NVIDIA Lost $500 Billion This Week. (Jensen Went on TV to Beg You Not to Panic)
321 segments
This is breaking. Nvidia's CEO just went
on CNBC to tell you that 660 billion for
a shopping spree. Totally normal. Let me
show you why he's nervous. Nvidia is up
8% today. But this 8% comes after a $500
billion wipeout in their value over the
past week. When the guy selling shovels
to the gold rush has to go on TV and
tell you the gold rush is real. What
does that mean? Here's exactly what
Jensen told CNBC today so we can dig
into it. He claims that the AI buildout
will continue for 7 to 8 years and
demand for AI is quote just incredibly
high. He also called it quote a once in
a generation infrastructure buildout.
Then he dismissed worries about adding
too much capacity that this is too much
too soon and maybe it's not even going
to be achievable. And he dismissed
obvious connections between this and the
first internet buildout. And then he
name dropped the homies Meta and Amazon
and Microsoft using Nvidia chips for AI.
He went on to claim companies like
Anthropic and OpenAI are generating
quote profitable revenue which is
provably incorrect. Open AAI is
projected to lose money until 2030. They
do not make money. They are a company.
They do not have positive revenue. Their
operating expenses are far more than
what they are earning off of measly $20
subscriptions. We've covered this
before. OpenAI is not profitable. They
do not make money. What's more important
when any of these tech elites speak, and
Jensen is certainly no exception to
this, is not what they say, it's what
they do not say. And you're going to
notice he omitted two key points in this
interview. Any specific ROI numbers from
his customers, like quantifiably, how
much revenue is this generating? How are
they generating that revenue? and then
just totally went around the fact that
his own infrastructure caused a massive
software selloff in the stock market
this week. But zooming out even more to
understand what happened in this
interview today, you have to understand
it in the context of the past 7 days cuz
a lot has been going on with the AI
bubble popping. It's been a total
bloodbath. And if you have any kind of
investment in these tech stocks
leveraged in AI, you would have seen
your portfolio take a beating this week.
Let's take them one at a time. So,
Anthropic seems to set this pop off.
They released Claude Co-work plugins for
legal, sales, and marketing workflows on
Friday, Jan 30. And so, Claude Co-work
is basically an extension of the AI chat
that you know and love or know and hate.
And now they have plugged that in so
that you can edit files on your
computer. You can connect it to
different business systems like Slack,
like your Google office suite, and even
your marketing workflows like if you
work in Salesforce or some kind of a CRM
like that, you can plug Claude in now,
which makes a lot of stuff very
irrelevant very quickly. And so because
of this there is a $285 billion upset in
the stock market specifically in
software financial services asset
management stocks as everyone raced to
dump their shares as they would software
as a service being the main one hit also
financial services and asset management
because why do you need a whole army of
analysts if you can just plug into your
system and a couple of figures on that
Thompson Reuters fell nearly 16% on
Tuesday MSCI lost around 7% and RAX shed
14%. Salesforce alone is down 26% this
year making it the second worst
performing stock in the D. These things
always fall like dominoes and their
effects propagate outwards. So this
triggered sell-offs in Indian IT stocks,
European software companies and even
private equity firms with high SAS
exposure because people are asking the
question if Claude can do this why do we
need a SAS product? And predictably at
the Cisco AI Summit, this is Tuesday,
February 4th, Jensen said a lot of crazy
things, and you can look at my other
videos for some of those that we covered
earlier in the week. One we haven't
covered is he called the software
selloff quote, "The most illogical thing
in the world." I would call it that,
too, if it was caving out a bunch of my
company's value. And then I I don't
know, drugs or something. He gives this
insane analogy. It's a screwdriver
analogy. It's almost like a Zen Cohen.
He says, quote, "Would you use a
screwdriver or invent a new
screwdriver?" Yeah, I don't get it
either. So, this is like some weird
psychological dissonance to just be like
pushing that same narrative we've been
talking about on the channel. You are
too dumb. You cannot understand this. Do
not ask questions. Shut up. Buy the
stocks. Relinquish your graphics cards.
We are going to move forward with this
data center infrastructure build. That's
what we're doing. You have no say in
this and you do not get it. Then we have
what I'm referring to mentally as the
hyperscaler earnings parade over the
rest of the week. And this is
essentially every major tech company
lining up to kiss the ring of of Jensen
to kiss Nvidia's ring to say we are all
in on data centers. We are all on the
same page here. Look at some of these
numbers. You got Alphabet 175 to 180
billion capex guidance for 2026. Stock
fell despite strong earnings. Wall
Street's like, "I'm sorry, what?" Amazon
$200 billion capex forecast for 2026. We
covered it early here on the channel.
You can go check that video out a few
days ago. Analysts expected 146 billion.
Stock plunged 10%. Andy Jassy's quote
there. With such a strong demand, we
expect to invest about 200 billion in
capital expenditures across Amazon in
2026. And it is crazy. Pretty much as
soon as he says that, if you're watching
a stock ticker, boom, straight down
after he says, "We're just going to
spend 200 billion on this thing that we
don't really know how to make money off
of yet." And Quartz had the best take
here. They described it as quote, "The
market's response wasn't nice quarter."
