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Why 81% of People Fail The Goals They Set

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Why 81% of People Fail The Goals They Set

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Alrighty, chat. It's that time of year

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where maybe you've failed at your New

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Year's resolution. So, when the new year

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rolls around, everyone makes

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resolutions. And if you look at the

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science of behavioral change, we run

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into something really, really scary,

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which is that the way that we make New

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Year's resolutions actually runs

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contrary to what the science shows us

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works for sustained behavioral change.

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It's almost like New Year's resolutions

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tend to shoot us in the foot. So to

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begin with, let's start with a couple of

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basic statistics. 77% of people stick

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with a New Year's resolution for about 1

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week. Okay? So 23% of people don't even

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last a week. About 50% of people fail at

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the 1 month mark. And only about 20% of

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people make it after 1 year or about 2

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years. Which means that 80% of people

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ultimately fail in their New Year's

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resolution. What do we know about the

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people who succeed? It turns out that

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the way that we make New Year's

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resolutions may actually sabotage us

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from succeeding in the first place. So,

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here's the first big mistake that people

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make. They decide to do it with a

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friend. So, this is the way that this

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kind of thinking goes. Hey, I have

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trouble sticking with things. You know

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what would be great is if I rope in one

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of my friends and we decide to do it

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together. I'm gonna find an

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accountability partner. So, here's the

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subtle psychology that makes that really

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hard. Why do you find an accountability

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partner? Because you can't do it

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yourself. And if I'm finding an

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accountability partner to keep me

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accountable mentally, where is my

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responsibility for my own

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accountability? I'm outsourcing my

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accountability to a friend. And what we

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actually see in New Year's resolutions,

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it's kind of like this. This is the

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analogy that I sort of like. Imagine I

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have two bales of hay that are leaning

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against each other, right? So if I take

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two pieces of wood or two bales of hay

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and I lean them against each other, they

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both stand as long as they're both

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standing. The problem is that if a

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single one falls, then the other one

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falls too. And what we see very

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practically, and I see this all the time

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in addiction psychiatry with sobriety

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packs, is like me and my girlfriend, we

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both use opiates and we're both going to

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get sober together. That sounds great

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and sometimes it works, right? Maybe 19%

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of the time with New Year's resolutions,

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but the real problem is that if one

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person fails, the other person fails

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with them. Not only are you outsourcing

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your accountability, you are opening

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yourself up to be dragged down by your

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accountability partner. So the research

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actually shows that working with someone

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having a partner doesn't show any

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benefit until after 6 months. And this

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is sort of an interesting kind of

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statistic that we can kind of tunnel

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down more into. The way that I

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understand it is that if the two of you

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don't screw up for 6 months, then the

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two of you can support each other after

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that. But the first six months is

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actually where we see the largest drop

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off in sticking with New Year's

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resolutions to begin with. Just because

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having an accountability partner doesn't

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work doesn't mean that support isn't

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useful. Here's a really interesting

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study that compared three groups of

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people. One group that has no support,

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one group that has limited support, and

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one group that has extensive support.

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The really crazy thing is that the group

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with no support and the group with a ton

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of support actually have the same

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failure rates. The best group is the one

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with moderate support. Now, why does

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this happen? I think it once again comes

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down to the psychology of

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accountability. When you have someone

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who's working with you, supporting you

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for 12 months, you start to become

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dependent on that person and it ends up

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the the the benefit of that extended

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support essentially washes out, right?

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So, at what point do you go from getting

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supported to becoming dependent? There's

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another really great study that sort of

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tunnels down into this point because I

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think the point of support is a little

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bit complicated. There's another study

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that really tunnels down into the best

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way to provide support. Okay. So, when

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you have people who are non-resolvers,

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these are people who have failed to

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follow their New Year's resolution, it

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turns out that periodic telephone calls

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may facilitate people from progressing

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from thinking about doing something to

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actually doing something about it. And

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here's what's really fascinating. This

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study found that 54%

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of their initial pool of non-resolvers

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move from contemplation to action within

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4 weeks. Right? Right? So within 1 month

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54% of people who are not resolved to do

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anything moved to actually doing

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something within 4 weeks with simply

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three telephone calls. When I designed

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our coaching program, it was precisely

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along these guidelines. It was looking

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at the research and understanding that

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people don't need help for 12 months. In

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fact, helping you for 12 months making

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you dependent on your coach isn't

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actually helpful. It can become harmful.

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Instead, a time-limited weekly

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intervention that supports your forward

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momentum, but doesn't make you dependent

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is what actually leads to the highest

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amount of behavioral change. Second big

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thing that people with New Year's

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resolutions miss. Failure is on the path

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to success. So, one study found that for

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people who stuck with something for 2

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years, they failed an average of 14

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times. So, one of the biggest mistakes

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that we see in people who make New

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Year's resolutions is not that they

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screw up, it's that they throw in the

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towel when they screw up. So, if you

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were trying to make a behavioral change,

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give yourself 14 chances before giving

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up. That's what the data actually shows.

