I have a group of friends. We're like
a male support group because we share
this stuff with each other and and
people when they hear like, "Wow, like
can I join?" And part of the reason like
we're all fairly healthy people is like
we share this stuff. You need thought
partners. You need confidants. And by
the way, one of my problems with
therapy, even though I do think it
serves a purpose, is that you have a
conflict of interest, right? the longer
you go, the more the person gets paid.
So there's almost not a solute uh uh uh
a way for you to solve your issues. And
also great therapy
I don't think changes you at the therapy
level. I actually think it changes at
the spiritual level. So that's why Phil
Stuts, which is uh this guy teaches you,
the the bald guy here. Um read all his
books, okay? Read uh the tools. Read
Coming Alive. Read uh read everything.
Watch the documentary that Jonah Hill
did with him. Very important. Okay. And
then know how to build the right
rituals. So I talk about this a lot
where every day I wake up and I did it
this morning even. I read three letters
from other hedge funds or investment
firms that are public.
I go through the 13F of a manager that I
respect and I go through the companies
and I read an idea memo every day. It
takes me about 90 minutes. Okay, you do
that every day and then it's an analog
process and it feeds you. Anyways,
that's it. There's more I could say, but
I had to fit it in an hour and 20
minutes. Let me know. Do you have any
questions? We can start with you, Ethan.
Yeah, thank you so much. Um,
you talked about the parto principle and
I want to do something similar for this
cuz there's a lot of ideas you said. Um,
if there's one thing that's what is the
single most important thing out of
everything you've mentioned and how
should a young person implement it
within their own life? Um, you know, as
early as now?
>> Read. Okay. Take a book
and you can only do this with
non-fiction.
Um,
and do do inspectional reading.
Have we talked about this?
>> I don't think so.
>> Okay. So, inspectional reading is
there's a great book. It's called How to
Read a Book. And chapter 4 on
inspectional reading gives you a process
that you should do before reading every
nonfiction book.
And what you do is this. Take the book
and you go to the table of contents
and you read it.
Just read it. Then you go to the back of
the book
and read the index.
It literally says page 365, keys to
success,
right? and you you read it and you write
down the things that interest you and
the table of contents and sorry and the
index. Then you go back to the front and
you read the introduction. In this case,
the preface and the prologue. It's like
five, six pages.
Then you go to the back of the book and
you read the last chapter,
the conclusion,
right? Then you go back to the first
chapter and read the first and last page
of the chapter.
Then do it for every chapter. Oh, I
forgot. Um, so after you read the table
of contents, after you read the index,
go to the middle
where there's pictures
and look at and study all the pictures.
And the reason why you have to do that
is when you read something
uh we remember visuals 99.9% of the time
whereas we remember words much much less
percentage. But when you know a picture
it allows you to put the words onto the
picture and your memory actually goes
up.
And then after you've read the first and
last page of every chapter,
if there are uh let's say graphs, go
back and study all the graphs.
And what you'll see is that by having
done that,
you'll get the 20% of the book that
gives you 80% of the value.
And then you can determine, do I really
need to read this [ __ ]
If it's a good book, odds are you will,
right? Very, very powerful
analog process to do. I personally do
it. I try to do it three, four times a
week. Uh I try to read a book a week.
More often it's like a book every two
weeks. Uh my son and I have a a
nighttime ritual where we read together,
you know. So, he's reading right now um
this graphic novel series, which
actually looks really cool. I'm reading
one of Phil Stutz's books uh lessons for
daily living, and it's literally wisdom
after wisdom after wisdom. Uh but
generally, you get a book, I just got
given one actually, and you want to read
it inspectionally. Like for example,
this book,
um I'm writing about it. only the
paranoid survive. There are key concepts
for surviving in the age of AI and this
book you know Ank wrote this in the 80s
for god's sakes you know but yet this is
this is going to matter a lot in this
age by the way this book is actually not
about paranoia everybody's that hasn't
read it what they talk about it's like
it's about being paranoid no it's about
strategic inflection points
yes you should be reading about
strategic inflection points you know so
So I would say that that would be the
most important of the things. But
listen, there's never only one thing.