It was, "Excuse me, you're spending how
much?" So combined spending from Amazon,
Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft is
expected to reach 650 billion. So that's
the ter that's the number we're going
with. 650 billion on AI infrastructure
in 2026, which is a 60%
increase from last year. So over that
5day stretch, crazy week for Jensen,
Nvidia lost $500 billion in market cap
with all of this going on. Since Jensen
is too weak to talk about the numbers,
let's do what he can't and get into the
numbers and follow the money here. I
know it's not the most fun thing in the
world to make a budget, but let's just
sit down for a minute, consider the
numbers, and start to ask the question,
does it make sense to spend $660 billion
on AI data center infrastructure
buildout? And just to contextualize that
number, $660 billion in capex, that is
more than the entire semiconductor
industry's global revenue in 2023.
their whole revenue, all of their
earning. It's roughly equivalent to the
entire GDP of Switzerland, which is not
a poor country by any stretch of the
imagination,
just being pumped into AI infrastructure
in one single year. And let's remember
our funding bubble. A quick refresher on
this if you're newer to the channel.
Nvidia invests in OpenAI. Open AAI pays
for cloud. The cloud providers buy
Nvidia chips and the revenue comes back
to Nvidia through this circular shell
game. Microsoft, Amazon, and Google are
all running hot financially speaking.
They have 10 to1 ratios on AI capex to
AI revenue. So, they are blowing cash
and they're seeing none of this come
back through AI. The Amazon earnings
were the real kicker here. Their cash
flow plummeted 71% year-over-year to
11.2 2 billion, which I know sounds like
a lot of money, but a 70% decrease that
is caving out the company. Despite all
of this, Jensen, who may be the biggest
con artist of our time, next to only
Sam, all his only response is, "Trust
me, bro. The demand is real. I don't
have numbers for that, but you know, I'm
a good guy and you know I'm good for
that." And of course, he's saying it
because he's getting the money back that
he's spending through this circular
funding scheme. Remember this is the
same guy that got cold feet last Friday
about the OpenAI Nvidia hundred billion
dollar deal. Remember he called that
quote never a commitment and that's just
a sixth of the number that he's now
defending. I would also be remiss if I
didn't mention Jensen has been on major
TV interviews three times this week.
When things are going well for a
company, the CEO is not trotted out for
this many interviews. His PR team is
like, "We got to get ahead of this. you
need to start laying down some cover
fire. And just to summarize that, we got
Feb 3, CNBC, quote unquote, no drama
with OpenAI, quote unquote, complete
nonsense about deal concerns. We cover
that on the channel. Also covered on
February 4th, Cisco AI Summit, quote,
most illogical thing in the world about
software selloff. Feb 6th, which we're
talking about now, this is breaking.
This just happened. CNBC halftime
report, $660 billion is quote
sustainable and appropriate. You're
going to notice a pattern with Jensen.
Anytime the narrative cracks, he appears
to try to get people back on track with
his V. And what's most damning about
this whole thing that really proves the
thesis is there's an internal memo that
leaked where he admitted Nvidia is in a
quote no- win situation with market
expectations. He told employees this is
these are Jensen's words. Okay. quote,
"The expectations are so high that if we
miss by just a little bit, people think
the whole story is broken." Meanwhile,
Jensen is arranging a cushy landing for
himself. He has a stock sale plan for up
to 6 million shares, which is currently
valued at 873 million through the end of
the year. So, if this buildout is
sustainable for the next 7 to 8 years,
as Jensen claims, why is he selling off
almost a billion dollars in stock? And
why is he going on all of these media
interviews this week despite not being
asked about these things proactively
telling you, the public and the
shareholders and the people on Wall
Street, everything is okay and it's
better than okay. This is $660 billion.
I mean, come on. That's that's a weekend
in Vegas, baby. Don't even worry about
it. So, here's what to watch. On
February 25th, in 19 days, he has to
stop talking and he has to show
receipts. And he's getting nervous about
this because their earnings are going to
be on February 25th. Here's exactly what
I'm going to be looking for. Analysts
are projecting EPS of 1.52 on
approximately 65 billion in revenue. But
what matters more than this, and what
I'm really concerned to see, is what
does their forward guidance look like?
Are they still advising on a continuing
65 billion? And what are they going to
say about the Blackwell demand versus
the thought that OpenAI might have been
quote dissatisfied with the chips? And
is there any change in their circular
funding disclosure, which seems all but
totally obvious now? I've been covering
this as a conspiracy theorist and a
lunatic since last fall on this channel,
and now I see mainstream outlets like
the Wall Street Journal actually
creating infographics of this circular
funding. So, this is a well-known fact
at this point. So, when the pressure is
on, when he is under SEC disclosure
requirements, is he going to give the
same talking points as he's giving on
these CNBC shows to try to hopefully
pump some life back into that stock?
Subscribe if you want that earnings
breakdown on February 25th, the night it
drops. We will have a video analysis of
that up just hours after the earnings
call ends. So, please make sure you're
subscribed and click that bell to be
notified. So, if you take away one thing
from this video, here's what I want you
to take away is ask yourself the
question, if everything is going very
well at your company, it's the richest
chip company on Earth, why do you send
your CEO on a positive media tour, and
if he's telling you the money is well
spent, it makes you think maybe the
money isn't so well spent. Thanks for
watching. If you want my AI spending
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Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang recently embarked on a media tour to defend a projected $660 billion investment in AI infrastructure, despite a recent $500 billion drop in Nvidia's market value. The video highlights concerns over a massive software selloff triggered by AI advancements like Anthropic's Claude plugins, which may render traditional SaaS products obsolete. The narrator criticizes Huang's claims of OpenAI's profitability and points to a 'circular funding' scheme where Nvidia's investments return as chip revenue. Despite his public optimism about a 7-8 year growth cycle, Huang is notably selling off nearly $900 million of his own stock ahead of Nvidia's critical February 25th earnings report.
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