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Now, there's a subtle bit of psychology

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there where if you sort of tell

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yourself, "Oh my god, like if I have

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patients who are addicted to heroin and

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they're like, oh, Dr. Okay, are you

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telling me that I can relapse 14 times?

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Like, oh, I've got 14 misses. Okay, well

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then I've got 14 options. Let me go on a

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bender this weekend. I'll get my

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together next week. And then, oh, I've

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got 13 left. Let me go on a bender again

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this week. Right. Oh, and oh, Dr. K, by

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the way, you said I can screw up 14

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times, right? So, if I'm going on a

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bender for one weekend, what's the

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difference between one weekend and one

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week? Right? It still counts as one. So

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you have to be a little bit careful

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about the way that your mind will take

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this information and sort of say, "Okay,

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that means I get to screw up." That's

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not what I'm intending to tell you. What

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the data actually shows is that the

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process of behavioral change is fraught

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with missteps. That it's the people who

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stick with it over time. Those are the

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people that really succeed. So don't

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give up. And even if you screw up once,

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twice, three times, four times, five

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times, six times, seven times, eight

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times, nine times, 10 times, stick with

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it. That's the point of sharing this bit

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of data. So now we come to the mediest

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part of the research, which is what is

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the difference between the 19% of people

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who stick with it and the 81% of people

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who don't stick with it. So the first is

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that people who stick with it prepare to

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make a change. They don't spontaneously

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make a change. So, it's not like you

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wake up on December 31st and you're

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like, "Oh tomorrow is New Year's.

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Time to make a resolution." The people

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who make a change, think about it ahead

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of time. And this is the key thing. They

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are ready to make a change. So, there's

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another bit of data here which is really

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interesting. The desire to make a change

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has no bearing on your success to make a

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change. So, wanting something, this is

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insane, I know, but wanting a New Year's

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resolution really bad or wanting to do

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something, I really, really want to get

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in shape actually does not affect your

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chances of success. The question is, are

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you ready to get into shape? So, the way

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that this looks in addiction psychiatry

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is we'll often times designate a quit

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date. We're not quitting today. Some

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people will go turkey. Addiction science

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gets a little bit more complicated

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because there's different stuff going on

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in the brain. But generally speaking,

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setting up a time ahead of time,

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designating a quit date correlates with

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success with sobriety. So what you

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really need to do is think about it

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ahead of time and then really ask

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yourself, am I ready to pay the price to

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make this change? People who focus on

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that are more likely to succeed. Second

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thing that is really, really, really

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important is a belief in self-efficacy.

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So once again, it's not how much you

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want something. It is your belief and

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whether you are capable of achieving it.

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This is critical for success in

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behavioral change. So this is where

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things get a little bit tricky because

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often times in New Year's resolutions,

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we want to make changes that we want a

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lot, but we actually don't have the

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faith in ourselves to achieve. So I want

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to get a six-pack by the summer. Turns

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out that this is actually sabotaging

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you. So take a step back from what you

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want. Now the way that we want to do

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this successfully is by using something

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called a smart goal. This is a really

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really simple framework, arguably

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evidence-based, but it's not super

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evidence-based, but I find it to be

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really helpful. So a smart goal should

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be specific, it should be measurable, it

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should be attainable, it should be

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relevant, and it should be time bound.

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So let's go through this and show you

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all examples of what works and what

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doesn't work. I want to get in shape.

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that is neither specific nor measurable,

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right? Instead, what we want to do is

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focus on things that we can actually

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measure. I want to go to the gym three

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times a week for 1 month. I want to go

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to the gym three times a week for 2

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months. I want to stop eating after 10

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p.m. Right? So, these are things that

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are specific that you can actually

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measure. It becomes very clear whether

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you are achieving it or not achieving

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it. And then we get to attainable, which

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leans into self-efficacy. So, in order

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for you to access self-efficacy, it has

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to be something that you believe you can

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do. So, does three times a week sound

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like you can really do that? Instead,

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what can be far more successful is for

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you to scale back your goal to let me go

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to the gym once a week, right? Focus on

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things that you can actually succeed in.

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And the reason for that is that this is

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where we get to some more interesting

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psychology. When we look at people who

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fail at their goals, often times they

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fall short. They experience a lot of

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negative emotions. They start to be

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overly self-reflective. So, this is

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what's really interesting is that

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there's a certain amount of

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self-reflection that you need, but if

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you get too stuck in your head to try to

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solve the problem instead of actually

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just doing the thing, that correlates

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with a greater level of failure. So, we

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want things that are attainable. Next

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thing is we want things to be relevant.

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So it has to be like relevant to you

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here and now. There should be some the

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way that I sort of think about it is

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when I'm working with a a coaching

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client, one question that I'll ask is

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I'll ask them, okay, what's your goal

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for today's session? And they'll say, my

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goal is to figure out what I'm going to

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do in my relationship. And then I say,

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okay, fine. Then the next question that

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I ask, which is really, really

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important, is why is this goal relevant

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for you to solve today? something about

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asking that question, making it relevant

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to you here and now shapes your

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motivational circuitry in a positive way

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because goals that we have that are not

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relevant to us here and now. These goals

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like oh I want to like write a book one

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day. The problem is when that goal is

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very far away. If I have a goal that

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takes 5 years to do, what's the harm in

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delaying a week? There's 274 weeks left

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to finish. Like I can absolutely delay.

