Legendary Investor Outlines China's Strengths (and Weaknesses)
216 segments
What are your top handful of critiques
say of the Chinese tech ecosystem or CCP
after going on a tour there? What would
you say they're not doing well or things
that complicate their ability to
compete?
>> The first one that's I think been well
publicized is when an entrepreneur has
risen to a level of success and then
uses that as a platform, the government
seems uninterested in that. So,
>> exhibit A, Jack. Jackma. Yeah, exactly.
And there's a saying that I think I
heard while I was over there. Don't be
the tallest tree.
>> Don't be the tallest tree. The nail that
sticks out gets hammered down in Japan.
They have a totally different system.
Obviously,
>> the other entrepreneur outside of Leune
is the bite dance CEO. And bite dance
probably got the leading position for
the consumer AI like OpenAI but over
there right now. in addition to just
incredible revenue growth. This is the
company that owned Tik Tok and whatnot,
but they're not going public and you
don't see him at all.
>> Mhm.
>> You know, which may get to this tallest
tree thing.
>> Yeah. I mean, celebrities also disappear
over there. No doubt.
>> Very mysteriously.
>> Yes. And business people.
>> Yeah.
>> So, yes, that does happen.
>> I will say and for people who are
wondering, right, because the there are
a lot of how should we put this? I mean
there are people who are very angry,
very hawkish. Some people are very very
supportive and then their agendas or
alliances get questioned. I like you am
just interested in understanding what is
happening to the extent that I can.
Right? What is the actual truth on the
ground? What are the details? And
frankly, I mean, the innovation over
there is is remarkable. And what they've
done in terms of establishing access to
rare metals and everything they need to
manufacture is remar. You go to South
America or Africa and it is Chinese
everywhere on infrastructure projects. I
mean, they've been very very smart about
it. So, I'm deeply interested in in all
of it. And please hold your thought
because I want to hear everything you
have to say. What I would say is a a
piece of the threedimensional chess that
I've been impressed with is how well the
Chinese government is able to well I
mean of course they're able to integrate
with the private sector so that they're
able to use in a sense products to widen
their scope of access potentially like
DJI for instance great example people
have a lot of questions around these
cars as spectacular as they might be Are
they an extension of surveillance?
Right. These are open questions that I
think are worth asking. But you were
about to say something, so I'll let you
hop.
>> No, no, no. I I think let me make one
point and then let's come to that. So
there's two other things I wanted to
mention.
>> Obviously infrastructure. So they are
building new nuclear fision plants. So
fision being old school, not new school
at 1/4 the price that we do it here in
the US. So is South Korea, by the way.
>> Yeah. Yeah, the numbers are incredible.
>> But when we sit here and say, "Oh, we
want to reshore manufacturing and they
can build things at 1/4 the price we
can." If you don't solve that, you're
going to reshore something and we're
going to not be price competitive
globally.
>> And then because you won't input what
they have and you're going to make our
citizens buy this new from this new
factory where we're making things way
more expensive, it doesn't work. Like
>> the math doesn't matter. It it doesn't
weigh. And by the way, I not not sure it
brings jobs. The Xiai factory was a a
third based on some numbers I was able
to acquire, a third the number of
employees per car output.
>> Mhm.
>> And I got to believe in 10 years it'll
be a sixth. And so you could calculate
the total number of jobs you'd be
bringing back if you brought back all
this car production. And it'd be
hundreds of thousands. It's not millions
and millions of jobs. So anyway, that
infrastructure thing is for real. And
and I think Dan Wong does a good job of
saying that America is run by lawyers.
>> He's the author of breakneck.
>> Our country is run by lawyers and theirs
is run by engineers. And so when you try
and build something here, the lawyers
just get in the way and try and block
it, which certainly when you hear Elon
talks about why the Gigafacto is here in
Austin and not in California, it all
relates to those things. So anyway,
that's infrastructure. There's another
thing that's I think quite interesting,
which is the government may not care
about whether or not their companies
have really big market caps.
>> Mhm.
>> And when I first realized this, you
know, you saw what happened when they
they took down Alibaba when they went
after Jack and Ant Financial could have
been this big thing and it got, you
know, haircut and you question, well, do
they care? And if you are pushing your
companies to be lowcost providers, maybe
that's at odds with them being hyper
profitable and really big. And then you
can turn around and ask the question
that hearing that caused me to ask the
question, does America really benefit by
the fact that the MAG 7 have $3 trillion
market caps? I know the employees of
those companies do, but is that a sign
of of our competitive capitalistic
society not being truly competitive
>> on a global scale?
>> And even within like there's a notion
you learn about in economics classes
called pure competition. And in pure
competition, no one has an intellectual
property advantage. Marginal profits are
whittleled down just to the cost of
capital. and the consumer benefits
because there's no excessive profit
capture. If we have all these companies
that are able to kind of have excessive
profits, is that a form of market
failure?
>> Mhm.
>> And does the fact that they exist help
America in any way? I at first I of
course I'm a venture capitalist. I want
to think yes, of course. But then as I
think about it, I don't know that our
government or our society or our people
are better off because these six
companies have $3 trillion market caps.
>> No, it's not that many people that the
percentage of the country that's
employed by those companies is small on
overall basis. And so anyway, I think
they have a different perspective on
whether big market caps matter and I
think that is somewhat intriguing. What
do you think about the innovation in
China leading in some cases to the
development of superior technology at a
lower cost that is
plausibly an extension of the
intelligence gathering apparatus of the
government? Is that a real thing?
>> I'm not in a good place to know. I would
have to imagine I mean it seems like
they would have to be stupid not to use
that given their ability to penetrate.
>> It's certainly well known that they do
surveillance in of their own people and
I know that would be particularly
upsetting to people like Greg Luciano
that you know runs fire and is very
interested in free speech.
>> The flip side is there's very little
street crime. You walk around
>> you don't worry about that when you're
there.
>> Yeah. It's true also in Japan though,
right? doesn't make it right or wrong.
It's just it is what it is. And I don't
know that we have this ability to kind
of tell them how they have to do it.
Now, to the extent that
>> the Huawei stuff where their products
are being shipped out and then those are
used to gather intelligence out of their
country and the rest of the world, of
course, that's a problem.
>> Yeah. But I think the way to deal with
it, I'm not a politician, but I think
the way to deal with it, I'm more of a
believer of of the engage engage talk
about what you don't like and what you
do like and try and negotiate that
problem away like we're trying to do
with the fentanyl precursors.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The discussion explores several critiques and observations of the Chinese tech ecosystem and government. A primary concern is the suppression of highly successful entrepreneurs, illustrated by the "don't be the tallest tree" adage and the experiences of figures like Jack Ma and the ByteDance CEO. The government's ability to integrate with the private sector raises questions about surveillance, with products like DJI drones and cars potentially serving as extensions of intelligence gathering. Contrasting with the US, China exhibits remarkable efficiency in infrastructure, building nuclear plants at a quarter of the cost, attributed to an engineer-led approach versus a lawyer-led one. The Chinese government also appears to prioritize low-cost provision over large market caps for its companies, leading to a debate on whether massive market capitalization in the US truly benefits society. Finally, the potential for Chinese technology to be used for global intelligence gathering, exemplified by Huawei, is discussed, with a suggestion for engagement and negotiation as a way to address these issues.
Videos recently processed by our community