Okay?
Practice some of the things that I
talked to you and try to incorporate
them in your life. Uh somehow uh it's
part of the the the analog training. Uh
but reading reading is going to be the
the the most powerful thing I recommend
you do. But hold on. Once you've read a
book
and you liked it, what should you do?
Book reading helps you create content.
Take your notes, share with your
friends.
Uh, call friends to discuss the book
that have read it. If you love the
writer, cold email the writer. Say,
"Here's what I liked about the book. Can
I ask you some questions about the
book?" If you're a student, invite the
writer to come speak to you and your
classmates. You know, this is a piece of
leverage.
Know how to leverage books. A book, a $5
book can make you millions of dollars.
It's insane to me that people will
[ __ ] It's insane. Insane.
But thank God. You know why? Because I'm
going to compete with them and we're
going to crush them because they don't
read. Thank God. And by the way, so
you know, imagine the the the
generational uh battle,
right? Where, excuse me,
you know, the young people, you guys are
about to inherit money.
You're not going to know what to do with
the money. In fact, pe the some of the
the financial businesses are realizing
that education, financial education is
paramount today. Why? Because we have
some of the youngest, most financially
literate people that we've ever seen.
And in that predator prey dynamic
between Gen X and the Zoomers, who do
you think is going to win?
You know, if I were you, I would set up
for you to be the Predator. the way we
see it now. Gen X is the predator,
right? So, very important. Read, please.
And by the way, why am I telling you to
read
if competitively it's bad for me? Well,
a lot of the I actually believe that the
market isn't just a zero sum game. I
actually believe it's both. It's a zero
sum game and a positive sum game, too.
If I teach a lot of people how to make
money, somehow it's going to come back
to me and help me make money, you know,
already, you know, Ethan, the last
podcast, it's kind of crazy how good a
following you have, the young people
that have come to me and given me ideas,
given me ways of doing things, you know,
it's it's very it's it's very powerful,
right? So, read.
It's a great book, by the way, if you
haven't read it. I used to be obsessed
uh by this guy. It's uh Tycoon, the life
of Sir James Goldmith. Uh I used to play
back gammon at a club in Paris in the
90s. Um
and Sir James was a member. He was the
first guy to ever look at me and be
like, hey, you should be in investing.
Uh and I was like, why? Uh but uh he had
a a business partner called Roland
Franklin. And Roland was the other guy
was like, hey, you know, you should go
into stock trading or something with
stocks. Um, and I end up reading a lot
about Sir James. Very important. I even
read about his best friend, a guy called
John Aspenol. Uh, an amazing book.
Actually, I have his book right here.
Uh,
the passion of John Aspenel. I love
John.
Love John. But anyways,
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The speaker, a hedge fund manager, identifies a critical problem in the modern workforce: younger generations lack "analog training," leading to a deficit in crucial analytical and creative thinking skills despite technical proficiency. He draws parallels to societal decline (Idiocracy) and warns against the over-reliance on digital tools, particularly AI, which he believes dulls essential analyst skills like reading between the lines and making leaps of judgment. The talk emphasizes that true insight and creativity emerge from operating under constraints and through the "friction" of deep thought, rather than the rapid consensus offered by AI. As solutions, the speaker advocates for a return to analog practices, including adopting powerful mental models and frameworks from diverse fields, studying Art of War principles for business, and prioritizing physical and mental recovery activities (like massage, sauna, and Yoga Nidra). He stresses the importance of digital detox, developing core skills like public speaking, selling, and writing, and recommends a structured approach to reading, specifically "inspectional reading," as the single most impactful practice for young people to gain a competitive edge and build personal leverage.
Videos recently processed by our community