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NVIDIA Lost $500 Billion This Week. (Jensen Went on TV to Beg You Not to Panic)

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NVIDIA Lost $500 Billion This Week. (Jensen Went on TV to Beg You Not to Panic)

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321 segments

0:00

This is breaking. Nvidia's CEO just went

0:02

on CNBC to tell you that 660 billion for

0:07

a shopping spree. Totally normal. Let me

0:10

show you why he's nervous. Nvidia is up

0:13

8% today. But this 8% comes after a $500

0:18

billion wipeout in their value over the

0:21

past week. When the guy selling shovels

0:24

to the gold rush has to go on TV and

0:26

tell you the gold rush is real. What

0:30

does that mean? Here's exactly what

0:31

Jensen told CNBC today so we can dig

0:35

into it. He claims that the AI buildout

0:38

will continue for 7 to 8 years and

0:40

demand for AI is quote just incredibly

0:42

high. He also called it quote a once in

0:45

a generation infrastructure buildout.

0:47

Then he dismissed worries about adding

0:49

too much capacity that this is too much

0:51

too soon and maybe it's not even going

0:54

to be achievable. And he dismissed

0:57

obvious connections between this and the

0:59

first internet buildout. And then he

1:01

name dropped the homies Meta and Amazon

1:04

and Microsoft using Nvidia chips for AI.

1:07

He went on to claim companies like

1:09

Anthropic and OpenAI are generating

1:11

quote profitable revenue which is

1:14

provably incorrect. Open AAI is

1:16

projected to lose money until 2030. They

1:20

do not make money. They are a company.

1:22

They do not have positive revenue. Their

1:26

operating expenses are far more than

1:28

what they are earning off of measly $20

1:31

subscriptions. We've covered this

1:32

before. OpenAI is not profitable. They

1:34

do not make money. What's more important

1:37

when any of these tech elites speak, and

1:39

Jensen is certainly no exception to

1:42

this, is not what they say, it's what

1:44

they do not say. And you're going to

1:46

notice he omitted two key points in this

1:49

interview. Any specific ROI numbers from

1:52

his customers, like quantifiably, how

1:55

much revenue is this generating? How are

1:56

they generating that revenue? and then

1:58

just totally went around the fact that

2:02

his own infrastructure caused a massive

2:04

software selloff in the stock market

2:06

this week. But zooming out even more to

2:08

understand what happened in this

2:10

interview today, you have to understand

2:12

it in the context of the past 7 days cuz

2:14

a lot has been going on with the AI

2:16

bubble popping. It's been a total

2:18

bloodbath. And if you have any kind of

2:21

investment in these tech stocks

2:23

leveraged in AI, you would have seen

2:25

your portfolio take a beating this week.

2:28

Let's take them one at a time. So,

2:29

Anthropic seems to set this pop off.

2:33

They released Claude Co-work plugins for

2:35

legal, sales, and marketing workflows on

2:38

Friday, Jan 30. And so, Claude Co-work

2:41

is basically an extension of the AI chat

2:44

that you know and love or know and hate.

2:46

And now they have plugged that in so

2:48

that you can edit files on your

2:49

computer. You can connect it to

2:51

different business systems like Slack,

2:54

like your Google office suite, and even

2:56

your marketing workflows like if you

2:58

work in Salesforce or some kind of a CRM

3:01

like that, you can plug Claude in now,

3:03

which makes a lot of stuff very

3:05

irrelevant very quickly. And so because

3:07

of this there is a $285 billion upset in

3:11

the stock market specifically in

3:12

software financial services asset

3:15

management stocks as everyone raced to

3:18

dump their shares as they would software

3:20

as a service being the main one hit also

3:23

financial services and asset management

3:25

because why do you need a whole army of

3:27

analysts if you can just plug into your

3:29

system and a couple of figures on that

3:31

Thompson Reuters fell nearly 16% on

3:33

Tuesday MSCI lost around 7% and RAX shed

3:38

14%. Salesforce alone is down 26% this

3:42

year making it the second worst

3:44

performing stock in the D. These things

3:46

always fall like dominoes and their

3:48

effects propagate outwards. So this

3:50

triggered sell-offs in Indian IT stocks,

3:53

European software companies and even

3:55

private equity firms with high SAS

3:57

exposure because people are asking the

3:58

question if Claude can do this why do we

4:00

need a SAS product? And predictably at

4:03

the Cisco AI Summit, this is Tuesday,

4:04

February 4th, Jensen said a lot of crazy

4:06

things, and you can look at my other

4:07

videos for some of those that we covered

4:09

earlier in the week. One we haven't

4:11

covered is he called the software

4:12

selloff quote, "The most illogical thing

4:14

in the world." I would call it that,

4:17

too, if it was caving out a bunch of my

4:19

company's value. And then I I don't

4:20

know, drugs or something. He gives this

4:23

insane analogy. It's a screwdriver

4:25

analogy. It's almost like a Zen Cohen.