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So make it relevant to the here and now.

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And the last thing is make it timebound.

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So this is where we get to another

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principle of behavioral change which is

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not focusing on how much you want

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something but focusing on

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implementation. So when, where, and how.

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Those are the questions that you need to

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ask yourself for a New Year's

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resolution. So it's not just I want to

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go to the gym once a week. On what day

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are you going to go? Are you going to go

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in the morning? Are you going to go when

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you're coming back from work? when,

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where, and how are you going to

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accomplish the thing? The last point is

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that the goal that you're choosing may

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actually sabotage you. So, we know that

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there are two kinds of goals. There are

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approachoriented goals and there are

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avoidance goals. So, this is a little

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bit different from once again addiction

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psychiatry because in addiction

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psychiatry sometimes the goal is more

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avoidant. But what we know from the

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science of behavioral change is that we

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basically want to choose approach goals.

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And a lot of times in New Year's

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resolutions, we pick avoidance goals. So

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what's the difference? It's basically,

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are you moving towards something or are

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you moving away from something? So

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here's an example of an avoidance goal.

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I want to stop eating fried food. I want

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to cut out sugar. I want to stop doing

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this. Avoid doing this. I want to stop

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feeling a particular way. I'm not going

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to feel anxious anymore. I'm going to

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stop being lonely. I'm going to stop

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being a shut in. So these are avoidance

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goals where you're basically moving away

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from something. An approach goal is when

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you are moving towards something. So an

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approach goal is I want to go to the gym

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once a week. I want to make a point to

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socialize for lunch once a week. So one

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goal that I had when I was a freshman in

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college and I didn't know anyone is I

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had a goal where I was not going to have

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lunch with the same person more than

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once a week. So this ensured that I was

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meeting lots of different people,

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distributing my time, not putting all my

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eggs in one basket. So an approach goal

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is moving towards something. Now, why is

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this important? The psychology behind

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this is fascinating. We're not 100% sure

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about this, but this is what I've seen

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just working with people for the last 11

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years. Okay, an avoidance goal is

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stimulated by a negative emotion. So if

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I say, "Okay, I'm not going to be

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lonely. I'm not going to be a shutin.

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I'm going to leave the house." It may

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sound like it's an approach goal, but

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it's actually an avoidance goal. So

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here's the problem. That goal is

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motivated by a negative emotion. Which

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means as the loneliness rises, it

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crosses a certain threshold and then I

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act. Then what happens is once I leave

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the house, then my loneliness decreases

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and then my motivation disappears. And

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if my motivation disappears, I slide

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back towards the house. Okay, this is

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the problem with avoidance goals is that

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they basically trigger action only when

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you're failing at the goal. And when you

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succeed, now the driver that motivates

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you is gone and then you don't do it

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anymore. Right? So, oh, thank God I left

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the house. Now I'm no longer lonely. And

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so you kind of slide back towards being

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at the house. Approach goals are the

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opposite. When you succeed in an

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approach goal, it's not moving from 100

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to zero, which is what a lot of

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avoidance goals are, right? So, I'm

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trying to get rid of something bad. And

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once I get rid of something bad, then

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I'm just sitting at neutral. approach

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goals are different because I'm moving

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from zero to 100. I am actively doing

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something. I'm going to the gym. I chose

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to go to the gym. It's not about losing

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weight. It's about becoming stronger.

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Okay? It's about exercising more,

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improving my health because when I

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achieve that thing that is rewarding.

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Now I'm trying to do something that

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gives me a reward and when I get a

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reward that will reinforce the behavior.

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And literally what we see is that people

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who select approach goals, this is all

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about the selection of what you're

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doing, are more successful at sticking

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with it than avoidance goals. We all

15:45

want to make changes in our life and you

15:47

should understand the science behind

15:49

behavioral change to optimize your

15:51

chances for success. And one of the best

15:54

things that you can do if you can't

15:56

manage it on your own or if you want to

15:58

increase your chances of success is work

16:00

with someone else. And that's exactly

16:02

what our coaching program is for.

16:22

You

16:24

do it.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses why New Year's resolutions often fail, contrasting common approaches with scientific findings on behavioral change. It highlights that partnering with a friend for accountability can be detrimental as one person's failure can lead to the other's. Instead, moderate and time-limited support is more effective. The speaker emphasizes that failure is a normal part of the process, with successful individuals failing numerous times before succeeding. Key factors for success include preparation and readiness to change, rather than just desire. Belief in self-efficacy and setting SMART goals (Specific, Measurable, Attainable, Relevant, Time-bound) are crucial. Finally, the video differentiates between approach goals (moving towards something positive) and avoidance goals (moving away from something negative), advocating for approach goals as they are more sustainable and rewarding.

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