4:27

He says, quote, "Would you use a

4:29

screwdriver or invent a new

4:31

screwdriver?" Yeah, I don't get it

4:34

either. So, this is like some weird

4:36

psychological dissonance to just be like

4:39

pushing that same narrative we've been

4:40

talking about on the channel. You are

4:41

too dumb. You cannot understand this. Do

4:43

not ask questions. Shut up. Buy the

4:46

stocks. Relinquish your graphics cards.

4:48

We are going to move forward with this

4:50

data center infrastructure build. That's

4:52

what we're doing. You have no say in

4:54

this and you do not get it. Then we have

4:56

what I'm referring to mentally as the

4:59

hyperscaler earnings parade over the

5:02

rest of the week. And this is

5:03

essentially every major tech company

5:06

lining up to kiss the ring of of Jensen

5:10

to kiss Nvidia's ring to say we are all

5:12

in on data centers. We are all on the

5:14

same page here. Look at some of these

5:16

numbers. You got Alphabet 175 to 180

5:19

billion capex guidance for 2026. Stock

5:22

fell despite strong earnings. Wall

5:23

Street's like, "I'm sorry, what?" Amazon

5:26

$200 billion capex forecast for 2026. We

5:29

covered it early here on the channel.

5:30

You can go check that video out a few

5:32

days ago. Analysts expected 146 billion.

5:35

Stock plunged 10%. Andy Jassy's quote

5:38

there. With such a strong demand, we

5:41

expect to invest about 200 billion in

5:44

capital expenditures across Amazon in

5:46

2026. And it is crazy. Pretty much as

5:48

soon as he says that, if you're watching

5:50

a stock ticker, boom, straight down

5:53

after he says, "We're just going to

5:55

spend 200 billion on this thing that we

5:57

don't really know how to make money off

5:59

of yet." And Quartz had the best take

6:01

here. They described it as quote, "The

6:03

market's response wasn't nice quarter."

6:05

It was, "Excuse me, you're spending how

6:07

much?" So combined spending from Amazon,

6:10

Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft is

6:12

expected to reach 650 billion. So that's

6:15

the ter that's the number we're going

6:16

with. 650 billion on AI infrastructure

6:18

in 2026, which is a 60%

6:22

increase from last year. So over that

6:25

5day stretch, crazy week for Jensen,

6:27

Nvidia lost $500 billion in market cap

6:30

with all of this going on. Since Jensen

6:32

is too weak to talk about the numbers,

6:35

let's do what he can't and get into the

6:38

numbers and follow the money here. I

6:39

know it's not the most fun thing in the

6:41

world to make a budget, but let's just

6:43

sit down for a minute, consider the

6:46

numbers, and start to ask the question,

6:48

does it make sense to spend $660 billion

6:53

on AI data center infrastructure

6:55

buildout? And just to contextualize that

6:57

number, $660 billion in capex, that is

7:00

more than the entire semiconductor

7:02

industry's global revenue in 2023.

7:06

their whole revenue, all of their

7:08

earning. It's roughly equivalent to the

7:10

entire GDP of Switzerland, which is not

7:12

a poor country by any stretch of the

7:14

imagination,

7:16

just being pumped into AI infrastructure

7:18

in one single year. And let's remember

7:21

our funding bubble. A quick refresher on

7:24

this if you're newer to the channel.

7:26

Nvidia invests in OpenAI. Open AAI pays

7:29

for cloud. The cloud providers buy

7:32

Nvidia chips and the revenue comes back

7:34

to Nvidia through this circular shell

7:37

game. Microsoft, Amazon, and Google are

7:40

all running hot financially speaking.

7:42

They have 10 to1 ratios on AI capex to

7:45

AI revenue. So, they are blowing cash

7:48

and they're seeing none of this come

7:50

back through AI. The Amazon earnings

7:53

were the real kicker here. Their cash

7:55

flow plummeted 71% year-over-year to

7:58

11.2 2 billion, which I know sounds like

7:59

a lot of money, but a 70% decrease that

8:02

is caving out the company. Despite all

8:04

of this, Jensen, who may be the biggest

8:06

con artist of our time, next to only

8:09

Sam, all his only response is, "Trust

8:12

me, bro. The demand is real. I don't

8:14

have numbers for that, but you know, I'm

8:16

a good guy and you know I'm good for

8:17

that." And of course, he's saying it

8:19

because he's getting the money back that

8:21

he's spending through this circular

8:22

funding scheme. Remember this is the

8:24

same guy that got cold feet last Friday

8:27

about the OpenAI Nvidia hundred billion

8:30

dollar deal. Remember he called that

8:32

quote never a commitment and that's just

8:35

a sixth of the number that he's now

8:37

defending. I would also be remiss if I

8:38

didn't mention Jensen has been on major

8:41

TV interviews three times this week.

8:43

When things are going well for a

8:45

company, the CEO is not trotted out for

8:47

this many interviews. His PR team is

8:50

like, "We got to get ahead of this. you

8:52

need to start laying down some cover

8:53

fire. And just to summarize that, we got

8:56

Feb 3, CNBC, quote unquote, no drama

8:59

with OpenAI, quote unquote, complete

9:01

nonsense about deal concerns. We cover

9:03

that on the channel. Also covered on

9:04

February 4th, Cisco AI Summit, quote,

9:07

most illogical thing in the world about

9:09

software selloff. Feb 6th, which we're

9:12

talking about now, this is breaking.

9:14

This just happened. CNBC halftime

9:15

report, $660 billion is quote

9:18

sustainable and appropriate. You're

9:21

going to notice a pattern with Jensen.

9:23

Anytime the narrative cracks, he appears

9:26

to try to get people back on track with

9:29

his V. And what's most damning about

9:32

this whole thing that really proves the

9:33

thesis is there's an internal memo that

9:36

leaked where he admitted Nvidia is in a

9:38

quote no- win situation with market

9:40

expectations. He told employees this is

9:44

these are Jensen's words. Okay. quote,

9:46

"The expectations are so high that if we

9:49

miss by just a little bit, people think

9:52

the whole story is broken." Meanwhile,

9:55

Jensen is arranging a cushy landing for

9:58

himself. He has a stock sale plan for up

10:00

to 6 million shares, which is currently

10:02

valued at 873 million through the end of

10:06

the year. So, if this buildout is

10:08

sustainable for the next 7 to 8 years,

10:10

as Jensen claims, why is he selling off

10:13

almost a billion dollars in stock? And

10:16

why is he going on all of these media

10:18

interviews this week despite not being

10:20

asked about these things proactively

10:23

telling you, the public and the

10:25

shareholders and the people on Wall

10:26

Street, everything is okay and it's

10:28

better than okay. This is $660 billion.

10:31

I mean, come on. That's that's a weekend

10:33

in Vegas, baby. Don't even worry about

10:34

it. So, here's what to watch. On

10:36

February 25th, in 19 days, he has to

10:39

stop talking and he has to show

10:40

receipts. And he's getting nervous about

10:41

this because their earnings are going to

10:44

be on February 25th. Here's exactly what

10:47

I'm going to be looking for. Analysts

10:49

are projecting EPS of 1.52 on

10:52

approximately 65 billion in revenue. But

10:56

what matters more than this, and what

10:58

I'm really concerned to see, is what

11:00

does their forward guidance look like?

11:02

Are they still advising on a continuing

11:04

65 billion? And what are they going to

11:06

say about the Blackwell demand versus

11:08

the thought that OpenAI might have been

11:10

quote dissatisfied with the chips? And

11:13

is there any change in their circular

11:15

funding disclosure, which seems all but

11:17

totally obvious now? I've been covering

11:18

this as a conspiracy theorist and a

11:21

lunatic since last fall on this channel,

11:23

and now I see mainstream outlets like

11:26

the Wall Street Journal actually

11:27

creating infographics of this circular

11:29

funding. So, this is a well-known fact

11:31

at this point. So, when the pressure is

11:33

on, when he is under SEC disclosure

11:37

requirements, is he going to give the

11:39

same talking points as he's giving on

11:40

these CNBC shows to try to hopefully

11:43

pump some life back into that stock?

11:46

Subscribe if you want that earnings

11:47

breakdown on February 25th, the night it

11:50

drops. We will have a video analysis of

11:52

that up just hours after the earnings

11:55

call ends. So, please make sure you're

11:57

subscribed and click that bell to be

11:58

notified. So, if you take away one thing

12:00

from this video, here's what I want you

12:02

to take away is ask yourself the

12:04

question, if everything is going very

12:07

well at your company, it's the richest

12:09

chip company on Earth, why do you send

12:13

your CEO on a positive media tour, and

12:17

if he's telling you the money is well

12:18

spent, it makes you think maybe the

12:20

money isn't so well spent. Thanks for

12:22

watching. If you want my AI spending

12:25

tracker, please sign up for the

12:26

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Interactive Summary

Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang recently embarked on a media tour to defend a projected $660 billion investment in AI infrastructure, despite a recent $500 billion drop in Nvidia's market value. The video highlights concerns over a massive software selloff triggered by AI advancements like Anthropic's Claude plugins, which may render traditional SaaS products obsolete. The narrator criticizes Huang's claims of OpenAI's profitability and points to a 'circular funding' scheme where Nvidia's investments return as chip revenue. Despite his public optimism about a 7-8 year growth cycle, Huang is notably selling off nearly $900 million of his own stock ahead of Nvidia's critical February 25th earnings report.

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